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© 2021 East/West: Journal of Ukrainian Studies (ewjus.com) ISSN 2292-7956
Volume VIII, No. 2 (2021) DOI: https://doi.org/10.21226/ewjus561
Turning Crisis into Opportunity: Unfolding
Ukraine’s Trade Potential with the Canada-
Ukraine Free Trade Agreement
1
Iryna Bogdanova
University of Bern
Abstract: To offset the devastating effects of the trade war waged by the Russian
Federation, Ukraine has undertaken laudable efforts since 2014 to negotiate new
trade agreements with other states. Against this background, the negotiations of the
Canada-Ukraine Free Trade Agreement were finalized and the agreement came into
force on 1 August 2017. This article explores the positive impact of this agreement
on bilateral trade flow between the states and describes its potential contribution to
unfolding Ukraine’s trade potential.
Keywords: Ukraine, Canada, trade, CUFTA, technical assistance.
INTRODUCTION
Canada has traditionally been one of the main strategic partners of
Ukraine. The recently signed Canada-Ukraine Free Trade Agreement
(CUFTA) reinforces the existing political and economic co-operation
between the countries. The agreement was signed and brought into force
against the background of a trade war waged by the Russian Federation
against Ukraine, an event that expedited the latter’s search for alternative
long-term trading partners. This article reviews Ukraine’s participation in
international trade and analyzes trade relations between Ukraine and
Canada against this backdrop. Potential implications of the recently signed
1
I am indebted to Alexander MacLaren for his insights on the negotiations of the
Canada-Ukraine Free Trade Agreement and to Mary-Catherine Speirs, Richard
Tarasofsky, Wafa Raslan, Peter Kapach, and Isabella Price for their valuable
comments on the implementation of the agreement for trade co-operation between
Canada and Ukraine. I thank Petro Petrenko from the Embassy of Ukraine in Canada
for providing information on trade relations between the countries. I am also grateful
to Dr. Zaker Ahmad for his valuable comments on earlier drafts. Finally, thanks are
due to the three anonymous reviewers. This research was made possible by financial
support provided by the Canadian Institute of Ukrainian Studies, University of
Alberta. In particular, I was honoured to receive the Kolasky Visiting Research
Fellowship. All errors that remain are my sole responsibility.
Iryna Bogdanova
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CUFTA on bilateral trade flows and on domestic reforms in Ukraine are
examined. The working hypothesis of this article is that the CUFTA would
marginally improve bilateral trade flow between the countries. However, it
might have a positive impact on domestic reforms in Ukraine, including
alignment of standards to curtail non-tariff barriers, lowering of trade costs
by reducing red tape, and preservation of environmental and labour
standards.
METHODOLOGY
This article employs the method of historical analysis to examine Ukraine’s
participation in international trade and to describe the unfolding of the trade
war between Ukraine and the Russian Federation. In addition, the method of
doctrinal (“black letter”) research is used to review the substantive
provisions of the CUFTA and their potential contributions to an
improvement in the regulatory environment in Ukraine. Furthermore,
secondary data analysis is applied in several parts of this paper. For example,
the available literature on the impact of the CUFTA on trade relations
between Ukraine and Canada is briefly summarized. To guide the analysis, a
number of interviews were conducted with Canadian government officials
responsible for the trade co-operation between Ukraine and Canada.
I. UKRAINE’S INTERNATIONAL TRADE RELATIONS
Before 2014 Ukraine was heavily dependent on trade with the Russian
Federation. Geographical proximity, lack of alternative sources of energy, as
well as similar standards, technical regulations, and associated conformity
assessment procedures were factors that determined this dependence. The
Revolution of Dignity in 2013-14 fundamentally turned Ukraine’s foreign
policy toward closer co-operation with the European Union (EU), resulting
in a military and diplomatic conflict with the Russian Federation. Access to
new markets and export-led growth compelled Ukraine to develop and
implement a new international trade policy, as outlined below.
1. UKRAINE’S PARTICIPATION IN INTERNATIONAL TRADE
After the breakup of the Soviet Union in 1991, Ukraine declared its
independence. Since then, Ukraine has maintained trade relations with both
the former Soviet republics and other trading partners. Trade relations with
Turning Crisis into Opportunity
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Volume VIII, No. 2 (2021)
153
the post-Soviet states are regulated by either bilateral agreements
2
or by
Ukraine’s participation in various economic integration projects under the
aegis of the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS).
3
The main
principles of relations between Ukraine and the European Union (EU) were
agreed upon in 1994 and enshrined in the Partnership and Cooperation
Agreement between the European Communities and Ukraine that came into
force in 1998 (Partnership and Cooperation Agreement). With the launch of
the European Neighbourhood Policy in 2004 and against the background of
Ukraine’s demands for closer co-operation with the EU, the negotiation of a
new association agreement was initiated in 2007 (Van der Loo and Van
Elsuwege 422).
In 2008, by acceding to the World Trade Organization (WTO), Ukraine
assumed numerous obligations under agreements that regulate trade in
goods and services and protection of intellectual property rights.
4
Ukraine
also submitted to an institutionalized system of interstate trade dispute
settlement.
5
In addition, Ukraine signed the Trade and Investment
Cooperation Agreement with the United States in 2008 and continued to
negotiate an Association Agreement with the EU that was finalized in 2011.
In parallel to negotiations with the EU, the Ukrainian government was
2
Ukraine signed bilateral free trade agreements with Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus,
Georgia, Kazakhstan, the Kyrgyz Republic, the Republic of Moldova, the Russian
Federation, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan.
3
The Commonwealth of Independent States was created in December 1991. In the
early 1990s, the participating countries negotiated a number of official documents,
which mainly focused on the development of stronger economic relations and the
facilitation of further economic integration between the former Soviet republics. For
example, CIS members signed a free trade agreement on 15 April 1994. Due to
numerous obstacles, the free trade agreement was not ratified by the signatories. In
1999, CIS members negotiated additional amendments to the free trade agreement
signed in 1994. From the early 2000s till 2009, CIS members adopted numerous
declarations and programs of co-operation. The CIS Free Trade Agreement was
signed in 2011 and came into force on 20 September 2012. Member countries are
Ukraine, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Armenia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, the
Russian Federation, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan.
4
A state can become a WTO member only after accepting the whole package of legal
agreements, including trade in services, trade-related intellectual property rights,
and various non-tariff measure agreements.
5
Ukraine, as a WTO member, is obligated to decide all disputes arising under the
WTO covered agreements in accordance with the provisions of the Understanding on
rules and procedures governing the settlement of disputes.
Iryna Bogdanova
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Volume VIII, No. 2 (2021)
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considering participation in Russian-led economic integration projects
6
(Dragneva and Wolczuk 689-93).
Until 2013, Ukraine cautiously balanced its economic integration
commitments to Russia with the desire to preserve its political
independence (Dragneva and Wolczuk 683-93; Svoboda 1688-93). The
reasons behind these policies were twofold: Ukraine’s strong dependence on
a supply of energy resources from Russia and the avoidance of commitments
that might threaten Ukraine’s sovereignty (Dragneva and Wolczuk 680).
Against this background, several studies were published discussing the
economic, legal, and political implications of Ukraine’s choice between the
two possible pathways—either closer economic integration with the EU or
further integration with the post-Soviet states through participation in
Russian-led economic integration endeavours. Some analyzed prospective
legal obligations under both integration plans and emphasized the
impossibility of pursuing both integration options (Van der Loo and Van
Elsuwege 443). Other surveys outlined the economic repercussions of both
integration options and concluded that closer economic co-operation with
the EU would be more beneficial to Ukraine (ECORYS; Institute for Economic
Research and Policy Consulting).
In late 2013 Ukraine was at a crossroads: the country had to choose
either closer economic and political integration with the EU or the Russian-
led Eurasian Customs Union (subsequently transformed into the Eurasian
Economic Union). While numerous economic studies emphasized the
benefits of deeper integration with the EU, the Ukrainian political leadership
was concerned with the short-term goals of securing access to cheap Russian
gas and preserving tariff-free access to the Russian market (Dragneva and
Wolczuk 692). Thus, the Ukrainian government suggested a middle ground
in the negotiations with Russia—a free trade agreement between Ukraine
and the members of the Eurasian Customs Union (Shumylo-Tapiola 20). This
offer was declined.
6
A Customs Union between Belarus, Kazakhstan, and Russia was established in
2011; it was programmed to evolve into a Single Economic Space (SES) in 2012 and,
ultimately, into the Eurasian Economic Union (EEU) by 2015. The Eurasian Economic
Union (EAEU) was created in 2015, initially by Russia, Belarus, and Kazakhstan, and
later joined by Armenia and Kyrgyzstan. The EAEU replaced the previous integration
initiatives—the Customs Union (2010-11) and the Single Economic Space (2012-
14)—that were in effect between the same states. The ambition behind this economic
integration was to move from the customs union toward further integration into a
single market with the “four freedoms”—goods, services, labour, and capital.
