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National Academies Committee on Review of Relevant Literature Regarding Adverse Events Associated with Vaccines March 30 2023: Written material accompanying oral remarks.

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Abstract

A committee of the National Academies convened on March 30 2023 to “review relevant literature regarding adverse events associated with [Covid-19] vaccines.” To supplement oral remarks delivered at the meeting and to assist the committee’s deliberations, further detail is provided here along with a summary (with original documents) of our written comments submitted to FDA and CDC advisory committees on Covid-19 Vaccines. These comments contain a number of novel analyses conducted relating to Covid-19 vaccine safety. This document further discusses: • Hasty vaccine development, undisclosed sequences and kinetics of modRNA and spike protein • Novel heterotrimers formed after bivalent vaccination • Gene therapy nature of the Pfizer, Moderna and Janssen Covid-19 vaccines • VAERS underreporting • Safety signal analysis • Masking of safety signals • Ischemic stroke • Negative efficacy: an indicator of immune suppression? • All-cause mortality and vaccination • Concerning cancer reports • Transparency, scientific engagement, rebuilding trust in public health We show here a number of instances of FDA or CDC analyses being unreliable or highly limited. According to a recent article in Nature,(1) Covid-19 vaccine hesitancy has spilled over to other vaccinations reaching their lowest point since 2008 and jeopardizing the health of millions. This is attributed an erosion of trust and confidence in governments and public-health institutions exacerbated with the advent of COVID-19 vaccines. Restoring trust in public health institutions must surely be your highest priority. Unless the setting of parameters that will determine whether someone is eligible for compensation for alleged vaccine-injury is seen as just, there will be further erosion in trust of public health institutions, exacerbated as the specter of unknown long-term harms related to the hastily deployed novel gene therapy, becomes appreciated. Restoration in trust can only be begin if your work is transparent and open to scientific dialog. Yours cannot be another exercise in “going through the motions” of the kind we have seen with FDA and CDC committees. My colleagues and I are ready to participate in meaningful and necessary scientific discourse.
Wiseman2023-NAS-March31-CovidVaccineAdverseEvents Page 1 of 27
National Academies Committee on Review of Relevant Literature Regarding Adverse Events Associated with
Vaccines March 30 2023: Written material accompanying oral remarks.
Submitted March 31 2023 to: vaccines@nas.edu
David Wiseman PhD, MRPharmS
Synechion, Inc. Dallas, TX
david.wiseman@synechion.com
Josh Guetzkow PhD Hebrew University, Jerusalem, Israel. joshua.guetzkow@mail.huji.ac.il
Spiro Pantazatos PhD spiropan@gmail.com
Jessica Rose PhD jessicarose1974@protonmail.com
Hervé Seligmann PhD varanuseremius@gmail.com
Oral remarks at: https://player.vimeo.com/video/809903500#t=84m37s
Capsule
A committee of the National Academies convened on March 30 2023 to review relevant literature regarding adverse events
associated with [Covid-19] vaccines. To supplement oral remarks delivered at the meeting and to assist the committee’s
deliberations, further detail is provided here along with a summary (with original documents) of our written comments
submitted to FDA and CDC advisory committees on Covid-19 Vaccines. These comments contain a number of novel
analyses conducted relating to Covid-19 vaccine safety. This document further discusses:
Hasty vaccine development, undisclosed sequences and kinetics of modRNA and spike protein
Novel heterotrimers formed after bivalent vaccination
Gene therapy nature of the Pfizer, Moderna and Janssen Covid-19 vaccines
VAERS underreporting
Safety signal analysis
Masking of safety signals
Ischemic stroke
Negative efficacy: an indicator of immune suppression?
All-cause mortality and vaccination
Concerning cancer reports
Transparency, scientific engagement, rebuilding trust in public health
We show here a number of instances of FDA or CDC analyses being unreliable or highly limited.
According to a recent article in Nature,(1) Covid-19 vaccine hesitancy has spilled over to other vaccinations reaching their
lowest point since 2008 and jeopardizing the health of millions. This is attributed an erosion of trust and confidence in
governments and public-health institutions exacerbated with the advent of COVID-19 vaccines.
Restoring trust in public health institutions must surely be your highest priority. Unless the setting of parameters that will
determine whether someone is eligible for compensation for alleged vaccine-injury is seen as just, there will be further
erosion in trust of public health institutions, exacerbated as the specter of unknown long-term harms related to the hastily
deployed novel gene therapy, becomes appreciated.
Restoration in trust can only be begin if your work is transparent and open to scientific dialog. Yours cannot be another
exercise in “going through the motions” of the kind we have seen with FDA and CDC committees. My colleagues and I are
ready to participate in meaningful and necessary scientific discourse.
Wiseman2023-NAS-March31-CovidVaccineAdverseEvents Page 2 of 27
Table of Contents
1. Original oral remarks ................................................................................................................................................ 3
2. Introduction ............................................................................................................................................................... 3
3. Summary of written comments submitted to FDA and CDC on Covid-19 Vaccines .......................................... 4
4. Expanded detail of oral remarks.............................................................................................................................. 5
4.1. Hasty vaccine development, undisclosed sequences and kinetics of modRNA and spike protein ................ 5
4.2. Novel heterotrimers .................................................................................................................................................. 7
4.3. Gene therapy nature of the Pfizer, Moderna and Janssen Covid-19 vaccines ................................................... 8
4.4. VAERS underreporting ............................................................................................................................................. 8
4.5. Safety signal analysis ............................................................................................................................................... 9
4.6. Masking of safety signals ....................................................................................................................................... 14
4.7. Ischemic stroke signal in more than one database ............................................................................................. 14
4.8. Negative Efficacy: an indicator of immune suppression? .................................................................................. 18
4.9. All cause mortality (ACM) and vaccination .......................................................................................................... 20
4.10. Concerning cancer reports .................................................................................................................................... 21
4.11. Transparency, scientific engagement, restoring trust in public health institutions ........................................ 22
5. Bio ............................................................................................................................................................................. 23
6. List of files provided ............................................................................................................................................... 23
7. References ............................................................................................................................................................... 23
Wiseman2023-NAS-March31-CovidVaccineAdverseEvents Page 3 of 27
1. Original oral remarks
“Thank you. I am a PhD with a background in experimental pathology, pharmacy and pharmacology. I led a research
program at Johnson and Johnson where my duties included pharmacovigilance. I focus on fibrosis and pain, running my
own company since 1996. I joined Dr. McCullough on Senator Johnson’s panel.
These expedited and still experimental vaccines are the most complicated medical products ever deployed. Sequences
remain undisclosed and questions about the persistence of mRNA and spike have been evaded despite reports that they
linger many months. The Moderna, and likely Pfizer bivalents elicit up to four distinct spike proteins, including two novel
heterotrimers with likely new toxicology.
Despite meeting FDAs biologic definition of gene therapy products, these vaccines are excluded from the gene therapy
guidance, with no public comment from FDAs gene therapy infectious disease vaccine labs. Concerns for autoimmune,
neurological, hematological and other diseases must remain on the table. We see cancer signals.
VAERS is underreported (2), up to 14 times for myocarditis. FDA have ignored their own estimates for underreporting up
to 36 times (3) when dismissing the now three fold excess of death reports for covid vaccines over all other vaccines for
all years.
I will provide our 17 submissions to FDA and CDC. PRR signal analysis is useful but limited. Using vaccination coverage,
we found more accurate age stratified normalized event ratios up to 7 for GBS, 34 for serous events, 370 for coagulopathies,
98 for deaths and 403 for myocardial infarction.
Significant PRR ratios for events of interest are published in NIH funded work (4)
Kwan (5) found elevations in POTS and other diagnoses. FDA’s Harpaz (6) despite finding masking also hinted at signals
for events on your list.
In their recent discussion of ischemic stroke, CDC and FDA claimed that they found a transient signal in VSD and nowhere
else. And yet, in CDC’s own FOIA disclosure appeared significant PRR signals for ischemic stroke in VAERS form last July.
We obtained a similar result from an online PRR calculator funded by NIH. (7)
Most concerning are data, including CDCs’, showing negative vaccine efficacy, indicating immune suppression. A Cleveland
clinic study (8) recently remarked that theirs was not the only one to find “a possible association with more prior vaccine
doses and higher risk of COVID-19.
We have found from European data, correlations between vaccination coverage and all cause mortality. There is a time
dependency critical to understand the effect of these vaccines with mostly periods of detrimental associations, punctuated
by briefer periods of benefit.
Your work must be open to scientific dialog that is not just “going through the motions” we have seen with FDA and CDC. I
welcome your further interaction.”
2. Introduction
Per its web site:
1
The National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine has convened an ad hoc committee to
review the epidemiological, clinical, and biological evidence regarding the relationship between:
• COVID-19 vaccines and specific adverse events i.e. Guillain-Barrè Syndrome (GBS), chronic inflammatory demyelinating
polyneuropathy (CIDP), transverse myelitis (TM), Bell’s palsy, hearing loss, tinnitus, chronic headaches, infertility, sudden
death, myocarditis/pericarditis, thrombosis with thrombocytopenia syndrome (TTS), immune thrombocytopenic purpura
(ITP), thromboembolic events (e.g., cerebrovascular accident (CVA), myocardial infarction (MI), pulmonary embolism, deep
vein thrombosis (DVT)), capillary leak syndrome, and
• intramuscular administration of vaccines and shoulder injuries.
The committee will make conclusions about the causal association between vaccines and specific adverse events.
This document provides further detail to assist the committee’s deliberations.
1
https://www.nationalacademies.org/our-work/review-of-relevant-literature-regarding-adverse-events-associated-with-vaccines
Wiseman2023-NAS-March31-CovidVaccineAdverseEvents Page 4 of 27
This document is not all encompassing with many areas requiring further consideration, most notably the effects of Covid-
19 on reproductive function.
Further it is to stressed that any discussion of safety reports, present of a signal does not prove causality.
3. Summary of written comments submitted to FDA and CDC on Covid-19 Vaccines
Below are summarized our written comments on adverse event related topics contained within made to FDA or
CDC. The files are provided as attachments to this document and numbered according to their citation n this
document.
