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Correction: Nail in the Coffin or Lifeline? Evaluating the Electoral Impact of COVID-19 on President Trump in the 2020 Election

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Abstract

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1007/s11109-022-09826-x.].
Vol.:(0123456789)
Political Behavior (2024) 46:705
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11109-022-09843-w
1 3
CORRECTION
Correction: Nail intheCoffin orLifeline? Evaluating
theElectoral Impact ofCOVID‑19 onPresident Trump
inthe2020 Election
CarlosAlgara2 · SharifAmlani1· SamuelCollitt1· IsaacHale3· SaraKazemian1
Accepted: 5 December 2022 / Published online: 17 December 2022
© The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, part of Springer Nature
2022
Correction: Political Behavior
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11109-022-09826-x
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The original article can be found online at https:// doi. org/ 10. 1007/ s11109- 022- 09826-x.
* Carlos Algara
carlos.algara@cgu.edu
Sharif Amlani
samlani@ucdavis.edu
Samuel Collitt
sccollitt@ucdavis.edu
Isaac Hale
halei@oxy.edu
Sara Kazemian
skazemian@ucdavis.edu
1 Department ofPolitical Science, University ofCalifornia, Davis, USA
2 Department ofPolitics & Government, Claremont Graduate University, Claremont, USA
3 Department ofPolitics, Occidental College, LosAngeles, USA
Content courtesy of Springer Nature, terms of use apply. Rights reserved.
... In addition to the pandemic, other elements such as the economic impact of COVID-19, social unrest, and Trump's overall governance style also contributed to the election's outcome. Algara et al. (2022) and Mendoza Aviña and Sevi (2021) highlight that these factors, combined with the public health crisis, created a unique electoral environment where traditional incumbent advantages were overshadowed. ...
Article
Full-text available
The COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted critical aspects of leadership and public trust amidst a health crisis of unprecedented scale in the United States, especially within a context of significant political polarization. This research paper explores the nuances of leadership effectiveness during the pandemic, focusing on the role of attribution theory in understanding public perceptions of leadership actions. The theory elucidates how the public interprets leaders’ responses to the pandemic, influenced by factors such as political affiliations, societal norms, and racial considerations. The paper investigates the interplay between incumbent advantage theory and the rally ’round the flag effect, alongside the impact of President Trump’s handling of the pandemic on public opinion. It delves into the complexities introduced by the pandemic’s racial dimensions and its effects on minority communities, examining the broader implications for leadership responsiveness and public trust. Using a comprehensive analysis of demographic and psychographic variables, the study reveals a significant negative outlook on Trump’s crisis management across various groups. The findings underscore a complex interplay of media influence, racial identity, health status, financial conditions, and political affiliations in shaping perceptions of leadership accountability. Through the lens of attribution theory, the paper offers a nuanced understanding of the psychological and political dynamics that affect public attitudes toward leadership and accountability during crises.
Article
The impact of the COVID pandemic on the 2020 election outcome is analyzed using Iowa Electronic Market data, measures of socially and economically driven market volatility, a measure of COVID severity, and selected election-related events. Building on research regarding two previous U.S. presidential elections, we find that the pandemic helped the incumbent in two ways. The largest impact supporting the incumbent came from the apparent medical severity. A secondary impact came from social and economic volatility with the surprising finding that both risks helped the incumbent relative to the challenger. However, these impacts were not adequate to overcome the relatively large advantage of the challenger.
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