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The way forward: Continuing policy and management reforms in the Murray–Darling Basin

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The major water resource policy and management reforms that have occurred in Australia's Murray–Darling Basin (MDB) over the past 30 years have made a good start to ensuring the MDB is a healthy and sustainable working Basin into the future. This is particularly true of the Basin Plan and the $A13 billion being invested to recover water for the environment. Many emerging and major challenges remain to achieving this goal over the next 30 years, to 2050 and beyond, particularly given an increased frequency of drought and the hotter and dryer future climate the Basin is facing. In this chapter, we identify and discuss six desirable changes to the current Basin Plan, including further adjustments to sustainable diversion limits (SDL) and revisions to environmental objectives related to the Basin Plan because of climate change; addressing emerging water quality issues; improving environmental water management; strengthening the links with management of the Lower Lakes, Coorong and the coastal zone; improving monitoring, evaluation, and adaptive management; and strengthening compliance arrangements. The scheduled 2026 review of the Basin Plan provides the opportunity to implement these changes at the Basin scale. Additionally, we have also identified three further reforms aimed to achieve a more integrated Basin Plan, including implementation of effective integrated catchment management; ongoing engagement of all stakeholders—including rural and regional communities, Aboriginal people, and irrigation industries—in well-designed, independent processes of deliberative decision-making and policy codesign; and effective integration of water policy development with linked policy areas, including climate change adaptation, regional development, and agricultural transitions. We proposed three key elements required for this integration process to be successful: •Vision—A clear statement of why an integrated approach to managing the Basin would be beneficial. •Better decision-making processes—The vision and a ‘road map’ for implementing the integration could be developed via an initial independently convened deliberative process involving all stakeholders and state and Commonwealth government representatives. •Leadership from state and Commonwealth ministers (e.g. water, agriculture, environment, and regional development) to provide an appropriate authorising environment for the deliberative work need to develop a widely accepted vision. We also draw out some ‘key lessons’ of relevance to others involved in the management of multijurisdictional Basins.

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This essay reflects on the development of the field of deliberative democracy by discussing twelve key findings that capture a number of resolved issues in normative theory, conceptual clarification, and associated empirical results. We argue that these findings deserve to be more widely recognized and viewed as a foundation for future practice and research. We draw on our own research and that of others in the field.
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Much of Australia has been in severe drought since at least 2017. Here we link Australian droughts to the absence of Pacific and Indian Ocean mode states that act as key drivers of drought-breaking rains. Predicting the impact of climate change on drought requires accurate modelling of these modes of variability.
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Australia’s water management futures are again under discussion as drought impacts and bushfires hit communities. Water and ecological system limits are being reached resulting in fish kills and dwindling water levels in storages. Awareness is also rising around the inequities in current water governance regimes for First Peoples across the Australian continent and beyond. Here we provide a brief overview and research on: the ingenuity of Indigenous waterscape and landscape knowledge and practices to care for country and community, including the development of agricultural systems and sophisticated fish and eel trapping systems that are thousands of years old; the devastating impacts of colonisation on First Peoples, their country and ability to maintain some cultural practices; and the ongoing contestation over water governance, right from Federation, including the eight waves of water reforms in the Murray-Darling Basin. Current challenges and needs for reform are also presented including: hydrological scientific uncertainties, such as around return flows and their adjustment due to irrigation infrastructure efficiency increases, and new design methodologies, such as for flood estimation inputs to hydraulic models; adjusting current governance regimes of sustainable diversion limits and water markets to provide alternative value to Australia, beyond economic value drivers, that better respond to the benefit of all basin communities in the face of ongoing extreme climate variability and climate change; and determining positive ways forward for truly valuing and allowing First Peoples’ knowledge, practices, culture and law to provide a basis for developing the next waves of Australia's water management reform journey.
Chapter
From Turnbull to Morrison: Understanding the Trust Divide is the thirteenth volume of Australia's longest running study of Australian Commonwealth Government, started in 1983. Is trust between the government and Australians broken? The country's leading institutions have been ranked among the least trusted in the world at a time when the economy has experienced twenty-seven years of economic growth. This has all happened since the 2016 federal election under the revolving prime ministerships of Malcolm Turnbull and Scott Morrison's first term. Turnbull was the fourth sitting prime minister in a decade to be removed by his own party. What role do these politically turbulent times play in this trust deficit? Scott Morrison has now been elected by the people. What does he and future prime ministers need to do to reboot civic belief in politics? How will history judge the contribution of the Turnbull and Morrison administrations? In From Turnbull to Morrison well-known political journalists including Michelle Grattan, George Megalogenis, Megan Davis, Virginia Haussegger, Mark Kenny and Katharine Murphy and leading academics such as Frank Bongiorno, Mark Evans, Susan Harris-Rimmer, Anne Tiernan, John Warhurst and George Williams examine the institutions, the issues and the leaders at the heart of this crisis. It is crucial reading for champions of liberal democracy. From Turnbull to Morrison: The Trust Divide is the thirteenth volume of Australia's longest running study of Australian Commonwealth Government, started in 1983.
