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The statist neo-institutionalism of Acemoglu and Robinson

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In a long review of Acemoglu and Robinson’s 2019 The Narrow Corridor McCloskey praises their scholarship but criticizes their relentless statism—their enthusiasts for a bigger and bigger Stato, so long as it is somehow “caged.” Their case is mechanical, materialist, and structuralist, none of which is a good guide to history or politics. Their theory of social causation mixes up necessary with sufficient conditions, though they are not unusual among political scientists an economists in doing so. They downplay the role of ideas, which after all made the modern world through liberalism. They recognize how dangerous the modern “capable” state can be, what they call The Leviathan, after Hobbes. But their construal of “liBerty” is the provision of goodies to children by a beneficent Leviathan. It is not the adultism that in fact made the modern world of massive enrichment and true liberty. Their vision is deeply illiberal, and mistaken as science.

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... В-третьих, многие исследователи в качестве недостатка работ Аджемоглу, Джонсона и Робинсона отмечают отсутствие в них роли идей [Капелюшников, 2019aБакеев, 2020;Заостровцев, 2022;McCloskey, 2023]. Проблема в том, что остановка на макроуровне не позволит получить нетривиальные выводы, выходящие за рамки утверждений, что идеи могут заставить «народ» и «элиту» отклониться от непосредственных стимулов (в частности, в ожидании благ прогресса) или служить дополнительной гарантией уступок. ...
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The 2024 Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel was awarded to D. Acemoglu, S. Johnson and J. Robinson, and was the first prize since 1993 to include a mention of institutions in its rationale. The article discusses the development of research on the relationship between institutions and economic development over the past decades, the contributions of the laureates, the connection with Acemoglu's theory of directed technological change, and the problems and further prospects of the institutional theory of economic development. The main progress has been related to the application of game theory to the analysis of institutions, as well as the use of econometric and other methods to test theoretical hypotheses. As a result, significant changes have occurred in the direction of greater formalization and rigor of institutional analysis. Acemoglu, Johnson, and Robinson have become emblematic of these changes, and a number of their works can be called classic in this regard. Among other things, they proposed a game-theoretic model of the formation and change of political institutions and used the instrumental variables method to demonstrate that institutions cause development, and not vice versa. Acemoglu and his co-authors are often accused of neglecting culture, ideology, the process of creating and disseminating inventions, and of trying to present institutions as the only factor determining all aspects of economic development. Although an analysis of their work paints a more complex picture, this criticism is not unfounded. I show that the theory of directed technological change leads to the conclusion that progress can and should be directed in a direction that is beneficial to society. This means that it depends only on political institutions whether this can be done. The reason for this view lies in the general orientation of institutional development theory to macro-level processes and the long-term perspective. The main challenge facing this line of research is to overcome this attitude and to search for the microfoundations of institutional dynamics and their connection with technological progress.
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This chapter relates the work of the pioneers of the study of innovation who were part of the Scottish Enlightenment with current theorists. All of them search for a non-individualistic concept of innovation. The individualistic innovation paradigm is based on the seminal work by the british author Jeremy Bentham, Defence of Usury (1787). Bentham claimed that innovation is the driving force of development and it must go hand in hand with credit. Then, rates of interest must be determined in the free-market. But previous authors from the Scottish Enlightenment had another definition of growth and innovation which was more preventive of uncertainty. David Hume had a historical perspective, making innovation a consequence, not a cause, of growth. Although change is desirable, it should not be at the expense of the past, as this past is the matter and substance for learning by doing. Adam Smith also pointed out limits to innovation advocating for usury laws and claiming that it is not the greatest individual inventiveness what increases the amount of capital, but the skill with which work is customarily done. In the period of the Scottish Enlightenment, other economists put forward a non-individualistic vision of innovation, as is the case with John Rae, who talked about an expansion of capacities. All these elements have entered into the recent developments of institutionalism at the hands of Institutional Political Economy. The idea of institutional innovation rejects the concept of equilibrium in favour of the process and shows that the market and the state are nothing more than the face of the same coin where limitations and skills are intertwined.
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This article seeks to provide a comprehensive re-evaluation of the redistributive models of democracy advanced by Carles Boix, and Daron Acemoglu and James Robinson, their reception within the democratization literature, and the subsequent trajectories of their authors. Contrary to the existing literature, which commonly envisions RMDs as a unified framework, this article argues that Boix and Acemoglu and Robinson’s models should be understood as divergent theories of democratic transitions. In the aftermath of numerous criticisms, both authors have developed sharply different understandings of democratization. We argue that Acemoglu and Robinson have backtracked from their original formulation toward a “Whiggish” history of the rise of liberty, while Boix has increasingly reverted to the core propositions of classical modernization theory. In the process, this article argues that RMDs have lost, and reneged on, much of their apparent explanatory power regarding transitions to and reversions from democracy.
