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Social Policy & Administration, 2024; 0:1–13
https://doi.org/10.1111/spol.13095
1 of 13
Social Policy & Administration
ORIGINAL ARTICLE OPEN ACCESS
Understanding Path- Departing Changes in Childcare
Policy: The Influence of Self- Undermining Policy Feedback
MartinGurín
Chair for Social Structure and Sociology of Aging Societies, Faculty of Social Sciences, TU Dortmund University, Dort mund, Germany
Correspondence: Martin Gurín (martin.gurin@tu-dortmund.de)
Received: 9 February 2024 | Revised: 25 September 2024 | Accepted: 28 September 2024
Funding: The author received no specific funding for this work.
Keywords: cash- for- care| childcare| feedback| path dependency| policy change| self- undermining feedback
ABSTRACT
The debate surrounding policy feedback and policy developments has long revolved around self- reinforcing (positive) policy
feedback. Recently, the literature has been enriched by a new research agenda that highlights the role of self- undermining
(negative) policy feedback, which is also argued to significantly influence the evolution of policies. This study contributes to the
existing literature by examining changes in childcare policy, a field that has thus far primarily analysed and emphasised positive
policy feedback. By analysing the case of South Korea, we demonstrate that childcare policy is a good candidate for both positive
and negative policy feedback. Furthermore, it is the combination of these pieces of feedback that determines the evolution of
childcare policy. Additionally, this study illustrates that inadequately addressed negative feedback may lead to unforeseen policy
shifts, as exemplified in the Korean case by the introduction of the cash- for- care policy.
1 | Introduction
The reciprocal relat ionship between policies and political in stitu-
tions is a fundamental tenet of historical institutionalist thought
(Béland2010). Policies are not passive responses to political con-
ditions; rather, they actively shape the political environment,
influencing the distribution of resources, power dynamics, and
the behaviour of political actors (Lowi 1964; Moynihan and
Soss2014; Pierson1993). In other words, policies emerge from
political processes, yet they, in turn, shape the course of future
political and policy development. Scholars, such as Weir, Orloff,
and Skocpol(1988), Skocpol (1992) and Weaver(2010), further
highlight how policies, once established, reshape the organisa-
tion of the state and inf luence the goals and alliances of social
groups engaged in ongoing political struggles. And they do so
through two types of policy feedback: positive and negative.
Positive, or self- reinforcing, policy feedback occurs when a pol-
icy creates conditions that strengthen its own support over time,
rendering significant changes or reversals difficult to achieve
(Brooks and Manza2006; Pierson1993, 2004). Advocates of this
concept emphasise path dependence, indicating that past policy
decisions and institutional structures constrain current choices
and shape the trajectory of future policies. Pierson(1994) argues
that existing policies create entrenched interests and constit-
uencies that benefit from the status quo, leading to resistance
against change and mobilisation to defend vested interests. This
entrenched path makes it difficult to deviate from established
policies or initiate large- scale reforms that contradict existing
structures and interests. Consequently, policymakers often opt
for limited reforms that build upon existing policy frameworks
rather than fundamentally altering them (Pierson1993).
Negative, or self- undermining, policy feedback, on the other
hand, happens when a policy creates conditions that weaken
its own support or effectiveness over time (Jacobs and
Weaver 2015; Oberlander and Weaver 2015; Weaver 2010).
For instance, a regulation might initially address a problem
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properly cited.
© 2024 T he Author(s). Social Poli cy & Administr ation published b y John Wiley & Sons Ltd .
2 of 13 Social Policy & Administration, 2024
effectively, but over time, it could lead to unintended con-
sequences that reduce its efficacy or generate opposition
(Oberlander and Weaver2015). External shocks or changing
societal conditions may initiate processes that undermine the
viability and popularity of established policies (Weaver 1986)
and potentially lead to radical policy changes, either through
policy reorientation or rollback (Jacobs and Weaver 2015).
Weaver, along with others (e.g., Daugbjerg and Kay 2020;
Fernández and Jaime- Castillo2013; Jordan and Matt2014),
argues that self- reinforcing feedback effects represent only
one aspect of the story, with self- undermining forms of pol-
icy feedback being widespread. They contend, instead, that
it is the combination of positive and negative feedback that
determines the evolution of policy regimes. As the policy feed-
back literature tends to be biased toward positive feedback,
these scholars call for more attention to be given to negative
feedback.
While scholars across various policy fields have endeavoured
to investigate the impact of negative feedback in their respec-
tive areas (Fernández and Jaime- Castillo 2013; Jordan and
Matt2014; Millar et al.2021; Skogstad2017), those focusing on
childcare policies have yet to fully recognise the role of negative
feedback in facilitating institutional change.
The literature argues that childcare policy has undergone
profound, revolutionary changes (Bonoli2013; Ferragina and
Seeleib- Kaiser2015), with these changes being fundamental
even in countries previously considered frozen landscapes
(Ostner 2010). These changes align with Peter Hall's (1993)
concept of third- order change, which entails a paradigm shift
in policy goals and instruments. Originally, many European
countries adhered to a model of familialism by default or ex-
plicit familialism, where responsibility for childcare rested
predominantly with families, with either minimal state in-
tervention or transfer- intensive approaches (Leitner 2003;
Saraceno 2016). However, as societal values have evolved,
there has been increasing recognition of the importance of
state involvement in the provision and regulation of child-
care services (Orloff 2006; Ostner 2010). This shift toward
de- familialisation aims to support working parents, promote
gender equality, and ensure child development, marking a
fundamental reorientation in policy thinking and objectives
(Ferragina and Seeleib- Kaiser2015).
Conversely, there have also been remarkable alterations in
policy logic in the opposite direction, as shown by the dis-
mantling of childcare services in the Czech Republic after the
collapse of communism (Hašková and Saxonberg2016) and
the introduction of cash- for- care allowances in Scandinavian
countries (Eydal and Rostgaard 2011). Traditionally,
Scandinavian countries have been known for their extensive
state- supported childcare services, designed to promote gen-
der equality and enable high levels of female workforce partic-
ipation. However, the cash- for- care approach, which provides
parents with a direct subsidy to care for their children at home
instead of using public childcare services, introduces a differ-
ent dimension to childcare policy. As such, the introduction of
cash- for- care represents a complex and fundamental shift in
policy that challenges the balance between supporting paren-
tal choice and maintaining the progressive achievements in
gender equality that have characterised Scandinavian welfare
states (Hiilamo and Kangas2009).