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2. DETERIORATING TRADE RELATIONS WITH THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION
In late 2013-early 2014, several events were unfolding with astonishing
speed. Ukrainian President Viktor Ianukovych made an infamous move to
postpone the signing of the Association Agreement between Ukraine and the
EU. This act was perceived as a shift toward closer economic co-operation
with the Russian Federation and, as a result, a partial loss of sovereignty.
Massive demonstrations in Ukraine were followed by the Russian
annexation of the Crimean Peninsula and a military conflict in the eastern
part of Ukraine. In the midst of the political and military turmoil, the bilateral
trade relations between Ukraine and the Russian Federation significantly
deteriorated. The Trade Policy Review Report prepared by the WTO in
March 2016 provides the following data: “Imports from the Russian
Federation fell from US$23.2 billion in 2013 to US$12.7 billion in 2014;
exports to the Russian Federation dropped from US$15.1 billion in 2013 to
US$9.8 billion in 2014” (15).
The decrease in bilateral trade was further augmented by economic
sanctions imposed by both sides. Some of these restrictive measures were
explicitly declared as economic sanctions,
7
while other restrictions were
hidden under a veil of sanitary/phytosanitary measures, technical
regulations, and customs procedures (Cenusa et al.; Svoboda 1695-98). For
example, in July 2013, the Russian Federal Service for Surveillance on
Consumer Rights Protection and Human Wellbeing (Rospotrebnadzor)
imposed a ban on the import of confectionery produced by the Ukrainian
Company Roshen
8
(Svoboda 1695). To exert additional pressure, in August
2013, when the Ukrainian president was still hesitant to sign the Association
Agreement with the EU, Russian customs officials started inspecting all
goods imported from Ukraine (Panin). This caused significant delays at the
border, and Ukrainian exporters incurred heavy losses (Olearchyk).
According to some estimations “around 1,000 Ukrainian trucks and railway
wagons remained backed up on the Russian-Ukrainian border” (Svoboda
1696).
7
In the midst of the military tension between the countries, both countries
introduced special laws to regulate (i) the imposition of unilateral economic
sanctions, (ii) the circumstances that justify such measures, and (iii) the forms that
such measures might take. Ukrainian law regarding sanctions—№ 1644-VII—is
effective from 14 August 2014. The Russian law regarding “measures of reaction
(counteraction) against unfriendly actions of the United States of America and (or)
other foreign states”—№441399-7—was adopted in May 2018.
8
This company is owned by Petro Poroshenko, who was actively engaged in
Ukrainian politics, including during the time of the Revolution of Dignity, and
subsequently became a Ukrainian president.
Iryna Bogdanova
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Volume VIII, No. 2 (2021)
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Another illustrative example was the suspension of conformity
assessment certificates that had been issued to Ukrainian producers of
railway equipment from late 2013 (Cenusa et al. 2). This suspension was
followed by a refusal to issue new certificates after the Ukrainian exporters
filed new applications (WTO, Russia—Measures Affecting the Importation).
Ukraine filed a complaint with the WTO, questioning the legality of such
actions.
9
Yet the matter did not rest there. After Ukraine and the EU signed the
Association Agreement and started to apply it provisionally in January 2016,
Russia suspended the CIS Free Trade Agreement with respect to Ukraine
(“Russia Suspends”; “EC Says”). According to the Russian president, this
decision was justified because the economic interests of the Russian
Federation might be potentially threatened by an influx of cheap goods that
originated in the EU.
10
Moreover, starting from January 2016, Ukraine was
added to the Russian blacklist of countries subject to an import ban on
certain food and agricultural products (Resolution of the Government) and
severe transit restrictions applied not only to goods originating in Ukraine
but also to goods that were transported through its territory (Decree of the
President of the Russian Federation). Ukraine retaliated in kind and
prohibited imports from Russia (Oliphant). The Ukrainian import ban covers
various categories of goods originating from the Russian Federation
(Kabinet Ministriv Ukrainy, Postanova vid 30 hrudnia 2015).
The remaining trade between Ukraine and the Russian Federation
exemplifies Ukraine’s strong dependence on a supply of energy resources,
coal, and nuclear fuel from Russia (Antonenko et al.). Furthermore, the
increased dependence on coal from Russia reflects economic implications of
the conflict in the east of Ukraine, a region that traditionally supplied coal to
other parts of the country. However, Ukraine has diversified its supplies of
energy resources and nuclear fuel since 2014 (Antonenko et al.).
Ukraine and Russia both questioned the legality of each other’s trade-
restrictive measures before the WTO. There were five such trade disputes.
Two of these disputes were terminated at the stage of consultations.
11
In the
9
Both the WTO panel and the Appellate Body concluded that the Russian Federation
breached its obligations under WTO law.
10
Annex 6 of the CIS FTA allows a party to revert to less favourable tariffs if another
party concluded an agreement with a third party that resulted in higher volumes of
imports to an extent that caused harm or danger of harm to the industry.
11
DS525: Ukraine—Measures relating to Trade in Goods and Services (the Russian
Federation filed a request for consultations to discuss various trade-restrictive
measures introduced by Ukraine; this request was not followed by the formal
initiation of a dispute); DS532: Russia—Measures Concerning the Importation and
Transit of Certain Ukrainian Products (Ukraine submitted a request for consultations
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dispute wherein Ukraine questioned the legality of conformity assessment
procedures applicable to Ukrainian suppliers of rolling stock, railroad
switches, and other railroad equipment, some of the measures undertaken
by the Russian Federation were acknowledged to be inconsistent with WTO
law (WTO, Appellate Body Report, Russia). In the remaining two disputes
Ukraine was not successful. In the dispute initiated by Russia, both the panel
and the Appellate Body found that Ukraine had violated some of its WTO
commitments
12
(WTO, Appellate Body Report, Ukraine). In the dispute filed
by Ukraine, the panel ruled that Russian restrictions on transit were justified
on national security grounds
13
(Bogdanova).
3. UKRAINE’S TRADE POLICY SINCE 2014
The current state of Ukraine’s international trade reflects the long-term
absence of structural economic reforms. According to the World Bank
report, the following negative trends have dominated Ukrainian trade
relations:
• Primary goods comprised over 80 percent of total exports on
average over the last 10 years; as a result, exports have fluctuated
considerably in line with the volatility in global commodity prices
(World Bank, Ukraine—Systematic Country Diagnostic 17);
• Ukraine has made limited progress in diversifying its export base
and enhancing the sophistication of its exports (World Bank,
Ukraine—Systematic Country Diagnostic 18);
• The distribution of output and exports across oblasts
(administrative regions in Ukraine) suggests that Ukraine has not
made sufficient progress in moving beyond commodity exports and
leveraging its other comparative advantages (World Bank,
Ukraine—Systematic Country Diagnostic 19).
with respect to measures concerning trade in juice products, beer, beer-based
beverages, and other alcoholic beverages, confectionary products, wallpaper, and
similar wall coverings from Ukraine; this request was not followed by the formal
initiation of a dispute).
12
Both the WTO panel and the Appellate Body found that Ukraine breached a number
of substantive and procedural obligations under the WTO Anti‑Dumping Agreement.
13
DS512: Russia—Measures Concerning Traffic in Transit (a dispute initiated by
Ukraine to question restrictions on transit; the WTO panel found that these
restrictions breach WTO obligations, yet they were justified on national security
grounds because of a situation of “emergency in international relations” between
both states).
Iryna Bogdanova
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Since 2012 Ukraine’s exports of iron and steel, which have traditionally
been Ukraine’s main export products, have declined (WTO, Trade Policy
Review Body, Trade Policy Review of Ukraine, Report 15). On the other hand,
exports of agricultural products have been booming, in particular, grains and
oilseeds (WTO, Trade Policy Review Body, Trade Policy Review of Ukraine,
Report 15).
In 2012-18, Ukrainian exports of railway and tramway locomotives,
nuclear reactors, boilers and machinery, mineral fuels and oils, articles of
iron and steel, and fertilizers have significantly decreased (Table 1).
Table 1. Top 10 categories of Ukrainian exports in 2012 and 2018.
(Source: Dabrowski et al.)
Exports
Trade ($mlns) 2012
Trade ($mlns) 2018
Iron and steel
15,328
9,937
Cereals
6,971
7,241
Animal or
vegetable fats
and oils
4,171
4,497
Railway and
tramway
locomotives
4,107
253
Nuclear
reactors, boilers,
and machinery
3,787
1,724
Mineral fuels
and oils
3,640
861
Ores, slag, and
ash
3,306
3,035
Electric
machinery and
equipment
3,231
2,930
Articles of iron
and steel
2,837
1,110
Fertilizers
1,786
70
Since 2013, Ukraine’s trade patterns have changed drastically: both imports
from and exports to the Russian Federation decreased, whereas trade with
the EU intensified. Graph 1 and Graph 2 illustrate these trade patterns.