Date
Year
Agency
Committee
AE related topics/ filename
Ref
8/29
2021
CDC
ACIP
Disproportionality Signal Analysis discussion. Calculation of Normalized
Event Ratio
Calculation of VAERS under reporting for death
Covid-19 and non-Covid-19 deaths after vaccination
Wiseman09-CDC-2021-0089-0023_attachment_1.pdf
(9)
8/29
2021
CDC
ACIP
Supplement to (9)
Full approval of COMIRNARY vaccine hesitancy
Waning immunity
Wiseman10-CDC-2021-0089-0039_attachment_1.pdf
(10)
9/17
2021
FDA
VRBPAC
Disproportionality Signal Analysis discussion. Calculation of Normalized
Event Ratio (similar to (9))
Wiseman11-FDA-2021-N-0965-0016_attachment_1.pdf
(11)
10/15
2021
FDA
VRBPAC
Cases and deaths increase in Israel after booster rollout.
Evidence of immunosuppression from our analysis of early Israeli published
(12) and MoH data.
Wiseman13-FDA-2021-N-0965-0146.pdf
(13)
10/15
2021
FDA
VRBPAC
Critique of disproportionality analyses. Calculation of Normalized Event
Ratio (NER) vs. PRR
Wiseman14-FDA-2021-N-0965-0164-SUPPLEMENT.pdf
(14)
10/21
2021
CDC
ACIP
Additional NER/ vs. PRR calculations. Ineffectiveness (negative efficacy?)
from Israeli data presented at 10/15/21 VRBPAC
Wiseman15-CDC-2021-0098-FDA-2021-N-1088.pdf
(15)
11/19
2021
CDC
ACIP
VAERS underreporting for myocarditis by 4.8x according to Pfizer
Wiseman16-CDC-2021-0125-0003_attachment_1.pdf
(16)
12/16
2021
CDC
ACIP
Coagulopathies with mRNA vs DNA vaccines
All-cause mortality with vaccination coverage: lag analysis of European
data. Need to analysis data by lag time.
NER/PRR for various AEs.
Inconsistent treatment of TTS for Janseen vs. other coagulopathies/
thromboembolic evets with mRNA products
Wiseman17-CDC-2021-0133-0002_attachment_1.pdf
(17)
1/5
2022
CDC
ACIP
Manipulation of UK graphs to conceal waning v Omicron
Waning and negative efficacy, evidence of immunosuppression?
Wiseman18-CDC-2022-0002-0002_attachment_1.pdf
(18)
2/4
2022
CDC
ACIP
CDC fails to inform ACIP of negative efficacy data evidence of immune
suppression?
Inaccurate risk-benefit analysis.
Discrepancies of CDC reports for rates of myocarditis provided at ACIP,
VRBPAC meetings vs. CDC’s published work.(19)
Comments by EMA official and ACIP members on possible harms of
boosting.
Wiseman20-CDC2022-0022-0009-Feb4ACIP-FDA-2022-N-0082-FINAL.pdf
(20)
4/6
2022
FDA
VRBPAC
Update waning VE vs. Omicron
All population booster COVID19 vaccine injections are associated with all-
cause mortality amidst limited periods of benefit in all ages: European and
US data
Consistent data found with CDC data
Gene therapy concerns
Wiseman21-FDA-2022-N-0336-2500_attachment_1.pdf
(21)
4/20
2022
CDC
ACIP
Very high rates of myocarditis after booster presented by Israeli MoH
(22)
Wiseman2023-NAS-March31-CovidVaccineAdverseEvents Page 5 of 27
Other information similar to VRBPAC 4/6/22
Wiseman22-CDC-2022-0051-0260_attachment_1.pdf
5/19
2022
CDC
ACIP
Estimates of VAERS underreporting, including by Kaiser Permanente of
6-14 times for myocarditis.(23)
Wiseman24-CDC2022-0065-ACIP051922-corrected2.pdf
(24)
6/10
2022
FDA
CTGTAC
Cell Therapy Gene Therapy Advisory Committee
C19 vaccines meet FDA’s biological definition of a gene therapy product.
Safety concerns discussed relating to gene therapy, as well as lack of
genotoxicty and carcinogenicity studies.
Wiseman25-FDA-2022-N-0470-June10-CTGTAC-LINKS.pdf
(25)
6/23
2022
CDC
ACIP
Stunningly poor data for infants < 5years: Negative VE in some scenarios.
High rates of myocarditis found in VSD vs VAERS by about 6x in some
cases
Evasion of questions concerning persistence of mRNA and spike.
Wiseman26-CDC-2022-0085-0017_attachment_2.pdf
(26)
7/19
2022
CDC
ACIP
High rates of myocarditis for Novavax glossed over by CDC.
CDC fail to provide PRR analysis per protocol(27)
Guo et al., publish a PRR analysis(4)
Wiseman28-CDC-2022-0085-0017_attachment_1.pdf
(28)
9/1
2022
CDC
ACIP
Disclosure by Moderna of novel heterotrimers
Wiseman29-CDC-2022-0103-0049_attachment_1.pdf
(29)
10/19
2022
CDC
ACIP
Unethical pregnancy studies by CDC
Evasive answers to question about mRNA and spike distribution and
persistence.
Early (May 2021) indications of negative efficacy from Denmark.(30)
Discussion of novel heterotrimer
Wiseman31-CDC-2022-0111-126227-OCT19-ACIP.pdf
(31)
1/26
2023
FDA
VRBPAC
Analysis of FDA briefing document re: new strain selection.
Wiseman32-2023-VRBPACJan23-FDA-2022-N-2810-CommentsonBrefingDocument-TRACKING.pdf
(32)
2/24
2023
CDC
ACIP
Ischemic stroke signal FDA/CDC ignore its own PRR signal i VAERS.
Consideration of bivalent vaccines as primary series.
Wiseman33-CDC-2023-0007-0496_attachment_1.pdf
(33)
4. Expanded detail of oral remarks
4.1. Hasty vaccine development, undisclosed sequences and kinetics of modRNA and spike protein
These expedited and still experimental vaccines are the most complicated medical products ever deployed. Pfizer’s recently
retired head of vaccine research, Dr. Kathrin Jansen, was quoted as saying ““We flew the aeroplane while we were still
building it. (34) Much about the pharmacology and toxicology of this novel class of vaccine remain to be discovered, but
should have been known prior to roll out, or even now. A review of the preclinical investigations performed or not performed
by Pfizer and Moderna is helpful in assessing plausibility of an adverse event, but is beyond the scope of this document.
Sequences remain undisclosed. Questions about the persistence of modRNA and spike have been evaded (see discussion
in 20)) despite reports that they linger many months. Bansal et al., (35) found that exosomes demonstrated spike protein
antigens on their surface and that “Exosomes with spike protein and antibodies decreased in parallel after four months.”
Wiseman2023-NAS-March31-CovidVaccineAdverseEvents Page 6 of 27
This persistence, far longer than that popularly communicated to be in the order of a few days, is a key factor in analyzing
the causality of adverse events.
The potential toxicity of LNP components has been reviewed recently(36) and was already anticipated in the above
mentioned 2016 paper from Langer’s group: (37)
Among the most problematic are the potential toxicity of LNP components, including cationic lipids, phospholipids or
combinations thereof. The immunogenicity of PEG and the decreased interaction of the LNPs with the endosomal
membranes that hinders endosomal escape are also important issues for both siRNA and mRNA delivery.
A further consideration in assessing the toxicity of the Covid-19 vaccines relates to the Lipid Nanoparticles (LNPs) used to
deliver the modRNA payload. Contrary to popular misconception that the Covid-19 vaccines stay close to the site of injection
in the arm, LNPs distribute widely around the body.
Study 18530 released by FOIA and conducted by Pfizer
2
looked at the distribution of Lipid Nanoparticles (LNP) in rats
following intramuscular injection. The study only proceeded for 48 hours, but the LNPs accumulated in a number of tissues,
including (highlighted below), adrenal glands, bone marrow, liver, lymph nodes, ovaries, spleen, and to a smaller extent,
testes. This indicates that we should be particularly vigilant for possible adverse effects in these tissues. The study should
have been continued to determine the point at which the LNPs (or their breakdown products), were eliminated from the
body.
2
https://phmpt.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/03/125742_S1_M2_26_pharmkin-tabulated-summary.pdf
Wiseman2023-NAS-March31-CovidVaccineAdverseEvents Page 7 of 27
4.2. Novel heterotrimers
The Moderna, and likely Pfizer bivalents elicit up to four distinct spike proteins, including two novel heterotrimers with likely
new toxicology.
As we discuss (31) Moderna revealed at the Sept 1st ACIP (29,31) that their bivalent vaccine elicits the formation of novel
spike protein heterotrimers to produce a superior immunological response. This would mean that these vaccines might have
a different toxicological profile, as yet untested.
Based on EMA documents, it is likely that the same occurs for the Pfizer bivalent vaccine. This represents novel chemistry,
novel pharmacology and potentially novel toxicology.
Indeed Wagenhauser et al. recently reported (38) that the “rate of adverse reactions for the second booster dose was
significantly higher among participants receiving the bivalent 84.6% (95% CI 70.3%-92.8%; 33/39) compared to the
monovalent 51.4% (95% CI 35.9-66.6%; 19/37) vaccine (p=0.0028).”
Graphical results from Wagenhauser et al. (38)
Wiseman2023-NAS-March31-CovidVaccineAdverseEvents Page 8 of 27
4.3. Gene therapy nature of the Pfizer, Moderna and Janssen Covid-19 vaccines
FDA generally considers human gene therapy products to include all products that mediate their effects by transcription or
translation of transferred genetic material or by specifically altering host (human) genetic sequences. Some examples
of gene therapy products include nucleic acids (e.g., plasmids, in vitro transcribed ribonucleic acid (RNA)),. (39)
Despite meeting FDAs biologic definition of gene therapy products, these vaccines are excluded from the gene therapy
guidance, with no public comment from FDAs gene therapy infectious disease vaccine labs. Concerns for long term effects
of autoimmune, neurological, hematological and other diseases must remain on the table, especially cancer (see 4.10).
Indeed FDA’s guidance on long term follow up for gene therapy products (39) suggests follow up times of 5-15 years. The
long-term studies committed to by Pfizer and Moderna have not yet been completed or reported. Accordingly, it may not be
possible for this committee to rule out many effects of these vaccines.
The mRNA vaccines are more properly described in FDA documents as “nucleoside modified mRNA” (modRNA) vaccines.
mRNA has been modified by codon optimization and by substitution of N1-methylpseudouridine. There are two proline
amino acid substitutions and the modRNA contains Untranslated Regions (UTR) with gene sequences of human origin.
