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This article addresses the process behind the National Resistance Movement’s (NRM) decision to open for a reintroduction of multiparty politics. Why would a political movement that had been in power for two decades expose itself to competition, and at least theoretically, risk loosing the 2006 elections? Is this turnaround of the NRM leadership explained by external pressure from the international environment or should it be attributed to debates within the NRM? We seek to explain why the NRM opened for a transition to multiparty politics and how the NRM leadership sought to remain in control of the transition process. We do so by relating the case of Uganda to theoretical perspectives that explain under what circumstances political movements, organisations or parties decide to implement fundamental changes. We argue that the impetus for change is explained by decline of support for the NRM in the 2001 elections, where Museveni’s former ally, Col. K. Besigye, opposed him in the presidential election and received 29 per cent of the votes. How the NRM proceeded to implement the transition process is better explained by office seeking strategies: Through its control of the government, parliament, and the public sector, the NRM-O was able to tilt the playing field and minimise the possibility for the opposition to win in the 2006 elections
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CMIWorkIngPAPEr
Turnaround: The National Resistance
Movement and the Re-introduction of a
Multiparty System in Uganda
Sabiti Makara, Lise Rakner, Lars Svåsand
WP 2007: 12
Turnaround: The National Resistance
Movement and the Re-introduction of a
Multiparty System in Uganda
Sabiti Makara, Lise Rakner and Lars Svåsand
WP 2007: 12
CMI Working Papers
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Indexing terms
Political systems
National resistance
Elections
Uganda
Project title
The 2006 Presidential and Parliamentary Elections in Uganda: Institutional and Legal Context
Project number
24076
iii
Contents
INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................................................................1
THE MOVEMENT POLITICAL SYSTEM IN UGANDA.......................................................................... 1
THE DECISION TO RE-INTRODUCE THE MULTI PARTY SYSTEM.......................................................................... 2
WHY DID THE NRM ABANDON ITS MONOPOLY POSITION AND EXPOSE ITSELF TO
COMPETITION?............................................................................................................................................. 3
INTERNAL AND EXTERNAL EXPLANATIONS FOR ORGANISATIONAL CHANGE ................................................... 3
THE INTERNATIONAL DIMENSION AND THE EXPLANATORY WEIGHT OF INTERNATIONAL PRESSURE ................4
INTERNAL FACTIONALISM: DEVELOPMENTS WITHIN THE MOVEMENT SYSTEM 1986-2005.............................. 6
The role of the armed forces......................................................................................................................7
The ‘historicals’......................................................................................................................................... 7
The young parliamentarians...................................................................................................................... 8
TOWARD AN OPEN TERM AND MULTIPARTY POLITICS...................................................................................... 8
HOW DID NRM SEEK TO CONTROL THE TRANSITION PROCESS? ORGANISATIONAL,
CONSTITUTIONAL, AND LEGAL CONSEQUENCES OF RE-INTRODUCING MULTI PARTY
COMPETITION............................................................................................................................................... 9
THE PRE-ELECTION PHASE............................................................................................................................. 10
The referendum on multiparty politics..................................................................................................... 10
The lifting of presidential term limits....................................................................................................... 11
THE ELECTION CAMPAIGN PHASE.................................................................................................................. 12
Election finance .......................................................................................................................................12
Control of media ......................................................................................................................................12
Employment of the courts, the police and the military in NRM-O’s election bid..................................... 12
THE 2006 ELECTION RESULTS........................................................................................................................ 13
CONCLUSION...............................................................................................................................................14
REFERENCES ...............................................................................................................................................16
CMI WORKING PAPER TURNAROUND: MULTIPARTY SYSTEM IN UGANDA … WP 2007: 12
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Introduction
This article1 addresses the process behind the National Resistance Movement’s (NRM) decision to
open for a reintroduction of multiparty politics. The restrictions on party activity that was
introduced when the NRM assumed power in 1986 were upheld in a referendum in 2000, but soon
after the 2001 elections, a process was initiated that led to a u-turn on the issue. On 28 February
2003, to the astonishment of most observers, President Museveni announced that the Movement
National Executive Committee (NEC) and the National Conference would meet to discuss the
return of multiparty politics. The NEC meeting held in March 2003 and the following National
Conference agreed in principle that the country should open up for multiparty politics.
Why would a political movement that had been in power for two decades expose itself to
competition, and at least theoretically, risk loosing the 2006 elections? Is this turnaround of the
NRM leadership explained by external pressure from the international environment or should it be
attributed to debates within the NRM? In this article we seek to explain why the NRM opened for a
transition to multiparty politics and how the NRM leadership sought to remain in control of the
transition process. We do so by relating the case of Uganda to theoretical perspectives that explain
under what circumstances political movements, organisations or parties decide to implement
fundamental changes. We argue that the impetus for change is explained by decline of support for
the NRM in the 2001 elections, where Museveni’s former ally, Col. K. Besigye, opposed him in the
presidential election and received 29 per cent of the votes. How the NRM proceeded to implement
the transition process is better explained by office seeking strategies: Through its control of the
government, parliament, and the public sector, the NRM-O2 was able to tilt the playing field and
minimise the possibility for the opposition to win in the 2006 elections.
The article is organised as follows: Section two provides a brief historical background to the
Uganda case and presents the NRM Executive Committee report that opened for a referendum on
the multiparty question in 2005. Section three presents two hypotheses explaining organisational
change related to pressure from the international environment and internal organisational conflicts.
These perspectives are then applied to our discussion of political developments within the
Movement system from 1986 to 2005. Section four presents a theoretical perspective on how an
incumbent may maximise its chance of re-election and applies this perspective to an analysis of the
pre-election and election phases of the 2006 elections. A fifth section concludes the paper.
The Movement political system in Uganda
Uganda has had a volatile and violent history as an independent state. Initially it was a multi-party
system, but became a one-party state in 1966, led by Milton Obote. In 1971 Obote was deposed by
the army, which under the leadership of General Idi Amin, established one of Africa's most brutal
dictatorships. The economy collapsed as a result of corruption and the forced emigration of the
Indian business community. Eight years later (in 1979) Amin was overthrown by a rebel army,
1 This paper is part of the research project ”The Institutional and Legal Context of the 2006 Presidential and Parliamentary
Elections in Uganda” (http://www.cmi.no/uganda), sponsored by a grant from the Royal Norwegian Embassy, Kampala.
The authors wish to thank participants in the project for valuable comments, and in particular Peter Burnell, Gero Erdman,
Siri Gloppen, Mette Kjær, Ragnhild Muriaas and Arne Tostensen.
2 With the introduction of a multi-party system and the passing of the Political Parties and Organisations Act in 2005
NRM changed its name to NRM-Organisation (NRM-O). In popular parlance, the terms NRM (referring to the former
Movement system) and NRM-O (referring to the party NRM in a multiparty context) is often mixed
CMI WORKING PAPER TURNAROUND: MULTIPARTY SYSTEM IN UGANDA … WP 2007: 12
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supported by Tanzania. Elections in the following year returned Obote to power, but his rule
triggered more armed resistance and he was deposed in a military coup in 1985, which subsequently
was defeated in 1986 when the National Resistance Army (NRA), led by Yoweri Museveni
captured the capital. Following the civil war Uganda has remained politically stable, but armed
conflicts has persisted in the Northern parts of the country3. The elections held on February 23,
2006 - the first multiparty election since 1980 – represented a new stage in the development of
Uganda’s polity.
In a comparative perspective Uganda is an example of what Hyden (2006: 39) calls ‘a renewal of
the movement idea’. While many African parties derive from movements, they have usually done
so from fighting the colonial power. Rwanda, Ethiopia and Eritrea are, together with Uganda, a
unique group of countries in which the governing movement ousted an incumbent African regime –
not a colonial power. The movement system that was introduced in Uganda when the NRM came to
power in 1986 was based on the principles of participatory democracy and a major feature of the
system was the establishment of Resistance Councils (RCs) in every village. Renamed Local
Councils in 1997, the local councils are part of a five-tier structure that starts at the village level
(LCI) and progress from parish, sub-county, county and finally the district level (LC V). All
Ugandans were declared members of NRM and party activities were subject to strict limitations that
prohibited delegates’ conferences and the sponsoring of candidates for elections (Barya 2000,
Carbone 2003). Until the February 2006 elections, all elected representatives in the LCs and the
national legislature – a total of 945.351 seats - were elected on individual merit.
