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Evaluation of Dietary Niacin and New-Onset Hypertension Among Chinese Adults

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Importance The relationship of dietary niacin intake with the risk of hypertension remains unknown. Objective To determine the prospective association between dietary niacin intake and new-onset hypertension, and examine factors that may modify the association among Chinese adults. Design, Setting, and Participants This nationwide cohort study of 12 243 Chinese adults used dietary intake data from 7 rounds of the China Health and Nutrition Survey. Dietary intake was measured by 3 consecutive 24-hour dietary recalls from participants in combination with a weighing inventory taken over the same 3 days at the household level. Statistical analysis was conducted from May 2020 to August 2020. Exposures Dietary intake. Main Outcomes and Measures The study outcome was new-onset hypertension, defined as systolic blood pressure 140 mm Hg or greater and/or diastolic blood pressure 90 mm Hg or greater, diagnosis by physician, or current antihypertensive treatment during the follow-up. Results The mean (SD) age of the study population was 41.2 (14.2) years, and 5728 (46.8%) of participants were men. The mean (SD) dietary niacin intake level was 14.8 (4.1) mg/d. A total of 4306 participants developed new-onset hypertension during a median (interquartile range) follow-up duration of 6.1 (3.6-11.3) years. When dietary niacin was assessed in quartiles, the lowest risk of new-onset hypertension was found in participants in quartile 3 (14.3 to <16.7 mg/d; adjusted hazard ratio, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.75-0.90) compared with those in quartile 1 (<12.4 mg/d). Consistently in the threshold analysis, for every 1 mg/d increase in dietary niacin, there was a 2% decrease in new-onset hypertension (adjusted HR, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.96-1.00) in those with dietary niacin intake less than 15.6 mg/d, and a 3% increase in new-onset hypertension (adjusted HR, 1.03; 95% CI, 1.02-1.04) in participants with dietary niacin 15.6 mg/d or greater. Based on these results, there was a J-shaped association between dietary niacin intake and new-onset hypertension in the general population of Chinese adults, with an inflection point at 15.6 mg/d and a minimal risk at 14.3 to 16.7 mg/d (quartile 3) of dietary niacin intake. Conclusions and Relevance The results of this study provide some evidence for maintaining the optimal dietary niacin intake levels for the primary prevention of hypertension.
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Original Investigation | Cardiology
Evaluation of Dietary Niacin and New-Onset Hypertension Among Chinese Adults
Zhuxian Zhang, MD; Mengyi Liu, MD; Chun Zhou, MD; Panpan He, MD; Yuanyuan Zhang, MD; Huan Li, MD; Qinqin Li, MD; Chengzhang Liu, MS; Xianhui Qin, MD
Abstract
IMPORTANCE The relationship of dietary niacin intake with the risk of hypertension
remains unknown.
OBJECTIVE To determine the prospective association between dietary niacin intake and new-onset
hypertension, and examine factors that may modify the association among Chinese adults.
DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS This nationwide cohort study of 12 243 Chinese adults
used dietary intake data from 7 rounds of the China Health and Nutrition Survey. Dietary intake was
measured by 3 consecutive 24-hour dietary recalls from participants in combination with a weighing
inventory taken over the same 3 days at the household level. Statistical analysis was conducted from
May 2020 to August 2020.
EXPOSURES Dietary intake.
MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES The study outcome was new-onset hypertension, defined as
systolic blood pressure 140 mm Hg or greater and/or diastolic blood pressure 90 mm Hg or greater,
diagnosis by physician, or current antihypertensive treatment during the follow-up.
RESULTS The mean (SD) age of the study population was 41.2 (14.2) years, and 5728 (46.8%) of
participants were men. The mean (SD) dietary niacin intake level was 14.8 (4.1) mg/d. A total of 4306
participants developed new-onset hypertension during a median (interquartile range) follow-up
duration of 6.1 (3.6-11.3) years. When dietary niacin was assessed in quartiles, the lowest risk of
new-onset hypertension was found in participants in quartile 3 (14.3 to <16.7 mg/d; adjusted hazard
ratio, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.75-0.90) compared with those in quartile 1 (<12.4 mg/d). Consistently in the
threshold analysis, for every 1 mg/d increase in dietary niacin, there was a 2% decrease in new-onset
hypertension (adjusted HR, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.96-1.00) in those with dietary niacin intake less than
15.6 mg/d, and a 3% increase in new-onset hypertension (adjusted HR, 1.03; 95% CI, 1.02-1.04) in
participants with dietary niacin 15.6 mg/d or greater. Based on these results, there was a J-shaped
association between dietary niacin intake and new-onset hypertension in the general population of
Chinese adults, with an inflection point at 15.6 mg/d and a minimal risk at 14.3 to 16.7 mg/d (quartile
3) of dietary niacin intake.
CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE The results of this study provide some evidence for maintaining
the optimal dietary niacin intake levels for the primary prevention of hypertension.
JAMA Network Open. 2021;4(1):e2031669. doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2020.31669
Key Points
Question Is there an association
between dietary niacin intake and the
risk of new-onset hypertension?
Findings In this nationwide cohort
study, a J-shaped association was found
between dietary niacin intake and
new-onset hypertension in Chinese
adults, with an inflection point at about
15.6 mg/d and minimal risk between
14.3 and 16.7 mg/d of dietary
niacin intake.
Meaning The results of this study
provide evidence that maintaining
optimal dietary niacin intake levels may
support the primary prevention of
hypertension.
+Supplemental content
Author affiliations and article information are
listed at the end of this article.
Open Access. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the CC-BY License.
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Introduction
Hypertension is a leading cause of noncommunicable diseases, mortality, and disability worldwide.
1-3
Approximately one-third of the adult population, or more than 300 million people, had hypertension
in China between 2014 and 2015.
4,5
Therefore, there is an urgent need to identify high-risk
individuals and develop effective primary prevention strategies to reverse the rapidly rising trend of
hypertension.
Niacin, also known as nicotinic acid or vitamin B
3
, is a vitamin precursor of nicotinamide adenine
dinucleotide and is therefore essential for energy metabolism and redox reactions.
6
Studies have
shown that niacin supplementation may regulate abnormal lipid metabolism, improve endothelial
function, and have antioxidant and anti-inflammatory properties.
7
Nevertheless, excessive niacin is
also engaged in numerous pathologies, including insulin resistance and elevated homocysteine (HCY)
levels.
8,9
Several randomized clinical trials have assessed the effect of niacin supplementation on
blood pressure (BP), but the results were inconsistent.
10-15
Of note, these trials mainly examined the
effects of relatively high niacin supplementation in high-risk populations rather than the effects of
dietary niacin derived from foods in general populations. The dietary sources of niacin mainly include
cereals and cereal products, meat and meat products, and vegetables.
16
However, to date, research
on the association between dietary niacin intake and hypertension is limited, and the prospective
association between dietary niacin intake and incident hypertension risk remains unknown in the
general population.
To address these knowledge gaps, our present study aimed to investigate the prospective
association between dietary niacin intake and the risk of new-onset hypertension and to examine
factors that may modify the association in the general population using data from the nationwide
China Health and Nutrition Survey (CHNS).
Methods
Study Design and Population
Details on the study design and major results of the CHNS have been described previously.
17-19
In
brief, the CHNS is an ongoing multipurpose longitudinal open cohort study established in 1989, with
follow up scheduled for every 2 to 4 years. A multistage, random cluster approach was used to
sample the study population from 9 provinces (Heilongjiang [enrolled in 1997], Liaoning, Shandong,
Henan, Jiangsu, Hubei, Hunan, Guizhou, and Guangxi) and 3 of China’s largest autonomous cities
(Beijing, Shanghai, and Chongqing [all enrolled in 2011]). The CHNS rounds were conducted in 1989,
1991, 1993, 1997, 2000, 2004, 2006, 2009, 2011, and 2015. By 2011, the CHNS included 12 provinces
and autonomous cities and 288 communities; the provinces included in the CHNS constituted 47%
of China’s population.
20
We conducted a prospective cohort study based on 7 rounds of the CHNS data from 1997 to
2015. We first excluded participants who were pregnant, younger than 18 years, or with missing BP
data. Among the remaining participants, those who were surveyed in at least 2 study rounds (15 774
participants; 61 612 person-waves) were included, and the first survey round was considered as
baseline. The included population did not differ in most of the baseline characteristics from those not
included (14 888 person-waves) (eFigure 1, eTable 1 in the Supplement). Of the 15 774 participants,
we further excluded participants with hypertension (defined as having systolic blood pressure [SBP]
140 mm Hg and/or diastolic blood pressure [DBP] 90 mm Hg, previous diagnosis by physician,
or currently receiving antihypertensive treatment) at the time of the first survey. Furthermore,
participants with missing dietary niacin data or with extreme dietary energy data (for men, >8000 or
<800 kcal/d; women, >6000 or <600 kcal/d) were also excluded. Overall, a total of 12 243
participants were enrolled in the final analysis (eFigure 1 in the Supplement).
The institutional review boards of the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, the National
Institute of Nutrition and Food Safety, and the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention
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approved the study. Each CHNS participant provided their written informed consent. The data, as
well as study materials that support the findings of this study, are available at the CHNS website.