Consistent with the general feedback literature, we should as-
sume that the effects of negative feedback determine the evolu-
tion of childcare policy reg imes and that positive feedback effect s
do not overwhelmingly govern the realm of childcare policy.
In fact, over the last two decades, negative feedback may have
been even more influential than positive feedback. However, it
is evident that academic scholars studying changes in childcare
policy have predominantly focused on and emphasised the role
of positive feedback (e.g., Morel2007; Oliver and Mätzke2 014).
In addition, fundamental shifts in the childcare policy regimes
have been attributed to various drivers of change, including so-
cioeconomic challenges (Seeleib- Kaiser2016), ideational change
(Himmelweit and Lee2024; Seeleib- Kaiser2016), electoral com-
petition (Fleckenstein and Lee2017; Seeleib- Kaiser2010), or new
cultural constellations (Ostner2010), though negative feedback
is seldom considered. This discrepancy prompts us to question
whether the concept of negative feedback is theoretically use-
ful for interpreting childcare policy change or if scholars in this
field are overly biased towards positive feedback, neglecting the
significance of negative feedback as a driver of policy change.
We assert that including both positive and negative feedback is
crucial for understanding policy change in this field. This ar-
gument is substantiated by an in- depth analysis of childcare
policy changes in South Korea, which has experienced signif-
icant shifts in childcare policy in both directions mentioned
earlier (Gurín 2023), making it an ideal case for studying pos-
itive and negative feedback. The first major shift in childcare
policy occurred in the 1990s and early 2000s when governments
transitioned from a male- breadwinner model to market- driven
de- familialisation. Nearly a decade later, the second shift hap-
pened with the introduction of a cash- for- care allowance,
(partially) re- familialising in part the childcare policy regime.
Empirical investigation reveals that the fundamental policy
shifts in both instances were driven by negative feedback. In the
first instance, the negative feedback was a result of the unsus-
tainability of past policy approaches, marked by the absence of
childcare services, influenced by changes in family dynamics,
ongoing industrialisation, and the desire for OECD member-
ship; while in the second, it was due to dissatisfaction with the
poor quality of newly- established private services, which the
government failed to improve because of resistance from early
winners opposing reforms. In other words, the very services that
were established in response to negative feedback eventually be-
came targets of negative feedback themselves.
This case illustrates that childcare policies can be suscepti-
ble to both positive and negative feedback. Childcare policies
may evolve in ways unintended by their designers, resulting
in highly noticeable policy failures. Given the significance
of childcare for the welfare of families and children, child-
care policy failures can catalyse the formation of counter-
coalitions, compelling policymakers to address negative
policy legacies. These issues may largely go unheard during
times when governments favour the status quo, but may be
addressed when partisan allies take over the executive branch
(Oberlander and Weaver 2015). Furthermore, our example
demonstrates that inadequately addressed negative feedback
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3 of 13
can contribute to unforeseen shifts in policy— exemplified in
our case by the introduction of cash- for- care. Our findings un-
derscore the significance and presence of negative forms of
policy feedback in this policy field, emphasising the need for
increased attention to negative policy feedback from childcare
policy scholars.
The article is structured as follows. The next section provides an
overview of the current knowledge of negative policy feedback
and presents an argument for why childcare policies are suscep-
tible to negative feedback. Next, it presents the research method-
ology employed in the study, followed by an investigation of the
childcare policy change in the period between 1990 and 2020 in
the light of positive and negative policy feedback. The last part
concludes.
2 | Childcare Policy as a Candidate for Negative
Policy Feedback
Self- undermining policy feedback is understood in the politi-
cal sense as a “backlash that threatens to destabilise a policy”
(Daugbjerg and Kay 2020, p. 259). They represent a complex
phenomenon in which the very policies that are implemented
to address societal problems inadvertently contribute to their
own erosion over time (Jacobs and Weaver 2015; Oberlander
and Weaver2015; Weaver 2010). According to Weaver (2010),
self- undermining or negative policy feedback (as he originally
termed them) operate over extended periods of time and serve
to create a political and policy- making environment that is con-
ducive to the emergence of interest groups that seek to undo or
significantly alter current policy instruments and paradigms.
Proponents of negative policy feedback criticise the policy feed-
back literature as bia sed toward positive feedback and thus offers
only one aspect of the story (Fernández and Jaime- Castillo2013;
Jacobs and Weaver2015; Jordan and Matt2 014; Oberlander and
Weaver 2015). They argue that negative forms of policy feed-
back merit greater scrutiny from researchers given their preva-
lence and significant potential for understanding policy change
(Jacobs and Weaver2015; Weaver2010). This is because negative
policy feedback helps illuminate the path- departing changes ob-
served across policy fields, with negative feedback gradually cre-
ating the conditions for such changes (Weaver2010). Therefore,
they believe that it is the combination of the effects of positive
and negative feedback that determines the evolution of policies
(Jacobs and Weaver2015).
One primary cause of negative policy feedback stems from un-
intended consequences (Jacobs and Weaver2015; Mettler2016).
Policies may be designed with noble intentions, but unforeseen
outcomes c an emerge durin g implementation. The se unintended
effects may include social disruptions, economic imbalances or
unintended burdens on specific groups. As these consequences
become apparent, they can generate dissatisfaction among the
public and policymakers, which in turn leads to a reassessment
of the policy's effectiveness (Fernández and Jaime- Castillo2013;
Oberlander and Weaver2015). Societal changes, evolving val-
ues, and shifts in public opinion can also contribute to negative
policy feedback (Weaver2010). Policies that were once aligned
with prevailing norms may become obsolete or face increased
scrutiny as societal attitudes evolve. The disconnect between
the policy and current social dynamics weakens its legitimacy
and support, which can lead to calls for reform or replacement.
