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Approach motivation, a focus on achieving positive outcomes, is related to relative left-hemispheric brain activation, which translates to a variety of right-oriented behavioral biases. In two studies, we found that approach-motivated individuals display a right-oriented bias, but only when they are forced to act quickly. In a task in which they had to divide lines into two equal parts, approach-motivated individuals bisected the line at a point farther to the right than avoidance-motivated individuals did, but only when they worked under high time pressure. In our analysis of all Fédération Internationale de Football Association (FIFA) World Cup penalty shoot-outs, we found that goalkeepers were two times more likely to dive to the right than to the left when their team was behind, a situation that we conjecture induces approach motivation. Because penalty takers shot toward the two sides of the goal equally often, the goalkeepers' right-oriented bias was dysfunctional, allowing more goals to be scored. Directional biases may facilitate group coordination but prove maladaptive in individual settings and interpersonal competition.
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Psychological Science
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DOI: 10.1177/0956797611418677
2011 22: 1403 originally published online 17 October 2011Psychological Science
Marieke Roskes, Daniel Sligte, Shaul Shalvi and Carsten K. W. De Dreu
The Right Side? Under Time Pressure, Approach Motivation Leads to Right-Oriented Bias
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Approach-motivated humans and nonhumans alike display a
behavioral asymmetry consisting of a right-oriented bias.
When dogs observe their owners, they wag their tail toward
the right (Quaranta, Siniscalchi, & Vallortigara, 2007); when
toads attempt to catch prey, they are more likely to flick
their tongue at prey to their right side than to their left side
(Vallortigara, Rogers, Bisazza, Lippolis, & Robins, 1998);
when humans kiss their romantic partners, they turn their head
to the right twice as often as they turn it to the left (Güntürkün,
2003); and when approach-motivated humans quickly divide a
line into two equal parts, they show a rightward bias (Friedman
& Förster, 2005; Nash, McGregor, & Inzlicht, 2010).
This right-oriented bias in approach-motivated individuals
is associated with left-hemispheric brain activation (Harmon-
Jones, 2003; Nash et al., 2010). Evolutionary theory suggests
that brain lateralization evolved because it enhanced cognitive
capacity and brain efficiency: Lateralization allows each
hemisphere to specialize in specific tasks that can be per-
formed with increased precision and reduced cognitive costs
(Levy, 1977). Groups of individuals presumably benefited
from having the same directionality of brain lateralization
because the sharing of directional behavioral tendencies
increased intergroup coordination. Higher levels of coordination
would increase a group’s likelihood of survival (Vallortigara &
Rogers, 2005) until the directional behavioral tendency
became evolutionarily stable (Ghirlanda & Vallortigara, 2004).
For example, African hunting dogs move together and hunt
in coordinated groups to overpower large prey (Courchamp,
Rasmussen, & Macdonald, 2002). These dogs exhibit an evo-
lutionarily embedded tendency to move in synchronized ways
while they close in on their prey, thereby reducing the effort
required for coordinating their actions and increasing their
likelihood of success.
Humans, like other animals, routinely respond to stimuli in
their environment and calibrate their responses to attain posi-
tive outcomes. However, incorporating relevant situational
cues into one’s actions and decisions requires time and
cognitive resources (Bargh & Ferguson, 2000; Schneider &
Chein, 2003). For example, much guidance is needed to
Corresponding Author:
Marieke Roskes, Department of Psychology, University of Amsterdam,
Weesperplein 4, 1018 XA Amsterdam, The Netherlands
E-mail: m.roskes@uva.nl
The Right Side? Under Time Pressure,
Approach Motivation Leads to
Right-Oriented Bias
Marieke Roskes, Daniel Sligte, Shaul Shalvi, and
Carsten K. W. De Dreu
University of Amsterdam
Abstract
Approach motivation, a focus on achieving positive outcomes, is related to relative left-hemispheric brain activation, which
translates to a variety of right-oriented behavioral biases. In two studies, we found that approach-motivated individuals display
a right-oriented bias, but only when they are forced to act quickly. In a task in which they had to divide lines into two equal
parts, approach-motivated individuals bisected the line at a point farther to the right than avoidance-motivated individuals did,
but only when they worked under high time pressure. In our analysis of all Fédération Internationale de Football Association
(FIFA) World Cup penalty shoot-outs, we found that goalkeepers were two times more likely to dive to the right than to the left
when their team was behind, a situation that we conjecture induces approach motivation. Because penalty takers shot toward
the two sides of the goal equally often, the goalkeepers’ right-oriented bias was dysfunctional, allowing more goals to be scored.
