ArticlePDF Available

حقائق التعهيد الجماعي أثناء النزاعات نحو آلية لكشف الحقيقة وتفنيد الأخبار الكاذبة

Authors:

Abstract and Figures

يمثّل بثُّ الشائعاتِ والفهمُ المغلوطُ لحقيقةِ النزاعاتِ الدائرةِ حولَ العالمِ تهديدًا غيرَ مسبوقٍ على تقديمِ المساعدات الإنسانيةِ للمتضررينَ، وعلى إيجاد الحلول للنزاعات، وبناء عليه تناولت هذه الدراسة الأساليب السابقةَ في استخدام ما يسمى ب «حكمة الحشد » لاستقاءِ المعلوماتِ من مصادرِها الرئيسيَّ ةِ أثناء الأزمات. ونقدمُ في هذه الدراسة رؤيتَنا لمنصّةٍ جديدةٍ للتعهيدِ الجماعيِّ بالاعتماد على رؤى «نظرية اللعبة، » بهدفِ زيادةِ موثوقية وموضوعية المعلومات المصاحبة للنزاعات. وبخلاف المنصّات الأخرى، تقدّم منصتُنا آليةً لتحفيزِ شهودِ العِيانِ على قولِ الحقيقةِ بأكبر قدر من الدقة. كما تتيح المنصّةُ إمكانية توثيق المعلوماتِ عن طريق عملية مراجعة متعددةِ المراحلِ، واتصال المراسلِ بوسائل الإعلام مباشرةً عبر تطبيقات متكاملة، فعند تمكين وسائل الإعلام من الوصول إلى المعلومة الموثقة من مصدرها الرئيسي، يتوقع للمنصة أن تكون مصدرًا مهمًّ لوسائل الإعلام لاستقاء المعلومة بدلً من شرائها من مصادر ثانوية، ونستطيعُ القول أيضًا إنّ منصةً بهذه الميزاتِ، يُمكنُها إيقافُ بَثِّ الشائعاتِ حولَ النزاعات، فتُسهمُ في بناء السلام وإيصالِ المساعداتِ الإنساني ة إلى مستحقّيها. الكلمات المفتاحية: التعهيد الجماعي، الصراعات العنيفة، أخبار مضللة، الصحافة، نظرية اللعبة.
Content may be subject to copyright.






á©«HôdG õjõ©dGóÑY øH ˆGóÑY /QƒàcódG ‹É©e
á«fÉ°ùfE’G ɪYC’Gh áKÉZEÓd ¿Éª°S ∂∏ŸG õcôe ≈∏Y ΩÉ©dG ±ô°ûŸGh »μ∏ŸG ¿GƒjódÉH QÉ°ûà°ùŸG

…óeɨdG ¿É©ªL øH π«Y /QƒàcódG
ôjƒ£àdGh §«£îàdG ¿hDƒ°ûd ΩÉ©dG ±ô°ûŸG óYÉ°ùe


Journal@ksrelief.org
3
jô°ûdG ÖdɨdG …Dƒd øH ó¡a .O äÉYGõædG AÉæKCG »Yɪ÷G ó«¡©àdG M
äôHƒ°T πjƒfÉe .O áHPÉμdG QÉÑNC’G ó«æØJh á«≤◊G °ûμd á«dBG ƒëf
25
…OÉædG óª .O ÊÉ°ùfE’G ‹hódG πNóàdG á«Yhô°ûe
á«dhódG á°SÉ«°ùdG Aƒ°V ‘
49
ìhO ƒHCG ºXÉc ódÉN .O »Hô©dG É©dG ‘ á«°SÉ°SC’G á«Ä«ÑdG äÉjóëàdG
á«æeCG - á«YɪàLG ájDhQ
71
‹ƒØdG óªMCG ¿ÉæM .O á«fÉ°ùfE’G äGóYÉ°ùŸGh ÜÉgQE’G áëaÉμe
ƒ∏◊Gh äÉ«YGóàdG
103
…QƒëŸG óª OÉjR .O ôjƒ£J Oƒ¡Lh øª«dG ‘ ΩÉ©dG º«©àdG
ÉLPƒ‰CG ájOƒ©°ùdG á«Hô©dG áμ∏ªŸG Oƒ¡L
|
1
4
20211443 ٥
  

 







   
  




 







     

















    


5

()


()
()()


































6
20211443 ٥

 







 











 









()










 





.
()




7






 



 


 
































      

  
       
      
 