This is critical in understanding the toxicology of these products. We discuss this matter more fully in our submission to
FDA’s Cell Therapy and Gene Therapy Advisory Committee. (25)
Along with the finding by European regulators of residual DNA (from the plasmid vector used in manufacturing), these issues
recall the concerns expressed by FDA in its 2007 guidance for plasmid vectored vaccines for infectious diseases (40):
Plasmid biodistribution, persistence and integration studies were initially recommended to examine whether subjects in
DNA vaccine trials were at heightened risk from the long-term expression of the encoded antigen, either at the site of
injection or an ectopic site, and/or plasmid integration. Theoretical concerns regarding DNA integration include the risk of
tumorigenisis if insertion reduces the activity of a tumor suppressor or increases the activity of an oncogene. In addition,
DNA integration may result in chromosomal instability through the induction of chromosomal breaks or rearrangements.
FDAs own staff have addressed concerns about residual DNA in vaccines,(41) which are surely heightened with a study
that suggests that vaccinal mRNA can be reversed transcribed.(42) Transcriptionally competent DNA carried by exosomes
can enter spermatozoa and inherited extra-chromasomally.(43)
4.4. VAERS underreporting
FDA have acknowledged that VAERS is mis- and underreported (2), up to 14 times for myocarditis from FDA, Israel MoH
and Kaiser-Permanente sources, as we discuss mor fully. (24)
The disproportionately large number of death reports for Covid-19 vaccines in VAERS is well known. A search of VAERS
(3/30/23) for reports of death with any Covid-19 vaccine in the US and Territories revealed 17,185 reports, compared with
5539 reports for all other vaccines, all years combined. Flu vaccine accounted for 1361 of these reports.
VAERS 3/30/23 Covid vax
Wiseman2023-NAS-March31-CovidVaccineAdverseEvents Page 9 of 27
All other vaccines
Flu vaccine
FDAs Day et al. (3) have attempted to dismiss this sort of discrepancy by comparing the death rates with those normally
expected with data we excerpted here:
These data show, despite mandatory reporting, that the VAERS Under Reporting Factor (URF) for deaths associated with
Covid-19 vaccines is about 10 for a 7-day window and 36 for a 42-day window. This certainly does not rule out any
association between deaths and vaccination, but highlights the severe shortcomings of the VAERS database.
In August 2021 we (9) used CDC published methodology (44) to estimate the degree of under-reporting of in VAERS for
the Pfizer product, by comparing the death of AEs published in clinical trials, with death rates normalized for population
found in VAERS. Using a 30 day window, our estimate of 4.9-15 times underreporting is highly consistent with the figure of
9.6 derived from FDAs Day et al. (3)
4.5. Safety signal analysis
Disproportionality Signal Analysis (DSA) is commonly used in pharmacovigilance. The use of the Proportional Reporting
Ratio (PRR) is described in the VAERS SOP for analyzing safety signals for the Covid-19 vaccines.(27) As we discuss
extensively (11,14,15) the flaws of the PRR method are well known. It was developed to detect small single or low double
digit increases in the numbers of a reported event after use of a particular drug, using the surrogate denominator of the total
number events reported. This surrogate was necessary because the exact number of drug doses administered is not known.
Wiseman2023-NAS-March31-CovidVaccineAdverseEvents Page 10 of 27
This problem does not exist for the Covid-19 vaccines, as CDC maintains updated statistics on vaccine coverage, including
how many doses of any given vaccine were actually administered, stratified by age.
We therefore used CDC’s vaccination coverage statistics to calculate a more accurate normalized event ratio” (NER), using
flu vaccines as the comparator. This removes masking type artifacts that can lead to underestimates of an event
frequency.(6) (see 4.6) The NER appears far more sensitive than the PRR, shown below.
We conducted a number of analyses in the Fall of 2021 which we reported to FDA and CDC committees. In this analysis
(11) we show high NER values, despite small PRR values by event category, for all Covid-19 vaccines. The same calculation
is also shown for H1N1 vaccines, collected at a time when AE reporting was encouraged by CDC as an example as
“stimulated reporting.” The ratios calculated for the Covid-19 far exceed those for a vaccine whose reporting was considered
to be “stimulated.”
In the next analysis (11) for all Covid-19 vaccines we show NER values exceeding the PRR equivalent value in five major event
categories, by age. We find NER value up to 7 for GBS, up to 34 for serious events, up to 370 for coagulopathies, up to 98 for
deaths and up to 403 for myocardial infarction. In most cases these values correspond to a statistically significant PRR
value.
(also in (17) )
Wiseman2023-NAS-March31-CovidVaccineAdverseEvents Page 11 of 27
Of note is the apparent reduction in GBS assessed by PRR, in the face of an increase by NER.
We then (14,15,17) stratified by vaccine type and more granular event type. We found greater NER values for coagulopathy and
embolic/thrombotic events for Janssen than Pfizer or Moderna, which are nonetheless high. NERs for death and myocardial infarction
are high for all three vaccines. This means that reporting of deaths after Covid-19 vaccination is 119-297 times the rate than after flu
vaccination.
Montano used similar method to ours (45) and remarked:
The largest absolute risks were observed for allergic, constitutional reactions, dermatological, gastrointestinal, neurological
reactions, and localised and non-localised pain. The largest relative risks between COVID-19 vs. influenza vaccines were
observed for allergic reactions, arrhythmia, general cardiovascular events, coagulation, haemorrhages, gastrointestinal,
ocular, sexual organs reactions, and thrombosis.
Significant PRR ratios for events of interest are published in NIH funded work (4) excerpted here.
Of note are a number of neurological events in the same study.
Wiseman2023-NAS-March31-CovidVaccineAdverseEvents Page 12 of 27
Using a different method with electronic health records, Kwan et al. (5) (below) found elevations in POTS, dysautonomia,
and myocarditis. and other diagnoses. Statistically significant but smaller (14-30%) elevations in a number of other
diagnoses were also found, which may be clinically significant.
Using CMS data FDA staff (Wong et al. (46) ) reported:
“Four outcomes met the threshold for a statistical signal following BNT162b2 vaccination including pulmonary embolism
(PE; RR = 1.54), acute myocardial infarction (AMI; RR = 1.42), disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC; RR = 1.91),
and immune thrombocytopenia (ITP; RR = 1.44). After further evaluation, only the RR for PE still met the statistical threshold
for a signal; however, the RRs for AMI, DIC, and ITP no longer did. No statistical signals were identified following vaccination
with either the mRNA-1273 or Ad26 COV2.S vaccines.”
From VAERS, Yan et al (47) calculated Reporting Odds Ratios, a metric related to PRR, finding signals for a number of
thrombo-embolic events.
Wiseman2023-NAS-March31-CovidVaccineAdverseEvents Page 13 of 27
Applying sequential testing (Poisson Maximized Sequential Probability Ratio Test - PMaxSPRT) and near real time
surveillance to data from three medical databases, FDA’s Lloyd et al., (48) compared outcomes of 17 AESIs after Covid-19
vaccination with a historical dataset. The AESIs were:
unusual site thrombosis (broad) with thrombocytopenia (tp)
common site thrombosis with thrombocytopenia (tp)
acute myocardial infarction
deep vein thrombosis
pulmonary embolism#
disseminated intravascular coagulation
non-hemorrhagic stroke
hemorrhagic stroke
immune thrombocytopenia
myocarditis/pericarditis
Guillain-Barré syndrome
Bell’s palsy
encephalomyelitis/encephalitis
transverse myelitis
narcolepsy
appendicitis
anaphylaxis
15/17 outcomes evaluated failed to meet the statistical signal threshold in any database. Myocarditis/pericarditis failed to
met the threshold after use of the Pfizer product in one of the databases. Anaphylaxis met the threshold in all three
databases for both the Pfizer and Moderna products. These somewhat surprisingly non-uniform findings for events well-
recognized to be associated with vaccination highlight the limitations in datasets considered more reliable than VAERS. It
is worth reproducing here the limitations described by Lloyd et al. as they might apply to a number of studies that analyze
health record databases:
1. Signal may not persist in a fully adjusted epidemiologic study. Historical comparator group selected without selection
criteria to ensure comparability. Did not adjust for confounding factors other than age and sex.
Wiseman2023-NAS-March31-CovidVaccineAdverseEvents Page 14 of 27
2. Events identified by reimbursement codes in claims databases, subject to coding errors. Only conditions triggering
a health encounter were captured.
3. Risk intervals prespecified based on literature and clinical input - subject to misclassification or are incorrect for C19
vaccines, e.g. with delayed risk or longer intervals.
4. Although the overall population in RCA provides greater precision to detect rare AEs, AESI risk of certain subgroups
may be masked.
5. Differences in population for each health plan may result in different findings, possibly explaining missing signal for
myocarditis/pericarditis in 1/3 data sources.
6. Covid-19 vaccination administration data are not fully captured (linked) in claims data. [this is reflected in a separate
paper by FDA authors, who, on using algorithmic methods increased by 16.8% identification of vaccine
administration compared with use of unstructured data alone. (49)]
7. Sequential testing requires a wide range of prespecified parameters, and their misspecification could result in errors
in either direction.
8. While some uptake of booster doses in late 2021 was captured in the all-dose mRNA vaccine analyses, this study
did not include third or booster dose specific analyses.
9. Results from these commercially insured populations may not be generalizable to those uninsured or covered by
other plans.
4.6. Masking of safety signals
FDA’s Harpaz et al. (6) describe the problem of masking with disproportionality signal methods:
“Signals […] are hidden by the presence of other reported products. Due to vaccine novelty, and an unprecedented dynamic
of reporting, statistical signals […] related to ]…] COVID-19 vaccines are more prone to masking and, therefore, to being
undetected or delayed. The results also suggest that properly identifying and addressing the masking effect exposes strong
statistical associations that would otherwise be deemed uninteresting.”
Harpaz further commented on signals where there is likely a high masking component: Bell’s palsy, appendicitis, pulmonary
embolism, Herpes Zoster, tinnitus.
4.7. Ischemic stroke signal in more than one database
In their recent discussion of ischemic stroke, CDC and FDA claimed that they found a transient signal in VSD and nowhere
else. And yet, in CDC’s own FOIA disclosure appeared significant PRR signals for ischemic stroke in VAERS form last July.
