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International Conference Management, Accounting,
Banking, Economics and Business Research
(ICMABEBR-19)
Buenos Aires, Argentina
08th-09th September, 2019
International Institute of Education, Research and
Development
www.iierd.org
Publisher: IIERD Explore
© Copyright 2019, IIERD-International Conference, Buenos Aires, Argentina
No part of this book can be reproduced in any form or by any means without prior written
Permission of the publisher.
IIERD International Conference 1 Buenos Aires,Argentina
This edition can be exported from India only by publisher
IIERD-Explore
Editorial:
We cordially invite you to attend the International Conference Management, Accounting, Banking,
Economics and Business Research (ICMABEBR-19), which will be held in Buenos Aires, Argentina on
September 08th-09th, 2019. The main objective of ICMABEBR-19 is to provide a platform for
researchers, engineers, academicians as well as industrial professionals from all over the world to
present their research results and development activities in Management, Accounting, Banking,
Economics and Business Research. This conference provides opportunities for the delegates to
exchange new ideas and experience face to face, to establish business or research relations and to find
global partners for future collaboration.
These proceedings collect the up-to-date, comprehensive and worldwide state-of-art knowledge on
Management, Accounting, Banking, Economics and Business Research. All accepted papers were
subjected to strict peer-reviewing by 2-4 expert referees. The papers have been selected for these
proceedings because of their quality and the relevance to the conference. We hope these proceedings
will not only provide the readers a broad overview of the latest research results on Management,
Accounting, Banking, Economics and Business Research but also provide the readers a valuable
summary and reference in these fields.
The conference is supported by many universities and research institutes. Many professors played an
important role in the successful holding of the conference, so we would like to take this opportunity to
express our sincere gratitude and highest respects to them. They have worked very hard in reviewing
papers and making valuable suggestions for the authors to improve their work. We also would like to
express our gratitude to the external reviewers, for providing extra help in the review process, and to
the authors for contributing their research result to the conference.
Since June 2019, the Organizing Committees have received more than 30 manuscript papers, and the
papers cover all the aspects in Management, Accounting, Banking, Economics and Business Research.
Finally after review about 11 papers were included to the proceedings of ICMABEBR-19.
We would like to extend our appreciation to all participants in the conference for their great
contribution to the success of International Conference 2019. We would like to thank the keynote and
individual speakers and all participating authors for their hard work and time. We also sincerely
appreciate the work by the technical program committee and all reviewers, whose contributions make
this conference possible. We would like to extend our thanks to all the referees for their constructive
comments on all papers; especially, we would like to thank to organizing committee for their hard
work.
Acknowledgement
IIERD is hosting the International Conference Management, Accounting, Banking, Economics and Business
Research this year in month of September. International Conference Management, Accounting, Banking,
Economics and Business Research will provide a forum for students, professional engineers, academician, and
scientist engaged in research and development to convene and present their latest scholarly work and application
in the industry. The primary goal of the conference is to promote research and developmental activities in
Management, Accounting, Banking, Economics and Business Research and to promote scientific information
interchange between researchers, developers, engineers, students, and practitioners working in and around the
world. The aim of the Conference is to provide a platform to the researchers and practitioners from both academia
as well as industry to meet the share cutting-edge development in the field.
IIERD International Conference 1 Buenos Aires,Argentina
I express my hearty gratitude to all my Colleagues, Staffs, Professors, Reviewers and Members of organizing
committee for their hearty and dedicated support to make this conference successful. I am also thankful to all
our delegates for their pain staking effort to travel such a long distance to attain this conference.
Dr. Simpson Rodricks
President
International Institute of Education, Research and Development (IIERD)
CONTENTS
S.NO TITLES AND AUTHORS PAGE NO
1. Anti-monopoly Policy and New System of Large Corporate Groups in Germany
After World War II
➢ Toshio Yamazaki
1-13
2. The Impacts of Broadband on Economic Growth in People‟s Republic of China:
Empirical Analysis from Panel Data ➢ Siyue Yang
➢ Prapatchon Jariyapan
➢ Jianxu Liu
14-19
3. Financial Performance of Initial Public Offerings: Companies listed on Dar es Salaam
Stock Exchange
➢ Gibson Hosea Munisi
20-26
4. Efficiency in the Economics of Management and Ways to Improve it
➢ Sailau Baizakov
27-31
5. Forecasting Performance of GARCH Family Models in the Indian Commodity
➢ Veena Dixit
➢ Jain Mathew
32-40
6. Potential of Soya Beans Seasoning With Garlic and Ginger for Sustainable Health
➢ Aishatu Ibrahim
➢ Eldah Ephraim Buba
41-47
7. Comparative study of relationship between income inequality and economic growth in
China with India
➢ Liu Li
➢ Charuk Singhapreecha
➢ Jirakom Sirisrisakulchai
48-52
8. To Study the Impact of Mediating Role of the Learning Strategies between the
53-57
Knowledge Characteristics of a Job and Employee Innovation Process
➢ Umar Farooq
➢ Syed Anwer Hasnain
➢ Irfan Ali
➢ Sami Ullah
9. The Role of Fiscal Decentralization in the Process of Creating Strong Municipality,
58-62
Georgia (Case of Samegrelo and Upper Svaneti region)
➢ Erekle Zarandia
10. The Importance of Trust in Informal Institutional Development Process 63-66
(Case of Georgia)
➢ Tsotne Zhghenti
11. Challenges of economic freedom and the role of government efficiency 67
(Case of Georgia)
➢ Vakhtang Chkareuli
IIERD International Conference 1 Buenos Aires,Argentina
Anti-monopoly Policy and New System of Large
Corporate Groups in Germany after World War II
Toshio Yamazaki
Ritsumeikan University, Japan
Abstract:-- This paper discusses competition policy, in particular anti-monopoly policy and the development of a new system of
industrial concentration in Germany after World War II. When examining industrial concentration in Germany, the cooperative
mechanisms for corporations are the most characteristic manifestation of corporate group systems. Large corporate group systems
evolved during the dissolution and reconcentration of monopolies after the war. Anti-monopoly policy influenced new developments
in the system of large corporate groups. Therefore, this paper discusses anti-monopoly policy and the restructuring of a system for
large corporate groups. It first examines influence of the US occupation policy on monopolies in relation to monopoly deconcentration
policy and anti-monopoly policy in Germany. Next it analyzes anti-monopoly policy reform. Furthermore, it considers the
restructuring of corporate group systems in relation to the dissolution of monopolies under the occupation policy and their
reconcentration in the latter half of the 1950s. Drawing on this discussion, how large business operations were restructured through
reconcentration or concentration, and how, as a result, divisions of labor in business domains developed in response to oligopolistic
competition will be clarified.
Index Terms— Anti-monopoly policy; Deconcentration of Monopolies; Industrial concentration; Inter-firm relationship; Large
corporate groups; Reconcentration of Monopolies; Restrictive Trade Practices Act
RESEARCH PROBLEMS
Germany developed its enterprises, industries, and
economy by establishing its own systems of industrial
concentration while deploying and adapting technology and
management methods from the USA after World War .
Industrial concentration exhibited new postwar
developments. German characteristics of industrial
concentration, which were based on prewar industry–bank
relationships, included new developments in the industrial
system that coordinated interests and shared information
between industry and banks and between corporations.
Monopolies that had been dissolved by the postwar
occupation policy reconcentrated. In addition, the system of
large corporate groups began to re-emerge and reconcentrate,
and with it came new developments in the system of large
corporate groups. The system played a crucial role in the
formation of the German capitalism‘s accumulation
structure, the cornerstone of industrial concentration. The
postwar era necessitated the restructuring of the system of
large corporate groups that emphasized the benefits of
division of labor based on specialization in response to
oligopolistic competition. This phenomenon represented the
transformation of the prewar system of industrial
concentration that controlled markets on the basis of massive
trust and wide-ranged cartels, which encompassed the entire
industrial sector in the 1920s. The US occupation policy and
anti-monopoly policy influenced the restructuring of
corporate group systems after the war.
From the perspective of market control, this new system,
based on industry–bank relationships and large corporate
groups, was an important element supporting the
development of postwar productive forces and accumulation
structures. Industrial concentration developed as an
important process in the progress of German corporations
while exhibiting new characteristics of cooperation in
German capitalism. By understanding the changes in
industrial concentration from the perspective of
accumulation structures, this paper will show the significance
of the postwar system of large corporate groups and the
cooperative nature of German capitalism (For "Cooperative
managerial capitalism" in Germany, see [1]). Therefore, in
this paper, the characteristics and significance of the new
industrial concentration system in postwar Germany will be
analyzed in relation to the US occupation policy and
competition policy, in particular anti-monopoly policy of
Germany‘s federal government.
Many studies approach this theme from the perspective of
economic and business histories, and economic system (See
books and articles cited in this paper). However, these studies
do not always identify functional aspects of new system of
large corporate groups. This paper attempts to explain
significance and limitations of postwar antimonopoly policy
and how large business operations were restructured through
reconcentration or concentration, and how, as a result,
divisions of labor in business domains
Anti-monopoly Policy and New System of Large Corporate Groups in Germany after World War II
IIERD International Conference 2 Buenos Aires,Argentina
developed in response to oligopolistic competition.
First, Section 2 considers influence of the US occupation
policy on monopolies. Next, Section 3 examines the
deployment of anti-monopoly policies in Germany. In
Section 4, reconcentration of monopolies and new
developments in the system of large corporate groups are
discussed. Furthermore, concluding remarks of this paper are
presented in Section 5.
INFLUENCE OF THE US OCCUPATION POLICY
ON MONOPOLIES
Section 2 first examines influence of the US occupation
policy on monopolies. It considers monopoly DE
concentration policy and influence of the US occupation
policy on anti-monopoly policy in Germany. For corporate
group systems, the postwar occupation policy dissolved the
concentration of monopolies and catalyzed new
developments in large corporate groups through the
reorganization of business structures that were adaptive to
oligopolistic competition; it was not simply a return of the
prewar structure. Influence of the US Deconcentration Policy
on Monopolies Expansion of monopoly deconcentration
policy First, examining monopoly deconcentration policy, it
is important to note the US belief that excessive German
economic and political power should be curtailed through
monopoly dissolution and decartelization [2, S.156]. The
basic policy was to turn Germany into an oligopolistic market
founded on the principle of competition, very similar to that
in US [3, S.280; 4, p.167].
Separating the coal industry from the iron and steel industries
through dissolution deeply impacted these groups [5, p.95,
p.110]. In heavy industries, the eight large corporate groups
were eventually divided into 23 steel companies. Vereinigte
Stahlwerke AG‘s steel division was split into 13 separate
companies, which further spilt three into the coal sector, one
in processing, and one in trading [6, S.237; 7, S.55]. Krupp
had its main plant, the FriedrichAlfred-Hütte iron works,
demerge and dissolve into a separate company, Hüttenwerk
Rheinhausen AG, and
Essener Kruppzechen also split [8, S.24].
Previously, Krupp had been able to globally produce superior
products in both quality and price through its effective
cooperation and complementary functioning with materials
industries and processing plants. However, its ties with these
production stages were terminated and the company changed
completely [9, S.49; 10, S.28, S.30]. This type of dissolution
also occurred at Mannesmann,
Hoesch, and Gutehoffnung, among other corporations [11,
S.24-25; 12, S.23, 13, S. 23-24; 14, S.24; 15, S.21]. However,
West Germany strongly opposed the complete separation of
the coal industry from the iron and steel industries, which was
envisioned by the occupation forces, and the parallel
management of both iron and steel and coal companies was
approved with an upper limit of 75% of coke consumption
[16, p.141].
The chemical firm IG Farben was also dissolved, resulting in
a restructured oligopoly of three main companies: BASF,
Bayer, and Hoechst [17, 18]. Major changes in capital
relationships also occurred. The banking industry was split
into 30 small-scale regional banks, with specific bank
operations limited to a specific state regions [19, S. 102104;
4; 20, S.227-228]. However, the universal banking system
was not reformed through these dissolutions and
restructuring, a very important factor in the new development
of the industrial system based on industry– bank
relationships.
SIGNIFICANCE OF MONOPOLY DISSOLUTION
AND RESTRUCTURING
The dissolution of large corporations was a huge setback
to the corporations; nevertheless, it was also an opportunity
for monopolistic corporations to undergo a rationalized
process of restructuring. For example, in the case of
Vereinigte Stahlwerke, dissolution provided an opportunity
to restructure as a large company with a scope appropriate for
management, with a functional monopoly or oligopolistic
system. In addition, IG Farben was able to liquidate an
immovable, excessive group to create a functional, large
corporate group with a more rational structure that responded
to postwar technological reforms while allowing them to
pioneer new areas and expand their base [16, pp.145-147].
The US proposal for organizational restructuring of the coal
and iron and steel industries, which accompanied the
dissolution of monopolies, attempted to rationalize these
industries, thus reducing costs and improving efficiency
while increasing production [5, p.90, p. 95, pp.108-109; 4,
p.166] . US postwar reforms primarily focused on market
restructuring by terminating monopolies and cartels and the
achievement of economies of scale [21, p.361].
