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Abstract

This paper proposes a method for prioritizing sewer cleaning operations in the absence of historical data on failures. The method utilizes the Induced Ordered Weighted Averaging (IOWA) multi-criteria decision-making technique, incorporating experts' opinions to regulate subjective inferences and ascertain uncertainty. The study considers ten parameters categorized into three main focuses: structural, environmental, and operational to analyze sewer pipe conditions. As a case study, four small zones in Tehran city were prioritized using the proposed methodology. The findings reveal that (1) decision-makers' subjective priorities and evaluations do not significantly influence critical cleaning options, (2) pipe diameter is the most effective parameter for prioritizing since it allows pipes to be meaningfully categorized and compared, and (3) slope, age, depth, upstream manhole condition, and the number of connections and laterals are more important than other parameters. Overall, this study provides valuable insights into developing effective prioritization strategies for sewer cleaning operations.

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... Fuzzy set theory can also represent complex relationships between water quality parameters and their impact on aquatic ecosystems or human health. Fuzzy set theory is particularly useful when data are limited or when there are multiple conflicting objectives in water quality management (Barzegar et al. 2023). ...
... The choice of the method relies on the specific app and the data available. Occasionally, a mixture of fuzzy and nonfuzzy methods may be most appropriate (Barzegar et al. 2023). ...
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Failure prediction plays an important role in the management of urban water systems infrastructures. An accurate description of the deterioration of urban drainage systems is essential for optimal investment and rehabilitation planning. In the study presented in this paper, a new method to predict sewer pipe failure based on robust decision trees is proposed. Five other different stochastic failure prediction models – the non-homogeneous Poisson process, the zero-inflated non-homogeneous Poisson process, classical decision tress (CART and Random Forest algorithms), the Weibull accelerated lifetime model and the linear extended Yule process – are also implemented and explored in order to identify models that combine good failure prediction results with robustness. The six models were tested on the asset register and pipe failure register of a large US wastewater utility; only pipe blockage failures were considered in this study. The linear extended Yule process and the zero-inflated non-homogeneous Poisson process presented the overall best results throughout the models’ comparison, showing a good ability to detect pipes with high likelihood of blockage failure. Decision trees based on robust random forests only detected pipes with high likelihood of failure when considering a short-term prediction window; the accuracy of the predictions was one of the best when using the robust decision tree model. The Weibull accelerated lifetime model provided some of the best medium-term predictions but performed less well for shorter prediction windows.
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This report is an output of the fourth research track (Track 4) of WERF's strategic asset management research program ‘Asset Management Communication and Implementation’ (SAM1R06). Track 4 addressed ‘remaining asset life’, and had the overall objective of contributing to the development of techniques, tools and methods for estimating residual life of wastewater assets. Track 4 research was planned to be undertaken in a staged manner, so as to provide a stepwise development of concepts and protocols. To this end, the research team has produced a synthesis of knowledge in relation to “end of life’ and “remaining asset life”, which is the subject of this report. Drawing on the literature and the knowledge-base of the research team and industry partners, information is presented on the range of factors that influence the life of the different asset classes involved in the provision of wastewater services. A taxonomy of asset life is also given, along with a critical review of the conceptual linkages between risk, asset management and remaining asset life. A review of techniques used to assess remaining asset life is also included, as well as a detailed 'state of the art' review of modeling tools and approaches. One of the key questions to be addressed in this initial stage of the research was the state of knowledge with respect to the estimation and prediction of remaining asset life, and if there is the capacity to translate between condition and performance data (e.g. the presence of significant defects) and the residual life of an asset. In this regard, this report builds on previous work undertaken by the research team into protocols for condition and performance assessments, as detailed in WERF (2007). This title belongs to WERF Research Report Series . ISBN: 9781843393306 (Print) ISBN: 9781780403427 (eBook)
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Because of deteriorating condition levels of wastewater networks and financial constraints, sewer agencies are seeking methods to prioritize inspection of sewer pipes on the basis of risk of failure. Risk assessment of sewer pipes requires integration of the probability and consequences-of-failure values in a way that reflects the decision maker's perception of risk. This paper presents the use of a weighted scoring method to determine criticality of sewer pipelines. The procedure involves identifying important factors, determining the relative importance of the selected factors, and summarizing the overall performance of sewer pipes in terms of these factors. Determination of risk of failure by combining the resultant consequence-of-failure values with the probability-of-failure values using simple multiplication, risk matrices, and fuzzy inference systems is presented. Application of these methods is illustrated by using the sewer network information obtained from a local wastewater agency. The resultant risk maps are expected to assist agency officials in identifying sewer-pipe sections that require immediate attention or close monitoring, along with sewer-pipe sections with lower risk of failure.
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This paper describes the development of the knowledge base expert system denoted as Sewer Cataloging, Retrieval and Prioritization System. This computer support system prioritizes sewer pipeline inspections used to target critical areas within a sewer drainage system. This system addresses a growing need of municipalities. The sewer infrastructure of many cities is in a state of disrepair due to budgetary constraints, a history of neglect and, often most importantly, a lack of critical information about the aging and complex system of sewers that convey wastewater for 75% of the population. The knowledge base was assembled with input from a national group of experts from both the public and private sectors. Input from the experts assesses the overall need to inspect based on both the line's consequence and likelihood of failure. In turn, consequence and likelihood of failure are based on six mechanisms describing failure and two mechanisms predicting the impact of failure. Prioritization is accomplished using a Bayesian belief network that allows the uncertainty of the experts' beliefs to be propagated through the decision process. The knowledge base is evaluated with a series of case studies and is shown to be effective at mimicking the knowledge of experts.