We obtained a similar result from an online PRR calculator funded by NIH. (7)
At the January 26th VRBPAC meeting, data were presented (selected slides shown below) by CDC’s Dr. Shimabukuro
3
and FDA’s Dr. Forshee
4
regarding a signal found in the VSD system relating to ischemic stroke and the Pfizer bivalent
Covid-19 vaccine. They suggested that if this was a true signal, it was only in those over 65, and likely associated with
injection of a flu vaccine on the same day as the Covid-19 vaccine.
CDC described a number of follow up actions, including what sort of further evaluation they would be
conducting:
3
https://www.fda.gov/media/164811/download
4
https://www.fda.gov/media/164815/download
Wiseman2023-NAS-March31-CovidVaccineAdverseEvents Page 15 of 27
FDA provided analyses from the BEST and other systems.
However, it was not felt that this signal warranted any change to CDC’s recommendations regarding the use of
the vaccine.
There were extensive comments from FDA and CDC extolling the robustness of the various safety monitoring
systems, for example those of FDA’s Dr. Marks:
5
DR. PETER MARKS: This is Peter Marks . Dr. Gans, this is actually I can answer for you and Dr. Forshee can help, as well .We during
the pandemic have been working with a network through the international conference of medicine regulators . It's about 60 countries that
have been exchanging pharmacovigilance information and that's why when a safety signal comes up, we can actually query the other
countries. And it was very re -- it was reassuring with the latest stroke question that that was not seen in millions of doses given overseas
I couldn't agree with you more that this is a fantastic opportunity to collaborate with VAERS other regulators to be able to put together the
maximum amount of safety information that we can
The overall impression from these remarks, particularly that of FDA’s Dr. Forshee, is that “with the multiple systems in
place, it is not at all surprising that we sometimes get signals in one system but not in another” In other words, the
signal for stroke could not be found in any other system queried.
This is inaccurate.
Recently, pursuant to a FOIA request, CDC’s PRR analyses were released from July 29 2022. The data files
have been made available online.
6
The “Evans” criteria(50) adopted by the VAERS SOP(27) applied to determine if a signal is present is that the
PRR value should be >2 with a chi-square value of >4. There must be 3 or more cases of the AE following receipt
of the specific vaccine of interest. The screen shot below shows the output for ischemic stroke with all mRNA
vaccines, ages 18+.Here the Evans criteria have been met with PRR = 4.83, and chi-square = 103.61.
5
https://youtu.be/ZjULNuSYfd0?t=31115
6
https://childrenshealthdefense.org/defender/cdc-safety-signals-pfizer-moderna-covid-vaccines-et/
Wiseman2023-NAS-March31-CovidVaccineAdverseEvents Page 16 of 27
A similar picture is obtained examining only serious events, with PRR = 2.64 and chi-square of 29.95/
As a further check, we interrogated Cov19VaxKB, an online database
7
described by Huang et al.(7) some of whom were
affiliated with NIH, and which work was funded partly by NIH-NIAID. This database calculates PRR values, but adds to the
Evans criteria the condition that the number of cases must be >0.2% of the total number. This is a condition not used in the
original Evans criteria(50) nor in the VAERS SOP.(27) The imposition of this criterion contradicts the intent of the Evans
method to detect small changes in numbers of unusual events.
Here is the screen shot showing that for ischemic stroke, the Pfizer vaccine exceeds the Evans criteria (ignoring the added
0.2% criterion) with PRR = 2.4 and chi-square = 93.3
7
http://www. violinet.org/cov19vaxkb/
Wiseman2023-NAS-March31-CovidVaccineAdverseEvents Page 17 of 27
For Moderna, the same analysis for ischemic stroke, yields PRR = 1.6 and chi-square = 24.4. Although this does not meet
the Evans criteria, the result is highly statistically significant with p = 7 x 10-7. Since the Evans criteria were established to
detect small absolute changes in event frequency (e.g. 4 “control” events and 8 “new drug” events), those limits were
appropriate to provide sufficient power. However, where there are over 100 events in this case, the PRR shown here,
supports the result from the Pfizer analysis.
Evidently, the impression left by the CDC and FDA presentations that a signal for ischemic stroke was only found in one
system is incorrect. It is seen here in VAERS, both with CDC’s PRR analysis, and that obtained using the Cov19VaxKB
systems.
Wiseman2023-NAS-March31-CovidVaccineAdverseEvents Page 18 of 27
4.8. Negative Efficacy: an indicator of immune suppression?
Data showing negative vaccine efficacy are most concerning as they may indicate immune suppression. Prominent among
the several studies reporting this finding (which we discuss in more depth (18) (20) ) is this work from CDC showing no statistical
effect of the vaccine by 3 months, becoming negative by 7 months.
Slide 5 presented by Dr. Ruth Link-Gelles at VRBPAC Meeting of June 14 2022
8
Other studies for example from Canada (51) and Denmark (52) reported greater negative vaccine efficacy.
A Cleveland clinic study (8) recently remarked that theirs was not the only one to find a possible association with more
prior vaccine doses and higher risk of COVID-19. Alarmingly, the authors found that the risk “of COVID-19 increased with
time since the most recent prior COVID-19 episode and with the number of vaccine doses previously received.”
Shrestha et al., (8) further remarked: “it is important to examine whether multiple vaccine doses given over time may not
be having the beneficial effect that is generally assumed.”
There were early suggestions of negative efficacy after vaccination, which we discussed in a submission to CDC in August
2021.(9) In an analysis of the data from the initial use (first 44 days) in 596,000 subjects of the Pfizer vaccine in Israel
reported by Dagan et al. in NEJM (12), one of us (HS) observed an early (<7 days) uptick in Covid-19 cases following
vaccination.
8
www.fda.gov/media/159225/download
Wiseman2023-NAS-March31-CovidVaccineAdverseEvents Page 19 of 27
Covid-19 cases following vaccination in Dagan et al.
A letter to NEJM (March 11 2021) was rejected but described in an article in France Soir May 5.
9
There, the incidences
of Covid-19 tripled from day 1 to 7 among the vaccinated,
10
and decreased to the initial rate 20 days after 1st injection,
remaining at that level until day 28.The letter continues: “This suggests a weakened immunity of the vaccinees which causes
other, unreported, short-term (non-COVID-19) adverse effects, including some deaths. This analysis should have influenced
decisions about who to vaccinate and when. Long-term risks can be expected with age and sex factors.”
Combining data in Dagan et al., with statistics from the Israeli Ministry of Health, an increase in the number of Covid-19
deaths in vaccinated subjects could be found following vaccination. These Israeli data were particularly informative because
by the cut-off date, 54% of adult Israelis had been vaccinated, mitigating to some degree biases due to early vaccination of
those most at risk. Further, by combining these data sources, we could see what was happening among vaccinated
patients. There are a number of limitations as to causality and potential time biases, but this analysis suggested that there
may have been at that time 121-413 excess deaths/million associated with vaccination, in those vaccinated (>= 1 dose),
equating to about 25,000-85,000 deaths in the USA at that time. Again, we cannot ascribe cause, merely association. The
finding from a large Israeli cohort of and increased risk of Herpes zoster infection(53) may also indicate immunosuppression
related to vaccination in some subjects. In one study naïve vaccinees had a 13.06-fold (95% CI, 8.08 to 21.11) increased
risk for breakthrough infection with the Delta variant compared to those previously infected.(54)
Results from Denmark also from Spring 2021 are consistent with the findings in the Israeli data. The Danish Statens Serum
Institut,(30) found in priority vaccination groups (LTCF, FLHW) negative VE (unadjusted) for Covid-19 related death up to
the 2nd dose.
9
francesoir.fr/societe-sante/le-new-england-journal-medecine-refuse-une-lettre-davertissement-du-dr-seligman-sur
10
The imbalance between the two groups on initiation poses a separate problem as to the matching of the two groups.
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
0 5 10 15 20 25
Time hazard100k
Days from First dose
Vaccin
e
Wiseman2023-NAS-March31-CovidVaccineAdverseEvents Page 20 of 27
Upon adjustment, these estimates became positive. However, the large swings between unadjusted and adjusted estimates
necessitate detailed examination of the raw datasets to assuage concern that there is an association between vaccination
and ACM.
Assessing data for all-cause mortality (ACM) avoids the problem of mischaracterization of cause of death, as discussed
below.
4.9. All cause mortality (ACM) and vaccination
We have found from European and CDC data, correlations between vaccination coverage and all-cause mortality, which
we describe more fully in (21) for the booster doses, but consistent with earlier work on the primary series.(55)
Rather than take static snapshots in time common in other analyses, this analysis constructs correlations across 23
European countries using Euromomo data for every lag in time (by week) between vaccination and an estimate of ACM.
The most recent version of this analysis (3/25/23) is shown here (courtesy Dr. H. Seligmann). Yellow and blue areas indicate
detrimental and beneficial associations between vaccination coverage and ACM. The dotted lines indicate significance
boundaries, outside of which denotes statistical significance. They are wider for the longer lag times, where there are fewer
data points. The analysis aggregates time lags of the same length regardless of the calendar data when vaccination
occurred.
This analysis shows an early (~0-6 weeks) detrimental effect of Covid-19 vaccination, followed by a brief (~6-20w) beneficial
period. Another detrimental period (20-40w) is then followed by a mostly neutral period (40-75w), again followed by a
detrimental period. At longer lag times, a number of people will receive booster doses.
The following analysis of correlations between booster (3rd dose) and ACM, shows largely detrimental associations.
Wiseman2023-NAS-March31-CovidVaccineAdverseEvents Page 21 of 27
We are unaware of other work that uses a lag analysis which is essential to understanding the obviously time dependent
effects of the Covid-19 vaccines.
The subject of the effect of vaccination on ACM requires detailed review beyond the scope of this document.
Suffice to say that there were indications as early as Spring 2021 about the association between the two. The table below
from same Danisg study cited above,(30) shows estimates for negative VE (unadjusted) for ACM for priority vaccination
groups (LTCF, FLHW) for all time periods except 0-7 days after 2nd dose.
Upon adjustment, these estimates become positive. However, the large swings between unadjusted and adjusted estimates
necessitate detailed examination of the raw datasets to assuage concern that there is an association between vaccination
and ACM.
4.10. Concerning cancer reports
It is particularly concerning that according to the package insert (eg for COMIRNATY), “no carcinogenicity or genotoxicity
studies were done”
11
We searched VAERs for cancer signals and found an excess for the Covid-19 vaccines compared
with all other vaccines for all years in VAERS from 1990.