For example, in the iron and steel industry, a great deal of
production capacity was allocated to other steel production
units through the dissolution of monopolies. Thus,
components of the industry‘s rolling mill capacity spread
throughout the entire industry rather than within a single
corporation. This type of production capacity allocation
created conditions for oligopolistic competition, and not only
raised the cost of diversification but also generated possible
incentives for corporate growth through an increase in the
scale of corporate rolling mills [21, p.364]. The prewar
structure of domestic markets was replaced by an
oligopolistic structure through a policy of deconcentration,
Anti-monopoly Policy and New System of Large Corporate Groups in Germany after World War II
IIERD International Conference 3 Buenos Aires,Argentina
and the previously existing monopolies and specialization
were replaced by mass production [21, pp.352-353, p. 368].
Such industrial restructuring created a foundation for the
expansion of corporate activities suitable for oligopolistic
competition, which differed from the assumptions of the
prewar German iron and steel industry structure, industrial
organization, and market structure.
IG Farben‘s dissolution in the chemical industry revived
inter-firm relationships in same form taken before the
company was created.
However, the restructuring actually created the industry‘s
three giants in response to the move from coal to petroleum
chemistry, wherein a unique, multifaceted industrial complex
was created to produce synthetic rubber, synthetic resins,
synthetic fibers, and other petroleum-based products. This
change was not merely a return to prewar conditions, but a
rational restructuring that established a more competitive
inter-corporate structure [22, p.378]. The following two
achievements resulted from the dissolutions: (1) the chemical
market was restructured along competitive lines. (2) The new
and sufficiently large-scale units were established to act as an
engine useful for the rebuilding and growth of Western
Europe and to survive in the multi- lateral liberal capitalistic
world trade system dominated by the US [5, p.95].
The restructuring of corporate organizations to their prewar
form was not the primary objective; rather, it was to create
resilient trust structures [23, pp.147-148]. Significantly,
dissolution and restructuring created stronger control in the
heavy equipment manufacturing industries. Krupp,
Gutehoffnung, Klöckner, and others demonstrated and laid
the foundation for the rapid development of the heavy
machinery sector [24, p.65].
INFLUENCE OF THE US OCCUPATION POLICY
ON ANTI-MONOPOLY POLICY
Next, influence of the US occupation policy on
antimonopoly policy in Germany is considered. The US
occupation policy included the physical rebuilding of German
industries as well as the shift to a German capitalist structure,
whose obvious manifestation had been in the Third Reich [3,
S.326]. Eradicating the cartel-like nature of economic
concentration, characterizing prewar German capitalism, was
a method for achieving this objective [25, p.84]. In Europe,
cartels were an important practice of corporate cooperation
[26, p.67]; thus, England and France did not oppose them as
long as they produced and distributed goods [26, p.56; p.212].
The US, on the other hand, considered the elimination of
practices that restricted competition by cartels and trusts in
OEEC member nations [27, pp.17-18].
Thus, the US industrial policy that occupied Germany at
the time emphasized the removal of the strong cartel tradition
from the German business world, and the movement toward
an oligopolistic market based on the principles of
competition, such as that in the US [3, S. 280]. Structural
reforms to rebuild the German economy and industries were
designed by the US and focused on the creation of production
units and corporate scale, such as those in the US, and
regulation of economic activities that suppressed competition
through anti-trust laws [4, p.111].
Occupation authorities, particularly those in the US,
questioned the benefits of a forced economic reform. A
project to transfer US anti-trust laws and traditions to West
Germany was designed such that it could be taken over by
West German‘s at a point in time [4, pp. 167-168], and
economic and industrial structural reforms initiated by US
occupation authorities were achieved in the context of West
Germany [4, p.104, pp.109-110, p.162]. However, they were
not transferred by force, rather the spontaneous imitations of
West Germany by a group under the leadership of L. Erhard,
Minister of Economic Affairs with guidance and education
from the US, were effective the economic and industrial
system, wherein mass production and mass consumption
were linked to competition, and worked toward a set of
objectives that closely conformed to US projects [4, p. 111].
Based on this point, the US direction and compulsion of an
Anti-Monopoly Act in Japan significantly differed from those
in Germany.
DEPLOYMENT OF ANTI-MONOPOLY POLICIES IN
GERMANY BASIC CHARACTERISTICS OF
ANTIMONOPOLY POLICY
Section 3 will examine the various characteristics of
postwar anti-monopoly policy. The Restrictive Trade
Practices Act was finally passed in 1957 as an antimonopoly
regulatory law. Although this law was influenced by the US,
it was formulated to replace the Allies‘ anti-trust law
[National Archives, RG59, 862A.054, Summary of
German Press Coverage of Passage of Cartel Law
(6.8.1957), p.1].
The Restrictive Trade Practices Act aimed to destroy
cartels originally recognized under the Cartel Ordinance of
1923, based not on the principles of ―abuse regulations,‖ but
rather on those of ―prohibition‖ [National Archives, RG59,
862A.054, Developments concerning the German Cartel Law
(3.7.1956), pp1-2]. However, the Restrictive Trade Practices
Act was an extraordinarily loosely conceived bill, leaving
several loopholes for reviving cartels [National Archives,
RG59, 862A.331, Correspondence to R. H. Harlan from
Anti-monopoly Policy and New System of Large Corporate Groups in Germany after World War II
IIERD International Conference 4 Buenos Aires,Argentina
Society for the Prevention of the World War , Inc (22.5.1958),
p.3]. For example, many economic sectors, such as
agriculture, banking and insurance, and shipping, were
excluded from adaptation. In addition, in case restrictions on
competition or other ordinances were believed to be in the
best interests of the state, a clause in the law allowed the
Ministry of Economic Affairs to recognize cartels on the basis
of these individual cases [National Archives, RG59,
862A.054, Summary of German Press Coverage of Passage
of Cartel Law (6.8.1957), p.1]. These loopholes were
particular to rationalization cartels and export cartels [28].
There were several limitations from the beginning, such as
the lack of planning for regulations on mergers [3, S.280], and
until a evision in 1973, the Federal Cartel Office merely had
the authority to investigate mergers and not the authority to
prohibit them [National Archives, RG59, 862A.33,
Reconcentration in Iron, Steel and Coal Industries of the
Federal Republic (5.10.1959), p.5]. In addition, the
Restrictive Trade Practices Act did not recognize market-
dominating enterprises under the same criterion as cartels,
thereby making it possible to avoid cartel regulations, but
creating the risk of concentration [29, S.99, S.101].
The circumstances leading to the lack of effective
antimonopoly regulations under the Restrictive Trade
Practices Act were further influenced by the strong
opposition from industries, whose trade associations had long
opposed the anti-cartel act from being passed [National
Archives, RG59, 862A.054, Status of Decartelized and
Deconcentrated German Coal and Steel Companies
(23.6.1955), p.1; 30, pp.40-41]. Due to this opposition, the
Ministry of Economic Affairs was forced to reach a
consensus when adopting a policy of limited resistance
against more radical proposals by the Allies [5, pp.172-173] .
Thus, the Germans exhibited a strong initiative with
antimonopoly regulations [30, pp.44-48], but created a
political compromise in the conflicting approach to cartels,
that is, ―prohibition‖ vs. ―abuse regulation‖ approaches [31,
p.172]. From an industrial perspective, the Restrictive Trade
Practices Act weakened the principled prohibition of cartels
to the extent that the industrial world was satisfied [32, p.250,
p. 256]. As a result, the idea behind the original bill, which
was thorough in its prohibitory provisions doing away with
monopolies as well as granting authority to the monopoly
office, had largely become a shadow of its former self by the
time it was enacted into law [20, S. 288]. The Act even
considered control through conditions wherein the formation
of large corporate units within specific economic sectors was
beneficial [33, S.109]. Evidently, Germany diverged from the
US model in anti-trust laws between the 1950s and 1960s [34,
p.24].
SIGNIFICANCE OF THE RESTRICTIVE TRADE
PRACTICES ACT
In practice, the Restrictive Trade Practices Act faced major
problems and suffered significant limitations. For instance,
courts adopted a theoretical legal approach that prohibition
regulations could only be applied when there was clear
evidence of cartel operator contracts or cartel resolutions of
trade associations. Thus, many court cases brought by the
German Federal Cartel Office against cartels were lost due to
insufficient evidence [35, p.178]. The Federal Cartel Office
also tended to prioritize court decisions over rulings by
administrative decree or make decisions with merger parties
prior to making them public [36, p.53]. Further, the
Restrictive Trade Practices Act aimed to decentralize
economic power through the prohibition of cartels, and anti-
trust laws and regulations in Germany allowed intervention
only when there was a clear abuse of power in the market
through a merger [37, p.132]. These legal deficiencies were
rooted in policies intended to strengthen the export
competitiveness of large corporations and corporate groups,
because exports were seen as the primary method for
rebuilding the West German economy [35, p.202].
Subsequently, in 1966 and 1973, the authority of the
Federal Cartel Office was expanded to include the regulation
of mergers [4, p.170]. The revision in 1973, in particular,
granted the Federal Cartel Office the authority to prohibit
mergers, leading to the establishment and strengthening of
market control. However, when merging corporations
provided evidence that their mergers facilitated competition
that sufficiently offset disadvantages through market control,
the Office had no choice but to approve the merger [38,
p.192]. The creation of the Federal Cartel Office, responsible
for the implementation of the Restrictive Trade Practices Act,
was a symbolic systematization of USstyle competition
within Germany [4, p.174]. However, this organization could
neither hasten or enforce corporate decentralization orders
nor prevent or delay corporate mergers and acquisitions [37,
p.54; 39, S.27-28, S.30].
Compare with the prewar period, these reforms did in fact
dramatically decrease the number of cartels. In 1929, the
number of cartels had risen as high as 4,000, but in 1968, only
200 cartels were recognized as legal by the Cartel Office [37,
p.54]. Despite the political intent to ensure free market
competition and free trade, the actual business environment
from 1950 to 1970 was not sufficiently based these factors
[37, p.48]. As noted by A.D. Chandler,
Jr., the characteristics of ―cooperative managerial
capitalism‖ [1] essentially remained unchanged. Many
Anti-monopoly Policy and New System of Large Corporate Groups in Germany after World War II
IIERD International Conference 5 Buenos Aires,Argentina
believe that anti-cartel liberal philosophies were far more
lenient than was generally perceived [40, p.348]. For
example, H G. Schröter argues that the complete
dissemination of US anti-cartel beliefs throughout West
Germany required more than one generation, and it was not
until the 1960s that industrialists shared these views [41,
S.151; 42, p.143, pp.152-153].
Rationalization cartels, important exceptions to anti
monopoly regulations, fulfilled critical roles in industry anti-
recession and structural policies in certain cases. In the 1960s,
state-led rationalization cartels were being developed; in
particular, the 1963 measures that were implemented in the
coal industry were a primary example [43, S.17-18]. These
rationalization cartels were also seen in the iron and steel
industry, where excess capacity was an issue at the end of the
1960s, and the formation of rationalization cartels in iron and
steel firms enabled production specialization in rolling mill
products. Thus, they were successful in avoiding destructive
competition by responding to market demands and lowering
costs with such division of labor [44].
competition policy and new methods for regulating
monopolies. If we analyze the implication of competition
policy on trade policy and the global economy, we will see
the important efforts made to form a common market through
West European integration. For West Germany, admission
into European international relationships, such as the
European Coal and Steel Community (ECSC) and the
European Economic Community (EEC), meant that they
were participating in a European system to suppress cartellike
competition-limiting activities [45, p 163, pp 167-169]. Thus,
the issues of state competition policy and antimonopoly
regulations were by character a response to the postwar
framework in the European regions.
RECONCENTRATION OF MONOPOLIES AND NEW
DEVELOPMENTS IN THE SYSTEM OF LARGE
CORPORATE GROUPS
Development of the Reconcentration of Monopolies
Background of the Reconcentration of Monopolies
Section 2 and 3 have discussed influence of the US
occupation policy on monopolies and deployment of
Antimonopoly Policies in
Germany. The latter half of the 1950s, although brought about
the reconcentration of monopolies, new developments in the
system of large corporate groups will be our next topic of
discussion. Since the end of World War II and during the
1957 and 1958 crises, Germany experienced a wave of
corporate amalgamations with large corporate group
structures, providing the foundation for mergers and
acquisitions of subsidiaries. Enterprise concentration in the
same capital groups were also central to this movement [46,
S.24] and played an important part in the reconcentration of
dissolved corporations.
Three factors influenced this reconcentration and new
concentration from the latter half of the 1950s through the end
of the decade: (1) the benefits of economies of scale, (2) the
legal benefit of scale, and (3) psychological factors. First,
these developments achieved economies of scale. Second, tax
benefits were applied to vertically integrated corporations.
Third, cartels and concentration, rather than competition,
were always the lingua franca of Europe‘s economic system
and were known to the market players [National Archives,
RG59, 862A.33 Reconcentration in Iron, Steel and Coal
Industries of the Federal Republik (5.10.1959), pp.3-4]. For
legal benefits, national growth policies played a significant
role and four laws enacted by the government dealt with this
issue. The 1956 Transformation Law and 1957 Tax Law
enabled large corporate groups to concentrate their power on
a previously unseen scale and rid themselves of small
shareholders. Revisions to corporate law allowed
corporations to enjoy tax benefits by elimination or reduction
of taxes on a portion of their profits and transforming it into
equity capital.
