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Abstract

Gondwanan dinosaur faunae during the 20 Myr preceding the Cretaceous-Palaeogene (K/Pg) extinction included several line-ages that were absent or poorly represented in Laurasian landmasses. Among these, the South American fossil record contains diverse abelisaurids, arguably the most successful groups of carnivorous dinosaurs from Gondwana in the Cretaceous, reaching their highest diversity towards the end of this period. Here we describe Koleken inakayali gen. et sp. n., a new abelisaurid from the La Colonia Formation (Maastrichtian, Upper Cretaceous) of Patagonia. Koleken inakayali is known from several skull bones, an almost complete dorsal series, complete sacrum, several caudal vertebrae, pelvic girdle and almost complete hind limbs. The new abelisaurid shows a unique set of features in the skull and several anatomical differences from Carnotaurus sas-trei (the only other abelisaurid known from the La Colonia Formation). Koleken inakayali is retrieved as a brachyrostran abeli-saurid, clustered with other South American abelisaurids from the latest Cretaceous (Campanian-Maastrichtian), such as Aucasaurus, Niebla and Carnotaurus. Leveraging our phylogeny estimates, we explore rates of morphological evolution across ceratosaurian lineages, finding them to be particularly high for elaphrosaurine noasaurids and around the base of Abelisauridae, before the Early Cretaceous radiation of the latter clade. The Noasauridae and their sister clade show contrasting patterns of morphological evolution, with noasaurids undergoing an early phase of accelerated evolution of the axial and hind limb skeleton in the Jurassic, and the abelisaurids exhibiting sustained high rates of cranial evolution during the Early Cretaceous. These results provide much needed context for the evolutionary dynamics of ceratosaurian theropods, contributing to broader understanding of macroevolutionary patterns across dinosaurs.
A new abelisaurid dinosaur from the end Cretaceous of Patagonia
and evolutionary rates among the Ceratosauria
Diego Pol*
a,b
, Mattia Antonio Baiano
b,c,d,e
, David
ˇ
Cern´
y
f
, Fernando E. Novas
a,b
,
Ignacio A. Cerda
b,e,g,h
and Michael Pittman*
c
a
Museo Argentino de Ciencias Naturales Bernardino Rivadavia, Buenos Aires, Argentina;
b
Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Cientı´ficas y
T´
ecnicas (CONICET), Buenos Aires, Argentina;
c
School of Life Sciences, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, Hong Kong SAR, China;
d
´
Area Laboratorio e Investigaci´
on, Museo Municipal Ernesto Bachmann, Villa El Choc´
on, Neuqu´
en, Argentina;
e
Universidad Nacional de ´o Negro
(UNRN), General Roca, ´o Negro, Argentina;
f
Department of the Geophysical Sciences, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA;
g
Instituto de
Investigaci´
on en Paleobiologı´a y Geologı´a (IIPG), General Roca, ´o Negro, Argentina;
h
Museo Provincial Carlos Ameghino, Cipolletti, ´o
Negro, Argentina
Received 5 January 2024; Revised 24 April 2024; Accepted 24 April 2024
Abstract
Gondwanan dinosaur faunae during the 20 Myr preceding the CretaceousPalaeogene (K/Pg) extinction included several line-
ages that were absent or poorly represented in Laurasian landmasses. Among these, the South American fossil record contains
diverse abelisaurids, arguably the most successful groups of carnivorous dinosaurs from Gondwana in the Cretaceous, reaching
their highest diversity towards the end of this period. Here we describe Koleken inakayali gen. et sp. n., a new abelisaurid from
the La Colonia Formation (Maastrichtian, Upper Cretaceous) of Patagonia. Koleken inakayali is known from several skull
bones, an almost complete dorsal series, complete sacrum, several caudal vertebrae, pelvic girdle and almost complete hind
limbs. The new abelisaurid shows a unique set of features in the skull and several anatomical differences from Carnotaurus sas-
trei (the only other abelisaurid known from the La Colonia Formation). Koleken inakayali is retrieved as a brachyrostran abeli-
saurid, clustered with other South American abelisaurids from the latest Cretaceous (CampanianMaastrichtian), such as
Aucasaurus,Niebla and Carnotaurus. Leveraging our phylogeny estimates, we explore rates of morphological evolution across
ceratosaurian lineages, finding them to be particularly high for elaphrosaurine noasaurids and around the base of Abelisauridae,
before the Early Cretaceous radiation of the latter clade. The Noasauridae and their sister clade show contrasting patterns of
morphological evolution, with noasaurids undergoing an early phase of accelerated evolution of the axial and hind limb skeleton
in the Jurassic, and the abelisaurids exhibiting sustained high rates of cranial evolution during the Early Cretaceous. These
results provide much needed context for the evolutionary dynamics of ceratosaurian theropods, contributing to broader under-
standing of macroevolutionary patterns across dinosaurs.
©2024 The Author(s). Cladistics published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of Willi Hennig Society.
Introduction
During the Late Cretaceous, Gondwanan dinosaur
faunae comprised a number of different lineages. Espe-
cially in South America, the first stage of the Late Cre-
taceous saw the origin of several groups, some of
which reached the CretaceousPalaeogene (K/Pg)
boundary, while others went extinct during the
CenomanianTuronian interval (Apesteguı´a, 2002;
Coria and Salgado, 2005; Bellardini et al., 2021;
Baiano et al., 2022). The herbivorous South American
faunae in the early stages of Late Cretaceous
(CenomanianTuronian) were dominated by rebbachi-
saurid (e.g. Rayososaurus,Cathartesaura,Limaysaurus,
Katepensaurus; Bonaparte, 1996; Salgado et al., 2004;
Gallina and Apesteguı´a, 2005; Ibiricu et al., 2013)
and titanosaurian sauropods (e.g. Argentinosaurus,
*Corresponding author: E-mail address:dpol@mef.org.ar (D.P.);
mpittman@cuhk.edu.hk (M.P.)
