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Regionalism and bilateral counter-terrorism cooperation: the case of India and Thailand

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Abstract

After major terrorist attacks in the United States on September 11, 2001, Bali, Indonesia in 2002, and Mumbai, India in 2008, India and Thailand responded in disparate ways. Thailand was slow to respond out of fear of alienating the large Muslim population in its restive south. India, after Mumbai, moved to create and strengthen domestic institutions that would hasten counter- terrorism measures, with limited success. In the years that followed these seminal events, both Bangkok and New Delhi have, like other South Asian and ASEAN states, moved toward bilateral and multilateral counter-terrorism partnerships. This paper surveys the history of terrorism in both countries and their domestic responses, persistent domestic and regional challenges, and documents a growing India-Thailand bilateral counter- terrorism partnership – particularly in the sectors of maritime security, intelligence sharing, extradition, and joint security cooperation. This paper contributes to a growing body of literature on emerging South-South partnerships by evaluating India-Thailand counter-terrorism cooperation and explores avenues for future bilateral exchanges and multilateral opportunities within institutional bodies, such as ASEAN and BIMSTEC.
Regionalism and bilateral counter-terrorism cooperation: the
case of India and Thailand
Mark S. Cogan
a
and Vivek Mishra
b,c
a
College of Foreign Studies, Kansai Gaidai University, Hirakata-shi, Japan;
b
Kalinga Institute of Indo-Pacic
Studies, Bhubaneswar, India;
c
Indian Council of World Aairs, New Delhi, India
ABSTRACT
After major terrorist attacks in the United States on September 11,
2001, Bali, Indonesia in 2002, and Mumbai, India in 2008, India and
Thailand responded in disparate ways. Thailand was slow to
respond out of fear of alienating the large Muslim population in
its restive south. India, after Mumbai, moved to create and
strengthen domestic institutions that would hasten counter-
terrorism measures, with limited success. In the years that
followed these seminal events, both Bangkok and New Delhi
have, like other South Asian and ASEAN states, moved toward
bilateral and multilateral counter-terrorism partnerships. This
paper surveys the history of terrorism in both countries and their
domestic responses, persistent domestic and regional challenges,
and documents a growing India-Thailand bilateral counter-
terrorism partnership particularly in the sectors of maritime
security, intelligence sharing, extradition, and joint security
cooperation. This paper contributes to a growing body of
literature on emerging South-South partnerships by evaluating
India-Thailand counter-terrorism cooperation and explores
avenues for future bilateral exchanges and multilateral
opportunities within institutional bodies, such as ASEAN and
BIMSTEC.
ARTICLE HISTORY
Received 29 August 2020
Accepted 14 February 2021
KEYWORDS
India; Thailand; counter-
terrorism; ASEAN; BIMSTEC;
regionalism
Introduction
In September 2006, when the United Nations General Assembly unanimously adopted the
UN Global Counter-Terrorism Strategy, outlining a holistic approach to counterterrorism,
one of the primary underpinnings was cooperation of individual stakeholders along with
contributions of regional and subregional bodies (RSRs). While states remain principal
actors in countering terrorism, regional and international organisations play an important
role in counter-terrorism eorts. The ecacy of such associations may vary, depending on
whether such associations are legally bound, or could be bound by customary inter-
national laws, resolutions, codes of conduct, guidance, and jurisprudence.
The case of counter-terrorism cooperation between Thailand and India is dened by
both individual and regional stakes. At the regional level, even though both the Associ-
ation of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) and the Bay of Bengal Initiative for Multi-
© 2021 Department of Security Studies and Criminology
CONTACT Mark S. Cogan polisci03@gmail.com College of Foreign Studies, Kansai Gaidai University, 161
Nakamiyahigashino-cho, Hirakata-shi, Osaka 5731001 Japan
JOURNAL OF POLICING, INTELLIGENCE AND COUNTER TERRORISM
2021, VOL. 16, NO. 3, 245266
https://doi.org/10.1080/18335330.2021.1906933
Sectoral Technical and Economic Cooperation (BIMSTEC) provide two obvious paradigms
for assessing the need and progress of counterterrorism cooperation between India and
Thailand, they remain limited in their persuasion for the same, especially given the pro-
gress and institutional impediments that a large regional body like ASEAN can impose.
Besides, Indias approach to counter-terrorism has eschewed a regional perspective
hitherto and has relied on a unilateral approach. However, the emerging geopolitics of
the Indo-Pacic has strengthened common assessment and resolve to counter security
threats. The security of the Indo-Pacic matters to all countries in the region in both tra-
ditional and non-traditional security threats. For India especially, the region provides an
opportunity to emerge as a net-security-provider in the region, binding the country
with collective regional stakes. As the Indo-Pacic ties both India and Thailand in one stra-
tegic continuum across the critical Strait of Malacca, there are growing convergences in
how security threats are perceived, assessed and responded to by both countries.
Transnational terrorism is a reality in the Indo-Pacic today. As India and Thailand both
focus on Indo-Pacic security, joint, multinational, intra-agency or an approach combining
all the three have become critical to bilateral interoperability between the two countries.
Bilateral as well as multilateral coordination between the two countries apropos security is
likely to be further boosted in the light of a renewed focus on BIMSTEC by India.
Terrorism has challenged the ways in which security has been traditionally perceived
and responded to. The dimensions of terrorism, most notably in the form of foreign ter-
rorism ghters and various separatist and/or secessionist groups, bring into question
the capacity of states to counter it. Capacity complicates the methods by which
states respond to terrorism. In many ways, India and Thailand are at the epicentre of
this security dilemma. Bangkok and New Delhi have both commonalities and dierences
in state response to terrorism within their boundaries and outside. However, the pres-
ence of groups and factions with links to terror organisations points to common chal-
lenges. While India is prone to terrorism in the northern state of Jammu and Kashmir
bordering Pakistan, Thailands southern provinces of Pattani, Narathiwat, Yala and
Songkhla that border Malaysia are home to a persistent insurgency. These respective
regions also have a history of breeding discontent among their populaces. For India,
the 1947 partition by the British, which carved out the Islamic Republic of Pakistan
and hastily settled border issues between the two new nations, left discontent that con-
tinues to feed on religious identities on both sides of the border. Pakistans attempts to
incite separatism on the basis of religion in Indias Jammu and Kashmir has not only
bred terror-related activities in the province, but has found state patronage in Pakistan.
In Thailands case, the takeover of the Sultanate of Pattani in the late eighteenth Century
by the Kingdom of Siam remains historically contentious for the Muslim population in
the southern provinces, who continue to take umbrage at centralised decisions made
from Bangkok. Besides these similarities, Indias left-wing extremism in its central
regions and secessionism in its North-East compounds its own security dilemma and
marks a stark contrast between the two. India and Thailand acted dierently in respond-
ing to terrorism before the October 2002 Bali bombings and eorts to counter terrorism
multilaterally was missing until then. By the 1990s India took note of the changing dis-
courses on international terrorism and the need for states to collaborate. This was
backed by increasing evidence of transnational linkages to terrorism. (Sasikumar,
2010). In the aftermath of the 26/11 Mumbai terror attacks and the Bali bombings,
246 M. S. COGAN AND V. MISHRA
emerging commonalities in counter-terrorism strategies between India and Thailand
can be distinguished. The Bali bombings and the Mumbai attacks underscored both
domestic decits and the need to combine counter-terrorism capabilities internationally
for Thailand and India respectively. While India started international cooperation on
counter-terrorism, on the domestic front shortcomings within agencies and their
implementation persisted. In the case of Thailand, the arrests of Jemaah Islamiya (JI) sus-
pects in June 2003 proved to be a watershed moment in linking international terrorism
to southern Thailand (Chongkittavorn, 2004). The emerging international dimension of
terrorism and the links of certain groups based in both India and Thailand provided
common grounds for counter-terrorism cooperation.