12
Additional cancer signals were found CDC’s PRR analyses disclosed after a FOIA request,
13
shown below.
11
fda.gov/media/151707/download
12
Search parameters are saved in VAERS, but data update automatically.
https://wonder.cdc.gov/controller/saved/D8/D316F828
https://wonder.cdc.gov/controller/saved/D8/D316F827
https://wonder.cdc.gov/controller/saved/D8/D316F892
https://wonder.cdc.gov/controller/saved/D8/D316F891
13
www.theepochtimes.com/exclusive-cdc-finds-hundreds-of-safety-signals-for-pfizer-and-moderna-covid-19-vaccines_4956733.html
Wiseman2023-NAS-March31-CovidVaccineAdverseEvents Page 22 of 27
There are a number of mechanisms published that provide biological plausibility to causation, a discussion of which is
beyond the scope of this reveiew.
4.11. Transparency, scientific engagement, restoring trust in public health institutions
To date (3/30/23) according to CDC,
14
only 16.5% of those eligible have received the bivalent booster doses of the Covid-
19 vaccine. According to a recent article in Nature,(1) Covid-19 vaccine hesitancy has spilled over to other vaccinations
reaching their lowest point since 2008 and jeopardizing the health of millions.
The article attributes this alarming trend to an erosion of trust and confidence in governments and public-health institutions
exacerbated with the advent of COVID-19 vaccines. One of no doubt many reasons for this mistrust is the opacity of
government agencies.(56)
Vaccine injury is among the most controversial topics related to the use of the Covid-19 vaccines. At its open public session,
(3/30/23) the committee heard from a number of vaccine-injured patients, many of whom were among the first to become
vaccinated to “do their part” in the pandemic. A theme common to many of those remarks was the feeling of abandonment
and betrayal by public health institutions they had trusted.
Restoring trust in public health institutions must surely be your highest priority. Most of all, unless the setting of parameters
that will determine whether someone is eligible for compensation for alleged vaccine-injury is seen as just, there will be
further erosion in trust of public health institutions in general and in vaccine acceptance in particular. This will only be
14
https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker
Wiseman2023-NAS-March31-CovidVaccineAdverseEvents Page 23 of 27
exacerbated as the specter of unknown long-term harms related to the hastily deployed novel gene therapy, becomes
appreciated. I need not spell out the medical and economic consequences of such mistrust.
Restoration in trust can only be begin if your work is transparent and open to scientific dialog. Yours cannot be another
exercise in “going through the motions” of the kind we have seen with FDA and CDC committees where public comment
from patients and scientists passes unidirectionally without engagement or reaction. My colleagues and I are ready to
participate in meaningful and necessary scientific discourse.
5. Bio
I am an experimental pathologist with a background in pharmacy, pharmacology and immunology. At Johnson & Johnson,
as one of only 66 Research Fellows, I led a research program in the prevention of post-operative adhesions where my
duties included pharmacovigilance. I focus on fibrosis and pain, running my own company providing R&D services for the
development of medical products since 1996. I was invited to participate in Senator Johnson’s expert Covid-19 panels in
January and December 2022.
6. List of files provided
Files (20) are provided containing written comments submitted to FDA or CDC advisory committees. They are numbered
as per the citation list.
Wiseman09-CDC-2021-0089-0023_attachment_1.pdf
Wiseman10-CDC-2021-0089-0039_attachment_1.pdf
Wiseman11-FDA-2021-N-0965-0016_attachment_1.pdf
Wiseman13-FDA-2021-N-0965-0146.pdf
Wiseman14-FDA-2021-N-0965-0164-SUPPLEMENT.pdf
Wiseman15-CDC-2021-0098-FDA-2021-N-1088.pdf
Wiseman16-CDC-2021-0125-0003_attachment_1.pdf
Wiseman17-CDC-2021-0133-0002_attachment_1.pdf
Wiseman18-CDC-2022-0002-0002_attachment_1.pdf
Wiseman20-CDC2022-0022-0009-Feb4ACIP-FDA-2022-N-0082-FINAL.pdf
Wiseman21-FDA-2022-N-0336-2500_attachment_1.pdf
Wiseman22-CDC-2022-0051-0260_attachment_1.pdf
Wiseman24-CDC2022-0065-ACIP051922-corrected2.pdf
Wiseman25-FDA-2022-N-0470-June10-CTGTAC-LINKS.pdf
Wiseman26-CDC-2022-0085-0017_attachment_2.pdf
Wiseman28-CDC-2022-0085-0017_attachment_1.pdf
Wiseman29-CDC-2022-0103-0049_attachment_1.pdf
Wiseman31-CDC-2022-0111-126227-OCT19-ACIP.pdf
Wiseman32-2023-VRBPACJan23-FDA-2022-N-2810-CommentsonBrefingDocument-TRACKING.pdf
Wiseman33-CDC-2023-0007-0496_attachment_1.pdf
7. References
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2022; 612:S44-s6. Epub Dec 19 http://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-022-04341-9
2. Funk PR, Yogurtcu ON, Forshee RA, et al. Benefit-risk assessment of COVID-19 vaccine, mRNA (Comirnaty) for
age 16-29 years. Vaccine 2022. Epub 2022/04/05 http://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2022.03.030
3. Day B, Menschik D, Thompson D, et al. Reporting Rates for VAERS Death Reports Following COVID-19
Vaccination, December 14, 2020-November 17, 2021. medRxiv 2022:2022.05.05.22274695. Epub May 7
http://doi.org/10.1101/2022.05.05.22274695
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of VAERS Case Reports. Frontiers in pharmacology 2022; 13:870599. Epub 2022/07/12
http://doi.org/10.3389/fphar.2022.870599
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COVID-19 vaccination and SARS-Cov-2 Infection. Nature Cardiovascular Research 2022. Epub
http://doi.org/10.1038/s44161-022-00177-8
6. Harpaz R, DuMouchel W, Van Manen R, et al. Signaling COVID-19 Vaccine Adverse Events. Drug safety 2022;
45:765-80. Epub 20220623 http://doi.org/10.1007/s40264-022-01186-z
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7. Huang PC, Goru R, Huffman A, et al. Cov19VaxKB: A Web-based Integrative COVID-19 Vaccine Knowledge Base.
Vaccine X 2021:100139. Epub 2022/01/05 http://doi.org/10.1016/j.jvacx.2021.100139
8. Shrestha NK, Burke PC, Nowacki AS, et al. Effectiveness of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Bivalent
Vaccine. medRxiv 2022:2022.12.17.22283625. Epub Dec 19 http://doi.org/10.1101/2022.12.17.22283625
9. Wiseman D, Guetzkow, J,, Seligmann H. Comment submitted to August 30 2021 meeting of the Advisory
Committee on Immunization Practices (Centers for Disease Control). Docket CDC-2021-0089-0023. 2021 Aug 29. at
https://www.regulations.gov/comment/CDC-2021-0089-0023.)
10. Wiseman D. Follow up Comment submitted to August 30 2021 meeting of the Advisory Committee on
Immunization Practices (Centers for Disease Control). Docket CDC-2021-0089-0039. 2021 Aug 30. at
https://www.regulations.gov/comment/CDC-2021-0089-0039.)
11. Wiseman D, Guetzkow, J, Seligmann H, Saidi S. Written comments submitted to: Vaccines and Related Biological
Products Advisory Committee (VRBPAC) September 17, 2021 Meeting: Booster Doses for Pfizer-BioNtech Vaccine. 2021
Sep 13. at https://www.regulations.gov/comment/FDA-2021-N-0965-0016
https://downloads.regulations.gov/FDA-2021-N-0965-0016/attachment_1.pdf
https://youtu.be/WFph7-6t34M?t=15844.)
12. Dagan N, Barda N, Kepten E, et al. BNT162b2 mRNA Covid-19 Vaccine in a Nationwide Mass Vaccination Setting.
N Engl J Med 2021. Epub 2021/02/25 http://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMoa2101765
13. Wiseman D, Guetzkow, J,, Seligmann H. Written comments submitted to: Vaccines and Related Biological
Products Advisory Committee (VRBPAC) October 14-15, 2021 Meeting: Booster Doses for Janssen and Moderna
Vaccines. 2021 October 12. at https://www.regulations.gov/comment/FDA-2021-N-0965-0146.)
14. Wiseman D, Guetzkow, J,, Seligmann H. Supplemental Written comments submitted to: Vaccines and Related
Biological Products Advisory Committee (VRBPAC) October 14-15, 2021 Meeting: Booster Doses for Janssen and
Moderna Vaccines. 2021 October 13. at https://www.regulations.gov/comment/FDA-2021-N-0965-0164
https://downloads.regulations.gov/FDA-2021-N-0965-0164/attachment_1.pdf.)
15. Wiseman D, Guetzkow, J,, Seligmann H. Booster Doses for Moderna and Janssen Vaccines. Written comments
submitted to: Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP), October 20-21, 2021 Meeting and Vaccines and
Related Biological Products Advisory Committee (VRBPAC), October 26, 2021,. 2021 October 20. at
https://www.regulations.gov/comment/CDC-2021-0098-0071
https://downloads.regulations.gov/CDC-2021-0098-0071/attachment_1.pdf.)
16. Wiseman D. Comment submitted to November 19 2021 meeting of the Advisory Committee on Immunization
Practices (Centers for Disease Control). Docket CDC-2021-0125-0003. An Open Letter to Dr. Grace Lee, CDC ACIP
Chairperson on Transparency. 2021 Nov 19. at https://www.regulations.gov/comment/CDC-2021-0125-0003
https://downloads.regulations.gov/CDC-2021-0125-0003/attachment_1.pdf
https://trialsitenews.com/an-open-letter-to-dr-grace-lee-cdc-acip-chairperson-on-transparency/.)
