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From Fragile to Collapsed Statehood: The Case of the Republic of
Yemen (1990-2020)
Jörg Michael Dostal a
Keywords: fragile statehood, houthi movement, saudi arabia, state collapse, yemen
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INTRODUCTION
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Associate Professor, Graduate School of Public Administration, Seoul National University, Korea, E-mail: jmdostal@snu.ac.kr a
Dostal, J. M. (2021). From Fragile to Collapsed Statehood: The Case of the Republic of
Yemen (1990-2020). Korean Journal of Policy Studies,36(1), 69–84.
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YEMEN: GEOGRAPHY AND POLICAL HISTORY
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Map 1. Topography of Yemen.
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64@845BHG 5864HF8G;8FBHG;8EAE8:<@8;47588A F;4>8A
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G;86BAW<6GJ4F@BFG?L 7E<I8A 5L GE<54? E4G;8EG;4A<78B
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/8@8A< 5BE78E (8?<89J85 +A<9L<A: G;8 GJB FG4G8F
4CC84E874F4A868FF4ELCB?<G<64?CE86BA7<G<BAGB89986G<I8?L
8KC?B<GG;8A4GHE4?E8FBHE68F
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GE478 EBHG8 58GJ88A G;8 #87<G8EE4A84A )84 I<4 G;8 )H8M
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BHGF<78 B9 @4<A?4A7 E4A68 A 477<G<BA =<5BHG< ;BHF8F
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F6E<5874F@BG<I4G875LG;8FGEH::?84:4<AFGC<E46L<AJ4G8EF
B99 G;8 F;BE8F B9 =<5BHG<RF FBHG;8EA A8<:;5BE<A: FG4G8 B9
)B@4?<4J;<6;;4F588A78I4FG4G875L786478FB96<I<?J4E
BJ8I8E<G4?FBHA78EF6BE8FG;8F<:A<V64AGFGE4G8:<6I4?H8
B96BAGEB??<A:/8@8A<6B4FG4?4E84F
#BE8BI8EG;878G46;87/8@8A<<F?4A7B9)B6BGE4?B64G87
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4E8 6HEE8AG?L FG4G<BA87 BA G;8 <F?4A7 ?B64G87 <A G;8 68A
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@8AGF FH6; 4F G;8 ;<A8F89HA787 &4><FG4A< ;4E5BE CEB
=86GB9J474EG;8;<A8F8B<?8KC?BE4G<BA<A )B@4?<?4A7
4A7 G;8 ;<A8F8 <A9E4FGEH6GHE8 4A7 ;4E5BE CEB=86GF <A E
<GE844A7G;<BC<44E84?FB?B64G87<AG;8I<6<A<GLB9)B6BGE4
*;HF9HGHE86BAG8FGBI8E6BAGEB?B9G;8<F?4A76BH?778I8?BC
<AGB 4ABG;8E 6BAW<6G FCBG J<G; E8:<BA4? 4A7 :?B54? E8C8E
6HFF<BAF
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? 4J9 #4E<5 );45J4A 4A7 47E4@BHG G;89BE@8E GJB
?B64G87<AG;89BE@8EABEG;4A7G;8?4GG8EGJB<AG;89BE@8E
FBHG;G A887F GB 58FGE8FF87 G;4G +) )BI<8G<AG;8 ?4G8
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7H6G87FB@8FHEI8LF4?G;BH:;<A9BE@4G<BA45BHGG;8@4:
A<GH78B97<F6BI8E87B<?4A7:4FV8?7F<FABGCH5?<6?L4I4<?
45?84A7 4??7E<??<A:46G<I<G<8F;4I8FGBCC87F<A687H8
GBG;8 J4E /8@8ARF BI8E4?? F<:A<V64A68 9BE:?B54? B<? 4A7
:4FFHCC?<8F;4FFB94E588A@B78FG4A7FB@88K<FG<A:V8?7F
4E8ABJ4?E847L6?BF8GB8K;4HFG<BABJ8I8E4:8B?B:<64?