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Climate change will increase water stress in many regions placing greater pressures on rivers to meet human and ecological water needs. Managing rivers experiencing water stress requires a fundamental understanding of how ecosystem processes and functions respond to natural and anthropogenic drivers of flow variability and change. The field of environmental flows meets this need by defining “flow-ecology” relationships—mathematical models linking ecological characteristics and dynamics to the underlying flow regime. However, because these relationships are most often based on historical hydrologic regimes, they implicitly assume climatic stationarity. A fundamental challenge in the Anthropocene is how to model flow-ecology relationships such that the effects of nonstationarity can be captured. In the present article, we introduce a novel approach that addresses these shortcomings and show its utility through a series of conceptual and empirical examples. The framework incorporates ecological dynamics and uncertain future hydrologic conditions, as well as nonstationarity itself, thereby providing a viable framework for modeling flow-ecology responses to inform water management in a rapidly changing climate.
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The Murray–Darling Basin in south‐eastern Australia contains over 70,000 km2 of wetlands and floodplains, many of which are in poor condition. In response, Australian governments have committed to a major restoration program, the Murray–Darling Basin Plan that includes management of 2,750 Gl of environmental water to protect and restore aquatic ecosystems. The restoration is being undertaken within an adaptive management framework that includes monitoring the outcomes of environmental flows in seven river valleys. This paper provides an overview of the 5‐year monitoring project and some preliminary results. Monitoring design considered the Basin Plan's environmental objectives, conceptual models of ecosystem responses to flow, and an outcomes framework linking flow responses to the environmental objectives. Monitoring indicators includes ecosystem type, vegetation, river metabolism, and fish. Responses are evaluated to identify the contribution of environmental flows to Basin Plan environmental objectives and continual improvements in management. The program is unique in that it seeks to monitor long‐term outcomes of environmental flows at the river basin scale. Despite many challenges, the monitoring has become a key part of the adaptive management of environmental flows in the Murray–Darling Basin.
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Aboriginal representative organisations collaborated with the Murray Darling Basin Authority to develop the Aboriginal Waterways Assessment (AWA) tool. We consider the AWA as part of an evolving toolkit of methodologies designed to elevate First Nations’ objectives in water planning, in the context of national water reform and implementation of the Murray Darling Basin Plan. We describe the adaptation of the AWA from an approach developed in Aotearoa/New Zealand, the Maori Cultural Health Index for Streams and Waterways. We review the delivery and outcomes of seven AWA projects undertaken in Victoria between 2017 and 2018, demonstrating that the AWA is an effective and culturally safe mechanism for First Nations to document water-related values and influence waterway management. The article identifies improvements in water management resulting from the use of data generated through AWA projects, as well as project outcomes at the individual and broader political scale, including the social benefits of First Nations’ data collection and the importance of data sovereignty. We highlight the value of waterway assessments undertaken by First Nations as a tool to address their widespread exclusion from water planning and management.
