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ePOCT+ and the medAL-suite: Development of an electronic clinical decision support algorithm and digital platform for pediatric outpatients in low- and middle-income countries

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Electronic clinical decision support algorithms (CDSAs) have been developed to address high childhood mortality and inappropriate antibiotic prescription by helping clinicians adhere to guidelines. Previously identified challenges of CDSAs include their limited scope, usability, and outdated clinical content. To address these challenges we developed ePOCT+, a CDSA for the care of pediatric outpatients in low- and middle-income settings, and the medical algorithm suite (medAL-suite), a software for the creation and execution of CDSAs. Following the principles of digital development, we aim to describe the process and lessons learnt from the development of ePOCT+ and the medAL-suite. In particular, this work outlines the systematic integrative development process in the design and implementation of these tools required to meet the needs of clinicians to improve uptake and quality of care. We considered the feasibility, acceptability and reliability of clinical signs and symptoms, as well as the diagnostic and prognostic performance of predictors. To assure clinical validity, and appropriateness for the country of implementation the algorithm underwent numerous reviews by clinical experts and health authorities from the implementing countries. The digitalization process involved the creation of medAL-creator, a digital platform which allows clinicians without IT programming skills to easily create the algorithms, and medAL-reader the mobile health (mHealth) application used by clinicians during the consultation. Extensive feasibility tests were done with feedback from end-users of multiple countries to improve the clinical algorithm and medAL-reader software. We hope that the development framework used for developing ePOCT+ will help support the development of other CDSAs, and that the open-source medAL-suite will enable others to easily and independently implement them. Further clinical validation studies are underway in Tanzania, Rwanda, Kenya, Senegal, and India.
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RESEARCH ARTICLE
ePOCT+ and the medAL-suite: Development of
an electronic clinical decision support
algorithm and digital platform for pediatric
outpatients in low- and middle-income
countries
Rainer TanID
1,2,3,15
*, Ludovico CobuccioID
1,2,15
, Fenella BeynonID
2,15
, Gillian A. Levine
2,15
,
Nina VaezipourID
2,15
, Lameck Bonaventure Luwanda
3
, Chacha Mangu
4
, Alan Vonlanthen
5
,
Olga De SantisID
1,6
, Nahya SalimID
3,7
, Karim ManjiID
7
, Helga Naburi
7
, Lulu Chirande
7
,
Lena MatataID
2,3,15
, Method Bulongeleje
8
, Robert MoshiroID
7
, Andolo Miheso
9
,
Peter Arimi
10
, Ousmane Ndiaye
11
, Moctar Faye
11
, Aliou Thiongane
11
, Shally Awasthi
12
,
Kovid Sharma
13
, Gaurav Kumar
2,15
, Josephine Van De MaatID
14
, Alexandra KulinkinaID
2,15
,
Victor RwandarwacuID
2,15
, The
´ophile Dusengumuremyi
2,15
, John Baptist NkurangaID
16
,
Emmanuel Rusingiza
17,18
, Lisine Tuyisenge
17
, Mary-Anne Hartley
19
, Vincent FaivreID
5
,
Julien Thabard
5
, Kristina KeitelID
2,15,20
, Vale
´rie D’Acremont
1,2,15
1Digital and Global Health Unit, Unisante
´, Centre for Primary Care and Public Health, University of
Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland, 2Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Basel, Switzerland, 3Ifakara
Health Institute, Dar es Salaam, United Republic of Tanzania, 4National Institute of Medical Research–
Mbeya Medical Research Centre, Mbeya, United Republic of Tanzania, 5Information Technology & Digital
Transformation sector, Unisante
´, Center for Primary Care and Public Health, University of Lausanne,
Switzerland, 6Institute of Global Health, University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland, 7Department of
Pediatrics and Child Health, Muhimbili University Health and Allied Sciences (MUHAS), Dar es Salaam,
United Republic of Tanzania, 8PATH, Dar es Salaam, United Republic of Tanzania, 9PATH, Nairobi,
Kenya, 10 College of Health Sciences, University of Nairobi, Nairobi, Kenya, 11 Department of Pediatrics,
Cheikh Anta Diop University, Dakar, Senegal, 12 Department of Pediatrics, King George’s Medical
University, Lucknow, India, 13 PATH, Lucknow, India, 14 Radboudumc, Department of Internal Medicine
and Radboudumc Center for Infectious Diseases, Nijmegen, Netherlands, 15 University of Basel, Basel,
Switzerland, 16 Department of Paediatrics, King Faisal Hospital, Kigali, Rwanda, 17 University Teaching
Hospital of Kigali, Kigali, Rwanda, 18 School of Medicine and Pharmacy, University of Rwanda, Kigali,
Rwanda, 19 Intelligent Global Health, Machine Learning and Optimization Laboratory, Swiss Federal Institute
of Technology (EPFL), Lausanne, Switzerland, 20 Paediatric Emergency Department, Department of
Pediatrics, University Hospital Berne, Berne, Switzerland
These authors contributed equally to this work.
*rainer.tan@unisante.ch
Abstract
Electronic clinical decision support algorithms (CDSAs) have been developed to address
high childhood mortality and inappropriate antibiotic prescription by helping clinicians
adhere to guidelines. Previously identified challenges of CDSAs include their limited
scope, usability, and outdated clinical content. To address these challenges we developed
ePOCT+, a CDSA for the care of pediatric outpatients in low- and middle-income settings,
and the medical algorithm suite (medAL-suite), a software for the creation and execution of
CDSAs. Following the principles of digital development, we aim to describe the process and
lessons learnt from the development of ePOCT+ and the medAL-suite. In particular, this
PLOS DIGITAL HEALTH
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OPEN ACCESS
Citation: Tan R, Cobuccio L, Beynon F, Levine GA,
Vaezipour N, Luwanda LB, et al. (2023) ePOCT+
and the medAL-suite: Development of an electronic
clinical decision support algorithm and digital
platform for pediatric outpatients in low- and
middle-income countries. PLOS Digit Health 2(1):
e0000170. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.
pdig.0000170
Editor: Ryan S. McGinnis, University of Vermont,
UNITED STATES
Received: March 4, 2022
Accepted: November 23, 2022
Published: January 19, 2023
Peer Review History: PLOS recognizes the
benefits of transparency in the peer review
process; therefore, we enable the publication of
all of the content of peer review and author
responses alongside final, published articles. The
editorial history of this article is available here:
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pdig.0000170
Copyright: ©2023 Tan et al. This is an open access
article distributed under the terms of the Creative
Commons Attribution License, which permits
unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in
any medium, provided the original author and
source are credited.
Data Availability Statement: The data that
supports the findings outlined in supplementary
work outlines the systematic integrative development process in the design and implemen-
tation of these tools required to meet the needs of clinicians to improve uptake and quality of
care. We considered the feasibility, acceptability and reliability of clinical signs and symp-
toms, as well as the diagnostic and prognostic performance of predictors. To assure clinical
validity, and appropriateness for the country of implementation the algorithm underwent
numerous reviews by clinical experts and health authorities from the implementing coun-
tries. The digitalization process involved the creation of medAL-creator, a digital platform
which allows clinicians without IT programming skills to easily create the algorithms, and
medAL-reader the mobile health (mHealth) application used by clinicians during the consul-
tation. Extensive feasibility tests were done with feedback from end-users of multiple coun-
tries to improve the clinical algorithm and medAL-reader software. We hope that the
development framework used for developing ePOCT+ will help support the development of
other CDSAs, and that the open-source medAL-suite will enable others to easily and inde-
pendently implement them. Further clinical validation studies are underway in Tanzania,
Rwanda, Kenya, Senegal, and India.
Author summary
In accordance with the principles of digital development we describe the process and les-
sons learnt from the development of ePOCT+, a clinical decision support algorithm
(CDSA), and medAL-suite, a software, to program and implement CDSAs. The clinical
algorithm was adapted from previous CDSAs in order to address challenges in regards to
the limited scope of illnesses and patient population addressed, the ease of use, and limited
performance of specific algorithms. Clinical algorithms were adapted and improved based
on considerations of what symptoms and signs would be appropriate for primary care
health workers, and how well these clinical elements predic a particular disease or severe
outcome. We hope that by sharing our multi-stakeholder approach to the development of
ePOCT+, it can help others in the development of other CDSAs. The medAL-creator soft-
ware was developed to allow clinicians without IT programming experience to program
the clinical algorithm using a drag-and-drop interface, intended to allow a wider range of
health authorities and implementers to develop and adapt their own CDSA. The medAL-
reader application, deploys the algorithm from medAL-creator to end-users following the
usual healthcare processes within a consultation.
Introduction
Electronic clinical decision support algorithms (CDSAs) have been implemented in low- and
middle-income countries (LMICs) in order to address excessive mortality due to poor quality
of health care [1], and antimicrobial resistance due to inappropriate antibiotic prescription [2
5]. Such tools provide guidance through every step of the outpatient consultation to ultimately
suggest the diagnosis and management plan based on the entered symptoms, signs and test
results [6]. CDSAs have shown to help clinicians better adhere to guidelines [79], which
resulting in improved quality of care and, for some, more rational antibiotic prescription
[10,11]. This has led the World Health Organization (WHO) and its Member States to priori-
tize the scale-up of digital health technologies [12,13].