Cladistics
Cladistics (2024) 1–50
doi: 10.1111/cla.12583
©2024 The Author(s). Cladistics published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of Willi Hennig Society.
This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs License, which permits use and
distribution in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited, the use is non-commercial and no modifications or adaptations are made.
Andesaurus,Epachthosaurus; Powell, 1990; Calvo and
Bonaparte, 1991; Bonaparte and Coria, 1993), whereas
ornithischians seem to be uncommon (e.g. Jakapil;
Riguetti et al., 2022). The theropod fossil record is
characterized mostly by the huge carcharodontosaurids
(e.g. Giganotosaurus,Mapusaurus,Meraxes; Coria
and Salgado, 1995; Coria and Currie, 2006; Canale
et al., 2022), spinosaurids (e.g. Oxalaia; Kellner
et al., 2011), abelisaurids (e.g. Ekrixinatosaurus,Iloke-
lesia,Skorpiovenator, and Xenotarsosaurus; Martı´nez
et al., 1986; Coria and Salgado, 2000; Canale
et al., 2009; Ibiricu et al., 2021), possible noasaurids
(Huinculsaurus; Baiano et al., 2020), and small-sized
maniraptoriforms such as Buitreraptor and Alnashetri
(Makovicky et al., 2005,2012).
After the CenomanianTuronian interval, there was
faunal turnover with rebbachisaurids disappearing and
titanosaurs replacing them in the principal role in eco-
systems, and surviving until the end of the Maastrich-
tian. In fact, multiple titanosaur taxa are known from
this age in South America (e.g. Yamanasaurus,Neu-
quensaurus,Uberabatitan,Notocolossus,Baurutitan,
Rocasaurus,Pelligrinisaurus,Saltasaurus,Arackar;
Bonaparte and Powell, 1980; Powell, 1992; Sal-
gado, 1996; Salgado and Azpilicueta, 2000; Kellner
et al., 2005; Salgado and de Souza Carvalho, 2008;
Gonz´
alez Riga et al., 2016; Apesteguı´a et al., 2020;
Rubilar-Rogers et al., 2021). Ornithischian dinosaurs
were more diverse compared to those from the first
stages of the Late Cretaceous, encompassing ankylo-
saurs (e.g. Stegouros,Antarctopelta; Salgado and Gas-
parini, 2006; Soto-Acu ˜
na et al., 2021), early
ornithopods (e.g. Mahuidacursor,Talenkauen,Gaspari-
nisaura; Coria and Salgado, 1996; Novas et al., 2004;
Cruzado-Caballero et al., 2019) and hadrosaurs (e.g.
Huallasaurus,Bonapartesaurus,Kelumapusaura; Bona-
parte et al., 1984; Cruzado-Caballero and Powell, 2017;
Rozadilla et al., 2021). Theropod faunae also experi-
enced a turnover during the CenomanianTuronian
interval, as carcharodontosaurids and spinosaurids dis-
appeared, and abelisaurids and megaraptorans became
the predominant lineages (e.g. Coria and Sal-
gado, 2005; Novas et al., 2005; Novas et al., 2013;
Baiano et al., 2022; Baiano and Filippi, 2022). Late
TuronianMaastrichtian non-avian theropods include
a high diversity of furileusaurian abelisaurids (e.g.
Elemgasem,Carnotaurus,Pycnonemosaurus,Quilme-
saurus,Aucasaurus,Niebla,Guemesia,Llukalkan,Via-
venator,Kurupi; Bonaparte, 1985; Coria, 2001; Coria
et al., 2002; Kellner and Campos, 2002; Filippi
et al., 2016; Gianechini et al., 2020; Agnolı´n
et al., 2021; Aranciaga Rolando et al., 2021; Iori
et al., 2021; Baiano et al., 2022), noasaurids (e.g. Velo-
cisaurus,Noasaurus,Vespersaurus; Bonaparte and
Powell, 1980; Bonaparte, 1991; Langer et al., 2019),
megaraptorids (e.g. Aerosteon,Tratayenia,Maip,
Megaraptor,Murusraptor; Novas, 1998; Sereno
et al., 2008; Coria and Currie, 2016; Porfiri
et al., 2018; Aranciaga Rolando et al., 2022), alvarez-
saurids (e.g. Patagonykus,Bonapartenykus;
Novas, 1996; Agnolı´n et al., 2012) and dromaeosaurids
(e.g. Unenlagia,Neuquenraptor,Pamparaptor,Austror-
aptor,Ypupiara; Novas and Puerta, 1997; Calvo
et al., 2004; Novas and Pol, 2005; Novas et al., 2009;
Porfiri et al., 2011; Brum et al., 2021).
Abelisaurids were the most abundant theropods dur-
ing the latest Cretaceous, occurring in all Gondwanan
regions, except Antarctica and Australia where they
remain unknown. They are known principally from
South America (e.g. Novas et al., 2013), which has the
best fossil record for this group, as well as from India
(e.g. Wilson et al., 2003), northern Africa (e.g. Long-
rich et al., 2023), and Madagascar (e.g. Krause
et al., 2007; Farke and Sertich, 2013). Incomplete abe-
lisaurid specimens were also discovered in Europe (e.g.
Accarie et al., 1995; Tortosa et al., 2014), adding evi-
dence to the biogeographical link between southern
Europe and Gondwana (Ezcurra and Agnolı´n, 2012).
