At the very beginning of doctoral dissertation, applying the content analysis method gives an overview of all the subjects from the end-of-life vehicle (ELV) recycling domain that were estimated as being directly or indirectly related to the subject that the dissertation considers. The literature is organized into two main sub-areas; namely, operational research in the vehicle recycling domain and theoretical aspect of vehicle recycling. In order to identify as clearly as possible the directions of further research and observe possible shortcomings of the already published papers, literature review has been appended with the major classification scheme of vehicle recycling domain, a table of the collected papers classified according to the place where they were published, and distribution list of papers on vehicle recycling in international journals in the period 1997-2013.
The dissertation firstly formulates and tests the short-term processing planning model for vehicle recycling factories in the EU legislative and global business environments. As part of the supplementary numerical case study, profitability and eco-efficiency of the EU vehicle recycling system were considered, and the discussion about the influence of technological development on the cost structure of vehicle recycling factory has been submitted. Additionally, the following analyses have been made: analysis of the impact of the EU Directive on end-of-life vehicles (EU ELV Directive) on decision making process regarding recycling, analysis of the impact of available financial instruments on profitability and eco-efficiency of vehicle recycling factory, analysis of two approaches for the control of the vehicle recycling system efficiency, and analysis of the impact of the EU ELV Directive and business conditions on the cost structure of vehicle recycling factory. The control of the recycling system efficiency should be done at the system level because it will in no way jeopardise the EU ELV Directive objectives. Considering valid quotas, the best ecological result will be attained at high cost for land-filling of automobile shredder residue (ASR) and low cost for processing in an advanced thermal treatment (ATT) plant. On the other hand, after January 1, 2015, EU member states will have to raise their costs for landfill disposal and do what is in their power to lower ATT costs and municipal solid waste incineration costs if they want to minimise further environmental degradation. The increase in landfill disposal cost will not always reduce the quantity of automobile shredder residues routed to landfills. Moreover, until January 1, 2015, the above mentioned rise in price will have no effect with high incineration and advanced thermal treatment costs, and after this date, the increase in the landfill disposal cost will be justified only if the advanced thermal treatment cost is low. Analysis of the cost structure of vehicle recycling factory led to conclusion that it is in great extent influenced by legislation and financial business conditions.
The dissertation then formulates and tests the model for material selection in the EU vehicle recycling system in order to find out answers to the following key questions: Can contemporary equipped vehicle shredding factories conduct profitable business? Are prescribed eco-efficiency quotas actually attainable? How will the commenced change in vehicle design influence vehicle shredding factories? The proposed model tackles tactical recycling planning and material selection problems in the European vehicle recycling system. The formulated model provides optimal procurement, storage, processing, transportation, advanced thermal treatment, incineration and landfill disposal decisions. A special case of how the change in vehicle design impacts the business of vehicle recycling factories was observed, i.e. the impact of reducing vehicle weight with substituting ferrous metals with aluminium. Based on the proposed model test results analysis and obtained answers, it is concluded that vehicle recycling factory transformation is not only necessary but entirely justified and that the final success of the EU ELV Directive is realistic. The stability of the obtained results has been confirmed by the analysis of their sensitivity to changes in aluminium and copper prices. Sensitivity analysis of the quantities of procured vehicle hulks to the amounts of the resulting profit from the vehicle recycling factory pointed out the significant, almost linear interdependence.
The dissertation presents the short-term automobile shredder residue recycling planning model in the Japanese legislative environment. The submitted numerical case study illustrates the potentials and applicability of the formulated model. It was used for the analysis of the impact of the Japanese Law on recycling of end-of-life vehicles (Japanese ELV Law), and gave insights into financial and ecological performances of the Japanese vehicle recycling system. The implemented sensitivity analyses of metal prices, ASR deposit value, transportation costs, processing costs, vehicle hulk cost, advanced thermal treatment cost and landfill disposal cost demonstrated and validated the proposed model and its potentials. Metal prices present the most significant recycling parameter. Introducing stringent ASR quota increases only the influence of the ATT cost parameter, whereas the influence of other recycling parameters will be reduced. The change in vehicle design, which was observed from the aspect of substituting ferrous metals with aluminium, will not jeopardize Japanese vehicle recycling system. Contemporary equipped vehicle shredding factories represent economically and ecologically far better solution for the recycling of automobile shredder residue than traditionally equipped vehicle shredding factories. Japanese ELV Recycling Law influences neither quantity of ASR generated in hulk shredding operation nor quantity of ASR collected by automaker. It has the crucial influence on making decisions about ASR recycling, since the 20% increase in ASR recycling quota will cause approximately 50% decrease in the quantity of disposed ASR. The stringent ASR quota is easily attainable and introducing it will not substantially influence the change in the profitability level of contemporary equipped vehicle shredding factories. The directions of the further development of this model have been pointed out.
Current, not so bright, situation in the Republic of Serbia regarding the recycling of ELVs and a noticeable tendency towards creation of economically sustainable recycling system represent major motives for projection and modelling of vehicle recycling system that would be the most cost-effective and eco-efficient in the long run. Interval linear programming approach is used to formulate and test the model for long-term planning of vehicle recycling in the Republic of Serbia under uncertainty. The model is applied to a numerical case study; a four-year-planning horizon (2013-2016) is considered, three legislative cases and three scrap metal price trends are analyzed, availability of final destinations for sorted waste flows is explored. Potential and applicability of developed model are illustrated. Detailed insights on profitability and eco-efficiency of the projected contemporary equipped vehicle recycling factory are presented. The influences of the Ordinance on the management of ELVs in the Republic of Serbia (Serbian ELV Ordinance) on the vehicle hulks procuring, sorting generated material fractions, sorted waste allocation and sorted metals allocation decisions are examined. The Serbian Waste management strategy for period 2010-2019 is analysed. The formulated model can create optimal plans for procuring vehicle hulks, sorting generated material fractions, allocating sorted waste flows and allocating sorted metals. If after January 1, 2015, there is no possibility of incineration of sorted waste material in the Republic of Serbia, the vehicle recycling factory will most definitely have to cease their operations due to inability to reach the 85% recovery quota. Therefore, constructing and activating municipal solid waste incinerator(s) till the end of 2014 presents the key challenge for the republic authorities. Availability of plant for advanced thermal treatment is the necessary condition for recovery and recycling quotas of 95% and 85% respectively, which were planned in the second phase of the Serbian ELV Ordinance implementation. That is why the revision of the Waste management strategy for period 2010-2019 is recommended as it didn’t predict the construction of plant of this type. It is identified that the trend in scrap metal prices change has crucial effect on the amount of profit made by vehicle recycling factory. Analysis of the allocation of isolated waste materials pointed to a very limited, even adverse effect of the first implementation phase of the Serbian ELV Ordinance on the projected vehicle recycling factory. It has been identified that restricting energy recovery to 5% can triple the quantity of land-filled waste materials. The second implementation phase of the Serbian ELV Ordinance will relieve landfills of waste materials generated in vehicle recycling process, since 2-10 times smaller quantity will be disposed compared to the case when there is no legislation, and 6-8 times smaller quantity compared to the first implementation phase of the Serbian ELV Ordinance. Several important recommendations for the future research of the vehicle recycling research area are highlighted and discussed.