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Revisiting MMT, Sovereign Currencies and the Eurozone: A Reply to Marc Lavoie

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... To mitigate bondholders' "too risky" perception, the Eurozone enacted significant policy changes during the debt crisis and COVID-19 pandemic. Central to countering fragmentation was the Eurosystem's emerging role as a major holder of government securities, mirroring the ECB effectively supporting member state's liabilities (De Grauwe & Ji, 2022;Ehnts & Wray, 2024). However, the post-pandemic shift toward reinforcing market discipline highlights that "too safe" remains undesirable to Eurozone institutions. ...
... However, this asymmetry was less pronounced than during the debt crisis and quickly dissipated. Unlike in the debt crisis, the ECB acted as a purchaser of last resort from the outset (De Grauwe & Ji, 2022;Ehnts & Wray, 2024), mitigating the asymmetrical role of foreign investors. Therefore, this temporary shift in the institutional approach to government securities contributed to explaining the easing in foreign purchases asymmetries. ...
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This paper analyses the role of sovereign investor groups in shaping financial instability and asymmetries within the Eurozone and their interaction with its institutional framework. It proposes a framework to assess the impacts of government debt outflows on countries' financial fragility under varying scenarios, including different paces of Quantitative Tightening (QT) and evolving investor group dynamics. Our findings indicate that foreign investors play a potential asymmetrical role in the Eurozone, exhibiting destabilising behaviour towards peripheral government debt. This uneven role can be exacerbated by a market-based institutional approach to public debt or mitigated by appropriate support for these state liabilities. By combining the impacts of QT with the potential reemergence of foreign flow asymmetries in sovereign markets, our findings highlight that such dynamics could further deepen the Eurozone's core-periphery divide.
... In this way, the financial sector would discipline the government by setting interest rates on government debt instruments. Having tried this institutional approach for more than 20 years in the Euro Area (EA), it seems safe to say that it does not work (Ehnts and Wray, 2024). Governments forced into austerity have punished their population with unemployment, slower income growth and rising poverty rates. ...
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As we will argue in this chapter, the idea that a government can fund itself without a central bank is doubtful to begin with. It seems that there is no clarity regarding terms such as ‘funding’ or ‘financing’. In order to understand the issue of LOLR and DOLR more clearly, we discuss the creation of a monetary system from a logical perspective. We claim that the central bank is always the natural LOLR or DOLR for the government, since the central bank is the only currency issuer. The government would not transfer the creation of currency to an independent central bank without ensuring its own liquidity and solvency. Moreover, the government can always change the legal framework of its central bank. Knowing this, the central bank will not risk its formal independence and confront the government. We recognise that the creation of a central bank, just like the creation of money, is foremost a legal and therefore a political issue (Knapp, 1924). After a brief summary of the MMT perspective on the monetary system, we examine a Treasury and a central bank in a Wicksellian pure cash economy (Wicksell, 1898). Subsequently, we analyse a more realistic pure credit economy. We find that the usual textbook representation of public finance is only valid when the government transfers the creation of currency to a central bank completely, which is not allowed to act as a LOLR or a DOLR. However, as section five argues, this arrangement seems to describe parts of reality at best only in the EA from 1999 to 2011. We argue that the sovereign debt crisis in the EA has been self-inflicted and conclude that the EA needs to be reformed to become a stable currency area.
... Lavoie (2022) argues that the crisis was "essentially the consequence of flawed institutional arrangements," pointing to the lack of a federal government and the absence of outright public debt purchases by the ECB. According to proponents of MMT, the Eurozone's flaw lies in its members becoming users of an "external currency" without proper institutions to back government debt (Ehnts & Wray, 2024;Papadimitriou & Wray, 2012). ...
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This paper examines the financial mechanisms that reflect and entrench the financial subordination of the Eurozone periphery within the monetary union. It argues that the exacerbation of financial asymmetries during the debt crisis and their relative softening during the pandemic are closely linked to the evolving Eurozone approach to government securities. It proposes a new framework centred on what is here termed the "Eurozone's contradiction", a concept that encapsulates the potential tension between the uneven discipline of finance and the monetary union`s perpetuation. When this tension becomes unsustainable, institutional changes and shifts in economic policy are required to preserve the common currency area. These developments, in turn, influence regional government debt hierarchies and shape the variegated financial subordination of the Eurozone periphery.