In addition, the emergence and empowerment of interest groups
can play a pivotal role in undermining policies (Jordan and
Matt2014). Policies often create winners and losers, and those
adversely affected may organise themselves into interest groups
that advocate for policy reversal or adjustments. These groups
exert political pressure and create an environment in which
the original policy is challenged by factions seeking to protect
their interests. Finally, Daugbjerg and Kay(2020) argue that too
much positive feedback over extended periods of time, where
the policy is no longer consistent with its context, can lead to a
self- undermining policy trajectory, i.e., “policy pathway is un-
dermined by positive instrument feedbacks” (p. 254).
While negative policy feedback can create internal tensions
and pressures, the broader context and a combination of factors
determine whether it translates into policy change (Jacobs and
Weaver2015; Skogstad2017). As Oberlander and Weaver(2015,
p. 44) note, actors seeking policy change “may have to wait until
sympathetic politicians gain power in order to redress their
grievances.” Indeed, the willingness of political actors to re-
spond to negative feedback is crucial. If policymakers are com-
mitted to preserving the status quo or lack the political will to
address the feedback, the self- undermining dynamic alone may
not lead to policy change.
While social policies are often described as prime candidates
for positive policy feedback (Campbell 2012; Pierson 1993), it
has recently been emphasised that these policies can also be
good candidates for negative policy feedback (Weaver 2010
and Fernández and Jaime- Castillo2013, using the example of
pension reforms). It is our view that this could also pertain to
childcare policies, which could similarly result in unforeseen
costs and unintended grievances that could undermine their
persistence.
Negative feedback may arise when childcare services are un-
derdeveloped or unavailable. Historically based on a male-
breadwinner model, the lack of childcare services can generate
negative policy feedback as societal norms shift toward dual-
earner families and gender equality. Without adequate child-
care, working parents, especially women, struggle to balance
work and family, leading to lower workforce participation, ca-
reer stagnation, and income inequality, which reinforces tradi-
tional gender roles and hampers labour market equity (Lauri,
Põder, and Ciccia 2020). Moreover, the absence of childcare
limits the effectiveness of poverty reduction and family welfare
policies, forcing parents to choose between work and caregiv-
ing (Plantenga and Remery 2009). These ongoing challenges
are driving demand for policy changes, recognising that with-
out (comprehensive) childcare support, the broader objectives of
welfare states cannot be fully realised (Bonoli2013).
Even with childcare services in place, negative feedback can
occur. Childcare policies can be criticised by a variety of stake-
holders, each highlighting different issues and advocating for
specific policy changes. Parents and families may criticise the
high cost, limited availability, poor quality and inf lexibility
of childcare services. They may demand increased subsidies,
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4 of 13 Social Policy & Administration, 2024
expansion of public facilities, greater regulation to improve
quality, and more flexible childcare options (Thévenon and
Luci 2012; Saraceno 2011). Parental trust in the childcare
system, both public and private, is crucial. Negative percep-
tions, whether due to real incidents or public discourse, can
undermine trust in childcare services and prompt parents to
seek and/or demand alternative arrangements (Roberts2011).
Feminists and gender equality advocates may (and often do)
point out that inadequate childcare services limit women's
workforce participation and reinforce traditional gender roles.
They may call for fundamental policy changes that promote
work– family balance, increase women's labour market par-
ticipation, and encourage shared caregiving responsibilities
(Oliver and Mätzke 2014; Orloff 2006). Opposition political
parties may criticise inequities in access to childcare, par-
ticularly for low- income or rural families, and criticise the
inefficiency of the existing system. They may demand compre-
hensive reforms, greater investment in public childcare infra-
structure, and family- friendly policies to boost fertility rates
(Ostner 2010; Seeleib- Kaiser 2010). Finally, businesses and
employers may also express concerns and demands, pointing
out that insufficient childcare options lead to higher employee
turnover, absenteeism and reduced productivity (Baek, Sung,
and Lee 2011). They can advocate for employer- sponsored
childcare programmes, tax incentives, and public- private
partnerships to increase childcare availability.
Childcare pol icies can lead to negati ve unintended consequences
due to various factors such as inadequate regulation and insuf-
ficient funding. For instance, when state oversight is minimal,
childcare providers may not meet essential quality standards.
This can result in overcrowded facilities, unqualified staff, and
unsafe environments, which can adversely impact children's
development and well- being (Burchinal et al.2000). Inadequate
regulation can also lead to financial mismanagement and fraud
within private childcare centres, as seen in numerous cases of
financial irregularities uncovered in South Korea (Hwang2021;
Jo2018).
Childcare policy systems include monitoring and review sys-
tems which, as Skogstad(2017, p. 25) argues, are “capable of
revealing lapses in a policy's performance.” Visible govern-
ment failures resulting from poor policy design and/or unin-
tended consequences then could push governments to change
inherent negative policy legacies. At the same time, given the
significance of childcare for the welfare of families and chil-
dren in particular, childcare policy failures may catalyse the
formation of strong counter- coalitions, comprising parents,
childcare policy experts, and the political opposition. This
may compel policymakers to address negative policy legacies
by making adjustments, adopting alternatives, or even termi-
nating the policy.
The literature contains several cases that exemplify negative
feedback in childcare policy. For instance, the poor design of
childcare services was a crucial issue during the communist pe-
riod in the Czech Republic, resulting in eventual dismantling
of these services after the collapse of the regime (Hašková and
Saxonberg 2016). The marketisation of childcare services has
been argued to bring several negative consequences, including
poor quality and inequalities in access, which policymakers
often do not foresee at the time of adoption. In competitive
markets, childcare service providers prioritise attracting cus-
tomers and maximising market share over ensuring quality
and addressing societal needs. This competitive pressure incen-
tivises cost- saving measures and corner- cutting practices that
compromise service quality and reliability (see, for example,
Galla gher 2018). Daly (2010) and Lewis (2013) document that
such a policy path prompts dissatisfaction and criticism from
parents, who demand a policy reorientation. However, these
pleas are only partially, if at all, addressed since they often col-
lide with strong self- reinforcing feedback from private childcare
providers.
