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Abstract

China has experienced a long period of rapid economic development. As a result, China has become one of the world's most important economic actors. The transformations China has experienced have made the foreign policy-making process quite complex. In the Chinese political system, leaders have always played a critical role in foreign policy making. However, the role of the leader has become more important since Xi Jinping came to power. This article mainly examines how Chinese leaders, and Xi Jinping in particular, play a role in foreign policy making. This study basically seeks to answer the question to what extent Chinese leaders have power and influence in foreign policy making. China's current economic and political structure does not allow leaders to come to power who would cause major upheavals in the overall direction of the country. This study basically argues that no matter how powerful they try to be, Chinese leaders have limited power and influence in foreign policy making. This study is based on constructivism’s analysis of the agent-structure problem.
2024, 8 (2), 538-554
Uluslararası Ekonomi, İşletme ve Politika Dergisi
International Journal of Economics, Business and Politics
https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/ueip
Atıf/Cite as: Akkağ, Z. (2024). The Changing Role of Leaders in Chinese Foreign Policy Making Process. International Journal of Economics,
Business and Politics, 8(2), 538-554.
Bu makale, Creative Commons Atıf (CC BY) lisansının hüküm ve koşulları altında dağıtılan açık erişimli bir makaledir. / This
article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license.
The Changing Role of Leaders in Chinese Foreign Policy Making
Process
Çin Dış Politika Yapım Sürecinde Liderlerin Değişen Rolü
Zekeriyya Akdağa
a Dr. Öğr. Üyes, İnönü Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi, Siyaset Bilimi ve Uluslararası İlişkiler Bölümü,
ORCID: 0000-0002-0866-603X (Sorumlu Yazar/Corresponding Author)
ART I C LE I N FO ABS T R AC T
Article Type
Research Article
Keywords
Chinese Foreign Policy
Foreign Policy Decision Making
Leaders
Xi Jinping
Received: Aug, 19, 2024
Accepted: Oct, 10, 2024
China has experienced a long period of rapid economic development. As a result, China
has become one of the world's most important economic actors. The transformations
China has experienced have made the foreign policy-making process quite complex. In
the Chinese political system, leaders have always played a critical role in foreign policy
making. However, the role of the leader has become more important since Xi Jinping
came to power. This article mainly examines how Chinese leaders, and Xi Jinping in
particular, play a role in foreign policy making. This study basically seeks to answer the
question to what extent Chinese leaders have power and influence in foreign policy
making. China's current economic and political structure does not allow leaders to come
to power who would cause major upheavals in the overall direction of the country. This
study basically argues that no matter how powerful they try to be, Chinese leaders have
limited power and influence in foreign policy making. This study is based on
constructivism’s analysis of the agent-structure problem.
MAK A L E B İ L Gİ S İ ÖZ
Makale Türü
Araştırma Makalesi
Anahtar Kelimeler
Çin Dış Politikası
Dış Politika Karar Alma Süreci
Liderler
Xi Jinping
Geliş Tarihi : 19 Ağustos 2024
Kabul Tarihi: 10 Ekim 2024
Çin uzun süren hızlı bir ekonomik kalkınma deneyimi yaşadı. Bu süreç sonunda Çin
dünyanın en önemli ekonomik aktörlerinden biri haline geldi. Çin'in yaşadığı
dönüşümler dış politika yapım sürecini oldukça karmaşık bir hale getirmiştir. Çin
siyasal sisteminde liderler her zaman dış politika yapım sürecinde kritik bir role sahip
olmuşlardır. Ancak liderin rolü, Xi Jinping’in iktidara gelmesiyle birlikte daha fazla
önem kazandı. Bu makale esas olarak Çinli liderlerin, özellikle de Xi Jinping’in dış
politika yapımında nasıl bir rol oynadığını incelemektedir. Bu çalışma temelde dış
politika yapımında Çinli liderlerin ne ölçüde bir gücü ve etkisi olduğu sorusuna cevap
aramaktadır. Çin’in günümüzde sahip olduğu ekonomik ve politik yapısı, ülkenin genel
gidişatında büyük çalkantılara yol açacak liderlerin iktidara gelmesine izin
vermemektedir. Bu çalışma temelde, ne kadar güçlü olmaya çalışırlarsa çalışsınlar,
Çinli liderlerin dış politika yapımında sınırlı bir güce ve etkiye sahip olduklarını iddia
etmektedir. Bu çalışma, aktör-yapı problemine dair sosyal inşacı analizi temel
almaktadır.
1. Introduction
The Communist Party of China (CPC) and its top leaders hold a tremendous degree of
influence over China's foreign policy. Five generations of leaders are recognized as influential in the
political system of the People's Republic of China. These are Mao Zedong, Deng Xiaoping, Jiang
Zemin, Hu Jintao and Xi Jinping. Although there have been other leaders who briefly served as
official heads of state, their influence has been very limited. Mao, Deng and Xi are seen as the most
influential leaders, while Jiang and Hu have generally continued Deng's line.
Although leaders are important in all political systems, their significance is greater in
totalitarian and authoritarian regimes. In democratic countries, political leaders face constraints
from elections, term limits, and public opinion. However, in the PRC's one-party system, leaders are
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2024, 8 (2), 538-554
539
mostly immune to oversight from bureaucracy, opposition groups, and public opinion. They have
more opportunities to realize their desires and ideals.
There is a large literature examining the role of Chinese leaders in foreign policy making.
Suisheng Zhao is one of the most important authors to analyze the role of Chinese leaders in foreign
policy making. Zhao categorizes Chinese leaders into two categories: transformational and
transactional leaders (2023: 5). Mao Zedong, Deng Xiaoping, and Xi Jinping are labeled
transformational leaders, while Jiang Zemin and Hu Jintao are labeled transactional leaders (Zhao,
2023: 5-6). Jing Sun classify Chinese leaders into three categories: architects, managers, and
disruptors (2021, 37). Sun idetify Mao, Deng and in some respect Xi as architect, Jiang and Hu as
manager (2021).
Hu Angang argues that the CCP's and China's governance system is based on collective
presidency (2014). Since the founding PRC, Chinese collective presidency has evolved over an
extended length of time including a great deal of making and correcting mistakes (Hu, 2014: 15).
According to Hu, the Chinese collective presidency is far better than the American presidential
system (2014, 37).
The most literature on Chinese leaders’ role in foreign-policy-making has focused on leaders’
personality and leadership style (Hongyi, 2010; Blackwill and Campbell, 2016; Pekcan, 2019;
Sutter, 2021). Most studies examining the role of leaders ignore the influence and power of internal
structures. This study examines the role of leaders in foreign policy making in the context of the
historical transformation of foreign policy decision-making.
This study mainly seeks to answer the question of what kind of role Chinese leaders play in
foreign policy making. To what extent does China's domestic political and economic structure
constrain its leaders? This article focuses on the highest levels of Chinese foreign policy decision
makers and institutions. It provides a historical overview while also highlighting how the role of
leaders evolves in foreign policy decision-making process. Studies examining the role of leaders in
Chinese foreign policy have largely focused on the centralizing role of Xi Jinping. This article rather
emphasizes the internal structures that constrain President Xi.