For example, the seas between India and Thailand have opened up as an area to be
explored for traditional and non-traditional aspects of security cooperation. Together,
they are increasingly being referred to as maritime security governance, a wider and
more diverse concept than the traditional notion of defense against military threats,
and the protection of national interests and territorial sovereignty at sea. The concept
now includes non-traditional security challenges, such as maritime terrorism, natural dis-
asters, climate change, illegal shing, marine pollution, maritime safety, and various forms
of tracking (Bateman, 2016). The Indian Ocean Region (IOR) sits at the centre of global
maritime security and governance concerns with two-thirds of global oil trade and one-
third of global cargo trade passing through the area (Chaudhury, 2018, September 6). In
the maritime domain, the evolving Indo-Pacic region opens both nations up to oppor-
tunities for further security cooperation, as open seas remain highly vulnerable to terror-
related activities.
As the two countries draw closer to bilateral arrangements to counter terrorism,
some of the mechanisms employed are institutional in nature. Indiascloserelation-
ship with Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) states makes bilateral
and multilateral cooperation more convenient. Terrorism and maritime piracy are sig-
nicant challenges for India and Thailand, as well as the international community.
Through open regionalism, many ASEAN states have participated in joint patrols
and have shared intelligence. This is intensied because of the scale of the
problem in Southeast Asia and in littoral states near the Malacca Strait. More than
95 piracy-related incidents have occurred between January and December 2020, com-
pared with 72 in 2019 (ReCAAP, 2020). Regional cooperation through institutional
mechanisms and bilateral relationships have deepened, which led to a number of
developments, such as the ASEAN Security Community. This open regionalism has
even allowed for cooperation where tensions persist between countries, such as
Chinas proposal to establish a Security Policy Conference under the ASEAN Regional
Forum in 2003, although this has dimmed somewhat in light of Beijings aggression in
the South China Sea. Regional powers like India and Thailand have been convinced of
the need to utilise multiple mechanisms to address non-traditional security chal-
lenges. As a result, ASEAN and BIMSTEC remain attractive forums for counter-terror-
ism dialogue and joint security cooperation. However, large regional bodies like
ASEAN and BIMSTEC also present persistent challenges, such as the lack of consensus
on sensitive issues, which includes terrorism. Amidst these impediments, bilateral
mechanisms of cooperation provided a window of opportunity to both India and
Thailand.
JOURNAL OF POLICING, INTELLIGENCE AND COUNTER TERRORISM 247
This paper reects upon the experiences of both countries in addressing the chal-
lenges of counter-terrorism and draws from their respective histories to explore areas
of cooperation at the bilateral and multilateral levels. In addition to contributing to a
sparse body of literature on joint security cooperation between India and Thailand, this
paper explores bilateral counter-terrorism cooperation, strengthens rationales for region-
alism in national strategies, and uncovers hidden potential for future cooperation within
the institutional connes of ASEAN and BIMSTEC. Finally, this article contributes further by
providing policy-oriented recommendations to solidify bilateral collaboration between
Bangkok and New Delhi.
Terrorism and state response in Thailand
While Buddhists comprise more than 94 percent of Thailands population, Muslim com-
munities are concentrated along the Malaysian border in the provinces of Narathiwat,
Yala, and Pattani, which continue to face a persistent insurgency. Separatism dates
back to the 1909 Anglo-Siamese Treaty, which outlined the border between Thailand
and Malaysia. Thailand later annexed the sultanate of Pattani and attempted to absorb
Malay Muslims into its dominant Buddhist culture. Years earlier, King Chulalongkorn
(Rama V) began Thai state-building eorts, centralising Bangkoks legal control over
several Malay towns and eventually transforming them into administrative subdivisions
and provinces (Jitpiromsri, 2019, p. 89). Consecutive Thai kings imposed a range of natio-
nalistic measures at promoting Thai and Buddhist culture in the Southern provinces,
which resulted in local animosity and religious tension. Education was used as a tool to
promote Thai language learning and eorts to assimilate Malay Muslims were concen-
trated on displacing local pondok, or local religious schools which were central to the pro-
motion of local culture and traditions. The 1921 Compulsory Primary Education Act
required all children to learn Thai language (Melvin, 2007, p. 13). Thai nationalism
reached its zenith in the late 1930s under Field Marshal Plaek Phibunsongkhram, who
began a series of policies to integrate the Southern provinces under the new nation of
Thailandincluding religious restrictions on sharia law and the emphasis of Buddhism
as the national religion. Hostilities increased through 1948, when hundreds of thousands
of Malay Muslims asked the United Nations to facilitate the handover of Pattani, Narathi-
wat, and Yala provinces to the Federation of Malaya. In the space between 1948 and the
present, separatist groups, many of them armed, have made consistent demands for
autonomy or independence, citing political and cultural grievances with multiple Thai
governments. In the 1980s, the government, under Prime Minister Prem Tinsulanonda,
aimed to contain discontent in the southern provinces through economic investment,
as well as some regional autonomy for some of the groups in the aected areas. The
Southern Border Provinces Administrative Centre (SBPAC) was established in 1981 and
oers of amnesty were accepted by a range of separatists (Melvin, 2007, p. 16).
Thailands response to terrorism, particularly under Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra,
was guarded, as concerns about domestic politics undermined joint counterterrorism
eorts, and the prevailing concern among ASEAN member states that a regional approach
to cooperation within the bloc would create additional political instability. Thaksin,
pledged two days after the September 11 attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pen-
tagon that Thailand would stand with the United States, however his position was
248 M. S. COGAN AND V. MISHRA
precarious and ambivalent in nature. Vacillating between domestic concerns and regional
concerns, Thaksin rst wanted to wait for a joint ASEAN resolution on terrorism and
suggested that the use of Thai air bases by the American military should require the
approval of ASEAN member states (Simon, 2001).
The Thaksin government continued to act unilaterally, even as the conict in the
restive south escalated in 2001 after the election of the Thai Rak Thai party, which over-
turned or reversed many of the existing government policies concerning the treatment of
Malay-Muslims in the region, including the dissolution of the SBPAC in mid-2002. Thak-
sins approach in southern Thailand intensied the conict through ineective policy,
but the increased presence of JI in the country (Chongkittavorn, 2004) and Thailands
involvement in the U.S.-led invasion of Iraq in 2003 did nothing to quash growing provin-
cial animosity. Insurgent activity began to increase in early January 2004, marking a dra-
matic intensication of violence, with several attacks on military and police targets,
beginning with an attack on a Narathiwat army base by an estimated 100 attackers,
who raided the facility and took more than 400 assault ries and other light weapons
(Liow & Pathan, 2010, p. 21). Thaksins hardline approach was noticeably dierent from
his predecessors, although his leadership style did not depart too far from the past. Thai-
land viewed the insurgent violence not in terms of religious ideology but through the
lens of criminality. Thaksin desecuritizedthe insurgency in the South, suggesting it was a
law and orderproblem separatism in the southern provinces had been defeated and all
that was left was a simple problem of law and order (Liow & Pathan, 2010, p. 4). While
government ocials, including the Supreme Commander of the Royal Thai Armed
Forces, General Chaisit Shinawatra, Thaksins cousin, continued to imply criminality
over ideological dierences, privately some security ocials were concerned that the
insurgency had resurfaced (Liow & Pathan, 2010, p. 5).
Emblematic of Thaksins heavy-handed approach to the conict in the southern pro-
vinces was a galvanising April 28, 2004 siege at the Krue Se Mosque in Pattani province.
After militants launched a string of attacks against police and military units at outposts in
three southern provinces, they ed into the mosque, which culminated in a nine-hour
standowith Thai security forces. The 32 militants were subsequently surrounded, but
in the skirmish between the two sides, everyone inside the mosque was killed, including
innocent worshippers who had come only to pray (Chalk, 2008, p. 10). Later that year,
several demonstrators were shot during a protest outside a police station in Tak Bai, in
Narathiwat province. The Royal Thai Army detained hundreds of men, rounding them
up onto trucks, where 78 suocated on the way to military camps. The Tak Bai incident
became a watershed moment for the southern insurgency, solidifying public opinion
against Thaksin and providing additional fuel for future violence.