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material 3 is publicly available from Zenodo: DOI:
10.5281/zenodo.400380.
Funding: This work took place within the
framework of the DYNAMIC project that is funded
by the Fondation Botnar, Switzerland (grant
6278) as well as the Swiss Development
Cooperation (grant n˚7F-10361.01.01) received by
VDA. The TIMCI project funded by UNITAID (grant
n˚2019-35-TIMCI) received by VDA allowed for
adapting of ePOCT+ or the medAL-suite software
to Senegal, Kenya and India. The funders had no
role in study or software design, data collection
and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of
the manuscript.
Competing interests: The authors have declared
that no competing interests exist.
Current CDSAs are not standardized, and concerns have been raised about their limited
demographic and clinical scope [14,15], their usability [15,16], and their static and generic
logic based on outdated guidelines that are unable to adapt to new evidence, evolving epidemi-
ology, or changing resources. These challenges may contribute to variable uptake of CDSAs
[1618], and suboptimal performance when implemented [9,19].
In order to address these challenges, and build on the experience of previous CDSAs by our
group [10,11], and others [6,9], we developed the CDSA ePOCT+, and a supporting digital
software to create and execute CDSAs, the medAL-suite. ePOCT+ is currently being imple-
mented in over 200 health facilities within the context of implementation studies in Tanzania,
Rwanda, Senegal, Kenya and India. Following the principles of digital development and guid-
ance on CDSAs [2022], we aim to transparently share the rationale, strategy, and lessons
learnt from this development process (Fig 1).
Methods
Scope
Compared to our previous generation CDSAs [6,10,11], the target level of care (primary health
care facilities), and target users (mostly nurses and non-physician clinicians) remain the same.
However, the target patient population was expanded from 2 months to 5 years, to also cover
young infants below 2 months, and in some countries children 5 years up to 15 years.
The expanded target population age group adds young infants (<2 months) who are at high-
est risk of mortality [23], and children aged 5–15 years who are often neglected in international
and national policies resulting in a slower decrease in mortality in LMICs compared to children
under 5 years [24]. This expanded age group may help address the challenge of uptake by avoid-
ing the need for clinicians to change tools when managing children of different age groups.
The scope of illnesses covered was also expanded in response to the frustration of clinicians
using CDSAs who were not able to reach specific illnesses [14,16]. Expanding the scope
allowed for the integration of common illnesses covered by other national clinical guidelines
to which clinicians are expected to adhere, and to provide more opportunity for antibiotic
stewardship when providing management guidance for specific illnesses.
Three major criteria were considered when expanding the scope of illnesses: 1) Incidence
of presenting symptoms and diagnoses; 2) Morbidity, mortality, and outbreak potential; and
3) Capacity to diagnose and manage specific conditions at the primary care level.
Fig 1. Overall development process of ePOCT+ requiring multiple feedback loops. The development process of ePOCT+ was an iterative process. We first
defined the scope, then developed the algorithm (decision tree logic), followed by expert review with relevant stakeholders, the digitalization, and finally
piloting and testing. Each stage resulted in multiple feedback loops to refine the end product.
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Additional conditions were identified through: 1) national guidelines; 2) fever aetiology
studies; 3) national health surveys; 4) chief complaints from primary care outpatient studies; 5)
clinical expert review teams from the implementation countries; 6) interviews with end user
clinicians; and 6) observation of consultations at primary health care facilities (Table A in S1
Appendix). Examples of notable additions for the Tanzanian algorithm include trauma, uri-
nary tract infection, and abdominal pain that can account for 4.3–21.6% [25], 5.9–19.7% [25
27], and 4.6–23% [11,26] of outpatient consultations respectively.
Clinical algorithm
The target users (mostly nurses and non-physician clinicians), and setting (primary health
care facilities) were important considerations when identifying the guidelines and evidence to
develop the algorithm. Previously validated algorithms [11], and the WHO Integrated Man-
agement of Childhood Illnesses (IMCI) chart booklets formed the backbone of the algorithm
[28]. To support the expanded clinical scope, we turned to national guidelines to ensure adap-
tation to the local epidemiology, resources, and setting. If there was not sufficient detail in
order to derive decision logic from these national guidelines, a brief review of literature was
conducted to identify peer-reviewed literature and other international guidelines.
In order to transform narrative guidelines into Boolean decision tree logic algorithms, con-
siderable interpretation was needed. The guiding principles for this process were derived from
the properties to consider in the screening and diagnosis of a disease by Sackett and colleagues
[29], the target product profile (TPP) for CDSAs as defined by experts in the field [21], and
guidance on appropriate diagnostic and prognostic model development [30]. These include
consideration of: a) the feasibility, acceptability, and reliability of clinical elements assessed at
the primary care level, b) the diagnostic and prognostic value of individual and combined pre-
dictors, c) the sensitivity and specificity in relation to the severity and pre-test probability of
the condition in the target population, and d) the overall clinical impression of the patient by
the clinician.
a) Feasibility, acceptability, and reliability of predictors
If clinical algorithms are to be adequately utilized, the signs and symptoms used to reach a
diagnosis must be feasible, acceptable and reliable when assessed by end-users. These proper-
ties were evaluated based on the results of several assessments: primarily an international Del-
phi study on predictors of sepsis in children [31], a systematic review on triage tools in low-
resource settings [32], signs and symptoms included in established guidelines for primary
health care workers such as IMCI [28], interviews with clinicians, observation of routine con-
sultations, a Delphi survey among 30 Tanzanian health care workers (S2 Appendix), as well as
subsequent feasibility tests observing clinicians using the CDSA on real and fictional cases.
Notable findings from this process led to us not adding a pain score, capillary refill time, the
assessment of cool peripheries, and weak and fast pulse, as they were deemed neither feasible
nor reliable to be assessed at the primary care level. Importantly, these symptoms and signs are
also not included within IMCI, likely for similar reasons [28].
b) Diagnostic and prognostic value of predictors
In the absence of validated diagnostic models for each diagnosis, we assessed individual
diagnostic and prognostic factors to help guide the development of ePOCT+. Diagnostic stud-
ies derived from the population and setting of interest were preferred [33,34], as those devel-
oped from other settings often perform worse [35]. However, diagnostic predictors notably
those predicting ‘serious bacterial infection’, often have low sensitivity, lack reference tests to
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confirm bacterial origin, and ignore serious infections caused by viral diseases [36,37]. Prog-
nostic studies are often better suited to develop clinical algorithms in order to understand
which children are at risk of developing severe disease, regardless of the aetiology, to improve
patient outcomes and reduce resource misallocation [3840]. A systematic review of predictors
of severe disease in febrile children presenting from the community helped identify useful clin-
ical feature to be integrated within ePOCT+ [35], however few studies occurred at the primary
care level. To address this gap we performed an exploratory analysis of clinical elements used
in two CDSAs evaluated in Tanzania to predict clinical failure (S3 Appendix). This analysis
found IMCI danger signs, severe general appearance, mid-upper arm circumference <12.5cm,
oxygen saturation <90%, respiratory distress, and signs of anaemia and dehydration to be
good predictors of clinical failure. Specific subgroup analyses on our previous generation
CDSA provided further support for maintaining or modifying specific algorithm branches,
particularly the inclusion of C-reactive Protein (CRP) point-of-care tests that helped safely
reduce antibiotic prescription and improve confidence in management [41,42].
c) Sensitivity and specificity of algorithm branches in relation to severity and pre-test probabil-
ity of condition
When constructing the algorithm, it was important to first identify children presenting
with a severe condition, and only then use more specific branches to distinguish conditions
requiring specific treatment from self-limiting illnesses requiring only supportive care (Fig 2).
Predictors of severe conditions need to be sufficiently sensitive to guide interventions to
Fig 2. Considering algorithm performance in regards to pre-test probability (disease prevalence) of the condition. Health care workers are confronted
with two major questions at primary care health facilities: 1) Does the child need to be referred? For which an algorithm must evaluate sensitivity and specificity
in relation to the severity of disease. 2) Does the child require specific treatment (most often an antibiotic)? For which the disease prevalence of a bacterial
illness needs to be considered when evaluating the sensitivity and specificity of such an algorithm.
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reduce morbidity and mortality. However if this high sensitivity comes at the cost of reduced
specificity, it can result in over-referral, misallocation of limited health care resources, and
excess antibiotic prescription [38]. While this concept was considered within the development
of the algorithm, most predictors and models studied lacked sufficient sensitivity and specific-
ity to appropriately meet these requirements at the primary care level, thus emphasizing the
need for better predictors and models [35,38].