Further, the Restrictive Trade Practices Act publicly
acknowledged about 250 cartels in 1958 and 1959 [47, S.5].
The reconcentration of previously split or dissolved large
corporate groups continued apace in conjunction with the
European Coal and Steel Community (ECSC). Article 66 of
the ECSC Convention, May 1954, allowed concentration of
companies that did not obstruct market competition and were
granted relatively broad freedom for merging corporations
within the coal, iron and steel industries; these new rules
accelerated reconcentration [48, S.48; 49]. With
reconcentration permitted for vertically integrated
corporations affiliated with the coal and iron and steel plants,
several coal and iron and steel companies that were
previously dissolved, such as Mannesmann, Klöckner, and
Rheinstahl-Phöenix, restructured their corporations on the
basis of the prewar foundation, that is, the consolidation of
coal and steel [National Archives, RG59, 862A.054, Status of
Decartelized and Deconcentrated German Coal and Steel
Companies (23.6.1955), p.1].
Among the 34 instances of corporate concentration in West
Germany approved by the 1962 ECSC, 14 were related to the
reconcentration of corporations that were forced to dissolve
postwar [50, S.245]. This powerful concentration of
production in a relatively small number of large corporations
was a result of highly intensified competition [47, S.5], and it
increased in the latter half of the 1950s in response to the
competitive conditions in the market. For example, according
to Thyssen‘s 1957/1958 annual report, the Thyssen group of
Anti-monopoly Policy and New System of Large Corporate Groups in Germany after World War II
IIERD International Conference 6 Buenos Aires,Argentina
corporations had the following four objectives : (1)
strengthening cooperative ties that had already emerged, (2)
strengthening resistance to market changes through
horizontal integration of specialized production domains, (3)
exploring new possibilities for rationalization and lower
costs, and (4) greater competitiveness [51, S.11]. The
emerging need for stronger ties within the group as a method
to adapt to the market‘s business environment and increasing
competitiveness necessitated reconcentration. EEC member
nations were definitely not complementary partners in their
industrial production structure, but rather competitors; this
competitive environment greatly accelerated the
concentration and consolidation process [52, S.20].
For banks, the abolition and cancelation of allied nation
regulations was a great opportunity for reconcentration. With
the approval from the US in 1952, banks were zoned into
three operational districts- northern, western, and southern—
and concentrated into nine large banks through mergers.
Deutsche Bank, Dresdner Bank, and Commerz Bank, each
inherited three financial institutions [National
Archives, RG59, 862A.14, Reconcentration of German
Commercial Banks (10.1.1957), p.1; 4, p.165; 53, S.102104;
54]. The December 1956 law abolished mutual capital
participation by banks, personalties among executives from
inherited banks, and restricted issuance to only that of
registered stock [55, p.49]. The top three banks were
authorized to establish themselves, except for subsidiary
financial institutions in Berlin, and return to their respective
pre-war institutions [National Archives, RG59, 862A.14,
Reconcentration of German Commercial Banks (10.1.1957),
p.1; 53, S 105; 56, S.40-41]. The reconcentration occurred in
1957. Deutsche Bank‘s primary reasons were to improve their
international standing and the position of the new group in
their handling of large accounts, gain greater flexibility in
maintaining unified credit policies, and realize the economic
potential of its business operations [National Archives,
RG59, 862A.14, Present and Forthcoming Bank Merger in
West Germany (3.5.1957)].
In their reconcentration efforts, the top three banks strongly
lobbied the government while demonstrating their initiative
[Vgl.57, S. 526-544]. At the time, government policy offered
no opposition to mergers, and even most Social Democratic
Party (SPD) leaders agreed to return to the concentration of
banks [National Archives, RG59, 862A.14, United States
Policy regarding Reconcentration of German Banks
(15.12.1955), p.1]. With the new order in Europe during the
1950s and with efforts through new cooperation models in a
larger economic sphere, early postwar regulations on large
German banks were no longer deemed appropriate, but rather
unreasonable, an opinion that continued to gain momentum
[58, S.35]. Banks played a critical role in the concentration of
monopolies and in bringing about new developments in the
system of large corporate groups. Klöckner‘s reconcentration
exemplifies concentration through bank intermediaries, from
which they gained majority interests in coal companies that
split from larger corporate group [59, S.26; 60, S.25].
RECONCENTRATION OF MONOPOLIES AND
DEVELOPMENT OF
DIVISIONS OF LABOR IN BUSINESS DOMAINS
Based on the abovementioned developments, the next
important issue are how large businesses operations were
restructured amidst reconcentration or concentration, and
how, as a result, the system of large corporate groups was
restructured. The most striking manifestation of the
restructuring of operations in conjunction with the
reconcentration of monopolies occurred in the coal, iron and
steel industries. Thus, we will focus on these industries in the
next section.
In the iron and steel industry, the process of corporate
concentration beginning in the 1950s essentially proceeded in
two stages. The first stage was the return of a company
temporarily deconcentrated through dissolution to its
previous state; this stage ended in 1958 and 1959 as
reorganizations ended. The second stage included the close
cooperation of many large corporate groups in production and
investment [52, S.1].
As discussed, the dissolution of monopolies in the postwar
era was related to the ―integrated economy‖ that
underpinned productive forces in Germany‘s heavy industry.
Thus, the movement to reconcentrate proceeded with the aim
of expanding production units and product types and
strengthening the vertical combination of coal and iron and
steel industries [61, S.9; 62, p.53]. These goals were also
intended to integrate production capacity in the iron and steel
industry and adopt advanced technologies [21, p.381].
Examining the successor companies of Vereinigte
Stahlwerke AG, Phöenix and Rheinrohr corporations merged
due to the relationship of the former as a supplier of semi-
finished steels with the latter [National Archives, RG59,
862A.331, Merger of Rheinische Roehrenwerke AG and the
Huettenwerke Phoenix AG with Approval of High Authority
(11.2.1955); ThyssenKrupp Konzernarchiv, NST/82,
Zusatzprotokoll zur Niederschrift über die 38.
Aufsichtsratssitzung der Hütten- werke Phoenix AG am
2.07.1954 zur geplanten Fusion, S.7]. In 1959, Ilseder Hütte
decided to convert two subsidiaries into parent companies to
simplify their management structure and ease financial and
other burdens [National Archives, RG59, 862A.053,
Anti-monopoly Policy and New System of Large Corporate Groups in Germany after World War II
IIERD International Conference 7 Buenos Aires,Argentina
Reconcentration of Ilseder Huette, Pein (1.4.1959), p.1]. For
Thyssen, the initial target of reconcentration was entirely
related to the Duisburg region.
They signed an Agreement of Community of Interests in
September 1955 prior to merging capital. The next year
August Thyssen and Niederrheinische Hütte AG consolidated
their corporations by stock exchanges [ThyssenKrupp
Konzernarchiv, A/33073, Die Schrit über die Entscheidung
über die Genehmigung des Abschlusses eines Interessen-
gemeinschaftsvertrages zwischen der August Tyssen-Hütte
Aktiengesellschaft und der Niederrheinische Hütte
Aktiengesellschaft durch die Hohe Behörde (23.5.1956), S.1,
S.3; ThyssenKrupp Konzernarchiv, A/33073,
Rückgängigmachung von
Entflechtungsmaβnahmen im Bereich der August
ThyssenHütte und der Niederrehinischen Hütte (16.1.1956),
S.3; 7, S.60]. The effective complementary relationship
between these two companies disappeared as a result of the
dismantling of Thyssen‘s production equipment as part of the
occupation policy. In addition, for Niederreinische Hütte, it
became impossible to produce thick and medium plates
because of the dismantlement of the production equipment.
Thus, the reconcentration of Thyssen and Niederrheinische
Hütte, which was in response to these difficult conditions,
aimed to fill the supply gap since it could not be resolved
through a supply agreement [ThyssenKrupp Konzernarchiv,
A/30819, Abschluss eines Interessengemeinschaftsvertrages
zwischen der August Thyssen-Hütte AG. und der
Niederrheinische Hütte AG., Duisburg (15.9.1955), S. 7-9] .
The second target of Thyssen‘s reconcentration was Deutsche
Edelstahlwerke AG, with which they merged in 1957. This
was a result of August Thyssen lacking his own electric steel
production plant in Duisburg, and in that regard, the
possibility for cooperation in production technology,
especially for crude steel, was considered [ThyssenKrupp
Konzernarchiv, A/30778, Pressenotiz zur Übernahme eines
Mehrheitpakets der Deutsche Edelstahlwerke AG durch
August Thyssen-Hütte AG (20.12.1956); 7, S.60, S.330]. The
merger of Thyssen with these two companies provided the
impetus for the divisions of labor that followed. Thyssen
valued the production of flat bars, semifinished steels, and
large profile iron. In response, Niederrheinische Hütte AG
focused on rod wire and bar steel, whereas Deutsche
Edelstahlwerke AG focused on the production of high-grade
steel and other value-added steels [ThyssenKrupp
Konzernarchiv, A/30819, Abschluss eines
Interessengemeinschaftsvertrages zwischen der August
Thyssen-Hütte AG. und der Nieder-rheinische Hütte AG.,
Duisburg (15.9.1955), S.8-10; ThyssenKrupp
Konzernarchiv, A/30819, Interessengemeinschaftsvertrag
zwischender Niederrrheinische Hütte Aktiengesellschaft,
Duisburg-Hochfeld,und der August Thyssen-Hütte
Aktiengesellschaft, Duisburg-Hamborn (15.9.1955), S.1; 63,
S.219].
With the purchase of shares in Hüttenwerke Siegerland
AG and Rasselstein-Andernach‘s steel rolling company in
1957 and 1958/1961, respectively, Thyssen secured sales
channels for band iron. These purchases also achieved the
benefit of division of production labor on a product-
byproduct basis [ThyssenKrupp Konzernarchiv, A/31870,
Unser Antrag auf Genehmigung des Zusammenschlusses
unseres Unternehemens mit der Phoenix-Rheinrohr AG
(27.4.1960), S.3; ThyssenKrupp Konzernarchiv, A/31870,
Die Schrift an den Herrn Bundesklanzler von
Dr.Pferdmenges, ThyssenKrupp Konzernarchiv, A/31870,
Der Brief an Herrn Dr. Robert Pferdmenges (3.9.1960); 63,
S. 215, S.218; 64, pp.156-162]. The new Thyssen group
became the only capital group in West Germany with a steel
production plant in the postwar stage. This plant was
characterized by ultra-large scale blast furnaces, LD
converters, continuous rolling to automatic rolling mills, and
a steel production system on a large scale. The restructuring
through post-dissolution reconcentration was also significant
for such economies of scale [64, p.1, p.179].
Among the 13 successor companies resulting from the
postwar dissolution of Vereinigte Stahlwerke AG,
reconcentration in the 1950s resulted in only four surviving
companies by the early 1960s: August Thyssen,
PhöenixRheinrohr, Rhein Steel, and the Dortmund-Hörde
Hütten Union. Within most of these, corporate mergers and
expansions did not result in direct competition with the other
corporations; each company chose to expand and integrate
production capacity in separate domains, seeking profit
through division of labor. That is, most of Vereinigte
Stahlwerke AG‘s steel production capacity was once again
folded into the operations of either Thyssen or
PhöenixRheinrohr. This specialization of product supply in
the rolled-product markets for the most part did not overlap,
and they enabled a product-based division of labor between
the two companies. Specifically, Thyssen specialized in the
production of lighter plate, semi-finished and finished rolled
sheets, coils, rod wire, and specialty steel, whereas
PhöenixRheinrohr specialized in the production of steel pipe,
heavy plates, semi-finished steels, and raw iron. As a result
of the dissolution of Vereinigte Stahlwerke AG, Rheinische
Stahlwerke AG inherited Vereinigte‘s interests, except for
those from steel production. The Dormund-Hörde Hütten
Union became an important producer of crude steel; however,
unlike the other corporations, it was not broadly diversified
Anti-monopoly Policy and New System of Large Corporate Groups in Germany after World War II
IIERD International Conference 8 Buenos Aires,Argentina
into the iron and steel industry. The Union planned for
concentration in two domains, heavy plate and both bar and
structural steel by the early 1960s. Other large corporate
groups such as Hoesch, Klöckner, Mannesmann, Hüttenwerk
Oberhausen AG, and Krupp predominantly followed the
Dormund-Hörde Hütten Union‘s path of specialization. Each
attempted to organize the production of steel and rolled
products, such that companies could realize a strong position
in the limited number of markets [21, pp.381-383; 65, S.110-
115, 66, ThyssenKrupp Konzernarchiv, A/31927,
Zusammenschluβ im Sinn des Artikel 66 des
Montanunionvetrages (MUV) zwischen der
August Thyssen-Hütte AG(ATH) und der PhoenixRheinrohr
AG Vereingte Hütte- und Röhrenwerke
(Phoenix) (22.5.1962), S.1].