The Bush Administration drove speculation that Southeast Asia would become a
second fronton the war on terrorism. Part of that suspicion was based on intelligence,
some on ideological grounds, and the rest based on past history. Thailand had been a safe
ground for individuals planning operations oThai soil. For example, Ho Chi Minh lived in
the northeast of Thailand while planning a guerrilla war against France. This was con-
sidered acceptable as long as they did not harm Thai citizens (Chongkittavorn, 2004,
p. 268). International terrorist groups have at times, operated inside Thailands borders,
using the country as a transit point and a staging area for planning attacks. For
example, JI has been reported to have planned the bombings in Bali from safe houses
JOURNAL OF POLICING, INTELLIGENCE AND COUNTER TERRORISM 249
in Bangkok. JI had also planned to attack ve key embassies in Thailand in 2003, including
the Singaporean embassy (Bangkok Embassy Plot Foiled, 2003). In the recent past, militant
groups in the south have shown past interest in forming relationships with Islamic State
(ISIS) and al-Qaeda, although that link has been disputed by the Thai Government and
some independent experts, as insurgents in the south do not often share the transna-
tional ideology of ISIS (International Crisis Group, 2017). However, the April 2018 arrest
of Awae Wae-Eya, who pledged support to ISIS leader Abu Bakr Al-Baghdadi, has made
some ocials raise questions about its future potential. While the Bali bombings strength-
ened Thailands resolve in counter-terrorist operations, Thaksin was still hesitant to make
any sudden moves and declared Thailands neutrality because of fears that anti-Muslim
sentiment would further upset more than six million Muslims living in the south
(Chambers, 2004, p. 467). As soon as this stance was reported in the international
press, he reversed his position (Chongkittavorn, 2004, p. 267). However, instead of
walking a tightrope act, he reversed and pledged Thailands full support for the American
war, noting Thailands special relationship with the United States and obligation under a
Thai-U.S. defense treaty. In the summer of 2003, Thailand dispatched troops to Iraq and
considered a proposal by the Americans to use Thai facilities to ght Islamic terrorism
in Southeast Asia (Croissant, 2005, p. 34). Later, Thailand captured Nujraman Riduan bin
Isomuddin, a top JI leader with close ties to al-Qaeda as well as four men suspected of
being JI operatives.
Thailand also has a history of nding convenient scapegoats. In late December 2006
and January 2007, multiple bombs hit Bangkok, killing three people, and injuring 38. In
the aftermath, the Thai government blamed elements of society loyal to Thaksin,
suggesting that separatists in the Southern provinces did not have the capacity to
conduct attacks outside their home provinces (Storey, 2007, p. 4). Thaksin again
became the focal point for suspicion when in 2016, terrorist attacks struck the towns of
Phuket and Phang-nga. The military junta blamed Thaksins ties to the Red Shirt move-
ment for masterminding the attacks, in alleged retaliation for public approval of Thai-
lands newest constitution. While careful not to mention Thaksin by name, Prime
Minister Prayut Chan-o-cha said the bombings were the work of bad peoplewhom he
claimed were opposed to a proposed referendum on Thailands new constitution
(Paddock, 2016).
While terrorist acts outside the south have been rare, they have become more fre-
quent. In August 2015, a bomb exploded inside the Erawan Shrine in central Bangkok,
killing 20 people and injuring 120. After the attacks, Prayut called it the worst everon
Thai soil (Jenkins, 2015). However, Thai authorities mismanaged the investigation,
missed forensic clues, and locked up suspects without reason and again blamed
groups linked to Thaksin (Kotani, 2016). Eventually, two Chinese nationals, Yusufu Meer-
ailee and Adem Karadag, both Uighur Muslims from Xinjiang Province in Western China
were accused of perpetrating the attack on the Shrine, which is considered sacred by Bud-
dhists and has become a major tourist attraction. In May 2017, an explosion occurred at
King Mongkut Hospital in Bangkok on the third anniversary of the 2014 coup détat, injur-
ing 24 people (Bomb blast, 2017). In August 2019, while Bangkok was hosting top diplo-
mats at an ASEAN regional security meeting of foreign ministers which included U.S.
Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, six bombs exploded at three separate sites, wounding
four people (Wongcha-um & Thepgumpanat, 2019).
250 M. S. COGAN AND V. MISHRA
Broadly, Thailands post-September 11 response to domestic terrorism has been met
with condemnation and criticism. Thaksins approach, as seen in the two notorious inci-
dents at Krue Se and Tak Bai, were indicative of a militaristic and highly partisan approach
to the South. Within months of taking oce, Thaksin attempted to dismantle some of the
institutions and political networks created or inuenced by the notable royalist Prem, with
whom he had a political rivalry. In that process, the institutions that were responsible for
maintaining peace in the South, including SBPAC, which had oered an important
channel of open communication between the Royal Thai Government and the Muslim
community were shuttered (McCargo, 2006, p. 50). Ocials with experience in the
South were silenced because they had close personal and political relationships with
Prem. However, Thaksin became more cooperative after some pushing by the U.S. and
created the Counter Terrorism Operations Centre (CTOC), which works in concert with
the Royal Thai Armed Forces Headquarters, and coordinates counter-terrorism eorts
between Thai agencies. After his ouster in a September 2006 coup détat, responsibilities
shifted to Surayud Chulnont, who was more pragmatic (Hariraksapitak, 2006). Surayud
pledged to restore SBPAC which earned him some praise from Muslim leaders and
aimed to reconcile with southern insurgents, using Malaysia as a broker and considered
the enactment of some Sharia laws. However, his eorts failed to improve both relations
in the south and counter-terrorism operations in any appreciable fashion, as poor intelli-
gence planning failed to create a network capable of identifying insurgents and security
forces continued to employ excessive violence.
Subsequent governments have had limited to moderate impacts. In 2007, the Thai
government created a 140 million baht programme to provide nursing scholarships for
Malay-Muslim women to address a lack of health practitioners in the three southern pro-
vinces, however this later caused a backlash among Buddhist nurses and public employee
unions (Abuza, 2011, p. 13). The Abhisit Vejjajiva-led government allocated 63 billion baht
in a Development Plan for the Special Area Five Southern Border Provincesfor 2009
through 2012, but with limited eect (Abuza, 2011, p. 21). While the development per-
spective was hailed by the UN, Abhisits approach failed in other aspects, including intel-
ligence sharing between the military and the police. Yingluck Shinawatra had some
success in the South, admitting that the conict had political and cultural roots, but
her administration was cut short by the May 22, 2014 military-backed coup. Counter-ter-
rorism eorts of the ruling junta, led by Prayut, have been largely tarnished by human
rights abuses and suggestions that his military-backed regime is more concerned
about solidifying power in Bangkok than granting any degree of autonomy to the
south (Bodetti, 2020).
Terrorism and state response in India
Terrorism in India originates from the conict in Kashmir, which embroils threats from
Islamic groups, the Naxalite Insurgency, multiple separatist factions seeking autonomy
or independence in the northeast, and the Sikh-based Khalistan Movement in the
Punjab region of India and Pakistan. While the latter three remain domestic concerns,
Indias primary focus has been on the problem of international terrorism emanating
from or exhorted by external sources. The November 2008 terrorist attacks in Mumbai,
carried out by Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT), an Islamist terrorist organisation based in Pakistan,
JOURNAL OF POLICING, INTELLIGENCE AND COUNTER TERRORISM 251
remains a globally identiable incident and emblematic of Indias preoccupation with
foreign sources of terrorism. Nevertheless, terrorist attacks remain routine, occurring
almost every year since the early 1990s, with varying degrees of severity. Between 2000
and 2019, nearly 14,000 civilians were killed across the country, according to the South
Asia Terrorism Portal (Yearly Fatalities, 2020). This is indicative of a challenge that
covers a wide spectrum from a plethora of terrorist organisations, with Islamist, commu-
nist and separatist groups active across the Indian sub-continent. The diversity of threats
come from proxy ghters who inltrate from the Pakistani side of the border in Kashmir,
domestic groups based in the North-East, and left-wing extremism in IndiasRed Corridor
(Garge, 2019). Some of these vulnerabilities are related to Indias geographic proximity to
Pakistan, cross-border state-sponsored terrorism, and the proxy war being waged in the
Indian state of Jammu and Kashmir. Since the Kashmir insurgency began in 1988 until the
end of 2019, nearly 15,000 civilians, 6,530 security force personnel, and 23,779 terrorist
ghters have lost their lives (Fatalities in Terrorist Violence, 2019). Over the past two
decades, India has been ranked among the most impacted countries by terrorism. Accord-
ing to the 2019 Global Terrorism Index, India ranked seventh, ahead of Yemen and just
below Somalia. In 2020, Indias rank improved slightly to rank eight. As of 2018, India
was named as one of the ten countries that accounted for 87 percent of all deaths
related to terrorism (2020 Global Terrorism Index). Although Indias position has improved
slightly in 2020 with India now accounting for lowest number of terrorism deaths among
the top ten countries most aected by terrorism and lowest lethality in terror attacks.