21
This study followed the Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (STROBE)
reporting guideline.
Dietary Nutrient Intakes
Both individual and household-level dietary data in the CHNS were collected by trained nutritionists
through face-to-face interviews in each survey round. Individual diet was repeatedly assessed by 3
consecutive 24-hour dietary recalls at the individual level in combination with a weighing inventory
over the same 3 days at the household level.
22
The 3 consecutive days were randomly allocated from
Monday to Sunday and are almost equally balanced across the 7 days of the week for each sampling
unit. Nutrient intakes were calculated using the China food composition tables. Specifically, our
analysis did not include the dietary data from the 1989, 1991, or 1993 waves because the food codes
in those data sets did not match the food codes in the composition tables (the matching codes were
not publicly released). The accuracy of 24-hour dietary recall designed to assess energy and nutrient
intake has been validated.
22
In the analyses, 3-day average intakes of dietary macronutrients and
micronutrients in each round were calculated.
In this study, we evaluated the energy-adjusted nutrient intake for dietary niacin using residual
method.
23
Cumulative intake values of each nutrient were calculated for each participant using all
results up to the last visit prior to the date of new-onset hypertension (or all results for participants
without new-onset hypertension) to represent long-term dietary intake and minimize within-person
variation.
Blood Pressure Measurements
Seated blood pressure measurements were obtained by trained research staff after the patients had
rested for 5 minutes using a mercury manometer, following the standard method and with
appropriately sized cuffs at each follow-up survey. Triplicate measurements on the same arm were
taken in a quiet and bright room. The mean SBP and DBP of the 3 independent measures were used
in analysis.
Assessment of Covariates
Information on age, sex, urban or rural residence, region, education level (eg, illiteracy, primary
school, middle school, and high school), occupation (eg, farmer, worker, unemployed, and others),
and smoking and drinking status were obtained from the questionnaires at each follow-up survey.
Smoking was defined by whether participants had ever smoked cigarettes (including hand-rolled or
device-rolled), and drinking was defined by whether participants had ever drunk beer or any other
alcoholic beverage. Height, weight, and waist and hip circumference were measured following a
standard procedure with calibrated equipment. Body mass index (BMI) was calculated as weight in
kilograms divided by height in meters squared.
The questionnaire on physician-diagnosed hypertension and antihypertensive treatment
included the following questions: “(1) Has a doctor ever told you that you suffer from high blood
pressure? If yes, (2) for how many years have you had it? and (3) are you currently taking anti-
hypertension drugs?” In China, the clinical diagnosis and treatment of hypertension were mainly
according to the Chinese Guidelines for Prevention and Treatment of Hypertension (1999, 2005,
2010, and 2018 versions). In all versions, hypertension was defined as a clinical SBP of 140 mm Hg or
greater and/or DBP 90 mm Hg or greater without the use of antihypertensive medications. Overall,
all the physicians used the same criteria for the clinical diagnosis and treatment of hypertension
during the follow-up period.
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Study Outcome
The study outcome was new-onset hypertension, defined as mean SBP140 mm Hg and/or mean
DBP90 mm Hg, diagnosis by physician, or current antihypertensive treatment during the
follow-up. When a participant was first identified with new-onset hypertension in a follow-up survey,
the middle date between this and the nearest survey before was used to calculate the follow-up time.
For those free of hypertension in all follow-up surveys, the last survey date wasused to calculate the
follow-up time.
Statistical Analysis
We assumed that the annual incident hypertension rate of Chinese adults with low dietary niacin was
about 6% (with a type I error rate of .05), and so an enrollment of approximately 3000 participants
in each group stratified by dietary niacin intake (eg, low, medium, high) would be necessary to
provide more than 80% power to observe hazard ratios (HRs) of 1.2 or more for the comparison
between low and high vs medium dietary niacin group during a follow-up period of about 6 years.
Thus, a sample size of about 10 000 would be required.
Statistical analysis was conducted from May 25, 2020, to August 6, 2020. The population
characteristics are presented as mean (SD) for continuous variables and proportions for categorical
variables by quartiles of dietary niacin. The differences in population characteristics were compared
using ANOVA tests or χ
2
tests.
The association of dietary niacin intake with new-onset hypertension were estimated using Cox
proportional hazards models before and after adjustments for age, sex, BMI, smoking status, SBP,
DBP, region, education, and occupation, as well as energy intake and sodium to potassium (Na/K)
intake ratio. Threshold analysis in the association of dietary niacin intake with the study outcome was
conducted with a 2-piecewise Cox regression model using a smoothing function. The threshold level
(ie, inflection point) was determined using a likelihood-ratio test and bootstrap resampling methods.
Furthermore, possible modifications of the association between dietary niacin and new-onset
hypertension were evaluated for the following variables: age (<40 [median] vs 40 years), sex, BMI
(<25 vs 25), waist to hip ratio (<0.85 [median] vs 0.85), smoking status, drinking status, SBP
(<120 vs 120 mm Hg), sodium to potassium intake ratio (<2.8 [median] vs 2.8), potassium (<1.4
[tertile 1] vs 1.4 g/d), sodium (<3.7 [tertile 1] vs 3.7 g/d), fat (<70.9 [median] vs 70.9 g/d),
protein (<65.4 [median] vs 65.4 g/d), carbohydrate (<305.9 [median] vs 305.9 g/d), energy
(<2162.0 [median] vs 2162.0 Kcal/d), fruit intake (0 vs >0 g/d) and vegetable intake (<356.4
[median] vs 356.4 g/d), residence (urban vs rural), and education level (primary school vs
middle school). Heterogeneity across subgroups was assessed by Cox proportional hazards
models, and interactions between subgroups and dietary niacin intake were examined by likelihood
ratio testing.
A 2-tailed P< .05 was considered to be statistically significant in all analyses. R software, version
3.6.1 (R Project for Statistical Computing) was used for all data analyses.
Results
Study Participants and Baseline Characteristics
Our study included 12 243 participants with complete dietary niacin intake measurements from the
CHNS (eFigure 1 in the Supplement). The mean (SD) age of the study population was 41.2 (14.2) years,
and 5728 (46.8%) of the participants were men. The mean (SD) and median (interquartile range
[IQR]) of dietary niacin intake were 14.8 (4.1) and 14.3 (12.4-16.7) mg/d (to convert niacin to μmol/d,
multiply by 8.123), respectively. Baseline characteristics of study participants are presented by
quartiles of dietary niacin in Table 1. Participants with higher dietary niacin intake had lower BMI, SBP,
and DBP; lower percentages of residence in east and central regions; higher percentages of urban
residence, higher education levels, and higher intake of fat, protein, potassium, and fruit and
vegetables; lower intake of energy, carbohydrates, and sodium; and a lower sodium to potassium
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intake ratio. They were also younger and more likely to be men, smokers, and drinkers and less likely
to be farmers (Table 1).
Association Between Dietary Niacin Intake and New-Onset Hypertension
During a median (IQR) follow-up of 6.1 years (3.6-11.3 years), 4306 (45.0 per 1000 person-years)
participants developed new-onset hypertension. Of these, 834 (19.4%) were diagnosed with
hypertension by a physician, 533 (12.4%) reported use of antihypertensive treatment during
follow-up, and 3955 (91.8%) had a new-onset mean SBP of 140 mm Hg or greater and/or a mean DBP
of 90 mm Hg or greater during follow-up. Some of the patients met at least 2 of the 3 criteria.
