PreprintPDF Available

Abstract and Figures

Processes of disaster risk creation are outpacing the achievements of disaster risk reduction initiatives. Preventing risk creation is consequently an objective recognised by major disaster frameworks. However, there exists a gap in our understanding of the processes contributing to risk creation, with the existing body of knowledge lacking conceptual clarification to guide empirical applications. This review distils how disaster scholarship either implicitly or explicitly theorises the concept of disaster risk creation by employing a semi-systematic scoping strategy and thematic analysis of the literature. Disaster risk creation is inferred to be the process, or set of processes, through which risk is constructed (by human actors) in relation to (socio-)natural hazards. The major themes emerging from scholarly enquiries into risk creation are identified as (1) risk-creating developments, (2) risk production in relation to risk reduction efforts, and, intersecting these themes, (3) the multi-scale nature of risk creation. To avoid disaster risk creation and question the continued establishment of risk-creating path dependencies, we identify a need for future research to look both at ongoing and changeable, as well as more distal, trajectory-setting processes. The outcomes of this review have the potential to enrich and advance the application of disaster risk creation within the field of disaster studies, inspiring the further interrogation and eventual deconstruction of disaster risk creation processes.
Content may be subject to copyright.
1
Deconstructing disaster risk creation discourses
Grace Muir a and Aaron Opdyke a
a School of Civil Engineering, The University of Sydney, NSW, Australia
Abstract
Processes of disaster risk creaon are outpacing the achievements of disaster risk reducon
iniaves. Prevenng risk creaon is consequently an objecve recognised by major disaster
frameworks. However, there exists a gap in our understanding of the processes contribung to risk
creaon, with the exisng body of knowledge lacking conceptual claricaon to guide empirical
applicaons. This review disls how disaster scholarship either implicitly or explicitly theorises the
concept of disaster risk creaon by employing a semi-systemac scoping strategy and themac
analysis of the literature. Disaster risk creaon is inferred to be the process, or set of processes,
through which risk is constructed (by human actors) in relaon to (socio-)natural hazards. The major
themes emerging from scholarly enquiries into risk creaon are idened as (1) risk-creang
developments, (2) risk producon in relaon to risk reducon eorts, and, intersecng these
themes, (3) the mul-scale nature of risk creaon. To avoid disaster risk creaon and queson the
connued establishment of risk-creang path dependencies, we idenfy a need for future research
to look both at ongoing and changeable, as well as more distal, trajectory-seng processes. The
outcomes of this review have the potenal to enrich and advance the applicaon of disaster risk
creaon within the eld of disaster studies, inspiring the further interrogaon and eventual
deconstrucon of disaster risk creaon processes.
Keywords
Disaster Risk Creaon; Development; Inequity; Disaster Studies; Literature Review.
Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4794204
2
1 Introducon
With disaster occurrence projected to be on the rise, there is growing aenon to the generaon of
disaster risk as progressively outstripping risk reducon eorts (Covarrubias & Raju, 2020; Lavell &
Maskrey, 2014; UNDRR, 2015a, 2022). It has been suggested that disaster risk reducon (DRR) may
only truly be achieved by understanding and addressing processes of disaster risk creaon (DRC)
(Alexander, 2016). Leaving communies to “reduce risk created at macro levels” without challenging
DRC will only perpetuate inequies in felt risks (Alcántara-Ayala et al., 2022; Clark-Ginsberg et al.,
2021b). An equitable reframing of approaches would entail not just countering exisng or ancipated
risks but acvely targeng the processes which rounely create them (Castro et al., 2015; UNDRR,
2022).
Wisner (2019) suggests a need for the conceptual claricaon and empirical documentaon of the
DRC process - the ‘hidden’ counterpart of DRR. Research centring on the concept remains limited
(Clark-Ginsberg et al., 2021b), with the exisng pool of literature not yet comprehensively reviewed.
This review aends to this need by charng how the concept of DRC has been explored to date.
Prevenng DRC is an objecve recognised by major disaster frameworks (UNDRR, 2015b), so it is
hoped that such a review inspires the further interrogaon, and eventual deconstrucon, of the
enclosed processes. This review seeks to answer:
1. How is disaster risk creaon dened and conceptualised in academic literature?
2. What are the recognised sources, processes, and products of disaster risk creaon?
Here, we briey specify the scope and analyc bounds within which this research is situated. This
review does not aempt to comprehensively collate insights on all components broadly contribung
to disaster occurrence or disaster risk. Despite literature reinforcing the prevalent discourse that
disaster risk is created at the intersecon of hazards, vulnerability, and exposure (e.g. Alves et al.,
2021), it is beyond the scope of this paper to synthesise all ways this interface has been studied. This
element of the discourse can be furthered at the reader’s discreon via the abundant literature on
vulnerability paradigms, disaster frameworks (e.g. the PAR model), and root causes of disaster. While
recognising the ensuing discussion cannot be detached from such discourses, this review looks
explicitly at ‘disaster risk creaon’ as a theorecally important and disnct (set of) process(es).
2 Methods
We used a semi-systemac scoping strategy to idenfy a broad range of literature reporng on
disaster risk creaon (Munn et al., 2018; Snyder, 2019). A semi-systemac approach was adopted on
the basis that a fully systemac approach, dening strict upfront search and inclusion criteria, would
lack a predened base of commonly accepted DRC-related terminology (e.g. Pecrew & Roberts,
2008). It was also ancipated that many scholars would discuss risk creaon processes implicitly,
rendering a fully systemac approach inadequate to capture the plurality of ways the concept is
discussed (Snyder, 2019). An iterave exploraon of literature discussing DRC informed the inial
search string, which ulised preliminarily idened DRC-related terms. We searched publicaon
tles, abstracts, and keywords in the Scopus database in November 2023 using the following: (
creat* OR construct* OR generat* OR produc* OR driv* OR increas* ) W/3 "disaster risk*". ‘W/3’
narrows the search to instances where “disaster risk” lies within three words from any of the
bracketed terms. The use of ‘*’ in the search string enabled the inclusion of mulple variaons of
each term, with creat*, for instance, encompassing terms such as create(s), creang, creaon, and
created. We limited our search to books, book chapters, arcles, and reviews.
Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4794204
3
Supplementary search strategies were adopted through the review process to broaden the pool of
reviewed literature. This included a concurrent search for the bounded term “disaster risk creaon”
in Google Scholar to idenfy missing papers that explicitly discuss DRC within their body text which
Scopus is unable to search as it is limited to tle, abstract, and keywords. Addional search strings,
such as: ("risk creat*" AND disaster) or ("creat* risk" AND disaster), were informed iteravely. We
snowballed the search using included arcle or book bibliographies to idenfy further relevant
sources.
From the inial Scopus search, 400+ studies’ tles and abstracts were screened according to
iteravely designed inclusion criteria. The inclusion criteria, at its broadest, required studies to
describe any (set of) human-driven process(es) leading to a heightened state of disaster risk. This
was the understanding of DRC adopted by the authors upon concepon of the screening process.
‘Increasing’, for example, would have to be framed in a way that aligned with this denion to be
included in the analysis component of the review. The review specically targeted natural hazard-
related risk, so any isolated discussion of (e.g.) nance or business-related risk was excluded.
Examples of excluded topics from the inial search thread comprised references to (1) ‘creang’
disaster risk models, frameworks, policies, or knowledge, (2) ‘increasing’ disaster risk management,
reducon, monitoring, or governance eorts, or talking generally to (3) an ‘increased (trend in)
disaster risk’ to contextualise a study, without suggesng there will be any discussion or analysis of
risk-enhancing processes. Studies which appeared to discuss risk-creang processes in their abstracts
were later excluded from the review if there was no further expansion in the main body text. Aer
inial screening, we idened 150 studies for inclusion.
Following this, we themacally analysed the selected literature with the aim of providing an
overview of the dominant ideas and paerns emerging from the assessed texts (Braun & Clarke,
2006). The primary search string enabled the idencaon of papers deemed to have conceptual
overlaps with the central term (DRC), i.e. talking to processes by which people and social processes
are acvely enhancing disaster risk. All texts were imported into NVivo soware for qualitave
content analysis to determine common paerns surrounding DRC. Inducve qualitave coding was
rst used to capture how the concept of disaster risk creaon and its oshoot terminologies are
dened in academic literature. Through a parallel phase of inducve coding and categorisaon we
themacally clustered sources, processes, and products of DRC idened in the reviewed literature.
Examples of source codes included ‘development pressures’, ‘build back beer ideologies’, ‘systemic
constraints’, ‘risk subjecvies’; process codes included ‘band-aid DRR soluons’, ‘urgency in decision
making’, ‘marginalised populaons’; and product codes included ‘inadequate structures’, ‘hazard
proximity’, ‘displaced risk’. These codes experienced mulple iteraons and were ulmately
categorised according to the major themes of the ensuing discussion.
3 Findings
Scholars note that we have constructed and connue to construct risk(y) sociees, with socially- and
structurally-induced vulnerabilies woven into their very fabrics (Banko & Hilhorst, 2022; Coates &
Warner, 2023) (see Figure 1). Literature presents processes of disaster risk creaon as intertwined in
disnct social assemblages (e.g. Dickinson & Burton, 2022), contextually situates instances of DRC in
case examples, and relates them to diverse forms of governance. A point of divergence in empirical
scholarship is whether paerns of risk creaon are discussed retrospecvely, focusing on ‘realised
risk’ manifest in past events (e.g. Uehara et al., 2022), or in an ancipatory fashion. As an example,
Guadagno & Guadagno (2021) discuss processes of disaster risk construcon via a retrospecve
analysis of disaster damage. Rumbach & Németh (2018, p. 341) argue for the equal importance of
assessing the ongoing accreon of risk, specically in urban developments, to bring light to unjust
Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4794204
4
processes of risk creaon and distribuon. Other approaches employed to study DRC processes
include mapping disaster-causing factor chains, conducng policy or organisaonal analysis, and
adopng urban, colonial, or development studies perspecves.
Figure 1. (In)tangible and (un)intenonally inequitable inuences interacng across spaotemporal scales,
culminang in disaster risk creaon (DRC). The presented sample of risk-creang components are extracted
from scholarly enquiries into DRC.
We interpret DRC to be the process, or set of processes, through which risk is constructed (by human
actors) in relaon to (socio-)natural hazards. Through this review, aenon is drawn to the sources,
processes, and products of DRC. We begin the review by exploring denions of DRC. We then
unpack the risk-creang nature of development decisions, risk producon in relaon to DRR eorts,
and nally, the mul-scalar nature of processes of risk creaon. The laer of these incorporates
development and DRR-related processes but focuses squarely on interrogang the signicance of,
and relaons between, dierent scales of inuence in DRC. We end the review by discussing some
proposed means of avoiding DRC, although recognise such discussions are in their infancy.
3.1 Dening disaster risk creaon
The discourse surrounding the creaon, construcon, or producon of disaster risk predominantly
centres it as a ‘socially constructed’ phenomenon (e.g. Alcántara-Ayala, 2021), a product of human-
mediated processes and chains of causaon. Clark-Ginsberg et al. (2021b) label the interpretaon of
risk as socially constructed a unifying feature of work on DRC. Rumbach & Németh (2018, p. 342)
likewise suggest DRC as a concept “focuses aenon more squarely on human agency in the
producon and distribuon of risk”. DRC is thus a process aligned with individuals’, communies’,
organisaons’, and governments’ implicit or explicit, voluntary or involuntary choices and adopted
behaviours. Whether decision makers are ignorant to the risk-creang implicaons or knowingly
creang inequitable risk is replete, with both encapsulated respecvely in Lewis & Kelman's (2012)
‘bad’ and ‘ugly’ categorisaons of risk-creang behaviours. DRC processes are also regarded here as
encompassing ‘a lack of acon’. This review will later further the idea of intenonality in DRC.
Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4794204
5
O highlighted is the systemic nature of the producon of disaster risk (e.g. Covarrubias & Raju,
2020; Yang et al., 2018), so, in aempng to understand risk creaon processes, these should not be
unbound from the systems within which they are situated. Risk-creang acons are, for instance,
discussed as bound in neoliberal agendas, post-colonial trajectories, or the systemic marginalisaon
of populaons (e.g. Barclay et al., 2019; Covarrubias & Raju, 2020). We interpret Poudel et al.’s
(2023, p. 5) framing of DRC as implying the producon of risk takes place via the amalgamaon of
both ongoing and elapsed decisions and acons as well as their dynamically evolving byproducts.
The idea of disaster risks being in a permanent state of construcon is echoed by Sandoval et al.
(2023). Another important denional element is the posioning of DRC as a pre-, during, or post-
disaster process. While Kelman's (2018) framing, among others’, seemingly connes DRC to the ‘pre-
event’ space, other framings appear to contend for a broader situaonal posioning of DRC
processes. We highlight a sample of denions from the literature in Table 1.
Table 1. Disaster risk creaon denions.
Authors
DRC Denitions
Clark-Ginsberg et al.
(2021a, p. 445)
“the creation or exacerbation of hazard, increase in exposure and
propagation of vulnerability”
Clark-Ginsberg et al.
(2021b, p. 449)
“a product of inequity”
Poudel et al. (2023, p. 5)
“a constellation of active processes through which risk is produced and
reproduced”
Wisner (2022, p. 185)
“the evil twin of ‘disaster risk reduction’”
Dickinson and Burton
(2022, p. 203)
“a process that increases vulnerability”
3.1.1 Through which lens is disaster risk creaon conceptualised?
Disaster risk is a concurrently social and physical condion (e.g. Barclay et al., 2019). The dominant
lens through which concepons of disaster risk, and subsequently DRC, are framed in the literature
relates to the habitually core components: hazard, exposure, and vulnerability. Guadagno &
Guadagno (2021), for example, discuss the inuence of outmigraon on selement-related risk
creaon with specic regard to all three elements in the context of Southern Italy’s Apennines.
Sandoval & Sarmiento (2020) present these elements more implicitly, with DRC emerging via the
combinaon of socio-environmental fragilies, exposure, and housing precarity.
The role of hazard generaon in risk creaon is explored across the reviewed studies. Cheek et al.
(2023), for instance, note new hazards are generated through the interacons of the built
environment with exisng hazards, using the landll-induced heightened incidence of seismic
liquefacon in Tokyo as an example. Aronsson-Storrier (2020) and Derakhshan et al. (2020), along
similar lines, respecvely note increased landslide and seismic disaster risk succeeding fracking and
wastewater injecons. Rumbach & Németh (2018) speak to the construcon of risk via ‘mul-storied
concrete buildings’ on hillslopes, exacerbang slope failure incidence. Within this context, a
secondarily generated downslope hazard via collapsed building debris is also observed. Such
phenomena have been referred to as ‘socio-natural’ hazards, “generated at the intersecon of
human pracces and environment” (Lavell et al., 2023, p. 132). Commonly aligned (hazard-
exacerbang) processes broadly include climate change and environmental degradaon, with the
spaal scales of causality and impact not always aligned (Alcántara-Ayala, 2021). One example of risk
creaon through climate change is reported by Shang et al. (2023), who note the associated melng
of permafrost increases the risk to building foundaons whose stability is inuenced by the thermal
regime of the surrounding permafrost. Poudel et al. (2023) explore another example whereby
Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4794204
6
Khokana’s (Nepal) urbanisaon trajectory is modifying hazard geographies. Prevailing socio-
environmental relaons are also considered more generally as risk-creang (Forino, 2016).
Some scholars diverge from explicitly discussing hazard generaon as a risk-creang element,
framing “exposure and vulnerability as the main ingredients” (Alcántara-Ayala, 2021, p. 324), with
exposure further depicted a necessary determinant of DRC (Ehrlich et al., 2018; Lavell et al., 2023).
Alcántara-Ayala (2021) suggest disaster risk results when landslide exposure emerges via rural
transformaons and the staoning of socio-economic acvies on hazard-suscepble land.
