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In Brands We Trust? A Multicategory, Multicountry Investigation of Sensitivity of Consumers’ Trust in Brands to Marketing-Mix Activities

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The essence of a brand is that it delivers on its promises. However, consumers’ trust in brands (CTB) has declined around the world in recent decades. As a result, CTB has become a major concern for managers. The authors examine whether CTB is influenced by marketing-mix activities (i.e., advertising, new product introduction, distribution, price, and price promotion) implemented by brands. The authors propose and show that the sensitivity of CTB to marketing-mix activities is moderated by consumer, category, and country characteristics, using a multisource data set consisting of a survey of 15,073 respondents and scanner panel data on 589 brands in 46 CPG categories across 13 countries (including the four largest emerging markets), which collectively account for half of the world’s population. The authors find strong positive effects for advertising and new product introduction intensity, weak positive effects for price and distribution intensity, and a minor negative effect for price promotion intensity on CTB. Furthermore, the authors find that the effect of marketing-mix activities on CTB is moderated by consumers’ personality traits, consumers’ reliance on brands in a category, and countries’ secular-rational and self-expression cultural values.
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In Brands We Trust? A Multicategory,
Multicountry Investigation of Sensitivity
of Consumers’ Trust in Brands to
Marketing-Mix Activities
KOUSHYAR RAJAVI
TARUN KUSHWAHA
JAN-BENEDICT E. M. STEENKAMP
The essence of a brand is that it delivers on its promises. However, consumers’
trust in brands (CTB) has declined around the world in recent decades. As a re-
sult, CTB has become a major concern for managers. The authors examine
whether CTB is influenced by marketing-mix activities (i.e., advertising, new prod-
uct introduction, distribution, price, and price promotion) implemented by brands.
The authors propose and show that the sensitivity of CTB to marketing-mix activi-
ties is moderated by consumer, category, and country characteristics, using a mul-
tisource data set consisting of a survey of 15,073 respondents and scanner panel
data on 589 brands in 46 CPG categories across 13 countries (including the four
largest emerging markets), which collectively account for half of the world’s popu-
lation. The authors find strong positive effects for advertising and new product in-
troduction intensity, weak positive effects for price and distribution intensity, and a
minor negative effect for price promotion intensity on CTB. Furthermore, the
authors find that the effect of marketing-mix activities on CTB is moderated by
consumers’ personality traits, consumers’ reliance on brands in a category, and
countries’ secular-rational and self-expression cultural values.
Keywords: consumer trust, brand trust, marketing mix, branding, information
economics, international marketing
INTRODUCTION
For many firms, brands are among their most valuable
assets. According to brand consultancy Kantar
Millward Brown, the value of the 100 most valuable global
brands alone stood at $4.4 trillion in 2018 (Millward
Brown 2018). What makes brands so valuable? Consider
the definition of brand proposed in the literature. One such
definition, proposed by Kotler (2002, 593), is “a seller’s
promise to deliver a specific set of features, benefits and
services consistent to the buyers.” If consumers trust the
brand to deliver on these promises, this eases their decision
making, reduces costs of information gathering and proc-
essing information, reduces their purchase risk, and
increases expected utility (Erdem and Swait 1998,2004).
Thus, trust is a key factor to consider in brand success.
Koushyar Rajavi (Koushyar.rajavi@scheller.gatech.edu)isanas-
sistant professor of marketing at Scheller College of Business at
Georgia Institute of Technology, 800 West Peachtree NW, Atlanta,
GA 30308. Tarun Kushwaha (tarun_kushwaha@unc.edu) is Sarah
Graham Kenan Scholar and an associate professor of marketing at the
Kenan-Flagler Business School of the University of North Carolina,
300 Kenan Center Dr, Chapel Hill, NC 27599. Jan-Benedict E. M.
Steenkamp (jbs@unc.edu) is C. Knox Massey Distinguished Professor
of Marketing at the Kenan-Flagler Business School of the University
of North Carolina, 300 Kenan Center Dr, Chapel Hill, NC 27599.
Please address correspondence to Tarun Kushwaha. The article is
based on the first essay of the lead author’s dissertation. The authors
thank AiMark for providing data for this study. They also acknowl-
edge the kind help of Bernadette van Ewijk for extracting data for this
study. Supplementary materials are included in the web appendix ac-
companying the online version of this article.
Editor: J. Jeffrey Inman
Associate Editor: Russell S. Winer
Advance Access publication June 21, 2019
V
CThe Author(s) 2019. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Journal of Consumer Research, Inc.
All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com Vol. 46 2019
DOI: 10.1093/jcr/ucz026
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Kantar Millward Brown (2016) found that business-to-
business (B2B) brands that rated high on brand trust grew
80% in brand value in the last decade, while less trusted
brands grew only 25%. As another example, Nanda (2014)
reported that when it comes to convincing consumers to
pay more, brand trust trumps other brand qualities.
Given the importance of consumer trust in brands, it is
worrying that industry evidence indicates that consumers
trust in brands is slipping. Young & Rubicam (2017) ana-
lyzed a fairly constant set of well-known brands and
reported that the proportion of brands that customers said
they trusted has fallen from 44% in 2001 to a low of 18% in
2017. The 2017 Edelman Trust Barometer found that in
nearly half of the countries surveyed, the percentage of peo-
ple that mistrust brands’ owners exceeds the percentage of
people that trust them (Edelman 2017). Given these results,
it is not surprising that consumer trust has moved to the top
of management’s priority list. In 2015, when the CEOs of
leading consumer goods firms such as P&G, Nestl
e, and
PepsiCo gathered for the 59
th
Consumer Goods Forum’s an-
nual summit, “Trust as a Foundation for Growth” was their
main topic of discussion (Consumer Goods Forum 2015).
Consumer researchers have recognized the importance of
consumers trust in brands (CTB), defined as the consumer’s
belief that the brand is willing and able to deliver on its
promises (Chaudhuri and Holbrook 2001;Erdem and Swait
2004). The focus of this stream of research has largely been
on the consequences of CTB (see next section).
We build upon and extend previous work in three mean-
ingful ways. First, we shift the lens from the consequences
of CTB to its antecedents. More specifically, we are inter-
ested in the effects of marketing-mix activity on CTB. We
examine how CTB is influenced by five key marketing
instruments: advertising intensity, new product introduc-
tion intensity, price, price promotion, and distribution in-
tensity. Second, we examine the sensitivity of CTB to the
marketing-mix activities on a global basis. Various aca-
demics have urged marketing scholars to investigate con-
sumer behavior issues on an international basis (Erdem
et al. 2006). Are conclusions regarding the effects of mar-
keting activities on CTB globally generalizable? Third, we
examine boundary conditions to the findings within and
across countries. We investigate whether the sensitivity of
CTB to the marketing-mix activities systematically across
context, where we distinguish between three context fac-
tors: consumer, according to their personality traits
(Inman, McAlister, and Hoyer 1990); (product) category,
in terms of consumers’ reliance on brands in a category
(Fischer, Vo¨lckner, and Sattler 2010); and country, accord-
ing to their national culture (Inglehart and Wetzel 2005).
We put together a unique cross-sectional data set from
multiple sources, which contains primary (survey) data as
well as secondary (household panel, country) data from
15,073 respondents on 589 brands in 46 consumer pack-
aged goods (CPG) categories. Our data set covers
13 countries, including the US; European countries such as
France, Germany, and Italy; and the four leading emerging
markets, Brazil, China, India, and Russia. Marketing-mix
instruments are derived from surveys and household panels
operated by Kantar Worldpanel, GfK, and IRI. The study
findings provide managers with strategic direction on how
their marketing-mix activities affect consumer trust in one
of their most valuable assets and how their marketing ac-
tivities have differential impact on CTB across different
consumers, categories, and countries.
PREVIOUS RESEARCH
In order to delineate the position of CTB within the
branding literature and highlight our contribution vis-
a-vis
past research on CTB, we use Keller and Lehmann’s
(2003) brand value chain framework (figure 1). According
to this framework, the brand-value-creation process begins
when the firm invests in a marketing program targeting ac-
tual or potential customers. The marketing activity associ-
ated with the program influences the customer mindset
with respect to the brand—that is, what they know and feel
about the brand. This mindset, across a broad group of cus-
tomers, then results in brand performance in the market-
place, which is the aggregate of individual customer
actions regarding quantity purchased and the price that
they pay. Finally, the investment community considers
brand performance in valuing the company. The brand-
value-chain model further specifies multipliers that
strengthen or weaken the link between two successive
stages, in terms of the value of these multipliers. These
moderating factors determine how value created at one
stage transfers or “multiplies” to the next stage (Keller and
Lehmann 2003, 28).
