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Dynamic interactions among knowledge management, strategic foresight and emerging technologies
Abstract
Purpose
This paper aims to discuss the dynamic interactions among knowledge management, strategic foresight and emerging technologies, resulting in a framework that can help companies to shape these interactions for achieving positive outcomes.
Design/methodology/approach
This conceptual paper is based on prior literature streams, which were interrelated through an abductive research process. This iterative conceptualization approach led to the formation of testable propositions that advance the understanding on the interactions among knowledge management, strategic foresight and emerging technologies.
Findings
The framework demonstrates the existence of an actions cycle between strategic foresight and knowledge management through a constructivist perspective, where one can improve the other. These interactions can be useful both for the development of emerging technologies and for identifying these innovations in market that can be applied in companies. Hence, all these dynamic interactions do not point to a hegemonic relationship of one construct over the others, but for the value equality among them.
Originality/value
Although current literature points to the existence of relationships among knowledge management, strategic foresight and emerging technologies, the dynamism inherent in these interactions as well as their positive effects for companies’ results are not properly discussed. This paper fills such a gap and proposes directions for future research.
... Embedding real-time strategic foresight requires developing distinct organizational capabilities that span human capital, governance, and cultural mindsets. First and foremost is analytical fluency-the ability of decision-makers to interpret predictive models, question assumptions, and integrate probabilistic outputs into planning conversations [26]. ...
... Traditional supply chain planning based on historical averages is no longer adequate. One global retail chain implemented predictive foresight to optimize its inventory, pricing, and logistics operations in response to volatile market signals [26]. ...
... Training is another pillar of capacity-building. Equipping teams with tools like system mapping, Delphi methods, and scenario development fosters rigor and repeatability in foresight processes [26]. Equally important is creating psychological safety, where team members can freely explore unconventional ideas without fear of retribution or marginalization [37]. ...
... Ferreira et al. (2021) identified that strategic alliances and knowledge-sharing activities between partners enhance both knowledge exploration and exploitation, leading to improved new product development outcomes. In addition, Nascimento et al. (2021) showed how firms dynamically interact with external partners and emerging technologies through knowledge management and strategic foresight, further enhancing their exploration and exploitation capabilities. In addition, recent studies by Li et al. (2020) and Sakellariou and Vecchiato (2022) provide insights into the role of foresight and sensemaking in new product development. ...
... Their findings suggest that firms that excel in foresight are better able to identify emerging market opportunities and align their new product development efforts accordingly. Moreover, Nascimento et al. (2021) highlighted how strategic foresight interacts with knowledge management to drive innovation, especially in dynamic environments where firms must respond to emerging technologies. Sakellariou and Vecchiato (2022) expanded on this perspective by highlighting the role of foresight in sensemaking, which enables firms to interpret future trends and align their new product development activities accordingly. ...
... In addition, this study confirms that open innovation functions as a catalyst between knowledge management and new product development, facilitating the seamless integration of both internal and external knowledge sources. This finding supports prior research on the importance of external knowledge for successful new product development (Lichtenthaler, 2021;Nascimento et al., 2021), while also adding empirical support to the role of open innovation in balancing exploration and exploitation. Our study further elaborates on prior findings by demonstrating that strategic foresight, combined with knowledge management practices, not only strengthens knowledge exploration and exploitation but also fosters more effective new product development. ...
To remain competitive and make effective decisions in increasingly challenging markets, firms must integrate internal and external knowledge by embedding knowledge management strategies and technologies into their operations. This study aims to examine the roles of strategic foresight and knowledge management in promoting open innovation and driving new product development. Grounded in the knowledge-based view (KBV) of the firm, it investigates how strategic foresight influences open innovation processes and how knowledge management catalyzes innovation success. Using structural equation modelling (SEM) on data collected from 298 technology-based firms located in Lithuania (n = 142) and Slovakia (n = 156), the study demonstrates that strategic foresight directly impacts open innovation and significantly improves new product development through open innovation; in addition, knowledge exploration and exploitation are shown to play important roles in open innovation, with balanced effects on new product development outcomes. The study identifies open innovation as a critical mechanism that links strategic foresight and knowledge management to improve new product development, extending the KBV of the firm by highlighting the integration of external knowledge with internal processes, particularly in smaller, emerging economies. Practically, managers are recommended to prioritize foresight and balanced knowledge management practices while leveraging strategic alliances and networks to improve new product development outcomes. This integrated approach highlights the importance of collaborative innovation and external knowledge in achieving competitive advantage in dynamic business environments.
... Today's drivers of growth are based on the advances in technology and the constant innovation generated by companies, which is grounded in the proliferation of knowledge (Kabir, 2019). However, knowledge alone is not enough to create new emerging technologies, as this knowledge needs to be managed so that it can be harnessed to the best of its ability, and this is done through KM (Nascimento et al., 2021). By definition, KM is responsible for creating knowledge, managing the flow of knowledge present in an organization, and ensuring that it is used in the most efficient and effective way for the long-term benefit of the company (Lee et al., 2013). ...
... The dynamic interactions between the strategic side of a business, KM, and innovation have been thoroughly discussed in the previous literature (Nascimento et al., 2021). By introducing digital business strategy, digital platform capability, absorptive capacity and knowledge strategy, the proposed conceptual framework can assist companies seeking to leverage substantially completed and more consistent interactions with a view to achieving positive outcomes such as high innovation performance and sustainable competitive advantage. ...
... Through this lens, we identified a series of articles that provided a sound case for a multidimensional and creative conceptualization pointing toward the viability of the chosen research design of the study with regard to emerging issues. Featured among these were: Ntakirutimana et al. (2023), López Muñoz and Escribá Esteve (2022), Lichtenthaler (2020), Korhonen and Halén (2017) in the area of DT, and Nascimento et al. (2021), Daniel and Huang (2019), consistent with the field of KM. ...
This conceptual paper provides a theoretical framework for an emergent research trajectory that stems from the shared knowledge base of digital transformation and knowledge management theories. Through a narrative literature review, we propose a predictive theoretical model for empirical investigation, designed to guide a successful journey through digital transformation. In response to the recently emerging business needs associated with digital transformation, we elucidate the theoretical underpinnings and formulate research propositions. These are intended to generate practical knowledge with regard to the influence of digital business strategy on innovation performance. This influence is mediated by the digital platform capability within a knowledge management-operated context, which is predetermined by knowledge strategy and absorptive capacity. The theoretical and practical significance of this model resides in its potential to guide organizations in devising effective business strategies and cultivating essential dynamic capabilities. These are required to secure sustainable competitive advantages in the digital economy.
... Four key aspects which impact RE sector in acquiring knowledge are (1) generational issues, (2) not neglecting unwanted or unfashionable knowledge, (3) some of energy sectors are very insular and (4) complexity theory movement and knowledge-based purpose. Nascimanto et al. (2021) discussed the dynamism of the interactions amongst KM and strategic foresights. Such a knowledge exchanges result in the development of technologies which would include REs as well. ...
... Tacit knowledge can be extracted only from the minds of people which have past experience, intentions, perceptions, intuitions, etc. Advertising by involving the employees is one way of promoting RE technology among the people and provoking them to contribute in focused areas on the basis of their last knowledge. It also helps in creating a market for RE sector to boost its platform (Devenport et al., 1998;Choi and Lee, 2002;Nonaka and Krogh, 2009;Nascimanto et al., 2021). Employees must also interact with their colleagues to get awareness about the meta-knowledge, i.e. knowledge which their colleagues possess. ...
... Financial mechanism needs a revision for renewable energy sector as each day these technologies are evolving and creating new solutions and problems. Banks and other lenders demand hefty risk premiums due to uncertainty in government policies on renewable energy (Metwally et al., 2019;Nascimanto et al., 2021). Solar sector of renewables in India is facing a major challenge in high cost of generation because of its dependence on imports of wafer used and the manufacturing of cells. ...
Energy industries are the pioneers in exploiting the knowledge management (KM) for meeting the challenges. Renewable energy industries are emerging to meet the energy security and climate changes and challenges. Therefore, it was of interest to study how the Indian renewable energy (RE) industries are able to exploit the KM practices to boost their organisation performance. Pilot study was undertaken to study the prevalence of the knowledge management (KM) practices in Indian renewable energy industries through the questionnaire and the measurement of Knowledge Management Performance Index (KMPI) value. The questionnaire was modified based on the outcomes of pilot study. The same qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis were done for the pilot study, and the KMPI value was also determined. The relation of all KM concepts, viz. KM creation, KM storage, KM transfer, KM exploitation and KM dissemination was the construct. This study provides one of first insights of KM performance in promoting new and renewable energy technologies. The clarity on the knowledge and technological gap, process of extracting and disseminating information, difficulty in accessing skilled labour, lack of collaborative R and D and research activities and storage of knowledge were found to be major issues in the exploitation of KM in RE industries in India.
... This study argues that "SEC" as a stock, represents a person's accumulated values, emotions, experiences, and competencies over time, serving as a form of non-verbal communication (Nascimento et al., 2021). Knowledge as a flow is expressed through three sustainable cognitive expressions: rational, emotional, and spiritual (Bratianu and Bejinaru, 2019). ...
... For example, a fashion company that embraces ESL in its eco-friendly clothing production can enhance external relational capital by building stronger partnerships with staff and customers, increasing trust and credibility through sustainable practices inside and outside the company. This two-way knowledge exchange fosters deeper connections, encourages long-term engagement, and strengthens relationships, driving ERC and business growth (Abdelmeguid et al., 2022;Barletta et al., 2024;D'Adamo and Lupi, 2021;Nascimento et al., 2021) This study makes several pivotal contributions to literature: Firstly, by introducing the concept of Sustainable Enclothed Cognition (SEC), this research broadens the theoretical landscape of enclothed cognition to encompass sustainability. This integration emphasizes the critical alignment of clothing choices with sustainable values, Journal of Intellectual Capital emotions, and rational decisions. ...
Purpose
External relational capital is the value created by an organization’s relationships with outside stakeholders, such as customers. This study introduces and examines the concept of sustainable enclothed cognition to support it, aligning rational reasons, personal values and emotions with sustainable clothing choices not only fosters envisioning sustainable learning from a user perspective but also holds the potential to help companies quickly adapt and find alternative solutions, thereby minimizing production impacts on the environment and promising the future for sustainable fashion in the industry.
Design/methodology/approach
This study aims to explore how sustainable enclothed cognition, combined with envisioning sustainable learning, can enhance external relational capital in the fashion industry by fostering deeper connections between fashion brands and environmentally conscious consumers. Data collection took place between May and September 2021. A survey of 211 young workers was conducted, and the data were analyzed using partial least squares-structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM).
Findings
The findings demonstrate that prioritizing sustainable enclothed cognition can satisfy consumer demands, strengthen customer relationships and enhance competitive positioning in the fashion industry. Furthermore, the study provides actionable strategies for implementing envisioning sustainable learning, highlighting its transformative role in turning consumer alignment into external relational capital. This insight inspires a new perspective on the potential of sustainable learning in the fashion industry.
Originality/value
This research offers a deeper understanding of how companies can strategically manage their external customer relationships by using sustainable enclothed cognition to drive eco-innovation and enhance relational capital in the sustainable fashion industry. Findings support that textile companies provide fresh insights into their innovative capacity by aligning consumer rational reasons, values and emotions with learning practices. The study also underscores the pivotal role of envisioning sustainable learning in embedding sustainability into the core of fashion industry practices, delivering both theoretical and practical guidance on achieving long-term business success through sustainability.
... Given the backdrop of high-quality development in China's manufacturing industry, organizations must grasp market trends, detect changes in market demand, and respond to new technologies more than ever [30]. Strategic foresight, as a future-oriented tool, can help companies predict how external driving factors will evolve [31] and is considered the micro-foundation for sensing new opportunities and threats [32]. ...
... Controls. Referring to existing research practices [27][28][29][30][31][32][33][34][35][36][37][38][39][40][41][42][43][44], we controlled for the following variables: enterprise age, size, nature, and industry. ...
The development of green products in manufacturing enterprises is challenged by limited independent innovation capabilities and insufficient green technology. Based on knowledge-based theory, this study investigates the influence of boundary-spanning green technology search (BGTS) and technology integration capability (TIC) on green product development performance (GPDP). Using polynomial regression analysis with response surface methodology (PRA with RSM) on data from 341 companies, the following findings were obtained: (1) Higher levels of BGTS and TIC congruence are associated with higher GPDP compared to lower levels of congruence. (2) The degree of discrepancy between the BGTS and TIC has an inverted U-shaped relationship with GPDP. (3) GPDP is higher in the “low BGTS–high TIC” combination than in the “high BGTS–low TIC” combination. (4) Green technology innovation capability mediates the relationship between BGTS-TIC congruence and GPDP. (5) Strategic foresight positively moderates the relationship between the BGTS-TIC congruence and green technology innovation capability. These findings enrich the research content of organizational search theory, deepen the research of green technology innovation, expand research on the development of green products, and provide a decision-making reference for manufacturing enterprises’ green transition practices.
... Finance knowledge gives the entrepreneur the insight to manage resources judiciously, make informed financial decisions, and strategize for sustainable growth. Marketing expertise becomes imperative for identifying target markets, crafting effective communication strategies, and building a brand presence (Nandan, 2013). Simultaneously, a deep understanding of operational intricacies ensures the smooth execution of day-to-day business activities (Estrin et al., 2018). ...
... The outcomes go beyond risk mitigation, demonstrating tangible benefits like improved financial stability, increased brand recognition, and streamlined operations. The evolution of industry knowledge is portrayed as a dynamic response to market volatility and technological advancements (Nascimento et al., 2021;Wu et al., 2023). Strategies, including mentorship programs, targeted training initiatives, and collaborations, deepen understanding, enhance competitive advantage, and increase resilience, positioning firms to thrive amid market turbulence (Eslami et al., 2021). ...