Despite the instability of some taxa (e.g. Abelisaurus,
Dahalokely,Genusaurus), recent phylogenetic analyses
typically agree that there are two principal clades
within Abelisauridae, ‘majungasaurines’ and brachyr-
ostrans (Canale et al., 2009; Tortosa et al., 2014). The
clade recognized as ‘Majungasaurinae’ (sensu Baiano
et al., 2022) mainly includes Indian and Malagasy
forms, such as Majungasaurus,Rahiolisaurus and Raja-
saurus (Sampson et al., 1998; Wilson et al., 2003;
Novas et al., 2010), whereas Brachyrostra includes
mainly, if not only, South American abelisaurids, such
as Carnotaurus,Aucasaurus,Elemgasem and Skorpiove-
nator (Bonaparte, 1985; Coria et al., 2002; Canale
et al., 2009; Baiano et al., 2022,2023). Within Bra-
chyrostra, an early diverging lineage is retrieved, which
includes Ekrixinatosaurus,Ilokelesia and sometimes
Skorpiovenator, and a more diverse clade, furileusaur-
ian abelisaurids, that encompasses most South Ameri-
can abelisaurids known from the latest Cretaceous
(e.g. SantonianMaastrichtian; Filippi et al., 2016).
Here we present a new furileusaurian abelisaurid
Koleken inakayali gen. et sp. n., from the Maastrich-
tian of Patagonia (La Colonia Formation) in Chubut
Province, Argentina. The holotype is composed of a
partial skeleton, including cranial, axial and appendic-
ular elements, with a unique set of characters that dis-
tinguish it from all known theropods. In particular,
Koleken inakayali shows several anatomical traits,
especially in the skull bones, that differentiate it from
Carnotaurus sastrei, the only other abelisaurid known
from the La Colonia Formation. In order to determine
the phylogenetic relationships between this new speci-
men and other abelisaurids, we carried out multiple
phylogenetic analyses using a revised version of a
2D. Pol et al. / Cladistics 0 (2024) 1–50
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previously published dataset (Baiano et al., 2022). In
addition to discussing the significance of the specimen,
we used the newly inferred phylogenies to explore rates
of morphological change among ceratosaurs to better
understand their evolutionary dynamics.
Institutional Abbreviations: CCG, Chengdu College
of Geology, Chengdu, China; MNN, Mus´
ee National
Boubou Hama, Niamey, Niger; MPCN, Museo
Patag´
onico de Ciencias Naturales, General Roca, ´o
Negro, Argentina; MPEF, Museo Paleontol ´
ogico Egi-
dio Feruglio, Trelew, Argentina; MPM, Museo Padre
Molina, ´o Gallegos, Santa Cruz, Argentina;
UNPSJB, Universidad Nacional de Patagonia “San
Juan Bosco,” Comodoro Rivadavia, Argentina.
Materials and methods
The specimen MPEF-PV 10826 is composed of cranial, axial and
appendicular elements, including almost complete right and fragmen-
ted left maxillae, fragments of the left and right nasals, a partially pre-
served right postorbital, left and right squamosals, fragments of the left
and right frontals, posterior portion of the left and right parietals
(fused), an incomplete atlas, the fifth to twelfth dorsal vertebrae, a
complete sacrum, the first to fifth caudal vertebrae and two middle and
one posterior caudal vertebrae, both ilia, partially preserved right and
left pubes and ischia, complete right and fragmented left femora,
almost complete right tibia and fragments of the left one, complete
right fibula, right astragalus, right distal tarsal IV, first to fourth right
metatarsals and second and third left metatarsals (incomplete), left and
right phalanges I-1, right phalanx II-1, left and right phalanges II-2,
right ungual phalanx II-3, left and right phalanges III-1, right phalanx
III-3, left ungual phalanx III-4 and right phalanx IV-5.
The specimen MPEF-PV 10826 was found in Maastrichtian layers
of the Upper Cretaceous La Colonia Formation of Chubut Province,
Argentina (Fig. 1). Chronostratigraphic data for the La Colonia
Formation were provided by Clyde et al. (2021), who dated the
underlying Puntudo Chico Formation. Through radioisotopic
uraniumlead (UPb) dating, they found an age of 71.7 Ma for this
unit, suggesting a younger age for the La Colonia Formation.
This result is also confirmed by palynological data owing to the pres-
ence of Quadraplanus brossus, which seems to be restricted to the
Maastrichtian in several Gondwanan localities (e.g. Australia, New
Zealand, Antarctica) (Clyde et al., 2021). Finally, magnetostrati-
graphic data confirmed that part of the La Colonia Formation unit
was deposited during Chron C29r, an interval of reversed polarity,
containing the K/Pg boundary (Clyde et al., 2021).
There are different hypotheses about the depositional environ-
ments for this lithostratigraphic unit (Clyde et al., 2021). It has been
interpreted as a succession of facies from base to top, from fluvial,
estuarine tidal flat or coastal plain to upper tidal flats (Pascual
et al., 2000). C´
uneo et al. (2013,2014) suggested an origin related to
clastic coastal plains bathed by shallow seas and development of bar-
rier island/lagoon complexes. Gasparini et al. (2015) interpreted the
area near where MPEF-PV 10826 was found as being part of a
brackish to freshwater estuary.
The palaeontological record of the La Colonia Formation is rich in
vertebrates and plants, and known since the 1980s. Indeed, the first ver-
tebrate described from the La Colonia Formation was the iconic abeli-
saurid theropod Carnotaurus sastrei (Bonaparte, 1985). Yet, it was
only in the last 20 years that periodic palaeontological expeditions
yielded several discoveries that enriched the fauna and flora of this
lithostratigraphic unit (Sterli et al., 2021). So far, the fauna of the La
Colonia Formation is composed of fishes (Apesteguı´a et al., 2007); tur-
tles (e.g. Sterli and de la Fuente, 2013; Gasparini et al., 2015; Orioza-
bala et al., 2020); snakes (Albino, 2000;G
´
omez et al., 2019);
plesiosaurs (e.g. O’Gorman et al., 2013a,2013b; Gasparini
et al., 2015); ornithischian (Gasparini et al., 2015), sauropod (Gaspar-
ini et al., 2015;P
´
erez-Moreno et al., 2024) and theropod (Bona-
parte, 1985; Lawver et al., 2011; Gasparini et al., 2015) dinosaurs; and
mammals (e.g. Rougier et al., 2009,2021; Harper et al., 2019). The
palaeontological record of the macro- and microflora includes espe-
cially aquatic ferns and angiosperms, but other plants as well as micro-
phytes and dinoflagellate cysts have been reported also (e.g. C ´
uneo
et al., 2014; Gallego et al., 2014; Gandolfo et al., 2014; Guler
et al., 2014; Borel et al., 2016; De Benedetti et al., 2018).
