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A feasibility analysis of PV-based off-grid rural electrification for a pastoral settlement in Ethiopia

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... Among these, the 28 types (including 3 location focuses and 2 country statues) constitute the secondary categories for comprehensive reviews in Section 5.5. (Abouaiana and Battisti, 2022;Barbour et al., 2018;Dauenhauer et al., 2020;Fina et al., 2019Fina et al., , 2020Gaiser and Stroeve, 2014;Garner and Dehouche, 2023;Garniwa and Herdiansyah, 2021;González et al., 2023;Janota et al., 2023;Jasiński et al., 2024;Jenny et al., 2006;Kansongue et al., 2022;Kuno et al., 2023;Li et al., 2022;Ling et al., 2021;Luqman and Al-Ansari, 2020;Marique and Reiter, 2014;Mustafa et al., 2022;Nematchoua et al., 2021;Rafique et al., 2019;Rafique et al., 2018;Sadiq et al., 2023;Saez et al., 2023;Samanta et al., 2021;Tucho and Nonhebel, 2017;Van Hoesen and Letendre, 2010) wind 7 (Garner and Dehouche, 2023;Marique and Reiter, 2014;Mustafa et al., 2022;Sadiq et al., 2023;Van Hoesen and Letendre, 2010) hydro 2 (Guerreiro and Botetzagias, 2018; geothermal 2 Sadiq et al., 2023) others 15 -Bioenergy/ biomass direct use of biofuel* 5 (Aberilla et al., 2020;Chen et al., 2022;Dash et al., 2018;Okoko et al., 2017;Romijn et al., 2010) biomass products (e.g., biogas, biodiesel) 9 (Aberilla et al., 2020;Coady and Duquette, 2021;Nansaior et al., 2013;Okoko et al., 2017;Pinpatthanapong et al., 2022;Roldán-Porta et al., 2023;Romijn et al., 2010;Tucho and Nonhebel, 2017) bioenergy for electricity generation 10 (Aberilla et al., 2020;Janota et al., 2023;Okoko et al., 2017;Pérez-Fortes et al., 2012;Romijn et al., 2010;Sadiq et al., 2023;Samanta et al., 2021;Vongchan et al., 2020) agricultural bioenergy (e.g., agricultural waste/residues, food, livestock manure, bioenergy crops, forestry, biorefinery) 20 (Aberilla et al., 2020;Adhikari and Adhikari, 2021;Bessette et al., 2020;Blanco et al., 2015;Cunfer et al., 2018;Haile et al., 2016;Janota et al., 2023;Kandel et al., 2016;Kishita et al., 2017;Nansaior et al., 2013;Okoko et al., 2017;Perpiñá et al., 2009;Rhofita et al., 2022;Röder et al., 2017;Roy et al., 2018;Shah et al., 2021;Sikka et al., 2013;Stolarski et al., 2021;Supasri et al., 2020) others 8 -Smart grids: multiple sources and advanced energy usage 25 108 energy sources are identified from 86 articles, of which 49% are bioenergy/biomass, and 55% are renewable energy (excluding biomass), illustrated in Table 5.2. Multiple energy sources are combined to create the smart grids, and 25 advanced/integrated energy usage instances were mentioned. ...
... strategic plan (Kuno et al., 2023), further support this development. Local subsidy programs for renewable energy installations and Indonesia9s Government Regulation No. 79 on national energy development also contribute to the growth of energy communities (Rhofita et al., 2022). ...
... Moreover, 66 articles highlight the importance of resilience and adaptability in sustaining energy communities, with Kuno et al. (2023), for example, discussing the role of off-grid solar PV systems in enhancing the resilience of rural communities in Kenya, demonstrating significant improvements in energy security and local economic development. Similarly, 67 articles emphasise the importance of scalability and replicability in advancing sustainable energy practices, as illustrated by Quirapas , which discusses the scalability of community-based energy projects in rural Philippines and highlights their potential for replication in similar rural contexts to enhance sustainability and energy access. ...
