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Intelligent Manufacturing, Man-Machine Matching Degree and Urban Green Total Factor Productivity

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How to break the labor gap caused by population aging has triggered an excellent concern for sustainable development in various countries. Meanwhile, Industry 4.0 is leading the world to explore the artificial intelligence field. Therefore, a deeper analysis of the effects of labor substitution of artificial intelligence on carbon emissions in the context of population aging is urgent. We constructed fixed effect, moderating effect, and panel threshold models using data from the World Federation of Robotics (IFR) and 30 Chinese provinces from 2006 to 2019 to examine the critical relationships between population aging, industrial robots, and carbon emissions. The findings of the paper are: (1) Industrial robots have a significant impact on reducing carbon emissions. (2) Population aging also leads to a decrease in carbon emissions, and industrial robots serve as a mediating factor for this effect. (3) Threshold regression shows that the inhibiting effect on carbon emissions decreases as industrial robots surpass the threshold and increases as population aging crosses the threshold. The conclusions of this paper provide countermeasures for countries and regions in the throes of population aging to achieve sustainable development; that is, seizing the opportunity of industrial robots' development is extremely imperative.
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In the era of widespread internet access, green development has also entered an era of big data. Using panel data of 282 prefecture-level cities in China from 2003 to 2019, this study adopts slacks-based measure (SBM) directional distance function and Global Malmquist-Luenberger (GML) index to calculate the green total factor productivity (GTFP) and its decomposition (i.e. technological progress, scale efficiency, and resource allocation efficiency). On this basis, econometric models are used to study the internal-structural effects of internet development on China’s urban GTFP. It is found that: (1) Internet development plays a positive role in promoting urban GTFP; (2) specifically, internet development is proven to achieve this effect simultaneously by inducing technological innovations, optimizing economic scale, and improving resource allocation efficiency. Among these, inducing technological innovations is the most important path; (3) there are distinct regional heterogeneous effects of internet development on China’s urban GTFP. Based on the above results, corresponding policy suggestions are provided.
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Factor mismatch is considered to be an important restriction on the growth of total factor productivity. Based on the panel data of 30 Chinese provinces from 2013 to 2019, this work first measures the digital economy development index of each Chinese province by using a particle swarm optimization projection pursuit model, followed by a panel econometric model, to verify the effect of the digital economy and artificial intelligence manufacturing on the labor-resource mismatch. The results show that, from 2013 to 2019, China’s digital economy generally showed a trend of steady progress, with an average annual growth rate of 12.10%. The mismatch index of the labor force dropped by 1.46% every year, and the situation of insufficient or surplus allocation of labor force resources in China was alleviated. The fitting results of the spatial econometric model show that the digital economy can reduce the labor mismatch index, and this conclusion has remained valid after a series of robustness tests. The intermediary mechanism shows that intelligent manufacturing plays a masking role in the process of alleviating labor misallocation in the digital economy. Artificial intelligence cannot alleviate labor mismatches, but it strengthens the corrective function of the digital economy.
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Aiming to seek for the key factors of urban building carbon emissions under the background of new-type urbanization, this study attempts to establish an integrated analysis framework to explore the impact of new-type urbanization on urban building carbon emissions from scale, average and structure dimensions, the carbon emission coefficient method and panel data model were adopted to analysis the panel data of 31 provinces in China from 2009 to 2020. Spatial characteristics indicate that the internal difference of urban building carbon emissions is insignificant in northwest and significant in southeast of China. The empirical results indicated that the new-type urbanization construction has reduced urban building carbon emissions, but there was still a significant carbon emission effect from the dimensions of scale, average, and structure. Industrial upgrading and urban green space have a significant positive effect on urban building carbon emissions reduction, but the added value of the tertiary industry still has a significant carbon emission effect. Additionally, urbanization rate, population density, and total population have increased urban building carbon emissions under the new-type urbanization construction. This study provides a deeper perception for the policy design of carbon emission reduction based on the background of new-type urbanization.