Next, we will examine companies other than Vereinigte
Stahlwerke AG. Within a few years after the restructuring that
occurred with dissolution, Flick, Gutehoffnung, Klöckner,
Otto Wolff, and Hoesch re-emerged as an integrated
organization that was larger in investment and production
scale than the previous Vereinigte Stahlwerke AG [67,
S.532]. At Mannesmann, the disassociation with the coal
company due to the postwar dissolution had been restored by
the mid-1950s, and the restoration of an integrated
organization proceeded [68, S.27; 69, S.27]. Thereafter, in the
fall of 1958, their six most important subsidiaries merged
with the parent company [70, S.1439]. Similarly at Hoesch,
of the three successor companies that split due to dissolution,
two were returned to the parent company. The plan called for
a vertical integration of coal and steel industries, as this was
a condition for survival among Ruhr‘s coal and steel
corporations [71, S.36-37; 72, S.1163]. Hoesch restructured
as a large corporate group comprising of four core
corporations in the late 1950s, with many subsidiaries
established thereafter [73, S.1092; 74]. Even at Krupp,
Hüttenwerk Rheinhausen AG assumed control over Bochmer
Verein, a successor to Vereinigte Stahlwerke AG, with the
primary objective of benefitting from the division of labor.
Hüttenwerk Rheinhausen AG mainly produced mass
products through Thomas steel, as opposed to Bochmer
Verein, which focused on the production of high-grade steel
using LD processes and electric furnaces. This consolidation
facilitated the expansion of production programs and division
of labor. Within materials supply in the processing sector,
Krupp formed a lucrative consolidation with its supplier,
Bochmer Verein [62, pp.98-100]. At Gutehoffnung,
dissolution measures ended vertical ties, and the
reconcentration movement affected reconsolidation of the
steel and coal sectors in 1957. The energy-related
consolidation of Hüttenwerk Oberhausen AG and Bergbau
AG Neue Hoffnung expanded through ties with Ruhrchemie
AG, in which Bergbau AG Neue Hoffnung had capital
investments [62, pp.124-125]. Reconcentration in coal and
steel industries thus generated more advantageous conditions
than those before dissolution.
The reconcentration of monopolies temporarily ceased in
the late 1950s, but with the growth of fierce competition and
pressure from the 1958 crisis, the process of accumulation
and concentration proceeded in the second stage. The new
economic advances that emerged in 1959 and 1960 were
already forgotten as the economy stagnated again in 1961. In
addition, the Thyssen group began building close cooperative
relationships with the Dortmund-Hörde and Hoesch groups at
the beginning of the 1960s in response to the powerful
expansion. Hoesch, in a collaborative effort with
Mannesmann, begun construction of a large steel pipe
factory, and the cooperation of these three groups was
partially demonstrated in joint capital procurements and in
the joint use of rolling facilities. In 1962, Thyssen,
Mannesmann, and Hoesch formed agreements regarding
cooperation in production and investment [52, S.2]. Thus, one
form of concentration resulting from increased competition at
the end of the 1950s and the beginning of the 1960s was the
various pacts between large corporate groups for joint
research and development activities and the allocation of
production equipment for joint use [47, S.5-6].
SIGNIFICANCE OF NEW DEVELOPMENTS IN
LARGE CORPORATE GROUP SYSTEMS
Based on the foregoing discussion, we will now turn our
attention to the significance of new developments in the
systems of large corporate groups that accompanied the
dissolution of monopolies and later reconcentration. During
this period, to simplify management, large companies formed
scales that were suitable for management, which were
founded through liquidation of large corporate groups; this
was observed through the process of concentration and
reconcentration of monopolies. This process created
important preconditions for thorough rationalization [75,
S.11, S.13].
This type of concentration helped create a system that
exhibited economies of scale through the benefits of
specialization and division of labor. This approach intended
to reform systems that enables large corporate groups to
develop more effective operations in response to
opportunities for technological reforms, provided by US
implementation under the transition to a system of
oligopolistic competition. In other words, this type of
development strengthened the systems of inter-firm
relationships; these relationships formed for the expansion of
Anti-monopoly Policy and New System of Large Corporate Groups in Germany after World War II
IIERD International Conference 9 Buenos Aires,Argentina
corporate activities that emphasized market segments adapted
to oligopolistic competition in the form of ―division of labor
complementary to each product.‖ For the iron and steel
industry, this approach meant leveraging ―integrated
economy‖ benefits between the coal and steel industries to
transform the system on the basis of collaborative
intercorporate relationships in pursuit of scale merit through
―division of labor with complementary products‖ between
large corporate groups.
This systemic transition aggregated production, sales, and
management as the foundation of an industrial system; in
terms of maintaining economic consistency, it strengthened
German large corporate groups [76, pp.3-4, p.8] functioning
on the lines of organic parent-subsidiary corporate groups
based on the principle of product-based division of labor. It
created better conditions for business rationalization and
facilitated the pursuit of economies of scale as well as
strengthened the foundation for cooperation-based market
control. This postwar business structure differed from
industrial concentration systems that were based on market
control with a high level of concentration through giant trusts,
which included industrial sectors seen in the prewar era,
particularly those in beginning of the 1920s; instead, it more
carefully pursued functional benefits. Relationships with such
―complementary product-based divisions of labor‖ among
corporate groups proceeded between large corporate groups
[36, pp. 3-4, p.8]. These relationships differed from the
prewar period‘s economic concentration through cartels, and
were meaningful as a systemic transformation for
monopolistic market control based on the economic benefits
of the division of labor. This was a system of large-scale
business, appropriate to large corporate groups; however,
they differed from Japan‘s industrial groups and the full-set
industrial structure found thereafter. These were reforms to
the system of large-scale business that incorporated
collaborative relationships in response to global and domestic
competition. The system helped German corporations avoid
intense price competition and was an important foundation
for the development of management methods, which adopted
a style of management that focused on competing with
quality.
CONCLUDING REMARKS
Based on the foregoing analysis, we present conclusion in
this paper. Concerning competition policy, in particular
antimonopoly policy, Germany‘s federal government
considered the social market economy in the framework of a
postwar economic order as critical for economic policy,
particularly to further expand and solidify the domestic
market economy and competition [77, S.150]. Before the war,
monopolies and cartels in the market were accepted under the
Nazi-controlled economy, with the state meddling in
economic affairs of a ―politicized economy‖; however,
postwar, the state played a more regulatory role in economic
policy. This economic policy was based on a philosophy that
emphasized market mechanisms by limiting government to
an auxiliary role and the strict separation of politics and
economy [78, pp. 196-197].
Regarding the formation of anti-monopoly policy and
Germany‘s freedom in its process, even with the US
dominating anti-monopoly policies, Germany had more
freedom than Japan throughout the process of enacting
antimonopoly regulations.
For instance, in Japan as defeated nation, anti-monopoly
policies, such as the 1947 Anti-Monopoly Act, were enacted
early on under the strong guidance and pressure from the
GHQ. Although several subsequent revisions to the law eased
restrictions, the overall framework continued to follow the
guidelines established by occupation authorities; holding
companies were outlawed as were the buying and holding of
treasury stocks [79, pp.664-665]. In contrast to Japan,
Germany‘s Restrictive Trade Practices Act passed in late
1957 permitted holding companies, which served as a means
of corporate control and inter-corporate unions. These issues
were, and have remained, fundamental to the harmonious
state of German capitalism and corporate concentration and
unions.
Regulatory mechanisms under the Restrictive Trade
Practices Act, which dealt with regulative and antimonopoly
policies, were linked to an industrial system based on inter-
firm relations. They influenced business development based
on trust, which replaced cartels, and a complementary
division of labor in the product fields within large-scale
corporate groups. The restructuring of the system of large
corporate groups emphasized the benefits of ―division of
labor‖ based on specialization in response to oligopolistic
competition. The systems of inter-firm relationships after the
war formed for the expansion of corporate activities that
emphasized market segments adapted to oligopolistic
competition in the form of ―division of labor
complementary to each product.‖ Development of divisions
of labor in business domains among the large corporate
groups as well as inside the large corporate groups built the
foundation for corporate behavior focused on quality
competition rather than price competition and became an
element of cooperative characteristic of German capitalism.
Anti-monopoly Policy and New System of Large Corporate Groups in Germany after World War II
IIERD International Conference 10 Buenos Aires,Argentina
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664665.
The Impacts of Broadband on Economic Growth in
People‟s Republic of China: Empirical Analysis
from Panel Data
[1] Siyue Yang, [2] Prapatchon Jariyapan, [3]Jianxu Liu
[1][2][3] Faculty of Economics,Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai, Thailand
Abstract: This research study is to analyze the impacts of broadband on economic growth in 30 regions of People’s Republic of China
during 2006 to 2015 by using panel data. Firstly, adopting Padroni method to examine whether exists the cointegration among
economic growth and broadband constructions. Regarding the empirical results, there has a long-run relationship between
broadband constructions and economic growth. Secondly, based on the empirical results from panel dynamic ordinary least square
(DOLS) and fully modified ordinary least square (FMOLS), there exists a long run elasticity equilibrium co-integration within the
variables, and the coefficients of independent variables are positive. Then selecting fixed effect models based on the results of
Hausman test and applying panel GLS to measure the impact of broadband constructions on Chinese economy. In conclusion, it can
be summarized that broadband constructions are significant aspects which positively impact on Chinese economic development.
Index Terms— broadband, economic growth, panel data, cointegration, fixed effects, DOLS, FMOLS.
I. INTRODUCTION
Since the 20th century, with the rapid development of
scientific and technological innovation, technological
progress plays an important role in economic development.
Broadband has the characteristics of breaking through the
limitation between time and space. On the one hand,
broadband use has great connection with daily life, it
brought more convenience for users. On the other hand, with
broadband infrastructure industry has been developing so
fast in recent years, broadband technology as a new factor
that promotes GDP growth cannot be ignored, not only due
to its major economic activity having large multiplier
effects, but also because improvement in broadband
constructions usually comes with extensive external social
and economic benefits.
Moreover, the Chinese economy has developed dramatically
in past decades, since 2010, Chinese total GDP value
exceeded that of Japan to become the second largest
worldwide. Nowadays, Chinese GDP had reached 1,0385.66
billion dollars in 2016. So that China‟s rapid economic
growth has attracted the global attention of many scholars
and economists.
According to global broadband research institute of United
Nations (2013), broadband penetration rate growth by 10
percent could boost GDP growth by 2.5 percent in the
People‟ Republic of China [1]. Also, Chinese internet users
have grown to 731 million users and the internet penetration
rate reached 53.2 percent in 2016, and Guangdong province
has the highest broadband subscribers in comparison to
other 29 regions. According to statistical database, GDP
value in Guangdong reached about 8 trillion Yuan in 2016,
and it is over other provinces of People‟s Republic of China
in recent 28 years, which implies the constructions of
broadband and regional economic development has a
connection. Improving the constructions of broadband is
conducive to economic growth.
Based on the above description, this paper will mainly
discuss two problems. Firstly, it will measure whether exist
long-run relationship between broadband constructions on
Chinese economy. Secondly, as the cointegrated variables
are given, then added to examine the long-run elasticity.
Thirdly, generalized least square (GLS) method was used to
estimate the cointegration regressions. In this paper, Internet
users, broadband subscribers port of Internet and investment
in computer services and software are represented the
broadband constructions respectively.The rest of the paper
is organized as follows. Section 2 provides the literature
reviews. Section 3 conducts the theoretical model, and
section 4 presents the data source and description. The
econometric methodology and empirical results are
presented in section 5. Lastly, Section 6 reported the
conclusions.
The Impacts of Broadband on Economic Growth in People‟s Republic of China: Empirical Analysis from Panel
Data
IIERD International Conference 15 Buenos Aires,Argentina
II. LITERATURE REVIEW
The dramatic broadband constructions appreciation over
recent years, with increasing issues related to internet and
economic growth, has been studied. The studies involved are
divided mainly into two groups; one to examine the main
factors that affecting broadband development, and another
to investigate the relationship between infrastructure of
broadband and economic growth. However, few studies
were conducted by using cointegration relationship between
broadband constructions and economic growth.The
literature with differing empirical evidence regarding the
relationship between broadband constructions and economic
growth, with some relevant researches finding a one-way or
two-way relationship between them. Minges [2] explored
the relationship between broadband and economic growth
with 120 developing and developed countries. The result
showed that the fixed broadband would increase GDP
growth by 1.21 percent in developed economies and 1.38
percent in developing ones during 1980 to 2006.
Moreover, Atif et al. [3] found every 10 percent increase in
the growth of broadband penetration will raise economic
growth per employee by approximately 0.035 percentage
points among OECD countries over the period of 1998 –
2010. Gilchrists [4] employed the log-linear approximation
model to indicate that the higher the broadband penetration
the greater the impact on economic growth in the eastern
Caribbean telecommunications authority (ECTEL) member
countries from 2002 to 2014. Kindbom [5] utilized a fixed
effects model and employed ordinary least square (OLS) to
find the effect of broadband on the growth of GDP is
positive and significant.
There are several Chinese research papers performed the
relation of the multi-variables with Chinese economy and
broadband infrastructure. Yong Zhang [6] studies the
contributions of internet information services on economic
growth by utilizing total factor productivity(TFP) to
construct the growth model in research, the result indicated
that the contributions of internet information services on an
average annual GDP growth rate has reached 1.54 percent.
Baoguo Han [7] discussed the impacts of broadband
network and information services on economic growth by
deriving a model of quantitative relationship between
information service and the division of labor based on Yang-
Borland‟s division of labor model, from the results found
that 10 percent increase in broadband penetration raised
annual per capita growth rate by 0.19 percentage points.
