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Disrupt With Impact
This document is an excerpt of Disrupt With Impact:
Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World,
by Roger Spitz.
This excerpt of Disrupt With Impact includes:
Table of Contents Page 3
Introduction Page 5
Endorsements for Disrupt With Impact Page 8
Selected Quotes from Disrupt With Impact Page 10
Detailed Table of Contents and Chapter Abstracts for Disrupt With Impact Page 11
Disrupt With Impact, Roger Spitz, Kogan Page, 2024 www.DisruptWithImpact.com 1
Learn more about the book at www.disruptwithimpact.com
Disrupt With Impact Overview
Title: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
Citation: Spitz, R. Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable
World. Kogan Page: London, 2024.
Synopsis: Navigate confidently through uncertain futures to thrive in unpredictability with
practical strategies, proven frameworks, and impactful guidance from a leading global futurist
and venture capitalist.
About the book: Disruption’s far-reaching effects are inevitable, bringing both
unprecedented challenges and opportunities to creatively shape our futures. Disrupt
With Impact is the ultimate guide to thriving in today’s complex business landscape. It
empowers you to navigate escalating uncertainty and relentless change by rethinking
strategic decision- making. Covering major challenges such as the energy transition, AI,
cybersecurity and geopolitics, this book is your compass for exploring the uncharted waters of
the future. These paradigm shifts will redistribute trillions of dollars, presenting opportunities
for immense value creation, while those clinging to business as usual face growing risks of
value destruction. Through fascinating research and original frameworks, Disrupt With Impact
offers the knowledge and confidence you need to lead your business through disruption.
Key features at a glance:
● Offers actionable guidance on how anticipatory leaders can empower their business to
adapt, innovate, and develop strategies to prepare for future disruptions and emerging
technologies such as AI, climate tech, cybersecurity, and biotech.
● Features practical frameworks and compelling real-world case studies to foster reader
confidence in strategic planning and sustainable value creation for disruptive futures.
● The Disruptive Thinking CanvasTM, our proprietary toolkit. Designed as your roadmap
to imagine, invent, and prototype the futures, the Disruptive Thinking Canvas offers
actionable methodologies to leverage disruption and drive change.
● Written by a leading futurist and authority on foresight, innovation, and sustainability,
drawing upon decades of expertise as a venture capitalist and thought leader.
Bulk & Bespoke Orders:
We offer bulk and custom orders for Disrupt With Impact, including:
● Competitive discounts for businesses looking to bulk-order copies
● Adding your company logo to the cover
● Designing a bespoke cover
● Adding a message, foreword, or promotional page
● Combining material and extracts from multiple books and/or including your own
content
● Any other ideas we haven’t mentioned here
For bulk and custom orders, please reach out to info@disruptivefutures.org
Disrupt With Impact, Roger Spitz, Kogan Page, 2024 www.DisruptWithImpact.com 2
TABLE OF CONTENTS FOR DISRUPT WITH IMPACT
Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World by Roger Spitz
(2024)
ISBN: 978 1 3986 1688 2
Introduction
PART ONE. Disruption has always existed – what’s different now?
Chapter 1. Exploring the dual nature of disruption: Challenges and possibilities
Chapter 2. Embracing new mindsets for thriving on uncertainty and disruption
Chapter 3. Scanning the horizon: What’s changing and what’s staying the same
Chapter 4. Tools for navigating and anticipating disruption
PART TWO. How to drive systems innovation and transformational change
Chapter 5. Disruption as a springboard for creating impact and value
Chapter 6. Harnessing systems innovation to solve our complex challenges
Chapter 7. Greenaissance: Value creation for sustainable futures
Chapter 8. The next chapter of digital disruption: Industries converge and new fields emerge
PART THREE. The future of artificial intelligence, strategic decision-making and
technology
Chapter 9. Evaluating next-order impacts of exponential technologies
Chapter 10. Our AAA framework: A survival guide for staying relevant in the age of AI
Chapter 11. Info-ruption: The internet of existence, cyber insecurity and disrupted
information
PART FOUR. Unleash your disruptive thinking
Chapter 12. The Disruptive Thinking Canvas: Invent the future today
What this book is… not: Disrupt With Impact is not about fleeting trends, specific
predictions, or the latest technology fads. The world does not need another generic
techno-optimist book narrowly focused on formulaic innovation or business optimization
recipes. Disrupt With Impact prioritizes signals over noise, investigating the fundamentals that
propel change and evaluating their impacts.
