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Failure, innovation, and productivity growth: Evidence from a structural model

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  • Software Policy and Research Institute
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This study employs a simultaneous equation model to examine the extent to which firms’ innovation failure can affect future innovation and productivity growth. Our findings suggest that experiencing past failure in the innovation process enhances the innovation performance of a firm; this, in turn, contributes to productivity growth. The primary contribution of this study is the proposal of a conceptual model for the innovation process that considers failure experience as a major input to the knowledge production function. Our results also offer several implications for innovation managers and policymakers. For example, innovation policy initiatives should consider not only the tangible accomplishments of firms, but also their failure experiences. This study also highlights a method to enhance innovation by establishing systems that encourage challenging research and recognise and reward the process, even when a project fails.
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... However, the question persists whether failures are invariably negative or something that should be avoided. The literature is inconclusive and offers mixed results, which include positive [7], [8], [9], [10], [11], [12], [13], [14] and negative effects of failure [2], [3], [15], [16], along with claims that not all firms always benefit from them [17], [18], [19], [20], [21]. One perspective emphasizes that innovation failure can enhance efficiency and success in subsequent activities by modifying and supplementing existing information and knowledge through learning from past innovation activities [22]. ...
... Madsen and Desai [6] argued that organizations learn more effectively from failures. Recent evidence also supports the positive impact of failure on a firm's subsequent activities and performance [8], [14], [31]. ...
... The independent variable in this study is failure. This was measured using the share of the number of failed technology development projects compared to the total number of complete technology development projects during the reference period of the survey [14], [33], [52]. Though some authors count the number of failed projects [26], [53], there is a limitation that this approach does not represent the scale of the project. ...
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The question persists whether failures are invariably negative and therefore, something that should be avoided. The literature is inconclusive and offers mixed results, which include positive and negative effects of failure, along with claims that not all firms always benefit from them. This study aims to reevaluate the failure-innovation performance relationship. By conducting a quantile regression analysis, this study reveals that only firms beyond a threshold level of innovativeness may benefit from their experiences of failure. Moreover, firms with high innovation performance benefit more from their innovation failures than those with low innovation performance. Our results suggest that the relationship between failure and innovation performance differs at various levels of innovation performance.
... La innovación es un factor fundamental en el crecimiento de la economía de los países y en las estrategias dinamizadoras de la productividad (Bong y Park, 2024). El lanzamiento de nuevos productos, la creación de nuevos negocios y la sofisticación de los procesos, tienen un alto impacto en el mejoramiento de la calidad de vida de las comunidades y la sostenibilidad de las empresas. ...
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Introducción: La innovación requiere de ideas novedosas, lo cual se ve afectado por la fijación. Los ingenieros industriales son agentes de innovación y es relevante identificar aspectos, que incorporados a su formación profesional permitan fortalecer sus competencias creativas. El estudio busca identificar fuentes de fijación durante la ideación, así como estímulos que puedan reducirla. Metodología: Se realiza un comparativo de las competencias creativas de 28 estudiantes de semestres inferiores y superiores de ingeniería industrial. Se aplica AUT y RAT como herramientas de medición. Se realiza un análisis del impacto de estímulos generados por métodos de ideación: tormenta de ideas, diseño por heurísticas y pensamiento analógico. Resultados: Se observa un incremento en la cantidad, fluidez y variedad del grupo con entrenamiento en procesos convergentes y divergentes, al igual que una reducción en la fijación a partir del uso de estímulos en la fase de ideación. Discusión: El entrenamiento con AUT evidencia un incremento en la cantidad, fluidez y variedad. La aplicación de estímulos como pensamiento analógico y diseño por heurísticas reducen la fijación. Conclusiones: El entrenamiento en pensamiento divergente, asociativo y convergente, la interacción social y la motivación mejoran la cantidad, fluidez y novedad de las ideas reduciendo la fijación.
... Small changes can trigger larger changes later on, generate radical changes, and create a dynamic of events that escalate in time (Harkema, 2003). Specifically, agents can choose different strategies to learn from innovation failures (Bong and Park, 2022). In this context, ABMs appear particularly useful to model the learning process arising from failures. ...
... Feedback informs people if they misuse their freedom, helping them stay consistent. Feedback affects users' progress differently and has perks and cons (Bong & Park, 2022;Liu et al., 2022). Through psychological rapprochement and checks and balances, believers can maintain their code of behavior. ...
