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Abstract

Multilateralism is in crisis. States increasingly contest, undermine and even withdraw from international organisations and other multilateral institutions. Challenges emanate not only from emerging powers but also from established Western states and civil society. No other actor but the EU is more intimately entangled with multilateralism. This article therefore reviews to what extent and how the EU has actively sustained multilateral institutions since 2016. It identifies three types of mechanisms: the defence, reform and extension of multilateral institutions. Based on interviews with senior officials in the EU institutions and the member states, the article finds that the EU has proven to be rather successful in temporarily defending existing institutions. However, it largely failed to reform multilateral institutions and extend multilateral institutions to new areas. In doing so, the article contributes to our understanding of the EU as a foreign policy actor and the processes of the crisis of multilateralism.
The show must go on: The EUs quest to sustain multilateral
institutions since 2016
LEONARD SCHUETTE and HYLKE DIJKSTRA
Department of Political Science, Maastricht University, Maastricht, Netherlands
Abstract
Multilateralism is in crisis. States increasingly contest, undermine and even withdraw from inter-
national organisations and other multilateral institutions. Challenges emanate not only from emerg-
ing powers but also from established Western states and civil society. No other actor but the EU is
more intimately entangled with multilateralism. This article therefore reviews to what extent and
how the EU has actively sustained multilateral institutions since 2016. It identies three types of
mechanisms: the defence, reform and extension of multilateral institutions. Based on interviews
with senior ofcials in the EU institutions and the member states, the article nds that the EU
has proven to be rather successful in temporarily defending existing institutions. However, it
largely failed to reform multilateral institutions and extend multilateral institutions to new areas.
In doing so, the article contributes to our understanding of the EU as a foreign policy actor and
the processes of the crisis of multilateralism.
Keywords: crisis; European Union; international organisations; multilateralism; reform
Introduction
Multilateralism is in crisis (Lake et al. 2021). RussiasattackonUkrainereects not only a
agrant disregard for multilateral norms, such as the peaceful settlement of disputes, but it
has also intensied great power competition and undermined multilateral cooperation. Mean-
while, China continues to pursue mercantilist trade policies, while eroding human rights law
and building alternative institutions such as the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank. But
threats to the multilateralism also emanate from the West. Donald Trumps America First ex-
emplied unilateralism with severe consequences for specic multilateral institutions, in-
cluding NATO, the World Trade Organization (WTO) and the Paris Climate Agreement.
The United Kingdom left the European Union (EU) and Japan the International Whaling
Commission. Almost inevitably, multilateral institutions are increasingly gridlocked(Hale
et al. 2013), thus unable to produce adequate solutions to pressing global problems.
Multilateralism means that three or more states cooperate based on generalised princi-
plesthat should apply to all states regardless of their particularistic interests (Ruggie 1992,
p. 571). In the long term, successful multilateralism should generate diffuse reciprocity
(Keohane 1986), whereby states mutually benet and more than had they engaged in ad
hoc bilateralism or hierarchical forms of coordination. The contemporary crisis of multilater-
alism pertains both to its substantive and procedural nature (Eilstrup-Sangiovanni and
An earlier version of this article was presented at the Barcelona Workshop on Global Governance (1617 May 2022) and
the conferences of the European Union Studies Association (Miami, 1921 May 2022), the ECPR Standing Group on the
European Union (Rome, 810 June 2022), and the Dutch Political Science Association (Nijmegen, 1617 June 2022). We
thank all the participants for their great feedback.
JCMS 2023 pp. 119 DOI: 10.1111/jcms.13466
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Hofmann 2020). For one, states no longer agree on the generalised principles that should un-
dergird cooperation. Liberal principles, such as open trade, cooperative security and univer-
sal human rights, are heavily contested as a result of greater ideological diversity and power
shifts away from the West (Ikenberry 2020, 33ff; Voeten 2020). For another, amid growing
nationalist tendencies in many established democracies and great power competition,
rules-based cooperation across regions as such is in jeopardy.
The crisis of multilateralism is critical for the EU. As the most advanced multilateral
institution itself, the EU is the main beneciary of the limited multilateral post-1945 order
and particularly the more extensive post-1989 multilateral order. Protected by the US se-
curity umbrella, the military feeble but economically liberal EU proted from the growing
interconnectedness and legalisation of international relations based on the generalised
principles of open trade and cooperative security (Ikenberry 2020). The crisis of multilat-
eralism is therefore of critical consequence for the EU as its very existence is bound up
with the multilateral order. The EU has long recognised this in its various strategies in-
cluding the 2016 Global Strategy, the 2021 Joint Communication on multilateralism
and the 2022 Strategic Compass (e.g., Barbé and Morillas 2019; Biscop 2005;
Dijkstra 2016; Sus 2021; Tocci 2016). As the 2019 nal review of the EU Global Strategy
aptly notes [f]or the EU the stakes are sky high [] our Union has a vital interest in
being the centre of gravity of the work to promote and protect multilateralism
globally(2019, p. 15).
Preserving multilateralism therefore represents a key strategy for the EU to prosper and
survive, yet scholarly analyses of the EU and the crisis of multilateralism remain surpris-
ingly limited. Scholars have studied extensively how the EU routinely participates and
performs in multilateral institutions (Da Conceição-Heldt and Meunier 2014; Jørgensen
et al. 2011; Laatikainen and Smith 2006; Marx and Westerwinter 2022; Wessel and
Odermatt 2019) and how it projects its internal standards to the rest of the world
(Bradford 2020). Research has therefore focused on how the EU has carved out a multi-
lateral role for itself, but the present crisis requires the EU to change strategy and sustain
multilateralism and its institutions.