Islamic terrorism has been a serious threat to India for the past several decades, emer-
ging in Kashmir during the 1980s, a consequence of a controversial election and water-
shed moment in Jammu and Kashmir, when Farooq Abdullah was reappointed as the
Chief Minister in what was widely considered to be a rigged vote. Three specic
groups have remained the most active in Kashmir, with bases in India, Pakistan, and
Afghanistan LeT, JeM, Hizbul Mujahideen (HM), and the Students Islamic Movement
of India (SIMI). HM was formed under the aegis of the United Jihad Council for the separ-
ation and merger of India-controlled Kashmir with Pakistan. LeT also traces its roots to the
Kunar Province of Afghanistan in 1990, but refocused on Kashmir with a similar goal of
reintegration with Pakistan. JeM formed in 1998 with similar aims and has been desig-
nated by India, the U.S., and the United Kingdom as a terrorist organisation (Siyech,
2018, p. 235). SIMI has domestic roots, forming in Uttar Pradesh in the late 1970s to
mobilise support for a jihad against the state of India in part to seek redress for violence
against Indian Muslims and recourse for deprivation of socio-economic opportunities for
Indian Muslims (Fair, 2010, p. 102). Linked to prominent terror acts in Gaya, Bihar in 2017,
M Chinnaswamy Stadium in Bangaluru in 2014, and a jail break in Bhopal in 2014, the
organisation has been banned eight times since 2001 (Punwani, 2019).
Although the inuence of other globally recognised terrorist organisations like ISIS in
Kashmir is almost non-existent, external support to local terrorists and extremist organis-
ations remains a threat. Indias primary challenge is the support and connections of the
terrorist organisations from across the border in Pakistan. In the case of JeM and HM,
links have been beyond doubt of support to these terrorist groups and their leaders
like Masood Azhar of the JeM and Sayeed Salahudeen of the HM. JeMs primary
agenda, to separate Kashmir from India and merge it with Pakistan, along with
252 M. S. COGAN AND V. MISHRA
Salahudeens links to the United Jihad Council have clearly established Pakistans link to
its terrorist agendas in Kashmir.
In addition, there are several Marxist groups of varying sizes that have carried out ter-
rorist attacks in the northeast. The Maoist insurgencies in India are a byproduct of the
colonial period and concern problems of resource allocation, land rights, and forest
rights. Attacks carried out by Maoists are largely centred in Indias central provinces
and target paramilitary personnel and security forces (Ahlawat, 2018, p. 258). Indias pro-
blems in tackling terrorism are compounded due to terrorism blurring into guerrilla
warfare, especially in Naxal-aected areas and the Northeast. The native inhabitants
claims to their land have made resistance against the state complex. Combined, cross-
border and domestic sources of terrorism in Indias Northeast represent a unique chal-
lenge due to limited connection to the Indian mainland and a high border connectivity
with neighbouring states. The Northeast region shares roughly 98 percent of its
borders with Bangladesh, China, Myanmar, and Bhutan, which makes the task of establish-
ing cross-border linkages relatively simple (Upadhyay, 2006, p. 4996).
Several major terrorist attacks have added a sense of urgency on the part of consecu-
tive Indian governments. Major incidents have also prompted a dramatic response from
the public (Devlin, 2019), including the December 2001 attack on the Indian Parliament, a
July 2006 attack on the Suburban Railway of Mumbai, and the infamous Mumbai attacks
of November 2008, where Islamist militants from Pakistan, in a series of attacks, struck
several targets. These events, according to Staniland (2009), brought into focus the
inability of the Indian security apparatus to anticipate and appropriately respond to
major terrorist incidents. Mumbai raised Indias guard against sea-borne terrorism, as
the Pakistani-based attackers came through the sea for the second time since 1993. In
February 2016, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi declared that seaborne terrorism
and marine piracy were threats to maritime security (Dheeraj, 2018, p. 1), raising security
concerns emanating from seamless connectivity that extended from the high seas to
coastal areas on the mainland.
Two strategic shifts in Indian counter-terrorism policy followed high-impact terrorist
attacks. After September 11, New Delhi immediately oered to open its military spaces
and intelligence with American forces, a departure from its past alliance with the
Soviet Union and reected concerns over a renewed partnership of pragmatism
between the U.S. and Pakistan, partly in hopes that an expanded American war on
terrorwould put pressure on Pakistans support of terrorist organisations making incur-
sions into Indian space (Chellaney, 2001, p. 100). The Mumbai attacks went a long way in
highlighting the need for a counter-terrorism strategy overhaul. A RAND study high-
lighted several key weaknessesin Indias general counter-terrorism and threat-mitigation
structure that became obvious in its immediate response to the Mumbai attacks (Rabasa
et al., 2009), suggesting intelligence failures, gaps in coastal surveillance, lacunae in
response protocols, lags in response times, inadequate counter-terrorism training at
the local police level, and a lack of planning and coordination between dierent agencies.
Although deciencies have been overcome, many remain. In areas like improving coastal
security and intra-agency coordination, there have been improvements, however the
ability of the local police to coordinate with higher agencies remains ham-handed. The
National Counter-Terrorism Centre (NCTC) was conceived as a single agency to deal
with incidents of terrorism and it was based on the U.S model, meant to handle the
JOURNAL OF POLICING, INTELLIGENCE AND COUNTER TERRORISM 253
functions of joint intelligence and joint operations. To complement the NCTC, a national
computerised information-sharing network, known as National Intelligence Grid
(NATGRID), was proposed as a national combined database which would collate intelli-
gence inputs. Inter-agency rivalry and distrust kept both NCTC and NATGRID from func-
tioning optimally, until Indian Home Minister Amit Shah announced its resurrection in
2019 (Singh, 2019). Multiple security agencies remain a hindrance to smooth coordination
in India. To rectify this, the Crime and Criminal Tracking Networks & System (CCTNS) was
envisaged to seamlessly link Indias police stations, however progress is dependent on the
establishment of a fully functional NATGRID. Since March 2020, NATGRID has linked
together more than 14,000 police stations in India (Singh, 2020). It also has been
dicult for India to create an eective national nodal agency for security and intelligence
because the Indian Constitution places security as a State Subject, which gives full auth-
ority to legislate or exercise administrative control over the police to provincial govern-
ments (Singh, 2019).
Since 2009, there have been some uctuations in national trends. The number of ter-
rorist attacks and deaths by terrorism have both dropped. While in 2018, there were 748
terrorist attacks and 350 deaths, there were 558 terrorist attacks and 277 deaths from ter-
rorism recorded in India in 2019. This marks a fall of over 20 percent since 2018 (Global
Terrorism Index, 2020, p. 26). Some of the challenges that complicate Indias counter-ter-
rorism response emanate from domestic sources. For example, Indias secessionists such
as the Sikh Khalistanis, as well as anti-state, separatist, ethnic, and sub-nationalist move-
ments in the Northeastern parts of India pose a dierent challenge than those posed in
the northern parts of Kashmir, where the threat is largely external. Cultural, religious,
ethnic, and political sensitivities become a critical component of Indias state counter-ter-
rorism operations. India makes a nuanced distinction between counter-terrorism and
other facets of internal security challenges such as those emerging from the radical left
group of Maoists occupying much of the Red Corridorin Central India, or those
arising from the separatist and insurgent groups in the northeast. This complex set of
factors present terrorism as a challenge in India that ties the hinterland to border
areas, as well as into the maritime domain. India also faces threats from increasingly
polarised society, specically from the emerging Hindu-Muslim binary and a counter
terror oensive from Hindu extremist groups. A right-wing group Abhinav Bharat had
been named in the charge sheet for the September 2006 Malegaon bombings outside
a mosque that targeted Muslims (Bidwai, 2008, p.12). In March 2019, a special court
acquitted four Hindu men who were charged by the National Investigative Agency
(NIA) of bombing a train linking India and Pakistan 12 years ago, an attack that killed
68 people. The decision has been seen as biased towards Hindu majoritarianism. The
victims in the February 2007 blast in the Samjhauta Express train included 43 Pakistani
citizens and 10 Indians (Samjhauta Express, 2019). The threats as a result of polarisation
have been amplied by a series of decisions, such as the abrogation of Article 370 of
the Indian constitution.
