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Assessing intra and interannual variability of water quality in the Sundarban mangrove dominated estuarine ecosystem using remote sensing and hybrid machine learning models

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  • CSIR-National Institute of Oceanography Goa
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... Elevated concentrations of TDS and TSS near industrial zones and urbanized areas suggest considerable contributions from industrial effluents and urban runoff. This observation is consistent with previous research that has documented the adverse effects of industrial activities and urban development on water quality [10,46,47]. Rapid urbanization and industrial activities, including untreated sewage disposal, significantly deteriorate water quality, leading to increased turbidity [48]. ...
... Furthermore, the persistent higher turbidity levels observed near riverine and coastal regions reinforce [50] the impact of anthropogenic discharge, particularly through increased sedimentation and particulate matter load [51,52]. The salinity levels recorded in this study are comparable to those reported in mangrove ecosystems in the Mekong Delta (2-32 PPT) and the Ganges-Brahmaputra Estuary (5-28 PPT) [47,53]. However, turbidity and TSS levels in the Sundarbans show distinct seasonality and variability, with peak TSS values (up to 210 mg/L) exceeding those commonly reported in similar estuarine ecosystems, such as the Amazon Delta (50-150 mg/L) [54]. ...
... By integrating GEE and ML, the research processed extensive satellite imagery datasets, demonstrating the efficacy of these technologies in estimating water quality parameters such as TDS, TSS, turbidity, pH, SSS, and LST. This finding is consistent with prior studies that have successfully employed remote sensing and machine learning for environmental assessment [47,62,71]. ...
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This study presents a semi-automated approach for assessing water quality in the Sundarbans, a critical and vulnerable ecosystem, using machine learning (ML) models integrated with field and remotely-sensed data. Key water quality parameters—Sea Surface Temperature (SST), Total Suspended Solids (TSS), Turbidity, Salinity, and pH—were predicted through ML algorithms and interpolated using the Empirical Bayesian Kriging (EBK) model in ArcGIS Pro. The predictive framework leverages Google Earth Engine (GEE) and AutoML, utilizing deep learning libraries to create dynamic, adaptive models that enhance prediction accuracy. Comparative analyses showed that ML-based models effectively captured spatial and temporal variations, aligning closely with field measurements. This integration provides a more efficient alternative to traditional methods, which are resource-intensive and less practical for large-scale, remote areas. Our findings demonstrate that this semi-automated technique is a valuable tool for continuous water quality monitoring, particularly in ecologically sensitive areas with limited accessibility. The approach also offers significant applications for climate resilience and policy-making, as it enables timely identification of deteriorating water quality trends that may impact biodiversity and ecosystem health. However, the study acknowledges limitations, including the variability in data availability and the inherent uncertainties in ML predictions for dynamic water systems. Overall, this research contributes to the advancement of water quality monitoring techniques, supporting sustainable environmental management practices and the resilience of the Sundarbans against emerging climate challenges.
... Over the past decade, average peak temperatures have reached 35 °C. The summer season (or pre-monsoon season) is from about the middle of March to the middle of June, while the winter season (or post-monsoon season) is from mid-November to mid-February (Mondal et al., 2024a). The monsoon season -also called the southwest monsoon -usually begins in June and lasts until early October. ...
... ANN is a standard model that uses the brain's innate capacity for reading (Mondal et al., 2024a;Karmakar et al., 2024). It uses backward feedback to change the weights and impulses of each neuron in order to reduce the discrepancy between factual dimension and vaticination (Song et al., 2012). ...
... The different spectral variables that comprise the input subcaste are identified by a strong association between the Chl-a focus and the initial spectral bands, band mates, and spectral outgrowth. These four defunct layers provide a good mix between the complexity of Chl-a recoup and the speed with which software can calculate them (Mondal et al., 2024a;Karmakar et al., 2024). According to the input point dimension, the quantity of neurons equals the quantity of spectral input variables. ...
... More than 7 million people live in the coastal delta of Sundarbans and fishing, small-scale farming and tourism are their main sources of income. With the assistance of a massive amount of freshwater being discharged by the Ganges-Brahmaputra-Meghna river system into the region, the intertidal mangrove ecosystem is flourishing in this brackish aquatic environment (Mondal et al., 2023a). Rivers also bring in significant amounts of suspended sediment, nutrients, and other toxic contaminants and chemicals; some of them are trapped in the estuary by the intricate prop root systems of the mangroves as well as the complex circulation and mixing processes within the estuary. ...
... The study briefly overviews Sundarbans coastal habitat's nutrient makeup has evolved across time and space. The ML based Support Vector Machine (SVM) algorithm is used for assessing the spatio-temporal variations over a 20-year (2002-2021) duration (Mondal et al., 2023a). The Artificial Intelligence (AI) based models simplify complex datasets, make specific tasks easier to accomplish, and processes large datasets. ...
... It reduces artefacts and biases caused by residual glint, stray light, atmospheric correction errors, and white or spectrally-linear bias errors in Rrs. To achieve a seamless transition, the implemented algorithm adapt significantly and transformation between CI and OCx now happens at 0.15 CI 0.2 mg m − 3 (Mondal et al., 2023a). ...