Contrasng more hazard-oriented conceptualisaons of DRC are both Lewis and Kelman (2012) and
Kelman (2018), who primarily centre their discussions on ‘vulnerability drivers’ and ‘vulnerability
creaon’. Dickinson & Burton (2022, p. 203) complement this standpoint by suggesng DRC “is a
process that increases vulnerability”. Chipangura et al. (2017) note the dominance of hazard
framings across the Zimbabwe disaster risk management system, criquing the resultant silencing of
vulnerability and theisc framings, with the laer labelled key components in the social construcon
of risk. Covarrubias & Raju (2020) explicitly use the vulnerability paradigm to invesgate the role of
the polical-economic system as a ‘vulnerability creator’. Clark-Ginsberg et al. (2021b), Jerolleman
(2019), and Sarmiento (2018) likewise centre vulnerability in their DRC framings.
Although vulnerability is centralised in many DRC discourses, Lizarralde et al. (2021) problemase
conceptualisaons of DRC as synonymous with vulnerability creaon, nong alignment with a
‘radical construcvist approach’ neglects hazard-related discourses. Peters (2021) explicitly
disnguishes between vulnerability creaon and DRC in conict contexts, seeing the former as only a
paral insight into the processes contribung to DRC. The author does, however, report the majority
inuence emanates through vulnerability creaon (p.5). It is important to note that vulnerability is
not an enrely unproblemac concept, oen abused in disaster studies (Cannon, 2022) by failing to
account for the fact “those facing systemic oppression are made vulnerable” or “vulnerabilised” by
agents and instuons (von Meding & Chmuna, 2023). We observe that DRC might work to draw
specic aenon to the processes and sources of risk creaon which are oen le unaccounted for
in vulnerability discourses (Banko & Hilhorst, 2022).
3.2 A tendency towards risk-creang development decisions
Wisner (2016, p. 35) surmises that “the very development process that is supposed to ‘li all boats’
is, in fact, sinking [certain groups’] by creang risk”. Mirroring this asseron, the framing of disasters
as ‘disruptors’ of development is problemased, with scholars suggesng they should instead be
viewed as the very result of development in its failed forms (Chmuna et al., 2021; Lavell et al.,
2012). Development supposedly entails “the movement upward of the enre social system” (Myrdal,
1974, p. 729), but risk-generang forms of ‘development’ acvely work against this collecve
upliing. Employed concepons of development frequently challenge this ideal due to the malleable
and value-laden nature of ‘moving upward’ or ‘making beer’ (Chambers, 2004; McEwan, 2009).
Development decision-making subsequently involves navigang inconsistent or conicng guiding
principles, with incompable and inequitable goals oen resulngly pursued (Fra.Paleo, 2015;
Lukasiewicz, 2020).
Many DRC discussions centre themselves in urban contexts, with risk creaon manifest in structural
development processes via (e.g.) the consolidaon of capital and populaons onto hazard-
suscepble or otherwise unsuitable land, hazard generaon, and processes of socio-spaal
marginalisaon (Castro et al., 2015; Guadagno & Guadagno, 2021; Lavell et al., 2023; Page, 2021;
Rumbach, 2014; Sulkkar Ahamed et al., 2023). Disaster risk can thereby be viewed as a reecon of
socio-spaal conguraons (Ramalho, 2019; Meriläinen & Koro, 2021), created in the producon of
Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4794204
7
spaces (Lara et al., 2021; Ríos, 2015). There is also a noted connecon between displacement, forced
by rural development projects or urban gentricaon, and DRC (Banko & Hilhorst, 2022; Wisner,
2016). The accompanying creaon of risk is associated with displaced populaons facing foreign
hazards, livelihood concerns, and the erasure of place local idenes, knowledge, and community
structures (Banko & Hilhorst, 2022; Clark-Ginsberg et al., 2021).
The following secons are framed around three inducvely derived themes, depicted in Figure 2. The
rst relates to the foundaons of risk-creang development decisions, the second to the processes
involved in upholding such tendencies, and nally, to the general product of these processes.
Figure 2. The sources, processes, and products of risk-creang development decisions.
3.2.1. Why do development decisions create disaster risk?
Literature is replete with examples of selements being (knowingly) expanded into hazard zones
(e.g. Poudel et al., 2023) or constructed to decient standards. Development decisions are therein
ghtly bound to processes of DRC (Ruiz-Cortés & Alcántara-Ayala, 2020). There appears a reluctance
among praconers to challenge mainstream planning processes and ideologies with the greater
consideraon of disaster risk and alternave socio-spaal conguraons. To illustrate this, we draw
on literature highlighng compeng development priories and exploring informal selement
contexts. This secon is framed around the emergent idea that there are explicit, hidden, and
neglected agendas underlying development decisions, each with associated spectrums of
intenonality in their risk-creang implicaons.
3.2.1.1. Neglecng disaster risk concerns
Observable silos in development and DRR policy- and decision-making can result in government and
private sector development acvies that are insensive to the risk they produce (e.g. Poudel et al.,
2023; Raikes et al., 2022). The risk-creang eects of these disciplinary silos are exemplied by
Lizarralde et al. (2020) who point to the separaon of departmental responsibilies as heightening
risk to selements. Scholars contend that DRR should be more uidly integrated into development
planning processes to negate the risk-creang potenal of established development pracces
(Bosher et al., 2021; Joshi et al., 2022; Oliver-Smith et al., 2017a, 2017b). Sandoval et al. (2023)
similarly call for incorporang awareness of DRC into inter-sectoral development components,
namely water, agriculture, and housing. Yet, disaster risk connues to be viewed as a separate and
disnct enty (Alcántara-Ayala et al., 2023), with DRR agendas (e.g. in reconstrucon) resulngly
constrained by conicng development standards (Cheek et al., 2023).
The tendency for decision-makers to view disaster risk as low-priority next to demands for property
development is echoed across the literature (e.g. Barclay et al., 2019), with a lack of risk-oriented
land-use planning potenang DRC (Su et al., 2021; Vogel et al., 2022). The decient regard for
disaster risk in urban development decisions could, in part, be fuelled by the incongruous training of
Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4794204
8
and standards held by built environment praconers (Chmuna & von Meding, 2022). Deciencies
in building codes further inhibit DRR integraon (Chmuna & Bosher, 2015). Corrupon is another
means through which the possession of hazard-prone land, and subsequent DRC, is enabled. French
et al. (2020), for instance, report on the intenonal shortcoming of Peruvian ocials to enforce risk-
related regulaons to advance their polical backing. Risk can also be created through a deciency of
context-specic regulaons, which hinder safe development pracces since dicules in compliance
can promote non-adherence to (e.g.) suggested building codes (Rumbach & Németh, 2018). Data
deciencies in remote regions can fuel these non-contextually grounded policies (Rumbach &
Németh, 2018). Coates (2021) observes an incidence in the district of Nova Friburgo, Brazil in which
land was deforested, subsequent construcon was unregulated and overlooked by the environment
secretariat, the area was hit by a landslide, and approved once again as a site for a new housing
development. These instances of disregard for disaster risk in development contexts are not unique,
so what is compeng with the agenda to address disaster risk?
3.2.1.2. Explicitly compeng priories & tacitly aecve powers
Urban landscapes are the product of various polical ideologies, economic powers, and development
regulators (Cheek et al., 2023; Ríos, 2015). Conformance to select principles, norms, biases, and
values is inferred here as explicitly and tacitly guiding decision-makers in ways that culminate in DRC.
To understand the processes by which risk is created, Tuhkanen et al. (2018) suggest a need to
recognise inherent trade-os in decisions and their eecve potenal. Kii & Doi (2020) highlight
trade-os in relaon to urban seismic risk and economic eciency, with the spaal clustering of
urban acvies evidencing a trade-o of the former for the laer. The signicance of trade-os in
DRC demands crical examinaon of the values underlying priorisaon processes.
Clark-Ginsberg (2020a) reports the creaon of risk is unavoidable in complex urban sengs since
there are inescapable trade-os in risk. However, when trade-os are made between development
and disaster risk, short-term ‘development’ goals and economic interests are oen the priorised
objecves (Chmuna et al., 2021; Hilhorst & Mena, 2021). Prot-seeking frequently priorises DRC
over DRR (Clark-Ginsberg, 2020b) and decision-making powers oen lie with actors who gain from
the risk they emplace on others (Alcántara-Ayala et al., 2023). This process of priorisaon appears a
core risk-generang process, and economic interests prove to be a strong governing force (Aronsson-
Storrier, 2020; Kennedy, 2013). In Castro et al.'s (2015) study, the consolidaon of informal
selements in at-risk areas followed desires for ‘economic advancement’ in two cies in Chile. Such
processes are oen overlooked (Berg & De Majo, 2017), likely given their fundamentality to the
connuity of the (heavily desired by those beneng) ‘economic status quo’ (Cheek et al., 2023).
There exists a lack of accountability to ‘intertemporal fairness’ in relaon to DRC in land-use planning
decisions. A socially or polically induced noon of urgency in addressing economic concerns
(Hilhorst & Mena, 2021) and near-range visions in naonal policy development and investments
encourage risk-enhancing decisions by neglecng temporally-removed risk (Alcántara-Ayala et al.,
2023; Barclay et al., 2019; Marincioni & Negri, 2020; Stevenson & Seville, 2017). The immediate
‘need’ for selement or transport infrastructure is, for instance, reported to supersede risk-related
concerns, movang development on oodplains (Coates & Warner, 2023). At an individual decision-
making level, land pressures, feelings of prosperity, and the potenal for income generaon can all
encourage trade-os which favour short-term (risk-creang) development gains (Murnane et al.,
2016; Paci-Green et al., 2020; Rumbach & Németh, 2018). The aenon drawn to the compeng
‘needs’ of today and the future brings aenon to the fundamental subjecvies in how risk is
dened. Even the framing of today’s needs as ‘urgent’ versus future risks only a ‘potenal’ by
Murnane et al. (2016) is reecve of the seemingly dominant tendency to priorise short-term gains.
Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4794204
9
Priorising short-term hazards can also create down-the-line risks for other hazard types (Rumbach
& Follingstad, 2019). In contrast to the discourse that short-termism is leading to DRC, Coates &
Warner (2023) imply that by focusing on future risk, forced displacement in Rio de Janeiro produces
presently felt risks. The observed temporal dichotomies in processes of priorisaon promote a need
for assessments of both long- and short-term outcomes of development decisions in relaon to DRC
(Thomalla et al., 2018).
3.2.1.3. Informal selements versus formal planning processes
‘Informally-occupied’ areas are grounds for some of the highest incidence of socially-constructed risk
(Lavell et al., 2023), with increases in risk through urbanisaon projected to be found primarily in
‘unplanned’ areas (Akola et al., 2023). Roy (2009) views informal housing as lying outside the formal
realms of regulaon. Such selements are typically non-compliant with governing bodies’
established standards, lacking basic public services, and situated on hazard-prone land (Sandoval &
Sarmiento, 2020).
There is some consensus on the risk-creang implicaons of rapid and ‘poorly planned’ urbanisaon
processes (Dickinson & Burton, 2022; Kumar & Bhaduri, 2018; Lucatello & Alcántara-Ayala, 2023).
Poudel et al. (2023) describe the development path of Kathmandu Valley as ‘haphazard’, lacking pro-
poor, risk-informed urban plans. Providing an important contrast to concepons that a lack of land-
use planning potenates DRC, Clark-Ginsberg et al. (2022) demonstrate that if ooding is framed as a
product of ‘inadequate state control’ in council guidelines, the implementaon of regulatory, control-
oriented risk management measures may be promoted. This is problemac since adopng planning
approaches that overlook informal local systems can also generate risks (Clark-Ginsberg et al., 2020).
It is thus important to stress that although DRC may emerge in unplanned spaces, the creaon of risk
will not (necessarily) be averted by retaining centralised development controls, especially where
alternate agendas (besides equitable DRR) shape the movaons of developers. So, although
informality may be a ‘feature’ of DRC, it can be central to cies’ funconing (e.g. in Freetown - Clark-
Ginsberg et al., 2022) and working with rather than against informality is therefore essenal to
addressing DRC.
Land tenure and security, as well as housing ownership, are of relevance to the discourse on DRC
since they shape the ancipated permanency of infrastructure. Insecure housing or land tenureship
can result in a risk-enhancing tendency towards lower quality housing materials, with a comparave
incenve to invest in structures where tenure is secure (Rumbach, 2014; Skwarko et al., 2024; Unger
et al., 2017). Decient urban services are also noted to be heightened by tenure insecuries in
informal selements, with the associated ‘condions of fragility’ contribung to DRC (Peters et al.,
2022). Recfying issues of insecure tenure could thus be one means of working with condions of
informality to undermine related risk-creang construcon pracces.
The socio-polical and geographic marginalisaon of such selements is implied by Peters et al.
(2022) to result in risk-creang fragilies. Sandoval & Sarmiento (2020) analyse naonal urban
development guidelines discussing (jointly) the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reducon
(SFDRR) and informal selements. No clear means towards facilitang DRR in these contexts are
idened in the reports, nor is the recognion of urban development processes’ role in DRC
(Sandoval & Sarmiento, 2020). The aempted management of unplanned spaces is (unsurprisingly,
given the observed policy neglect) noted to facilitate DRC. Parida et al.'s (2023) study site in
Bhubaneswar hosts risk-creang tendencies via ‘adapve’ slum redevelopment processes.
Purportedly used as a ‘risk governance tool’, the process is interpreted to neglect consideraon of
potenal conicts, only focus on select risks, and construct spaally dierenated risks and
opportunies. There appears limited guidance for incorporang ‘informal’ spaces into planning
Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4794204
10
pracce, with these instead seen as “chaoc, illegal, and unwanted spaces within a city that need
revival” and stand in conict with exisng modes of development (Parida et al., 2023, p. 4). Castro et
al. (2015, p. 110) further highlight the sgma and power-deciencies associated with ‘informal’
selements, viewing them instead as simply an “alternave mode of the producon of the urban
space”. Their case shows how formalising informal selements exacerbates and creates risks via
instuonal insensibilies that consolidate their hazard exposure and condions of precarity (Castro
et al., 2015). A similar case of neglect by development authories towards urbanising villages in Delhi
is reported by Kumar & Bhaduri (2018). Such processes of exclusion are seemingly validated by
negavely held concepons of the urban poor (Ramalho, 2019).
3.2.2. How do decision-makers create disaster risk?
With the foundaons of development-related DRC set by the condions outlined thus far, here we
explore the processes facilitang risk-creang decisions in sociees purportedly sensive to disaster
risk concerns. There oen exists a misalignment between the ‘resilience’ narraves put forward by
(inter)naonal urban development policies and the actual decisions and acons actors adopt
(Rumbach & Németh, 2018) – a ‘discursive fantasy’ deepened by ever-overriding risk-creang
ideologies (Covarrubias & Raju, 2020). Manipulated risk discourses are reported here to enable
development decisions to create disaster risk even where they supposedly account for it. Since
disaster risk is a dynamic and subjecve phenomenon, it is easy for those in power to ‘fail’ to
incorporate the risk experiences, percepons, and ideologies that compete with their (neoliberally-
oriented) objecves. Recognising which voices inuence (high-level) development decisions is
important (Aronsson-Storrier, 2020), as low representaon and accountability can normalise risk-
creang acvies (Thomalla et al., 2018), when the needs of marginalised, at-risk persons are
overlooked by unaected decision-makers (Poudel et al., 2023). Dominant risk interpretaons oen
reect “one cultural reality rather than a universal truth” (Gaillard, 2021) and non-transparent (or
blatantly biased) ‘expert’ assessments of risk can perpetrate powerful actors’ (cultural) values into
decision outcomes, resulng in the nonuniform distribuon of benets (Clark-Ginsberg et al., 2021).
Risk discourses which centre the voices of those unaected in situaons of disaster can lead to
decisions wherein benets are emplaced with greater value than the concurrent negave
implicaons, as observed in post-disaster relocaon development projects (Bodine et al., 2022;
Lizarralde et al., 2020). Here we look at how the sidelining of certain risk knowledge facilitates DRC.
The idea of ‘risk-informed development’ is seemingly redundant in its intenons if risk denions
can be so easily manipulated to aend to alternate agendas. If parcular ‘organising principles’
shape how risk is perceived, they can inuence adopted acons by making certain interpretaons of
reality more convincing (Chipangura et al., 2017). Local knowledge may be liable to manipulaon
where it is forced to conform to ‘experts’’ prior generated disaster risk knowledge and concepons.