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Autonomy, resiliency, and feedback must be prioritized for individuals in industries where behavioral innovation is required, and performance reviews of those employees should reflect this. It is difficult to do either empirical, qualitative, or conceptual research that can disclose such creative work habits in the banking business, but this research endeavors to achieve that. In order to evaluate 258 first-line managers from five regional and private Islamic banks in Indonesia, a literature-based framework has been constructed. The path model supports the idea that autonomy and resiliency foster innovative behavior at work. Resilience, autonomy, flexibility, and feedback are also significantly associated; however, feedback has not been linked to innovative work behavior. This study may be helpful to Islamic banking managers and specialists who want to learn more about innovative work behavior. While discussing this study’s composition, researchers offered valuable suggestions. Implications, limitations, and prospective avenues are discussed after the research results.
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Using unique innovation survey data collected from a homogenous sample of firms in Pakistan, this paper presents an analysis of the firm level determinants of product innovation and its impact on firm performance. We employ a multi-stage structural model linking the decision of a firm to innovate, its innovation investment, product innovation, and firm performance using primary data from the textile and wearing apparel sector, which is the largest export sector of Pakistan. We find that product innovation leads to increased labor productivity as well as higher labor productivity growth. A 10 percent increase in innovative sales per worker is associated with a greater than 10 percent increase in labor productivity and labor productivity growth. On the determinants of innovation, we find that vertical knowledge flows from foreign clients and suppliers are important determinants of a firm's decision to innovate. Larger firms are more likely to engage in innovation, however, there is no significant evidence that they invest more in innovation. Exporting is positively associated with innovation performance and firms exporting to Europe and America are more likely to engage in innovation. There is mixed evidence on the impact of competition: foreign competition adversely affects a firm's decision to innovate, whereas, local competition increases investment in innovation. Subsidies seem to have a crowding out effect since firms receiving national subsides invest less in innovation. Furthermore, firms that have higher investment in innovation, that are more productive, and that introduce organizational innovations have higher innovative sales per worker.
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Business failure and its effect on entrepreneurial engagement has attracted substantial scholarly attention in entrepreneurship research. We contend that knowledge is lacking on the entrepreneurial learning mechanism and entrepreneurial alertness condition under which business failure experience influences new venture performance. In an empirical examination of 240 entrepreneurs operating in multiple industries in a sub-Saharan African country, we use a longitudinal data set to show that business failure experience does not always influence new venture performance. Rather, business failure experience influences new venture performance when it is channelled through entrepreneurial learning under conditions of increasing levels of entrepreneurial learning and a greater degree of alertness to new business opportunities. We discuss these findings and provide avenues for extending this emerging area of scholarly research.
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The business environment faced by contemporary organizations is highly uncertain and constantly changing. Thus, organizations have adopted and implemented a continuous stream of innovations to achieve sustainable growth and survival. Considering the demand for additional resources to implement innovations, the present study explores organizational conditions that may lead to innovation-targeted burnout and fatigue among employees, which impede their active participation in a subsequent innovation. To this end, we propose a theoretical framework that elucidates the effects of previous innovations on the subsequent implementation behavior of employees. We identify two dimensions of the cognitive appraisal of previous innovations (i.e., intensity and failure) that shape employees' beliefs regarding innovations, such as innovation-targeted helplessness, which ultimately results in innovation fatigue. Data collected from 84 managers and 397 employees of Chinese and Korean organizations prove the significant role of employee perceptions of previous innovations in shaping the innovation-targeted helplessness and fatigue of employees, which ultimately affect employee behavior toward a subsequent innovation. The present conceptual and empirical analyses suggest that given continuous streams of innovation implementation, managers should carefully consider employee's perceptions of previous innovations (i.e., intensity and failure) for successful implementation of a subsequent innovation. Copyright
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Organizations often experience failures when managing complex innovation projects. While experiences of failure can often lead to frustration and create a downward spiral, they are also a vital source for organizations to develop new knowledge and enhance innovation. This, however, depends on their capacity to learn from these experiences. Research indicates that organizations do not learn all they can from failures. This study implemented a micro-relational perspective and examines whether and why generative work relationships help facilitate both direct and indirect learning from experiences of failure and how these learning modes influence the innovation of small organizations. Multi-source data from 63 software firms in the ICT sector show that generative work relationships facilitate both modes of learning from failures. However, only learning from direct experiences of failure facilitates innovation agility, whereas vicarious learning from failure enhances product innovation (patent) outcomes. The implications for a micro-relational view of organizational learning and innovation are discussed.