This study consists of six parts: The first part of this article presents a theoretical framework.
Secondly, it briefly analyzes the Chinese foreign policy decision-making structure. Thirdly, it
examines the role of leaders in the decision-making processes during the Mao Zedong and Deng
Xiaoping eras. The transformations brought about by the collective leadership approach in Chinese
foreign policy are examined. The changes in foreign policy decision-making processes under Xi
Jinping and the impact of them on Chinese foreign policy are discussed. Xi's role in foreign
policymaking is analyzed in comparison with that of his predecessors. Finally, the structural and
other constraints, domestic rather than external, that Xi faces in foreign policy are discussed. The
analyses in this article are mainly based on the constructivist theory’s aproach to the agent-
structure problem.
2. The Agent-Structure Problem According to Social Constructivism
A country's foreign policy is a product of a multitude of national and international actors and
structures (Carlsnaes, 2016: 113). There exist numerous domestic and international actors who
have a significant role in foreign policy decision-making. Additionally, there are numerous domestic-
international structures that have a decisive impact on these actors in various ways (Carlsnaes,
2016: 114).
Policy outcomes are shaped by interactions between parts of a system. Actors interact when
they take each other into account when making choices. The outcome for each actor depends on
the choices made by the others (Wendt, 2003: 148). Constructivists, who argue that agents are
Zekeriyya Akdağ
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socially constructed, focus on the causal and constitutive effects on identities and interests (Wendt,
2003: 166).
Agency and structure are mutually constitutive and codetermined (Wendt, 2003: 184). Actors
are confronted by structure as an objective social phenomenon that both facilitates and restricts
their actions in systematic ways (Wendt, 2003: 184). On the other hand, structure evolves only
because of agents and their actions (Wendt, 2003: 185). Neither the agent alone nor the structure
alone is effective in the formation of policy outcomes. Although the primacy of one over the other
becomes evident from time to time, policies are ultimately shaped as a result of the interaction
between agency and structure.
According to Alexander Wendt (1987), social structures and agents are interdependent or
mutually implicating entities (338). Wendt’s refer to seeing agents and structures as having equal
ontological status as the structurationist approach (Wendt, 1987: 339). Rather than reducing
agency and structure to one or the other, this approach uses each to explain some important
features of the other (Wendt, 1987: 339).
Constructivism considers agents and structures as relational entities that are mutually
constituted and co-determined (Wendt, 1987: 350). According to constructivists, social structures
are real and have a significant role in explanation. They seek to reconcile agents and structures by
combining them in a "dialectical synthesis" (Wendt, 1987: 356). The interaction between agents and
structures is a dynamic process that leads to their continuous evolution (Hill, 2003: 28). Foreign
policy is determined by the reciprocal interaction of social structures and agents (Carlsnaes, 1992:
250).
The effects of structures cannot be reduced to agents (Wendt, 2003: 139). According to Wendt,
the structure of a social system includes three elements: the material structure, the structure of
interests and ideational structure. Although these elements are interrelated, they are distinct and
play different roles (Wendt, 2003: 139). Structures not only constrain actors but also provide them
with opportunities (Carlsnaes, 1992: 262). They are crucial in creating an appropriate framework
for the political decisions and actions of actors.
A social agent's embedded social structural environment shapes and, hence, explains the
range of conceivable actions that the agent can do (Wendt, 1987: 366). There are structures at every
level, and it is a mistake in foreign policy to think that "structure" simply pertains to the outside
world. The social, bureaucratic, and political structures that influence how foreign policy is decided
upon are crucial (Hill, 2003: 26). This study focuses on internal rather than external structures
that constrain Chinese leader.
3. Chinese Foreign Policy Decision-Making Structure
In the Chinese political system, the Communist Party of China (CPC) monopolizes decision-
making power. Above all the bureaucracy involved in foreign policy and administration, the CPC
has direct and ultimate control. Obtaining and analyzing data, enforcing policies, and making
suggestions to the CPC leaders are the main functions of bureaucracy (Zhao, 2023: 16).
Despite the existence of a wide range of political actors with different views and interests in
China, the Party is highly determinant in the formulation and implementation of foreign policy. The
Party functions has been and continue to be supreme over the state in every respect. The Chinese
Foreign Minister's meager authority and subservient status to the Party duties is a clear example
of how the Party functions still prevail over the State functions (Swanström, 2022: 28). The Ministry
of Foreign Affairs is not the most important body in shaping foreign policy in China's political
system. Therefore, the Chinese Foreign Ministers do not have the political prestige that their
counterparts in other countries have (Swanström, 2022: 17).
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China's authoritarian political system gives the CPC's leaders enormous power in
policymaking, including foreign policy. The highest body responsible for formulating policy is the
CPC Central Committee. However, they only get together once a year. Therefore, the Politburo and
the Politburo Standing Committee (PSC), which make decisions in the name of the Central
Committee, are the most effective bodies in policy making (Zhao, 2020: 86).
The PSC, the highest decision-making body in the Chinese political system, is composed of
top leaders. Its members hold the most important leadership positions such as president, prime
minister, and council chairmans (Xiao, 2013: 56). The PSC is the final decision-making body on
major foreign policy issues. It deals with urgent international events and crises (Jakobson and
Manuel, 2016: 103). Regarding the formulation of Chinese foreign policy, the Foreign Affairs Leading
Small Group (FALSG) is the most crucial structure. It acts as a liaison between the major
bureaucracies and the senior leadership in the foreign policy formation process (Duggan, 2020: 49-
50).
The paramount leader often serves as the CPC general secretary, has the power to call
Politburo meetings, and actively participates in foreign policy making. Therefore, China's foreign
policy is shaped by the vision, decision-making style, character, and preferences of its top leader
(Zhao, 2020: 86). CPC leaders always play a very important role in determining Chinese foreign
policy, formulating national security strategy and handling international crises (Zhao, 2020: 85).
While China's central government has considerable power, the Chinese party-state is not a
unified entity (Politi, 2022: 89). Leaders, bureaucrats, local governments, public opinion and
research institutes can be listed as the key actors in China's FPDM. China's foreign policy is
designed to support the Party's survival and the political-economic system (Lai, 2022: 32).
Over time, the formulation of China's foreign policy became more pluralistic (Yu and Ridout,
2021: 4). As to the 1982 constitution of China, individuals occupying these crucial leadership roles
were appointed to five-year terms, with a maximum of two terms. The collective leadership was
designed to avoid excessive concentration of political power in one or two individuals. It has made
China's domestic and foreign policies at least as predictable as those of democratic countries. This
system makes it possible for China to implement long-term strategies that enable it to achieve rapid
economic growth for a very long time (Xiao, 2013: 57).
Deng Xiaoping initiated collective leadership, pioneering China's institutionalization of
political decision-making. With the understanding of collective leadership, many different actors
influenced the formation and especially the implementation process of foreign policy decisions.