Once a severe condition has been excluded, restricting antimicrobial prescriptions can be
more safely integrated given the lower risk of clinical failure. Understanding the pre-test prob-
ability (disease prevalence) of the disease guides us on the level of specificity needed for the
corresponding predictors to be included in the algorithm. In the outpatient settings, few non-
severe children above 2 months have a condition requiring antibiotics [11,27]. As such, using
the principles of Bayes’ theorem [43], an algorithm for a condition of low prevalence requires a
higher likelihood ratio to have a similar post-test probability than a condition with a higher
prevalence. Within ePOCT+, C-Reactive Protein (CRP) test is integrated in several branches
of the algorithm to increase specificity/likelihood ratio when the pre-test probability of requir-
ing antibiotics is low. However, the pre-test probability of requiring antibiotics may increase
in a child with comorbidities, and therefore a lower CRP cut-off can be used to increase sensi-
tivity and reach the same post-test probability.
d) Integrating overall clinical impression
The overall clinical impression of a healthcare worker plays an important part in the diagnostic
process [44], and may sometimes better identify serious conditions compared to isolated symp-
toms and signs [45,46]. As blindly following CDSA recommendations runs the risk of neglecting
nuanced clinical observations or patient-initiated elements, we incorporated clinical impression
in the algorithm to better preserve these skills [47]. More generally, it also shows a respect and
consideration for the clinician’s judgment and allows the tools to be more participatory; including
the clinician in the interpretation and responsibility of the decision. As such, attempts were made
to combine multiple clinical elements into one question utilizing clinical impression. This
approach was used to help identify children who need a referral or antibiotics, such as “Severe dif-
ficult breathing needing referral”, a criteria similar to that proposed by the British Thoracic Soci-
ety [48], and “well/unwell appearing child”, often used in children with fever without apparent
source [36,49]. Highlighting in the application that this response will result in a recommendation
of referral, aims to help clinicians understand the impact of their selection, and thus improve both
the sensitivity and specificity. Such composite elements reduce the number of questions prompted
by the CDSA, and speeds up the consultation process; an important consideration for uptake.
Nevertheless, the diagnostic and prognostic value of the overall clinical impression of primary
care clinicians in LMIC settings is not well understood, and further research is needed to under-
stand how helpful these types of elements are when integrated within ePOCT+.
Adapting and validating the medical content
ePOCT+ was first developed for Tanzania, where the prior generation of the algorithm was
validated in a randomized-controlled trial [11]. Following the expansion and adaptation of the
content described above, the algorithm was internally reviewed by 13 clinicians from 6 medical
institutions with good understanding of CDSAs; 5 working in Tanzania, and the other 8 with
experience working in LMICs. The ePOCT+ algorithm for Rwanda, Senegal, Kenya and India
were then each drafted, with rounds of internal review, by small development teams composed
of clinical algorithm development specialists, and national child health experts based on coun-
try-specific objectives, guidelines, and epidemiology, using the first algorithm as a scaffold.
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In each country, the ePOCT+ algorithm was reviewed by a technical panel from the Minis-
try of Health or an independent clinical expert group (usually with Ministry of Health repre-
sentatives). The panels were asked to assess the algorithm in terms of clinical validity,
feasibility in primary care, scope of illnesses, and consistency with national policy and guide-
lines. The process of validation varied slightly in each country according to national decision-
making mechanisms, but all included written feedback, individual and group meetings.
Certain algorithm branches were highlighted for group discussion; especially those with
novel content, those for which significant interpretation was required from national guide-
lines, and any branches with queries or comments from panel members. For the algorithms
with more novel content, more formal decision processes were used. In Tanzania and Rwanda
a modified nominal group method was used, in which each participant one-by-one provided
their opinion on the presented branch of the algorithm, followed by a group discussion and
then an absolute majority vote for the final version.
Following the internal and external reviews, further modifications were made during the
digitalization process, and feasibility tests, including feedback and review from end-users. For
each proposed major change, the modification was communicated to the group to allow subse-
quent feedback and final approval by health authorities.
Digitalization of ePOCT+ and development of the medAL-suite
We performed a landscaping review of existing CDSA software with respect to user interface,
open source, data management, ease of programming and interpretation of clinical algorithms,
and operability in target health facilities. Since none of the available software packages met our
requirements, we developed the medAL-suite software following the requirements of the target
product profile for CDSAs [21]. medAL-creator allows clinical experts to design the clinical
content and logic of the algorithm, while medAL-reader is an Android based interface to exe-
cute the algorithm to end-user clinicians (Fig 3). Both software were developed collaboratively
between the clinicians, IT programmers, end-users via feedback from field tests, and health
authorities from the implementation countries.
The World Health Organization (WHO) have recently proposed the SMART guidelines to
provide guidance and structure to translate the narrative guidelines (Layer 1), to semi-struc-
tured “human readable” decision trees and digital adaptation kits (Layer 2), to computer/
machine readable structured algorithms (Layer 3), to the executable form of the software
(Layer 4), and finally dynamic algorithms that are trained and optimised to local data (Layer 5)
[50]. Each “translation” between layers is prone to interpretation and error, especially when
each layer is developed by different actors and continuously adapted. To reduce error in inter-
pretation, a major feature of medAL-creator is to allow the “computer/machine readable”
structured algorithms to be “human readable”, thus merging Layers 2 and 3. medAL-creator
features a “drag and drop” user interface and automatic terminology/code set enabling the cli-
nicians with no programming knowledge to create and review the algorithm. medAL-reader is
then able to automatically convert the algorithm from medAL-creator for use at point-of-care.
medAL-reader, was designed based on our previous experiences of CDSA interfaces [8,11],
and expert guidance on successful strategies in order for the application to be intuitive to use
with limited training, to align with normal workflows at primary health care facilities, and
encourage user autonomy [21,51,52].
Validation tests and user-experience evaluations
Validation tests were performed for each diagnosis to ensure that the inputted data within
medAL-creator were processed correctly into the expected output on medAL-reader. This
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included automated unit and integration testing, as well as automated non-regression testing
by medAL-creator, and manual verification of medication posology for all drugs according to
weight and age of the patient. All issues were reviewed by a clinical and IT team to correct the
problems. While such tests are encouraged by the CDSA TPP [21], since CDSAs are not con-
sidered a “software as a medical device” by the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) [53] or
European Medical Device Coordination Group [54], these tests are not legally required.
The ePOCT+ tool underwent numerous types and rounds of testing. To start, over 500
desk-based review cases focusing on user interface and analytical validation were performed
by the various team members. Analytical validation tests ensured that the clinical content that
was programmed in medAL-creator had the correct output in the medAL-reader application.
End-user testing using fictional cases and supervised consultations concentrated on user expe-
rience, acceptability, and clinical applicability. Finally integrated testing in real-life conditions
were performed where feedback was sought regularly. All user experience feedback was
reviewed by a team including both clinical and IT specialists, while all clinical content modifi-
cations were approved by both the internal and external review panels.
Ethics
Activities related to the development and piloting of ePOCT+ and the medAL-suite were done
within the studies of DYNAMIC and TIMCI, for which approval was given from each country
of implementation. The study protocol and related documents were approved by the institu-
tional review boards of the Ifakara Health Institute in Tanzania (IHI/IRB/No: 11–2020 and
49–2020), the National Institute for Medical Research in Tanzania (NIMR/HQ/R.8a/Vol. IX/
3486 and NIMR/HQ/R.8a/Vol. IX/3583), the National Ethics Committee of Rwanda (752/
RNEC/2020), the Comite
´National d’Ethique pour la Recherche en Sante
´of Senegal (SEN20/
50), the University of Nairobi Ethics and Research Committee in Kenya (UON/CHS/TIMCI/
Fig 3. medAL-creator and medAL-reader.A) medAL-creator and its “drag and drop” user interface to design the clinical algorithm. For each clinical element
a description and/or photo can be included to assist the end-user using medAL-reader; B) medAL-reader the android based application to collect the medical
history, exposures, symptoms, signs and tests, and then propose the appropriate diagnosis and management.
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1/1), the King George’s Medical College Institutional Ethics Committee in India (103rd ECM
IC/P2), the Indian Council of Medical Research (2020–9753), the cantonal ethics review board
of Vaud, Switzerland (CER-VD 2020–02800 & CER-VD 2020–02799), and the WHO Ethics
Review Committee (ERC.0003405 & ERC.0003406). Written informed consent was obtained
from all parents or guardians of children involved in the piloting of ePOCT+ and medAL-
reader. No informed consent was obtained from health care workers involved in the develop-
ment and refinement of the tools.
The exploratory analysis of predictors from the 2014 ePOCT study received approval of the
study protocol and related documents by the institutional review boards of the Ifakara Health
Institute and the National Institute for Medical Research in Tanzania (NIMRrHQ,R.8a,/trI’-
VoIl. 789), by the Ethikkommission Beider Basel in Switzerland (EKNZ UBE 15/03), and the
Boston Children’s Hospital ethical review board. Written informed consent was obtained
from all parents or guardians.
Results
The ePOCT+ clinical algorithm and supporting evidence for each country of implementation
can be found on the websites of the DYNAMIC and TIMCI studies that are implementing
ePOCT+. The major features of medAL-creator and medAL-reader are summarized in the
supplementary material (S4 Appendix), including the requirements defined by the CDSA tar-
get product profile (S5 Appendix).