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Any innovation—mechanical, biological, institutional, scientific, artistic, personal—begins of course as a new idea in a liberated human mind. The point is obvious. But it has not been prominent in economics. The agent in economic models does not have agency. He merely accedes to a budget line or to a law or to a custom or to a habit of thought facing his already known utility function. He does not create, that is, but reacts in requisite fashion. Human action, the liberated will, is absent. He is a vending machine, not an innovator, or not even an ordinarily choosy consumer exploring her tastes. Therefore the unprecedented economic growth since 1800, a Great Enrichment of a fully 3,000 percent increase in real income per person, has been traced by economists not to “innovism,” as one might call it. The Enrichment has been traced rather to various routine and intermediate and largely material causes—investment; exploitation; the rule of law. Some of these are necessary, but none is sufficient to explain our enrichment. They are ancient. They are often trivial. They are sometimes necessary, but never have the great oomph to explain the Great Enrichment. The creation of new ideas in human minds, in other words, has been firmly set aside by economists. The non-economists who might save the ideational day, meanwhile, have seized on the wrong ideas, such as the labor theory of value or disenchantment or the Enlightenment or sheer modernity. The economic trouble with the economist’s non-ideational causes such as investment and institutions or exploitation is that they are merely allocative, and are, further, subject to sharply diminishing returns, and are commonly indeed zero sum. They are routine, not transformative. They are small potatoes beside the 3,000 percent increase in human material welfare. And the historical trouble is that most of them, and even most of the non-economist’s ideational causes, are of very, very long standing—in ancient Mesopotamia, commercialization; in ancient Athens, enlightenment; in ancient Rome, good property rights; in ancient China, long canals; in medieval Italy, skilled craftsmen; in early modern Japan, long peace; in 18th century Prussia, cameralist policy; in pre-1860s Sweden, Protestantism; in Russia 1917-1989, fierce pursuit of profit; in China 1948-1978, fierce pursuit of central planning. Yet no Great Enrichment ensued in such places. Early on, the cause of the Enrichment was said to be piling up physical capital, emphasized by Adam Smith, with the division of labor. Then it was indeed an ideational cause, put forward on the left or right of politics by anti-economists, such as the rise of “capitalism,” or “possessive individualism,” or “secularized asceticism.” All have all been rejected in later research. Then it was the alleged routinization of innovation, such as Joseph Schumpeter came to believe, against his early belief in human creativity. Then it was human capital, from elementary education to craftsmen’s skills. Then it was institutions of various sorts, from legal to scientific. But all of them depend of course upon ideas conceived in somebody’s mind—and foundationally on her ideas about ideas, such as ethics, ideologies, political philosophies supporting the liberated imagination. The change of ideas in human minds, that is, seems a more promising hypothesis. The ideational change is called liberalism. The idea of a non-slave society, it can be shown, has the oomph and the novelty to account for the 3,000 percent. I propose here, mathematically and quantitatively, by historical comparison and by the paradoxical logic of creativity, to offer, that is, a fresh ideational explanation for why the modern world became so very rich—well, “my” explanation is as “fresh” as can be a restatement of the 18th-century promise of human liberation. The crux, I claim, was liberalization at the level of ideas in the Netherlands and then in Britain, favoring a culture of somewhat free speech and an economy of quite energetic enterprise. It was followed during the next century by actual liberalizations and a consequent explosion of creativity—in the U.K the civil emancipation of Catholics, the abolition of Jamaican slavery, the free importation of wheat from Kansas and Ukraine, and then similar liberalizing measures in the U.S., Sweden, Italy, Japan, and the rest. Adam Smith and Thomas Jefferson and Mary Wollstonecraft had put forward in the Anglophere the then-bizarre notion that no one should be a slave, that all people are created equal, and should be permitted liberated speaking and liberated voting, and liberated buying and selling. Richard Cobden and John Stuart Mill in the mid-19th century extended the idea. The equality of permission in liberalism proceeded to erode the inequalities of hierarchies anciently stultifying. It made people bold to venture. As the British say in their sporting manner, appropriated by the economic historian Peter Matthias, ordinary people were permitted by liberalism for the first time, after 1776 or 1789 or 1848 or 1865, to “have a go.” And go they did. Liberalism was gradually implemented in northwestern Europe, as lately it has been, at any rate in the economy, even in far China and India. And the Great Enrichment came. Both economists and their critics, in other words, need to understand the conditions for the flourishing of liberty and its fruits in novel ideas for enrichment, and to see that good laws and long