       
      






     
     

8
20211443 ٥
  

Usha� (
.)Swahilihidi





       
  
 
      





     
 
  
   



)(
CSOs(

     



)OSGeoLive 2009(
9



Crisis Tracker






Syria Tracker
Humanitarian Track� (

er




DHN  



  
  
 
  Syria Tracker  
.)(DHN

 
   


.Veri.ly(



    





   
  

 
     



    









     








  



 
 
      
  
 
 
 
 





















10
20211443 ٥
  



 
 
      







   

 
      

      












      
 )(     
 http://
veri.ly/
https://www.
digital
humani
tarians.com/
https://www.
humanitarian
tracker.org/
https://
crisis
tracker
.org/
https://
www.
ushahidi.
com/







 
    
)


      


 
   
  

 
   


      



11



      
      
      

     
  







-

     









 
  

 



      


      

       



  
 
      
   
  






 
 
    


      

    
  

      
 
     
 
     
 





      
      
   
 
 



       


      
       




12
20211443 ٥


      
     








  


 





 



 

     








 



 



 )










  




 )










 







13




   
   







 )




















   )


















      
      




«أ» ﻞﺳاﺮﻤـﻟا
ﺮﻳﺮﻘﺘﻟا ﻞﻘﻨﻳ
ﺔﻣﻮﻠﻌﳌا لﺎﺧدإ .1
ﺔﻘﻄﻨﻣ 
 ثدﺎﺣ عﻮﻗو ﺪﻨﻋ
«أ»ﻞﺳاﺮﻤـﻟا مﻮﻘﻳ ،وﻷا عاﺮﺼﻟا
ﺮﻳﺮﻘﺘﻟا ﻊﻓﺮﻳ و ﺎﻴﻓاﺮﻐ
ﺣ ﻖﻴﺛﻮﺘﻟﺎﺑ
.ﻖﻴﺒﻄﺘﻟا ﻋ 
وﻻا
ﻖﻘﺤﺘﻳ «ب» ﻞﺳاﺮﻤـﻟا
ﺔﻴﻤﻜﻟا تﺎﻣﻮﻠﻌﳌا ﻦﻣ
ﺔﻧرﺎﻘﳌﺎﺑ ﻖﻘﺤﺘﻟا .2
«ب» ﻞﺳاﺮﻤـﻟا ﻖﻴﺒﻄﺘﻟا رﺎﺘﺨﻳ
ﻦﻣ ﺪﻛﺎﺘﻠﻟ ﺔﻘﻄﻨﳌا ﺲﻔﻧ ﻦﻣ
،ﻢﻜﻟا ﺚﻴﺣ ﻦﻣ ﺔﻣﻮﻠﻌﳌا
ﺶﻣﺎﻫ ﻦ
 تﺎﻴﻓﻮﻟا دﺪﻌﻛ
%10 ﺎﻘﺒﺴﻣ دﺪﺤﻣ ﺄﻄﺧ
لﺎﺜﳌا ﻞﻴﺒﺳ ﻋ
«
ح» ﻞﺳاﺮﻤـﻟا
ﺮـﺒا ةدﻮ
ﺣ ﻦﻣ ﻖﻘﺤﺘﻳ
ﺰـﻴﺤﺘﻟا ﺔﻟازإ .3
(ﺔﺿرﺎﻌﳌا) ﺔﻴﻧﺎﺜﻟا عاﺮﺼﻟا ﺔﻘﻄﻨﻣ ﻦﻣ «
ح» ﻞﺳاﺮﻤـﻟا ﻖﻴﺒﻄﺘﻟا رﺎﺘﺨﻳ
ﺔﻓﺎﺿإ ﻞﺳاﺮﻤﻠﻟ ﻦﻜﻤﻳ و ، ً
ﻼﺜﻣ ﻞﻣﺎﺤﺘﻣ وأ ﻪ
ﺣﻮﻣ :ﺮـﺒا ﺔﻴﻋﻮﻧ ﻦﻣ ﺪﻛﺄﺘﻠﻟ
ءﺰ
ﺤﻛ ﻊﻗﻮﳌا 
 ﺎﻫروﺪﺑ ﻆﻔﺤﺗ ،ﺮـﺒا ﺔﻴﻋﻮﻧ ﻋ تﺎﺤﻴﺿﻮﺗ و تﺎﺣوﺮﺷ
.ﺮـﺒا ﻞ
ﺤﺳ ﻦﻣ
ﻖﻳﻮﺴﺘﻟا ﺔﻠﺣﺮﻣ .4
تﺎﺣوﺮﺸﻟا ﻞ ﻊﻣ ﺰﻫﺎ
ﺣ ﻖﺛﻮﻤـﻟا ﺮﻳﺮﻘﺘﻟا
.ﻖﻳﻮﺴﺘﻠﻟ ﻊﻗﻮﻤـﻟا ﻋ تﺎﻘﻴﻠﻌﺘﻟا و
ﻖﺛﻮﻣ ﺮﻳﺮﻘﺗ
مﻼﻋﻻا ﻞ ﺎﺳﻮﻟ
وﻷا عاﺮﺼﻟا ﺔﻘﻄﻨﻣ
ﺔﻴﻧﺎﺜﻟا عاﺮﺼﻟا ﺔﻘﻄﻨﻣ
14
20211443 ٥