Disrupt With Impact, Roger Spitz, Kogan Page, 2024 www.DisruptWithImpact.com 3
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Roger Spitz (BSc Econ, MSc, FCA, APF) is a bestselling author and world-leading authority on
strategic foresight and systems innovations. Spitz has given hundreds of keynotes globally, is
frequently published and quoted, and has guest lectured at many of the world’s most prestigious
institutions. He serves on multiple boards focused on anticipatory governance, sustainability, AI
and ethics, venture capital (VC) and academia.
Spitz is President of Techistential, the pre-eminent foresight practice, which advises CEOs,
founders, boards and shareholders on evaluating their organizations’ strategy under uncertainty,
anticipating disruptions ahead and sustainable value creation. Spitz is also Chair of the
Disruptive Futures Institute (DFI) in San Francisco, an expert advisor to the World Economic
Forum’s Global Foresight Network, and sits on the Teach The Future board. Spitz lectures and
publishes widely on anticipatory leadership, futures intelligence and strategic foresight. He
authored five books, including the acclaimed collection The Definitive Guide to Thriving on
Disruption, and his frameworks have featured in Fast Company, Gartner, INC. Magazine,
Institute of Directors, MIT Technology Review, WIRED and World Economic Forum.
Renowned for his pioneering work in climate foresight, with bestselling books on green business
and sustainable development, Spitz is a Climatebase Fellow and board member of Lux Carbon
Standard (Brazil’s first carbon credit certifier). Spitz’s DFI Sustainability & Climate Academy
equips leaders to accelerate the energy transition for sustainable futures through transformative
change and capacity building for resiliency.
A recognized expert, speaker and investor in the AI field, Spitz founded the Techistential Center
for Human & Artificial Intelligence, and is known for coining the term ‘techistentialism’. Spitz
writes extensively on the future of AI and strategic decision-making, serves on the AI Council of
the Indian Society for Artificial Intelligence and is a CogX Ambassador.
A strong supporter of the startup ecosystems, he is partner at Vektor Partners (impact venture
capital, Palo Alto and London), and LP investor and advisor of Berkeley SkyDeck’s fund. Spitz
was the former Global Head of Technology M&A with BNP Paribas, where he advised on over
50 transactions with deal value of $25 billion. He launched the bank’s US M&A practice in San
Francisco and built its European Technology & Digital Investment Banking advisory franchises
in London and Paris.
Bilingual English and French, Spitz has lived in 10 different cities across three continents.
Disrupt With Impact, Roger Spitz, Kogan Page, 2024 www.DisruptWithImpact.com 4
INTRODUCTION OF DISRUPT WITH IMPACT
As we learn to navigate increasingly fast-paced and complex environments, we must extend our
gaze beyond the immediate horizon. We need to anticipate the underlying forces that will shape
the futures and understand how these transformations can create cascading effects. The true
impact of innovation isn’t in its disruptiveness; rather, it lies in its ability to ignite hope, unlock
new possibilities and catalyse positive transformations across systems.
I’ve dedicated my career to advising boards, leadership teams and investors on strategy under
uncertainty. As the president of Techistential, a leading climate and foresight consultancy, and in
my capacity as chair of the Disruptive Futures Institute, I empower organizations to become
future-savvy.
With over two decades as the global head of technology mergers and acquisitions at a leading
investment bank and partner in a venture capital impact fund, my insights have been shaped by
a relentless pursuit of understanding the core drivers of change to create sustainable value.
This book will provide you with a deep comprehension of decision-making amid uncertainty,
anticipating disruptions and sustaining competitiveness.
In these pages you’ll find distilled futures intelligence garnered from advising some of the most
prestigious organizations in the world. This book does not rely on established knowledge. It
discards tired and outdated formulas, recognizing the diminishing effectiveness of pre-cooked
playbooks in our unpredictable world. This is a guide to embracing the futures with resilience
and foresight.
This book is not about either trends or the latest technology fads. The world does not need
another generic techno-optimist book focused on formulaic innovation or business optimization
recipes. Instead of chasing fleeting trends, we prioritize signals over noise, investigating the
fundamentals that propel change. We view disruption systemically, transcending the passing
technological hypes emanating from Silicon Valley.