Thesis
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As the global energy landscape shifts towards sustainable, bioenergy, especially from agricultural by-products, emerges as a promising alternative to reduce reliance on fossil fuels. This thesis investigates the optimisation of bioenergy systems in rural Chinese regions through the integration of Artificial Intelligence (AI) technologies and Geographic Information Systems with Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (GIS-MCDA). The research follows a logical progression through the “3-P” concepts: Potential, Prediction, and Position. In Chapter 2, AI models, including Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) and Support Vector Machine (SVM), are systematically reviewed for their role in enhancing biomass detection and optimising production processes. Chapter 3 applies these AI tools, specifically Backpropagation Artificial Neural Networks (BP-ANN), to estimate bioenergy potential from crop residues, such as rice, maize, and wheat, under various climate scenarios by 2030. Key findings indicate that bioenergy output could decrease by 11% without effective climate mitigation, while moderate climate control could significantly increase output, particularly for rice residues. Building on these findings, Chapter 4 presents a case study in the Jianghan Plain, a rural region in China, which integrates these AI-based bioenergy potential forecasts into a GIS-MCDA framework. This approach identifies 45-66 optimal bioenergy plant sites, strategically located to maximise energy output while minimising environmental impacts. Chapter 5 broadens the scope beyond bioenergy, exploring how renewable energy communities (RECs) can leverage innovative techniques like AI and GIS-based approaches for comprehensive resource management, providing a forward-looking perspective on rural energy resilience and development. Overall, this thesis highlights the transformative role of AI and GIS-MCDA in addressing bioenergy resource variability and optimising rural energy infrastructure in response to climate change. Future research should focus on applying these tools to broader renewable energy systems, refining their integration with socio-economic and environmental factors to facilitate holistic energy planning and sustainable development in rural areas. Link: https://hdl.handle.net/11577/3548765
... (i) Technological innovation: 49 articles emphasise advanced renewable technologies and smart grid integration, categorised into eight types (Fig. 2(e)- (Jasiński et al., 2021), and Spain's regulatory framework (Raimondi et al., 2024), is crucial. Compliance with Italian regulations transposing European Directives (Trevisan et al., 2023) and engagement with national energy policies, like Ethiopia's strategic plan (Kuno et al., 2023), further support this development. Local subsidy programmes for (27) (2024), discuss the scalability of community-based energy projects in rural Philippines, highlighting the potential for replication in similar contexts to enhance sustainability and energy access. ...
... 2(d)) highlight the importance of resilience and adaptability in sustaining energy communities. For example,Kuno et al. (2023) discuss off-grid solar PV systems in rural Kenya, showing significant improvements in energy security and local economic development. Similarly, 67 articles emphasise the importance of scalability and replicability in advancing sustainable energy practices. ...
... ( Acheilas et al., 2020;Alvial-Palavicino et al., 2011;Barbour et al., 2018;Coady and Duquette, 2021;Dasí-Crespo et al., 2023;Dauenhauer et al., 2020;Gaiser and Stroeve, 2014;Garner and Dehouche, 2023;González et al., 2023;Jenny et al., 2006;Kansongue et al., 2022;Kuno et al., 2023;Luqman and Al-Ansari, 2020;Marinakis et al., 2020;Muhoza and Johnson, 2018;Mustafa et al., 2022;Nassar et al., 2024;Quirapas Franco and Taeihagh, 2024;Rafique et al., 2019;Sadiq et al., 2023;Saez et al., 2023;Samanta et al., 2021;Shabdin and Padfield, 2017;Smpoukis et al., 2020;Sudhoff et al., 2022) ...
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Achieving environmental and economic stability amid climate change requires renewable energy technologies. This review analyses 86 articles on rural energy communities, highlighting key technological, economic, and social drivers of their growth and sustainability. Findings show that rural energy development (38%), community engagement (36%), and agricultural integration (26%) are key focus areas, supported by drivers like technological innovation, regulatory frameworks, and community participation. Emerging trends reveal a shift from localised solutions to integrated hybrid systems and smart grids across three stages (2004–2024). Cross-country comparisons indicate varied regional priorities, with environmental benefits emphasised in China, Thailand, and Italy, and economic gains in the U.S., Poland, and India. Main challenges include financial constraints (21%), infrastructure (35%), regulation (44%), and participation (52%). Core elements for development are resilience, scalability, and innovation, with strong correlations (R2>0.80) between resilience, economic benefits, and social engagement. This review underscores the need for innovation, policy support, and community involvement to foster resilient, scalable rural energy communities, promoting sustainability and energy security.
