ArticlePDF Available

Introduction to the special Issue: elections, rhetoric and American foreign policy in the age of Donald Trump

Authors:

Abstract

This introduction presents the special issue’s conceptual and empirical starting points and situates the special issue’s intended contributions. It does so by reviewing extant scholarship on electoral rhetoric and foreign policy and by teasing out several possible linkages between elections, rhetoric and foreign policy. It also discusses how each contribution to the special issue seeks to illuminate causal mechanisms at work in these linkages. Finally, it posits that these linkages are crucial to examining the changes brought about by Trump’s election and his foreign policy rhetoric.
Introduction to the Special Issue: Elections, Rhetoric and American Foreign Policy in
the Age of Donald Trump
!
Authors (in order): Lacatus, Corina (University of Edinburgh); Meibauer, Gustav (London School of
Economics and Political Science)
Lacatus, Corina: Department of Politics and International Relations, University of Edinburgh, 15a
George Square, EH8 9LD Edinburgh, UK; c.lacatus@ed.ac.uk
Meibauer, Gustav: Department of International Relations, London School of Economics and Political
Science, Houghton Street, WC2A 2AE London, UK; g.m.meibauer@lse.ac.uk
Corina Lacatus is based in the Politics and International Relations Department at the University of
Edinburgh. She holds a doctorate in International Relations from the London School of Economics and
Political Science and a second doctorate in Germanic Languages and Literatures from the University of
California Los Angeles. Writ large, her research explores the influence that international organisations
have on domestic institutions, politics, and societies in different areas of policymaking and practice,
such as south-to-north migration, human rights, corruption control, and the management of complex
humanitarian crises. She also has a strong interest in political communication and, more generally, the
intersection of politics and language.
Gustav Meibauer is a Fellow for US Foreign Policy and Politics at the International Relations
Department of the London School of Economics and Political Science. He holds a doctorate from the
London School of Economics and Political Science. His research explores the interlinkage of domestic
politics and foreign policy in the analysis of state behaviour, with a focus on the interests, ideas and
language at play in US foreign policy decision-making and deliberation. To that end, he also works on
the theoretical contributions of neoclassical realism to foreign policy analysis and international relations
theory.
Abstract: This introduction presents the special issue's conceptual and empirical starting points and
situates the special issue’s intended contributions. It does so by reviewing extant scholarship on electoral
rhetoric and foreign policy and by teasing out several possible linkages between elections, rhetoric and
foreign policy. It also discusses how each contribution to the special issue seeks to illuminate causal
mechanisms at work in these linkages. Finally, it posits that these linkages are crucial to examining the
changes brought about by Trump’s election and his foreign policy rhetoric.
!
2!
!
This special issue examines the significance of the 2016 election and of the first years of
Trump’s presidency, considering how they have changed and challenged the norms, style and
content of American foreign policy discourse. Ever since Donald Trump’s surprising victory in
2016, a great deal of research has been exploring new trends in contemporary American
domestic politics and foreign policy. Scholars have examined the rise of populism, crisis talk,
racially charged discourse, as well as arguably unprecedented degrees of partisanship and
polarisation (Chernobrov, 2019; Homolar and Scholz, 2019; Jacobson, 2017; Lacatus, 2019;
MacWilliams, 2016; Oliver and Rahn, 2016; Trubowitz and Harris, 2019). Others have focused
on Trump’s (and the Trump administration’s) rhetorical style and modes of communication
(Appel, 2018; Bostdorff, 2017; McDonough, 2018; Savoy, 2018; Wang and Liu, 2018). The
Covid-19 pandemic and the US response to it have put the interlinkage, including many
puzzling divides, between elections, rhetoric and policy (including foreign policy) into
particular focus.
Based on often unstructured and improvised statements in pronouncements in rallies,
interviews, and in social media, Trump’s policy positions on free trade, immigration, alliances,
treaties, international law and international cooperation seemed to fly in the face of what was
frequently assumed to be a broad-based, post-WWII consensus of America’s role in the world
(Edwards, 2018; Stokes, 2018). To some commentators, the election signalled the end of liberal
democracy paralleling US decline, with Trump’s worldview representing ‘a frontal assault on
the core convictions of the post-war US global project’ (Ikenberry, 2017; also: Dumbrell, 2010).