The more I investigate the essence of our world, the more I realize that our systems are not just
fragile, but outright ineffective. Everything in our world is constantly evolving – except our
organizations, strategies and governance structures. Too often, we act on flawed assumptions,
believing in a world that is predictable, linear, stable and controllable. But the cost and missed
opportunities from these misconceptions are on the rise.
This book explores opportunities, risks, strategies and tactics to remedy this lack of resiliency. It
offers practitioner frameworks and real-world insights to enhance foresight and decision-making
in addressing major disruptions, from sustainability and artificial intelligence to geopolitical shifts
and cybersecurity risks. Let it serve as your guide for confidently navigating through the
turbulent waters of change in the increasingly interconnected yet fragmented global landscape.
Be empowered to overcome challenges and seize new opportunities for success and growth.
Disrupt With Impact, Roger Spitz, Kogan Page, 2024 www.DisruptWithImpact.com 5
We will learn to decipher the true nature of the world, not oversimplified narratives engineered
for short-lived influence, control and commercial gains. Instead of viewing the future as
predetermined or singular, we embrace multiplicity – there are many possible futures in our
dynamic world of constant flux. Our anticipatory thinking focuses on enhancing preparedness
for diverse scenarios that may unfold, rather than attempting to predict the inherently
unpredictable future. We don’t overemphasize the future at the expense of the present, because
the present is our only tangible reality.
We imagine the future as a tool to inform today’s actions and short-term decisions. Faced with
relentless change and escalating uncertainty, we empower you with essential tools – principles,
concepts and mindsets – in an era of ambient disruption. Imagine navigating uncharted waters
with a compass calibrated for the unpredictable. This book provides that compass to actively
create meaningful change in a world where every swerve feels like nothing that’s ever happened
before.
Across all aspects of business and society there is no shortage of events which are presented
as ‘historic’, ‘unique’ or ‘unprecedented’. Maybe there should be new parameters for
‘unprecedented’, as it becomes the norm. In this environment, we can only make relevant
decisions by anticipating what might arise, unshackled from the steady state that has been.
Join me on a journey to traverse the ever-evolving landscape of uncertainty. Along the way, we’ll
discover perspectives that empower us to shape our futures. Together, let’s embark on a quest
to anticipate and prepare for the uncharted challenges ahead while driving impactful change.
The book is organized into four parts.
Part One: Disruption has always existed – what’s different now? In this initial section, we
reframe disruption and delve into its dual nature, uncovering both challenges and possibilities.
We learn the language of change, adopting new mindsets essential for thriving amidst ambient
disruption. By scanning the horizon, we identify elements of constancy and discontinuity,
equipping ourselves with early warning systems to anticipate inflection points.
Part Two: How to drive systems innovation and transformative change. In Part Two we unpack
how to achieve systems-level change to create sustainable value. Surface-level innovations fall
short in addressing the complexity of our challenges. As the world’s fundamental paradigms are
increasingly changing, we need to account for constant disruption, which is giving rise to
monumental shifts in value and business models. Those who fail to embrace sustainable
change risk irrelevance. To use systemic disruption as a springboard for creating impact and
value, we need to be antifragile, learn from the software industry to beta test our ideas and think
across varying time horizons. In this context, we delve into the Greenaissance – an era marked
by renewal, momentous innovation and investment opportunities, all aligned with the common
goal of achieving a sustainable energy transition. We also explore how the clearly delineated
‘sectors’ of yesterday are disappearing, as industries converge and new fields emerge.
Part Three: The future of artificial intelligence, strategic decision-making and technology. This
section examines the defining technologies of the upcoming decade and their potential for
Disrupt With Impact, Roger Spitz, Kogan Page, 2024 www.DisruptWithImpact.com 6
growth, disruption and unintended consequences. We dive into the profound impact of artificial
intelligence on strategic decision-making. We also examine ‘info-ruption’ – a radical shift in the
disruption of information, presenting new phenomena like weaponized disinformation and global
cybersecurity threats. At the core of our investigation lies the antifragile, anticipatory and agility
framework. These essential skills are key to decision-making in an increasingly unpredictable
world where machines continuously learn.
Part Four: Unleash your disruptive thinking. This final chapter introduces our practitioner
Disruptive Thinking CanvasTM. Disruption creates space for novelty, opening doors for fresh
approaches. Uncertainty and fast-changing environments drive new opportunities and gaps.
Disruptive thinking allows you to find those gaps and explore them to invent the future today.