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This study documents a novel method for tracking spatio-temporal variability of productivity-related elements, including particulate organic carbon (POC), particular inorganic carbon (PIC), chlorophyll-a (Chl-a), dissolved nitrate, total phosphate, and dissolved phosphate, in the Sundarbans coastal aquatic system over a period of twenty years (2002–2021). Machine learning (ML) algorithms were employed to compute all the parameters from optical remote sensing data. Input data were obtained from the MODIS multispectral imageries bands satellite data sets and data extraction and analysis were performed using SVM regression models. Moving average study of POC and Chl-a concentration along the coastal zone revealed shallow deltaic coagulation, eutrophication, microbial decomposition, and lysis-caused variation and deterioration. However, high ambient temperatures and organic waste decomposition increase dissolved phosphate in inland mangrove creeks before the monsoon. Elevated nutrient levels lead to a reduction in Chl-a and particulate organic carbon is highly correlated with Chl-a to the extent of 0.79 Especially in summer time nutrient loading from agriculture and urban runoff cause harmful algal blooms that destroy aquatic life and degrade ecosystem functions. Even though collecting samples from the field on a seasonal basis for monitoring water quality and aquatic productivity is the ideal approach, it is time-consuming and also uneconomical, given the remoteness of the expansive mangrove forest. This study demonstrates efficacy of cost-effective methods like utilizing satellite data and adopting ML techniques for continuous monitoring of Sundarbans deltaic coast for its water quality and aquatic health.
... Groundwater level [124,125], streamflow [126], surface water [127,128], water storage [129], sediment concentration [130], algal blooms [131], Secchi disk depth [132], sediment discharge [133], water quality , turbidity [159][160][161][162][163][164], evapotranspiration [165,166], flash flood water depth [167], inundation status [168], ocean surface CO2 [169] 50 ...
... Wildfire management Wildfire prediction [32, , wildfire monitoring [25,33,, wildfire recovery [216,217] 52 [75], soil erodibility [76][77][78][79], soil matric potential [80], soil mercury [81], soil moisture , soil nutrients [109][110][111], soil total nitrogen [112], soil respiration [113], soil stiffness [114], soil texture [115][116][117], soil types [118], soil organic matter [119][120][121][122], soil water content and evapotranspiration [123] 93 Hydrology and water resources Groundwater level [124,125], streamflow [126], surface water [127,128], water storage [129], sediment concentration [130], algal blooms [131], Secchi disk depth [132], sediment discharge [133], water quality , turbidity [159][160][161][162][163][164], evapotranspiration [165,166], flash flood water depth [167], inundation status [168], ocean surface CO 2 [169] 50 ...
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The application of machine learning (ML) and remote sensing (RS) in soil and water conservation has become a powerful tool. As analytical tools continue to advance, the variety of ML algorithms and RS sources has expanded, providing opportunities for more sophisticated analyses. At the same time, researchers are required to select appropriate technologies based on the research objectives, topic, and scope of the study area. In this paper, we present a comprehensive review of the application of ML algorithms and RS that has been implemented to advance research in soil and water conservation. The key contribution of this review paper is that it provides an overview of current research areas within soil and water conservation and their effectiveness in improving prediction accuracy and resource management in categorized subfields, including soil properties, hydrology and water resources, and wildfire management. We also highlight challenges and future directions based on limitations of ML and RS applications in soil and water conservation. This review aims to serve as a reference for researchers and decision-makers by offering insights into the effectiveness of ML and RS applications in the fields of soil and water conservation.
... Creation of scientifically sound sustainable development plans may benefit from an analysis of changes in habitat quality over time and space for a particular area of interest, as well as an understanding of the key variables, driving processes, and patterns of their spatial distribution. For maintaining ecological equilibrium and protecting biodiversity, this study approach is crucial Mondal et al., 2024;Wu et al., 2015). ...
... The study investigates environmental quality and health of mangrove forests of western Sundarbans delta using InVEST and ANN models. Study also evaluates the contribution of various stressors, particularly anthropogenic impacts, on the degradation of the mangrove vegetation in this lowlying protected habitat Mondal et al., 2024). The quality of the Sundarban mangrove environment has significantly changed, according to the study's analysis. ...
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The startling rate of biodiversity loss, particularly in ecologically delicate coastal environments, is a major environmental concern facing the globe today. As sustainable exploitation of natural resources, including timber and other forest products from tropical rainforests and mangrove habitats, is crucial this research will examine the factors and processes that degrade mangrove habitats -in terms of their health and resilience -and suggest ways to reduce human impact. The study evaluates the evolution of Sundarbans—the largest contiguous mangrove forest in the world—coastal habitat quality from 2017 to 2022 using the InVEST and machine learning-based ANN model. The mangrove habitat sustained heavy destruction, including structural damage from the landfall of cyclone Amphan in May 2020. Spatial auto-correlation method and Geotagging were employed for location-dependent habitat quality analysis. Study demonstrates that habitat quality and degradation vary significantly across the Sundarbans mangrove forest provinces, particularly for habitat quality spatial distribution and their degradation. Important determinants for habitat quality are per capita water usage, night-time light index (proxy for population density), forest area, and prevalence of fragmented and degrading forest area. All factor pairings are bifactor or non-linear enhanced, showing that impact of two variables combined is more powerful than one alone in determining ecosystem quality and degeneration. In particular, forest land coverage and per capita water consumption have strong correlations with the habitat quality in the region. Geographical disparity of habitat quality and its probable causes suggests an urgent need for system-wide approach in implementing conservation and restoration measures for preserving Sundarbans mangroves, which spread across the international boundary between India and Bangladesh.