 
      





     







 

RSP
      
 









 
 
  

   
  
       
     




تﺎﻧﺎﻴﺒﻟا لﺎﺧدإ
ﻖﻴﻗﺪﺘﻟا
ﺰـ ُّ ﺤﺘﻟا ﺔﻟازإ
ﻖﻳﻮﺴﺘﻟا
1
2
3
4
«أ» ﻞﺳاﺮﻤـﻟا
1 ﺔﻘﻄﻨﻤـﻟا
ًّ ﻓاﺮﻐ
ﺣ ﺔﻘﺛﻮﻣ
100% ﻪﻟ ﻊﻓﺪﻳ
ﺎﻴﻘﻟا ﺮﻳﺮﻘﺘﻟا ﺔﻤـﻴﻗ ﻦﻣ
«ب» ﻞﺳاﺮﻤـﻟا
1 ﺔﻘﻄﻨﳌا
ًّ ﻓاﺮﻐ
ﺣ ﺔﻘﺛﻮﻣ
5% ﻪﻟ ﻊﻓﺪ ُ
ﺎﻴﻘﻟا ﺮﻳﺮﻘﺘﻟا ﺔﻗ ﻦﻣ
«
ح» ﻞﺳاﺮﻤـﻟا
ﺔﻘﺛﻮﻣ 2 ﺔﻘﻄﻨﳌا
ًّ ﻓاﺮﻐ
10% ﻪﻟ ﻊﻓﺪ ُ
ﺎﻴﻘﻟا ﺮﻳﺮﻘﺘﻟا ﺔﻗ ﻦﻣ
مﻼﻋﻹا ﻞ ﺎﺳوﺮﺸﻨﻟا و ءاﺮﺸﻟا
115% ﻊﻓﺪﻳ
ﺎﻴﻘﻟا ﺮﻳﺮﻘﺘﻟا ﺔﻣ ﻦﻣ
ﺔﻠﺣﺮﻤـﻟامﺪﺨﺘﺴﻤـﻟا
ءاﺮ ٜ
ﺣﻹاﻊﻓﺪﻟا ﺔﻄﺧ
ﻠﻌﻳ و حﺮﺸﻳ
ﺾﻓﺮﻳ وأ ﻞﺒﻘﻳ
وﻷا ﺮـﺒا
ةدﺎﻤـﻟا مﺪﻘﻳ
ﺮـﺒﺨﻠﻟ ﺔﻴﻟوﻷا
15


    
 
 












 






(



تﺎﻧﺎﻴﺒﻟا لﺎﺧدإ
ﻖﻴﻗﺪﺘﻟا
ﺰـ ُّ ﺤﺘﻟا ﺔﻟازإ
ﻖﻳﻮﺴﺘﻟا
1
2
3
4
«أ» ﻞﺳاﺮﻤـﻟا
1 ﺔﻘﻄﻨﻤـﻟا
ًّ ﻓاﺮﻐ
ﺣ ﺔﻘﺛﻮﻣ
:ﻋ ﻞﺼﺤﻳ
(100% -4% * R - 1% * C ) * RSP
«ب» ﻞﺳاﺮﻤـﻟا
1 ﺔﻘﻄﻨﳌا
ًّ ﻓاﺮﻐ
ﺣ ﺔﻘﺛﻮﻣ
:ﻋ ﻞﺼﺤﻳ
(5% + 2% * R) * RSP
«
ح» ﻞﺳاﺮﻤـﻟا
ﺔﻘﺛﻮﻣ 2 ﺔﻘﻄﻨﳌا
ًّ ﻓاﺮﻐ
:ﻋ ﻞﺼﺤﻳ
(10% + 0.5% * C) * RSP
مﻼﻋﻹا ﻞ ﺎﺳو
-
:ﻋ ﻞﺼﺤﻳ
(115% - 2% * R - 0.5% * C) * RSP
ﺔﻠﺣﺮﻤـﻟامﺪﺨﺘﺴﻤـﻟا
تاﺮـﻴﻐﺘﻣﻊﻓﺪﻟا تاءاﺮ ٜ
ﺣا
"
ح" ﺢﻴﺿﻮﺘﻟا و حﺮﺸﻟا
ﺔﻴﻤﻛ ﺐﺴﺤﺑ ﻞﺑﺎﻘﻳ
تﺎﺣوﺮﺸﻟا
0 و 1 لﺪﻌﺗ "ر" ةﺎﻓﺎﻜﳌا
ﺾﻓﺮﻟا ﺔﻟﺎﺣ 
ﺮﻳﺮﻘﺘﻟا ﺔ 
RSP 
ﺎﻴﻘﻟا