After all, traditional party politics were assumed to stop at the water’s edge or, at the very least,
to be more measured when it came to foreign policy and national interests. In this regard,
Trump’s electoral success supposedly marks a turning point, as he advertised against core
liberal values assumed to form the foundation of US foreign policy – trade agreements,
alliances, international law, multilateralism, environmental protection, protection from torture,
and human rights (Ikenberry, 2017).
Predictions that Trump would change his style as he was socialised into the
responsibility of his office and become more ‘presidential’ turned out to be mistaken, as Trump
continued to hold rallies and tweet actively (Holland and Fermor, 2017). Approaching his fourth
year in office, the jury is still out on whether we see potentially catastrophic disruption or
surprising continuity in terms of Trump’s foreign policy proposals and decisions, compared to
his own campaign promises and also in relation to previous administrations (Abrams, 2017;
Herbert et al., 2019; Macdonald, 2018; Sperling and Webber, 2019; Stokes, 2018; Wolf, 2017).
In important ways, the public rhetoric of his presidency has remained the same as the position
of presidential candidate Trump in 2016. However, his administration’s foreign policy
!
3!
!
decisions have not always aligned with campaign promises or with the content of Trump’s own
communication via social media, press conferences and rallies. Whether or not commentators
agree on the role of political rhetoric in politics more broadly, there is little doubt that Trump’s
rhetoric on foreign policy, his electoral success and his subsequent foreign policy performance
as president have challenged and continue to challenge many of our assumptions about US
foreign policy-making. It is this very tension that lies at the centre of our special issue.
Contributions to this special issue examine US electoral dynamics past and present, with
an eye on foreign policy. More specifically, they explore patterns in electoral behaviour,
probing causal mechanisms that can explain the relationship between rhetoric and foreign
policy at election time. They focus on what recent candidates to the US presidency say on the
campaign trail, and what implications and consequences this has for US foreign policy. They
do so in different ways: first, they explore how presidential candidates make strategic use of
public rhetoric in presidential campaigns to position themselves as distinct from other counter-
candidates on foreign policy issues. They seek to situate these rhetorical positions in the
historical and comparative context of previous elections in the United States. Second, they offer
a comprehensive view of Trump’s electoral rhetoric by exploring virtually all main means of
official communication on foreign policy used during the election campaign and in the
aftermath of the election. They examine the main tropes Trump has used to advance an image
of the United States that is infused with far-right populist ideas, presenting it as militarily and
financially powerful and, all the while, a victim of other states’ pursuit of their national interests.
Finally, they consider the implications that these rhetorical choices have on foreign policy after
Trump’s victory, tracing the persistence of rhetoric beyond the campaign trail into his
presidency, and finally into the 2020 elections.
In the next section, we present our conceptual starting points, situate the special issue’s
intended contribution by reviewing extant scholarship on electoral rhetoric and foreign policy,
and discuss causal linkages crucial to examining the changes brought about by Trump’s election
and rhetoric on foreign policy.
Framing Our Contribution
Literature on the intersection of domestic debate, rhetoric and foreign policy is surprisingly
scarce, especially in the subfield of foreign policy analysis (Johnstone and Priest, 2017: 2). This
may have to do with an assumption that rhetoric and ‘actual’ state behaviour frequently and
consistently misalign (Browne and Dickson, 2010; McCrisken, 2011), and that drivers other
than communicated intentions influence foreign policy choice to a much greater degree (e.g.
the geopolitical environment, national or economic interests, or ideational factors). The sense
!
4!
!
might still prevail that foreign policy issues do not matter much to voters, and/or that they
(therefore) do not consistently feature in elections (Aldrich et al., 1989). With this special issue,
we seek to show that the study of language and rhetoric in the context of elections does enhance
our understanding of foreign policy behaviour.