Hence, it is understandable that childcare policy schol-
ars pay attention to positive feedback as they resist, block
or blunt new policy approaches (León 2007; Naldini and
Saraceno 2008; White 2002), often expanding the inherent
policy legacies instead (Daly 2010; Lewis 2013), or chang-
ing policies while maintaining their traits or imprints (e.g.,
Morel2007). However, how negative policy feedback contrib-
ute to the understanding of childcare policy change and how
these emerge in the first instance, remain largely unexplored.
The numerous policy changes in recent decades, marked by
significant shifts in childcare policies among welfare states,
suggest that self- reinforcing feedback effects are not univer-
sal, with negative feedback being more prevalent and inf luen-
tial than commonly assumed. This study therefore addresses
two main questions: What are the mechanisms by which self-
undermining policy feedback emerge in childcare policies? And
how these pieces of feedback shape the trajectory of childcare
policy regimes?
3 | Methodology
Policy change is influenced by a range of factors, includ-
ing socioeconomic and demographic pressures (Bonoli 2005;
Hantrais1999), policy dynamics, shifts in the actors responsi-
ble for collective decision- making (von Wahl 2008), electoral
competition (Seeleib- Kaiser2010) and evolving prevailing ideas
(Béland2016). These factors are exogenous to the policy itself—
they originate outside the policy and exert external pressure on
decision- makers to adapt or change course. While these factors
may set the stage for policy change, policy feedback specifically
refers to how existing policies loop back to influence the future
policy environment. As previously mentioned, feedback can ei-
ther reinforce a policy by creating stakeholders who benefit from
it (Pierson 2004), or they can undermine a policy if the unin-
tended consequences erode public or political support (Jacobs
and Weaver 2015). Therefore, recognising policy feedback
involves identifying how past policies have reshaped the po-
litical landscape, altering the incentives, constraints, and pref-
erences of actors in ways that impact future decision- making
(Weaver2010).
Determining whether self- undermining policy feedback is a suf-
ficient cause of policy change, as Oberlander and Weaver(2015)
suggest it rarely is, or a contributing factor, necessitates a thor-
ough and detailed analysis. A single- case study is an effective
strategy for investigating policy change and the influence of
policy feedback as it allows for in- depth analysis, captures
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5 of 13
context- specific insights, and enables detailed process tracing
(Yin2018). South Korea was chosen because it represents a no-
table example of a country that has undergone significant pol-
icy changes (toward de- familialisation and re- familialisation of
childcare), thus falling under the purview of negative feedback
theory.
To assess the presence or absence of positive and negative
feedback and their impact on policy stability and change,
document analysis and expert interviews were employed.
Throughout, the document analysis focused on the prefer-
ences and roles of actors, including target populations and
other politically significant actors such as pressure groups,
in the policy- making process. This involved gathering public
statements both in support of and in opposition to the policy.
This included examining strategic policy documents, govern-
ment reports and media coverage of reforms where policy-
makers explicitly reference the consequences of and feedback
towards previous policies as reasons for changing course. This
method provided a broader perspective on stakeholder percep-
tions and official narratives, revealing how policy feedback is
discussed and addressed. In addition, we gathered and used
academic studies (written in English and Korean) that assess
the impact of policy feedback on decision- making processes,
providing empirical evidence of the link.
Complementing the document analysis, semi- structured inter-
views and information inquiries were conducted with three re-
nowned Korean scholars in the field of childcare policy, who are
either well knowledgeable about or have collected testimonies
that influenced policymakers to change policies in response to
policy feedback. These interviews and information inquiries
shed light on how feedback mechanisms influenced decisions
and uncovered contextual factors not evident in written docu-
ments. To adhere to ethical principles, the identities of those in-
terviewed are kept confidential.
4 | Case Study: Self- Undermining Policy Feedback
in the Korean Childcare Policy
4.1 | Early Expansion of Childcare Services With
the ‘Help’ of the Market
To determine whether a radical policy change has occurred due
to negative feedback, it is essential to establish a reference point
(Seeleib- Kaiser2016). Here, the reference point denotes the ini-
tial childcare policy that was in place before radical discontinu-
ities in policy were introduced in the 1990s and 2000s.
Childcare services and facilities were first introduced in Korea
during the postwar period, under The Child Welfare Act of
1961. These services were targeted exclusively at children from
low- income families. The prevailing notion at the time was that
mothers are primar y providers of childcare, and government
intervention or support in childcare was considered a measure
of last resort (Lee2018). No direct child benefits were provided
and childcare services served only those whom the regime
understood as the most deserving: single parents and couple
families with the lowest income (Fleckenstein and Lee 2014).
Accordingly, the childcare policy regime could be characterised
as a classic example of implicit familialism (Leitner2003) or fa-
milialism by default (Saraceno2016).
The Infant Care Act of 1991 marked a major policy shift, as
it recognised the joint responsibility of central and local gov-
ernments in providing childcare, not just a familial one. This
change was driven by concerns about the sustainability of past
policy trajectories in the face of shifting policy dynamics and
rapid industrialisation (Jeong, Oh, and Ahn1995). The rising
demand for female labour and the shift to nuclear families un-
derscored the need to reconceptualise childcare (Baek, Sung,
and Lee 2011). An expert interview (expert I) revealed that
South Korea's aspiration to join the OECD also motivated this
policy change. Criticism from the OECD about low female em-
ployment and inadequate childcare pushed the government to
act. As the expert explained, South Korea faced criticism for
lacking sufficient childcare support, which was seen as a bar-
rier to its recognition as a developed nation during the OECD
accession process.
Consequently, childcare serv ices witnessed an expansion during
the 1990s (3- Year Plan for Expansion of Childcare Centres 1995–
1997), aided by subsidies for low- income families in 1992 and the
provision of free childcare for five- year- olds from low- income
families residing in rural regions, still retaining residual traits.
The productivist government (cf. Holliday2000), however, was
reluctant to directly provide these services and instead encour-
aged the private sector to take action— anticipating positive eco-
nomic outcomes and avoiding strain on state finances from the
need to build childcare infrastructure. As a result, the childcare
policy system underwent de- familialisation through market-
driven service provision, with the number of private childcare
providers steadily increasing, while the number of public pro-
viders remained consistently low (Won and Pascall2004).