  







 








 






R=0





16
20211443 ٥




C=1














     
 
 
  
   




  
 
     
 




   



      
  



      
     


 




تﺎﻧﺎﻴﺒﻟا لﺎﺧدإ
ﻖﻴﻗﺪﺘﻟا
ﺰـ ُّ ﺤﺘﻟا ﺔﻟازإ
ﻖﻳﻮﺴﺘﻟا
1
2
3
4
«أ» ﻞﺳاﺮﻤـﻟا
ﺔﻘﻄﻨﻣ
1 عاﺮﺼﻟا
:ﻋ ﻞﺼﺤﻳ
(100% - 4%* 0 - 1% * 1) *
USD 100= USD99
«ب» ﻞﺳاﺮﻤـﻟا
ﺔﻘﻄﻨﻣ
1 عاﺮﺼﻟا
:ﻋ ﻞﺼﺤﻳ
(5% + 2% * 0) * USD100 =
USD5
«
ح» ﻞﺳاﺮﻤـﻟا
ﺔﻘﻄﻨﻣ
2 عاﺮﺼﻟا
:ﻋ ﻞﺼﺤﻳ
(10% + 0.5% * 1) * USD100 =
USD 10.5
مﻼﻋﻹا ﻞ ﺎﺳو
قﺪﺼﳌا ﺮﻳﺮﻘﺘﻟا ي
ﺸﺗ
هﺮﺸﻨﺗ و ﻪﻌ
ﺣاﺮﺗ ﻢﺛ ﻦﻣ و
:ﻋ ﻞﺼﺤﻳ
(115% - 2% * 0 - 0.5% * 1) * USD 100 =
USD 114.5
ﺔﻠﺣﺮﻤـﻟامﺪﺨﺘﺴﻤـﻟا
تﻼﺧﺪﻤـﻟاتﺎﻋﻮﻓﺪﻤـﻟا
ا ﺼﻗ ﺎﺣﺮﺷ ﻒﻴﻀﻳ
عﻮﻗو تﺎﻴﺜﻴﺣ حﺮﺸﻳ
C=1 1 ﻢﻗر ﻴﻐﺗ :ثدﺎا
ﺦﻳرﺎﺘﻟا تﺎﻴﻄﻌﻣ ﺪﻴﻛﺎﺗ ﻪﻨﻜﻤﻳ
ﺮﻳﺮﻘﺘﻟا ﺪﻌﻳو ﺘﻘﻟا دﺪﻋ و
(R=0) ءﺎﻄﺧا نوﺪﺑ
مﻮﻋﺰﻣ مﻮ
ﺤﻫ ﻦﻋ ﺮﻳﺮﻘﺗ ﻊﻓﺮﻳ
هﺎﻳﺎﺤﺿ 2021/8/13 ﺦﻳرﺎﺘﺑ
نﺎﺴﻧا 15
17
     




     


 
    
  
 
  
  




     







       





       







)eBay   
    Amazon 



   Veri.ly   
 
 


 





      
 
      








      


      








 

18
20211443 ٥


 



  



       

      









Block� (
chain



   
   




 


 
 



     
 






     
 
 
     

















     
      
    


19







  















  
  

   
  
    
 
   







  
 
  






  




      








    
    
    

20
20211443 ٥

 


 
Behavia 
 
 
.)