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This paper integrates innovation input and output effects of R&D subsidies into a modified Crépon–Duguet–Mairesse (CDM) model. Our results largely confirm insights of the input additionality literature, i.e. public subsidies complement private R&D investment. In addition, results point to positive output effects of both purely privately funded and subsidy-induced R&D. Furthermore, we do not find evidence of a premium or discount of subsidy-induced R&D in terms of its marginal contribution on new product sales when compared to purely privately financed R&D.
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Failure to innovate has been only recently recognized as one of the key elements in determining successful firms' innovative performance. However, as this literature focuses only on the determinants of firms' failure, it neglects the role of failure in spurring innovative activity. In this paper, the relationship between innovative performance and failure to innovate is empirically tested, through a two step econometric model, on the 2008 CIS Innovation survey dataset. The main results of the paper are, first, that failure is negatively correlated to the firms' experience (proxies by R&D), and to the acquisition of direct external knowledge (through productive links in product and process innovation). Indirect learning from the failures of similar firms is moderated by firms engagement in R&D and in searching for external knowledge. The second step reveals that failure in turn has a positive impact on performance in term of percentage of turnover from new to the market innovative products. Finally, an additional test is performed on still ongoing innovation (rather than abandoned), and the results show a minor impact on innovation activity.
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The increasing liberalization of markets coupled with the creation of new markets for intermediate products is stripping firm-level competitive advantage back to its fundamental core: difficult to create and difficult to imitate intangible assets. This article explores these developments and elucidates implications for the management of intellectual capital inside firms.
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There is an extensive literature on the success/failure of firm-funded R&D projects, but growing policy interest focuses on publicly funded R&D projects. We discuss this literature, which builds on a long stream of research of which Albert Rubenstein was a prime investigator, and use the literature to motivate the theoretical and empirical parts of the paper. Using data from 1878 Phase II R&D projects funded through the U.S. Small Business Innovation Research (SBIR) program, of which 624 had been discontinued prior to technical completion, we provide for the first time quantitative findings on the success/failure of publicly funded firm-performed R&D projects. Using a single-equation qualitative choice model, we find that prior R&D experience with the technology funded by SBIR projects, the amount of the SBIR award, and having a female as a principle investigator, other factors held constant, are all negatively related to the probability of project failure. In contrast, firm size is positively associated with project failure. We did not find evidence that human capital, experiential knowledge embodied in the firm conducting the R&D, or university involvement in the R&D project affected the probability of project failure. We discuss the implications of these findings for practice, policy, and further research.
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We contribute to the behavioral theory of the firm and the behavioral agency model by developing a theoretical framework that predicts the differential interaction effects of performance feedback and values of stock option grants of multiple agents on firm risk taking. We explain how chief executive officers (CEOs) versus outside directors awarded with stock option grants perceive negative or positive deviations from prior performance. We argue that in a negative attainment discrepancy context, high values of option grants will increase the risk aversion of CEOs who already bear excessive employment and compensation risks, resulting in less risk taking; however, it will enhance the risk-taking propensity of influential outside directors who increase monitoring and support for risky projects because their risk preferences are better aligned with those of shareholders. In a positive attainment discrepancy context, high values of option grants will amplify risk aversion in both CEOs and outside directors who perceive risky strategies as potential threats to anticipated incentive values associated with a gain domain, thereby reducing risk-taking activities. Analysis of panel data from 1992 to 2006 on the research and development spending of U.S. manufacturing firms based on Arellano–Bond dynamic panel regression reveals findings largely consistent with our predictions.
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In simple though approximate terms, the two-stage least squares method of estimating a structural equation consists of two steps, the first of which serves to estimate the moment matrix of the reduced-form disturbances and the second to estimate the coefficients of one single structural equation after its jointly dependent variables are “purified” by means of the moment matrix just mentioned. The three-stage least squares method, which is developed in this paper, goes one step further by using the two-stage least squares estimated moment matrix of the structural disturbances to estimate all coefficients of the entire system simultaneously. The method has full-information characteristics to the extent that, if the moment matrix of the structural disturbances is not diagonal (that is, if the structural disturbances have nonzero “contemporaneous” covariances), the estimation of the coefficients of any identifiable equation gains in efficiency as soon as there are other equations that are over-identified. Further, the method can take account of restrictions on parameters in different structural equations. And it is very simple computationally, apart from the inversion of one big matrix.
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The growing complexity and pace of industrial technological change are forcing firms to forge new alliances and to respond more efficiently to market changes. This process is leading some companies towards more strategically directed integration within external agencies. Some are also adopting a sophisticated electronic toolkit in their design and development activities. These leading edge innovators are beginning to take on elements of the fifth-generation (5G) innovation process. Describes developments towards this process.