17. Wiseman D, Rose, J, Guetzkow, H, Seligmann H. Why limit contraindication to Janssen? Using same criteria
revisit EUA/BLA for all C19 quasi-vaccines. Transparency: Emergency ACIP Meeting Dec 16 2021: A second open letter to
Dr. Grace Lee, ACIP Chair: CDC-2021-0133. Researchgate 2021 Dec 23. Epub
http://doi.org/dx.doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.32783.51368
https://www.regulations.gov/comment/CDC-2021-0133-0002
https://downloads.regulations.gov/CDC-2021-0133-0002/attachment_1.pdf
18. Wiseman D, Rose, J, Guetzkow, H, Seligmann H. The last wackamole of boosting in an omicron environment of
negative quasi-vaccine efficacy and possible immunological addiction. Transparency concerns remain. A third open letter
to Dr. Grace Lee, ACIP Chair: CDC-ACIP Written comments Docket CDC-2022-0002. Researchgate 2022 Jan 7. Epub
http://doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.13112.88327
Wiseman2023-NAS-March31-CovidVaccineAdverseEvents Page 25 of 27
19. Oster ME, Shay DK, Su JR, et al. Myocarditis Cases Reported After mRNA-Based COVID-19 Vaccination in the US
From December 2020 to August 2021. Jama 2022; 327:331-40. Epub 2022/01/26
http://doi.org/10.1001/jama.2021.24110
20. Wiseman D. ACIP recommends Spikevax based on CDC review omitting negative efficacy Omicron data.
Regulators drift further from the science of all risk-no-benefit as infant vaccination is considered. ACIP Feb 4, VRBPAC
Feb 15 2022. Research Gate 2022 Feb 11. Epub http://doi.org/doi.org/DOI:10.13140/RG.2.2.31523.73769
21. Wiseman D, Seligmann, H, Pantazatos SP. COVID-19 vaccine booster doses and COVID-19 vaccine strain selection
to address current and emerging variants. Boosters: More risk, less benefit. FDA hiding gene therapy concerns in plain
sight? 2022 April 6. at https://www.regulations.gov/comment/FDA-2022-N-0336-2500
https://downloads.regulations.gov/FDA-2022-N-0336-2500/attachment_1.pdf
https://downloads.regulations.gov/FDA-2022-N-0336-2500/attachment_2.pdf
https://youtu.be/2-MeLcvwu78?t=13514.)
22. Wiseman D SH, Pantazatos SP. COVID-19 vaccine booster and new variant doses. Confusion and lack of a plan
evident to ACIP. Comments submitted to ACIP April 20, 2022. 2022 Apr 20. at https://downloads.regulations.gov/CDC-
2022-0051-0260/attachment_1.pdf
https://www.regulations.gov/comment/CDC-2022-0051-0260.)
23. Sharff KA, Dancoes DM, Longueil JL, Johnson ES, Lewis PF. Risk of Myopericarditis following COVID-19 mRNA
vaccination in a Large Integrated Health System: A Comparison of Completeness and Timeliness of Two Methods.
Pharmacoepidemiol Drug Saf 2022. Epub 2022/04/12 http://doi.org/10.1002/pds.5439
24. Wiseman D. Written comments submitted to ACIP May 19 2022. Data again withheld on safety and waning
efficacy in consideration of 5-11 year boosting. 2022 May 19. at https://www.regulations.gov/comment/CDC-2022-
0065-0088
https://downloads.regulations.gov/CDC-2022-0065-0088/attachment_1.pdf.)
25. Wiseman D S, H, Pantazatos SP. Covid-19 gene therapy vaccines: Why no review by FDA’s Office of Tissues and
Advanced Therapies (OTAT) and Cell Therapy Gene Therapy Advisory Committee (CTGTAC) Written comments submitted
re: FDA- CTGTAC Meeting June 10th 2022 FDA-2022-N-0470. 2022 June 2. at
https://www.regulations.gov/comment/FDA-2022-N-0470-0179
https://downloads.regulations.gov/FDA-2022-N-0470-0179/attachment_1.pdf
https://downloads.regulations.gov/FDA-2022-N-0470-0179/attachment_2.pdf
Oral comments: https://youtu.be/Eo2BXnGienc?t=11547.)
26. Wiseman D. Stunningly poor data. Labelling confusion. What could possibly go wrong? ACIP June 23 2022 - Oral
and Written Remarks. ACIP June 23 CDC-2022-0062. Research Gate 2022 June 23. Epub
http://doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.22843.90404
27. VAERS. Immunization Safety Office, Division of Healthcare Quality Promotion National Center for Emerging and
Zoonotic Infectious Diseases Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System
(VAERS) Standard Operating Procedures for COVID-19. 2021 Jan 29. at https://www.cdc.gov/vaccinesafety/pdf/VAERS-
v2-SOP.pdf.)
28. Wiseman D, Guetzkow J. CDC scores own goals with Novavax. ACIP members fear another confusing label will
add to dose errors, question high myocarditis rates and seek direction on Omicron boosters. NIH conducts PRR work
CDC is denying. ACIP July 19 2022. Research Gate 2022 July 19. Epub http://doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.25887.23209
29. Wiseman D. BA4/5 bivalent quasi-vaccines: Further relaxation of FDA standards, manufacturing changes and
novel spike protein heterotrimers. Written comments to CDC ACIP meeting of September 1 2022. CDC-2022-0103-0049.
Research Gate 2022 Sep 1. Epub http://doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.25633.28007
30. Emborg H-DV-B, Palle; Schelde, Astrid Blicher; Nielsen, Katrine Finderup; Gram, Mie Agermose; Moustsen-
Helms, Ida Rask; Chaine, Manon; Seidelin, Ulla Holten; Nielsen, Jens. Vaccine effectiveness of the BNT162b2 mRNA
Wiseman2023-NAS-March31-CovidVaccineAdverseEvents Page 26 of 27
COVID-19 vaccine against RT-PCR confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infections, hospitalisations and mortality in prioritised risk
groups. medRxiv 2021:2021.05.27.21257583. Epub June 2 http://doi.org/10.1101/2021.05.27.21257583
31. Wiseman D. ACIP October 19-20-2022. BA4/5 bivalent quasi-vaccines in yet younger children: Further erosion of
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... Evidence of a possible relationship between the novel COVID-19 vaccinations and the development of malignant neoplasms is not available in the form of population-based studies where vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals are compared. However, reports of cancers following the COVID-19 vaccinations made to CDC's VAERS 3 were found to be more numerous than for all previous vaccines combined since 1990 (Section 4.10 in Wiseman et al.) [8]. ...
... Additionally, CDC's Disproportionality Signal Analysis using the Proportional Reporting Ratio (PRR) method conducted in July 2022 disclosed under the Freedom of Information Act. shows safety signals for cancers in 11 MedDRA codes (Wiseman, et al., 2023) [8]. As far as we know, an analysis of this signal has not been published by CDC or FDA. ...
... Additionally, CDC's Disproportionality Signal Analysis using the Proportional Reporting Ratio (PRR) method conducted in July 2022 disclosed under the Freedom of Information Act. shows safety signals for cancers in 11 MedDRA codes (Wiseman, et al., 2023) [8]. As far as we know, an analysis of this signal has not been published by CDC or FDA. ...
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In this study we investigate trends in death rates from neoplasms (ICD-10 codes C00-D48) in the USA using crude data from the CDC (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention). We limit our investigation to individuals aged 15 to 44 and for the period of 2010 to 2022. We investigate both trends in neoplasms where these appear on multiple causes (MC) of death, or as the underlying cause (UC), as well as the trends in the ratio of multiple cause to underlying cause death rates. Using different metrics, we compare mortality trends due to neoplasms before the COVID-19 pandemic with the pandemic period. We show a rise in excess mortality from neoplasms reported as underlying cause of death, which started in 2020 (1.7%) and accelerated substantially in 2021 (5.6%) and 2022 (7.9%). The increase in excess mortality in both 2021 (Z-score of 11.8) and 2022 (Z-score of 16.5) are highly statistically significant (extreme events). When looking at neoplasm death reported as one of multiple cause of death, we observe a similar trend with excess mortality of 3.3% (Z-score of 5.1) in 2020, 7.9% (Z-score of 12.1) in 2021, and 9.8% (Z-score of 15.0) in 2022, which were also highly statistically significant. The results indicate that from 2021 a novel phenomenon leading to increased neoplasm deaths appears to be present in individuals aged 15 to 44 in the US. The greater rise in deaths due to neoplasms in multiple causes compared to underlying cause indicates that some deaths from neoplasms are being brought forward by other causes. The rise in cancer-death rates as underlying cause might be the result of an unexpected rise in the incidence of rapidly growing fatal cancers and/or a reduction in survival in existing cancer cases. Further stratification is underway, for example by age and cancer type to understand these trends and their relationship to pandemic related factors such as access to or utilization of cancer screening and treatment, changes in health-related behaviors such as exercise or smoking, exposure to COVID-19 disease or COVID-19 vaccines.
... Additional evidence that points towards a possible relationship between the novel Covid-19 vaccinations and the development of malignant neoplasms are not available in the form of population-based studies where vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals are compared. However, in section 4.10 of their draft paper, (Wiseman, et al., 2023) [7] the authors show that cancer reports following the Covid-19 vaccinations are more numerous than for all previous vaccines combined since 1990, when querying the VAERS 1 (Vaccine Adverse Events Recording System)from the CDC (Center for Disease Control and Prevention). ...
... Additional evidence that points towards a possible relationship between the novel Covid-19 vaccinations and the development of malignant neoplasms are not available in the form of population-based studies where vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals are compared. However, in section 4.10 of their draft paper, (Wiseman, et al., 2023) [7] the authors show that cancer reports following the Covid-19 vaccinations are more numerous than for all previous vaccines combined since 1990, when querying the VAERS 1 (Vaccine Adverse Events Recording System)from the CDC (Center for Disease Control and Prevention). ...
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In this study we investigate the UK trends in death rates and disabilities for malignant neoplasms for individuals aged 15 to 44 by computing excess death rates and excess disability claims, which are the difference between observed death/disability rates and a given baseline for expected death/disability rates. We measure changes in the behaviors of morbidity and mortality before the Covid-19 pandemic with the post-pandemic period, for malignant neoplasms. We show a large increase in morbidity (disabilities) and mortality due to malignant neoplasms that started in 2021 and accelerated substantially in 2022. The increase in disability claims mirrors the increase in excess deaths in 2022, and both are highly statistically significant (extreme events). The results indicate that from late 2021 a novel phenomenon leading to increased malignant neoplasm deaths and disabilities appears to be present in individuals aged 15 to 44 in the UK.
