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COVID-19 Vaccination and Mortality Reduction: A Prospective Cohort Study in
Venezuela
David A. Forero-Peña ( vacter.cv@gmail.com )
Biomedical Research and Therapeutic Vaccines Institute
Jéssica L. Leyva
Biomedical Research and Therapeutic Vaccines Institute
María V. Valenzuela
Biomedical Research and Therapeutic Vaccines Institute
Óscar D. Omaña-Ávila
Biomedical Research and Therapeutic Vaccines Institute
Daniela L. Mendoza-Millán
Biomedical Research and Therapeutic Vaccines Institute
Elisanny A. Sánchez-Ytriago
“Dr. Luis Razetti” University Hospital
Andrea C. Lahoud-El Hachem
Biomedical Research and Therapeutic Vaccines Institute
Katherine R. Farro
“Dr. Luis Razetti” University Hospital
Ana K. Maita
“Dr. Luis Razetti” University Hospital
Romina del C. González
“Dr. Luis Razetti” University Hospital
Carlis M. Rodriguez-Saavedra
Biomedical Research and Therapeutic Vaccines Institute
Fernando Hernández-Medina
Venezuelan Scientic Research Institute, Altos de Pipe
Natasha A. Camejo-Ávila
Biomedical Research and Therapeutic Vaccines Institute
Diana C. Freitas-De Nobrega
Biomedical Research and Therapeutic Vaccines Institute
Rodrigo T. Celis
Central University of Venezuela
José L. Forero-Peña
Biomedical Research and Therapeutic Vaccines Institute
Alfonso Martínez
Central University of Venezuela
María E. Grillet
Central University of Venezuela
María E. Landaeta
University Hospital of Caracas
Fhabián S. Carrión-Nessi
Biomedical Research and Therapeutic Vaccines Institute
Research Article
Keywords: COVID-19, Vaccination, COVID-19 Vaccines, Prospective Studies, Mortality, Venezuela
Posted Date: October 10th, 2023
DOI: https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-3396851/v1
License: This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. Read Full License
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Abstract
Background
While rigorous randomized clinical trials have substantiated the ecacy of COVID-19 vaccines in reducing hospitalization and mortality rates, there is a
paucity of post-authorization analyses conducted in real-world settings. In Venezuela, the primary vaccines administered are Sinopharm and Sputnik-V.
However, the performance and effectiveness of these vaccines within this specic population remain to be thoroughly investigated.
Methods
A prospective cohort study was undertaken from October 5, 2021, to March 31, 2022, across four sentinel hospitals in Venezuela. The outcomes were
evaluated at two time points: day 28 and day 48, utilizing the WHO’s COVID-19 Clinical Progression Scale. For the purpose of analysis, patients were classied
into two groups: vaccinated and unvaccinated.
Results
The study included a total of 175 patients, of which 85 (48.6%) were categorized as vaccinated, with the majority (76.5%) having received two doses. The
median age of the patients was 68 years, with a slight predominance of females (53.1%), and the majority being unemployed/retired (60.6%). Hypertension
(53.1%) and diabetes (18.3%) were the most prevalent comorbidities. The median Charlson index of the patients was 3 points, with no statistically signicant
differences observed between the groups (
p
= 0.2). Upon admission, dyspnea was more commonly observed in unvaccinated patients compared to vaccinated
patients (76.7% vs. 62.4%,
p
= 0.039). Almost all laboratory parameters were comparable in both groups, with the exception of the median D-dimer level, which
was signicantly higher in unvaccinated patients (7.6 vs. 1.4 µg/mL,
p
= 0.015). A total of 50 patients (28.6%) died of the disease, with a higher proportion of
deaths observed in unvaccinated patients compared to vaccinated patients (35.6% vs. 21.2%,
p
= 0.035). Factors such as advanced age (OR = 1.043, 95%CI =
1.015–1.071,
p
= 0.002) were associated with increased odds of death, while factors such as vaccination against COVID-19 (OR = 0.428, 95%CI = 0.185–0.99,
p
= 0.047), high oxygen saturation (OR = 0.964, 95%CI = 0.934–0.995,
p
= 0.024), and enoxaparin administration (OR = 0.292, 95%CI = 0.093–0.917,
p
= 0.035)
were associated with decreased odds of death.
Conclusion
In the course of the third and fourth waves of the pandemic, vaccination against COVID-19 was found to be associated with a 57% reduction in mortality
among patients treated in four public hospitals in Venezuela.