Directional biases may facilitate group coordination but prove maladaptive in individual settings and interpersonal competition.
Keywords
right-oriented bias, approach, avoidance, motivation, line bisection, evolution theory, soccer, football, goalkeepers, evolutionary
psychology, brain
Received 2/21/11; Revision accepted 6/26/11
Research Report
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1404 Roskes et al.
overcome the automatic tendency to think in stereotypical
ways (Sassenberg & Moskowitz, 2005; Stewart & Payne,
2008). When time pressure increases and swift action is
required, individuals become exceedingly likely to act on their
initial automatic impulses (Gray, 2001; Tomarken & Keener,
1998). Focusing on situations in which accurate responses to
stimuli are required, we predicted that the right-oriented bias
under approach motivation is especially pronounced when
people have to act quickly and do not have time to calibrate
their behavior. We tested this hypothesis in two ways. In an
experiment, we found that approach-motivated humans
showed a right-oriented bias, but only when they had to act
quickly. Using archival data from the Fédération Internatio-
nale de Football Association (FIFA) World Cup, we replicated
this finding. We found that goalkeepers whose team was
behind, and whose role in regaining their team’s chance of
winning the game was thus crucial, were two times more
likely to dive to the right than to the left when the opposing
team shot toward the goal.
Experimental Evidence
In our experiment, we manipulated the motivation of partici-
pants (approach motivation vs. avoidance motivation) and
asked them to accurately divide lines into two equal parts under
either high or low time pressure. We predicted that participants
in the approach-motivation condition would demonstrate a
relative right-oriented bias, but only under high time pressure.
Method
Thirty-eight students (10 men, 28 women; mean age = 21.34
years, SD = 4.36) participated in return for €2.50. They were
randomly assigned to the conditions of a 2 (motivation:
approach vs. avoidance) × 2 (time pressure: high vs. low)
between-subjects design. Participants were asked to look at a
maze in which a cartoon mouse was depicted as either trying
to find a piece of cheese at the end of the maze (approach con-
dition) or trying to escape from an owl that was hovering over
the maze (avoidance condition). They were asked to write a
vivid story from the perspective of the mouse. In the approach
condition, they were instructed to write about “the happiest
day in the life of the mouse” by imagining the mouse getting
closer to the cheese, finding it, and eventually eating it. In the
avoidance condition, they were instructed to write about “the
terrible death of the mouse” by imagining the mouse attempt-
ing to escape the owl and eventually being caught, killed, and
eaten (Friedman & Förster, 2005).
After writing their story, participants completed a line-
bisection task in which they were presented with eight 14-cm
lines that appeared one at a time in different locations on a
computer screen for either 4,000 ms (low-time-pressure con-
dition) or 1,500 ms (high-time-pressure condition); the inter-
stimulus interval was 1,000 ms. Participants were instructed to
divide each line into two equal parts by clicking on it at the
appropriate location and to be as accurate as possible. The
line-bisection task is typically presented as a paper-and-pencil
task in which, after bisecting each line, participants can
directly move on to the next line, finishing the task rather
quickly. The computerized version in our experiment allowed
us to precisely manipulate the time frame for dividing each
line. The 4,000 ms per line allotted to participants in the low-
time-pressure condition gave them ample opportunity to over-
ride automatic behavioral inclinations. Therefore, we expected
to replicate past findings concerning the right-oriented bias of
approach-motivated individuals in the high-time-pressure, but
not the low-time-pressure, condition.