... Despite global advocacy for renewable energy adoption, Zambia faces unique challenges hindering widespread solar energy use. Specifically, issues with financing and the technical feasibility of solar PV mini grids present significant obstacles [15,[30][31][32][33]. Addressing these challenges requires focused research and strategic interventions tailored to Zambia. ...
... Rural electrification from micro-grids using renewable energies is gradually proving its worth, although it is still not widespread due to its relatively high investment costs. In the literature, several scientific studies have been carried out with the aim of promoting rural electrification from renewable energies in developing countries for various applications [8][9][10][11][12][13][14][15][16][17][18][19][20][21][22][23][24][25][26]. Shilpa et al [27] found that the energy cost of a PV/Battery system was 0.34 $ kWh −1 whereas it was 0.93$ kWh −1 when using a diesel generator for supplying the same load. ...
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Sub-Saharan rural areas mostly use cereals diesel milling because of lack of electricity. However diesel engine operation is very polluting. Using an alternative energy source for cereals milling could be beneficial both environmentally and economically. In this regard, a comparative analysis based on a multi-objective NSGA-II is carried out between diesel and electric milling of cereals. Different electrical energy sources including photovoltaic solar energy are proposed and investigated. The concept of cost of mechanical energy (COME) is introduced for the economic comparison between diesel and electric milling. The obtained results have shown that for 0% DPSP (Deficit of power supply probability), the COME of PV/Batt/EM, Grid/EM, DG/EM, and DE systems, are respectively 0.2455 kWh1,0.1905 kWh⁻¹, 0.1905 kWh⁻¹, 0.5649 kWh1and0.4982 kWh⁻¹ and 0.4982 kWh⁻¹. The corresponding cost of electrical energy (COEE) of PV/Batt, Grid and DG systems, are respectively 0.2051kWh1,0.158 kWh⁻¹, 0.158 kWh⁻¹, and 0.4785 kWh1.Thecostofmilling(COM)fortheoptimalsystemsdesignedare0.0106 kWh⁻¹. The cost of milling (COM) for the optimal systems designed are 0.0106 kg⁻¹, 0.0091 kg1,0.0194 kg⁻¹, 0.0194 kg⁻¹, and 0.0175 kg1,respectivelyforPV/Batt/EM,Grid/EM,DG/EM,andDEsystems.However,whenthePVsolarenergylossesaresold,thentheCOME,theCOEE,andtheCOMofthePVmillingsystembecomerespectively0.1854 kg⁻¹, respectively for PV/Batt/EM, Grid/EM, DG/EM, and DE systems. However, when the PV solar energy losses are sold, then the COME, the COEE, and the COM of the PV milling system become respectively 0.1854 kWh⁻¹, 0.1215 kWh1,and0.0079 kWh⁻¹, and 0.0079 kWh⁻¹. The calculated CO2 emissions (CO2e) per year of PV/Batt/EM, Grid/EM, DG/EM, and DE systems, are respectively 3191 kgCO2e, 6906.8 kgCO2e, 14484 kgCO2e, and 8963.8 kgCO2e. The outcomes of this study show that, the electric milling based PV energy could be the best techno-economic and environmental option to adopt in grid and non-grid connected rural areas.
... Resources for water and land utilization are challenges in India and pose a major hurdle when promoting a newer technology use such as electric vehicles and solar photovoltaics for electricity utilization and generation. Off-grid power solutions for solar applications for rural saves costs [3] [4] and peer-to-peer integration helps with increasing power reliability [5]. And sustainable agriculture at rural areas may be supported by solar energy [6]. ...