Background
As of September 27, 2023, the global impact of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has resulted in over 770million conrmed cases and more than
6.9million deaths [1]. The initial impact of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) was signicant due to the limited understanding
of its transmission, treatment, and prevention strategies [2]. In response to the pandemic, numerous pharmaceutical companies initiated the development of
vaccines against SARS-CoV-2, resulting in at least 78 conrmed active vaccine candidates by April 2020 [3]. In late 2020, phase III results were reported for
several vaccines, including BNT162b2 (Pzer-BioNTech) with an ecacy of 90–97%, [4, 5], mRNA-1273 (Moderna) with an ecacy of 87–97% [6], ChAdOx1-
S/nCoV-19 (AstraZeneca) with an ecacy of 65–88% [7], Gam-COVID-Vac (Sputnik-V) with an ecacy of 94–100% [8], CoronaVac (Sinovac) with an ecacy
of 50–62%, and BBIBP-CorV (Sinopharm) with an ecacy of 64–86% [9]. The Pzer-BioNTech and Moderna vaccines were the rst to receive emergency use
authorization from the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) in December 2020 [10–12], followed by approval from the World Health Organization (WHO) in
January 2021 [13, 14]. The Sinopharm and Sinovac vaccines received approval in May 2021 [13, 15, 16]. However, other candidates such as Sputnik-V have
yet to receive WHO approval [17–19].
Despite the slow progress of the vaccination process in Latin America, several countries have undertaken initiatives to expedite the process. Mexico was the
rst country to respond to the United Nations call in April 2021 to provide access to drugs and vaccines to combat COVID-19 [20]. Colombia became the rst
Latin American country to receive Pzer-BioNTech vaccines under the COVID-19 Vaccines Global Access (COVAX) program in March 2021 [21]. Chile donated
20,000 doses of the Chinese vaccine Sinovac to Ecuador and Paraguay [22]. In Venezuela, the vaccination campaign against COVID-19 utilized Sinopharm,
Sinovac, and Sputnik-V vaccines due to agreements with the Russian Federation [23] and global collaboration mechanisms such as COVAX [24].
The Venezuelan government initially planned to launch the “Mass Vaccination Plan” in January 2021, but the rst batch of vaccines arrived in February [25].
The process was divided into ve stages, with healthcare workers prioritized in the rst stage [24]. Subsequently, the supply of vaccines to Venezuela
continued sporadically and without prior planning, including the arrival of other vaccines such as Sinopharm, Sputnik-V, and vaccine candidates such as
Abdala, Soberana-2, and EpiVacCorona [24, 26]. By September 2021, the Pan American Health Organization (PAHO) reported a vaccination coverage of 14.9%
in Venezuela. By May 2022, Venezuela had administered a total of 38million doses, vaccinating 66% of its population [27]. Although some studies have
demonstrated that Sputnik-V vaccines are effective in eliciting a neutralizing antibody response in Venezuelan patients [28, 29], the clinical ecacy in this
population remains unknown.
While randomized clinical trials are considered the “gold standard” for evaluating the effects of a medical intervention, they have several limitations, including
sample size, subgroup analysis, restrictive inclusion criteria, and a highly controlled environment that may not be replicated during a mass launch. In addition,
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patient inclusion is often based on their clinical stability [30]. Suboptimal adherence to schedules and logistics also inuences its effectiveness. Therefore,
post-authorization analyses are crucial for evaluating the actual ecacy and behavior in real populations [31]. This study aims to describe the clinical
behavior and outcome of vaccinated and unvaccinated patients during the third and fourth pandemic waves in four hospitals in Venezuela.
Methods
Study design and population
A prospective cohort study was conducted among patients diagnosed with SARS-CoV-2 infection from October 5, 2021, and March 31, 2022, across various
sentinel hospitals in Venezuela. These included the University Hospital of Caracas (Capital District), “Dr. Luis Razetti” University Hospital (Anzoategui state),
“Ruiz y Páez” University Hospital Complex (Bolivar state), and “Uyapar” Hospital (Bolivar state). The diagnosis of SARS-CoV-2 infection was conrmed via
antigen testing and reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) [32] at the “Rafael Rangel” National Institute of Hygiene (Venezuela). The study
period included cases from the third (June to December 2021) and fourth (January to February 2022) waves of the pandemic in Venezuela [33], each
characterized by different variants of SARS-CoV-2. A national genomic surveillance study analyzed samples from nasopharyngeal or nasal swabs conrmed
positive by RT-PCR during routine COVID-19 diagnosis in Venezuela. The third wave presented variants of both interest and concern, starting with Gamma
(B.1.1.248) and ending with Delta (B.1.617). The fourth wave was predominantly characterized by the circulation of the Omicron variant (B.1.1.529) [34].
The severity of COVID-19 was categorized as mild (dened as the presence of various signs and symptoms of COVID-19, excluding shortness of breath,
dyspnea, or abnormal chest imaging), moderate (dened as evidence of lower respiratory disease during clinical assessment or imaging and an oxygen
saturation ≥ 94% on room air at sea level), severe (dened as oxygen saturation < 94% on room air at sea level, a ratio of arterial partial pressure of oxygen to
fraction of inspired oxygen < 300 mm Hg, a respiratory rate > 30 breaths/min, or lung inltrates > 50%), or critical (dened as respiratory failure, septic shock,
and/or multiple organ dysfunction). These categories were dened according to the guidelines provided by the National Institutes of Health (United States of
America) [35].