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Volume VIII, No. 2 (2021)
159
Graph 1. Ukraine exports of goods by destination, 2013-18 (based on
data from the World Bank World Integrated Trade Solution [WITS]).
Graph 2. Ukraine imports of goods by origin, 2013-18 (based on data
from the World Bank World Integrated Trade Solution [WITS]).
0.0
5000.0
10000.0
15000.0
20000.0
25000.0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
European Union (EU-28) Russian Federation
China India
Turkey
0.0
5000.0
10000.0
15000.0
20000.0
25000.0
30000.0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
European Union (EU-28) Russian Federation
China India
Turkey
Iryna Bogdanova
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Starting from 2014, Ukraine has been implementing a trade policy based
on the following premises: reap the benefits of the Association Agreement
with the EU,
14
negotiate new free trade agreements with other states in
order to secure preferential market access,
15
accede to new WTO
agreements,
16
and defend Ukrainian interests in trade disputes with the
Russian Federation at the WTO.
17
In 2014 Ukraine established an Office of
Trade Representative; the trade representative is appointed by the highest
executive body in Ukraine—the Cabinet of Ministers (Kabinet Ministriv
Ukrainy, Postanova vid 16 zhovtnia 2014).
Export-led growth, a regulatory environment conducive to trade
facilitation, and more active participation in global value chains are areas of
significant importance in improving Ukraine’s terms of trade (Hoekman et
al.). In a similar vein, the World Bank recommends that quality and
standards be strengthened and harmonized to tap into the potential of
international trade agreements (World Bank, Ukraine—Systematic Country
Diagnostic 11).
Against this background, the reorientation of exports is a core priority
for Ukraine (Sardak et al.). Specifically, the country should improve its trade
relations with the EU and with other major economies (Sardak et al.). This
objective was reflected in the Export Strategy of Ukraine, 2017-21, and was
reinforced by the creation of the Export Promotion office in 2018.
To enable Ukraine’s participation in global value chains, priority should
be given to the alignment of standards, technical regulations, and associated
conformity assessment procedures, in addition to improvements in the
regulatory environment. Hence, it is important to analyze the potential of the
14
The Association Agreement with the EU entails not only lowering the tariff barriers
in trade between Ukraine and the EU, it also aligns Ukraine’s technical regulations
and standards with those of the EU. Furthermore, Ukraine is committed to
implementing the EU's acquis communautaire.
15
The Israel-Ukraine Free Trade Area Agreement was concluded on 21 January 2019
and is expected to come into force in 2021 (“Netanyahu: Israel to Complete
Ratification”). Ukraine and Turkey are at the final stage of concluding a bilateral Free
Trade Agreement (“Negotiations on FTA”). Ukraine and the United Kingdom signed
the Political, Free Trade and Strategic Partnership Agreement in October 2020. This
agreement delivers the same level of liberalization in trade, services, and public
procurement that was agreed upon under the existing EU-Ukraine Association
Agreement (“UK and Ukraine”). Some Ukrainian scholars argue that this
development could increase Ukrainian exports (Shvorak).
16
Ukraine joined the WTO Trade Facilitation Agreement in 2015 and the plurilateral
Agreement on Government Procurement in 2016.
17
For more details on trade disputes between Ukraine and Russia and their
outcomes, see the subsection “Deteriorating Trade Relations with the Russian
Federation.”
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recently signed Canada-Ukraine Free Trade Agreement (CUFTA) in light of
the foregoing prescriptions for exports and trade relations and particularly
in view of the fact that despite strong diplomatic relations with Canada and
numerous, politically active Ukrainian diaspora in Canada, Ukraine trades
below its potential with Canada (Ministry of Economy of Ukraine). In section
III, the extents to which the CUFTA is conducive toward redirecting
Ukrainian exports to Canada and improving the regulatory environment in
Ukraine are examined.
II. TRADE RELATIONS BETWEEN UKRAINE AND CANADA
1. HISTORICAL BACKGROUND
In the late nineteenth century, Ukrainian immigrants, mostly from the
western part of the country, began to settle in Canada. Before the outbreak
of World War I, more than 170,000 Ukrainians had arrived in Canada
(Luciuk, Searching for Place 11). At that time the Canadian government
supported policies conducive to the promotion of such immigration. The
rationale behind those policies was well captured by Lubomyr Luciuk:
“Ukrainians and other Slavic immigrants were allowed in only because they
were deemed essential for populating Canada’s Northwest, to keep it from
remaining ‘sterile and unproductive for centuries to come’” (Searching for
Place 15).
During World War I, many Canadian settlers of Ukrainian descent were
incarcerated because they were former citizens of the Austro-Hungarian
Empire, i.e., “enemy aliens” (Luciuk, Searching for Place 16-25). Even after
the war, Ukrainian Canadians were treated in an unjust manner.
18
Despite
these injustices, failed attempts to establish an independent state (known as
18
“Those released, either during the war or just after, were never compensated for
the indignities they had suffered as internees, for the injustice of their incarceration,
for the lost years of their lives, or for their labour; nor were they refunded funds that
had been taken from them upon their arrest, wealth administered by the Custodian
of Enemy Alien Properties, some of which remains in Ottawa’s coffers to this day”
(Luciuk, Searching for Place 22).
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the Ukrainian War of Independence of 1917-21)
19
and World War II
20
sparked new waves of Ukrainian immigration to Canada.
Canadians of Ukrainian ancestry constitute more than 1.3 million of
present-day Canadians (Statistics Canada). It is no surprise that Canada was
the first country to officially recognize Ukraine as an independent state in
1991 (McDougall). Ukraine’s independence marked a new period of bilateral
co-operation between the countries (Kordan). It must be noted that Canada
was one of the first countries that responded to ongoing tensions between
Ukraine and the Russian Federation by imposing unilateral economic
sanctions against the latter (Government of Canada, “Canadian Sanctions”).
21
Furthermore, since 2014 Canada has provided assistance programs worth
more than 785 million Canadian dollars to Ukraine (Government of Canada,
“Canada’s Engagement”).
2. CANADA-UKRAINE FREE TRADE AGREEMENT: GENERAL OVERVIEW
The CUFTA was signed on 11 July 2016 and came into force on 1 August
2017.
22
The agreement consists of nineteen chapters and annexes. The
CUFTA covers trade in goods. Although new commitments for trade in
services were not negotiated, a review clause was incorporated in the
agreement, allowing parties to negotiate new rules for cross-border trade in
financial services, investment, telecommunications, temporary entry, and
other areas of interest to the parties (Government of Canada, CUFTA,
23
article 19.2). This clause allows parties to negotiate new commitments
within two years of the CUFTA’s entry into force. Although this time has
19
Dzyra mentions that the reasons behind such migration were diverse: economic,
social, and political. Myron Gulka-Tiechko assessed the impact of Canadian migration
policies, in particular, the Railways Agreement, on the economically-driven
migration from Ukraine in the interwar period.
20
Lubomyr Luciuk observed that “some 35,000-40,000 Ukrainian refugees would
relocate in Canada” (“Unintended Consequences in Refugee Resettlement”).
21
On 17 March 2014, the Special Economic Measures (Russia) Regulations came into
force. The Regulations were amended several times. The sanctions included an asset
freeze and a prohibition of dealings with designated individuals and entities;
restrictions on certain sectors, such as the financial and energy sectors; prohibition
of the export, sale, supply or shipping of certain (listed) goods to Russia or to any
person in Russia for their use in offshore oil (at a depth greater than 500 m), shale
oil, or Arctic oil exploration and production.
22
The negotiations between Canada and Ukraine were launched in 2010. After six
rounds of negotiations, they were concluded in July 2015.
23
All subsequent references will be cited as CUFTA.
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lapsed, each signatory has expressed a desire to initiate a new round of
negotiations to liberalize trade in services and to promote investment. In
July, 2019, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and Ukrainian President
Volodymyr Zelens'kyi agreed to expand and modernize the CUFTA, and in
February 2020, Canada launched public consultations to this end (“Minister
Ng”). It is expected that future negotiations will liberalize investment, trade
in services and e-commerce, and temporary entry of persons, and promote
inclusive trade (“Consulting Canadians”).
When Ukraine joined the WTO in 2008, it had to liberalize its trade in
services more than the original members, such as Canada. In fact, Ukraine
undertook commitments in all the services sectors.