The neglected status of childcare services, which hampered
women's labour force participation and gender equality, also
drew criticism from feminist groups. The continued neglect of
childcare services could not be sustained when the Asian finan-
cial crisis of 1997– 98 severely impacted the South Korean econ-
omy (Jeoung 2021). Feminist activists urged the government
to reform institutional structures to take into account women's
interests in social policies and considered the participation of
women in economic activity as an extremely important task.
To ensure equal opportunity for both men and women and to
encourage women's economic activities, multifaceted measures
conducive to work– family balance were required (Baek 2009).
The government of Kim Dae- jung (1998– 2002), primarily fo-
cused on economic recovery, recognised the need to reevaluate
the welfare state regarding childcare policy and proposed child-
care policy focused on promoting women's labour force par-
ticipation. The childcare subsidy programme was expanded to
include middle- class and dual- earner households, in addition to
low- income families, and active measures were taken to foster
the growth of the private childcare sector (An and Peng2 016).
Deregulation of the system led to a significant increase in the
number of commercial childcare providers (from 6538 centres
in 1997 to 11,046 centres in 2002; Fleckenstein and Lee2 017).
Government's own involvement, however, remained minimal,
at best consisting of passive administrative oversight and finan-
cial support.
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6 of 13 Social Policy & Administration, 2024
4.2 | Negative (Self- Undermining) Policy Feedback
Facing Strong Positive (Self- Reinforcing) Feedback
From the Private Childcare Providers
The expansion of childcare policies took significant strides
under the centre- left government of Roh Moo- hyun (2003–
2007), at a time when South Korea faced its lowest- ever fertility
rate of 1.08. This demographic crisis fuelled a ‘national emer-
gency’ discourse, which gained traction with both the general
public and influential actors who had previously been hesitant
to fully endorse childcare reform and work– family balance ini-
tiatives (Kim2018; Lee2018). Roh's administration recognised
the urgency of the situation, making work– family balance and
social investment cornerstones of its policy agenda (Baek2009).
The government's focus on childcare was driven by Roh's be-
lief that investing in these services was key to addressing the
challenges of an aging population. As a result, several pivotal
reforms were introduced, including the revised Infant Care Act
(2004), the Sa- ssak Plan (2006– 2010), and the Saeromaji Plan
(First Basic Plan for Low Fertility and Aging Society). Together,
these reforms sought to enhance the affordability, quality, and
diversity of childcare services (Baek and Seo2004). A notable de-
parture from previous administrations was Roh's commitment
to reducing the market's dominance in the childcare sector. This
was to be achieved by expanding public access to services and
aiming for 30% enrolment in public childcare facilities, a strate-
gic move toward ‘de- familialising’ care through state- supported
social services. These reforms were met with support from key
civil society organisations, such as the People's Solidarity for
Participatory Democracy and the Korean Women's Association
United, underscoring the broad- based coalition behind the gov-
ernment's efforts.
However, the drive for reform was not merely a proactive re-
sponse to demographic concerns but also a reaction to the
mounting dissatisfaction with the existing childcare system. By
the early 2000s, chronic issues within the private childcare mar-
ket had led to widespread parental grievances, particularly over
the high costs and subpar service quality. Private childcare facil-
ities were criticised for having high teacher- to- student ratios and
lacking sufficient regulatory oversight, resulting in inconsistent
and inadequate care (Baek2009; Choi2010). Furthermore, poor
wages for childcare workers, especially in private centres, con-
tributed to substandard service delivery, further eroding trust
in the system (Hwang2005; Na et al.2003). Consequently, the
First Mid- to Long- term Childcare Plan outlined five- year goals
focused on strengthening public involvement in childcare, im-
proving service quality, and reducing financial burdens on
families. It prioritised creating a child- centred environment
that better supported working families and addressed public
grievances.
Thus, the most pressing policy need at this time was to in-
crease the number of public childcare facilities, which parents
preferred in terms of both cost and service quality. As propo-
nents of self- reinforcing feedback would anticipate, however,
strong opposition arose against this policy reform (cf. Daly2010;
Lewis 2013, for comparison with the UK case). Local govern-
ments and private providers fiercely opposed the government's
plans to increase access to public childcare (Lee2017).
The expert interview (expert II) reveals the depth of this
opposition:
When the government attempted to undermine
private institutions and shift toward a public
childcare model, private entities made it clear they
would not stand idly by. From the perspective of
private providers, they had a valid point: when the
Korean government previously needed daycare
facilities, it encouraged them to establish businesses,
even providing loans to do so. Now, however, the
government's plan to expand public daycare by 30%
seemed unreasonable. (…) This led to significant
conflicts between the Ministry of Gender Equality
and Family and private associations at the time.
Private childcare organisations viewed the proposed reform as a
direct threat to their established interests and investments. They
argued that the abrupt policy shift was unfair, especially since
previous governments had actively encouraged their establish-
ment. The expert describes this conflict:
Private associations engaged in extensive lobbying,
and at the central level, they staged protests in front of
the Ministry of Health and Welfare and the Ministry
of Gender Equality and Family, as well as in front of
city halls.
Also local governments were particularly resistant due to the
substantial responsibilities imposed on them, such as managing
land acquisition and the operation of public childcare facilities.
They were also expected to contribute one- fourth of the budget
for the expansion. As the expert notes,
An important aspect to consider is that childcare
funding comes not only from the central government
but also from local governments. (…) At the local level,
there is a close relationship between local governing
councils and priv ate childcare associat ions. Therefore,
the government could not ignore these close ties.
Local politicians, often indebted to private childcare providers,
exhibited passive behaviour towards the expansion of public fa-
cilities due to their intertwined interests (Chang2011). The ob-
jections and threats from private childcare providers intensified,
and the government feared that closing private providers could
create significant gaps in childcare provision. Ultimately, the
plan was halted by the Ministry of Strategy and Finance, which
refused to allocate additional funds for the expansion of public
childcare facilities. As Lee(2017) notes, this decision was heav-
ily influenced by lobbying from private childcare organisations.
The government sought, at the very least, to regulate and en-
hance the quality of private childcare providers. As previously
mentioned, earlier administrations had attempted to reduce bar-
riers to entry and lower regulatory standards to foster competi-
tion. However, this approach led to numerous for- profit services
failing to meet basic quality standards, resulting in widespread
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7 of 13
dissatisfaction and distrust among users (Kim 2 017). A new
accreditation scheme was intended to address these issues.