FHEI8LFH::8FG87 G;4GS1G2J8?I8BAF;BE84A7B99F;BE8F87
<@8AG4EL1B<?:4F254F<AF;4I8588A<78AG<V87<A/8@8AU
1%2A?L GJB U 4E8 J8?? 8KC?BE87 G;8 E8FG E8@4<A 9EBAG<8E
54F<AFTF)4EHE<)BE>;45<
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87:87E8FBHE6854F8B9G;86BHAGEL4A7@H6;;<:;8EHAB9
V6<4?8FG<@4G8FA946G@4E<G<@8 MBA8F B9 /8@8A4A7 G;8
?4E:8E (87 )84 4E84 5BE78E<A: /8@8ARF J8FG8EA 6B4FG?<A8
4E84?E847L>ABJAGB6BAG4<AE<6;B<?4A7:4F78CBF<GFK
C?BE4G<BA4A77E<??<A:BHGF<78B9/8@8ARF(87)84MBA8;4F
4?E847L FG4EG87 <AIB?I<A: )4H7< $BEJ8:<4A ;<A8F8 4A7
4A47<4A 6B@C4A<8F 8AA< C4EG 9EB@ 4668FF GB
@<A8E4?E8FBHE68FCE<A6<C4??LB<?:4F4A7CE86<BHF@8G4?F
G;86BAGEB?B9/8@8ARF;4E5BEF6B4FG?<A8F4A7VF;<A:4E84F
<F 4?FB I8EL F<:A<V64AG BJ8I8E 9BE8<:A G4>8BI8E B9
/8@8ARF <A9E4FGEH6GHE84A7 E8FBHE68F BE 4A 8KG8EA4??L8A
9BE687A8J7<I<F<BAB9G;86BHAGEL<AGBABEG;8EA4A7FBHG;
8EA MBA8F B9 <AWH8A68 BE F8C4E4G8 FG4G8F JBH?7 9HA74
@8AG4??LF;<9GG;8E8:<BA4?54?4A68B9CBJ8E*;HF8KG8EA4?
<AG8EI8AG<BA<F5BHA7GBGE<::8EA8JEBHA7FB96BAW<6G
A CONFLICT MATRIX OF YEMEN
ABE78E GB4??BJ4J8??EBHA7874A4?LF<FB9G;8 /8@8A<
64F8F<A68<AG8E8FGFB946GBEF4GI4E<BHF?8I8?FA4@8?L
?B64?E8:<BA4? 4A7 :?B54? @HFG4?? 58 6BAF<78E87 BEG;8
CHECBF8B9G;86HEE8AG4EG<6?8 G;8 ?B64? 46GBEF 4E8 78VA87
4F/8@8A<A4G<BA4?F4?G;BH:;G;8L@<:;G4?FB9BE@4??<4A68
J<G;8KG8EA4?9BE8<:AA4G<BA4?4A7BEGE4AFA4G<BA4?46GBEF
*;<F <A8I<G45?L E8FH?GF <A 7<9V6H?GL <A 8KC?4<A<A: G;8<E 46
G<BAF<AG8E@FB9CHE8?L?B64?7LA4@<6F*;HFG;8E8:<BA4?
46GBEF@HFG4?FB584FF8FF87*;8F8<A6?H78G;8E45FG4G8F
B9 G;8 #<77?8 4FG 4A7 G;8 7<E86G C8E<C;8EL B9 ABAE45
FG4G8F*HE>8LFE48?4A7E4AW4A><A:G;8@<AA85HF6;
C
AG8E@FB9G;8:?B54??8I8?G;8G;E886BAG8@CBE4EL:E84G
CBJ8EF A4@8?L ;<A4 (HFF<4 4A7 G;8 +) J<?? 58 8K
4@<A87 @BA: G;8F8 G;E88 CBJ8EF G;8 +) <AWH8A68 <F
FG<?? 7B@<A4AG F<A68 @BFG E45 FG4G8F ;4I8 8AG8E87 ?BA:
G8E@C4GEBA6?<8AGE8?4G<BAF;<CFJ<G;+)46GBEF<A86BAB@<6
4A7@<?<G4EL FC;8E8F(HFF<49BE@8E?LG;8)BI<8G+A<BA <F
4ABG;8ECB?<G<64? 4A7 @<?<G4EL 46GBE <AG;8 E8:<BA 5HG G;8
6BHAGELRFEB?8 ;4F 786?<A87<A6B@C4E<FBAGBG;8B?7-4E
8E4J<G;G;8ABG45?88K68CG<BAB9G;8)LE<4A64F8F<A68
<A4??L ;<A4 ;4F E868AG?L 8@8E:87 4F 4 I8EL F<:A<V64AG
86BAB@<646GBE<AG;8E45E8:<BA*;86BHAGELRFS8?G4A7
(B47A<G<4G<I8T(C?468F@4=BE8@C;4F<FBA8KC4A7<A:
86BAB@<6<AG8E78C8A78A6<8F J<G; E45 FG4G8F 4A7 9E<64A
6BHAGE<8F ?B64G87 <A G;8 BEA B9 9E<64 <A G;8 <@@87<4G8
A8<:;5BE;BB7 B9 /8@8A <A4??L FB@8 BG;8E % 6BHA
GE<8F 4?FB C?4L 4 F86BA74EL C4EG <A G;8 E8:<BA )<A68 G;8<E
EB?8<F ?<@<G87 <A6B@C4E<FBAGBG;8:E84G CBJ8EFG;8L4E8
ABG9B6HF87BA<AG;8FH5F8DH8AG4A4?LF<F
(4G;8E G;4A 4FFH@<A: 4AL CE88K<FG<A: ;<8E4E6;L 58
GJ88A G;8 ?B64? E8:<BA4? 4A7 :?B54? 4A4?LG<64? ?8I8?F 4
C8E@4A8AGWH6GH4G<BA <A G;8<E E8?4G<I8F<:A<V64A68F;BH?7
5846>ABJ?87:87#BE8BI8E7<998E8AGG<@89E4@8FA4@8?L
?BA:G8E@@87<H@G8E@4A7F;BEGG8E@4??<AWH8A68G;8
8I8AGF<A/8@8A-;8AB5F8EI<A:BA:B<A:8I8AGF4A4?LFGF
EB@E4:<?8GBB??4CF87)G4G8;BB7*;84F8B9G;8(8CH5?<6B9/8@8A
7:-)67=:6)47. 741+A"<=,1-; 4
Table 1. Con8ict Matrix of Yemen
Local factors Regional factors Global factors
Short-term 1 4 7
Medium-term 2 5 8
Long-term 3 6 9
KC?4A4G<BABEG;8CHECBF8B96B@CE8;8AF<I86BAW<6G4A4?LF<F846;B9G;8A<A8V8?7FB9G;8@4GE<K@HFG586BAF<78E87??A<A8V8?7F4E8@HGH4??L<AG8E78C8A78AG4A7ABCE88K<FG
<A:4A4?LG<64?;<8E4E6;L<F<@C?<87
F;BH?7 G;8E89BE8 58 4J4E8 B9 G;8 FGEH6GHE4? 546>:EBHA7
I4E<45?8F A4@8?L ?BA:G8E@ EBBG 64HF8F B9 /8@8ARF J84>
FG4G8;BB7G;4GJ8E84?E847L<AC?468?BA:589BE8G;8FG4EGB9
G;8J4EF88*45?8
A6BA6?HF<BAG;86BAW<6G@4GE<KCE8F8AG87;8E84A7HG<
?<M87 <A G;8 A8KG F86G<BA 4??BJF 9BE4 7LA4@<6 <AG8ECE8G4
G<BAB9 :8BCB?<G<64? 6BAW<6G(4G;8E G;4A F<@C?L 4FFH@<A:
VK87FGE4G8:<8FB9 G;8 I4E<BHF 46GBEFG;8@4GE<K 46>ABJ?
87:8FG;4G<A7<I<7H4?SE4G<BA4?T46G<BA5LFG4G8FH5FG4G8
4A7 ABAFG4G8 46GBEF 64A CEB7H68 G;8 @HGH4? 5?B6>4:8 BE
8I8A78FGEH6G<BAB9G;8C4EG<8F<AIB?I87
LITERATURE REVIEW: CAUSES OF YEMEN’S
STATE FRAGILITY
*;<FF86G<BAE8I<8JF FB@8 46478@<6 466BHAGFB9/8@8A
54F87BA4?BA:<GH7<A4? 4A7 @H?G<7<F6<C?<A4EL 4CCEB46;<A
BE78E GB GE468 @4=BE 64HF8F B9 /8@8A< FG4G8 9E4:<?<GL 4A7
FH5F8DH8AG6B??4CF8*;8A8KGG;E88FH5F86G<BAF?BB>4G?B
64? E8:<BA4? 4A7 :?B54? <AWH8A68F G;4G G4>8A GB:8G;8E
4??BJ 4 58GG8E HA78EFG4A7<A: B9 G;8 @H?G<C?8 BI8E?4CC<A:
64HF8FB96E<F<F<A/8@8A*;8VEFGFH5F86G<BA7<F6HFF8F?B
64?946GBEF J;<?8G;8GJBFH5F8DH8AG FH5F86G<BAF9B6HFBA
E8:<BA4?4A7:?B54?946GBEF
Local factors
*;8 9BHE FBHE68F HG<?<M87 ;8E8 J8E8 CH5?<F;87 5L 4A
:LCG<4ACH5?<647@<A<FGE4G<BAF6;B?4E4E<G<F;4AG;EBCB?