Our proprietary Disruptive Thinking Canvas is your dynamic road map – a process to design,
implement and drive disruption for yourself, your projects or your organization. It’s not just a
canvas; it’s your actionable toolkit to uncover and create disruptive futures on your terms, with
tools designed to develop new mindsets for driving impact.
Disrupt With Impact, Roger Spitz, Kogan Page, 2024 www.DisruptWithImpact.com 7
ENDORSEMENTS FOR “DISRUPT WITH IMPACT”
Few subjects are as crucial as those covered in “Disrupt With Impact”, and no one understands them
better than Roger. As value is either destroyed or created through change, this book is essential
reading for leadership teams and investors to ensure sustainable value creation in a fast-changing
world.
Sebastian Bihari, Venture Capitalist & General Partner, Vektor Partners
“Disrupt With Impact” is a must-read for anyone navigating uncertainty. Roger Spitz masterfully
equips decision-makers for the steep slopes, crevasses and hazards of the world’s fast-changing
environments. There are no better frameworks to help build resilience for the shocks while seizing
the windows of opportunities as you creatively shape your future.
Benedikt Böhm, Executive Board Oberalp, CEO Dynafit & Extreme Ski Mountaineer
Organizations more than ever need to be vigilant about navigating uncertainty and disruption… their
relevancy is at stake if they don’t! Roger’s Disruptive Thinking Canvas is an essential practice all
organizations need to employ if they want to shape the future with impact and be around to see it.
This is the “go to” guidebook for businesses who want to successfully navigate the modern world.
Kara Cunzeman, Director of Strategic Foresight at the Aerospace Corporation,
Co-Founder and Chair of the Federal Foresight Advocacy Alliance, and Director of the
U.S. Hub for Teach the Future
Uncertainty, disruptions, cascading change... Roger is uniquely qualified to address these
challenges. Backed by fascinating research, practical frameworks, and his original Disruptive
Thinking Canvas, Roger’s latest book “Disrupt With Impact” is your operating manual for
unpredictability.
Cathy Hackl, Tech Futurist, Author, and CEO of Spatial Dynamics
“Disrupt With Impact” makes the case for organizational leaders to adopt new ways to anticipate and
act in an era of exponential change. Old methods no longer suffice in our hyperconnected world.
Roger gives readers the tools to flourish through systemic disruption.
David Jonker, Vice President, Head of SAP Insights Research Center
Roger Spitz’s “Disrupt With Impact” is a roadmap to visionary leadership, and he is the guide we
need. Spitz encourages leaders to think not only about surviving the next wave of disruption but
about shaping it to their advantage — and for the greater good.
Michael J. Keegan, Leadership Fellow & Host, The Business of Government Hour, IBM
Center for The Business of Government
Disrupt With Impact, Roger Spitz, Kogan Page, 2024 www.DisruptWithImpact.com 8
“Disrupt With Impact” is a compelling book that illuminates the complexities of our uncertain world.
Through engaging examples, Roger skillfully provides practical insights that resonate deeply with
today’s fast-paced environment. Whether you're a seasoned professional or just starting your
journey in strategic foresight, “Disrupt With Impact” provides tools to not only survive, but excel.
Quentin Ladetto, Swiss DoD, Head of Technology Foresight and co-founder of
atelierdesfuturs.org
Today, boards are operating in uncharted territory and navigating through unprecedented challenges
and uncertainties. It is now crucial for them to learn how to turn disruptions into opportunities,
leveraging innovation and strategic foresight to drive sustainable growth and resilience. “Disrupt With
Impact” by Roger Spitz is a perfect guide for our boardroom community. It provides comprehensive,
sector-specific insights that are crucial for today’s leaders. The book introduces new concepts for
governance through engaging case studies and well-explained nuances.
Manoj K Raut, CEO & Secretary-General, Institute of Directors, India
Roger has done it again! “Disrupt With Impact” is an indispensable guide for navigating today's
unpredictable business landscape. Roger provides actionable strategies and profound insights that
empower leaders to make tough decisions with confidence. Truly a must-read for anyone looking to
thrive in the face of constant change.
Jake Sotiriadis, Director, the Center for Futures Intelligence, National Intelligence
University
Roger Spitz is a visionary in strategic foresight and systems innovation, whose insights have
consistently pushed the boundaries of what’s possible in business and technology. Having known
him from Singularity University, I have seen firsthand his ability to inspire and challenge leaders to
think deeply about sustainable futures. His book “Disrupt With Impact” is a vital resource for anyone
aiming to navigate and thrive amidst disruption.