The feasibility tests of ePOCT+ were conducted in over 200 patients in 20 health facilities,
leading to numerous modifications (Table 1). The improved algorithm was then piloted with
over 2000 consultations following 2 days of training and on-site support, before officially start-
ing the clinical validation studies in the five countries of implementation.
Discussion
ePOCT+ was derived from existing evidence and clinical validation field studies from previous
generation CDSAs [8,10,11]. Novel content in the algorithm compared to other CDSA include
Table 1. Example of modifications based on user-experience feedback and observations.
Issue Description + context Modifications
CDSA impractical in emergency
situations
Child with convulsions was brought into the consultation
room interrupting the current consultation. The clinician
stopped using the tablet and managed the child providing the
incorrect antibiotic class and dose
Emergency button integrated so that emergency
management guidance can easily be accessed at any point of
the algorithm.
Understanding algorithm branches Why a patient reached a specific diagnosis was not always
well understood by clinicians
To improve understanding, and to have medAL-reader as a
learning tool, efforts were made to simply present the
decision tree logic for individual diagnostic and syndromic
branches of the algorithm.
Some medicines not available at health
facilities due to stock-outs
Sometimes medicines recommended by national guidelines
were not available
Provide alternative medicines for most conditions in case
the recommended one is not available.
Misunderstanding of the labelling of
some clinical elements
The labelling of some symptoms and signs were not well
understood by the clinician
Modification of labelling of some elements, clarification
provided in the information button, and translation to local
language
Some clinical signs not measured,
especially when patients are many
Many clinicians did not always measure required clinical
signs (anthropometrics, temperature, respiratory rate) and
could thus not continue with the algorithm
Provide options to not measure some clinical signs and
rather estimate the values (with warning that this is sub-
optimal) to limit clinicians being ‘stuck’, to discourage false
information to be entered, and to provide mentorship to
those not measuring these signs
No clear identification of symptoms and
signs that always result in severe disease
/ referral
Clinicians selected variables that resulted in a severe
diagnosis, parenteral antibiotics, and referral, for which the
clinician did not agree with.
Elements that result in the diagnosis of a severe disease and
referral are highlighted
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pdig.0000170.t001
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decision logic for young infants less than 2 months, and in some countries decision logic for
children 5–15 years old, and expanded clinical content for diagnoses not included in IMCI. It
is now being further validated in several large clinical studies. Following established develop-
ment protocols, attempts were made to ensure a transparent development process, multi-
stakeholder collaboration, and end-user feedback [21,22,55,56]. Specifically, aligning the devel-
opment process of ePOCT+ and specifications of medAL-reader to the requirements of the
Target Product Profile for CDSAs was helpful to better meet the needs of end users in terms of
quality, safety, performance and operational functionality [21]. The development of medAL-
creator, allows non-IT specialists to be able to program the clinical algorithms using a no-code,
drag and drop interface, a novel solution that democratizes the development of CDSAs. This is
a big advantage when compared to other CDSA tools that generally require advanced IT
knowledge to review and program the code of the CDSA. Nonetheless, there are several limita-
tions and challenges with the development process and the end-result of ePOCT+ and the
medAL-suite, for which ongoing modifications and improvements will be required.
First, while efforts were made to improve the performance of the algorithm, there was
often a reliance on clinical guidelines which may not always be founded on the best/latest/
highest quality evidence, or applicable to low resource primary care settings [57,58]. Further-
more, they require significant interpretation to transform into algorithms. Digital Adapta-
tion Kits (DAKs) to guide implementers in how to interpret narrative guidelines to
transform into digital platforms are currently being developed by the World Health Organi-
zation and should help address this challenge in the future [50,59]. Often supplementary evi-
dence was needed to complement national and international guidelines. This evidence
should ideally be identified through systematic reviews [60], however those are not always
feasible. Leveraging existing evidence databases as done by another CDSA may be a more
feasible method to avoid biases in identifying supporting evidence [61]. Among the support-
ing evidence identified, there was a paucity of evidence for conditions specific to older chil-
dren above 5 years, prognostic studies in the primary care setting, and diagnostic studies for
conditions other than serious bacterial infection and pneumonia. Evaluating the prognostic
and diagnostic value of predictors and models used in ePOCT+ during the ongoing valida-
tion studies will help to develop more efficient and better performing algorithms optimised
for the target population [50,62].
A number of considerations were taken into account when digitalizing and adapting paper
guidelines. Among the most important considerations were the feasibility, acceptability, reli-
ability, and diagnostic and prognostic performance of individual clinical elements, while also
considering the overall performance of the algorithms in relation to the pre-test probability of
the outcome or disease, and the clinician’s overall impression. Often conflicts can arise among
the various factors that must be considered, which leads to difficult decisions. For example the
Delphi survey among Tanzanian health care workers found that capillary refill time may not
be feasible in primary health settings, however it has been found to have good prognostic value
[35]. Such difficult decisions were often taken with input from clinical experts from the coun-
try of implementation. Additional training on clinical signs deemed not feasible, could poten-
tially allow for future modifications. Another difficult decision included the option of
estimating results when measurements are not possible (e,g, respiratory rate). Health care
workers often do not measure respiratory rate when following paper guidelines or using a
CDSA [7,19]. If the CDSA does not allow the option of not being able to measure respiratory
rate then health care workers may not be able to move forward using the tool, or may enter
false data if indeed respiratory rate measurement is not feasible. Allowing health care workers
to estimate the value is not ideal, but allows the health care worker to at the very least visually
assess respiratory rate, and provide an input in order for the algorithm to reach a diagnosis.
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This data can then be used to mentor health care workers that do not measure respiratory rate.
Allowing clinicians to simply indicate that the respiratory rate was not possible to measure
without forcing an estimation could be an option to consider, but would complicate the deci-
sion on what diagnosis to reach when selecting this option.
Many modifications to ePOCT+ and medAL-reader compared to previous generation
CDSAs were implemented in order to help improve uptake, addressing previously shared con-
cerns such as limited scope, and ease of use. medAL-reader was specifically designed to follow
normal healthcare workflows, and incorporate more input from the healthcare workers. Com-
pared to other CDSAs, medAL-reader includes new functions such as an emergency button,
and the ability to accept or refuse a diagnosis or treatment. The introduction of other digital
tools such as electronic medical records within the same health facilities creates challenges in
uptake and may result in duplication of processes. As an example, it is estimated that there are
over 160 digital health or health-related systems in Tanzania [63]. While efforts are currently
being made to harmonize processes so that different digital systems can complement each
other rather than creating additional work, this has not yet been achieved. It is important to
note, that while ePOCT+ and medAL-reader may address some challenges to uptake of
CDSAs, there are many extrinsic and intrinsic factors that are not addressed, such as the low
perceived value of following guidelines, and lack of motivation partly related to poor remuner-
ation [16,64].
The digitalization process allows for increased complexity in the algorithm compared to
paper guidelines. However, this complexity may limit the understanding by healthcare work-
ers. Understanding how a diagnosis and treatment plan is reached is fundamental to clinical
and patient autonomy, important for continued learning, and for fostering trust in any algo-
rithm.[6567] Efforts were made to present simple decision tree logic for each diagnosis. Nev-
ertheless, the optimal method of presentation of algorithm branches to assure understanding
by primary healthcare workers should be further explored.
Conclusion
ePOCT+ aims to improve clinical care of sick children in LMICs, notably by reducing unnec-
essary antibiotic prescription. We hope that the strong stakeholder involvement, the expanded
scope of the clinical algorithm, and the novel software of the medAL-suite will result in high
uptake, trust and acceptability. Widespread implementation will provide opportunities for
dynamic and targeted refinements to the clinical content to improve the performance of the
algorithm. We further hope that the easy-to-use platform of the medAL-suite, and the frame-
work used to develop ePOCT+ will allow health authorities and local communities to be able
to take ownership of ePOCT+ or their own clinical algorithm for future adaptations and devel-
opments. Future success however, is contingent on the harmonization with national health
management information systems and other digital systems.
Supporting information
S1 Appendix. Prevalence of specific symptoms and diagnoses not covered in IMCI from
Tanzania.
(DOCX)
S2 Appendix. Delphi survey on the reliability and feasibility of measurement of symptoms
and signs.
(DOCX)
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S3 Appendix. Prognostic value of predictors used in the ePOCT and ALMANACH elec-
tronic clinical decision support algorithms.
(DOCX)
S4 Appendix. Features of the medAL-creator and medAL-reader software as defined by a
clinical-IT collaboration with end-user feedback.
(DOCX)
S5 Appendix. Evaluation of ePOCT+ based on the characteristics set by the target product
profile for electronic clinical decision support algorithm as defined by expert consensus.
(DOCX)
Acknowledgments
Emmanuel Barchichat, Alain Fresco, and Quentin Girard from Wavemind for the IT pro-
gramming of medal-creator and medal-reader software. Martin Norris, Lisa Cleveley, Dr
Sabine Renggli, Ibrahim Mtabene, Peter Agrea and Dr Godfrey Kavishe for the medAL-reader
tests and suggestions for improvements to both medal-reader and medal-creator. Cecile Trot-
tet for the statistical support. The many health care workers providing feedback on the tool,
patients and caretakers involved with pilot and feasibility testing. Dr Arjun Chandna and Janet
Urquhart for helpful comments on the manuscript.