Epidemiological and clinical assessment
Patient data were collected by trained staff at sentinel centers through interviews and review of medical records. This data included epidemiological
characteristics (such as age, sex, education level, marital status, race, occupation, domicile), clinical characteristics (including symptoms on admission,
pathological history, psychobiological habits, physical examination), paraclinical characteristics (such as hematology, blood chemistry, coagulation tests),
vaccination status against COVID-19, and treatment received for COVID-19 (including antivirals, antibiotics, antiparasitics, corticosteroids, thromboprophylaxis,
immunomodulators, ventilatory support). The timely use of Remdesivir was dened as its administration within 7 days following symptom onset, while the
timely use of Favipiravir and Molnupiravir was dened as their administration within 5 days following symptom onset. The appropriate use of
Dexamethasone and Methylprednisolone was dened as their administration for up to 10 days.
The Charlson Comorbidity index was calculated to predict patient mortality [36]. Patient outcomes was assessed at day 28 and 48 post-admission using the
WHO’s COVID-19 Clinical Progression Scale [37]. The dates of patients who died prior to evaluation were recorded. For patients discharged alive prior to day 28
or 48, assessments were performed either face-to-face or via telephone to determine their outcome. For the purpose of analysis, patients were classied into
two groups based on their vaccination status: vaccinated and unvaccinated. Individuals were dened as “vaccinated” if they had received at least one dose of
a COVID-19 vaccine 14 days prior.
Statistical analysis
Patients’ data were summarized using descriptive statistics, including mean, standard deviation (SD), median, interquartile range (IQR), frequency, and
percentage (%). The distribution of numerical variables was evaluated using the Kolmogorov–Smirnov test. For variables with a non-normal distribution, the
Mann–Whitney U test was employed, while Student’s
t
-test was used for variables with a normal distribution. Categorical variables were analyzed using
Pearson’s chi-squared and Fisher’s exact tests. In instances where
post-hoc
analysis was required, the Bonferroni correction was applied to adjust the
p
-value.
A
p
-value of less than 0.05 was considered statistically signicant. Survival analysis was conducted using the Mantel–Cox test and visualized using Kaplan–
Meier curves. Binomial logistic regression with backward stepwise selection was utilized to identify factors associated with mortality. The most valid model,
which classied the highest percentage of patients and demonstrated a good t based on R2 Nagelkerke and the Hosmer–Lemeshow test, was selected.
Statistical analysis was performed using the Statistical Package for the Social Sciences (SPSS) version 26 (International Business Machines Corporation,
Armonk, NY, United States of America). Figures were generated using SPSS version 26 and Microsoft® Excel® version 2019 (Microsoft, Redmond, WA, United
States of America).
Results
Patients’ sociodemographics
During the study period, a total of 175 patients were included. Among these, 85 (48.6%) were categorized as vaccinated. Within the vaccinated group, 15/85
(17.6%) received one dose (86.7% received Sinopharm, and 13.3% received Sputnik-V), 65/85 (76.5%) received two doses (64.6% Sinopharm, and 35.4%
Sputnik-V), and 5/85 (5.9%) received three doses (20% Sinopharm, and 80% Sputnik-V) of the COVID-19 vaccine. All patients reported receiving homologous
vaccines. The mean duration between the onset of COVID-19 symptoms and the administration of the last dose of the COVID-19 vaccine was 123.6 (SD 88.9)
days.
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The patients had a median age of 68 (IQR 28) years, with a majority being female (53.1%), of mestizo race (85.1%), and unemployed/retired (60.6%) (Table1).
Geographically, 67 (38.3%) patients resided in Bolivar state, 48 (27.4%) in Anzoategui state, 52 (29.8%) in the Metropolitan Area of Caracas, and the remaining
8 (4.5%) in other states. A signicant association was observed between the categories “healthcare worker” and “vaccinated” (
p
= 0.0037).
Table 1
Sociodemographic characteristics of patients with COVID-19 according to their vaccination status
Characteristics Total (
n
= 175, 100%) Vaccinated (
n
= 85, 48.6%) Unvaccinated (
n
= 90, 51.4%)
P
-value
Age, median (IQR), years 68 (28) 67 (27) 69 (24) 0.304*
Sex, female/male (%) 93/82 (53.1/46.9) 43/42 (50.6/49.4) 50/40 (55.6/44.4) 0.51†
Level of education,
n
(%) 0.002†
None 21 (12) 5 (5.9) 16 (17.8)
Primary school 65 (37.1) 36 (42.4) 29 (32.2)
High school 46 (26.3) 16 (18.8) 30 (33.3)
Associate degree/University 43 (24.6) 28 (32.9) 15 (16.7)
Marital status,
n
(%) 0.152‡
Married 68 (38.9) 39 (45.9) 29 (32.2)
Single 64 (36.6) 32 (37.6) 32 (35.6)
Widowed 29 (16.6) 10 (11.8) 19 (21.1)
Divorced 8 (4.6) 2 (2.4) 6 (6.7)
Cohabiting (common-law) 6 (3.4) 2 (2.4) 4 (4.4)
Race,
n
(%) 0.045‡
Mestizo 149 (85.1) 74 (87.1) 75 (83.3)
White 19 (10.9) 11 (12.9) 8 (8.9)
Black 6 (3.4) 0 (0) 6 (6.7)
Indigenous 1 (0.6) 0 (0) 1 (1.1)
Occupation,
n
(%) 0.02†§
Unemployed/Retired 106 (60.6) 51 (60) 55 (61.1)
Employed 29 (16.6) 15 (17.6) 14 (15.6)
Self-employed 25 (14.3) 8 (9.4) 17 (18.9)
Healthcare worker 11 (6.3) 10 (11.8) 1 (1.1)
Student 4 (2.3) 1 (1.2) 3 (3.3)
*Mann–Whitney U test; †Pearson’s chi-square; ‡Fisher’s exact test; §Signicant association only between “healthcare worker” and “vaccinated” (
p
= 0.0037)
for a value α = 0.005 by Bonferroni correction. IQR: interquartile range
Medical history
Less than 10% of all patients reported having at least one previous SARS-CoV-2 infection; this background was less frequent among the unvaccinated
compared to the vaccinated (4.4% vs. 14.1%,
p
= 0.026). Hypertension was the most common comorbidity, affecting 53.1% (
n
= 93) of patients. This was
followed by diabetes (18.3%,
n
= 32), and asthma (9.1%,
n
= 16). A total of 10 patients (5.7%) had a history of oncologic conditions, including breast cancer
(four patients), acute lymphoblastic leukemia (three patients), cervical cancer (one patient), lung cancer (one patient), and thyroid cancer (one patient).