Pinak Kiran Vedalankar, Global Technology Leader
Roger, with his unique multi-lens perspective, offers insights on embracing disruption as a frequent
phenomenon that can both destroy and create value. “Disrupt With Impact” provides a practical
roadmap for leaders aiming to strengthen their ‘impossibility muscles’ and make the world a better
place.
Doris Viljoen, Director: Institute for Futures Research at Stellenbosch Business School
Combining strategic foresight and systems dynamics principles, “Disrupt With Impact” offers a
framework and tools for confidently moving ahead in an uncertain world. Readers will find value in
case studies on business themes from bluetech to open banking, lessons from successes and
failures, and new opportunities. This book will help you to harness gray rhino challenges ahead in
order to become a disruptive force for good — instead of being trampled.
Michele Wucker, author of The Gray Rhino
Disrupt With Impact, Roger Spitz, Kogan Page, 2024 www.DisruptWithImpact.com 9
SELECTED QUOTES FROM “DISRUPT WITH IMPACT”
“The true impact of innovation isn’t in its disruptiveness; rather, it lies in its ability to ignite hope, unlock new
possibilities and catalyse positive transformations across systems.”
…
“Imagine navigating uncharted waters with a compass calibrated for the unpredictable.”
…
“Disruption is no longer a single or recurring event, but a steady state expanding its impact. The single most
dangerous mistake is looking at disruption as isolated cases or independent episodic events.”
…
“Relying on probabilities, certainties or crystal balls will fail us. Put simply, there is no data on the future.”
…
“The impacts of disruption depend on your perspective, preparation and response.”
…
“The Zen Buddhism concept of shoshin is a reminder of intuition’s importance. Ultimately, the beginner’s
mind offers humility as a place for learning.”
…
“The world is not made up of isolated controllable parts. And so the strings, wires and controls used to
manage this illusionary world are obsolete.”
…
“Some things will constantly emerge; others may disappear or change at
different rates. Ultimately, we have agency to determine our future. We have
choices as, above all, we are human.”
…
“Rare is becoming less rare.”
…
“Given the inverse relationship between predictability and uncertainty, the cost of maintaining business as
usual rises significantly.”
…
“Anything that can be automated, cognified, decentralized, digitized, disintermediated or virtualized will be.”
…
“Beware of ‘futurewashing’, where empty promises about future actions replace taking actual steps today.”
…
“This emerging Greenaissance era is an unprecedented opportunity to develop innovative solutions to the
climate crisis.”
…
“Tomorrow’s beef and dairy industries may face the same existential challenges as today’s fossil fuel
industry.”
…
“The current boundaries and definitions of clearly delineated ‘industries’ or ‘sectors’ are disappearing. The
future is hybrid. In a liminal world, there are no industry boundaries.”
…
“Today, AI seems to be the answer to everything, irrespective of the question… If technology is determining
outcomes on our behalf, our agency is curtailed and our choices may be beyond our control.”
Roger Spitz, Disrupt With Impact, Kogan Page
Disrupt With Impact, Roger Spitz, Kogan Page, 2024 www.DisruptWithImpact.com 10
DETAILED TABLE OF CONTENTS & SYNOPSIS
“Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an
Unpredictable World” by Roger Spitz
Introduction
PART ONE. Disruption has always existed – what’s different
now?
In this initial section, we reframe disruption and delve into its dual nature, uncovering both
challenges and possibilities. We learn the language of change, adopting new mindsets
essential for thriving amidst ambient disruption. By scanning the horizon, we identify
elements of constancy and discontinuity, equipping ourselves with early warning systems to
anticipate inflection points.
Chapter 1. Exploring the dual nature of disruption: Challenges and possibilities
Synopsis: Reframing disruption. We reframe disruption, recognizing it is more than a discrete or
recurring event; it’s now systemic, expanding its reach. We explore disruption’s dual nature, unveiling
both challenges and possibilities.
▪ An era of ambient disruption
▪ Disruption has always existed – what’s different now?