This longitudinal study investigates the dynamic interplay between entrepreneurial knowledge and firm performance in emerging markets, specifically Brazil, India, and Vietnam, spanning from 2013 to 2023. Employing a mixed-methods approach, the research identifies critical entrepreneurial knowledge types, such as general business acumen and industry-specific expertise, alongside emerging market insights. Notable findings include strategic adaptations to informal regulations, challenging existing notions, and enriching understanding of start-ups navigating regulatory landscapes. Comparative analyses with existing literature validate established theories while extending knowledge of internal–external dynamics. The study’s practical applications offer policymaker recommendations for adaptable environments, such as fostering collaborative networks and incentivizing participation, while providing entrepreneurs with strategies for success in similar global contexts, emphasizing continuous learning and adaptation. By advancing comprehension of entrepreneurial dynamics in emerging markets, this research significantly contributes to the literature, guiding stakeholders in navigating challenges and seizing opportunities in the evolving landscape of entrepreneurship.
... While some studies have explored these individual relationships [28,30,33], a comprehensive examination that integrates these dimensions is limited. For instance, Nascimento et al. [34] suggest studying the influence of B.I. on S.F., while other researchers [35] focus on the role of K.M. as a moderating variable as a structured approach for capturing, sharing, and utilizing knowledge to improve future planning scenarios [26,36]. Importantly, the significance of these relationships becomes particularly pronounced when examining emerging economies such as Jordan, where empirical evidence on this topic is limited [35]. ...
... K.M. encompasses the processes of creating, sharing, and utilizing knowledge within and between organizations [46]. Scholars and practitioners across diverse industries recognize the pivotal role of K.M. in the survival and success of a company [34]. Evaluation of K.M. often involves assessing its implementation, transformation, and acquisition [55]. ...
The role of business intelligence in driving strategic planning in organizations have received considerable attention from many scholars. Nonetheless, there remains a promising area for further research, especially when considering moderating variables on effects such as knowledge management, which has contributed to businesses’ appreciation of the importance of business intelligence. To this end, in this study, the researchers constructed a conceptual model based on existing literature by incorporating relevant research variables. A questionnaire survey was conducted among a random sample of 307 employees selected from three telecom companies in Jordan. The researchers then utilized structural equation modeling with AMOS 21.0 to validate and test the model. The findings of the study revealed that business intelligence has a significant positive influence on strategic foresight. Furthermore, the analysis indicated that knowledge management mediates the relationship between business intelligence and strategic foresight. The implications and recommendations of academic research are also discussed.
... Teknologi dan sistem informasi (TI) sebagai aset merupakan modal bagi perusahaan dalam operasional yang juga tergolong seperti sumber daya lainnya yaitu aset manusia, aset fisik, aset keuangan, modal kelembagaan, berpengaruh secara signifikan terkait dengan keunggulan kompetitif (Lai et al., 2006;Porter, 1985;Sachitra & Chong, 2018) untuk itu perusahaan secara berkelanjutan terus mengembangkan teknologi (Nascimento et al., 2021) menciptakan keunggulan kompetitif yang diinduksi TI, perusahaan juga perlu mengalokasikan sumber daya (manusia, pengetahuan, dan modal) secara efektif dan berinvestasi dalam teknologi inovatif dan canggih tentunya dalam segala bidang (Bilgihan & Wang, 2016), karena saat ini teknologi sangat penting bagi perkembangan perusahaan dengan tingkat efisiensi biaya yang dihasilkan (Bilgihan et al., 2011). Teknologi yang modern akan lebih baik mempercepat pekerjaan dalam menghasilkan kinerja yang unggul dibandingkan dengan teknologi konvensional (Halbouni et al., 2016), serta berdampak langsung pada keberlanjutan ekonomi (Tasleem et al., 2019), dengan demikian teknologi yang dimiliki oleh perusahaan berdampak pada kemampuan perusahaan dalam mencapai keunggulan bersaing, untuk itu hipotesis penelitian dua (H2) yang dapat dikemukakan bahwa: teknologi dan sistem informasi modern yang dimiliki berpengaruh positif untuk meningkatkan keunggulan bersaing ...
... Hasil penelitian juga sejalan dengan penelitian sebelumnya yang digunakan sebagai referensi dalam penelitian ini bahwa adanya perubahan teknologi yang diwujudkan dengan pembelian dan penambahan aset perusahaan sangat mempengaruhi kemampuan bersaing perusahaan (Lai et al., 2006;Porter, 1985;Sachitra & Chong, 2018). Nascimento et al., (2021) menyarankan bahwa dalam rangka menciptakan keunggulan kompetitif yang disebabkan karena diinduksi pada TI, maka perusahaan sangat perlu mengalokasikan sumber daya (manusia, pengetahuan, dan modal) secara efektif, dan mendorong untuk berinvestasi dalam teknologi inovatif dan canggih (Bilgihan & Wang, 2016;Halbouni et al., 2016a) karena teknologi sangat penting bagi perkembangan perusahaan dengan tingkat efisiensi biaya yang dihasilkan (Bilgihan et al., 2011). Kemampuan bersaing perusahaan saat ini rata-rata dipengaruhi karena kemampuan dan kepemilikan teknologi, oleh karenanya teknologi menjadi produk yang cukup berharga dalam bisnis seperti yang dikemukakan Nothnagel (2008), bahwa perusahaan pada dasarnya memiliki dua sumber daya yang dapat dikelola yang terdiri dari: 1) Aset yang berwujud yang dapat diukur dari segi kinerja physical capital dan financial capital, 2) Aset Tidak Berwujud yang dapat diukur dari kinerja human capital, structure capital dan relational capital untuk mencapai kinerja keuangan yang baik (Wernerfelt, 1984) yang menandakan memiliki kemampuan bersaing. ...
The rise of the phenomenon of bus companies competing with each other and competing gaverise to various strategies to win their competitive advantage. For this reason, this study aimsto investigate and analyze a number of factors that cause competitiveness such as quality ofservice, technology and information systems and knowledge management on the competitiveadvantages of bus companies. The population and research sample are all bus companiesbetween cities and provinces in the island of Java, with the unit of analysis of bus companymanagers being observed in 2022 in August - December using physical and virtualquestionnaire media. Primary data analysis techniques were carried out by using statisticaldescriptive tests, testing the quality of research data instruments and other feasibility, testingthe research hypothesis, and multiple linear regression tests with SEM PLS path analysis.Findings indicate that there is a positive and significant influence on competitive advantagethrough the variables of this study, namely service quality, information technology andsystems, and knowledge management applied by bus companies. Theoretical contribution onthe theoretical aspects of detection and measurement which proves a number of variablescapable of influencing the competitive advantage of service companies. Practice/policycontribution, for company managers this research is relevant which has information andreferences in an effort to increase competitive advantage through the variables observed inthis research.Keywords: Competitive Advantage, Service Quality, Information Technology, Knowledge Management
... Foresight enhances an organization's knowledge base, connecting foresight with knowledge management (Alavi and Leidner, 2001). Foresight not only absorbs present-and future-oriented knowledge but also generates knowledge that must be managed to benefit the organization (Nascimento et al., 2021). New value creation can be conceptualized as processing various types of knowledge into new combinations (Bootz et al., 2019;Kogut and Zander, 1992). ...
Systematizing corporate foresight and integrating it into decision-making is critical to harness its value. However , many companies face challenges due to limited legitimacy, leading to scarce resources and a lack of commitment. Previous research has paid little attention to various ways to develop foresight capability, particularly at the intermediate stage of foresight maturity, where legitimacy is often lacking. We address this issue by exploring alternative organizing models to demonstrate foresight's value within firms. We conceptualize a corporate foresight system (CFS) comprising structures, roles, and activities for managing futures knowledge. Through a multiple case study of eleven large companies with intermediate foresight maturity, we identify four legitimate CFS archetypes: function-driven, independent foresight unit, executive team-led, and platform-based models. Using 43 semi-structured interviews, a pre-questionnaire survey, and workshops, we characterize these archetypes, examine their strengths and weaknesses and identify 'windows of opportunity' for further legiti-mation by extending and refining an initial CFS. Theoretically, we develop the concept of CFS, identify four CFS archetypes for companies with intermediate foresight maturity, and discuss how they contribute to demonstrating foresight's value within firms. Practically, our findings provide guidance for managers seeking to develop foresight capability by identifying approaches to legitimize foresight within an organization.
... This axiom, although current, has become considerably more complex due to the constant production and accelerated expiration of knowledge, technologies, cultural artifacts, and diverse forms of behavior (Barrera León et al., 2024;Da Silva Nascimento et al., 2021;Kipper et al., 2021;Liesa-Orús et al., 2020). These changing trends frequently make research work more difficult as they require scholars to have a clear awareness of the value of the theories followed, as well as of the validity of the data consulted and the methodologies used for their collection and processing. ...
Objective. The study focused on the in-depth and mixed exploration of the main trends of scientometric and bibliometric research in the SCOPUS database. Design/Methodology/Approach. A mixed, sequential, and integrative approach was used, divided into two stages. In the first, a bibliometric study was conducted to answer two fundamental questions. In the second qualitative procedures from integrative syntheses were developed and the main results were integrated. Results/Discussion. The results demonstrate the increase in studies developed from both disciplines, their growing collaborative and interdisciplinary nature, as well as the importance of continuing the development of their methodologies. The qualitative analysis allowed us to identify two fundamental themes in which the relationship between 11 categories, one of them shared, and 23 codes are configured. In general, the functions and potential offered by both types of studies are examined. 2 Conclusions. The findings not only allowed us to characterize the main trends in bibliometric and scientometric studies, but also fundamental issues were discussed for a better understanding of these trends, specific recommendations were offered and various methodological aspects were assessed. It was concluded that there was a need to continue delving deeper into both disciplines, especially from the perspective of non-specialist users and the opening of future lines of research. Originality/Value. The research offers a solid and innovative methodology, consolidating a system of protocols implemented by transcendental authors and those generated by the academic networks to which the authors belong. Additionally, an expanded as well as in-depth review is offered, with a consistent foundation and qualitative analytical procedures for a better understanding of the data collected.
... Consequently, any generalization of the findings to other provinces should be approached with caution, taking into account the existing infrastructure and local conditions. ( Asiedu et al., 2022 ) آشکار و ضمنی ( Nascimento et al., 2021 ) ...
... The rapidly evolving technological environment and changing customer expectations added to this significance as it helps businesses foresee changing market conditions and make necessary adjustments to stay ahead of the competition and secure longterm success. However, organizations may efficiently recognize new trends and make decisions to satisfy changing client wants by utilizing SP in services (Nascimento et al. 2021). SP also makes it easier to investigate new ventures and alliances in the services industry. ...
The study aims to discover the mediating role of Marketing Intelligence in enhancing the relationship between Strategic Physiognomy in its dimensions and the provision of E-Service Delivery. The study focuses on evaluating the methods used in collecting and analyzing data to identify challenges and oppurtunities in the Iraq tourism environment. The study relied on environmental scanning to collect data on the problems facing the tourism sector in Iraq and analyze them to determine future trends. Advanced techniques and programs were used to collect and analyze informantion in line with the objektives, problem and questions of the sdudy. The questionnaire was used as a means of obtaining information from the sample of (162) individuals in Iraqi tourism companies. The data were analyzed using statistical programs (Amos V.23), (SPSS V:23). The study concluded that there is a direct impact of Strategic Physiognomy in providing E-Service Deliveriy, and an indirect impact of Strategic Physiognomy in providing E-Service Delivery through adopting Marketing Intelligence. While the study reached a set of recommendations, the most important of which is that companies should use advanced analysis tools to collect and analyze data on markets, costumers and competitors on a regular basis and train employees to use and benefit from them in making strategic decisions.
... Es posible encontrar en la literatura otras aplicaciones para los negocios y las ciencias administrativas, por ejemplo, sobre la memoria organizacional dentro de los modelos de gestión del conocimiento (Damian y Moro Cabero, 2022) al sentido en que ocurren la innovación y la capacidad de gestión del conocimiento en las organizaciones (Davila et al., 2019;Nascimento et al., 2021) y el impacto del capital intelectual en la eficacia organizacional (Ibarra Cisneros y Hernandez-Perlines, 2018). ...
Se integraron los esfuerzos de investigadores que trabajan dentro de la línea general del conocimiento sobre la competitividad fomentada por medio de la sostenibilidad y la innovación social, como elemento estratégico.
Se inicia con el estudio de la economía social para la solución de problemas globales generados por el deterioro del modelo económico, para ello se presenta un panorama sobre la economía social y su estado actual, así como su relación con la innovación social, apoyado en estadísticas en el mundo y en México, al mismo tiempo una búsqueda de sobre innovación social y su relación con la economía social.
Continuando, se efectúa el trabajo sobre los principios de la economía circular como estrategia de adaptación, utilizando las “Rs” como técnica del análisis conceptual, así como para identificación de las acciones de la economía circular en productoras y comercializadoras de alimentos de capital nacional.
En relación con los negocios sustentables para impulsar la competitividad, se realiza la investigación en Santander partiendo de un modelo de sostenibilidad, que nace de los diagnósticos percibiendo lo que favorezca la continuidad de las Pymes en un contexto en el que alrededor del 97 % cierran durante su primer año de operación en Santander, partiendo de un estudio bibliométrico de las estrategias de negocios y competitividad, evidenciando la preocupación por desarrollar productos y procesos que minimicen el impacto negativo del medio ambiente, con el compromiso de la producción fiable que no afecte su entorno, comprometidos con la ciudad apoyando a las finanzas públicas de la región.
... The role of managerial knowledge and strategic foresight in identifying and exploiting emerging technologies has also been emphasized (Nascimento et al., 2020). Managers with high capabilities in knowledge management and the use of foresight tools to predict technological and market changes can guide their organizations toward effective utilization of new technologies. ...