The decision to re-introduce the multi party system
On 18 December 2001 the National Executive Committee (NEC) of NRM appointed an ad-hoc
committee with the mandate to: ‘...examine the performance of the Movement system in light of
current political trends/developments, including the calls to open up to political party pluralism,
with a view to guide the political future of this country’ (NEC 2002: Executive summary: iii). The
committee submitted its report in April 2002. After reviewing the Movement’s strength and
weaknesses, the arguments in favour of, and in opposition to, changing the current system, the
committee summed up its deliberations in three possible scenarios for the Movement (NEC 2002:
Executive Summary: xiii):
a) The continuation of the Movement in governance, but with improvements as pointed
out by the committee, and continuation of restrictions on political parties.
b) The continuation of the Movement in governance, continuation of restrictions on
political parties, but the NRM organisation should become the organ of the Movement
political system (thus, establishing a one party system).
c) Political pluralism, in which those who believe in the Movement should organise
themselves into a political organisation.
The report concluded that opening for political pluralism was the best option. Although the
committee praised the achievements of the Movement since its capture of power in 1986, they
addressed some key weaknesses. According to the committee, the role of ideology had declined and
there were examples of corrupt behaviour. The all-inclusive nature of the Movement provided space
for opponents bent on destroying the Movement system from within. Legal developments had not
3 While the civil war that brought Museveni to power in 1986 has brought peace and stability in many parts of Uganda, in
Northern Uganda, close to 90 per cent of the population lives in refugee camps, ostensibly to protect the population for
terror attacks from the Lords Resistance Army (LRA). More than 20 years later, the security of the people’s of Northern
Uganda is still not guaranteed and both the population in Northern Uganda and the international community lament the
NRM government for ignoring the plight of the people in Northern Uganda (Bøås and Hatløy 2005).
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taken into consideration the need to strengthen NRM as an organisation separate from the state.
NEC presented four reasons for its recommendation to prefer political pluralism. First, the
transformation of NRM into a party would provide ‘the opportunity to purify itself of those people
that are in the system because of the concept of broadbasedness’. Second, by opening up for
multiparty politics, opponents would be deprived of ‘the weapon they have been using to malign the
Movement accusing it of being undemocratic’. Third, the change would ‘enhance Uganda’s
relationship with our development partners and facilitate our access to world markets and
international aid’. Finally it was argued that ‘political pluralism is the current world trend and
Uganda can ill afford to detach herself from the rest of the world’ (NEC 2002: 114-115).
Based on the official justifications presented in the report, it is evident that the decision to u-turn on
the issue of multiparty politics was linked both to concerns internal to the Movement and pressure
from the international community. But, were internal organisational differences and international
pressures equally important and expressed at the same time? Who were the main agents for the
change witnessed? Below, we first analyse the processes leading to the decision to open up for
multiparty politics from an international perspective, emphasising the role of the international donor
community. Second, we discuss the change from an institutional perspective, emphasising the
power struggles between various fractions within the Movement. The analysis suggests that internal
disagreements and power struggles preceded international criticism of the movement political
system.
Why did the NRM abandon its monopoly position and
expose itself to competition?
The Movement system, also characterised as a ‘no-party system’, has been praised as well as
criticised, by domestic and international actors and observers (Salih (2003, Mugaju and Oloka-
Onyango 2000, Ssenkumba (2000, Tangri 2006, Dicklitch 2000, Carbone 2003). If not initially,
than at least at some point, according to these critics, the NRM appeared to have assumed most of
the characteristics of a political party, and by implication that Uganda had become more like a one-
party, or at least a dominant party system. Whether the NRM was still a movement or had become a
party is of limited significance to our discussion. What is essential is that an institution holding
monopoly on political power would make a decision – which at least theoretically – could lead to it
being ousted from power. The recommendation to re-introduce a multiparty system meant that
NRM had to make a complete turn-around from a position it had advocated for almost two decades
and which as recently as in 2000 had received overwhelming support in a – admittedly disputed –
referendum (Bratton and Lambright 2001). Museveni (1992) had argued that parties were suitable
for developed countries because there, the divisions in society are based on division of labour and
are therefore principled. However, divisions in backward societies like Uganda were unprincipled
and based on parochial considerations such as ethnicity, religion, and region. Lacking a sizeable
middle class, it was not possible to practise meaningful multiparty democracy.. However, a central
question that increasingly manifested itself in the debates around the 1995 Constitution, the 1996
elections and the 2000 referendum was whether the Movement system was to be regarded as a
permanent or transitional system pending the day when Uganda could become a ‘real multiparty
democracy’ .
Internal and external explanations for organisational change
In the literature on regime change several explanations are offered to explain why an incumbent
monopolist would decide to make changes risking its monopoly power. Analyses of third world
regimes have underlined the dependence of such regimes on external factors (Remmer 1997,
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Bratton and van de Walle 1997, van de Walle 2001). In particular with reference to indebted and aid
dependent regimes in sub-Saharan Africa, scholars have argued that the international donor
community has influenced processes of democratisation in Africa by making democratic reforms a
condition for maintaining donor support (Abrahamsen 2000, Mkandawire 1999). From this
perspective, the re-introduction of a multi party system should be interpreted as a response to
demands from the international donor community. As witnessed in the ad-hoc committee’s report,
Uganda’s relationship with the international donor community was listed as a reason why the NRM
initiated the processes of multiparty politics. This is not surprising in the context of Uganda’s (and
sub-Saharan Africa’s) dependence on the international environment for financial assistance. The
extent to which the u-turn is the result of international pressure should therefore be witnessed by a
documented and consistent demand for the re-introduction of multiparty system from the
international donor community.
The literature on party institutions offers additional perspectives. The important point here is that
political leaders will prefer to remain in office and will consequently make decisions that maximise
this outcome. This decision must balance between several constraints, or multiple games in
Tsebelis’ conception (Tsbelis 1990). One political concern is the internal power struggles within
NRM. According to Panebianco (1988), political parties are heavily influenced by circumstances
internal to the organisation. All organisations are to some extent ‘coalitions’. This is even more the
case for broad based social movements which are loosely organised and less focused ideologically.
As a consequence, when a broad movement is transformed into a political party, the different
streams in the party will battle for control of the organisation. As the party becomes stabilised and
the circumstances for its origin fade as a raison d’etre for its existence, various groups will have
different ideas of which way to move forward. From an institutionalist perspective, the NRM u-turn
on the multiparty question could therefore be interpreted as the result of conflict between different
factions within the movement. As conservative organisations, parties are only likely to change when
they are exposed to dramatic events with an impact on their organisation (Harmel and Janda 1994).
Within this perspective, Besigye’s decision to challenge Museveni in the 2001 election and the
significant support he received may be interpreted as a ‘shock’ to the ruling elites, forcing them to
reconsider the position of the movement.
The international dimension and the explanatory weight of
international pressure
In Uganda, as elsewhere, the international donor community has, as a matter of principle, favoured
a multiparty system that would allow for meaningful political contestation between different
political alternatives. The economic importance of the donors to Uganda can hardly be overstated.
Uganda is heavily dependent on foreign economic assistance; more than is the case in Sub-Saharan
Africa in general.4 Aid as a percentage of Gross National Income increased from 9.9 in 1999 to 17.3
in 2004. By 1999 the amount of foreign aid accounted for 70.6% of government expenditure.