This article analyses empirically to what extent the EU has actively tried to sustain key
multilateral institutions since 2016. The focus is thus on the institutions that underpin
multilateralism rather than multilateral norms or principles more generally. Although in-
dividual member statesinitiatives are touched upon, the article concentrates on the
EUs collective actions, that is, the efforts initiated by or channelled through the EU insti-
tutions such as the European External Action Service. This follows the logic that the EU
as a multilateral institution not only has more potential to lose from the crisis of multilat-
eralism than individual member states but also that European initiatives are more likely to
be effective when undertaken collectively. The year 2016 offers a suitable starting point
because it marked an inection point in global governance. Following the successful
adoption of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), the Paris Agreement on Climate
Change and the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) with Iran all in 2015, the
Brexit referendum and election of Donald Trump in 2016 as well as Chinas increasingly
visible assertive efforts to change the multilateral status quo hailed a new era. The article
relies on a review of the literature, publicly available sources, including ofcial docu-
ments, complemented by 10 interviews with senior EU and member state ofcials to trace
the EUs perceptions of and responses to the crisis of multilateralism.
Leonard Schuette and Hylke Dijkstra2
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The article nds that although senior EU policymakers felt the need to proactively sus-
tain multilateral institutions, it nevertheless was not until the spring of 2019 that the EU
started adopting keynote strategies on multilateralism. Thenceforth, the EU was in sur-
vival mode(Interview #3) to defend existing multilateral institutions to maintain the in-
stitutional status quo. In doing so, the EU emancipated itself from previous constraints
and engaged in extraordinary behaviour compared with its usual routines in IOs, includ-
ing openly challenging its erstwhile patron the United States and partnering with a variety
of other states. The EU has been less active, however, in reforming multilateral institu-
tions and extending multilateral institutions to new areas. The EU entered a survival
mode, not a transformation mode. The article starts with the mechanisms of how the
EU can sustain multilateral institutions before discussing the empirical evidence and
reecting upon the wider implications.
Sustaining multilateral institutions: Three mechanisms
The crisis of multilateralism is an expression of the broader crisis of liberal international or-
der, which is intensely debated by scholars. Although there is disagreement on how deep this
crisis runs (e.g., Ferguson and Zakaria 2017;Ikenberry2018;Mearsheimer2019;
Rose 2017), even the optimist Ikenberry (2018) notes that [t]hese are not happy times for lib-
eral internationalists(abstract). In a special issue of the journal International Organization,
Lake et al. (2021) similarly write that although the liberal international order has proven re-
silient in the past this time might be different(p. 225). For them, internal threats, resulting
from domestic actors contesting the authority of international institutions, and external
threats, such as the rise of China and other authoritarian states, come together in a major chal-
lenge to the principle of multilateralism and to core multilateral institutions(p. 243). Al-
though the scholarship on the crisis of the liberal international order is impressive, it pays lim-
ited attention to the protagonists of multilateralism. By studying to what extent the EU has
actively tried to sustain key multilateral institutions, this article therefore contributes to this
much larger debate in International Relations.
So what can the EU do to sustain multilateral institutions? There is no shortage of lit-
erature on how the EU and its member states coordinate and perform within multilateral
institutions. As the EU gradually developed its external relations prole, scholars have fo-
cused on intersecting multilateralism(Laatikainen and Smith 2006) where the EU inter-
acts with and participates in multilateral institutions (e.g., Da Conceição-Heldt and
Meunier 2014; Jørgensen et al. 2011; Marx and Westerwinter 2022; Wessel and
Odermatt 2019). Research is extensive, yet it largely concentrates on how the EU has tried
to progressively develop multilateralism as well as on its efforts and constraints to de-
velop into a foreign policy actor. Although the study of actornessis useful to understand
routine EU behaviour, the crisis of the multilateralism has forced the EU into an excep-
tional survival mode in which different logics apply. With notable exceptions of think
tank reports (e.g., Dworkin and Gowan 2019), scholars have not studied these efforts.
Combining recent advances in the literature on the resilience of international institutions
with our longer-standing knowledge about EU actorness in those institutions, this article
identies three mechanisms through which the EU may sustain multilateral institutions.
The rst mechanism for the EU is to defend existing multilateral institutions. This
mechanism builds on the understanding that multilateral institutions have a degree of
The EUs quest to sustain multilateral institutions 3
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agency separate from their member states (Barnett and Finnemore 2004; Hawkins
et al. 2006; Pollack 2003). As they are actors in their own right, multilateral institutions
can try to resist (or ignore) external pressures, particularly when they come under direct
contestation by a key member state(s) (e.g., Debre and Dijkstra 2021; Hirschmann 2021;
Schuette 2021a; Dijkstra et al. 2022). Multilateral institutions are not alone when trying to
resist such challenges (Dijkstra 2017): They can rely on like-minded actors, including
other member states, NGOs and also the EU. The EU, as a key stakeholder, can support
other multilateral institutions in fending off such pressures. Manifestations include plug-
ging budgetary gaps, establishing provisional arrangements to overcome momentary
blockades, resisting attempts to capture the institution, using coercive means to deter or
sanction violations of key multilateral norms, making side payments to dissatised mem-
bers and launching a public diplomacy campaign to defend the institution. Defending
multilateral institutions, for the EU, thus implies a short-term, tangible response to main-
tain the institutional status quo.