▪ Systemic disruption obliterates rules
▪ The duality and opportunity of disruption
▪ Predictability’s inverse relationship with uncertainty
▪ Systemic change is Disruption 3.0
▪ Deconstructing our UN-VICE
▪ Our UN-VICE? Emulate the octopus
Chapter 2. Embracing new mindsets for thriving on uncertainty and disruption
Synopsis: Learning language of disruption. The dynamics of change are evolving. By mastering its
language, we cultivate new mindsets and capabilities crucial for thriving in uncertainty amidst ambient
disruption.
▪ Widen the aperture, multiply lenses
▪ Mindsets for surviving surprises
▪ The 6 i’s
▪ Intuition, through the beginner’s mind
▪ Inspiration unbound: Passion’s spark for creativity
▪ Imagination above everything else
▪ Improvisation, and all that jazz
▪ Invention, and open futures
▪ Impossible for breakfast
Disrupt With Impact, Roger Spitz, Kogan Page, 2024 www.DisruptWithImpact.com 11
Chapter 3. Scanning the horizon: What’s changing and what’s staying the same
Synopsis: Constants and drivers of disruption. We investigate the underlying drivers of disruption and
explore what remains constant. Scanning enables us to detect emerging signals of changes that could
evolve to impact our options and decision-making.
▪ How to detect emerging change
▪ Metatrends or metaruptions?
▪ Metaruptions and the 10 drivers of disruption
▪ Understanding what remains constant
▪ The difference between constants and change
Chapter 4. Tools for navigating and anticipating disruption
Synopsis: Navigating disruption to anticipate inflection points. We can proactively prepare for changes
and anticipate inflection points. Anticipatory thinking equips us to navigate the ripple effects of
disruptions, shape the future by driving change, and plan for whatever lies ahead.
▪ Learning to ride cycles and navigate change
▪ Disruption’s great paradox: Change is slow but inflection points cascade rapidly
▪ Anticipating inflection points
▪ Futures intelligence for constant change
▪ Levels of uncertainty
▪ Predictability (and unpredictability)
PART TWO. How to drive systems innovation and
transformational change
In Part Two, we unpack how to achieve systems-level change to create sustainable value.
Surface-level innovations fall short in addressing the complexity of our challenges. As the
world’s fundamental paradigms are increasingly changing, we need to account for constant
disruption, which is giving rise to monumental shifts in value and business models. Those
who fail to embrace sustainable change risk irrelevance. To use systemic disruption as a
springboard for creating impact and value, we need to be antifragile, learn from the software
industry to beta test our ideas, and think across varying time horizons. In this context, we
delve into Greenaissance - an era marked by renewal, momentous innovation, and
investment opportunities, all aligned with the common goal of achieving a sustainable
energy transition. We also explore how the clearly delineated “sectors” of yesterday are
disappearing, as industries converge and new fields emerge.
Chapter 5. Disruption as a springboard for creating impact and value
Synopsis: Antifragile value creation across time horizons. Disruption presents both opportunities for
value creation and risks of value erosion. Relevance is the key driver of impact. To achieve and sustain
relevance, we must invest in human capital, “beta test” ideas, establish antifragile foundations for
resilience, and think across varying time horizons.
▪ Relevance drives impact
▪ Antifragile foundations for value creation
▪ Thinking in different time horizons
▪ Three Horizons for transformative change
Disrupt With Impact, Roger Spitz, Kogan Page, 2024 www.DisruptWithImpact.com 12
Chapter 6. Harnessing systems innovation to solve our complex challenges
Synopsis: Driving transformation with systems innovation. Climate change, societal paradigm shifts,
emerging technologies; the world’s most critical challenges are complex. Addressing these requires
systems-level change, not isolated fixes. Systems innovation is instrumental to identifying and
harnessing effective levers to enable widespread change across complex systems.
▪ Beyond strategy: Levers for transformative change
▪ Innovating with business-models-as-a-system
▪ Four drivers for systems-level change
▪ Anticipatory governance for complex challenges
Chapter 7. Greenaissance: Value creation for sustainable futures
Synopsis: Greenaissance as a path to sustainable futures. In the face of climate risks, mitigation and
building resilience are essential. Greenaissance, a green revolution fueled by momentous innovation and
investment across fields, offers a path towards a sustainable energy future.
▪ Climate risks as the ultimate catalyst
▪ A Greenaissance era for sustainable futures
▪ Segmenting the Greenaissance opportunities
▪ Technology can support sustainability
▪ Investments, policy and sustainable value creation
Chapter 8. The next chapter of digital disruption: Industries converge and new fields
emerge
Synopsis: Sectors converge, intersect and emerge. The clearly delineated “industries” or “sectors” of
yesterday are disappearing. The futures are hybrid; in this liminal world, there are no industry
boundaries. The magic happens as intersections create new fields.