Approximately 40 bilateral and multilateral donors provide this aid5. Yet, while the donor
community has always argued for a multi-party system, they have not made it a condition for
continued economic support (Hauser 1999: 632). For example, the Norwegian government aid to
Uganda was originally not explicitly concerned with the no-party system (NORAD 2001). Uganda
was praised for its economic policies and particularly for its program to eradicate poverty. The
guidelines for Norwegian aid to Uganda merely noted that Uganda had a no-party system, and the
support for governance issues was to be concentrated on anti-corruption efforts and support to the
4 http://siteresources.worldbank.org/DATASTATISTICS/Resources/table6-11.pdf (accessed 16.11.06
5 In 2003 86% of the aid came from the 10 largest donors with the World Bank contributing 25%, the US 18%, UK 10%
and the EC 8% (Lister et al. 2006). The Netherlands, Ireland, Denmark and Norway are also contributing significantly
with aid ranging from US$ 64 to 40 million. http://oecd.org/dataoecd/12/32/1883200.gif (accessed 16.11.06)
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human rights commission. Norwegian bi-lateral aid to Uganda increased consistently from app.
US$10 million in 1992 to US$ 60 million 1999. After some years of decreasing support, the aid
level increased consistently until 2005 when it reached approximately US$ 65 million.6 Norwegian
aid policies are consistent with most other bilateral donors in Uganda (DFID 1999, USAID 2005).
Several reasons may explain why the donors refrained from explicitly emphasising the lack of
multiparty politics in Uganda. Haynes (2001) argues that donors “were prepared to put up with
Museveni’s no-party system if for no other reason than because they valued immensely his ability to
build stability in the country; in addition they came to realise that there was, in fact, very little they
could practically do if the regime steadfastly set its face against Western demands for political
reforms” (Haynes 2001: 202).7 In addition, Uganda was considered to perform well on other
significant aspects of the good governance agenda, particularly in relation to economic governance
and in combating HIV/Aids. Thus, showing considerable progress on other aspects of the donor
community’s governance agenda, it was difficult to attack NRM for not allowing a multiparty
system. The largest bilateral donor country, Britain, argued that those favouring a multiparty system
should be given a fair chance to advocate for their preference (DFID 1999, p.3), but also pointed out
that “..its (Uganda’s) people must be free to decide what form of democracy they prefer.” Similarly,
the United States accepted the no-party system although it officially called for a multiparty system:
“Of course, countries like the United States are always encouraging nations around the world to
move as fast as they possibly can toward a more open society, more open forms of democracy. But
at the end of the day, it is not something the United States can impose on a country. We certainly
can encourage that”.8
There were also different priorities among the donors and conflicting objectives between different
aid programmes carried out by the same donor government. American policy towards Uganda
illustrates very well the conflicting objectives: “U.S. interests in Uganda are twofold. Uganda is a
critical player in the region in leading efforts to address regional conflicts peacefully; development
and political stability in Uganda is key to East Africa's integration into the global marketplace”
(USAID 2005). And the U.S. Department of State noted that ‘Uganda is a strong supporter of the
global war against terrorism. The United States is helping Uganda achieve export-led economic
growth through the African Growth and Opportunity Act and provides a significant amount of
development assistance. At the same time, the United States is concerned about continuing human
rights problems and the pace of progress toward the establishment of genuine political pluralism’9.
Compared to earlier regimes the NRM government’s human-rights record and democratic
credentials were considered a great improvement. In addition, the NRM scored well on other
objectives linked to basic human needs. In this perspective it seemed odd to insist on a multiparty
system.
Seeking to understand why the NRM decided to abandon its monopoly on power it is significant to
note that it was only after the multi-party system had been re-introduced by the NRM leadership in
2003 that donors decided to use their leverage. In 2004 Britain, Norway, Sweden, the Netherlands,
Germany together with the African Development Bank and the World Bank launched their joint aid
strategy UJAS- Uganda Joint Assistance Strategy in order to better coordinate their aid
programmes10. This coordination was, in part, considered an attempt to force the regime to allow the
opposition parties a fair chance in the election. In December 2005 Britain announced a £ 27 million
cut in their budget support and stated that they would withhold a further £5 million until after the
February 2006 elections. This decision was a direct consequence of the arrest of Kizza Besigye
6 http://odin.dep.no/ud/norsk/tema/utvikling/samarbeid/statistikk/032131-990019/dok-bn.html (accessed 17.11.06)
7 Se also Tangri and Mwenda 2006 for a similar point regarding corruption.
8 Secretary of State Colin Powell in a press conference in Kampala 2001
9 http://www.state.gov/r/pa/ei/bgn/2963.htm (accessed 25.11.06).
10 http://www.dfid.gov.uk/pubs/files/joint-assistance-strat-uganda.pdf( Austria joined in 2006).
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(November 2005). Norway, Sweden, Ireland and the Netherlands also cut their budget support11.
Denmark also withheld funds meant to support the election process itself.12 Thus, when the major
donors eventually reacted to the issue of multipart system, it was a reaction to the problems
associated with the implementation of the transition to multiparty system. Their involvement can
hardly be said to have caused the transition in the first place (see also Barya 2006: 43). 13 The
aftermath of the 2006 election supports this perspective. In spite of a much criticised election
process, donor support continues. We therefore conclude that the explanations of NRM’s
turnaround on the multiparty issue must be sought within the NRM and the various streams or
factions that can be identified within the organisation.
Internal factionalism: Developments within the movement system
1986-2005
During the guerrilla war against the second Obote government, the National Resistance Army
(NRA) established resistance councils (RC) in the villages under its control. When NRA took power
in 1986 and established itself as NRM it aimed to spread the institution nation wide as a basis of its
administration. However, there was no formal, legal basis for the RCs as the NRM relied on the
legitimacy it had earned as the ouster of the hated Obote regime. It was only after the RC structures
had been established that a legal basis for the NRM rule was created with the adoption of the
constitution in 1995 and the Movement Act of 1997. However, these acts did not differentiate
between the State of Uganda and the Movement as an organisation separate from the state. The
Movement structure was until February 2006 directly funded by the Ugandan state. It was only after
the repeal of the Political Parties and Organisations act and the registration of NRM-O as a party
that a party constitution for NRM-O was adopted. Thus, there were no rules for how the Movement
should be governed as opposed to how Uganda should be governed ( Goetz 2002).
Critical observers have argued that the period preceding the 1995 Constitution saw a different kind
of a movement. NRM was fairly tolerant of divergent views and accommodated members of various
political parties and allowed multi-media political debate on almost every issue (Kasfir and
Twebaze 2005). Despite the all-inclusive ambitions, it proved difficult to accept dissent from people
who disagreed with the principle of the Movement system, from those that disagreed with the
Movement on political grounds, and from people who did not approve of Museveni’s leadership. As
a result, identifiable fractions emerged within the movement. One group comprised the armed
forces and police forces of the state. A second is identified as the so called ‘movement historicals’,
within this latter group there were politicians that expressed openness to pluralist reforms and
criticism of the dominance of Museveni and his close associates. As a third group, we identify the
new generation of politicians that emerged over time with different experiences and political views
than the veteran NRM group drawing their experiences from the guerrilla warfare. As we will show,
the ‘broad based’ government, NRM term for its consultative spirit (Museveni 1997), changed
markedly in the period leading up to the 2001 elections (HRW 1999).
11 http://www.dfid.gov.uk/news/files/pressreleases/uganda-reduction.asp
12 Museveni dismissed the actions of the bilateral donor agencies: “When you listen to outsiders, you make
mistakes…Yielding to pressure from outsiders has been our big mistake in some cases. We will never do it again” (The
Monitor, 22 December 2005).
13 Arguably, Uganda’s international environment is wider than the international donor governments. In this perspective, it
should be noted that Uganda was the only country in Eastern Africa that had not opened for multiparty politics and,
increasingly, the no-party system looked like an anomaly in the wider regional context. Nevertheless, the main concern
raised by the neighbouring countries was not related to the multiparty issue, but the decision to remove the term
limitations on the presidency which was criticised by the Tanzanian president. In general, few states would like to become
embroiled in the domestic politics of a neighbour. Overall, it may therefore be argued that the leaders of the other
neighbouring countries had domestic political problems to cope with and were not in a position to take a higher moral
stand on the multiparty issue.