An emerging partnership
During the Cold War, India and Thailand were on divergent paths. Thailand did not reg-
ister on Indias foreign policy agenda or strategic economic plans partly because India
254 M. S. COGAN AND V. MISHRA
during this period had neglected Southeast Asia for a more neutral orientation. Further, as
an economic partner, Thailand was not an immediate choice because of the geography
separating the two countries. From Bangkoks perspective, India was not a preferred
defence partner either, preferring to continue its historic relationship with the United
States. In fact, the dearth of high-level contact between New Delhi and Bangkok is evi-
denced by just two high-level ministerial visits before 1992. The September 11 terrorist
attacks and the subsequent bombings in Bali and Mumbai, began a urry of political
and diplomatic engagements an indication that more cooperative security mechanisms,
particularly in the areas of counter-terrorism and counter-piracywere in development.
Thaksin was the rst to initiate a diplomatic mission to India in November 2001, followed
by another visit to India in 2002. These visits are worth mentioning because they were
precursors to a Joint Working Group, created in 2001, where Bangkok and New Delhi
discuss related security issues, including the dual challenges of combating terrorism in
both South and Southeast Asia.
The India-Thailand security partnership has since then evolved, as both are partners in
several Asian regional fora, including the India-ASEAN Summit, BIMSTEC, and the Indian
Ocean Rim Association (IORA). During the Yingluck Shinawatra era, India and Thailand
signed an extradition treaty, which provides a legal framework for the extradition of fugi-
tives from both countries, including individuals involved in acts of domestic or inter-
national terrorism, economic, and transnational crimes. This cooperation is essential
because both countries share mutual concerns over insurgent groups using Thailand as
a territory for the shipment of small arms, or staging areas for terrorism planning pur-
poses. For example, India was granted the extradition of WillyNaruenartwanich, who
attempted to negotiate a deal between Indian Naga rebels and Chinese ordinance com-
panies for a supply of weapons with an estimated value of $2 million. Later, Thai auth-
orities also handed over Gurmeet Singh, a Sikh militant convicted for the 1995
bombing in India that killed 18 people, including a chief minister in the northern
Indian state of Punjab. In addition, there have been increased exchanges between the
armed forces of both India and Thailand, culminating in coordinated patrols (CORPATs)
between the two navies in 2005, a sign of increased cooperation on issues of maritime
security, which includes anti-piracy cooperation and security of sea lanes of communi-
cation (SLOC). The Indian and Thai armies established Exercise Maitree in 2007, the
largest symbol of counter-terrorism operations in both jungle and urban scenarios.
At a June 2016 meeting between Prayut and Modi, the two countries also worked to
explore future areas of engagement a meeting that included an unequivocal condem-
nation of international terrorism and a pledge to build a new global resolve and strategy
for combating terrorism(Joint Statement by India and Thailand, 2016). New Delhi and
Bangkok pledged cooperation in the elds of counter-terrorism, cyber security, and trans-
national crime, as well as a willingness for joint exercises between the Counter Terrorist
Operations Center (CTOC) and the National Securities Guard (NSG), as well as the training
of Thailandsocers by Indias Central Bureau of Investigation (CBI) in cybercrime inves-
tigation and computer forensics.
India has used the issue of terrorism as a plank to reach out to other nations for
cooperation. Indias emphasis on a strong resolve against terrorism has emerged as a criti-
cal component in most of its recent engagements and partnerships with nations in the
areas of traditional and non-traditional security. India has consistently voiced its concerns
JOURNAL OF POLICING, INTELLIGENCE AND COUNTER TERRORISM 255
about terrorism on the global stage through various multilateral fora. In particular, BRICS
(Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa), the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO),
the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC), ASEAN and the UNO
have been at the centre of Indias anti-terrorism pitch. As the Chair of BRICS in 2012,
India introduced security on the agenda as a part of the New Delhi summit, BRICS Part-
nership for Global Stability, Security and Prosperity. Terrorism has remained a key BRICS
agenda item, evidenced recently by the 2019 BRICS Summit in Brazil (Pant & Sharma,
2019). India raised the issue of terrorism at successive meetings of the SCO, where Exter-
nal Aairs Minister Sushma Swaraj described terrorism as an enemy of the basic human
rights: of life, peace and prosperity(Terrorism an enemy, 2018). The 2019 Bishkek Declara-
tion brought members of the SCO together in condemning terrorism in all its forms and
manifestations. The issue of terrorism is also at the centre of the roadblock facing SAARC.
Indias continued emphasis on the problem of cross-border terrorism from Pakistan and
the latters inability to address the same has prevented SAARC from functioning eec-
tively. Lastly, India has used the UN as a platform to raise the issue of terrorism. In
2017, India discussed the issue at every meeting attended on the sidelines of the 72nd
UN General Assembly Session in New York (Mohan, 2017). While Indias continued push
for a passage of the Comprehensive Convention on International Terrorism (CCIT) has
been stalled in the UN since its creation in 1986, its recent eorts to place Pakistan-
based Jaish-e-Mohammad (JeM) chief Masood Azhar on a UN list of global terrorists
found support major powers, although the process was delayed by China (Nichols &
Sayeed, 2019).
While cautious about domestic impacts, Thailand moved to adopt the ASEAN Declara-
tion on Joint Action to Counter Terrorism after the September 11 attacks. Furthermore,
the Thai-U.S. defense treaty acted as motivation to support U.S. decisions, even if it
meant domestic discontent. By 2003, Thailand realised that some international terrorists
had made inroads (Chongkittavorn, 2004). It was also the time when the Thai JI became a
security challenge. Based on external inputs, the Thai government arrested three JI sus-
pects including Maisuri Haji Abdullah and his son in 2003. Further probes led to the
identication of other terrorist groups such as PULO (Pattani United Liberation Organiz-
ation) or Bersatu (Barisan Kemerdekaan Pattani, or United Front for the Independence
of Pattani). That year, the U.S. designated JI as a terrorist organisation. When Thailand
moved toward a more organised and institutional approach to counter-terrorism, it
used its memberships in multilateral organisations such as the Asia-Pacic Economic
Cooperation (APEC), ASEAN, the East Asia Summit (EAS), and BIMSTEC to support anti-ter-
rorism agendas. Thailand became part of the 2012 APEC Counter-Terrorism Action Plan
which focused on the need to further cooperation between members in four main
areas: securing supply chains, travel, nance, and infrastructure. Among other multilateral
mechanisms, Thailand is also a member of the Combined Maritime Force, assuming
command of the Combined Task Force 151 in March 2012 and led operations against mar-
itime piracy (Royal Thai Navy, 2012). Thailand also became a party to the International
Convention for the Suppression of Acts of Nuclear Terrorism in May 2019 and became
a signatory to UN Security Council Resolutions 2178 and 2396, both directed at terrorism
prevention (Security Council Resolution 2396, 2018; United Nations Security Council Res-
olution 2178, 2014).
256 M. S. COGAN AND V. MISHRA
Thailand remains particularly vulnerable to terrorism, in part because of its status as a
facilitation and transit country, in terms of the number of passengers that ow through
Bangkoks airports and the availability of illegal goods, as well as weak banking oversight
(Country Reports on Terrorism, 2017, p. 64). Most instances of domestic terrorism have
been linked to three restive southern Thai provinces, which have claimed the lives of
more than 7,000 people (Lefevre, Boonthanom, & Thepgumpanat, 2018). Thailand has
also taken a number of steps to ensure its domestic security. Thailands Internal Security
Operations Command (ISOC), initially formed to deal with Communist insurgencies in the
1960s, has been divided into two wings with military and socio-economic responsibilities
outlined by the 2007 Internal Security Act. Thailand also created the 15th Light Infantry
Division in 2008 which is dedicated to security in the south (Chalk, Rabasa, Rosenau, &
Piggott, 2009. p. 107). While down from its peak in 2007, violence in the Deep South
has not completely diminished (Abuza, 2017) and has witnessed the redeployment of
10,000 troops to monitor 188 specic southern villages (10,000 troops deployed, 2019).