 
(


 

 

//Veri.ly 
21

Ariely, D., Au, W., Bender, R., Budesco, D, Dietz, C, Gu, H., and G. Zauberman (2000). The effect of aver-
aging subjective probability estimates between and within judges. Journal of Experimental Psychology:
Applied 6: 130–147.
Baliki, G. (2017). Measuring Media Bias in Conict: Evidence from Syria. In Empirical Advances in the
Measurement and Analysis of Violent Conict. Berlin: Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin.
Bennett, S., Benjamin, A., Mistry, P, and M. Steyvers (2018). Making a crowd wiser: Benets of individual
metacognitive control on crowd performance. Computational Brain & Behavior 1: 90–99.
Bunce, M. (2019). Humanitarian Communication in a Post-Truth World. Journal of Humanitarian Affairs
1(1): 49–55.
Butler, D. (2013). Crowdsourcing goes mainstream in typhoon response. Nature News.
Camerer, C. (2003). Behavioral Game Theory: Experiments in Strategic Interaction. Princeton University
Press, Princeton, New Jersey.
Fiechter, J., and N. Kornell (2021). How the wisdom of crowds, and of the crowd within, are affected by
expertise. Cognitive Research.
Fudenberg, D., and J. Tirole (1991). Game Theory. Cambridge, Mass. and. London: MIT Press.
Gupta, A., Lamba, H., Kumaraguru, P., and Joshi, A. (2013). Faking sandy: Characterizing and identifying
fake images on twitter during hurricane sandy. Proceedings of the 22nd International Conference on
World Wide Web: 729-736.
Hannides, T. (2015). Humanitarian Broadcasting in Emergencies: A Synthesis of Evaluation Findings,
Research Report. London: BBC Media Action.
Hunt, A., and D. Specht (2019). Crowdsourced mapping in crisis zones: collaboration, organization, and
impact. Journal of International Humanitarian Action, 4(1).
Igoe, M. (2017). Q&A: Fighting "Fake News" to Aid Development. Devex. www.devex.com/news/q-a-
ghting-fake-news-to-aiddevelopment-90585 (last accessed on 01/03/2021).
Jin, B., Park, J., and H. Kim (2010). What Makes Online Community Members Commit? A Social Exchange
Perspective. Behaviour & Information Technology 29(6): 587-599.
Kahan, D., Peters, E., Dawson, E., and P. Slovic (2017). Motivated numeracy and enlightened self-govern-
ment. Behavioural Public Policy 1: 54–86.
Kahl, A., Mcconnell, C., and W. Tsuma (2012). Crowdsourcing as a Tool in Conict Prevention. Conict
Trends 2012(1): 27–34.
Kozyreva, A., Lewandowsky, S., and R. Hertwig (2020). Citizens Versus the Internet: Confronting Digital
Challenges with Cognitive Tools. Psychological Science in the Public Interest 21(3): 103–156.
Lee, M., and I. Danileiko (2014). Using cognitive models to combine probability estimates. Judgment and
Decision Making 9: 259–273.
22
20211443 ٥
Lorenz-Spreen, P., Lewandowsky, S., Sunstein, C. R., and R. Hertwig (2020). How behavioural sciences
can promote truth, autonomy, and democratic discourse online. Nature Human Behaviour: 1-8.
Martin-Shields, C. (2013). The Technologist's Dilemma: Ethical Challenges of Using Crowdsourcing
Technology in Conict and Disaster-Affected regions. Georgetown Journal of International Affairs
14(2): 157–163.
Meier, P. (2015). How to Become a Digital Sherlock Holmes and Support Relief Efforts. iRevolutions Blog.
https://irevolutions.org/2015/02/26/how-to-become-a-digital-detective/ (last accessed on 21/03/2021).
Mellers, B., Ungar, L., Baron, J., Ramos, J., Gurcay, B., Fincher, K., and P. Tetlock (2014). Psychological
strategies for winning a geopolitical forecasting tournament. Psychological Science 25: 1106–1115.
Meyer, T., Marsden, C., and I. Brown (2020). Regulating Internet Content with Technology: Analysis of
Policy Initiatives Relevant to Illegal Content and Disinformation Online in the European Union.
In Disinformation and Digital Media as a Challenge for Democracy 6. Edited by Terzis G., Kloza D.,
Kużelewska, E., and D. Trottier. Intersentia: Cambridge: 309-326.
Maher, V. (2006). Citizen Journalism is Dead. Media in Transition Blog. School of Journalism & Media
Studies, Rhodes University.
Munro, R. (2013). Crowdsourcing and the crisis-affected community. Lessons learned and looking forward
from Mission 4636. Information Retrieval 16: 210–266.
Mutsvairo B., and S. Salgado (2020). Is citizen journalism dead? An examination of recent developments in
the eld. Journalism. November 2020.
OSGeoLive (2009). Ushahidi. Incident Timeline & Mapping. https://live.osgeo.org/archive/10.5/ko/over-
view/ushahidi_overview.html (last accessed on 27/02/2021).
Pennycook, G., McPhetres, J., Zhang, Y., and D. Rand (2020). Fighting COVID-19 misinformation on
social media: Experimental evidence for a scalable accuracy nudge intervention. Psychological Science.
Rigterink, A., and G. Baliki (2019). The wisdom of seeking crowd wisdom. Reections on the ethics of
using crowdsourcing and crowdseeding to collect data in conict zones. Discussion paper.
Sambrook, R. (2010). Are Foreign Correspondents Redundant? Oxford: Reuters.
Schubert, M., Bashri, M., Jayet, C., Vautrin, E., and J. Stauf (2020). Shared Truth. V20 Global Values Policy
Brief: 6-12.