Past research has focused on the causal link between dif-
ferent stages in the brand value chain, including the effect
of marketing-mix instruments on consumer mindset
(Srinivasan, Vanhuele, and Pauwels 2010), consumer
mindset on marketplace performance (Datta, Ailawadi, and
Van Heerde 2017), and marketplace performance on finan-
cial market performance (Srinivasan et al. 2009). Other re-
search has focused on relations between customer mindset
metrics, which, according to Keller and Lehmann (2003,
29), exhibit an “obvious hierarchy.” This stream of re-
search has distinguished between different customer mind-
set metrics within a broader category. In this stream of
research, brand awareness (Hoyer and Brown 1990) sup-
ports brand associations, which drive brand attitudes and
overall brand evaluations (Wilkie and Pessemier 1973) that
lead to brand attachment (brand attachment, love, attitudi-
nal loyalty, brand-self connection; Batra, Ahuvia, and
Bagozzi 2012;Park et al. 2010), and brand activity (behav-
ioral loyalty, word of mouth [WOM]; Chaudhuri and
Holbrook 2001).
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Where does trust fit into the brand value chain?
Following Chaudhuri and Holbrook (2001), we argue that
CTB is a type of brand attitude that involves “a process
that is well thought out and carefully considered”
(Chaudhuri and Holbrook 2001, 82). Thus, we view CTB
as a cognitive component of brand attitude (see web
appendix A for a comparison between CTB and related
consumer mindset metrics in marketing).
Past research on CTB has extensively examined the
impact of CTB on other consumer mindset metrics,
such as brand consideration (Erdem and Swait 2004),
purchase likelihood (Erdem, Swait, and Valenzuela
2006;Herbst et al. 2011), attitudinal loyalty, and be-
havioral loyalty (Chaudhuri and Holbrook 2001). Other
research has investigated the effect of CTB on brand
performance metrics, such as market share and price
premium (Chaudhuri and Holbrook 2001)andcon-
sumer sensitivity to brand price (Erdem, Swait, and
Louviere 2002). See table 1 for a summary of past re-
search on CTB.
FIGURE 1
EXPANDED BRAND VALUE CHAIN
Adapted from Keller and Lehmann (2003).
NOTE.—In italics are the constructs included in the current study; constructs that were examined in previous research on CTB are indicated with continuous under-
lines; constructs that are added to the value chain are indicated with dotted underlines.
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Using the value chain framework, our research adds to
the literature on brand building by introducing CTB into
the value chain, and more particularly, by examining how
CTB is affected by the marketing program investments.
1
Further, we extend this framework by introducing context
as a multiplier of marketing program investments on cus-
tomer mindset metrics.
CONCEPTUAL BACKGROUND
Marketing-Mix Instruments as Signals
Inspired by Kirmani and Rao (2000), we use signaling
theory as the theoretical lens to understand why marketing-
mix investments affect CTB. A considerable body of
marketing studies has documented the signaling role of
brand-specific investments. More specifically, past re-
search shows that advertising expenditures (Kirmani
1990), high price (Rao and Monroe 1988,1989), product
warranties (Boulding and Kirmani 1993;Wiener 1985),
brand name (Erdem 1998), price promotions (Yoo,
Donthu, and Lee 2000), and distribution outlets (Chu and
Chu 1994) effectively serve as signals that consumers use
to make inferences regarding the characteristics of prod-
ucts and brands (see Kirmani and Rao 2000 for an over-
view of past research on the signaling role of marketing-
mix instruments). While past research primarily focuses on
consumer attributions regarding overall product superiority
(i.e., product quality), some research has found that
marketing-mix instruments shape consumer beliefs regard-
ing specific product and brand attributes, such as reliability
(Wiener 1985) and credibility (Erdem and Swait 1998).
Marketing-Mix Activities as Signals for Brand
Trust
The essence of CTB is consumers’ belief that a brand
delivers on its promises, time and time again. The nature of
these promises can vary from physical attributes (e.g., or-
ganic ingredients) to functional benefits (taste of coffee) to
self-expressive benefits (e.g., “smart shopper,” brand
CSR). But what should hold a brand back from reneging
on its promises (e.g., selling products with nonorganic
ingredients, using cheaper coffee beans, not being involved
in CSR)? And how can the consumer trust the brand to de-
liver on its promises?
Signaling theory, which is grounded in information eco-
nomics (Klein and Leffler 1981,Milgrom and Roberts
1986), provides an explanation (Kirmani and Rao 2000).
Signaling theory recognizes the asymmetrical information
TABLE 1
SUMMARY OF PAST RESEARCH ON CTB
Study Data
Marketing-mix as
drivers of CTB Findings
Erdem and Swait (1998) Survey from students Brand investments Brand investments have a positive effect on
CTB. CTB is an integral element of brand eq-
uity. CTB leads to higher perceived quality
and lower perceived risk.
Delgado-Ballester and
Munuera-Alem
an (2001)
Survey from consumers CTB generates consumers’ commitment, espe-
cially in situations of high involvement.
Chaudhuri and
Holbrook (2001)
Surveys from consumers
and managers
CTB positively influences purchase loyalty and
attitudinal loyalty. CTB indirectly leads to
increases in market share and price premium.
Erdem et al. (2002) Surveys from students CTB lowers consumers’ price sensitivity. The
negative effect depends on the level of uncer-
tainty associated with the product category.
Erdem and Swait (2004) Surveys from students CTB impacts brand choice and consideration
set formation, especially in contexts with high
uncertainty.
Erdem et al. (2006) Survey from students in
seven countries
The positive effect of CTB on choice is greater
for consumers who rate high on either collec-
tivism or uncertainty avoidance.
Sung and Kim (2010) Surveys from students Certain brand personality dimensions (e.g., rug-
gedness, sincerity) influence CTB more than
brand affect.
This study Survey on 15,073 consum-
ers and scanner panel
data in 13 countries
Advertising, innovation,
distribution, price,
price promotion
Advertising, innovation, distribution, and price
positively affect CTB. Price promotions nega-
tively affect CTB. CTB is more sensitive to
marketing mix in categories low on brand rel-
evance, and countries high (low) on secular-
rational values (self-expression values).
1Erdem and Swait (1998) examine the effect of general brand invest-
ments on CTB. Their research, however, does not distinguish between
different marketing-mix instruments.
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structure of the market and proposes that brands can use
market signals to convey information to imperfectly in-
formed consumers. Klein and Leffler (1981) demonstrate
analytically that market prices above the competitive price
(i.e., price premium) are a means of enforcing brand prom-
ises. Klein and Leffler (1981) further discuss that brand-
specific expenditures on advertising that are observable to
consumers are lost if the brand cheats. Large advertising
expenditures inform consumers of the magnitude of sunk
costs and hence the opportunity cost to the brand if it
cheats. This provides another incentive for firms to keep
their promises.
Although Klein and Leffler (1981) focus on advertising
as brand-specific marketing program investment, their ana-
lytical conclusions apply to any kind of observable brand-
name expenditures (Milgrom and Roberts 1986, 799–800),
including new product introductions under a given brand
name (Milgrom and Roberts 1986) and distribution (Rao
and Mahi 2003). New product introductions help a brand
differentiate itself with its competitors. The innovative
brand relies on consumers’ repeat purchases to recoup
R&D, new packaging, and other innovation-related costs.
Thus, innovative brands signal to consumers that they are
motivated to deliver on their promises; otherwise, they
would incur great losses (fixed cost of innovation)
(Milgrom and Roberts 1986). Similarly, a brand with an
extensive distribution network is viewed as a strong and re-
sourceful brand that has been able to attract interest from
multiple retailers. Consumers interpret a brand’s ubiqui-
tous presence as a sign of its consistent performance across
different markets. Extensive distribution costs—associated
with high expenditures on slotting allowances, in-store pro-
motion material, and other expensive retail investments—
would be lost if the brand does not deliver on its promises
(Rao and Mahi 2003).
In sum, signaling theory proposes that consumers use
the extent of investments in various marketing program
elements (high price, advertising activity, new product ac-
tivity, distribution coverage) as signals that the brand will
deliver what it promises (i.e., that it can be trusted). But
what is the role of price promotions? Price promotions lead
to lower price premiums. According to the information
economics perspective, the lower price premiums caused
by frequent price promotions indicate that the brand is
more likely to cheat on its promises. Marketing offers a
complementary explanation on the negative impact of price
promotions on consumer attitude. Blattberg and Neslin
(1989) argue that heavy price promotions raise suspicions
in consumers’ minds regarding the capability of brands.
When exposed to frequent price promotions by a brand, the
consumer “questions why it is necessary to keep promoting
the product and concludes there is something wrong with
the product” (Blattberg and Neslin 1989, 90).
We acknowledge that information economics makes
strong assumptions, which are not always realistic (e.g.,
rationality of firms and consumers). The value of this the-
ory is that it is able to explain many real-world outcomes.
As Boulding and Kirmani (1993, 121–122) argue, “the
power of the signaling framework lies in its ability to make
predictions based on a single behavioral assumption—
rational firms and consumers. [...]However,itsaysnothing
about the underlying processes by which consumers make
such inferences or even whether they actually do so.”