China's FPDM and implementation process had a very complex structure (Swanström, 2022: 24).
Collective leadership based on seeking consensus requires a negotiation process. The
negotiation process gives vested interest groups the opportunity to influence the senior leader's
views (Yu and Ridout, 2021: 4). Decision-making processes and political outcomes on non-critical
foreign policy issues are based on struggles for power and resources between actors with different
interests (Politi, 2022: 89). The increasing number of actors involved in China's foreign affairs has
led to a fragmented foreign policy decision-making process. The multi-actor and fragmented
structure slowed down foreign policy decision-making (Jakobson and Manuel, 2016: 101).
Deng Xiaoping strategy of compromise and sharing of power between the Party and the State
Council continued to shape foreign policy for a long time. Xi Jinping initiated a move away from
this system based on collective leadership (Swanström, 2022: 22). Although Xi has tried to replace
the collective leadership with his personal authority, he could not completely eliminate the multi-
actor and multi-structured decision-making process.
Contrary to popular belief, China is far from being a unitary player in international relations.
While China has an authoritarian political structure, the country's foreign policy formulation and
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implementation is a highly complex process rather than a single well-organized entity. Foreign
policy is shaped through a process of competition and negotiation between central government
agencies, provincial-level governments and large state-owned enterprises (SOEs) (Yu and Ridout,
2021: 18).
Each subnational actor has the ability to influence some of the critical foreign policy choices.
Even in spite of the Party's growing control over a multitude of enterprises and organizations.
China's rise to prominence in the world arena means that making foreign policy decisions now
require more time as well as expertise than it did in the past (Yu and Ridout, 2021: 18-19).
A fundamental change in China's foreign policy direction requires a fundamental shift in the
country's national development strategy and in the politics and ideology of the CCP (Keith, 2018:
258). The collective leadership system, on the one hand, ensures a collective leadership renewal; on
the other hand, system stability and increased predictability. This system prevents turmoil and
unrest and guarantees party continuity and a long period of stability (Hu, 2014: 71). The Chinese
political system does not allow leaders to come to power who would cause major upheavals in the
overall direction of the country.
4. Leader-Driven Foreign Policy Under Mao
As the PRC's founder, Mao Zedong was a charismatic and revolutionary figure. He usually
made decisions by himself and also sought to quell any dissent or criticism. Paying little attention
to institutional and other constraints, Mao made personal, top-down decisions based on his own
views (Zhao, 2020: 86-87).
Under Mao, foreign policy formation was subject to strong central control (Politi, 2022: 92).
Foreign policy was shaped by a core group of leaders within the CPC, with Mao as the key decision-
maker. Mao was the final decision-maker on critical issues such as China's international position
and security. On issues where Mao's knowledge was limited, key members within the CPC, in
addition to Mao, were decisive in the formulation and implementation of foreign policy (Duggan,
2020: 48).
China's decision to enter the Korean War was a good example of how influential Mao was in
decision-making. Despite serious opposition from the CPC leadership, Mao's determination was
decisive in sending Chinese troops into the Korean War in 1950 (Zhao, 2020: 87). The Sino-Indian
border war of 1962, the Taiwan Strait crises in 1954-1955, the Sino-Soviet border conflict in 1969
and the rapprochement with the United States in 1971, it was Mao Zedong who was decisive in
decision-making on critical foreign policy issues (Hu, 2019: 5).
Struggling for leadership of the world communist movement, Mao put China in the precarious
position of opposing both superpowers in the 1960s. In 1966, by initiating the Cultural Revolution,
he plunged China into national instability and essentially isolated the country from the world (Zhao,
2020: 87).
Remained in power for a lifetime, Mao did not hesitate to take decisions alone when necessary.
Although he did not directly intervene in day-to-day decisions, he personally determined important
foreign policy decisions (Zhao, 2023: 7).
Since the establishment of the PRC, all major foreign policy and national security decisions
were made by one man, Mao (Hu, 2019: 12). Mao was undoubtedly one of the most influential
leaders in shaping the long-term goals of Chinese foreign policy. He was also the architect of China's
sharply divergent foreign policies. The country's swing from one extreme to the other can be seen
as one of the most important indicators of Mao's personal power.
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Mao, especialy during the period between 1958-1976, centralized too much personal power,
and built an individual leadership (Hu, 2014: 27). During this period, Mao did not allow any person
or institution to remain in opposition to him. He managed to minimize any opposition to him. He
had great charisma as a revolutionary leader who unified China to a great extent by carrying out
the Chinese Revolution. In the context of the agent-structure debate, it can be said that the Leader
was more dominant in this period.
5. Decentralization of Foreign Policy Decision Making Process and Building Collective
Leadership: Deng Xiaoping
Deng Xiaoping had played important roles in the revolutionary process and led the army. He
had extensive experience ruling large areas of China at various times. He also had long-term
management experience in various high positions in Beijing (Vogel, 2021: 693). When Deng come
to power in 1978, China was a poor country that had to deal with many problems. Deng
implemented major reforms that would reshape the socio-economic structure of the country. He
laid the foundations for policies that would enable China to achieve tremendous economic
development in the following period (Vogel, 2021: 693).
Although Deng was the most important leader making strategic and essential decisions, but
he did not hold senior government positions. Although he controlled the army as chairman of the
Central Military Commission (CMC), he never held positions such as the Party general
secretary/chairman. Although Deng made major decisions personally and top-down, he initiated a
process of decentralization to transfer power to the bureaucracy. Reforming the decision-making
processes, he aimed to develop a collective leadership with a group of top leaders making joint
decisions (Zhao, 2020: 88). He respected constraints and sought to achieve his goals gradually.
Even though he was not in the top positions of the party or the government, he brought people he
trusted to important positions and became their mentor. Deng's reputation was built on his
extensive experience, network, and personal prominence (Zhao, 2023: 9).
Under Deng, principles and contents of Chinese foreign policy underwent a number of
significant shifts (Liu, 2003: 101). Unlike Mao, Deng Xiaoping saw peace and development as two
critical inclinations trends in the world. Deng made reforming and modernizing the economy a top
priority (Zhao, 2020: 87). With Deng, creating a peaceful international environment for
socioeconomic development became the main objective of Chinese foreign policy. In this context,
China attached great importance to “do not seek enemies” in its foreign relations (Liu, 2003: 101)
During the Deng era, China's foreign policy was primarily focused on advancing the country's
modernization objectives (Liu, 2003: 105). Modernization became China's most fundamental goal.
Achieving and maintaining a peaceful international environment necessary for economic
development became the main foreign policy goal. China opened its economy to the outside world
to benefit from the experience of developed countries. It pursued a low-profile foreign policyto
avoid the polarizing influence of the Cold War and to avoid creating enemies (Zhao, 2023: 9).
The reform and opening-up process initiated by Deng expanded China's foreign policy agenda
and brought an increasing number of new players into the foreign policy process (Zhao, 2020: 88).