The second mechanism for the EU is to help reform existing multilateral institutions to
adapt them to a changing environment. This builds on a general insight in organisational the-
ory that organisations ultimately need to adjust to survive, as they draw upon their environ-
ment for essential resources (Aldrich 1999, p. 194). Compared with defending institutions,
reforming them is a more complex and longer-term undertaking (e.g., Nielson and
Tierney 2003; Barnett and Coleman 2005; Lipscy 2017). Reform may help multilateral insti-
tutions overcome gridlock and become more effective. It may also be a way to strategically
coopt emerging powers (Kruck and Zangl 2020) and satisfy challengers (Hirschmann 2021)
resulting in the survival of multilateral institutions. Although reform initiatives can come
from multilateral institutions themselves, the EU, once again as a key stakeholder, has the
ability to spearhead and support multilateral reform efforts (cf. Brooks and Wohlforth 2009,
on the US support for reform efforts of multilateral institutions in a previous decade). To drive
reform efforts, the EU can provide support to the leadership of key multilateral institutions,
build coalitions with new partners, support appointees from underrepresented parts of the
world, engage in public diplomacy to make the case for institutional reforms or provide nec-
essary resources to replace a former key member state. However, such efforts place the EU in
a reform dilemma. On the one hand, the EU cannot risk that challenger states become perma-
nently alienated and engage in counter-institutionalisation or systematic non-compliance. On
the other, the EU disproportionally benets from the institutional status quo. Reforms are
likely to entail concessions of previously enjoyed privileges and also risk incentivising others
to challenge multilateral institutions (see Jurado et al., 2022).
Third, the EU can also help to extend multilateral institutions to previously ungoverned
areas. Part of the crisis concerns the general perception that the multilateral institutions are
not keeping up with growing global problems (Hale et al. 2013), which fuels calls to re-
sort to unilateralism or strategic bilateralism instead. Given the emergence of a plethora of
new global governance challengessuch as pandemic responses and vaccine distribu-
tion, digital taxation, regulation of AI, digital currencies and cyber security or the
prohibition of lethal autonomous weaponsproviding effective multilateral answers
can therefore reinforce the principles of multilateralism (e.g., Haner and Garcia 2019;
Cihon et al., 2020; Wenham et al. 2022). Indeed, states have to make key institutional
choices when new issues arrive on the international agenda (Jupille et al. 2013). This in-
cludes expanding the mandate and scope of existing multilateral institutions (Hall 2016;
Leonard Schuette and Hylke Dijkstra4
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Hooghe et al. 2019; Koremenos et al. 2001) and establishing new institutions. Stagnation
in light of new challenges effectively implies a decline of multilateral institutions (Debre
and Dijkstra 2022). The EU has an intrinsic interest in showcasing the benets of multi-
lateral institutions to counteract trends towards competitive multipolarity at the expense
of principled cooperation. Manifestations of extending multilateral institutions
spearheaded by the EU include launching new initiatives to close governance gaps within
or outside existing institutions and building new coalitions with states or non-state actors.
It also involves providing diplomatic capital and public diplomacy to make such new gov-
ernance arrangements realities.
Defending, reforming and extending multilateral institutions are therefore three mech-
anisms. Although logically distinct, the EU can use them in parallel, for instance, by fram-
ing reforms as necessary to savea multilateral institution. The EU and its member states
possess, in this respect, important levers to pursue these mechanisms in support of multi-
lateral institutions including through the collective EU institutions in Brussels and EU
delegations. Europeans have long been central actors in the multilateral institutions and
occupy central positions in an array of IOs, including the UN Security Council or the
IMF (see Wessel and Odermatt 2019, for an overview). Member state diplomatic services
tend to be well resourced and connected in the world, whereas the EEAS has strong net-
works in IOs and has increased the coherence of EU foreign policy writ large (see
Blockmans and Wessels 2021; Spence and Bátora 2015). The EU and its member states
are also pivotal funders of IOsregular budgets and extra-budgetary activities (see below),
which grants them outsized inuence. And the size of the EUs internal market and the
concomitant market power gives the EU enormous leverage in shaping global regulatory
governance and foreign policies of dependent states (Bradford 2020; Velluti 2020).
At the same time, however, internal and external factors can constrain the EUs strate-
gic capacity to sustain multilateral institutions. Internally, the EU needs to forge an inter-
nal consensus on most external actions not only among heterogeneous member states, in
which EU external action is increasingly politicised (Biedenkopf et al., 2021), but also
among the array of EU institutions involved in foreign policymaking. Doing so requires
effective leadership either by senior institutional actors in the Commission or EEAS or
key member states (Amadio Viceré et al. 2020; Helwig and Siddi 2020; Koops and
Tercovich 2020). Especially in crises, when normal constraints are likely to be relaxed,
such informal activities should be crucial. Nonetheless, the EU still needs a legal basis
to act. Although the Union enjoys exclusive competences on trade policy, it shares com-
petences with the member states on relevant foreign policy issues such as energy policy or
humanitarian aid, and its Common Foreign and Security Policy (CFSP) is subject to spe-
cial, intergovernmental decision-making procedures (Gstöhl and Schunz 2022;
Keukeleire and Delreux 2022). In addition, the EU needs to have access to adequate re-
sources to fund its external activities. The EUs 7-year budget from 2014 to 2020 in-
cluded 66 billion EUR for Global Europeactivities.
Externally, the EUs ability to sustain multilateral institutions is shaped by the extent to
which it can attract followers among other inuential actors and its varying legal statuses
within multilateral institutions (Torney 2019). The EU is no hegemon, and it relies on
support from other stakeholders. The constellation of preferences among other powers
thus shapes the EUs ability to build necessary coalitions. Furthermore, the EUs ability
to exercise formal and informal inuence over decision-making within institutions varies.
The EUs quest to sustain multilateral institutions 5
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Because the EU is not a state but, de jure, an IO itself, its status within IOs is often am-
biguous (see De Baere 2018). Although it possesses full membership in some IOs like the
WTO, it only enjoys enhanced permanent observer status at the UN General Assembly
and most specialised agencies, and it has no formal status at the UN Security Council.
