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Rebel victory and constitutional change

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Abstract

How do rebel regimes consolidate power while staying true to their revolutionary goals? Though some studies have found that revolutions can be efficiency-enhancing, our analysis of victorious rebellions from 1946 to 2021 and case studies from Ethiopia and Afghanistan finds that successful rebels establish constitutions that involve selective enforcement of property rights. Rebel-led constitutions tend to include provisions for private property rights that simultaneously empower the government to suspend these rights and expropriate property under broad justifications. Governance strategies post-victory include property insecurity as a tactic for maintaining political authority.
Vol.:(0123456789)
Public Choice
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11127-025-01261-w
Rebel victory andconstitutional change
SallySharif1 · IliaMurtazashvili2· JenniferBrickMurtazashvili2
Received: 29 May 2024 / Accepted: 15 January 2025
© The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, part of Springer Nature 2025
Abstract
How do rebel regimes consolidate power while staying true to their revolutionary goals?
Though some studies have found that revolutions can be efficiency-enhancing, our analysis
of victorious rebellions from 1946 to 2021 and case studies from Ethiopia and Afghani-
stan finds that successful rebels establish constitutions that involve selective enforcement
of property rights. Rebel-led constitutions tend to include provisions for private property
rights that simultaneously empower the government to suspend these rights and expropri-
ate property under broad justifications. Governance strategies post-victory include property
insecurity as a tactic for maintaining political authority.
Keywords Rebel victory· Revolution· Property rights· Constitutional change· Ethiopia·
Afghanistan
JEL Classification B52· H1· K11· N40· P26
1 Introduction
While some revolutions, such as Czechoslovakia’s Velvet Revolution, unfold peacefully,
others involve the violent overthrow of elites following protracted violent campaigns.
These events are categorized as “rebel victories” within the civil war literature. Such vic-
tories result in the fusion of military and political elites, often with former guerrilla com-
manders assuming key leadership roles (Levitsky & Way, 2022). This paper examines the
institutional outcomes of these regimes, specifically the relationship between rebel vic-
tories and the establishment of property rights frameworks. We argue that rebel regimes,
* Sally Sharif
sally.sharif@ubc.ca
Ilia Murtazashvili
ilia.murtazashvili@pitt.edu
Jennifer Brick Murtazashvili
jbrick@pitt.edu
1 University ofBritish Columbia, Vancouver, Canada
2 University ofPittsburgh, Pittsburgh, USA
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In the 20th and 21st century revolutions have become more urban, often less violent, but also more frequent and more transformative of the international order. Whether it is the revolutions against Communism in Eastern Europe and the USSR; the “color revolutions” across Asia, Europe and North Africa; or the religious revolutions in Iran, Afghanistan, and Syria; today’s revolutions are quite different from those of the past. Modern theories of revolution have therefore replaced the older class-based theories with more varied, dynamic, and contingent models of social and political change. This new edition updates the history of revolutions, from Classical Greece and Rome to the Revolution of Dignity in the Ukraine, with attention to the changing types and outcomes of revolutionary struggles. It also presents the latest advances in the theory of revolutions, including the issues of revolutionary waves, revolutionary leadership, international influences, and the likelihood of revolutions to come. This volume provides a brief but comprehensive introduction to the nature of revolutions and their role in global history.
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