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The concept of monetary sovereignty employed by Modern Monetary Theory has been criticised on many fronts. One of the most important criticisms points out that Modern Monetary Theorists (MMTers) ignore or underestimate problems arising from external constraints. Another important (and complementary) criticism is that MMTers focus only on purely macroeconomic aspects and ignore political and geopolitical issues. In this paper, we discuss these important criticisms and we conclude that, although the MMT concept of monetary sovereignty is useful and can be considered an analytical advance, it is incomplete and biased because it minimises macroeconomic problems arising from external constraints and because it does not take into account international political factors.
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This paper aims to investigate the relationship between external imbalances and poverty in the Eurozone. The former are registered through the Target2 (T2) settlement mechanism and can be assimilated into changes in official reserves to cover the balance of payments disequilibrium in a fixed exchange rate regime. The presence of T2 discrepancies has led to differences in interest rates and increased distances in general living conditions inside the Eurozone. An empirical investigation implemented in 11 Eurozone countries reveals that T2 is negatively correlated with poverty, therefore allowing for an interpretation that approximates balance of payment crisis models. Results that appear to be robust to several control variables suggest that the policy framework of the Eurozone—in the absence of a compensatory mechanism—should be revised towards centralised fiscal instruments and anti-speculative monetary interventions.
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In the November/December 2021 issue of Intereconomics, Françoise Drumetz and Christian Pfister examine Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) and approach it from the policy consequences that would follow. This paper is a reply to Drumetz and Pfister. It restates the core of MMT and offers some suggestions for central banks. Theories are explanations of what we see, and MMT describes money creation and destruction. Hence, MMT cannot be and is not a political manifesto. In contrast to most other theories of money, MMT is falsifiable in its core statements, which are based on a balance sheet approach to macroeconomics. Since many central banks already educate the public about the creation of modern money through bank lending, it would be most welcome if they would do the same for the creation of modern money through government spending. Here, MMT and central bankers can find common ground to move forward and leave the theory of loanable funds and that of the money multiplier behind.
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In this paper, we develop a Keynesian–structuralist perspective on the origins and implications of the currency hierarchy in the international monetary and financial system. We show that international asymmetry in monetary affairs results in structural implications for peripheral economies. Our main hypothesis is that the international asymmetry related to the currency hierarchy, amplified by financial globalization, imposes major constraints on the adoption of Keynesian policies in these economies. These vary over time and space and depend on certain structures, such as the specific global monetary regime, as well as on domestic institutions and policy variables. For this purpose, we first develop the concept of currency hierarchy and then discuss the structural policy space limitations for the countries at the bottom of this hierarchy. Finally, we provide some brief reflections on the challenges connected to climbing this hierarchy.
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The traditional endogenous money approach can be generalised substantially by including the insights of Modern Money Theory regarding the necessary coordination of fiscal and monetary policies. A monetarily sovereign government is composed of two entities involved in the issuance and redemption of government monetary instruments. As such, one should include the role of the Treasury in monetary policy and the role of the central bank in fiscal policy. The paper suggests a simple way to model that interaction, shows some of the theoretical insights that can be drawn from that interaction and illustrates the relevance of that interaction with the monetary and fiscal practices of the US Treasury and the Federal Reserve over the past century. Times of stress in the monetary system, such as the recent Great Recession, usually bring to light more forcefully this necessary interaction.