... Although these methods provide insights into temporal variations, they are time consuming and labor-intensive (Guo et al., 2021). Satellite technology enable large-scale, periodic monitoring of Chl-a by establishing a relationship between Chl-a concentration and remote sensing reflectance (Rrs) (Palmer, et al., 2015;Liu et al., 2021;Mondal et al., 2024). Over the past few decades, numerous algorithms have been developed to estimate Chla concentration. ...
... Satellite-based monitoring techniques are costeffective and provide comprehensive information on water quality conditions across extensive spatial and temporal scales (Tian et al., 2024). Consequently, remote sensing technology has long been an effective approach for estimating Chl-a concentrations in both coastal and inland waters (Bar et al., 2023;Mondal et al., 2024b). ...
Article
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The development of remote sensing algorithms has traditionally relied on satellite spectra or simulated equivalents derived from in-situ spectra to monitor inland water quality. However, such equivalent spectra often result in significant errors when retrieving chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) concentrations due to discrepancies between in-situ and satellite-derived spectra. In this research, the authors innovatively adjusted the red-light component of in-situ spectra for application in two inland waters, Dongzhang Reservoir and Jie Zhukou Reservoir. Sentinel-2 multispectral images (MSI), standard equivalent spectra (ES), and modified equivalent spectra (MES) were utilized as input data to assess models' effectiveness in terms of accuracy, robustness, and generalizability. The research applied Chl-a retrieval models including deep neural networks (DNN), extreme gradient boosting (XGB), and conventional statistical approaches with various spectral indices, such as the red-NIR method, the three-band method, and the normalized difference chlorophyll index (NDCI). The results revealed that the MES-based model achieved best results in Chl-a retrieval (RMSE = 2.04 mg/m3) comparable to MSI-based model (RMSE = 2.07 mg/m3) and ES-based model (RMSE = 7.71 mg/m3). Moreover, MES-based model behaved robustness and precision within selected water bodies and temporal periods. Notably, the integration of the red-NIR method with DNN was particularly effective in retrieving Chl-a with higher accuracy, robustness, and generalizability. Enhancement method to the equivalent spectra methodology provided by the research have reduced retrieval errors in retrieving Chl-a, and providing a valuable reference for future model development in this domain.
... Although this strategy allows for a large spatial resolution and the monitoring of big water bodies, it might not be as accurate due to factors such as cloud coverage, atmospheric conditions, or surface reflection. Also, remote sensing data typically need to process the sensed spectral information by way of complex algorithms in order that water quality parameters can be derived secondarily, making it susceptible to output errors and decreasing accuracies [11,12]. Figure 1 shows the benefits of water quality with remote sensing. ...
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Water quality is a pivotal factor for maintaining human and ecological health. Traditional water quality assessments often depend on ground sampling and lab tests, which are costly, slow, and constrained by geographic limitations. The emergence of remote sensing technologies now allows for extensive and timely monitoring of water quality across vast regions. This study introduces an innovative approach that utilizes remote sensing data alongside a hybrid Generative Adversarial Network-Long Short-Term Memory (GAN-LSTM) model to transform the monitoring of water quality, focusing on pollution and sanitation management. We employed a comprehensive dataset from Kaggle, which includes 3276 data points and 10 essential water quality indicators, integrated with historical remote sensing data. The GAN model is designed to produce realistic synthetic datasets, which are then used by the LSTM model to predict water quality trends with high accuracy. The methodology achieved notable results, with an accuracy of 98%, precision of 97%, recall of 99%, and an F1-score of 98%. This approach leverages cutting-edge modeling techniques and extensive datasets to significantly improve the monitoring and management of water quality.
... There has been a growing interest in using machine-learning models to assess water quality, especially, in the recent years (Mondal et al., 2024). These models have the potential to detect changes quickly and effectively in water quality conditions (Huan and Liu, 2024). ...
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The Sundarbans coastal delta, spread across the international boundary between Bangladesh and India, is a globally recognized priority for conserving biodiversity. This region is particularly vulnerable to frequent flooding and the degradation of its fragile wetland environment, with an average elevation of just 2 m above sea level. The extent of this potential loss can be predicted with acceptable confidence since the average sea level is expected to increase 2 m globally by 2100, compared to the baseline period (2022). We investigated the possible impacts of three sea-level rise (SLR) scenarios on the Sundarbans using field and remote measurements, simulation modelling, and geographic information systems. Hindcast’s modelling efforts using the Sea Level Affecting Marshes Model (SLAMM) and machine learning (ML) algorithms accurate predictions of reported area declines during the 1990–2022 period. The input characteristics applied were the National Wetland Inventory (NWI) classifications, the slope of each cell, and the Digital Elevation Map (DEM). Next, using ML approaches, NWI categories were developed. We examined the effects of varying sea levels at 0.49 m in 2022, 0.79 m in 2050, 1.52 m in 2075, and 2 m in 2100, considering different wetland types, marsh accretion, wave erosion, and changes in surface elevation. According to estimates, the mangrove wetland area will decrease by ~ 46 km² between 2022 and 2050 under the 1.5-m and 1-m SLR scenarios. The decline in mangrove area by 2100 is estimated to be 81 km², 111 km², and 583 km² under the 1-m, 1.5-m, and 2-m SLR scenarios, respectively. Our results suggest that in a 1-m inundation scenario, approximately 325.36 km² of land may be submerged, whereas, for a 2-m inundation, this area increases substantially to 874.49 km², more than 2.5 times the area impacted by the 1-m scenario. Both scenarios resulted in significant land loss in the Sundarbans. Severe adverse effects from erosion and floods are expected in the coastal zone, including decreased capacity to sequester carbon gases. This study will help coastal management organizations estimate the impacts of SLR and pinpoint places that need significant mitigating efforts.