... Last year, accordingly, Dr. Wiseman and four other experts prepared a comprehensive document for the National Academies Committee reviewing relevant adverse events associated with COVID-19 vaccines, which will not be elaborated here in detail. The readers may refer to the document for deeper insight [110]. One aspect, however, relevant for the malignant transformation of cells we want to point out herein, is the possible correlation of transposable elements' role and impairment of the DNA repair mechanisms, particularly their role in underpinning additional DNA damage in the context of HERV-K integrase expression [50,111,112]. ...
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Human endogenous retroviruses (HERVs) are genomic fragments integrated into human DNA from germline infections by exogenous retroviruses that threatened primates early in their evolution and are inherited vertically in the germline. So far, HERVs have been studied in the context of extensive immunopathogenic, neuropathogenic and even oncogenic effects within their host. In particular, in our paper, we elaborate on the aspects related to the possible correlation of transposable HERV elements’ activation and SARS-CoV-2 spike protein’s presence in cells of COVID-19 patients or upon COVID-19 vaccination with implications for natural and adaptive immunity. In particular, the release of cytokines TNF-α, IL-1β and IL-6 occurs in such cases and plays a notable role in sustaining chronic inflammation. Moreover, well-known interindividual variations of HERVs might partially account for the interpersonal variability of COVID-19 symptoms or unwanted events post-vaccination. Accordingly, further studies are required to clarify the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein’s role in triggering HERVs.
... The reason for our focus on neoplasms in 15-44 year olds in our previous papers is the emergence of anecdotal reports of unusually aggressive cancers in younger people. As we have previously described, there have been case reports of lymphoma onset after administration of the mRNA COVID-19 vaccinations (Goldman, et al., 2021, (Zamfir, et al., 2022) [3], (Sekizawa, et al., 2022) [4] (Mizutani, et al., 2022) [5], and safety signals for cancers in 11 MedDRA codes in the CDC's Disproportionality Signal Analysis for the COVID-19 vaccinations (Wiseman et al.) [6] The purpose of our work is not to explain the mechanisms behind the rise in cancer-related deaths. However, we recognize that health professionals working in this field will benefit from further analysis of this phenomenon and the age groups most affected in terms of relative and absolute increased risk. ...
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We investigate trends in death rates from neoplasms (ICD-10 codes C00-D48) for all age groups in the US using data from the CDC (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention). We also perform a detailed analysis for older individuals aged 75 to 84. We investigate trends in neoplasms where these appear on multiple causes (MC) of death, or as the underlying cause (UC), as well as the trends in the ratio of multiple cause to underlying cause death rates. For individuals aged 75 to 84 we show a rise in excess mortality from neoplasms reported as the underlying cause of death, which started in 2021 (+4.8%) and increased substantially in 2022 (+11.5%). The increase in excess mortality in both 2021 (Z-Score of 10.5) and 2022 (Z-Score of 25.1) are highly statistically significant (extreme events). When looking at neoplasm deaths reported as multiple cause of death, we observe a similar trend, but starting in 2020, with excess mortality of +3.4% in 2020, +9.2% in 2021, and +16.4% in 2022, which were also highly statistically significant. The larger rise of excess death rates due to neoplasms in multiple causes compared to underlying cause indicates that some deaths from neoplasms are being brought forward by other causes. However, the rise in cancers as underlying cause indicates that there might also be an unexpected rise in the incidence of fatal cancers, an increase in rapid growth cancers and/or an acceleration of existing cancer cases leading to earlier death. We also show that excess deaths from cancers occurred for most age groups, with the strongest effect in ages 15-24 and individuals 65 and older. The results indicate that from 2020 a novel phenomenon leading to increased neoplasm deaths appears to be present. An exception was observed for individuals aged 55-64. This cohort did not exhibit excess deaths from neoplasms in 2020, 2021 or 2022.
... We have summarized this work in comments submitted recently to a committee of the National Academies convened on March 30 2023 to "review relevant literature regarding adverse events associated with vaccines." (28) and provided as an attachment to this current submission. ...
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These comments are submitted in advance of ACIP’s meeting of June 23 2023. Based on the outcome of FDA’s VRBPAC Meeting of June 15 2023, we revise and extend the comments submitted prior to that FDA meeting (1) and include slides and text for our oral remarks. The pandemic is over. Cases, hospitalizations, and deaths have declined despite only 17% of those eligible having received the bivalent booster. (CDC Data Tracker June 7 2023). Although certain EUA provisions have been extended, with the many outstanding concerns reviewed below, why does FDA appear to maintain this strategy when it was being questioned by both FDA’s Dr. Marks and NIH’s Dr. Fauci as soon as about three months after the deployment of the updated BA.4/5 boosters? We append our extensive comments on FDA’s briefing document for the January 26 2023 VRBPAC meeting which add to the challenges to the Covid-19 vaccination strategy. We also append our comments submitted recently to the National Academies on March 30 2023 that summarizes our extensive work and comments to FDA and CDC since 2021 on the topic of vaccine safety and gene therapy. Given the low benefit of the Covid-19 vaccines currently, and their likely waned, evaded or negative effect by the time of deployment, as well as the significant safety concerns, the risks of using these products outweighs the benefits and a new strategy must be implemented. Rather than chasing variants, as many have suggested, now is the time to be chasing safety. UPLOADS to docket: https://www.regulations.gov/comment/CDC-2023-0035-0744 https://downloads.regulations.gov/CDC-2023-0035-0744/attachment_1.pdf https://downloads.regulations.gov/CDC-2023-0035-0744/attachment_2.pdf https://downloads.regulations.gov/CDC-2023-0035-0744/attachment_3.pdf Oral comments: https://youtu.be/NWejNy5TFRk?t=601
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These comments are submitted in advance of VRBPAC’s meeting to consider updated Covid-19 pro-vaccines for the 2023-24 season. At the time of writing to meet the deadline of submission of comments for consideration by VRBPAC members (June 7), FDA have not yet disclosed their briefing materials that would allow more focused comments to be made. Accordingly, the purpose of this document is to make general comments applicable to the VRBPAC meeting based on a framework that is likely to be based on the WHO statement, as well as ongoing, unresolved issues. The pandemic is over. Cases, hospitalizations, and deaths have declined despite only 17% of those eligible having received the bivalent booster. (CDC Data Tracker June 7 2023). Although certain EUA provisions have been extended, with the many outstanding concerns reviewed below, why does FDA appear to maintain this strategy when it was being questioned by both FDA’s Dr. Marks and NIH’s Dr. Fauci as soon as about three months after the deployment of the updated BA.4/5 boosters? We append our extensive comments on FDA’s briefing document for the January 26 2023 VRBPAC meeting which add to the challenges to the Covid-19 vaccination strategy. We also append our comments submitted recently to the National Academies on March 30 2023 that summarizes our extensive work and comments to FDA and CDC since 2021 on the topic of vaccine safety and gene therapy. Given the low benefit of the Covid-19 vaccines currently, and their likely waned, evaded or negative effect by the time of deployment, as well as the significant safety concerns, the risks of using these products outweighs the benefits and a new strategy must be implemented. UPLOADs to FDA Docket: www.regulations.gov/comment/FDA-2023-N-1553-0629 https://downloads.regulations.gov/FDA-2023-N-1553-0629/attachment_1.pdf https://downloads.regulations.gov/FDA-2023-N-1553-0629/attachment_2.pdf https://downloads.regulations.gov/FDA-2023-N-1553-0629/attachment_3.pdf Oral comments on you tube: www.youtube.com/live/gBOyPREXGh8?feature=share&t=17385 See slides
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"It is time for a different approach." This document contains written comments submitted for the February 24 2023 meeting of CDC's Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) Contents 1.Introduction 2.Vaccine Safety Update 2.1.Ischemic stroke 3.Bivalent Vaccine Effectiveness 3.1.Clinical efficacy data 3.2.Neutralizing antibody studies 4.Transitioning to primary series 5.Benefit/risk for COVID-19 vaccines 6.COVID-19 vaccines: future directions 7.Appendix: Annotations to FDA Briefing Document, VRBPAC January 26 2023 8.References
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This document contains my annotations to FDA’s briefing document release prior to the January 26th 2023 VRBPAC meeting on the subject of future strain composition for Covid-19 vaccines, simplification of the different formulations and dose schedules, and plans for future COVID-19 vaccine composition recommendations. FDA’s justification for the use of current Wuhan/BA.5 bivalent vaccines as primary doses, comes from weak data. Most studies were performed before or during the era of the BA.5 strain, which is almost extinct. A number of studies cited by FDA point out the reduced antibody response to the now predominant BQ and XBB variants. Several important studies are missing from the discussion that highlight how futile the use of the current bivalent variant is likely to be. VRBPAC member Dr. Paul Offit has stated “chasing these Omicron variants with a bivalent vaccine is a losing game” (cited in Time Magazine). This the current bivalent Covid-19 vaccines are obsolete. The document is also at odds with the comments made by FDA’s Dr. Peter Marks in JAMA (1): “Continuing along the current path of the generation and administration of variant-specific vaccine boosters is inadequate as a long-term strategy for addressing COVID-19 in populations globally.” FDA policy remains focused on the spike protein, known to be toxic. No discussion of alternate targets is provided and no acknowledgement that the bivalent vaccines may give rise to at least four heterotrimers, at least two of which represent novel pharmacology and likely toxicology. FDA makes no note of the continued absence of an immune correlate of protection,. And continues to rely on neutralizing antibody studies. FDA appears to intend to not require extensive safety and efficacy testing for new variant vaccine versions. There is no discussion of safety, or safety signals, as we have provided in various submissions to FDA (2-7) or CDC.(5,7-13). There is no discussion of the concerning safety signals evident in the recent FOIA disclosure of PRR signals from CDC. These vaccines remain experimental. There is no discussion of the consequences of repeated dosing of these genetic vaccines, nor is there discussion related to the long-term consequences of these genetic vaccines and the failure of FDA to publicly involve the sections within FDA responsible for gene therapies. Long overdue studies on cancer, genotoxicity, sub-clinical myocarditis are not discussed. It is unclear whether FDA intends to authorize only a two dose primary series for the Pfizer 6 month to 4 years vaccine, despite the paucity of data for the original strain version necessitating a three dos series. There are a number of welcome acknowledgements from FDA related to: the reduction of dosing errors by reducing the confusing array of different formulations, doses and schedules; the acknowledgement of natural immunity in place of vaccination; the limitations in the reliability of some of the data used. Comparisons with policies regarding influenza vaccination should be made carefully, to avoid the impression that the Covid-19 genetic vaccines are similar in mechanism of action to classical vaccines such as those used for influenza. There is no indication on how this discussion affects future plans for the Novavax and J&J vaccines.