This article examines the challenges and opportunities that emerging technologies bring to strategic management. Given the rapid technological advancements and their impacts on businesses, it is crucial for managers to have a precise understanding of these opportunities and challenges. From the use of drones in livestock management to open innovations in improving strategic performance, new technologies offer both advantages and difficulties. Referencing various studies, this paper explores how companies can optimally leverage these opportunities and effectively confront the associated challenges. The goal of this article is to provide a comprehensive perspective on the role of emerging technologies in the formation and implementation of business strategies.
... Strategic foresight, involving systematic exploration of potential futures necessary to reliably inform decision-making and strategy development within organizations has received attention among scholars [27]. Empirically, da Silva et al. [28] and ISDC [3] observed that strategic foresight enhances corporate efficiency by enabling organizations to anticipate future trends, disruptions, and opportunities, thereby allowing them to proactively adapt their mission and strategies [29] as well as align their operations to remain competitive and resilient in the crowded ecosystem. ...
In today's volatile, uncertain, complex, and ambiguous organizational landscape, effective leadership and management are pivotal for navigating challenges and seizing opportunities. This is especially crucial in agricultural research institutions in Kenya, tasked with enhancing productivity, sustainability, and food security. These institutions must innovate to address climate change, resource scarcity, and evolving consumer demands, yet face challenges in maintaining corporate efficiency. With global population growth and increasing food demand, there is urgency for these institutions to enhance strategic foresight and corporate efficiency. However, the impact of strategic foresight and leadership commitment on efficiency remains underexplored in Kenya's agricultural research sector. This study aimed to investigate the influence of strategic foresight on corporate efficiency and to explore how leadership commitment mediates this relationship. Utilizing a mixed methods approach—cross-sectional surveys for quantitative data and interpretive phenomenological analysis for qualitative insights—data were gathered from key segments of Kenyan agricultural research institutions. Statistical analyses, including regression and mediation analysis, were employed to test hypotheses and uncover relationships among strategic foresight, leadership commitment, and corporate efficiency. Results showed that the study achieved a robust response rate, ensuring reliable findings with strong internal consistency. Leadership in agricultural research institutes skewed male, revealing gender disparities. Age significantly influenced corporate efficiency, emphasizing strategic foresight's role. Concerns arose over short leader tenures and institutional memory loss. Supervisory roles correlated positively with corporate efficiency, consistent with prior research. Pearson's correlations showed significant relationships among corporate efficiency, strategic foresight, and leadership commitment. Structural equation modeling confirmed significant relationships, with leadership commitment partially mediating the relationship between strategic foresight and corporate efficiency. Management boards were pivotal in strategic activities and policy coordination. Despite policy alignment challenges in organizations, government support for policy enactment received positive feedback. The study recommended expansions into resource mobilization, patenting, and policy revisions aligning with digital agriculture trends. Effective governance, supportive policies, and strategic implementation were crucial for advancing agricultural research and development.
... However, the adoption of AI-based technology among SMEs in developing countries is slow [6]. Prior researchers have established a link between knowledge management in organizations and the use of technology (e.g., [6] and [33]). Knowledge management is perceived as highly important for the growth and competitiveness of organizations. ...
Small and medium enterprises (SMEs) in the construction sector play a pivotal role in any emerging market economy. These construction SMEs provide ancillary services to various industries, increase employment opportunities, and contribute to maintaining regional economic equilibrium. Technological innovations, particularly those based on artificial intelligence (AI), can significantly benefit SMEs by enhancing competitiveness and improving sustainability. However, the adoption of AI is slow among construction SMEs, and the factors that influence these enterprises’ adoption of AI-based technology are not well understood, creating a critical research gap. In this article, we present a theoretical model grounded in knowledge management theory and the unified theory of acceptance and use of technology to explore the factors that affect SMEs’ adoption of AI-based technology in developing countries. The data were collected from 422 construction SMEs, and structural equation modeling was employed to examine the hypotheses. The analysis of data collected from construction SMEs reveals that openness to innovation impacts perceived knowledge, which in turn influences performance expectations, ultimately affecting the adoption of AI-based technology in construction SMEs. Additionally, knowledge integration moderates the adoption and actual usage of AI-based technology.
... Es posible encontrar en la literatura otras aplicaciones para los negocios y las ciencias administrativas, por ejemplo, sobre la memoria organizacional dentro de los modelos de gestión del conocimiento (Damian y Moro Cabero, 2022) al sentido en que ocurren la innovación y la capacidad de gestión del conocimiento en las organizaciones (Davila et al., 2019;Nascimento et al., 2021) y el impacto del capital intelectual en la eficacia organizacional (Ibarra Cisneros y Hernandez-Perlines, 2018). ...
This chapter is a work about a review of scientific production in Latin America from knowledge management and its implications.
... Due to the complexity inherent in large-scale and systemic transitions, numerous scholars have called for an even further integration of foresight with other pertinent disciplines (Kahan, 2020;Nascimento et al., 2020). In fact, an increasing number of researchers are advocating for a bolstered role of foresight in the governance of social-ecological systems, augmented with interdisciplinary perspectives (Rutting et al., 2022;Vervoort and Gupta, 2018). ...
Purpose
Although the significance of technological progress in economic development is well-established in theory and policy, it has remained challenging to agree upon shared priorities for strategies and policies. This paper aims to develop a model of how policymakers can develop effective and easy to communicate strategies for science, technology and economic development.
Design/methodology/approach
By integrating insights from economic complexity, competitiveness and foresight literature, a replicable research framework for analysing the opportunities and challenges of technological revolutions for small catching-up countries is developed. The authors highlight key lessons from piloting this framework for informing the strategy and policies for bioeconomy in Estonia towards 2030–2050.
Findings
The integration of economic complexity research with traditional foresight methods establishes a solid analytical basis for a data-driven analysis of the opportunities for industrial upgrading. The increase in the importance of regional alliances in the global economy calls for further advancement of the analytical toolbox. Integration of complexity, global value chains and export potential assessment approaches offers valuable direction for further research, as it enables discussion of the opportunities of moving towards more knowledge-intensive economic activities along with the opportunities for winning international market share.
Originality/value
The research merges insights from the economic complexity, competitiveness and foresight literature in a novel way and illustrates the applicability and priority-setting in a real-life setting.
... Es posible encontrar en la literatura otras aplicaciones para los negocios y las ciencias administrativas, por ejemplo, sobre la memoria organizacional dentro de los modelos de gestión del conocimiento (Damian y Moro Cabero, 2022) al sentido en que ocurren la innovación y la capacidad de gestión del conocimiento en las organizaciones (Davila et al., 2019;Nascimento et al., 2021) y el impacto del capital intelectual en la eficacia organizacional (Ibarra Cisneros y Hernandez-Perlines, 2018). ...
Para desarrollar este libro se integraron los esfuerzos de investigadores que trabajan dentro de la línea general del conocimiento sobre la competitividad fomentada por medio de la sostenibilidad y la innovación social, como elemento estratégico.
... Анализ мирового опыта оценки уровня экономической безопасности свидетельствует о многообразии подходов [15][16][17][18][19][20][21][22][23], тем не менее, их использование в отечественной практике управления довольно затруднительно, что связано со спецификой статистической базы отдельно взятой страны. Кроме того, есть расхождение в трактовке между зарубежными авторами термина «безопасность», который понимают как защита от угроз, прежде всего, «внешних». ...
The economy of the region is a key link in the national economic system, and its sustainable development is achieved through increasing the level of economic security. The article aims to develop a methodological approach to assessing the level of economic security of the region. The objectives of the study are to improve and test a systemic assessment of the economic security of the region, taking into account the specific level of development of the main spheres of the economy in the contextof functional areas of activity. The article used economic and statistical methods, methods of comparison and analogies. The study systematizes and identifies the limitations of existing approaches to assessing the level of economic security. It also notes the lack of universality of the widely used index method, and the insufficiency of methods for correctly taking into account the dynamics of regional economic development. The paper proposes an improved approach assessing the total level of economic security of the region, identifying the functional areas of development and specifying the system of calculation indicators, establishing the feasibility of using standardization of the indicators used. Attention has also been focused on positioning the calculation results in the context of a scale of “threshold” values, and the need for a comprehensive assessment system related not only to the size of the gross regional product. The proposed methodological approach was tested using the example of federal subjects of the Ural Federal District, and it was established that there is a need to update measures to increase the level of their economic security. General practical recommendations are given to increase the level of regional development as the foundation for the region’s sustainability.
... Many scholars at home and abroad have roughly divided their understanding of the innovation performance of talent incentive policies into two categories: one is the evaluation of the input-output effi ciency of enterprise talent incentive policy innovation activities, and the other is the evaluation of the output results of enterprise talent incentive policy innovation activities (Badir et al., 2020;Nascimento et al., 2021). Due to the diffi culty in clearly defi ning the concept, there is currently no consensus in the academic community on the concept of innovative performance in talent incentive policies. ...
Priority development of education is the fundamental guarantee for the construction of high-level talent highlands. Technological self-reliance and self-improvement are strategic support for the construction of high-level talent highlands, and talent innovation guidance is the intrinsic driving force for the construction of high-level talent highlands. The construction of a high-level talent highland in the Guangdong Hong Kong Macao Greater Bay Area requires the integration of innovative elements that connect the “education chain, technology chain, and talent chain”. It is necessary to build a three-dimensional integrated spatial architecture of “education technology talent”. We need to build a community that integrates “education highland, technology highland, and talent highland”. Accelerating the construction of high-level talent highlands in the Guangdong Hong Kong Macao Greater Bay Area requires the construction of a highland for scientific and technological innovation talents, a highland for technical and skilled talents, and a highland for scientific and technological finance talents. Based on this, this article selected 399 listed high-tech enterprises in the Greater Bay Area as the research objects, and conducted multiple regression on the relevant data of sample enterprises from the perspective of property rights heterogeneity from 2018 to 2021 to reveal which open innovation model can effectively solve specific situational problems faced by enterprises. The multi role matching mechanism can effectively improve the performance of new product development and its market competitive advantage of enterprises, as well as how the nature of property rights affects the relationship between open innovation strategies and new product development performance of enterprises. The research results show that, firstly, open innovation between enterprises is beneficial for the precise improvement of product development performance by high-level talents in enterprises. Secondly, open innovation in industry, academia, and research is beneficial for improving talent performance in enterprises, but its effect is weaker than that of open innovation between enterprises. Enterprises focus more on the open innovation model between enterprises.
... the present research is not without limitations, mainly associated with using the strategic Foresight methodology (Nascimento et al. 2021). First of all, it should be mentioned that the results of the present study involve a certain degree of uncertainty: long-term forecasts are inherently uncertain due to the complexity and dynamism of the ever-changing world. ...
The rapid expansion of home health care has raised many unresolved issues and will have far-reaching consequences that can only be overcome with a holistic approach to help build and use collective intelligence in a structured, systemic way to anticipate developments. In this frame, the set of issues covered by the human factors research field will significantly impact the safety, quality, and effectiveness of home health care. However, only with a gaze of strategic foresight will we be capable of exploring, anticipating, and shaping the future. A group of researchers from the Italian Society of Ergonomics and Human Factors (SIE) has developed a road map to help all the stakeholders involved in this process.
... Knowledge management is role for creating knowledge, managing the flow of knowledge present in an organisation, and ensuring that it is used most efficiently and effectively for long-term benefit (Nascimento et al., 2021). Sharing of information will also be advantageous to the neighborhood. ...
... Software is executed in a restricted operating system environment, thus controlling the resources, e.g., file descriptors, memory, and file system space, that a process may use. 18. Build a common registry of models, tools, benchmarks, and best practices. ...
This paper addresses the critical importance of strategic foresight and offers guidance on how to evaluate its implementation. Strategic foresight is defined by three types of thinking (future, system, and exponential), and the key elements of horizon scanning and scenario planning. As chief executive officers (CEOs) express concerns about their companies’ future viability and adaptability to industry changes, strategic foresight emerges as a vital capability. Its structured yet open approach enables the identification and exploration of emerging challenges and opportunities, informing decision-making in uncertain contexts. Effective implementation of strategic foresight entails adopting forward-thinking. horizon scanning, and scenario planning. Scenario planning explores potential futures, while horizon scanning assesses megatrends, weak signals, wild cards, and uncertainties. This paper extends the literature and provides fresh perspectives on how companies can use strategic foresight to identify and address the challenges and opportunities posed by generative artificial intelligence (AI). In particular, the paper emphasizes the ethical dimensions of foresight in the AI context. Drawing insight from the Global Summit on Generative AI (held in San Francisco in April 2023) this paper presents a set of ethical recommendations for effectively navigating AI complexities, including strategies such as red teaming, watermarking, and sandboxing (Li et al., 2023). By cultivating foresight, companies can address emerging trends, navigate uncertainties, mitigate risks, engage their workforce, seek new opportunities, and foster sustainable growth. Hence, it is crucial for the board of directors (BoD) and management to recognize the strategic importance of foresight within the organization and across business sectors.
... More specifically, the domestic contractor can acquire much more information about the local stakeholders involved based on prior experience if a long-term cooperative relationship, including partnership or strategic alliance, can be built (Tserng & Lin, 2002). Additionally, risks, such as management costs and other Table 1 The factors affecting the process of social knowledge creation The production of social knowledge must be supported by a knowledge infrastructure that should comprehensively study culture Ang et al., 2005 Culture contains continuous evolving and emergent possibilities that can promote innovation changing the way of social knowledge creation Balsamo, 2011 Technology Information technology and social networks have a positive impact on the cycle of knowledge management, including social knowledge management Raudeliuniene et., 2021 The transfer of tacit social knowledge mainly applies social media to stride over geographic distance and departmental boundaries, thereby promoting knowledge exchange between individuals Shams et al., 2019 Social media generates more open communication with more stakeholders Huang, 2017;Cetto et al., 2018 Strategic foresight Strategic foresight has been proven to improve knowledge creation, including social knowledge, and its effect is interactive Nascimento et al., 2021 Thought leadership the redefined thought leadership can provide stakeholders with valuable and trustworthy social knowledge Harvey et al., 2021 Time pressure The greater the time pressure, the lower the knowledge transfer efficiency, but the trust between members in social relationships can make up for this effect to a certain extent Bjorvatn & Wald, 2020 Content courtesy of Springer Nature, terms of use apply. Rights reserved. ...