Deng moved away from a foreign policy decision-making mechanism in which the personal authority
of the leader was decisive and towards an institutionalized process. During this period, critical
foreign policy decisions were still made by a core cadre of leaders. However, with the strengthening
of collective and institutionalized decision-making processes, the involvement of the party was
reduced and the effectiveness of the state bureaucracy was increased. During the Deng era, a
balance was struck between the party and the state bureaucracy in the formulation of foreign policy.
The party had a role in policy formulation, while the bureaucracy handled day-to-day relations with
the outside world. Mao's personal rule was replaced by a complex web of government and party
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organizations, research institutes, and other entities that came together to form the primary
decision-making structure in the foreign policy formation (Duggan, 2020: 50-51).
With the reform process, the cult of the one man disappeared. A collective decision-making
process was established in the foreign policy structure. A system based on professionalism and a
degree of pluralism was built (Hu, 2019: 12). With collective leadership, many power centers
emerged to coordinate and negotiate in the decision-making process. Foreign policy was therefore
the result of competition between focal centers with very different interests (Hu, 2019: 12).
With Deng, the foreign policy-making process changed from a highly centralized structure
shaped by a limited number of actors to a more decentralized system involving a large number of
actors (Duggan, 2020: 47). With the reforms initiated by Deng, the foreign policy-making process
became professionalized. The Chinese foreign policy-making process has evolved into a complex
intersectoral network involving a large number of organizations. Given this complex network, it is
unlikely that a single person or group can effectively control the foreign policy making process.
Chinese foreign policy is shaped by the process of competition and compromise between various
actors in this complex network (Duggan, 2020: 94).
Deng Xiaoping played an enormous role in the transformation of China's domestic and foreign
policy. The change Deng brought about in Chinese foreign policy was revolutionary. The role played
by the leaders who came after Deng has been evolutionary rather than revolutionary (Xiao, 2013:
57).
Having experienced what Mao's over-centralized power could lead to, Deng built a collective
leadership in which important decisions were made by majority consensus. With Deng, a system
emerged in which leader and internal structure mutually influenced each other.
6. Consolidation and Optimization of Collective Leadership: Jiang Zemin and Hu Jintao
Although Deng Xiaoping tried to replace the one-man decision-making model of the Mao era
with with collective leadership, he continued to make important decisions alone. A true collective
leadership in decision-making put into practice only after Deng's retirement in the early 1990s.
Jiang Zemin and Hu Jintao, Deng's successors, lacked his level of personal power. Often as high -
ranking Office holders, they played the role of first among equals. As a good practitioner of collective
leadership Jiang made sure that important issues were discussed among all members. He was
careful to ensure that decisions on critical issues were taken by consensus or at least by majority
vote among all participants in official meetings (Zhao, 2020: 88).
Jiang was far behind Mao and Deng in terms of personal authority and experience. Lacking a
strong personal agenda, Jiang tried to build a consensus among other prominent leaders and
institutions, and took an independent stance (Duggan, 2020: 51). Under Jiang and his successor
Hu Jintao, decision-making was dominated by technocrats. The dominance of professionals in
decision-making processes, institutional pluralism and the decentralization of power became the
main characteristics of the new era (Duggan, 2020: 51).
The leaders' role in Chinese foreign policy had become one of balancing the interests of
different actors (Duggan, 2020: 62). Although critical foreign policy decisions were taken by the
Politburo Standing Committee (PSC) within the framework of collective leadership, leaders played a
key role. During the Jiang and Hu periods, when collective leadership was exercised, leaders had
the final authority in making strategic and national security decisions. Because the understanding
of the principle of collective leadership allowed leaders to initiate, veto or approve foreign policy
decisions. The collective leadership was limited to bringing national security issues to the PSC for
collective decision-making. The leader was mostly in charge of everyday and routine tasks (Zhao,
2020: 88-89).
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With collective leadership, leaders were less likely to exercise direct control over issues other
than critical foreign policy issues. Rather, leaders tried to steer and coordinate the various actors,
often towards defined goals (Politi, 2022: 89). Foreign policy decision-making has evolved from a
top-down structure to a process shaped by complementary or competitive interactions between
diverse actors. In parallel with China's economic transformation, power and authority have been
horizontally distributed among various agencies (Politi, 2022: 90).
Collective leadership has enabled people from inside and outside the Party with experience in
foreign affairs to deal with China's increasing global engagement. The involvement of professionals
with more knowledge and skills has further strengthened China's governance capacity (Duggan,
2020: 52). Professionalization, pluralization of actors, and decentralization shifted the balance of
power in foreign policy making process. They strengthened the state bureaucracy's position and
institutionalized foreign policy decision-making (Duggan, 2020: 61-62). The institutionalization of
decision-making prevented arbitrariness and individualism in foreign policy decisions. It also made
China's international behavior more predictable (Zhao, 2023: 11).
The involvement of more actors in the decision-making process has also increased the
importance of public opinion in China's foreign policy making. Chinese leaders are forced to take
into account public sentiment on some critical issues, such as Taiwan. The Chinese public's
reaction to certain specific issues has become one of the most important constraints for the Chinese
government (Duggan, 2020: 56).
Jiang and Hu were practical leaders who followed the foreign policy directions set by Deng.
Focusing on China's economic development within the framework set by Deng, Jiang and Hu made
efforts for a long time to create a stable and peaceful external environment, which is of great
importance in China's modernization. Thanks to these leaders who sought to integrate China into
the broader international economy, China's international behavior became more pragmatic and
predictable (Zhao, 2020: 89).
Although China was in favor of a multipolar international system in the post-Cold War period,
it was trying to adapt to the US dominance in the system. Following Deng's low-profile foreign policy
strategy, Jiang avoided confrontation with the United States. He proposed the principles of
"enhancing confidence, reducing troubles, expanding cooperation and avoiding confrontation" to
put China-US relations on track. These principles reflected China's desire to coexist with the United
States, the sole hegemonic power (Zhao, 2020: 89).
In the 2000s, the main goals of Chinese leaders were to advance the country's modernization
and achieve national reunification. Defending international peace and promoting common
development were also key objectives (Liu, 2003: 104). Aware that the peaceful external environment
had created great opportunities for China to continue its economic development, Hu continued to
maintain the status quo and focus on internal stability (Zhao, 2020: 89). Continuing Deng's low-
profile foreign policy, Hu made it one of his main priorities to prevent the concerns created by
China's rapid rise in the international community. China put forward the principle of "peaceful rise"
to ensure that its rise would not create a situation to the detriment of other countries. When the
Hu administration realized that the term "rise" implied that China would become a superpower in
some countries, it began to use the expression "peaceful development" instead of "peaceful rise."
The meteoric rise of the Chinese economy has led to a major transformation in the socio-
economic structure of the country. China's economic and social structure has become increasingly
complex. This process has begun to be reflected in political decision-making. Think thanks, public
opinion, different interest circles began to influence China's foreign policy decisions. This led to a
more complex foreign policy decision-making process. Foreign policy decision-making became
multi-actor and multi-structured. Foreign policy decisions were largely based on consensus among
these multiple actors and structures.