Scott, M., Wright, K. and M. Bunce (2018). The State of Humanitarian Journalism. Norwich: University of
East Anglia.
Semakula, D. Nsangi, A., Oxman, A., Oxman, M. Austvoll-Dahlgren, A., Rosenbaum, S. Morelli, A.,
Glenton, C., Lewin, S., Kaseje, M., Chalmers, I., Fretheim, A., Kristoffersen, D., and N., Sewankambo
(2017). Effects of the Informed Health Choices Podcast on the Ability of Parents of Primary School
Children in Uganda to Assess Claims about Treatment Effects: A Randomised Controlled Trial', Lancet
390(10092): 389–398.
23
Shiel, A. (2013). Conict Crowdsourcing: Harnessing the power of crowdsourcing for organiza-
tions working in conict and the potential for a crowdsourced portal for conict-related information.
McGill University.
Silverman, Craig, ed. (2014). Verication Handbook: An Ultimate Guideline on Digital Age Sourcing for
Emergency Coverage. Maastricht: European Journalism Centre.
Standby Task Force (2011). Libya Crisis Map Deployment 2011 Report. https://www.standbytaskforce.
org/2011/09/01/libya-crisis-map-report/ (last accessed on 27/02/2021).
Statistia (2021). Number of social network users worldwide from 2017 to 2025. https://www.statista.com/
statistics/278414/number-of-worldwide-social-network-users/ (last accessed on 01/03/2021).
Steyvers, M., Lee, M., Miller, B., and P. Hemmer (2009). The wisdom of crowds in the recollection of order
information. Proceedings of the 22nd International Conference on Neural Information Processing
Systems: 1785–1793.
Surowiecki, J. (2004). The wisdom of crowds: Why the many are smarter than the few and how collective
wisdom shapes business, economies, societies, and nations. New York, NY: Random House.
Tran, T., Valecha, R., Rad, P., and H. Rao (2020). An Investigation of Misinformation Harms Related to
social media during Two Humanitarian Crises. Information Systems Frontiers.
Turner, B., Steyvers, M., Merkle, E. C., Budesco, D., and T. Wallsten (2014). Forecast aggregation via reca-
libration. Machine Learning 95: 261–289.
UN Security Council (2016). Interim Report of the Panel of Experts on South Sudan Established Pursuant to
Security Council Resolution 2206.
U.S. Homeland Security (2018). Countering False Information on social media in Disasters and Emergen-
cies Social Media Working Group for Emergency Services and Disaster Management.
Ushahidi (2018). Impact report: 10 years of innovation. 10 years of global impact.
Van der Windt, P., and M. Humphreys (2016). Crowdseeding in Eastern Congo: Using Cell Phones to
Collect Conict Events Data in Real Time. Journal of Conict Resolution 60(4): 748–781.
Vazirani, V., Nisan, N., Roughgarden, T., and E. Tardos (2007). Algorithmic Game Theory. Cambridge, UK:
Cambridge University Press.
Vosoughi, S., Roy, D. and Aral, S. (2018). The Spread of True and False News Online. Science 359(6380):
1146-1151.
Yi, S., Steyvers, M., Lee, M., and M. Dry (2012). The wisdom of the crowd in combinatorial problems.
Cognitive Science 36: 452–470.
ResearchGate has not been able to resolve any citations for this publication.
Article
Full-text available
We investigated the effect of expertise on the wisdom of crowds. Participants completed 60 trials of a numerical estimation task, during which they saw 50–100 asterisks and were asked to estimate how many stars they had just seen. Experiment 1 established that both inner- and outer-crowd wisdom extended to our novel task: Single responses alone were less accurate than responses aggregated across a single participant (showing inner-crowd wisdom) and responses aggregated across different participants were even more accurate (showing outer-crowd wisdom). In Experiment 2, prior to beginning the critical trials, participants did 12 practice trials with feedback, which greatly increased their accuracy. There was a benefit of outer-crowd wisdom relative to a single estimate. There was no inner-crowd wisdom effect, however; with high accuracy came highly restricted variance, and aggregating insufficiently varying responses is not beneficial. Our data suggest that experts give almost the same answer every time they are asked and so they should consult the outer crowd rather than solicit multiple estimates from themselves.
Article
Full-text available
The Internet has evolved into a ubiquitous and indispensable digital environment in which people communicate, seek information, and make decisions. Despite offering various benefits, online environments are also replete with smart, highly adaptive choice architectures designed primarily to maximize commercial interests, capture and sustain users’ attention, monetize user data, and predict and influence future behavior. This online landscape holds multiple negative consequences for society, such as a decline in human autonomy, rising incivility in online conversation, the facilitation of political extremism, and the spread of disinformation. Benevolent choice architects working with regulators may curb the worst excesses of manipulative choice architectures, yet the strategic advantages, resources, and data remain with commercial