The importance of social knowledge in the theory and practice of international construction engineering is growing, yet related contract failures are still frequent to date, and much less is known about the inner content of social knowledge and how to realize its full potential in international projects. Therefore, this study attempts to demonstrate the internal structure of social knowledge in the context of the current intercultural era to enhance the development of international construction engineering. Considering the commonalities between the social knowledge iceberg and the liquid crystal, the study regarded liquid crystal as a metaphor for the social knowledge iceberg and embodies the flow path of social knowledge from internal formations to external effects. A multiple case study was used to verify the proposed metaphorical model and visualize the internal structure of social knowledge. We find that cross-cultural leadership, which determines the stability of the social knowledge iceberg by adjusting the degree of cultural integration within the range of 20–40% and thereby promoting the catalytic effect of social knowledge for contract completion, is the core of social knowledge creation. This paper theoretically explores the structure, influencing factors, and functions of social knowledge stability and, in the meantime in practice, provides guidance for the success of international construction engineering by combing knowledge management and chemistry theory.
... Knowledge management (KM) research has received much attention in the past 20 years (Chaudhuri et al., 2020;Usai et al., 2018) and has emerged as an interdisciplinary field that weaves together a wide and varied range of domains and industries (Boisot, 1998;Del Giudice and Maggioni, 2014;Edvinsson, 1997;Nonaka, 1994;Roos and Roos, 1997;Wenger, 1999). This resulted in the development of various models and frameworks (Intezari et al., 2021) since KM is becoming a critical survival factor for companies operating in all kinds of industries, especially in today's dynamic global business environment (Ardito et al., 2021;Cerchione et al., 2020;da Silva Nascimento et al., 2020;Del Giudice et al., 2017;Dezi et al., 2021). ...
Purpose
This paper aims to conduct a tertiary review to analyse the state of the art of literature reviews on knowledge management (KM) published in academic journals and provide an overview of their evolution. From 2000 to 2022, about 500 reviews have been published in the KM field, with most systematic studies compared to bibliometric or meta-analytic studies, and an absence of previous tertiary studies. Therefore, given the lack of previous tertiary research, this paper provides a complete picture of the evolution of review topics in the past and presents implications for both researchers and practitioners.
Design/methodology/approach
A classification scheme was defined to cluster and evaluate the literature reviews, both in terms of methodological approach and content. Regarding the content, the various secondary papers were classified according to the purpose of the research (state of the art, taxonomy, research agenda and research framework), the unit of analysis (small and medium enterprise, large company, start-up and university), the KM models adopted and the thematic areas addressed. Furthermore, a tertiary review methodology was identified integrating two main approaches: a bibliometric approach for cluster identification and a systematic approach for the discussion.
Findings
Two categories of contributions emerge from the results: those concerning research topics that have found a continuous interest over time and those that have not yet found a constant research interest. This latter aspect is relevant to help researchers conduct future literature analysis in KM research to bridge existing research gaps.
Research limitations/implications
This paper provides a unique compendium of search directions to offer a comprehensive overview of the scientific debate about KM. This overview can also be used as a managerial panacea to identify best KM practice guidelines from existing reviews.
Originality/value
This is a unique attempt to conduct a tertiary study on KM for more than two decades by providing insights into the structural body of knowledge through academic progress in the subject of KM. Thus, this study expands the field of KM and provides original approaches for research in the field.
... The technologies are called "emerging" since they are still changing in the wat they're adopted, yet there is no stable pattern for their utilisation (Bailey et al., 2022). The link between knowledge sharing, emerging technologies and innovative work has been investigated in prior research, which has documented that technologies enable individuals to engage in innovative work, recombine knowledge, and generate new ideas (Bailey et al., 2022;Edmondson et al., 2001;Manley and Williams, 2022;Silva et al., 2021). ...
This study explores knowledge sharing in temporary teams which use 3D printing technology to support surgical interventions. We focus on the planning phase of orthopaedic surgeries when senior surgeons organise a temporary team to create personalised treatment using 3D printing technology. We conduct in-depth interviews with 25 surgeons and their teams in one of the leading orthopaedic research hospitals in Italy. Based on our qualitative evidence, we find that when the technology provides a basis for the surgical planning, knowledge sharing in teams mostly occurs through two-way – dyadic – relationships between team participants. Our findings also demonstrate that hierarchy within teams is important to support the formation of dyads thereby facilitating knowledge sharing practices within temporary teams. This study is novel in highlighting how temporary teams deal with knowledge sharing challenges due to the continuous changes in team composition in healthcare.
... Increasing an organization's strategic foresight ability will result in an increase in innovation opportunities (Leandro da et al., 2021), reduce the uncertainty and complexity of the business environment (Andresen et al., 2022), improve organizational flexibility and decision rationality (Haarhaus and Liening, 2020), facilitate organizational learning processes (Bootz, 2010), and a better understanding of customer' changing needs (Gentner et al., 2018). ...
Purpose: The present study aimed to examine the mediating effect that dynamic capabilities may have on the relationship between strategic foresight and strategic renewal. Design/methodology/ approach: The present study relied on quantitative and qualitative methods. More specifically, the authors used a cross-sectional design and survey strategy. Three hundred and three participants were selected randomly from four Islamic banks operating in Jordan completed the study questionnaire. A structural equation modeling technique was employed to test the study hypotheses by using SmartPLS 3 software package. Findings: The results demonstrated that strategic foresight and dynamic capabilities have a significant and positive effect on strategic renewal. Also, the results illustrated that the dynamic capabilities have a partial mediating effect on the relationship between strategic foresight and strategic renewal. Research limitations: The results of the present study relate to Islamic banks in Jordan; hence the ability to generalize the findings to other sectors is limited. Another limitation is respondent bias because the study design relies heavily on the participants’ perceptions. Practical implementation: Used properly, strategic foresight allows managers to see how events in the external environment influence their organizations’ performance. Thus, managers can use strategic foresight for making corrections in plans, policies, strategies, and objectives to get performance back on track using their organizations’ dynamic capabilities. Originality: Despite the amount of research and studies that have been devoted to understanding strategic foresight, dynamic capabilities, and strategic renewal over the last decades, the relationship between these three constructs has never been studied collectively. Therefore, the present study fills this gap in the literature.
... FTA may be used for identification, creation, acquisition, storing, transfer and use of organizational knowledge, generating feedback for KM processes, and IC improvement (Nascimento et al., 2021). Junior et al. (2019) proposed a framework to combine a strategy for KM with three main dimensions: KM Processes, IC, and FTA Strategies. ...
The Fourth Industrial Revolution is causing considerable changes to the world of work. The interaction between technology and work, which takes many forms such as digitalization, automation, and augmentation, is happening quickly and broadly, impacting economic sectors left almost untouched by previous industrial revolutions. In this scenario, Higher Education Institutions (HEIs) must be able to foresee changes to prepare future professionals to match the needs of this new digital age. The professionals that are being prepared today need to learn a new set of skills related to emerging and disruptive technologies, such as Artificial Intelligence, the Internet of Things, and Big Data. In this paper, we propose a Knowledge Management model to help manage the HEIs’ teaching staff knowledge about the future of work, specifically, the expected skills and competencies to be highly demanded from professionals in the future. Therefore, we performed a brief review of related work about Knowledge Management in the context of HEIs, Management of Future-oriented Knowledge, and the application of the Delphi method to studies concerning the Future of Work. Considering this previous work, we propose a Knowledge Management model that combines the European Foundation for Quality Management (EFQM) Excellence Model framework with a Delphi process that is used during the Knowledge Generation step of the Knowledge Management process. The proposed model considers that professors are experts in their areas of concentration and, as such, are capable of helping their HEIs with their knowledge that can be used to improve the courses’ curricula. The model also considers that HEIs can help professors make this knowledge explicit, then store, transfer, and apply it. We provide detailed information about how to apply the model, how to deal with potential application problems and the model limitations. The proposed Knowledge Management model can help HEIs to keep up with the trends of demands of the labor market.
... Knowledge management can be used to ensure future-oriented actions and practices effectively. Secondly, the dynamic interaction between strategic foresight and knowledge management stimulates companies' development of new technologies -it is necessary to identify new technologies applicable to companies in economic and social spheres (Nascimento, Reichert, Janissek-Muniz, & Zawislak, 2020). Big data analysis brings new opportunities and epistemic value to foresight methodology. ...
The article considers the phenomenon of cross-border academic mobility in the context of Chinese predictive practice. By applying historical-philosophical, comparative and hermeneutic methods, the authors analyze three problem areas: the social ideal, forecasting the future, and national education in China – and make the following conclusions. The “prior knowledge” that came from the culture of Imperial China can be used as an element of modern prognostics, and the traditional project of the “Great Unity” society (the “Datong” society in the Confucian concept of the social ideal) is transformed into a national foresight project. At the same time, the idea of unified humankind is not exclusively Chinese but has deep historical roots and universal nature. Being cautious about the supranational extrapolation of this idea, modern China, nevertheless, is expanding international cooperation and strengthening international contacts, using cross-border academic mobility as one of the tools of “soft power”.
... In essence, these technological systems acting as enablers support firms' capacity to perform complex quantitative and qualitative data analysis, and advance their modelling processes (Keller & Heiko, 2014;Heiko et al., 2015). In turn, this enables contextual identification of environmental uncertainties in the present and from the future allowing systematic identification of opportunities and threats (da Silva Nascimento, Reichert, Janissek-Muniz, & Zawislak, 2020). In other words, these systems provide a "platform for information exchange and creation, collaboration, analyses and assessments…[that] should enable a general but also solution-oriented foresight process to examine short and longterm developments and scenarios" (Heiko et al., 2015, p. 2). ...
Corporate foresight (CF) has received increasing attention from scholars and practitioners alike. Due to the increasing environmental complexity and unpredictability that the corporate world is encountering, companies from various sectors have realized the need to engage in CF to mitigate uncertainty. However, current research on the topic remains fragmented and lacks conceptual connection. This study, therefore, aims to examine the extant CF research and provides a systematic insight into its key components. Through a narrative synthesis of a sample comprising 73 articles published over the last two decades in leading business and management journals, we developed an integrative framework that maps the key elements underpinning CF literature (including antecedents, tools/activities, moderators, technology, and outcomes) and explicates their interplay. We also highlighted the bidirectional effect of technology, as a distinct construct, across CF elements, and discussed the need to identify technology-related boundary conditions that may influence the manifestation of CF outcomes. Moreover, we utilized the developed framework as a platform to identify critical gaps in the CF research and suggest related future research trajectories.
Due to the speed and uncertainty of environmental changes, firms become less confident in the effectiveness of planning that is based on previous experience and assumptions. Instead, executives started to recognize that business decisions should not only be driven by past data, but also be based on systematic evaluation of possible forthcoming trends by constantly scanning for and interpreting discontinuities in the external environment. Corporate foresight can be defined as the desire of the company to understand futures for the long-term interests of the company. This article was written with the aim of a systematic review of corporate foresight literature between 2006 and 2022. The systematic review of corporate foresight literature includes the scientific research works of countries, the distribution of articles based on the year of publication, journals, authors, the number of citations to the journals and researchers and classified from the prospective of methodology. The findings show that the subject of corporate foresight has received more attention over time, and researchers can use different theoretical and methodological approaches to investigate corporate foresight and cover the research gap.
This study examines the role of technological innovation in shaping investment strategies in emerging markets, focusing on the dynamics of risk and return. By exploring key factors such as technological disruption, innovation adoption rates, market competition intensity, and investor technological awareness, the study provides insights into how these variables influence investment returns. Emerging markets present unique challenges and opportunities due to rapid technological advancements, requiring investors to adapt strategies to maximize returns while managing risks associated with market volatility. The findings emphasize the importance of technological literacy among investors and the need for flexible regulatory frameworks to support innovation-driven investments in these dynamic markets.
The success of international startups is profoundly influenced by their adeptness in utilizing dynamic marketing capabilities (DMCs) and strategic information management (SIM) to achieve competitive advantage and sustainable growth in global markets. This research examines the effects of these crucial elements on the success of international startups through a meta-narrative analysis. By synthesizing findings from 20 articles published in Scopus-indexed journals between 2020 and 2024, we aim to provide an in-depth understanding of the interaction between DMCs and SIM and their impact on startup performance in global markets. The research design includes an extensive review and synthesis of the literature on DMCs and SIM, emphasizing their importance in improving startup agility, market responsiveness, and strategic decision-making. Our findings suggest that startups are proficient in DMCs, such as adaptive market orientation and innovative marketing strategies, alongside robust information management systems, demonstrating higher success rates, accelerated growth, and a sustained competitive advantage in international markets. These insights highlight the pivotal role of integrating marketing dynamism with SIM for startup success. The global implications of this study suggest that international startups must prioritize the development of these capabilities to navigate the complexities of global markets effectively and ensure long-term viability. This research underscores the critical importance of strategic investments in marketing and information management to foster startup success globally.
Purpose
This study aims to investigate how small talk interaction affects knowledge sharing, examining the mediating role of interpersonal trust (affect- and cognition-based trust) and the moderating role of perceived similarity among the mechanisms of small talk and knowledge sharing.
Design/methodology/approach
This research conducts complementary studies and collects multi-culture and multi-wave data to test research hypotheses and adopts structural equation modeling to validate the whole conceptual model.