Overall, the association between dietary niacin and new-onset hypertension followed a J-shape
(Figure 1). Accordingly, when dietary niacin intake was assessed in quartiles and compared with
Table 1. PopulationCharacteristics by Quartiles of Die tary Niacin Intake
Variable
Participants, No. (%)
Pvalue
Q1 (<12.4
mg/d)
(n = 3061)
Q2 (12.4 to
<14.3 mg/d)
(n = 3060)
Q3 (14.3 to
<16.7 mg/d)
(n = 3061)
Q4 (≥16.7
mg/d)
(n = 3061)
Men 1340 (43.8) 1317 (43.0) 1399 (45.7) 1672 (54.6) <.001
Age, mean (SD), y 41.5 (14.6) 42.0 (14.3) 40.7 (14.0) 40.5 (13.7) <.001
Blood pressure, mean (SD),
mm Hg
Systolic 114.5 (11.3) 113.8 (11.5) 113.1 (11.5) 114.2 (11.4) <.001
Diastolic 74.3 (7.9) 74.3 (7.9) 73.6 (7.8) 74.4 (7.8) <.001
BMI, mean (SD) 22.7 (3.1) 22.2 (3.0) 22.2 (3.0) 22.5 (3.1) <.001
Waist to hip ratio,
mean (SD)
0.9 (0.1) 0.8 (0.1) 0.8 (0.1) 0.9 (0.1) <.001
Smoking status 882 (28.9) 853 (28.1) 920 (30.2) 1053 (34.5) <.001
Drinking status 972 (32.1) 931 (30.9) 1019 (33.7) 1242 (40.9) <.001
Urban residence 926 (30.3) 940 (30.7) 1170 (38.2) 1379 (45.1) <.001
Region
East and central 2187 (71.4) 1505 (49.2) 1398 (45.7) 1421 (46.4)
<.001
Northeast and north 525 (17.2) 779 (25.5) 614 (20.1) 571 (18.7)
Southwest and south 349 (11.4) 776 (25.4) 1049 (34.3) 1069 (34.9)
Occupation
Farmer 1231 (40.8) 1328 (44.0) 1097 (36.0) 728 (24.0)
<.001
Worker 333 (11.0) 304 (10.1) 382 (12.6) 441 (14.5)
Unemployed 819 (27.2) 721 (23.9) 719 (23.6) 790 (26.0)
Other 631 (20.9) 668 (22.1) 845 (27.8) 1076 (35.5)
Education
Illiteracy 684 (22.8) 644 (21.6) 517 (17.2) 369 (12.2)
<.001
Primary school 604 (20.2) 637 (21.4) 599 (19.9) 503 (16.6)
Middle school 1021 (34.1) 995 (33.4) 992 (33.0) 1008 (33.3)
≥High school 685 (22.9) 705 (23.6) 902 (30.0) 1143 (37.8)
Self-report diabetes 35 (1.2) 35 (1.2) 37 (1.2) 47 (1.6) .47
Dietary intake
Energy, mean (SD), Kcal/d 2276.2 (578.7) 2162.7 (519.8) 2120.6 (485.7) 2207.0 (566.2) <.001
Fat, mean (SD), g/d 75.6 (32.6) 69.5 (28.7) 72.7 (27.1) 80.9 (30.4) <.001
Carbohydrate, mean (SD),
g/d
334.9 (110.4) 321.8 (101.3) 301.1 (94.4) 292.7 (100.7) <.001
Protein, mean (SD), g/d 64.1 (18.7) 62.6 (17.1) 65.4 (15.8) 77.0 (24.5) <.001
Sodium, mean (SD), g/d 5.5 (3.3) 5.0 (3.1) 4.7 (2.6) 4.9 (3.0) <.001
Potassium, mean (SD), g/d 1.6 (0.5) 1.6 (0.5) 1.7 (0.5) 1.9 (1.0) <.001
Na:K ratio 3.8 (2.5) 3.3 (2.1) 3.0 (1.7) 2.7 (1.8) <.001
Vegetables, mean (SD), g/d 329.0 (138.1) 361.3 (138.4) 385.9 (144.4) 418.9 (185.3) <.001
Fruit intake 1201 (39.2) 1354 (44.2) 1510 (49.3) 1543 (50.4) <.001
Abbreviations: BMI, body mass index (calculated as
weight in kilograms divided by height in meters
squared); Na:K, sodium to potassium.
SI conversion factor: Toconvert niacin to μmol/d,
multiply by 8.123.
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quartile 1 (<12.4 mg/d), the risk of new-onset hypertension was lower for quartile 2 (12.4 to <14.3
mg/d: HR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.83-0.97; P= .01), quartile 3 (14.3 to <16.7 mg/d: HR, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.64-
0.76; P< .001), and quartile 4 (16.7 mg/d: HR, 0.92; 95% CI, 0.85-1.00; P= .05) (Table 2). The
lowest risk of new-onset hypertension was found in those in quartile 3. When combining quartiles in
further exploratory analysis, a significantly higher risk of new-onset hypertension was found among
participants in quartiles 1 and 2 (<14.3 mg/d: adjusted HR, 1.18; 95% CI, 1.09-1.28; P< .001) and in
quartile 4 (16.7 mg/d: adjusted HR, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.20-1.44) compared with those in quartile 3 (14.3
to <16.7 mg/d) (Table 2).
Consistently in the threshold analysis, for every 1 mg/d increase in dietary niacin there was a 2%
decrease in new-onset hypertension (adjusted HR, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.96-1.00) in participants with
dietary niacin less than 15.6 mg/d, and a 3% increase in new-onset hypertension (adjusted HR, 1.03;
95% CI, 1.02-1.04) in participants with dietary niacin 15.6 mg/d or greater (Table 3).
Moreover, further adjustments for waist to hip ratio, drinking status, sodium, and fruit and
vegetable intake (eTable 2 in the Supplement), or excluding participants from the 3 autonomous
cities (eTable 3 in the Supplement) did not substantially alter the association between dietary niacin
and new-onset hypertension. Similar trends were also found for different components of new-onset
hypertension, including hypertension diagnosed by a physician and participants who were using
antihypertensive treatment during follow-up, and participants with mean SBP 140 mm Hg or greater
and/or mean DBP of 90 mm Hg or greater during follow-up (eTable 4 in the Supplement).
Figure 1. Dietary Niacin Intake and the Risk of New-Onset Hypertension
2.0
1.8
1.6
1.4
1.2
1.0
0.8
New-onset hypertension, adjusted HR
Dietary niacin intake, mg/d
305 10 15 20 25 35
The shaded area indicates 95% confidence intervals
for adjusted hazard ratios (HR). The model was
adjusted for age, sex, body mass index, smoking
status, systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood
pressure, region, education, and occupation, as well as
energy intake and sodium to potassium intake ratio.
Table 2. Dietary Niacin Intake and the Risk of New-OnsetHyper tension Stratified byQuar tiles and Combined Quartiles
Niacin intake, mg/d Participants, No. Events, No. (rate)
a
Crude model Adjusted model
b
HR (95% CI) Pvalue HR (95% CI) Pvalue
Quartiles
Q1 (<12.4) 3061 1188 (51.7) 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
Q2 (12.4 to <14.3) 3060 1166 (46.6) 0.90 (0.83-0.97) .009 0.95 (0.87-1.04) .27
Q3 (14.3 to <16.7) 3061 952 (36.2) 0.70 (0.64-0.76) <.001 0.83 (0.75-0.90) <.001
Q4 (≥16.7) 3061 998 (47.0) 0.92 (0.85-1.00) .05 1.08 (0.99-1.19) .09
Categories
Q1-2 (<14.3) 6121 2354 (49.0) 1.36 (1.26-1.47) <.001 1.18 (1.09-1.28) <.001
Q3 (14.3 to <16.7) 3061 952 (36.2) 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
Q4 (≥16.7) 3061 998 (47.0) 1.32 (1.21-1.44) <.001 1.31 (1.20-1.44) <.001
Abbreviations: HR, hazard ratio; Q, quartile.
SI conversion factor: Toconvert niacin to μmol/d, multiply by 8.123.
a
Incident rate is presented per 1000 person-years of follow-up.
b
Adjusted for age, sex, body mass index, smoking status, systolic blood pressure,
diastolic blood pressure, region, education, and occupation, as well as energy intake
and sodium to potassium intake ratio.
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Stratified Analyses by Additional Factors
We performed further stratified analyses to assess the association between dietary niacin (quartile
1-2 vs quartile 3 vs quartile 4) and the risk of new-onset hypertension in various subgroups (Figure 2;
eFigure 2 in the Supplement). Overall, the J-shaped association between dietary niacin intake and
new-onset hypertension was observed in all subgroups.
None of the variables, including age, sex, BMI, waist/hip ratio, smoking status, drinking status,
SBP, sodium to potassium intake ratio, potassium, sodium, fat, protein, carbohydrate, energy, fruit
and vegetable intake, residence, and education level significantly modified the association between
dietary niacin and new-onset hypertension (Figure 2; eFigure 2 in the Supplement). Although the P
values for interactions for sex, drinking status, and vegetable intake were lower than .05, these
results may not have significant clinical implications given multiple testing and similar directionality
of the associations (Figure 2; eFigure 2 in the Supplement).
Discussion
In this large, national, longitudinal cohort study among general Chinese adults, we found a J-shaped
association between dietary niacin intake and new-onset hypertension, with an inflection point at
approximately 15.6 mg/d and minimal risk at 14.3 to 16.7 mg/d of dietary niacin.
The acute and chronic effects of niacin on blood pressure have been evaluated in several
previous trials, which have reported inconsistent results.
10-15
The original Coronary Drug Project
revealed that no significant changes in BP were found in men with previous myocardial infarction
over 5 to 8.5 years of niacin treatment (3.0 g/d).
10
However, a post hoc analysis of the data in patients
with metabolic syndrome found that treatment with niacin was associated with a reduction in BP of
approximately 2 to 3 mm Hg compared with placebo at treatment year 1.
11
At the same time, Kelly
et al
14
found that short-term niacin treatment (ie, 500 mg daily for 7 days, then 1 g daily for a further
7 days) did not significantly affect SBP or DBP. An 8-week niacin titration (1 g/d for 4 weeks, 2g/d for
the remaining 4 weeks) study of 412 dyslipidemic patients also showed no significant change in BP
from baseline.
12
Nevertheless, Gadegbeku et al
15
reported that acute niacin administration (1.4 g
infusion for 60 min) may lower BP in patients with hypertension, but not in normotensive patients.
Data from a longer and larger (ie, 24 wk with 1613 participants) study suggested that, compared with
placebo, niacin therapy (1 g/d for 4 weeks, then 2 g/d for 20 weeks) in patients with dyslipidemia
significantly decreased BP at both 4 and 24 weeks.