Comparative anatomy
Vertebral laminae and fossae were described using the nomencla-
ture proposed by Wilson (1999,2012) and Wilson et al. (2011). We
used terminology proposed by Hendrickx and Mateus (2014a)to
describe the anatomical traits of the maxilla.
Bone histological evaluation
A histological analysis was conducted to determine the ontoge-
netic stage and minimum age of MPEF-PV 10826. A transverse sec-
tion was obtained from the midshaft of the right tibia. The thin
section was prepared at the Paleohistological Laboratory of the
Museo Provincial Carlos Ameghino (Cipolletti, Argentina), using
standard methods outlined by Cerda et al. (2020), and analysed
using a petrographic polarizing microscope (Leica DM750P). The
nomenclature and definitions of structures used in this study are
derived from Francillon-Vieillot et al. (1990) and de Buffr´
enil and
Quilhac (2021). For minimum age estimation, we counted the num-
ber of lines of arrested growth (LAGs). Double LAGs are here con-
sidered to represent a single annual growth cycle.
Phylogenetic dataset
The data matrix used for the analyses is composed of 245 charac-
ters and 47 taxa (after Carrano and Sampson, 2008; Pol and Rau-
hut, 2012; Rauhut and Carrano, 2016; Langer et al., 2019; Baiano
et al., 2020,2021,2022; Ibiricu et al., 2021; Cerroni et al., 2022).
Characters 29, 30, 34, 116, 118, 141, 159, 170, 174, 185, 191, 204,
207 and 222 were treated as ordered. We deleted the character
describing the orientation of ischial peduncle of ilium (ch. 172 in Pol
and Rauhut, 2012) from the dataset, as its state 1 (vertically
directed) is only present in Carnotaurus and Genusaurus; however,
because the ischial peduncle was completely restored with plaster in
the former taxon, the vertical condition could be an autapomorphy
of the French abelisaurid (Supporting Information and Koleken_
data_matrix.nex in Supplementary Data).
Parsimony analyses
In order to determine the phylogenetic relationships between Kole-
ken inakayali and other abelisaurids, we carried out parsimony ana-
lyses using the program TNT v.1.6 (Goloboff et al., 2008; Goloboff
and Morales, 2023). The heuristic search was performed under
equally weighted parsimony, using new technology searches of up to
100 independent hits, followed by TBR branch swapping until the
tree buffer was filled (at 100 000 trees). We carried out the IterPCR
procedure (Pol and Escapa, 2009; see iterpcr.out in Supplementary
Data) as implemented by Goloboff and Szumik (2015) in TNT in
order to detect unstable taxa. Support values were evaluated in TNT
using Bremer support, jackknife and nonparametric bootstrap (BS).
D. Pol et al. / Cladistics 0 (2024) 1–50 3
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We also explored the use of the pcrjak script (Pol and Golob-
off, 2020; see pcrjak.run and pcrjak.out in Supplementary Data)to
detect taxa that decrease support values as a consequence of their
instability in jackknife pseudoreplicates.
Parsimony analysis of evolutionary rates
We implemented a new custom TNT script (see evolrates.run
in Supplementary Data) to assess rates of morphological change based
on the parsimony optimization of characters. The TNT script uses all
trees in memory and takes input from a simple text file named fadlad
(see Supplementary Data) that contains the minimum age and maxi-
mum age for each terminal taxon (Table S2). Rates are calculated by
evaluating optimization on trees that are calibrated against geological
time by setting the minimum age of divergence for each node equal to
the oldest maximum age of the terminal taxa descended from that
node. All branches that are zero-length in temporal duration are
assigned the minimum branch duration (1 Myr). Trees were evaluated
individually but the output was also produced based on the strict con-
sensus of these topologies. A random selection of 1000 MPTs was
selected to calculate the evolutionary rates for this analysis. The parsi-
mony optimization of characters is used to determine the number of
changes occurring along each of the branches of the trees. The rate of
morphological change was obtained by dividing the number of changes
by the temporal duration of each branch. The script produces a text
table output that includes the average rate of character change for each
branch as well as a graphical output with a colour-coded scheme of
rates scaled between the maximum and the minimum rate obtained for
the branches of the tree (blue =low rate; red =high rate).
Ambiguous optimizations frequently occur in parsimony analyses,
particularly when fossils contain large amounts of missing data and
create uncertainty in the placement of character transformations on
the phylogenetic tree (Goloboff, 2022). As a result of the prevalence
of these ambiguous optimizations, the script evolrates.run conducts
iterative evaluations of alternative most parsimonious reconstructions
for each character and calculates the average number of reconstruc-
tions that optimize a transformation along each branch for each char-
acter. For example, a typical instance of ambiguous optimization is
the ACCTRAN/DELTRAN scenario (Swofford and Maddi-
son, 1987), which presents just two alternative parsimony reconstruc-
tions. In such scenarios, each branch affected by an ambiguous
transformation is assigned 0.5 steps for the rate analysis. The script
evolrates.run also computes two stratigraphic fit measures, as outlined
by Pol and Norell (2001; MSM*) and Wills (1999; GER).
