Thesis

The Ghubbah Mangroves Restoration Project as a Disaster Response in the Socotra Archipelago World Heritage Site (Yemen) Using a Sustainable Development Approach: A Case Study on Local Livelihoods Alternatives

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Abstract

This research focuses on assessing the socio-economics impact of the case study: The Ghubbah Mangroves Restoration Project. Such assessment is essential to explore the positive and negative impacts of such projects and determine if the project effectively achieves its goals. The Study is the first of its kind on the Socotra Archipelago. It collected quantitative and qualitative data through the status assessment of the Planted Mangroves, interviews and household surveys conducted in October 2021. Using the "Social Assessment of Protected and Conserved Area" (SAPA) tool, the study provides evidence that the project has achieved its primary goal, and the positive impacts have already begun to emerge in the community's livelihoods. The study concludes that to achieve sustainability of its activities any conservation project needs to consider economic and social implications of these activities. The local communities are the key driver behind the success of any project of this kind. The project has met four Sustainable Development Goals (1, 2, 13 and 14). It is recommended to thoroughly document the project’s processes and develop guidelines for good practice in planning and implementing conservation projects, especially mangroves restoration projects. The study recommends adopting the sustainable development approach in disaster response actions. Furthermore, regular assessments of projects social and economic impacts ensure better effects and outcomes. There is a need to enhance the communication and outreach strategy of the project because they are critical to promoting conservation projects and obtaining community and government advocacy. Keywords: sustainable development, social impact, climate change, disasters, local community, Socotra, Ghubbah, Yemen, mangroves, world heritage, tourism.

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Technical Report
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About IUCN IUCN, the International Union for Conservation of Nature, helps the world find pragmatic solutions to our most pressing environment and development challenges. IUCN's work focuses on valuing and conserving nature, ensuring effective and equitable governance of its use, and deploying nature-based solutions to global challenges in climate, food, and development. IUCN supports scientific research, manages field projects all over the world, and brings governments, NGOs, the UN, and companies together to develop policy, laws, and best practices.
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The potential impact of climate change on Dracaena cinnabari, a spectacular relict of the Mio-Pliocene Laurasian subtropical forest in Socotra (Yemen), was analysed. Current distri-bution, abundance and vertical structure of D. cinnabari populations were assessed with 74 plots in nine remnant areas. A deterministic regression tree analysis model was used to examine environmental variables related to the current species distribution. Using this model, a current potential map and a predicted potential map for the $2080 climatic sce-nario were generated. D. cinnabari has an altitudinal range from 323 to 1483 m a.s.l., with a mean annual temperature of 19.8–28.6 °C and an annual precipitation of 207–569 mm. The current distribution and abundance of D. cinnabari is correlated to three factors: moisture index (i.e. the ratio between the annual precipitation and potential evapotranspiration), mean annual temperature and slope. According to this model, D. cinnabari occupies only 5% of its current potential habitat. This potential habitat is expected to be reduced with 45% by 2080 because of a predicted increased aridity. Only two out of the nine remnant areas should be considered as potential refugia. The boundaries of the strictly protected Skund Nature Sanctuary, where no (road) infrastructure is allowed, should be extended to include both areas. The construction of new roads leading towards these areas, thereby increasing permanent settlements and grazing pressure, should also be discouraged.
Article
Between the late 1980s and early 1990s, significant sections of the Belizean coast came under escalating pressure from development. The resulting habitat loss highlighted the need for a comprehensive assessment of the extent, characteristics and use of the country’s remaining mangrove.This paper reports on the resulting study, and confirms the presence of three true mangroves—Rhizophora mangle, Avicennia germinans and Laguncularia racemosa, plus one mangrove associate—Conocarpus erectus. Twenty different sub-communities are distinguished on the basis of physiographic setting, vegetation structure and species composition. Of these, Rhizophora scrub is the most widespread, accounting for over 60% of the country’s mangrove habitats. True forest sub-communities account for only 10%, the remainder comprises thickets or hypersaline supra-tidal savannas.GIS analysis of 1990 remote sensing data reveals that Belize’s mangroves covers 78,511 ha, equivalent to 3.4% of the country’s land area and approximately 2% of the mangrove remaining in the Americas. Through the examination of early aerial photos, historical records and ground conditions, it is estimated that about 98% of Belize’s original mangrove cover (80,016 ha) remained at this time. However, more recent mapping for the Belize City area, using 1992 aerial photos, reveals that a further 519 ha has been cleared, a 0.7% reduction in the national total in just two years.The main geographical factors controlling the distribution of mangroves in Belize are the presence of the barrier reef, the coastline’s shallow gradient and the narrow tidal range. Mangrove distribution is further influenced by local subsidence, geomorphology, drainage, hinterland soils and past hurricane tracks. How much mangrove cover Belize may support in the future is thought to largely depend on two factors—hurricane activity and human influence.
Socotra Conservation Status -IUCN World Heritage Outlook. TAYF-The Soqotra Newsletter
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Global warming has 'changed' spread of tropical cyclones around the world
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Archaeological frankincense
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