13
Overall, these studies indicated that the
association between niacin supplementation and BP remains uncertain. Of note, all of these studies
focused on relatively high levels of niacin supplementation and did not have detailed information
about dietary niacin intake. Although it is reported that nutrients obtained from foods and
supplements may confer different health effects,
24
to date the association between dietary niacin
intake and hypertension has not been thoroughly investigated. The CHNS study provides an
opportunity to evaluate the dose-response association between dietary niacin intake and the risk of
new-onset hypertension in the general population, with comprehensive adjustments for a number
of known covariables and a series of subgroup analyses.
Table 3. ThresholdAnalyses of Die tary Niacin Intakeon New-Onset Hypertension Using 2-Piecewise
Regression Models
Niacin intake, mg/d
Crude model
Niacin intake, mg/d
Adjusted model
a
HR (95% CI) Pvalue HR (95% CI) Pvalue
<16.0 0.95 (0.93-0.96) <.001 <15.6 0.98 (0.96-1.00) .04
≥16.0 1.04 (1.03-1.05) <.001 ≥15.6 1.03 (1.02-1.04) <.001
Abbreviation: HR, hazard ratio.
SI conversion factor: Toconvert niacin to μmol/d, multiply by 8.123.
a
Adjusted for age, sex, body mass index, smoking status, systolic blood pressure, diastolicblood pre ssure,region,
education, and occupation, as well as energy intake and sodium to potassium intake ratio.
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Our study provides some new insights. First, among participants with dietary niacin of less than
15.6 mg/d, the risk of new-onset hypertension significantly decreased with the increment of dietary
niacin intake. Niacin has been widely used clinically to regulate abnormalities in lipid/lipoprotein
metabolism. Some studies have found that niacin alone or in combination can slow or reverse the
progression of atherosclerosis in patients with hypercholesterolemia.
25,26
Endothelial dysfunction is
considered to be the initial phase in the development of arterial hypertension and atherosclerosis.
27
Niacin has been shown to promote the production of endothelial nitric oxide, increase vasodilation,
Figure 2. Stratified Analyses by Potential Modifiers of the Association Between Dietary Niacin Intake and New-Onset Hypertension
Subgroup
category
Age, y
Adjusted HR
(95% CI)
Events
(ratea)
<40
743 (29.7)Q1-2 1.30 (1.14-1.49)
Q3 1.00 [Reference]310 (20.9)
Q4 1.42 (1.21-1.66)364 (29.2)
Sex
Men
1131 (56.9)Q1-2 1.19 (1.07-1.33)
Q3 1.00 [Reference]492 (41.5)
Q4 1.21 (1.07-1.37)580 (49.7)
Drinking status
No
1487 (45.2)Q1-2 1.18 (1.07-1.31)
Q3 1.00 [Reference]580 (33.5)
Q4 1.44 (1.28-1.62)568 (46.6)
Waist to hip ratio
<0.85
966 (38.7)Q1-2 1.13 (1.01-1.28)
Q3 1.00 [Reference]421 (29.4)
Q4 1.27 (1.10-1.47)380 (34.9)
Systolic blood pressure, mm Hg
<120
1138 (35.4)Q1-2 1.17 (1.05-1.30)
Q3 1.00 [Reference]500 (26.5)
Q4 1.40 (1.23-1.59)507 (34.8)
Sodium intake, g/d
<3.7
737 (60.5)Q1-2 1.27 (1.11-1.45)
Q3 1.00 [Reference]342 (40.3)
Q4 1.27 (1.09-1.47)354 (49.6)
Fat intake, g/d
<70.9
1372 (53.4)Q1-2 1.16 (1.04-1.29)
Q3 1.00 [Reference]533 (39.7)
Q4 1.39 (1.22-1.58)426 (52.2)
Protein intake, g/d
<65.4
1353 (49.3)Q1-2 1.14 (1.02-1.27)
Q3 1.00 [Reference]474 (35.8)
Q4 1.44 (1.24-1.68)296 (51.3)
Carbohydrate intake, g/d
<305.9
891 (48.1)Q1-2 1.15 (1.03-1.30)
Q3 1.00 [Reference]438 (34.4)
Q4 1.31 (1.15-1.49)501 (44.6)
210.8
Adjusted HR (95% CI)
P for
interaction
Subgroup
category
Age, y
Adjusted HR
(95% CI)
Events
(ratea)
≥40
1611 (70.2)
.30
Q1-2 1.15 (1.05-1.27)
Q3 1.00 [Reference]642 (56.0)
Q4 1.24 (1.11-1.39)634 (72.4)
Sex
Women
1223 (43.4)
.02
Q1-2 1.17 (1.05-1.31)
Q3 1.00 [Reference]460 (31.8)
Q4 1.47 (1.28-1.69)418 (43.8)
Drinking status
Yes
830 (57.4)
.02
Q1-2 1.16 (1.02-1.32)
Q3 1.00 [Reference]359 (41.8)
Q4 1.16 (1.00-1.33)425 (48.5)
Waist to hip ratio
≥0.85
1309 (60.3)
.76
Q1-2 1.20 (1.08-1.34)
Q3 1.00 [Reference]502 (45.0)
Q4 1.34 (1.18-1.51)590 (60.6)
Systolic blood pressure, mm Hg
≥120
1216 (76.8)
.18
Q1-2 1.17 (1.04-1.31)
Q3 1.00 [Reference]452 (60.4)
Q4 1.22 (1.07-1.39)491 (74.0)
Sodium intake, g/d
≥3.7
1617 (45.1)
.12
Q1-2 1.14 (1.04-1.25)
Q3 1.00 [Reference]610 (34.2)
Q4 1.33 (1.19-1.49)644 (45.7)
Fat intake, g/d
≥70.9
982 (44.0)
.74
Q1-2 1.15 (1.02-1.29)
Q3 1.00 [Reference]419 (32.5)
Q4 1.30 (1.14-1.48)572 (43.8)
Protein intake, g/d
≥65.4
1001 (48.7)
.27
Q1-2 1.17 (1.05-1.31)
Q3 1.00 [Reference]478 (36.5)
Q4 1.30 (1.15-1.46)702 (45.5)
Carbohydrate intake, g/d
≥305.9
1463 (49.6)
.89
Q1-2 1.18 (1.07-1.31)
Q3 1.00 [Reference]514 (37.8)
Q4 1.37 (1.20-1.55)497 (49.8)
210.8
Adjusted HR (95% CI)
a
Incident rate is presented per 1000 person-years of follow-up.
The model was adjusted, if not stratified, for age, sex, body mass index, smoking status,systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, region, education, and occupation, as well
as energy intake and sodium to potassium intake ratio.
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and improve endothelial dysfunction.
28,29
Moreover, niacin also reduces endothelial oxidative stress
via increasing the cellular content of nicotinamide adenine dinucleotide phosphate, reducing
glutathione, and inhibiting reactive oxygen species generation in endothelial cells.
30,31
Additionally,
niacin can reduce the release of inflammatory markers such as lipoprotein-associated phospholipase
A2 and high sensitivity C-reactive protein.
32,33
Taken together, a plausible biological explanation for
the niacin-hypertension association we observed may be that niacin can regulate abnormal lipid
metabolism, improve endothelial function, and has potentially antioxidant and anti-inflammatory
properties.
7
However, further research on this mechanism is needed.
Second, the risk of new-onset hypertension significantly increased with the increment of
dietary niacin intake in participants with dietary niacin of 15.6 mg/d or greater. Elevated HCY and
insulin resistance may impair endothelial function and are identified as important risk factors for
hypertension.
34,35
It was reported that an increased nicotinamide load resulted in a significant
increase in pulse pressure, which might be related to the fact that high niacin intake depletes the
methyl pool, increases HCY generation and betaine consumption, and inhibits catecholamine
degradation.
9,36
In addition, a previous study found that treatment with niacin was related to
increased insulin resistance as well.
14
Of note, Table 1 shows that participants with lower dietary niacin (quartile 1 and 2) were older
and had higher SBP and DBP levels, lower percentages of residence in urban and southern regions,
and a higher sodium to potassium intake ratio. All these variables may partly explain the increased
hypertension risk in participants with lower dietary niacin in the crude model in Table 2. As expected,
with the increase of these variables in the adjusted models, the HR (ie, quartile 1-2 vs quartile 3)
decreased gradually. We speculated that the change between the crude and adjusted models may be
in part accounted for by the joint effect of these baseline characteristics. However, our results should
be further confirmed in more studies.
Limitations
Our study had several limitations. First, because this is an observational analysis, residual
confounding cannot be completely eliminated, although data were adjusted for a series of
confounders. Second, the biosynthesis of niacin from tryptophan was not included in our analysis. In
general, 60 mg of tryptophan is equivalent to 1 mg of niacin through de novo synthesis.
37
Nevertheless, this biosynthesis process does not occur in all tissues.
38
In our stratified analysis,
protein intake did not significantly modify the association between dietary niacin intake and
new-onset hypertension. Third, we have no detailed information on dietary supplement use.