Author Contributions
Conceptualization: Rainer Tan, Kristina Keitel, Vale
´rie D’Acremont.
Formal analysis: Rainer Tan, Josephine Van De Maat, Mary-Anne Hartley.
Funding acquisition: Vale
´rie D’Acremont.
Investigation: Rainer Tan, Ludovico Cobuccio, Fenella Beynon, Gillian A. Levine, Nina Vaezi-
pour, Lameck Bonaventure Luwanda, Chacha Mangu, Nahya Salim, Karim Manji, Helga
Naburi, Lulu Chirande, Lena Matata, Method Bulongeleje, Robert Moshiro, Andolo
Miheso, Peter Arimi, Ousmane Ndiaye, Moctar Faye, Aliou Thiongane, Shally Awasthi,
Kovid Sharma, Gaurav Kumar, Josephine Van De Maat, Victor Rwandarwacu, The
´ophile
Dusengumuremyi, John Baptist Nkuranga, Emmanuel Rusingiza, Lisine Tuyisenge, Mary-
Anne Hartley, Kristina Keitel, Vale
´rie D’Acremont.
Methodology: Rainer Tan, Ludovico Cobuccio, Fenella Beynon, Gillian A. Levine, Nina Vae-
zipour, Lameck Bonaventure Luwanda, Chacha Mangu, Alan Vonlanthen, Olga De Santis,
Nahya Salim, Karim Manji, Helga Naburi, Lulu Chirande, Lena Matata, Method Bulonge-
leje, Robert Moshiro, Andolo Miheso, Peter Arimi, Ousmane Ndiaye, Moctar Faye, Aliou
Thiongane, Shally Awasthi, Kovid Sharma, Gaurav Kumar, Josephine Van De Maat, Alex-
andra Kulinkina, Victor Rwandarwacu, The
´ophile Dusengumuremyi, John Baptist Nkur-
anga, Emmanuel Rusingiza, Lisine Tuyisenge, Mary-Anne Hartley, Kristina Keitel, Vale
´rie
D’Acremont.
Project administration: Alan Vonlanthen, Alexandra Kulinkina, Vincent Faivre, Julien Tha-
bard, Vale
´rie D’Acremont.
Software: Rainer Tan, Ludovico Cobuccio, Fenella Beynon, Gillian A. Levine, Lameck Bona-
venture Luwanda, Chacha Mangu, Alan Vonlanthen, Olga De Santis, Nahya Salim, Karim
Manji, Helga Naburi, Lulu Chirande, Lena Matata, Method Bulongeleje, Robert Moshiro,
Andolo Miheso, Peter Arimi, Ousmane Ndiaye, Moctar Faye, Aliou Thiongane, Shally
PLOS DIGITAL HEALTH
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PLOS Digital Health | https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pdig.0000170 January 19, 2023 12 / 17
Awasthi, Kovid Sharma, Gaurav Kumar, Alexandra Kulinkina, Victor Rwandarwacu, The
´o-
phile Dusengumuremyi, John Baptist Nkuranga, Emmanuel Rusingiza, Lisine Tuyisenge,
Vincent Faivre, Julien Thabard, Kristina Keitel, Vale
´rie D’Acremont.
Supervision: Kristina Keitel, Vale
´rie D’Acremont.
Visualization: Rainer Tan.
Writing original draft: Rainer Tan.
Writing review & editing: Rainer Tan, Ludovico Cobuccio, Fenella Beynon, Gillian A.
Levine, Nina Vaezipour, Lameck Bonaventure Luwanda, Chacha Mangu, Alan Vonlanthen,
Olga De Santis, Nahya Salim, Karim Manji, Helga Naburi, Lulu Chirande, Lena Matata,
Method Bulongeleje, Robert Moshiro, Andolo Miheso, Peter Arimi, Ousmane Ndiaye,
Moctar Faye, Aliou Thiongane, Shally Awasthi, Kovid Sharma, Gaurav Kumar, Josephine
Van De Maat, Alexandra Kulinkina, Victor Rwandarwacu, The
´ophile Dusengumuremyi,
John Baptist Nkuranga, Emmanuel Rusingiza, Lisine Tuyisenge, Mary-Anne Hartley, Vin-
cent Faivre, Julien Thabard, Kristina Keitel, Vale
´rie D’Acremont.
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... While several studies have found that using these digital CDSAs improve adherence to IMCI, a noteworthy research gap is that many of these investigations were conducted in controlled study settings, and most lacked randomization [13][14][15][16][17][18][19][20]. ePOCT+, a digital CDSA, was developed based on insights from two previous generations of CDSAs [21,22], specifically addressing challenges by our CDSAs and others, such as limited scope and information technology difficulties [23]. The present study aimed to assess whether this CDSA associated with point-of-care tests, training, and mentorship, would improve the quality of care for sick children compared to usual care, by comparing adherence to IMCI in a pragmatic cluster randomized trial. ...
... The intervention involved equipping health facilities with ePOCT+, an electronic clinical decision support algorithm on an Android based tablet (Fig 1), along with associated point-of-care tests (C-Reactive Protein, Hemoglobin, pulse oximetry), training, and mentorship. ePOCT+ prompts the healthcare provider to answer questions about demographics, symptoms, signs, and tests [23]. Based on the answers, ePOCT+ proposes one or more diagnoses, treatments, and management plans including referral recommendation. ...
... The tool allowed some signs to be estimated (temperature, respiratory rate) or based on recent measurements (weight). Detailed description on the development process and features of ePOCT+ and the medAL-reader application can be found in separate publications [23,29]. ...
... While several studies have found that using these digital CDSAs improve adherence to IMCI, a noteworthy research gap is that many of these investigations were conducted in controlled study settings, and most lacked randomization [13][14][15][16][17][18][19][20]. ePOCT+, a digital CDSA, was developed based on insights from two previous generations of CDSAs [21,22], specifically addressing challenges by our CDSAs and others, such as limited scope and information technology difficulties [23]. The present study aimed to assess whether this CDSA associated with point-of-care tests, training, and mentorship, would improve the quality of care for sick children compared to usual care, by comparing adherence to IMCI in a pragmatic cluster randomized trial. ...
... The intervention involved equipping health facilities with ePOCT+, an electronic clinical decision support algorithm on an Android based tablet (Fig 1), along with associated point-of-care tests (C-Reactive Protein, Hemoglobin, pulse oximetry), training, and mentorship. ePOCT+ prompts the healthcare provider to answer questions about demographics, symptoms, signs, and tests [23]. Based on the answers, ePOCT+ proposes one or more diagnoses, treatments, and management plans including referral recommendation. ...
... The tool allowed some signs to be estimated (temperature, respiratory rate) or based on recent measurements (weight). Detailed description on the development process and features of ePOCT+ and the medAL-reader application can be found in separate publications [23,29]. ...
Article
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Digital clinical decision support tools have contributed to improved quality of care at primary care level health facilities. However, data from real-world randomized trials are lacking. We conducted a cluster randomized, open-label trial in Tanzania evaluating the use of a digital clinical decision support algorithm (CDSA), enhanced by point-of-care tests, training and mentorship, compared with usual care, among sick children 2 to 59 months old presenting to primary care facilities for an acute illness in Tanzania (ClinicalTrials.gov NCT05144763). The primary outcome was the mean proportion of 14 major Integrated Management of Childhood Illness (IMCI) symptoms and signs assessed by clinicians. Secondary outcomes included antibiotic prescription, counseling provided, and the appropriateness of antimalarial and antibiotic prescriptions. A total of 450 consultations were observed in 9 intervention and 9 control health facilities. The mean proportion of major symptoms and signs assessed in intervention health facilities was 46.4% (range 7.7% to 91.7%) compared to 26.3% (range 0% to 66.7%) in control health facilities, an adjusted difference of 15.1% (95% confidence interval [CI] 4.8% to 25.4%). Only weight, height, and pallor were assessed statistically more often when using the digital CDSA compared to controls. Observed antibiotic prescription was 37.3% in intervention facilities, and 76.4% in control facilities (adjusted risk ratio 0.5; 95% CI 0.4 to 0.7; p<0.001). Appropriate antibiotic prescription was 81.9% in intervention facilities and 51.4% in control facilities (adjusted risk ratio 1.5; 95% CI 1.2 to 1.8; p = 0.003). The implementation of a digital CDSA improved the mean proportion of IMCI symptoms and signs assessed in consultations with sick children, however most symptoms and signs were assessed infrequently. Nonetheless, antibiotics were prescribed less often, and more appropriately. Innovative approaches to overcome barriers related to clinicians’ motivation and work environment are needed.
... We developed ePOCT+, a new CDSA with point-of-care tests, to address these challenges 28 . The scope of ePOCT+ was expanded from previous versions of the CDSA 20,29 to include infants under 2 months and children up to age 14 years, and to address syndromes and diagnoses not considered by other CDSAs 30 . ...