Bayesian analyses used to estimate the relaxed clock
priors
Using the program RevBayes v.1.2 (H ¨
ohna et al., 2016), we fur-
ther conducted a Bayesian tip-dating analysis under the fossilized
birthdeath process (Stadler, 2010; Gavryushkina et al., 2014; Heath
et al., 2014). Bayesian tip-dating combines both character data and
stratigraphic age information to jointly infer tree topology, diver-
gence times and evolutionary rates (Wright et al., 2022). Here, we
used partitioned relaxed clocks to estimate the rate of morphological
evolution separately for four different anatomical regions (the skull,
axial skeleton, forelimb and the hind limb).
In order to derive informative hyperpriors for the relaxed clock
model, we followed the protocol of Ronquist et al. (2012a) and per-
formed a series of preparatory analyses, starting with the inference of
a topologically unconstrained nonclock tree. To this end, we employed
a hierarchical gamma-Dirichlet prior (Rannala et al., 2012; Zhang
et al., 2012) on branch lengths, which first specifies a gamma hyper-
prior on overall tree length and then apportions this total length
Provincial Road
REFERENCES
La Colonia Formation
N
11
(a)
67º45
Co. El Buitre
Arroyo Mirasol Chico
67°30
BAJADA DEL
DIABLO
BAJADA
MORENO
Sierra de La Colonia
(b)
5 km
100 km
43°00
68º00
Co. Bayo
Sierra de los Tehuelches
Co. El
Buitre Chico
CHUBUT
PROVINCE
40
SOUTH
AMERICA
ARGENTINA
Somuncurá
Co. Huichilan
11
AJA
AB
Fig. 1. Locality map showing where the type specimen of Koleken inakayali MPEF-PV 10826 was found (black star) within the La Colonia For-
mation of Chubut Province, Argentina. Figure modified from Sterli et al. (2021).
4D. Pol et al. / Cladistics 0 (2024) 1–50
10960031, 0, Downloaded from https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/cla.12583 by CochraneArgentina, Wiley Online Library on [21/05/2024]. See the Terms and Conditions (https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/terms-and-conditions) on Wiley Online Library for rules of use; OA articles are governed by the applicable Creative Commons License
among individual branches according to a Dirichlet prior. Following
the recommendations of Zhang et al. (2012), we set the shape (α)
parameter of the gamma distribution to 1, and scaled the rate
parameter (β) to obtain an expected prior mean length of 2.5 sub-
stitutions per character, close to the value suggested by the parsi-
mony analysis (see Results and discussion). The concentration
parameter of the Dirichlet distribution was set to 1 (flat prior), and
no distinction was made between internal and terminal branches.
The dataset was partitioned first into ordered and unordered char-
acters as described above, and further by the number of observed
states to ensure that each partition received an instantaneous rate
matrix (Q) of appropriate dimensions. In total, four partitions were
specified; for the three partitions comprised of unordered charac-
ters, the substitution process was modelled using the Mkmodel of
Lewis (2001). Because all 245 characters included in the matrix
were parsimony-informative, we applied the appropriate ascertain-
ment bias correction (Allman et al., 2010); however, we note that
this correction cannot be easily extended to multistate characters
(Matzke and Irmis, 2018) and its implementation in RevBayes
(coding =“informative”) should be regarded as experimental (Sebas-
tian H¨
ohna, pers. comm.). A single discrete gamma model with
four rate categories (Yang, 1994) was linked across partitions to
account for among-character rate variation (ACRV), with the
shape parameter drawn from a diffuse Unif(0, 10
6
) prior. Two
Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) runs were performed, with a
burnin period of 80 000 iterations and a sampling period of 240 000
iterations. Under the default settings in RevBayes, each MCMC
iteration consists of a number of moves (equal to the sum of move
weights), as opposed to other Bayesian phylogenetic software pack-
ages such as MrBayes (Ronquist et al., 2012b) or BEAST 2
(Bouckaert et al., 2019), where each move is counted as a separate
iteration (Turelli et al., 2018). Accordingly, our sampling period
corresponded to 39 768 000 individual moves (=MrBayes or
BEAST iterations).
Convergence of scalar parameters was assessed by visual inspec-
tion in the program Tracer v.1.7 (Rambaut et al., 2018). To assess
topological convergence, we used the package rwty (Warren
et al., 2017) for the R statistical computing environment (R Core
Team, 2022) to calculate the average standard deviation of split fre-
quencies (ASDSF) and approximate topological effective sample size
(Lanfear et al., 2016) based on path distances (Steel and
Penny, 1993), ensuring that the former was <1.01 and the latter was
>625 (Fabreti and H¨
ohna, 2021). The pooled posterior sample from
both runs was summarized using the maximum clade credibility
(MCC) tree, which was then compared to the reduced consensus tree
from the parsimony analysis using RobinsonFoulds (RF) distances
(Robinson and Foulds, 1981) with a polytomy correction following
Huerta-Cepas et al. (2016), as implemented in a custom R function
employing the TreeDist package (Smith, 2020).
In order to obtain informative hyperpriors on the mean and vari-
ance of branch rates, we followed Ronquist et al. (2012a)
and sampled nonclock as well as strict-clock branch lengths in units
of expected substitutions per character (s/c) on a fixed topology cor-
responding to the MCC tree. In contrast to the scenario explored by
Ronquist et al. (2012a), in which these analyses were restricted to
the extant portion of the tree, our taxon sample consists exclusively
of fossils, and the strict-clock analysis therefore had to account for
the different ages of individual tips in order to yield interpretable
results. Accordingly, instead of using arbitrary time units, we first
estimated branch durations in units of Myr and subsequently multi-
plied them by the mean posterior clock rate (in units of expected
substitutions per character per Ma, s/c/Ma) to recover branch
lengths in units of s/c, directly comparable to the nonclock estimates.