Findings
The research findings first reveal two trust mechanisms linking small talk and knowledge sharing. Meanwhile, the perceived similarity between employees, specifically, strengthens the affective pathway of trust rather than the cognitive pathway of trust.
Originality/value
This study combines Interaction Ritual Theory and constructs a dual-facilitating pathway approach that aims to reveal the impact of small talk on knowledge sharing, describing how and when small talk could generate a positive effect on knowledge sharing. This research provides intriguing and dynamic insights into understanding knowledge sharing processes.
The Future of Science and Technology (S&T) is a continuous and strategic topic for governments, universities, and organizations, with benefits to society, in terms of innovation, sustainability, and development. There is a gap and opportunity for research on architectures for Anticipatory Governance (AG) integrating Scientific Foresight (ScF) and S&T Policies Design in the context of the Brazilian Government, including federal and state level. Given this landscape, this paper, which is connected to a Research Project, aims to advance into the understanding of the theoretical dimensions necessary for integrating research on the themes of AG, ScF and S&T Public Policies Design, in order to propose an emergent framework. Adopting an SRL, the analysis evidenced seven theoretical dimensions that converge these three themes and provide further advancement into the possibilities of integrated research. Moreover, analysis supported the proposition of a first version of an emergent framework of Anticipatory Governance, Scientific Foresight and Sustainable S&T Public Policies Design consisting of building blocks for further testing and advancement. Implications for addressing AG as an institutional innovation on public management are discussed, and the artifact evolution can greatly contribute to impact and improve complex decision-making on public policies and investments in strategic fields of S&T.
The research aimsAbstract: The research aims to determine the role of strategic foresight in reducing marketing turmoil, and to demonstrate the ability of Korek Telecom Mobile Communications Company in Iraq to confront marketing Disruption by conducting environmental scanning, strategic selection, and integration capabilities. The research started from a realistic problem represented by the necessity of Korek Telecom Company’s continuous pursuit of... Reducing the marketing disruption occurring as a result of the environmental challenges it faces, represented by the movements of competing companies in the communications sector, technological developments, economic transformations, and changes in consumer behavior, which requires them to activate the concept of strategic foresight. Thus, the researchers turned to the Korek Telecom mobile communications company in Iraq as a field for their study. The administrative leaders working in it were chosen as a population for the study. In their study, the researchers used a sample of administrative leaders who had a role in the strategic foresight process, numbering (126). By adopting the exploratory approach, distributing a number of questionnaires, and using a number of statistical methods, the research concluded with a number The most important conclusion is that there is a direct impact of strategic foresight in reducing marketing Disruption. The research recommends the need for Korek’s administrative leadership to pay attention to activating the concept of strategic foresight and its great benefits in confronting and reducing marketing Disruption.
Purpose
This paper aims to explore the effects of two drivers, namely, the received fundings and its interaction with the specialized competences owned by the managerial board, on the R&D activities performed by start-ups.
Design/methodology/approach
This paper tests hypotheses on a sample of 405 innovative start-ups established in Italy and registered into the Chamber of Commerce official database. This study uses the R&D expenses as a measure of the innovative performance of start-up, and the authors also collected the number and total amount of grants received by them and the presence of high qualified team in their management board.
Findings
The analysis reveals that both the number and total amount of grants received by start-ups positively impact the innovative performance. The same is for the integration of the total amount of grants with the presence of high qualified team in the management board.
Research limitations/implications
This study did not distinguish between different types of grants adopted by start-ups, while it would be interesting to study whether any difference does exist among them in terms of their influence on innovative performance. Also, this paper considers the total number of specialized people in the team while it would certainly be interesting to analyze people’s background and competences in relation to the innovative performances.
Practical implications
This paper allows us to offer some provisional conclusions such as having funds in the preliminary phase of start-up life cycle, and investments mainly for R&D expenses. The start-up must also leverage its skills and therefore it is necessary to invest in human capital.
Social implications
Findings suggest that policymakers should introduce integrated measures to support start-ups throughout the entire life cycle, from the creation of the idea to incubation up to industrial consolidation.
Originality/value
This paper focuses on the determinants of start-up innovative performance because both external (such as political, economic, social and technological) and internal (such as organizational) influencing factors have to be considered as crucial for start-ups innovation and growth. Finally, this study is one of the few attempts exploring the phenomenon by using an empirical methodology based on real and certificated data.
The current research aims to determine the extent of interest of the Oil Products Distribution Company (OPDC) and its various departments in the process of strategic foresight (SF), and the extent of interest that is reflected in the achievement of strategic leadership (SE). As well as knowing the nature of the relationship and the impact on the company. To achieve the objectives of the research, one main hypothesis was formulated, and three sub-hypotheses emerged from it. As the research relied on an analytical survey approach, the research targeted the workers within this company, And he reached a set of results, based on which a number of conclusions were formulated. The research community consisted of (185) individuals, and (160) questionnaires were distributed to them, (153) of which were retrieved, and the number of good people reached (141). The current research indicates that there is a direct relationship and a positive effect of strategic foresight in strategic leadership, and the sub-variable (entrepreneurial mentality) had the highest influence in strategic leadership, as this research proved the existence of an influence relationship and the correlation between strategic foresight and strategic leadership.
The article deals with the phenomenon of digital transformation of the Chinese educational space as the main component of knowledge management system in the society of “Great Unity”. Using the comparative, hermeneutic, historical and philosophical methods, the authors analyse three problem areas – social ideal, forecasting, and national education in China. The conclusion is made that the traditional project of a society of “Great Unity”, that is, the Confucian model of the ideal Datong society, can be transformed into a national foresight project. A well-developed educational system and equal access to education are the key components of this project, digitalization of education being the most important direction of the modern Chinese educational reform. Based on the findings of studies carried out during the COVID-19 pandemic and other materials, various trends in the current digitalization process are described. Historical features of and socio-cultural preconditions for the development of the educational system existing in China today are analysed. The authors conclude that the system rests on a solid socio-cultural foundation and is aimed towards the digital future of the Chinese society.
Incorporating foresight practices into the innovation process is relevant to enhance the competitiveness of companies in dynamic and complex environments. From a systematic literature review, this paper maps three roles that foresight assumes when associated with innovation and that help leverage the innovativeness of firms: the informational role concerns monitoring weak signals that indicate future developments; the facilitation role concerns using prospective tools that stimulate collective visions of the future; and the strategic influence role deals with recommendations that support decision-making. From these roles, an integrative framework is proposed to explain the relationships among the constructs researched and that can serve as a model to be tested in the future. This study aims to present foresight practices that can leverage the innovativeness of organisations and contribute to the development of the theory that still lacks depth in relation to the impact of foresight on innovation.
Foresight is the key for the economy, the business environment, and by extension society and politics to face various risks under conditions of uncertainty, which is becoming the norm as we progress through the 21st century. This paper proposes a wealth-based income tax model with an obligatory electronic transaction legal framework to advance fiscal knowledge management in Greek government. The research was conducted using an online
questionnaire that was distributed to Greek tax payers via the snowball method. Linear regression was used to examine the associations between the variables. The research results provide insight into the factors driving the enhancement of tax revenue collection via artificial intelligence software after the widespread adoption of e-transactions. A fiscal tax e-payment reform policy based on an artificially intelligent tax foresight model succeeds in
reducing income disparities caused by overtaxing honest taxpayers, thereby shrinking the shadow economy. With the widespread adoption of e-payments and complete digitization of financial transactions, the results of this study can serve as a foundation for the advancement of fiscal knowledge management
and compliance with tax behavior. This study emphasizes the importance of planning ahead for taxes and coordinating information in order to reform fiscal policy for the better.
This paper aims to discover key performance indicators (KPIs) influencing digital skill transformation in global IT service firms, reveal its unique features, and assert the effect of these KPIs on firms’ digital skill transformation and knowledge management initiatives. This research is mainly based on primary data. The researcher started data collection by conducting a Focused Group Discussion (FGD) with subject matter experts (SMEs), followed by in-depth personal interviews with the key organisational individuals. Then, a primary survey is carried out using a qualitative questionnaire across all the existing employees of the largest business unit of a global IT service firm. Findings suggest that Total IT Experience (EXP), Reading Time (RT), Effective Mentoring (EM), and Training Effectiveness (TE) primarily impact employees’ digital skill transformation. Besides, the technical capability and understanding of existing employees’ supervisors or managers directly correlate with the project environment, which in turn impact employees’ effectiveness during their digital skill transformation journey.
This integrative study aims to examine and evaluate the relationship between Academic Culture in improving the Quality Innovation of Christian Educational Institutions and the Performance of Christian Educational Institutions; The Process of Knowledge Transfer in improving The Quality Innovation of Christian Educational Institutions and Performance of Christian Educational Institutions and Innovation of Quality of Christian Educational Institutions in improving the Performance of Christian Educational Institutions. This integrative study analyzes and demonstrates that diakonia educational innovation is capable of being a useful tool to improve the effectiveness and quality and performance of Christian educational institutions. The findings of this integrative review show that the integrative review methodology represents a new approach to the field of Christian education management with a very positive and significant impact on institutional performance. The initial design phase makes it possible to describe the process of academic culture creation and knowledge transfer and identify both that directly influence and enhance the Innovation of Christian Educational Quality Services. During this stage, the collaboration of academic culture and knowledge transfer is absolute in the development of innovation in the quality of Christian education. At the modeling stage, Christian education quality service innovation is a mediation that connects Academic Culture and Knowledge Transfer to Institutional Performance. Quality service innovation takes a strong role and proves to be a recommendation to Christian education in achieving competitive excellence. Christian education quality service innovation is essential for experimental science and strong commercial relevance in the context of the dominant logic of technological innovation. The study of the practical implications of quality service innovation focuses on themes such as continuous improvement, project prioritization improvement, customer satisfaction and increased profitability, financial performance, market share and competitiveness. Thus, the versatility of service quality determination is confirmed to be most significant for the performance of Christian educational institutions. Integrative study of quality service innovation affects positively, directly or on the quality and quantity of research quality production, knowledge quality, service quality, education quality, innovation quality, academic quality. The quality of such services will thus affect the quality of investment decisions, educational quality improvement programs, overall quality, image and strategy of Christian education and its relationship to HKBP education.
O foresight é considerado uma área de estudo altamente diversificada. Diante disso, o objetivo deste estudo é analisar os padrões e tendências na pesquisa em foresight. Para tal foi realizado um mapeamento sistemático de 870 documentos oriundos das bases de dados Scopus e Web of Science, os quais foram analisados utilizando a modelagem de tópicos. Desta análise foram extraídos seis tópicos demonstrando que a pesquisa em foresight inclui predominantemente os temas: Processos e Cenários, Métodos de Foresight, Políticas e Desenvolvimento Nacional, Desenvolvimento Tecnológico, Sistema de Foresight, e Foresight e Indústria. Além disso, verificou-se que a tendência geral da pesquisa em foresight teve produtividade positiva nos últimos anos, e que o tema Processos e Cenários apresenta-se como o tópico com maior proporção e tendência crescente nos últimos anos. Como contribuições teóricas destacam-se a demonstração e descrição da aplicação da modelagem de tópicos na síntese e estruturação de um corpo substancial da literatura; a extração dos tópicos que destacam os principais temas de pesquisa em foresight; e a apresentação da tendência da pesquisa em foresight. Como contribuição prática, destaca-se que o mapeamento da pesquisa em foresight pode auxiliar as empresas a compreender melhor o foresight para obter benefícios com as suas práticas.
In the culture of the old imperial China, the phenomenon of prognostics was raised to a certain cult. The ancient Chinese believed that in everyday activities, knowledge can be revealed to the world, but in predictive practice, pre-knowledge is always hidden. Pre-knowledge has also found its niche in modern prognostics, which implements high international standards. The contribution considers some specific features of the Chinese phenomenon “pre-knowledge” in the context of the world experience of using foresight. In the course of this research, such classical theoretical philosophical methods as the method of generalization, analogy, abstraction, analysis and synthesis were used. The authors also applied logical-epistemological analysis to enter and interpret the concepts necessary for the study. During the analysis of modern Chinese foresight projects, it is shown that the state foresight of China includes elements from not only the model of Japanese foresight, which grew out of the classic American one, but also traditional knowledge. It is concluded that the phenomenon of “pre-knowledge” will find its special place in the study of the digital future of our society.
KeywordsChinaDigitalizationForesightForecastingPre-knowledge
In order to effectively utilize energy of agricultural biomass, there is a need to evaluate energy potential. For such a purpose, chemical exergy and standard entropy of typical agricultural biomass were examined analytically. Element compositions of the exergy and entropy were acquired for further statistical evaluation. Adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) was used as the statistical methodology for data analyzing. ANFIS is an efficient estimation model among machine learning techniques. The main weakness of the ANFIS is its dimensionality problem with large inputs. Therefore, the main goal in this study was to estimate the parameters’ influence on the chemical exergy and standard entropy prediction in order to reduce the number of inputs. Principal component analysis was used for presentation of the obtained ANFIS predictive models. Obtained results have shown the best predictive performances for standard entropy based on hydrogen as composite element of the agricultural biomass. Exergy prediction was the best for oxygen as composite element of the agricultural biomass. ANFIS coefficient of determination for standard entropy prediction based on hydrogen is 0.9832 and for chemical exergy prediction is 0.919. The results show the high predictive accuracy of ANFIS models.
In this article, we argue that integrative literature reviews are among the most useful vehicles for advancing knowledge and furthering research in a topic domain. Integrative literature reviews are strongly anchored in a representative description of a field, but add new insights via a critical analysis and synthesis of the field’s literature. Based on this definition, we explicate the ways that scholars can (1) define the ‘space’ for an integrative review (i.e., how they can justify and bound an integrative review), and (2) synthesize insights gained from the review to develop a new perspective or point of view on the literature. We illustrate these points with several of the most highly‐cited manuscripts published in the Academy of Management Annals. Finally, we close by arguing why these points make integrative reviews most useful for advancing knowledge and furthering research in the area of management.