Persistent challenges to India and Thailand in the maritime domain
SLOCs make attractive targets for terrorist groups. For example, commercial shipping in
Southeast Asia continues to grow, making the challenge of piracy and maritime terrorism
a growing concern. Southeast Asia is also home to four of the worlds busiest shipping
routes, including the Malacca Straits, a natural gateway between the Indian and Pacic
Oceans. By 2017, more than 100,000 shipping vessels passed through the Strait of
Malacca or approximately 25 percent of the worlds traded goods (Calamur, 2017).
Cooperation between India and Thailand on counter-terrorism begins at the bilateral
level and through the prism of BIMSTEC and ASEAN. The protection of SLOCs in the
common maritime space linking the Indian coastline to the Gulf of Thailand is an increas-
ingly important consideration. Their common security vision is contextualised by mutually
complementing IndiasLook EastPolicy and ThailandsLook WestPolicy. Maritime
security concerns have become central to the corridor connecting the BIMSTEC countries,
not just for the safety and security of the SLOCs but also to ensure protection to the vast
Blue economy potential of the region. BIMSTEC has 14 sectors of cooperation which
include counter-terrorism and transnational crime (CTTC). The use of technology,
together with information sharing across the BIMSTEC corridor, could potentially be
one of the biggest opportunities for both countries in the monitoring and safety of
SLOCs connecting BIMSTEC nations. It is in this context that a case for the securitisation
of BIMSTEC is also being made (Gupta & Banerjee, 2018).
Today, safeguarding maritime security for India is intricately linked to growth in foreign
trade and investment. India gets 70 percent of its oil from Indian Ocean sea routes,
making the stretch from Aden to Malacca critical to energy imports. Indias counter-terror-
ism cooperation in Southeast Asia stems from the need to play a larger regional role. As
Indias energy needs have grown exponentially, it looks to Southeast Asia for energy
imports and other essential supply lines. The COVID-19 pandemic has accelerated
eorts, even as India seeks to relocate supply concentration from China to Indonesia, Thai-
land, and Vietnam. Indias growing maritime stakes on the eastern side of the Strait of
Malacca has necessitated a rethinking of regional maritime security with the Indo-
Pacic maritime corridor, connecting the Indian Ocean to the Pacic Ocean. The recently
JOURNAL OF POLICING, INTELLIGENCE AND COUNTER TERRORISM 257
announced Chennai-Vladivostok connection between India and Russia through the
Pacic Ocean (Srikrishna, 2019) is likely to further Indias footprints in the Pacic side of
the Indo-Pacic. Long-term dependence on energy and resources from Southeast Asia,
Russia and the Far East requires a secure maritime corridor. This drives Indias maritime
strategy for the larger Indian Ocean-South East Asian Region (Acharya, 2006, p. 310).
Indias recent focus on the developing Andaman and Nicobar Islands from a security
standpoint is likely to strengthen its security rationales for cooperation with ASEAN
countries. Indias recent announcement of the construction of a $100 billion transship-
ment hub at Andaman and Nicobar Island has placed the island at the centre of Indias
Act East strategy (India plans, 2020). From a counter-terrorism perspective, Indias increas-
ing stakes on the eastern side of the Strait of Malacca would be hinged on closer
cooperation with Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, and Maldives in South Asia, and Indonesia, Thai-
land and the Philippines in Southeast Asia.
Multilateral cooperation and policy recommendations
ASEAN: ASEAN member states were not particularly concerned about the threat of terror-
ism prior to September 11. ASEAN countries tended to consider terrorism in the same cat-
egory as transnational organised crime, or the same category as sea piracy, arms
smuggling, and drug tracking (Chow, 2005, p. 304). However, after the U.S. began
launching attacks against the Taliban in Afghanistan and fears of a second frontin the
war on terrorism, ASEAN member states issued the November 2001 ASEAN Declaration
on Joint Action to Counter Terrorism, (2001 ASEAN Declaration on Joint Action to
Counter Terrorism, 2012) which assuaged some Western fears, but represented a depar-
ture from terrorism being viewed from the origination of any one religion. ASEANs
approach rejected the linkage between terrorism and any one religion or race, and
noted that counter-terrorism eorts should be conducted in accordance with the UN
Charter. The catalyst for collective action between ASEAN states was also the 2002 Bali
bombings, which prompted states to make a more serious commitment, most notably
through the ASEAN Regional Forum Inter-Sessional Meeting on Counter-Terrorism and
Transnational Crime. In addition, the ASEAN Convention on Counter-Terrorism (ACCT)
was adopted in January 2007 as a regional framework for cooperation to prevent and sup-
press terrorism and deepen cooperation between agencies among member states.
However, the ACCT remained dormant for several years before its entry into force in
May 2011, when Brunei joined Singapore, Thailand, the Philippines, Cambodia, and
Vietnam in ratication (SG welcomes imminent entry, 2011). Surin Pitsuwan, the ASEAN
Secretary General, noted that the time of ratication was a critical period for the
region, particularly after the death of Osama Bin Laden. India and Thailand are steady
partners on many aspects of counter-terrorism, although most of the partnership takes
place within the context of the ASEAN framework where Indias relationship has grown
considerably, becoming a full-dialogue partner in 1995.
The majority of responses to terrorism from ASEAN states are unilateral, as member
states carefully consider the potential ramications of their responses. Therefore,
ASEAN responses are generally harmonised among member states. The ACCT again
avoids the linkage to any religion, nationality, civilisation or ethnic group, rather that
it presents a threat to innocent lives, infrastructure and the environment, regional and
258 M. S. COGAN AND V. MISHRA
international peace and stability as well as to economic development. Aside from the pol-
itical and economic aspects that an expanded partnership with ASEAN can bring, there
are some security interests that benet both sides as well. India and ASEAN have collabo-
rated on a number of security matters, such as the signing of the ASEAN-India Joint
Declaration for Cooperation to Combat International Terrorism in Bali, Indonesia in
October of 2003. At the 16th ASEAN Regional Forum hosted by Thailand in 2009,
ASEAN states and India agreed to the ARF Work Plan on Counter-Terrorism and Transna-
tional Crime. Indias importance to ASEAN is growing, which is evident in the East Asia
Summit, the ASEAN Regional Forum as well as its emphasis on ASEAN Centralityin its
emerging Indo-Pacic discourse.
ASEANs counter-terrorism eorts seek mainly to supplement state eorts, mostly
because of ASEANs long-standing principle of non-interference. A regional approach to
combatting terrorism across state borders had, unsurprisingly cast doubt among many
that actions would violate the sovereignty of ASEAN member states and cause domestic
political instability (Chow, 2005, p.303). However, there is unrealised potential for collab-
oration between ASEAN and India because of the mutual threats within India and ASEAN
states. As Acharya (2006) suggested, India has experience with cultural, linguistic, and reli-
gious minorities, while other states like Indonesia, could bridge the divide between India
and Islam (p. 315). The primary stumbling block for India and Thailand within the context
of ASEAN is that Bangkok has limited best practices to draw from and its heavy-handed
approach to its southern insurgency make another Southeast Asian state a more suitable
match. Indias maladroit approach in the state of Jammu and Kashmir has also been cri-
ticised internationally. In the aftermath of the abrogation of Article 370 and 35A of the
Indian constitution, New Delhis approach to containing terrorism in Kashmir has
banked on a strategy that has seen more autonomy given to the Army to gather intelli-
gence and interrogate suspects and terrorists; the strengthening of the controversial
Armed Forces Special Powers Act and excessive reliance on Cordon and Search Oper-
ations (CASO). Despite international criticism of a right-conservative governments exces-
sive policies in Muslim-concentrated Kashmir, the Modi government has upped the ante
in counter-terrorism eorts, especially after series of militant attacks in Gurdaspur,
Pathannkot and Uri (Sahoo, 2017, p. 122). Regionally, there is greater potential. The
ASEAN initiative, Our Eyes, proposed during the 11th ASEAN Defence Ministers
Meeting (ADMM) in October 2017, involves intelligence sharing between six countries:
Indonesia, Thailand, Malaysia, Brunei, Singapore, and the Philippines. Under Our Eyes,
each country is responsible for the creation of a new unit for sharing intelligence and
would be active in communication about the collection of relevant information. As the
initiative progresses, it could be benecial for ASEAN to open the doors to its eight full
dialogue partners, which include India, Australia, China, Japan, South Korea, New
Zealand, Russia, and the United States.