24
As a result, the country
has little to offer in terms of additional market access in services. This adds
to the disparity in bargaining powers between Ukraine and Canada. This
being said, the reforms announced by the new Ukrainian government are
expected to create new investment opportunities for Canada. For example,
privatization of Ukrainian state-owned enterprises is in process, with the
vested interests of rent-seeking elites being the major stumbling block
(Dabrowski et al.). Despite this opposition, the need for a post-Covid-19
economic recovery might inspire the Ukrainian government to accelerate
privatization. In view of this, new standards of investment protection that
might be potentially agreed upon by Ukraine and Canada can serve as
additional guarantees for Canadian investors and might encourage them to
invest in Ukraine.
25
The CUFTA prescribes asymmetrical tariff elimination commitments.
Thus, 98.1% of Canada’s goods became duty-free immediately, sixteen tariff
lines will become duty-free in 2024, and the remaining 111 tariff lines
(1.5%) will remain dutiable (WTO, Committee on Regional Trade
Agreements, Free Trade Agreement between Canada and Ukraine 9). Canada
excluded sensitive goods such as dairy, poultry, and eggs from its tariff
commitments.
26
For its part, Ukraine committed to a gradual tariff
elimination by 2024. Upon the CUFTA’s entry into force, 72.6% of Ukraine’s
24
The WTO Secretariat classification of services sectors is comprised of twelve
sectors and according to its accession documents, Ukraine undertook commitments
in all services sectors (WTO, Working Party on the Accession of Ukraine).
25
In 1994, Ukraine and Canada signed the Agreement between the Government of
Canada and the Government of Ukraine for the Promotion and Protection of
Investments, which came into force in 1995. This bilateral treaty prescribes a
number of obligations to protect investments; such obligations comprise the most-
favoured-nation (MFN) and national treatment clauses, fair and equitable treatment,
and the prohibition of expropriation.
26
Canada has implemented a supply management system for dairy, poultry, and eggs,
and avoids trade commitments for these products.
Iryna Bogdanova
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goods became duty-free; the rest of the tariffs will be gradually eliminated
(WTO, Committee on Regional Trade Agreements, Free Trade Agreement
between Canada and Ukraine 11). Duties will continue to be levied for 101
tariff lines (WTO, Committee on Regional Trade Agreements, Free Trade
Agreement between Canada and Ukraine 11). It is noteworthy that the tariffs
levied on the goods for which there are no tariff elimination commitments
are significantly different in each country. In Canada, average tariffs range
between 218% and 228.9%, while in Ukraine they vary between 7.8% and
45.5% (WTO, Committee on Regional Trade Agreements, Free Trade
Agreement between Canada and Ukraine 10, 12). The CUFTA does not contain
Trade and Gender chapter as do other agreements recently signed by
Canada.
27
The substantive obligations of the CUFTA can be classified into three
categories: obligations that reinforce WTO commitments, WTO-minus
obligations (provisions that allow to deviate from standard WTO rules), and
WTO-plus obligations (obligations that expand existing WTO commitments).
The agreement stipulates that in the event of an inconsistency between the
agreement between Canada and Ukraine and the WTO agreements, the
agreement between Canada and Ukraine prevails, except otherwise
explicitly provided in the CUFTA (CUFTA; article 1.2).
Table 2. Substantive provisions of the CUFTA.
Obligations that reinforce WTO commitments.
Article
2.3
National treatment in accordance with Article III of the General
Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) 1994.
Article
2.5
Prohibition of Quantitative Restrictions enshrined in Article XI of
the GATT 1994 is incorporated, with some exceptions.
Article
2.6
Article VIII of the GATT 1994 is incorporated.
Article
2.7
Balance-of-Payments rules are incorporated (the conditions
established under the GATT 1994, the Understanding on the
Balance-of-Payments Provisions of the GATT 1994, and the
Declaration on Trade Measures Taken for Balance of Payments
Purposes).
27
In its recent Trade Policy Review of Canada, the WTO pointed out: “Canada showed
leadership by expanding its internal impact assessment process to include labour
and gender, and by incorporating Trade and Gender chapters in its new or revised
FTAs” (9).
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Articles
2.8, 4.4
The Customs Valuation Agreement governs the customs valuation
rules.
Article
2.9
Parties may apply export duties in accordance with their rights and
obligations under WTO law.
Article
5.2
The rights of the parties under Article XIX of the GATT 1994 and the
Agreement on Safeguards are explicitly acknowledged.
Furthermore, disputes with respect to those matters are excluded
from the dispute settlement mechanism prescribed by the
agreement. Special bilateral emergency actions are also permitted
(as discussed in WTO-plus obligations).
Article
5.8
Anti-dumping and countervailing measures apply in accordance
with Article VI of the GATT 1994, the Anti-Dumping Agreement, and
the Agreement on Subsidies and Countervailing Measures (SCM
Agreement). Disputes with respect to those matters are excluded
from the dispute settlement mechanism prescribed by the
agreement.
Article
6.1
The Parties affirm their rights and obligations under the WTO
Agreement on the Application of Sanitary and Phytosanitary
Measures (SPS Agreement). Furthermore, the Parties shall use WTO
dispute settlement procedures for formal disputes regarding SPS
measures.
Article
7.2
The WTO Agreement on Technical Barriers to Trade, excluding
Articles 10 through 12 (information and assistance), Article 13,
some of Article 14 (institutions, consultations, dispute settlement),
and Article 15 (final provisions) is incorporated.
Chapter
10
The parties’ commitments on government procurement replicate, to
a large extent, those made under the revised Government
Procurement Agreement, in which both parties participate.
Article
11.2
The Parties affirm their rights and obligations under the WTO
Agreement on Trade-Related Aspects of Intellectual Property
Rights. Additional commitments prescribed by this chapter are
discussed in WTO-plus obligations.
Articles
18.2,
18.3
Article XX of the GATT 1994 is incorporated for the purposes of
Chapters 2 (national treatment and market access), 3 (rules of origin
and origin procedures), 4 (trade facilitation), 5 (safeguard
measures), 6 (SPS measures), 7 (technical barriers to trade [TBT]),
and 8 (electronic commerce). A national security exception similar
to Article XXI of the GATT 1994 is also incorporated.
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WTO-minus obligations: commitments that allow measures that would
be WTO-inconsistent otherwise.
Article 1.3
Obligations under Multilateral Environment Agreements prevail
over the relevant trade commitments under this agreement and if
“the measure taken is necessary to comply with that obligation,
and is not applied in a manner that would constitute, where the
same conditions prevail, arbitrary or unjustifiable discrimination
or a disguised restriction on international trade.” The list of such
Multilateral Environment Agreements is incorporated in Annex 1-
A.
Article 2.3,
Annex 2-A
The national treatment obligation does not apply to measures set
out in Annex 2-A. Annex 2-A contains a list of Canadian measures;
for example, the use of ships in the coasting trade of Canada and
the internal sale and distribution of wine and distilled spirits.
Article 2.5,
Annex 2-A
Additional exceptions to the rules on import and export
restrictions. These rules do not apply to a measure set out in
Annex 2-A. Exceptions to the prohibition on export restrictions,
listed in Annex 2-A, include measures in respect of exports of logs
of all species and exports of unprocessed fish.
WTO-plus obligations: commitments that impose either more
stringent requirements on a party or cover additional areas that are
not covered by the WTO agreements.
Article 2.10
Prohibition of agricultural export subsidies; such prohibition
applies to export subsidies on an agricultural good that is
exported or incorporated in a product that is exported, to the
territory of the other party after the other party has, immediately
or after the transition period, fully eliminated the tariff on that
agricultural good in accordance with Annex 2-B.
Article 2.11
Parties lifted their right to rely upon special safeguards on
agricultural goods (Article V of the WTO Agreement on
Agriculture) for goods that are subject to tariff elimination
according to their commitments under the agreement.
Chapter 3
Detailed disciplines on the rules of origin and origin procedures.
Chapter 4
Trade facilitation Chapter: some of the commitments go beyond
the provisions of the WTO Agreement on Trade Facilitation.
Articles
5.3-5.7
Bilateral emergency actions (i.e., bilateral safeguards): the parties
can suspend the reduction of a tariff or alternatively impose a
higher tariff if certain preconditions are met. Such measures may
be imposed only during the transition period.
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Articles
6.3-6.4
Additional cooperation on SPS matters: the parties designate
sanitary and phytosanitary contact points to facilitate
communication and agree to resolve SPS issues expeditiously
through discussion between regulatory officials.
Articles
7.6-7.8
In the technical barriers to trade (TBT) Chapter, the parties agree
to cooperate on conformity assessment and to recognize
conformity assessment bodies located in the territory of the other
party under certain conditions. Moreover, each party shall accept
the results of conformity assessment procedures conducted by
conformity assessment bodies located in the other party's
territory, which have been recognized by the other party, under
conditions no less favourable than those applied to the acceptance
of the results of conformity assessment procedures conducted by
recognized conformity assessment bodies in its territory. The
parties should designate contact points to facilitate
communication.
Article 8.2
The Chapter on electronic commerce has only one substantive
obligation: “a party shall not apply a customs duty, fee or charge
on a product delivered electronically.”