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7. Recentralization Foreign Policy Decision Making Process: Xi Jinping
Xi Jinping came from a family that held high-level positions. He worked in rural areas during
the Cultural Revolution. Although he had extensive experience in different regions, he had not
worked in Beijing (Vogel, 2021: 693). Xi Jinping, who was 59 years old when he assumed power in
2013, had no prior professional experience in Beijing (Vogel, 2021: 694). Unfamiliar with the
bureaucracy operating in Beijing, Xi has asserted his personal authority.
Soon after taking over, Xi consolidated his power base, making himself the 'core' of the
leadership team. He has changed China's political structure from one based on collective and
technocratic leadership to one that is more authoritarian and focused on his personel authority
(Hu, 2019: 11). He has amassed an unparalleled level of power and influence, nearly matching those
of Deng Xiaoping and Mao Zedong, the great leaders (Hu, 2019: 15).
Through his campaign against corruption, Xi has eliminated many of his political rivals and
succeeded in placing his own loyal supporters in key positions. Thus, the collective leadership
approach that started to be implemented with Deng was replaced by personal leadership (Cuesta,
2021: 5). In the Chinese political system, Xi's growing power in decision-making is also due to the
fact that he has placed people with whom he personally has good relations in critical positions
(Swanström, 2022: 18).
In 2018, with the removal of the presidential term limit in the Chinese Constitution, Xi is now
in a position to remain in office indefinitely and in many ways continue to personally shape both
domestic and foreign policy (Lanteigne, 2020: 2). At the 20th Party Congress in 2022, President Xi
was reappointed for a third term as General Secretary of the Communist Party of China (CPC). Xi's
third term means more than an extension of his term in power. As an indicator of Xi's political
power, the third term implies that China's domestic and foreign policy will be changed and
implemented according to his political ambition and perception of current conditions (Gyu, 2022:
1).
Under Xi, decision-making power began to concentrate and centralize around the leader (Hu,
2019: 12). Xi has implemented institutional reforms to restructure Chinese foreign policy and the
national security apparatus, improving top-down planning, coordination and control (Hu, 2019:
13). President Xi has essentially taken on direct or indirect supervision over many crucial tasks,
notwithstanding the significance of numerous other state organizations (Swanström, 2022: 25).
With the consolidation of power and centralization efforts, Xi has assumed a dominant status and
unquestionable control over foreign policymaking. Xi's political dominance has been further
consolidated by his chairmanship of key foreign policy-making bodies (Lai, 2022: 50).
Xi has tried to centralize decision-making authority while involving more actors and
institutions in the decision-making process (Wang, 2017: 38). Decision-making power has become
more centralized, while participation has become more decentralized. Even though more
institutions and think tanks are involved in the FPDM, the select few under the leadership of Xi are
ultimately in charge of making all the major decisions (Wang, 2017: 35).
Established in 2013, the National Security Commission (NSC) is one of the most crucial
organizations since security and foreign policy are intertwined in the Chinese system. Its mandate
is to analyze all matters of foreign policy from a security perspective. This gives it the ability to have
an impact on a wide range of issues. The importance of the NSC for foreign policy stems not only
from its mandate but also from the seniority of its members. It is led by Xi and includes premier as
vice-chair in addition to 10 other members of the Politburo (Swanström, 2022: 17).
The Xi administration has changed the decision-making process to include more people in
the formulation of foreign policy while keeping ultimate authority (Wang, 2017: 42). Xi has created
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new institutions to exert greater influence and expand his sphere of control over the foreign policy-
making process. The Central Foreign Affairs Commission (CFAC), created in 2018, is an example of
this. CFAC was established to consolidate the leadership of the CPC and President Xi personally
(Swanström, 2022: 19). The CFAC is the most influential agency for decision-making on critical
issues and determining responses to international events (Xu, 2022: 67).
Xi's increased personal influence meant that the power of the state bureaucracy declined.
This led to Xi's personal visions becoming more decisive in foreign policy. Such a change, which
directly increased the leader's influence in foreign policy making, is considered as a return to the
Mao-era leadership (Duggan, 2020: 63).
The Xi administration's innovations have increased the leader's influence and reduced the
foreign ministry's decision-making power (Wang, 2017: 40-41). The Foreign Ministry's role has
diminished and is now mostly limited to representing the country abroad, negotiating treaties, and
carrying out the Party’s policies (Swanström, 2022: 19).
The move away from collective leadershipin foreign policy decision-making eliminates the
possibility to check Xi's power and soften his decisions (Jakobson and Manuel, 2016: 108). Xi's
efforts to assert his personal power have weakened China's institutional ability to manage foreign
policy formation. In the post-Xi era, it will become increasingly difficult to manage the competition
of different interests and interest groups in the decision-making process (Zhao, 2023: 17).
The centralization of China's foreign policy decision-making based on leadership has created
space for a decision-making process based on personality rather than knowledge and experience
(Berkofsky and Sciorati, 2022: 120). The pandemic showed how President Xi's model of
monopolising power has slowed down decision-making in the country's political system and led to
a paralysis of governance at the local level (Panda and Ding, 2021: 4).
Xi Jinping has not only amassed more power than his predecessors, but also has a strong
interest in foreign policy issues. Seeking to centralise power in his hands, Xi is the sole coordinator
of Chinese foreign and security policy (Jakobson and Manuel, 2016: 108). With President Xi taking
a close interest in foreign policy issues, the importance and power of foreign policy has increased
(Swanström, 2022: 13).
China's expanding influence and power have been used by Xi to pursue a more assertive
foreign policy. Xi has sought to transform Chinese foreign policy from the low-profile diplomacy to
proactive great power diplomacy (Zhao, 2020: 90). The Xi administration has adopted more assertive
policies on issues seen as China's core areas of interest (Swanström, 2022: 13).
Xi's foreign policy has been quite harsh on issues considered "core issues" for China, such as
territorial integrity, national sovereignty and non-interference in internal affairs. When it comes to
these issues, the Xi administration has not hesitated to clash with Western power. China responds
very harshly to criticism on issues such as human rights violations, Hong Kong and Taiwan. The
erosion in China's international reputation with the Covid-19 pandemic has brought "wolf warrior"
diplomats to the fore (Magri, 2022: 8).
In recent years, Chinese diplomats have adopted a rather harsh and sometimes aggressive
tone when responding to foreign criticism. The harsh rhetoric and attitudes of Chinese diplomats
have been called wolf warrior diplomacy (Lai, 2022: 46). China's assertive moves and rhetoric in the
East and South China Seas are considered as another manifestation of its wolf-warrior diplomacy
(Lai, 2022: 46). Wolf warrior diplomacy is another indication of an effort to move away from the low-
profile diplomacy practiced since Deng to assertive diplomacy (Lai, 2022: 46).
Demonstrating strong leadership, Xi has redefined the mission and vision of Chinese
diplomacy while restructuring the institutional structure of China's foreign policy decision-making
(Hu, 2019: 3). The Xi administration has increasingly adopted policies to showcase China's growing
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power. Adopting an increasingly active foreign policy, China's foreign relations have become more
globalized. More assertively defending China's national interests, the new administration has put
forward new proposals and initiatives on global governance (Hu, 2019: 3).
