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Abstract
Der dynamische städtische Wirtschaftsraum mit seiner Bevölkerungs- und Infrastrukturdichte unterliegt spezifischen Risiken. Eine adäquate Vorsorge für alle städtischen Bevölkerungsgruppen erfordert eine vernetzte Ausrichtung auf multiple Risiken.
The development of inner cities in Latin America during the twentieth century is characterised by three stages: growth and “beautification”, modernization according to the Athens Charter as well as degradation and renewal. During the first and second stages, the city centre of São Paulo has experienced a strong verticalisation and an orientation towards individual transport. Later on, due to several limitations, new inner-city fragments emerged southwest of the central area. In this third stage, the old city centre suffered manifold degradations in general and of the public space in particular. The latter has lost significance in favour of the private space. Different actors of the “formal city”, the “informal city” as well as the public sector are engaged to change the city centre. Based on their different interests, there are several conflicts concerning the treatment of the city centre. Against this background, constantly changing city governments took various renewal measures, focusing either on sectoral upgrading or on holistic, integrated rehabilitation. The possible future development of the inner city of São Paulo might follow one of three scenarios and depends not only on the local but also on the superordinate framework conditions.
Using a new data set on annual deaths from disasters in 73 nations from 1980 to 2002, this paper tests several hypotheses concerning natural-disaster mitigation. Though richer nations do not experience fewer natural disasters than poorer nations, richer nations do suffer less death from disaster. Economic development provides implicit insurance against nature's shocks. Democracies and nations with higher-quality institutions suffer less death from natural disaster. Because climate change is expected to increase the frequency of natural disasters such as floods, these results have implications for the incidence of global warming. Copyright (c) 2005 President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.
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