A pilot test of the line-bisection task (N = 18) verified that
participants under low time pressure took more time to bisect
lines (M = 2.19 s, SD = 0.66) than did participants under high
time pressure (M = 1.12, SD = 0.13), t(16) = −4.71, p < .001.
To verify that participants in the two time-pressure condi-
tions of our main experiment were similarly motivated to
perform the task well, we asked participants to indicate their
agreement with two statements: “It was important for me to
do the line-bisection task well” and “I tried to be as accurate
as possible.” Responses were made on 7-point scales (1 =
strongly disagree, 7 = strongly agree; α = .94) and were aver-
aged to form an index of motivation. As expected, partici-
pants in the low- and high-time-pressure conditions were
similarly highly motivated to perform well (low time pres-
sure: M = 6.11, SD = 1.05; high time pressure: M = 6.11,
SD = 0.70), t(16) = 0.00 , p = 1.00. This finding was impor-
tant because our focus was on situations in which people who
are motivated to respond accurately to a stimulus either do or
do not have sufficient time to adjust their behavior by over-
riding automatic biases.
Results
Deviations from the lines’ true midpoints were measured in
pixels and averaged across the eight lines to create an overall
bisection error index; positive values indicate a right-oriented
bias (a rightward deviation from the midpoint). Greater posi-
tive deviations signify greater relative left-hemispheric activa-
tion. On average, people who read from left to right bisect lines
left of their actual centers1; we therefore assessed participants’
right-oriented bias in relative rather than absolute terms
(Friedman & Förster, 2005; Nash et al., 2010). As predicted, a 2
(motivation: approach vs. avoidance) × 2 (time pressure: high
vs. low) analysis of variance predicting bisection deviations
revealed a significant interaction effect, F(1, 34) = 4.136, p = .05,
ηp
2 = .11 (see Fig. 1). A simple-effects analysis showed that
under high time pressure, approach-motivated participants made
more right-oriented judgments (M = 2.61, SD = 2.37) than did
avoidance-motivated participants (M = −5.62, SD = 2.62), F(1,
37) = 5.77, p = .02. No effect of motivational orientation was
found in the low-time-pressure condition, F(1, 37) = 0.35, p = .56.2
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Approach Motivation Leads to Right-Oriented Bias 1405
Archival Evidence: Goalkeepers Dive Right
Our experiment supported the hypothesis that approach-
motivated individuals demonstrate a stronger right-oriented
bias than avoidance-motivated individuals do, but only when
they have to act quickly and cannot override their automatic
behavioral tendencies. To substantiate these experimental
findings, we analyzed the diving behavior of soccer goalkeep-
ers during penalty shoot-outs. During penalty shoot-outs,
goalkeepers are motivated to accurately respond to the ball
being shot toward them by diving to the left, diving to the
right, or standing still (the last strategy is rarely used; Bar-Eli,
Azar, Ritov, Keidar-Levin, & Schein, 2007).
Goalkeepers seek clues (e.g., the movements of penalty
takers’ kicking leg and trunk and the position of penalty takers’
hips) regarding the direction toward which the ball will be shot
(Tyldesley, Bootsma, & Bomhoff, 1982; Williams & Burwitz,
1993), but the fast-moving stimulus gives goalkeepers little
time to react (balls shot toward the goal reach speeds of more
than 80 km/hr). However, as German goalkeeper and World
Cup finalist Oliver Kahn explained,
You can read a lot from the body language of the shooter
and where he will be shooting. It is a psychological
game between the goalkeeper and the taker. It has a lot
to do with eye contact and body language. (quoted in
“Goalkeepers Give Shoot-Out Tips,” 2010, para. 4)
Indeed, goalkeepers dive in the correct direction more often
than would be predicted if the direction of their diving were
random (Savelsberg, Van der Kamp, Williams, & Ward, 2005).
They must respond without having much time to calibrate
their response (Bar-Eli et al., 2007), and such speed would
increase the likelihood of their automatic behavioral tenden-
cies taking effect (Schneider & Chein, 2003).