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Technological advancements have played a key role in improving energy efficiency and reducing emissions, and industrial robots are important carriers of intelligent manufacturing and industrial upgrading. Although various countries and regions are under pressure to reduce their carbon emissions, a consensus has not been reached on whether industrial robots can help. This study investigates how industrial robots affect carbon emissions by categorizing industry data from the International Federation of Robotics (IFR, 2010-2018) into city-level variables. The empirical finding revealed that cities' carbon emissions have been significantly reduced by the application of industrial robots. By using the penetration of robots in Chinese cities as an instrumental variable constructed through the combination of employment level and robot imports, the beneficial role of robots is further verified by a plausibly exogenous test. The mechanism analysis revealed that industrial robots contribute to cities' decarbonization by enhancing energy efficiency and green technology efficiency. The heterogeneity analysis showed that the effect of industrial robots on decarbonization is more pronounced in megacities, advanced manufacturing bases, and low-carbon pilot cities. This study empirically confirms the positive role of industrial robots in carbon emission reduction, provides evidence for industrial robots' technical characteristics of decarbonization, and proposes novel ideas for achieving net-zero carbon emissions.
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Green total factor productivity (GTFP) growth is an essential route to realize the target of carbon peak and carbon neutrality. Chinese government has implemented several environmental regulations (ER) to accelerate GTFP growth. However, the influencing path of ER on China’s GTFP growth is still puzzled. This paper based on Porter’s and the Compliant Hypotheses, employs super-efficiency Epsilon-based measure (EBM) model and Malmquist-Lunberger (ML) index under meta-frontier to estimate the provincial GTFP growth from 1998 to 2018. A Systematic Generalized Method of Moments (SYS-GMM) model was applied to probe the nexus between ER and GTFP growth from the perspective of industrial structure upgrading and technological innovation. The results reveal that the average ML index is 0.955, while efficiency change (EC) and technology change (TC) index are 1.003 and 0.953. The Porter’s hypothesis was confirmed refuting the Compliance Cost Hypothesis. Environmental regulation directly promotes China’s GTFP growth. ER can also facilitate industrial structure rationalization (ISR) and industrial structure advancement (ISA), which further promote China’s GTFP growth. Green technological innovation (GTI) and production technological innovation (PTI) mediates between ER and GTFP growth in China. Hence, the Chinese government should strengthen the ER for industrial structure upgrading, technological innovation, and GTFP growth in China.
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Promoting coordinated industrialization and environmental development is an objective set forth by the United Nations for Sustainable Development and shared by different nations worldwide. Environmental regulation (ER), green finance (GF), and increased investment in green technologies (IGT) are major initiatives in this regard. These fields have become prominent in achieving green development and climate recovery objectives. Several factors affecting green productivity growth have been analyzed in the literature; nevertheless, quantitative studies focusing on ER, GF, IGT, and green productivity are scarce. This research investigates the role of ER, GF, foreign direct investment (FDI), and IGT on GTFP in 27 Chinese provinces from 2010 to 2021. The findings reveal that strict ER significantly increases green productivity in China with a 1.826 beta value. In addition, other factors such as GF, FDI, and IGT contribute substantially to green manufacturing. This study is one of the first to integrate ER, GF, FDI, and IGT into a coherent framework of green productivity and considers the negative yield in GTFP as ignored in the previous ones. Based on empirical findings, policy implications for environmental planning in China are made.