As above description, most of the analyses indicated that
broadband has significant and positive effects on economic
growth. The different results depend on different
methodologies and different endogenous variables.
III. THEORETICAL MODEL
The theoretical model of this study is based on the
Cobb-Douglas production function (1928). The traditional
production function regards the output as a function of
capital and labor, according to Cobb-Douglas, which is the
basic form as following: , (1)
where, A is technology efficient determining all factors of
production, Y is output, K is capital stock, L is labor force,
and represent the output elasticity of the capital
investment and labor investment.
Therefore, the model function forms of this study
have been derived as follows:
F ( (2)
where, is gross domestic product in province i at
time t,
is capital stock in province i at time t,
are employment persons in province i at time t,
is Internet users in province i at time t,
is broadband subscribers port of internet in province i
at time t,
Comit is investment in computer services and software in
province i at time t. is the fixed effect
is a random disturbance item.
Taking the natural logarithm into the equation (2), the
derived equation for this study as following:
(3)
where, is a constant intercept, , , , and are
constant slope coefficients of capital stock, employment
persons, internet users, broadband subscribers port of
internet, investment in computer services and software
respectively. is the fixed effect, is a random disturbance
item.
IIERD International Conference 14 Buenos Aires,Argentina
The Impacts of Broadband on Economic Growth in People‟s Republic of China: Empirical Analysis from Panel
Data
IIERD International Conference 16 Buenos Aires,Argentina
The above regression model is used in this paper that explain
the relationship between dependent variable and
independent variables.
IV. DATA SOURCE AND DESCRIPTION
This study employed panel data analysis for 30 provinces,
municipalities and autonomous regions from 2006 to 2015
in People‟s Republic of China. In addition, in view of data
availability considerations, this paper collected data that
except Hong Kong, Macao, Tibet and Taiwan regions.
All data collected from Chinese statistical yearbook in
national bureau of statistics in People‟s Republic of China,
and those data including real GDP (measured in constant
2006 Yuan), internet users (measured by 10,000 persons),
broadband subscribers port of internet (measured by 10,000
ports), capital stock (constant base on 2000 Yuan),
employed persons (measured by 10,000 persons),
investment in computer services and software (measured by
100 million Yuan). Table 1. is the data statistics description
of all variables including LnGDP, LnCOM, LnINT, LnK,
LnSUB and LnL in China from 2006 to 2015.
Table 1: Data statistic description
Obs.
Mean
Median
Maximum
Minimum
Std.Dev.
LnGDP 300
9.30836
9.437245
11.19564
6.474662
0.93389
LnCOM 300
4.189488
4.289318
6.496562
0.465117
0.960681
LnINT 300
4.566816
4.699107
6.655183
1.308333
1.004937
LnK 300
9.884396
9.987592
11.69247
7.443492
0.877852
LnSUB 300
6.187289
6.305727
8.469871
2.734368
1.125874
LnL 300
5.944797
6.034484
7.587452
3.765972
0.758345
Source: China Statistic Bureau, 2006-2015.
Table 1 shows that data statistic in Republic of China from
2006 to 2015, 300 observations of LnGDP, LnCOM,
LnINT, LnK, LnSUB and LnL in the study. The mean and
median value of LnGDP are 9.30836 and 9.437245,
respectively, and the maximum and minimum values of
LnGDP are 11.19564 and 6.474662, respectively. The
standard deviation of LnGDP is 0.93389. Moreover, the
mean and median value of LnCOM are 4.189488 and
4.289318 respectively, and the maximum and minimum
values are 6.496562 and 0.465117, respectively, the
standard deviation of LnCOM was 0.960681. Furthermore,
the mean and median value of LnINT are 4.566816 and
4.699107 respectively, and the maximum and minimum
values are 6.655183 and 0.465117, respectively, the
standard deviation of LnINT is 1.004937. The mean and
median value of LnK is 9.884396 and 9.987592,
respectively, and the maximum and minimum values of LnK
are 11.69247 and 7.443492, respectively. The standard
deviation of LnK is 0.877852. And The mean and median
value of LnSUB is 6.187289 and 6.305727, respectively,
and the maximum and minimum values of LnSUB are
8.469871 and 2.734368, respectively. The standard
deviation of LnSUB is 1.125874. Lastly, the mean and
median value of LnL is 5.944797 and 6.034484,
respectively, and the maximum and minimum values of LnL
are 7.587452 and 3.765972, respectively. The standard
deviation of LnL is 0.758345.
V. METHODOLOGY AND EMPIRICAL RESULTS
The unit root test is a common approach to analyze whether
the data is stationary or non-stationary at level I (0) or first
derivation I (1) before testing for cointegration. [8] Then,
panel estimation considers about fixed effects model and
random effects model, and Hausman test will be used in
model selection and compare the estimators of the tested
models.
a. Panel unit root test
The unit root test was conducted to avoid of spurious
regression problem. All variables need to be stationary at
any point estimated, a non-stationary time series will
become stationary after differencing several times. [9]
There are six methods for panel data unit root test, which
are: Levin-Lin-Chu (2002), Breitung (2000), Im-PesaraShin
(2003), Fisher-type test using ADF (Maddala and Wu,1999),
Fisher-type test using PP test (Choi,2004) and Hadri (2000)
to check for the presence of stationary around a deterministic
trend or mean with a shift against a unit root.[10] The
properties of panel-based unit root tests under the
assumption that the data is independent and identically
distributed (i.i.d) across individuals. Two panel unit root
tests: LLC and IPS, are preformed to check for the presence
of stationary in this study.
The results of the stationary test by adopting LLC and IPS
with the existence of intercept and trend are shown in the
table 2. The results are present level aeries and first
difference series. Both LLC and IPS teat present among
LnGDP, LnCOM, LnK are only stationary and significance
after being first difference. And for LnSUB and LnL, both
LLC test results display that stationary in level series, then
both tests result are all stationary in first difference series, as
The Impacts of Broadband on Economic Growth in People‟s Republic of China: Empirical Analysis from Panel
Data
IIERD International Conference 17 Buenos Aires,Argentina
LnINT in both tests are stationary at the 1% level. Hence,
the results strongly support the conclusion that the series are
not cointegrated at I (0), but the series are stationary at I (1),
which mean next step could exam whether exist long-run
relationship between variables by applying the
cointegration.
Table 2: Panel unit root test results
Level Series First Difference Series
Variables LLC IPS LLC
IPS
LnGDP 1.90286 5.09179 -13.9328***
-1.02594**
(0.9715) (1.0000) (0.0000)
(0.0200)
LnCOM 1.62920 3.49863 -18.0327***
-8.12284***
(0.9484) (0.9998) (0.0000)
(0.0000)
LnINT -24.8722*** -6.30322*** -21.3789***
-2.59643***
(0.0000) (0.0000)
(0.0000)
(0.0000)
LnSUB -10.5160*** -1.06424
-27.5326***
-3.56671***
(0.0000) (0.1436)
(0.0000)
(0.0002)
LnK 2.98679 32.2084
-22.3229***
93.7770***
(0.9986) (0.9988)
(0.0000)
(0.0035)
LnL -3.65967*** 3.51519
-5.60236***
-1.99107**
(0.0001) (0.9998)
(0.0000)
(0.0232)
Note:1. The null hypothesis: series has a unit root.
2. , , and indicate rejection of the null
hypothesis at the 1%, 5%, and 10% level of statistical
significance, respectively.
3. The values in parentheses are p.value.
b. Panel cointegration test
This study will proceed to test whether broadband
constructions and economics growths are cointegrated.
Pedroni (2000, 2004) method is used to perform the
cointegration test.
In case of all variables are stationary at order I (1), so there
are probably having long-run relationship among internet
users (LnINT), broadband subscribers port of internet
(LnSUB), capital stock (LNK), employed persons (LNL),
investment in computer services and software(LnCOM) and
economic growth (LNGDP). Therefore, panel cointegration
test is used to confirm the presence of the cointegration of
the six variables.
The equation of cointegration regression models explicate
as follows:
The Pedroni‟s results are reported in
table 3, which 5 out of 7 Pedroni‟s statistics significantly
reject the null hypothesis of no cointegration. In conclusion,
Pedroni‟s results support that exists cointegration among the
six variables. In other word, there have a long-run
relationship between broadband constructions and economic
growth.
Table 3: Pedroni’s cointegration tests results
Within dimension Between dimension
Panel v-Statistic Group rho-Statistic
1.532387* (0.0627) 7.390499 (1.0000)
Panel rho-Statistic Group PP-Statistic
5.267985 (1.0000) -17.02839*** (0.0000)
Panel PP-Statistic Group A-Statistic
-13.75943*** (0.0000) -14.75899*** (0.0000)
Panel ADF-Statistic
-11.95195*** (0.0000)
Note:1. The null hypothesis: no cointegration.
2. indicate rejection of the null hypothesis at the
1% level of statistical significance, respectively.
3. The values in parentheses are p.value.
c. Panel long run elasticity test
Additionally, after cointegration test, the study about impact
of broadband constructions on economic growth would
examine the long-run elasticity. Table 4 summarized the
coefficients of LnCOM, LnINT, LnSUB, LnL and LnK by
adopting panel dynamic ordinary least square methods
(DOLS) by Kao and Chiang (1999) and fully modified
ordinary least square methods (FMOLS) by Pedroni (2000).
[11] From Table 4, it is enough to reject null hypothesis, in
another word, there have a long run equilibrium co-
integration within the variables and the coefficients of
independent variables in the long run are positively and
statistically significant at level.
In DOLS, the results imply long run elasticity of LnCOM,
LnINT, LnSUB, LnL and LnK on GDP are 0.050872,
0.052400, 0.189460, 0.227362 and 0.467116, respectively.
The Impacts of Broadband on Economic Growth in People‟s Republic of China: Empirical Analysis from Panel
Data
IIERD International Conference 18 Buenos Aires,Argentina
that one percent increases of investment in computer and
software will promote economic growth about 0.050872
percent, and one percent grows in internet users will enhance
the economic growth about 0.0524 percent. And one percent
rise with broadband subscribers‟ port of internet, which will
advance economic growth about 0.189460 percent. And one
percent increase in employment persons, it will boot
0.227362 percent in economic growth When one percent
increase in capital stock, there will grow 0.467116 percent
in economic.
Similarly, according to the FMOLS, it presents when
increasing one percent of investment in computer and
software, internet users, broadband subscribers port of
internet, capital stock, in employed persons, respectively.
That would promote economic growth with 0.049477
percent, 0.03496 percent, 0.210509 percent, 0.413855
percent and 0.266436 percent, respectively. In conclusion,
the impact on economic growth are not far different with the
FMOLS and DOLS in this study.
Table 4: Results of Panel DOLS and FMOLS
Dependent
Variable:LnGDP DOLS FMOLS
Independent Variabes Coef. Coef.
LnCOM 0.050872*** 0.049477***
LnINT 0.152400** 0.034960***
LnSUB 0.189460*** 0.210509***
LnL 0.227362*** 0.413855***
LnK 0.467116*** 0.266436***
Adjusted R-squared 0.995550 0.996001
S.E of Regression 0.062297 0.057354
Notes:
1.The null hypothesis: There is no long run equilibrium
cointegration within the variables
2. means rejection of the null hypothesis at the 5% level
of significance, respectively.
d. Panel estimation
Panel estimation classified with fixed effects and random
effects. Fixed effects method assumes that every province
specific effects are fixed over time and affect the economic
growth is correlating with the exogenous variables [12]. The
fixed effects model is used to analyze coefficients of
estimator the model of regression. The model will be taken
in the form of equation (5). Random effects method suppose
that the individual specific effect is not correlated with the
exogenous variables. The random effect model will be seen
in the form as equation (6).
(5)
(6)
Hausman (1978) test which be used in model selection and
compare the estimators of the tested models. As table 5 is
reporting that the p-value of Hausman test statistic is
significant at 1% level, which it rejects the null hypothesis,
so it defines that random effects model is more appropriate
in this study. Moreover, the panel GLS method can be used
to examine the specific relationship and impact of
independent variables on economic growth.
Table 5 summarize the results of panel GLS approach with
fixed effect model, the coefficients of all independent
variables are significant at 1% level, and the effects are
positive as well. Among the five independent variables, the
impact coefficient of internet users, broadband subscribers
port of internet and investment in computer services and
software are 0.059779, 0.177596 and
0.157036, respectively those three variables represented the
broadband constructions. And impact of employment
persons and capital stock on economic growth are been
found 0.227199 and 0.503345. Taking broadband
subscribers port of internet as an example, it represents that
one percent increase in broadband subscribers‟ port of
internet is followed by 0.157036 percent change in
economic growth.
By performing panel GLS method, also, LnGDP as
dependent variables, the following equation is written as
below:
(7)
According to empirical results, effects are positive as
expected, so not only broadband constructions but also
capital stock and labor force are crucial components of
economic growth.