Xi, unwilling to passively adapt to the current Western-centered order, aims to create an
international order that is more suitable for his country's benefits (Magri, 2022: 7). China is trying
to maintain its influence in the region by further deepening regional cooperation with the countries
in its surroundings and offering alternatives to US-led initiatives. Similarly, Beijing is trying to
establish a balance between European Union and the US through various trade and cultural
agreements (Magri, 2022: 8).
Under Xi's leadership, the activism of Chinese diplomacy and foreign policy has increased,
the scope of contacts has expanded and new goals have been set (Hu, 2019: 9). Xi has tried to set
clearer goals for the country and China's visions for the global order. With China Dream”, he set
goals such as a modernized country by the 2030s and a modernized great power by 2050 (Hu, 2019:
8-9). Xi has endeavored to put forward China’s vision of future world as a rapidly rising great power.
In this context, he put forward the vision of "community of shared future for humanity". It also
proposed a “new type of international relations”. In addition to abstract proposals, he launched the
"Belt and Road Initiative" to establish a global economic network centered in China.
7.1. Structural and Other Constraints Limiting Xi Governance
President Xi's centralization and unification efforts have made him the most important actor
in foreign policy formulation. Decision-making is concentrated in the hands of a single leader to an
extent not seen since Mao. The power of actors other than the leader in the foreign policy-making
process has decreased significantly. This is not to argue that China formulates its foreign policy in
a monolithic manner below Xi. Numerous actors continue to influence the foreign policy making
and implementation process (Swanström, 2022: 15).
The Party and government institutions are central to foreign policy decision-making. Having
power and a certain degree of control over different actors further consolidates the Party's role in
decision-making processes. Nevertheless, decision-making and implementation processes are often
finalized as a result of compromise negotiations between a wide range of diverse actors. The degree
of consensus or coordination with other actors is particularly important in terms of influencing
foreign policy outcomes (Politi, 2022: 107). Despite President Xi's efforts to increase Party control,
China's foreign policy decision-making process remains complex (Yu and Ridout, 2021: 19).
China's ever-increasing global interaction has made the formation and decision-making
process of the country's foreign policy more complex. The number of agents and structures inside
and outside the country who have an interest and influence on China's foreign policy decision-
making has steadily increased since the Mao era. Unlike during the Mao and Deng eras, a much
larger number of actors and structures interact to shape Chinese foreign policy decisions today
(Duggan, 2020: 48). The Xi administration faces greater challenges than its predecessors to realize
its foreign policy goals.
Maintaining good diplomatic relations with actors in China's immediate surroundings and
with global actors remains a central element of the country's foreign policy. At the same time,
economic goals still continue to shape Chinese foreign policy. In fact, one of the most important
challenges facing China is to pursue a more active foreign policy while maintaining strong economic
relations with the West (Magri, 2022: 8).
The CPC maintains its dominance over the state in matters of foreign policy even after Xi's
reforms, but the Party's control over foreign policy actors remains limited. When it comes to foreign
policy, the current effort to centralize power is not as effective as expected (Magri, 2022: 9). There
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are some notable exceptions to the party's tendency toward centralization and power consolidation.
Some policy implementation falls within the scope of specialized institutions, the military, state-
owned enterpires, and local governments (Swanström, 2022: 19). Interest groups also continue to
influence the complex and pluralistic policy decision-making process. Instead of negotiating directly
with the government, interest groups have an impact on foreign policy through implementation (Xu,
2022: 67).
China’s economic rise allowed the country to integrate its economy into the global economy
and develop its position in the international arena (Berkofsky and Sciorati, 2022: 115). The process
of internationalization allowed domestic agencies to influence foreign relations by acquiring an
international presence or function (Politi, 2022: 92). Today, China's private sector has become the
main driver of the country's economic growth. They contribute around 60% of GDP and account for
70% of the country's innovation. They also provide 90% of new jobs (Politi, 2022: 99). Economic
development is still vital for regime survival at home and for a successful foreign policy abroad.
Actors with different interests therefore continue to influence decision-making processes.
With the acceleration of China's economic development, many new actors have been involved
in the foreign policy making and implementation process. Chief among these are private
entrepreneurs and an increasingly interested and vocal public (Swanström, 2022: 14). The
centralization of decision-making under President Xi Jinping has increased the influence of a small
group of senior officials in foreign policy making. Nevertheless, the actors involved in foreign policy
making are increasingly diverse. In particular, more actors have the capacity to influence the foreign
policy implementation process (Xu, 2022: 53). Centralization of decision-making does not mean
that foreign policy strategies do not undergo a robust and comprehensive planning process.
Centralization does not entail ignoring the interests of institutions that have open channels to raise
concerns and make suggestions (Xu, 2022: 61)
Xi's efforts to gain control over foreign policy decision-making have not been entirely
successful. Reforms since the Deng era have created a complex and multi-layered decision-making
process capable of handling China's growing global engagement. This system, created by long-term
reforms, is the most important structure limiting Xi's personal power. Attempts to increase Xi's
personal role in foreign policymaking have added new and additional layers to the foreign
policymaking process, further complicating the decision-making process (Duggan, 2020: 63-64).
With the increasing integration of the country's economy into the global economy, China's
interests have become increasingly internationalized. China's interest and involvement in
international affairs has steadily increased. The Party lacks the expertise and capacity to effectively
address all issues, leaving room for the intervention of other institutions and actors. The importance
of other actors is especially crucial in the process of implementing foreign policy decisions
(Swanström, 2022: 16). With a certain degree of economic autonomy, local actors continue to
influence China's foreign policy agenda, from border disputes to BRI (Yu and Ridout, 2021: 19).
Especially, SOEs have become key actors in strategic projects such as BRI (Politi, 2022: 91).
Numerous private campanies and state-owned enterprises play crucial roles in the implementation
phase of the initiative.
The BRI would promote economic integration on a global scale, especially in East Asia and
Southeast Asia. It would create new economic connections through transportation, energy,
communications and the flow of goods and services. Thus, the Initiative would strengthen China's
ties with other countries and provide a major platform to project its economic influence (Lai, 2022:
45). It is seen as China's most ambitious international strategy since 1978. The number of countries
and international organizations with which China has concluded various agreements within the
framework of the BRI has exceeded 100. China's trade with these countries has reached 5 trillion
dollars (Lai, 2022: 45).
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The realization of the BRI reflects how different interest groups influence foreign policy
implementation (Xu, 2022: 66). BRI has strengthened the international role of local governments
and firms. By transforming local actors into influential international actors, BRI has increased and
complicated the interaction between domestic and foreign policy (Yu and Ridout, 2021: 18).
Xi's control over foreign policy is preponderant rather than absolute. There are occasions
when Xi takes into account the views of other senior leaders (Lai, 2022: 48). Despite Xi's dominant
personality and widespread influence, critically important decisions are still made through collective
deliberation. Events critical to China's economic growth, issues that could affect the survival of the
regime, events that could affect the CPC's ability to govern, and strategies that could affect the
balance between the great power and thus the international system are still seen as requiring a
process of collective deliberation (Lai, 2022: 49).
