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Evaluation of constraints for investment in NOx emission technologies: case study on Greek bulk carrier owners

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Abstract

Purpose The maritime industry is the transport mode that contributes most to air pollution. The International Maritime Organization (IMO) identified the reduction of air pollution by ships as a crucial issue. Since 1 January 2020, ships have had to adopt strategies and new technologies to eliminate air pollution. However, ship compliance with nitrate oxide (NOx) emission restrictions is more challenging. This paper aims to identify ship owners' challenges in investing in new technologies. Design/methodology/approach This paper applied a hybrid methodology combining a survey, a balanced scorecard and fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (F-AHP) to identify and evaluate constraints and weights in investment decision-making for NOx technologies. A survey was carried out to validate constraints. Findings A survey was carried out, representing 5.1% of Greek-owned ships by deadweight capacity. The findings provide a weighted list of seven crucial technical and economic constraints faced by ship operators. The constraints vary from ship retrofit expenditure to crew training and waste management. Additionally, NOx emission technologies were compared. It was found that liquefied natural gas is the preferred investment option for the survey participants compared with selective catalytic reduction, exhaust gas recirculation and batteries. Originality/value Several studies have dealt with the individual technical feasibility of NOx reduction technologies. However, apart from technical feasibility for a shipowner, the selection of a NOx technology has several managerial and safety risks. Therefore, the originality of this paper is to reveal those constraints that have a higher weight on ship owners. With this cost-benefit approach, investment challenges for ship operators are revealed. Policymakers can benefit from the results of the employed methodology.

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Industry 4.0 technology has affected almost every sector in the world. Maritime sector is one of them that were affected by this technology. In this study, components of the maritime sector were prioritized to find out which of them should comply with this transformation primarily. Many different criteria were taken into consideration for the solution of such problems. Therefore, multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) methods required to solve this problem. Fuzzy AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) and VIKOR (VlseKriterijumska Optimizacijia I Kompromisno Resenje) hybrid method was employed for revealing the prioritization ranking for maritime sector components. A group of experts assessed and compared 22 criteria and scored them for each alternative. Proposed methodology was employed through the experts’ assessments. Results were displayed and suggestions were given for the further studies
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Alternative fuels are crucial to decarbonize the European maritime transport, but their net climate benefits vary with the type of fuel and production country. In this study, we assess the energy potential and climate change mitigation benefits of using agricultural and forest residues in different European countries for drop-in (Fast Pyrolysis, Hydrothermal Liquefaction, and Gasification to Fischer-Tropsch fuels or Bio-Synthetic Natural Gas) and hydrogen-based biofuels (hydrogen, ammonia, and methanol) with or without carbon capture and storage (CCS). Our results show the combinations of countries and biofuel options that successfully achieve the decarbonization targets set by the FuelEU Maritime initiative for the next years, including a prospective analysis that include technological changes projected for the biofuel supply chains until 2050. With the current technologies, the largest greenhouse gas (GHG) mitigation potential per year at a European scale is obtained with bio-synthetic natural gas and hydrothermal liquefaction. Among carbon-free biofuels, ammonia currently has higher mitigation, but hydrogen can achieve a lower GHG intensity per unit of energy with the projected decarbonization of the electricity mixes until 2050. The full deployment of CCS can further accelerate the decarbonization of the maritime sector. Choosing the most suitable renewable fuels requires a regional perspective and a transition roadmap where countries coordinate actions to meet ambitious climate targets.