Additionally, three patients (1.7%) were diagnosed with the human immunodeciency virus. Interestingly, a higher proportion of vaccinated patients had
asthma compared to unvaccinated patients (14.1% vs. 4.4%,
p
= 0.026). The median Charlson index of patients was 3 (IQR 3) points, with no signicant
differences observed between groups (
p
= 0.2). Furthermore, no signicant differences were found between the vaccinated and unvaccinated patients in terms
of smoking habits, alcohol consumption, and illicit drug use (Table2).
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Table 2
Medical history of patients with COVID-19 according to their vaccination status
Characteristics Total (
n
= 175, 100%) Vaccinated (
n
= 85, 48.6%) Unvaccinated (
n
= 90, 51.4%)
P
-value
Previous SARS-CoV-2 infection, yes (%) 16 (9.1) 12 (14.1) 4 (4.4) 0.026*
Comorbidities, yes (%)
Hypertension 93 (53.1) 40 (47.1) 53 (58.9) 0.117*
Diabetes 32 (18.3) 16 (18.8) 16 (17.8) 0.858*
Asthma 16 (9.1) 12 (14.1) 4 (4.4) 0.026*
COPD 10 (5.7) 4 (4.7) 6 (6.7) 0.576*
Cancer 10 (5.7) 3 (3.5) 7 (7.8) 0.226*
CKD 5 (2.9) 1 (1.2) 4 (4.4) 0.369†
Obesity 5 (2.9) 2 (2.4) 3 (3.3) 1†
CVD 4 (2.3) 2 (2.4) 2 (2.2) 1†
HIV 3 (1.7) 1 (1.2) 2 (2.2) 1†
Other 9 (5.1) 4 (4.7) 5 (5.6) 1†
Charlson Index, median (RIQ), points 3 (3) 2 (3) 3 (3) 0.2‡
Smoking, yes (%) 33 (18.9) 16 (18.8) 17 (18.9) 0.991*
Pack-year index, mean (SD) 17.7 (18.3) 21.8 (23.4) 13.8 (11.2) 0.215§
Alcoholics, yes (%) 23 (13.1) 13 (15.3) 10 (11.1) 0.413*
Illicit drug use, yes (%) 2 (1.1) 1 (1.2) 1 (1.1) 1†
*Pearson’s chi-square; †Fisher’s exact test; ‡Mann–Whitney U test; §Student’s
t
-test for independent samples. SARS-CoV-2: severe acute respiratory
syndrome coronavirus 2. COPD: chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. CKD: chronic kidney disease. CVD: cerebrovascular disease. HIV: human
immunodeciency virus. IQR: interquartile range. SD: standard deviation
Clinical characteristics upon admission
The median duration between the onset of COVID-19 symptoms and hospitalization was 6 (IQR 8) days, with no signicant differences observed between the
vaccinated and unvaccinated groups (7 vs. 5 days, respectively,
p
= 0.343 by Mann–Whitney U test). The most common symptoms upon admission were fever
(71.4%,
n
= 125), dyspnea (69.7%,
n
= 122), and dry cough (56.6%,
n
= 99). Less common symptoms included low back pain (2.9%,
n
= 5), dysphonia (3.4%,
n
=
6), and dysphagia (4%,
n
= 7). A higher proportion of vaccinated patients reported myalgias compared to unvaccinated patients (29.4% vs. 14.4%,
p
= 0.016),
while dyspnea was more prevalent in unvaccinated patients (76.7% vs. 62.4%,
p
= 0.039) (Fig.1).