This approach required conducting a full tip-dating analysis under
the fossilized birthdeath (FBD) tree prior (Gavryushkina
et al., 2014), which only differed from the final analysis by employ-
ing a fixed topology and a strict rather than relaxed clock.
The rates of speciation (λ), extinction (μ) and fossil sampling (ψ)
were assumed to be constant through time and reparameterized in
terms of the net diversification rate d=λμ, extinction fraction r
=μ/λand fossil recovery probability s=ψ/(μ+ψ). We placed an
Exp(10) prior on d, a Beta(2, 1) prior on r, which favoured high
values in accordance with Marshall’s (2017) “third law of paleobiol-
ogy” (λtends to equal μwhen averaged over time), and a Unif(0, 1)
prior on s. The extant sampling fraction (ρ) was fixed to 0. The root
age was drawn from an exponential prior with an offset of 197.5 Ma
(the minimum plausible age of Saltriovenator, which represents the
oldest currently known ceratosaur; Dal Sasso et al., 2018) and a rate
of 0.06623. This ensured that 95% of the total probability mass was
placed on ages younger than 212.6 Ma, the maximum age of the
Hayden Quarry (Petrified Forest Member, Chinle Formation) at
Ghost Ranch according to Irmis et al. (2011). The Hayden Quarry
represents the youngest assemblage containing a diverse theropod
fauna but no ceratosaurs, suggesting that the clade’s origin postdates
its deposition. Following Barido-Sottani et al. (2019), tip dates were
assigned uniform priors spanning their respective uncertainty ranges.
The topology was fixed to that of the 47-tip nonclock MCC tree
after stripping it of the four outgroups (Herrerasaurus,“Syntarsus”,
Dilophosaurus,Allosaurus). Outgroups tend to be sampled less
densely than the ingroup, and as such may result in bias in the esti-
mates of d,rand s, which could propagate downstream to the
parameters of interest (topology, divergence times, evolutionary
rates). The removal of outgroups rendered 33 of the original 245
characters constant; we chose to remove these from the dataset.
Another 42 characters were rendered parsimony-uninformative,
motivating a change in the ascertainment bias correction (from
coding =“informative” to coding =“variable”). The global clock rate
was drawn from a lognormal prior with a mean of 0.005 s/c/Ma and
σset to 1.17481 so as to ensure that the 95% highest prior density
interval would span exactly two orders of magnitude. Two runs were
performed, each with a burnin period of 90 000 iterations (12 510 000
moves) and a sampling period of 287 500 iterations (39 962 500
moves). The pooled posterior sample was summarized as an MCC
tree with mean node heights (Fig. S6).
The fixed-topology nonclock analysis was performed on the full
MCC tree (including the outgroups) to ensure that the ingroup
topology was rooted, and thus directly comparable to the rooted
strict-clock tree. We used the same gamma-Dirichlet branch length
prior as in the unconstrained analysis. Two runs were carried out,
each with a burnin period of 112 500 iterations (12 498 750 moves)
and a sampling period of 360 000 iterations (39 996 000 moves).
After verifying that the effective sample sizes (ESS) of all scalar
parameters exceeded 625, we summarized the posteriors yielded by
the strict-clock and nonclock fixed-topology analyses using MCC
trees. After pruning the outgroups from the nonclock tree, we
regressed the nonclock branch lengths against the strict-clock branch
durations, obtaining a slope of 7.5 ×10
4
s/c/Ma. This value was
used as the mean of a diffuse lognormal hyperprior on the mean
clock rate, again parameterized so that the 95% highest prior density
interval spanned exactly two orders of magnitude. Next, we multi-
plied the strict-clock branch durations by the estimated clock rate to
convert them into branch lengths, calculated the squared differences
between the strict-clock and nonclock branch lengths, and regressed
these against the strict-clock branch lengths. Following Ronquist
et al. (2012a), we used the slope of the resulting regression line as
the median of an exponential hyperprior on the variance-scaling
hyperparameter of the relaxed clock model (Fig. S7).
Tip-dating analyses
The main tip-dating analysis was conducted on the same dataset
as the strict-clock analysis (43 taxa and 212 characters; i.e. without
outgroups or constant characters) and under the same FBD prior.
D. Pol et al. / Cladistics 0 (2024) 1–50 5
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We chose to run the main analysis without sampled ancestors, which
are unlikely to occur in datasets such as ours with a sparse sampling
of temporally and geographically disparate taxa (Sim ˜
oes et al., 2020;
ˇ
Cern´
y et al., 2022). However, we also performed a sensitivity analy-
sis that allowed for sampled ancestors (Table S5 and Fig. S9). The
analysis employed the white noise clock model of Lepage
et al. (2007), as parameterized by Zhang and Wang (2019) and previ-
ously implemented in RevBayes by Sz ¨
oll˝
osi et al. (2022). For the
purposes of the clock model, we defined four anatomy-based parti-
tions: the skull (ch. 195), axial skeleton (ch. 96150, 235245), fore-
limb (ch. 151178) and the hind limb (ch. 179234). All four
partitions drew their respective branch rates from gamma distribu-
tions with a shared mean cand (potentially distinct) variances σ2
1,
...,σ2
4, and individual branch rates were reparameterized as products
of the mean clock rate cand relative rates (multipliers) r
1
,...,r
2n2
.
The relative rate r
ij
for the i-th branch and the j-th partition then fol-
lows a new Γ(α,β) distribution with α=β=cti
σ2
j
, where t
i
is the dura-
tion of the i-th branch in calendar time, so that the mean α
β¼1 and
variance α
β2¼
σ2
j
cti.