However, data from the 2010–2012 China Nutrition and Health Surveillance study, a nationally
representative cross-sectional study covering all 31 provinces, autonomous regions, and
municipalities, showed that only 0.71%, 0.06%, and 0.2% of the Chinese population reported using
nutrient supplements, multivitamins, and vitamin B supplements, respectively.
39
Because of the low
proportion of nutrient supplementation, especially vitamin B, we speculate that our findings may
not be substantially changed by dietary supplement use. Fourth, because only 53 participants
reported the use of special dietary patterns for the treatment of diabetes, and we lack information on
circulating cholesterol levels in the present study, we could not examine the modifying effect of
different dietary patterns and hypercholesterolemia. Other information was limited in our data
source; the CHNS did not include clinic-based blood pressure measurements, and although the CHNS
took place in different provinces and municipal cities that vary substantially in geography, economic
development, public resources, and health indicators, the study participants could not represent the
population of provinces or cities that were not included in the survey. Fifth, compared with those
not included in the analysis, participants included seemed to be older and have a lower education
level. However, all these variables were included in the regression models, and the stratified analysis
further showed that age and education level did not materially modify the results. Sixth, our study
was conducted among Chinese living in China—whether the observed findings can be extrapolated to
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other populations needs further investigation. Therefore, our results should be regarded as
hypothesis generating. Further confirmation of our findings in more studies is essential.
Conclusions
In summary, our study found a J-shaped association between dietary niacin intake and new-onset
hypertension in the general population of Chinese adults, with an inflection point at about 15.6 mg/d
and minimal risk observed at 14.3 to 16.7 mg/d of dietary niacin. If further confirmed, our data provide
evidence for maintaining the optimal dietary niacin intake levels for the primary prevention of
hypertension.
ARTICLE INFORMATION
Accepted for Publication: November 5, 2020.
Published: January 6, 2021. doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2020.31669
Open Access: This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the CC-BY License. © 2021 Zhang Z et al.
JAMA Network Open.
Corresponding Authors: Xianhui Qin, MD (pharmaqin@126.com),and Chengzhang Liu, MS (lczbruce@sina.com),
Division of Nephrology, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou 510515, China.
Author Affiliations: National Clinical Research Center for Kidney Disease, State Key Laboratory for Organ Failure
Research, Division of Nephrology, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China (Z. Zhang,
M. Liu, Zhou, He, Y. Zhang, H. Li, C. Liu, Qin); Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Renal Failure Research,
Guangzhou Regenerative Medicine and Health Guangdong Laboratory, Guangzhou, China (Z. Zhang, M. Liu, Zhou,
He, Y.Zhang, H. Li); Institute of Biomedicine, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, China (Q. Li, C. Liu).
Author Contributions: Dr Qin had full access to all of the data in the study and takes responsibility for the integrity
of the data and the accuracy of the data analysis.
Concept and design: Z. Zhang, Zhou, Q. Li, C. Liu, Qin.
Acquisition, analysis, or interpretation of data: Z. Zhang, M. Liu, He, Y. Zhang, H. Li, C. Liu, Qin.
Drafting of the manuscript: Z. Zhang, Q. Li, Qin.
Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: Z. Zhang,M. Liu, Zhou, He, Y. Zhang, H. Li, C.
Liu, Qin.
Statistical analysis: Z. Zhang, He, H. Li, Q. Li, C. Liu, Qin.
Obtained funding: Qin.
Administrative, technical, or material support: C. Liu.
Supervision: Zhou.
Conflict of Interest Disclosures: None reported.
Funding/Support: This study was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (grant Nos.
81973133, 81730019). This research uses data from the China Health and Nutrition Survey (CHNS). Wethank the
National Institute for Nutrition and Health, China Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Carolina Population
Center (grant Nos. P2C HD050924, T32 HD007168), the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, the National
Institutes of Health (grant Nos. R01-HD30880, DK056350, R24 HD050924, and R01-HD38700), and the
National Institutes of Health Fogarty International Center (grant Nos. D43 TW009077, D43 TW007709) for
financial support for the CHNS data collection and analysis files from 1989 to 2015 and future surveys. The China-
Japan Friendship Hospital, Ministry of Health provided support for CHNS 2009; the Chinese National Human
Genome Center at Shanghai provided support for CHNS analysis after 2009; and the Beijing Municipal Center for
Disease Prevention and Control provided support for CHNS surveys since 2011.
Role of the Funder/Sponsor:The funders had no role in the design and conduc t of the study; collection,
management, analysis, and interpretation of the data; preparation, review, or approvalof the manuscript; and
decision to submit the manuscript for publication.
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SUPPLEMENT.
eFigure 1. Flow Chart of the Participants
eFigure 2. Stratified Analyses by Potential Effect Modifiers for the Association Between Dietary Niacin Intake
(Quartile 1-2 vs. Quartile 3 vs. Quartile 4) and New-Onset Hypertension
eTable 1. Characteristics of the Included and ExcludedParticipants
eTable 2. The Association Between Dietary Niacin Intake and the Risk of New-Onset Hypertension With Further
Adjustment for Waist/Hip Ratio, Drinking Status, Sodium, Fruitsand Vegetables Intake
eTable 3. The Association Between Dietary Niacin Intake and the Risk of New-Onset Hypertension With Exclusion
of Participants From the Three Autonomous Cities
eTable 4. The Association Between Dietary Niacin Intake and Different Components of New-Onset Hypertension
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... Numbers and percentages were used to represent categorical data. The difference between the admission PP level quartile was compared using one-way ANOVA for continuous data and chi-squared tests for categorical variables (18). ...
... Interactions and stratified analyses were conducted using sex (male vs. female), myocardial infarction (no vs. yes), congestive heart failure (no vs. yes), hypertension (no vs. yes), diabetes (no vs. yes), endovascular therapy of aneurysm (no vs. yes), and GCS (<8 and ≥8) results. Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess heterogeneity across subgroups, and likelihood ratio testing was used to examine interactions between subgroups and baseline PP level (18). We used the predicted mean matching method to replace missing values in the data for the missing dataset (24). ...
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Background and purpose Previous studies have described an association between pulse pressure (PP) level and mortality in stroke patients. Evidence of associations between PP level and the risk of mortality remains unknown in non-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) patients. We aimed to explore the relationship between the baseline PP level and hospital mortality. Methods This cohort study of 693 non-traumatic SAH adults used Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC-IV) data from 2008–2019 admissions to Intensive Care Unit (ICU). PP level was calculated as the first value after admission to the ICU. The endpoint of the study was in-hospital mortality. Cox proportional hazards models were utilized to analyze the association between baseline PP level and hospital mortality. Restricted Cubic Splines (RCS) analysis was utilized to determine the relationship curve between hospital mortality and PP level and examine the threshold saturation effect. We further applied Kaplan–Meier survival curve analysis to examine the consistency of these correlations. The interaction test was used to identify subgroups with differences. Results The mean age of the study population was 58.8 ± 14.6 years, and 304 (43.9%) of participants were female. When baseline PP level was assessed in quartiles, compared to the reference group (Q1 ≤ 56 mmHg), the adjusted hazard ratio (HR) in Q2 (57–68 mmHg), Q3(69–82 mmHg), Q4 (≥83 mmHg) were 0.55 (95% CI: 0.33–0.93, p = 0.026), 0.99 (95% CI, 0.62–1.59, p = 0.966), and 0.99 (95% CI: 0.62–1.59, p = 0.954), respectively. In the threshold analysis, for every 5 mmHg increase in PP level, there was an 18.2% decrease in hospital mortality (adjusted HR, 0.818; 95% CI, 0.738–0.907; p = 0.0001) in those with PP level less than 60 mmHg, and a 7.7% increase in hospital mortality (adjusted HR, 1.077; 95% CI, 1.018–1.139; p = 0.0096) in those with PP level was 60 mmHg or higher. Conclusion For patients with non-traumatic SAH, the association between baseline PP and risk of hospital mortality was non-linear, with an inflection point at 60 mmHg and a minimal risk at 57 to 68 mmHg (Q2) of baseline PP level.
... Threshold analysis of the association of PLR with the study outcome was conducted with a 2-piecewise Cox regression model using a smoothing function. The threshold level (i.e., inflection point) was determined using a likelihood-ratio test and bootstrap resampling methods (26). Additional exploratory analyses, including the following variables: age (<65 vs. ≥65 years), sex (male vs. female), atrial fibrillation (no vs. yes), COPD (no vs. yes), hyperlipidemia (no vs. yes), statin user (no vs. yes), and possible modifications on the association of PLR and 90-day mortality for patients with ICH were evaluated using stratified analyses and interaction testing. ...