2
What, then, is the empirical evidence on consumer use of
marketing instruments for CTB? Erdem and Swait (1998)
find that brand investments (measured with two items:
“This brand spends lots of money on ads, commercials,
promotions, event sponsorships, celebrity endorsements,
etc.,” and “This brand has spent a lot on the community
over the years”) have a significant effect on CTB. Other
empirical support for the use of marketing-mix activity on
CTB is largely indirect; the customer mindset metric stud-
ied was perceived quality, not brand trust. Nevertheless, as
quality is essential to the ability of a brand to fulfill its
promises—there are few brands that do not make quality
promises—this work is informative for our purposes. A
large body of marketing studies shows that consumers use
price (Dawar and Parker 1994;Rao and Monroe 1989) and
advertising (Kirmani 1990;Kirmani and Wright 1989)as
signals of product quality. Past research in marketing has
further found that price promotions damage brand attitude
(Yi and Yoo 2011), brand loyalty (Papatla and
Krishnamurthy 1996), and brand equity (Yoo et al. 2000).
Based on the above discussion, we expect that CTB is posi-
tively affected by the brand’s advertising intensity, new
product introduction intensity, distribution intensity, and
price, and negatively affected by the brand’s price promo-
tion intensity.
Consistent with the rational perspective underlying sig-
naling theory, the above discussion abstracts from the con-
text in which the formation of CTB judgments take place.
However, from a behavioral point of view, judgment for-
mation is affected by the psychological makeup of the con-
sumer in question, characteristics of the category involved,
and characteristics of the country in which the consumer
lives. We propose that these three “context” multipliers
strengthen or weaken the effect of marketing-mix activities
on CTB (see figure 2).
Moderating Role of Personality Traits
We start by examining variation in the sensitivity of
CTB to marketing-mix activities in terms of the personality
profile of the consumer (Baumgartner 2002). Personality
traits are “dimensions of individual differences in tenden-
cies to show consistent patterns of thoughts, feelings, and
actions” (McCrae and Costa 1990, 29). These traits are
exhibited by individuals across a wide range of situations,
2 We thank an anonymous reviewer for raising this point.
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such as child rearing, work interactions, and personal con-
sumption. In the last few decades, the Big Five has
emerged as the most influential personality trait model
(McCrae and Costa 2008). The Big Five framework distin-
guishes between five fundamental traits: openness to expe-
rience, conscientiousness, extraversion, agreeableness, and
neuroticism.
These personality traits can be linked to information
processing styles. People have habitual tendencies, com-
monly called thinking styles (Epstein et al. 1996), to ap-
proach various problems in consistently similar ways.
These thinking styles vary between people, are stable over
time (Scott and Bruce 1995), and are related to people’s
personality (Epstein et al. 1996). Epstein and colleagues
(1996) distinguished between two thinking styles:
analytical-rational and intuitive-experiential. An analytical
thinking style is characterized by deliberate, slow, analytic
information processing. An intuitive thinking style is char-
acterized by automatic and quick information processing
and is associated with the use of heuristics. This suggests
that intuitive thinking is associated with greater reliance on
market signals as heuristics in CTB, while analytical think-
ing is associated with less reliance on market signals. The
two thinking styles supplement each other because attitude
formation and behavior are a joint function of both modes
of processing (Epstein et al. 1996, 392).
Subsequent empirical research examined the relationship
between these thinking styles and the Big Five personality
FIGURE 2
RESEARCH FRAMEWORK
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traits (Pacini and Epstein 1999;Riaz, Riaz, and Batool
2012), finding that the tendency to engage in rational, ana-
lytical thinking is related to openness to experience and
conscientiousness, while the intuitive thinking style is as-
sociated with agreeableness and extraversion. Neuroticism
did not exhibit consistent relations with either thinking
style. Thus, we expect marketing-mix activities to have
larger effects on CTB for consumers who are high on ex-
traversion and agreeableness and smaller effects on CTB
for consumers who are high on conscientiousness and
openness to experience.
Moderating Role of Brand Relevance in
Category
The thinking-style perspective describes modes of infor-
mation processing that are generalized across situations.
However, ever since the work of Belk (1974), consumer
researchers have been aware that attitude formation can be
(more) strongly affected by the actual judgment situation.
Past consumer research has studied the role of various cate-
gory characteristics in attitude formation, such as category
risk, involvement, utilitarian versus hedonic, and purchase
frequency. We believe that a relatively recently introduced
construct, “brand relevance in a category” (Fischer et al.
2010), is particularly useful for the purposes of the present
study. Implicit in the information economics perspective is
that consumers can—and do—rely on brands in their deci-
sion making. After all, if consumers do not care about
brands, they will not closely follow the brands, and,
therefore, will not notice brands’ marketing activities.
Fischer et al. (2010) have shown that the role of the brand
in consumer decision-making processes systematically
varies by product categories. They further showed that
brand relevance in a category (BRiC) varies between
consumers.
If the BRiC is high, brands are of greater relevance to
the consumer. According to the Elaboration Likelihood
Model of persuasion (Petty and Cacioppo 1986), this
would suggest that the consumer is more likely to thought-
fully follow brands’ product and ethics-related actions and
communications (as well as assessing those actions against
brands’ promises) and weigh peripheral cues less—that is,
follow the central route of persuasion. On the other hand, if
the BRiC is low, the Elaboration Likelihood Model sug-
gests that the consumer relies more on peripheral cues.
Note that the Elaboration Likelihood Model parallels
Epstein et al.’s (1996) two thinking styles with the impor-
tant difference that the Elaboration Likelihood Model
makes situation-specific predictions.
Yet there is a compelling rival theory on situational in-
formation processing: Accessibility-Diagnosticity Theory
(Feldman and Lynch 1988), where the focus is less on cen-
tral versus peripheral information than on the accessibility
of information. According to Accessibility-Diagnosticity
Theory, the likelihood that an input will be used for judg-
ment is determined by accessibility of the input in memory
(i.e., ease of retrieval), perceived diagnosticity of the input
(i.e., attribute relevance), and availability of other inputs in
memory. Factors that increase the accessibility of an input
will increase the probability that the input is used in judg-
ment formation (Herr, Kardes, and Kim 1991).
3
Drawing
on Accessibility-Diagnosticity Theory, several studies
have shown that when the accessibility of brand-related in-
formation increases, the likelihood that consumers use
such information as an input for brand evaluations
increases (Li and He 2013;Menon and Raghubir 2003).
We argue that when BRiC is high, brands are important to
consumers, and consumers are paying close attention to the
marketing activities of these brands (Fischer et al. 2010).
As a result, brand-related information is more accessible to
them and hence CTB is more likely to be influenced by
marketing activities when BRiC is high. In sum, while the
Elaboration Likelihood Model leads to the prediction that
marketing activities have larger (smaller) effects on CTB
when BRiC is low (high), Accessibility-Diagnosticity
Theory leads to the prediction that marketing activities
have larger (smaller) effects on CTB when BRiC is high
(low).
Moderating Role of National Culture
For studying the multiplier effect of the country context
on the effect of marketing-mix activities on CTB, we take
a cultural approach. According to Tse et al. (1988, 82), na-
tional culture influences consumers’ “rules for selective at-
tention, interpretation of environmental cues, and
responses.” This suggests that consumers’ utilization of
marketing signals varies predictably across countries
depending on prevailing cultural values (Aaker 2000).
The best-known national-cultural systems include the
frameworks proposed by Hofstede, Inglehart, Schwartz,
and Triandis (see Vinken, Soeters, and Ester 2004 for an
overview). Given that brands are a key element, and car-
rier, of the materialistic culture (Holt 2002;McCracken
1986), Inglehart’s framework (Inglehart and Baker 2000;
Inglehart and Welzel 2005), which is the only framework
that is explicitly grounded in (post)materialism, is the most
useful for our purposes. For previous marketing applica-
tions of Inglehart’s theory, see Steenkamp and de Jong
(2010) and Steenkamp and Geyskens (2012,2014).
Inglehart identifies two bipolar cultural dimensions: tra-
ditional versus secular-rational values, and survival versus
self-expression values. Countries that score high on the
secular-rational dimension are characterized by
3 Moreover, Menon and Raghubir posit that accessibility of an input
can “be used as a reasonable proxy for the diagnosticity of the input”
(Menon and Raghubir 2003, 231). Thus, factors that increase accessi-
bility of an input also influence attitude by increasing diagnosticity
value of that input.
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materialistic secularism (Inglehart and Welzel 2005, 26,
31). Brands—as one of the most visible exponents of a ma-
terialistic world (McCracken 1986)—are expected to be of
greater relevance in these societies (Rindfleisch,
Burroughs, and Wong 2009;Steenkamp and de Jong
2010). Applying the tenets of Accessibility-Diagnosticity
Theory in this context suggests that brand-related
marketing-mix activity is more accessible to consumers in
countries high on secular-rational values and hence more
likely to be used in attitude formation. The Elaboration
Likelihood Model predicts the opposite effect. Because of
the greater relevance of brands in secular-rational coun-
tries, consumers are less likely to use peripheral cues such
as marketing-mix variables in attitude formation.