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Use of various deterioration models in the area of infrastructure management has provided decision makers with a vehicle for predicting future deterioration. This paper presents a methodology for predicting the likelihood that a particular infrastructure system is in a deficient state, using logistic regression models, a special case of linear regression. What distinguishes these two models is that the outcome variable in the logistic regression model is binary or dichotomous and assumes a Bernoulli distribution. The methodology is illustrated in a case study involving the evaluation of the local sewer system of Edmonton, Alta. Canada. Variables of age, diameter, material, waste type, and average depth of cover are modeled, using historical data, as factors contributing to deterioration of the sewer network. The outcome of this model does not produce a prediction of condition rating but rather uses historical inspection records to provide decision makers with a means of evaluating sewer sections for the planning of future scheduled inspection, based on the deficiency probability.
Article
Due to increasing customer and political pressures, and more stringent environmental regulations, sediment and other blockage issues are now a high priority when assessing sewer system operational performance. Blockages caused by sediment deposits reduce sewer system reliability and demand remedial action at considerable operational cost. Consequently, procedures are required for identifying which parts of the sewer system are in most need of proactive removal of sediments. This paper presents an exceptionally long (7.5 years) and spatially detailed (9658 grid squares--0.03 km² each--covering a population of nearly 7.5 million) data set obtained from a customer complaints database in Bogotá (Colombia). The sediment-related blockage data are modelled using homogeneous and non-homogeneous Poisson process models. In most of the analysed areas the inter-arrival time between blockages can be represented by the homogeneous process, but there are a considerable number of areas (up to 34%) for which there is strong evidence of non-stationarity. In most of these cases, the mean blockage rate increases over time, signifying a continual deterioration of the system despite repairs, this being particularly marked for pipe and gully pot related blockages. The physical properties of the system (mean pipe slope, diameter and pipe length) have a clear but weak influence on observed blockage rates. The Bogotá case study illustrates the potential value of customer complaints databases and formal analysis frameworks for proactive sewerage maintenance scheduling in large cities.
Article
Sewer maintenance and rehabilitation strategies developed in a number of countries are reviewed. Comparisons are made between those approaches that focus on a predefined subset of strategic sewers and those that consider proactive maintenance of the whole system to address the wider consequences of failure such as customer satisfaction, social disruption and environmental damage. A number of diverse methods are described which can be used to optimise and prioritise proactive maintenance by analysing sewer performance, and lessons are drawn from maintenance strategies developed for other buried infrastructure assets. Limitations in existing sewer databases are discussed and new methods of obtaining sewer condition information are described. The paper concludes that to be cost effective, proactive maintenance involving inspection and repair must be focussed on those pipes which can be shown to have an early predisposition to failure.
Article
One important issue in the theory of ordered weighted averaging (OWA) operators is the determination of the associated weights. One of the first approaches, suggested by O'Hagan, determines a special class of OWA operators having maximal entropy of the OWA weights for a given level of orness; algorithmically it is based on the solution of a constrained optimization problem. Another consideration that may be of interest to a decision maker involves the variability associated with a weighting vector. In particular, a decision maker may desire low variability associated with a chosen weighting vector. In this paper, using the Kuhn–Tucker second-order sufficiency conditions for optimality, we shall analytically derive the minimal variability weighting vector for any level of orness.
Article
We briefly describe the Ordered Weighted Averaging (OWA) operator and discuss a methodology for learning the associated weighting vector from observational data. We then introduce a more general type of OWA operator called the Induced Ordered Weighted Averaging (IOWA) Operator. These operators take as their argument pairs, called OWA pairs, in which one component is used to induce an ordering over the second components which are then aggregated. A number of different aggregation situations have been shown to be representable in this framework. We then show how this tool can be used to represent different types of aggregation models.
Article
We are primarily concerned with the problem of aggregating multicriteria to form an overall decision function. We introduce a new type of operator for aggregation called an ordered weighted aggregation (OWA) operator. We investigate the properties of this operator. We particularly see that it has the property of lying between the “and,” requiring all the criteria to be satisfied, and the “or,” requiring at least one of the criteria to be satisfied. We see these new OWA operators as some new family of mean operators.
Remaining Asset Life: A State of the Art Review, Final Report, Water Environment Research Foundation (WERF)
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Infrastructure Management and Deterioration Risk Assessment of Wastewater Collection Systems
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Salman, B., 2010. Infrastructure Management and Deterioration Risk Assessment of Wastewater Collection Systems. Ph.D. Dissertation. University of Cincinnati: USA.
Neural Network-Based Prediction Models for Structural Deterioration of Urban Drainage Pipes
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Tran, D H., B J C. Perera, and A W M. Ng. 2007. "Neural Network-Based Prediction Models for Structural Deterioration of Urban Drainage Pipes." Land, Water and Environmental Management: Integrated Systems for Sustainability, Proceedings, Christchurch. 2264-2270.
Ranking the Inter-Basin Water Transfers Using Induced Ordered Weighted Averaging Operator
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