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The role of the armed forces
Upon taking power, NRM controlled the civilian state apparatus and could also transform itself
from a guerrilla movement to a government equipped with a defence force. All the leading
personnel in the UPDF (Uganda Peoples Defence Force), the various police forces and the
presidential guard came from the Movement. A symbol of the status of the UPDF is its special
representation in the National Assembly. The appointment of the leadership of the UPDF is the
prerogative of the President of Uganda (Constitution of the Republic of Uganda 1995). Due to the
active role of the army in restoring stability in Uganda after 1986, increasingly, the army and
security agencies became key institutions from which the president and cabinet derived its power
(Kituo Cha Katiba 2002). Interviews with female MPs and cabinet ministers, led Goetz to argue that
increasingly central policy issues were only debated by a tight circle of close army comrades of the
president, popularly known as ‘the Movement Political High Command’ (Goetz 2002: 571). The
linkage, personally and institutionally, between the President and the defence and police forces
meant that these institutions could potentially be used to the advantage of Museveni against internal
opposition to his leadership.
When Colonel Kizza Besigye, a veteran of the bush struggle and twice State Minister in the NRM
cabinet at the November 2000 National Conference announced his candidacy for the presidency,
fractions within the army group became evident. Dr. Besigye was one of ten army representatives to
the Constituent Assemby (CA) in 1994. Together with two other army representatives he argued
that the NRM should be considered a transitional arrangement and that the ban on parties should be
lifted before the 1996 elections (Onyango-Obbo 2001). This minority position was rejected by the
CA. In November 1999 Besigye delivered the most far-reaching critique of the Movement. Echoing
perspectives of Ugandan and international scholars, Besigye presented an ‘insiders view’ of the
decreasing tolerance for opposition within the Movement and accused the NRM government of
being undemocratic and corrupt (Besigye 1999).Col Besigye was subsequently threatened with
court martial. Besigye’s critique revealed a fraction within the Movement that also divided the army
representatives between the groups that regarded the no-party system as a temporary device and
those that saw the Movement as an ideal form of leadership. The army’s loyalty to Museveni, as
opposed to the Movement, became evident in the 2001 elections when soldiers attacked Museveni’s
opponents and beat and harassed voters and activists from the opposition (Uganda Parliament 2002;
HRW 2006).
The ‘historicals’
The ‘historicals’ is a faction that is clearly defined in the statutes of NRM-O. It refers to individuals
who were members of specified NRM units at specific dates in 1986 and 1987.14 Parts of this group
were also unhappy with the system of election that favoured particular candidates and relegated
others. Members of this group are also reported to have objected to the NRM pressure on the
constitutional commission to write the ‘no party system’ into the 1995 Constitutions (Goetz 2002:
574, fn 14). In the run-up to the 2001 elections, the National Executive Committee (NEC) of NRM
was convened in November 2000 to discuss the candidacy for post of president. At this meeting,
Museveni was declared as a sole candidate for the Movement. This decision contravened the 1995
Constitution which stipulated that under the Movement all positions were open for competition by
any qualified Ugandan citizen. After critical debates, the following resolutions were adopted:
“Bearing in mind his contribution to the building of the Movement and the country and confident of
his potential to make further contribution to the Movement, H.E. Yoweri K. Museveni is urged to
contest the forthcoming presidential elections” (The Monitor 25, November 2000). However, this
14 Constitution of the National Resistance Movement (NRM) (2003), para. 27 (1-3).
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position was debated among ‘founding members’ of the NRM and the rift was exposed when the
debate resurfaced after the 2001 elections.
The young parliamentarians
A third faction emerged inside the movement, particularly during the 6th parliament. In the 1997-
2001 Parliament 97 young/new MPs formed ‘the young parliamentarians group’. As new and
younger politicians without the background from the resistance, this group objected to what they
perceived as increasing corruption and lack of willingness among the NRM leadership group to
accept criticism and initiate reform. In the absence of functioning parties, the organisational basis
for this opposition was the parliamentary caucuses which flourished during the 6th and 7th
parliaments. The largest caucuse in the 6th parliament was the Young Parliamentarians Association
(YPA), a group of young Movement MPs who used their parliamentary position to oppose what
they saw as power concentration in the executive (Kasfir and Twebaze 2005). The YPA members
who returned to the 7th parliament formed its successor, the Parliamentary Advocacy Forum
(PAFO)15, and MPs from this group later formed into the party Forum for Democratic Change
(FDC). According to a member of the PAFO Caucus in parliament: “The Movement Caucus
essentially died and there were no venues beyond the plenary sessions. By 2000 parliament was left
as an empty shell” (Ibid).
In terms of electoral politics, the turning point in Movement politics appeared in the year 2000. For
the first time movement leaders began to openly question the government of Uganda. Concerns with
growing levels of corruption, and exposal of corruption cases involving senior NRM politicians and
army personnel, were voiced in parliament (Tangri and Mwenda 2001). One of the leading critics of
the Movement in parliament was Mbarara Municipality MP, Winnie Byanyima who at that time
also served as the Director for Information at the NRM Secretariat, the wife of Kizza Besigye,
Museveni’s main challenger in 2001 and 2006 elections. Besigye’s strong electoral performance
and the violence perpetrated by the NRM leadership against his supporters, exposed a rift in the
NRM. Before the 2001 elections, Museveni campaigned for NRM parliamentary candidates and
actively campaigned against many of the leading spokespersons against corruption and Museveni’s
leadership in the previous parliament (Kasfir and Twebaze 2005). As a result, the 7th parliament
(2001-2006) had a lower profile and made fewer efforts to curb the executive.
With hindsight, it may be argued that Museveni’s campaign for particular parliamentary candidates
in the 2001 elections was a preparation for 2006. While it was generally understood that
constitutionally, Museveni was serving his last term in office as President, shortly after the 2001
elections Museveni began a process to change the Constitution to secure a removal of the two-term
limit to the presidency. The ad-hoc committee was appointed after the 2001 election was an element
in this process. The election result and the electoral process had suggested that the NRM leadership
risked loosing their grip on the political developments. While lifting the term limits of the
presidency was not part of the ad-hoc committee’s mandate, the process to ensure this outcome had
already started.
Toward an open term and multiparty politics
The National Executive Committee (NEC) of the Movement met on March 3, 2002, to consider two
motions introduced for discussion. The first concerned the opening up of political space, with a
view that some people who were uncomfortable being in the Movement get the freedom to leave
and form their own organisations if they so wished. Central movement politicians argued that by
15 The main, reason according to one of the founding members of YPA and PAFO, was that YPA at this time had come
under the control of the NRM leadership. Personal interview S. Musumba, vice-president FDC June 1, 2006.
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opening political space, the NRM would be better organised and strengthened internally and thus
function as a more coherent political organisation. Other delegates argued in favour of the motion
on the basis that multipartyism was the general trend everywhere and Uganda could not afford to be
an “island”. The NRM Secretariat led by Dr C. Kiyonga, the National Political Commissar, argued
the case for retaining the Movement system – that it had massive support, it was non-sectarian, and
had made a great contribution to re-building the country. As we have seen, the meeting of NEC
ended with the conclusion that political space be opened.
Another motion was then introduced by Hon. Jessica Eriyo, the Woman MP for Adjuman district.
The motion sought to delete Article 105 (2) of the Constitution on presidential term limits. It is
reported that this motion took many delegates by surprise, including some Ministers who argued
that they had not been briefed about this motion (Mulumba 2005) In the course of the debate – the
group that was supporting this motion argued that it was not wise to open up political space and
remove the driver of the transition from the cabin, meaning Museveni. This was used as a key
reason for retaining Museveni. However, other delegates, including some ministers, openly opposed
this motion. Shortly after, at the National Movement Conference (March 2002), Minister Ssali
rejected the amendment of article 105 (2) on lifting term limits. According to reports of the meeting,
Museveni lost his cool during the debate and told Ssali: “Who are you?” and added that he was a
mere “spoke in the wheel” (Mulumba 2005). This was the clearest indication that Museveni was
determined to change the Constitution and to stand for a third term. After the March meetings of the
NRM and the NEC, three ministers (Eriya Kategaya, Miria Matembe and Jaberi Bidandi) who were
opposed to lifting the term limits were dismissed from government.