According to Inglehart (Inglehart and Welzel 2005,115),
“Materialist/postmaterialist values are a key component of
the survival/self-expression dimension.” Countries that score
high on the self-expression dimension are characterized by a
relative deemphasis of materialistic ideologies and emerging
post-materialist ideologies. In these societies, “the ‘quality
of experience’ replaces the quantity of commodities as the
prime criterion for making a good living” (Inglehart and
Welzel 2005, 25). Maximizing well-being rather than maxi-
mizing material possessions becomes a guiding motivation
to people, and their interest in the marketplace for achieving
life goals declines. Postmaterialist priorities are associated
with reduced importance of brands (Holt 2002). According
to Accessibility-Diagnosticity Theory, in countries low on
self-expression values (i.e., high on survival values),
marketing-mix activities are expected to be more accessible
to consumers and as such have greater impact on consum-
ers’ attitude and their trust in brands. The Elaboration
Likelihood Model again offers the opposite perspective.
Table 2 gives an overview of the directional effects.
Sociodemographics
Four sociodemographics are included in our framework
(figure 2) and analyses. Although they are not the focus of
this study, CTB could systematically vary across age, gen-
der, social class, or education of the respondent. We cannot
make predictions as to their likely effect since most previ-
ous research used student samples (table 1). However, fac-
tual findings for these variables might be of interest to
applied researchers. Moreover, controlling for these varia-
bles provides for a stronger test of our focal effects.
METHOD
Data
We combine consumer survey data, scanner data, and
country data to examine the proposed main and moderating
effects. The individual-level survey data was collected via
the internet by the global market research agencies GfK
and Kantar Worldpanel in 2015 in 13 countries, including
nine developed countries (Denmark, France, Germany,
Great Britain, Italy, Netherlands, Spain, Sweden, and the
United States) and four emerging markets (Brazil, China,
India, and Russia). In each country, respondents—the per-
son in the household that was responsible for grocery pur-
chases—answered questions regarding a maximum of
three brands of consumer product goods in a product cate-
gory. The selected brands were the top three national
brands in their category in 2013 (based on annual volume
market share). The total number of different product cate-
gories included in the survey was 46. The specific catego-
ries included varied across countries to reflect usage
patterns and the needs of GfK and Kantar Worldpanel.
The questionnaire was developed in English and trans-
lated into local languages using the back-translation
method. Respondents answered questions regarding the
marketing activities of a brand and their trust in it. In the
survey, advertising and new product introduction intensity
were operationalized with two items each, using items de-
veloped by Steenkamp and Geyskens (2014). CTB was
operationalized using two items drawn from Chaudhuri
and Holbrook (2001). Respondents answered questions re-
garding BRiC with the four-item scale developed by
Fischer et al. (2010). The Big Five personality traits were
TABLE 2
DIRECTIONAL EFFECTS
Variable Expected direction
Marketing-mix activities
Advertising þ
New product introductions þ
Distribution þ
Price þ
Price promotion
Multiplier effects
Consumer
Marketing-mix activities
extraversion
Strengthens marketing-mix
effects
a
Marketing-mix activities
agreeableness
Strengthens marketing-mix
effects
Marketing-mix activities
conscientiousness
Weakens marketing-mix effects
b
Marketing-mix activities
openness to experience
Weakens marketing-mix effects
Category
Marketing-mix activities
brand relevance in a
category
Weakens (ELM)/strengthens
(ADT) marketing-mix effects
Culture
Marketing-mix activities
secular-rational culture
Weakens (ELM)/strengthens
(ADT) marketing-mix effects
Marketing-mix activities
self-expression culture
Strengthens (ELM)/weakens
(ADT) marketing-mix effects
NOTE.—ELM ¼Elaboration Likelihood Model; ADT ¼Accessibility-
Diagnosticity Theory.
a
That is, for price promotion, þfor the other marketing-mix activities
b
That is, þfor price promotion, for the other marketing-mix activities
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measured using items developed by Donnellan et al.
(2006). Additionally, respondents reported their sociode-
mographic information (i.e., gender, age, education, social
status). Social desirability responding tendencies were
measured using items developed by Hays, Hayashi, and
Stewart (1989).
We obtained household scanner data for all 13 countries
from GfK, Kantar Worldpanel, and IRI. Specifically, we
acquired average shelf price (price per volume for a brand),
distribution intensity (percentage of retailers that sold a
brand, weighted by retailers’ annual market share), and
price promotion intensity (the brand’s annual value sold on
promotion divided by the brand’s total annual sales) during
2014. To render the measure for price comparable across
categories, we compute z-scores for brand price based on
the price of the top 10 national brands in each category. To
ensure temporal separation the scanner data are from 2014
so that they lag the brand trust measure collected in 2015.
Country data on Inglehart’s cultural values were
obtained from World Values Survey. We also obtained a
measure of generalized societal trust from World Values
Survey to control for cross-country variations in disposi-
tion to trust. Variables and operationalizations are summa-
rized in table 3.
We merged the scanner data with consumer survey data
to construct our final data set. Our final sample consisted
of 35,028 observations from 15,073 respondents and 589
brands across 46 distinct CPG categories in 13 countries
(average of 26 categories in each country). Web appendix
B presents category-country combinations in our data set
(as well as grouping them into low, medium, and high cate-
gories with respect to average BRiC ratings). We provide
examples of low, medium, and high average brand trust
(compared to country mean) in web appendix C.
Cross-National Measurement Validation
Following Steenkamp and Baumgartner (1998), first we
establish the cross-national invariance of measurement
instruments. Results of the measurement invariance analy-
ses (reported in web appendix D) support metric and scalar
invariance for CTB and metric invariance for the survey-
based marketing-mix instruments, BRiC, personality traits,
and social desirability responding.
4
Figure 3 shows country
means for CTB, with their 95% confidence intervals. The
three countries where mean CTB is highest—Brazil, India,
and China—are all emerging markets. Noteworthy is that
the US is significantly higher on CTB than any other devel-
oped market.
Model and Estimation
Our model consists of variables at three levels: brand,
consumer, and country. We model consumers’ trust in
brands as a function of marketing-mix instruments and
their interactions with category and country-level modera-
tors. Web appendix E gives details on model development.
Our estimation equation is:
CTBijk ¼d000 þd100ADVijk þd200 NPIijk þd300 DISTik
þd400PRICEik þd500 PROMik þX
p¼5
p¼1
d0p0PRSNpjk
þX
q¼5
q¼1X
p¼4
p¼1
dqp0MKTMIXqijk PRSNpjk
þd060BRICjk þX
q¼5
q¼1
dq60MKTMIXqijk BRiCjk
þd001SECRATkþX
q¼5
q¼1
dq01MKTMIXqijk
SECRATkþd002SELFEXPRk
þX
q¼5
q¼1
dq02MKTMIXqijk SELFEXPRk
þX
p¼11
p¼7
d0p0SOCIOpjk þX
p¼15
p¼12
d0p0CATTYPEpjk
þd003STRkþd004 EURkþWijk
(1)
where idenotes the brands, jdenotes the consumers, and k
denotes the countries in our data. CTB
ijk
denotes the trust
that consumer jin country khas in brand i.ADV
ijk
,NPI
ijk
,
DIST
ik
,PRICE
ik
, and PROM
ik
(collectively
Pq¼5
q¼1MKTMIXqijk ) refer to advertising intensity (q¼1),
new product introduction intensity (q¼2), distribution in-
tensity (q¼3), price (q¼4), and promotion intensity
(q¼5).
5
Pp¼5
p¼1PRSNpjk denotes the Big Five personality
traits extraversion (p¼1), agreeableness (p¼2), conscien-
tiousness (p¼3), openness to experience (p¼4), and neu-
roticism (p¼5). BRiC
jk
represents consumer j’s reliance
on brands in category k.SECRAT
k
and SELFEXPR
k
refer
to the secular-rational and self-expression dimensions, re-
spectively. We include several sociodemographic variables
(Pp¼11
p¼7SOCIOpjk ) to control for heterogeneity across con-
sumers. The SOCIO variable captures gender (p¼7), age
(p¼8), education (p¼9), social class (p¼10), and social
desirability responding tendency of the consumer (p¼11).
We include four category dummies (Pp¼15
p¼12 CATTYPEpjk)
to account for five different types of product categories:
4 Since we do within-country mean-centering for our predictor varia-
bles in our main analysis, establishing scalar invariance is not required
for advertising, new product introduction, brand relevance in a
category (BRiC), personality traits, and social desirability responding.
5DIST
ik
,PRICE
ik
, and PROM
ik
do not vary across survey respond-
ents (hence, they have no jsubscript).