B:<FG 4 $BEG; @8E<64A CB?<G<64? F6<8AG<FG 4A7 4 M86;
5BEA ;<FGBE<4A E8FC86G<I8?L ?H@< 4L
E8F6; ?MM4M< *;8F8 466BHAGF 9EB@ 7<9
98E8AG46478@<67<F6<C?<A8F 6BI8EI4E<BHFG<@8 9E4@8F 4A7
6B@C?8@8AG 846; BG;8E *;8L 4?FB ;<:;?<:;G FB@8 B9 G;8
?BA:FG4A7<A:6BAGEBI8EF<8F<AG;8F6;B?4EF;<CBA/8@8A
*B58:<A J<G; ?MM4M< ;<F 466BHAG 9B6HF87 FB?8?L BA
G;89BE@8E$BEG;/8@8AG;8/(BHG?<A<A:G;8G;8A54F<6
FB6<8G4? 6?84I4:8F A4@8?L G;8 F86G 7<I<F<BAF 58GJ88A 04
L7<F);4VR<F4A7G;<E7?LG;8@H6;F@4??8E:EBHCB9F;
@48?<G8F8FGE8FF87G;8 >8LEB?8B9G;8GJB@BFG<AWH8A
G<4?04L7<GE<54? 6BA9878E4G<BAF B9 4F;<7 4A74><?<A G;8
CB?<G<64?CBJ8E54?4A68 B9 $BEG; /8@8A?MM4M<4E:H87
G;4G 4A 4A4?LG<64? 9B6HF BA E8?<:<BHF F86G 4A7 GE<54? ?<A>
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@<?7A4E6BG<6C?4AGJ;BF86;8J<A:E8?84F8F4FG<@H?4AG4A7
<F6HFGB@4EL<A /8@8A9HEG;8E6BAGE<5HG87GB 6;EBA<6 4A7
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?4FG7<G6; 899BEGF GB 7E4J <A;<A4 5L B998E<A: I4E<BHF <A
I8FG@8AGBCCBEGHA<G<8F64@8GBB?4G8GB4??BJ;<@E8:4<A
<A:?8I8E4:8BI8EFHEEB:4G8FA4?G8EA4G<I8E847<A: @<:;G
58G;4G G;<F @BI84AABL87+)B5F8EI8EF FH9V6<8AG?L GBV
A4??L7EBC;<@
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4A7;<FE8C?468@8AG5L47<<A7<7ABGF?BJ7BJA5HG
E4G;8E9HEG;8E FC88787 HC 899BEGFGB CE<I4G<M8 FG4G8 4FF8GF
#BFG6EH6<4??L47<F<:A87G;8CEBGB6B?9BE/8@8ARF4668F
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F<BAFGBSCE<I4G<M88?8I8AF8EI<68F86GBEFJ<G;<A4@4K<@H@
B9VI8L84EF U 8KCBF1<A:2 /8@8ARF6B@C4A<8FGB6B@C8G<
G<BA<AG;8Q9E88@4E>8GR4@BI8G;4GCEB@<F87G8AFB9G;BH
F4A7F B9 ?4LB99FT ?H@< CC P )<A68 47<
<AF<FG87BACB?<6<8FBCCBF875L4@4=BE<GLB97B@8FG<6CB?<G
<64?46GBEFABG?84FG FG4G88@C?BL88F@8@58EFB9G;8@<?
<G4EL ABEG;8EA GE<58F 4A7 G;8 BHG;< @BI8@8AG ;8 J4F
6B@C8??87GB94??546>BA FHCCBEG 9EB@ ;<F 8KG8EA4?FCBA
FBEFA4@8?L)4H7<E45<447<4?FB94<?87GBB998E7B@8FG<6
6BAFG<GH8A6<8F4AL6E87<5?8I<F<BAB9FG4G8?8778I8?BC@8AG
4A7CEBI<F<BAB9J8?94E8CB?<6<8FBFG4?AFG847;8
6BAG<AH87GBEHA4CE874GBELFG4G84?BA:G;8?<A8FB9;<FCE8
7868FFBEP8K68CGG;4GG;8FCB<?FJ8E87<FGE<5HG878I8A@BE8
A4EEBJ?L*;<FCEBI87GB58G;8@4<A64HF89BEG;894<?HE8B9
;<FE8:<@8GB6BAFB?<74G84A7CE8C4E87G;8BHG;<RFFH5F8
DH8AGG4>8BI8EB9@BFGB9$BEG;/8@8AF<A68
)H@@<A:HC G;<F5E<89?<G8E4GHE8E8I<8JB9?B64?6BAW<6G
<A /8@8A G;8E8 4CC84EF 6BAF8AFHF G;4G ABEG;8EA GE<54?
CBJ8EFGEH6GHE8F4A7 G;8 <@C46GB9 HA<V64G<BA B9G;8 GJB
/8@8A< FG4G8F<ACEB7H6874A 8I8E@BE87<I<787 4A7
9E4:@8AG87CB?<GL<AJ;<6;4668FFGBA8JE8FBHE68FFH6;4F
B<?E8I8AH8CEB7H687@H?G<C?8A8J6?4<@FBAG;8FG4G8J;<?8
9HEG;8E 5?HEE<A: ?<A8F B9 466BHAG45<?<GL A 477<G<BA FG4G8
FGEH6GHE8F;47A8I8ECE8BECBFGHA<V64G<BA6BAFB?<74G87
<A G;8 F8AF8 B9 :4<A<A: 4HGBAB@L 9EB@ BG;8E 9BE@F 4A7
FBHE68FB9CB?<G<64?4HG;BE<GL*;8F8<FFH8F4E87<F6HFF87<A
G;8FH5F8DH8AGF86G<BAJ;<6;8K4@<A8FG;87B@8FG<6CB?<G
<64?6?84I4:8FGEH6GHE8<A9HEG;8E78G4<?89BE8;4A7G;8E8
@4<A78EB9G;86HEE8AGF86G<BAGHEAFGBE8:<BA4?4A7:?B54?