We explored two different variations on this basic model: one in
which the variance scalars were linked across partitions (σ2
1=σ2
2=
σ2
3=σ2
4) and a single set of branch rates was applied to all four ana-
tomical regions, and another one in which the variance scalars were
unlinked (that is, treated as i.i.d. draws from a common hyperprior)
and each partition received a separate set of branch rates. In both
cases, the clock model hyperparameters were drawn from the follow-
ing hyperpriors, derived using the approach described above: c
LogNorm(μ=7.88553, σ=1.17481); σ2
1,σ2
2,σ2
3,σ2
4Exp(3.24339).
We compared the linked and unlinked clock models using Bayes fac-
tors (BF; Kass and Raftery, 1995), computed from marginal likeli-
hoods estimated using the stepping-stone approach of Xie
et al. (2011). This method samples from a series of unnormalized
“power posterior” distributions of the form f
β
=
(prior) ×(likelihood)
β
, constructed along the path between the prior
(β=0) and the posterior (β=1). After a pre-burnin period of
200 000 (linked model; 50 400 000 moves) or 100 000 (unlinked
model; 51 600 000 moves) iterations, we initialized 128 βvalues, tak-
ing advantage of a recently introduced RevBayes routine for fully
parallelized power posterior sampling (H ¨
ohna et al., 2021). Each
power posterior was run for 6200 (linked model; 1 562 400 moves) or
3050 (unlinked model; 1 573 800 moves) iterations, with a burnin
fraction of 50%. The results were summarized using the 2 log BF
statistic (twice the difference of the log marginal likelihoods) and
interpreted following the guidelines of Kass and Raftery (1995).
The final tip-dating analysis was conducted under the preferred
clock model. Because the clock-model partitions based on anatomy
intersected with the substitution-model partitions based on character
type and state number, the overall model consisted of 12 distinct phylo-
genetic continuous-time Markov chains. We performed four MCMC
runs, each with a burnin period of 100 000 iterations (51 600 000
moves) and a sampling period of 400 000 iterations (206 400 000
moves). Throughout the analysis, the partition-specific branch rates
were logged on each sampled tree. After checking for convergence (sca-
lar ESS >350, approximate topological ESS >625, ASDSF <0.01),
we processed the pooled posterior sample using TreeAnnotator v.2.7.6
(Bouckaert et al., 2019) to generate an MCC tree with median node
heights and annotations for branch rate summary statistics.
Systematic palaeontology
DINOSAURIA Owen, 1842.
THEROPODA Marsh, 1881.
CERATOSAURIA Marsh, 1884.
ABELISAURIDAE Bonaparte and Novas, 1985
BRACHYROSTRA Canale et al., 2009
FURILEUSAURIA Filippi et al., 2016
Koleken gen. n.
(LSID urn:lsid:zoobank.org:act:8E384B7B-6731-
40DF-B65B-035AD7DB753B)
Type species. Koleken inakayali, by monotypy.
Derivation of name. Adapted from K ´
oleken, a name
in Teushen language spoken by the native population
of central Patagonia that means “coming from clay
and water”, given the specimen was found in a
sedimentary section dominated by claystone
representing an estuarine environment.
Diagnosis. As for the type and only species.
Koleken inakayali sp. n.
(LSID urn:lsid:zoobank.org:act:A147BAD3-87F0-
403F-A1C0-2067D0B11169)
Derivation of name. Honouring Inakayal, one of the
last chiefs of Tehuelches, native people from central
Patagonia. He is known for his resistance against
Argentina’s Conquest of the Desert military campaign,
which resulted in the decimation and displacement of
native communities from Patagonia. After his capture
and eventual death in 1888, Inakayal’s skeleton was
stored at the La Plata Museum Anthropology collection
but in 1994 his skeleton was respectfully restituted in its
native place and buried by his people near the town of
Tecka, in central Patagonia (Chubut Province,
Argentina).
Holotype. MPEF-PV 10826. The specimen includes
closely associated (but disarticulated) remains of the
skull and atlas, as well as the articulated postcranial
skeleton composed of the posteriormost eight dorsal
vertebrae, a complete sacrum, eight caudal vertebrae,
an almost complete pelvis and hind limbs. Select
measurements are provided in Table S1.
Locality and horizon. The specimen was found at
the Cerro Bayo Norte area, east of the Sierra de La
Colonia, centre north of Chubut Province, Argentina
(Fig. 1). Precise geographical provenance is deposited
at the MPEF collection. The specimen was found close
to the base of the stratigraphic section of the La
Colonia Formation that crops out in this region (see
Gasparini et al., 2015: Fig. 2). The age of the base of
this unit has been recently restricted to the early
Maastrichtian (Clyde et al., 2021), constraining the age
of the new taxon to the Maastrichtian.
6D. Pol et al. / Cladistics 0 (2024) 1–50
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Diagnosis. Koleken inakayali is a brachyrostran
abelisaurid different from other theropods in having
the following set of autapomorphies (marked with
a*): (i) medially smooth paradental plates; (ii) dorsal
surface of the nasal with a row of foramina orientated
obliquely with respect to the longitudinal skull axis;
(iii) *anterior ramus of the postorbital lacking the
lateral wall reflected by a dorsoventral height less than
half of its anteroposterior length, which makes the
orbital surface face ventrally instead ventromedially;
(iv) *dorsal surface of the postorbital with a shallow
depression facing dorsolaterally, located at the
junction between anterior and posterior rami, and
bounded anteriorly by a well-defined ridge; (v) parietal
with a mediolaterally concave dorsal surface and
lacking a knob-like dorsal projection and; (vi) ventral
process of the squamosal slender and thorn-like,
lacking a kink on the anterior margin; (vii) *dorsal
neural spines in lateral view bearing an elevated rim
along the anterior, dorsal and posterior margins of the
neural spine; (viii) margin of the proximal articular
surface of tibia connecting lateral and medial condyles
obliquely orientated, facing posterolaterally.