Risk-related concerns surrounding livelihoods and community may therefore be neglected where
local perspecves are “socially constructed as less reliable and therefore irrelevant” (Espia &
Salvador, 2017, p. 87). Coates (2021) reports from Brazil, for instance, that people wishing to return
to their aected residencies post-disaster were more concerned with losing their community or
commung distances than the risk posed by mudows. While such concerns are sidelined in
‘arbitrary’ DRR-related decisions, those with the money to inuence decisions are blatantly beer
accounted for (Coates, 2021). The imposion of top-down, technocrac decision-making approaches
discount grassroot experiences and legimise externally-dened concepons of hazards (Clark-
Ginsberg et al., 2021; Wisner, 2022), undermining capacies to escape condions of risk (Tagalo,
2020). Decisions to label places ‘at-risk’ addionally have down-the-line impacts on levels of
investment in places with implicaons for homeownership, creang risk by liming disaster relief
capacies (Jerolleman, 2019). Compeng ideologies in what is deemed a risk to any given community
Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4794204
11
should be accounted for and inuenal in how we are dening and working with risk if the aim is to
negate paerns of risk creaon as perceived by the people adversely experiencing hazard events.
Oliver-Smith et al. (2017b) present disaster risks as socially constructed both in terms of human
acons and risk percepon. Aligning with the laer, Renn & Klinke (2015, p. 26) suggest risks can be
conceptualised as mental constructs “created and selected by human actors”. Although scholars
talking to the social construcon of risk are not primarily referring to these ‘mental’ constructs (e.g.
van Riet, 2021), this perspecve is pernent to the DRC discourse as it helps crique how risk is
considered and thus managed. Since disaster risk exists in our minds as a result of constructed
narraves, it is pernent to note that risk narraves are subjecve and liable to the inuence of
social actors (Coates & Warner, 2023). The noon of ‘disaster’ is also fundamentally a product of
subjecve construcon processes (Lizarralde et al., 2021). Thus, important to discussions of DRC is
the level of meaningful accountability to subjecve and mulple experiences and percepons of
disaster risk.
The eect of framing is such that equal but dierenally presented problems can conjure disparate
decision outcomes (Fischho, 1995; Kahneman, 2003). With actors able to choose the risk lens that
ts their preferred discourse, DRC can thereby be inadvertently (or immorally) potenated. Posivist
risk framings among DRR sta can, for instance, lend to a narrow concepon of risk as a probability
(Tagalo, 2020). What results is the operaon of DRR agendas and acvies in line with this
concepon of risk. Bodine et al. (2022) put forward that relocaon decisions oen follow and are
shaped by one type of hazard event and relocaon processes need to be more accountable to mul-
hazard threats. Their case shows that while reducing storm surge exposure, relocated persons face
increased ood exposure. Marchezini (2020) similarly shows that in the face of compeng hazards,
certain hazards have favoured weighngs in polical agendas. In Lizarralde et al.'s (2021) study,
residents were taught that construcng on slopes was unsafe; these teachings nonetheless resulted
in risk-creang construcon pracces, as risk was also conngent on structures being able to
withstand hazards. The priorisaon (and associated sidelining) of certain risks or risk components
can thus contribute to DRC (Parida et al., 2023).
A related stream of discussions emerging from the literature concerns how risk comes to be dened
as ‘acceptable’; a challenge in the face of contrasng risk concepons (Fuentealba, 2021). Dickinson
& Burton (2022) frame DRC as playing a key role in “creang unnecessary increases in vulnerability
and disasters”. We should queson who has the power to dene what an ‘unnecessary’ level of
vulnerability or incidence of disaster is. Thomalla et al. (2018, p. 1) similarly refer to a ‘pping point’
beyond which risk-taking developments exceed “tolerable and acceptable risk levels”, but again, who
is dening ‘tolerable and acceptable’? Determining risk acceptability is not a technical conundrum,
and although ‘experts’ can contribute, social negoaons and the inclusion of psycho-cultural risk
parameters are crical (Cienfuegos, 2022; de Oliveira Santos et al., 2021; Huang, 2018; Murnane et
al., 2016). Yet, locally-dened risk elements remain on the periphery of urban planning decisions
(Poudel et al., 2023). There also appears a temporality to places and decisions being perceived as
‘risky’, with compeng priories able to take precedence and facilitate DRC where risk concepons
are low. Shis in risk percepon occur through me in the face of felt risk (see Hartmann, 2011), with
paerns of risk creaon reemerging with me post-disaster (Surjan & Shaw, 2009).
Disaster educaon can be ulised as a means of shaping risk perspecves to uphold the status quo
and dominant polical ideologies. Coates' (2021) study hones in on an example of a DRR programme
manipulated by polical concerns, which inuence the design, delivery, and recepon of iniaves,
yet are frequently le uninterrogated. Key appears how the framing of causal components leads to
Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4794204
12
risks being viewed as reducible or otherwise (Coates, 2021). Based on these observaons, it seems
important to consider how the disseminaon of disaster-related informaon inuences and
potenally perpetrates risk-creang processes. As well as educaon being a potenal means or
enabler of DRC, a lack of targeted educaon can also result in the construcon of new disaster risk
(Ruiz-Cortés & Alcántara-Ayala, 2020). Ruiz-Cortés & Alcántara-Ayala (2020) thus argue for the
greater parcipaon of youth in DRR educaon with the hope this will shape a mindful and informed
generaon of actors.
With approaches to addressing any said risk through development inuenced by whether
components are framed or perceived as risk-enhancing, there is a need to examine the im/explict
values accounted for in the risk denions shaping policy and pracce (Espia & Salvador, 2017). As
Mahewman (2015, p. 154) observes, the “right risk culture can make all of the dierence”.
3.2.3. What do development decisions produce?
Having charted the enabling condions (sources and processes) of DRC, we here explore the
generally-observed product of risk-creang development decisions. Central to the DRC-development
discourse is that there oen exists disnct beneciaries and vicms of risk-creang processes (Chan
& Liao, 2022; cf. Fra.Paleo, 2015). Disaster risk has been and connues to be displaced, transferred,
and oset to certain populaons through (urban) development processes. Clark-Ginsberg et al.
(2021b, p. 450) purport embedded socio-polical inequies enable certain groups “to create risk and
allocate it to others”. One example can be seen through lower-income inhabitants being subject to
risk created by strategies protecng city ‘elites’ (Alvarez & Cardenas, 2019; Jerolleman, 2019). In New
Orleans, canals designed to protect ‘well-o’ areas acvely displace risk into racially-segregated
areas (Zakour & Grogg, 2018). Risk creaon can thus be seen as a ‘transaconal’ process, with the
bearers of created risk oen holding no power to rebu risk-generang developments (e.g. Bodine et
al., 2022; Rumbach & Németh, 2018).
The idea that specic actors or processes put people at-risk is arculated across the reviewed
literature, highlighng agency in the creaon of risk (e.g. Earle, 2016; Paci-Green et al., 2020). Those
responsible for DRC are either inferably or directly noted, but where ‘risk-creators’ are highlighted
they are, on the most part, not the same groups as those with the risk imposed on them (Wisner &
Lavell, 2017). Ríos (2015) emplaces direct responsibility on provincial and municipal governments
and developers in producing uneven disaster risk spaces, with the capital (or social) gains associated
with DRC largely inaccessible to the groups fronng the consequences. When risk is oset to
marginalised populaons in this way, inequitable and unjust paerns of risk emerge (Clark-Ginsberg,
2020b). Powers regulang global economies disregard concerns for social jusce, resulng in the
connued imposion of risk on those least likely to benefit” (Linarelli et al., 2018, p. 226). Given
those construcng vulnerability in pursuit of ‘economic development’ and those risks are
subsequently allocated to are seldom one and the same, it appears key to queson whom economic
gains are expensing (Clark-Ginsberg et al., 2021). DRC is subsequently reported as “a product of
inequity” by Clark-Ginsberg et al. (2021b, p. 449), with Thomalla et al. (2018) drawing specically on
distribuve equies in development-related trade-os.
With certain groups embodying a disproporonate share of the risks relave to the associated
benets, DRC is a perpetuaon of social injusces (Jerolleman, 2019). Social injusce produces
disaster risk and is embedded in the spaces we construct (Chmuna & von Meding, 2022; Poudel et
al., 2023), with cases illustrated in Hai (Cheek et al., 2023), Lan America, and the Caribbean (Lavell
et al., 2023). The creaon of such ‘spaally unjust’ selements are commonly noted products of
neoliberal development models (Sandoval et al., 2021). Despite compeng structural forces there is
Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4794204
13
space for more just and equitably distributed risk (Rumbach & Németh, 2018; van Riet, 2021). This is
not something to be tackled within disaster scholar and praconer realms alone; it will require
polical and instuonal will to address inequalies and overturn marginalising, prot-oriented, and
ulmately risk-creang systems. Unjust socio-spaal arrangements will otherwise remain central and
structurally-embedded enablers of DRC.
3.3 Risk producon amidst reducon eorts
Discussions centred on DRC o incorporate ideas concerning DRR (Dickinson & Burton, 2022). DRC is
an observable product of systemic imbalances creang disparate beneciaries and vicms of
(purportedly) resilience-enhancing iniaves. To queson authority gures employing ‘DRR’ is
sgmased (Wisner, 2020), but it appears these ‘soluons’ can actually be signicant processes
through which risks are further generated and consolidated. Manifestaons of created risk (disaster
‘events’) are addionally frequently met with DRR aempts that use this already heightened risk
level as a baseline from which risk should be reduced. If we do not challenge the bounds of our risk-
creang systems through revised risk reducon eorts, operaonalising DRR will connue to be a
necessary, but self-defeang pracce.
We idenfy three main themes (Figure 3) within the disaster risk reducon – producon arena: (1)
inequitable access to DRR measures as creang risk, (2) DRR measures that paradoxically create risk,
and (3) DRR measures that fail to combat DRC, thereby enabling such processes to prevail.
Figure 3. Disaster risk reducon (DRR) or producon? Adjusng DRR’s possibility space encourages acvies
that do not just reduce select risk components while upholding risk-creang systems, but holiscally reduce
risk by ensuring equitable access and acvely targeng risk creaon.
3.3.1. Inaccessible DRR
An absence of investment in equitable and accessible DRR resources by governing bodies is noted
across literature sources to create risk for certain groups via the coupled tapering of coping
capacies (Clark-Ginsberg et al., 2021; Govindarajulu, 2020). Gumucio et al. (2022) report how the
restricon of local coping capacies through acts of ‘counter-humanitarianism’ in conict enables
DRC by blocking access to humanitarian aid. The low instuonal funconality and capacity in post-
conict areas to insgate DRR, alongside the assumpon that DRR cannot be enacted in condions of
conict, leave billions without access to DRR iniaves in these sengs (Caso et al., 2023; Peters,
2021). DRC is also seen to emerge where resource-strained states have inhibited capacies to invest
in proacve DRR measures. Low investment in proacve DRR is in part potenated by decient risk
Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4794204
14
understandings (Alcántara-Ayala et al., 2022). Ulmately, however, the lack of any noon of legal
responsibility by the internaonal community to provide signicant humanitarian assistance outside
instances of recovery and reconstrucon signicantly perpetuates DRC in marginalised states
(Banko & Hilhorst, 2022).
Jerolleman (2019) contends the emplaced localised or individualised responsibility to reduce losses
ignores inequies in DRC and the associated constraints aected groups have in accessing protecon.
DRC thereby shadows ‘the commodicaon of safety’ (Jerolleman, 2019). Power relaons are vital in
understanding parcipaon in DRR iniaves, with disparate constraints and opportunies notable
relave to social groups’ inclusion in risk governance structures (Banko & Hilhorst, 2022; Collins,
2018). Nonuniform accessibility to DRR infrastructure in ‘lower-value’ or ‘informally-seled’ areas is
seen to parallel the creaon of risk (Akola et al., 2023; Coates, 2021). The systemac exclusion of
those residing in informal selements from governing bodies’ DRR and preparedness acvies, as
well as related decisions, can also force these groups into a state of dependence on NGOs for risk-
reducing services (Peters et al., 2022). This marginalisaon process is noted to create risk through
vulnerability producon.
3.3.2. DRR iniaves as risk creang
The concept of DRC can help draw aenon to the paradoxical nature of intended risk reducon
policies and highlight myriad instances whereby DRR measures have produced further disaster risks
(Banko & Hilhorst, 2022; Hilhorst & Mena, 2021). We speak to both intenonally corrupt and
unintended instances of risk creaon through DRR but suggest ‘unintenonal’ instances should
equally be criqued in their failure to ancipate the risk-creang consequences of iniaves. It
should be noted that the posioning of presented cases along this spectrum of intenonality is not
always easily inferable since the disparies between stated and hidden intenons are rarely explicitly
interrogated. This leaves a crical research gap towards understanding the processes surrounding
DRC through risk reducon eorts.
3.3.2.1. Unintenonal byproducts of DRR iniaves
One way well-intenoned iniaves have induced counterproducve eects and contributed to DRC
is by intensifying and concentrang development behind purportedly hazard-protecve structures
(Lazarus, 2022; Ríos, 2015). Iniated under a noon of ‘safe-development’, the accompanying risk-
creaon is o hidden and denied signicance, despite the heighted potenal for disastrous
consequences upon defence failure (Lazarus, 2022; Tierney, 2014). This safe-development paradox,
otherwise termed a ‘control paradox’ - an, oen unfounded, noon of control over nature (Coates &
Warner, 2023) - lends to the accreon of risk in diked or leveed areas following investments and
populaon inuxes (Mochizuki et al., 2014). Regulatory approaches may unknowingly incenvise
iniaves which create risk in increasingly complex and interdependent systems (Clark-Ginsberg,
2020b; Clark-Ginsberg et al., 2021). However, posing DRC as an ‘unintended’ or ‘unpredictable’
outcome of iniaves which ‘innocently’ seek to reduce risk creaon or encourage risk reducon
removes any element of blame for malpracce. This is problemac if used as a means of making
ambiguous the responsibility of risk creators to prevent (deliberately or otherwise) inequitable risk-
creang acons. Although it may be dicult to decipher in all cases the extent of intenonality in the
risk-creang nature of acons adopted, the lack of any ancipaon or acknowledgement of DRC
processes paralleling DRR eorts appears a key enabler of their connuaon.
DRR-movated slum-clearance projects in Nairobi, Lagos, and Bangkok are reported to have
destabilised informal modes of risk governance (Clark-Ginsberg et al., 2020). Without an enforced
responsibility to ancipate and account for the risks created in such iniaves, the fundamental
Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4794204
15
intent behind DRR can be severely undermined. Another case of ‘unintenonal’, but arguably
predictable, risk creaon is put forward by Rumbach (2014), where town planners in India failed to
account for the inux of low-income workers to Salt Lake’s periphery, with increased risks for the
poron of the populaon le residing outside the protected township. Parida et al. (2023) suggest
unancipated consequences are more probable if there is a narrow focus on certain risks, which
raises quesons of jusce in ancipang threats and accounng for at-risk populaons’ epistemic
rights. Samaraweera (2023) show how post-ood, a bridge was built by the government in a Sri
Lankan riverside community, with an aim to reduce ood risk, yet subsequent ood events entailed
new dynamics directly because of the bridge, with residents having reduced evacuaon capacies to
evade these newfound risks. From these examples, it appears ‘unintenonal DRC’ may just be
another way of framing the absence of ancipaon of DRC processes, with a lack of investment in
ancipang risks an enabler of inadvertently risk-creang pracces.
Contrasng the dominant concepon of DRC as a pre-event process, post-disaster risks have also
been noted to be created by ineecve or inecient response processes (Hao & Wang, 2020;
Hilhorst & Banko, 2022). Hilhorst & Mena (2021) provide an account of social resistance to the
lockdowns employed in response to COVID-19, which ulmately proved a means of DRC. A common
feature of post-disaster sengs in relaon to DRC is the urgency under which decisions are made
(e.g. Thomalla et al., 2018). Speedy construcon in such sengs may be celebrated and strived for
(e.g. in Aceh post-2004) over minimising risk or ensuring livelihoods are supported (Cheek &
Chmuna, 2022). Peters (2021) reports, for example, how in the southeast Bangladeshi mountains
ood and landslide-related risks were increased by the rapid construcon of roads and shelter to
host Rohingya refugees.