946GBEF
Regional factors
*;8 E45 E8:<BA4? FG4G8 FLFG8@ 8@8E:87 49G8E G;8 6B?
?4CF8 B9 G;8 %GGB@4A @C<E8 <A HA78E CE<@4E<?L
E<G<F;<AWH8A68 *;HF FG4G8HA<GF BA G;8 E45 C8A<AFH?4
@BFG?LE8?4G8546>GBE<G<F;<A7<E86GEH?8CE88K<FG<A:CE<I
<?8:87 E8?4G<BAF;<CF B9 G;8 +! J<G; 68EG4<A 6?4AF FH6; 4F
G;84?)4H7FGHEA87SCEBG86GBE4G8FT<A4F?BJ4A7HAFG847L
CEB68FF <AGB FG4G8 HA<GF AFG847 B9 A4G<BA FG4G8F FG4G8
5H<?7<A: BA G;8 E45 C8A<AFH?4 CEB7H687 SFG4G8 A4G<BAFT
G;4G 6BAG<AH8 GB <A6?H78 I4E<BHF 9BE@F B9 GE47<G<BA4? 4H
G;BE<GLFH6;4FEH?<A:94@<?<8F4A7@HFGFG<??E8?4G8GB 8K
G8EA4?C4GEBAFGB:H4E4AG88478:E88B97B@8FG<6FG45<?<GL
B??BJ<A: -BE?7-4E G;8 E45 E8:<BA4? FLFG8@ J4F 8F
F8AG<4??LG4>8ABI8E5LG;8+)FG4EG<A:J<G; G;84:E88@8AG
58GJ88A+) &E8F<78AG E4A>?<A 8?4AB (BBF8I8?G4A7 !<A:
5A)4H7<AGB8FG45?<F;4FGE4G8:<6E8?4G<BAF;<C HE
<A:G;884E?LB?7-4EE<G<F;<AWH8A686B??4CF87*;8)B
I<8G+A<BAABJ8@8E:874FG;8F86BA7@4=BE8KG8EA4?CBJ8E
<AG;8E8:<BA4A7FG4EG87546><A:4AH@58EB9SE47<64?TE45
E8:<@8FFH6;4F)BHG;/8@8A49G8E
A G;8 CBFG6B?BA<4? E45 FG4G8 FLFG8@ 8@8E:<A: 49G8E
GJB FG4G8F @478 899BEGF GB 586B@8 E8:<BA4? ;8:8
@BAF A4@8?L 4@4? 578? $4FF8ERF :LCG <A G;8 F
4A7 F 4A7 )4774@ HFF8<ARF E4D 7HE<A: G;8 F
EB@E4:<?8GBB??4CF87)G4G8;BB7*;84F8B9G;8(8CH5?<6B9/8@8A
7:-)67=:6)47. 741+A"<=,1-; 7
BG; 899BEGF 94<?87 CE<@4E<?L 7H8 GB 8KG8EA4? 54?4A6<A: 5L
G;8+)J;<6;HF87<GFBJACBJ8E4A74E8:<BA4?FLFG8@B9
ABAE456?BF84??<8FA4@8?LFE48?*HE>8L4A7G;8);4;RF
E4A58GJ88A 4A7 GB546>HC<GFE8:<BA4?E45
6?<8AGF A4@8?L )4H7< E45<4 4A7 G;8 H?9 )G4G8F 4:4<AFG
SE47<64?T6;4??8A:8EF9G8EG;878@<F8B9G;8)BI<8G+A<BA
<A@BFGE8?8I4AGFG4G8F<AG;8#<77?84FGBG;8EG;4A
)LE<4 4A7 E4D J8E8 4?E847L 6?BF8?L 4?<:A87 J<G; G;8 +)
*;8E45FG4G8F6HEE8AG?L6B@C8G<A:9BE<AWH8A68<A/8@8A
4E84??6?BF8 +) 4??<8F A4@8?L)4H7< E45<4 G;8 +4A7
'4G4E*JBBG;8EE8:<BA4? E45 FG4G8F 4;E4<A4A7%@4A
4E8GBBJ84>GB8K8E6<F8@H6;<AWH8A68BAG;8/8@8A<F<G
H4G<BA<A4??L*HE>8L4A7 E4A4FABAE45 FG4G8F4E8:8
B:E4C;<64??L 9HEG;8E E8@BI87 9EB@ /8@8A 4A7 G;8<E EB?8
J<G;<AG;86BAW<6G<F4?FB@BE8?<@<G87AC4EG<6H?4EG;8E8
<FAB6BA6?HF<I88I<78A68B9E4A<4A7<E86G@<?<G4ELFHCCBEG
B9G;8BHG;<F7H8GBE4ARF?B:<FG<64??<@<G4G<BAF4?G;BH:;
<784G<BA4? FHCCBEG <F 46>ABJ?87:87 4A7 <AI8FG<:4G<BAF
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6HEE8AG?LBA:B<A:+A<G87 $4G<BAF )86HE<GL BHA6<?