To test our prediction that approach-motivated goalkeepers
would display a right-oriented diving bias, we analyzed data
from all penalty shoot-outs in the history of the FIFA World
Cup. The World Cup is the most widely viewed sporting event
in the world, with revenues exceeding a billion dollars (FIFA,
2010), and winning this competition has far-reaching conse-
quences. Tied knockout-stage matches in the World Cup are
decided by penalty shoot-outs. Five players from each team
alternate in shooting penalties from a distance of 11 m toward
a 7.32-m × 2.44-m goal defended by the other team’s goal-
keeper. If the ball successfully makes it into the goal, the goal
is considered scored; if the goalkeeper intercepts the ball, the
goal is considered saved; if the ball misses the goal completely,
it is considered off target. When the shot is saved or off target,
no point is awarded to the penalty taker’s team. If the score
remains tied, the teams continue to take penalty shots until a
winner is determined.
Because failures to score are rare (71% of World Cup shoot-
out penalties have been scored), humiliating, and generally con-
sidered avoidable, penalty takers focus on not missing more
than they do on scoring. Because penalty takers are avoidance
motivated and have time to strategize about the penalty shot, we
did not expect them to display a right-oriented bias. In contrast,
because a successful defense of the goal has heroic connotations
and is a relatively rare event in World Cup penalty shoot-outs
(only 20% of penalty shots have been successfully saved), goal-
keepers focus on the positive outcome of saving more than they
do on the consequences of failing. As American goalkeeper
Brad Friedel suggested, “I think of penalty kicks as no-lose situ-
ations for a goalkeeper. All the pressure is on the field player,
who is supposed to score” (quoted in Benjamin, 2003, para. 1).
Oliver Kahn explained: “Kickers are the ones that can lose in a
penalty shoot-out; goalkeepers are the ones that can win and
ultimately become the heroes” (quoted in “Goalkeepers Give
Shoot-Out Tips,” 2010, para. 25). This approach motivation
should be even stronger for goalkeepers whose team is behind
and whose role in regaining the possibility to win the game is
crucial (i.e., when a penalty taker from the goalkeeper’s team
has missed a previous penalty; in World Cup history, this situa-
tion applies to 12% of all penalties). Because goalkeepers are
focused on successfully accomplishing their task and have to
respond in a split second, we hypothesized that they should dis-
play a right-oriented bias (i.e., they should dive right) when
their team is behind and their approach motivation is therefore
strong.
Method
We retrieved data for FIFA World Cup matches that ended in
penalty shoot-outs from the FIFA Web site (FIFA, 2011). All
penalties in World Cup shoot-outs (from the first, between
West Germany and France in 1982, to the most recent, between
Uruguay and Ghana in 2010) were coded by three independent
coders for the direction of the penalty taker’s shot (left, mid-
dle, or right), the direction in which the goalkeeper dove (left,
–6
–5
–4
–3
–2
–1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
Deviation (pixels)
Time Pressure
Avoidance Motivation
Approach Motivation
HighLow
Fig. 1. Results from the line-bisection task: average deviation from the
center of the line as a function of time pressure and motivation. Negative
numbers indicate left-oriented deviations, and positive numbers indicate
right-oriented deviations.
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1406 Roskes et al.
middle, or right), the score from the goalkeeper’s team’s per-
spective (behind, tied, or ahead), and the outcome of the pen-
alty (score, save, or off-target shot). Coders agreed on 95% of
the cases. Agreement concerning the remaining 5% was
reached by discussion following repeated viewing of those
penalties. In total, 204 penalty shots were used to settle 22
matches; 71% (144) of these penalty shots were scored, 20%
(41) were saved, and 9% (19) were off target (for data for all
penalty shoot-outs, see the Supplemental Material available
online).