However, in contrast to the original draft, the evaluation crite-
ria in the final proposal were not sufficiently robust. This was
largely due to successful lobbying by private childcare organi-
sations, which actively opposed the introduction of stricter ac-
creditation measures, primarily due to concerns over increased
costs. As a result, the government was compelled to compromise
with the demands of the private sector (Lee2017).
As it became increasingly difficult to challenge the position of
private childcare providers, the government was forced to re-
orient its policy towards utilising the existing, more expensive
private services (cf. Hacker2005; Pierson2004). To reduce the
financial burden on parents and thereby increase the take- up
of services and enable higher female labour force participation,
the government expanded differential childcare subsidies to
also cover middle- income families and provided free childcare
for children under 5 or children with disabilities (Baek 2009).
In addition, the Basic Subsidy Scheme, directly paid to private
childcare providers, for parents with children up to the age of
two in private institutions was introduced in 2005. The aim was
to reduce the cost difference between public and private provid-
ers and thus ensure greater fairness between users of childcare
facilities. In contrast to the government's initial intentions, this
“private- based publicness” (Kim2017) led to the further expan-
sion of the private sector— an outcome that many social actors
(e.g., the People's Solidarity for Participatory Democracy) had
warned about (Baek2009; Lee2017).
Nevertheless, the commercialisation of childcare was consis-
tently criticised for numerous problems, including poor service
quality and public distrust (Choi2016). Despite these ongoing is-
sues, the new centre- right government of Lee Myung- bak (2008–
2013) continued to view care as a market commodity. In an effort
to enhance user satisfaction and improve policy efficiency, the
government introduced an electronic voucher system in 2009
(Korea Institute of Child Care and Education2009). This system
was designed to replace the previous subsidy system, with the
goal of improving the quality of private childcare providers and
reducing the need for public service supplementation (Ma, Kim,
and Lee 2016; Kim2017). The central premise of the voucher
system was that enabling “customers” to select and choose their
childcare providers would promote cost- effectiveness and drive
improvements in service quality (Kim and Nam 2011). Public
daycare services were overlooked by the government, despite
significant pressure from parents and civic organisations.
4.3 | Negative Feedback and the Unforeseen
Shift in Childcare Policy: The Introduction
of Cash- for- Care
As the historical accounts illustrate, the policy regime showed
a clear preference for in- kind benefits over cash benefits, result-
ing in a noticeable imbalance. However, the need to introduce
direct financial support in the form of child benefits has been
highlighted and demanded by academics, civil society and po-
litical parties since the early 2000s. For example, the People's
Solidarity for Participatory Democracy advocated for child ben-
efit as an important measure to combat poverty (Choi 2020). The
idea of child benefit subsequently appeared on the government's
agenda, first in 2004, when the Roh government examined the
introduction of means- tested child benefit as one of the fertility-
enhancing components, and later as a possible universal bene-
fit for families regardless of their income (Lee2 017). However,
implementation was considered a long- term task and was con-
stantly postponed due to a lack of substantial (financial) support
from businesses and the Ministry of Finance, which did not
view the child benefit system as an “effective” measure to pro-
mote fertility (Lee2017; Choi 2020). In other words, the idea of
introducing a child benefit scheme encountered resistance from
self- reinforcing policy feedback, which favoured maintaining
the status quo and minimal state responsibility. As a result, the
debate on child benefits was put on hold. This inertia in policy
development, driven by financial considerations, illustrates the
ways in which entrenched policy feedback can act as barriers to
reform, perpetuating limited state responsibility in addressing
fertility- related challenges.
Instead, discussions had begun about supporting families
not using childcare services. In 2006, the Ministry of Gender
Equality and Family announced a plan to review the introduc-
tion of a cash- for- care allowance as part of the 1st Basic Family
Policy Plan (2006– 2010). This was seen as a way to offer fi-
nancial support to families, given that child benefit proposals
faced positive feedback aiming to maintain the status quo. By
September 2008, the Ministry of Health and Welfare officially
proposed the introduction of a cash- for- care allowance, ref lect-
ing growing dissatisfaction among families who did not use
childcare services but received no financial support.
As governments expanded support for families using childcare
services that, however, lacked the trust of families, vocal de-
mands of social justice and equity arose among families, who
decided not to use (private) childcare services and, they ar-
gued, remained without support (Min and Jang 2015; P yo and
Kim2021). And the government sought to address concerns re-
garding the fairness of its support to families as illustrated by
a 2009 report from the Ministry of Health and Welfare (p. 17)
which legitimised the introduction of cash- for- care policy ac-
cordingly: “to address the fairness of early childhood care sup-
port policies and meet the needs of parents who prefer to care
for their children at home, it is necessary to establish govern-
ment support for children not enrolled in childcare facilities.
(…) Introducing a child- rearing allowance for children not using
childcare facilities can be justified in terms of ensuring equity
with childcare fee support.” The negative feedback thus played
a key role in the decision to introduce a cash- for- care allowance
(a flat- rate benefit of 100,000 KRW per month) for low- income
non- users of childcare services in 2009.
However, it is crucial to acknowledge that other factors also
contributed to the policy's introduction. The expert interview
(expert I) highlighted the role of family and child studies which
gained inf luence by aligning with power interests. These schol-
ars believed that “children should be raised by their mothers to
foster attachment” and opposed state- supported daycare, argu-
ing that it was “detrimental to the well- being of children” (see
also Song 2014). As this discourse gained traction, it was argued
that without financial support, parents reluctant to use daycare
would cause an “unnecessary concentration of children in these
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8 of 13 Social Policy & Administration, 2024
facilities,” which led to the rapid approval of the cash- for- care
allowance. These positions were also firmly held by a large part
of the ruling conservative party in which “policymakers took
women support for children at home for granted”, making the
adoption of this policy a relatively easy process (Kim 2017, p.
69). Additionally, the expert (I) pointed out that the govern-
ment's reluctance to invest heavily in improving daycare quality
led to the decision to provide direct financial support to fami-
lies, which was seen as a “strategy to save money while gaining
electoral support.” The Blue House discovered through polling
that “women in their 30s” were largely opposed to President Lee
Myung- bak, leading advisors to propose a policy to distribute
cash to this demographic, as these parents were frustrated by
the lack of support for home care despite daycare being free for
enrolled children.