The EUs efforts to sustain multilateral institutions since 2016
This section analyses the extent to which the EU has actively tried to sustain key multi-
lateral institutions since 2016. As the purpose is to better understand which of the mech-
anisms the EU has used and how, this article focuses on key examples of EU actions in
support of multilateral institutions. This is also in line with the empirical strategy where
we rely on publicly available documents and interviews. EU documents, such as the
2021 Joint Communication, are a starting point in identifying instances of the EU trying
to sustain multilateral institutions. These documents highlight areas where the EU and its
member states have been particularly active. This information is triangulated with 10 in-
terviews with senior ofcials, who have recounted their experiences and perceptions of
the crisis of multilateralism. We have spoken to senior civil servants familiar with the
thinking of key EU ofcials such as European Council President Donald Tusk, Commis-
sion President Jean-Claude Juncker and High Representative Federica Mogherini. We
have also spoken to interviewees with rst-hand knowledge of Council policy-making
and those based in major multilateral institutions and powerful states. All interviewees
were selected on the basis of their formal positions in their organisations, and we had a
high response rate (71%). All interviews were largely unstructured allowing interviewees
to recall instances they thought were most important for the EUs effort of sustaining mul-
tilateral institutions.
We have veried all the ofcial EU documents and the interview data with the exten-
sive public sources and secondary literature. For many individual multilateral institutions,
there is a wealth of publicly available sources, and our task was to trace how the EU
responded to the variety of challenges to individual institutions. This research strategy
does risk creating a bias to EU action as opposed to multilateral challenges to which
the EU did not respond. Nevertheless, by comparing the different available mechanisms
that the EU has used, variation across different multilateral institutions, the degree of suc-
cess across domains and considering cases of non-action, it is possible to draw meaning-
ful conclusions about the EUs approach in general. This empirical section of the article
starts by analysing the crisis of multilateralism as perceived by the EU before zooming
in on each of the mechanisms.
Perceptions of crisis at the top: Better late than never
With hindsight, 2016 was a turning point for multilateralism. It was the year of the
Brexit referendum, the election of Donald Trump and that the EEAS adopted for the rst
time a strategic document on China reecting its troublesome rise. Senior EU ofcials,
however, only partially recognised its momentous nature, and it took at least until 2019
for the EU to develop an overall strategic response to sustain multilateral institutions.
EU ofcials immediately understood the twin shock of Brexit and Trump, but it was
mostly considered a challenge of populism rather than a challenge for multilateral
Leonard Schuette and Hylke Dijkstra6
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institutions. The response to the Brexit referendum was swift. Fearing a domino effect
with further member states leaving, the Commission responded decisively to forge unity
among the member states and to protect the EU polity (see Schuette 2021a). The election
of President Trump, on the other hand, stunned European policymakers into initial
ostrichism. They convinced themselves that Trumps rhetoric would not match his action
and that the adults in the roomwould sufciently constrain him on foreign policy.
French President Macron tried to court Trump, and UK Prime Minister May sought to re-
vive the special relationship. At the EU level, too, senior ofcials initially hoped that they
could merely wait outTrump (Interviews #7 and #9).
Evidence to the contrary mounted quickly throughout Trumpsrst year in ofce. In
line with his erce criticism of the Alliance, Trump refused to explicitly endorse NATOs
Article 5 collective defence clause at the summit in May. In June 2017, he announced that
the United States would cease participation in the Paris Climate Agreement. In October
2017, he declared that the United States would exit from UNESCO and decided not to re-
certify Irans compliance with the JCPOA (he abrogated the deal in May 2018). In
December 2017, he recognised Jerusalem as Israels capital in a rupture with long-term
US policy and international law. And the Trump Administration reduced, or even halted,
funding of several UN agencies and the UNs operating and peacekeeping budget.
Many EU ofcials continued to harbour hopes of the return of traditional US leader-
ship. One EU interviewee describes how it required a big psychological shift(Interview
#7) to stop denying the new reality that the United States had gone rogue. According to
another ofcial, the awareness set in to do things differently(Interview #9) only in
the second half of 2018 after Trump withdrew the United States from the JCPOA in
May and the UN Human Rights Council in June, refused to sign the G7 summit
communique in June (therules-based international order was changed into a
rules-based international order), and came to the verge of announcing US withdrawal
from NATO in July (Schuette 2021b).
The Trump Presidency clearly was not the only challenge. China had equally started to
actively undermine the principles of multilateralism. And it took the EU, once again,
some time to understand this challenge. Notwithstanding evidence of Chinas intensied
mercantilist approach to international trade and attempts to reinterpret the UN charter
(Foot 2020), the EU still considered China a crucial partner as late as 2015 (Interview
#6). For some ofcials, Chinas refusal to recognise the ruling of the Permanent Court
of Arbitration on the territorial dispute with the Philippines in the South China Sea was
a game changer(Interview #6). The EEAS pushed for, and eventually adopted, a new
joint strategic document on China (European Commission 2016). However, the EEAS
strategy never enjoyed signicant political ownership in the Commission and capitals (In-
terview #6; Biscop 2021). It was only in 2018 that views in the upper echelons in Brussels
on China tangibly changed (Interview #9). This followed two failed EUChina summits,
the deteriorating human rights situation in Xinjang, and intensied Chinese attempts to
capture key UN agencies.
Thus, the EU belatedly woke up to the profound challenge of multilateralism. But in
2019, it produced three major policy documents. In March, the Commission and EEAS
published the EUChina Strategic Outlook, in which they dened China no longer only
as a cooperation partnerand economic competitor, but crucially also as a systemic ri-
val promoting alternative models of governance(European Commission 2019). Unlike
The EUs quest to sustain multilateral institutions 7
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in 2016, the initiative came from the top from Commission President Juncker and
Secretary-General Selmayr (Interview #6). In June, the Council set out concrete conclu-
sions to strengthen multilateralism by upholding international norms and agreement,
extending multilateralism to new global realitiesand making multilateral organisations
t for purpose(Council of the European Union 2019). Also in June, the EEAS published
the third annual review of the EUGS, in which it dedicated much attention to how to pre-
serve, promote, and strengthen multilateralism(EEAS 2019). A key change involved
what one interviewee (Interview #1) called strategic partnering, that is, to go beyond
partnerships with traditional allies and reach out to other actors to build new,
issue-specic cooperation. The centrality of the EU institutions in all of this was also clear
compared with the limited response of the individual member states. Germany and France
notably spearheaded efforts to create an Alliance for Multilateralism, launched in September
2019, to uphold and adapt multilateral principles. But it quickly became apparent that the
Alliance was largely symbolic (Interviews #4 and 5).