As a powerful means of theory building, conceptual articles are increasingly called for in marketing academia. However, researchers struggle to design and write non-empirical articles because of the lack of commonly accepted templates to guide their development. The aim of this paper is to highlight methodological considerations for conceptual papers: it is argued that such papers must be grounded in a clear research design, and that the choice of theories and their role in the analysis must be explicated and justified. The paper discusses four potential templates for conceptual papers – Theory Synthesis, Theory Adaptation, Typology, and Model – and their respective aims, approach for using theories, and contribution potential. Supported by illustrative examples, these templates codify some of the tacit knowledge that underpins the design of non-empirical papers and will be of use to anyone undertaking, supervising, or reviewing conceptual research.
On the occasion of the 50th anniversary of Technology Forecasting & Social Change, we review the evolution of corporate and organizational foresight within the journal and look ahead to the coming decade. We apply a systematic literature review process to identify the major contributions in this area of foresight theory and practice covering five decades, and present a thematic summary of these articles. We reveal the concerns of authors as they have sought to apply foresight in corporations, organizations, and institutions, how they have attempted to resolve them, and the progress they have made. We discuss how these authors have cumulatively defined and evolved this portion of the strategic foresight field, from integrating technology with market forecasting to expanding forecast approaches to include multiple futures, to the integration of foresight to create agile and adaptive organizations. We use this as a base for discussing current priorities and future challenges in corporate and organizational foresight, and suggest three trajectories for further research: a) further advancing organizational foresight practices, b) connecting organizational foresight to strategy practice and theory, c) connecting organizational foresight to innovation, engineering, and R&D management practices and theory.
In turbulent and competitive scenarios, strategic intelligence is a crucial process for organizations to reduce uncertainties during decision-making and to anticipate changes that may affect their performance and sustainability. Despite the relevance of the activity, continuous and structured processes based on intelligence in organizations are not a reality due to the difficulty of implementing and formalizing it. Executing a diagnosis to evaluate conditions that precede the adoption of a structured intelligence activity allows companies to recognize their efficiency to perform monitoring, to further improve or implement it. This paper explores organizational, informational, individual, technological and material conditions that precede the adoption of the intelligence process, reviews six diagnostic models and proposes a diagnostic tool to evaluate issues that must be considered in advance. The Delphi method was used to exploit opinions among 30 intelligence practitioners in order to define which conditions of the process should be evaluated before its adoption in companies. As a result, this work contributes to filling the gap observed in the literature about the motivation to initiate the intelligence process in organizations and presents a formalized tool to evaluate its pre-adoption stage.
Investments in emerging technologies and the development of related emerging innovations are necessary to compete in the long term. The market entry timing plays an important role in generating decisive competitive advantages over competitors through investments in emerging innovations. Different market entry strategies offer varied opportunities and risks, which firms must take into account when choosing the optimal time to enter the market. This study develops an optimisation model to make an economically appropriate ex-ante decision in this choice by accounting for several relevant factors and weighing up possible opportunities and risks of the chosen market entry strategy. The evaluation of the simulation results shows that the considered factors influence the optimal market entry to varying extents and that both early and late market entry can be advantageous for companies.
This paper analyzes the effects of market orientation and innovation on competitive advantage and business performance. The method of collecting data is a designed questionnaire. The sample size is 150 textile SMEs in Selangor, Malaysia. Path analysis by operating SPSS 20.0 is used in analyzing the research. The result shows that market orientation and innovation had positive and significant effects on competitive advantage, partially. Market orientation and innovation give contributions to the competitive advantage of 46.3% while the rest of 54.7% are influenced by other variables which are not described in this study. Competitive advantage partially has a positive and significant influence on business performance. Market orientation and innovation also have significant effects on business performance both directly and indirectly through competitive advantage. Market orientation, innovation, and competitive advantage give contributions to the business performance of 58.4% while the rest of 41.6% are influenced by others variables which are not described in this study.
Solar energy is a clean, affordable and inexhaustible alternative that has evolved from a niche market to become a major source of electricity in world terms. We used qualitative research method of document analysis in 73 sources of data to understand the solar energy technology. The main contribution of this paper is to presents essential dimensions of solar energy technological transition process in Brazil. We discussed the growth of solar energy sector in Brazil on five dimensions: Domestic solar panel industry development, new markets formation, government initiatives for the dissemination of solar energy, stakeholder commitment to R&D and technologies for innovations. The results showed the absence information exchange, learning process and cooperation between stakeholders. Brazil is currently in the emerging technological innovation system and the integration of the actors would enable the co-evolution of the system, leading to the emergence and consolidation of this technology nationwide.
Keywords: Technological Change, Energy Policy, Innovation Incentives
JEL Classifications: O33, Q48, O31
Industry 4.0 is considered a new industrial stage in which vertical and horizontal manufacturing processes integration and product connectivity can help companies to achieve higher industrial performance. However, little is known about how industries see the potential contribution of the Industry 4.0 related technologies for industrial performance, especially in emerging countries. Based on the use of secondary data from a large-scale survey of 27 industrial sectors representing 2,225 companies of the Brazilian industry, we studied how the adoption of different Industry 4.0 technologies is associated with expected benefits for product, operations and side-effects aspects. Using regression analysis, we show that some of the Industry 4.0 technologies are seen as promising for industrial performance while some of the emerging technologies are not, which contraries the conventional wisdom. We discuss the contextual conditions of the Brazilian industry that may require a partial implementation of the Industry 4.0 concepts created in developed countries. We summarize our findings in a framework, that shows the perception of Brazilian industries of Industry 4.0 technologies and their relations with the expected benefits. Thus, this work contributes by discussing the real expectations on the future performance of the industry when implementing new technologies, providing a background to advance in the research on real benefits of the Industry 4.0.
Purpose
Under current market conditions of corporate foresight, turbulence is a key element of the business landscape. Turbulence can be summarised using the trendy managerial acronym ‘VUCA’: Volatility, uncertainty, complexity, and ambiguity. This paper combines, for the first time, scientific discussion of technological disruption with the VUCA approach. Gart-ner Hype Cycle is used as a case example of technological turbulence and “vucability”. .
Design/methodology/approach
Firstly, authors present key concepts of technological disruption and radical innovation. Both these concepts are highly relevant for modern corporate foresight. Secondly, authors discuss key elements of current technological transformation and summarise it to create a bigger picture. Thirdly, authors link this discussion to the VUCA approach. Fourthly, au-thors present the new corporate foresight framework, which is highly relevant for corpo-rations and takes current technological transformation more seriously than previous pro-posals, which expect more stable business and a technological landscape.
Findings
Key issues in modern VUCA management are agility (response to volatility), information and knowledge management (response to uncertainty), restructuring (response to com-plexity) and experimentation (response to ambiguity). Useful foresight tools are: challeng-ing tools, decision making tools, aligning tools, learning tools and the ability to combine these management tools in the practices of corporate foresight and management systems. The VUCA approach is a key solution concept to technological disruption.
Practical implications
Authors present the new corporate foresight framework and management tool based on foresight, which help leaders to manage volatility, uncertainty, complexity and ambiguity - especially under the conditions of hyper-competition and technological disruption.
Originality/value
Corporate leaders should reinvent the strategic planning framework and adjust it to the VUCA conditions and simply be more strategic. Traps and typical failures of foresight are: (1) adopting it too early, (2) giving up too soon, (3) adapting too late, and (4) hang-ing on too long. In particular, technological transformation with disruptive technologies is changing and challenging many basic assumptions of business management and strategic planning. Our comparative analysis with Gartner Hype Cycle (fast technological changes from 2008-2016) verifies this important aspect of technological disruption.
Corporate foresight is applied with the expectation that it will help firms to break away from path dependency, help decision makers to define superior courses of action, and ultimately enable superior firm performance. To empirically test this assumption, we developed a model that judges a firm's future preparedness (FP) by assessing the need for corporate foresight (CF) and comparing it to the maturity of its CF practices. We apply a longitudinal research design in which we measure future preparedness in 2008 and its impact on firm performance in 2015. The results indicated future preparedness to be a powerful predictor for becoming an outperformer in the industry, for attaining superior profitability, and for gaining superior market capitalization growth. In the article, we also calculate the average bonus/discount that can be expected by sufficiently/insufficiently future-prepared firms. Keywords: corporate foresight, future preparedness, firm performance, behavioural theory of the firm Highlights • We developed a model for assessing the future preparedness of a firm. • We assessed future preparedness by comparing the need for and the maturity of corporate foresight practices. • We found that future-prepared firms (vigilant) outperformed the average by a 33% higher profitability and by a 200% higher market capitalization growth. • Conversely, firms that had deficiencies in their future preparedness were faced with a performance discount of 37% to 108%.
Strategic foresight among middle managers is crucial, considering their responsibilities and authority vested in them in directing everyday organising. Emphasising practices as the locus of strategic foresight, we argue that imposed organising processes and bureaucratic routines may interact to dissipate the cultivation of strategic foresight among middle managers in their situated practice. Building on an explorative case analysis of a European sportswear retail company, our study highlights how top-down changes in organising processes may induce the dissipation of organisational ‘foresightfulness’. We identify four dimensions emphasised by the new organising processes and their associated routines (rhetoric of legitimation, instrumental rationality, suppression of creative freedom, and the formulations of solutions in search of problems) which typify the observed patterns of foresight dissipation among middle managers. The study and its findings extend our understanding of contextual antecedents that could lead to the dissipation of strategic foresight among middle managers in organizing.
This paper proposes a conceptual model in which a human resource management (HRM) system of explicitly knowledge-based HRM practices impacts a firm's intellectual capital, producing higher innovation performance. We have empirically tested this idea in a survey dataset of 180 Spanish companies using structural equation modelling (SEM) based on partial least squares (PLS). The results show that intellectual capital positively mediates the relationship between knowledge-based HRM practices and innovation performance and illustrate the pivotal role of human capital in this relationship: knowledge-based HRM practices impact structural and relational capital partially through human capital, and human capital affects innovation performance by enhancing structural and relational capital.
Innovation and dynamic capabilities have gained considerable attention in both academia and practice. While one of the oldest inquiries in economic and strategy literature involves understanding the features that drive business success and a firm’s perpetuity, the literature still lacks a comprehensive model of innovation and dynamic capabilities. This study presents a model that assesses firms’ innovation and dynamic capabilities perspectives based on four essential capabilities: development, operations, management, and transaction capabilities. Data from a survey of 1,107 Brazilian manufacturing firms were used for empirical testing and discussion of the dynamic capabilities framework. Regression and factor analyses validated the
model; we discuss the results, contrasting with the dynamic capabilities’ framework. Operations Capability is the least dynamic of all capabilities, with the least influence on innovation. This reinforces the notion that operations capabilities as “ordinary capabilities,” whereas management, development, and transaction capabilities better explain firms’ dynamics and innovation.
We examine to what extent successful business-development activities in uncertain environments can be classified as corporate foresight (CF) and to what extent they have been intentional and systematic. Beginning with identifying successful cases of new-business development in Bottom of the Pyramid markets, we use various data sources to reconstruct timelines and map CF activities. We selected the cases to maximise their heterogeneity in firm size, industry, nature of the product and ownership structure. Our findings suggest that the probing (experimental search) phase is particularly important in unknown and uncertain environments but that perceiving and prospecting (cognitive search) activities are necessary to find distant opportunities. In addition, we find that successful business-development activities rely on multiple iterations between perceiving, prospecting and probing. Our findings emphasize that CF should include activities that encompass both experimental and cognitive search elements.
This article, together with a companion video, provides a synthesized summary of a Showcase Symposium held at the 2016 Academy of Management Annual Meeting in which prominent scholars—Denny Gioia, Kathy Eisenhardt, Ann Langley and Kevin Corley—discussed different approaches to theory building with qualitative research. Our goal for the symposium was to increase management scholars’ sensitivity to the importance of theory-method “fit” in qualitative research. We have integrated the panelists’ prepared remarks and interactive discussion into three sections: an introduction by each scholar, who articulates their own approach to qualitative research; their personal reflections on the similarities and differences between approaches to qualitative research, and answers to general questions posed by the audience during the symposium. We conclude by summarizing insights gleaned from the symposium about important distinctions among these three qualitative research approaches and their appropriate usages.
The companion video is available on YouTube: https://youtu.be/_JdOSCzSpMc
The Big Data and Data Analytics is a brand new paradigm, for the integration of Internet Technology in the human and machine context. For the first time in the history of the human mankind we are able to transforming raw data that are massively produced by humans and machines in to knowledge and wisdom capable of supporting smart decision making, innovative services, new business models, innovation, and entrepreneurship. For the Web Science research, this is a new methodological and technological spectrum of advanced methods, frameworks and functionalities never experienced in the past. At the same moment communities out of web science need to realize the potential of this new paradigm with the support of new sound business models and a critical shift in the perception of decision making. In this short visioning article, the authors are analyzing the main aspects of Big Data and Data Analytics Research and they provide their own metaphor for the next years. A number of research directions are outlined as well as a new roadmap towards the evolution of Big Data to Smart Decisions and Cognitive Computing. The authors do hope that the readers would like to react and to propose their own value propositions for the domain initiating a scientific dialogue beyond self-fulfilled expectations.