CC
ABE78EGB 8KC?4<A G;8 G;E88 E45 FG4G8FR<AG8EI8AG<BAF
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GE46>E86BE7FB9<AI8FG<A:<A/8@8A86BAB@<64??L4A7CB?<G
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C8G87 <A G8E@F B9 <AI8FG<A: <A <A9E4FGEH6GHE8 FH6; 4F ;4E
5BEF@<A<A:4A7 E84? 8FG4G8 CEB=86GF AC4EG<6H?4E<G ;4F
588A FH::8FG87 G;4G )4H7< E45<4 J4F CE8 @BFG <A
G8E8FG87 <A 47I4A6<A: 4 FGE4G8:<6 SE<7:8 B9 G;8 BEA 1B9
9E<642T <AI8FG@8AG A4@8?L GB 6BAFGEH6G 4 5E<7:8 ?<A><A:
/8@8ARF6B4FG?<A8J<G;=<5BHG<?H@<CCP
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?4A7F *<;4@4 946<A: G;8 (87 )84 J;<6; 6BAF<FGF B9 G;8
J8FG8EA F;BE8F B9 )4H7< E45<4 4A7 /8@8A J4F E8DH<E87
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E45&8A<AFH?4J<G;G;<BC<4E<GE84)B@4?<44A7G;8CEB
7H6G<I84:E<6H?GHE4??4A7FB9)H74A*;<FJBH?74??BJ7<E86G
)4H7<4668FFGB8FF8AG<4? E8FBHE68F<AG;8E8:<BA BJ8I8E
G;8 )4H7< 5E<7:8 CEB=86G JBH?7 4G G;8 F4@8 G<@8 78I4?H8
CE88K<FG<A:<AI8FG@8AGFB9 G;8+<A@4E<G<@8GE4AFCBEG
4A7 E8:<BA4? ;4E5BEF <A =<5BHG< 4A7 8?F8J;8E8 <A G;8 E8
:<BA
A GHEA G;8 + J4F @BFG <AG8E8FG87 <A @4<AG4<A<A:
4A78KC4A7<A:<GFF;4E8B9 6BAGEB?B9E8:<BA4? GE478EBHG8F
4A7;4E5BEF*;8E89BE8G;84:E88@8AG58GJ88AG;8+RF
H54<&BEGF-BE?7&-4A7G;8A/8@8A<&E8F<78AG)4?8;
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0BA8 J4F G;8 @BFG <@CBEG4AG F<A:?8 + CEB=86G J<G;<A
/8@8A?H@<CCPFFBBA4F47<5864@8
CE8F<78AG<A;BJ8I8EG;878A4A7BG;8E+<AI8FG
@8AGF 5864@8 F6EHG<A<M87 9BE S6BEEHCG<BAT *;8 A8J :BI
8EA@8AGS<A<G<4G87 4 QE8I<8JRB94??784?F@478 5L G;8 CE8
I<BHF E8:<@8U *;8E8 J4F ?<GG?8 7BH5G G;4G G;8 A8J 5<7
JBH?7 :B GB 4 )4H7< BE '4G4E< <AG8E8FGT ?H@< C
)<A6847<RFE8:<@8J4F ?84A<A: GBJ4E7 )4H7< <AG8E
8FGF4A7J4F7B@8FG<64??L546>87HC 5L G;8 4?F?4; C4EGL
?875LG;84?;@4E6?4A4A7BG;8E)4H7<4?<:A87ABEG;8EA
GE<54? <AG8E8FGF G;8 + FG4EG87 ?<A><A: HC J<G; FBHG;8EA
/8@8A<<AG8E8FGFGB6BHAG8E54?4A68G;8A8JCB?<G<64??4A7
F64C8)BBAG;8)BHG;8EA#BI8@8AG4A7FBHG;8EAGE<58FE8
68<I87G46<G+FHCCBEG<A78@4A7F9BEE8:<BA4?4HGBAB@L
BEG;8 E8FGBE4G<BAB9)BHG;/8@8ARFFG4G8;BB7*;<FCB?<6L
F;<9GJ4F6BA7H6G87<ABE78EGBCEBG86GG;8CE8I<BHF+<A
I8FG@8AGFGG;8F4@8G<@8G;8+FG4EG87GB78F<:A4G8