Disaster management agencies have explicitly been posed as enablers of DRC. Clark-Ginsberg et al.
(2021b) look at the ‘organizaonal roots’ of DRC by invesgang how disaster management agencies,
specically the United States’ Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), create risk. They
responsibilise FEMA for its role in DRC, purporng such agencies embody biases that mean
supposedly resilience-enhancing iniaves can be inhibited by distribuve, procedural, and
contextual inequies (Clark-Ginsberg et al., 2021b). This can be through the sidelining of certain
voices in decisions or priorisaon of ‘expert’ risk understandings resulng in inequitably benecial
measures (Clark-Ginsberg et al., 2021b). If DRM frameworks, plans, and policies reect only the
dominant ideologies, risk framings and percepons (Cheek & Chmuna, 2022; Espia & Salvador,
2017), certain risks or risk components may ‘unintenonally’ (or otherwise) be le unaddressed,
culminang in DRC (Parida et al., 2023). Resultantly, decisions to employ DRM measures can be risk-
creang when they fail to account for other risk elements. DRM policy controls instated in areas of
high disaster recurrence can, for instance, restrict basic government service provision, leaving at-risk
populaons without services that would ulmately enhance their coping capacies (Lavell et al.,
2023).
3.3.2.2. Using ‘DRR’ narraves to purport alternate agendas
Ideas of intenonality arise through discussions of post-disaster rebuilding eorts. Although risks
created through associated growth paerns may be the emergent byproducts of well-intenoned
acons, they can also arise through the intenonal capitalising of opportunies for restructuring
socio-spaal conguraons (Lazarus, 2022). In post-disaster sengs, DRR agendas may be frontlined,
most notably through the promoon of ‘build back beer’ (BBB) ideologies in recovery. Under the
BBB narrave, progress is regularly measured in terms of the speed and nature of recovered
economic assets rather than relave building safety or protecon of livelihoods (Cheek & Chmuna,
2022; Chmuna et al., 2021). This creates space for the emergence of risk-creang processes via
Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4794204
16
disaster capitalism. Sandoval et al. (2022) note the limited examinaon of public and private eects
on DRC using this perspecve, themselves scoping global instances wherein disaster capitalism had
facilitated DRC. Their ndings show that failing to strive for ‘posive social change’ enables
egocentric actors to dominate DRR spaces and create risk through neoliberally-oriented reforms. To
this note, Cheek & Chmuna (2022, p. 604) suggest “reconstrucon under a banner of BBB is,
ironically, the process of reconstrucng risks”. The SFDRR’s fourth priority area aims to reduce DRC
through this very ideology, though lacks praccal guidelines (Schipper et al., 2016). Hopes that this
ideal could shi development pracces to truly reduce risks and prevent the creaon of new risks are
resulngly not o aained, with vulnerabilies instead rebuilt (Magnuszewski et al., 2019).
Risk management smulated by polically constructed feelings of urgency has created a multude
of risks by facilitang adherence to polical or nancial elites’ ulterior moves over legimate and
locally-driven risk concerns (Parida et al., 2023). Coates & Warner (2023, p. 6) point to a case of
forcible reselement in Rio de Janeiro, where powerful actors’ moves are disguised as post-
disaster ‘resilience-enhancing’ measures but aend to theirlongstanding policy of forced removal
of the poor”. The manipulaon of post-disaster environments to serve underlying polical agendas is
also reported by Hilhorst & Mena (2021) who discuss the securisaon of emergency responses as
an instrument to serving ulterior polical objecves, such as oppressing populaons, media, and
opposion groups. They describe how governments use the ‘state of excepon’ arising in response
landscapes to employ ‘urgent’ acons and agendas, sidelining all compeng issues to address the
priorised threat, with these acons presented as an objecve necessity. Aase (2021) presents a
case in which one threat (the COVID-19 pandemic) was used to accelerate the relocaon of Rohingya
refugees, overriding resistance aligned with the risk-creang potenal in forcing their inhabitaon of
hazard-prone relocaon sites. Enforced ‘risk-reducing’ relocaons post-ood can addionally
increase risks via non-access to post-ood compensaon for households choosing to remain in-situ
(Samaraweera, 2023). Displaced persons’ voices and needs are connually marginalised in disaster
plans (Peters, 2021; Rumbach et al., 2020) and post-disaster sengs could be more equitably and
inclusively planned for outside this state of emergency (Bodine et al., 2022), overturning risk-
creang forms of risk governance.
3.3.3. DRR measures that fail to combat processes of DRC, enabling them to prevail
Without insinuang disaster studies has not “achieved a good deal” through exisng iniaves,
Wisner (2019, p. 61) suggests work towards risk reducon remains ‘trapped’. DRR instuons are
seen as shying away from challenging the ‘harsh realies’ of DRC, focusing instead on delivering
normavely posive (‘risk-reducing’) outcomes (Alexander, 2016). There exists a persistent and
overwhelming focus on correcve and compensatory risk management (Lavell & Maskrey, 2014),
otherwise termed ‘symptom management’ (Raikes et al., 2021). Socially-constructed ‘emergency
imaginaries’ help in sustaining symptom management over system reform in post-disaster
landscapes (Aase, 2021). While such measures can temporarily oset disaster events or lessen their
impacts, they systemacally fail to address risk-creang processes (Chmuna et al., 2021), and
cyclically reinforce response-dominated systems, impeding the insgaon of transformaonal
approaches (French et al., 2020; Oliver-Smith et al., 2017b). DRR that fails to account for risk-creang
processes will only further compound them, lending to an ever ‘uphill bale’ and hindering progress
in reducing net risk levels (Imperiale & Vanclay, 2020; Raikes et al., 2021).
Wisner (2019, 2020) proposes the term DRR might even be distracng from the issue of DRC, with
associated terminology only perpetuang soluons adhering to inequitably-balanced agendas rather
Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4794204
17
than combang the very issues driving the need for risk reducon eorts in the rst place. Disaster
studies, with its overwhelming focus on ‘DRR’, has disenabled polical and scholarly engagement
with socio-polical and economic systems’ role in DRC (Lizarralde et al., 2020; Wisner, 2019). Cheek
& Chmuna (2022), as an example, report ‘BBB’ ideologies generally fail to confront the systems that
produced the very risks they supposedly set out to reduce. Under this lens, DRR intervenons and
‘resilience-building’ in the built environment will uphold risk-creang processes by simply preserving
the ‘status quo’ (Cheek & Chmuna, 2022; Cheek et al., n.d.; Chmuna et al., 2023). Without
challenging the polical roots of risk-creang processes, such approaches merely prepare
marginalised groups for sustained condions of risk (Coates, 2021).
3.3.1.1. Apolical aempts to reduce ‘naturalised’ risk
Promong disasters as ‘natural’ phenomena is a polically-driven method of displacing responsibility
for DRC (Chmuna & von Meding, 2019, 2022). Focusing on physical hazard aributes to understand
disaster risk can have the eect of marginalising key social construcon processes (Chipangura et al.,
2017; Oliver-Smith et al., 2017b). Risk is then (falsely) believed to emerge almost enrely from
uncontrollable processes, liming proacve aempts to reduce risk by targeng socio-polical
processes. Thus, “externalising tragedies to climate or nature precisely avoids tackling - and by
extension enables - the kind of unsustainable developments that created disaster in the first place”
(Coates & Warner, 2023). Chipangura et al. (2017) present their observaons of Zimbabwe’s DRM
system and note it to be ruled by hazard framings, in the process supressing interpretaons of
disaster risk as socially-constructed. Posivist and determinisc framings of risk force DRR away from
holding social processes accountable in DRC (Lizarralde et al., 2021), resulng in hazard migaon
dominang DRR policy realms (Raikes et al., 2022).
In the same way nature is used to render disaster risk an unavoidable aspect of socio-polical
systems, so too is the framing of vulnerability as an uninterrogated ‘weakness’ of certain individuals
or groups - instead of seeing them as fundamentally ‘vulnerabilised’ or made vulnerable (von Meding
& Chmuna, 2023), perpetuang paternalisc forms of DRM (Banko, 2001). Problem framing
inuences the soluon space and subsequently adopted soluons, so under this mindset, DRR will
connue to embody approaches that fail to crique nor overturn the condions driving DRC, instead
re-embedding inequalies. Inuenal frameworks, such as SFDRR, have been rendered apolical
projects given their lack of crique of power in their vulnerability discourses (Chmuna et al., 2021).
Idened ‘vulnerable persons’ are therein provided access to support but no means towards
quesoning the risk-creang condions they are aorded (von Meding & Chmuna, 2023). Such risk
framings can perpetuate beliefs that “vulnerability is a regreable state of being that must be
responded to with charity, but not system change” (von Meding & Chmuna, 2023, p. 369), thereby
upholding the very systems that create risk. With the core of DRC noted to lie in unjust social
structures, more polically-oriented DRR intervenons are encouraged (Clark-Ginsberg, 2017).
In their analysis, which takes DRC back to the educaonal roots of praconers, Chmuna & von
Meding (2022) suggest that since higher educaon pracces in engineering disciplines are founded in
‘objecvity’, they embody apolically-oriented curricular. Their study argues this reinforces
ineecve, technocrac pracces among built environment praconers who assume disasters can
be avoided by ‘taming’ nature. Uncrically apolical DRR pedestals ‘objecve’ problem-solving and
‘technical xes’ (Gaillard, 2019). Viewing these as neutral soluons only perpetrates risk by leaving
the value biases of praconers unquesoned and overlooking the fact risk is socially-constructed
(Chmuna & von Meding, 2022). The issue raised here is not that technical soluons cannot in some
sense reduce risk, it is instead that it so commonly overrides the parallel need for transformaon in
Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4794204
18
our risk-creang social systems (Berg & De Majo, 2017). By leaving DRC unchallenged, presently
employed ‘risk-reducing’ iniaves simply prepare communies for sustained condions of risk.
3.4. Mul-scalar relaons in risk creaon
Scholars see disaster risk as created via diuse actors and acvies, with risk-creang processes
discussed at an array of spaotemporal scales (Clark-Ginsberg et al., 2022; Lavell et al., 2012;
Meriläinen & Koro, 2021; Oliver-Smith et al., 2017; Peters, 2021; Wisner, 2001). Bounding ‘risk
networks’ thus carries the potenal to miss important risk-creang relaons (Clark-Ginsberg, 2020b)
and there is conict in the literature concerning approaches to analysing associated processes (e.g.
between DKKV and FORIN) (Alcántara-Ayala et al., 2023). This secon thus aims to unpack
discussions related to mul-scalar processes in DRC. It appears imperave to look both at processes
which are ongoing and changeable but also more distal trajectory-seng processes to queson the
connued establishment of risk-creang path dependencies.
3.4.1. Intangible risk-creang processes
The literature frequently assesses the broader contexts within which disaster risk is produced, with
local manifestaons of risk commonly presented as the result of wider (inter)naonal processes
(Clark-Ginsberg, 2017). The rights of risk bearers are undermined by powerful global actors’ decisions
overriding local spheres of inuence, cemenng external desires to retain the disproporonately
benecial ‘current state of aairs’ (Covarrubias & Raju, 2020). This ‘extra-territorial’ shaping of
locally-manifest disaster risk (Lavell et al., 2012) is evidenced by Gumucio et al. (2022), who report
on locally-embedded elements of DRC ed to individuals’ coping capacies as parallelling wider
societal inequalies. Clark-Ginsberg (2017) also report that agents external to Freetown’s slums (e.g.
in the wider city, authories, global actors through climac inuences) largely produced residents’
felt ood risks. Distal socio-polical and economic arrangements thus appear signicant in feeding
DRC processes at the local level.
3.4.1.1. Turning a blind eye to disconnected risk components
Scholars draw aenon to a disregard by both public and private-sector actors for the cascading risks
potenated by their decisions (Aase, 2021; Thomalla et al., 2018). Using Stevenson & Seville's (2017)
discussion of private-sector-induced DRC, it is inferred self-interested decision-makers may, with
spaal or temporal detachment between risk sources and recipients, be able to neglect the risk they
impose on others, given the regulatory challenges in connecng disconnected DRC processes. The
distanced nature of acvies’ risk-creang implicaons has been used to jusfy actors’ ignorance or
neglect, fuelling the (re)creaon of risk (Kousky & Zeckhauser, 2006). The tendency for risks
associated with ideologies of growth to be relocated across spaotemporal dimensions is further
observed by Tierney (2014) to mask DRC.
A lack of knowledge on risk drivers and components could be fuelling this ability to turn a blind eye
to processes of risk creaon. Ruiz-Cortés and Alcántara-Ayala (2020), for instance, suggest weak
policies exist and create risk because of knowledge deciencies. Ancipang decision outcomes may
be dicult in complex systems (Stevenson & Seville, 2017), but to what extent is this excusable for
the undue neglect for thorough analysis of forms of DRC? The idea of decisions being ‘blind to risk’ is
correlated with a lack of polical will to ensure investments are systemacally and equitably risk-
informed, laying the grounds for DRC (Chmuna et al., 2021; Wisner, 2020). There are resulngly
instances where DRC processes have not just been neglected, but intenonally concealed, with
urban developers making risks ‘invisible’ to conform to real estate pressures (Acuña et al., 2021). This
intenonal concealing is clearly inexcusable, but there is not always a clear line separang intenonal
acons from the unintended. A means of concealing processes in DRC can be seen in the aribuon
Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4794204
19
of select disasters to climate change, shiing public aenon instead to bygone processes of
industrial eras (Coates & Warner, 2023; Raju et al., 2022). In discussing climate-related disasters,
Lizarralde et al. (2021, p. 2) suggest external groups’ role in DRC “can translate into a feeling of
impotence and dependence”. Jackson (2021) similarly reects on the despondency among study
parcipants towards the changeability of systemic roots in idenfying producve means towards risk
reducon. Given its potenal to generate feelings of impotence, there are signicant implicaons
associated with the deliberate suppression of awareness on the changeability of risk-creang
processes and creaon of an arcial disncon between processes and their risk-creang
implicaons in the public eye.
DRC is not conned to the tangible processes ed to the primary incidence of felt risk, so why do we
connue to treat disasters as me-bound events (Huang, 2018; Meriläinen & Koro, 2021)? Even
major frameworks, such as SFDRR, do lile to engage with far-o processes, focusing instead on
measuring event-based impacts, such as the number of damaged facilies aributed to disasters
(Chmuna et al., 2021; Wisner, 2020). Given the temporal disparies that exist between processes of
DRC and felt impacts, it is crical to undermine narraves of a bound disaster ‘event space’. “Events
are merely processes made visible” (Mahewman, 2015, p. 136); this can be the process of
neoliberalism, systemic exclusion, environmental degradaon, or any other risk-creang pracce
observed in this review. Assuming there exists a detached period before a disaster ‘event’ disguises
the entangled risk-creang socio-economic and polical processes in this temporal realm (Aronsson-
Storrier, 2022; Bosher et al., 2021; Cheek & Chmuna, 2022; Fuentealba, 2021). This vail of
intangibility likely enables symptom management and other ‘easy xes’ to prevail over the
prevenon of obscured risk-generang processes (Poudel et al., 2023; Thomalla et al., 2018; Tran &
Shaw, 2007). Although reacve risk reducon eorts can be seen as a normave good, they detract
aenon “from other mes and spaces that could be beer loci for intervenon” (Coates & Warner,
2023, p. 1). Oliver-Smith et al. (2017a) likewise indicate a need to move away from an exclusive
concentraon on the ‘disaster site’ to sites of policy creaon and execuon.
The lack of aenon to spaotemporally removed processes weakens decision-makers’
accountability towards their risk-creang outputs. Despite clearly unjust, cross-naonal inuences in
DRC (see Aronsson-Storrier, 2020; Wisner, 2022), there is a reluctance among wealthy states to
embody a collecve internaonal responsibility for global experiences of disaster risks, as adopted in
internaonal climate convenons (Dickinson & Burton, 2022). Rumbach & Németh (2018) likewise
queson the obligaons urban development professionals hold across generaonal divides in their
decision-making pracces. The present lack of accountability for the societal implicaons emerging
from public and private sector decisions increases subopmal outcomes for society (i.e. risk creaon)
(Stevenson & Seville, 2017). Temporally-displaced risks have, for instance, been observed in Mexico
City following aempts by ocials to push risks to the urban periphery; as the city expanded,
previously exploited groundwater in the outskirts increased incidences of subsidence, ooding, and
landslips (Clark-Ginsberg et al., 2020). Although such outcomes could be framed as ‘unintended
byproducts’ of innocently driven processes, there is room for actors to take responsibility for and
ancipate distal risk-creang processes.