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Background Recent evidence suggested that platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) may play a role in the pathophysiology of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), but the results are controversial. This study aimed to explore the relationship between PLR and mortality in patients with ICH. Methods All data were extracted from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC) III database. The study outcome was 90-day mortality. Multivariable Cox regression analyses were used to calculate the adjusted hazard ratio (HR) with a 95% confidence interval (CI), and curve-fitting (restricted cubic spline) was used to assess the non-linear relationship. Results Of 1,442 patients, 1,043 patients with ICH were included. The overall 90-day mortality was 29.8% (311/1,043). When PLR was assessed in quartiles, the risk of 90-day mortality for ICH was lowest for quartile 2 (120.9 to <189.8: adjusted HR, 0.67; 95% CI: 0.48–0.93; P = 0.016), compared with those in quartile 1 (<120.9 ) . Consistently in the threshold analysis, for every 1 unit increase in PLR, there was a 0.6% decrease in the risk of 90-day mortality for ICH (adjusted HR, 0.994; 95% CI: 0.988–0.999) in those with PLR <145.54, and a 0.2% increase in 90-day mortality (adjusted HR, 1.002; 95% CI: 1.000–1.003) in participants with PLR ≥145.54. Conclusion There was a non-linear relationship between PLR and 90-day mortality for patients with ICH, with an inflection point at 145.54 and a minimal risk at 120.9 to <189.8 of PLR.
... The study outcome was new-onset hypertension, defined as an SBP ≥ 140 mmHg or a DBP ≥ 90 mmHg, or physician-diagnosed hypertension, or receiving antihypertensive treatments during the follow-up [22,23]. ...
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Background The relations of the variety and quantity of different sources of dietary insoluble fibers and hypertension remain uncertain. We aimed to investigate the associations between the variety and quantity of insoluble fibers intake from six major food sources and new-onset hypertension, using data from the China Health and Nutrition Survey (CHNS). Methods Twelve thousand one hundred thirty-one participants without hypertension at baseline from CHNS were included. Dietary intake was measured by three consecutive 24-h dietary recalls combined with a household food inventory. The variety score of insoluble fiber sources was defined as the number of insoluble fiber sources consumed at the appropriate level, accounting for both types and quantities of insoluble fibers. The study outcome was new-onset hypertension, defined as blood pressure ≥ 140/90 mmHg, or physician-diagnosed hypertension or receiving antihypertensive treatments during the follow-up. Results During a median follow-up of 6.1 years, 4252 participants developed hypertension. There were L-shaped associations of dietary insoluble fibers derived from vegetables, beans, tubers, and fruits with new-onset hypertension; a reversed J-shaped association of whole grain-derived insoluble fiber with new-onset hypertension; and no obvious association of refined grain-derived insoluble fiber with new-onset hypertension. Therefore, refined grain was not included in the insoluble fiber variety score calculation. More importantly, a higher insoluble fiber variety score was significantly associated with lower risks of new-onset hypertension (per score increment, hazard ratio, 0.50; 95% CI, 0.45–0.55). Conclusions There was an inverse association between the variety of insoluble fibers with appropriate quantity from different food sources and new-onset hypertension.
... One study based on CHNS data showed an association between dietary niacin intake and hypertension. The study results showed that optimal dietary niacin intake might support the primary prevention of hypertension [5]. Higher intakes of niacin were associated with a reduced risk of metabolic syndrome [6]. ...
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Limited knowledge exists on trends in niacin consumption and the prevalence of inadequate intakes in China. Understanding trends and the spatial distribution of the prevalence of inadequate niacin intake is crucial to identifying high-risk areas and sub-populations. The dietary intakes of niacin between 1991 and 2018 were analyzed using the China Health and Nutrition Survey (CHNS) data. The estimated average requirement cut point was applied to estimate inadequacy. The geographic information system’s ordinary kriging method was used to estimate the spatial distribution of the prevalence of inadequate niacin intakes. However, between 1991 and 2018, the prevalence of inadequate niacin intake increased from 13.00% to 28.40% in females and from 17.75% to 29.46% in males. Additionally, the geographically significant clusters of high and low prevalence were identified and remained stable over almost three decades. The high prevalence of insufficient niacin intake was more pronounced in Henan and Shandong over 27 years. Further, effective and tailored nutrition interventions are required to address inadequate niacin intake in China.
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Background Hypertension is a major risk factor for the global burden of disease, and nutrition is associated with an increased risk of mortality from multiple diseases. Few studies have explored the association of nutritional risk with all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality in hypertension, and our study aims to fill this knowledge gap. Method We included data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) from 1999 to 2016 on a total of 10,037 elderly patients with hypertension. The nutritional status was evaluated using the Geriatric Nutrition Risk Index (GNRI). Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was performed to analyze the survival rates of different nutritional risk groups. COX proportional risk regression models were used to analyze the predictive effect of GNRI on all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality in hypertensive patients. Restricted cubic splines (RCS) were used to explore the nonlinear relationship between GNRI and mortality. Result The mean age of the hypertensive patients was 70.7 years. A total of 4255 (42.3%) all-cause mortality and 1207 (17.2%) cardiovascular mortality occurred during a median follow-up period of 106 months. Kaplan-Meier showed a more significant reduction in survival for the moderate to severe malnutrition risk of GNRI. The adjusted COX proportional hazards model showed that the hazard ratios for all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality in the moderate to severe malnutrition risk group for GNRI were 2.112 (95% CI, 1.377,3.240) and 2.604 (95% CI, 1.603,4.229), respectively. The RCS showed that increased GNRI was associated with a reduced risk of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality risk reduction. Conclusion Malnutrition exposure assessed by GNRI effectively predicts the risk of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality in the elderly with hypertension.
Article
Background & aims: The association of dietary intake of carbohydrate (CHO), especially high- and low-quality CHO, with the decline of cognitive function remains uncertain. We aimed to investigate the prospective association of dietary total, low- and high-quality CHO intake with cognitive decline, and further examine the effect of isocaloric substitution with protein or fat, in the elderly population. Methods: A total of 3106 Chinese participants aged ≥55 years from China Health and Nutrition Survey (CHNS) were included in this study. Dietary nutrient intake information was collected by 24-h dietary recalls on 3 consecutive days. The cognitive decline was defined as the 5-year decline rates in global or composite cognitive scores based on a subset of items from the Telephone Interview for Cognitive Status-modified (TICS-m). Results: The median follow-up duration was 5.9 years. There was a significantly positive association of dietary low-quality CHO (per 10 percentage energy [%E] increment, β, 0.06; 95%CI, 0.01-0.11) and a no significant association of dietary high-quality CHO (per 10%E increment, β, 0.04; 95%CI, -0.07-0.14) with the 5-year decline rate in the composite cognitive scores. Similar results were found for the global cognitive scores. In model simulations, substituting dietary low-quality CHO with isocaloric animal protein or fat, instead of isocaloric plant protein or fat, was significantly and inversely associated with cognitive decline (All P values < 0.05). Conclusions: The dietary intake of low-quality CHO, rather than high-quality CHO, was significantly associated with a faster cognitive decline in the elderly. In model simulations, isocaloric substitution of dietary low-quality CHO with animal protein or fat, rather than plant protein or fat, was inversely associated with cognitive decline.
Article
Objective: The association between dietary copper (Cu) intake and cognitive decline remains uncertain. We aim to investigate the longitudinal association of dietary Cu with cognitive decline in Chinese elderly. Methods: A total of 3,106 Chinese adults aged older than or equal to 55 years from China Health and Nutrition Survey (CHNS) were included. Dietary nutrients information was collected by 24-hours dietary recalls in combination with a food-weighted method. The 5-year change rates in global or composite cognitive scores based on a subset of items from the Telephone Interview for Cognitive Status-modified (TICS-m) was calculated as the last-survey score minus the baseline score, then divided by the follow-up time (unit, years) and multiplied by five. Results: The median follow-up duration was 5.9 years. There was a nonlinear association of dietary Cu intake with the 5-year change rates in global or composite cognitive scores, with the inflection point at approximately 1.3 mg/day of dietary Cu intake. Accordingly, for the composite cognitive score, compared to the first quantile (<1.28 mg/day), those with dietary Cu in quantiles 2-8 (≥1.28 mg/day) had a significantly slower cognitive decline rate (B, 0.30; 95% CI, 0.13, 0.47). Similar results were found for the global cognitive score. Moreover, the inverse association between dietary Cu and cognitive decline was stronger in those with lower dietary fat intake and lower levels of physical activity (All p-interactions <0.05). Conclusion: There was a nonlinear inverse association of dietary Cu intake with cognitive decline in the elderly, with an inflection point at approximately 1.3 mg/day of dietary Cu intake.
Article
Background and aims: The association between dietary phosphorus intake and the risk of diabetes remains uncertain. We aimed to investigate the relation of dietary phosphorus intake with new-onset diabetes among Chinese adults. Methods and results: A total of 16,272 participants who were free of diabetes at baseline from the China Health and Nutrition Survey were included. Dietary intake was measured by 3 consecutive 24-h dietary recalls combined with a household food inventory. Participants with self-reported physician-diagnosed diabetes, or fasting glucose ≥7.0 mmol/L or glycated hemoglobin ≥6.5% during the follow-up were defined as having new-onset diabetes. During a median follow-up of 9.0years, 1101 participants developed new-onset diabetes. Overall, the association between dietary phosphorus intake with new-onset diabetes followed a U-shape (P for nonlinearity<0.001). The risk of new-onset diabetes significantly decreased with the increment of dietary phosphorus intake (per SD increment: HR, 0.64; 95%CI, 0.48-0.84) in participants with phosphorus intake <921.6 mg/day, and increased with the increment of dietary phosphorus intake (per SD increment: HR, 1.33; 95%CI, 1.16-1.53) in participants with phosphorus intake ≥921.6 mg/day. Consistently, when dietary phosphorus intake was assessed as quintiles, compared with those in the 3rd quintile (905.0-<975.4 mg/day), significantly higher risks of new-onset diabetes were found in participants in the 1st-2nd quintiles (<905.0 mg/day: HR, 1.59; 95%CI, 1.30-1.94), and 4th-5th quintiles (≥975.4 mg/day: HR, 1.46; 95%CI, 1.19-1.78). Conclusions: There was a U-shaped association between dietary phosphorus intake and new-onset diabetes in general Chinese adults, with an inflection point at 921.6 mg/day and a minimal risk at 905.0-975.4 mg/day of dietary phosphorus intake.