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Cities are both the primary cause of global climate change and the key to the mitigation agenda. China's unprecedented urbanization has paralleled a growth in energy demand and urban areas have emerged as the crux of CO2 emissions reduction in China. There is a crucial need for policymakers to understand how CO2 emissions scale with city size and adopt economies of scale (cost savings) for mitigation, particularly through a multidimensional lens of city size. This study reveals a set of scaling relations between urban scope 1 CO2 emissions and five dimensions of city size in 340 Chinese cities, including population (POP), built-up area (BA), building height (BH), specific built-up area (SBA), and built-up volume (BV). The findings show that CO2 emissions in Chinese cities scale linearly with POP and BA but sublinearly with BA, SBA, and BV, and more diverse regimes exist across various geographic zones, population hierarchies, administrative hierarchies, and governance contexts. The prevalent sublinear scaling regime between CO2 emissions and SBA and BV demonstrates the potential importance of optimizing the vertical built-up landscapes for establishing a zero‑carbon society. Furthermore, the top 10 % and bottom 10 % performance of individual cities in emissions identified by the Scale-Adjusted Metropolitan Indicator (SAMI) (the smaller the better) highlights the imprints of the socioeconomic context (e.g., Low Carbon City Initiative) on the scaling of CO2 emissions in Chinese cities, which is critical for developing decarbonization strategies. Our multidimensional analysis can assist in the local-tailored low-carbon development of Chinese cities.
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As one of the most important economic regions in China, the improvement of green total-factor productivity (GTFP) in Yangtze River economic belt has vital significance for economic transformation in China. Using 109 cities’ panel data from 2004-2018, slacks-based global data envelopment analysis was first applied to construct GTFP. On the basis, dynamic GMM and mediation effect models were used to investigate the role of internet development on GTFP. The empirical results illustrated that GTFP lacked endogenous driving force. However, internet development not only has significant direct positive effect on GTFP, but also indirectly promote GTFP through technology innovation and industrial structure upgrade. And the mediation variables also have two-way positive impacts on internet development. After accounting robustness test, the empirical conclusions were still valid. Based on the analysis, our study provided scientific and reasonable policies to improve GTFP in Yangtze River economic belt.
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The growing penetration of digitalization has caused profound changes in economy and energy, and then may affect green total factor productivity (GTFP). This study uses the World Input-Output Database (WIOD) to verify the impact and mechanism of input digitalization on green total factor productivity under the constraint of carbon emissions (low-carbon GTFP). The results indicate that input digitalization significantly improves low-carbon GTFP. Heterogeneity analysis demonstrates that input digitalization has a greater positive effect on low-carbon GTFP in middle-income countries than high-income ones. Input digitalization has a positive effect on low-carbon GTFP in manufacturing and service industry, with no significant effect in agriculture. The relationship for samples after the 2008 financial crisis is consistent with benchmark results while it is not for samples before 2008. Moreover, mechanism analysis shows that the impact of input digitalization on low-carbon GTFP works through two channels: energy efficiency and labor productivity. Further, from the perspective of “dual circulation”, the “localization” tendency of input digitalization under the domestic circulation and the “globalization” tendency of input digitalization under the international circulation can significantly improve low-carbon GTFP. This study provides empirical evidence and decision-making basis for promoting input digitalization as well as the green and high-quality economic development.
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Improving green total factor productivity (GTFP) is an important way to promote high-quality economic development. The “innovation dividend” based on green innovation is the key to enhancing green TFP. In this study, the effect of green innovation on GTFP in cities was empirically investigated. The results show that: (1) after including year and city-fixed effects and clustering over time and individuals, green innovation has a significant positive effect on GTFP. Financial development, population density, and environmental regulation correlate significantly negatively with GTFP, whereas urbanization promotes GTFP; (2) the effect of green innovation is more pronounced in the eastern region. The effect of green innovation on GTFP is more significant in non-resource-based cities or cities with higher levels of economic development or more government intervention; (3) the effect of green innovation on GTFP may be affected by the upgrading of industrial structure and innovation factor agglomeration. Cities where GTFP increases first have a first-mover advantage. After adding spatial factors to the model, a notable “positive spillover effect” of GTFP improvement can be observed in neighboring cities.