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The application of machine learning (ML) and remote sensing (RS) in soil and water conserva-tion has become a powerful tool. As analytical tools continue to advance, the variety of ML al-gorithms and RS sources has expanded, providing opportunities for more sophisticated analyses. At the same time, researchers are required to select appropriate technologies based on research objectives, topic, and scope of the study area. In this paper, we present a comprehensive review on the application of ML algorithms and RS that has been implemented to advance research in soil and water conservation. The key contribution of this review paper is that it provides an overview of current research areas within soil and water conservation and their effectiveness in improving prediction accuracy and resource management in categorized subfields, including biomass-vegetation, soil properties, hydrology and water resources, and wildfire management. We also highlight challenges and future directions based on limitations of ML and RS applica-tions in soil and water conservation. This review aims to serve as a reference for researchers and decision-makers by offering insights into the effectiveness of ML and RS applications in the field of soil and water conservation.
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This paper demonstrates the application of data mining techniques to predict river water quality index. The usefulness of these techniques lies in the automated extraction of novel knowledge from the data to improve decision-making. The popular classification techniques, namely k-nearest neighbor, decision trees, Naive Bayes, artificial neural networks, rule-based and support vector machines were used to develop the predictive environment to classify water quality into understandable terms based on the Overall Index of Pollution. Experimentation was conducted on two types of data sets: synthetic and real. A repeated k-fold cross-validation procedure was followed to design the learning and testing frameworks of the predictive environment. Based on the validation results, it was found that the error rate in defining the true water quality class was 20 and 28%, 11 and 24%, 1 and 38% and 10 and 20% for the k-nearest neighbor, Naive Bayes, artificial neural network and rule-based classifiers for synthetic and real data sets, respectively. The decision tree and support vector machines classifiers were found to be the best predictive models with 0% error rates during automated extraction of the water quality class. This study reveals that data mining techniques have the potential to quickly predict water quality class, provided data given are a true representation of the domain knowledge.
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The study was carried out to assess some physico-chemical water quality parameters and pollution scenario of the Ichamati river. Water samples were collected from nine different selected stations at origin of the river Majhdia to Taki end portion of the Ichamati river during the pre-monsoon, monsoon and post-monsoon periods. A seasonal variation in these parameters was observed throughout the study period and monthly comparisons were made as monsoon, pre-monsoon and post-monsoon. The results of the present investigation was undertaken to asses seasonal and spatial variation in pH, Electrical Conductivity, Turbidity, Salinity, Chlorophyll, DO and Water Temperature are compared with literature values and investigation reveals that there is a fluctuation in the physico-chemical characters of the water, this will be due to ebb and flow and change in the temperature and salinity as season changes. All parameters except turbidity and conductivity have shown high concentration in pre-monsoonmonsoon and post-monsoon, overall the concentration of water quality parameters were governed by flushing of rainfall, river water flow, sea water intrusion runoff from agricultural fields. Turbidity content in the study area was higher because the Ichamati river is dynamic zone of lower stretch. This river only depends on upper stretch rainy season rain water; no tidal fluctuation but lower stretch of the river is high tidal fluctuation the salinity is must high then upper stretch the value of Salinity 3–8.5 ppm that the parallely fluctuation the huge amount of sediment continuing; the turbidity is very high 600–700 NTU. KeywordsSeasonal variation� Pre-monsoon� Pollution� Water quality parameters and post-season
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The study aims to assess variations in spatio-temporal characteristics of water quality parameters from three tropical estuaries, namely Muri-Ganga, Saptamukhi, and Hooghly, in the western portion of the Indian Sundarbans. Reliable retrieval of near-surface concentration of water quality parameters such as Chlorophyll-a, SST & TSM from diverse aquatic ecosystems with broad ranges of tropical requirements has always remained a complex issue. In this study, application of Case 2 Regional Colour Correction (C2RCC) processor has been tested for its accuracy across different bio-optical regimes in both inland and coastal waters. Satellite images for the same period were also collected and analysed using the C2RCC processing sequence to retrieve parameters like the depth of water, surface reflectance, water temperature, inherent optical properties (IOPs), chlorophyll-a, salinity, total suspended matter (TSM), etc., using the SNAP software. In situ sampling from specific locations within these estuaries and water quality analysis were conducted for the period 2017–2019. The OLCI retrieved datasets were compared and corroborated with field survey datasets. It was observed that the highest amount of TSM was recorded at Diamond Harbour during the 2018 pre-monsoon season (301.40 mg/L field-based value and 308.54 mg/L estimated value). Similarly, chlorophyll-a had higher concentrations throughout the monsoon season (3.03 mg m− 3, (field survey), and 2.96 mg m− 3, (estimated) at Fraserganj and Sagar south points. A very good correlation was observed for all seasons for Chl-a (r = 0.829) and TSM (r = 0.924) between the OLCI data and in situ measurements. Higher correlation and significant ‘r’ values highlight the importance of having both field-based as well as remotely-sensed information in understanding any dynamic system in a sustained manner. Results also confirm that the water quality model using OLCI Chl-a and TSM products outperforms conventional techniques. The study demonstrates the efficacy of using Sentinel 3 OCLI data for shallow marine and estuarine remote sensing applications, especially for monitoring TSM and Chl-a concentrations.