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This chapter discusses the perceptible movement of empirical scholars from a narrow concern with the role of firm size and market concentration toward a broader consideration of the fundamental determinants of technical change in industry. Although tastes, technological opportunity, and appropriability conditions themselves are subject to change over time, particularly in response to radical innovations that alter the technological regime, these conditions are reasonably assumed to determine inter-industry differences in innovative activity over relatively long periods. Although a substantial body of descriptive evidence has begun to accumulate on the way the nature and effects of demand, opportunity, and appropriability differ across industries, the absence of suitable data constrains progress in many areas. It has been observed that much of the empirical understanding of innovation derives not from the estimation of econometric models but from the use of other empirical methods. Many of the most credible empirical regularities have been established not by estimating and testing elaborate optimization models with published data but by the painstaking collection of original data, usually in the form of responses to relatively simple questions.
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Failures are difficult to learn from, and organizations unable to learn may continue to fail. This study reconciles conflicting theoretical predictions regarding whether organizations are able to learn from failure, by examining the moderating role of knowledge gained through an organization’s operating experience. The study also forwards the possibility that generalist and specialist organizations systematically differ at this process. Hypotheses are tested on a panel of railroad companies. These tests provide strong support for the role of operating experience, and partial support for differences across generalists and specialists. Contributions to organizational learning theory and related literatures are discussed.
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Understanding communication processes is the goal of most communication researchers. Rarely are we satisfied merely ascertaining whether messages have an effect on some outcome of focus in a specific context. Instead, we seek to understand how such effects come to be. What kinds of causal sequences does exposure to a message initiate? What are the causal pathways through which a message exerts its effect? And what role does communication play in the transmission of the effects of other variables over time and space? Numerous communication models attempt to describe the mechanism through which messages or other communication-related variables transmit their effects or intervene between two other variables in a causal model. The communication literature is replete with tests of such models. Over the years, methods used to test such process models have grown in sophistication. An example includes the rise of structural equation modeling (SEM), which allows investigators to examine how well a process model that links some focal variable X to some outcome Y through one or more intervening pathways fits the observed data. Yet frequently, the analytical choices communication researchers make when testing intervening variables models are out of step with advances made in the statistical methods literature. My goal here is to update the field on some of these new advances. While at it, I challenge some conventional wisdom and nudge the field toward a more modern way of thinking about the analysis of intervening variable effects.
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This paper draws on a sample of innovative Catalan firms to identify how two main sources of innovation – internal R&D and external R&D acquisition – affect productivity in the manufacturing and service industries. The sample comprises 1612 innovative firms from the fourth European Community Innovation Survey (CIS-4) during the period 2002–2004. We compare empirical results when applying the usual OLS and quantile regression techniques controlling with a non-parametric sample selection. Our results indicate the different patterns that are attributable to the two sources of innovation as we move up from lower to higher conditional quantiles. First, the marginal effect of internal R&D on productivity decreased as we moved up to higher productivity levels. Second, the marginal effect of external R&D acquisition increased as we moved up to higher productivity levels. Finally, empirical results show significant complementarities between internal and external R&D, which are higher for knowledge-intensive service sectors.
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Innovation is a trial and error process in which both successes and failures contribute to knowledge creation and destruction. In this paper we test theoretical predictions about the role of failures in new product development on private and public knowledge and interfirm knowledge transfer. We analyse the outcomes of world-wide R&D projects in the pharmaceutical industry, and proxy knowledge flows with forward citations received by patents associated with each project. We find that patents covering successfully completed projects (i.e., leading to drug launch on the market) receive more citations than those associated to failed (terminated) projects, which in turn are cited more often than patents lacking clinical or preclinical information. Failures by specialized firms are cited more frequently than the ones of generalist companies. We therefore offer evidence of the value of failures as research inputs in (pharmaceutical) innovation.
Article
Our theory extends the situational considerations explaining firm R&D search intensity beyond the behavioral theory of the firm by including shifts in the focus of attention among bankruptcy, aspirations, and slack. We also allow that search can reflect institutionalized investment patterns within firms and industries. We find stable firm-specific R&D investment patterns (i.e., institutionalized search) and variations in R&D intensity depending on firms' situations—including performance relative to aspirations, proximity to bankruptcy, and slack. Our empirical results evidence shifts in the focus of attention relevant to explaining R&D search intensity for subsamples of firms in different situations. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.