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TABLE 3
VARIABLES AND DESCRIPTIONS
Variable Operationalization Reference Source
Consumers’ trust in brands
(
a¼.79) [CTB]
1) Brand mis a brand I trust. 2) Brand mdelivers what
it promises.
Chaudhuri and Holbrook (2001) Consumer surveys
Advertising intensity
(
a¼.87) [ADV]
1) Brand mis heavily advertised in newspapers, maga-
zines, TV, or internet. 2) Brand madvertises a lot.
Steenkamp et al. (2010) Consumer surveys
New product introduction
intensity
(
a¼.84) [NPI]
1) Brand mfrequently introduces new products. 2)
Brand mhas many new product introductions.
Steenkamp et al. (2010) Consumer surveys
Distribution intensity
[DIST]
Percentage of retailers that sold brand mduring a
year, weighted by retailers’ market shares in the pre-
vious year.
Sotgiu and Gielens (2015) Scanner data
Price
[PRICE]
Value sales of brand mdivided by its volume sales, av-
eraged over all purchase occasions, in the previous
year. For comparability across categories and coun-
tries, based on price of the top 10 brands in category
n, we computed z-scores for brand prices.
Sotgiu and Gielens (2015) Scanner data
Price promotion intensity
[PROM]
Total absolute value sales sold on promotion by brand
m, divided by total absolute value sold by brand m,
per year (in the previous year).
Sotgiu and Gielens (2015) Scanner data
Brand relevance in a
category
(
a¼.89) [BRiC]
1) In category nthe brand plays—compared to other
things—an important role. 2) In category nI focus
mainly on the brand. 3) In category nit is important
to purchase a brand name product. 4) In category n
the brand plays a significant role as to how satisfied I
am with the product.
Fischer et al. (2010) Consumer surveys
Traditional versus secular-
rational values
[SECRAT]
Country scores derived from responses to multiple
items in large representative surveys. Scores range
from –2.0 to 2.0. Higher scores indicate a stronger
secular-rational culture.
Inglehart and Welzel (2005) WVS Wave 5
Survival versus self-ex-
pression values
[SELFEXPR]
Country scores derived from responses to multiple
items in large representative surveys. Scores range
from –2.5 to 2.5. Higher scores indicate a stronger
self-expression culture.
Inglehart and Welzel (2005) WVS Wave 5
Extraversion [PRSN
1
]
(
a¼.78)
I see myself as someone who 1) is the life of the party
2) talks a lot 3) talks to a lot of different people at
parties.
Donnellan et al. (2006) Consumer surveys
Agreeableness [PRSN
2
]
(
a¼.75)
I see myself as someone who 1) sympathizes with
others’ feelings 2) feels others’ emotions 3) is really
interested in others.
Donnellan et al. (2006) Consumer surveys
Conscientiousness
[PRSN
3
]
(
a¼.65)
I see myself as someone who 1) gets chores done right
away 2) likes order 3) makes a mess of things (re-
verse-coded).
Donnellan et al. (2006) Consumer surveys
Openness to experience
[PRSN
4
]
(
a¼.71)
I see myself as someone who 1) has a vivid imagina-
tion 2) is interested in abstract ideas 3) has a good
imagination.
Donnellan et al. (2006) Consumer surveys
Neuroticism [PRSN
5
]
(
a¼.68)
I see myself as someone who 1) has frequent mood
swings 2) is relaxed most of the time (reverse-
coded) 3) gets upset easily.
Donnellan et al. (2006) Consumer surveys
Gender [SOCIO
1
] What is your gender? Consumer surveys
Age [SOCIO
2
] What is your age? Consumer surveys
Education [SOCIO
3
] Which of these best describes your highest level of ed-
ucation? (No formal education; Education up to age:
12, 14, 16, 18; Higher education; University)
Consumer surveys
Social class [SOCIO
4
] If people in our society are divided into upper, upper
middle, middle, lower middle, working, and lower
classes, which class do you think you belong to?
Consumer surveys
SDR [SOCIO
5
]
(
a¼.64)
1) I sometimes feel resentful when I don’t get my way
2) I sometimes try to get even rather than forgive 3)
There have been occasions when I took advantage
of someone.
Hays et al. (1989) Consumer surveys
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beverage (p¼12), personal care (p¼13), household care
(p¼14), and pet food (p¼15), with food as the baseline
category. We also include two country-level control varia-
bles in our model: STR
k
and EUR
k
.STR
k
captures general-
ized trust in others in a country. In our data, we have nine
European countries; therefore, we include a dummy vari-
able (i.e., EUR
k
) to capture unobserved region-specific
effects.
d
100
,d
200
,d
300
,d
400
, and d
500
represent the main effect
of marketing-mix instruments on CTB. Pq¼5
q¼1Pp¼4
p¼1dqp0
capture the moderating impact of the four personality traits
on the effectiveness of marketing activities on CTB.
Retaining all 20 interactions between marketing-mix
instruments and personality traits might lead to multicolli-
nearity and unstable results. Therefore, we retain only
interactions that are significant at the .10 level (see
Steenkamp and Geyskens 2014 for a similar practice). d
160
,
d
260
,d
360
,d
460
, and d
560
represent the moderating effect of
BRiC on the sensitivity of CTB to the marketing activities.
d
101
,d
201
,d
301
,d
401
, and d
501
represent the moderating ef-
fect of secular-rational values on the sensitivity of CTB to
the marketing-mix instruments. Finally, d
102
,d
202
,d
302
,
d
402
, and d
502
test the moderating impact of self-expression
values on the sensitivity of CTB to the marketing-mix
instruments.
Wijk is the composite error term that includes a cross-
classified brand random effect m
ikbrand
, which is normally
distributed with zero mean and variance r
22
.m
ikbrand
cap-
tures brand-specific unobserved heterogeneity that might
impact CTB. We use grand-mean centering for country-
level variables and within-group centering for other varia-
bles that vary within consumers and across consumers.
Since we examine relationships at multiple levels simulta-
neously, we use iterative maximum likelihood.
TABLE 3 (CONTINUED)
Variable Operationalization Reference Source
Societal trust
[STR]
Self-reported trust in others, constructed as the per-
centage of respondents answering yes to the ques-
tion “generally speaking, would you say that most
people can be trusted?”
WVS Wave 5
Product category type
[CATTYPE]
General product category specification (0 ¼food; 1 ¼
beverage; 2 ¼household care; 3 ¼personal care; 4
¼animal food)
Consumer surveys
NOTE.—CTB, ADV, NPI, PRSN
1
–PRSN
5
, BRiC, and SDR were scored on a seven-point scale where 1 ¼“very strongly disagree,” 2 ¼“disagree,” 3 ¼
“somewhat disagree,” 4 ¼“neither agree nor disagree,” 5 ¼“somewhat agree,” 6 ¼“agree,” and 7 ¼“very strongly agree.” Our initial analysis showed that for per-
sonality traits and social desirability responding, some of the original items (which were reverse-coded) did not correlate well with other items or exhibited lack of
measurement variance across countries. We dropped those items.
FIGURE 3
MEAN CTB ACROSS THE COUNTRIES
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Common Method Bias and Endogeneity
While we are interested in examining the effect of
marketing-mix instruments on CTB, one could argue that
the observed relationships between the marketing-mix
instruments and CTB could be because the level of CTB
influences managerial strategy in setting the level of
marketing-mix activities. For example, if price promotions
are used frequently by a brand in a particular country, is it
because the brand has problems in that country (e.g., low
CTB), or did the price promotions reduce CTB? Moreover,
there could be unobserved variables that influence both
marketing-mix activities and CTB (e.g., access to capital,
managerial talent, suppliers, and social media capabilities).
Hence, the effect of marketing-mix instruments on CTB
might be overstated if, for example, managerial talent
drives both. Additionally, the same individuals who rate
CTB also rate advertising intensity, new product introduc-
tion intensity, and BRiC. This could lead to common
method bias.
In order to address the common method bias and endo-
geneity concerns, we generate instrumental variables. We
exploit the multimarket nature of our data set to construct
valid Hausman-style instruments. We obtain meaningful
instrumentation for marketing-mix instruments by using a
brand’s average marketing-mix values in the same cate-
gory across other countries (see web appendix F for a de-
tailed description of our IV approach). Similarly, for BRiC,
we use average values across consumers in other countries.
The instruments are sufficiently strong, as evidenced by
the first-stage R-squared and F-statistics. Across the six
scenarios, we obtain an average R-squared of 30%, and all
incremental F-values exceed the common threshold of 10
(on average, the incremental F-values are 3,021). We esti-
mate six predicted residuals from the first-stage regressions
and then add the estimated residuals as control functions to
the main model (Petrin and Train 2010). The instruments
that we use are obtained from responses by other respond-
ents in different countries. Therefore, our instruments not
only address the endogeneity concerns, but also account
for the common method bias.
RESULTS
Main Effects of Marketing-Mix Activities
Parameter estimates for the model specified in equation 1
are reported in table 4.