Upon physical examination, the median heart rate, respiratory rate, and oxygen saturation at admission were 90 (IQR 24) bpm, 22 (IQR 6) rpm, and 89 (IQR 14)
%, respectively. Notably, the median respiratory rate was signicantly higher in unvaccinated patients compared to vaccinated patients (24 vs. 22 rpm,
p
=
0.005). Crackles (73.1%,
n
= 128) and decreased breath sounds (50.3%,
n
= 88) were the most common pathological ndings on chest auscultation, and
altered consciousness was observed in 14.3% (
n
= 25) of all patients upon admission. Furthermore, the most frequently documented radiographic thoracic
pathological ndings were an interstitial pattern (51.7%,
n
= 62) and lung elds with a reinforced bronchovascular tract (20%,
n
= 24) (Table3).
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Table 3
Physical exam ndings on admission of patients with COVID-19 according to their vaccination status
Characteristics Total (
n
= 175, 100%) Vaccinated (
n
= 85, 48.6%) Unvaccinated (
n
= 90, 51.4%)
P
-value
Hemodynamic parameters
Heart rate, median (IQR), bpm 90 (24) 88 (23) 90 (23) 0.916*‡
Breathing rate, median (IQR), rpm 22 (6) 22 (6) 24 (7) 0.004*‡
SBP, median (IQR), mm Hg 122 (30) 124 (30) 122 (29) 0.646*‡
DBP, median (IQR), mm Hg 75 (18) 75 (16) 76 (20) 0.821*‡
Oxygen saturation, median (IQR), % 89 (14) 90 (10) 87 (14) 0.02*‡
Chest pathologic ndings on auscultation, yes (%)
Crackles 128 (73.1) 63 (74.1) 65 (72.2) 0.777†*
Decreased breath sounds 88 (50.3) 44 (51.8) 44 (48.9) 0.704†*
Intercostal pull 23 (13.1) 13 (15.3) 10 (11.1) 0.413†*
Hypoexpansible chest 20 (11.4) 8 (9.4) 12 (13.3) 0.415†*
Roncus 18 (10.3) 11 (12.9) 7 (7.8) 0.261†*
Wheezing 16 (9.1) 10 (11.8) 6 (6.7) 0.242†*
Other 2 (1.1) 0 (0) 2 (2.2) 0.498‡†
Thoracic radiographic pathological ndings,
n
(%) 0.301‡†
Interstitial pattern 62 (51.7) 26 (44.8) 36 (58.1)
Lung elds with reinforced bronchovascular tract 24 (20) 16 (27.6) 8 (12.9)
Inltrates 19 (15.8) 8 (13.8) 11 (17.7)
Consolidation 10 (8.3) 5 (8.6) 5 (8.1)
Pleural effusion 5 (4.2) 3 (5.2) 2 (3.2)
Altered neurological status, yes (%) 25 (14.3) 14 (16.5) 11 (12.2) 0.422†*
*Mann–Whitney U test; †Pearson’s chi-square; ‡Fisher’s exact test. IQR: interquartile range. SBP: systolic blood pressure. DBP: diastolic blood pressure
Paraclinical ndings upon admission
Table4 presents the paraclinical ndings of the patients upon admission. The majority of the laboratory parameters were comparable between both groups.
However, an exception was the median D-dimer level, which was signicantly higher in unvaccinated patients compared to vaccinated patients (7.6 vs. 1.4
µg/mL,
p
= 0.015).
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Table 4
Paraclinical ndings on admission of patients with COVID-19 according to their vaccination status
Characteristics Total (
n
= 175, 100%) Vaccinated (
n
= 85, 48.6%) Unvaccinated (
n
= 90, 51.4%)
P
-value
Hemoglobin, mean (SD), g/dL 12.2 (2.2) 12.5 (2.4) 12 (2) 0.212*
Hematocrit, mean (SD), % 39.9 (6.7) 38 (6.8) 37.8 (6.6) 0.85*
White blood cells, median (IQR), ×103/mL 9.4 (6.1) 10.2 (7.5) 8.9 (5.6) 0.097†
Neutrophils, median (IQR), ×103/mL 81 (18) 81 (15) 80.9 (18.5) 0.997†
Lymphocytes, median (IQR), ×103/mL 15 (14.8) 13.4 (12) 16.8 (17.3) 0.7†
Platelets, mean (SD), ×103/mL 245.5 (114.2) 254.6 (118.8) 236.1 (109.5) 0.39*
Glycemia, median (IQR), mg/dL 117 (69) 117 (70) 116.9 (70) 0.856†
Urea, median (IQR), mg/dL 36.5 (25.7) 38.5 (22) 36 (24.7) 0.729†
Creatinine, median (IQR), mg/dL 1 (0.4) 1 (0.4) 0.9 (0.5) 0.695†
PT, mean (SD), sec 12.4 (3.2) 12.3 (3.4) 12.4 (3.1) 0.905*
PTT, mean (SD), sec 30.5 (12.3) 32.4 (14.7) 28.1 (8.5) 0.312*
Fibrinogen, mean (SD), mg/dL 535.5 (454.6) 469.3 (232.9) 668.1 (742.7) 0.398*
AST, mean (SD), U/L 37.5 (17.6) 39 (19.4) 35.4 (15) 0.513*
ALT, mean (SD), U/L 40 (18.5) 40.6 (20.5) 39.1 (15.8) 0.808*
Total bilirubin, mean (SD), mg/dL 1 (1.1) 0.8 (0.6) 1 (1.4) 0.702*
LDH, mean (SD), U/L 430.8 (238.6) 438.5 (271) 423.1 (204.6) 0.783*
ESR, mean (SD), mm/h 41.5 (28.8) 31.4 (22.1) 51.5 (32.8) 0.204*
CRP, median (IQR), mg/L 12 (42.4) 14.7 (54.8) 11 (26.9) 0.134†
D-dimer, median (IQR), µg/mL 2.2 (14.3) 1.4 (3.9) 7.6 (118) 0.015†
Ferritin, median (IQR), ng/mL 336.1 (406.4) 405 (243.9) 314 (287.5) 0.222†
Procalcitonin, median (IQR), ng/mL 0.4 (0.6) 0.4 (1.6) 0.4 (0.2) 1†
Albumins, mean (SD), g/L 3.3 (0.5) 3.3 (0.5) 3.3 (0.6) 0.999*
*Student’s
t
-test for independent samples; †Mann–Whitney U test. SD: standard deviation. IQR: interquartile range. PT: prothrombin time. PTT: partial
thromboplastin time. AST: aspartate aminotransferase. ALT: alanine aminotransferase. LDH: lactate dehydrogenase. ERS: erythrocyte sedimentation rate.