Article
Mapping the changes in the deltaic-coastal zone under changing hydrodynamic conditions is crucial for developing a concise picture of coastal vulnerability. The present study provides a comprehensive concept of changing scenarios of rivers in the world's largest delta, Sundarban, using a variety of remotely sensed data and measurements, and relating these changes to hydrodynamic conditions. Bathymetric changes have also been estimated using Landsat imageries, calibrated with bathymetric chart data. We document a substantial dynamic variation between western and eastern sections of the Sundarban tidal rivers, as well as between the northern and southern parts. Banks adjoining the Saptamukhi and Thakuran rivers in the west have accreted by +43.48 km² and +6.13 km² respectively. Net change in the eastern rivers like Matla, Gosaba, and Hariabhanga river systems shows a loss of −51.54 km², –13.92 km², and –13.82 km², respectively, over the last century. Erosion rates have decreased from the southern seafront zone to the northern interior parts due to the low wave exposure, and high tidal range. The accretion rate has increased on the same ground. The depth of these rivers has also changed significantly. For instance, the depth of most sections along the Thakuran river has increased from 5-7 m to about 7–10 m during the period 1987–2016.
Article
Delta shapes are governed by relative dominance of wave, tidal, and fluvial processes, while their coastline changes primarily depend on activation and abandonment of distributary channels. The partly-reclaimed Sundarban Mangrove Wetlands occupy the fluvially abandoned western part of the macro-mesotidal Lower Ganga–Brahmaputra–Meghna Delta (GBMD) in India and Bangladesh. To ascertain the evolution of the planform of this 15,500-km² region over a century, maps and images pertaining to 1904–24 (Survey of India topographical maps), 1967 (Corona space photographs), 2001 (IRS-1D LISS-3 + Pan merged images), and 2015–16 (Resourcesat-2 LISS-4 fmx images) were digitally compared for documenting the changes in the areas of ~250 mangrove-covered and reclaimed tidal islands above the spring high water level. Area change of the individual islands was also studied based on their relative north–south and west–east positions. The results indicated that while erosion of the estuary margins and the sea facing coastline—up to 40 m/yr—was continuing for decades in the southern islands, intervening channels between the northern islands were getting silted up, especially in the western sector, resulting in land gain. Area change in the central sector mostly tended to be small and erosional. Overall, the total island area & counts changed from 11,903 km² & 253 (1904–24), respectively, through 11,663 km² & 250 (1967), 11,506 km² & 244 (2001), and 11,455 km² & 251 (2015–16). The reduction rate of area, at −4.46 km²/yr, remained noticeably similar across all intervals of mapping / imaging years and projects that the region will lose 3.4 % of its present extent by 2100 if the observed tendencies continue. The trend of area reduction was 2.55-times higher in the western (Indian) segment of the region, than the eastern (Bangladeshi) section. At the level of individual islands, the trends of area change were classified into nine types involving linear and non-linear changes, with dominance of continuous (post-2001) erosion in 48.3 % (68.9 %) of the islands. Conversely, continuous (post-2001) accretion dominates in 15.8% (31.1%) of the islands. The retrogradation of the southern Sundarban can be ascribed to sediment starvation of the western GBMD due to abandonment of its deltaic distributaries and shelf bypassing of sediments through the Swatch of No Ground submarine canyon. On the other hand, the accretion of the northern interior areas, especially in the west, was mostly related to sediment reworking in a floodtide dominated environment, intervened by reclamation efforts. Factors like relative sea level rise, locational shifts in landfalls of cyclonic storms, and reclamation-related deforestation had little detectable influence on island area changes. As the observed tendencies of area change are likely to continue, planning for the region must integrate the transformations into management and development initiatives.
Article
Monitoring water quality is essential for protecting human health and the environment and controlling water quality. Artificial Intelligence (AI) offers significant opportunities to help improve the classification and prediction of water quality (WQ). In this study, various AI algorithms are assessed to handle WQ data collected over an extended period and develop a dependable approach for forecasting water quality as accurately as possible. Specifically, various machine learning classifiers and their stacking ensemble models were used to classify the WQ data via the Water Quality Index (WQI). The studied classifiers included Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest (RF), Logistic Regression (LR), Decision Tree (DT), CATBoost, XGBoost, and Multilayer Perceptron (MLP). The dataset used in the study included 1679 samples and their meta-data collected over nine years. In addition, precision-recall curves and Receiver Operating Characteristic curves (ROC) were used to assess the performance of the various classifiers. The findings revealed that the CATBoost model offered the most accurate classifier with a percentage of 94.51. Moreover, after applying stacking ensemble models with all classifiers, accuracy reached 100% in various Meta-classifiers. Furthermore, the CATBoost achieved the highest accuracy as a primary gradient boosting algorithm and a meta classifier. Therefore, the boosting algorithm is proposed as a reliable approach for the WQ classification. The analysis presented in this article presents a framework that can support the efforts of researchers working toward water quality improvement using artificial intelligence.