Together, the three EU documents signalled strategic change. The EU at last
recognised the return of power politics and profound danger for the multilateral institu-
tions. According to one interviewee, the EU nally entered survival mode(Interview
#3). Strategies adopted by the EU since 2019 have further consolidated this new mindset.
The 2021 Joint Communication on strengthening the EUs contribution to rules-based
multilateralism provides an overall strategy document, and the 2021 Trade Policy Review
called for an An Open, Sustainable and Assertive Trade Policy(emphasis added). The
2022 Strategic Compass notes that multilateralism has come under strong questioning
(p. 7), and an internal document on China in 2022 urged member states to be even tougher
on China (Financial Times 2022). The next section examines the extent to which this
change in strategic discourse ushered in concrete policy changes to sustain the multilateral
institutions.
Defending multilateral institutions
When multilateral institutions come under direct contestation, for instance, by Trump or
China, the EU can provide support in helping those institutions in maintaining the status
quo. Since 2016, the EU has regularly resorted to defending multilateral institutions, and
this section provides three key examples: the WTO, UN and Paris Agreement. To start
with an area where the EU has some of the strongest powers (trade), the WTO and its Ap-
pellate Body faced considerable contestation. Although the United Statess growing frus-
tration with the WTOs dispute settlement system was longer-standing, the Trump Ad-
ministration started blocking appointments of judges to the Appellate Body in mid-
2017, thus rendering it defunct by December 2019 (Zaccaria 2022). For the open and
deeply interconnected EU economy, the impending collapse of the WTOs dispute settle-
ment mechanismthe crown jewel of the multilateral trading system(Hopewell 2021,
p. 1026)presented a grave challenge. When compromise negotiations with the United
States failed in late 2018, the EU took the initiative and started building coalitions to de-
vise an alternative dispute settlement mechanism (Multi-Party Interim Arbitration Ar-
rangement, MPIA). By December 2020, most major economies bar the United States
had agreed to participate in the MPIA.
Leonard Schuette and Hylke Dijkstra8
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The MPIA is a remarkable case in point of the EUs attempts to sustain multilateral
trading amidst US contestation. The EU not only exhibited strong leadership in the
WTO. It also protected its core interests by building followership beyond its natural part-
ners, including China, and openly acting against the declared interests of the Trump Ad-
ministration. The success in setting up this backstop institution was enabled by a combi-
nation of internal and external factors. The EU managed to speak with one voice because
it had exclusive competences on trade and its member states, despite some qualms about
divergence from the United States, shared the fundamental interest in protecting the mul-
tilateral trading system. Moreover, the EU enjoyed credibility among WTO members and
its proactive initiative resonated with the interests of most other members (Hopewell 2021,
pp. 10361040). At the same time, the MPIA was considered a short-term interim and sta-
tus quo solution to sit out Trump, yet President Biden has hitherto refused to rejuvenate
the Appellate Body. This backstop, which was initiated by the EU to keep the WTO dis-
pute settlement mechanism alive, has therefore not yet resulted in profound WTO
reforms.
President Trump, however, not only took aim at the WTO. The UN also drew his ire.
The US administration exerted pressure via rhetorical attacks on these institutions as well
as cutting funding and, in the case of the Human Rights Council (HRC) and the World
Health Organization (WHO), withdrawing membership altogether. Although the totality
of funding increased over Trumps tenure largely due to budgetary decisions taken by
Congress (CFR 2022), the contributions to peacekeeping and selected agencies decreased,
in part drastically. Indeed, the United States defunded the UN Relief and Works Agency
for Palestine Refugees in the Near East (UNRWA) in 2018 and 2019, leading the agency
to the brink of collapse and the substantially reduced contributions to the WHO for 2020
2021. The Trump administration also withdrew funding for the UN Population Fund in
2017. Finally, the United States lowered its contributions to the UN peacekeeping budget
by almost USD 1bn. For the EU, together with its member states, the budgetary pressure
on key UN agencies and peacekeeping operations was thus a litmus test for its ability to
defend multilateral institutions. Its response was to unilaterally plug some of the gravest
funding gaps where feasible (Interview #1). The EU increased its overall contributions to
the UN, UNRWA, WHO and UNFPA. However, because the EU is not a UN member and
therefore does not fund UN peacekeeping operations, it was more constrained in this area
and rather had to rely on its member states (Interviews #1, #2 and #4). The EU and its
member states stepping up by making additional budgetary resources available was none-
theless a clear manifestation of the defence mechanism outlined in the conceptual section
above.
The Trump Administration and especially China also increasingly sought to redene
essential principles of the UN Charter. The United States wanted to revise UN language
on gender inclusivity and also violated international law by recognising Jerusalem
as Israels capital. China, in turn, intensied its efforts to undermine the normative founda-
tion of the UN by championing a hierarchical, sovereigntist view, whereby notions of peace
and security as well as economic development enjoyed priority over human rights
(Foot 2020; Interviews #2 and #6). These efforts were manifested in Chinese discourse
in the various committees, its attempts to defund UN programmes and agencies that focus
on human rights, and its active efforts to introduce Chinese language such as the a commu-
nity with a shared future for mankindand references to the Belt and Road Initiative into
The EUs quest to sustain multilateral institutions 9
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ofcial UN documents (Interview #10). To advance its vision of the UN, China also began
to adopt a more strategic approach to elect Chinese nationals to senior positions within the
UN agencies. By 2020, 4 out of the 15 UN agencies were led by Chinese nationals, and
China campaigned for its fth position with a candidate for Director-General of the World
Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO).