Foreign policy decisions that have the potential to affect China's political regime and economic
development are well discussed at the highest levels of the Chinese leadership and are made in a
broader framework. While Xi's influence is evident in important decisions, he may not be the only
voice. China's attitude towards Russia's invasion of Ukraine is important in showing the limits of
Xi's influence in China's foreign policy making (Lai, 2022: 50-51).
President Xi initially favored a firm stance on Russia's side. However, moderate PSC officials
were worried about the dire political and economic consequences of China's strong support for a
Russian attack. Following the start of the war, China abstained from denouncing Russia and voiced
its opposition to NATO expansion. However, China called for a ceasefire, de-escalation, and a
diplomatic settlement to the conflict (Lai, 2022: 49).
The activism or revisionism that has become the defining feature of Chinese foreign policy
during the Xi administration focused mainly on changes in the internal workings of the country's
FPDM rather than the overall status quo. In fact, China has shown on many issues that it prioritizes
the stability of the world order in order to expand its network of worldwide partnerships (Berkofsky
and Sciorati, 2022: 116). In many crisis, China's position is that Beijing sees regional stability as
its main goal. This position can be seen as a continuation of China's traditional emphasis on
stability in global affairs (Berkofsky and Sciorati, 2022: 116).
The Xi administration is aware that relations based on trust building with other countries are
the main basis of China's power in foreign relations (Berkofsky and Sciorati, 2022: 117-118). Xi's
foreign policy is seen as more assertive, but it's not aggressive. President Xi, like his predecessors,
has placed extensive emphasis on peace and development, and has never mentioned the use of
force as a first option (Keith, 2018: 249).
Under Xi, China has faced a much more challenging international environment than under
the previous leaders. China faces increasingly serious challenges at home and abroad, regionally
and globally. The international environment facing the Xi administration has become more
challenging with the prospects of rising tensions with neighbors (Hu, 2019: 9).
Compared to his predecessors Jiang and Hu, Xi appears to be a more transformational leader.
Xi believes that China should take more responsibility in global affairs. Xi is acting more boldly in
foreign policy matters and is willing to take more risks to achieve his goals (Hu, 2019: 8).
Ezra Vogel (2021), who has done very important studies on Deng Xiaoping's leadership,
characterizes Deng as a macromanager and Xi as a micromanager (694). Playing the role of
macromanager, Deng could give great responsibilities to his subordinates and leave the details to
them. Xi has become a micromanager, creating and leading small groups to manage various issues.
He did control things more directly. He can be compared to Mao in his attempt to manage things
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more directly (Vogel, 2021: 694). However, this does not mean that Xi is the most influential leader
since Mao.
According to Vogel (2021) Deng had more control over government affairs than Xi, thanks to
his masterful knowledge from his extensive experience and the relationship of mutual trust with
the people he worked with (694). When the leaders' power is evaluated in terms of their influence
on the course of China's development, it is clear that Deng was much more successful in directing
China's development. When Deng came to power in 1978, the economy was not in good shape. The
impact of the turmoil created by the Cultural Revolution was still ongoing. Social and economic
turmoil was felt deeply. Deng made radical changes that were essential for China's development
(Vogel, 2021: 695). Deng had greater influence in shaping overall policies. Deng was able to bring
about major changes and transformations because he had a large experienced bureaucracy ready
to implement his macro policies. He was able to design and implement changes that not only
dramatically altered the historical development of the country, but also had a major impact on
shaping China's future (Vogel, 2021: 696).
Compared to previous leaders, Xi Jinping leads a more powerful country, allowing him to take
a stronger stance in relations with other countries. He also has more direct personal control over
daily policies. He is also doing more to shape policies in local areas (Vogel, 2021: 696). There was a
balance between the most prominent leaders and other frontline leaders in Chinese political system.
Xi, who has maintained his power without sharing it with any other prominent leader or rival, has
become one of the most untouchable leaders after Mao. By assuming leadership in all important
positions, big and small, Xi is well on his way to building his own personal cult (Zhao, 2023: 14).
Since taking office, Xi has taken many steps to increase his personal power in political
decision-making. Xi, who believes that collective leadership makes decision-making difficult and
prevents China from being effective in the international arena, has instead sought to build an
effective system that would increase his personal power. While Xi's attempts have been successful
to a certain extent, they have been limited. While collective leadership has eroded to some extent,
it remains the sole decision-making mechanism on critical issues. As one of the world's largest
economies and one of the largest commercial actors, China's political decision-making process is
very complex. China's complex political system does not allow a single person to dominate decision-
making. Although Xi has more power and influence in decision-making than his predecessors, the
decisions that will shape the future of the party and the country are made by collective leadership.
In the context of the agent-structure debate, although the leader's influence has increased under
Xi, the internal structure seems to limit Xi to some extent. China's foreign policy-making process is
still multi-actor and multi-structured.
8. Conclusion
As one of the most important leaders of the revolution, Mao had a strong charisma as the
founder of the PRC. He personally made significant foreign policy decisions, even if he did not
actively participate in daily choices. He did not allow the existence of any person or organization
that could oppose him. He is one of the most important leaders who shaped China's long-term
foreign policy goals. The Mao era was a period of leader dominance. It has been a period of constant
reshaping of the internal structure by the leader to minimize any opposition to him.
As the most charismatic and experienced leader of the post-Mao era, Deng carried out very
important reforms that have reshaped the country's economy and foreign policy. Deng's authority
stemmed from his personal characteristics, connections, and experiences. With Deng, economic
development has become the top priority of domestic and foreign policy. Deng eliminated the cult
of the individual in decision-making. Having experienced that Mao's overly-centralized power led to
disasters, Deng built a collective leadership that required consensus among senior leaders. Deng
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built a multi-actor and multi-structured decision-making mechanism in which leader and internal
structure mutually influence each other.
The Chinese economy has made a huge economic leap forward and has achieved a great
integration with the world economy. With internationalization of Chinese economy, many new actors
and structures have become involved in the foreign policy-making process. As many new and
complex foreign policy issues requiring expertise emerged, the role of advisors, bureaucrats and
experts increased. Foreign policy decisions were no longer determined by a vertical hierarchy but
by horizontal coordination of different interests.
After Xi Jinping took office, he sought to concentrate power in his hands. By launching a
massive anti-corruption campaign, Xi has seized the opportunity to eliminate his rivals. Pushing
aside the concept of collective leadership that Deng tried to build, Xi tried to rebuild the image of a
strong leader. At the National People's Congress in 2018, he was successful in amending the
Constitution to remove the presidential term restriction.
China's increasing economic power is the physical basis for the country to adopt an assertive
and confident foreign policy. At the same time, however, China's need to sustain economic
development necessitates a soft foreign policy. It requires China to conduct its foreign relations on
a peaceful basis that prioritizes compromise. On the one hand, the country's economic strength has
paved the way for Xi to adopt a more assertive foreign policy approach, while on the other hand, the
vital need to sustain economic development is the most important factor limiting his assertiveness.