6
Note that we report unstandardized
coefficients. In multilevel modeling, standardized coeffi-
cients are problematic because variance is partitioned
across different levels. Advertising intensity (c
100
¼.063,
p¼.037), new product introduction intensity (c
200
¼.381,
p<.001), distribution intensity (c
300
¼.182, p¼.025),
and price (c
400
¼.028, p¼.008) have a significant posi-
tive effect on CTB, while price promotion intensity nega-
tively impacts CTB (c
500
¼–.241, p¼058). These results
are consistent with our predictions regarding the effects of
marketing activities on CTB.
Figure 4 illustrates the magnitude of these effects by pre-
senting observed mean CTB scores for observations that
are at least one standard deviation above (below) the mean
of the marketing-mix instrument in question.
7
The largest
difference is found for new product introduction intensity.
CTB for brands low on this marketing-mix instrument is
on average 4.41 versus an average CTB score of 5.93 for
brands high on this instrument. Cohen’s dfor this effect is
1.44, which meets the cutoff for a large effect size.
8
Advertising also has a large effect (Cohen’s d¼.80): CTB
for brands low (high) on advertising is on average 4.56
(5.47). Price has a small effect (d¼.23), while the effects
of distribution (d¼.15) and price promotion (d¼.09) are
below the cutoff for a small effect size.
The Moderating Role of Personality Traits
Consistent with our earlier discussion, we find that the
effect of advertising (c
110
¼.010, p¼.003) and new prod-
uct activity (c
210
¼.006, p¼.088) is larger for consumers
high on extroversion. Moreover, the effect of advertising is
smaller for consumers that are higher on openness to expe-
rience (c
140
¼–.017, p<.001), which is in line with our
predictions. Mixed support is found for conscientiousness.
Consistent with our expectations, the effect of advertising
is lower for consumers high on this trait (c
130
¼–.014, p¼
.001). However, new product activity has a more positive
effect on CTB for more conscientious consumers (c
230
¼
.020, p<.001). This might be explained by the cognitive
nature of new product activity. By their very nature, new
products introduce some new information in the market,
which takes some effort to process. Conscientious people
may be more prone to do that and, based on their process-
ing of this information, feel that the brand is trying to im-
prove and better meet consumer needs, which increases
brand trust. Finally, we find that advertising has a larger ef-
fect on CTB for more agreeable consumers (c
120
¼–.010,
p¼.009), which contradicts our prediction. Steenkamp
and Maydeu-Olivares (2015) argued that individuals high
on agreeableness have more positive attitudes toward ad-
vertising. This might explain the positive effect we find in
this study.
To get a sense of the magnitude of these interaction
effects, figure 5 (panel A) provides the observed mean
6 Out of the 20 interactions between marketing-mix instruments and
personality traits, we retain and report only those interactions that are
significant at p<.10.
7 Everywhere in the results section, when we talk about high versus
low values on a variable, it refers to one standard deviation above or
below the mean.
8 The cutoff value for a small, medium, and large effect size is .2, .5,
and .8, respectively (Cohen 1988).
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CTB score for low versus high level of the marketing-mix
instrument in question—and the associated Cohen’s d—for
low versus high value of the moderator. To assess the ef-
fect size of the interaction, the difference between the two
Cohen’s ds(Dd) is informative. The figure shows that the
strongest effect sizes are associated with extraversion.
Comparing the effect of advertising between consumers
low on extraversion (d¼.55) and high on extraversion (d
¼.92) for a difference of .37 indicates that the interaction
is of small-medium effect size. The interaction between ex-
traversion and new product activity is associated with Dd
of .33. The only other interaction that meets the cutoff for
a small effect size is between advertising and openness to
experience (Dd¼.21).
TABLE 4
RESULTS
Covariate Parameter Expected sign Estimate p-value
Intercept c000 5.347 <.001
Main effects marketing-mix activities
Advertising intensity (ADV) c100 þ.063 .037
New product introduction intensity (NPI) c200 þ.381 <.001
Distribution intensity (DIST) c300 þ.182 .025
Price (PRICE) c400 þ.028 .008
Price promotion intensity (PROM) c500 –.241 .058
Interactions with personality traits
Extraversion ADV c110 þ.010 .003
Extraversion NPI c210 þ.006 .088
Agreeableness ADV c120 þ–.010 .009
Conscientiousness ADV c130 –.014 .001
Conscientiousness NPI c230 .020 <.001
Openness to experience ADV c140 –.017 <.001
Interactions with brand relevance in category
BRiC ADV c160 ELM(–), ADT(þ) .021 <.001
BRiC NPI c260 ELM(–), ADT(þ) .017 <.001
BRiC DIST c360 ELM(–), ADT(þ) .063 .014
BRiC PRICE c460 ELM(–), ADT(þ) .015 <.001
BRiC PROM c560 ELM(þ), ADT(–) .007 .839
Interactions with national culture
SECRAT ADV c101 ELM(–), ADT(þ) –.011 .364
SECRAT NPI c201 ELM(–), ADT(þ) .076 <.001
SECRAT DIST c301 ELM(–), ADT(þ) .017 .919
SECRAT PRICE c401 ELM(–), ADT(þ) .057 .001
SECRAT PROM c501 ELM(þ), ADT(–) –.733 .006
SELFEXPR ADV c102 ELM(þ), ADT(–) –.061 <.001
SELFEXPR NPI c202 ELM(þ), ADT(–) –.043 <.001
SELFEXPR DIST c302 ELM(þ), ADT(–) .141 .180
SELFEXPR PRICE c402 ELM(þ), ADT(–) –.026 .071
SELFEXPR PROM c502 ELM(–), ADT(þ) .121 .573
Sociodemographics and controls
Gender (male: 0, female: 1) c070 –.026 .056
Age c080 –.002 .008
Education (in years) c090 –.006 .184
Social class c0100 .002 .642
Extraversion c010 .004 .509
Agreeableness c020 .084 <.001
Conscientiousness c030 .078 <.001
Openness to experience c040 .038 <.001
Neuroticism c050 –.031 <.001
Brand relevance in category (BRiC) c060 .191 <.001
Secular-rational culture (SECRAT) c001 –.123 .331
Self-expression culture (SELFEXPR) c002 –.116 .041
Socially desirable responding tendency c0110 .008 .130
Generalized societal trust (STR) c003 –.001 .730
European countries dummy (EUR) c004 –.441 <.001
Category type (CATTYPE) c0120 c0150 Included
Six control functions and brand random effect Included
NOTE.—N ¼35,028; p-values are one-sided for hypothesized effects and two-sided for others; ELM ¼Elaboration Likelihood Model; ADT ¼Accessibility-
Diagnosticity Theory.
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The Moderating Role of Brand Relevance in a
Category
We proposed rival explanations regarding the moderat-
ing role of BRiC as Accessibility-Diagnosticity Theory and
the Elaboration Likelihood Model of persuasion posit dia-
metrically opposing effects. We find that advertising inten-
sity (c
160
¼.021, p<.001), new product introduction
intensity (c
260
¼.017, p<.001), distribution intensity
(c
360
¼.062, p¼.014), and price (c
460
¼.015, p<.001)
have a stronger impact on CTB when BRiC is high
compared to when it is low. The effect for price promotion
is not significant. Thus, we find strong support for
Accessibility-Diagnosticity Theory’s predictions. Figure 5
(panel B) again provides observed mean CTBs. It high-
lights that the interaction effects are mostly substantial. For
advertising, Dd¼.69, a medium-large effect, for new
products and price, the effect is close to medium (Dd¼
.45). The effect for distribution is more modest: Dd¼.28.
The Moderating Role of National Culture
We proposed rival predictions regarding how the secular-
rational and self-expression cultural dimensions moderate
the sensitivity of CTB to the marketing-mix activities.
Consistent with the arguments of Accessibility-
Diagnosticity Theory, we find that higher new product
introduction intensity (c
201
¼.076, p<.001), higher price
(c
401
¼.057, p¼.001), and lower price promotion intensity
(c
501
¼–.733, p¼.006) have a stronger impact on CTB in
countries high on secular-rational values compared to coun-
tries low on secular-rational values. The interactions for ad-
vertising and distribution intensity are not significant.
We find significant interactions for self-expression cul-
ture in the direction specified by Accessibility-
Diagnosticity Theory, albeit not for all marketing-mix
instruments. Consistent with Accessibility-Diagnosticity
Theory, advertising intensity (c
102
¼–.061, p<.001), new
product introduction intensity (c
202
¼–.043, p<.001),
and price (c
402
¼–.026, p¼.071) have a weaker impact
on CTB in countries high on self-expression values. The
other two interactions are not significant.
Figure 5 (panel C) depicts mean CTBs associated with
the significant interaction effects. Four interaction effects
exceed the cutoff for a small effect size. The strongest
effects by far are found for the interactions between self-
expression values and advertising intensity (Dd¼.72) and
new product activity (Dd¼.75).