Thus, over time several internal conflicts had emerged. Political differences within the old NRM
leadership were also fuelled by concerns over corruption, and the increasing centralisation around
the president and his family.16 In addition, over time, a new generation of parliamentarians had
emerged with their own agenda and for whom the ‘glue’ of the Movement’s history was less
significant. All of this pulled the NRM apart, triggered by the 2001 election. Adding to the
fragmentation was the combination of the opening of the political space and the issue of term
limitation. For the leadership group, the opening of the political space was made contingent on the
lifting of the term limitations. Opening the political space would silence the donors and the
opposition groups within as well as outside of the Movement itself, while lifting the term limits
would mean the return of the incumbent leadership. Thus, the decision to reintroduce multiparty
system was intimately linked with the ‘kisanja issue’: The lifting of term limitation for the election
of president, ensuring the re-election of Museveni.
How did NRM seek to control the transition process?
Organisational, constitutional, and legal consequences of
re-introducing multi party competition
The literature on parties emphasise that politicians are primarily motivated by the attractions of
political office (Harmel and Janda 1994). Thus, they will seek to maximise the probability of
winning, or in the case incumbents, to remain in office. The literature on African parties underlines
this argument and emphasises how crucial access to public office is for elites, not least because of
the absence of attractive alternatives. This stimulates a strong motivation to use “every trick in the
book” to obtain this goal. At the same time, one of the most common claims in this literature is that
African political parties are vehicles for party leaders (de Walle 2003) and that the internal
16 The President’s brother is chief of the Presidential Guard, a major security arm of the government, and his son is an MP.
The president’s wife was elected MP in February 2006.
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organisation of the parties leaves little room for internal democracy. The party leader dominates
over the organisation, what (Ihonvbere 1998) calls ‘the leadership fixation of African parties’. In the
African context, it has also been pointed out that the blurring of the boundary between party and
state, gives rise to corruption. Access to the state therefore involves more than the prestige of
winning office. Of all offices, the presidency is the supreme because of its dominance in the
political system. Thus, the combination of ‘African party organisation’, the desire for access to state
resources, and the importance of the presidential office, result in strategic calculation to maximise
an electoral wining strategy.
As we will demonstrate, once the decision was made to move away from the Movement system to a
system of competing political parties, the NRM strategy was to minimise the likelihood of loosing
to any of its competitors. NRM’s strategy can be divided into two phases. In the first phase, the pre-
election period, the Movement used its government status to alter the rules in its favour, and in the
second phase, the actual election campaign period, NRM used its incumbency position to tilt the
playing field to its advantage.
The pre-election phase
The pre-election phase began with the Constitutional Review Commission appointed in 2003 and
culminated with the 2005 referendum on multiparty politics, the constitutional amendment that
lifted the two term limits to the presidency, the 2005 Political Organisations and Parties Act and
finally the 2006 presidential and parliamentary elections. Through these processes, Uganda
officially transformed from a Movement system to a multiparty system. However, the protracted
transition enabled the NRM to control the process.
A so-called omnibus bill was presented to Parliament on 15 February 2005. The bill was intended to
amend an array of articles of the 1995 Uganda Constitution. It resulted from the report and
recommendations of the Constitutional Review Commission, which was submitted to the
government on 10 December 2003. In one go the government proposed to amend 114 articles and
schedules in the Constitution.17 On 7 April 2005, the government decided to withdraw the
controversial Constitutional Amendment Bill from the House. Instead, the government tabled two
separate Bills before Parliament on 5 April: Bill no. 2 and Bill no. 3. Amendment Bill no. 2 dealt
with amendments that required approval by the District Councils, while Amendment Bill no. 3
concerned amendments that required approval by Parliament only. However, the government noted
that Article 74 on changing the political system from Movement to multi-party would not be
amended. Instead, the government would move a motion calling for a referendum on that matter.
Thus, against the initial vote of parliament, civil society, the donors and the opposition the NRM
government conducted a referendum to decide on the issue of a return to multiparty politics. Other,
more controversial issues of the constitutional amendment process were left for a decision by
parliament.
The referendum on multiparty politics
Some MPs, the opposition parties, civil society, and donors argued that a referendum was an
unnecessary and costly procedure to decide the issue of a return to multiparty politics in a context
where both the opposition and the government supported the change. Regardless of concerns voiced
by civil society, opposition parties and the international donor community, the NRM government
pressed ahead with the issue. The argument voiced most explicitly by President Museveni was that
17 The Bill was meant to forestall a repeat of the Constitutional Amendment Act of 2000, which the Constitutional Court
nullified on the grounds that it indirectly amended certain entrenched articles of the Constitution (New Vision 14 March
2005).
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the referendum was a ‘house cleaning exercise’ through which the NRM-O would rid itself of the
undesirable elements that have become a liability to the party as was noted by President Museveni
during a press conference in July 2005. In the 28 July 2005 referendum 92.5 per cent of the voters
voted in favour of a return to multiparty politics. However, the voter turn out was low with 47 per
cent of the registered voters (8.5 million) voting. The low voter turnout may in part be attributed
general confusion as to the purpose of the referendum exercise. The confusion relates to the fact that
Museveni as the Head of State and leader of NRM-O was campaigning in favour of a return to
multiparty politics despite the fact that he for nearly two decades had emphasised the virtues of the
Movement system. During the referendum campaign, the President did not adequately explain his
change of mind. Instead, he continued to criticise the political parties. NRM-O was represented in
both the pro-change camp and in the camp advocating the status quo. Thus, voters were faced with a
situation where the executive, and parts of the NRM together with the opposition parties,
campaigned for a return to multiparty politics, whereas other parts of the NRM system campaigned
against an opening of political space for political parties.
The lifting of presidential term limits
The Legal and Parliamentary Affairs Committee on 21 May 2005 voted 11 to 1 in favour of lifting
the presidential term limit. The stated reason for lifting the term limit is to enable a person who is
favoured by the electorate to hold office for more than two five year terms as prescribed in Article
105 (2).
Another legal element in the pre-election strategy of NRM-O was the implementation of the
procedures for registering political parties. Problems for the opposition started already when trying
to get registered as a party. The Political Parties and Organisation’s (PPO) act passed in 2002
required new parties to register and older parties to re-register. NRM-O was the first party to
register. The party filed its application on June 27, 2003 and was registered four months later. But
the registration process was not without problems for other parties. The Registrar General’s (RG)
office claimed that they had financial constraints that prevented them from carrying out the
verification of signatures in time. Thus, the opposition parties took much longer to be registered.
Forum for Democratic Change (FDC), which early emerged as the most serious contender to NRM-
O, was not registered until mid-December 2004, more than a year later than NRM-O. It is not clear
whether the financial constraints of the RG’s office were politically constructed or genuine
reflections of the economic constraints of Uganda, but the registration process had important
implications for the parties. Unless a party was formally registered it could not start operating. It
could not organise a convention, it could not establish district branch offices and it could not start
the process of candidate nomination. NRM-O therefore had a head start as a party compared to the
opposition. In March 2005, NRM launched its parliamentary caucus and in May, NRM-O’s interim
national executive committee established district committees charged with the task of mobilising
and registering party members. By July 2005, the party claimed to have recruited more than 12
million supporters, country wide (New Vision July 18, 2005). NRM-O Membership cards where
distributed free of charge. Although the PPO act granted all political parties a level ground to
contest for political power, at the same time it was made clear that the Movement system would
remain until after the 2006 elections based on Article 74 (a) of the constitution. It was argued that
the winding up of the movement system should be done in an orderly manner and that the
Movement secretariat had employment obligations (The Monitor 24 August 2005).
Finally, the timing of the elections was changed. Originally, they were scheduled for 13 March
2006, but were moved forward to 23 February 2006. This narrowed the time span between the
formal registration of the opposition parties, their organisation, and the nomination deadline for
candidates. One implication was that civil servants would find it difficult to stand as opposition
candidates because they could not meet the resignation deadline before they were nominated. Thus,
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a vital element in the whole process was the time perspective. The comprehensive legal and
constitutional changes were rushed through in a short time, the obstacles in party registration and
moving the elections forward, all impacted the opposition parties’ problems.