players. One way to address some of this imbalance is with interventions that empower Internet users to gain some control over their digital environments, in part by boosting their information literacy and their cognitive resistance to manipulation. Our goal is to present a conceptual map of interventions that are based on insights from psychological science. We begin by systematically outlining how online and offline environments differ despite being increasingly inextricable. We then identify four major types of challenges that users encounter in online environments: persuasive and manipulative choice architectures, AI-assisted information architectures, false and misleading information, and distracting environments. Next, we turn to how psychological science can inform interventions to counteract these challenges of the digital world. After distinguishing among three types of behavioral and cognitive interventions—nudges, technocognition, and boosts—we focus on boosts, of which we identify two main groups: (a) those aimed at enhancing people’s agency in their digital environments (e.g., self-nudging, deliberate ignorance) and (b) those aimed at boosting competencies of reasoning and resilience to manipulation (e.g., simple decision aids, inoculation). These cognitive tools are designed to foster the civility of online discourse and protect reason and human autonomy against manipulative choice architectures, attention-grabbing techniques, and the spread of false information.
Article
Full-text available
The reliance on untrained reporters with limited or no understanding of journalistic standards has become increasingly widespread particularly in less democratic environments and these practices have impacted news gathering and reporting. There however has been some debate about the conceivability, capacity, reliability and acceptability of citizen journalists due to the lack of the professional standards associated with the profession. Even so, diverse forms of citizen journalism continue to emerge and develop in several countries in the Global South, such as Zimbabwe and Mozambique, examined in-depth in our study of the current frameworks, trends, practices and principles of citizen journalism in Africa. Buoyed by what appears like a slump in global citizen journalism research, we identify specific cases to rethink the concept, seeking to theoretically contribute to new directions on the phenomenon’s role in African societies. Our analysis suggests that a reconceptualization of citizen journalism is imperative thanks to several factors, including improved access to the Internet and changing attitudes toward political dissent and participation, citizen journalism in Africa is taking new directions.
Article
Full-text available
During humanitarian crises, a large amount of information is circulated in a short period of time, either to withstand or respond to such crises. Such crises also give rise to misinformation that spreads within and outside the affected community. Such misinformation may result in information harms that can generate serious short term or long-term consequences. In the context of humanitarian crises, we propose a synthesis of misinformation harms and assess people’s perception of harm based on their work experience in the crisis response arena or their direct exposure to crises.
Article
Full-text available
Across two studies with more than 1,700 U.S. adults recruited online, we present evidence that people share false claims about COVID-19 partly because they simply fail to think sufficiently about whether or not the content is accurate when deciding what to share. In Study 1, participants were far worse at discerning between true and false content when deciding what they would share on social media relative to when they were asked directly about accuracy. Furthermore, greater cognitive reflection and science knowledge were associated with stronger discernment. In Study 2, we found that a simple accuracy reminder at the beginning of the study (i.e., judging the accuracy of a non-COVID-19-related headline) nearly tripled the level of truth discernment in participants’ subsequent sharing intentions. Our results, which mirror those found previously for political fake news, suggest that nudging people to think about accuracy is a simple way to improve choices about what to share on social media.
Article
Full-text available
When people look online for information about humanitarian crises, they increasingly encounter media content that blurs the line between reality and fiction. This includes everything from rumour and exaggeration to partisan journalism and completely invented stories designed to look like real news (so-called ‘fake news’). This article shows that disinformation is causing real and serious harm to those affected by humanitarian emergencies; it can undermine the ability of humanitarian workers to provide relief; and it has exacerbated conflict and violence. Disinformation is also making it harder for journalists to report on the humanitarian sector, and hold the powerful to account, because it undermines audience trust in information more generally. The article concludes by considering interventions that could address the challenges of disinformation. It argues for more support of quality journalism about humanitarian crises, as well as media literacy training. Finally, it is crucial that aid agencies and news outlets commit to accuracy and fact checking in their reporting and campaigning.