In broad strokes, foreign policy rhetoric concerns the spoken, written (and, more rarely,
visual) communication used publicly by politicians in reference to foreign policy. It is thus a
subset of what Aristotle defined as political rhetoric – arguments that weigh alternative courses
of action relating to governmental tasks such as taxation, war, and legislation. Indeed, foreign
policy rhetoric is conventionally aimed at selling, justifying or otherwise communicating
content about foreign policy, e.g. its goals, processes or outcomes, to a wide variety of
audiences by means of persuasive argumentation (Condor et al., 2013: 2), but may well have
additional purposes (e.g. signalling something about the character of the speaker). It is a
linguistic as well as strategic practice (leaning on classical definitions by, e.g., Quintilian and
Aristotle). Just as other political rhetoric, foreign policy rhetoric may include the use of
rhetorical figures (Ferrari, 2007), slogans or keywords (Hart et al., 2004; Kephart and Rafferty,
2009), humour (Timmerman et al., 2012), and a wide variety of other rhetorical devices (for an
overview: Condor et al., 2013: 265–266; Garsten, 2011). Audiences for foreign policy rhetoric
may include foreign policy elites, decision-makers, advisers, politicians, journalists, donors or
lobby groups. They may also include wider sub-sections of the general public, such as voters,
or they may be addressed at unspecified audiences and even globally. As such, foreign policy
rhetoric is not bound to a specific medium or communication style: it can be spoken in person,
televised, written, and tweeted, in formal public debate or in everyday political exchange.
Like Tulis (2017), we consider the use of rhetoric central to presidential governance, as
it allows presidents to make strategic use of communication with the public and engage it to
generate public support for their policy-making (also: Garsten, 2011; Medhurst, 2008; Stuckey,
2010; Stuckey and Antczak, 1998). Grounded in the common opinion that presidents should be
popular leaders, strategic use of public rhetoric is equivalent to the promise of popular
leadership and at the core of dominant interpretations of American political order. It acts as a
pledge against ‘gridlock’ in a pluralistic constitutional system and as a clear intention to prevent
‘ungovernability’ (Tulis, 2017). During electoral campaigns, the presidential candidates’ use of
public rhetoric to engage with the electorate is the principal, if not the sole, strategic tool they
have at their disposal to shape their public image, differentiate themselves from other
candidates, and propose a policy agenda. Significant in the context of our special issue, public
rhetoric is the main channel of communication that campaigns can deploy tactically to advance
their candidates’ foreign policy positions, contest others’ positions, and lay out future foreign
!
5!
!
policy strategy. This in turn affects, and is affected by, the actualised foreign policy of the
United States that predates as well as follows elections. In this sense, current electoral rhetoric
is important to contemporary and future presidential leadership in the US as well as reflective
of profound developments in American politics in recent decades.
The special issue interrogates those conceptual, causal and empirical linkages that help
elucidate the dynamics of foreign policy rhetorical positioning during and after elections. In
politics, the realities encapsulated by the main concepts discussed in this special issue often
overlap and are in fact hard to distinguish. By the same token, the articles in this special issue
cannot cover the whole spectrum of conceptual avenues and of evidence about these
associations and linkages. Still, they offer valuable insights into some of the key causal
processes at work that link electoral rhetoric about foreign policy and foreign policy-making,
including by grounding their arguments in the empirical analysis of American elections and
foreign policy. In the following, we discuss how each contribution to the special issue seeks to
illuminate causal mechanisms linking elections, rhetoric and foreign policy in this context.
Foreign policy rhetoric and electoral outcomes
Foreign policy rhetoric and elections are systematically interlinked, both generally in
democracies as well as specifically in the United States. The sequence and recurrence of
elections, the process of candidate choice in the primaries and elections, the sequence and
relative importance of different communication channels and venues, and the overall make-up
of the electorate matter for the type, frequency and tone of foreign policy rhetoric as employed
by American presidential candidates (Bernardi, 2020; Ili et al., 2012; Trent et al., 2011).
Moreover, foreign policy rhetoric features prominently in US presidential elections not least
because presidents wield broad powers to direct state power and military capabilities (Johnstone
and Priest, 2017: 7). This increases the importance of what contenders for office say their goals
or aspirations are. Indeed, rhetoric, including about foreign policy, is crucial to democratic
political discourse because it provides the mechanism through which candidates vie for voters,
and voters decide whom to vote for based on what they hear from and about the candidates
(Kendall-Taylor and Frantz, 2016).
In so trying to convince voters, candidates may tailor their argument to the audience to
which (as well as the context in which) they are talking (Condor et al., 2013: 12). They can side
with one partial audience, and even ostracise another (Chernobrov, 2019), to clarify their policy
positions and mobilise potential voters. Alternatively, to ‘avoid being seen to side with a
particular section of the audience or community […]’, a candidate may try to ‘present an
argument in such a way as to appear to incorporate a range of divergent points of view’, or one
!
6!