The election campaign phase
During the electoral campaign period three key factors were applied to the advantage of NRM:
election finance, control of media and the use of the judiciary, the police and the military.
Election finance
Although NRM-O officially become separate from the state, unlike the other political parties, it had
a claim on the national budget throughout the financial year 2005/06 and the Movement system
would remain in place until after the election. Although section 68 (1) of the Parliamentary
elections act makes it is an offence to influence another person to vote or refrain from voting
through the provision of money or gifts, numerous instances of candidates and parties offering gifts
and food at centres of worship and other social functions were reported in the Ugandan press and by
the civil society organisations monitoring the elections, the DEMGroup. The Coalition for Election
Finance Monitoring (CEFIM), a joint entity by the Anti corruption Coalition of Uganda (ACCU)
and Transparency International on 14 February 2006 gave a public statement expressing concern
about the unfettered use of public resources by or on behalf of the incumbent presidential candidate
(CEFIM 2006). According to the Director of Economic Affairs in the Office of the President, Mr.
Cheeye, NRM spent 50 billion shilling on the 2006 elections. (The Monitor April 26, 2006). NRM’s
main rival disclosed that they had spent 740 million shilling. As the NRM relied on government
funding through the Movement Secretariat, the NRM-O had a substantial advantage over its rivals
in the 2006 electoral race.
Control of media
Documentation by the DEMGroup, Uganda Journalists Safety Committee (UJSC 2006) shows clear
differences between various media channels in how much and in what way they covered the
candidates. According to that study Besigye and Museveni were given about equal coverage in all
print media taken together. However, radio is by far the most important media as it is available
through the whole country. Private radio stations varied somewhat with regard to whom they gave
the most coverage, but state radio and state television were overwhelmingly dominated by NRM: 61
per cent of the election news on state radio focused on NRM.18
Employment of the courts, the police and the military in NRM-O’s election bid
The 23 February 2006 elections were contested in a context of increasing military control of
Ugandan politics (Gloppen et al. 2006). Overt military repression and violence was less visible than
in the 2001 elections. However, subtler forms of repression were employed and key among these
attempts were the incumbent’s use of the courts to hinder the opposition from carrying out its
political tasks. The main legal obstacles were put in the way of FDC and its presidential candidate,
Dr. Kizza Besigye. He returned from exile in South Africa in late October 2005. On 14 November,
four weeks before the nomination of presidential candidates, but was arrested, sparking two days of
political violence, and charged with treason, concealment of treason and rape to have taken place in
1997. The case carried a death sentence which meant that bail could not be granted until after six
months – thus after the 2006 elections. On December 12 the opposition won an important battle
18 TV was even more biased, 88.5%, but the national impact of TV is much more limited.
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when the Electoral Commission (EC) declared that Besigye was eligible for nomination and that he
could be nominated in absentia, despite the stated opinion of the Attorney General who had adviced
the EC to reject the nomination (The Monitor, 13-14 December 2005). Although Besigye was in the
end released on bail, the court case proceeded during the election campaign, forcing him to break
off from the campaign trail.
The Ugandan army (UPDF) played a key role in the 2006 elections. Before the elections key
military personnel (among them Kale Kayihura) was promoted to key positions within the police
and media (Noble Mayombo). There were also instances of violence during the campaign. The
involvement and intimidation by different actors in the security sector affected the general
electorate by perpetrating fear and uncertainty. The arrest and prosecution of the FDC leader limited
his ability to campaign and it also demonstrated his vulnerability to the security structure. This
strategy effectively distracted the opposition candidates during their campaign, and it also
undermined their legitimacy as political leaders (Commonwealth 2006:27). There were also
reported cases of intimidation and interference in the polling exercise (Ssemogerere 2006). In
polling stations where the army voted, it was reported that the agents of opposition candidates were
denied access to stations and sent away (Makara and Rakner 2006).19
The 2006 election results
According to the official results Museveni was returned to office for a third term with a comfortable
majority (59.3%) with Besigye poling 37.5). As witnessed by table 1 NRM retained a two-thirds
majority of MPs. Thus at least officially, the 2006 elections were unique in the sense that a two
decade long era without active political parties came to an end and was replaced by party based
contestation. The surprising outcome of the election is perhaps not that NRM won, but that the
opposition did as well as they did, considering the unlevel playing field. The post election
developments have largely confirmed the continued dominance of the NRM. Many MP’s elected as
independents have joined the NRM, as have several MPs’ from the Ugandan People’s Congress.
The donors have continued their support for Uganda, in spite of the fact that the Electoral
Commission and the Supreme Court judgement on the presidential election acknowledged that there
were problems in the execution of the elections (Ssemogerere 2006).
19 A case in point was the army barracks at Kyamugashe hill. The barracks was created in 2002. Between 2002 and the
present election, there were few soldiers present but just before the 2006 elections approximately 500 soldiers were
transferred to the barracks. The barracks was gazetted as a polling station, outside the quarter guards. While there were
party agents for each candidate, the agents were soldiers or their wives and two of the polling assistants and the Presiding
Officer were soldiers. The soldiers and civilians voted in an orderly manner and the results from this polling station
revealed that Museveni got 98 per cent of the votes. No physical threats or intimidation of voters were reported, however,
the local residents argued that the presence of soldiers posed psychological intimidation as residents could not engage in
controversial debates about the candidates
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Table 1: 2006 parliamentary election results ( by region)20
Party name Number
and share
of Seats
Central
region Eastern
region Northern
region Western
region Special
Seats
National Resistance Movement
(NRM-O) 205
66.3% 49
(67%) 61
(73%) 18
(32%) 63
(89%) 14
(56%)
Forum For Democratic Change
(FDC) 37
12.0% 4
(5%) 15
(18%) 16
(28%) 2
(3%)
Democratic Party (DP) 8
2.6% 8
(11%)
Uganda Peoples Congress (UPC) 9
2.9% 1
(1%) 8
(14%)
Justice Forum (JEEMA) 1
0.3% 1
(1%)
Conservative Party (CP) 1
0.3% 1
(1%)
Independents 37
12.0% 10
(14%) 6
(7%) 14
(25%) 6
(8%) 1
(4%)
Non Partisan (UPDF) 10
3.2% 10
(40%)
Vacant21 1
0.3% 1
(2%)
Total no of seats 99.9 73 83 57 71 25
Conclusion
Above we have argued that the re-introduction of a multiparty system in Uganda primarily was
stimulated by internal conflicts between fractions within the NRM exposed in the 2001 elections
and much less by international (donor) pressure. We have also shown that the decision to open for
multiparty politics was made contingent on other constitutional changes which would allow the
executive and the central political leadership to remain in power.
After initially enjoying widespread domestic support and international acclaim, in the late 1990s the
NRM experienced internal disagreements. In NRM’s environment, the old parties challenged the
legal foundation for the no-party system. In the wider geographical context, Uganda’s system
looked increasingly out of touch with the democratisation wave that washed across Africa in the
early 1990s. The first serious challenge to the ruling coalition came in 2001 when Beigye opposed
Museveni in the presidential election, winning 29 per cent of the votes. The 2001 elections were
considered a setback to the NRM leadership and the conflicts prior to, during, and after the 2001
elections exposed the need for a new strategy. The combination of defections and opposition
strength tipped the balance inside the NRM in favour of a multiparty system that would deflect
international criticism of Uganda and allow time for NRM to organise the process for its own
20 The final results had at the time of writing (May 2007) not been released by the Electoral Commission. The figures here
have been compiled from a list of MPs provided by the parliamentary staff in mid May 2006, at the time of the opening of
Parliament and from various news sources; the New Vision election results web page at
http://newvisionuganda.info/election/; Uganda Gazette on March 27, cited in
http://www.monitor.co.ug/news/news040411.php; and media reports on a late election “Eriyo Retains Woman MP Seat”,
New Vision 24 April 2005 at http://allafrica.com/stories/200604241248.html . See also the Electoral Commission web
page at http://www.ec.or.ug/
21 The vacant seat is for Dodoth county constituency whose re-elected MP Ark Ael Lodou (NRM) died before Parliament
was sworn in. (The New Vision, 16 May, http://allafrica.com/stories/200605170683.html)
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benefit. By linking the return to multiparty politics to the removal of the term limits, the leadership
of NRM sought to maintain their positions and hold onto power.