Chapter 9
The Chapter on competition policy, monopoly, and state
enterprises prescribes that the parties agree to adopt or maintain
measures to proscribe anticompetitive business conduct and take
appropriate actions with respect to such conduct; stipulates rules
on the functioning of a privately owned monopoly and a
government monopoly; obligates the parties to ensure that a state
enterprise it maintains or establishes acts in a manner that is not
inconsistent with the party’s obligations under the CUFTA when
it exercises delegated governmental authority.
Chapter 11
The Chapter on intellectual property contains additional
obligations. For example, parties agree to protect geographical
indications (GIs) of wines and spirits originating in the territory
of the other party. The Chapter contains specific provisions on
requirements related to border measures, criminal procedures,
and penalties, in particular in connection with unauthorized
copying of a cinematographic work from a performance in a
movie theatre (camcording) or with copyright infringement on
the Internet or other digital networks. Contact points to facilitate
communications on intellectual property should be designated.
Chapter 12
The Chapter on the environment.
Chapter 13
The Chapter on labour.
Chapter 14
The transparency Chapter consists of two subchapters: Section A
prescribes rules for publication, notification, and administration
of laws; Section B obligates the parties to tackle corruption.
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III. THE POTENTIAL OF THE CUFTA TO UNLEASH UKRAINE’S TRADE CAPACITY
The CUFTA can make a positive contribution to the growth of Ukraine’s trade
potential by increasing bilateral trade flow. Additionally, the CUFTA might
also promote Ukrainian domestic reforms. Both effects are considered in the
subsequent analysis.
1. IMPACT OF THE CUFTA ON EXISTING TRADE RELATIONS BETWEEN UKRAINE AND
CANADA
The elimination of tariffs by Canada could increase existing Ukrainian
exports by 3.5%; furthermore, the reduction of tariff barriers enables new
categories of goods to be exported from Ukraine to Canada (Ministerstvo
ekonomichnoho rozvytku i torhivli Ukrainy, Uhoda pro vil'nu torhivliu 16).
Data from Canada indicate that bilateral trade between the states increased
from $278 million in 2015 to $346 million in 2018 (“Minister Ng”). A gravity
model developed by researchers in the Kyiv School of Economics estimates
that the CUFTA increased total Ukrainian exports to Canada by 6.5% from
2016 to 2018 (Hamaniuk et al. 28). The impact of the CUFTA on Canadian
exports is more nuanced: the gravity model does not predict a significant
effect on the dynamics of Canadian exports to Ukraine; however, some
categories of Canadian goods benefitted from this new agreement, e.g., fish
(HS03), pharmaceutical products (HS30), electrical machinery (HS85)
(Hamaniuk et al. 28). As the effect of bilateral free trade agreements is
observed over time, benefits to Canadian exports might be observed in the
future (Hamaniuk et al. 29).
After the CUFTA came into force on 1 August 2017, Ukrainian exports to
Canada increased (Graph 3). However, Ukrainian exports have been growing
in general, including exports to Canada (Graph 4). Thus, the observed growth
in exports can be explained by economic recovery as well as by the
preferential market access granted under the CUFTA.
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Graph 3. Ukrainian exports to and imports from Canada, 2010-19
(based on data provided by the State Statistics Service of Ukraine).
Graph 4. Ukrainian exports, 2010-18 (based on data from the World
Bank World Integrated Trade Solution [WITS]).
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
300000
350000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Exports from Ukraine, thousand dollars USD
Imports to Ukraine, thousand dollars USD
0.0
10000.0
20000.0
30000.0
40000.0
50000.0
60000.0
70000.0
80000.0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
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The impact of the CUFTA on bilateral trade relations between Ukraine
and Canada has been discussed by several scholars. Sidorov contends that
the positive contribution of the CUFTA to Ukraine’s economic prosperity
should be evaluated against the background of the Association Agreement
signed between the EU and Ukraine and the recently signed Comprehensive
Economic and Trade Agreement between Canada and the EU (CETA). In a
similar vein, Brovko points out the possibility of creating a Ukraine-EU-
Canada trade triangle, a point to which I return later in this subsection.
Vodop''ianova emphasizes that easier access to foreign markets, including
the Canadian market, might boost export-oriented development in Ukraine.
Her argument is that the Ukrainian domestic market is constrained by low
population and low purchasing power, while preferential access to other
markets might encourage Ukrainian producers to increase their production
(Vodop''ianova). A study by Serpukhov demonstrates a slight increase in
Ukraine’s exports to Canada which, according to the author, might be
attributed to the CUFTA. Yet, raw materials and semi-finished goods with
low added value dominate these exports (Serpukhov). Among the negative
repercussions of the CUFTA, scholars point out the potential increase in
Ukraine’s trade deficit with Canada, which has existed since 2007 (Zhurba).
A recent study noted that: “Ukraine’s exports to Canada have been
steadily growing and expanding much faster compared to other trade
partners—up by 70% in 2017, 55% in 2018 and 9.4% in 2019 vs Ukraine’s
total export growth up by 19% in 2017, 9.42% in 2018, and 5.8% in 2019”
(Hamaniuk et al. 17). Canadian exports also increased “from USD 90 million
in 2016 to USD 115 million in 2019 or by 28%”; however, decreasing coal
supplies from Canada resulted in a significant drop in Canadian exports in
2018-19 (Hamaniuk et al. 17-18). It was also reported that Ukraine’s export
of the following product groups expanded more in 2019 than in 2016: iron
and steel (HS72), copper and articles (HS74), preparations of vegetables
(HS20), machinery and mechanical appliances (HS84), vehicles (HS87)
(Hamaniuk et al. 7).
Research was conducted to identify groups of goods for which export to
Canada should be prioritized by Ukraine (Koval'ov et al., Vyznachennia).
Analysis therein focused on particular categories of goods belonging to
machine-building and food industries. The analysis revealed that 18
categories of goods have considerable potential to increase Ukrainian
exports to Canada (Table 3).
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Table 3. Prospective commodity items for the development of exports
to Canada (Koval'ov et al., Vyznachennia 7-9).
Code
Category of goods
0811
Fruits and nuts, raw or cooked, frozen
1517
Margarine
1704
Sugar confectionery without cocoa content
1806
Chocolate
1902
Yeast-free dough products; couscous
1905
Bakery products, rice paper
2001
Vegetables, cooked or canned with vinegar
2002
Tomatoes, cooked or canned without vinegar
2009
Fruit juices or vegetables, unfermented, without alcohol
2208
Ethyl alcohol, undenatured, less than 80% vol.
7322
Radiators for central heating, non-electric air heaters, made
with black metals
8432
Machines and agricultural, garden, or forestry equipment to
prepare or process soil; road rollers for sports playgrounds
8450
Washing machines
8474
Equipment to work with soil, stones, ores, and other mineral
materials
8516
Electric heating devices and apparatus; electric irons
8544
Wires isolated; cables and other isolated electric conductors;
fibre-optic cables
8545
Carbon electrodes, carbon brushes, carbon for lamps or
galvanic elements
8607
Parts of railway locomotives or tram motor cars or rolling
stock
Six groups of services (computer, research and development,
professional and consulting, scientific and technical, audio-visual and
related, cultural and recreational) were identified as bearing high export
potential (Koval'ov et al., Vyznachennia 13).
One more positive contribution of the CUFTA to unleashing Ukrainian
trade potential deserves attention. The Comprehensive Economic and Trade
Agreement negotiated between Canada and the EU (CETA) might be
beneficial for Ukraine. The EU-Ukraine Association Agreement, the CUFTA,
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and the CETA have each had a positive impact on Ukraine’s trade, in
particular on Ukraine’s participation in value chains (Koval'ov et al., Tovary
ukrains'koho eksportu). Specifically, 9 commodity items produced in
Ukraine—plastic articles for use in construction (3925), new pneumatic
tyres of rubber (4011), men’s or boys’ suits, overalls, and shorts (6203),
women’s or girls’ suits, dresses, and skirts (6204), refrigerators, freezers,
and heat pumps (8418), machine tools for working stone, ceramics,
concrete, asbestos cement or for cold working glass (8464), parts to rail
locomotives or motor tram cars or rolling stock (8607), apparatus based on
the use of X-rays, and apparatus based on the use of alpha, beta or gamma
radiation (9022), instruments for measuring electrical quantities and
instruments for measuring or detecting ionising radiations (9030)—with
the intermediary goods imported from the EU and then exported to Canada
can benefit from the reduced tariffs under the EU-Ukraine Association
Agreement and the CUFTA (Koval'ov et al., Tovary ukrains'koho eksportu 12-
13). 28 intermediary commodity items (Table 4) exported from Ukraine to
the EU and then exported to Canada as a component of EU-produced goods
benefit from the reduced tariffs (Koval'ov et al., Tovary ukrains'koho
eksportu 19-24). 5 commodity items produced in Ukraine—ammonia,
anhydrous or in aqueous solution (2814), sulphonated, nitrated or
nitrosated derivatives of hydrocarbons (2904), detonators, capsules, fuses,
fire-conducting cords (3603), parts of footwear, gaiters, leggings (6406),
yachts and other vessels for leisure or sports; rowing boats and canoes
(8903)—with the intermediary goods imported from Canada and then
exported to the EU enjoy the benefits of the preferential treatment granted
under these agreements (Koval'ov et al., Tovary ukrains'koho eksportu 29).