!
that moves ‘beyond […] divisive arguments’ (Condor et al., 2013: 18). However, in the context
of elections, foreign policy rhetoric may be aimed not only at communicating policy positions.
It is also about convincing the broader electorate, or more specialised audiences of, variously,
the candidate’s expertise, authority, character, or suitability for the presidency (Johnstone and
Priest, 2017: 4).
As Meibauer (2021) suggests in this special issue, incentives to speak authoritatively,
in detail and on the stump to widely different audiences about complex foreign policy issues
may lead candidates across the aisle to knowingly endorse suboptimal proposals, a motivation
they subsequently seek to hide from the electorate. Meibauer argues that hyper-specific policy
proposals are attractive because they signal competence and active leadership more than
realistic, complex suggestions might. The need to maximise electoral coalitions during
increasingly confrontational, personalised and live-televised elections thus incentivises a focus
on slogan-oriented rhetoric and the production of foreign policy ‘bullshit’. Such rhetoric, if
sufficiently ambiguous, can be used strategically to blur issue distinctions (Milita et al., 2017;
Waldman and Jamieson, 2003). Alternatively, it may set an agenda favourable to the candidate,
frame issues in specific ways, construct a ‘character narrative’ around the candidate, and
resonate emotionally with the audience (Gadarian, 2010; Jerit, 2008; Medhurst, 2008). Indeed,
it may not be rational argumentation but emotive narratives and ‘stories’ that win elections
(Marcus, 2010). In the Trump campaign, for example, these storylines and personas tightly
interlinked with popular culture and an anti-establishment ethos (Moon, 2019). This also
usefully complements relevant literature focusing on Trump’s supposed charisma (Aswad,
2019).
Several contributions in this special issue engage directly with a growing body of
scholarship on the proliferation of populist ideas and their impact on foreign policy (rhetoric)
in the context of the 2016 election and the first half of the Trump administration (Lacatus, 2021;
Holland and Fermor, 2021; Hall, 2021). This special issue does not seek to engage in conceptual
debates about the nature of populism as a form of political mobilisation (Jansen, 2011; Levitsky
and Roberts, 2011; Weyland, 2001), an ideology (Mudde, 2007), or a type of discursive frame
(Bonikowski and Gidron, 2016; Hawkins, 2009; Jagers and Walgrave, 2007; Lacatus, 2019;
Poblete, 2015; Rooduijn and Pauwels, 2011). Rather, the contributors endorse the view that, at
its core, populism is a form of political rhetoric predicated on the moral vilification of elites,
who are seen as a threat to the ‘people’ and self-serving in their support for an undemocratic
world order (Moffitt, 2015; Oliver and Rahn, 2016; Rooduijn, 2014).
Trump makes use of far-right populist rhetoric to advance foreign policy claims of
isolationism, illiberalism, and the need to protect American economic interests at all costs. In
!
7!
!
Trump’s view, the goal of foreign policy is to promote the best interest of the real American
people who have suffered economically from America’s past record of entering ‘bad deals’.
Lacatus (2021) shows in this special issue that both candidate and president Trump’s core
argument is that the long-standing tradition of support for liberal democracy and liberal
internationalism abroad has been a grave political and economic miscalculation with a negative
impact on the American people’s wealth, employment and personal safety. As Hall (2021)
argues in this special issue, Trump’s rhetoric on the campaign trail fails to deliver a convincing
position on foreign policy or a meaningful attempt to legitimate policy. Rather, his rhetoric is
intended as a mechanism to reach his domestic base and perpetuate a sense of crisis to which
only Trump, as a populist leader, can offer a solution. This instrumental use of rhetoric to
advance emotionally appealing storylines persists after Trump’s victory and well into his
presidency. Holland and Fermor show that in the two years after electoral victory, the Trump
administration sought to appeal to the public with the use of Jacksonian rhetoric with populist
undertones by advancing the myth of the white working class as the very backbone of American
identity.
While on the campaign trail, electoral candidates do not (yet) face the burdens of office.