G;84?F?4;C4EGL4F4G8EEBE<FGBE:4A<M4G<BA
<A4??L'4G4E;474?FB;84I<?L<AI8FG87<A /8@8A<CB?<
G<6F4A7E84?8FG4G8HA78E)4?8;RFCEBG86G<BAA477<G<BA<G
;47?<A>87 HC J<G; ABEG;8EA GE<58F 4A7G;8 4?F?4; C4EGL
*;<FE8FH?G87 <A 7<E86G 6B@C8G<G<BAJ<G;)4H7< C4E4??8? 89
9BEGFGB6BAGEB?G;84?F?4;C4EGL4A7ABEG;8EAGE<58F%I8E
4??'4G4ECEBI87G;8J84>8FG?<A>4@BA:G;8G;E886B@C8G
<A:E45CBJ8EF4A7CBFG)4?8;CE8F<78A6L?BFG<GF84E?<8E
<AWH8A68 <A /8@8A A '4G4E BC8A?L 98?? BHG J<G;
)4H7<4A7 +9BE68F8FC86<4??LG;89BE@8E4A7FB@8 B5
F8EI8EFFH::8FG87 G;4G 4A8J6B4?<G<BA6BAF<FG<A: B9'4G4E
*HE>8L4A7E4AJ4F8@8E:<A:GB54?4A684:4<AFG)4H7<4A7
+9BE68F<A/8@8A/8GG;846GH4?78:E88B9FH6;4??<4A68
@4><A:58LBA7G;8E;8GBE<64??8I8?E8@4<AF<A7BH5GF<A68
G;8 CBG8AG<4? C4EGA8EF @<:;G F;4E8 68EG4<A <AG8E8FGF <A
/8@8A5HGFGEBA:?L7<I8E:8BABG;8E<FFH8F
*;8 @BFG <@CBEG4AG 4A4?LG<64? DH8FG<BA <F ;BJ8I8E
J;8G;8E4ALB9 G;8 6BAG8@CBE4EL E45 FG4G8F 8A=BLF478
:E88B9 4HGBAB@L GB 6BA7H6G4 E8:<BA4? 9BE8<:A CB?<6L <A
78C8A78AG9EB@+)C4GEBA4:8AC4EG<6H?4EG;8H?9)G4G8F
4A7)4H7<E45<4846;;BFGC8E@4A8AG+)@<?<G4EL<AFG4??4
G<BAF*;8BA?LG;8BE8G<64??L 6BA68<I45?864A7<74G8 9BE E8
:<BA4?E45;8:8@BA<F)4H7<E45<4BA4@BHAGB9<GFCBC
H?4G<BA F<M8 4A7 86BAB@<6 F<:A<V64A68 4F 4 @4=BE B<?
CEB7H68EHG)4H7<E45<4<F 4A 8K68CG<BA4??LCBBE 64A7<
74G89BEE8:<BA4?;8:8@BA7H8 GB G;8 45F8A68 B9 FGE4G8:<6
4HGBAB@L*;8J4E<A/8@8AF<A68;4FBA684:4<AHA
78E?<A87G;4GG;8)4H7<@<?<G4EL<F HA45?8GB6BA7H6G<A78
C8A78AGBC8E4G<BAF<AG;845F8A68B9+)@<?<G4EL4A7?B:<F
G<64?FHCCBEGE<G<F;@<?<G4ELGE4<A8EF&4><FG4A<C<?BGF4A7
S)4H7<T:EBHA7GEBBCF ;<E87 9EB@ C?468FBG;8E G;4A)4H7<
E45<4"8J<F*8@C?4E08<;4AC
#BE8BI8E)4H7<E45<4 4?FB?46>F@84A<A:9H?86BAB@<6
4HGBAB@L 9EB@ G;8 J8FG8EA CBJ8EF )<A68 G;8 F G;8
6BHAGELRFB<? E8I8AH8;4FCE<A6<C4??L588A<AI8FG8745EB47
<A G;8 47I4A687 % 86BAB@<8F *;<F GE4AF?4G8F <AGB
)4H7< E8?H6G4A68 GB CHF; 9BE ;<:;8E 78:E88F B9 E45 86B
AB@<64HGBAB@L S*;84?)4H7RF64@8 GBF88-8FG8EA4A7
)4H7< <AG8E8FGF 4F A84E?L <A7<FG<A:H<F;45?8 B<? CE<68 E<F8F
G;4G 74@4:87 G;8 -8FG8EA 86BAB@LJBH?7 74@4:8 )4H7<
<AI8FG@8AGFE87H6878@4A79BEB<?4A7FG<@H?4G8B<?8KC?B
E4G<BA<A ABA%& 6BHAGE<8FT<AA85HF6; C
*;HF<G <F <A 946G ABG CBFF<5?8 GBVA7 4AL 6E87<5?8 64A7<