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Pharmacovigilance databases are showing evidence of injury in the context of the COVID-19 modified mRNA shots. According to recent publications, adverse event reports linked to the mRNA COVID-19 products largely point to the spike protein as an aetiological agent of adverse events, but we propose that the platform itself may be culpable. To assess the safety of current and future mRNA vaccines, further analysis on the risks due to the platform itself, and not specifically the expressed antigen. If harm can be exclusively and conclusively attributed to the spike protein, then it is possible that future mRNA vaccines expressing other antigens will be safe. If harms are attributable to the platform itself, then regardless of the toxicity, or lack thereof, of the chosen payload therein, the platform may be inherently unsafe, pending modification. In this work, we examine previous studies of RNA-based delivery by a lipid nanoparticle and break down the possible etiological elements of harm.
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In the light of emerging SARS CoV 2 variants of concern (VOC), bivalent COVID 19 vaccines combining the wild-type spike mRNA with an Omicron VOC BA.1 or BA.4-5 spike mRNA became available. This non randomized controlled study examined adverse reactions, PRN (pro re nata) medication intake and inability to work after a fourth COVID-19 vaccination among 76 healthcare workers. As fourth dose either the original, monovalent BNT162b2mRNA (48.7%) or the bivalent BNT162b2mRNA original/Omicron BA.4-5 vaccine (51.3%) was administered. The rate of adverse reactions for the second booster dose was significantly higher among participants receiving the bivalent 84.6% (95% CI 70.3%-92.8%; 33/39) compared to the monovalent 51.4% (95% CI 35.9-66.6%; 19/37) vaccine (p=0.0028). Also, there was a trend towards an increased rate of inability to work and intake of PRN medication following bivalent vaccination. In view of preprints reporting inconclusive results in neutralizing antibody levels between the compared vaccines, our results and further studies on safety and reactogenicity of bivalent COVID-19 booster vaccines are highly important to aid clinical decision making in the choice between bivalent and monovalent vaccinations.
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Background and purpose: Serious adverse events following immunization (AEFI) associated with the COVID-19 vaccines, including BNT162b2 (Pfizer-BioNTech), Ad26.COV2.S (Janssen), and mRNA-1273 (Moderna), have not yet been fully investigated. This study was designed to evaluate the serious AEFI associated with these three vaccines. Methods: A disproportionality study was performed to analyze data acquired from the Vaccine Adverse Event-Reporting System (VAERS) between 1 January 2010 and 30 April 2021. The reporting odds ratio (ROR) method was used to identify the association between the COVID-19 vaccines BNT162b2, Ad26.COV2.S, and mRNA-1273 and each adverse event reported. Moreover, the ratio of the ROR value to the 95% CI span was applied to improve the credibility of the ROR. The median values of time from vaccination to onset (TTO) for the three vaccines were analyzed. Results: Compared with BNT162b2 and mRNA-1273, Ad26.COV2.S vaccination was associated with a lower death frequency (p < 0.05). Ad26.COV2.S vaccination was associated with a lower birth defect and emergency room visit frequency than BNT162b2 (p < 0.05). There were 6,605, 830, and 2,292 vaccine recipients who suffered from COVID-19-related symptoms after vaccination with BNT162b2, Ad26.COV2.S, and mRNA-1273, respectively, including people who were infected by COVID-19, demonstrated a positive SARS-CoV-2 test, and were asymptomatic. Serious AEFI, including thromboembolism, hemorrhage, thrombocytopenia, cardiac arrhythmia, hypertension, and hepatotoxicity, were associated with all three vaccines. Cardiac failure and acute renal impairment events were associated with BNT162b2 and mRNA-1273, while seizure events were associated with BNT162b2 and Ad26.COV2.S. The median values of TTO associated with the three vaccinations were similar. Conclusion: These findings may be useful for health workers and the general public prior to inoculation, especially for patients with underlying diseases; however, the risk/benefit profile of these vaccines remains unchanged. The exact mechanism of SARS-CoV-2 vaccine-induced AEFI remains unknown, and further studies are required to explore these phenomena.
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Following FDA's September EUA of the BA4/5 boosters based on scant human BA1 data and limited murine BA4/5 data and using an "extrapolative" approach, FDA extended the EUA to children 5 years (Pfizer) and 6 years (Moderna) old, with no VRBPAC meeting. CDC endorsed this action, without convening an ACIP meeting. No efficacy data were presented to support this decision intensifying the significant questions of FDA's ever relaxed standards and reduced transparency. These include lack of clinical data, and reliance on unvalidated surge modelling, Contrary to FDAs guidelines, there are likely significant manufacturing process changes. In addition, at least from Moderna's September presentation, the BA4/5 bivalent product may generate four types of spike protein, including two novel spike protein heterotrimers which raises significant safety issues and the misnaming of a "bivalent" vaccine to what might be better described as a "quadrivalent" vaccine. FDA's authorization is based partly on the premise that the manufacturing process for the bivalent versions is the same as for the monovalent versions. It is evident that significant QA issues are generated that can affect safety and efficacy. ACIP voted to include the Covid-19 vaccines in the Vaccines for Children program, and the Adult and Children's Immunization schedules. ACIP members attempted to provide assurances that the addition of Covid-19 vaccines to the VFC and Immunization Schedules did not constitute a mandate. However, there is every danger that local authorities will be emboldened by these additions to impose work or school mandates. CDC presented data on the use of the vaccines in pregnancy aimed to reinforce CDC recommendations that circumvent manufacturers' off-label claims outside of FDA approved instructions stating that data are insufficient to inform vaccine risks in pregnancy. If the data are robust, let FDA modify the label. We highlight CDC studies where the conditions may have been created for the coercion of pregnant women in pregnancy studies without their knowledge or consent. With no discussion of emerging variants and immune escape significant questions are raised as to the soundness of FDA and CDC's strategy, and the erosion of scientific and ethical standards. Docket CDC-2022-0111 - Tracking: l9h-yj3i-2znv
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Postural orthostatic tachycardia syndrome (POTS) was previously described after severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection; however, limited data are available on the relation of POTS with Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccination. Here we show, in a cohort of 284,592 COVID-19-vaccinated individuals, using a sequence–symmetry analysis, that the odds of POTS are higher 90 days after vaccine exposure than 90 days before exposure; we also show that the odds for POTS are higher than referent conventional primary care diagnoses but lower than the odds of new POTS diagnosis after SARS-CoV-2 infection. Our results identify a possible association between COVID-19 vaccination and incidence of POTS. Notwithstanding the probable low incidence of POTS after COVID-19 vaccination, particularly when compared to SARS-Cov-2 post-infection odds, which were five times higher, our results suggest that further studies are needed to investigate the incidence and etiology of POTS occurring after COVID-19 vaccination. Through analysis of the electronic medical records of 284,592 vaccinated patients, using a sequence–symmetry analysis, Kwan et al. show that the risk of postural orthostatic tachycardia syndrome (POTS) is increased after COVID-19 vaccination compared to a 90-day control period before exposure—although 5.35 times lower than the risk of POTS occurrence after SARS-CoV-2 infection.
Article
Background Monitoring safety outcomes following COVID-19 vaccination is critical for understanding vaccine safety especially when used in key populations such as elderly persons age 65 years and older who can benefit greatly from vaccination. We present new findings from a nationally representative early warning system that may expand the safety knowledge base to further public trust and inform decision making on vaccine safety by government agencies, healthcare providers, interested stakeholders, and the public. Methods We evaluated 14 outcomes of interest following COVID-19 vaccination using the US Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) data covering 30,712,101 elderly persons. The CMS data from December 11, 2020 through Jan 15, 2022 included 17,411,342 COVID-19 vaccinees who received a total of 34,639,937 doses. We conducted weekly sequential testing and generated rate ratios (RR) of observed outcome rates compared to historical (or expected) rates prior to COVID-19 vaccination. Findings: Four outcomes met the threshold for a statistical signal following Pfizer-BioNTech vaccination including pulmonary embolism (PE; RR=1.54), acute myocardial infarction (AMI; RR=1.42), disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC; RR=1.91), and immune thrombocytopenia (ITP; RR=1.44). After further evaluation, only the RR for PE still met the statistical threshold for a signal; however, the RRs for AMI, DIC, and ITP no longer did. No statistical signals were identified following vaccination with either the Moderna or Janssen vaccines. Interpretation: This early warning system is the first to identify temporal associations for PE, AMI, DIC, and ITP following Pfizer-BioNTech vaccination in the elderly. Because an early warning system does not prove that the vaccines cause these outcomes, more robust epidemiologic studies with adjustment for confounding, including age and nursing home residency, are underway to further evaluate these signals. FDA strongly believes the potential benefits of COVID-19 vaccination outweigh the potential risks of COVID-19 infection.
Article
(248/300 words) Background Active monitoring of safety outcomes following COVID-19 vaccination is critical to understand vaccine safety and can provide early detection of rare outcomes not identified in pre-licensure trials. We present findings from an early warning rapid surveillance system in three large commercial insurance databases including more than 16 million vaccinated individuals. Methods We evaluated 17 outcomes of interest following COVID-19 vaccination among individuals aged 12-64 years in Optum, HealthCore, and CVS Health databases from December 11, 2020, through January 22, 2022, January 7, 2022, and December 31, 2021, respectively. We conducted biweekly or monthly sequential testing and generated rate ratios (RR) of observed outcome rates compared to historical (or expected) rates prior to COVID-19 vaccination. Findings: Among 17 outcomes evaluated, 15 did not meet the threshold for statistical signal in any of the three databases. Myocarditis/pericarditis met the statistical threshold for a signal following BNT162b2 in two of three databases (RRs: 1.83-2.47). Anaphylaxis met the statistical threshold for a signal in all three databases following BNT162b2 vaccination (RRs: 4.48-10.86) and mRNA-1273 vaccination (RRs: 7.64-12.40). Discussion Consistent with published literature, our near-real time monitoring of 17 adverse outcomes following COVID-19 vaccinations identified signals for myocarditis/pericarditis and anaphylaxis following mRNA COVID-19 vaccinations. The method is intended for early detection of safety signals, and results do not imply a causal effect. Results of this study should be interpreted in the context of the method’s utility and limitations, and the validity of detected signals must be evaluated in fully adjusted epidemiologic studies.