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Dual-fuel (DF) operation with methanol-diesel allows to reduce CO2 emissions, increase efficiency and decrease NOx and soot. This paper describes the experimental results with methanol-water (MeOH-W) blends as a fuel, and has three objectives: (1) whether water acts as a knock suppressant, enabling higher diesel substitution ratios, (2) if water can be a measure to control engine-out NOx emissions given its cooling effect, and (3) to test the effect on brake thermal efficiency (BTE) of a blend of 90% methanol and 10% water by weight, which is interesting from a methanol fuel production cost perspective. Experiments were conducted on a dual-fuel marine Volvo Penta engine with methanol/water weight by weight shares of 50%/50% (MeOH-50), 64%/36% (MeOH-64), 90%/10% (MeOH-90) and 100%/0% (pure methanol, MeOH-100). A maximal increase in BTE of 3.3% and 4.9% were observed when going from respectively MeOH-100 and diesel-only operation to MeOH-50. The maximum methanol energy fraction (MEF) was obtained with pure methanol, equal to 76%, and decreased with increasing water content. NOx emissions decreased with pure methanol compared to diesel-only operation, and further decreased with increasing water content. It is concluded that MeOH-90 does not harm the BTE of the tested dual-fuel engine; and that MeOH-50 and MeOH-64 were able to reach IMO Tier III NOx legislation, but at the same time score worse for greenhouse gas reduction potential as less diesel can be substituted by methanol with these blends.
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The fuzzy set theory as one of the key agents of artificial intelligence has been used to deal with vagueness and imprecision during the decision-making process. The software requirements selection is a multicriteria decision making problem which has a key importance for several software development companies. Few methods have been developed to select the software requirements from the list of the elicited requirements using fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and fuzzy technique for order of preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS) methods. Based on our review, we found that little attention is given on the comparison between the fuzzy AHP and fuzzy TOPSIS methods in the context of the software requirements selection problem. To address this issue, this paper presents a comparative analysis of fuzzy AHP and fuzzy TOPSIS methods by considering the small and large set of requirements of an institute examination system based on the following factors: agreement measure, time complexity, rank reversal issue, and number of judgments by decision makers. Based on the comparative study, we found that both fuzzy AHP and fuzzy TOPSIS methods produce the same set of functional requirements based on agreement measure metric in both dataset-1 and dataset-2. Fuzzy AHP requires less time to generate the ranking order in dataset-1; and fuzzy TOPSIS performs better then fuzzy AHP in dataset-2. Fuzzy AHP causes the rank reversal issue; and there is no rank reversal issue in fuzzy TOPSIS and it produces the consistent results. Fuzzy TOPSIS requires less judgment by decision makers then fuzzy AHP. Finally, we discuss the future research directions in the area of SRs selection problem.
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The carbon–neutral target leads to the development of low-carbon\zero-carbon marine fuels. Natural gas is currently one of the most competitive low-carbon fuels, however, the low compression ratio used to control knock combustion limits the improvement of thermal efficiency of natural gas engines. Meanwhile, low-pressure injection natural gas engines also suffer from methane slip. In this paper, a system including a fuel reformer and a natural gas engine with a high-pressure EGR of 20% was proposed. EGR could reduce NOx emission and control methane slip but it will decrease the thermal efficiency. Fuel reforming could improve engine thermal efficiency and increase flame propagation speed but it will increase NOx emission. Moreover, EGR could also provide higher temperature energy for fuel reforming. Therefore, the proposed system was designed to achieve the complementary advantages between EGR and fuel reforming. The results showed that the thermal efficiency of the proposed system was 49.3% at the reforming ratio of 5%, which is 2% higher than the original engine and 4.7% higher than the EGR engine. In addition, the methane slip was reduced by 20% and the NOx emission was 2.93 g/kWh, which can meet the IMO Tier III. Finally, the thermo-economic analysis of the system and the EEDI calculation were carried out. The results showed that the annual fuel cost saved by installing the system on the ship was approximately US $151,726 and the EEDI was reduced by 3.75%
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Context The current technology revolution has posed unexpected challenges for the software industry. In recent years, the field of quantum computing (QC) technologies has continued to grow in influence and maturity, and it is now poised to revolutionise software engineering. However, the evaluation and prioritisation of QC challenges in the software industry remain unexplored. Objective The purpose of this study is to identify, examine and prioritise the most critical challenges in the software industry by implementing a fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (F-AHP). Method First, to identify the key challenges, we conducted a systematic literature review by drawing data from the four most relevant digital libraries and supplementing these efforts with a forward and backward snowballing search. Second, we followed the F-AHP approach to evaluate and rank the identified challenges. Results The results show that the key barriers to QC adoption are the lack of technical expertise, information accuracy and organisational interest in adopting the new process. Another critical barrier is the lack of standards of secure communication techniques for implementing QC. Conclusion By applying F-AHP, we identified institutional barriers as the highest and organisational barriers as the second highest global weight ranked categories among the main QC challenges facing the software industry. We observed that the highest-ranked local barriers facing the software technology industry are the lack of resources for design and initiative while the lack of organisational interest in adopting the new process is the most significant organisational barrier. Our findings, which entail implications for both academicians and practitioners, reveal the emergent nature of QC research and the increasing need for interdisciplinary research to address the identified challenges.