... First and foremost, the clinical algorithm of ePOCT+ differs from other CDSAs. It notably has a wider scope including additional conditions and point-of-care tests such as C-reactive protein (CRP), not included in the Integrated Management of Childhood Illness (IMCI) 28 . A randomized controlled trial comparing two different CDSAs found differences in the impact of antibiotic stewardship due to the addition of CRP and other algorithm modifications, demonstrating that not all CDSAs are equal 20 . ...
... CRP point-of-care rapid tests and hemoglobin point-of-care tests were integrated as per usual laboratory procedures (that is, in health facilities where point-of-care tests are usually performed and interpreted in the laboratory by a laboratory technician, tests were performed in the laboratory; in health facilities where tests are usually done in the consultation room, they were done by the health-care provider). The development process and details of the ePOCT+ CDSA and the medAL-reader Android-based application used to deploy ePOCT+ have been described in detail previously 28 . In summary the clinical algorithm of ePOCT+ is based on previous-generation CDSAs (ALMANACH and ePOCT) 20,29 , international and national clinical guidelines, and input from national and international expert panels, and was adapted based on piloting and health-care provider feedback 28 . ...
Article
Full-text available
Excessive antibiotic use and antimicrobial resistance are major global public health threats. We developed ePOCT+, a digital clinical decision support algorithm in combination with C-reactive protein test, hemoglobin test, pulse oximeter and mentorship, to guide health-care providers in managing acutely sick children under 15 years old. To evaluate the impact of ePOCT+ compared to usual care, we conducted a cluster randomized controlled trial in Tanzanian primary care facilities. Over 11 months, 23,593 consultations were included from 20 ePOCT+ health facilities and 20,713 from 20 usual care facilities. The use of ePOCT+ in intervention facilities resulted in a reduction in the coprimary outcome of antibiotic prescription compared to usual care (23.2% versus 70.1%, adjusted difference −46.4%, 95% confidence interval (CI) −57.6 to −35.2). The coprimary outcome of day 7 clinical failure was noninferior in ePOCT+ facilities compared to usual care facilities (adjusted relative risk 0.97, 95% CI 0.85 to 1.10). There was no difference in the secondary safety outcomes of death and nonreferred secondary hospitalizations by day 7. Using ePOCT+ could help address the urgent problem of antimicrobial resistance by safely reducing antibiotic prescribing. Clinicaltrials.gov Identifier: NCT05144763
... 32,37,50,52,55,63,64,72 The other studies were quasi-experimental (n¼4), 36,39,48,51 diagnostic accuracy studies (n¼2), 34,57 observational studies (n¼2), 43,58 1 cost-analysis study, 61 and 1 stakeholder analysis. 66 We also retrieved 6 reviews that were important for contextualizing the development and use of these digital tools: 2 focused on ALgorithms for the MANagement of Acute CHildhood illnesses (ALMANACH) 33,54 development, one on ePOCT, 45 2 on ICT integration in IMCI 25,35 and 1 on integrated e-diagnostic approach (IeDA) adoption in Burkina Faso. 42 The research spanned 16 LMICs, with a major focus on Africa (n¼36 studies) and Asia (n¼3). ...
... 81 On the basis of the experience gained with ALMANACH, the Swiss TPH developed ePOCT, which combines advanced algorithms with an oximeter and includes a C-reactive protein point-of-care test that helped safely reduce antibiotic prescriptions and improve confidence in management. 45 eCare eCare aims to support Médecins sans Frontières's HWs. It has shown promise in reducing antibiotic prescriptions to 25% and covering 90% of clinical situations. ...
... We believe that work overload may affect health professionals' ability to perform their duties at a high quality, including consistently using the tools and tests provided, which may result in inaccurate diagnoses and inappropriate treatment. These compromises have also been reported in other settings of low-and middleincome countries [65]. Importantly, the development process is not complete with the launch of a CDSS; its use needs to be solidly embedded into working routines and local training curricula. ...
... The CDSA, comprising the clinical algorithm (ePOCT+) and software platform (medAL-suite), described in more detail elsewhere [45,46], uses decision logic to guide healthcare providers through consultations based on demographic and clinical information they enter about an individual child. The algorithms are drafted by country-specific clinical algorithm development groups in consultation with MoH, based on national IMCI (0-2 and 2-59 month modules) and other relevant child health guidelines. ...
Article
Effective and sustainable strategies are needed to address the burden of preventable deaths among children under-five in resource-constrained settings. The Tools for Integrated Management of Childhood Illness (TIMCI) project aims to support healthcare providers to identify and manage severe illness, whilst promoting resource stewardship, by introducing pulse oximetry and clinical decision support algorithms (CDSAs) to primary care facilities in India, Kenya, Senegal and Tanzania. Health impact is assessed through: a pragmatic parallel group, superiority cluster randomised controlled trial (RCT), with primary care facilities randomly allocated (1:1) in India to pulse oximetry or control, and (1:1:1) in Tanzania to pulse oximetry plus CDSA, pulse oximetry, or control; and through a quasi-experimental pre-post study in Kenya and Senegal. Devices are implemented with guidance and training, mentorship, and community engagement. Sociodemographic and clinical data are collected from caregivers and records of enrolled sick children aged 0-59 months at study facilities, with phone follow-up on Day 7 (and Day 28 in the RCT). The primary outcomes assessed for the RCT are severe complications (mortality and secondary hospitalisations) by Day 7 and primary hospitalisations (within 24 hours and with referral); and, for the pre-post study, referrals and antibiotic. Secondary outcomes on other aspects of health status, hypoxaemia, referral, follow-up and antimicrobial prescription are also evaluated. In all countries, embedded mixed-method studies further evaluate the effects of the intervention on care and care processes, implementation, cost and cost-effectiveness. Pilot and baseline studies started mid-2021, RCT and post-intervention mid-2022, with anticipated completion mid-2023 and first results late-2023. Study approval has been granted by all relevant institutional review boards, national and WHO ethical review committees. Findings will be shared with communities, healthcare providers, Ministries of Health and other local, national and international stakeholders to facilitate evidence-based decision-making on scale-up. Study registration: NCT04910750 and NCT05065320.
Article
In the context of protracted conflict, severe droughts and health system constraints, children under-five in Somalia face one of the highest mortality rates in the world. The WHO Integrated Management of Childhood Illness (IMCI) guidance targets the main causes of morbidity and mortality, but adherence is low. We implemented the ALgorithm for the MANAgement of CHildhood illness (ALMANACH), a digital clinical decision support system, with the aim of improving IMCI adherence whilst promoting antibiotic stewardship in South-Central Somalia. Alongside, we evaluated health service delivery and ALMANACH acceptability and impact to inform design and roll-out. A pre-post assessment involving direct observation of consultations with sick children (2–59 months) based on the Demographic and Health Surveys Service Provision Assessment, complemented by exit interviews with caregivers and feedback from healthcare staff and stakeholders. Over 600 consultations were observed in each assessment period, in seven health facilities. ALMANACH had a significant impact on antibiotic prescription (reduction from 58.1% pre- to 16.0% post-implementation). This was particularly pronounced among certain conditions such as upper respiratory tract infections (30-fold reduction, RR = 0.03). Large differences in guideline adherence were observed (danger signs: 1.3% pre- to 99% post-implementation; counselling on follow-up: 12% pre- to 94% post-; and Vitamin A supplementation need checked: 19.9% pre- to 96.1% post-implementation). ALMANACH was found to be acceptable to caregivers, healthcare providers and stakeholders, with reports of positive impact on perceived quality of care. Implementation of ALMANACH in primary healthcare in Somalia significantly improved quality of care and guideline adherence, supporting the use of ALMANACH and similar tools to improve healthcare in fragile and resource-constrained settings. RESUMEN En un contexto de conflicto prolongado, sequías severas, y limitaciones en el sistema de salud, los niños menores de 5 años en Somalia sufren una de las tasas de mortalidad más altas del mundo. La estrategia Atención Integrada a las Enfermedades Prevalentes de la Infancia (AIEPI) de la OMS incluye recomendaciones alrededor de las causas principales de morbilidad y mortalidad, pero la adherencia a esta guía es pobre. Implementamos el algoritmo para la gestión de enfermedades de la infancia ALMANACH (ALgorithm for the MANAgement of CHildhood illness), un sistema digital de apoyo para las decisiones clínicas, a fin de mejorar el cumplimiento de la AIEPI durante un esfuerzo de promoción de la correcta administración de antibióticos en el centro-sur de Somalia. De manera paralela, evaluamos la prestación de servicios de salud, y la aceptabilidad e impacto de ALMANACH, para informar su diseño y lanzamiento. Evaluación antes-después de la implementación del algoritmo, derivada de la observación directa de consultas médicas para niños enfermos (de 2 a 59 meses), basada en la Evaluación de Provisión de Servicios (SPA, por sus siglas en inglés) de DHS (Demographic and Health Surveys, Encuestas Demográficas y de Salud), complementada con encuestas de salida a los cuidadores, y retroalimentación del personal de salud y partes interesadas. Se observaron más de 600 consultas