▪ Vanishing industry boundaries
▪ Perception and immersive storytelling
▪ Liminal sectors and hybrid fields
PART THREE. The future of artificial intelligence, strategic
decision-making and technology
This section examines the defining technologies of the upcoming decade and their potential
for growth, disruption, and unintended consequences. We dive into the profound impact of
artificial intelligence on strategic decision-making. We also examine “info-ruption” - a radical
shift in the disruption of information, presenting new phenomena like weaponized
disinformation and global cybersecurity threats. At the core of our investigation lies the
“AAA” framework - Antifragile, Anticipatory, and Agility. These essential skills are key to
decision-making in an increasingly unpredictable world where machines continuously learn.
Chapter 9. Evaluating next-order impacts of exponential technologies
Synopsis: Technology, innovation and unintended consequences. What are the features of technology,
its powers and unintended consequences? How can we anticipate future impacts in a complex
Disrupt With Impact, Roger Spitz, Kogan Page, 2024 www.DisruptWithImpact.com 13
technological world? We cannot predict the future, but we can gain insights to help us understand
emerging technologies that will deeply impact society and humanity.
▪ Technology’s power
▪ Unintended consequences and anticipatory governance
▪ Looking ahead: From possible futures to multiple present realities
Chapter 10. Our AAA framework: A survival guide for staying relevant in the age of AI
Synopsis: Decision-making and relevance in the age of AI. AI is taking over areas previously thought too
important to entrust to machines. Thus far, humans have excelled at decision-making, but our
comparative advantage may not last. We use the Antifragile, Anticipatory, and Agility (AAA) framework to
explore these traits, which humans should develop to improve their abilities as machines are learning
fast.
▪ Fifty shades of AI
▪ The future of AI: Decision-making no longer a human exclusive
▪ Being AAA in the age of AI
▪ Agility to emerge despite uncertainty
▪ Agency and alignment to become AAA+
Chapter 11. Info-ruption: The internet of existence, cyber insecurity and disrupted
information
Synopsis: Information disrupted. “Info-ruption” refers to a pervasive and radical shift in how information is
interpreted, used, and misused. With daily cybersecurity breaches, Weapons of Mass Disinformation
(WMD), and the Internet of Existence (IoE), should information literacy be prioritized akin to language
education? Epistemic security now rivals the significance of national security.
▪ Information: Our new substrate
▪ The Internet of Existence (IoE)
▪ Cyber insecurity: Big business, high stakes
▪ Info-ruption: Weapons of mass disinformation
▪ Addressing info-ruption systemically
PART FOUR. Unleash your disruptive thinking
This final chapter introduces our practitioner Disruptive Thinking CanvasTM. Disruption
creates space for novelty, opening doors for fresh approaches. Uncertainty and
fast-changing environments drive new opportunities and gaps. Disruptive thinking allows
you to find those gaps and explore them to invent the future today. Our proprietary
Disruptive Thinking CanvasTM is your dynamic roadmap - a process to design, implement,
and drive disruption for yourself, your projects, or your organization. It’s not just a canvas;
it’s your actionable toolkit to uncover and create disruptive futures on your terms, with tools
designed to develop new mindsets for driving impact.
Chapter 12. The Disruptive Thinking Canvas: Invent the future today
Synopsis: A canvas to invent your future. Our Disruptive Thinking CanvasTM is designed as a roadmap to
help us imagine, invent, and prototype the futures we want. The Canvas offers actionable methodologies
to leverage disruption and drive systemic change, both organizational and individual, designed with
practical tools.
Disrupt With Impact, Roger Spitz, Kogan Page, 2024 www.DisruptWithImpact.com 14
▪ Step 1: Reframing disruption
▪ Step 2: Scanning and mapping
▪ Step 3: Ideating
▪ Step 4: Dissent and alignment
▪ Step 5: Decision-making and driving change
▪ Step 6: Iterating
Interested in reading more?
Order Disrupt With Impact wherever books are sold.
Learn more and find it on:
● DisruptWithImpact.com
●Amazon
●Kogan Page Publisher
Disrupt With Impact, Roger Spitz, Kogan Page, 2024 www.DisruptWithImpact.com 15