Article

Crises Narratives Defining the COVID-19 Pandemic: Expert Uncertainties and Conspiratorial Sensemaking

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  • Arizona State University West Campus
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Abstract

Experts, news media, and social media commentators struggled to make sense of SARS-CoV-2 January–May 2020 as disease caused by this virus, COVID-19, circulated the globe. This paper represents a longitudinal analysis of the primary narratives produced across expert, media, and social media sources to describe the virus, its phylogenetic origins, and biological effects. High expert uncertainty coupled with amplifying representations of risk across time drove collective sensemaking and conspiratorial narratives.

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... The critical attitude of the public together with risk consultations results in the emergence of a variety of risk frameworks, which represent different public experiences and concerns (Gephart, 1993;Janoske et al., 2013;Maguire & Hardy, 2013). However, formal expert frameworks are still dominant (Beck, 1992;Furey et al., 2021;Hardy & Maguire, 2016;Luhmann, 1993;Nadesan, 2022;Slager, 2017) and even public groups utilize the service of formal experts to support their local meanings in risk consultations (Hardy & Maguire, 2016;Mueller et al., 2023;Slovic, 1999). Yet, this is not much successful when the arguments of business stakeholders are based almost exclusively on the service and frameworks of the same experts. ...
... Together with risk, risk measures, and management become an area of expertise. Risk management is now a professional discipline performed by organizational experts (Bednarek et al., 2021;Hardy & Maguire, 2016;Nadesan, 2022;Power, 2007;Slager, 2017). With their formal formulation and normalization of risks, the experts monopolize the domain of risk management (Boin et al., 2005;Clarke & Perrow, 1996). ...
... Lastly, public stakeholders can use informal communicative platforms such as the media not much restricted by formal frameworks (Mueller et al., 2023;Nadesan, 2022;Xu, 2018). Such platforms provide a larger space for alternative risk meanings based on individual and community concerns. ...
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This study examines a public hearing, in which a company normalizes a high-risk project while a group of residents and landowners problematize it through three types of relational risk work including the construction of concerns versus measures, consultations on concerns and measures, and company approach in addressing concerns with measures. They construct risk meanings in a relational context where they respond to the normalizing and problematizing attempts of one another. Accordingly, this study has two main contributions. First, it identifies three types of risk work used by public and business stakeholders to relationally construct and normalize/problematize risk and risk management and thus analyzes the tension between normalizing and problematizing as an issue of interdependence. Second, it brings forward the opposition between concerns and measures as an important topic for risk research and emphasizes the critical role of risk consultations with cooperative approaches in addressing this opposition.
... In fact, this social cyber geography shows how bots are actively using strategic communications: bots that claim to be from China disseminate narratives blaming China for the coronavirus. At the same time, the Chinese state-sponsored media was actively denying that the virus came from China, and that it was actually coming from the US 21 . This is a form of social cyber attack that aims to influence the Chinese public about the source of the virus. ...
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... Table 3 categorizes the topics and sub-topics found from both NSV and misinformation data in the Finnish context. Many of the themes we identified are also identified in previous studies, like the rush in vaccine development, a conspiracy of vaccine-profiting pharmaceutical companies and global elites, and similar claims of side effects and safety issues of the vaccine (Bruns et al., 2022;Lindelöf et al., 2022;Nadesan, 2022;Zhao et al., 2023). Furthermore, we identified some unique topics and examples, including Sputnik and Putin's vaccine, the conspiracy of Israel and Pfizer's CEO, and the sentiment against vaccination passports. ...
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This study analyzed 1,683,700 vaccine-related tweets in Finnish using FinBERT language model, Botometer, and BERTopic, from December 2019 to October 2022. A strong correlation was identified between Negative Stance towards Vaccines (NSV) and misinformation, with an upward trend over time and a significant role of malicious bot accounts. Topic modeling revealed persistent themes of vaccine skepticism and diverse misinformation themes adapting to debunking efforts. Approximately a third of tweets contained misinformation, irrespective of source reliability, leading to increased NSV. The study observed a gap in active countering of misinformation by authorities, suggesting proactive involvement by public authorities, public education for effective misinformation management and social media literacy.
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As a revolutionary biological science and technology, synthetic biology has already spread its influence from natural sciences to humanities and social sciences by introducing biosafety, biosecurity, and ethical issues to society. The current study aims to elaborate the intellectual bases and research front of the synthetic biology field in the sphere of philosophy, ethics, and social sciences, with knowledge mapping and bibliometric methods. The literature records from the Social Sciences Citation Index and Arts & Humanities Citation Index in the Web of Science Core Collection from 1982 to 2021 were collected and analyzed to illustrate the intellectual structure of philosophical, ethical, and social research of synthetic biology. This study profiled the hotspots of research focus on its governance, philosophical and ethical concerns, and relevant technologies. This study offers clues and enlightenment for the stakeholders and researchers to follow the progress of this emerging discipline and technology and to understand the cutting-edge ideas and future form of this field, which takes on greater significance in the post-COVID-19 era.
... But there is a next phase that follows the process of conspiracy theory formation, when conspiracy theories "become historical narratives that can spread through cultural transmission", forming "the basis of how people subsequently remember and mentally represent a historical event" (van Prooijen and Douglas, 2017, p. 323). This is how, for example, in the context of the COVID-19 crisis, attempts have been made to construct a narrative without evidence or proof, only speculative -what populists and post-truth fabricators call "alternative facts" -about the origin of the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus, for example, placing it in a leak from a laboratory, a conspiracy theory for some, scientific hypothesis for others, which to date has not been proven, but which has been taken as true by many citizens thanks to the impulse that has been given to conspiracy narratives (Nadesan, 2022), and which is opposed to the theory that seems to have had greater scientific consensus, that of the zoonotic origin through the "spillover" model (Borsetti et al. 2021;Ruiz-Medina et al, 2021;Frutos et al., 2022aFrutos et al., , 2022b. ...
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