en cada periodo de evaluación, en 7 instalaciones de salud. ALMANACH mostró tener un impacto significativo en la prescripción de antibióticos (con una reducción de 58.1% antes de la implementación, a 16.0% después). Esto fue particularmente pronunciado con ciertas condiciones, como las infecciones de vías respiratorias superiores (ocurriendo 30 veces menos, RR = 0.03). Se observaron grandes cambios en la adherencia a las recomendaciones (atención a signos de peligro: de 1.3% antes de la implementación, a 99% después; orientación acerca del seguimiento: de 12%, antes, a 94% después; y prueba de necesidad de vitamina A suplementaria: de 19.9%, antes, a 96.1% después). El ALMANACH le resultó aceptable a los cuidadores, al personal de salud y a las partes interesadas, con reportes de impacto positivo en la calidad percibida del cuidado. La implementación de ALMANACH en la atención primaria de salud en Somalia resultó en una calidad de cuidados y adherencia a las recomendaciones significativamente mayores, favoreciendo el uso de ALMANACH y herramientas semejantes en el mejoramiento del cuidado de la salud en entornos frágiles y de recursos limitados. RESUMO No contexto de conflitos prolongados, secas graves e limitações do sistema de saúde, as crianças com menos de cinco anos na Somália enfrentam uma das taxas de mortalidade mais elevadas do mundo. As orientações da OMS sobre a Gestão Integrada das Doenças da Infância (GIDI) visam as principais causas de morbilidade e mortalidade, mas a adesão é baixa. Implementámos o ALgorithm for the MANAgement of CHildhood illness (ALMANACH), um sistema digital de apoio à decisão clínica, com o objetivo de melhorar a adesão à IMCI, promovendo simultaneamente a gestão de antibióticos no centro-sul da Somália. Paralelamente, avaliámos a prestação de serviços de saúde, e a aceitabilidade e o impacto do ALMANACH para informar a sua conceção e implementação. Uma pré/pós-avaliação que envolveu a observação direta de consultas com crianças doentes (2–59 meses) com base na Avaliação da Prestação de Serviços do DHS, complementada por entrevistas à saída com os prestadores de cuidados e feedback dos profissionais de saúde e das partes interessadas. Foram observadas mais de 600 consultas em cada período de avaliação, em 7 unidades de saúde. O ALMANACH teve um impacto significativo na prescrição de antibióticos (redução de 58,1% antes da implementação para 16,0% após a implementação). Este impacto foi particularmente pronunciado em determinadas doenças, como as infeções do trato respiratório superior (redução de 30 vezes, RR = 0,03). Foram observadas grandes diferenças na adesão às directrizes (sinais de perigo: 1,3% antes da implementação para 99% após a implementação; aconselhamento no seguimento: 12% antes para 94% depois; e necessidade de controlo da suplementação com vitamina A: 19,9% antes da implementação para 96,1% após a implementação. O ALMANACH foi considerado aceitável pelos cuidadores, prestadores de cuidados de saúde e partes interessadas, com relatos de um impacto positivo na perceção da qualidade dos cuidados. A implementação do ALMANACH nos cuidados de saúde primários na Somália melhorou significativamente a qualidade dos cuidados e a adesão às directrizes, apoiando a utilização do ALMANACH e de ferramentas semelhantes para melhorar os cuidados de saúde em contextos frágeis e com recursos limitados. RÉSUMÉ Dans le contexte d’un conflit prolongé, de graves sécheresses et de contraintes du système de santé, les enfants de moins de cinq ans en Somalie sont confrontés à l’un des taux de mortalité les plus élevés au monde. Les lignes directrices de l’OMS sur la prise en charge intégrée des maladies de l’enfant (PCIME) ciblent les principales causes de morbidité et de mortalité, mais leur observance est faible. Nous avons mis en œuvre ALgorithm for the MANAgement of CHildhood illness (ALMANACH), un système numérique d’aide à la décision clinique, dans le but d’améliorer l’observance à la PCIME tout en promouvant la gestion responsable des antibiotiques dans le centre-sud de la Somalie. Parallèlement, nous avons évalué la prestation de services de santé, ainsi que l’acceptabilité et l’impact d’ALMANACH pour éclairer la conception et le déploiement. Une évaluation pré-post impliquant l’observation directe des consultations des enfants malades (2–59 mois) basée sur l’Évaluation des prestations de services de l’EDS, complétée par des entretiens de sortie avec les soignants et les commentaires du personnel de santé et des parties prenantes. Plus de 600 consultations ont été observées au cours de chaque période d’évaluation, dans 7 formations sanitaires. ALMANACH a eu un impact significatif sur la prescription d’antibiotiques (réduction de 58,1% avant la mise en œuvre à 16,0% après la mise en œuvre). Cela était particulièrement prononcé dans certaines affections telles que les infections des voies respiratoires supérieures (réduction de 30 fois, RR = 0,03). De grandes différences dans le respect des lignes directrices ont été observées (signes de danger: 1,3% avant à 99% après la mise en œuvre; conseils sur le suivi: 12% avant à 94% après la mise en œuvre; et vérification du besoin de supplémentation en vitamine A: 19,9% avant 96,1% après la mise en œuvre). ALMANACH s’est avéré acceptable pour les soignants, les prestataires de soins de santé et les parties prenantes, avec des rapports faisant état d’un impact positif sur la qualité perçue des soins. La mise en œuvre d’ALMANACH dans les soins de santé primaires en Somalie a considérablement amélioré la qualité des soins et le respect des lignes directrices, encourageant l’utilisation d’ALMANACH et d’outils similaires pour améliorer les soins de santé dans des contextes fragiles et aux ressources limitées.
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Digital health and digitization in healthcare have only accelerated by the recent COVID-19 pandemic. LMIC settings face a unique complexity of healthcare challenges, where digital health infrastructure is likely to ameliorate at least part of the existing pressures. However, persistent infrastructure challenges provide a barrier to implementation. Therefore, key considerations have to be taken into account for key structural needs: firstly, the likely greater impact of digitalization in LMICs on primary healthcare, and as such the design of systems to support smaller, inter-connected units; secondly, the tropicalization of equipment, that can bely opportunities for co-development of digitalization applications under a universal health coverage system; and thirdly, the greater availability of field performance studies in LMICs, that would eventually inform future funding and support models. The digitization of healthcare in LMICs will be context-driven, and as such different implementation models are likely to emerge. Taking the key considerations above into account, such models can be further optimized to respond to the national/regional healthcare needs and pressures.
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Background Suboptimal use of antimicrobials is a driver of antimicrobial resistance in West Africa. Clinical decision support systems (CDSSs) can facilitate access to updated and reliable recommendations. Objective This study aimed to assess contextual factors that could facilitate the implementation of a CDSS for antimicrobial prescribing in West Africa and Central Africa and to identify tailored implementation strategies. Methods This qualitative study was conducted through 21 semistructured individual interviews via videoconference with health care professionals between September and December 2020. Participants were recruited using purposive sampling in a transnational capacity-building network for hospital preparedness in West Africa. The interview guide included multiple constructs derived from the Consolidated Framework for Implementation Research. Interviews were transcribed, and data were analyzed using thematic analysis. Results The panel of participants included health practitioners (12/21, 57%), health actors trained in engineering (2/21, 10%), project managers (3/21, 14%), antimicrobial resistance research experts (2/21, 10%), a clinical microbiologist (1/21, 5%), and an anthropologist (1/21, 5%). Contextual factors influencing the implementation of eHealth tools existed at the individual, health care system, and national levels. At the individual level, the main challenge was to design a user-centered CDSS adapted to the prescriber’s clinical routine and structural constraints. Most of the participants stated that the CDSS should not only target physicians in academic hospitals who can use their network to disseminate the tool but also general practitioners, primary care nurses, midwives, and other health care workers who are the main prescribers of antimicrobials in rural areas of West Africa. The heterogeneity in antimicrobial prescribing training among prescribers was a significant challenge to the use of a common CDSS. At the country level, weak pharmaceutical regulations, the lack of official guidelines for antimicrobial prescribing, limited access to clinical microbiology laboratories, self-medication, and disparity in health care coverage lead to inappropriate antimicrobial use and could limit the implementation and diffusion of CDSS for antimicrobial prescribing. Participants emphasized the importance of building a solid eHealth ecosystem in their countries by establishing academic partnerships, developing physician networks, and involving diverse stakeholders to address challenges. Additional implementation strategies included conducting a local needs assessment, identifying early adopters, promoting network weaving, using implementation advisers, and creating a learning collaborative. Participants noted that a CDSS for antimicrobial prescribing could be a powerful tool for the development and dissemination of official guidelines for infectious diseases in West Africa. Conclusions These results suggest that a CDSS for antimicrobial prescribing adapted for nonspecialized prescribers could have a role in improving clinical decisions. They also confirm the relevance of adopting a cross-disciplinary approach with participants from different backgrounds to assess contextual factors, including social, political, and economic determinants.