The recent Delhi Declaration is an indication of where counter-terrorism cooperation
between India and ASEAN and bilateral cooperation between Bangkok and New Delhi is
heading. The document pledged to deepen cooperation in combating terrorism in all its
forms and manifestations, violent extremism and radicalisation through information
sharing, law enforcement cooperation and capacity buildingthrough a variety of existing
mechanisms, including the ASEAN SOMTC + India Consultation, the ADMM-Plus Experts
Working Group on Counter-Terrorism, and the 2003 ASEAN-India Joint Declaration for
JOURNAL OF POLICING, INTELLIGENCE AND COUNTER TERRORISM 259
Cooperation to Combat International Terrorism (Delhi Declaration, 2018). In this space, India
and Thailand have an entry point for further cooperation, as evidenced by bilateral moves
between India and other ASEAN states, such as assisting the Philippines with cyberterrorism
expertise (Chaudhury, 2018, July 13) and Indias recent endorsement of the Singaporean
model of deradicalization (Singh, 2018). There are a number of recent developments that
could facilitate future cooperation, such as the proliferation of fake newsand the usage
of encrypted social media applications, which should proceed delicately as many ASEAN
states have used it as justication for further authoritarian curbs on political speech.
Intelligence Sharing: It has become increasingly important for countries in South and
Southeast Asia to share intelligence and information, at the bilateral and multilateral
levels. However, India and Thailand have mixed histories of intelligence sharing with
other countries, with limited eect. For example, India and Bangladesh have agreed to
share counter-terrorism information on terrorists on numerous occasions, sometimes in
real-time, however the eectiveness of Indias intelligence institutions and their capacities
remain in doubt. In 1999, Pakistan intruded on the Indian side of the Kargil district of
Kashmir, which sparked the need for a multi-agency centre to coordinate intelligence
sharing, but since its creation, other agencies have struggled to keep it posted. Other
agencies like the Defence Intelligence Agency (DIA) and NATGRID are woefully under-
staed or underdeveloped (Kumawat & Kaura, 2018, p. 11). Indias ambition to set up
the NCTC to coordinate intelligence across state intuitions has stalled (Pant & Lidarev,
2018, p. 188). Since 2016, India and the U.S. have signed several agreements on
counter-terrorism information sharing, including an agreement that gives India access
to the Terrorist Screening Center, which has the names, nationalities, ngerprints, pass-
port numbers and other information on terrorists and terror suspects (Pant & Lidarev,
2018, p. 195). While India has been quick to establish partnerships with other countries,
as it now includes France, Sri Lanka and Bangladesh, it has been slow to build the necess-
ary infrastructure, exible bureaucracies, and technical capacities to allow it to utilise
information and disseminate information across agencies.
Cooperation between Southeast Asian countries and larger powers like the U.S., Aus-
tralia, and European countries are also worth mentioning. For example, cooperation
between Thailand and the U.S. led to the capture of Riduan Isamuddin, who was linked
to al-Qaeda. The U.S. in 2017 described Thailand as a productive counterterrorism
partnerand has shared intelligence with the Thai military, although this was after Thai-
lands reluctant admittance that it indeed had a terrorism problem. Thailand later
began cooperation with Australia on a memorandum of understanding to share infor-
mation and intelligence (Wilkinson, 2006). The partnership recently expanded on fears
that Thailand could be used as a transit hub for terrorist activities (Parameswaran,
2016). India has ample concerns about the growth of terrorism in the Indo-Pacic, as
over the past decade, many terror groups have trained in Pakistan, Bangladesh, and
Afghanistan, with LeT working in nearby Pakistan (Acharya, 2006, p. 309). For India and
Thailand, this is highly relevant. LeT was directly responsible for the Mumbai attacks
and a Thai national was linked to a group of LeT members that were arrested in Spain
and Thailand in 2010 (Spain busts al-Qaeda-linked group,2010). These cases should
raise eyebrows region wide about international criminal enterprises supplying terrorist
elements with required travel documentation to expedite and facilitate regional move-
ment. India has long worried about both LeT and JI who have shared facilities in Pakistan.
260 M. S. COGAN AND V. MISHRA
A continued push into Southeast Asia by LeT could compromise some of New Delhis stra-
tegic interests. For Thailand, a revival of JI could complicate already challenging circum-
stances in the Southern Provinces. In January 2020, Thailands military signed an
agreement with Indonesia to share intelligence on insurgent and terrorist groups like JI
and Barisan Revolusi Nasional (BRN), the largest and most powerful of the southern
Thai rebel groups (Ahmad, Phaicharoen, & Syamsudin, 2020). Linkages between JI, LeT,
and BRN are currently light, but many have had connections with al-Qaeda in the past.
This should not deter future counter-terrorism intelligence sharing opportunities
between them.
BIMSTEC: India and Thailand often use regional mechanisms to collaborate on counter-
terrorism. Although Indias ASEAN focus is increasing, BIMSTEC has been the primary
mechanism for cooperation with ASEAN countries and represents a departure from its
failed approach with SAARC. A September 2016 terrorist attack in the town of Uri in
Jammu and Kashmir led to the cancellation of the 19th SAARC Summit, which was to
be held in Islamabad. India backed out, along with Bangladesh, Bhutan, and Afghanistan.
SAARC, while it has a Regional Convention on Suppression of Terrorism, cooperation
between member states has never resulted in concrete action. In the vacuum of the
SAARCs failure, BIMSTEC cooperation emerged for India where cooperation within
SAARC could not. BIMSTEC, among its many sectors of cooperation, collaborates in the
areas of counter-terrorism and transnational crime, among which Thailand and India
are regional leaders. Through the Joint Working Group on Counter Terrorism and Trans-
national Crimes (CTTC), there are six sub-groups, which report to the CTTC. India and Thai-
land are lead shepherdsin law enforcement, counter-terrorism cooperation, and anti-
money laundering and combating nancing of terrorism. Thailand recently announced
that it was expanding its eorts to combat money laundering through cooperation
with BIMSTEC at the 11th meeting of the BIMSTEC Sub-Group on Anti-Money Laundering
and Combating the Financing of Terrorism (Thailand Steps Up, 2019).
Through the lens of BIMSTEC, there are several opportunities for both India and Thai-
land. In 2009, member states signed the BIMSTEC Convention on Cooperation in Combat-
ing International Terrorism, Transnational Organized Crime and Illicit Drug Tracking,
however many states have not ratied it. Second, the BIMSTEC secretariat is weak com-
pared to other regional organisations. New Delhi and Bangkok could play a leadership
role in ensuring the ratication of important counter-terrorism treaties as well as giving
BIMSTEC the institutional capacity it needs to play a supporting role. The BIMSTEC Perma-
nent Secretariat was established in Dhaka in 2014, with India contributing 32 percent of
the cost (Brief on BIMSTEC, 2014). Recent developments have pointed to a stronger
impetus on BIMSTEC as a stronger counter-terrorism alternative for India to SAARC.
Aside from the avoidance of the soured India-Pakistan relationship, BIMSTEC has begun
to deliver progress. The Kathmandu Declaration, minted by the leaders of BIMSTEC
countries in August 2018, focuses heavily on counter-terrorism measures. The Declaration
called for the seven BIMSTEC members
to combat terrorism and call upon all countries to devise a comprehensive approach which
should include preventing nancing of terrorists and terrorist actions from territories under
their control, blocking recruitment and cross-border movement of terrorists, countering radi-
calisation, countering misuse of the internet for purposes of terrorism and dismantling terror-
ist safe havens (Fourth BIMSTEC Summit, 2018).