The Impacts of Broadband on Economic Growth in People‟s Republic of China: Empirical Analysis from Panel
Data
IIERD International Conference 19 Buenos Aires,Argentina
Table 5: Panel Estimation with GLS method using fixed
effect model
Variables
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
LnCOM
0.059779***
0.006963
8.585718
LnINT
0.177596***
0.010441
7.431554
LnSUB
0.157036***
0.018043
8.703439
LnL
0.227199***
0.028534
7.962498
LnK
0.503345***
0.029631
16.98703
C
1.907095***
0.207911
9.172662
Hausman test
Chi-Sq. Statistic
54.005644
p-value
0.0000
Adjusted
Rsquared
0.997631
S.E. of regression
0.061242
Notes:
1.The null hypothesis: There is no long run equilibrium
cointegration within the variables.
2. means rejection of the null hypothesis at the 1% level
of significance, respectively.
CONCLUSION
Comparing with other traditional influencing factors,
broadband is a new field in researching economic growth in
case of People‟s Republic of China. The main purpose of
this study is to explain and analyze the impact of broadband
constructions on economic growth in People‟s republic of
China. Moreover, considering another two traditional
factors of macroeconomics which related with economic
growth, capital stock and employment persons.
The empirical results show those followings concluding
remarks.
Firstly, all variable series are cointegrated at I (1), and
results of panel cointegration test showed a long-run
relationship between broadband constructions and economic
growth, capital stock and employment persons have a long-
run relationship with economic growth as well.
Secondly, this paper examined panel long run elasticity
between dependent variables and independent variables by
adopting the DOLS and FMOLS methods. The empirical
results indicated that variables have long run elasticity
equilibrium co-integration, and impact of broadband
constructions, capital stock and employment persons on
economic growth are significant and positive.
Thirdly, after comparing the fixed and random effects
model, the results show that fixed effects model is better in
this research. Furthermore, GLS examination reports a
positive relationship between broadband constructions and
economic growth. And the effects of two traditional factors,
capital stock and employment persons are positive as well.
Thus, taking advantage of these results can provide policy
suggestions for government to take broadband constructions
as a vital part in economic growth.
In conclusion. according to the empirical results stated
above mentioned, the government can consider long-run
policies to adjust the effects of broadband constructions on
economic growth, which roughly cover following two
points: (1) To enhance the broadband constructions and
Internet popularization, continually. (2) To implement and
accelerate the innovation in broadband constructions
industry. Furthermore, the technological progress, capital
stock and employment should also be considered as well,
these are vital components for economic growth in People‟s
Republic of China.
REFERENCES
[1] State of broadband report of United Nations: catalyzing
sustainable development. (2013).
[2] Michael Minges, Exploring the relationship between
broadband and economic growth by using a panel data.
Background Paper prepared for the World Development
Report 2016: Digital Dividends, January 2015.
[3] Atif et al. (2012), Broadband infrastructure and
economic growth, a panel data analysis of OECD
countries.
[4] Gilchrist, Impact of broadband on economic growth in
ECTEL member states. Estern Caribbean
Telecommunications Authority. October 31, 2015.
[5] Kindbom, Effect of broadband spread on growth in
GDP, Jonkoping University, business school, 860306-
5973.May,2012
[6] Yong Zhang (2014). The influences of internet
development on China‟s economic growth.
[7] Baoguo Han (2015). Broadband network, information
services and Chinese economic growth.
The Impacts of Broadband on Economic Growth in People‟s Republic of China: Empirical Analysis from Panel
Data
IIERD International Conference 20 Buenos Aires,Argentina
[8] Hamit-Haggar, M. (2012). “Greenhouse gas emissions,
energy consumption and economic growth: A panel
cointegration analysis from Canadian industrial sector
perspective.”
[9] Carlaw, K. I. and R. G. Lipsey (2002) „Externalities,
Technological Complementarities and Sustained
Economic Growth,‟ Research Policy, 31 (8-9),
13051315.
[10] Romer, P. M. (1990). “Endogenous technological
change.” Journal of Political Economy vol 98.71-102.
[11] P. Pedroni (2000). Fully modified OLS for
heterogeneous cointegrated panels, advances in
econometrics, 15, 93-130.
[12] Masoomeh et al. (2016), No.9807. A comparison of
panel data models in estimating technical efficiency.
Financial Performance of Initial Public Offerings: Companies listed on Dar es Salaam Stock Exchange
Financial Performance of Initial Public Offerings:
Companies listed on Dar es Salaam Stock Exchange
Gibson Hosea Munisi
Department of Business Studies, School of Earth Sciences, Real Estates, Business and Informatics, Ardhi
University, Tanzania
Abstract : The purpose of this study it to examine the difference in financial performance before and after Initial Public Offerings
(IPOs) in companies listed on Dar es Salaam Stock Exchange (DSE) in Tanzania. The company financial performance is measured
by using financial performance ratios. Hypothesis of difference between pre-IPOs and post-IPOs financial performance is tested by
using significance test on the difference between the mean score of the pre-IPOs and the mean score of the post-IPOs financial
performance. The findings indicate there is significant difference between pre-IPOs and post-IPOs financial performance.
Specifically, the findings indicate there is significant increase of post-IPOs financial performance. At least, the study indicates there
is no significant evidence that pre-IPOs performance is higher than post-IPOs performance. However, the study indicates the results
depend on measurements of performance used in the data analysis. The study is of value to various stakeholders who are interested
in the financial performance of listed companies in developing countries in Sub-Sahara Africa and Tanzania in particular. These
findings are useful to current and potential investors in stock exchanges in developing countries in general and DSE in particular.
The findings have policy implication for roles of the regulators of stock market, shareholders monitoring and governance of listed
companies, as results indicate at least performance of listed companies do not deteriorate after IPOs. This has implication for
attraction of investment from both domestic and foreign investors because indicators of better performance after IPOs increase the
confidence of investors as they become more optimistic on future financial performance of IPOs.
Keywords: Financial performance; Initial public offerings; Working capital
INTRODUCTION
Initial Public Offering (IPO) involves the issuing of the
securities to the public for the first time. It happens when
company engages in offering of shares to the public and listed
on stock exchange for the first time. IPO allows company to
raise funds from the general public for the first time. IPO is
considered as an important event for some entrepreneurs,
executives, board members and shareholders because it is an
achievement that demonstrates their success in building a
strong business and creating value for owners, employees and
customers [1]. IPO is an entrance into a new stage life as
public company that possesses not only its own unique
opportunities but also risks and challenges [1]. Some of those
opportunities are such as opening door to liquidity for
investors and general public, who can invest their money in
company by buying shares in stock exchange markets [1].
Company can use capital generated from IPO for common
company purposes, such as working capital, research and
development, retiring existing indebtedness and acquiring
other companies or businesses which in turns may have
significance implication for future performance of company.
In the other hand, there are some challenges during the
process of issuing shares such as exposing company’s
information to public and more seriously to competitors [1].
This is because an IPO company must present its prospectus,
which contains key inside information about company, to the
public as part of requirements of issuing shares to the public.
By providing this information to the public, albeit with good
intention to abide to requirements of listing, company may
expose important strategic information such as intellectual
property, compensation, financial status and projections,
material agreements and business plans. This can provide
opportunity to competitors to imitate company’s strategies
and accelerate implementation of similar strategies or
counterattack strategies in advance of listing company [1,2].
In the other words, competitors may use this information to
know about strategies of listing company and formulate or
adjust their own strategies to become more competitive at
expense of listing company [2]. Additionally, when involved
in IPO process, listing company incurs some costs such as
compliance cost and management time spent in IPO process.
Company may outsource some professionals such as lawyers
and accountants who may charge significant amount of fees.
Top management must their use valuable time to engage in
IPO process activities such as planning and meeting potential
IIERD International Conference 20 Buenos Aires,Argentina
Financial Performance of Initial Public Offerings: Companies listed on Dar es Salaam Stock Exchange
IIERD International Conference 22 Buenos Aires,Argentina
and significant investors and regulatory bodies [1]. This may
distract their attention from core mission of business; as a
result, performance of company may decline after IPO
exercise is completed.
Existence of both advantages and disadvantages of IPO
suggests that listing of company on stock market can have
positive and/or negative effects on financial performance.
The positive and negative effects may improve and weaken
after IPO performance respectively which creates uncertainty
about future performance of listing company. The uncertainty
on performance after IPO, suggests that before engaging in
IPO; management of company must critically analyze all
relevant circumstances by considering not only its own
strengths and weaknesses but also opportunities and threats
that exist in the external environment. In the other words,
management of listing company must carefully weigh both
advantages and disadvantages of public listing before
implementing final decision to initiate IPO process and
finally list shares on stock exchange.
In addition to general benefits and costs associated with
IPO, there are some other factors which can lead to change in
pre-listing performance. Previous studies have identified at
least three potential factors which can cause decline of
company financial performance [3-8]. First, companies tend
to go public at the peak of their long-run performance, which
they know cannot be sustained in the future [3]. Second, the
dilution of shares of company when company goes public is
likely to give rise to agency problem [5] which in turns, may
cause poor financial performance in the future. Third,
managers may attempt to window-dress accounting
information before listing by using earnings management
techniques [8], which may overstates pre-IPO performance
while understating post-IPO performance. This is more likely
to happen when managers can use accrual accounting to
borrow future profits [6,7]. The earnings management and
borrowing of future profit just before IPO aim to portray
artificial good performance to attract members of public to
invest in shares.
Given the existence of uncertainty in the process of IPO, it
is obvious that the process is likely to have either negative or
positive effects on company’s future financial performance.
In this respect, this study examines the change in company’s
financial performance between pre-IPO and post-IPO.
Specifically, the study examines whether pre-IPO financial
performance is significantly different from postIPO financial
performance. This study contributes to understanding of
reliability of pre-listing financial performance as indicators of
future financial performance of companies listed in Dar es
Salaam Stock Exchange. The indicators of financial
performance are one of the most important factors used by
investors to make decisions of either or not to invest in IPOs.
Since most investors are likely to be attracted by good
financial performance they are likely to make decision based
on wrong information if listing company intentionally is
deceptive in relation to its indicators of financial
performance. The findings are useful to stock market
regulators who receive and evaluate applications of
companies seeking public listing. Furthermore, the findings
are useful to accounting profession and stock market policy
makers who are concerned with financial information
presented by companies where they are going public.
Initial Public Offering and Stock Exchange Markets
The history of IPO goes back when the earliest form of
company which issued public shares during the Roman
Republic. Dutch East India Company is believed to be the
first modern company to issue public shares in the beginning
of 17th century. In developed countries many large
companies are listed in stock exchanges. The New York
Stock Exchange (NYSE) is the biggest equity market in the
world with a market capitalization of about $21 trillion in year
2015. Generally, stock exchange is one of major sources of
capital finance in the world [9].However, in most African
countries, specifically in Sub-Saharan Africa, stock
exchanges opened in the 1990s, except in the cases of Kenya
and Nigeria, where stock exchanges started in the year 1954
and the year 1960 respectively [10]. In addition, many
countries in Sub-Saharan Africa have not yet established
stock exchanges and many of those which have been
established are not very active [10].
In Tanzania, shares are listed on and traded at Dar es Salaam
Stock Exchange (DSE). The formation of the DSE followed
the enactment of the Capital Markets and Securities Act, in
the year 1994 and the establishment of the Capital Markets
and Securities Authority (CMSA) which is the agency of
Tanzania Government established to promote and regulate
securities business in the country [11]. DSE was incorporated
in the year 1996 and began trading operations in the year
1998. DSE is the only formal trading place for securities in
Tanzania. Both local and foreign investors are allowed to
participate in DSE. Foreign investors were not allowed until
recently when the Tanzania government issue the capital
markets and securities (foreign investors) regulation in the
year 2014 [12]. The participation of foreign investors is
significant achievement as it allows companies listed in the
exchange to attract capital from foreign market. According to
Financial Performance of Initial Public Offerings: Companies listed on Dar es Salaam Stock Exchange
IIERD International Conference 23 Buenos Aires,Argentina
recently market reports from DSE, foreign investors are
major buyers of shares traded at DSE as about seventy percent
of all shares purchases at DSE during the period from July
2014 to August 2015 were done by foreign investors [13].
The participation of foreign investors exposes the exchange
and listed companies to global financial market; therefore,
more analysis is likely to be done by foreign investors who
have more skills, knowledge and experience than domestic
investors in stock exchange dealings.
CMSA licenses and regulates investments intermediaries and
deals with the issuance and trade of securities, approves all
companies wishing to be listed at the DSE. According to daily
market reports issued by DSE, total market capitalization of
DSE as of 12th August 2015 was Tshs 22,601.29 billion
which is equivalent to USD 10,796.76 million [13]. Although
the DSE commenced operation about seventeen years ago the
historical records indicate that the speed of companies to list
is going at a very low pace because until August 2015 there
were only twenty one companies which were listed on DSE
[13]. Moreover, out of these listed companies, fourteen
companies were primary listed and the remaining companies
were cross listed predominantly from the Nairobi Stock
Exchange in Kenya. This low pace may be due to several
factors. Although, this is not the aim of this study, but one of
reasons may be the fact that many companies put more
weights on disadvantages rather than on advantages that are
associated with public listing; so as result, they become
reluctant to list shares on stock exchange.