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In the context of the outbreak of the COVID‐19 pandemic and China's “digital power” strategy, the realization of a green shift of manufacturing has become a necessary condition to promote the economy, and the digital factor has increasingly become a new driving force. The DEA‐Malmquist index and entropy method were used to measure the manufacturing green total factor productivity (GTFP) and the level of digital economy level from 2011 to 2018, respectively. This study then explored the impact of digital economy on manufacturing GTFP based on the system generalized method of moments (GMM) model, as well as the adjustment effects of talent aggregation and financial scale according to the moderating model. This research came to four conclusions. (1) The digital economy can significantly improve the manufacturing GTFP of China, and the influence shows the characteristic of a “marginal increase”; (2) notably, the perspective of manufacturing GTFP decomposition indicates that the digital economy exerts a significant positive effect on manufacturing technical efficiency during the current period but obviously hinders technical progress; (3) interestingly, a mechanistic test showed that the two dimensions of innovation environment—talent aggregation (0.385) and financial scale (0.359)—play critical moderating roles in the influencing process; and (4) the influence has evident regional heterogeneity—it is significantly positive in the east and negative in the central region and west. Finally, corresponding policy suggestions are suggested.
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Manufacturing green technology innovation is important in achieving climate goals and is the key in promoting sustainable economic development. Using the industrial robot data and manufacturing green technology innovation data from 34 countries from 1993 to 2019, this paper reveals the mechanism and heterogeneity of the application of industrial robots (IRA) affecting green technology innovation (GTI) in the global manufacturing sector. The results indicate the following: (1) The IRA significantly promotes GTI, and the endogenous and robustness tests show that the results are robust. (2) The IRA promotes GTI with a dual-channel mechanism—the mediating effect of green R&D investment and the moderating effect of environmental regulation. (3) There is two-dimensional heterogeneity in terms of the application industries and regions in terms of the green technology innovation effects of industrial robot applications. (4) In addition, the implementation of Industry 4.0 is in favor of the stimulating effects of industrial robots on green technology innovation. Finally, valuable policy advices are proposed based on the empirical results.
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The new industrial revolution featuring artificial intelligence (AI) as its core is flourishing globally. However, there are many controversies surrounding the impact of AI on productivity owing to the different understandings of its development. Thus, this study adopts a text mining method to construct indicators for measuring the intelligent development of enterprises based on the information obtained from the annual reports of listed Chinese manufacturing companies from 2009 to 2019. To explore the impact of intelligent development on the total factor productivity (TFP) of enterprises, fixed-effect regression and panel threshold models are employed to empirically prove its overall and threshold effects. The result reveals that the impact of intelligent development on TFP of enterprises is significantly positive at the aggregate level. Regarding the stage characteristics, “Solow’s paradox” exists in the development of intelligence. The effect of intelligence development on TFP is not significant at its early stage; moreover, the rapid development of intelligence exerts a “promotion effect.” However, at the extreme stage (when intelligent development crosses the critical value), it exerts a negative effect on the TFP of enterprises.
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Purpose Intelligent manufacturing has attracted extensive attention from national strategy, academic research and enterprises' practices. The purpose of this study is to investigate the influence of intelligent manufacturing on performance in manufacturing firms. Moreover, how intelligent manufacturing technology affects enterprise performance, this study provided a practice that can be replicated by other businesses. Design/methodology/approach This study uses text mining to collect the intelligence level of Chinese listed companies. It uses quantitative analysis to test the proposed model based on samples of 2,091 manufacturers. Findings Intelligent manufacturing has positive effect on short-term performance and long-term performance. Intelligent manufacturing can empower firms with ambidextrous capabilities, including exploit capability and explore capability. Exploit capability has positive effects on short-term performance and long-term performance. Explore capability has negative effects on short-term performance, but has positive effects on long-term performance. Originality/value On the theoretical side, it enriches the research framework between intelligent manufacturing and enterprise performance. This study explains the preconditions and results of ambidextrous capabilities. Moreover, based on the practice-based view (PBV), this study proposes that technologies can be used as strategies, filling a gap in the existing research on strategic management. On the practical side, how to quantify the intelligent manufacturing level of enterprises provides a certain reference. Also, this study provides an easy to imitate practice that can serve as a model for under-performing enterprises.