Chapter
The sea level (SL) at Sundarbans started rising at the onset of the Holocene era, then gradually slowed down at 7,000 years before the present (BP), and then it nearly stabilized at 2,000~3,000yr BP. There was a steady increase in SLR by 1.7 mm yr‐1 throughout the 19th century, but it escalated to 3mm yr‐1 during the final decade of the 20th century (4th IPCC). From 1990 to 2019, thermal expansion of seawater and melting of land ice contributed to about half of the SLR. Average rate of SLR was estimated to vary from 1.4 to 2 mm yr‐1 during the last century. Our estimation, however, is about 4 mm yr‐1 up to the year 2090 after considering the future scenarios. Using tidal gauge data, we have found higher rate of SLR in the study area compared to worldwide trends. On analyzing temporal Landsat images, it was found that the mangroves covered about 1599.9 sq. km in the year 1990 and 1582.4 sq. km in the year 2019. Thus a significant amount (8.5 sq. km) of mangrove area has been lost during the study period. The results point out that SLR, combined with anthropogenic development, has caused the forests' depletion.
Article
The current calculations of water quality index (WQI) were sometimes can be very complex and time-consuming which involves sub-index calculation like BOD and COD, however with the support vector machine (SVM) and least squares support vector machine (LS-SVM) models, the WQI can be predicted immediately using directly measured physical data by using the same predictors used in the numerical approach without any sub-index calculation. There were three main parameters that control the performance of the SVM model however only the type of kernel function was investigated, they were linear, radial basis function (RBF) and polynomial kernel functions. The results of the model were then analysed by using sum squares error (SSE), mean of sum squares error (MSSE) and coefficient of determination (R²). It was found that the best kernel function for the SVM model was polynomial kernel function with R² of 0.8796. Furthermore, the LS-SVM model that trained with correct predictors had higher accuracy with R² of 0.9227 as compared with SVM model that trained with all the predictors with R² of 0.9184. The SSE and MSSE are 74.78 and 1.5594, 1.6454 for LS-SVM and SVM respectively.
Article
This study aims to analyse the shoreline oscillations of three estuarine Islands in Sundarban delta and its impact on mangrove forests around the Islands. Six multi-temporal Landsat images spanning 42 years (1975–2017) have been used in the study. Band ratio was computed to discriminate the water line from the land, which was later digitized. Digital shoreline analysis system (DSAS) was employed for estimation and analysis of the shorelines changes by End point rate (EPR) model and Linear regression rate (LRR) model after laying transects offshore of the baseline. Sea level and topography of the islands have also been analyzed. To assess the mangrove health, time series Normalized Differential Vegetation Index (NDVI) analysis has been performed using the Mann Kendall Tau statistics and Sen’s slope. Mangrove degradation maps were produced from the data and combined with evidences collected from field works. The results point to a very dynamic shoreline ensuing in erosion of mangrove forests while some areas do show encouraging trends due to sustained accretion especially in the southern and eastern parts. Overall erosion is higher than accretion in the Islands. Results show that NDVI has been decreasing along patches that are near to erosion hotspots irrespective of climatic trends. Thus it can be concluded that mangrove forests are under severe stress due to shoreline ingression and sea level rise and not climatic alterations. Going forward this work could provide significant information on the nature of shoreline changes and could assist in sustainable development for Sundarban biodiversity niche management
Article
Water quality has a crucial impact on human health; therefore, water quality index modeling is one of the challenging issues in the water sector. The accurate prediction of water quality index is an essential requisite for water quality management, human health, public consumption, and domestic uses. A comprehensive review as an initial attempt is conducted on existing solutions through data-driven models. In addition, the ensemble Kalman filter is found to be a suitable data assimilation method, which is successfully applied in hydrological variables modeling and other complexes, nonlinear, and chaotic problems. In this study, a new application of ensemble Kalman filter-artificial neural network is proposed to predict water quality index using physicochemical parameters for two commonly pollutant rivers, namely Klang and Langat, in Malaysia. As a further attempt, in order to improve the models’ performance, a new preprocessing technique is adopted as the newly constructed assimilated model. The results confirm that ensemble hybrid based intrinsic time-scale decomposition has reduced root mean square error by 24 % for Klang and 34 % for Langat, respectively, compared with the intrinsic time-scale decomposition-conventional neural network model. Overall, the developed assimilated methodology shows the robustness of the proposed ensemble hybrid model in analyzing water quality index over monthly horizons that experts could evaluate the water quality of rivers more efficiently.
Article
Clean and safe groundwater is the basic guarantee for social and human sustainable development. With the increasing groundwater pollution, it is essential to characterize hydrogeochemistry and assess groundwater quality accurately for water supply purpose. In this study, investigation of groundwater was conducted in the urban area of Xi’an, which has a glorious city history more than 3100 years. 97 groundwater samples were collected from domestic tube wells for physical and chemical analysis. Results showed that groundwater in the study area was predominantly the HCO3-Ca and HCO3-Ca·Mg type, which were controlled by multiple processes of water-rock interaction, evaporation, cation exchange etc. Some samples fall in Zone 4 (mixed type) and Zone 2 (SO4-Na type) in Piper diagram, indicating the complex influence of both rock-water interactions and anthropogenic activities. To assess groundwater quality accurately, an innovative integrated-weight water quality index (IWQI) was proposed by combining objective and subjective weights through additive model. The calculated weights showed that integrated weights balanced the relationship between subjective expertise about impacts of chemical components on human health risk and objective entropy information of ion concentration. The high integrated weight for F⁻ (0.237), NO2-N (0.104) and HCO3⁻ (0.103) indicated their significant influences on groundwater quality. According to the IWQI, overall situation of groundwater in the study area was described as good, while only 9.4% of groundwater samples was of medium to poor quality and unsuitable for drinking. Investigation and historical documents data showed that this poor groundwater quality in the city centre can be attributed to the low terrain, special characteristics of loess deposit, modern pollution in recent decades and the migration of ancient pollutants over one millennia. The sensitive analysis of IWQI indicated the innovative IWQI could describe the overall water quality reliably, stably and correctly, and have the potential suitability for extensive application.