CRP: C-reactive protein
Medications administered
In this cohort, the antivirals administered were Remdesivir (14.9%,
n
= 26), Favipiravir (4.7%,
n
= 13), and Molnupiravir (1.7%,
n
= 3). These were administered in
a timely manner in 50% (
n
= 13/26), 84.6% (
n
= 11/13), and 66.7% (
n
= 2/3) of cases, respectively. Furthermore, 45.7% (
n
= 80) of patients received antibiotic
treatment, predominantly Levooxacin (23%), followed by Ceftriaxone and Meropenem. Meropenem was administered in a higher proportion of vaccinated
patients compared to unvaccinated patients (9.4% vs. 2.2%,
p
= 0.041). Regarding corticosteroids, Dexamethasone was administered to 59.4% (
n
= 104) of
patients and was used appropriately in 88.2% (n = 60/104) of these cases. Tocilizumab was only used in two patients (1.1%) (Supplementary Data 1).
Clinical outcome
The median time between hospitalization and discharge was 10 (IQR 12) days, with no statistically signicant differences between the vaccinated and non-
vaccinated groups (11 vs. 10 days, respectively,
p
= 0.526 by Mann–Whitney U test). In the vaccinated group, two patients required admission to the intensive
care unit, whereas, in the unvaccinated group, four did (
p
= 0.683 by Pearson’s chi-square test). During the study period, 50 (28.6%) patients died, and a higher
proportion of deaths was found in unvaccinated patients compared to vaccinated patients (35.6% vs. 21.2%,
p
= 0.035 by Pearson’s chi-squared test).
Moreover, it was found that being vaccinated against COVID-19 decreased the probability of mortality (
p
= 0.028) (Fig.2).
The median duration between hospitalization and discharge was 10 (IQR 12) days, with no signicant differences observed between the vaccinated and
unvaccinated groups (11 vs. 10 days, respectively,
p
= 0.526 by Mann–Whitney U test). In the vaccinated group, two patients required admission to the
intensive care unit, compared to four patients in the unvaccinated group (
p
= 0.683 by Pearson’s chi-square test). During the study period, there were 50 deaths
(28.6% of patients), with a higher proportion observed among unvaccinated patients compared to vaccinated patients (35.6% vs. 21.2%,
p
= 0.035 by Pearson’s
chi-squared test). Furthermore, it was determined that vaccination against COVID-19 reduced the probability of mortality (
p
= 0.028) (Fig.2).
Page 8/14
Factors associated with mortality
The most valid model (
p
< 0.001, R2 Nagelkerke = 0.341, Hosmer–Lemeshow test = 0.238) accurately classied 78.9% (
n
= 138) of patients. Factors associated
with increased odds of mortality included advanced age (OR = 1.043, 95% CI = 1.015–1.071,
p
= 0.002), and receiving treatment at the “Dr. Luis Razetti”
University Hospital (OR = 3.897, 95% CI = 1.053–14.418,
p
= 0.042) or “Uyapar” Hospital (OR = 7.317, 95% CI = 1.798–29.776,
p
= 0.005) compared to the
University Hospital of Caracas. On the other hand, factors associated with decreased odds of mortality included vaccination against COVID-19 (OR = 0.428,
95% CI = 0.185–0.99,
p
= 0.047), high oxygen saturation (OR = 0.964, 95% CI = 0.934–0.995,
p
= 0.024), and administration of enoxaparin (OR = 0.292, 95% CI =
0.093–0.917,
p
= 0.035) (Table5).