These normative challenges to the UN met a twofold EU response. First, the EU
stepped up its strategic communication efforts. One ofcial conceded that in the past,
EU communication on multilateralism had been a sleeping domain(Interview #7) where
the tacit assumption prevailed that the benets of the multilateral order were self-evident.
Driven by the EEASs Strategic Communications division, the EU began a public diplo-
macy #MultilateralismMatters campaign to showcase its achievements (Interview #7). At
the same time, the EU also started to actively push back against United States and partic-
ularly Chinese discursive challenges in the various UN committees (Interview #6). One
ofcial described how the EU delegation at the UN is ghting battles with China on lan-
guage every day(Interview #8). This also entailed calling out violations of international
law more forcefully, even when committed by the United States, as for instance in the
case of the recognition of Jerusalem (Interview #5). Second, the EU eventually started
pushing back against Chinese strategic candidatures. The Chinese efforts to take over se-
nior leadership positions had initially remained beneath the radar (Interviews #6, #7 and
#8). A lack of coordination between the United States and the EU had further meant that
as late as 2019, the Chinese candidate became head of the Food and Agriculture Organi-
zation (Interview #4). During the elections of the next head for the increasingly politicised
WIPO, the United States and EU coordinated their efforts to prevent a Chinese national
from winning the contest (Interview #4). A more strategic EU approach to diplomacy
to maintain the status quo in multilateral institutions was thus apparent.
Climate change mitigation has also been a central objective for EU external action.
Trumps decision in June 2017 to exit from the Paris Agreement was therefore another
critical challenge to the multilateral order and the EUs core interests. And it was not
without precedent; President Bush had withdrawn the United States from the 1998 Kyoto
Protocol and thereby unleashed a domino effect of declining participation and commit-
ment by key emitters. The EUs aim was thus to prevent another Kyoto. But the EU is
no hegemonic power on environmental politics, and its decreasing share of global carbon
emissions nominally reduces its inuence. Declaring that the EU was ready to lead the
ght(Sefcovic cited in Toplenksy 2017) to safeguard the Paris Agreement and prevent
an exodus of other states, the EU therefore resorted to what Oberthür and Dupont (2021)
call exemplary and diplomatic leadership to help the Paris Agreement survive.
To gain credibility and diffuse ambitious environmental policies, the EU set out to lead
by example. The European Green Deal, agreed in 2019, enshrined new emissions reduc-
tion targets of 55% by 2030 and Net Zero by 2050 and launched a set of policy initiatives
on a variety of environmental legislation. The EU also sought to engage other key actors
to comply with Paris and ratchet up their commitments. For instance, it includes in its
trade negotiations the condition to comply with the Paris Agreement. The EU and its
member states are with 23.3 billion EUR in 2020 also the largest climate nance contrib-
utors to developing countries (EC 2022). The EU launched a diplomatic offensive to keep
especially China in the Agreement (e.g., Keating 2018). The EU also circumvented the
White House to engage with sub-state actors such as the State of California. On the
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rhetorical level, too, the EU engaged in containment of the US contestation of multilateral
climate policy (Petri and Biedenkopf 2020). The EUs initial response to the US
withdrawal from the Paris Agreement has thus been largely successful. No domino
effect of other leading emitters exiting ensued, and states have continuously, if
insufciently, ratcheted up their carbon reduction targets (Dijkstra et al. 2022). The
EUs defence of the Paris Agreement drew on the mobilisation of enormous domestic
resources and widespread support among other states. Despite energy and climate being
mixed competences, the EU has largely acted as a unied actor in international climate
policy.
Reforming multilateral institutions
The EU has thus set up backstop institutions to address the crisis at the WTO, provided
additional funds to UN agencies, fought back against Chinese inuence at the UN and
dealt with non-state actors to keep the Paris Agreement aliveall with the purpose of
defending multilateral institutions. In turn, this section analyses the most prominent at-
tempts by the EU to reform IOs under contestation. Reforming challenged multilateral in-
stitutions is normally a longer-term process than defending the status quo. The focus is on
the UN system, the WHO and the IMF. As the linchpin of the multilateral system, the UN
is regularly subject to demands for reform. Where many developed states criticise the
UNsinefciencies and overspending and prefer greater executive power of the Secretary-
General, developing states often press for greater development spending and further em-
powerment of the General Assembly (e.g., Baumann 2018). Moreover, non-permanent
members of the Security Council have long sought to reform and enlarge the highest
decision-making body to better reect the power distribution of the 21st century (e.g.,
Binder and Heupel 2020). Upon his appointment in 2017, UN Secretary-General
Guterres set out to address some of those criticisms via a comprehensive reform of the de-
velopment system, management of the organisation, and the peace and security architecture
(see Mueller 2021).
The EU has reexively supported Guterress reform agenda across the three pillars.
There is widespread consensus among ofcials that the EU has even been the most con-
sistentdriver of reforms among the key members (Interviews #1, #2 and #7). One ofcial
also emphasised that, unlike the United States, for the EU, it was not only about increas-
ing efciency and cutting costs but also about a better integration of development policy
into overall political direction of the UN and enhancing accountability (Interview #7).
The EU has therefore been a key supporter of a more central role for the UN resident co-
ordinators in the implementation of UN programmes across the world. Previously, of-
cials of the UN Development Programme (UNDP) coordinated the work of the other
UN agencies. Since 2019, the resident coordinators report directly to the UN Secretary-
General, and they lead the UN country teams thereby providing much more political di-
rection with a view of implementing the SDGs. The EU has not just supported this major
administrative overhaul but has also provided nancial support to the newly empowered
resident coordinators through the Joint Fund for the 2030 Agenda.
The EU has missed no chances to publicly declare its support for Guterres (Interview
#7). This has also been true for the most recent initiative Our Common Agendalaunched
by the Secretary-General in 2021, which represents an ambitious agenda on the future of
The EUs quest to sustain multilateral institutions 11
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global cooperation through an inclusive, networked, and effective multilateralism
(Guterres 2021) and will result in a UN Summit of the Future in September 2024.