Since DSE started its operations, one company, National
Investment Company Limited, was delisted because of
presentation of misleading accounting information in their
annual report. Additionally, according to DSE daily market
reports for the year 2014/2015, three companies which are
TOL Gases Ltd, Tatepa Company Ltd, and Precision Air
Services Plc, their shares had been relatively inactive in
trading for a very long period. These listings are examples of
non-performing IPOs which received public money but have
not performed as were expected by many investors who
participated in these IPOs. The factors which could contribute
to poor performance may not be very clear but one thing
which investors should be aware of is investment in IPOs is a
risk business which needs careful assessment before making
the final decision to invest [14,15]. Some IPOs may portray a
very promising future which may attract a lot of attention and
positive interest from several investors. However, these IPOs
may turn out to be just window dressing or projections based
on weak assumptions [16]. Investors can only obtain the
expected returns if IPOs can at least maintain pre-IPO
performance for a reasonable time in the future. Therefore, it
is important to study trend of IPOs performance in order to
understand whether there is a significant difference between
pre-IPO performance and post-IPO performance. Listing
before implementing final decision to initiate IPO process
and finally list shares on stock exchange.
In addition to general benefits and costs associated with
IPO, there are some other factors which can lead to change in
pre-listing performance. Previous studies have identified at
least three potential factors which can cause decline of
company financial performance [3-8]. First, companies tend
to go public at the peak of their long-run performance, which
they know cannot be sustained in the future [3]. Second, the
dilution of shares of company when company goes public is
likely to give rise to agency problem [5] which in turns, may
cause poor financial performance in the future. Third,
managers may attempt to window-dress accounting
information before listing by using earnings management
techniques [8], which may overstates pre-IPO performance
while understating post-IPO performance. This is more likely
to happen when managers can use accrual accounting to
borrow future profits [6,7]. The earnings management and
borrowing of future profit just before IPO aim to portray
artificial good performance to attract members of public to
invest in shares.
Given the existence of uncertainty in the process of IPO, it
is obvious that the process is likely to have either negative or
positive effects on company’s future financial performance.
In this respect, this study examines the change in company’s
financial performance between pre-IPO and post-IPO.
Specifically, the study examines whether pre-IPO financial
performance is significantly different from postIPO financial
performance. This study contributes to understanding of
reliability of pre-listing financial performance as indicators of
future financial performance of companies listed in Dar es
Salaam Stock Exchange. The indicators of financial
performance are one of the most important factors used by
investors to make decisions of either or not to invest in IPOs.
Since most investors are likely to be attracted by good
financial performance they are likely to make decision based
on wrong information if listing company intentionally is
deceptive in relation to its indicators of financial
performance. The findings are useful to stock market
regulators who receive and evaluate applications of
companies seeking public listing. Furthermore, the findings
are useful to accounting profession and stock market policy
makers who are concerned with financial information
presented by companies where they are going public.
Financial Performance of Initial Public Offerings: Companies listed on Dar es Salaam Stock Exchange
IIERD International Conference 24 Buenos Aires,Argentina
Initial Public Offering and Stock Exchange Markets
The history of IPO goes back when the earliest form of
company which issued public shares during the Roman
Republic. Dutch East India Company is believed to be the
first modern company to issue public shares in the beginning
of 17th century. In developed countries many large
companies are listed in stock exchanges. The New York
Stock Exchange (NYSE) is the biggest equity market in the
world with a market capitalization of about $21 trillion in year
2015. Generally, stock exchange is one of major sources of
capital finance in the world
[9]. However, in most African countries, specifically in
Sub-Saharan Africa, stock exchanges opened in the 1990s,
except in the cases of Kenya and Nigeria, where stock
exchanges started in the year 1954 and the year 1960
respectively [10]. In addition, many countries in SubSaharan
Africa have not yet established stock exchanges and many of
those which have been established are not very active [10].
In Tanzania, shares are listed on and traded at Dar es
Salaam Stock Exchange (DSE). The formation of the DSE
followed the enactment of the Capital Markets and Securities
Act, in the year 1994 and the establishment of the Capital
Markets and Securities Authority (CMSA)which is the
agency of Tanzania Government established to promote and
regulate securities business in the country [11]. DSE was
incorporated in the year 1996 and began trading operations in
the year 1998. DSE is the only formal trading place for
securities in Tanzania. Both local and foreign investors are
allowed to participate in DSE. Foreign investors were not
allowed until recently when the Tanzania government issue
the capital markets and securities (foreign investors)
regulation in the year 2014 [12]. The participation of foreign
investors is significant achievement as it allows companies
listed in the exchange to attract capital from foreign market.
According to recently market reports from DSE, foreign
investors are major buyers of shares traded at DSE as about
seventy percent of all shares purchases at DSE during the
period from July 2014 to August 2015 were done by foreign
investors [13]. The participation of foreign investors exposes
the exchange and listed companies to global financial market;
therefore, more analysis is likely to be done by foreign
investors who have more skills, knowledge and experience
than domestic investors in stock exchange dealings.
CMSA licenses and regulates investments intermediaries
and deals with the issuance and trade of securities, approves
all companies wishing to be listed at the DSE. According to
daily market reports issued by DSE, total market
capitalization of DSE as of 12th August 2015 was Tshs
22,601.29 billion which is equivalent to USD 10,796.76
million [13]. Although the DSE commenced operation about
seventeen years ago the historical records indicate that the
speed of companies to list is going at a very low pace because
until August 2015 there were only twenty one companies
which were listed on DSE [13]. Moreover, out of these listed
companies, fourteen companies were primary listed and the
remaining companies were cross listed predominantly from
the Nairobi Stock Exchange in Kenya. This low pace may be
due to several factors. Although, this is not the aim of this
study, but one of reasons may be the fact that many
companies put more weights on disadvantages rather than on
advantages that are associated with public listing; so as result,
they become reluctant to list shares on stock exchange.
Since DSE started its operations, one company, National
Investment Company Limited, was delisted because of
presentation of misleading accounting information in their
annual report. Additionally, according to DSE daily market
reports for the year 2014/2015, three companies which are
TOL Gases Ltd, Tatepa Company Ltd, and Precision Air
Services Plc, their shares had been relatively inactive in
trading for a very long period. These listings are examples of
non-performing IPOs which received public money but have
not performed as were expected by many investors who
participated in these IPOs. The factors which could contribute
to poor performance may not be very clear but one thing
which investors should be aware of is investment in IPOs is a
risk business which needs careful assessment before making
the final decision to invest [14,15]. Some IPOs may portray a
very promising future which may attract a lot of attention and
positive interest from several investors. However, these IPOs
may turn out to be just window dressing or projections based
on weak assumptions [16]. Investors can only obtain the
expected returns if IPOs can at least maintain pre-IPO
performance for a reasonable time in the future. Therefore, it
is important to study trend of IPOs performance in order to
understand whether there is a significant difference between
pre-IPO performance and post-IPO performance.
DATA AND METHODOLOGY
Data used in this study was manually collected from the
annual reports of the companies listed on DSE. A sample
includes companies which are primary listed on DSE. A list
of all listed companies was obtained from the website of DSE.
This list indicates among other things the name and the year
Financial Performance of Initial Public Offerings: Companies listed on Dar es Salaam Stock Exchange
IIERD International Conference 25 Buenos Aires,Argentina
in which company was listed on DSE. The list has twenty one
companies, out of these companies, fourteen are primary
listed and the rest are secondary listed. This study focuses
only on the primary listed companies because they are more
relevant to IPO events studies because these companies were
widely exposed to the public for the first time when engaged
in IPOs rather than secondary listed companies which have
already endured storms of post IPO events in stock exchange
where they are primary listed. The final sample includes ten
companies that were possible to collect data both before and
after IPO. Data were collected for five years before IPO and
after IPO period from annual reports which were obtained
from either respective companies’ websites or offices and
DSE’s website or office. However, a size of sub-sample of
before IPO is smaller than that of sub-sample of after IPO.
This is because of unavailability of reports for some of
previous years.
The analysis focuses on assessing whether there is significant
difference on company financial performance before and
after IPO events. Financial performance can be measured in
different ways, however, the most common measures are
accounting performance and stock market price performance.
This study uses accounting performance to measure company
performance because accounting performance is a better
measurement of performance than stock price measurement
especially in developing countries stock markets. The stock
market developing countries, like Tanzania, are characterized
by a high degree of inefficiency, high illiquidity and stock
prices which do not reflect available information [3,10,17]. In
this environment the stock market information may not
reflect a reasonable market value of the shares as it might be
the case in stock markets in developed countries. The
financial performance is measured by some accounting
performance ratios which are return on assets (ROA), return
on equity (ROE), return on capital employed (ROCE) and
sales to assets (SA).
DEFINITION AND MEASURES OF VARIABLE
Return on Assets
Return on Assets (ROA) is an indicator of profitability of
company in relation to its operating asset. It is computed by
dividing operating profit before tax by total operating assets.
ROA gives an idea as to how efficient management is at using
its assets to generate profit. It shows ability of company to
generate returns from its operating profit.
Return on Equity
Return on Equity ratio (ROE) is a profitability ratio that
measures the ability of company to generate profits from its
shareholders equity. ROE is expressed as a percentage of net
income to shareholder's Equity. Return on equity measures
ability of company to generate returns on shareholders equity.
Return on Capital Employed
Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) is the ratio of net
operating profit to capital employed. It measures the
profitability of company by expressing its operating profit as
a percentage of its capital employed.
Capital employed is the sum of stockholders' equity and long-
term finance. Alternatively, capital employed can be
calculated as the difference between total assets and current
liabilities. A higher ROCE indicates more efficient use of
capital.
Sales to Assets
Sales to Asset ratio (SA) is an efficiency ratio that measures
ability of company to generate sales from its assets by
comparing net sales with average total assets. In the other
words, this ratio shows how efficiently company can use its
assets to generate sales. This is computed by dividing net
sales by total operating assets. Table 1 provides information
on the descriptive statistics before and after IPO.
Table 1: Summary statistics of performance variable.
Table 1 indicates that ROA marginally increased from 12.2
percent before IPO to 13 percent after IPO. This suggests that
Financial Performance of Initial Public Offerings: Companies listed on Dar es Salaam Stock Exchange
IIERD International Conference 26 Buenos Aires,Argentina
the performance of companies as measured by return on
assets improved marginally by 0.8 percent. This indicates that
after IPO the rate of utilization of assets to generate operating
profit increase by 0.8 percent. In the other hand, there is high
decrease of ROE as it is only 12.2 percent after IPO compared
to 24 percent before IPO. This change is a decrease of about
one hundred percent. This may be explained by change in size
of equity values of some companies after issue of shares.
Issue of new shares may increase both a number of shares and
amount of equity while the operating profit may remain
almost at the same level as it was before an IPO’s event.
From Table 1, the ROCE ratio was 16.1 percent before IPO
but it decreased to 15.5 percent after IPO. This is decline of
0.6 percent which implies that companies did not employ
their capital effectively and is not generating good value to
shareholders after the IPO. Moreover, SA ratio indicates that
the ability of companies to generate revenue out of total assets
increased from 0.989 times before IPO’s event to 1.53 times
after IPO’s event.
Two Sample means difference between Pre-IPO and
PostIPO Financial Performance
This study examines whether the mean difference between
pre-IPO and post-IPO financial performance is significant by
carry out two-sample t-test with the null hypothesis that the
mean difference between pre-IPO and post-IPO financial
performance is zero. Table 2 presents the results of two
samples means differences.
Table 2: Result of test of two sample mean differences.
The results show that when measure of performance is
ROA, post-IPO performance is higher than pre-IPO
performance; however, the difference is not significant. As
for ROE and ROCE measurements, the results indicate that
financial performance increased after IPO, but the difference
is not significant. Therefore, based on these results, there is
no a sufficient evidence to reject the null hypothesis when
financial performance is measured by ROA, ROE or ROCE.
In the other hand, the results indicate when financial
performance is measured by Sales to Assets ratio, the post-
IPO performance is higher than pre-IPO performance and the
difference is statistically significant (p>0.01). In this case
there is a sufficient evidence to reject the null hypothesis.
CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS
Stock exchange markets play major role in mobilization of
capital finance from general members of public who when
considered individually may have a very little amount of
capital but which may be significant when aggregated in one
basket [9]. Due to possibility of existence of significant
amount investment capital from general public the stock
exchanges is one of good sources where companies which are
looking for capital can issue financial instruments such as
shares and bonds to general public to raise more capital funds.
Investors can use stock exchange to buy shares and become
shareholders of listed companies with expectation of
obtaining benefit from these investments through future
dividends and capital gains by increase in value of shares.
However, investors can only obtain these benefits if the listed
company performs better after IPO.
Listed company might fail to perform if management
either fails to make appropriate analysis of internal and
external environment or make wrong conclusion about future
performance of company. Furthermore, some companies may
deliberately mislead investors by window dressing or
dishonestly utilize the existence asymmetric information to
exploit investors [7]. This may lead to poor company
performance in the future because good performance reported
before IPO will not be sustainable since it was based on false
assumption. This problem can affect many investors in
underdeveloped stock exchanges like DSE where many
investors do not have sufficient skills, knowledge and
experience about stock market and dealing with securities. In
the other hand, listed company can make appropriate analysis
and arrive at correct and positive conclusion about future
Financial Performance of Initial Public Offerings: Companies listed on Dar es Salaam Stock Exchange
IIERD International Conference 27 Buenos Aires,Argentina
company performance. Also, management may present a true
and fair view about company performance which may
indicate actual good performance. If information presented
before IPO indicates company performance is good based on
true and fair view, there is a high probability that company
may continue to perform either at same level or even better
given that other factors remain constant. However, because of
existence of uncertainty about the accuracy of information
presented by company, there is no clear indication of
direction in which company performance may take after
listing. Principally, there are three possible changes on future
performance of company after IPO. The performance after
IPO may increase, remain constant or decline relative to
performance before IPO. Therefore, this study examines the
difference in accounting performance before and after IPOs.
