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Received: 20 December 2023 / Accepted: 26 August 2024 / Published online: 3 September 2024
© The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature B.V. 2024
Pauls Zeltiņš
pauls.zeltins@silava.lv
1 Latvian State Forest Research Institute (LSFRI) Silava, Rigas Street 111, Salaspils
LV2169, Latvia
Repeated Lophodermium needle cast has a cumulative
impact on the growth of Scots pine for up to 12 years
ĀrisJansons1· PaulsZeltiņš1· UnaNeimane1· SilvaŠēnhofa1·
RaitisRieksts-Riekstiņš1
New Forests (2024) 55:1887–1898
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11056-024-10067-5
Abstract
The study investigates the long-term impact of Lophodermium needle cast on open-polli-
nated Scots pine progenies in Latvia. A signicant impact of cumulative needle cast dam-
age on growth and survival was found. Notably, 51% of trees experienced severe damage
after the 4th growing season. Genetic factors played a role in survival at 12 years. Height
growth was signicantly aected, with height at age 3 and cumulative needle cast dam-
age as key predictors for heights at ages 12 and 16. Genetics demonstrated a substantial
impact, with heritability coecients of 0.25 for cumulative needle cast damage and 0.24
for height, and negative genotypic correlations (rG ≥ -0.71) between the traits. Selecting
the top 10% families based on height at 12 years yielded a 14.2% improvement in height
and a simultaneous 8.4% reduction in cumulative needle cast damage, enhancing survival
by 9.8%. Thinning somewhat mitigated the negative eect of needle cast. The ndings
highlight the need for adaptive forestry strategies in the Baltic Sea region.
Keywords Foliar disease · Tree breeding · Adaptive forest management · Forest
resilience
Introduction
The resilience of boreal forests in the face of challenges associated with increasing dis-
turbances is a critical consideration in sustainable forestry practices. Enhancing resilience
involves a multifaceted approach, encompassing genetic considerations, silvicultural mea-
sures, and adaptive management strategies (Thiault et al. 2023). Considering the impacts
of natural disturbances such as insect and pathogen outbreaks is crucial in the planning of
forest management, given their substantial eects on productivity and the provision of eco-
system services (D’Amato et al. 2023). This becomes particularly important as projections
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