Strategic foresight is a scientific field in rapid development judged from the increase in number of yearly publications the last decade. What characterizes the research in this field? To answer this question we undertook a systematic literature review searching two library databases, Business Source Complete and ScienceDirect, for scientific articles related to the topic ´strategic foresight´ in the context of the organization. The search revealed 59 publications published between January 2000 and October 2014. The articles were systematically organized and analyzed. This review provides the status of this emergent research field. Although we witness a growth of academic interest in strategic foresight, we argue that this scientific field is weakly organized and there is a lack of theoretical progress. We have analyzed the research subjects addressed in the 59 articles, and from this a taxonomy of eight categories. Three categories dominate in terms of frequency of articles: methods applied, organizing practices, and experiences gained. There is only limited research on motivation and use, value contribution, and innovation. Explorative research dominates, and a variety of theoretical perspectives has been used. Some attempts to build conceptual foundations can be observed, but in general, we found no single perspective that deserves loyalty on which a coherent theoretical foundation of strategic foresight is built. Strategic foresight has a great potential of contributing more to the success of a firm if the research moves from today's dominating explorative research to also include more explanatory research.
This article explores whether old, incumbent industries can prevent new, green industries from emerging by studying the rise and fall of the Norwegian advanced biofuel sector. It investigates three competing explanations that have been proposed to account for why Norway failed to develop a vibrant industry within this field: (i) the petroleum industry acquired all available risk capital, (ii) the petroleum industry captured all relevant technological expertise and (iii) the government failed to provide adequate incentives and support measures. The article applies a qualitative event-history analysis to chart the development of the most important Norwegian advanced biofuel companies – Borregaard (bioethanol), Cambi (biogas), Weyland (bioethanol) and Xynergo (biodiesel) – and uses their success and eventual failure as a key indicator of the condition of the emerging technological innovation system within this field. The article finds that the advanced biofuel companies were hampered mostly by inconsistent and unpredictable government incentives, and concludes that the third explanation best accounts for Norway's limited success in advanced biofuels.
Reference evapotranspiration (ET0) is considered and one of the most valuable parameter for hydrological, climatological investigation and water resources management as well. In this article the evapotranspiration was determined with the simplified equation of Makkink. There is need for precise approximation of the reference crop evapotranspiration in order to determine the water requirement in irrigated agriculture. However ET0 estimation is very difficult to achieve due to too many input parameters. Therefore the primary objective of the research was to establish regression models of the ET0 in regard to several input weather parameters. The regression models will be created by input/output data pairs. The main aim is to achieve predictive capable models for the ET0. Also according to the regression models precision one can determine the input parameters influence on the ET0. Hence one king of ranking process will be performed in order to select which factors have the most influence on the ET0. The repression models will be created by neuro fuzzy logic procedure since the procedure could handle high nonlinearity between input and output data pairs. According to the results Global radiation has the strongest influence on the ET0. Combination of Daily average temperature and Global radiation is the optimal combination for the ET0 estimation.
Research on innovation in tourism is fragmented and confined to traditional paradigms. This critical review paper, which cross-fertilises and discusses the relevant literature in tourism and other theoretical domains, proposes an integrative theoretical framework of innovation in destinations. The paper identifies four emerging innovations-experience co-creation, smart destinations, e-participative governance and social innovation-as evolutionary, knowledge-driven phenomena that are generated by the interaction among four destination actors and facilitated by information and communication technologies (ICTs) and social capital. The discussion and conclusion present some theoretical advances as follows: local contexts matter in destination innovation when assuming a repository role of spatial and cross-sectorial knowledge; social capital and ICT infrastructures facilitate innovativeness and stakeholder engagement; and emerging innovations are pervasive and the holistic results of the collective knowledge of four destination actors and are facilitated by ICT and social capital. The paper offers avenues for future research and challenges that should be explored by academics, policy makers and destination managers.
Purpose
This paper aims to provide a strategic analysis of firms at the lowest hierarchical levels of the defence industry.
Design/methodology/approach
This paper presents the main results of an exploratory, multiple-case study that analyses the current strategy drivers and their views about the future ones, and their impact at the lowest hierarchical levels of the defence industry in Spain.
Findings
This investigation develops and analyses a contingency model regarding the strategy impact and effects of firms’ drivers and clients, both mediated by the strategy players because of their huge impact on the defence industry. The research model focuses on the internal relations between technical and commercial activities due to the cause and effect of their capabilities. Simultaneously, pull and push mechanisms boost firms’ capabilities and requirements to provide strategic foresight.
Practical implications
Ministries of Defence (MoDs) and prime contractors will remain mediating players in the near future even with further implications for the competition of Defence Technological and Industrial Base (DTIB) firms. It implies that firms and MoDs must maintain a close relation and implement more flexible practices, such as open innovation, property rights or new commercialization schemes.
Originality/value
This study offers insights related to the specific applications and the necessity of commercial and technological areas alignment of these firms for the future.
Providing drinking water with safe arsenic levels in Latin American (LA) countries (a total of 22 countries) is a major current challenge. Arsenic's presence in water has been neglected for many decades since it was first reported ~100 years ago in Argentina. The major arsenic source in this region is geogenic. So far, arsenic has been reported in 15 LA countries. Arsenic concentrations in drinking water have been reported up to >200 fold (2000 μg/L) the WHO limit of 10 μg/L. About 14 million people in the arsenic affected LA countries depend on contaminated water characterized by >10 μg/L of arsenic. Low-cost, easy to use, efficient, and sustainable solutions are needed to supply arsenic safe water to the rural and peri-urban population in the affected areas. In the present study, >250 research articles published on various emerging technologies used for arsenic remediation in rural and peri-urban areas of LA countries are critically reviewed. Special attention has been given to arsenic adsorption methods. The manuscript focuses on providing insights into low cost emergent adsorbents with an implementation potential in Latin America. Natural, modified and synthetic adsorbents used for arsenic decontamination were reviewed and compared. Advantages and disadvantages of treatment methods are summarized. Adsorbent selection criteria are developed. Recommendations concerning emerging adsorbents for aqueous arsenic removal in LA countries have also been made.
Understanding changing consumer needs is crucial for a company's survival. Particularly in the context of vehicle autonomy, customer insights lay a significant foundation for strategic decision-making of organizations in the automotive industry. This paper outlines how a German car manufacturer explored customer needs in the context of highly automated vehicles (AVs).¹ by implementing corporate foresight research with visionary customers and how the findings supported the strategic decision-making process of the firm.
A qualitative pilot study with 29 visionary, trend-receiving customers from Germany, the USA and China identified three innovative use cases for premium highly AVs. A subsequent quantitative online survey with 733 participants from the same three markets confirms the relevance of the use cases for mainstream and innovative consumers. The findings underline that highly AVs are a game changer, transforming future cars into extended living and office spaces, with several implications for practitioners. The findings helped to adapt the organization's business model and branding strategy, provided valuable insights for follow-up studies and shaped corporate communication.
The contribution of the paper is threefold: It introduces the concept of strategic customer foresight, outlines specifically how organizations can implement customer foresight research as well as how such research benefits the decision-making process of companies. Further, the paper discloses future customer needs in the context of premium highly AVs.
Purpose
Knowledge sharing has become an integral part of organizations’ business strategies, along with aiding organizations to grow and innovate in the market, and gain competitive advantage. This paper aims to concentrate on the role of tacit knowledge sharing in fostering innovation capability of an organization. Specifically, the study considers social capital (relational, cognitive and structural) as an important precursors to tacit knowledge sharing, which in turn, influences innovation capability of an organization. The study further discusses the role that knowledge reciprocation plays in successful tacit knowledge sharing. The relation between knowledge quality and innovation capability is also discussed in the paper.
Design/methodology/approach
The investigation started with a review of extant literature in the field of knowledge sharing and innovation to derive a set of constructs. A set of hypotheses was developed based on the identified constructs, which was subsequently validated through a primary survey based on a structured questionnaire on a sample size of 190 respondents from the Indian industrial domain. The survey responses were subsequently analysed using the statistical technique of structural equation modeling and conclusions were drawn from the findings. Additionally, careful attention was paid in eliminating the common method bias, which is often associated with a primary survey.
Findings
A set of six hypotheses were derived based on the identified constructs and were subsequently validated. While validating the hypotheses, it was observed that while knowledge reciprocity, relational social capital and cognitive social capital was positive associated with tacit knowledge sharing, structural social capital did not have a significant effect on the same. Additionally, it was also observed that both tacit knowledge sharing and the quality of knowledge were positively associated with innovation capability.
Practical implications
The present day business marked by intense competition requires firms to be more aware of their innovative capabilities. Effective sharing of knowledge or information can be deemed as a vital component in achieving this objective. Organizations that practice and nurture innovation activities can use the findings of the current study as a part of their knowledge management strategy. In addition to using the explicit knowledge, which are structured in nature, organizations can also start using tacit knowledge to harness their innovation potential – and the findings from the current study can act as a motivational tool for them to do so.
Originality/value
Although there is a growing body of literature concerning the role of knowledge management in innovation, there still a dearth in discussing the role of tacit knowledge sharing in exploiting the innovation capability of an organization. The main discussion of this paper brings together a set of important constructs that exhibits the significant role that tacit knowledge sharing plays in determining the innovation capability of an organization. Furthermore, it tries to marry the concepts of social capital and tacit knowledge sharing with innovation capability, therefore adding significantly to the body of literature in knowledge management as well as innovation.
In this paper, we introduce the themes addressed and approaches used by contributors to this special issue. Firstly, we underline that KM is approaching a stage of maturity that requires continuing efforts to use theoretical and empirical investigation to question its future evolution, through a foresight reflection. In parallel, we show that the link between knowledge management and foresight is of long-standing concern. In the context of a knowledge-based economy, this connection has taken on a structuring dimension. Thus, the purpose of this TFSC special issue is two-fold. On the one hand, we seek to explore the impacts of foresight on knowledge management and to understand its cognitive dimensions. And, on the other hand, we cast a future-oriented eye on knowledge management both as a set of practices and a research field. Finally, we present an overview of the topics covered by the selected papers.
Novel business models and increasing innovation speed push global competition in technology-driven markets. Especially, small- and medium-sized family firms struggle with allocating resources in order to cope with volatile market conditions and high-frequency innovations. Foresight as early detection of environmental change has been proven efficient for preparing companies for the future. This chapter reports on a nine-month foresight program conducted with participants from several departments within STULZ, a family firm in the industry of heating, ventilation and air conditioning (HVAC). Findings from in-depth case-work and semi-structured interviews show that the foresight program encouraged innovative thinking among employees and gave space for creative exchange. In summary, STULZ employees identified 29 future scenarios, eight early warning signals as well as innovative projections for three novel products, four service proposals, and 15 processes. Also, the foresight program affected processes of change and established employees’ confidence in STULZ’s adaptability. The chapter adds insights on the significance of long-term management strategies, as well as, future-oriented organizational policy to sustain business success among the microcosm of a family firm.
Strategic foresight encompasses thinking and organizing differently within the contingencies of the present in ways that is mindful of the unpredictable future. Building on the Ricoeurian notion of distentio- ‘the stretching of consciousness through simultaneous attention to memory and expectation’, we develop the concept of distentive capability as a spatio-temporal process of ‘way-finding’ that sustains the creative emergence of strategic foresight across multiple time horizons. Emphasizing narratives as the site of strategic foresight, we draw on tropes taken from three of the most popular speeches delivered by Steve Jobs, the American information technology entrepreneur, inventor and founder of Apple Inc. to illustrate how distentive capability as played out in the reassembling of the past, the present and the future, stretched out in time, may contribute to the identification of potentialities and limits for strategic action. Implication for the theory and practice of strategic foresight are presented.
Because knowledge sharing (KS) can leverage project results, this paper aims to analyze the relationship between KS and the project management process groups (PMPGs). This qualitative research, conducted in large information technology (IT) companies, consists of two phases: (a) an exploratory phase, based on content analysis of nine interviews and documents; and (b) a case study phase based on two cases, where data collected from six interviews and documents were analyzed using content analysis. The research facilitated the identification of the knowledge types involved in each process group as well as opportunities to influence knowledge conversion, thus enabling enhancement of the results obtained from KS in the organization. Furthermore, we identified opportunities to share interproject knowledge that can avoid rework, optimize time, and reduce costs. The study's findings will allow managers to define opportunities for KS in organizations, by identifying when knowledge is being stored and so facilitating the retrieval process. Identifying how employees share knowledge also provides an opportunity to stimulate and inhibit certain behaviors and so create control mechanisms to enhance knowledge management. Lastly, resource allocation is facilitated by identifying the IT necessary to support KS in project teams and which stakeholders are required for each process group. This research combines two different domains by focusing on the means by which KS can leverage results in project management. It also proposes a new, empirically tested, relationship for KS and PMPG, as well as expanding our understanding of the influence KS has on project management.
The aim of our paper is to provide a comprehensive analysis of current foresight practices and their impact on organizational learning, highlighting recent developments. The analysis is based on around forty foresight projects conducted by the CNAM community of practice in the last ten years or so, based on the typology proposed by Bootz (2003) and Bootz and Monti (2008). The aim is twofold: first, we test the robustness of the initial typology and, second, we examine global developments in foresight practices through an analysis of their cognitive aspects.
The examination of present practice led to the typology being refined, and demonstrates how its impact on organizational learning has been extended. It also shows how discussion has evolved through networks that are more open to the outside world and closer to action, with measures and tools adopted to promote greater flexibility. These changes may be partially explained by the emergence of the knowledge economy.
Knowledge is key to sustainable competitive advantage, but different kinds of knowledge affect competitive advantage differently, and they exhibit qualitatively different dynamic properties and behaviors. This places particular importance on understanding the dynamics of knowledge as it flows, and organization managers seek to visualize and measure such flows for efficacy and efficiency alike. Unfortunately, knowledge is inherently intangible, invisible and resistant to quantification, particularly when in dynamic motion. Moreover, managing key organization knowledge is left often to haphazard, trial and error processes, rendering pursuits of sustainable competitive advantage daunting at best and infeasible in many cases. Even when guided by well-accepted models in extant theory, managers may not be selecting the best knowledge flow processes for their purposes. The research described in this article builds upon Knowledge Flow Theory and application to initiate a system for visualizing and measuring dynamic knowledge. We leverage a multidimensional model to delineate and analyze a diversity of knowledge as it flows through the organization, and we draw analogically to develop a system of dynamic knowledge equations that enable measurement. We then illustrate its practical use and utility through a representative organization example, which we supplement with decision guidance pertaining to some fundamental knowledge flow tradeoffs facing decision makers. This article closes with a summary of key results and implications, which give us cause to rethink some concepts, assumptions and implications in the literature.