Guterres, however, has shied away from Charter reforms and addressing some of the holy
cows of the UN system such as the Security Council or the functioning of the General As-
sembly. The EUs attempt to allow the UN Secretary-General greater budgetary discretion
has hitherto also failed to garner sufcient support (Interview #7; Mueller 2021). In light
of internal divisions, however, over Security Council reforms (Interview #1), the EU
never even tried advocating for a top to bottom recast of the multilateral blueprintat
the UN (Interview #2). Due to its limited role in peacekeeping, the EU could also not play
an active role on peace and security reforms (Interview #1). As a result, the EUs role in
driving UN reforms has been constrained.
Another UN agency that has faced heavy criticism and demands for change is the
World Health Organization (WHO). Not only the United States but also countries from
across the world lamented the performance of the organisation especially in the early
stages of the Covid-19 pandemic in January and February 2020. Prior to the pandemic,
the EU was not a major player in the WHO despite being a major funder; as merely an
observer, the EU cannot fully participate in governing body meetings, and global health
was low on the agenda in Brussels despite blatant failures of the WHO during the Ebola
outbreak in 2014 (Svendsen 2021). However, the WHOs impotence in face of Chinese
suppression of vital information about the virus and its subservient behaviour vis-à-vis
the Chinese government, the US withdrawal from the organisation, and the initially na-
tional scrambles to secure Personal Protective Equipment highlighted the need for sub-
stantial WHO reforms (Interview #2).
The EU has been at the forefront of such efforts. In response to Trump suspending US
funding for the organisation, the EU and its member states pledged more than 50% of the
emergency funding to combat Covid-19 as part of the WHOs Strategic Preparedness Plan
in 2020, with the EU accounting for 20% of it (WHO 2020). The Council Conclusions of
October 2020 also spelled out several reform proposals, including a revision of the alert sys-
tem for declaration of a Public Health Emergency of International Concern, the creation of
an independent epidemiological assessment on-site in high-risk zonesand increased trans-
parencymechanisms (Council of the European Union 2020). With the Biden Administra-
tions decision to return to the WHO, the EU has since allied with the United States to push
for these changes, but it has hitherto faced strong opposition from China and Russia in par-
ticular, and no WHO reforms, such as reducing the heavy reliance on voluntary contribu-
tions, have yet materialised. The EU has also led efforts to start negotiating a new pandemic
treaty or related instrument to complement or succeed the 2005 International Health Regu-
lations. European Council President Charles Michel called for such as an international pan-
demic treaty in November 2020 that was followed by a G7 endorsement in February 2021
and a joint statement of many EU leaders, partner countries ranging from Kenya to South
Korea and Indonesia, and the WHO Director-General in March 2021 (European Council
n.d.), prior to the start of negotiations in 2022.
In contrast to the EUs attempts to propel some reforms of the UN system and WHO,
key economic and nancial multilateral institutions have received less attention. The IMF
continues to be dened by institutionalised inequality in terms of its voting structure that
heavily favours the West. The 14th Quota Review, based on economic indicators in 2008,
was only implemented in 2016, at which point the high growth rates among emerging
Leonard Schuette and Hylke Dijkstra12
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powers and stalling growth among European states meant the new quotas remained de-
tached from economic realities. In turn, the 15th review concluded in 2019 without
changes. As a result, the EUs (including the United Kingdom) current quota share of
30% is almost twice as high as its share of global GDP (Mohan 2020). The EU appears
satised with the status quo; compounding matters, it continued to insist on its monopoly
over the IMFs top job when it ensured that Bulgarian Kristalina Georgieva would be
appointed as managing director in 2019. One former ofcial conceded that the EU is do-
ing little to act onawareness that emerging countries, particularly China, be better repre-
sented in IOs like the IMF (Interview #3).
In sum, the EUs impact on reforms of multilateral institutions has been signicantly
lower than on their defence. Although the Union made some attempts at reforming the
UN system and the WHO, the results were limited at best. As demonstrated by the example
of the IMF or UN Security Council, the EU member states have also been unwilling to con-
cede historical privileges to address the central underlying grievances of emerging powers
with the result that the legitimacy crisis of many multilateral institutions has become exac-
erbated. For the EU, there is a clear reform dilemma between the status quo that it favours
and changes required for multilateral institutions to adapt to a changing environment.
Extending multilateral institutions
The crisis of multilateralism stems not only from dissatisfaction with the performance of
existing institutions on day-to-day issues but also from a general perception that
multilateral institutions insufciently addresses pressing collective action problems. Tech-
nological developments and external shocks reveal governance gaps. As the reexive sup-
porter of multilateralism, the EU is thus expected to propel new multilateral initiatives.
This nal section provides three brief examples on attempts to establish new multilateral
institutions in the areas of migration, vaccines and cyber security. Although the logic of ex-
tending multilateral institutions sometimes overlaps with reforming multilateral institu-
tions, the focus here is on new multilateral institutions as opposed to already existing ones.
One of the lessons of the European refugee crisis of 2015 was the need for an in-
ternational framework on migration, highlighting a clear gap in global governance.
Although it began as a UN process in 2016, the EU was the primary driver throughout
the negotiation and drafting process of the UN Global Compact for Migration (GCM),
a non-binding framework to better manage migration from the local to the global level
(Badell 2020). However, the initial EU unity began to crumble after President Trump
pulled the United States out of the agreement in late 2017. Hungary soon followed
suit. Although the EU found an innovative way to maintain a common EU-minus-
Hungary negotiation position by appointing Austria as speaker (Interview #1), Austria
itself and other increasingly sovereigntists member states joined the chorus of critical
voices in the autumn of 2018. In the end, only 18 EU member states signed the
GCM. What had started as an EU-supported initiative to extend multilateralism ended
as a disaster for the EUs credibility (Interviews #2, #4 and #8). Although the GCM is
likely to be considered legally relevant over time (Interview #1), the increasing internal
divisions prevented the EU from effectively extending multilateral institutions.