Article
Full-text available
Abstract Crowdsourced mapping has become an integral part of humanitarian response, with high profile deployments of platforms following the Haiti and Nepal earthquakes, and the multiple projects initiated during the Ebola outbreak in North West Africa in 2014, being prominent examples. There have also been hundreds of deployments of crowdsourced mapping projects across the globe that did not have a high profile. This paper, through an analysis of 51 mapping deployments between 2010 and 2016, complimented with expert interviews, seeks to explore the organisational structures that create the conditions for effective mapping actions, and the relationship between the commissioning body, often a non-governmental organisation (NGO) and the volunteers who regularly make up the team charged with producing the map. The research suggests that there are three distinct areas that need to be improved in order to provide appropriate assistance through mapping in humanitarian crisis: regionalise, prepare and research. The paper concludes, based on the case studies, how each of these areas can be handled more effectively, concluding that failure to implement one area sufficiently can lead to overall project failure.
Article
Public opinion is shaped in significant part by online content, spread via social media and curated algorithmically. The current online ecosystem has been designed predominantly to capture user attention rather than to promote deliberate cognition and autonomous choice; information overload, finely tuned personalization and distorted social cues, in turn, pave the way for manipulation and the spread of false information. How can transparency and autonomy be promoted instead, thus fostering the positive potential of the web? Effective web governance informed by behavioural research is critically needed to empower individuals online. We identify technologically available yet largely untapped cues that can be harnessed to indicate the epistemic quality of online content, the factors underlying algorithmic decisions and the degree of consensus in online debates. We then map out two classes of behavioural interventions—nudging and boosting— that enlist these cues to redesign online environments for informed and autonomous choice.
Article
The wisdom of the crowd refers to the finding that judgments aggregated over individuals are typically more accurate than the average individual’s judgment. Here, we examine the potential for improving crowd judgments by allowing individuals to choose which of a set of queries to respond to. If individuals’ metacognitive assessments of what they know is accurate, allowing individuals to opt in to questions of interest or expertise has the potential to create a more informed knowledge base over which to aggregate. This prediction was confirmed: crowds composed of volunteered judgments were more accurate than crowds composed of forced judgments. Overall, allowing individuals to use private metacognitive knowledge holds much promise in enhancing judgments, including those of the crowd.
Book
Game theory, the formalized study of strategy, began in the 1940s by asking how emotionless geniuses should play games, but ignored until recently how average people with emotions and limited foresight actually play games. This book marks the first substantial and authoritative effort to close this gap. Colin Camerer, one of the field's leading figures, uses psychological principles and hundreds of experiments to develop mathematical theories of reciprocity, limited strategizing, and learning, which help predict what real people and companies do in strategic situations. Unifying a wealth of information from ongoing studies in strategic behavior, he takes the experimental science of behavioral economics a major step forward. He does so in lucid, friendly prose. Behavioral game theory has three ingredients that come clearly into focus in this book: mathematical theories of how moral obligation and vengeance affect the way people bargain and trust each other; a theory of how limits in the brain constrain the number of steps of "I think he thinks . . ." reasoning people naturally do; and a theory of how people learn from experience to make better strategic decisions. Strategic interactions that can be explained by behavioral game theory include bargaining, games of bluffing as in sports and poker, strikes, how conventions help coordinate a joint activity, price competition and patent races, and building up reputations for trustworthiness or ruthlessness in business or life.