Genetic improvement of crops started since the dawn of agriculture and has continuously evolved in parallel with emerging technological innovations. The use of genome engineering in crop improvement has already revolutionised modern agriculture in less than thirty years. Plant metabolic engineering is still at a development stage and faces several challenges, in particular with the time necessary to develop plant based solutions to bio-industrial demands. However the recent success of several metabolic engineering approaches applied to major crops are encouraging and the emerging field of plant synthetic biology offers new opportunities. Some pioneering studies have demonstrated that synthetic genetic circuits or orthogonal metabolic pathways can be introduced into plants to achieve a desired function. The combination of metabolic engineering and synthetic biology is expected to significantly accelerate crop improvement. A defining aspect of both fields is the design/build/test/learn cycle, or the use of iterative rounds of testing modifications to refine hypotheses and develop best solutions. Several technological and technical improvements are now available to make a better use of each design, build, test, and learn components of the cycle. All these advances should facilitate the rapid development of a wide variety of bio-products for a world in need of sustainable solutions.
PET scanners are sophisticated and highly sensitive biomedical imaging devices that can produce highly quantitative images showing the 3-dimensional distribution of radiotracers inside the body. PET scanners are commonly integrated with x-ray CT or MRI scanners in hybrid devices that can provide both molecular imaging (PET) and anatomical imaging (CT or MRI). Despite decades of development, significant opportunities still exist to make major improvements in the performance of PET systems for a variety of clinical and research tasks. These opportunities stem from new ideas and concepts, as well as a range of enabling technologies and methodologies. In this paper, we review current state of the art in PET instrumentation, detectors and systems, describe the major limitations in PET as currently practiced, and offer our own personal insights into some of the recent and emerging technological innovations that we believe will impact the field. Our focus is on the technical aspects of PET imaging, specifically detectors and system design, and the opportunity and necessity to move closer to PET systems for diagnostic patient use and in vivo biomedical research that truly approach the physical performance limits while remaining mindful of imaging time, radiation dose, and cost. However, other key endeavors, which are not covered here, including innovations in reconstruction and modeling methodology, radiotracer development, and expanding the range of clinical and research applications, also will play an equally important, if not more important, role in defining the future of the field.
Aquaponics is an approach of coupling two technologies: recirculation aquaculture (fish-farms) and hydroponics (soil-less cultivation of crops). While it is perceived as a way to contribute to more sustainable food systems, the technology is still in its infancy, with several challenges. This paper describes current conditions of development and identifies aspects that can promote or hinder future pathways. We focus our analysis on the EU, using Germany as an institutional case study, while also considering worldwide developments. We propose a framework to analyze aquaponics as an emerging technological innovation system at the interface between existing fish and plant production systems. The approach is explorative based on a literature review and interviews with experts. The main findings are that stakeholders have different views regarding the future development pathways, knowledge to manage complex systems in the long term is needed and it is still unclear how to design institutional conditions to deliver sustainable outcomes.
Despite the importance of corporate foresight for innovation management, scholars have yet to identify the organisational processes through which corporate foresight influences a company’s innovativeness. Drawing on the resource-based view and dynamic capabilities theory, we developed a model and posited that the effect of corporate foresight on innovativeness is mediated by organisational learning, while the relationship between corporate foresight and organisational learning is moderated by integrative capabilities. We conducted an empirical study in the manufacturing industry and found support for the study model, in which the indirect effect of corporate foresight on innovativeness through organisational learning was conditional on the level of integrative capabilities. This study has theoretical and practical implications for a more nuanced understanding of corporate foresight and its effect on innovation management.
This paper examines the role of tacit and explicit knowledge in translating management innovation into firm performance in Japanese companies. While past research has been inconsistent on the role of management innovation on firm performance, this research considers how management innovation in organizations can promote tacit and/or explicit knowledge creation, and whether this leads to higher firm performance. This research uses a questionnaire survey of employees of Japanese firms and applies conditional process analysis. There was no direct effect of management innovation onto firm performance, and that instead, both tacit and explicit knowledge fully mediated the relationship between management innovation and firm performance. While management innovation programs by themselves did not directly increase firm performance, the alignment of these programs with knowledge management initiatives enhanced performance. This highlights the need for management innovation that first considers the type of knowledge needed for enhanced performance. Previous research did not consider the role of knowledge as a means to translate management innovation into firm performance. This paper uncovers the mediating role of knowledge, potentially elucidating past inconclusive results.
This paper follows up on recent debates on relations between technological innovation systems (TISs) and context. Particular focus is placed on the role of established industries, which possess important resources for TIS formation. The paper contributes in two ways. First, the paper builds and expands upon the TIS framework to encompass beneficial relations between a TIS and its sectoral and technological context. Second, the framework is applied to the analysis of the emergence of a solar photovoltaic (PV) industry in Norway. The analysis first illustrates how an emerging TIS can benefit from an overlap with an established industry, which serves as a structural foundation and impacts key TIS processes. Second, the paper shows how relations between TIS and context change over time and range from supply chain interaction to more profound overlaps of system elements.
Emerging Technology Supply Chains (ETSCs) are critical to economic growth and renewal as they determine the timing and extent to which economic and social benefits are achieved from future industries like additive technologies, advanced materials, alternative energy, and biotechnology. However, little is known regarding this topic and many of the questions underpinning ETSCs remain understudied. Emerging Technology Supply Chains (ETSC) are the relationships and flows between the ‘string’ of operations and processes that initiate, evolve and develop during determination of the art and associated techniques of doing something novel to produce value in the form of new products and new services to the ultimate consumer. The literature on ETSCs is considered and summarized. An interdisciplinary call to research that includes the consideration of over 20 topics and disciplines is provided.
Emerging technological innovations have transformed some science fiction ideas into reality, promising radical changes in human nature. New philosophical and intellectual movements such as 'transhumanism' and 'posthumanism' try to foretell and even direct the future of our existence while dealing with new and complex ethical, social, political issues and dilemmas.
A technological revolution in farming led by advances in robotics and sensing technologies looks set to disrupt modern practice.
This research proposes a novel method of identifying and understanding the holistic overview of emerging technologies’ unintended consequences. Latent Semantic Analysis (LSA) text mining technique is employed to yield multiple groups of contextually similar terms from future-oriented data sources, comprising both experts’ and the public's concerns regarding future technologies. Resulting term clusters are considered as new abstractions, or so-called scenarios, of future social impacts. Furthermore, the study acquires greater depth and breadth in conceptualizing social impacts through considering condition- and value-related terms as key linking factors to previous social impact-related literature. Our proposed methodology seeks to gain insights into the utilization of future-oriented data sources for the foresight activity, hoping to mitigate public skepticism and pursue a better social acceptance of emerging technologies.
Social media has become a widely-adopted technology over the past decade, affecting organizations in myriad ways. One of the most important is the effect on organizational knowledge management, in which social media overcomes many of the limitations of previous generations of knowledge management technologies. In this paper, I explore the effects of social media on organizational knowledge management. In doing so, I argue that social media is not a monolithic class of technologies, but a diverse and evolving technological infrastructure that supports and changes the way people communicate and collaborate. Key aspects of social media have gone through a technological evolution over the past decade from cloud computing, to mobile technologies, and into analytics. Each of these shifts has distinct implications for organizational knowledge management, many of which have yet to be fully realized. Furthermore, trends suggest that social media will continue to evolve with emerging technologies, such as artificial intelligence, virtual reality, and augmented reality, which will further influence how organizational knowledge management is practiced. This evolutionary perspective suggests we may be closer to the beginning than the end of how social media will affect organizations and their knowledge management practices. As such, a broad perspective on social media may provide many open areas for research in coming years.
Are knowledge flows all alike? Evidence from European regions. Regional Studies. The paper investigates the impact of distance, contiguity and technological proximity on cross-regional knowledge flows by comparing the evidence concerning co-inventorship, applicant–inventor relationships and citation flows. Evidence is found of significant differences across these diverse kinds of knowledge flows for what concerns the role of distance, and the moderating role of contiguity and technological proximity. Moreover, it is shown that border effects may prove crucial in a twofold sense. On the one hand, contiguity between regions belonging to two different countries still plays a moderating role, although weaker as compared with that of within-country contiguity. On the other hand, regions sharing a frontier with a foreign country are more likely to exchange knowledge with this foreign country than other regions which are far from the border.
Purpose
This paper aims to examine a research model that links knowledge sharing enablers, processes and outcome dimensions in law enforcement in the United Arab Emirates (UAE). It attempts to examine the impact of knowledge self-efficacy and top management support on knowledge donating and collecting. It also attempts to examine the effect of these two aspects of knowledge sharing on firm innovation capability.
Design/methodology/approach
This study used a quantitative approach, with data collected by questionnaire from 685 police officers in a law enforcement agency in the UAE.
Findings
Knowledge self-efficacy and top management support have a positive impact on knowledge donating and collecting. Only knowledge collecting, however, had a positive effect on firm innovation capability.
Research limitations/implications
The study has significant academic and practical implications. It supports a previous research model that links enablers, processes and outcomes of knowledge sharing, and confirms them in the context of law enforcement in the UAE. It could also help law enforcement agencies to promote a knowledge sharing culture to support innovation in the UAE.
Originality/value
The research model is likely to be particularly valuable in knowledge-intensive organizations such as the law enforcement sector. Knowledge sharing is often overlooked by organizations in the UAE because there has to date been little research in this field.
Energy-intensive processing industries like the concrete industry form the base of the economy and account for a large part of global greenhouse gas emissions. Sectoral transformation to cleaner basic materials is therefore crucial, and institutional pressure to do so is increasing. However, socio-technical studies have not sufficiently addressed these sectors. This paper therefore sets out to analyze the systemic problems that inhibit the transformation of the mature innovation system of the concrete sector toward the development and diffusion of clean concrete innovations, for the case of the Netherlands. A structural-functional approach has been frequently applied to identify such systemic problems, but has been limited to emerging technological innovation systems. Consequently, the approach tends to overlook the systemic lock-in that arises from closed cycles of interdependent systemic problems and vested interests that characterize mature innovation systems and that hamper system transformation. This paper analyzes these characteristics to extend the application of the structural-functional approach to the transformation of mature innovation systems. Interviews with 28 stakeholders were conducted and triangulated with reports, websites and other documents. A list of systemic problems was identified that originate within actors, institutions, networks, technology and infrastructure and that impaired the performance of all system functions except knowledge development. Systemic problems are indeed found to be sustained through systemic lock-in, i.e. closed cycles of interdependent systemic problems. Through strategic, often collective action, established firms with vested interests were able to reinforce these interdependent systemic problems to inhibit clean concrete innovation. The study concludes that systemic lock-in inhibits the sustainability transformation of the mature innovation system of concrete in the Netherlands and confirms that the application of the structural-functional approach can be extended from emerging to mature innovation systems. Overcoming systemic lock-in requires a series of well coordinated policy measures that should be implemented in a specific order, to prevent reverting back to the lock-in around the original system configuration.
Complementarities play a crucial role in socio-technical transitions as they accelerate technology development or decline. Missing complementary components in contrast may hamper the emergence of new technologies or negatively affect sector performance. In this paper, we introduce a conceptual framework to analyze complementarities and to understand their consequences for transitions. Our framework consists of four building blocks: i) different relationships, ii) different components, iii) different purposes and iv) complementarity dynamics. The latter two aspects go beyond existing concepts as they highlight the relative and dynamic nature of complementarities. We illustrate the applicability of the framework with examples from the ongoing energy transition. Finally, we discuss a series of complementarity bottlenecks and potential strategies by firms and policy makers of how to resolve these.
Currently there is no formal model describing the dynamics of technological innovation systems. This paper develops a system dynamics model that integrates the concept of ‘motors of innovation’, following the literature on emerging technological innovation systems, with the notion of ‘transition pathways’ that was developed as part of the multi-level-framework thinking. As such, the main contribution of this paper is a cross-over of two key-frameworks into a system dynamics model that can serve as underpinning for future research. The model’s behaviour is illustrated by means of analyses of TIS dynamics in the context of different transition pathways, under different resourcing conditions. The paper also provides a future research agenda, pursuable by means of experimentation and/or further development of the presented model.
The paper discusses foresight as a dynamic strategic practice and theorises the connections of foresight and strategic management. The paper argues that organisations have a rising need to foster relevant future-oriented knowledge in a continuous process that builds on the systemic understanding of the operational environment. For this purpose, the paper outlines a conceptual framework for continuous organisational foresight practice. The framework is based on two conceptual bedrocks. The first is the idea of continuity, referring to the long-term accumulation of organisational practices. The second bedrock is the notion of discontinuity as an organisational transformation factor. Furthermore, the framework builds on the notion of four knowledge spaces in an organisation, and it is constructed through six layers depicted in detail. The paper demonstrates this framework through a case study of a Finnish research and technology organisation, VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland.
The role of Knowledge Management (KM) as a discipline that promotes an integrated, inter-disciplinary and multi-lingual approach to identifying, eliciting, structuring, diffusing and sharing a company’s knowledge assets is now widely recognised.
Although several management initiatives to deploy KM at corporate level have been taken, sometimes including intellectual capital valuation and accounting, in many, if not most enterprises, Knowledge Management has definitely been initiated from the floor.
Addressing problems with reasonable size and complexity at Business Unit level, but thinking company-wide, allows, amongst other things, a better understanding of the rift that we perceive between the present working practices and those which we expect in the knowledge-enabled organisation of the future.
Examples of local KM initiatives that can be easily embedded in a corporate scheme will be discussed.