3.4.1.2. Structural constraints
In problemasing processes of DRC, we must consider the factors involved in the constraints of
choice. Consider, for instance, persons systemically forced into situaons in which they ‘choose’ to
adopt acons which increase their risk. A (perceived) lack of alternave may force marginalised
groups onto hazard-prone land. With such choices constrained by broader systemic issues, we
denote such forms of DRC largely involuntary (Sandoval et al., 2021). When assigning blame in
Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4794204
20
relaon to DRC, the potenal for unethical ‘vicm blaming’ should be crically considered if the most
observable and directly-tangible processes are those at the micro level and higher-level processes
are sidelined (van Riet, 2021).
Samaraweera (2023) draws aenon to the importance of considering and accounng for wider
system structures when analysing its individual components, with structural foundaons shaping
individuals’ behaviours and the implicaons of those behaviours. Covarrubias & Raju (2020) nd the
lens of neoextracvism useful for its mul-scalar posioning enabling examinaon of local-level
processes of DRC and their connecon to regional polico-economic arrangements. In their study, to
understand disaster risk governance they deem it essenal to begin from the guiding economic and
socio-polical principles shaping ‘development’ pracces. Cheek & Chmuna (2022) further this
discussion on global-state interacons, reporng on states’ drive towards compability with the
global economy, suggesng global capital trends thereby help dene naonal economic and legal
structures. Regarding legal structures, Aronsson-Storrier (2020) analyses the role of internaonal law
in DRC, stang that while some laws (e.g. on human rights) help enforce DRR, others (e.g. investment
law) provide opposing forces. The role of internaonal investment law in perpetuang disaster risk is
only furthered by governments’ pressure to pursue various foreign investments and the associated
absence of risk-creang safeguards (Wisner, 2020).
Systems constrain the ‘possibility space’ within which development and DRR processes are
undertaken, resulng in a seemingly self-fuelling cycle of risk creaon. Possibility spaces are bounded
(abstract) places wherein polical ideologies have dened the realms of potenality in decision-
making (Dimer, 2014; McGowran & Donovan, 2021). Recovery processes are, for instance,
implicated in DRC by re-establishing the risk-producing systems wherein they emerge and are
structurally constrained (Cheek et al., 2023).
3.4.2. Risk-creang trajectories
The idea that sociees have been, and connue to be, set on long-term risk-creang pathways is
apparent through our global development trajectories (Oliver-Smith, 2015). A city’s trajectory is
shaped by both past and present (un)intenonal choices of ocials and built environment
professionals (Clark-Ginsberg et al., 2020). The ability of urban environments to signicantly alter
their built form is constrained by previous developmental taccs (Lara et al., 2021), with exisng
urban fabrics or land use mediang DRC by controlling available choices (e.g.) on available
selement locaons (Guadagno & Guadagno, 2021). Places as we see them today have their roots in
their histories, cultures, and structures and are set on development paths within global systems
(Cheek et al., 2023b). These historic undercurrents shaping present-day social structures and support
networks are labelled the starng point for DRC (Gumucio et al., 2022), and are key for
understanding both how condions of risk emerge but also “how societal inera causes them to
persist over me” (Barclay et al., 2019, p. 151; Duvat et al., 2021; Lazarus, 2022). Dominang
resilience ideologies that work with incremental (or stagnant), rather than transformaonal change,
enable inequitable risk-creang development and capitalist-oriented pracces to prevail (Thomalla et
al., 2018; von Meding & Chmuna, 2023). The accompanying status quo produces and upholds
societal inequalies and subsequent disaster risk (Cheek et al., 2023; Olson et al., 2020). Below we
briey explore three connected themac areas.
3.4.2.1. Colonial drivers
Barclay et al. (2019) report how acons and choices adopted during colonial mes inuenced the
development path of Dominica. Land-paroning and the shiing of selements during this me, for
instance, shape present-day risk accumulaon through populaons’ paerns of habitancy (Barclay et
Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4794204
21
al., 2019). Rooted in this historically-determined state, processes through me have culminated in
(and connue to contribute to) DRC. Associated dispossession of land and resources has ongoing
implicaons for felt risks, e.g. by determining recovery capacies. Connual manifestaons of
oppression mean colonisaon is itself a form of ongoing DRC (Lambert & Mark-Shadbolt, 2021).
Nepal, Lan America and the Caribbean are reported as some cases where (neo-)colonial legacies
acvely inuence DRC through global economic frameworks (Covarrubias & Raju, 2020; Poudel et al.,
2023).
3.4.2.2. Cultural norms
Fing within the overarching concepon of risk creaon as a product or process of human
behaviours and acons, aenon is drawn to cultural inuences in the construcon of risk (e.g.
Banko et al., 2015). The constructs shaping our behaviours are grounded in cultural values
concerning our relaons to each other and the material world (Oliver-Smith, 2015). Achievements in
DRR are noted to be hindered at the core by dominant groups’ guiding (socio-cultural) principles
which inuence global societal development processes (Oliver-Smith, 2015). Depicng neoliberalism
as a cultural construct, Oliver-Smith (2015) suggests it enables DRC by informing socio-
environmental relaons and globalisaon processes. Naonal DRM organisaons’ cultures can also
been seen as powerful in determining commonly-accepted pracce and beliefs, which thereby shape
individual and groups’ risk-related behaviours and percepons (e.g. Chipangura et al., 2017).
3.4.2.3. Cumulave and overlapping risk components
Risk-creang processes do not emanate in simple, linear forms. It is instead the combinaon of risk-
creang factors that culminate in the construcon and subjecve experience of risk. It is inevitable
that disaster risk, a complex and subjecvely perceived phenomenon, can be aributed to a
multude of risk-creang components; exactly which depends on the scale of analysis and framing of
risk. Scholars list and frame groups of interdependent components when discussing risk creaon,
with dialogues of ‘interacng’ components commonly arising across the reviewed literature (e.g.
Gumucio et al., 2022; Sandoval & Sarmiento, 2020). While Huang et al. (2021) present a
methodology for uncovering ‘disaster-causing factor chains’, others contend for approaches which
focus on mapping relaonal networks of components (e.g. Qazi & Simsekler, 2021).
3.5. Avoiding disaster risk creaon
Processes of DRC are socially-constructed, and thus theorecally avoidable (Figure 4). Since a need
for avoiding the construcon of new risks has been stressed by scholars and prominent DRR
instuons, perhaps the most signicant dearth of literature lies in outlining praccal means through
which to achieve these ends (cf. Peters et al., 2022). Risk communicaon is presented as one
mechanism through which averng DRC could be promoted as a social and instuonal priority
(Alcántara-Ayala, 2018); advancing teachings in DRR is, for instance, noted imperave to avoiding
DRC in built environment pracces (Chmuna & von Meding, 2022). It also appears pernent that
tradional forms of DRM are broadened to encompass ongoing processes of DRC and disaster risk
concerns are meaningfully integrated at mul-scale levels of governance and development
(Magnuszewski et al., 2019; Raikes et al., 2022). This will require collecve acon across society
(Clark-Ginsberg, 2020b). By improving our behaviours and choices we can lessen the negave
consequences associated with disaster events (Dickinson & Burton, 2022). However, the compeng
values aligned to these ‘choices’ appear to be what denes the risk-creang trade-os witnessed
across society. The key is thus to unpack what is constraining and inuencing our risk-creang
decisions to understand our potenal to overturn them.
Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4794204
22
Figure 4. Divergent pathways towards (1) preserving the current state of aairs (risk creaon) or (2) altering the
trajectory to avoid disaster risk creaon.
Avoiding DRC will entail stakeholders and at-risk populaons aaining a greater understanding of the
factors driving risk and support in strengthening disaster risk governance systems (Alcántara-Ayala,
2021). FORIN appears to be a versale tool which has been employed in response to a desire to
interrogate processes of risk creaon (Wisner, 2016). Understanding processes and trajectories of
DRC and communicang them in a meaningful way could help change atudes towards risk-creang
decisions (Alcántara-Ayala, 2018). This process of understanding may, however, not be so simple.
Compeng narraves of risk creaon (e.g. Lizarralde et al., 2021) may inhibit groups from aaining a
collecve acceptance of who or what processes are responsible for, or involved in, DRC. Lizarralde et
al.’s (2021, p. 10) study respondents queson the ascripon of DRC “to local corrupon and socio-
polical dynamics versus colonial crimes, American polics, or polluon in industrialized naons”.
Despite observed successes of community-based DRR, the localisaon of blame and promoon of
eorts centred on individual responsibility to address risk will not negate the ongoing processes of
risk creaon that require broader structural changes (Clark-Ginsberg, 2020b; Sandoval et al., 2023).
The prevalence of compeng trade-os and systemic constraints outlined in this review should not
insinuate that the problem of DRC is too embedded in our societal norms and pracces to overturn.
Instead, the bearers of inequitable risk should be empowered to demand change from those creang
it through meaningful community dialogues (Clark-Ginsberg, 2020a; Coates, 2021). Empowering
marginalised groups can help “shi the dynamics of the futures-in-the-making”, i.e. manipulang
present-day DRC processes to overturn risk-creang trajectories (McGowran & Donovan, 2021, p.
1607). Countering presently problemac BBB ideologies, disaster memories could be ulised to shi
discourse, pracce, and culture towards resisng DRC (Fuentealba, 2021). Aempts to draw focus to
risk-creang processes “are oen edited out, marginalized or ignored, as they may strike sensive
chords among authories and special interest groups” (Oliver-Smith et al., 2017b). Further research
would thus be welcome into ways of overcoming idened forms of resistance and compeng
priories, navigang towards systems which favour the avoidance rather than creaon of disaster
risk. Recognising ways of overcoming resistance (e.g. in the private sector) towards crossing sectoral
boundaries, for instance, is one means through which such groups’ contribuons to DRC could be
migated (Clark-Ginsberg, 2020b). Breaking such silos and culvang collecve concern for DRC
should help embed disaster risk concerns into development pracce (Lavell et al., 2023) - this could
be achieved in part through greater convergence research (Lakhina et al., 2021; Peek et al., 2020).
Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4794204
23
4. Conclusion
The dialogues presented in this review collecvely call for transformaonal change away from
inherently risk-creang pracces. Dominant risk discourses align with a preservaon of the status
quo and breaking the cycle of risk creaon appears stalled. The centralisaon of risk percepons that
do not account for the priories of those being put at risk are seen to lead to risk-creang
development decisions. Subsequently, those who gain out of risk-creang decisions, and those
bearing the risk, are seldom one and the same, with marginalised and less inuenal groups forced
to adopt the role of risk bearer. Problemasing the processes by which risk is created could provide a
gateway for remediang the relaon between development and disaster risk through intervenons
targeng ‘risk-generang’ development decisions (Tuhkanen et al., 2018). This will, however, involve
overcoming the presently low polical will to support instuonal capacity to prospecvely address
disaster risk (French et al., 2020). While it would be naïve to envisage a state without trade-os
between DRR and short-term development gains, it is not unreasonable to suggest disaster risk be
considered and priorised to a greater extent from the iniaon of development-related decisions
(Magnuszewski et al., 2019). Kelman (2018) remarks that “[c]reang risk is not necessarily
detrimental”. But fundamentally, the state of DRC appears such that if those embodying the negave
implicaons of risk-creang processes are not also proporonally beneng (or at least are given
agency to do so), DRC as a process is detrimental and wholly unjust. How we achieve a more just
state of aairs in the distribuon of risk is a queson for further research and interrogaon.
5. References
Aase, M. (2021). Disaster governance and autocrac legimaon in Bangladesh. In S. Widmalm,
Routledge Handbook of Autocrazaon in South Asia (1st ed., pp. 233–245). London:
Routledge. hps://doi.org/10.4324/9781003042211-24
Acuña, V., Roldán, F., Tironi, M., & Juzam, L. (2021). The geo-social model: A transdisciplinary
approach to ow-type landslide analysis and prevenon. Sustainability, 13(5), 1–37.
hps://doi.org/10.3390/su13052501
Akola, J., Chakwizira, J., Ingwani, E., & Bikam, P. (2023). An AHP-TOWS Analysis of Opons for
Promong Disaster Risk Reducon Infrastructure in Informal Selements of Greater Giyani
Local Municipality, South Africa. Sustainability, 15(1), 1–14.
hps://doi.org/10.3390/su15010267
Alcántara-Ayala, I. (2018). TXT-tool 4.052-1.2: Landslide Risk Communicaon. In K. Sassa, B. Tiwari, K.-
F. Liu, M. McSaveney, A. Strom, & H. Seawan (Eds.), Landslide Dynamics: ISDR-ICL Landslide
Interacve Teaching Tools: Volume 2: Tesng, Risk Management and Country Pracces (pp.
731–742). Springer. hps://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-57777-7_47
Alcántara-Ayala, I. (2021). Integrated landslide disaster risk management (ILDRiM): The challenge to
avoid the construcon of new disaster risk. Environmental Hazards, 20(3), 323–344.
hps://doi.org/10.1080/17477891.2020.1810609
Alcántara-Ayala, I., Burton, I., Lavell, A., Oliver-Smith, A., Brenes, A., & Dickinson, T. (2023). Forensic
invesgaons of disasters: Past achievements and new direcons. Jàmbá: Journal of Disaster
Risk Studies, 15(1), 1–11. hps://doi.org/10.4102/jamba.v15i1.1490
Alcántara-Ayala, I., Gomez, C., Chmuna, K., Van Niekerk, D., Raju, E., Marchezini, V., Cadag, J. R. D.,
& Gaillard, J. C. (2022). Disaster Risk (1st ed.). London: Routledge.
hps://doi.org/10.4324/9781315469614
Alexander, D. E. (2016). The game changes: “Disaster Prevenon and Management” aer a quarter of
a century. Disaster Prevenon and Management, 25(1), 2–10. hps://doi.org/10.1108/DPM-
11-2015-0262
Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4794204
24
Alvarez, M. K., & Cardenas, K. (2019). Evicng Slums, ‘Building Back Beer’: Resiliency Revanchism
and Disaster Risk Management in Manila. Internaonal Journal of Urban and Regional
Research, 43(2), 227–249. hps://doi.org/10.1111/1468-2427.12757
Alves, P. B. R., Djordjević, S., & Javadi, A. A. (2021). An integrated socio-environmental framework for
mapping hazard-specic vulnerability and exposure in urban areas. Urban Water Journal,
18(7), 530–543. hps://doi.org/10.1080/1573062X.2021.1913505
Aronsson-Storrier, M. (2020). Sendai Five Years on: Reecons on the Role of Internaonal Law in the
Creaon and Reducon of Disaster Risk. Internaonal Journal of Disaster Risk Science, 11(2),
230–238. hps://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-020-00265-y
Aronsson-Storrier, M. (2022). Keep the curtains drawn! Event, process and disaster in internaonal
law. In M. Aronsson-Storrier & R. Dahlberg (Eds.), Defining Disaster (pp. 45–57). Cheltenham,
UK: Edward Elgar Publishing. hps://doi.org/10.4337/9781839100307.00012
Banko, G. (2001). Rendering the World Unsafe: ‘Vulnerability’ as Western Discourse. Disasters,
25(1), 19–35. hps://doi.org/10.1111/1467-7717.00159
Banko, G., Cannon, T., Krüger, F., & Schipper, E. L. F. (2015). Introducon: Exploring the links
between cultures and disasters. In F. Krüger, G. Banko, T. Cannon, B. Orlowski, & E. L. F.
Schipper (Eds.), Cultures and Disasters (1st ed.). London: Routledge.