Table 5
Risk factors associated with mortality patients with COVID-19
β
P
-value OR adjusted (95% condence interval)
Vaccinated against COVID-19, yes -0.848 0.047 0.428 (0.185–0.99)
Age 0.042 0.002 1.043 (1.015–1.071)
Sex, male 0.412 0.307 1.51 (0.687–3.326)
Care center (reference: University Hospital of Caracas)
“Dr. Luis Razetti” University Hospital 1.36 0.042 3.897 (1.053–14.418)
“Ruiz y Páez” University Hospital Complex 0.874 0.103 2.397 (0.839–6.846)
“Uyapar” Hospital 1.99 0.005 7.317 (1.798–29.776)
Hypertension, yes -0.109 0.8 0.897 (0.386–2.083)
Dyspnea, yes -0.234 0.614 0.791 (0.318–1.967)
Oxygen saturation -0.037 0.024 0.964 (0.934–0.995)
Crackles, yes 0.447 0.375 1.563 (0.583–4.191)
Dexamethasone, yes -0.467 0.386 0.627 (0.218–1.803)
Enoxaparin, yes -1.231 0.035 0.292 (0.093–0.917)
Discussion
This study represents the rst multicenter research examining the clinical and epidemiological characteristics, including mortality rates, among vaccinated
and unvaccinated COVID-19 patients in Venezuela. Vaccination was correlated with a 57% decrease in mortality relative to the unvaccinated cohort. The
logistical challenges associated with vaccine distribution and storage in Venezuela were mitigated through the assistance of international organizations such
as the United Nations Children’s Fund, PAHO, and COVAX [24], culminating in the vaccination of 66% of the population by May 2023 [27].
A higher representation of healthcare workers was noted in the vaccinated group, likely attributable to this demographic being prioritized for vaccination in
accordance with WHO and PAHO guidelines for risk groups [33, 38]. Both the vaccinated and unvaccinated cohorts had comparable characteristics in terms of
sex, age, and comorbidities, with the exception of bronchial asthma. However, no signicant differences were observed upon calculation of the Charlson
Comorbidity Index for each group. The most prevalent symptoms and signs, including dyspnea, fever, dry cough, tachypnea, and decreased oxygen saturation,
were consistent with previous studies [39–50]. Unvaccinated patients had a higher prevalence of dyspnea, increased respiratory rate, and lower oxygen
saturation values, corroborating ndings from similar studies [51–55]. Interestingly, despite a higher incidence of asthma in the vaccinated group, this
comorbidity has been linked to reduced mortality in hospitalized patients due to its association with TH2 lymphocyte inammation, which acts as a protective
factor against COVID-19 [56–60]. Consistent with prior documentation [61, 62], D-dimer values at admission showed statistically signicant differences
between the groups, with higher levels observed in the unvaccinated group, indicative of a hypercoagulable state and increased risk of adverse events and
mortality.
This study demonstrated a reduction in COVID-19 mortality among patients vaccinated with Sinopharm and Sputnik-V, consistent with similar studies
conducted in Qatar [63] and India [64] that reported a more than threefold increase in mortality among unvaccinated patients. Prior researches have evaluated
the ecacy of the Pzer-BioNTech, Moderna, Sinovac, and Sputnik-V vaccines, concluding that they are all safe and effective against all variants of interest
included in their work in several countries around the world, including Chile, Brazil, Colombia, and Ecuador [65–68]. However, the quality of evidence varied
across vaccines [69]. A study conducted in China involving the Delta variant demonstrated effective protection following two doses of inactivated virus
vaccines such as Sinopharm and Sinovac, while partial vaccination offered no signicant protection [70]. Another multicenter case-control study carried out in
South American countries such as Argentina, Colombia, Chile, and Brazil, evaluated the ecacy of the Sinovac, Sinopharm, and Sputnik V vaccines (among
others) by age and by the predominant circulating variant of SARS-CoV-2, demonstrating that vaccines prevented hospitalizations and deaths even among the
oldest population [71, 72]. In a multicenter United States study, progression to death after COVID-19 hospitalization was associated with a lower likelihood of
vaccination (OR = 0.41; 95% CI = 0.19–0.88) [67]. Finally, a study in Pakistan found signicantly higher percent deaths in the unvaccinated group compared to
the vaccinated group. However, they also documented variations according to patient age and type of vaccine. For example, the percent of COVID-19 cases
Page 9/14
who died among unvaccinated individuals > 50 years of age was 3.83- and 7.49-fold higher compared to recipients of Sinopharm and Sputnik V, respectively
[73]. This is similar to our results.
High oxygen saturation, a valuable metric for classifying disease severity, was associated with lower mortality rates in both groups under study. Conversely,
low oxygen saturation has been identied as a signicant indicator of mortality risk [47, 74]. Additionally, the administration of enoxaparin, a low molecular
weight heparin, was found to decrease mortality risk within our cohort, consistent with previous research [75, 76]. The impact of low molecular weight heparins
in COVID-19 varies signicantly depending on whether thromboprophylaxis or therapeutic doses are used, with the latter demonstrating greater benet [77].
