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Human disturbance of the global biogeochemical cycles
... How does this relate to the issue of climate change and climate-simulation uncertainty? The targets researchers have produced nine scenarios for climate change (see den Elzen et al. 1997). When the egalitarian world view is combined with either the individualist or the hierarchist management style, one finds that the upper limit for the co 2 concentration according to the egalitarian world view (450 ppmv, or 'particles per million by volume', meaning 450 co 2 molecules in 1 million air molecules; the preindustrial concentration was 280 ppmv) will be seriously exceeded from 2050 onwards. ...
Computer simulation has become an important means for obtaining knowledge about nature. The practice of scientific simulation and the frequent use of uncertain simulation results in public policy raise a wide range of philosophical questions. Most prominently highlighted is the field of anthropogenic climate change—are humans currently changing the climate? Referring to empirical results from science studies and political science, Simulating Nature: A Philosophical Study of Computer-Simulation Uncertainties and Their Role in Climate Science and Policy Advice, Second Edition addresses questions about the types of uncertainty associated with scientific simulation and about how these uncertainties can be communicated. The author, who participated in the United Nations’ Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) plenaries in 2001 and 2007, discusses the assessment reports and workings of the IPCC. This second edition reflects the latest developments in climate change policy, including a thorough update and rewriting of sections that refer to the IPCC.
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