Criticism of the cash- for- care allowance was strong, partic-
ularly from civic groups and childcare organisations. Civic
groups, including the Korea Women's Associations United and
the National Childcare Center Association, opposed the policy,
arguing that it should not be implemented without first expand-
ing public childcare services. These groups, which advocated for
greater state responsibility in childcare, feared that the allow-
ance would weaken public investment in high- quality childcare
facilities (Lee2017). This self- reinforcing feedback from propo-
nents of public childcare services was, however, unsuccessful in
preventing the policy's adoption.
The cash- for- care allowance, representing an explicit form
of familialism, marks another significant policy change in
the Korean childcare policy regime. This time, the shift was
driven by dissatisfaction with existing services, which them-
selves emerged from negative feedback, as previously discussed.
Dissatisfaction with existing childcare services, exacerbated by
the government's failure to expand public options or improve the
quality of private ones, regardless of the introduced voucher sys-
tem, led to a substantial rise in families opting for the allowance
over formal childcare services. The number of families using the
cash- for- care allowance even surpassed those utilising childcare
facilities (Kim2017).
4.4 | A Window of Opportunity for Public
Childcare: Change in the Government
Concurrently, the problems with the private daycare provid-
ers persisted. For instance, many childcare providers have
circumvented centralised accounting monitoring systems
(Hwang2021). A sequence of special audits conducted between
2013 and 2017 uncovered 5951 instances of financial irregulari-
ties and accounting fraud in 1878 private kindergartens. In these
cases, fees were misappropriated for personal purposes rather
than being used for quality improvements (Jo2018). Moreover,
numerous instances of child abuse were reported in private day-
care centres (Cho2015), ultimately leading to the mandatory in-
stallation of surveillance cameras in daycare centres since 2015.
It is therefore not surprising that the demand for public daycare
services far exceeded the actual supply (Lee et al.2018).
After the centre- left government regained control of the pres-
idential office, the window of opportunity for public childcare
reopened. The Moon Jae- in administration (2017– 2022), which
identified “inclusive welfare” as the new main paradigm of wel-
fare policy, had a clear policy orientation in favour of socialising
care through the expansion of the public sector— a measure rated
as the ‘most desired’ by 35.9% of respondents in the Ministry of
Health and Welfare's nationwide survey (MHW2018). The Fourth
Strategy for an Aging Society and Population envisaged strength-
ening the responsibility of the state by setting the goal of increasing
the enrolment rate in public childcare institutions to 40% by 2022
and to 50% by 2025. However, due to the activities of private child-
care associations, again, the implementation of such a policy has
been quite limited. For example, the amendment to the Child Care
Act (2017), which would have allowed the construction of public
childcare facilities in abandoned primary school classrooms, was
put on hold due to vehement resistance from these associations.
At the same time, the government made great efforts to improve
the standards of all daycare centres. As of 2019, all childcare
providers are required to use the accreditation system, which
was previously optional. By mandating participation in the as-
sessment system, the government aimed to improve the qual-
ity of (private) facilities and close the blind spot where many of
them remained uncertified. Additionally, the Moon administra-
tion established the Public Agency for Social Service (PASS) in
2019, which is responsible for managing and supervising public
childcare facilities. This policy is groundbreaking in two ways:
first, it enhances the central government's role beyond merely
providing financial incentives and regulatory guidance, moving
towards directly providing high- quality childcare; and second,
it enables local governments to re- municipalise childcare they
previously entrusted to the market (Yang2020).
5 | Conclusion
The debate surrounding policy feedback and policy change has
long revolved around positive (self- reinforcing) policy feedback
(Pierson 1994). The literature has been significantly enriched
by a newfound emphasis on negative (self- undermining) policy
feedback, which occur when existing institutions and policies
yield adverse socioeconomic consequences (Weaver2010, p. 139).
Interestingly, scholars in the field of childcare policy have also con-
centrated primarily on analysing and emphasising positive policy
feedback and their impact on childcare policy evolution. However,
they have largely overlooked the potential significance of negative
policy feedback, which could have acted as a trigger and a catalyst
for the transformative changes observed in recent decades.
We argue that childcare policies may be a good candidate for
negative feedback. When childcare services are missing or se-
verely neglected, negative feedback can arise. This is because,
without formal childcare, parents, particularly mothers, may
struggle to maintain employment or advance in their careers,
leading to financial instability and hindering professional
growth (Thévenon and Luci 2012). The shortage of childcare
services may be a subject of criticism from the political oppo-
sition for various reasons, notably its detrimental effects on
fertility rates and gender equality (Oliver and Mätzke 2014).
Consequently, the absence of childcare services may gener-
ate widespread dissatisfaction and criticism, as it disrupts
family life and individual career paths and has far- reaching
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9 of 13
implications for economic stability. However, negative feedback
can also occur in response to existing childcare services due to
various factors that affect their perceived quality and reliability
(Roberts2011; Saraceno2011). The cost of childcare, the quality
of care provided, the caregiver- to- child ratio, concerns about the
qualifications and training of childcare staf f, incidents of neglect
or abuse, and inf lexible working hours can all contribute to neg-
ative feedback as they impact overall trust, satisfaction, and the
perceived value of childcare services, prompting parents to voice
their concerns and demand better alternatives.