The second major new multilateral initiative, during the study period 20162021, was
the Covax Facility to ensure equitable distribution of Covid-19 vaccinations to developing
The EUs quest to sustain multilateral institutions 13
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countries. Launched in 2020 by the WHO, Gavi and the Coalition for Epidemic Prepared-
ness Innovations, Covax pursued the declared ambition of delivering two billion vaccina-
tions by the end of 2021 to combat the pandemic. Here, too, the EU was a major diplomatic
player and central donor. Although the United States and China quickly descended into a bi-
lateral conict, the EU spearheaded diplomatic negotiations to nd a multilateral response
rather than relying on bilateral donations (Interview #8). One observer notes that nobody
else was doing anythingon vaccine distributions (Interview #4). The EU institutions have
also pledged in 1 billion USD in funding with the individual EU member states adding an-
other 2.5 billion USD (European Council 2022). At the same time, the EUsleadershipsuf-
fered from what was widely perceived as vaccine nationalism by especially the wealthy
member states, who bought up and hoarded a disproportional number of vaccines (e.g.,
Watkins 2021). Germany furthermore spoke out against a Covid-19 vaccine patent waiver
at the WTO. A so-called TRIPS waiver was ultimately agreed in the WTO, but only in June
2022, almost 2 years after the proposal had been suggested by India and South Africa and
therefore essentially after much of the world had already been vaccinated.
Although the EU recently committed to extend multilateral institutions to elds such as AI
or biodiversity (European Commission 2021, p. 8) and initiated a treaty on pandemic preven-
tion, these initiatives are yetto bear fruit. The samegoes for several other initiatives to extend
global governance, for instance, over lethal autonomous weapons systems (LAWS) or cyber
warfare in the context of the United Nations Group of Governmental Experts (GGE) and the
Open-Ended Working Group (OEWG). Here, the EU faces a combination of internal divi-
sions, a primacy of member states (such as France and Germany) in negotiation forums
and a few opportunities to provide leadership (e.g., Badell and Schmitt 2022;Douzet
et al. 2022). Covax and GCM therefore constitute the most notable EU attempts since
2016. In both cases, the EU initially drove negotiations but internal factorsvaccine nation-
alism and anti-migration sentiments respectivelyundermined the EUs multilateral efforts.
Conclusion
This article has analysed the extent to which the EU has actively tried to sustain key multi-
lateral institutions since 2016. The EU has long punched below its weight in multilateral af-
fairs. But the episode from mid-2018 onward marks both an awakening to the existential cri-
sis and an emancipation from previous modus operandi. Upon belatedly realising the
existential crisis to multilateralism, survival instincts kicked in, and the EU entered survival
mode(Interview #3) by setting out to defend critical institutions under pressure. In doing
so, the EU not only acted with unprecedented urgency but also pursued hitherto unthinkable
strategies. The EU made common cause with China against the United States to establish the
MPIA as a temporary remedy for the blockade of the WTOs Appellate Body; it plugged
signicant funding gaps of UN institutions and engaged in strategic communications efforts
to confront both American and Chinese normative challenges to the UN system, and it pro-
vided diplomatic leadership to keep the Paris Climate Agreement intact.
The relatively successful attempts to defend specic institutions under pressure is only
one side of the coin, however. The other is that the EU has proven less willing and able to
reform or extend multilateral institutions. The EU made some attempts at reforming the
UN system and the WHO and produced limited results as the emerging schisms between
the United States and China, and also democracies and autocracies generally, have
Leonard Schuette and Hylke Dijkstra14
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hardened fronts and rendered compromises on signicant reforms very difcult. Internal
factors, however, also carry responsibilities. The EUs unwillingness to concede what es-
pecially developing states consider unjustied institutional privileges has exacerbated re-
sentments in the Global South and undermined the EUs credibility as a defender of mul-
tilateral institutions. Compounding matters, the parochialism demonstrated by member
states in questions of vaccine distributions and the GCM prevented more effective multi-
lateral solutions to new problems.
To understand how the EU has tried to sustain multilateral institutions, this article
has empirically discussed a large number of EU efforts across different institutions. Given
the space constraints, further research on the details of each case is warranted. Neverthe-
less, from this overview of efforts, a clear picture emerges: The period from 2016 to 2021
was one of the EU survival politics of saving the savable(Interview #3) rather than a
reinvention of multilateralism. The EU did prevent the collapse of the multilateral order,
but many of the profound challenges besetting the order remain. Preventing regression
from the status quo has thus proven easier than forging a positive change thereof. To sus-
tain multilateralism in the long term, the EU will have to shift from survival mode to
transformation mode. With the arrival of the Biden Administration, the EU once again
has a key ally in launching new multilateral initiatives such as on global corporate tax
or on climate nancing. In the past, the EU had complacently relied on US leadership.
But in light of the domestic turbulences in the United States, this is not a viable strategy
going forward. Although the EU cannot replace the US hegemony, it will have to assume
greater multilateral leadership responsibilities and also intensify its efforts to build part-
nerships beyond the G7 by working with the likes of Mexico, South Africa or the African
Union. Indeed, the EU will have to recognise that without conceding of some of its insti-
tutional privileges, reforms of key IOs will be impossible, which is likely to fuel outright
opposition towards to the very multilateral order by dissatised states.
Acknowledgements
We are also thankful to the editors and anonymous reviewers of JCMS. This article is part
of a project that has received funding from the European Research Council (ERC) under
the European Unions Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme (grant agree-
ment no. 802568).
Correspondence:
Hylke Dijkstra, Maastricht University, Department of Political Science, P.O. Box 616, 6200 MD
Maastricht, The Netherlands.
email: h.dijkstra@maastrichtuniversity.nl
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