Results
As predicted, goalkeepers were more likely to dive to the right
(71%) than to the left (29%) when their team was behind, χ2(1,
N = 24) = 4.17, p = .04, but not when their team was ahead
(right: 48%; left: 51%; χ2 < 1, n.s.) or when the game was tied
(right: 49%; left: 48%; χ2 < 1, n.s.; see Fig. 2). As expected,
penalty takers did not show a right-oriented bias: They shot to
the right and to the left to similar extents whether their team
was behind, ahead, or tied (all χ2s < 1, n.s.; see Fig. 2). Because
penalty takers shot equally to the right and to the left, whereas
goalkeepers dove more than twice as often to the right as to the
left when their team was behind, goalkeepers were almost 3
times less likely to save the shot when their team was behind
(2 of 24 shots saved; 8%) than when their team was not behind
(39 of 180 shots saved; 22%). In situations in which the goal-
keeper’s team was behind, this tendency translated to 90%
(18/20) of on-target shots being scored; in contrast, 79% of
penalty shots were scored (71/90) when the game was tied,
and 73% (55/75) were scored when the goalkeeper’s team was
ahead.
Discussion
A vast body of research has linked approach motivation to
left-hemispheric brain activation (see Davidson, Jackson, &
Kalin, 2000), and a wide range of right-oriented behavioral
biases have been documented among animals (Vallortigara &
Rogers, 2005) and, to a lesser extent, among humans (e.g.,
Güntürkün, 2003). Our analyses of experimental and archival
data reveal that humans are subject to this right-oriented bias
when quick action is required and automatic tendencies pre-
vail over calibrated responses. Our experiment showed that
when approach-motivated individuals act without time pres-
sure, they no longer demonstrate a right-oriented bias. This
finding suggests that having sufficient time to adjust behavior
may reduce or even eliminate habituated behavioral biases.
Our investigation contributes to the discussion of the evo-
lutionary development and social functions of brain lateraliza-
tion. Directionality of behavioral biases presumably evolved
because it facilitates synchronized group behavior. Our archi-
val analysis shows that in situations that do not require group
coordination, goalkeepers rely on their habituated rightward
bias, even when this tendency is dysfunctional. Preparing for
personally relevant approach-related action strengthens left-
hemispheric brain activity (Harmon-Jones, Lueck, Fearn, &
Harmon-Jones, 2006). People may therefore be especially
prone to this directional bias in important situations that
require them to act. Ironically, overriding automatic behav-
ioral tendencies may seem most difficult when overriding such
tendencies matters most, and this difficulty can benefit (and
enable exploitation by) opponents, such as predators or pen-
alty takers in soccer matches.
The prevalence of seemingly dysfunctional directional biases
in individual settings suggests that the human brain may be
wired for group coordination and for preparing people to cooper-
ate rather than to compete (Dawkins, 1976; Vallortigara &
Rogers, 2005). Brain asymmetries, including a right-oriented
bias, may be functional for group coordination, but acting in
accordance with such automatic tendencies may backfire in
competitive situations in which group coordination is not needed.
Acknowledgments
Marieke Roskes, Daniel Sligte, and Shaul Shalvi contributed equally
to this research.
Declaration of Conflicting Interests
The authors declared that they had no conflicts of interest with
respect to their authorship or the publication of this article.
Funding
This research was supported by Grant NWO-400-06-098 from the
Netherlands Organization for Scientific Research to Carsten K. W.
De Dreu and Bernard Nijstad.
Supplemental Material
Additional supporting information may be found at http://pss.sagepub
.com/content/by/supplemental-data
Notes
1. In countries where people read from left to right, people tend
to display a leftward bias on the line-bisection task, whereas in
54%
51%
46%
48%
51%
29%
38%8%
1%
11%
3%
6%
48%
43%
49%
43%
71%
Shot
Dive
Shot
Dive
Shot
Dive
AheadTie Behind
Left Middle Right
Fig. 2. Percentage of goalkeepers’ dives and penalty takers’ shots that were
to the left, middle, and right as a function of whether the goalkeeper’s team
was behind, tied with, or ahead of the penalty taker’s team.
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Approach Motivation Leads to Right-Oriented Bias 1407
countries where people read from right to left, people tend to display
a rightward bias (Jewell & McCourt, 2000).
2. These results were not qualified by participants’ handedness (24%
of participants in our sample were left-handed). Past research sug-
gests that handedness and directionality of brain lateralization are
independent factors (e.g., Hopkins & Bennett, 1994; Rogers, 2009).