74G86BHAGEL9BEE8:<BA4? E45 ;8:8@BA A7887BA?L G;8
ABAE45E8:<BA4?A8<:;5BEFPFE48?*HE>8L4A7 E4AP8A
=BL86BAB@<64A7@<?<G4EL64C45<?<G<8FG;4G4??BJG;8@I4E
<BHF78:E88FB94HGBAB@L 9EB@ G;8 :E84G CBJ8EF GB J;<6;
4GG8AG<BAABJGHEAF
Global factors
*;8 +) CE<@4EL EB?8 4F 8KG8EA4? ;8:8@BA BA G;8 E45
C8A<AFH?4 4A7 <A G;8 ?4E:8E #<77?8 4FG @84AF G;4G G;<F
6BHAGELRFEB?87<998EF9HA74@8AG4??L9EB@G;BF8C8E9BE@87
5LG;8 BG;8EGJB :E84G CBJ8EF;<A4 4A7 (HFF<4%A?LG;8
+)8A:4:87<AG;8?BA:G8E@C8A8GE4G<BAB9G;8 8AG<E8 E8
:<BAF<A688FG45?<F;<A:4C8E@4A8AG@<?<G4ELCE8F8A68
<A A84E?L 4?? E8:<BA4? FG4G8F *;8 +) #<77?8 4FG FGE4G8:L
EB@E4:<?8GBB??4CF87)G4G8;BB7*;84F8B9G;8(8CH5?<6B9/8@8A
7:-)67=:6)47. 741+A"<=,1-; 8
J4FVEFG4AABHA687<AG;8<F8A;BJ8EB6GE<A8B978
6?4E<A:G;4GG;86BHAGELJBH?7CEBG86GG;8E8:<BA4?S9E88A4
G<BAFT5L@<?<G4EL@84AF<9A868FF4EL9EB@S<AG8EA4G<BA4?
6B@@HA<F@T*;8+)CBFGHE84FG;8#<77?84FGRF@4<A8K
G8EA4? 54?4A68E J4F E8FG4G87 <A G;8 4EG8E B6GE<A8
4A7G;89BHA74G<BAB9G;8+A<G87)G4G8F8AGE4?B@@4A7
$*%#<AC?4687G;8+)@<?<G4EL9B6HF8I8A@BE8
VE@?LBAG;8#<77?84FG
9G8EG;878@<F8B9G;8)BI<8G+A<BAE8@4<A<A:8KG8EA4?
6;86>F BA +) E8:<BA4? 6BA7H6G J8E8 ?4E:8?L E8@BI87 A
CE8C4E4G<BA9BE G;8 <EFGH?9-4E<AG;8+)@<?<G4EL
8E86G87A8J@<?<G4EL <AFG4??4G<BAF <A )4H7<E45<44A7 G;8
H?9)G4G8F *;8F8 @<?<G4EL54F8F 5864@8 C8E@4A8AG49G8E
G;8@<?<G4EL 78984GB9G;8 E4D<9BE68F4A7G;8<EJ<G;7E4J4?
9EB@ !HJ4<G )<A68 G;8A G;8 +) FH6688787 <A <AFG4??<A:
C8E@4A8AG @<?<G4EL 54F8F <A A84E?L 4?? E45 FG4G8F %A?L
"854ABA<FFG<?? 9E88 B9 4A B9V6<4??L46>ABJ?87:87+)@<?
<G4ELCE8F8A68J;<?8 )LE<4 4A7 /8@8A <AG;8 9BE@8E 64F8
G;8ABEG;84FG8EAB<?V8?7F4A7<AG;8?4GG8E64F8G;8<F?4A7
B9)B6BGE4;4I8<AE868AGL84EF586B@84G?84FGG8@CBE4EL
;BFGF9BEG;8 +) @<?<G4ELA G;8 64F8 B9 ?B64? 6?<8AGF FH6;
+)CB?<6<8F 4E8 54F87 BAG;8SB<?9BEF86HE<GLT9BE@H?44A7
<A6?H788KG8AF<I8+)4E@FF4?8FGBE8:<BA4?C4EGA8EFAC4E
4??8?G;8 E45 4??<8F 9E8DH8AG?L9HA7G;8+)54F8FBA G;8<E
G8EE<GBE<8F4A7 +)@<?<G4EL46G<I<G<8F<AG;8 E8:<BAB?:4A
;4CG8E
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CONCLUSION: YEMEN’S COLLAPSED
STATEHOOD RECONSIDERED
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Acknowledgments
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