Differential diagnosis. MPEF-PV 10826 shows
further anatomical differences from several Cretaceous
abelisauroids, especially the sympatric Carnotaurus
sastrei Bonaparte, 1985. The angle between the
premaxilla and maxilla rami of the nasal is lower than
in Carnotaurus,Majungasaurus and Aucasaurus. The
Fig. 2. Right and left maxillae of Koleken inakayali MPEF-PV 10826. Right (a, b) and left (c, d) elements in (a, c) lateral and (b, d) medial
views. aof, antorbital fossa; csj, contact surface for the jugal; csp, contact surface for the palatine; ip, interdental plate; nvf, neurovascular fora-
men; p, protuberance; pp, paradental plate; rt, replacement tooth. Scale bar: 5 cm.
D. Pol et al. / Cladistics 0 (2024) 1–50 7
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proximal tip of the lesser trochanter ends proximally
to the ventral margin of the femoral head (ends below
in Carnotaurus,Ekrixinatosaurus and Aucasaurus), the
distal femur lacks a well-defined transverse ridge
across the infrapopliteal fossa (present in Carnotaurus,
Aucasaurus,Eoabelisaurus,Xenotarsosaurus and
Quilmesaurus), the distal end of metatarsal II has a
faintly marked extensor fossa in which the distal
margin is poor developed (more conspicuous in
Eoabelisaurus,Aucasaurus,Majungasaurus,
Masiakasaurus and Skorpiovenator), metatarsal III has
a poorly developed ventrolateral corner of the
proximal articular surface (prominent in Aucasaurus or
Elaphrosaurus), metatarsal IV is slightly shorter than
metatarsal II, curving laterally (almost straight or
barely curved in noasaurids and in Aucasaurus and
Skorpiovenator).
Description
Skull
General information. The skull is represented by six
bones: partially preserved right maxilla, fragmentary
left maxilla, fragmentary left and right nasals, partial
right postorbital, partial right frontal, partially
preserved left and right squamosals, and fragmentary
fused parietals (Figs 24).
Maxilla. Koleken includes the partially preserved
right and left maxillae that represent the entire
morphology of the maxilla, except for the ascending
ramus and the posteriormost tip of the bone (Fig. 2ad).
A bone fragment with an L-shaped cross-section, rugose
lateral surface and a broken ventral surface is probably
from the left maxilla. The left maxilla is preserved as the
ventral rim of the antorbital fossa, which is missing in
the right maxilla. The ventral rim of the body is slightly
convex, as in all abelisaurids and in most theropods
(Fig. 2a,b). The lateral surface is flat and ornamented
with a dendritic pattern of vascular grooves orientated
dorsoventrally, with some containing ventrally directed
foramina (Fig. 2a,c). This pattern of ornamentation
is observed in all abelisaurids where the maxilla is
known (e.g. Aucasaurus,Carnotaurus,Majungasaurus,
Skorpiovenator and Spectrovenator). However, Koleken
lacks the curved grooves observed in the middle and
posterior portion of the maxillary body present in
Rugops,Tralkasaurus and the indeterminate abelisaurid
UNPSJB-PV247. Two small fragments with a similar
lateral surface that medially preserve the broken rim of
alveoli are probably from the left maxilla. The anterior
rim of the right maxilla preserves a notch for the
articulation of the maxillary ramus of the nasal, just
below the base of the anterior ramus which is distally
broken as in Carnotaurus,Kryptops,Majungasaurus,
Rugops and the indeterminate abelisaurid UNPSJB-
PV247. The left maxilla is represented by a portion of
the ventral margin of the antorbital fossa (Fig. 2c).
Laterally, this margin is smooth but punctuated with a
small pointed protuberance that marks the anterior end
of the contact surface for the jugal. The contact surface
for the jugal forms a shelf, which is smooth and inclined
dorsally at almost 45°,asinCarnotaurus and
Skorpiovenator (Fig. 2a). Medially, the ventral margin
of the antorbital fenestra is smooth, rounded and
stepped above the ventral surface of the antorbital
fossa.
The medial surface of the maxilla is relatively smooth
with only a faint texture and a very small number of
posteroventrally directed foramina (Fig. 2b,d). By con-
trast, most abelisaurids have a rugose texture in this
region comprising dorsoventrally-orientated ridges,
many of which contain ventrally directed foramina (e.g.
Carnotaurus,Llukalkan,Majungasaurus,Rugops,
Tralkasaurus and the indeterminate abelisaurid
UNPSJB-PV247). The absence of these ridges and of a
rugose surface is here considered as an autapomorphic
trait of Koleken within the context of Abelisauridae.
Posteriorly, the contact surface for the palatine is poorly
preserved. There are at least 12 maxillary teeth based on
preserved alveoli. The distalmost preserved alveolus is
partially broken, but given its small size it probably rep-
resents the last maxillary tooth position equating to a
maxillary tooth count of 12. This number of teeth is
shared with Carnotaurus, while Aucasaurus (14 or 15),
Ekrixinatosaurus (16+), Majungasaurus (17) and Skor-
piovenator (16+) have a higher number of teeth. The
maxillary teeth of Koleken are replacement teeth and
have the general form typical of abelisaurids, showing
moderately laterally compressed crowns with curved
serrated mesial carina and a tooth apex close to the level
of the straight serrated distal carina (Hendrickx
and Mateus, 2014b; Hendrickx et al., 2020; Meso
et al., 2021). There is a longitudinal row of pits on the
medial surface of the maxilla. These pits are associated
with tooth development (Carrano and Sampson, 2008),
and replacement teeth are visible within them. The par-
adental and the interdental plates are all fused, forming
a medial wall and the separation among the alveolus.
Nasal. The nasals are preserved as fragments of the
left and right anterior rami, a large fragment of
the posterior portion of the right nasal and a smaller
fragment of the posterior portion of