Dissatisfaction and criticism can lead to fundamental changes in
childcare policy, such as shifting from a male- breadwinner model
towards a de- familialised system, and vice versa. Historical ac-
counts of Korean childcare policy illustrate this dynamic. In the
1990s, the lack of childcare services faced heavy criticism from
feminist groups and businesses, leading to a shift from implicit
familialism to market- driven de- familialisation. The imprudent
expansion of childcare services through the market, without ad-
equate oversight and regulation by the state, however, resulted
in unaffordable, low- quality services. This failure to ensure qual-
ity and affordability undermined parental trust and satisfaction,
prompting demands for more credible alternative arrangements
and solutions. The Roh Moo- hyun government attempted to ad-
dress these negative legacies but faced strong reinforcing feedback
that ultimately prevented any proposed reforms. Appeals for de-
sired policy solutions went unheard, and, as Pierson(2004) and
Hacker(2005) would predict, the government reverted to support-
ing existing arrangements. Consequently, non- users— those who
chose not to use private childcare services— found themselves
without support from the welfare state, which had thus far solely
focused on (market- driven) services. This prompted vocal criti-
cism, resulting in an unexpected shift in childcare policy: the intro-
duction of cash- for- care in 2009. The absence of additional reforms
to align the policy with parental demands resulted in increased
take- up of cash- for- care following its expansion, further weaken-
ing the position of market- based childcare. When centre- left po-
litical forces regained executive power a decade later, a second,
more successful opportunity arose to address negative feedback
(cf. Oberlander and Weaver2015). This contradicts the claim by
proponents of positive policy feedback that policy change becomes
increasingly challenging in the later stages of policy development.
In the light of this evidence, we believe that both scholars and
policymakers should allocate greater attention to negative pol-
icy feedback and their causes. This is because inadequately ad-
dressed negat ive policy feedback may lead to a variet y of negative
consequences for both the govern ment and the society it governs .
Poorly or imprudently designed childcare policies, which fail to
address crucial aspects such as safety, quality of care and equal-
ity in access, may negatively impact children's development (e.g.,
Burchinal et al.2000). In addition, such policies may exacerbate
gender inequality by disproportionately affecting women's abil-
ity to participate in the workforce (Leitner2003; Saraceno2011).
Childcare policies that go awry can erode public trust in the gov-
ernment's ability to address pressing issues. If people perceive
that the government is unable or unwilling to correct its mis-
takes, trust in governmental institutions may decline. Finally,
as illustrated by the Czech case, widespread dissatisfaction with
poorly designed childcare services can lead to their dismantling
or termination, with subsequent restoration being a difficult
task (Gurín 2024). Ultimately, this study underscores the need
for careful policy design, continuous assessment, and adaptive
governance to achieve positive outcomes.
Acknowledgements
I am deeply thankful to Martina Brandt, Young Jun Choi and Sigrid
Leitner for their helpful comments on earlier drafts of this article, as
well as to the anonymous reviewers for their rigorous and detailed feed-
back. I deeply appreciate the time and expertise offered by the experts
involved in the study.
Open Access funding enabled and organized by Projekt DEAL.
Conflicts of Interest
The author declares no conflicts of interest.
Data Availability Statement
The data that support the findings of this study are available from the
corresponding author upon reasonable request.
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Appendix A
Policy Changes and Mechanisms
Period
Policy
change Substance T ype of change Feedback Actors Description Other factors
1991– 1997 Expansion
of Childcare
Centres
Recognition of
childcare as a
national issue,
expansion through
private sector
Market- driven
de- familialisation
(radical policy
change)
Self-
undermining
Businesses, families,
OECD
Dissatisfaction with past policy
trajectory (absence of childcare
services)
Changing family dynamics,
industrialisation, government
reluctance to increase public
spending
1998– 2002 Expansion
of subsidies
Inclusion of middle-
class and dual- earner
families, further
deregulation of
private providers
Expansion of
target group
(incremental
policy change)
Self- reinforcing Private childcare
providers
Outcome: continuous growth of
private sector
Economic recovery post-
Asian financial crisis,
feminist activism for gender
equality, government
reluctance to increase public
spending
Self-
undermining
Civic organisations,
childcare experts,
families
Unintended consequences: Subpar
quality of private childcare
services, public distrust
Feminist and civic groups
advocating for public childcare
2003– 2007
(Reform attempt)
Reforms
(Sa- ssak
Plan/
Saeromaji
Pla n)
Focus on reducing
private sector
dominance and
improving its quality,
increasing public
childcare
Public- driven
de- familialisation
(incremental
policy change)
Self- reinforcing Private childcare
providers, local
governments
Resistance to public childcare
expansion due to vested interests
For reforms: declining birth
rates, female labour force
participation, change in
political leadership
Against reforms: financial
constraints, local political ties
Self-
undermining
Civic organisations,
childcare experts,
families
Dissatisfaction with private
services due to subpar quality of
private childcare services, public
distrust, low take- up of ser vices
and inequalities in usage
2005– 2009 Basic
subsidy
scheme
Voucher
system
Direct subsidies to
childcare providers
(including private)
Introduction of
market- oriented
voucher system for
childcare serv ices
Incremental
policy change
Self- reinforcing Private childcare
providers
Outcome: Continuous growth of
private sector
Civic and feminist organisations
critique (negative feedback):
advocating for public childcare
Declining birth rates,
economic downturn (for
voucher) and financial
constraint, change in political
leadership, ideological push
(neoliberalism)
2009 Cash- for-
care
Financial support for
families not using
formal childcare
services
Re- familialisation
(radical policy
change)
Self- reinforcing Scholars and civic
organisations supporting
traditional family values,
ruling conservative party
Civic organisations and childcare
advocacy groups consistently
opposed this policy, fearing
that it undermined the state's
role in supporting institutional
childcare. This pushback, while
not successful in preventing its
adoption, represents negative
feedback that could be added as
a counterbalance to the positive
feedback from conservative actors
Budgetar y constraints,
electoral competition,
ideological push (traditional
family values), change in
political leadership, declining
birth rates, state negligence
toward financial benefits (sole
focus on services)
Self-
undermining
Parents not using
childcare services due to
lack of public childcare
and poor quality of
private childcare (issue of
inequity and injustice)
(Continues)
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Period
Policy
change Substance T ype of change Feedback Actors Description Other factors
2017– 2022 Moon Jae-
in's public
childcare
expansion
Target of 40 – 50%
public childcare
enrolment;
mandator y
accreditation for all
providers
Return to
public- driven
de- familialisation
efforts
(incremental
policy change)
Self- reinforcing Private childcare
associations
Private institutions that had
gained a foothold earlier
continued to protect their interests
Ideological shift (inclusive
welfare), declining birth
rates, change in political
leadership
Self-
undermining
Civic organisations,
experts, parents
Continued dissatisfaction with
private services
Source: Author's own complication.
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