Book
Full text freely available at: https://www.adelaide.edu.au/press/titles/natural-history-cllmm/cllmm-ebook.pdf The Editorial Committee welcomes you to this Natural History Series book, Natural History of the Coorong, Lower Lakes and Murray Mouth (CLLMM) region. The book is divided into four main parts, with individual chapters within each part outlined below. HISTORICAL OVERVIEW (PART 1) The book begins with Ngarrindjeri leaders such as Tom Trevorrow, George Trevorrow and Matthew Rigney (all deceased) providing a valuable introduction to the history and culture of the Ngarrindjeri traditional owners of the CLLMM land and waters, with a contextual introduction to this Ngarrindjeri account by Steve Hemming (Chapter 1.1). The more recent history of European settlement is then detailed by Valerie Sitters (1.2). PHYSICAL-CHEMICAL NATURE (PART 2) The detailed evolution and contemporary geology and geomorphology of the Murray Estuary and Mouth are provided in three chapters by Bob Bourman and co-authors (Chapters 2.1-2.3). Next, Deborah Haynes and co-authors reveal the hydrological and salinity history of the CLLMM based on their studies of diatoms archived in the bottom sediment (2.4). John Cann and Chantelle Lower describe the effects of ice ages, global warming and sea level changes in the formation of the Coorong Lagoon and catchment based on mollusc and other records in sediment cores (2.5). Deirdre Ryan describes the role of historical and current climate in shaping the CLLMM region, including large historical flood events (2.6). The surface water flows and movement within the system, which underpin much of the system function and health, are elaborated by Matt Gibbs and co-authors (2.7). The hydrogeology in the surrounding catchment, and groundwater inflows, are described by Steve Barnett (2.8). The soils in the CLLMM and surrounding catchments are described by Rob Fitzpatrick and co-authors (2.9), with particular emphasis on acid sulfate soils that caused major issues in the Millennium Drought. Finally, in this Part, the water quality of the CLLMM, which is a key driver of ecological health, is then described by Kane Aldridge and co-authors (2.10). BIOLOGICAL SYSTEMS (PART 3) Sophie Leterme and co-authors describe the plankton communities that form the base of the food chain and respond to changing hydrology and water quality (Chapter 3.1). The diverse vegetation in and on the edges of the water, and how it responds to changing water levels and quality, is outlined by Jason Nicol and co-authors (3.2). The terrestrial vegetation in the local catchment area, and factors determining its distribution, are described by Sacha Jellinek and co-authors (3.3). The composition of sediment-dwelling invertebrates in the Coorong and Murray Mouth estuary are detailed by Sabine Dittmann (3.4), including how these were severely impacted by the Millennium Drought. Invertebrates in the freshwater Lower Lakes are reviewed by the late Keith Walker (with Peter Goonan, Paul McEvoy and co-authors) (3.5). Chris Bice and co-authors provide a synopsis of the ecology and biology of fishes in the CLLMM (3.6), and how they are influenced by changing flow, water quality and connectivity. David Paton and co-authors present a chapter on waterbirds (3.7), which are a key component of the CLLMM region and one of the main reasons it is listed as a Wetland of International Importance under the Ramsar Convention. The frogs of the CLLMM, including the important, yet vulnerable, Southern bell frog, are presented by Kate Mason and Rebecca Turner (3.8). Lastly for this Part, George Giatas and colleagues describe the Coorong food web (3.9), and how food and ‘energy’ flows between species to make the system productive and healthy. MANAGEMENT, RESOURCE USE AND CONSERVATION (PART 4) Given the large-scale anthropogenic changes in the hydrology of the Murray-Darling Basin, environmental water delivery, guided by legislation, plays a critical role in ensuring the health of the CLLMM system, as described by Adrienne Rumbelow (Chapter 4.1). This includes supporting important local fisheries, which have a long history in the region, as described by Greg Ferguson (4.2). Extreme low flows and water levels in the Millennium Drought created huge management challenges that had never been faced in the CLLMM before, as described by Kerri Muller and co-authors (4.3). Finally, Steve Hemming and co-authors provide two chapters (4.4-4.5) which establish the vision and framework for the important and increasing role that the Ngarrindjeri Nation will play in the shared long-term management of the region (Ngarrindjeri Ruwe/Ruwar).
Book
Decision-Making in Water Resource Policy and Management: An Australian Perspective presents the latest information in developing new decision-making processes. Topics covered include key aspects of water resources planning, recent water resource policy changes in irrigation, urban, and environmental considerations, the evolution of a water market, a number of case studies that provide real examples of improved decision-making, transfer of the Australian experience overseas, and challenges for the future. Many countries are experiencing major water scarcity problems which will likely intensify with the continued impacts of climate change. In response to this challenge, there is increased worldwide focus on the development of more sustainable and integrated water resource policies. The Australian experience over the past three decades has led to major improvements in the decision-making processes in water resources policy and management, particularly in response to drought and climate change, providing a great model on which other nations can use and adapt. This information is essential to early to mid-career practitioners engaged in policy, planning and operational roles in all fields of water resource policy and management, and catchment management.
Article
What is the role of the institution of science in a world where trust is declining? How do we ensure respect for scientifically derived knowledge in this environment, and particularly for policymaking? How do we ensure that policymakers are more likely to take into account the role of scientifically derived evidence in their decision-making?.