During the whole process – from deciding on the procedure itself, making certain changes,
implementing measures – through the election itself – the government greatly affected the election
outcome. The fact that the movement system remained in operation until 23 February 2006
elections meant that the incumbent party was funded as a government entity through the 2006
elections. The NRM-O was registered as a political party a year before the other contending parties,
and was building its party structures on the extensive movement structures from the grassroots
levels to the top echelons of government. The failure to ensure a distinction between the NRM-O
and the state was witnessed through the use of public resources, public servants campaigning for the
NRM-O, lack of balance in media coverage, and the harassment of the main opposition candidate
and his supporters. As a result, none of the opposition parties were able to challenge the hegemony
of NRM.
The successful parliamentary election campaign of the First Lady, Mrs. Janet Museveni, illustrates
the importance of the continued Movement structure throughout the 2006 multiparty elections. She
was accompanied on her campaigns by state security agents and the Presidential Guard Brigade.
Her campaign slogan was ‘Okubiba embibo yentuura’ which literally means ‘planting a permanent
seed’. Reflecting on the challenging distinction between electoral governance and the broader
process of democratisation, it may be argued that the NRM planted a permanent seed in the 2006
elections that will continue to challenge the conduct of free and impartial elections in Uganda.
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SUMMARY
This article addresses the process behind the National Resistance Movement’s
(NRM) decision to open for a reintroduction of multiparty politics.
Why would a political movement that had been in power for two decades expose
itself to competition, and at least theoretically, risk loosing the 2006 elections?
Is this turnaround of the NRM leadership explained by external pressure from the
international environment or should it be attributed to debates within the NRM?
We seek to explain why the NRM opened for a transition to multiparty politics and
how the NRM leadership sought to remain in control of the transition process.
We do so by relating the case of Uganda to theoretical perspectives that explain
under what circumstances political movements, organisations or parties decide
to implement fundamental changes. We argue that the impetus for change
is explained by decline of support for the NRM in the 2001 elections, where
Museveni’s former ally, Col. K. Besigye, opposed him in the presidential election
and received 29 per cent of the votes. How the NRM proceeded to implement
the transition process is better explained by ofce seeking strategies: Through
its control of the government, parliament, and the public sector, the NRM-O was
able to tilt the playing eld and minimise the possibility for the opposition to win
in the 2006 elections
ISSN 0804-3639
ISBN 978-82-8062-219-8
... Activities that potentially could "interfere with the Movement Political System" were restricted and the operations of political parties were heavily qualified (Article 269). When the NRM regime decided to formally open for the reintroduction of a multiparty system in 2005, this was a calculated move and the central political leadership of the NRM was able to comfortably stay in control of the political process and make sure that the outcome favored their vested power interests-largely aided by the power imbalance enshrined in the Constitution, including the restrictions put on political parties (Makara, 2016;Makara et al., 2009). ...
... The heavily contested Political Parties and Organisations Bill restricting the operations of parties was finally passed in 2002. But as the process of institutionalizing the NRM as a party gathered momentum, internal elite struggles and institutional decay surfaced (Carbone, 2003;Makara et al., 2009). Toward the late 1990s, an active parliament frequently opposed the president's agenda and was arguably more powerful during these early movement system sessions than at any later stage (Keating, 2011). ...
... The new Electoral Commission had been packed with loyal former NRM stalwarts and the opposition had splintered into many old and new parties, often competing for the same seats, splitting votes, and bickering with each other (Makara, 2010). In the process, both the domestic opposition and the international community were largely sidelined by the promise of a reintroduction of multiparty politics (Makara et al., 2009). The opposition, in particular, was preoccupied with the daunting task of preparing for elections and building their own parties, respectively (Tripp, 2010). ...
Article
Full-text available
Why have most African countries not achieved greater political liberalization? What explains the lack of progress toward the ideals of liberal democracy across the region? This book advances ongoing debates on democratic backsliding with specific reference to Africa. In examining how incumbent leaders in African countries attempt to contain societal pressures for greater democracy, the chapters explain how governments go beyond the standard tools of manipulation, such as electoral fraud and political violence, to keep democracy from unfolding in their countries. The book emphasizes two distinct strategies that governments frequently use to reinforce their hold on power, but which remain overlooked in conventional analyses; —the legal system and the international system. It—documents how governments employ the law to limit the scope of action among citizens and civil society activists struggling to expand democratic liberties, including the use of constitutional provisions and the courts. The work further demonstrates how governments use their role in international relations to neutralize pressure from external actors, including sovereigntist claims against foreign intervention and selective implementation of donor-promoted policies. While pro-democracy actors can also employ these legal and international strategies to challenge incumbents, in some cases to prevent democratic backsliding, the book shows why and how incumbents have enjoyed institutional advantages when implementing these strategies through the six country case studies of Ghana, Kenya, Malawi, Uganda, Zambia, and Zimbabwe.
... Activities that potentially could "interfere with the Movement Political System" were restricted and the operations of political parties were heavily qualified (Article 269). When the NRM regime decided to formally open for the reintroduction of a multiparty system in 2005, this was a calculated move and the central political leadership of the NRM was able to comfortably stay in control of the political process and make sure that the outcome favored their vested power interests-largely aided by the power imbalance enshrined in the Constitution, including the restrictions put on political parties (Makara, 2016;Makara et al., 2009). ...
... The heavily contested Political Parties and Organisations Bill restricting the operations of parties was finally passed in 2002. But as the process of institutionalizing the NRM as a party gathered momentum, internal elite struggles and institutional decay surfaced (Carbone, 2003;Makara et al., 2009). Toward the late 1990s, an active parliament frequently opposed the president's agenda and was arguably more powerful during these early movement system sessions than at any later stage (Keating, 2011). ...
... The new Electoral Commission had been packed with loyal former NRM stalwarts and the opposition had splintered into many old and new parties, often competing for the same seats, splitting votes, and bickering with each other (Makara, 2010). In the process, both the domestic opposition and the international community were largely sidelined by the promise of a reintroduction of multiparty politics (Makara et al., 2009). The opposition, in particular, was preoccupied with the daunting task of preparing for elections and building their own parties, respectively (Tripp, 2010). ...
Chapter
Full-text available
Why have most African countries not achieved greater political liberalization? What explains the lack of progress toward the ideals of liberal democracy across the region? This book advances ongoing debates on democratic backsliding with specific reference to Africa. In examining how incumbent leaders in African countries attempt to contain societal pressures for greater democracy, the chapters explain how governments go beyond the standard tools of manipulation, such as electoral fraud and political violence, to keep democracy from unfolding in their countries. The book emphasizes two distinct strategies that governments frequently use to reinforce their hold on power, but which remain overlooked in conventional analyses; —the legal system and the international system. It—documents how governments employ the law to limit the scope of action among citizens and civil society activists struggling to expand democratic liberties, including the use of constitutional provisions and the courts. The work further demonstrates how governments use their role in international relations to neutralize pressure from external actors, including sovereigntist claims against foreign intervention and selective implementation of donor-promoted policies. While pro-democracy actors can also employ these legal and international strategies to challenge incumbents, in some cases to prevent democratic backsliding, the book shows why and how incumbents have enjoyed institutional advantages when implementing these strategies through the six country case studies of Ghana, Kenya, Malawi, Uganda, Zambia, and Zimbabwe.
... In 1986 the National Resistance Movement captured power and introduced a 'No Party Democracy' under Yoweri Museveni (Carbone, 2003). This dispensation lasted up to 2005 when the multiparty political system was introduced after a national referendum (Makara, Rakner, & Svåsand, 2009 (Hickey, 2013 andWolf &Potluri, 2018). ...