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The MSCs of containerized freight are crippled because of the presence of barriers in a rapidly growing country like India. Identification and evaluation of these barriers is necessary to understand their influence on MSCs. Hence, this study discerned 46 barriers under six major category through extensive literature review and conducting Delphi survey. Thereafter, fuzzy AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) is employed to analyze the criticality of the barriers and their relative importance. The results of the study indicate that the infrastructural and legal barriers comes out to be the two most critical among all. At last, strength of the model is also verified by performing sensitivity experiments. The findings of the developed framework are of great use to the industry managers.
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Fuzzy AHP is one of the widely used methods in Multi Criteria Decision Making, even in recent times. In Fuzzy AHP, the experts compare the pairwise criteria either jointly or individually. If the number of criteria to be compared is large, there can be ambiguity in the comparisons leading to inconsistency. Some researchers have tried to overcome this issue by considering criteria at global and local levels to reduce the number of criteria to be compared pairwise in each matrix. This simplifies individual matrix as the pairwise comparisons to be made are less in number. But, the numbers of matrices to be solved are increased in such cases. Also, there is a distinct drawback of creating global and local criteria. Secondly, for solving large data problems, it is a tedious affair to find experts sharing their time. In this paper, the authors have introduced an innovative approach to overcome limitations in the existing methodology, by providing an easier way of handling the data with an advantage of keeping all the criteria at the same level, validating the data and minimizing the time required by experts by simplifying the input data requirement for large data problems. New areas of research are cited for solving large matrix problems where pair wise comparisons are desired.
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Due to the more stringent regulations on pollutant and greenhouse gas emissions in the maritime transport sector, solutions are being sought to reduce or avoid the emissions generated during the operation of ships. The onboard installation of hydrogen-fuelled fuel cells is a solution respectful with the environment and the marine ecosystem through which ships navigate. In this work, the design of a wellboat and its power plant based on fuel cells fed with hydrogen and hybridised with batteries is conducted, making it a zero-emissions ship that can navigate Emission Control Areas (ECAs). The fuel cells used are polymer electrolyte membrane fuel cells (PEMFCs), and the hydrogen they consume is stored in tanks pressurised at 35 MPa, grouping these tanks into three standard containers (Twenty-Foot Equivalent Units) installed on an exposed deck. The electrical and propulsion needs of the ship are covered by the installed power plant, providing an average power of 1266 kW and a peak power of 2624 kW, making it possible to avoid the emission of 10.8 t of CO 2 , 195 kg of NO x and 9 kg of SO x per 14 h mission.
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Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) is a broadly applied multi-criteria decision-making method to determine the weights of criteria and priorities of alternatives in a structured manner based on pairwise comparison. As subjective judgments during comparison might be imprecise, fuzzy sets have been combined with AHP. This is referred to as fuzzy AHP or FAHP. An increasing amount of papers are published which describe different ways to derive the weights/priorities from a fuzzy comparison matrix, but seldomly set out the relative benefits of each approach so that the choice of the approach seems arbitrary. A review of various fuzzy AHP techniques is required to guide both academic and industrial experts to choose suitable techniques for a specific practical context. This paper reviews the literature published since 2008 where fuzzy AHP is applied to decision-making problems in industry, particularly the various selection problems. The techniques are categorised by the four aspects of developing a fuzzy AHP model: (i) representation of the relative importance for pairwise comparison, (ii) aggregation of fuzzy sets for group decisions and weights/priorities, (iii) defuzzification of a fuzzy set to a crisp value for final comparison, and (iv) consistency measurement of the judgements. These techniques are discussed in terms of their underlying principles, origins, strengths and weakness. Summary tables and specification charts are provided to guide the selection of suitable techniques. Tips for building a fuzzy AHP model are also included and six open questions are posed for future work.