Book
Democracy requires a connection to the “will of the people.” What does that mean in a world of “fake news,” relentless advocacy, dialogue mostly among the like-minded, and massive spending to manipulate public opinion? What kind of opinion can the public have under such conditions? What would democracy be like if the people were really thinking in depth about the policies they must live with? This book argues that “deliberative democracy” is not utopian. It is a practical solution to many of democracy’s ills. It can supplement existing institutions with practical reforms. It can apply at all levels of government and for many different kinds of policy choices. This book speaks to a recurring dilemma: listen to the people and get the angry voices of populism or rely on widely distrusted elites and get policies that seem out of touch with the public’s concerns. Instead, there are methods for getting a representative and thoughtful public voice that is really worth listening to. Democracy is under siege in most countries. Democratic institutions have low approval and face a resurgent threat from authoritarian regimes. Deliberative democracy can provide an antidote. It can reinvigorate our democratic politics. This book draws on the author’s research with many collaborators on “Deliberative Polling”-a process he has conducted in twenty-seven countries on six continents. It contributes both to political theory and to the empirical study of public opinion and participation, and should interest anyone concerned about the future of democracy and how it can be revitalized. © James S. Fishkin 2018 and Part III, Section 2: James S. Fishkin, Thad Kousser, Robert C. Luskin, and Alice Siu and Part III, Section 4: James S. Fishkin, Roy William Mayega, Lynn Atuyambe, Nathan Tumuhamye, Julius Ssentongo, Alice Siu, and William Bazeyo and Part III, Section 5: James S. Fishkin, Robert C. Luskin, and Alice Siu.
Book
Many scholars and policymakers still expect a World Bank official’s 25-year old prediction that “the wars of the future will be fought over water” to come true. But in reality, international water wars are exceptionally rare, while political-economic conflicts between sub-national actors, including states and provinces, are increasingly prevalent. This book re-thinks the issue of water conflict by examining conflicts at the sub-national rather than international level. By examining several in-depth case studies of both conflict and cooperation, the book argues that increasing sub-national water conflict is driven by two inter-linked forces, identity politics, which gives sub-national politicians a reason to compete over shared water resources; and political decentralization, which provides them with the tools to do so. However, by encouraging broad participation in managing shared water resources, policymakers can create “constituencies for cooperation.” The book concludes by calling both scholars and policymakers to devote more attention to the growing challenge of sub-national conflict over water.
Article
An approach is presented for evaluating in economic terms the investment made by a publicly funded natural resource management research and development (R&D) funding organisation (Land & Water Australia) over its 16-year life. The approach combines qualitative methods to describe research investments and their outputs, outcomes and benefits with conventional cost-benefit analyses that produce measures of the worth of the investment. While the major driver of such an approach is the need for accountability to the Australian Government, co-funders and the public, a number of other objectives are being met also. Benefits to the organisation are accruing, including a better understanding of the factors that contribute to a successful investment and how to communicate the benefits of research to stakeholders. One of the important strengths of the process is the consistency of application of a standardised approach to cost-benefit analyses and the transparency of the analyses that have now addressed 28 separate case studies. The approach is flexible, is conducive to updating information over time, and recognises many of the difficulties involved in applying investment analysis to R&D investment. The development of the process has adopted a continuous improvement philosophy.
Article
The current debate around environmental water in the Murray-Darling Basin has focused on how much water the environment needs (what should the sustainable diversion limits be) and how this water should be recovered. Now that the Murray-Darling Basin Plan has set these targets, discussion will quickly move to implementation and the governance arrangements for this water; that is, what parties are involved, what are their responsibilities, how are they accountable and how do they interact? While the agencies involved in environmental water management and their respective roles are broadly understood, the detail around accountability, interaction between agencies and assessment of success has potential for improvement. Massive public expenditure in water recovery and management requires high levels of accountability, and in such high stakes conditions, confusion can breed mistrust. This paper documents agency roles and existing governance models and proposes features of a governance model for environmental water management to enhance accountability, trust and efficiency.
Chapter
Underlying conceptsComparison with other evaluation approachesKey messagesSuggested reading (loosely grouped by the authors' primary discipline)References and notes
Chapter
This chapter provides a brief introduction to water management in Australia, including an overview of the history of water management in Australia since European settlement. It focuses particularly on the last 30 years, during which Australian governments have been undertaking a program of major water reform, transitioning to a new paradigm of environmentally and financially sustainable water resource management providing high economic value to the nation. This chapter also sets the scene for the rest of the book and summarizes the following individual chapters that go into more detail about specific elements that have contributed to the implementation of the reform agenda.