This study investigates the complex relationship between youth unemployment and social unrest in Makumbusho Ward, Dar es Salaam, with a focus on three distinct forms of unemployment: cyclical, structural, and frictional. Utilising a mixed-methods approach, including binary logistic regression and qualitative thematic analysis, this study examines how persistent joblessness drives feelings of
... [Show full abstract] marginalisation, ultimately manifesting in protests, demonstrations, and social disorder among urban youth. Quantitative data were collected from 400 unemployed youth and four key informants, while qualitative insights were drawn from interviews and focus group discussions. The findings reveal that cyclical unemployment—exacerbated by economic downturns, inflation, and job loss—has the strongest correlation with unrest. Structural unemployment, driven by skill mismatches and inadequate vocational training, also contributes significantly to long-term disaffection. Frictional unemployment, though typically transitional, is shown to be prolonged due to weak labour market infrastructure, thereby intensifying youth frustration. The study is grounded in the Relative Deprivation Theory, which posits that perceived inequalities and unmet expectations are key triggers of social instability. The results highlight the urgent need for policy reforms targeting youth employment, including economic resilience measures, education-to-employment alignment, and improved labour market information systems. Additionally, the study recommends promoting entrepreneurship, inclusive urban development, and early warning mechanisms to prevent unrest. By centring the lived experiences of unemployed youth in Makumbusho, this paper contributes to the broader discourse on urban governance, economic inclusion, and peacebuilding in Sub-Saharan Africa.