Article
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Considering rural India a major contributor to agriculture, many applications of electric vehicles, both light to medium and heavy-duty, apply to improving the produce and productivity. The major food produce is transported over trucks, and many agricultural farming tools require the use of tractors. The vision of increasing the penetration of electric vehicles by government and local companies materializes via a plan that integrates renewable energy with chargers. India is seeing one of the largest moves to cleaner energy generation, with a vision of more than 300GW from solar and wind power in the coming years. A study that derives the relationship between the number of vehicles in rural areas in India and documents the power required to supply using renewables is required for planning a sustainable future for people from low-income to underprivileged statuses. A total of more than 649,369 villages require clean and green power to meet the needs for energy demand for electrified trucks and tractors. To become more independent of the utility grid, a large-scale use of unutilized and underutilized spaces becomes a site for large solar and wind farms. Some farmers were interviewed to understand underutilized spaces on farmland in Akbarpur, Kanpur Dehat, India. The basis of the interview became a driving force to study whether a solar farm becomes a viable solution. The results were generated to identify the potential of the farm in providing power on an annual basis. Accordingly, a combination of level 2 and fast charger, as known from past studies, was proposed.
... Samostalni izvori su posebno atraktivni za elektrifikaciju ruralnih oblasti u zemljama u razvoju, jer podaci pokazuju da preko milijardu ljudi na svijetu i dalje nema pristup elektriĉnoj energiji, od kojih oko 600 miliona ţivi u Supsaharskoj Africi [88]. Mogućnosti ruralne elektrifikacije pomoću samostalnih obnovljivih izvora energije u Etiopiji [89], Zambiji [90] i Sijeri Leone [91], samo su neki od primjera koji su razmatrani u nauĉnim radovima. Samostalni izvori mogu se, takoĊe, koristiti i u razvijenim zemljama, za napajanje udaljene potrošnje kao što su potrošaĉi na ostrvima, nacionalnim parkovima, farmama i odmorištima auto-puteva, ukoliko je to jeftinije od izgradnje distributivnog dalekovoda. ...
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U ovoj monografiji sumirana su iskustva autora u primjeni Monte Karlo simulacija za rješavanje različitih problema iz oblasti elektroenergetike, nastala kao rezultat dugogodišnjeg istraživanja i rada na realizaciji više naučno-istraživačkih projekata. Monografija je namijenjena studentima elektroenergetskih usmjerenja, na sva tri ciklusa studija, kao i istraživačima i inžinjerima, koji se susreću sa problemima koji imaju stohastičku prirodu. U posljednjih nekoliko decenija, Monte Karlo simulacije postale su ključni alat u različitim oblastima inžinjerstva i nauke, omogućavajući analizu složenih sistema i procesa koji su podložni slučajnim promjenama. Posebno u elektroenergetici, gdje neizvjesnosti poput varijabilnosti potrošnje, meteoroloških veličina i pouzdanosti elemenata elektroenergetskog sistema, igraju značajnu ulogu, Monte Karlo simulacije pružaju moćan okvir za rješavanje ovih izazova. Monografija, uz uvod i zaključak, sadrži tri osnovne cjeline. Prvo je definisana Monte Karlo metoda, uz tumačenje osnovnih pojmova iz teorije vjerovatnoće i statistike, koji su neophodni za pripremu i izvođenje Monte Karlo simulacija. Potom su predstavljene mogućnosti za modelovanje stohastičkih promjenljivih važnih u elektroenergetici, kao što su brzina vjetra, iradijansa, temperatura ambijenta, snaga potrošnje i pouzdanost elemenata elektroenergetskog sistema. Na kraju je dato šest ilustrativnih primjera, u okviru kojih je Monte Karlo simulacija primijenjena za rješavanje karakterističnih problema iz važnih oblasti elektroenergetike: relejne zaštite, pouzdanosti distributivnih sistema i planiranja upotrebe obnovljivih izvora energije.