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... Penalty shootouts have also been used to study the right-oriented bias (Roskes et al., 2011). Research shows that approach motivation (i.e., a focus on achieving positive outcomes) is related to relative left-hemispheric brain activation (Vallortigara & Rogers, 2005), which translates into a variety of right-oriented behavioural biases (Friedman & Förster, 2005;Güntürkün, 2003). ...
... Using data from the Federation Internationale de Football Association (FIFA) World Cup penalty shootouts, Roskes et al. (2011) found that soccer goalkeepers whose teams are behind, and therefore are approach-motivated, tended to dive to the right more often than to the left (71% compared to 29%, respectively), and were almost three times less successful in saving the shotssuggesting that goalies' behaviour was dysfunctional. This strong tendency of the goalkeepers to dive right was not detected when their team was ahead (right: 48%; left: 51%), or when the penalty shootout was tied (right: 49%; left: 48%). 1 However, Price and Wolfers (2014) and Avugos et al. (2020) have challenged the conclusion of Roskes et al. (2011), using alternative coding on a new and larger sample of penalty kicks. ...
... Using data from the Federation Internationale de Football Association (FIFA) World Cup penalty shootouts, Roskes et al. (2011) found that soccer goalkeepers whose teams are behind, and therefore are approach-motivated, tended to dive to the right more often than to the left (71% compared to 29%, respectively), and were almost three times less successful in saving the shotssuggesting that goalies' behaviour was dysfunctional. This strong tendency of the goalkeepers to dive right was not detected when their team was ahead (right: 48%; left: 51%), or when the penalty shootout was tied (right: 49%; left: 48%). 1 However, Price and Wolfers (2014) and Avugos et al. (2020) have challenged the conclusion of Roskes et al. (2011), using alternative coding on a new and larger sample of penalty kicks. These studies suggest that diving more to right is a rational strategic decision of the goalies, given the behaviour of the kickers to shoot more often to the right. ...
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There is plenty of research on penalty kicking in men's soccer, with a focus on either the goalkeeper or the penalty taker. Yet women's soccer and their playing behaviour are under-represented in research. The current study was designed to examine gender differences in the choice patterns of expert kickers and goalkeepers during penalty shooting in relation to the previously documented right-oriented bias. Using videos of penalties from shootouts at the highest level of men's and women's international soccer, we recorded the goalkeeper's dive direction and accurately measured the location of the ball as it crossed the goal line. We created a map of all kicks and their outcomes (goal, no goal, off-target). Our mapping procedure allowed us to use alternative definitions for the goal centre width and to extract the corresponding kick distribution between right, centre and left. In addition to analysing the potential right-oriented bias in women goalies’ behaviour, we also analysed the joint distribution of kickers’ and goalkeepers’ choices for each score situation (behind, tied, or ahead). Our findings indicate that the goalkeepers’ general tendency was to dive more often to the right, while the kickers’ tendency was to shoot to the right of the goalies. Moreover, this latter tendency of kicking to the goalies’ right was found to be stronger among the female kickers. Finally, our analysis refutes the claim that goalkeepers exhibit a detrimental right-oriented bias, with this conclusion being even stronger among female goalies.
... In soccer, the penalty kick situation has been studied due to its clear and constant characteristics and relative simplicity (the same location of the ball in all penalties, no need to consider the exact location of 22 players, etc.). Within the discussion on goalkeepers' suboptimal behavior during penalty kicks (e.g., Bar-Eli et al., 2007;Roskes et al., 2011;Memmert et al., 2013), a recent study by Misirlisoy and Haggard (2014) reported that goalkeepers display a clear sequential bias. Following repeated kicks in the same direction, goalkeepers subject to the gambler's fallacy became increasingly likely to dive in the opposite direction on the next kick. ...
... This fact could be particularly problematic, as behavior after a series of successive shots in the same direction can be observed only towards the end of the shootout when often the best penalty shooters line up (Jordet et al., 2007). Recent studies have pointed to additional factors that might affect penalty shootout scores, such as kicking order (first versus second kicking team in the shootout; Apesteguia & Palacios-Huerta, 2010), and the difference between the two teams' scores immediately before each kick (Price & Wolfers, 2014;Roskes et al., 2011). ...