... Additionally, he has also always been rather reluctant to multiparty democracy. Instead, as also evident from the name of the ruling party -the National Resistance Movement (NRM)he (although somewhat ambiguously) understands himself to lead a broad-based "movement", encouraging the inclusion and participation of all in the name of maintaining peace and developing the country (Makara, Rakner, and Svåsand 2009;Stremlau 2018, chapter 6). Finally, in terms of defining democracy, Museveni has also often stated that he does not need lectures on democracy because he understands Ugandan democracy to be very different from the West's. ...
Chapter
How can journalist groups and media organisations resist government media capture?Governments in hybrid regimes seek to control the media sector, by, for instance, introducing laws and regulations that limit free speech, arresting journalists, corrupting licensing systems, and directing government advertisement to loyal media outlets. However, journalist groups, media houses, and media freedom organisations have sometimes been able to challenge the government’s attempts to subvert independent media. Theorising media capture as a dynamic form of contentious politics, we investigate Ugandan government’s strategies to restrict media freedom, and the strategies journalists and media freedom groups have employed to resist media capture. Drawing on original fieldwork data, including 40 semi-structured interviews with journalists and media freedom activists in Uganda, we analyse four strategies to curtail media freedom in the 2010s: regulatory interference, ownership, criminal prosecution, and direct repression. Our findings suggest that when the agents in the media sector have coordinated their efforts, combining legal action, protest, public advocacy, and/or media blackouts, they have been able to mitigate or halt government attempts to capture the media. Our case study of media capture in Uganda has some broader implications. Whereas previous literature sometimes seems to suggest media capture entails that a transitional state gets caught up in a stage where the mass media are unwilling to secure their independence from powerful vested interests, we suggested a dynamic account that allowed us to highlight that the targets of capture—journalists, media houses, and media freedom groups—have some agency to counteract media capture strategies. What limits their capacity to mobilise is not lack of will, but their weak organisations and precarious conditions.
Article
Multiparty politics in Uganda in some ways opened the political space for women and also reinforced the patriarchal nature of parliamentary and electoral politics. Women are increasingly used as appendages and tools to further the political dominance of the ruling government. So, while they seem to be visible, their voices and substantive representation is controlled by the parties’ executive wings. This paper identifies and describes the gender regimes of Ugandan political parties, showing how women are systematically alienated by party politics. The analysis of party constitutions and structures revealed antipathy towards gender equality demonstrated in male dominance of top positions and positions of valuable portfolios, deputization of women and the use of women’s leagues to promote party agendas. Although women’s participation is supported legislatively, there is a need for women’s leagues to operate autonomously from the party.
Article
Full-text available
The importance of democracy and the rule of law cannot be overemphasised, as they create an environment in which a country can promote development, protect its citizens, and ensure equal access to justice for all. The two are closely linked to each other: the rule of law is necessary for any democracy to function. However, the degree to which these ideals are achieved varies from country to country and depends on numerous internal and external factors. This article explores the extent to which Uganda and South Africa have achieved these ideals and the comparative lessons that the two countries could learn from each other. It begins by placing the concepts of democracy and rule of law in proper context, after which it explains the rationale for comparing the two countries, provides historical context, and looks at the current realities in these countries. Comparative lessons are then drawn. The general conclusion is that the experiences of Uganda and South Africa demonstrate the importance of maintaining the rule of law and ensuring democratic accountability. It is further concluded that they highlight the challenges to, and opportunities for, promoting democracy and the rule of law.
Article
In response to an unresponsive government, citizens in Uganda have reacted by constructing their own spaces of participation from below. These bottom-up participatory spaces help citizens to escape the repression of regimes and counter their elimination by political representatives and administrative elites from decision-making processes. However, the participatory instruments from below seemingly threaten the regime's survival and the elites’ hierarchies. Consequently, the use of bottom-up instruments in Uganda has often faced severe restrictions and control from the state through the use of online and digital communication laws. What is the level of integrity and fairness of digital policies and new online and digital communication laws in Uganda? The article profiles the monitoring of online instruments of participation by the state, and discusses the views of Ugandans towards the integrity and implementation of digital policies in Uganda.
Chapter
Full-text available
The proverbial winds of change that swept over sub-Saharan Africa in 1989 can be considered as part of a “third wave of democratization” that has profoundly affected the African continent. Although Africa has been generally described as having “infertile” soil for the successful implantation of democracy, multi-party democratic change is occurring. For example, in 1989, 39 of the 45 sub-Saharan African countries had authoritarian forms of rule,¹ whereas, by early 1995, 31 of the 45 sub-Saharan countries held democratic presidential or parliamentary elections.² There have, however, been significant democratic reversals, and Africanists are now questioning the sustainability of these traditions and lamenting their lack of consolidation. In several cases economic and political liberalization and the “rebirth of civil society” have accompanied this dramatic change of events. But there is little conclusive evidence that economic and political liberalization, and the existence of a civil society, will necessarily lead to democratic consolidation.
Article
Full-text available
The authors present a theory that seeks to explain why parties change their political strategies, organizational characteristics and issue positions. Whereas most of the existing literature on party change deals with party systems, the focus here is on individual parties. Whereas much of the literature views parties as responding more or less gradually to socioeconomic change, change is here regarded as a discontinuous outcome of specific party decisions linked to party goals. This approach is placed in the literature by reviewing extant theories of party change. Our theory itself is initially advanced in a discursive section which suggests that change does not `just happen', but instead results from leadership change, a change of dominant faction within the party, and/or an external stimulus for change. The article then presents a more formal exposition of this theory, consisting of definitions, assumptions, and a series of testable propositions. It concludes with illustrative examples of this theoretical framework.
Article
After raising hopes of a major political renewal, Africa's "second wave" of democratization seems to be running out of steam. Afro-pessimism is again in fashion and many feel that the emergent trends are better captured by the incessant bloodshed in Liberia, Somalia, and Burundi than by the few success stories represented by South Africa, Botswana, and Benin. 1 Just as it was during the struggle for independence, there is a contradiction between the deepest aspirations of the masses who constitute the rank and file of the democracy movement and the narrow class interests of its leadership. 2.
Article
The article examines the constitution-making process in Uganda, from the days when Museveni's National Resistance Movement conducted its guerrilla campaign, declaring its intention to re-establish democracy with a new constitution. It considered that Uganda's cycle of violence in the past sprang from the lack of a good constitution and much store was placed on constitutionalism as a panacea. Accordingly, a constitutional commission was set up to consult the people and make proposals for a new constitution. The article examines how far this was a genuine attempt to consult widely, or whether the government 'guidelines' were intended to steer the discussion along pre-determined lines, and at a deliberately slow pace. The constitution itself is seen to contain some valuable improvements on previous constitutions but also to safeguard and preserve the existing ideology of the National Resistance Movement as far as possible.
Article
Uganda's privatization in the 1990s was marred by malpractices and manipulations involving regime politicians and well-connected individuals. This article is one of the first to document publicly an African case of privatization abuse. In particular, it documents a number of scandals that tainted privatization with serious accusations of corruption and cronyism. The article also examines aspects of corruption and governance in Uganda, arguing that the presence of a vigilant legislature and media willing to expose privatization abuse have led to a more honest divestiture process in the country, although various weaknesses as well as the failure of anti-corruption agencies to prosecute or punish leaders for their corrupt privatization behaviour has hardly undermined high-level corruption in public affairs. As in other African countries, and as considered briefly here, where few checks exist on government divestiture decisions, where political leaders seek to divest to favoured clients, and where the big offenders are unlikely to be punished for their illegal behaviour, then privatization activities will be susceptible to corrupt and cronyist practices.
Article
In the mid-1980s, the National Resistance Movement (NRM) established in Uganda what it claimed was a new type of electoral politics, which soon came to be known as 'movement' or 'no-party' democracy. While party activities became subject to strict limitations, the NRM tried not to exacerbate political opposition by letting parties 'exist' as independent entities. Thus, in what is best conceived as a hegemonic system, minor political organizations are allowed a minimal presence so long as they do not constitute an effective challenge to the ruling Movement organization. This article investigates empirically the state of Uganda's historical political parties - the Uganda People's Congress and the Democratic Party - and shows that the specific organizational forms and strategies that the two parties have adopted are a direct response to the no-party framework and the hegemonic context.