Article
River water quality assessment is one of the most important tasks to enhance water resources management plans. A water quality index (WQI) considers several water quality variables simultaneously. Traditionally WQI calculations consume time and are often fraught with errors during derivations of sub-indices. In this study, 4 standalone (random forest (RF), M5P, random tree (RT), and reduced error pruning tree (REPT)) and 12 hybrid data-mining algorithms (combinations of standalones with bagging (BA), CV parameter selection (CVPS) and randomizable filtered classification (RFC)) were used to create Iran WQI (IRWQIsc) predictions. Six years (2012 to 2018) of monthly data from two water quality monitoring stations within the Talar catchment were compiled. Using Pearson correlation coefficients, 10 different input combinations were constructed. The data were divided into two groups (ratio 70:30) for model building (training dataset) and model validation (testing dataset) using a 10-fold cross-validation technique. The models were evaluated using several statistical and visual evaluation metrics. Result show that fecal coliform (FC) and total solids (TS) had the greatest and least effect on the prediction of IRWQIsc. The best input combinations varied among the algorithms; generally variables with very low correlations displayed weaker performance. Hybrid algorithms improved the prediction power of several of the standalone models, but not all. Hybrid BA-RT outperformed the other models (R² = 0.941, RMSE = 2.71, MAE = 1.87, NSE = 0.941, PBIAS = 0.500). PBIAS indicated that all algorithms, with the exceptions of RT, BA-RT and CVPS-REPT, overestimated WQI values.
Chapter
Seawater quality status of shore and offshore areas of four selected locations (Visakhapatnam, Kakinada, Ennore, and Pondicherry) along the east coast of India were studied based on the analysis of various water quality parameters (Temperature, pH, Dissolved Oxygen, Biological Oxygen Demand, Suspended Sediment Concentration, Nitrate, Phosphate, and Fecal Coliforms collected during 1993–2014 under the COMAPS program of ICMAM-PD, Ministry of Earth Sciences, Govt. of India. The National Sanitation Foundation Water Quality Index was used to estimate the indices for different seasons. The water quality parameters have strong seasonal and spatial variability along the coast. Higher concentration of BOD and SSC toward shore waters and lower concentration toward offshore is noticed. In Visakhapatnam and Kakinada, the nitrate and phosphate concentration was comparatively higher than Ennore and Pondicherry. The Fecal Coliform counts in the shore waters were significantly high for all the four locations. Computation of Water Quality Index based on different water quality parameters reveals that the water quality along these sites varied from ‘medium’ to ‘good’ depending on the location and the season. The analysis of the data clearly emphasize the need for continuous monitoring of these water quality parameters to maintain and preserve the water quality as well as the related coastal ecosystem productivity of the Indian coast. Further, comprehensive studies are required for the Indian coastal water to determine the relative weightages of various water quality parameters and to develop an optimum WQI index methodology.
Article
The present study investigates the impact of monsoon on meiofaunal and free-living nematode communities of the Sundarban estuarine system (SES) both from taxonomic and functional point of view. In 2013, SES experienced an unusual rainfall event followed by cloud burst event at upper Himalayan regime. Average meiobenthic abundance declined considerably in the study area from early phase of monsoon (EM) (699 ± 1569.4 ind. 10 cm−2) to later one (LM) (437 ± 949.9 ind. 10 cm−2) probably due to high annual rainfall which completely flushed the estuary. Free-living marine nematodes were the dominant group among all other meiobenthic taxa in both phases of monsoon. Nematode community was made up of 49 genera in 22 families. Comesomatidae, Chromadoridae, Linhomoeidae and Xylidae were the richest and most abundant families. During both phases of monsoon, stations, which were represented by fine sediments and high amount of organic carbon, harbored higher meiofaunal densities and nematode diversity with a strong dominance of 1B and 2B trophic guilds of nematodes. Different feeding guilds of nematode would be able to reveal anthropogenic-induced stress, which could be useful in assessing ecological quality of estuarine ecosystems. The present study indicates that climate change mediated unusual monsoonal precipitation may notoriously affect the meiobenthic assemblages in tropical estuaries like SES. Thus, this study could be an important first stepping stone for monitoring the future environmental impact on meiobenthic community in the largest mangrove region of the world.