... Based on the existing work in the research area, both geographical conditions and the potential of renewable energy sources influence the configuration and performance of HRS. Numerous studies have recommended the HRS for both on-grid and off-grid configurations for various applications such as university campuses, public infrastructure, urban cities, and rural areas in many counties [48], [49], [50], [51]. Despite extensive research on the development of HRS across various sectors, its application in energy-rich rural areas, such as West Waru village in Indonesia, has not yet been explored. ...
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Energy access is crucial for rural development in developing countries, as electrification drives economic growth, creates employment opportunities, and enhances the quality of life for rural communities. This study aims to determine the feasibility of powering a remote community with a hybrid energy system (HRS) combining solar photovoltaic, wind, and biogas to generate electricity and meet the energy needs of the rural area. West Waru Village was selected as the case study area due to its abundance of renewable energy sources. The HOMER tool was employed to model and optimize the HRS, providing a detailed analysis of its technical, economic, and environmental aspects. Furthermore, the study's findings were analyzed through a sensitivity analysis, considering uncertainty factors such as village load consumption, solar radiation, wind speed, and biomass availability. The best configuration for an on-grid scheme included a 2,284 kW photovoltaic (PV) system, 388 unit vertical axis wind turbine (VAWT), and a 500 kW biogas generator, resulting in a net present cost (NPC) of 8,506,090,acostofenergy(COE)of8,506,090, a cost of energy (COE) of 0.054/kWh, and a payback period of 5.79 years. This configuration also reduced carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions by 67.2% compared to grid electricity. The optimal configuration for an off-grid scheme consisted of a 5,491 kW PV system, 954 VAWT, a 500 kW biogas generator, and 4,850 batteries, with an NPC of 20,162,390andaCOEof20,162,390 and a COE of 0.1601/kWh, reducing CO2 emissions by 99.993%. These findings can serve as a baseline for the government to develop renewable energy systems in West Waru.
... The remarkable solar potential of equatorial regions, characterized by consistent and intense sunlight year-round (de Lima Montenegro Duarte et al., 2021), amplifies their significance in the journey toward renewable energy proliferation. Photovoltaic systems as a sustainable solution for electrifying the pivotal role of national energy policies and strategic planning in advocating for and implementing clean energy initiatives (Kuno et al., 2023). ...
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Biogas technology has uneven dissemination over the globe. The technology is at its infant stage of development and dissemination in many developing countries while China has the largest implementation record. The principal factors controlling its dissemination include: policies and institutions, financial constraint, subsidies, availability of inputs, awareness about the technology, consumers’ considerations, and success stories about the technology. However, biogas technology is a multipurpose technology which assists in addressing economic, health, social and environmental problems simultaneously. Thus, development and dissemination of the technology certainly minimize energy poverty and improve peoples’ status in the energy ladder. In line with this, Ethiopia has completed implementing the first phase (2009–2013) of its National Biogas Programme and has started implementing its second phase. During the first phase, it was able to disseminate 57.6% the total 14,000 domestic biogas plants planned for the period. Though the technology was introduced about five decades ago into the country, biogas installations constructed prior to the establishment of the National Biogas Programme were having varied digester models, lacked standards and central coordination and their entire number was not more than 1000. This paper reviews the status of dissemination of household biogas technology, factors influencing the dissemination of the technology, benefits of the technology at global scales, energy resources, consumption patterns and brief account of the technology at national scale-Ethiopia.
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Similar to many net oil importing Sub-Sahara African countries, Ethiopia's economy is rural and as it stands today it is far from being a fossil fuel based economy. Instead, the economy is largely powered by traditional burning of solid biomass. Despite its small share in the overall energy supply (7%), imported fuel absorbs half of Ethiopia's foreign currency earnings. The common justifications behind the development of biofuels such as energy source diversification, foreign currency saving, rural poverty alleviation through employment and technology transfers were all appealing for Ethiopian policy advisers. In 2007, mostly influenced by the global discourse, Ethiopia launched a biofuel expansion strategy and a massive ad hoc investment promotion of two biodiesel crops: castor and jatropha. In this paper, we synthesize the various biodiesel development initiatives and modes of production, and point out at the gaps in policy formulation and project implementation. Evaluating the prospect and constraints for biodiesel production in Ethiopia, we conclude that most of the prerequisites for a viable biodiesel industry still need to be met. We identify key areas and priorities to further strengthen the development of the biodiesel sector.