railways and honored science and skilled craftsmen and strong institutions are all good, but are not themselves originating. Creativity depends on liberty and its ethical accompaniments, every time. Liberation in ethics and ideology yielded an innovism, not a “capitalism” that one can find in Mesopotamia in 2000 BCE or in England in 1066 CE or Mesoamerica in 1492 CE. To use a mechanical image, the gearing in the historico-economic watch was, to be sure, investment and institutions, necessary for any economy at any time, from the caves of Lascaux to the caves of Wall Street, or for that matter in Crusoe’s cave. But liberal thinking was the new and largely sufficient spring imparting motion to the old and stiff gears. It happened in Britain, but not immediately in, say, France. It could have happened in Japan or the Ottoman Empire, but in the contrived corridors of history it did not. The implication for policy is straightforward. Ideas in human minds, as Keynes said, largely rule the world. The Ukrainians defend themselves for the idea of liberty, not for the policies of left, right, or middle. Encouraging a loving and responsible liberty, with its mighty material and spiritual consequences, should be our chief aim. Coercive, illiberal nudges and taxes and subsidies and regulations and fines and imprisonments, of which policymakers are so very fond, are not the path forward. The liberal path of an honest and competent but restrained state, under which ordinary people are permitted without let or hinderance from other people to have a go, has already led in much of the world to a stunning enrichment of the poorest. It’s the Bourgeois Deal: “Leave me alone and I’ll make _you _rich.” In the next couple of generations, it promises to permit the rest of the wretched of the earth to raise themselves up. The illiberal path of statism, by contrast, leads to the radical populisms of left and right, to Maduro and Putin. And even its middle path of well-meaning regulation and redistribution it leads adults back into childhood under the masterful state. It turns back to the subordination that characterized agricultural societies until 1776, and to its corresponding poverty of body and mind and spirit. Liberalism worked to overcome such childishness and subordination. It works yet.
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Silvestri interviews McCloskey about her forthcoming book, ‘Beyond Behaviorism, Positivism, and Neo-Institutionalism in Economics’, critical of recent economics, especially of neo-institutionalism. Neo-institutionalism uses the ugly character ‘Herr Max U’ as its central idea: the elevation of Prudence to the only virtue. Institutions are mainly intermediate, not ultimate, causes in society. Ethics, rhetoric, identity, ideology, and ideas matter. McCloskey's turn to defending liberalism is in the background of her critique of behaviorism, positivism, and neo-institutionalism as anti-liberal, reducing the analysis of people to a model of childish slaves. Liberalism is the theory of non-slave adults. Of the big ideas of the past few centuries, only liberalism treats people with suitable dignity, and permits them to have a go, and make others rich. Neo-institutionalism shares the two sins of modern Samuelsonian economics: a devotion of mere existence proofs; and a deviation to arbitrary tests of statistical ‘significance’. And in its tale of a rise of ‘capitalism’, it shares the errors of amateur economic history. The better word for the modern economic world of the Great Enrichment – fully 3,000% increases in real income per person – is ‘innovism’. Neo-institutionalism, as the method of historical economics, must be replaced by ‘Humanomics’.
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This paper contextualizes the early political economy of Austrian economist and social philosopher F. A. Hayek in the intellectual milieu of German ordoliberalism. It argues that the particular urgency during the 1930s and 1940s to preserve and stabilize the disintegrating orders of economy and society was a crucial driver behind the numerous parallelisms between Hayek and the ordoliberals. Their political economies are reconstructed by emphasizing the notion of the framework as an economic constitution of general and stable rules, with the overarching goal to render the orders in the postwar world more robust. In a nutshell, the central configuration is that liberty can thrive sustainably only after such a framework has been established. Hayek's "learning ordoliberalism" emerged during the socialist calculation debates when knowledge became the center of his oeuvre, so that he aimed at identifying rules which could enhance the use of knowledge in society and thus societal learning. Hayek's search was similar to that of the ordoliberals in substance and in rhetoric, and culminated in the competitive order as the chiffre for a well-ordered market economy. These parallelisms surfaced during the 1930s and became most explicit in The Road to Serfdom and at the founding meeting of the Mont Pèlerin Society in 1947. In the years after The Constitution of Liberty, a shift of Hayek's focus is identified: from a theory of designing frameworks at a point of time towards a theory of their evolution across time. Overall, Hayek of the 1930s and 1940s is interpreted as a continental liberal thinking in interdependent societal orders, while the ordoliberals are depicted as a constitutive building block of the international neoliberal archipelago.