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Previous research has reported that the gambler’s fallacy could be detected in goalkeepers’ behavior during penalty shootouts. Following repeated kicks in the same direction, goalkeepers were more likely to dive in the opposite direction on the next kick. We employ here a unique data collection approach and accurately measure the exact location of each ball when crossing the goal plane. This allows us to analyze how different definitions of the goal center width affect the results, and we show that this width indeed affects whether a gambler’s fallacy in goalkeepers’ diving behavior exists. We further augment the data with additional kicks from top international competitions and analyze the extended dataset. We also question whether previous treatments of kicking sequences adequately represent what goalkeepers consider as a run of consecutive kicks to the same side. A different representation of kicking sequences is provided and applied to the data. Overall, we find some evidence for the gambler’s fallacy after sequences of two or three kicks to the same side.
... While some of these studies examined whether goalkeepers or penalty takers tended towards certain directions, others examined the psychological factors while taking the penalty kick. Roskes et al. 1 examined the penalty shootouts in the 1982-2010 FIFA World Cup. According to the 204 penalty kicks taken in 22 games, it was found that goalkeepers dived to their rights with a rate of 71% if their team was behind, with a rate of 48% if their team was ahead, and with a rate of 49% if the score was tied. ...
... In studies conducted in literature, it was found that when compared with the penalties used in elimination tournaments such as World Cup or European Championship, goalkeepers or players did not prefer specific directions for the penalty. For example, in their study, Roskes et al. (2011) found that goalkeepers were more likely to dive to the right (71%) than to the left (29%) when their team was behind; in our study, this rate was 49%. Similarly, in the study, while the rate of diving right was 49% and the rate of diving left was 48% when the game was a draw, these rates were found as 50,5%-46,6% in our study. ...
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Background: A penalty kick in football is one of the most important rules that directly affect the score of the match. Penalty kicks have always been the focus of attention in terms of both the result and the shot. Aim: The aim of this study is to determine whether the one who takes the penalty or saves the penalty is more effective and to determine whether the players who use the penalty show a tendency in a certain direction. Methods: In this study, a detailed analysis of penalty shootouts with the 10-year data of the Turkish Super League was made. SPSS.22 package program was used in statistical analyses. Analyses of penalty kicks were compared with the Chi-square test and the level of significance was taken as 0,05 in all tests. Results: According to the results of the analysis, goalkeepers guessed correctly 46% of the direction where the ball passed in all penalties (r=0.74; p=0.000). 52% of left-footed penalty takers shot to the left, and 46.9% of right-footed penalty takers to the right. There was no statistical difference between the direction where the ball was thrown, and the foot used by the penalty kicker (p>0.05). Conclusion: In the analysis made with 10-year data, it has been determined that the players do not tend to a certain direction when using penalties. Keywords: Penalty kick; football; penalty zone; Turkish Super League; penalty direction
... In line with Study I these data showed a small tendency for kickers to shoot the ball to the left goal side more often than the right goal side. This leftward tendency conforms to earlier analyses of elite football competitions in which kickers were also found to direct their penalty shots more often to the left than right goal side (Bar-Eli & Azar, 2009;Price & Wolfers, 2014;Roskes et al., 2011). However, as mirrored in the wide credible intervals obtained in the present analysis, and as reported by others (e.g., Avugos et al., 2020), this tendency for kickers to shoot the ball to the left was highly variable and may have sometimes crossed over to become rightward. ...
... Study II built on Study I by examining the influence of the goalkeeper's and kicker's positions on the kicker's goal side selection in actual world cup shootouts. In line with earlier studies (Bar-Eli & Azar, 2009;Price & Wolfers, 2014;Roskes et al., 2011), Study II revealed a tendency for kickers to start their runup to the ball from their left and showed a slight, but highly variable, tendency for kickers to shoot the ball to the left goal side. In terms of the biomechanics of kicking, most soccer players find it easier to use the inside of their left or right dominant foot to kick the ball to their right or left, respectively (Chiappori et al., 2002;Palacios-Huerta, 2003). ...