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Background: The lipid-lowering medications known as statins have been shown in controlled clinical trials to have pleiotropic properties, such as lowering blood pressure, in addition to lowering cholesterol levels. The purpose of this study was to see if there was a possible link between blood pressure control and statin therapy in outpatients with hypertension in a real clinical setting. Patients and methods: A retrospective comparative cohort study of 404 patients with hypertension was carried out. A systematic random sampling technique was used. For data entry, Epi-Data version 4.6 was used, and SPSS version 25 was used for further analysis. For group comparisons, chi-square and independent t-tests were computed. To determine the relationship between statin use and blood pressure control, a binary logistic regression model was employed. To declare statistical significance, a 95% confidence interval and a P-value of <0.05 were used. Results: Half of the study participants who were using a prescribed statin were assigned to the statin group, whereas the remaining participants who do not take statins were assigned to the control group. After 3 months of statin treatment, BP control to <130/80 mmHg was significantly greater (P = 0.022) in the statin group (52.5%) than in the control group (41.0%). The use of statins raises the likelihood of having blood pressure under control by 1.58 times when compared to statin non-users. After controlling for possible confounders, statin therapy still increased the odds of having controlled BP by a factor of 5.98 [OR = 5.98; 95% CI: 2.77-12.92]. Conclusion: This study revealed that blood pressure control was higher among statin user hypertensive patients. Favorable effects of statin use were independently observed, even after correction for age, presence of dyslipidemia, and duration of antihypertensive therapy. Therefore, the importance of concomitantly added lipid-lowering drugs such as statins and their role in managing poor blood pressure control should be given due emphasis.
Article
Background: The association between dietary phosphorus intake and the risk of hypertension remains uncertain. We aimed to investigate the relation of dietary phosphorus intake with new-onset hypertension among Chinese adults. Methods: A total of 12,177 participants who were free of hypertension at baseline from the China Health and Nutrition Survey (CHNS) were included. Dietary intake was measured by 3 consecutive 24-hour dietary recalls combined with a household food inventory. New-onset hypertension was defined as systolic blood pressure ≥140mmHg or diastolic blood pressure ≥90mmHg or diagnosed by a physician or under antihypertensive treatment during the follow-up. Results: During a median follow-up of 6.1 years, 4,269 participants developed new-onset hypertension. Overall, the association between dietary phosphorus intake and new-onset hypertension followed a U-shape (P for nonlinearity<0.001). Consistently, when dietary phosphorus intake was assessed as quintiles, compared with those in the 3rd-4th quintiles (912.0-<1089.5 mg/d), a significantly higher risk of new-onset hypertension was found in participants in the 1st-2nd quintiles (<912.0mg/d: HR, 1.23; 95% CI, 1.14-1.33), and the 5th quintile (≥1089.5mg/d: HR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.10-1.33). Conclusions: There was a U-shaped association between dietary phosphorus intake and new-onset hypertension in general Chinese adults.
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Renal transplant recipients (RTR) commonly suffer from vitamin B6 deficiency and its functional consequences add to an association with poor long-term outcome. It is unknown whether niacin status is affected in RTR and, if so, whether this affects clinical outcomes, as vitamin B6 is a cofactor in nicotinamide biosynthesis. We compared 24-h urinary excretion of N1-methylnicotinamide (N1-MN) as a biomarker of niacin status in RTR with that in healthy controls, in relation to dietary intake of tryptophan and niacin as well as vitamin B6 status, and investigated whether niacin status is associated with the risk of premature all-cause mortality in RTR. In a prospective cohort of 660 stable RTR with a median follow-up of 5.4 (4.7–6.1) years and 275 healthy kidney donors, 24-h urinary excretion of N1-MN was measured with liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry LC-MS/MS. Dietary intake was assessed by food frequency questionnaires. Prospective associations of N1-MN excretion with mortality were investigated by Cox regression analyses. Median N1-MN excretion was 22.0 (15.8–31.8) μmol/day in RTR, compared to 41.1 (31.6–57.2) μmol/day in healthy kidney donors (p < 0.001). This difference was independent of dietary intake of tryptophan (1059 ± 271 and 1089 ± 308 mg/day; p = 0.19), niacin (17.9 ± 5.2 and 19.2 ± 6.2 mg/day; p < 0.001), plasma vitamin B6 (29.0 (17.5–49.5), and 42.0 (29.8–60.3) nmol/L; p < 0.001), respectively. N1-MN excretion was inversely associated with the risk of all-cause mortality in RTR (HR 0.57; 95% CI 0.45–0.71; p < 0.001), independent of potential confounders. RTR excrete less N1-MN in 24-h urine than healthy controls, and our data suggest that this difference cannot be attributed to lower dietary intake of tryptophan and niacin, nor vitamin B6 status. Importantly, lower 24-h urinary excretion of N1-MN is independently associated with a higher risk of premature all-cause mortality in RTR.
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Nutrient supplements play a key role in managing malnutrition/chronic diseases and are commonly used in the world, but few studies described the prevalence of nutrient supplement use at the national level in China. To our knowledge, this study provides the first detailed investigation of nutrient supplement use in a nationally representative sample of the Chinese population. This study aimed to describe the prevalence of the nutrient supplement use among the Chinese population aged 6 years or older in 2010–2012. A stratified multistage cluster sampling method was conducted to recruit participants from 150 surveillance sites. The demographic characteristics and information about nutrient supplement use were collected through an interview-administrative questionnaire. A total of 74,501 children and adults (excluding the pregnant women) were included in the study (mean age, 35.7 years; male, 47.0%, female, 53.5%). Only 0.71% of the participants reported using nutrient supplements in the previous month. Participants aged 6–11 years and 60 years and above, female, living in large urban, with higher education level and higher family incomes were more likely to use nutrient supplements than their counterparts (p < 0.05). The prevalence of nutrient supplement use increased with age in Chinese adults. The highest usage among the nutrient supplements was multi-vitamins and minerals with 0.37%. More females used single vitamin, multi-mineral, multi-vitamins and minerals than males (p < 0.05). The nutrient supplement use proportion was highest amongst the participants with a health problem, and the participants who had no idea about their health conditions were the least likely to use the nutrient supplements (p < 0.05). The prevalence of nutrient supplement use was low among the Chinese population in 2010–2012. Further research is required to understand the social cognition, usage reasons, dosage and consumption motivation of NS, and the relationships with health effects, to ensure that the nutrient supplements can be appropriately promoted in China.