Banko, G., & Hilhorst, D. (Eds.). (2022). Why Vulnerability Sll Maers: The Polics of Disaster Risk
Creaon. London: Routledge. hps://doi.org/10.4324/9781003219453
Barclay, J., Wilkinson, E., White, C. S., Shelton, C., Forster, J., Few, R., Lorenzoni, I., Woolhouse, G.,
Jowi, C., Stone, H., & Honychurch, L. (2019). Historical Trajectories of Disaster Risk in
Dominica. Internaonal Journal of Disaster Risk Science, 10(2), 149–165. Scopus.
hps://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-019-0215-z
Berg, M., & De Majo, V. (2017). Understanding the Global Strategy for Disaster Risk Reducon. Risk,
Hazards and Crisis in Public Policy, 8(2), 147–167. hps://doi.org/10.1002/rhc3.12110
Bodine, S. P., Tracy, A., & Javernick-Will, A. (2022). Quesoning the eecveness of risk reducon via
post-disaster relocaon. Internaonal Journal of Disaster Risk Reducon, 71, 102834.
hps://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2022.102834
Bosher, L., Chmuna, K., & van Niekerk, D. (2021). Stop going around in circles: Towards a
reconceptualisaon of disaster risk management phases. Disaster Prevenon and
Management: An Internaonal Journal, 30(4/5), 525–537. hps://doi.org/10.1108/DPM-03-
2021-0071
Braun, V., & Clarke, V. (2006). Using themac analysis in psychology. Qualitave Research in
Psychology, 3(2), 77–101. hps://doi.org/10.1191/1478088706qp063oa
Cannon, T. (2022). What must be done to rescue the concept of vulnerability? In G. Banko & D.
Hilhorst (Eds.), Why Vulnerability Sll Maers (1st ed., pp. 68–87). London: Routledge.
hps://doi.org/10.4324/9781003219453
Caso, N., Hilhorst, D., & Mena, R. (2023). The contribuon of armed conict to vulnerability to
disaster: Empirical evidence from 1989 to 2018. Internaonal Journal of Disaster Risk
Reducon, 95, 103881. hps://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2023.103881
Castro, C. P., Ibarra, I., Lukas, M., Orz, J., & Sarmiento, J. P. (2015). Disaster risk construcon in the
progressive consolidaon of informal selements: Iquique and Puerto Mon (Chile) case
studies. Internaonal Journal of Disaster Risk Reducon, 13, 109–127.
hps://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2015.05.001
Chambers, R. (2004). Ideas for development: Reecng forwards. Brighton: Instute of Development
Studies.
Chan, J. K. H., & Liao, K.-H. (2022). The normave dimensions of ood risk management: Two types of
ood harm. Journal of Flood Risk Management, 15(2), e12798.
hps://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.12798
Cheek, W., & Chmuna, K. (2022). ‘Building back beer’ is neoliberal post-disaster reconstrucon.
Disasters, 46(3), 589–609. hps://doi.org/10.1111/disa.12502
Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4794204
25
Cheek, W. W., Chmuna, K., & von Meding, J. (2023). In the Arena: Contesng Disaster Creaon in
Cies. Disasters, 48(1), 1–21. hps://doi.org/10.1111/disa.12588
Chipangura, P., Van Niekerk, D., & Van Der Waldt, G. (2017). Disaster risk problem framing: Insights
from societal percepons in Zimbabwe. Internaonal Journal of Disaster Risk Reducon, 22,
317–324. hps://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2017.02.012
Chmuna, K., & Bosher, L. (2015). Disaster risk reducon or disaster risk producon: The role of
building regulaons in mainstreaming DRR. Internaonal Journal of Disaster Risk Reducon,
13, 10–19. Scopus. hps://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2015.03.002
Chmuna, K., Lizarralde, G., von, M. J., & Bosher, L. (2023). Standardised indicators for “resilient
cies”: The folly of devising a technical soluon to a polical problem. Internaonal Journal
of Disaster Resilience in the Built Environment, ahead-of-print(ahead-of-print).
hps://doi.org/10.1108/IJDRBE-10-2022-0099
Chmuna, K., & von Meding, J. (2019). A Dilemma of Language: “Natural Disasters” in Academic
Literature. Internaonal Journal of Disaster Risk Science, 10(3), 283–292.
hps://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-019-00232-2
Chmuna, K., & von Meding, J. (2022). Towards a liberatory pedagogy of disaster risk reducon
among built environment educators. Disaster Prevenon and Management: An Internaonal
Journal, 31(5), 521–535. hps://doi.org/10.1108/DPM-02-2022-0041
Chmuna, K., von Meding, J., Sandoval, V., Boyland, M., Forino, G., Cheek, W., Williams, D. A.,
Gonzalez-Muzzio, C., Tomassi, I., Páez, H., & Marchezini, V. (2021). What We Measure
Maers: The Case of the Missing Development Data in Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk
Reducon Monitoring. Internaonal Journal of Disaster Risk Science, 12(6), 779–789.
hps://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-021-00382-2
Cienfuegos, R. (2022). Flood risk from geophysical and hydroclimac hazards: An essenal integraon
for disaster risk management and climate change adaptaon in the coastal zone. Natural
Hazards, 119(2), 1113–1115. hps://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-022-05405-9
Clark-Ginsberg, A. (2017). Parcipatory risk network analysis: A tool for disaster reducon
praconers. Internaonal Journal of Disaster Risk Reducon, 21, 430–437.
hps://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2017.01.006
Clark-Ginsberg, A. (2020a). A Complexity Approach for Reducing Disaster Risks for Marginalized
Urban Populaons: Comparing DRR Intervenons Across Four Cies. In I. Chowdhooree & S.
M. Ghani (Eds.), External Intervenons for Disaster Risk Reducon: Impacts on Local
Communies (pp. 171–192). Singapore: Springer. hps://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-15-4948-
9_10
Clark-Ginsberg, A. (2020b). Disaster risk reducon is not ‘everyone’s business’: Evidence from three
countries. Internaonal Journal of Disaster Risk Reducon, 43, 101375.
hps://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2019.101375
Clark-Ginsberg, A., Blake, J. S., & Patel, K. (2020). Disaster Risk Reducon in Cies: Towards a New
Normal. In I. Chowdhooree & S. M. Ghani (Eds.), External Intervenons for Disaster Risk
Reducon: Impacts on Local Communies (pp. 123–134). Singapore: Springer.
hps://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-15-4948-9_7
Clark-Ginsberg, A., Blake, J. S., & Patel, K. V. (2022). Hybrid governance and disaster management in
Freetown, Sierra Leone, Monrovia, Liberia, and Dar es Salaam, Tanzania. Disasters, 46(2),
450–472. hps://doi.org/10.1111/disa.12466
Clark-Ginsberg, A., DeSmet, D., Rueda, I. A., Hagen, R., & Hayduk, B. (2021a). Disaster risk creaon
and cascading disasters within large technological systems: COVID-19 and the 2021 Texas
blackouts. Journal of Conngencies and Crisis Management, 29(4), 445–449.
hps://doi.org/10.1111/1468-5973.12378
Clark-Ginsberg, A., Easton-Calabria, L. C., Patel, S. S., Balagna, J., & Payne, L. A. (2021b). When
disaster management agencies create disaster risk: A case study of the US’s Federal
Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4794204
26
Emergency Management Agency. Disaster Prevenon and Management: An Internaonal
Journal, 30(4/5), 447–461. hps://doi.org/10.1108/DPM-03-2021-0067
Coates, R. (2021). Educaonal hazards? The polics of disaster risk educaon in Rio de Janeiro.
Disasters, 45(1), 86–106. hps://doi.org/10.1111/disa.12399
Coates, R., & Warner, J. (2023). Calamitous events? Exploring percepons of disaster. Internaonal
Journal of Disaster Risk Reducon, 91, 103700. hps://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2023.103700
Collins, A. E. (2018). Advancing the Disaster and Development Paradigm. Internaonal Journal of
Disaster Risk Science, 9(4), 486–495. hps://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-018-0206-5
Covarrubias, A. P., & Raju, E. (2020). The Polics of Disaster Risk Governance and Neo-Extracvism in
Lan America. Polics and Governance, 8(4), 220–231.
hps://doi.org/10.17645/pag.v8i4.3147
de Oliveira Santos, I. P., Fracalanza, A. P., Coates, R., & Warner, J. (2021). São Paulo’s 2013 water
crisis: A socially constructed disaster risk. Sustentabilidade Em Debate, 12(3), 167–181.
hps://doi.org/10.18472/SUSTDEB.V12N1.2021.38652
Derakhshan, S., Hodgson, M. E., & Cuer, S. L. (2020). Vulnerability of populaons exposed to seismic
risk in the state of Oklahoma. Applied Geography, 124, 1–10.
hps://doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeog.2020.102295
Dickinson, T., & Burton, I. (2022). Disaster risk creaon: The new vulnerability. In G. Banko & D.
Hilhorst (Eds.), Why Vulnerability Sll Maers: The Polics of Disaster Risk Creaon (pp. 192–
205). hps://doi.org/10.4324/9781003219453-14
Dimer, J. (2014). Geopolical assemblages and complexity. Progress in Human Geography, 38(3),
385–401. hps://doi.org/10.1177/0309132513501405
Duvat, V. K. E., Volto, N., Stahl, L., Moay, A., Defossez, S., Desarthe, J., Grancher, D., & Pillet, V.
(2021). Understanding interlinkages between long-term trajectory of exposure and
vulnerability, path dependency and cascading impacts of disasters in Saint-Marn
(Caribbean). Global Environmental Change, 67, 102236.
hps://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102236
Earle, L. (2016). Urban crises and the new urban agenda. Environment and Urbanizaon, 28(1), 77–
86. Scopus. hps://doi.org/10.1177/0956247815620335
Ehrlich, D., Melchiorri, M., Florczyk, A. J., Pesaresi, M., Kemper, T., Corbane, C., Freire, S., Schiavina,
M., & Siragusa, A. (2018). Remote sensing derived built-up area and populaon density to
quanfy global exposure to ve natural hazards over me. Remote Sensing, 10(9), 1–20.
hps://doi.org/10.3390/rs10091378
Espia, J. C., & Salvador, A. M. (2017). Of stories that maer: The social construcon of risk in planning
for coastal areas in Anque, Philippines. Disaster Prevenon and Management, 27(1), 87–
101. hps://doi.org/10.1108/DPM-09-2016-0199
Fischho, B. (1995). Risk Percepon and Communicaon Unplugged: Twenty Years of Process’. Risk
Analysis, 15(2), 137–145.
Forino, G. (2016). Hurricane Mahew is just the latest unnatural disaster to strike Hai. The
Conversaon.
Fra.Paleo, U. (2015). Risk governance: The arculaon of Hazard, Polics and Ecology (1st ed., p.
507). Dordrecht, Heidelberg, New York, London: Springer. hps://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-
017-9328-5
French, A., Mechler, R., Arestegui, M., MacClune, K., & Cisneros, A. (2020). Root causes of recurrent
catastrophe: The polical ecology of El Niño-related disasters in Peru. Internaonal Journal of
Disaster Risk Reducon, 47(101539), 1–14. hps://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2020.101539
Fuentealba, R. (2021). Divergent disaster events? The polics of post-disaster memory on the urban
margin. Internaonal Journal of Disaster Risk Reducon, 62, 102389.
hps://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102389
Gaillard, JC. (2019). Disaster studies inside out. Disasters, 43(S1), S7–S17.
hps://doi.org/10.1111/disa.12323
Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4794204
27
Gaillard, JC. (2021). The Invenon of Disaster: Power and Knowledge in Discourses on Hazard and
Vulnerability (1st ed.). London: Routledge. hps://doi.org/10.4324/9781315752167
Govindarajulu, D. (2020). Strengthening instuonal and nancial mechanisms for building urban
resilience in India. Internaonal Journal of Disaster Risk Reducon, 47(101549), 1–10.
hps://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2020.101549
Guadagno, L., & Guadagno, E. (2021). Migraon, housing & disaster: Risk reducon and creaon in
Southern Italy’s Apennines. Internaonal Journal of Disaster Risk Reducon, 61, 102305.
hps://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102305
Gumucio, T., Greatrex, H., & Lentz, E. (2022). Causal Chains Linking Weather Hazards to Disasters in
Somalia. Weather, Climate, and Society, 14(3), 849–860. hps://doi.org/10.1175/WCAS-D-
21-0165.1
Hao, H., & Wang, Y. (2020). Leveraging mulmodal social media data for rapid disaster damage
assessment. Internaonal Journal of Disaster Risk Reducon, 51(101760), 1–13.
hps://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2020.101760
Hartmann, T. (2011). Contesng land policies for space for rivers – raonal, viable, and clumsy
oodplain management. Journal of Flood Risk Management, 4(3), 165–175.
hps://doi.org/10.1111/j.1753-318X.2011.01101.x
Hilhorst, D., & Banko, G. (Eds.). (2022). Why Vulnerability Sll Maers: The Polics of Disaster Risk
Creaon. Routledge. hps://doi.org/10.4324/9781003219453
Hilhorst, D., & Mena, R. (2021). When Covid-19 meets conict: Polics of the pandemic response in
fragile and conict-aected states. Disasters, 45(S1), S174–S194.
hps://doi.org/10.1111/disa.12514
Huang, S. (2018). Understanding disaster (in)jusce: Spaalizing the producon of vulnerabilies of
indigenous people in Taiwan. Environment and Planning E: Nature and Space, 1(3), 382–403.
hps://doi.org/10.1177/2514848618773748
Huang, S., Wang, H., Xu, Y., She, J., & Huang, J. (2021). Key disaster-causing factors chains on urban
ood risk based on bayesian network. Land, 10(2), 1–21.
hps://doi.org/10.3390/land10020210
Imperiale, A. J., & Vanclay, F. (2020). Barriers to enhancing disaster risk reducon and community
resilience: Evidence from the L’aquila disaster. Polics and Governance, 8(4), 232–243.
hps://doi.org/10.17645/pag.v8i4.3179
Jackson, G. (2021). Percepons of disaster temporalies in two Indigenous sociees from the
Southwest Pacic. Internaonal Journal of Disaster Risk Reducon, 57, 102221.
hps://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102221
Jerolleman, A. (2019). Disaster Recovery Through the Lens of Jusce. Switzerland: Palgrave
Macmillan. hps://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-04795-5
Joshi, N., Wende, W., & Tiwari, P. C. (2022). Urban Planning as an Instrument for Disaster Risk
Reducon in the Uarakhand Himalayas. Mountain Research and Development, 42(2), D13–
D21. hps://doi.org/10.1659/MRD-JOURNAL-D-21-00048.1
Kahneman, D. (2003). A perspecve on judgment and choice: Mapping bounded raonality.
American Psychologist, 58(9), 697–720. hps://doi.org/10.1037/0003-066X.58.9.697
Kelman, I. (2018). Lost for Words Amongst Disaster Risk Science Vocabulary? Internaonal Journal of
Disaster Risk Science, 9(3), 281–291. hps://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-018-0188-3
Kennedy, D. (2013). Law and the Polical Economy of the World. Leiden Journal of Internaonal Law,
26(1), 7–48. hps://doi.org/10.1017/S0922156512000635
Kii, M., & Doi, K. (2020). Earthquake risk and inter-temporal fairness: An economic assessment of the
naonal land-use structure. Transport Policy, 87, 77–83.
hps://doi.org/10.1016/j.tranpol.2018.08.009
Kousky, C., & Zeckhauser, R. (2006). JARring Acons That Fuel the Floods. In R. J. Daniels, D. F. Kel, &
H. Kunreuther (Eds.), On Risk and Disaster: Lessons from Hurricane Katrina (1st ed., pp. 59–
Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4794204
28
73). Philadelphia: University of Pennsylvania Press.
hps://doi.org/10.9783/9780812205473.59
Kumar, B., & Bhaduri, S. (2018). Disaster risk in the urban villages of Delhi. Internaonal Journal of
Disaster Risk Reducon, 31, 1309–1325. hps://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2018.04.022
Lakhina, S. J., Sutley, E. J., & Wilson, J. (2021). “How Do We Actually Do Convergence” for Disaster
Resilience? Cases from Australia and the United States. Internaonal Journal of Disaster Risk
Science, 12(3), 299–311. hps://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-021-00340-y
Lambert, S., & Mark-Shadbolt, M. (2021). Indigenous Knowledges of forest and biodiversity
management: How the watchfulness of Māori complements and contributes to disaster risk
reducon. AlterNave: An Internaonal Journal of Indigenous Peoples, 17(3), 368–377.
hps://doi.org/10.1177/11771801211038760
Lara, A., Bucci, F., Palma, C., Munizaga, J., & Montre-Águila, V. (2021). Development, urban planning
and polical decisions. A triad that built territories at risk. Natural Hazards, 109(2), 1935–
1957. hps://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-021-04904-5
Lavell, A., Chávez Eslava, A., Barros Salas, C., & Miranda Sandoval, D. (2023). Inequality and the social
construcon of urban disaster risk in mul-hazard contexts: The case of Lima, Peru and the
COVID-19 pandemic. Environment and Urbanizaon, 35(1), 131–155.
hps://doi.org/10.1177/09562478221149883
Lavell, A., Gaillard, J. C., Wisner, B., Saunders, W., & Van Niekerk, D. (2012). Naonal Planning and
Disaster. In Handbook of Hazards and Disaster Risk Reducon (1st ed., p. 12). Routledge.