In general the findings indicate there is difference between
pre-IPO and post-IPO accounting performance. However, the
significance of the difference depends on measurement of
performance used in the analysis.
Specifically, the findings indicate post-IPO is high than
preIPO when performance is measured by Sales to Assets
ratio. The findings of this study contradict the findings of
other studies such as Kim et al. [5], Wang [4] and Wong [18]
which indicated the performance declines after IPO. This is
implies there is no consistency in findings in IPO’s events
studies. This makes difficult for researchers and practitioners
to reach a general conclusion on whether companies perform
better after IPO or otherwise. The lack of conclusive results
may be due to a number of factors such as selection of
variables and their measurements, timing of data collection
and contexts of studies. For example, this study uses three
different measures of financial performance and only one
measure indicates there is significant difference between
post-IPO and pre-IPO performance. This implies that
measurement of financial performance can influence the final
results in these types of studies.
Results of this study have implication for policy makers,
investors and future research. The findings have policy
implication for roles of regulators of stock market,
shareholders monitoring and governance of listed companies.
This is because the results indicate at least the performance
of listed companies does not deteriorate after IPOs. The
findings of this study have implication for investors in IPOs,
particularly in DSE where both local and foreign investors
participate in trading shares. Specifically, the results indicate
that it is important to make analysis of performance of listing
company both before and after investment decision. Also, it
is equally important to be aware not every measurement of
performance may provide appropriate information about
company performance. The study also has important
implication for the future research on IPO performance.
Specifically, the results indicate that conclusion drawn on
performance of IPO should be interpreted cautiously because
the result may be affected by measurement of company
performance. Moreover, the context of study may affect the
findings as it may explain to a certain extent the current
situation of lack of consensus in IPOs performance research.
ACKNOWLEDGMENT
The acknowledgement goes to a group of students of
Bachelor of Accounting and Finance at Ardhi University in
the year 2015 who participated in the preliminary stages of
this study.
REFERENCES
1. Allison S, Hall C, Mcshea D, Vanye K (2008) The Initial
Public Offering Handbook: A Guide for Entrepreneurs,
Executives, Directors and Private Investors. Minnesota,
USA.
2. Singh I, Mitchell Van Der Zahn JLW (2008)
Determinants of Intellectual Capital Disclosure in
Prospectuses of Initial Public Offerings. Accounting and
Business Research 38: 409-431.
3. Jain BA, Kini O (1994) The Post-Issue Operating
Performance of IPO Firms. Journal of Finance 49:
16991726.
4. Wang C (2005) Ownership and Operating Performance of
Chinese IPOs. Journal of Banking & Finance 29:
18351856.
5. Kim KA, Kitsabunnarat P, Nofsinger JR (2004)
Ownership and Operating Performance in An Emerging
Market: Evidence from Thai IPO Firms. Journal of
Corporate Finance 10: 355-381.
Efficiency in the Economics of Management and
Ways to improve it
Sailau Baizakov
Doctor of Economy, Scientific Supervisor, Economic Research Institute, Kazakhstan
Abstract : The paper presented the analyses of one of the enigmas as set forth by the managerial economics. In analysing it, the paper
formulated ways of resolving the enigma. The paper developed the theorem, which uncovered the essence of the twodimensional
measuring the indicators of the balanced economic growth in a developing economy. The outcomes of the analyses, carried out by
the study, are expected to put a halt to the ineffective and inefficient use of natural material, capital and labour resources in any
given developing economy. To that end, the results of the analyses will help open up the path leading to the effective green economy
and will help maximize on the cost saving in the use of natural resources. The findings of the analyses will contribute to the
development of the managerial economics and will be essential assets in measuring the balanced economic growth in developing
countries. The novice of the paper is that the solution to the problem set as explained in this paper has ever been uncovered before.
Keywords: Two-dimensional measurement; Balanced growth; Resources; Cost efficiency
INTRODUCTION
Solving of the Baye enigma
In his book titled Managerial Economics and Business
Strategy, Michael R. Baye configured the subject matter of
his research in the light of the following developments: in the
late 20th century, a member of government of Japan
characterized American workers as „lazy and unproductive‟
[1]. Such outright description of the then American workers
productivity entailed from the timing spent by a Japanese
Honda company worker in manufacturing a Civic model car,
which equalled to 10.9 hours while at the same time an
American worker of Ford company spent 16 hours to produce
an Escort model car. Such obvious disproportion raised
serious concerns amongst stakeholders of the giant car
manufacturing corporations, including General Motors, Ford,
and Chrysler. Furthermore, the situation was aggravated with
the fact that in the early 90s the big three suffered from
dramatic losses. To that end, shareholders figured that the
low worker productivity was the main cause of companies‟
losses.
Methodological principles suggested by American
corporations as applied to the solution of the Baye problem
set
The managers of the American corporations eventually made
stakeholder concerns on the inefficiency of the American
automobile industry sooth down, − noted M. R.
Baye in his article published in the Automotive News
Journal. The article quoted an hourly pay to an American
worker, which was 2 dollars less compared to the 18 dollars
per hour payment received by a Japanese worker. Thus, the
American hold on the above-quoted payments differences
threw the light on the essence of labour productivity that
stemmed from the compensation of the labour spent for
manufacturing a unit of production, not the labour costs.
Methodological principles as applied to the solution of the
Baye problem set on the suggestion of Japan (according to
M. Baye)
Let us re-iterate to the issue of just a positioning of the
productivity of the American and Japanese workers, − wrote
M. R. Baye. Thus, the Japanese Honda company spent 10.9
hours to manufacture a car while the American Ford
company 16. Those figures were obtained by dividing the
total amount of workers time spent by the company‟s
workers (labour units) by the total amount of cars
manufactured (volume of production). From today‟s
perspectives, it is obvious that the resulting figures are, in
fact, the reverse values of the average productivity of the
American and Japanese workers in the automobile industry.
To be more specific, those relate to the average productivity
of the two car manufacturing corporations. If we recalculate
these figures in the reverse order, we will obtain the average
productivity of a Japanese worker to be: 1/10.9=0.09 while
that of his American counterpart will equal to: 1/16=0.06. In
my opinion, Michael R. Baye unveiled the inner essence of
the methodological principles that had been applied by Japan.
It was done by means of the assessment of the labour
productivity through the direct labour intensity of production.
IIERD International Conference 27 Buenos Aires,Argentina
Efficiency in the Economics of Management and Ways to Improve it
IIERD International Conference 29 Buenos Aires,Argentina
The theorem formulated by N. A. Nazarbayev relating to
the Fifth Path of the development of a national economy.
Application of the Fifth Path Model in constructing a
generic market equilibrium model
Theorem: For the reason that the causes of any of global
crises and the act of defining ways of exiting it are hidden in
the knot of non-resolvable contradictions that arise between
the rates and the levels of the technological, monetary-
andfinancial, and socio-political development in each of
world countries, a clear definition of the three „layers‟ of the
innovation acquires an increasing importance in discovering
the very self of the innovation [2].
The aim of constructing the Fifth Path-derived generic
market equilibrium, based on the definition of true costs of
goods and services
The aim of developing a generic market equilibrium model
is to ensure unity of the key indices of economic growth in
the system of national accounts in such a manner that they be
adequate to the stage of the development of innovations in
the technical-and-technological, fiscal-andmonetary and
socio-political set-ups of the national economy of every
country of the world, as a whole, in line with the Nazarbayev
Fifth Path Theorem.
From the methodological perspective, this model includes
the real GDP index, which is centred on the technological
„layer‟, from out of the three „layers‟ defined in the theorem.
The GDP growth index by final consumption is also
incorporated in the methodology. It reflects the sociopolitical
„layer‟ of the development of innovations. It also
incorporates the nominal GDP growth index, which reflects
the rate of changes in the fiscal-and-monetary „layer‟ of the
development of innovations in any given world country.
Their unity of those three „layers‟ is currently being
ensured by employing and further developing various
analyses models under the Keynesian economic policy and
the Friedman monetary policy. The first of those models has
been geared to equalize one pair of the rates of growth,
namely, technical-and-technological and socio-political
development in any given economy.
The second model is to balance the rates of growth of the
other pair, namely, the fiscal-and-monetary and
technicaland-technological development in any given
country.
In fact, the first model does not take into account the fiscal-
and-monetary „layer‟ of the innovations. The second model
does not account for the technical-and-technological „layer‟
of the innovations. Besides, one of them derives from the
methodological principles of the short-term development of
commodity markets, while the other – on financial markets.
Removal of the above-noted deficiencies of existing models
of market equilibrium requires resolving the following tasks.
The first task relates to the necessity of assessing the input
made by the scientific and technological potential in the
sustainable development of an economy Resolving the first
task by definition of true costs of goods and services ensures
market equilibrium between the indicators at the
macroeconomic level and those at the microeconomic level:
The product of the direct labour intensity of produce (t) in
man- hours of worker time spent for materializing the
aggregate expenditures of production of goods and services,
in their money form (Х=C+V+M) equals to the product of
full labour costs (T) in man-hours of worker time and the
annual income, in their money form (Y=V+M):
t*X=T*Y (А)
The main outcome obtained from applying formula (А) is
in defining the function of the scientific and technological
potential (STP) in its dependence from the efficiency in the
use of material, labour, capital and natural resources с=µ/
(1+µ).
In the first instance, the function of the STP is с = μ /(μ+1)
that in the course of growth of production of intermediate
products μ (Figure
1. line a) acquires the value within the range of 0.08 to 9.0
along the ascending line, which at point μ= 2.0 acquires value
about 0.7 and, at point μ equals to μ= 8.0– 0.89.
In the second instance, which is ideal for us, where the
function of the STP с = μ/(μ+1) that in the course of
production the intermediate product μ (Figure 1. line b)
acquires values from 0 to 9.0. We assume that it will move
along the descending line, which at point μ= 0 acquires value
0.89 and at point μ= 9.0 – 0.7.
Efficiency in the Economics of Management and Ways to Improve it
IIERD International Conference 30 Buenos Aires,Argentina
The other two potentially viable instances have been
marked in Figure 1 by the lines that go parallel to the axis,
which indicates the productivity of the product of
intermediate consumption μ. The first of those two lines
characterize the real time situation in developing markets
given that the STP coefficient remains stable. Thus, the
instance where с=0.6 for any μ has been reflected in Figure
1, line k. The second line, which is parallel to the axis of the
productivity of the product of intermediate consumption,
transcends the crossing points of both of the curves. Above
that line, the parameters of the balanced growth of advanced
markets are reflected as line d.
The second task is linked to the necessity of defining the
function of true costs of goods and services
The second task of defining the function of true costs of
goods and services (рс), as the reverse value of the
purchasing power of national currency units
(рр):рс=F(рр)=pb/c. It is based on the two dimensional
measurement of capital, in its money form, and capital, in its
commodity form.
Owing to the two-dimensional measurement of the
indicators of
economic development, there emerges an opportunity to effectively
manage limited resources in any given individual country. It can be
realized by using not only the Leontief model, which was expressed
in the monetary form, but also, the new law that helps to balance
supply and demand at the macroeconomic level [3]:
FUGP=pp*NGDP=c*RGDP (В)
where FUGP, NGDP and RGDP are the actual consumed final
product, the nominal GDP and the real GDP, and c= pb/рс is the
rate of growth of the scientific and technological potential while
1/с=T/t denotes the level of clustering of the goods and services
markets, рс=1/pp=pb/с- the rate of growth of true costs of goods
and services is defined in its direct correlation to the GDP deflator.
It is reversely correlated to the rate of growth of the scientific and
technological potential of any given individual country.Assessment
of the American and Japanese methodological principles using the
methods of the precise definition of the three „layer‟ innovation:
for simple instances, the test calculations may be carried out on the
basis of the input data pertaining to the Baye problem set. In this,
one can find immediate answers to all quests posted by this
research. This can be done by using the Nazarbayev theorem of the
three layered innovation.
Thus, since the product releases in the US and Japan were
measured by the use of labour productivity, we may take them as the
ones that are equal to one another:
Х(А)=Х(J)=1(С)
Let the direct labour intensity of manufacturing of one car in the
US be t(A)=16 and in Japan t(J)=10.9 man-hours. The size of the
hourly worker pay is $16 in the US and $18 in Japan. Here, we may
derive the compensation of the 16 hour labour of 1 worker in US to
be equal to t*1=16*16=$256. The same indicator for Japan
will equal to t*1=10.9*18=$196.2.
The annual income for the period 1995-1997, which corresponds
to the time series as mentioned in the Baye-quoted example, stood at
the annual average of 36%. Accordingly, given the income of
Y=0.36X, full expenditures in the US equalled to
T=256/0.36=$711.1 at the $16 hourly rate. Accordingly, in Japan,
the same indicator equalled to T=196.2/0.38=$516.3.
Correlations, deriving from formula (А)