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Die Theorie von Geld und Kredit standen in den letzten Jahren so stark im Mittelpunkt wie lange nicht mehr. Das Zusammenspiel der Zentralbank, die Zentralbankgeld oder auch Reserven schöpft, mit den Geschäftsbanken, die ihrerseits Giralgeld oder auch Einlagen schöpfen, ist zentral für €-päische Themen rund um das Zahlungssystem TARGET2, quantitative easing, lender of last resort, LTROs, die Verzinsung der Staatsanleihen und die Zinssetzung der EZB mit den seit jüngstem negativen Einlagezinsen für die Geschäftsbanken. In dieser Veröffentlichung werden Geld und Kredit mithilfe einer bilanziellen Betrachtung erklärt. Es werden die sogenannten T-Konten, welche Forderungen und Verbindlichkeiten abbilden, für die wichtigsten Akteure erklärt. Wie schöpft eine Zentralbank Geld? Wie vergibt eine Geschäftsbank einen Kredit, und braucht sie dazu eine Ersparnis? Wie begibt der Staat eine Staatsanleihe, wo hat er sein Konto und was bedeutet das für die T-Konten der anderen Akteure? Die gewählte Methodologie ermöglicht ein Verständnis der wesentlichen bilanziellen Zusammenhänge einer Volkswirtschaft und bietet dadurch eine alternative Sicht auf die €-päischen Themen. So folgt auf die Vorstellung der modernen Geldtheorie ein kurzes makroökonomisches Modell, welches auf den geldtheoretischen Erkenntnissen beruht. Dieses wird in der Folge auf die Eurozone angewandt. Durch die Analyse wird deutlich, dass die Probleme mit der Staatsverschuldung nicht der Auslöser, sondern eine Folge der aktuellen Krise sind. Grundlegendes Problem für den Wirtschaftskreislauf sind die Spätfolgen der Immobilienkrisen in Spanien und Irland. Während vor Einführung des Euros weder Regierungen noch Zentralbanken in die Insolvenz gehen konnten, wurde dies durch die sogenannte "no bail-out"-Klausel aufgehoben. Nun entscheiden Finanzmärkte oder die Troika darüber, ob ein Haushalt der durch ein demokratisches Votum legitimierten Regierung eines Nationalstaats genehmigt wird oder nicht. Diese Entmündigung der Demokratie ist nicht nur ethisch fragwürdig, sondern auch makroökonomisch unsinnig. Im letzten Teil des Buches werden die möglichen Schritte diskutiert, um Europa wieder aus der Krise zu führen. Die nachfrageseitigen Probleme werden vor dem Hintergrund der Geldtheorie und des makroökonomischen Rahmens diskutiert und einige Lösungsvorschläge analysiert. Unabdingbar scheint die Einrichtung einer staatlichen Institution, welche die Länder oder Europa als ganzes wieder in die Lage versetzt, die staatlichen Ausgaben zu erhöhen. Auch wenn die EZB den Regierungen etwas Zeit verschafft hat, müssen wir schleunigst den Kreditkreislauf wieder in Gang bringen. Nur so können wir in Europa die Souveränität zurückgewinnen und einen großen Schritt in Richtung Beschäftigung, Wohlstand und Wachstum machen.
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actions generally abstracted from the Open Market Desk’s (hereafter, the Desk’s) daily actions in the federal funds market, concentrating instead upon the strategy involved in setting intermediate targets as in the monetary policy rule and measuring monetary pol- icy literatures. On the other hand, research on the daily federal funds market primarily examined banks as lenders and borrowers of overnight funds, while abstracting from the Desk’s interventions in the market (e.g., Ho and Saunders 1985; Spindt and Hoffmeister 1988; Lasser 1992; Griffiths and Winters 1995). During the mid to late 1990s, falling required reserves due to the proliferation of retail sweep accounts left banks at risk of overdrawing their reserve accounts during the course of routine settlement of electronic payments. The result was a substantially increased daily volatility in the federal funds rate that both complicated the implemen- tation of monetary,policy and provided impetus for new research on the supply and 851 JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC ISSUES
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The debates between the structuralists and horizontalists highlighted the fact that endogenous money proponents had a very different understanding of monetary operations than did neoclassical economists. Indeed, as Fullwiler (2003) reports, until recently, research among neoclassicals related to bank behavior in the U. S. federal funds market had little relation to research on the Fed’s behavior, and vice versa, aside from a few notable exceptions. This has all changed considerably since the late 1990s, as neoclassical researchers found several issues that required bringing the two together – such as concerns about policy options at the zero bound, retail sweep accounts, payments system crises, and increased use of non-central bank wholesale settlement options. Whereas a detailed understanding of monetary operations has been central to research in the endogenous money tradition for decades now, it is not a stretch to suggest that it is now also a well-established area of research within neoclassical monetary economics.There are sharp differences between the two approaches that nonetheless remain. Among neoclassicals, the literature on central bank operations is not integrated into models of financial asset pricing or into the so-called “new consensus” model of the economy. Though the latter assumes interest-rate targeting, new consensus models are concerned with the strategy of monetary policy, not the tactics or daily operations; though well-established as a research topic for journal publications, monetary policy implementation remains “a side issue” in neoclassical monetary theory graduate textbooks like Walsh (2003) (Bindseil 2004, 1). Further, neoclassicals still do not consider money to be endogenously created in the banking system, as Marc Lavoie repeatedly notes; indeed, as Charles Goodhart has argued in a