Lavell, A., & Maskrey, A. (2014). The future of disaster risk management. Environmental Hazards,
13(4), 267–280. hps://doi.org/10.1080/17477891.2014.935282
Lavell, A., Oppenheimer, M., Diop, C., Hess, J., Lempert, R., Li, J., Muir-Wood, R., Myeong, S., Moser,
S., Takeuchi, K., Cardona, O. D., Hallegae, S., Lemos, M., Lile, C., Lotsch, A., & Weber, E.
(2012). Climate change: New dimensions in disaster risk, exposure, vulnerability, and
resilience. In Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change
Adaptaon: Special Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (Vol.
9781107025066, pp. 25–64). hps://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781139177245.004
Lazarus, E. D. (2022). The disaster trap: Cyclones, tourism, colonial legacies, and the systemic
feedbacks exacerbang disaster risk. Transacons of the Instute of Brish Geographers,
47(2), 577–588. hps://doi.org/10.1111/tran.12516
Lewis, J., & Kelman, I. (2012). The Good, The Bad and The Ugly: Disaster Risk Reducon (DRR) Versus
Disaster Risk Creaon (DRC). PLOS Currents Disasters, 4(e4f8d4eaec6af8), 1–21.
hps://doi.org/10.1371/4f8d4eaec6af8
Linarelli, J., Salomon, M. E., & Sornarajah, M. (2018). The Misery of Internaonal Law: Confrontaons
with Injusce in the Global Economy (Online Ed). Oxford: Oxford Academic.
hps://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198753957.001.0001
Lizarralde, G., Bornstein, L., Robertson, M., Gould, K., Herazo, B., Peer, A.-M., Páez, H., Díaz, J. H.,
Olivera, A., González, G., López, O., López, A., Ascui, H., Burdiles, R., & Bouchereau, K. (2021).
Does climate change cause disasters? How cizens, academics, and leaders explain climate-
related risk and disasters in Lan America and the Caribbean. Internaonal Journal of
Disaster Risk Reducon, 58, 102173. hps://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102173
Lizarralde, G., Páez, H., Lopez, A., Lopez, O., Bornstein, L., Gould, K., Herazo, B., & Muñoz, L. (2020).
We said, they said: The polics of conceptual frameworks in disasters and climate change in
Colombia and Lan America. Disaster Prevenon and Management: An Internaonal Journal,
29(6), 909–928. hps://doi.org/10.1108/DPM-01-2020-0011
Lucatello, S., & Alcántara-Ayala, I. (2023). Addressing the interplay of the Sendai Framework with
sustainable development goals in Lan America and the Caribbean: Moving forward or going
backwards? Disaster Prevenon and Management: An Internaonal Journal, 32(1), 206–233.
hps://doi.org/10.1108/DPM-07-2022-0152
Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4794204
29
Lukasiewicz, A. (2020). The Emerging Imperave of Disaster Jusce. In A. Lukasiewicz & C. Baldwin
(Eds.), Natural Hazards and Disaster Jusce: Challenges for Australia and Its Neighbours (pp.
3–23). Singapore: Springer. hps://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-15-0466-2_1
Magnuszewski, P., Jarzabek, L., Keang, A., Mechler, R., French, A., Laurien, F., Arestegui, M., Eenne,
E., Ilieva, L., Ferradas, P., McQuistan, C., & Mayor, B. (2019). The Flood Resilience Systems
Framework: From Concept to Applicaon. Journal of Integrated Disaster Risk Management,
9(1), 56–82. hps://doi.org/10.5595/idrim.2019.0348
Marchezini, V. (2020). “What is a Sociologist Doing Here?” An Unconvenonal People-Centered
Approach to Improve Warning Implementaon in the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk
Reducon. Internaonal Journal of Disaster Risk Science, 11(2), 218–229.
hps://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-020-00262-1
Marincioni, F., & Negri, A. (2020). Homo sapiens, anthropocene and disaster risk reducon. In S.
Longhi, A. Monteriù, A. Freddi, L. Aquilan, & M. G. Ceravolo (Eds.), The First Outstanding 50
Years of ‘Universita Politecnica delle Marche’: Research Achievements in Life Sciences (pp.
631–645). Springer Nature Switzerland. hps://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-33832-9_40
Mahewman, S. (2015). Disasters, Risks and Revelaon. London: Palgrave Macmillan.
hps://doi.org/10.1057/9781137294265
McEwan, C. (2009). Postcolonialism/Postcolonial Geographies. In R. Kitchin & N. Thri (Eds.),
Internaonal Encyclopedia of Human Geography (pp. 327–333). Oxford: Elsevier.
hps://doi.org/10.1016/B978-008044910-4.00114-0
McGowran, P., & Donovan, A. (2021). Assemblage theory and disaster risk management. Progress in
Human Geography, 45(6), 1601–1624. hps://doi.org/10.1177/03091325211003328
Meriläinen, E., & Koro, M. (2021). Data, Disasters, and Space-Time Entanglements. Internaonal
Journal of Disaster Risk Science, 12(2), 157–168. hps://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-021-00333-
x
Mochizuki, J., Mechler, R., Hochrainer-Sgler, S., Keang, A., & Williges, K. (2014). Revising the
‘disaster and development’ debate—Toward a broader understanding of macroeconomic risk
and resilience. Climate Risk Management, 3, 39–54.
hps://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2014.05.002
Munn, Z., Peters, M. D. J., Stern, C., Tufanaru, C., McArthur, A., & Aromataris, E. (2018). Systemac
review or scoping review? Guidance for authors when choosing between a systemac or
scoping review approach. BMC Medical Research Methodology, 18(143), 1–7.
hps://doi.org/10.1186/s12874-018-0611-x
Murnane, R., Simpson, A., & Jongman, B. (2016). Understanding risk: What makes a risk assessment
successful? Internaonal Journal of Disaster Resilience in the Built Environment, 7(2), 186–
200. hps://doi.org/10.1108/IJDRBE-06-2015-0033
Myrdal, G. (1974). What Is Development? Journal of Economic Issues, 8(4), 729–736.
hps://doi.org/10.1080/00213624.1974.11503225
Oliver-Smith, A. (2015). Conversaons in Catastrophe: Neoliberalism and the cultural construcon of
disaster risk. In Cultures and Disasters. Routledge.
Oliver-Smith, A., Alcántara-Ayala, I., Burton, I., & Lavell, A. (2017a). Forensic Invesgaons of Disaster
(FORIN): Towards the understanding of root causes of disasters. Internaonal Council for
Science; Integrated Research on Disaster Risk. hps://council.science/wp-
content/uploads/2017/05/DRR-policy-brief-3-forin.pdf
Oliver-Smith, A., Alcántara-Ayala, I., Burton, I., & Lavell, A. (2017b). The social construcon of disaster
risk: Seeking root causes. Internaonal Journal of Disaster Risk Reducon, 22, 469–474.
hps://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2016.10.006
Olson, R. S., Emel Ganapa, N., Gawronski, V. T., Olson, R. A., Salna, E., & Pablo Sarmiento, J. (2020).
From Disaster Risk Reducon to Policy Studies: Bridging Research Communies. Natural
Hazards Review, 21(2), 04020014. hps://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)NH.1527-6996.0000365
Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4794204
30
Paci-Green, R., Pandey, B., Gryc, H., Ireland, N., Torres, J., & Young, M. (2020). Challenges and
benets of community-based safer school construcon. Internaonal Journal of Disaster Risk
Reducon, 43(101384), 1–10. hps://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2019.101384
Page, R. (2021). Principles regarding urbanisaon, disaster risks and resilience. In S. Eslamian & F.
Eslamian (Eds.), Handbook of Disaster Risk Reducon for Resilience: New Frameworks for
Building Resilience to Disasters (Eds, pp. 57–77). Cham: Springer.
hps://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-61278-8_3
Parida, D., Van Assche, K., & Agrawal, S. (2023). Climate Shocks and Local Urban Conicts: An
Evoluonary Perspecve on Risk Governance in Bhubaneswar. Land, 12(1), Arcle 1.
hps://doi.org/10.3390/land12010198
Peek, L., Tobin, J., Adams, R. M., Wu, H., & Mathews, M. C. (2020). A Framework for Convergence
Research in the Hazards and Disaster Field: The Natural Hazards Engineering Research
Infrastructure CONVERGE Facility. Froners in Built Environment, 6(110), 1–19.
Peters, L. E. R. (2021). Beyond disaster vulnerabilies: An empirical invesgaon of the causal
pathways linking conict to disaster risks. Internaonal Journal of Disaster Risk Reducon, 55,
102092. hps://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102092
Peters, L. E. R., Clark-Ginsberg, A., McCaul, B., Cáceres, G., Nuñez, A. L., Balagna, J., López, A., Patel, S.
S., Patel, R. B., & Van Den Hoek, J. (2022). Informality, violence, and disaster risks:
Coproducing inclusive early warning and response systems in urban informal selements in
Honduras. Froners in Climate, 4(937244), 1–20.
Pecrew, M., & Roberts, H. (2008). Systemac reviews in the social sciences: A praccal guide (1st
ed.). Wiley.
Poudel, D. P., Blackburn, S., Manandhar, R., Adhikari, B., Ensor, J., Shrestha, A., & Prasad Timsina, N.
(2023). The urban polical ecology of ‘haphazard urbanisaon’ and disaster risk creaon in
the Kathmandu valley, Nepal. Internaonal Journal of Disaster Risk Reducon, 103924.
hps://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2023.103924
Qazi, A., & Simsekler, M. C. E. (2021). Assessment of humanitarian crises and disaster risk exposure
using data-driven Bayesian Networks. Internaonal Journal of Disaster Risk Reducon,
52(101938), 1–11. hps://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2020.101938
Raikes, J., Smith, T. F., Baldwin, C., & Henstra, D. (2021). Linking disaster risk reducon and human
development. Climate Risk Management, 32, 100291.
hps://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2021.100291
Raikes, J., Smith, T. F., Baldwin, C., & Henstra, D. (2022). The inuence of internaonal agreements on
disaster risk reducon. Internaonal Journal of Disaster Risk Reducon, 76(102999), 1–11.
hps://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2022.102999
Raju, E., Boyd, E., & Oo, F. (2022). Stop blaming the climate for disasters. Communicaons Earth &
Environment, 3(1), 1–2. hps://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-021-00332-2
Ramalho, J. (2019). Worlding aspiraons and resilient futures: Framings of risk and contemporary
city-making in Metro Cebu, the Philippines. Asia Pacific Viewpoint, 60(1), 24–36.
hps://doi.org/10.1111/apv.12208
Renn, O., & Klinke, A. (2015). Risk Governance and Resilience: New Approaches to Cope with
Uncertainty and Ambiguity. In U. Fra.Paleo (Ed.), Risk Governance: The Arculaon of Hazard,
Polics and Ecology (pp. 19–41). Springer Netherlands. hps://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-017-
9328-5_2
Ríos, D. (2015). Present-day capitalist urbanizaon and unequal disaster risk producon: The case of
Tigre, Buenos Aires. Environment and Urbanizaon, 27(2), 679–692.
hps://doi.org/10.1177/0956247815583616
Roy, A. (2009). Why India Cannot Plan Its Cies: Informality, Insurgence and the Idiom of
Urbanizaon. Planning Theory, 8(1), 76–87. hps://doi.org/10.1177/1473095208099299
Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4794204
31
Ruiz-Cortés, N. S., & Alcántara-Ayala, I. (2020). Landslide exposure awareness: A community-based
approach towards the engagement of children. Landslides, 17(6), 1501–1514. Scopus.
hps://doi.org/10.1007/s10346-020-01391-w
Rumbach, A. (2014). Do new towns increase disaster risk? Evidence from Kolkata, India. Habitat
Internaonal, 43, 117–124. hps://doi.org/10.1016/j.habitant.2014.03.005
Rumbach, A., & Follingstad, G. (2019). Urban disasters beyond the city: Environmental risk in India’s
fast-growing towns and villages. Internaonal Journal of Disaster Risk Reducon, 34, 94–107.
hps://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2018.11.008
Rumbach, A., & Németh, J. (2018). Disaster risk creaon in the Darjeeling Himalayas: Moving toward
jusce. Environment and Planning E: Nature and Space, 1(3), 340–362.
hps://doi.org/10.1177/2514848618792821
Rumbach, A., Sullivan, E., & Makarewicz, C. (2020). Mobile Home Parks and Disasters: Understanding
Risk to the Third Housing Type in the United States. Natural Hazards Review, 21(2). Scopus.
hps://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)NH.1527-6996.0000357
Samaraweera, H. U. S. (2023). Reproducing vulnerabilies through forced displacement: A case study
of ood vicms in Galle District, Sri Lanka. In M. Hamza, D. Amaratunga, R. Haigh, C.
Malalgoda, C. Jayakody, & A. Senanayake (Eds.), Rebuilding Communies Aer Displacement:
Sustainable and Resilience Approaches (Eds, pp. 291–312). Cham: Springer.
hps://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-21414-1_13
Sandoval, V., Darien Alexander Williams, Cheek, W., von Meding, J., Chmuna, K., Gonzalez-Muzzio,
C., Forino, G., Tomassi, I., Marchezini, V., Vahanva, M., Páez, H., & Boyland, M. (2022, May
24). The role of public and private sectors in disaster capitalism: An internaonal overview |
UNDRR. hp://www.undrr.org/publicaon/role-public-and-private-sectors-disaster-
capitalism-internaonal-overview
Sandoval, V., & Sarmiento, J. P. (2020). A neglected issue: Informal selements, urban development,
and disaster risk reducon in Lan America and the Caribbean. Disaster Prevenon and
Management: An Internaonal Journal, 29(5), 731–745. hps://doi.org/10.1108/DPM-04-
2020-0115
Sandoval, V., Voss, M., Flörchinger, V., Lorenz, S., & Jafari, P. (2023). Integrated Disaster Risk
Management (IDRM): Elements to Advance Its Study and Assessment. Internaonal Journal
of Disaster Risk Science, 14(3), 343–356. hps://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-023-00490-1
Sandoval, V., Wisner, B., & Voss, M. (2021). Natural Hazards Governance in Chile. In Oxford Research
Encyclopedia of Natural Hazard Science. Oxford.
hps://doi.org/10.1093/acrefore/9780199389407.013.364
Sarmiento, J. P. (2018). What is the post-2015 development agenda? A look from the underlying
disaster risk drivers. Disaster Prevenon and Management: An Internaonal Journal, 27(3),
292–305. hps://doi.org/10.1108/DPM-03-2018-0088
Schipper, E. L. F., Thomalla, F., Vulturius, G., Davis, M., & Johnson, K. (2016). Linking disaster risk
reducon, climate change and development. Internaonal Journal of Disaster Resilience in
the Built Environment, 7(2), 216–228. hps://doi.org/10.1108/IJDRBE-03-2015-0014
Shang, Y.-H., Niu, F.-J., Yuan, K., Sun, T., & Wu, L.-B. (2023). Thermal and mechanical characteriscs of
a thermal pile in permafrost regions. Advances in Climate Change Research, 14(2), 255–266.