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As stricter environmental regulations for sulphur oxide (SOx) emissions emerge, the shipping industry has been deliberating new fuelling options. The three main alternatives for reducing sulphur emissions are switching to higher-quality and low sulphur fuels (commonly referred to as distillates), installing exhaust fuel cleaning structures (frequently referred to as scrubbers), retrofitting present vessels to operate as liquefied natural gas (LNG) powered vessels. Nevertheless, few studies evaluate the three existing alternatives that can reduce marine air exhausts, and fewer develop a general model for a resolution to the choice of the best technology. This study performs an empirical analysis focusing on the three alternatives considered by Korean shipping companies. The main approach involved conducting surveys and interviews to examine Korean shipping companies’ actual response to cope with SOx regulation. The results indicate that, among the nine sub-criteria regarding response to SOx regulation, investment costs (F11) are the most significant factor. In addition, through a description analysis of Korean shipping companies, this study found that there is a difference in the recognition and response direction among companies according to their size.
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Various regulations are imposed on shipping to increase energy efficiency and reduce environmental impacts. Alternative fuels and power systems are among the solutions for compliance with these regulations. The power system of a ship may not operate optimally because of the diversity of the operational profile during its lifetime. This article uses an activity-based approach and big data from the Automatic Identification System (AIS) to study the operational profiles of eight ship types operating in Norwegian waters around mainland Norway in 2016. The aim is to identify ship types that can benefit from electric and hybrid propulsion through analysis of their operational profiles. Close to shore, the operational profiles of various ship types are similar, and all ships spend a great proportion of their time with lower loads. As the distance from shore increases, the operational profiles of various ship types follow distinct trends. Among the considered ship types, reefers spend more operational time close to the diesel engine design condition. On the other hand, offshore and passenger ships show the most dynamic operational profiles and spend a large percentage of their operational time with a partial load, away from diesel engine design conditions. Such ships can benefit from hybridisation, diesel-electric propulsion, and other electric concepts, such as batteries and fuel cells. Another option is to downsize diesel engines for better operation while fuel cells and batteries supply peak and partial loads. Operational profiles are plotted and details of the approach are presented in the article.
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With the aim of more reliably measuring ships' fuel consumption and emissions several different estimation methods have been put forward and are in use but there is ongoing debate still on the best way to measure maritime emissions. Fuel and emissions monitoring are already a common practice in the shipping industry. But there are currently neither harmonised guidelines nor legal requirements that clearly define the method and the rules to follow to monitor on-board fuel consumption for each situation during navigation. In this context, this article describes and compares four existing methods (EPA, IMO, Jalkanen and MAN) for calculating energy consumption and emissions, and presents a more realistic method, based on a case study. The purpose is to examine the differences between all of these methods, in order to propose the most suitable method of obtaining the data needed for better energy management, and a method that can be applied to any type of ship. The case study was carried out on Ro-Pax ships, comparing these four different methods through the application of a bottom-up integrated system approach. The study describes in detail and applies the most complete methodology for calculating energy consumption and emissions during cruising, operating in a Speed Reduction Zone (SRZ), manoeuvring and berthing. Application of the new improved method proposed in this paper could be the first step in implementing operational measures for detecting both abnormal high emissions and abnormal fuel consumption. The application of this method does not, in itself, reduce fuel use or improve efficiency, but it should be the necessary first step to establish uniform operational measures that will improve the management of energy on board ship and monitor accurately the performance of the fleet.