series of recent papers, there is in fact no private banking system whatsoever in the new consensus model (e.g., Goodhart 2008a).This is disappointing, naturally, since the evidence published in the recent neoclassical literature on central bank operations has in fact been remarkably consistent with the endogenous money view of central bank operations. The horizontalist view that central banks only target interest rates directly (not reserve or monetary aggregates) and can do so as precisely as desired has been in particular repeatedly supported by this literature. While the relevant literature could fill several volumes, of special note here is the book by Ulrich Bindseil (2004), former Head of the ECB’s Liquidity Management Section, which describes in substantial detail the operations of the Fed, ECB, and Bank of England in a manner that very nearly resembles the horizontalist story.The purpose of this chapter is to describe ten general principles of modern central bank operations. These ten principles are not intended to be exhaustive or comprehensive; neither are the discussions of the individual principles necessarily exhaustive. Rather, these principles represent “what every economist should now be expected to know” given the large quantities of orthodox and heterodox research in this area and the empirical or anecdotal evidence contained in speeches and publications of central bank officials. As noted already, this research generally confirms the earlier points made by Moore (1988) and other authors associated in one way or another with the horizontalist literature
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There have been a number of estimates of the total amount of funding provided by the Federal Reserve to bail out the financial system. For example, Bloomberg recently claimed that the cumulative commitment by the Fed (this includes asset purchases plus lending) was 7.77trillion.AspartoftheFordFoundationprojectAResearchandPolicyDialogueProjectonImprovingGovernanceoftheGovernmentSafetyNetinFinancialCrisis,NicolaMatthewsandJamesFelkersonhaveundertakenanexaminationofthedataontheFedsbailoutofthefinancialsystemthemostcomprehensiveinvestigationoftherawdatatodate.Thisworkingpaperisthefirstinaseriesthatwillreporttheresultsofthisinvestigation.Theextraordinaryscopeandmagnitudeoftherecentfinancialcrisisof200709requiredanextraordinaryresponsebytheFedinthefulfillmentofitslenderoflastresortfunction.ThepurposeofthispaperistoprovideadescriptiveaccountoftheFedsresponsetotherecentfinancialcrisis.Itbeginswithabriefsummaryofthemethodology,thenoutlinestheunconventionalfacilitiesandprogramsaimedatstabilizingtheexistingfinancialstructure.ThepaperconcludeswithasummaryofthescopeandmagnitudeoftheFedscrisisresponse.Thebottomline:aFederalReservebailoutcommitmentinexcessof7.77 trillion. As part of the Ford Foundation project “A Research and Policy Dialogue Project on Improving Governance of the Government Safety Net in Financial Crisis,” Nicola Matthews and James Felkerson have undertaken an examination of the data on the Fed’s bailout of the financial system — the most comprehensive investigation of the raw data to date. This working paper is the first in a series that will report the results of this investigation. The extraordinary scope and magnitude of the recent financial crisis of 2007-09 required an extraordinary response by the Fed in the fulfillment of its lender-of-last-resort function. The purpose of this paper is to provide a descriptive account of the Fed’s response to the recent financial crisis. It begins with a brief summary of the methodology, then outlines the unconventional facilities and programs aimed at stabilizing the existing financial structure. The paper concludes with a summary of the scope and magnitude of the Fed’s crisis response. The bottom line: a Federal Reserve bailout commitment in excess of 29 trillion.
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The article discusses various issues related to money creation and the state. Chartalists believe that attempts at separating the central bank's and the treasury's functions is merely confused discussion. Indeed, as economist L. Wray clearly states in response to previous critiques, it should be obvious, but it usually does not appear to be so that central bank liabilities do not differ in any significant degree from treasury liabilities; in other words, they can treat both as essentially high powered money or liabilities of the state. In this sense, Wray proposes to simply consolidate the central bank and the treasury, calling the conglomerate the State, and combine treasury and central bank liabilities into a high-powered money or fiat money. This is precisely the crucial point that we have chosen to question here with reference to bookkeeping and central bank practices. In many countries law from directly financing state deficits has prohibited the central bank. Treasuries have to sell bonds to commercial banks, which in their turn may sell them to the central bank to obtain high-powered money.
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Consenso e contrassenso: por uma economia não dogmática
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Truger, A. 2016. 'The Golden Rule of Public Investment: A Necessary and Sufficient Reform of the EU Fiscal Framework?.' IMK Working Paper No. 168.
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Is Euroland the Next Argentina?' CFEPS Working Paper 23, Economic Democracy Initiative
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Wray, L. R. 2003. 'Is Euroland the Next Argentina?' CFEPS Working Paper 23, Economic Democracy Initiative. Accessed 9 November 2023. https://edi.bard.edu/research/notes/cfepswp-23-is-euroland-the-next-argentina-l-randall-wray
Central Bank Operation-the General Principles
  • S Fullwiler
  • Fullwiler S.