JOURNAL OF POLICING, INTELLIGENCE AND COUNTER TERRORISM 261
Finally, counter-terrorism as an important tool for diplomacy and building strong inter-
state relations are areas that New Delhi can share with Bangkok. India has used
counter-terrorism to gain support in international forums like BRICS, SCO, ASEAN, and
BIMSTEC and it forms a crucial part of Indias common bilateral and multilateral pursuits.
Even as counter-terrorism has gained centre stage in Indias diplomatic outreach, it could
use the agenda with Thailand to strengthen common positions bilaterally and through
regional institutions.
Conclusion
The India-Thailand relationship has grown considerably over the past decade, creating a
distinct niche, while not becoming eclipsed by the overwhelming scope of India-ASEAN
relations. Their mutually-benecial cooperation, as this paper has demonstrated, has
expanded into a broader partnership that includes issues of non-traditional security in
the maritime domain, intelligence sharing, and counter-terrorism. For both, joint oper-
ations in the Indo-Pacic, intra-agency cooperation and cooperation through multina-
tional forums are opportunities not just to boost bilateral ties but improve regional
security. Cooperation has increased as Indias ascendance as a regional power and sub-
sequent pitch against terrorism have prompted regional bodies like BIMSTEC to
respond. The bilateral movements of India and Thailand are potential signals to other
ASEAN countries that the development of regional security partnerships should be priori-
tised. Indias presence as a strategic ASEAN partner has led to counter-terrorism arrange-
ments with Cambodia in 2018 (Narendra Modi holds talks, 2018) and talks with Vietnam in
2019, as a part of a coordinated campaign to raise awareness about threats in the wider
Indo-Pacic. The India-Thailand counter-terrorism partnership is worthy of closer atten-
tion, as it represents one of the rst and longest Indo-Pacic regional partnerships, rival-
ling that of Indias robust partnership with Japan. As their military capacities increase,
however, it could trigger resistance. While Thailand maintains its close relationship with
the United States, military ties to China have also grown. Thailands vulnerabilities to
China are well documented, as well as its connectivity to the BRI. Given the bamboo
quality of Thai foreign policy (Kislenko, 2002), the partnership is always subject to change.
Disclosure statement
No potential conict of interest was reported by the author(s).
ORCID
Mark S. Cogan http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3171-7587
Vivek Mishra http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9631-6207
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The city of Bombay (later Mumbai) has witnessed two deadly seaborne terrorist attacks in 1993 and 2008, respectively. Recurring with a gap of 15 years, the latter had a similar nature and goal as that of the former. Apart from the seaborne character, there was state sponsorship from Pakistan, nexus with organized criminal groups and communal objectives. The only difference was that the 2008 attacks were carried out with greater sophistry as a result of the right lessons learnt from 1993, and a greater involvement of the Pakistani ‘deep state’. The central question approached in this article is how does a nation cope with such a triad threat perception? On examination of the intelligence prerogative for terrorist operations, the inevitability of counterintelligence responses is established. It is argued that the intelligence solution to the terrorist problem lies in ‘counterintelligence’ (CI), especially offensive CI, rather than traditional intelligence gathering.
Article
India's threat landscape is dotted with various groups fighting for multiple causes. This article attempts to provide an overview of the most prominent groups that operate all over the nation. In this respect, it casts light on the Kashmiri Conflict, the Naxalite Insurgency, the North-East Separatist groups, Islamist threats and the Hindutva extremism. Key aspects of the groups covered here include their origin, membership, facilitating factors and government response among others. This article analyses the Kashmiri, Naxalite and North-East militancy as insurgent groups whereas it analyses the rise and fall of Islamist and Hindu extremism through the lens of identity theories.
Article
India has been a major victim of Islamist terrorism and has long fought against an array of Islamist terrorist groups. Since the 9/11 terrorist attacks, India's previously lonely struggle against terrorism has taken place against the background of the US-led Global War on Terror (GWOT). After outlining India's Islamist terrorist challenge, this article examines India's evolving approach to counterterrorism and how the GWOT has influenced it. It concludes that India has adopted a localized, defensive, law-and-order approach to counterterrorism which has evolved in response to various attacks over the years but still remains seriously underdeveloped. The GWOT has influenced Indian counterterrorism in important ways, although its influence has been subtle and indirect rather than transformative. The GWOT has enhanced Indo-American counterterror cooperation, shaped India's terror environment by launching the war in Afghanistan and enriched Indian counterterrorism with American experience. Just as important, it has also had an impact on India's debate on counterterrorism, civil liberties and human rights.
Article
In his 2006 New Year message, Japanese Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi pledged to improve relations with neighbouring countries. Underlying this message is perhaps the understanding that its relations with its neighbours, particularly its near neighbours China and Korea have been less than ideal. However, Prime Minister Koizumi also made it clear that Japan s foreign relations would remain based on the Japan-US alliance. This perhaps reiterated what his Foreign Minister Mr Taro Azo said not long after he was appointed foreign minister that in Japan s foreign relations, it is US first, Asia second . No one doubts the importance of the Japan-US relationship, just as no one would underestimate the importance of getting Sino-US relations right if the stability of the region is to be assured. However, while China has been working hard to maintain a proactive and responsible regional policy in Asia, Japanese policy towards Asia has at best been unclear and uncertain, and at worst raised serious questions about Japan s perception of itself and its relations with the rest of Asia. One wonders if Japan, though geographically located in East Asia, considers itself politically and psychologically East Asian. This article focuses on Japan s relations with Southeast Asia and ASEAN, and examines how Japan s ambivalent attitude towards the East Asian region may impact the construction of an East Asian Community which ASEAN purports to be in the driving seat. With September 11, terrorism has come to dominate the security concerns of nation-states, especially in Asia, affecting both inter- and intra-regional relations significantly. Though for many Asian countries terrorism was nothing new, threats of transnational terrorism introduced new security challenges, which significantly changed the nature of domestic politics and state-society relations of the regional states and relations among them and with states in other regions. In the new dynamics, the traditional bilateral alliance systems that underpinned much of the security structure and relations in the past are found to be inadequate to deal with the challenge of transnational terrorism. There is thus a need for cooperation among the nations in the region and greater engagement with extra-regional partners through multilateral arrangements. Both India and Southeast Asia grapple with an array of security threats including those from transnational terrorism. Ironically, terrorism provides unique opportunities to both to work together. This article argues that the common desire to fight terrorism could be the imperative that would establish foundations for mutually beneficial partnerships both in their economic and security relations. India and Southeast Asia have substantial experience to deal with terrorism. Both could leverage their mutual expertise to deal with the threat decisively. Besides, economic cooperation between India and the countries in Southeast Asia has the potential to accelerate the pace of development, which in turn could help them to resolve both intra- and inter-regional tensions and to develop the quality of life.
Book
Seventy percent of our planet is covered by water, and even in today's world of instant communication the global community is still heavily reliant on sea-based transport. The maritime domain has always been one of NATO's key strengths, but concerns about maritime security have taken on renewed importance in recent years, and NATO has been forced to re-examine some of its fundamental assumptions about the post Cold War security environment. This book shares some of the research, debates and findings from a NATO Advanced Research Workshop (ARW); Building Trust to Enhance Maritime Security, held in Geneva, Switzerland, in November 2014. The chapters in the book deal extensively with lessons learned by NATO from a wide range of policies, operations and situations. This maritime experience has been amassed from the Atlantic and Mediterranean to the Baltic and the Black Sea, and even into the Indian Ocean, as well as from the four decades spent defending NATO allies on the high seas during the Cold War. The single most profound lesson learned over the years has concerned the importance of efficient coordination. Structures and mechanisms have been created, not least in recent counter piracy operations, which enable a vast array of actors to work together in an efficient way, and which could prove invaluable in future efforts to counter terrorism and aggression worldwide. The safety of the maritime domain is essential to the freedom and security of all nations, and this book will be of interest to all those whose work involves maintaining that freedom and security.