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In this paper I discuss Deirdre McCloskey's argument that " ideas, not capital or institutions, " were the cause of the " great enrichment, " the spectacular growth of the world economy since 1800. I disagree that the ideas of liberty and equality alone caused the great enrichment but agree that these ideas were central and necessary for it. Most theorists of development and economic history fail to recognize the importance of these ideas despite implicitly assuming them in what I call the " neoclassical fallacy. " I also extend McCloskey's views to include a greater understanding of liberty and equality through their implementation, which necessarily involves institutions that provide political officials with incentives to honor these ideas in practice. Ideas of liberty and equality are not self-implementing, and most attempts to implement them fail. Finally, I argue that a range of political theorists from Hobbes to Madison studied the problem of implementing liberty and equality. In the 150 years prior to 1800, they helped devise a series of institutions that sustained liberty, equality, and the rule of law. These ideas also contributed to the great enrichment.
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Cross-sectional studies have shown that intimate partner violence and gender inequity in relationships are associated with increased prevalence of HIV in women. Yet temporal sequence and causality have been questioned, and few HIV prevention programmes address these issues. We assessed whether intimate partner violence and relationship power inequity increase risk of incident HIV infection in South African women. We did a longitudinal analysis of data from a previously published cluster-randomised controlled trial undertaken in the Eastern Cape province of South Africa in 2002-06. 1099 women aged 15-26 years who were HIV negative at baseline and had at least one additional HIV test over 2 years of follow-up were included in the analysis. Gender power equity and intimate partner violence were measured by a sexual relationship power scale and the WHO violence against women instrument, respectively. Incidence rate ratios (IRRs) of HIV acquisition at 2 years were derived from Poisson models, adjusted for study design and herpes simplex virus type 2 infection, and used to calculate population attributable fractions. 128 women acquired HIV during 2076 person-years of follow-up (incidence 6.2 per 100 person-years). 51 of 325 women with low relationship power equity at baseline acquired HIV (8.5 per 100 person-years) compared with 73 of 704 women with medium or high relationship power equity (5.5 per 100 person-years); adjusted multivariable Poisson model IRR 1.51, 95% CI 1.05-2.17, p=0.027. 45 of 253 women who reported more than one episode of intimate partner violence at baseline acquired HIV (9.6 per 100 person-years) compared with 83 of 846 who reported one or no episodes (5.2 per 100 person-years); adjusted multivariable Poisson model IRR 1.51, 1.04-2.21, p=0.032. The population attributable fractions were 13.9% (95% CI 2.0-22.2) for relationship power equity and 11.9% (1.4-19.3) for intimate partner violence. Relationship power inequity and intimate partner violence increase risk of incident HIV infection in young South African women. Policy, interventions, and programmes for HIV prevention must address both of these risk factors and allocate appropriate resources. National Institute of Mental Health and South African Medical Research Council.
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It has been previously documented that wife and child abuse often co-occur. The present study tested competing hypotheses about the reasons for this co-occurrence, specifically trait versus instrumental theories of aggression within families. Three commonly cited catalysts (unemployment, drinking, and life-stress events) for men's abuse of family members were analyzed to determine whether they equally predict partner or child abuse. Interviews were conducted with 363 women and children about spousal and paternal abuse, and women were interviewed about sociodemographics and the stressors described above. Families were oversampled for the presence of spousal violence. Logistic regressions revealed that heavy drinking (log-odds ratio 4.86) and life stress events (log-odds ratio 1.6) predicted men's abuse of their partners. These risk factors were unrelated to child abuse. Wife battering, however, placed children at heightened risk (log-odds ratio = 2.77). Children of battered women stood a 42% chance of receiving escalated abuse from their fathers. It is proposed that men's abuse of children is in many instances instrumental in order to coerce or retaliate against women, echoing the Greek myth of Medea who killed her own children to spite their father.
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The past twenty years have seen great theoretical and empirical advances in the field of corporate finance. Whereas once the subject addressed mainly the financing of corporations--equity, debt, and valuation--today it also embraces crucial issues of governance, liquidity, risk management, relationships between banks and corporations, and the macroeconomic impact of corporations. However, this progress has left in its wake a jumbled array of concepts and models that students are often hard put to make sense of. Here, one of the world's leading economists offers a lucid, unified, and comprehensive introduction to modern corporate finance theory. Jean Tirole builds his landmark book around a single model, using an incentive or contract theory approach. Filling a major gap in the field, The Theory of Corporate Finance is an indispensable resource for graduate and advanced undergraduate students as well as researchers of corporate finance, industrial organization, political economy, development, and macroeconomics. Tirole conveys the organizing principles that structure the analysis of today's key management and public policy issues, such as the reform of corporate governance and auditing; the role of private equity, financial markets, and takeovers; the efficient determination of leverage, dividends, liquidity, and risk management; and the design of managerial incentive packages. He weaves empirical studies into the book's theoretical analysis. And he places the corporation in its broader environment, both microeconomic and macroeconomic, and examines the two-way interaction between the corporate environment and institutions. Setting a new milestone in the field, The Theory of Corporate Finance will be the authoritative text for years to come.
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