This assessment of existing trade patterns between Ukraine, the EU, and
Canada reveals positive contributions to the existing goods-producing value
chains. Additionally, closer trade co-operation between the EU and Canada
that entails an alignment of various standards (non-tariff measures) might
enable Ukrainian exporters to comply with either EU or Canadian standards,
acquiring preferential market access to both markets (Guitton and Martin).
Table 4. Intermediary goods from the value chain Ukraine-EU-Canada
that enjoy benefits under the EU-Ukraine Association Agreement and
the CETA (Koval'ov et al., Tovary ukrains'koho eksportu 19-24).
HS Code
Category of goods
2501
Salt and pure sodium chloride, sea water
2601
Iron ores and concentrates
2602
Manganese ores and concentrates
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Table 4 cont.
HS Code
Category of goods
2803
Carbon
2833
Sulphates; alums; peroxosulphates
2902
Cyclic hydrocarbons
2904
Sulphonated, nitrated or nitrosated derivatives of
hydrocarbons
2923
Quaternary ammonium salts and hydroxide; lecithins
3206
Other colouring matter (dye materials)
3823
Industrial fatty acids; acid oils; industrial fatty alcohols
4104
Tanned hides and skins of bovine or equine animals, but not
further prepared
4106
Tanned hides and skins of other animals, but not further
prepared
4107
Leather further prepared after tanning, skin of bovine or
equine animals
7201
Cast iron
7202
Ferroalloys
7206
Carbon steel
7207
Semi-finished products of carbon steel
7208
Flat-rolled products of non-alloy steel, of a width of 600 mm
or more, hot-rolled, not clad, plated or coated
7209
Flat-rolled products of non-alloy steel, of a width of 600 mm
or more, cold-rolled, not clad, plated or coated
7222
Other bars and rods of stainless steel; angles, shapes and
sections of stainless steel
7228
Other bars and rods of other alloy steel; hollow drill bars
and rods, of alloy or non-alloy steel
7507
Nickel tubes, pipes and tube or pipe fittings
7603
Aluminium powders and flakes
7801
Unwrought lead
8482
Ball or roller bearings
8517
Electrical apparatus for line telephony or line telegraphy;
Videophones
8544
Insulate wires, cables and other insulated electric
conductor; optical fibre cables
9401
Seats and parts thereof
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2. CONTRIBUTION OF THE CUFTA IN PROMOTING DOMESTIC REFORMS IN UKRAINE
To focus on trade in goods and services with high value-added content,
28
Ukraine’s economy would require significant structural changes. This is
viable only as a long-term strategy. At the moment, Ukraine can reap the
benefits of an abundance of skilled labour and relatively low wages. The
economic attractiveness of these factors is further enhanced by the
geographic proximity of the EU market and by the recently signed EU-
Ukraine Association Agreement. This agreement grants not only preferential
market access but also invites gradual alignment of standards and technical
regulations (WTO, Committee on Regional Trade Agreements, Deep and
Comprehensive Free Trade Area).
Furthermore, preferential access to the Canadian market might increase
Ukraine’s chances to promote itself as a potential participant in global value
chains. To follow this path, Ukraine should improve its infrastructure (such
as roads and railways), significantly reduce trade costs, and simplify
customs procedures.
2.1 Reduction of Trade Costs and Red Tape
Ukraine has high trade costs (Hoekman et al.). Furthermore, inefficient
customs procedures remain an impediment to developing Ukrainian exports
(Ministry of Economy of Ukraine 53). Additionally, Ukrainian customs
valuation procedures have been a substantial barrier to the country’s active
engagement in international trade. During a meeting of the Trade Policy
Review Body in April, 2016, several WTO members expressed concerns
about the application of customs valuation methods by Ukrainian customs
officials (WTO, Trade Policy Review Body, Trade Policy Review of Ukraine,
Minutes).
To illustrate the need for a reduction in trade costs and red tape, data
from the World Bank publication Doing Business 2020 are presented in Table
5. Documentary compliance is evidently burdensome to Ukrainian exporters
and importers.
28
Trade in primary commodities is particularly vulnerable to external factors, such
as world prices. Furthermore, Ukraine has had significant trade deficits since 2005,
and a heavy reliance on commodity trade makes the country sensitive to external
shocks.
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Table 5. Ukraine’s performance in the category “Trading across
Borders,” Doing Business 2020.
Indicator
Ukraine
Europe
and
Central
Asia
OECD
High
Income
Best
Regulatory
Performance
Time to export:
Border compliance
(hours)
6
16.1
12.7
1 (19
economies)
Cost to export:
Border compliance
(USD)
75
150.0
136.8
0 (19
economies)
Time to export:
Documentary
compliance (hours)
66
25.1
2.3
1 (26
economies)
Cost to export:
Documentary
compliance (USD)
192
87.6
33.4
0 (20
economies)
Time to import:
Border compliance
(hours)
32
20.4
8.5
1 (25
economies)
Cost to import:
Border compliance
(USD)
100
158.8
98.1
0 (28
economies)
Time to import:
Documentary
compliance (hours)
48
23.4
3.4
1 (30
economies)
Cost to import:
Documentary
compliance (USD)
162
85.9
23.5
0 (30
economies)
An in-depth analysis undertaken by the Institute for Economic Research
and Policy Consulting states that the reform of Ukrainian customs and the
transparency and efficiency of its operations are essential steps in a
reduction of Ukraine’s trade costs (Instytut ekonomichnykh doslidzhen' ta
politychnykh konsul'tatsii). A survey of Ukrainian importers and exporters
noted that customs procedures could be shortened by implementing
automated customs procedures, by minimizing the human factor, by
submitting all documents in electronic form, and by establishing the
personal liability of customs officers for damages caused (Instytut
ekonomichnykh doslidzhen' ta politychnykh konsul'tatsii 21). Elimination of
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the abovementioned obstacles to international trade would contribute to
export-led growth, lower the price of imports, and might have a positive
effect on integrating Ukraine into international or regional value chains. In
this regard, obligations undertaken by Ukraine according to the trade
facilitation chapter of the CUFTA might be helpful.
The commitments imposed on the parties by the trade facilitation
chapter of the CUFTA are more stringent than the relevant provisions of the
WTO’s Trade Facilitation Agreement (TFA). First, in the CUFTA, each party
agrees to use “existing international trade and customs instruments and
standards as a basis for its import, export and transit requirements and
procedures, unless they would be an inappropriate or ineffective means for
the fulfilment of the legitimate objective pursued” (CUFTA; par. 5, article
4.1). The comparable provision in the TFA uses “best endeavour” language.
29
Second, in the CUFTA, to facilitate trade, the parties agree to adopt and
maintain simplified customs procedures for the efficient release of goods
(CUFTA; article 4.3). This obligation entails a number of commitments on the
fast release of goods (CUFTA; par. 1, article 4.3), and express shipments are
subject to even more simplified procedures (CUFTA; par. 2, article 4.3).
Third, the CUFTA obligates the parties to use information technology
solutions that expedite their domestic procedures for the release of goods
(CUFTA; article 4.7). The TFA does not entail such obligation.
The commitments under the trade facilitation chapter of the CUFTA
establish an additional set of international obligations for Ukraine that, along
with the relevant obligations under the TFA and the Association Agreement
with the EU, urge Ukraine to make progress with the reform of customs
authorities and to enhance the transparency and efficiency of their work.
Furthermore, the parties confirmed their mutual desire to improve their
bilateral co-operation in customs matters. Toward this end, the relevant part
of article 4.12 of the CUFTA states: “The Parties shall develop a technical
cooperation program in customs matters under jointly decided terms as to
the scope, timing and cost of cooperative measures.” Along with this, the
parties are committed to engaging in the development of further co-
operation on trade facilitation matters (CUFTA; article 4.13). At the time of
writing, there is no information about a program to increase technical
cooperation in customs matters or in trade facilitation.
29
TFA, Article 10.3.1. reads as follows: “Members are encouraged to use relevant
international standards or parts thereof as a basis for their import, export, or transit
formalities and procedures, except as otherwise provided for in this Agreement.”