However, in accordance with the guidelines of the “Ministerio del Poder Popular para la Salud” (the primary national health institute) in Venezuela during the
time of our study [78], thromboprophylaxis dosage was employed in this population, still yielding a signicant difference.
In our model, no signicant association was observed between comorbidities and COVID-19 outcomes, contradicting previous ndings [79, 80]. The Charlson
Comorbidity Index enabled us to evaluate patients in both groups based on their number of comorbidities and risk. However, well-managed long-term
pathologies could potentially inuence the accuracy of this measure and the outcomes. Increased age was associated with a higher risk of mortality,
potentially due to older patients’ susceptibility to COVID-19 as hypothesized by Ayón-Aguilar
et al
. [81], which could be attributed to immunosenescence and
their dysregulated inammatory response. Institutions should consider assessing frailty at admission for all older patients admitted with COVID-19 to provide
appropriate care for this risk group.
Signicant variations in mortality risk were observed across different care centers. The therapeutic management of COVID-19 initially presented an uncertain
pathway for providers, and guidelines remained quite open for personal suggestions and individualized treatment adapted on a case-by-case basis [78].
Coupled with the disparities described in healthcare centers in Venezuela, including challenges such as access to basic needs like water supply, continuous
electricity, personnel shortage, and medication availability [82, 83], these factors do not remain constant between centers and departments within the same
institution. The University Hospital of Caracas, located in the country’s capital, may have had an advantage in terms of resource accessibility and allocation,
resulting in better outcomes and highlighting the ethical dilemma in attention care in Venezuela.
This study has several limitations. Despite its multicenter nature, it only included four hospitals in major cities of the country, so the results should be
extrapolated with caution, especially in sociodemographic contexts of peri-urban and rural regions. The sample size was limited by the availability of beds in
the services responsible for hospitalizing COVID-19 patients at that time. Its non-random methodology limits the estimation of vaccine ecacy, and the small
sample size does not allow for secondary analysis in the population that received a partial vaccination schedule or a booster dose, nor does it allow for
understanding the individual ecacy of each type of vaccine. In some cases, follow-up was conducted via telephone, but it was not possible in three patients,
so the mortality found in this work could be higher. Finally, the absence of molecular tools did not allow for determining the variants involved in each case,
which constitutes a signicant limitation since we know that they may modify patient outcomes [84, 85]. Despite these limitations, this is the rst study
conducted in Venezuela that evaluates the effectiveness of the vaccines available in the country. This is an important step in understanding the impact of
vaccination in real-world settings and may provide valuable information for public health decision-making.
Conclusions
This study found an association between COVID-19 vaccination and a reduction in mortality among COVID-19 patients treated in four public hospitals in
Venezuela during the third and fourth pandemic waves. However, to ascertain the individual ecacy of each vaccine and its correlation with the number of
doses administered, further multicenter studies involving larger populations are warranted.
Abbreviations
COVID-19
coronavirus disease 2019,
SARS-CoV-2
severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2,
FDA
US Food and Drug Administration,
WHO
World Health
Organization,
COVAX
COVID-19 Vaccines Global Access,
PAHO
Pan American Health Organization,
RT-PCR
reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction,
SD
standard deviation,
IQR
interquartile range,
SPSS
Statistical Package for the Social Sciences
Declarations
Ethics approval and consent to participate
The study protocol was reviewed and approved by the Independent Bioethics Committee for Research of the National Center for Bioethics (CIBI-CENABI, in
Spanish) of Venezuela (CIBI-CENABI-14/2021). The study was conducted in accordance with the ethical principles for medical research in humans of the
Declaration of Helsinki and the Venezuelan regulations for this type of research, with the corresponding signed informed consent of all patients.
Consent for publication
Not applicable.
Availability of data and materials
All data generated or analyzed during this study are included in the article.
Competing interests
The authors declare no competing interests.
Page 10/14
Funding
This research did not receive any specic grant from funding agencies in the public, commercial, or not-for-prot sectors.
Authors’ contributions
DAFP, JLL, MVV, and FSCN conceived and designed the study. DAFP, JLL, MVV, DCFDN, EAS, KRF, AKM, RdCG, DLMM, and FSCN collected clinical data. ÓDOÁ,
ACLEH, CMRS, FHM, NACÁ, DLMM, and FSCN analyzed and interpreted the data. JLL, MVV, ÓDOÁ, ACLEH, CMRS, RTC, JLFP, DLMM, AM, and FSCN wrote the
manuscript. DAFP, FHM, MEG, JE, MEL, and FSCN critically reviewed the manuscript. All authors reviewed and approved the nal version of the manuscript.
Acknowledgements
Not applicable.
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Figures
Figure 1
Symptoms on admission of patients with COVID-19 according to their vaccination status. Data are graphed as percentage. *
p
< 0.05 (
p
‐values by Pearson’s
chi-square)
Page 14/14
Figure 2
Kaplan-Meier curves showing the probability of survival patients with COVID-19 according to their vaccination status.Log Rank (Mantel–Cox test) = 4.811,
p
=
0.028.
Supplementary Files
This is a list of supplementary les associated with this preprint. Click to download.
SupplementaryData1.docx