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Penalty kicks in soccer provide a unique scenario in which to examine human choice behavior under competitive conditions. Here, we report two studies examining the tendency for soccer kickers to select the goal side with the largest area to the left or right of the goalkeeper’s veridical midline, when the goalkeeper stands marginally off-center. In Study I participants viewed realistic images of a soccer goal and goalkeeper with instructions to choose the left or right side of the goalmouth to best score a goal. We systematically displaced the goalkeeper’s position along the goal line; and, to simulate changes in the kicker’s viewing position, we systematically displaced the lateral position of the goalmouth in each image. While, overall, participants tended to choose the left over the right goal side, this preference was modulated by the goalkeeper’s position relative to the center of the goal and jointly on the lateral position of the goalmouth relative to the participants’ body midline. In Study II we analyzed 100 penalty shots from men’s world cup shoot-outs between the years 1982 to 2018. Again, we found a small tendency for kickers to aim the ball to the left goal side, but with barely any modulating effect of changes in the goalkeeper’s position and no effect of changes in the kicker’s position. In contrast to earlier claims that a goalkeeper may benefit by standing marginally to the left or right of the center of the goal to influence the direction of the kicker’s shot, our findings suggest that this is probably not a good strategy in elite football competitions.
... In addition, time pressure can further increase the chance of a cognitive bias [e.g. (Roskes et al., 2011) and (Eidelman & Crandall, 2012)]. In sum, human decisionmaking mechanisms appear to be deficient in many military circumstances given a limited capacity to process all potentially relevant data and a limited amount of time. ...
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The ongoing debate on the ethics of using artificial intelligence (AI) in military contexts has been negatively impacted by the predominant focus on the use of lethal autonomous weapon systems (LAWS) in war. However, AI technologies have a considerably broader scope and present opportunities for decision support optimization across the entire spectrum of the military decision-making process (MDMP). These opportunities cannot be ignored. Instead of mainly focusing on the risks of the use of AI in target engagement, the debate about responsible AI should (i) concern each step in the MDMP, and (ii) take ethical considerations and enhanced performance in military operations into account. A characterization of the debate on responsible AI in the military, considering both machine and human weaknesses and strengths, is provided in this paper. We present inroads into the improvement of the MDMP, and thus military operations, through the use of AI for decision support, taking each quadrant of this characterization into account.
... Nicholls et al. 66 identified a rightward asymmetry in collisions in operating a wheelchair and this right-side bias has been also supported by animal studies 67 . Two previous studies analyzed behavioral biases during penalty shootouts and found that when the goalkeeper's team was behind the goalkeeper dived to the right more often than to the left 68,69 . The rightward behavioral biases may share an evolutionary and adaptive mechanism with our rightward gaze perception bias induced by angry, happy, and neutral faces. ...
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Previous studies have shown that humans have a left spatial attention bias in cognition and behaviour. However, whether there exists a leftward perception bias of gaze direction has not been investigated. To address this gap, we conducted three behavioural experiments using a forced-choice gaze direction judgment task. The point of subjective equality (PSE) was employed to measure whether there was a leftward perception bias of gaze direction, and if there was, whether this bias was modulated by face emotion. The results of experiment 1 showed that the PSE of fearful faces was significantly positive as compared to zero and this effect was not found in angry, happy, and neutral faces, indicating that participants were more likely to judge the gaze direction of fearful faces as directed to their left-side space, namely a leftward perception bias. With the response keys counterbalanced between participants, experiment 2a replicated the findings in experiment 1. To further investigate whether the gaze direction perception variation was contributed by emotional or low-level features of faces, experiment 2b and 3 used inverted faces and inverted eyes, respectively. The results revealed similar leftward perception biases of gaze direction in all types of faces, indicating that gaze direction perception was biased by emotional information in faces rather than low-level facial features. Overall, our study demonstrates that there a fear-specific leftward perception bias in processing gaze direction. These findings shed new light on the cerebral lateralization in humans.
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