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2.2 Alignment of Standards to Curtail Non-tariff Barriers
A formidable barrier for Ukrainian exporters is the lack of recognition of
national conformity assessments abroad, which urges exporters to seek
competent international expertise that is costly (Ministry of Economy of
Ukraine 55). Ukraine inherited the Soviet Union system of burdensome and
compulsory technical regulations. Such regulations were neither consistent
with the WTO Agreement on Technical Barriers to Trade (TBT Agreement),
nor were they compatible with similar standards prepared by more
developed WTO members, such as the EU. Before acceding to the WTO,
Ukraine amended its domestic standards regulations to align them with the
requirements enshrined in the TBT Agreement (WTO, Trade Policy Review
Body, Trade Policy Review of Ukraine, Report 63). The recently signed
Association Agreement with the EU paved the way for a new wave of
standards modification. This development has been described as follows:
“The revision of Ukraine’s basic legal framework during 2014 and 2015
forms part of a progressive adaptation of Ukraine’s TBT regime to the EU
principles of market supervision and consumer rights protection, including
an overhaul of the technical regulations framework” (WTO, Trade Policy
Review Body, Trade Policy Review of Ukraine, Report 65).
The CUFTA does not prescribe commitments with respect to the
alignment of standards. Despite this, a number of important obligations
were agreed upon. First, the parties agreed to appoint special contact points
to facilitate bilateral co-operation on the technical barriers to trade (CUFTA;
article 7.8) and sanitary and phytosanitary measures (CUFTA; article 6.3).
Additionally, the parties consented to co-operate on prevention and
resolution of sanitary and phytosanitary issues through discussion between
regulatory officials (CUFTA; article 6.4). Regarding technical barriers to
trade, Ukraine and Canada confirmed their intention “to identify, develop
and promote bilateral initiatives regarding standards, technical regulations,
accreditation, conformity assessment procedures and metrology that are
appropriate for particular issues or sectors” (CUFTA; article 7.4). Notably,
the parties committed to recognizing each other’s conformity assessment
bodies on conditions no less favourable than the conditions applied to
conformity assessment bodies located in their respective territories
(CUFTA; article 7.6). Such recognition entails that the results of the
conformity assessment procedures conducted by recognized conformity
assessment bodies should be accepted (CUFTA; article 7.6).
Although the abovementioned provisions do not imply significant
alignment of standards or automatic recognition of their equality, these
undertakings can provide a foundation for close co-operation between
regulatory agencies. Ukrainian exporters are in dire need of this. As Denys
Krasnikov, the vice president of the Ukrainian League of Industrialists and
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Entrepreneurs, points out, “the Canadian market in general is much more
closed to foreign goods and services than some other countries, because of
non-tariff barrier regulations” (Timtchenko). Given this, effective
communication and co-operation through designated contact points can
enable Ukrainian exporters to access more accurate information about
Canadian non-tariff barriers.
2.3 Improvements in the Regulatory Environment in Ukraine
The CUFTA chapters on environment and labour reflect the values of
Canadian society and, as a result, the demands of Canadian consumers. Thus,
Ukrainian exporters might promote their goods to the Canadian market by
emphasizing that they are produced in an environmentally-friendly way and
in compliance with international labour standards. The following
subsections discuss the impacts of environment, labour, and transparency
chapters on domestic regulations and practices in Ukraine.
2.3.1 Environment Chapter of the CUFTA
Environmental policies play a significant role in Canada’s trade policy (WTO,
Trade Policy Review Body, Trade Policy Review of Canada 30-31). Thus,
Canada customarily incorporates environment chapters in its free trade
agreements (WTO, Trade Policy Review Body, Trade Policy Review of Canada
34).
The environment chapter of the CUFTA outlines the following broad
principles of environmental protection: (i) the parties have sovereign rights
to conserve and protect their environment and sustainably manage their
natural resources (CUFTA; article 12.2); (ii) each party has a right to
establish its own level of environmental protection and shall strive to
gradually promote higher levels of environmental protection (CUFTA; article
12.3); (iii) each party has a duty to effectively enforce environmental laws
and to remedy violations through judicial, quasi-judicial, or administrative
proceedings (CUFTA; article 12.4); (iv) the parties agree to avoid lowering
their environmental standards in order to encourage trade and investment
activities (CUFTA; article 12.5).
The following obligations could have a significant impact on improving
compliance with environmental laws in Ukraine:
• The parties are obliged to conduct an environmental impact
assessment of proposed projects that might cause significant
adverse effects on the environment, to make information about
environmental impact assessment publicly available, and to
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promote public awareness of environmental legislation (CUFTA;
article 12.6, article 12.7). Additionally, there is a duty to provide
environmental information upon the request of any interested
person, even if such person resides in the other contracting party
(CUFTA; article 12.13).
• The parties should enable domestic private actors to request an
investigation of any alleged violation of environmental laws and, in
particular, to enforce environmental laws through the private
parties’ access to administrative, quasi-judicial, or judicial
proceedings (CUFTA; article 12.8). Such proceedings are subject to
the procedural guarantees enumerated in Article 12.9 of the CUFTA.
• The parties agreed to monitor the implementation of the
environment chapter through the establishment of a Committee on
the Environment (CUFTA; article 12.16); this committee will
undertake a review of the implementation of the environment
chapter (CUFTA; article 12.17). A dispute resolution mechanism
was also established (CUFTA; article 12.21).
The provisions of the CUFTA that entail (i) an obligation to conduct an
environmental impact assessment and (ii) a duty to provide environmental
information upon a request of any interested person, came at an appropriate
moment for Ukraine. In May 2017, the Ukrainian Parliament adopted the
Law of Ukraine “On Environmental Impact Assessment” No. 2059-VIII,
which came into force in December of the same year (Verkhovna Rada
Ukrainy). This law replaced the Law of Ukraine “On Ecological Expertise” No.
45/95-ВР enacted in February 1995.
The new law makes environmental impact assessment compulsory, not
only for legal entities engaged in certain activities but also for public
authorities and local government bodies (Verkhovna Rada Ukrainy). Among
the obvious positive contributions of the law are enhanced public
participation in an environmental impact assessment and tightened
sanctions for failure to comply with the prescribed environmental impact
assessment procedures (Verkhovna Rada Ukrainy).
Despite Ukraine’s ratification of the Convention on Access to
Information, Public Participation in Decision-Making and Access to Justice in
Environmental Matters (Aarhus Convention) in 1999 and the adoption of the
Law “On Access to Public Information” in 2011, access to information,
including information about the protection of the environment, is not always
guaranteed. In particular, the World Bank, in its Environmental Analysis of
Ukraine in 2016, drew attention to the following:
Over the past years, civil society organizations noted some challenges in
receiving information, which include absence of responses from the state
authority or just partial answers; failure to comply with the terms of
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replying; scrambling ecological information by the state bodies and using a
“classified information” stamp; restrictions on receiving information about
draft strategies, programs, and plans (Ukraine Country Environmental
Analysis 67).
A study by the DiXi Group emphasizes that certain information about
projects that might have a significant impact on the environment was not
provided by Ukrainian government agencies (40).
30
The CUFTA reinforces the ongoing regulatory changes in Ukraine by
adding an additional layer of binding international obligations. In particular,
the abovementioned commitments impose additional duties on Ukraine and
empower both domestic and foreign private actors, thus contributing to a
better implementation and enforcement of existing environmental laws in
Ukraine.
2.3.2 Labour Chapter of the CUFTA
The labour chapter is comprised of four sections: obligations, institutional
mechanisms, procedures for labour consultations and dispute settlement,
and general provisions. Obligations to protect labour rights reflect the basic
principles embedded in the core conventions of the International Labour
Organization (CUFTA; article 13.3). The labour chapter prohibits derogation
from the labour law in order to encourage trade and investment (CUFTA;
article 13.4).
The labour chapter obligates parties to undertake various government
enforcement actions (CUFTA; article 13.5) and prescribes an obligation to
guarantee a right of access to administrative or tribunal proceedings to any
interested person if such person intends to enforce and give effect to the
rights protected by the labour laws (CUFTA; article 13.6). Both of these
obligations are subject to guarantees of fair, equitable, and transparent
proceedings (CUFTA; article 13.7).
The parties introduced the following institutional mechanisms to
monitor the enforcement of labour commitments: a Labour Ministerial
Council (CUFTA; article 13.9), a National Administrative Office that serves as
30
“Officially, however, the public was unable to have access to up-to-date texts of the
signed PSAs [Production Sharing Agreements], in which Environment-People-Law,
an international charitable organization saw a violation of the Aarhus Convention
and sent a relevant communication to the International Secretariat of the said
Convention. This communication was preceded by a number of requests for
information from Environment People-Law ICO, placed with the Secretariat of the
Cabinet of Ministers, the Ministry for Environmental Protection and the State Service
for Geology and Subsoil, and lawsuits complaining about the refusal by these
government agencies to provide the texts of the PSAs” (DiXi Group 40).