Sociodemographics and Control Variables
We find that women have lower trust in brands (c
070
¼
–.026, p¼.056) and that CTB declines with age (c
080
¼
–.002, p¼.007). We also find that CTB is lower in
European countries (c
004
¼–.441, p<.001). This finding
is in line with the fact that private labels command a larger
market share in Europe than in any other continent.
We included the main effects of our moderators for
proper interpretation of the interactions. Although they are
not the focus of our study, they yield some interesting
results. We find that people high on the trait of agreeable-
ness exhibit higher CTB (c
020
¼.084, p<.001). This is
consistent with past research that identified the trait of trust
as a subscale of agreeableness (McCrae and Costa 2008).
We also find that consumers scoring high on conscientious-
ness (c
030
¼.078, p<.001) and openness to experience
(c
040
¼.038, p<.001) are higher on CTB, while neuroti-
cism has a negative effect on CTB (c
050
¼–.031, p<
.001). This finding is consistent with the notion that an in-
dividual holding a neurotic personality has a pessimistic at-
titude toward individuals and objects, which makes it
difficult for him/her to trust individuals/entities (Tan and
Sutherland 2004).
The main effect of BRiC is positive and significant (c
060
¼.191, p<.001), suggesting that CTB is higher when in a
particular product category, and brands are more important
to a consumer. We find that consumers have lower trust in
brands in countries high on self-expression values (c
002
¼
–.116, p¼.041). This finding is consistent with previous
research, which argued that brands are expected to do
worse in postmaterialistic countries (Holt 2002;Steenkamp
and Geyskens 2014).
Robustness Checks
We conducted a series of checks to assess the robustness
of our findings, including analyses with median split mod-
erators, and models with manufacturer fixed effects and
FIGURE 4
MEAN CTB AT VARYING LEVELS OF MARKETING-MIX ACTIVITIES
664 JOURNAL OF CONSUMER RESEARCH
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brand fixed effects. We also assessed our model’s out-of-
sample predictive power across three sets of analyses. The
results are reported in web appendixes G–I. The overall
conclusion is that our model findings exhibit a high degree
of robustness.
Other Country-Level Categorizations
While we focus on country differences using Inglehart’s
cultural framework, another, managerially more interest-
ing, classification is between developed and emerging mar-
kets (Burgess and Steenkamp 2006). Our set of countries
includes the four most important emerging markets: Brazil,
China, India, and Russia. We find that the signaling value
of advertising and price is stronger in emerging markets
than in developed markets (see Table 5). Compared to de-
veloped markets, brands have not been around as long in
emerging markets; hence, knowledge about products and
brands is generally less deep (Burgess and Steenkamp
2006). In these contexts, advertising fulfills a more impor-
tant role in creating brand awareness and communicating
the brand message (Pauwels, Erguncu, and Yildirim 2013).
The larger role of price in emerging markets is consistent
with recent research that showed that while consumers in
emerging markets are more price conscious, they also rely
more on price as an indicator to infer product performance
(Zielke and Komor 2015). Distribution has a large effect
on CTB in developed markets but not in emerging markets.
This may be due to the fact that in emerging markets, infor-
mal distribution and small, relatively unsophisticated
mom-and-pop shops play a large role, while in developed
markets, brands are almost exclusively offered in large,
sophisticated, and expensive-looking supermarkets (Child,
Kilroy, and Naylor 2015). Such outlets have more charac-
teristics of expensive brand-specific capital expenditures.
We use the richness of our data set to explore possible
differences in the effects of marketing-mix activities on
CTB across different country-level categorizations (e.g.,
Hofstede’s cultural dimensions, country’s religion, coun-
try’s economic well-being) in an exploratory fashion. We
use median values to categorize countries into low and
high on different factors and run separate analyses on
countries that are above versus below the median on a par-
ticular characteristic, with only the marketing-mix activi-
ties as regressors. We report the results of those analyses in
web appendix J. The results confirm the importance of new
product introduction intensity as the most important driver
of CTB; its effect on CTB is significant across all country-
level categorizations. Advertising is also generally an im-
portant driver of CTB; however, in certain contexts it does
not significantly influence CTB (e.g., countries low on un-
certainty avoidance or low on power distance). Overall, the
results highlight interesting patterns that could be of inter-
est to marketing managers and researchers. Discussing the
possible underlying mechanisms behind these results is
outside the scope of this article, but our findings may offer
inspiration for future research.
DISCUSSION
The brand value chain (Keller and Lehmann 2003) has
emerged as a useful framework to understand the chain of
events through which brands create value. The key first
link in this framework is that marketing activity of the firm
FIGURE 5
MODERATING ROLE OF PERSONALITY TRAITS, BRAND RELEVANCE IN CATEGORY, AND NATIONAL CULTURE
RAJAVI, KUSHWAHA, AND STEENKAMP 665
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influences the consumer mindset with respect to the brand.
If the firm is ineffective in affecting the customer mindset
with its marketing, the subsequent links in the framework
become moot. Our study elaborates and extends the brand
value chain. First, it expands the framework by introducing
brand trust as an important customer mindset element.
CTB has become a top managerial concern and has also
spawned a considerable amount of academic research, doc-
umenting its effect on various brand performance metrics.
Second, we extend the brand value chain by identifying the
context in which the firm operates as a key multiplier, in-
tervening between marketing activity and customer mind-
set. We specify three context domains: consumer,
category, and country. We develop arguments regarding
the main effects of five marketing-mix activities on CTB
as well as the multiplier effects of personality traits (con-
sumer), brand relevance in a category (category), and
secular-rational and self-expression values (country). The
effects were examined using a dedicated data set that com-
bined consumer surveys, household scanner data, and
country data across 589 brands in 46 CPG categories,
across 13 countries, which collectively account for half of
the world’s population. The cross-national data used in this
study provide a strong test of the generalizability of the
findings. Consistent with the expanded brand-value-chain
framework, marketing-mix activity affected CTB, and the
judgment context acted as a systematic multiplier, weaken-
ing or strengthening the effects of marketing program
investments on CTB.
We find that, with the exception of extraversion, the
multiplying role of consumers’ personality traits was small
to negligible, and also not always consistent with their
overall thinking styles. On the other hand, brand relevance
in a category (BRiC) had a much larger multiplier effect.
This suggests that overall thinking styles are less useful to
understand the use of market signals in attitude formation
than category-specific measures. This does not detract
from the theory of thinking styles but suggests that to un-
derstand formation of attitudes toward specific objects (in
our case, trust in specific brands), we need more specific
measures.
In our theorizing, we discussed rival predictions for
BRiC and national culture, based on Accessibility-
Diagnosticity Theory and the Elaboration Likelihood
Model of persuasion. Our findings across categories and
countries consistently supported Accessibility-
Diagnosticity Theory. This is interesting; after all, both are
established theories of attitude formation. Yet they could
be reconciled if, for consumers, firms’ marketing activities
contain real information that requires some thoughtful con-
sideration. If consumers are economic experts, they would
be aware of the information content of the market signals.
They would intuitively understand that if firms renege on
their promises, they would lose repeat business, and hence,
the signals are valid. There are indirect indications that this
might be the case. The two marketing-mix activities for
which the strongest interactions were consistently found
are advertising and new product activity. For advertising,
Kirmani (1990) and Kirmani and Wright (1989) provide
evidence that consumers may indeed link adverting to
quality and sales potential. And for many consumers, new
product activity is important, as it can fill relevant niches
in the marketplace (Schmalensee 1978). According to
Nielsen (2015), almost two-thirds of respondents in a
global survey said they like it when manufacturers intro-
duce new products, and more than half said they purchased
a new product during their last shopping trip.
We find a strong multiplier role for Inglehart’s theory of
national culture. So far, his theory has received little atten-
tion in the literature. Yet his work is rooted in (post)materi-
alism and (post)modernity, which are concepts that are of
great importance to consumer researchers. We believe his
theory deserves more attention in marketing and consumer
behavior.
Managerial Implications
The brand value chain is a structured means for manag-
ers to understand where and how value is created and sug-
gests where to look to improve that process. According to
Keller and Lehmann (2003), brand and category marketing
managers are likely to be particularly interested in the cus-
tomer mindset and the impact of the marketing program on
customers. They create value through smart investments in
their marketing program and by maximizing the multiplier
effects to the extent possible. So, what are smart invest-
ments, from the perspective of maximizing CTB (i.e., allo-
cating more resources to advertising and new product
activity)? These two marketing activities have a large ef-
fect (in Cohen’s sense) on CTB, while the effect of the
other three instruments is small at best. Regarding advertis-
ing, this gives brand managers additional leverage to make
their case that it should not be evaluated only on sales lift.
Advertising builds brand trust, and this message should
resonate with the C-suite, as brand trust is top of mind for
many CEOs (Consumer Goods Forum 2015). Our findings
TABLE 5
THE EFFECT OF MARKETING-MIX ON CTB ACROSS
Emerging
Markets
Developed
Countries
p-value
(difference)
Advertising .133 (<.001) .034 (.039) .018
New products .419 (<.001) .417 (<.001) .966
Distribution –.037 (.651) .270 (<.001) .001
Price .045 (.133) .007 (.523) .234
Price promotion –.271 (.179) –.308 (.009) .872
NOTE.Numbers in parentheses are two-sided p-value.