Article
The spatial and seasonal distribution of trace elements (TEs) (n = 16) in surficial sediment were examined along the Hooghly River Estuary (~ 175 km), India. A synchronous elevation of majority of TEs concentration (mg kg− 1) was encountered during monsoon with the following descending order: Al (67070); Fe (31300); Cd (5.73); Cr (71.17); Cu (29.09); Mn (658.74); Ni (35.89). An overall low and homogeneous concentration of total Hg (THg = 17.85 ± 4.98 ng g− 1) was recorded in which methyl mercury (MeHg) shared minor fraction (8–31%) of the THg. Sediment pollution indices, viz. geo-accumulation index (Igeo) and enrichment factor (EF) for Cd (Igeo = 1.92–3.67; EF = 13.83–31.17) and Ba (Igeo = 0.79–5.03; EF = 5.79–108.94) suggested high contamination from anthropogenic sources. From factor analysis it was inferred that TEs primarily originated from lithogenic sources. This study would provide the latest benchmark of TE pollution along with the first record of MeHg in this fluvial system which recommends reliable monitoring to safeguard geochemical health of this stressed environment.
Article
Observations were carried out along the western coastal Bay of Bengal, to examine the physical, chemical and biological parameters during the summer monsoon particularly when the rivers of India are in flood condition and discharge large quantities of fresh water into the Bay of Bengal. River discharge has a significant impact on plankton biomass in the coastal Bay of Bengal. High concentrations of nutrients were observed at the Southern coastal Bay of Bengal (SCB), which were associated with high suspended matter (SPM) that limits the phytoplankton biomass (Chl-a). In contrast, the Northern coastal Bay of Bengal (NCB) was characterized by low nutrients and SPM coupled with higher phytoplankton biomass and zooplankton abundance. Therefore primary production in the coastal Bay of Bengal appears to be controlled by light availability in the water column more so than by nutrients, particularly during the peak river discharge. Relatively higher zooplankton biomass and abundance have been found in NCB than in SCB. Zooplankton biomass showed a strong linear relationship with phytoplankton biomass in NCB. On the other hand, a strong linear relationship was observed with particulate organic carbon (POC) in the SCB.
Article
High resolution measurements were carried out to understand the short-term (<1 h) variability of surface water quality parameters in mangrove-dominated Sundarban Estuarine System of West Bengal, India during flood phases of spring-neap tidal cycle in a peak monsoon season August 2014. We observed that tidal propagation of both phases strongly influenced the water quality properties. During spring tide salinity, DO, pH, nitrate, phosphate, silicate, chlorophyll a and phaeopigments concentration exhibited increasing trends; whereas at neap tide nitrate, ammonia and chlorophyll a showed decreasing trends. Average nutrient concentrations were much higher during neap tide than spring tide. All the measured water quality parameters varied in every 15-min interval influenced by the tidal current, mangrove litter fall, re-suspension of bottom sediment and river runoff. The effect of tidal amplitude was observed to be the important factor in determining the variability in most of the water quality parameters.
Article
Sagar coastline is a major attraction site for tourist and also source of income for the local peoples. However shoreline has been changing due to erosion. The shoreline position is difficult to predict but the trend of erosion or accretion can be determinate by statistical techniques. The study aims to assess the shoreline changes and prediction in Sagar Island, a delta of Ganges, situated in West Bengal, India. This study sought to find the trend of shoreline changes and factors. Shoreline can be detected by using PCA and non-directional edge techniques from Landsat images. The shoreline mapping of Sagar Island during (1975–2015) using geospatial techniques. The present study focuses the shoreline change and in future prediction from satellite derived multi-temporal Landsat MSS, Landsat TM, Landsat ETM+, Landsat OLI data using GIS; it is used to determinate or to estimate the change rate of shoreline in Sagar Island by End Point Rate, and Linear Regression models.
Article
This paper proposes a method for the real-time prediction of water quality index by excluding the biological oxygen demand and chemical oxygen demand, which are not measured in real-time, from the model inputs. In this study, feedforward artificial neural networks are used to model the water quality index in Perak River Basin Malaysia due to its capability in modelling nonlinear systems. The results show that the developed single feed forward neural network model can predict water quality index very well with the coefficient of determination R² and mean squared error (MSE) of 0.9090 and 0.1740 on the unseen validation data respectively. In addition to that, the aggregation of multiple neural networks in predicting the water quality index further improves the prediction performance on the unseen validation data. Forward selection and backward elimination selective combination methods are used to combine multiple neural networks and both methods leads to 6 and 5 networks being combined with R² and MSE of 0.9340, 0.9270 and 0.1156, 0.1256 respectively. It is clearly shown that combining multiple neural networks does improve the performance for water quality index prediction.
Conference Paper
The deteriorating quality of natural water resources like lakes, streams and estuaries, is one of the direst and most worrisome issues faced by humanity. The effects of un-clean water are far-reaching, impacting every aspect of life. Therefore, management of water resources is very crucial in order to optimize the quality of water. The effects of water contamination can be tackled efficiently if data is analyzed and water quality is predicted beforehand. This issue has been addressed in many previous researches, however, more work needs to be done in terms of effectiveness, reliability, accuracy as well as usability of the current water quality management methodologies. The goal of this study is to develop a water quality prediction model with the help of water quality factors using Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and time-series analysis. This research uses the water quality historical data of the year of 2014, with 6-minutes time interval. Data is obtained from the United States Geological Survey (USGS) online resource called National Water Information System (NWIS). For this paper, the data includes the measurements of 4 parameters which affect and influence water quality. For the purpose of evaluating the performance of model, the performance evaluation measures used are Mean-Squared Error (MSE), Root Mean-Squared Error (RMSE) and Regression Analysis. Previous works about Water Quality prediction have also been analyzed and future improvements have been proposed in this paper.