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Measurements of global solar radiation on a horizontal surface, for nine meteorological stations in Ethiopia, are compared with their corresponding values computed based on Ångström relations, Regression coefficients are obtained and correlation equations are determined to predict the global solar radiation. The result shows that Ångström relations are valid for Ethiopian locations, and the correlation equations can be used to predict the monthly mean daily global solar radiation in the locations considered in this study. This study also proves that the results made by ENEC et al, using the generalised Frere's coefficients, is unsatisfactory for the prediction of monthly mean daily global solar radiation. On the other hand, the work of Dogniaux and Lemoine, using the regression coefficients a and b as a function of latitude and atmospheric turbidity and grouping large range latitudes to extend the application, can give better estimation. However, for more accurate estimation, several additional meteorological stations have to be evaluated and their regression coefficients have to be determined before grouping in to one relationship to express the variations of a and b under any conditions of equipment and location.
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Available research literature on power sector reform in Africa indicates that few African decision-makers question the underlying rationale of power sector reform. Many simply accept it as a given and concentrate on identifying measures that would expedite the reform process. This tunnel vision perspective undermines the possibility of developing more nuanced alternatives that can generate a wider range of options that reflect the region's characteristics and institutional/management capacity. This article is based on a regional study by the authors reviewing the status, challenges and prospects of ongoing and planned power sector reform in eastern and southern Africa with special emphasis on the implications for the poor. Reforms have improved generation capacity as well as financial performance in certain utilities. However, there are several challenges that reforms are yet to address. These challenges include poor performance at the transmission and distribution end, increased electrification of the poor and, increased local participation in the power sector. There is inadequate information and data on how ongoing and planned power sector reform can be modified to address the aforementioned challenges, particularly with regard to electrification of the poor. This article suggests a number of measures that could allow the poor to benefit from power sector reform.
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This paper is based on a review of the effectiveness of solar home systems (SHS) in Africa in meeting users expectations on a service based analytical approach. Various projects have deployed SHS on the promise that they are cost-effective, can meet end-user demands, have ability to alleviate poverty, can save time and reduce emissions. However, a close review of the actual cost of these systems given the services they provide indicates most of the promises remain unmet and hence questions the wisdom of using public funds to support the system at the expense of more appropriate technologies.
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Rural areas continue to be home to majority of the population in Africa. The importance of providing modern energy to rural areas cannot, therefore, be overemphasised. Despite numerous efforts by Governments and donors in the region to promote solar photovoltaics (PVs) for rural electrification (almost every country in the region has had a rural electrification PV project), access to modern energy in rural Africa continues to be woefully low. In addition to being unaffordable to the rural masses, solar PV has the limitation that it can only be used for lighting and powering low-voltage appliances. This article reviews emerging trends in the rural energy sector of sub-Saharan Africa, and discusses the limitations of over-reliance on solar PV. It suggests possible options that could have greater impact on rural clean energy development. For the majority of rural households in the region, biomass fuels will continue to be the dominant fuel of choice. Efficient technologies for the use of biomass would, therefore, ensure that scarce biomass resources are effectively utilised, and reduce the negative impacts of biomass use on women and children's health. Solar thermal, windpumps, micro-/pico-hydropower and cleaner fuels such as kerosene and LPG, have not received adequate attention from policy makers. These energy options could significantly improve the performance of rural small- and micro-enterprises. This article argues that rural energy policies that emphasise a broader range of renewables and target income-generating activities are likely to yield greater benefits to the rural poor than the current policies that rely on the solar PV option.
Target market analysis: Ethiopia’s solar energy market
  • Shanko
Assessment of wind and solar energy in ethiopia
  • Yakob
Solar and wind energy resource assessment (SWERA),DLR-activities within SWERA
  • C Schillings
  • R Meyer
  • F Trieb
Ethiopia renewable energy potentials and current state.
  • Hailu