666 JOURNAL OF CONSUMER RESEARCH
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also support continued investments in innovation by firms,
which is contrary to industry practice, at least for large
firms (Steenkamp and Sloot 2019).
We further find that the effectiveness of these two major
trust-building marketing activities is substantially (in terms
of effect size) moderated by a person’s degree of extraver-
sion, category BRiC, and country espousal of self-
expression values. Segmenting the market on a personality
trait like extraversion is possible, but the likelihood of suc-
cess is probably not high (Wedel and Kamakura 1998, 16).
National culture is a given, too. In this sense, whether these
multipliers inhibit or facilitate value creation may be
largely out of the hands of the marketer. Yet, as argued by
Keller and Lehmann (2003, 31), recognizing their uncon-
trollable nature is important to help put in perspective the
relative success or failure of trust-building programs.
Marketers cannot be logically held accountable for context
multipliers that they cannot influence. So, if marketers in a
brand strategy session are comparing trust in the firm’s
brand across countries, and they find that CTB is lower in
the US than in China, before concluding that the US man-
ager is not doing their job, they need to correct scores to
account for the fact that the US rates high on self-expres-
sion, while China rates low. Our parameter estimates and
the publicly available country scores on the Inglehart
dimensions can be used to make the necessary correction.
However, creative managers can do something about
brand relevance in a category, either individually or via
trade organizations. The two constituent components of
BRiC are risk reduction and social demonstrance (Fischer
et al. 2010). Advertising can play a major role to highlight
the adverse consequences of not selecting your brand—re-
jection by peers (social demonstrance) or disappointing
product performance.
9
This will be most effective if the
market leader or multiple brands in the same category do
this. In many product categories, and certainly in the CPG
industry studied in this article, private labels are the main
homogenizing factor reducing BRiC. Individual or collec-
tive actions to differentiate the brand (brands) from private
labels, then, can help increase BRiC. An example of indi-
vidual brand action is to communicate to consumers that
the brand does not manufacture private labels. Tylenol
runs TV ads in which employees make the following prom-
ise: “We don’t make store brand pain relievers. We make
Tylenol.” Pledge announces on its packaging in red, bold,
capital letters that “THIS FORMULA IS NOT SOLD TO
ANY RETAILER AS A STORE BRAND.” An example of
collective action is the long-running advertising campaign
run by the Austrian Association of Brand Manufacturers
(which counts companies like Mars, P&G, and Colgate-
Palmolive as members), which uses slogans like “Die
Marke garantiert den Unterschied” [the brand guarantees
the difference] and “Das Original: Achten Sie auf die
Marke” [The original: Pay attention to the brand]. The mo-
tivation for this campaign was that “many consumers think
that PLs and NBs are actually the same product, only in
different packaging.” The campaign has since been
adopted by other European associations of brand
manufacturers.
Using advertising to increase BRiC kills multiple birds
with one stone. First, it is yet another way in which adver-
tising contributes to the brand value chain. Second, BRiC
itself has a direct effect on CTB. Third, higher BRiC (ei-
ther via increased CTB or directly; this has not been
researched yet) is associated with improved brand perfor-
mance, especially price premiums and brand equity
(Fischer et al. 2010).
Limitations and Further Research
Our empirical setting casts a wide net, leading to empiri-
cal generalizations. Yet our data are not without limita-
tions, which offers three lines of further inquiry. First, our
data are cross-sectional. An interesting question is whether
and how CTB changes over time. Addressing this question
requires longitudinal data with repeated measurements of
CTB on the same people. This allows one to estimate latent
change trajectories (Steenkamp and Maydeu-Olivares
2015) and relate the parameters of change to marketing
program investments. Second, field experiments or lab
experiments can be used for a more detailed causal expla-
nation of the observed regularities in our study. Lab experi-
ments would specifically be helpful in determining the
underlying mechanisms at play. Researchers can test the
accessibility-diagnosticity mechanism against alternative
explanations to detect the underlying mechanism causing
the observed relationships between marketing-mix activi-
ties and CTB. We speculated that perhaps the Elaboration
Likelihood Model and Accessibility-Diagnosticity Theory
might be reconcilable if, for consumers, firms’ marketing
activities contain real information that requires some
thoughtful consideration. Future research should investi-
gate this possibility. Third, in our research, advertising in-
tensity and new product introduction intensity were
operationalized using survey items developed and vali-
dated in past research (Steenkamp, van Heerde, and
Geyskens 2010;Steenkamp and Geyskens 2014). Future
research should examine whether these findings are repli-
cated with secondary data.
The brand-value-chain model includes program quality
multipliers, which were not considered in this study. It
remains to be seen whether program quality multipliers in-
teract with the context multipliers we have introduced in
strengthening or weakening the effect of marketing-mix
activities.
9 We focus on advertising, as Fischer et al. (2010) documented that
heavy advertising is associated with higher BRiC. New product activ-
ity may be another way to increase BRiC.
RAJAVI, KUSHWAHA, AND STEENKAMP 667
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In our study, we find that with the exception of extraver-
sion, the moderating role of personality traits is very small.
This raises several questions. First, what is special about
extraversion that underlies this fairly strong effect?
Second, might direct measures of thinking style (Pacini
and Epstein 1999) yield stronger results? Third, might con-
sumer traits that are conceptually related to the Big Five
(Steenkamp and Maydeu-Olivares 2015) be more pertinent
consumer multipliers than personality traits? Future re-
search should look into these questions.
In information economics theory, it is crucial that con-
sumers observe brand-specific investments. The brands in
our study were the largest brands in their category. It is
likely that their marketing activity is more easily observ-
able than that of minor brands. For example, past research
has showed that advertising intensity has differential
impacts across well-known brands and lesser-known
brands (Campbell and Keller 2003). Future research could
extend our work by examining CTB and the role of
marketing-mix activities therein for lesser-known brands.
Finally, future research could extend empirical testing to
consumer durables. Do marketing-mix activities still play
the same trust-building role in these categories? We specu-
late that this will indeed be the case since the emergence of
e-WOM means that any attempt to renege on promises will
quickly be known to multitudes of consumers who just en-
tered the market. We believe this topic requires further
investigation.
DATA COLLECTION INFORMATION
The individual-level survey data that we used in this
study was collected by the global market research agencies
GfK and Kantar Worldpanel in 2015. The household scan-
ner panel data, which was used for measures on price, dis-
tribution, and price promotion, was collected by GfK,
Kantar Worldpanel, and IRI. The authors acquired survey
data and scanner panel data from AiMark. The first author
conducted all empirical analyses in this study.
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... He belief that one will get what one wants from an exchange partner is known as trust. When a person has trust, they are willing to act with confidence that their partner will meet their expectations in a certain way, usually based on the other person's words, promises, or comments are trustworthy and all the knowledge that the customer has and all the conclusions that the customer has about its (Sudirman et al., 2020) object, attributes and benefits According to Consumer trust is the belief or confidence that consumers have in a product, service, or brand, based on the brand's experience, reputation, and ability to meet their expectations and needs consistently (Rajavi et al., 2019) The development of digital technology today has changed the role of humans in various aspects of life, including in the world of entertainment. Entertainment technology now has an increasingly significant role in the entertainment and information delivery process. ...
... The main factor that can increase consumer trust in a brand is the ability to deliver something that is not only effective but also safe, thus meeting their expectations and strengthening trust in the brand (Rajavi et al., 2019). Additionally, other research suggests that positive reviews from other consumers can be an additional benchmark that strengthens perceptions and increases trust in brands (Atulkar, 2020). ...
... Additionally, other research suggests that positive reviews from other consumers can be an additional benchmark that strengthens perceptions and increases trust in brands (Atulkar, 2020). This is in line with research that shows that trust in brands can encourage consumers to be more actively engaged, especially when accompanied by additional incentives that appeal to them (Rajavi et al., 2019) H3 : Consumer trust affects brand image ...
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... Secondly, brand trust plays a pivotal role in shaping consumer-brand relationships by acting as a foundation of consumer-brand relationships, such as brand loyalty and advocacy (Alvarez & Fournier, 2016;Cardoso et al., 2022;Kumagai, 2023Kumagai, , 2024Zhang & Bloemer, 2008). Hence, brand trust reflects the consumer's belief that the brand will consistently deliver on its promises, which increases the likelihood of long-term consumer-brand relationships (Rajavi et al., 2019). Brand trust influences consumer decisions and behaviors, fostering a sense of reliability and affective commitment that can lead to sustained consumer loyalty and advocacy (Alvarez & Fournier, 2016;Kumagai, 2023Kumagai, , 2024Zhang & Bloemer, 2008). ...
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