hps://doi.org/10.1016/j.accre.2022.10.002
Skwarko, T., He, I., Cross, S., Opdyke, A., Handayani, T., Kendall, J., Hapsoro, A., McDonald, G., & Idris,
Y. (2024). The long-term impact of humanitarian housing intervenons following the 2010
Merapi erupon. Internaonal Journal of Disaster Risk Reducon, 100, 104076.
hps://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2023.104076
Snyder, H. (2019). Literature review as a research methodology: An overview and guidelines. Journal
of Business Research, 104, 333–339. hps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2019.07.039
Stevenson, J. R., & Seville, E. (2017). Private Sector Doing Disaster Risk Reducon Including Climate
Change Adaptaon. In I. Kelman, J. Mercer, & J. C. Gaillard (Eds.), The Routledge Handbook of
Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4794204
32
Disaster Risk Reducon Including Climate Change Adaptaon (1st ed., pp. 363–376). London:
Routledge. hps://doi.org/10.4324/9781315684260
Su, Q., Chen, K., & Liao, L. (2021). The impact of land use change on disaster risk from the
perspecve of eciency. Sustainability, 13(3151). hps://doi.org/10.3390/su13063151
Sulkkar Ahamed, M., Sarmah, T., Dabral, A., Chaerjee, R., & Shaw, R. (2023). Unpacking systemic,
cascading, and compound risks: A case based analysis of Asia Pacic. Progress in Disaster
Science, 18(100285), 1–10. hps://doi.org/10.1016/j.pdisas.2023.100285
Surjan, A., & Shaw, R. (2009). Enhancing disaster resilience through local environment management:
Case of Mumbai, India. Disaster Prevenon and Management: An Internaonal Journal,
18(4), 418–433. hps://doi.org/10.1108/09653560910984474
Tagalo, R. D. (2020). How does government discourse make people vulnerable? Disaster Prevenon
and Management: An Internaonal Journal, 29(5), 697–710. hps://doi.org/10.1108/DPM-
07-2020-0225
Thomalla, F., Boyland, M., Johnson, K., Ensor, J., Tuhkanen, H., Gerger Swartling, Å., Han, G.,
Forrester, J., & Wahl, D. (2018). Transforming Development and Disaster Risk. Sustainability,
10(1458), 1–12. hps://doi.org/10.3390/su10051458
Tierney, K. (2014). The Social Roots of Risk: Producing Disasters, Promong Resilience. Redwood City:
Stanford University Press. hps://doi.org/10.1515/9780804791403
Tran, P., & Shaw, R. (2007). Towards an integrated approach of disaster and environment
management: A case study of Thua Thien Hue province, central Viet Nam. Environmental
Hazards, 7(4), 271–282. hps://doi.org/10.1016/j.envhaz.2007.03.001
Tuhkanen, H., Boyland, M., Han, G., Patel, A., Johnson, K., Rosemarin, A., & Lim Mangada, L. (2018). A
Typology Framework for Trade-Os in Development and Disaster Risk Reducon: A Case
Study of Typhoon Haiyan Recovery in Tacloban, Philippines. Sustainability, 10(6/1924), 1–19.
hps://doi.org/10.3390/su10061924
Uehara, M., Liao, K.-H., Arai, Y., & Masakane, Y. (2022). Could the magnitude of the 3/11 disaster
have been reduced by ecological planning? A retrospecve mul-hazard risk assessment
through map overlay. Landscape and Urban Planning, 227(104541), 1–15.
hps://doi.org/10.1016/j.landurbplan.2022.104541
UNDRR. (2015a). Global assessment report on disaster risk reducon 2015.
hp://www.undrr.org/publicaon/global-assessment-report-disaster-risk-reducon-2015
UNDRR. (2015b). Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reducon 2015—2030. United Naons Oce
for Disaster Risk Reducon (UNDRR).
UNDRR. (2022). Our world at risk: Transforming governance for a resilient future. United Naons.
Unger, E.-M., Zevenbergen, J., & Benne, R. (2017). On the need for pro-poor land administraon in
disaster risk management. Survey Review, 49(357), 437–448.
hps://doi.org/10.1080/00396265.2016.1212160
van Riet, G. (2021). The Nature–Culture Disncon in Disaster Studies: The Recent Peon for
Reform as an Opportunity for New Thinking? Internaonal Journal of Disaster Risk Science,
12(2), 240–249. hps://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-021-00329-7
Vogel, A., Seeger, K., Brill, D., Brückner, H., Khin Khin Soe, Nay Win Oo, Nilar Aung, Zin Nwe Myint, &
Kraas, F. (2022). Idenfying Land-Use Related Potenal Disaster Risk Drivers in the
Ayeyarwady Delta (Myanmar) during the Last 50 Years (1974–2021) Using a Hybrid Ensemble
Learning Model. Remote Sensing, 14(15/3568), Arcle 15.
hps://doi.org/10.3390/rs14153568
von Meding, J., & Chmuna, K. (2023). From labelling weakness to liberatory praxis: A new theory of
vulnerability for disaster studies. Disaster Prevenon and Management: An Internaonal
Journal, 32(2), 364–378. hps://doi.org/10.1108/DPM-10-2022-0208
Wisner, B. (2001). Capitalism and the shiing spaal and social distribuon of hazard and
vulnerability. Australian Journal of Emergency Management, 16(2), 44–50.
Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4794204
33
Wisner, B. (2016). Vulnerability as Concept, Model, Metric, and Tool. In Oxford Research Encyclopedia
of Natural Hazard Science. Oxford Research Encyclopedias.
hps://doi.org/10.1093/acrefore/9780199389407.013.25
Wisner, B. (2019). Disaster Studies at 50: Time to Wear Bifocals? In J. Kendra, S. G. Knowles, & T.
Wachtendorf (Eds.), Disaster Research and the Second Environmental Crisis: Assessing the
Challenges Ahead (pp. 47–68). Cham: Springer. hps://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-04691-
0_3
Wisner, B. (2020). Five Years Beyond Sendai—Can We Get Beyond Frameworks? Internaonal Journal
of Disaster Risk Science, 11(2), 239–249. hps://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-020-00263-0
Wisner, B. (2022). Power writ small and large: How disaster cannot be understood without reference
to pushing, pulling, coercing, and seducing. In G. Banko & D. Hilhorst (Eds.), Why
Vulnerability Sll Maers: The Polics of Disaster Risk Creaon (1st ed., pp. 171–191).
London: Routledge. hps://doi.org/10.4324/9781003219453-13
Wisner, B., & Lavell, A. (2017). The Next Paradigm Shi: From ‘Disaster Risk Reducon’ to ‘Resisng
Disaster Risk Creaon’. Dealing with Disasters Conference, Durham University.
hps://www.researchgate.net/publicaon/320045120_The_Next_Paradigm_Shi_From_%2
7Disaster_Risk_Reducon%27_to_%27Resisng_Disaster_Risk_Creaon%27
Yang, Q., Gao, R., Bai, F., Li, T., & Tamura, Y. (2018). Damage to buildings and structures due to recent
devastang wind hazards in East Asia. Natural Hazards, 92(3), 1321–1353.
hps://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-018-3253-8
Zakour, M. J., & Grogg, K. (2018). Chapter 7 - Three centuries in the making: Hurricane Katrina from
an historical perspecve. In M. J. Zakour, N. B. Mock, & P. Kadetz (Eds.), Creang Katrina,
Rebuilding Resilience (pp. 159–192). Oxford: Buerworth-Heinemann, Elsevier.
hps://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-809557-7.00007-7
Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4794204
ResearchGate has not been able to resolve any citations for this publication.
Article
Full-text available
There is strong evidence of the short-term impact of humanitarian interventions after disasters, however, relatively less is known about what, if any, impact this support has on long-term recovery outcomes in communities. This research examined long-term housing outcomes following assistance provided after the 2010 Merapi eruption in Yogyakarta, Indonesia. We surveyed 316 households who received and did not receive housing assistance following damaging lahar flows in the community of Jogoyudan to assess housing quality through a multi-dimensional measure. Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression was used to evaluate the relationship of humanitarian assistance on housing quality outcomes, controlling for respondent and household demographics as well as the impacts of the disaster. Findings indicate that post-disaster housing assistance was positively correlated with higher long-term housing quality. Land tenure was found to be the strongest predictor of housing quality, explaining nearly a fifth of variance in housing quality. Livelihoods and construction abilities were also found to be significant predictors of long-term housing quality. Our results demonstrate the value of post-disaster housing programs in raising the living standard of recovering communities and the institutional, economic, and knowledge systems that support housing markets.
Article
Full-text available
In the 2020s, understanding disaster risk requires a strong and clear recognition of values and goals that influence the use of political and economic power and social authority to guide growth and development. This configuration of values, goals, power and authority may also lead to concrete drivers of risk at any one time. Building on previous disaster risk frameworks and experiences from practice, since 2010, the ‘Forensic Investigations of Disasters (FORIN)’ approach has been developed to support transdisciplinary research on the transformational pathways societies may follow to recognise and address root causes and drivers of disaster risk. This article explores and assesses the achievements and failures of the FORIN approach. It also focuses on shedding light upon key requirements for new approaches and understandings of disaster risk research. The new requirements stem not only from the uncompleted ambitions of FORIN and the forensic approach but also from dramatic and ongoing transformational changes characterised by climate change, the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic and the threat of global international confrontation, among other potential crises, both those that can be identified and those not yet identified or unknown. Contribution: Disasters associated with extreme natural events cannot be treated in isolation. A comprehensive “all risks” or “all disasters” approach is essential for a global transformation, which could lead to a better world order. To achieve this, an Intergovernmental Panel for Disaster Risk is suggested to assess risk science periodically and work towards sustainability, human rights, and accountability, within a development and human security frame and on a systemic basis and integrated perspective. Keywords: root causes; risk drivers; forensic investigations of disasters; FORIN; social construction of risk; disaster risk creation and construction; transformational change; existential threats; new world order.
Article
Full-text available
This paper examines the impact of rapid urbanisation on the production of unequal disaster risk in Khokana, peri-urban town in the Kathmandu Valley (KV), Nepal. It brings together scholarships in disaster risk creation and urban political ecology (UPE), asking: (1) what are the roots of Khokana’s specific urbanization trajectory; (2) how is this trajectory altering geographies of hazard risks in Khokana; and (3) how is this risk unevenly distributed between social groups. The data reveal overlapping forms of risk and precarity affecting residents’ (long-standing and migrants) everyday lives, in ways that disproportionately impact already-disadvantaged and marginalized groups. These unequal risk geographies are related to the specific forms and processes of urban growth occurring in Khokana, fuelled by three powerful, interconnected pressures: neoliberal capitalist expansion, internal migration, and a strong developmental state. We characterise the resulting form of urbanisation as ‘haphazard’: a patchwork of planned and unplanned developments, with inadequate attention to hazard risk, livelihood stability and essential services. The paper advances understanding of the place- and historically-specific ways that hazard risk intersects with social, political and economic forces to produce disaster risk in rapidly-urbanising centres. We extend calls for more situated UPE analysis and call for greater, more granular attention to forms of haphazard urbanisation and their uneven risk-producing qualities. We conclude an urgent need to reimagine urban development as a political and economic project, and for future urban planning to pay deliberate and deliberative attention to risk factors, both in KV and in other rapidly urbanising areas of the global South.
Article
Full-text available
This study analyzed the international key literature on integrated disaster risk management (IDRM), considering it a dynamic sociocultural process subjected to the historical process of social formation, offering a closer look at the concept while exploring conceptual elements and ideas to advance IDRM in both national and international contexts. Methodologically, the study adopted a literature review strategy, following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) approach, combined with qualitative content analysis. This article examines the history of IDRM, discusses current challenges for implementation, looks at some experiences, and proposes avenues for further research. Some findings point out the lack of an overarching IDRM approach, which is characterized by a rather disperse set of ideas and experiences concerning what IDRM is and how it should be operationalized, thereby revealing the need for a more comprehensive theory and methodologies to further advance it. Other findings highlight that IDRM encompasses different kinds and levels of “integrations” that go from internal (that is, disaster risk reduction and management domains) to external (that is, all societal processes such as sustainable development), including temporal and spatial integrations. Hence, we are talking about a multidimensional integration of disaster risk management. In this regard, the article proposes four dimensions for integration: sectoral, spatial/hierarchical, temporal, and externally with other cross-cutting societal challenges, especially climate change and sustainable development. These dimensions cover 29 ideas for indicators or “proto-indicators” to guide the discussion, exploration, and analysis of IDRM in specific contexts.
Article
Full-text available
The Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction aims to reduce disaster risk and loss by prioritizing activities that promote a better understanding of disaster risk. It prioritizes activities such as understanding disaster risk and its dimensions, with a focus on preventing the creation of new risks, reducing existing ones, and preparing for residual risks. The concept of systemic, cascading, and compound risks is becoming increasingly important in disaster risk management. However, there is a lack of understanding about these terms and how they overlap and differ in real-world applications. The COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the evolving and underlying risk patterns in our interconnected society, making it crucial to bridge this gap.The paper explores the existing literature on systemic, cascading, and compound risks, using a secondary literature review and content analysis. It provides a conceptual overview of the three risks and supports the review with an analysis of 40 case studies in the Asia Pacific region. The analysis focuses on the hazards, underlying vulnerabilities, impacted systems, and the complex interconnections between them. Based on the findings, the authors provide recommendations for the management of systemic, cascading, and compound risks in the future.
Article
Purpose Driven by the New Urban Agenda and the Sustainable Development Goals, decision makers have been striving to reorientate policy debates towards the aspiration of achieving urban resilience and monitoring the effectiveness of adaptive measures through the implementation of standardised indicators. Consequently, there has been a rise of indicator systems measuring resilience. This paper aims to argue that the ambition of making cities resilient does not always make them less vulnerable, more habitable, equitable and just. Design/methodology/approach Using an inductive policy analysis of ISO standard 37123:2019 “Sustainable cities and communities — Indicators for resilient cities”, the authors examine the extent to which the root causes of risks are being addressed by the urban resilience agenda. Findings The authors show that the current standardisation of resilience fails to adequately address the political dimension of disaster risk reduction, reducing resilience to a management tool and missing the opportunity to address the socio-political sources of risks. Originality/value Such critical analysis of the Standard is important as it moves away from a hazard-centric approach and, instead, permits to shed light on the socio-political processes of risk creation and to adopt a more nuanced and sensitive understanding of urban characteristics and governance mechanisms.
Article
Space is a feature of all disasters - and it is through decisions about how space is developed, used, and reproduced that disasters are manifested. Critical urban theory sees urban space - cities - as an arena of contestation expressed through the relationship between people, power, and the built environment. Cities allow for an unpacking of this process of contestation through the interpretation of various temporal, spatial, social, physical elements that together create complex issues and 'wicked problems.' In these urban spaces in all their complexity, disasters reveal the worst injustices and inequalities present in a society. Demonstrated through three well-known cases (Hurricane Katrina, 2010 Haiti Earthquake, and 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake), this paper explores opportunities critical urban theory presents for a deeper understanding of disaster risk creation and encourages disaster scholars to engage with it.
Article
Purpose Vulnerability is a label and a concept that is widely used in disaster studies. To date the meaning has been quite limited and implied “weakness”, with criticisms arising periodically but not halting vulnerability's reproduction. In this paper, the authors offer a new theory of vulnerability for the field, suggesting that complicating the concept can create space for liberatory discourse and organising. Design/methodology/approach The authors draw from diverse understandings of vulnerability to generate new conceptual ground for disaster scholars. The authors explore the relationships between power and agency and autonomy and social hierarchy with regards to how vulnerability is considered within neoliberal democracies. The authors also outline ideological responses and the political actions that follow. Findings This exploration is underpinned by dissatisfaction with the way that vulnerability has thus far been theorised in disaster studies. Using the analytical framings provided, the authors hope that others will build on the idea that so-called “vulnerable” people, working in solidarity and using intersecting frameworks of anti-racism, anti-colonialism and anti-capitalism, can undermine the risk-creating norms of the neoliberal state. Originality/value The authors argue that the dominant framing of vulnerability in disaster studies – and usage of the vulnerability paradigm – provides political traction for neoliberal social projects, based on notions of humanitarianism. The authors make this claim as a challenge to the authors and the authors' peers to maintain reflexive scholarship and search for liberatory potential, not only in vulnerability but in other concepts that have become normative.