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Background The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2017 comparative risk assessment (CRA) is a comprehensive approach to risk factor quantification that offers a useful tool for synthesising evidence on risks and risk–outcome associations. With each annual GBD study, we update the GBD CRA to incorporate improved methods, new risks and risk–outcome pairs, and new data on risk exposure levels and risk–outcome associations. Methods We used the CRA framework developed for previous iterations of GBD to estimate levels and trends in exposure, attributable deaths, and attributable disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), by age group, sex, year, and location for 84 behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks or groups of risks from 1990 to 2017. This study included 476 risk–outcome pairs that met the GBD study criteria for convincing or probable evidence of causation. We extracted relative risk and exposure estimates from 46 749 randomised controlled trials, cohort studies, household surveys, census data, satellite data, and other sources. We used statistical models to pool data, adjust for bias, and incorporate covariates. Using the counterfactual scenario of theoretical minimum risk exposure level (TMREL), we estimated the portion of deaths and DALYs that could be attributed to a given risk. We explored the relationship between development and risk exposure by modelling the relationship between the Socio-demographic Index (SDI) and risk-weighted exposure prevalence and estimated expected levels of exposure and risk-attributable burden by SDI. Finally, we explored temporal changes in risk-attributable DALYs by decomposing those changes into six main component drivers of change as follows: (1) population growth; (2) changes in population age structures; (3) changes in exposure to environmental and occupational risks; (4) changes in exposure to behavioural risks; (5) changes in exposure to metabolic risks; and (6) changes due to all other factors, approximated as the risk-deleted death and DALY rates, where the risk-deleted rate is the rate that would be observed had we reduced the exposure levels to the TMREL for all risk factors included in GBD 2017. Findings In 2017, 34·1 million (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 33·3–35·0) deaths and 1·21 billion (1·14–1·28) DALYs were attributable to GBD risk factors. Globally, 61·0% (59·6–62·4) of deaths and 48·3% (46·3–50·2) of DALYs were attributed to the GBD 2017 risk factors. When ranked by risk-attributable DALYs, high systolic blood pressure (SBP) was the leading risk factor, accounting for 10·4 million (9·39–11·5) deaths and 218 million (198–237) DALYs, followed by smoking (7·10 million [6·83–7·37] deaths and 182 million [173–193] DALYs), high fasting plasma glucose (6·53 million [5·23–8·23] deaths and 171 million [144–201] DALYs), high body-mass index (BMI; 4·72 million [2·99–6·70] deaths and 148 million [98·6–202] DALYs), and short gestation for birthweight (1·43 million [1·36–1·51] deaths and 139 million [131–147] DALYs). In total, risk-attributable DALYs declined by 4·9% (3·3–6·5) between 2007 and 2017. In the absence of demographic changes (ie, population growth and ageing), changes in risk exposure and risk-deleted DALYs would have led to a 23·5% decline in DALYs during that period. Conversely, in the absence of changes in risk exposure and risk-deleted DALYs, demographic changes would have led to an 18·6% increase in DALYs during that period. The ratios of observed risk exposure levels to exposure levels expected based on SDI (O/E ratios) increased globally for unsafe drinking water and household air pollution between 1990 and 2017. This result suggests that development is occurring more rapidly than are changes in the underlying risk structure in a population. Conversely, nearly universal declines in O/E ratios for smoking and alcohol use indicate that, for a given SDI, exposure to these risks is declining. In 2017, the leading Level 4 risk factor for age-standardised DALY rates was high SBP in four super-regions: central Europe, eastern Europe, and central Asia; north Africa and Middle East; south Asia; and southeast Asia, east Asia, and Oceania. The leading risk factor in the high-income super-region was smoking, in Latin America and Caribbean was high BMI, and in sub-Saharan Africa was unsafe sex. O/E ratios for unsafe sex in sub-Saharan Africa were notably high, and those for alcohol use in north Africa and the Middle East were notably low. Interpretation By quantifying levels and trends in exposures to risk factors and the resulting disease burden, this assessment offers insight into where past policy and programme efforts might have been successful and highlights current priorities for public health action. Decreases in behavioural, environmental, and occupational risks have largely offset the effects of population growth and ageing, in relation to trends in absolute burden. Conversely, the combination of increasing metabolic risks and population ageing will probably continue to drive the increasing trends in non-communicable diseases at the global level, which presents both a public health challenge and opportunity. We see considerable spatiotemporal heterogeneity in levels of risk exposure and risk-attributable burden. Although levels of development underlie some of this heterogeneity, O/E ratios show risks for which countries are overperforming or underperforming relative to their level of development. As such, these ratios provide a benchmarking tool to help to focus local decision making. Our findings reinforce the importance of both risk exposure monitoring and epidemiological research to assess causal connections between risks and health outcomes, and they highlight the usefulness of the GBD study in synthesising data to draw comprehensive and robust conclusions that help to inform good policy and strategic health planning.
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We compared two dietary survey methods using the 1991 nationwide China Health and Nutrition Survey. Data were collected over three consecutive days by 24-hour dietary recall and a household inventory for 3,563 households with 13,606 individuals. We studied the absolute difference between the two methods and the relative differences expressed as dietary in take per capita per day. There was only a 74-kcal difference between the methods for average daily calorie intake; the relative difference was 1%. Ratios were larger for average daily protein (5%) and fat (3%) intakes. Analysis of covariance was used to compare the means of the intakes of nutrients when adjusting for other confounding variables. The largest difference was in households with guests eating at home, where fat intake was significantly higher. Particularly important was an adjustment for household cooking oil consumption used to modify the recall results. Removing this adjustment greatly expanded differences in the two methods.
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Objective: To examine the secular trends in risk factors, estimate their impact on type 2 diabetes burden from 1991 to 2011, and project trends in the next 20 years. Research design and methods: Risk factor distributions were based on data from the China Health and Nutrition Survey 1991-2011. Diabetes cases attributable to all nonoptimal levels of each risk factor were estimated by applying the comparative risk assessment method. Results: In 2011, high BMI was the leading individual attributable factor for diabetes cases in China responsible for 43.8 million diabetes cases with a population-attributable fraction of 46.8%. Low whole grain intake and high refined grain intake were the leading dietary risk factors in China responsible for 37.8 million and 21.8 million diabetes-attributable cases, respectively. The number of attributable diabetes cases associated with low physical activity, high blood pressure, and current smoking was 29.5, 21.6, and 9.8 million, respectively. Although intakes of low-fat dairy products, nuts, fruit, vegetables, and fish and seafood increased moderately over time, the average intake was below optimal levels in 2011 and were responsible for 15.8, 11.3, 9.9, 6.0, 3.6, and 2.6 million diabetes cases, respectively. Meanwhile, intakes of processed meat, red meat, and sugar-sweetened beverage showed increasing trends over time and were responsible for 2.8, 1.8, and 0.5 million diabetes cases, respectively, in 2011. Conclusions: A high BMI and low intake of whole grains but high intake of refined grains are the most important individual risk factors related to Chinese diabetes burden; low physical activity and high blood pressure also significantly contributed.
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Background and purpose: Elevated blood homocysteine concentration increases the risk of stroke, especially among hypertensive individuals. Homocysteine is largely affected by the methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase C677T polymorphism and folate status. Among hypertensive patients, we aimed to test the hypothesis that the association between homocysteine and stroke can be modified by the methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase C677T polymorphism and folic acid intervention. Methods: We analyzed the data of 20 424 hypertensive adults enrolled in the China Stroke Primary Prevention Trial. The participants, first stratified by methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase genotype, were randomly assigned to receive double-blind treatments of 10-mg enalapril and 0.8-mg folic acid or 10-mg enalapril only. The participants were followed up for a median of 4.5 years. Results: In the control group, baseline log-transformed homocysteine was associated with an increased risk of first stroke among participants with the CC/CT genotype (hazard ratio, 3.1; 1.1-9.2), but not among participants with the TT genotype (hazard ratio, 0.7; 0.2-2.1), indicating a significant gene-homocysteine interaction (P=0.008). In the folic acid intervention group, homocysteine showed no significant effect on stroke regardless of genotype. Consistently, folic acid intervention significantly reduced stroke risk in participants with CC/CT genotypes and high homocysteine levels (tertile 3; hazard ratio, 0.73; 0.55-0.97). Conclusions: In Chinese hypertensive patients, the effect of homocysteine on the first stroke was significantly modified by the methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase C677T genotype and folic acid supplementation. Such information may help to more precisely predict stroke risk and develop folic acid interventions tailored to individual genetic background and nutritional status. Clinical trial registration: URL: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT00794885.
Article
Objective: To estimate the association between three B-vitamin intakes and sociodemographic factors among adults in China. Methods: We derived our data from the China Health and Nutrition Survey (CHNS) among 12,241 individuals aged 18-64 years. Log binomial regression was used to estimate adjusted prevalence ratios for factors associated with the inadequate intake of B-vitamins. Results: Females with low incomes and living in the north had a higher prevalence of inadequate riboflavin intake than those with high incomes and living in the south. Both males and females living in a village had a higher prevalence of inadequate riboflavin intake than adults living in a city. Adults with low income, low education, and living in the north or in a village had a higher prevalence of inadequate niacin intake than adults with a high income, high education, and living in the south or in a city. Conclusion: We found that income, region, and area of residence were associated with riboflavin intake. Education, income, region, and area of residence were associated with niacin intake. Well-tailored strategies and policies are needed to improve nutritional status in China.
Article
Objective: Data on the association between visit-to-visit variability (VVV) in blood pressure (BP) and the risk of stroke among hypertensive patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) is limited. We aimed to evaluate the relation of VVV in BP with the risk of stroke, and examine any possible effect modifiers in hypertensive patients with mild-to-moderate CKD. Methods: This is a post-hoc analysis of the China Stroke Primary Prevention Trial. A total of 3091 patients with estimated glomerular filtration rate 30-60 ml/min per 1.73 m and/or proteinuria at baseline, without occurring stroke and with BP measurements of at least two visits from randomization to the 12-month visit were included. The main VVV in BP was expressed as SD. The primary outcome was first stroke. Results: The median subsequent treatment duration was 3.7 years. After multivariable adjustment, including baseline SBP and mean SBP during the first 12-month follow-up, there was a significantly positive relationship of SD SBP with the risk of subsequent first stroke (per SD increment; odds ratio, 1.41; 95% confidence interval: 1.17-1.69) and first ischemic stroke (odds ratio, 1.55; 95% confidence interval: 1.26-1.90). Results were consistent across various subgroups, including age, sex, baseline SBP, treatment compliance, and mean SBP, concomitant usage of calcium channel blocker during the first 12-month follow-up period. Similar trends were also found for coefficient of variation SBP, and SD or coefficient of variation DBP. However, there was no significant association between BP variability and first hemorrhagic stroke. Conclusion: In hypertensive adults with mild-to-moderate CKD, visit-to-visit variability in BP was significantly associated with the risk of subsequent first stroke.
Article
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