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a point of contact for labour affairs (CUFTA; article 13.10), co-operative
activities for the promotion of the objectives of the chapter (CUFTA; article
13.11, annex 13-A), an obligation to engage in public communications on
labour matters (CUFTA; article 13.12), and general consultations on labour
issues between the parties (CUFTA; article 13.13).
In addition, special dispute settlement rules were entrenched in the
agreement (CUFTA; articles 13.14-13.16). These rules prescribe that a
review panel may be established only if the subject matter is trade-related
(CUFTA; article 13.15). If one of the parties neglects to comply with its
obligations and does not comply with an action plan prepared by the review
panel to remedy the non-compliance, the other party is entitled to a
monetary assessment that should be paid to it (CUFTA; annex 13-C).
Labour relations in Ukraine are regulated by the Labour Code of
Ukraine, adopted in 1971 when the country was a part of the Soviet Union.
The law is outdated, and attempts to modernize the regulation of labour
relations and bring the law into conformity with the new reality have been
unsuccessful. In this regard, the International Labour Organization reports:
“After several unsuccessful attempts to adopt the new legislation in 2003,
2009 and 2016, the Ukrainian Government initiated an entirely new draft
law in late 2019.” Current efforts to update the relevant regulations are
closely followed by the international organizations present in Ukraine.
Among other things, these organizations have emphasized that the
preservation of the fundamental rights of workers should be a key priority
in the ongoing reforms (United Nations Ukraine, “UN Position Paper”).
Undeclared work, which is estimated to be equivalent to 15-21 percent
of total employment, is among the recent challenges that Ukraine is facing
(International Labour Organization). A report released in 2021 by the United
Nations describes the scale of this problem: “Less than half of working age
people (12.8 million out of 28.5 million) worked with protection guarantees
of their labour rights in 2019. Another 15.7 million (65% of the total) worked
unprotected, without employment contracts” (United Nations Ukraine,
“Ukraine Common Country Analysis” 41). The ongoing reform should
address this problem among other pressing issues.
The provisions of the CUFTA do not prescribe stand-alone norms of
protection guaranteed to Ukrainian workers, and any such pronouncement
would go beyond a bilateral trade agreement that does not establish a
common economic area. However, the basic principles embedded in the
CUFTA create a “safety net” by declaring the lowest standards of treatment
that Ukraine cannot infringe, thus, adding to the relevant international
obligations of Ukraine.
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2.3.3 Transparency Chapter of the CUFTA (Section B—Anti-Corruption)
This section designates certain conduct to be a criminal offence under
domestic law and provides a list of such offences (CUFTA; article 14.9).
Moreover, parties are obligated “to provide protection against any
unjustified treatment of a person who reports, in good faith and on
reasonable grounds, facts to the competent authorities concerning offences
referred” (CUFTA; article 14.9). Alexander MacLaren, a former Canadian
diplomat who was engaged in the CUFTA negotiations, emphasized the
following: “The obligations that were eventually incorporated in the
agreement reflect the maximum extent of commitments that might be
prescribed by such type of provisions in trade agreements. Anything that
would go beyond is a violation of the principle of non-intervention and
impedes national sovereignty.”
To enforce their anti-corruption commitments, the parties established
rules for dispute settlement proceedings (CUFTA; annex 17-B). These rules
prescribe two types of consultations that can take place between parties in
dispute (CUFTA; annex 17-B, pars. 1-2). If consultations fail, parties can refer
the matter to a review panel (CUFTA; annex 17-B, par. 3). The review panel
provides a report that contains: (a) findings of fact; (b) the review panel’s
determination as to whether there has been a violation of an obligation; and
(c) if a violation has been found, the review panel’s recommendations for the
resolution of the matter (CUFTA; annex 17-B, par. 14).
In various global rankings on corruption, Ukraine scores high (World
Bank, Ukraine—Systematic Country Diagnostic). In the last few years, new
anti-corruption institutions, including the High Anti-corruption Court of
Ukraine, have been established (Lough and Dubrovskiy; Kuz and
Stephenson). Additional obligations under the CUFTA, which are subject to
compulsory dispute settlement provisions, can also contribute to the fight
against corruption in Ukraine.
IV. TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE PROGRAMS PROVIDED BY CANADA TO UKRAINE
In the CUFTA, Canada and Ukraine have endorsed future trade co-operation
and have agreed to a list of areas in which trade-related co-operation could
be increased: 1. Support for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs); 2.
Agriculture; 3. Standard-setting (CUFTA; annex 15-A). To promote closer
trade co-operation, the Canada-Ukraine Trade and Investment Support
(CUTIS) project was developed. The CUTIS aims to promote Ukraine’s
sustainable economic growth through exports to Canada and Canadian
investments in Ukraine. This project is a five-year development assistance
initiative financed by the Canadian government.
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Since its launch in 2016, the CUTIS has initiated educational campaigns
for Ukrainian exporters interested in exploring the potential of the Canadian
market. To this end, numerous publications were prepared. For instance, “I
Can Export” is a publication specially prepared for Ukrainian small and
medium enterprises that are interested in exporting goods and services to
Canada. It includes a general overview of the benefits of the CUFTA,
instructions for small and medium enterprises on how to evaluate their
readiness to export to Canada, step-by-step guidelines for the process of
exportation, and examples of business entities that successfully export to
Canada. Subsequent publications have focused on more narrow areas: rules
of origin under the CUFTA; guides on how to export certain categories of
goods such as confectionery, apparel, footwear, furniture; and guidelines for
exporting information and communication technology services (CUTIS,
“Export Guides and Reports”).
The export support program U CAN Export was created to provide
support for Ukrainian small and medium businesses in the priority sectors.
Among recent projects sponsored by the CUTIS was a trade mission
organized for representatives of the Ukrainian information technology (IT)
industry, which included participation in a Canada-Ukraine business forum,
B2B meetings, and visits to Canadian IT companies (Ofis z prosuvannia
eksportu).
Furthermore, under the aegis of the CUTIS project, various activities
were undertaken to promote gender equality. In particular, the project
supports a new SheExports Platform and examines the barriers that
constrain women from engaging in exporting (CUTIS).
MacLaren pointed out that the technical assistance programmes
supported by the Canadian government are driven by self-interest and
internal political pressure. Canada protects its interests in Ukraine by
establishing rules and legal guarantees equivalent to those in Canada.
Simple, clear, and transparent rules that can be enforced by Ukrainian courts
are a desirable outcome of such programs. Canadian domestic pressure is
explained by the fact that there are 1.3 million Canadian Ukrainians who are
not only members of the diaspora that has strong connections with its
historical motherland but who also have voting power inside Canada.
Strong support from the Ukrainian diaspora in Canada is channelled
through political advocacy and through the willingness of Ukrainian
Canadians to buy goods that originate in Ukraine. Indeed, Ukrainian
exporters emphasize that the Ukrainian diaspora formed the core of their
consumers at the initial stages of exporting to Canada. Tetiana Abramova, a
co-founder of the Ukrainian clothing manufacturer “RITO,” emphasized this
fact in her interview for the brochure I Can Export (Ministerstvo
ekonomichnoho rozvytku i torhivli Ukrainy 18-19). Orest Rozhankivsky, the
export director of “Chumak,” one of Ukraine’s largest food producers, stated:
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“The core business is around what is called ‘ethnic distribution,’ as there are
a lot of people in Canada of Ukrainian origin” (Timtchenko). Yet,
Rozhankivsky pointed out that the diaspora market might not be large
enough for a producer as big as “Chumak” (Timtchenko).
V. CONCLUSION
The military and political conflict with the Russian Federation in 2014 had
detrimental effects on an already weakened Ukrainian economy. In
particular, bilateral trade relations between the states significantly
deteriorated, and Ukraine began to search for new markets for its goods and
services. As Ukraine perceives Canada to be a reliable partner and a friendly
political ally due to a large Ukrainian diaspora, the Canada-Ukraine Free
Trade Agreement (CUFTA) was a welcome initiative, especially when
relations between Ukraine and Russia deteriorated. Canada and Ukraine are
now engaged in a number of initiatives to promote bilateral trade and
Canada has become one of Ukraine’s priority trading partners.
As this article demonstrated, the positive impacts of the CUFTA could be
observed in an increased bilateral trade flow between the countries, in a
reduction of trade costs and red tape, and in improvements in Ukraine’s
regulatory environment. Commitments made in the trade facilitation
chapter urge Ukraine to make progress with regard to its reform of the state
customs service while obligations under environment and labour chapters
might help further the current domestic reforms in Ukraine. Furthermore,
enhanced co-operation between the regulatory authorities on the technical
barriers to trade and on prevention and resolution of sanitary and
phytosanitary issues supply the Ukrainian exporters with access to more
accurate information about Canadian non-tariff barriers, which could reduce
the time necessary to resolve disagreements.
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