Despite Xi's consolidation of power in decision-making process, China's stance on vital foreign
affairs issues is decided together with senior leaders. A collective deliberation process may still be
required for the most critical foreign policies, particularly those that impact the party-state's future.
It was only through such a collective discussion that China's attitude towards Russia's invasion of
Ukraine could be determined.
The development and execution of China's foreign policy involves a wide range of institutions
and stakeholders. Influential players compete fiercely for policies favorable to their interests. The
BRI is a good example of vested interest groups in the Chinese political system competing to
influence foreign policy decisions and implementation. Despite Xi has concentrated authority inside
the CPC, various actors with different interests still retain varying degrees of autonomy and capacity
to influence the formulation and implementation of foreign policy.
Xi is attempting to reshape China's foreign policy and is setting out global visions that will
redefine the country's international position. However, in doing so, he is trying to emphasize his
personal power. In the post-Xi era, it is vital to build an institutional structure to sustain his
principles and visions. Deng made the greatest contribution to shaping Chinese foreign policy in
the long term, building an institutionalized decision-making mechanism, even though he was the
ultimate decision-maker on critical issues. Deng's strength was based on the existence of an
institutional structure that shared his ideals and sustained them after him. The same cannot be
said for Xi Jinping. Although Xi has tried to redesign China's diplomacy, he has not been able to
build an institutional structure that shares his ideals. His continued emphasis on personal power
is one of the most important factors limiting Xi's influence on the future of the country and its
foreign policy.
Instead of sharing his power with other leaders or institutions, Xi seeks to increase his
personal authority. By centralizing decision-making, Xi has become the most powerful leader since
Mao. This does not mean that Xi is the most influential leader in foreign policy making. Although
Xi has tried to consentrate more power in his hand, he could not completely eliminate the multi-
actor and multi-structured decision-making process. In the long run, Mao and Deng have been
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much more decisive in shaping Chinese foreign policy than Xi. In fact, it can be said that Deng was
the most decisive leader in the formation of today's China.
Despite Xi's attempts to centralize power, China's multi-actor, multi-structured decision-
making mechanism continues to exist. China's complex socio-economic structure and complex
political structure no longer allow for a single leader to dominate. Therefore, those who see Xi as
the new Mao, based on some of his centralization initiatives, ignore the changes and transformation
that China experienced since 1978. Although Xi has more power and influence than his
predecessors, vital decisions affecting the country's economic development and future continue to
be made through the mechanism of collective leadership. While the leader's influence and power
have increased to some extent, policy decision-making remains a mechanism in which the leader
and the internal structure mutually influence and shape each other.
Statement of Support and Appreciation: This research did not receive any external support.
Declaration of Researcher’s Contribution Rate: The author is entirely responsible for the research.
Conflict Declaration: The author of the research does not declare any conflict of interest.
Research and Publication Ethics Statement: All rules specified in the "Higher Education Institutions Scientific
Directive" were followed at every stage of this research. None of the actions specified under the heading “Actions Contrary to
Scientific Research and Publication Ethics” of the directive have been carried out. During the writing process of this study,
citations were made in accordance with ethical rules, and a bibliography was created. The work has been checked for
plagiarism.
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Chapter
Xi Jinping has consolidated much of the power in the Chinese system, and his foreign policy is no different from other areas. On the contrary, President Xi has been very involved in foreign policy issues, and he has made a personal commitment to this sphere. Since he took power in 2013, there have been reforms in most areas of the Chinese State, with the regions, armed forces, and State functions increasingly subordinated to the Party and Xi’s power. With China increasingly assertive, and even aggressive, towards foreign states and their sovereign decisions that China interprets as going against Chinese interests, China’s foreign policy has increased in importance. Foreign affairs have become a more crucial power base, not least since the establishment of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) and the economic and political gains that could be carved out for individual actors.
Chapter
This chapter expands on Xi’s impact on China’s foreign policy process. The author recognises the President’s unique imprint on the country’s decision-making, while identifying the transmission of Xi’s goals and style to the highest levels of the country’s diplomatic force. This element ensures that some form of collegiality remains in the foreign policy process. The author suggests this collegiality still plays a crucial role in foreign policy deliberations – especially in critical cases like the Ukraine invasion – thus constituting a limit to Xi’s power centralisation.
Article
This article compares Xi Jinping with Deng Xiaoping from two perspectives: first, how their differing backgrounds influenced how they played the role. Second, how the situation of China in 1978 when Deng became the top leader differed from the situation in 2013 when Xi became the top leader and how this influenced the way they played their role.
Chapter
This chapter examines how actors and structures make foreign policy an extremely complicated field of study and how, in view of this complexity, these actors and structures have been treated in the literature on foreign policy analysis. It first provides a historical background on the field of foreign policy before discussing the role of actors and structures in ‘process’ and ‘policy’ approaches to foreign policy. In particular, it describes approaches to foreign policy based on a structural perspective, namely: realism, neoliberal institutionalism, and social constructivism. It then considers evaluates approaches from an actor-based perspective: cognitive and psychological approaches, bureaucratic politics approach, new liberalism, and interpretative actor perspective. The chapter also looks at the agency–structure problem and asks whether an integrated framework is feasible before concluding with a recommendation of how to resolve the former in terms of a constructive answer to the latter.
Chapter
China’s foreign policy must rely on opaque and behind-the-scenes coordination organs to work through a large number of bureaucratic agencies of the state, party, and military, whose primary roles are information gathering and the implementation and recommendation of policy. In addition, some new players, such as think tanks, media, local governments, and transnational corporations, have played a variety of roles to influence China’s foreign policy. This chapter examines the evolving role of the paramount leader, the foreign policy coordination and elaboration organs, the bureaucracies, and the new players in the making and transformation of China’s foreign policy. Providing a historical overview, it also observes how President Xi Jinping has centralized and personalized foreign policy making power in the name of strengthening a unified party leadership.
Article
This book explains why conflict exists among Chinese foreign-policy actors in Africa and argues against the concept that China has a grand strategy in relation to Africa. It does so by examining Sino-African relations by focusing on how China’s Africa policy is constructed and implemented concluding that a large number of actors are active in its formulation and implementation. The book argues that China’s Hegemonic Political Discourse (HPD), the goal of achieving a Harmonious Society and later the Chinese Dream through the Scientific Concept of Development, has dominated Chinese political discourse. It is this HPD that acts as the structural imperative that allows for collective action in the Chinese foreign-policy process in Africa rather than a Chinese grand strategy since the actors are unwilling to break the social norms of the collective process for fear of exclusion. This book will be of great interest to China watchers and those eager to understand how China's rise will impact the developing world. Niall Duggan is a lecturer in the Department of Government and Politics at University College Cork, He was the Acting-Chair of Modern Chinese Society and Economy at Georg-August-Universität Göttingen and lecturer at the Institute of East Asian Politics, Ruhr Universität Bochum.