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Digital clinical decision support tools have contributed to improved quality of care at primary care level health facilities. However, data from real-world randomized trials are lacking. We conducted a cluster randomized, open-label trial in Tanzania evaluating the use of a digital clinical decision support algorithm (CDSA), enhanced by point-of-care tests, training and mentorship, compared with usual care, among sick children 2 to 59 months old presenting to primary care facilities for an acute illness in Tanzania (ClinicalTrials.gov NCT05144763). The primary outcome was the mean proportion of 14 major Integrated Management of Childhood Illness (IMCI) symptoms and signs assessed by clinicians. Secondary outcomes included antibiotic prescription, counselling provided, and the appropriateness of antimalarial and antibiotic prescriptions. A total of 450 consultations were observed in 9 intervention and 9 control health facilities. The mean proportion of major symptoms and signs assessed in intervention health facilities was 46.4% (range 7.7% to 91.7%) compared to 26.3% (range 0% to 66.7%) in control health facilities, an adjusted difference of 15.1% (95% confidence interval [CI] 4.8% to 25.4%). Only weight, height, and pallor were assessed more often when using the digital CDSA than in controls. Observed antibiotic prescription was 37.3% in intervention facilities, and 76.4% in control facilities (adjusted risk ratio 0.5; 95% CI 0.4 to 0.7; p<0.001). Appropriate antibiotic prescription was 81.9% in intervention facilities and 51.4% in control facilities (adjusted risk ratio 1.5; 95% CI 1.2 to 1.8; p=0.003). The implementation of a digital CDSA improved only slightly the mean proportion of IMCI symptoms and signs assessed in consultations with sick children, and most symptoms and signs were assessed infrequently. Nonetheless, antibiotics were prescribed less often, and more appropriately Innovative approaches to overcome barriers related to clinicians’ motivation and work environment are needed.
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Introduction: The transition from paper to digital systems requires quality assurance of the underlying content and application of data standards for interoperability. The World Health Organization (WHO) developed digital adaptation kits (DAKs) as an operational and software-neutral mechanism to translate WHO guidelines into a standardized format that can be more easily incorporated into digital systems. Methods: WHO convened health program area and digital leads, reviewed existing approaches for requirements gathering, mapped to established standards, and incorporated research findings to define DAK components. Results: For each health domain area, the DAKs distill WHO guidelines to specify the health interventions, personas, user scenarios, business process workflows, core data elements mapped to terminology codes, decision-support logic, program indicators, and functional and nonfunctional requirements. Discussion: DAKs aim to catalyze quality of care and facilitate data use and interoperability as part of WHO's vision of SMART (Standards-based, Machine-readable, Adaptive, Requirements-based, and Testable) guidelines. Efforts will be needed to strengthen a collaborative approach for the uptake of DAKs within the local digital ecosystem and national health policies.
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Established guidelines describe minimum requirements for reporting algorithms in healthcare; it is equally important to objectify the characteristics of ideal algorithms that confer maximum potential benefits to patients, clinicians, and investigators. We propose a framework for ideal algorithms, including 6 desiderata: explainable (convey the relative importance of features in determining outputs), dynamic (capture temporal changes in physiologic signals and clinical events), precise (use high-resolution, multimodal data and aptly complex architecture), autonomous (learn with minimal supervision and execute without human input), fair (evaluate and mitigate implicit bias and social inequity), and reproducible (validated externally and prospectively and shared with academic communities). We present an ideal algorithms checklist and apply it to highly cited algorithms. Strategies and tools such as the predictive, descriptive, relevant (PDR) framework, the Standard Protocol Items: Recommendations for Interventional Trials-Artificial Intelligence (SPIRIT-AI) extension, sparse regression methods, and minimizing concept drift can help healthcare algorithms achieve these objectives, toward ideal algorithms in healthcare.
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In low-income and middle-income countries, most patients with febrile illnesses present to peripheral levels of the health system where diagnostic capacity is very limited. In these contexts, accurate risk stratification can be particularly impactful, helping to guide allocation of scarce resources to ensure timely and tailored care. However, reporting of prognostic research is often imprecise and few prognostic tests or algorithms are translated into clinical practice. Here, we review the often-conflated concepts of prognosis and diagnosis, with a focus on patients with febrile illnesses. Drawing on a recent global stakeholder consultation, we apply these concepts to propose three use-cases for prognostic tools in the management of febrile illnesses in resource-limited settings: (1) guiding referrals from the community to higher-level care; (2) informing resource allocation for patients admitted to hospital and (3) identifying patients who may benefit from closer follow-up post-hospital discharge. We explore the practical implications for new technologies and reflect on the challenges and knowledge gaps that must be addressed before this approach could be incorporated into routine care settings. Our intention is that these use-cases, alongside other recent initiatives, will help to promote a harmonised yet contextualised approach for prognostic research in febrile illness. We argue that this is especially important given the heterogeneous settings in which care is often provided for patients with febrile illnesses living in low-income and middle-income countries.
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Although low-income countries have recently seen an exponential flourishing of digital health initiatives, the landscape is characterised by a myriad of small pilots that rarely reach scaling, sustainability and wide adoption. The case of Burkina Faso represents an exception where a digital health initiative initially conceived to improve the diagnosis of sick children under 5 has supported millions of consultations. Technical aspects such as interoperability, standardisation, and adaptation to the existing infrastructure were considered as they are prerequisites for scaling; so was the demonstration of the health impact and affordability of the initiative. Beyond those factors which are largely documented in the literature, the experience in Burkina Faso showed that the positive outcome was also determined by the support of numerous stakeholders. A vast network of stakeholders from the Ministry of Health to child caregivers is involved and each of them could have either blocked or promoted the digital health initiative. Thanks to an extensive, time-consuming and tailored stakeholder strategy, it was possible to avoid potential blockages from multiple actors and gain their engagement.
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Background: As under-5 mortality rates declined all over the world, the relative distribution of under-5 deaths during different periods of life changed. To provide information for policymakers to plan for multi-layer health strategies targeting child health, it is essential to quantify the distribution of under-5 deaths by age groups. Methods: Using 245 Demographic and Health Surveys from 64 low- and middle-income countries conducted between 1986 and 2018, we compiled a database of 2,437,718 children under-5 years old with 173,493 deaths. We examined the share of deaths that occurred in the neonatal (< 1 month), postneonatal (1 month to 1 year old), and childhood (1 to 5 years old) periods to the total number of under-5 deaths at both aggregate- and country-level. We estimated the annual change in share of deaths to track the changes over time. We also assessed the association between share of deaths and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita. Results: Neonatal deaths accounted for 53.1% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 52.7, 53.4) of the total under-5 deaths. The neonatal share of deaths was lower in low-income countries at 44.0% (43.5, 44.5), and higher in lower-middle-income and upper-middle income countries at 57.2% (56.8, 57.6) and 54.7% (53.8, 55.5) respectively. There was substantial heterogeneity in share of deaths across countries; for example, the share of neonatal to total under-5 deaths ranged from 20.9% (14.1, 27.6) in Eswatini to 82.8% (73.0, 92.6) in Dominican Republic. The shares of deaths in all three periods were significantly associated with GDP per capita, but in different directions-as GDP per capita increased by 10%, the neonatal share of deaths would significantly increase by 0.78 percentage points [PPs] (0.43, 1.13), and the postneonatal and childhood shares of deaths would significantly decrease by 0.29 PPs (0.04, 0.54) and 0.49 PPs (0.24, 0.74) respectively. Conclusions: Along with the countries' economic development, an increasing proportion of under-5 deaths occurs in the neonatal period, suggesting a need for multi-layer health strategies with potentially heavier investment in newborn health.
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Background: Estimates of the total cumulative exposure to antibiotics of children in low-resource settings, and the source of these treatments, are limited. Methods: We estimated the average number of antibiotic treatments children received in the first five years of life in 45 low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) using Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) data. The two-week point prevalence of fever, diarrhea or cough and antibiotic treatment for these illnesses were estimated for ages 0-59 months and aggregated to estimate cumulative illness and antibiotic treatment for each country. We estimated treatment rates and contribution to total antibiotic use attributable to medical care, informal care, and self-medication. Results: Forty-five countries contributed 438,140 child-observations. The proportion of illness episodes treated with antibiotics ranged from 10% (95% CI: 9-12) (Niger) to 72% (95% CI: 69-75) (Jordan). A mean of 42·7% (95% CI: 42.1-43.3) of febrile and 32.9% of non-febrile illness (95% CI: 32.4-33.5) episodes received antibiotics. In their first five years, we estimate children received 18.5 antibiotics treatments on average (IQR: 11.6-24.6) in LMICs. Cumulative antibiotic exposure ranged from 3.7 treatments in Niger (95% CI: 2.8-4.6) to 38·6 treatments in DR Congo (95% CI: 34.7-42.4). A median of 9.0% of antibiotic treatment was attributable to informal care (IQR: 5.9-21.2), and 16.9% to self-medication (IQR: 9.5-26.2). Conclusions: Childhood antibiotic exposure is high in some LMICs, with considerable variability. While access to antibiotics for children is still not universal, important opportunities for reducing excess use also exist, particularly with respect to the informal care sector and self-medication.
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AI algorithms used for diagnosis and prognosis must be explainable and must not rely on a black box.