Hence, they have more leeway to suggest alternatives which are at the same time unlikely to be
effective or implementable as well as (so they may think) likely to garner additional votes. A
mismatch between facts and the rhetoric presidential contenders and their campaigns use may
therefore not be altogether surprising (Hess, 1980). Correspondingly, relevant literature deals
at length with different candidates’ improbable promises, half-truths, and outright lies (Aldrich
et al., 2006; Hess and Nelson, 1985; Iyengar and Simon, 2000; Johnstone and Priest, 2017;
Lesperance, 2016; Miller and Shanks, 1982; Milner and Tingley, 2015; Nincic and Hinckley,
1991; Waltz, 1967). In this respect, Trump’s position is no exception. Several contributors to
this special issue show that, in fact, Trump’s rhetorical engagement with foreign policy in his
electoral campaign and after his victory has remained consistent (Holland and Fermor, 2021;
Hall, 2021; Lacatus, 2021). However, this consistency of public discourse does not necessarily
translate into a more credible means to legitimate foreign policy either on the campaign trail or
in office.
In addition, foreign policy issues rarely, if ever, dominate elections in the US, and the
electorate consistently prioritises domestic matters (Johnstone and Priest, 2017: 7). As Boys
(2021) suggests in this special issue, this presents presidential hopeful with strategic challenges,
especially when seeking to advance a foreign policy agenda. How do candidates talk about
foreign policy issues if they run on a predominantly domestic platform? Boys draws
comparisons between the Clinton and Trump campaigns of 1992 and 2016 respectively to
!
8!
!
suggest that the two campaigns share some similarities in their strategic use of foreign policy
rhetoric to further domestic political themes and slogans. This is surprising given the
fundamental difference in terms of the underpinning ideas and tone of their rhetoric.
In principle, there are limits to what electoral candidates can get away with: they risk
being called out or fact-checked during election by voters or vigilant media if what they say (or
how they say it) is untrue or otherwise falls outside the presumed norms of American political
discourse. Evidently, the 2016 election and the Trump presidency have called into question the
depth and durability of such discursive norms (Duval, 2019; Jamieson and Taussig, 2017; see
also: Rose, 2017 on post-truth politics). Trump’s electoral rhetoric prior to the 2016 election
stood in stark contrast to the public discourse advanced by the Obama administration and by
most other counter-candidates and presidential hopefuls. The strong mobilising effect Trump’s
rhetoric had on his supporters undoubtedly contributed to its electoral success (Hall, 2021).
However, counter-intuitively, as Holland and Fermor (2021) argue in this special issue, part of
the success that Trump’s foreign policy rhetoric enjoyed may have been due to a strong initial
resistance to it by political and media elites. This resistance failed to create a persuasive
rhetorical alternative and thus reinforced Trump’s discursive hegemony.
The interplay between foreign policy rhetoric and electoral incentives is causally linked
to the actual conduct of US foreign policy. For one, US foreign policy past and present provides
a context within which candidates vie for persuading voters. Interpretations of its success,
effectiveness, righteousness, necessity and so forth frame what incumbents and candidates
formulate positions on, e.g. what they say (and how) about foreign policy. If the US is perceived
to have a largely successful foreign policy, for example, candidates may wish to emphasise
continuity, or focus on domestic issues instead. Similarly, if opponents are perceived to have
weaknesses in dealing with foreign policy questions, raising such questions to the agenda might
be beneficial. How does a candidate’s electoral foreign policy rhetoric interact with actualised
foreign policy?
The effects of foreign policy rhetoric on foreign policy behaviour
Foreign policy rhetoric can be understood as turning the candidate’s underlying ideas about
foreign policy into contestable arguments (Finlayson, 2007: 552). Correspondingly, literature
on US foreign policy identifies different ideational ‘camps’ that vie with each other over the
accurate interpretation of geostrategic incentives, interests, and the appropriate ends to achieve
desired goals. For example, numerous authors have debated ‘traditions’ (Mead, 2002) or grand
strategic paradigms in US foreign policy (Dueck, 2004; Kohout et al., 1995; Nacht, 1995; Nau,
2002, 2013; Posen & Ross, 1996). In this case, electoral foreign policy rhetoric links with
!
9!
!
actualised foreign policy in that it expresses different ideational content that forms the basis of
some possible future foreign policy direction. It rhetorically signals the future intent and
aspirations of the speaker both in content and style, and the foreign policy of the president-elect
supposedly by and large follows this rhetoric. This in turn affects how outsiders anticipate and
use (discourses on) the direction of US foreign policy (Pan et al., 2019).
After electoral victory, there is commonly an expectation that the candidate (now
president) will try to make good on their rhetoric. Their performance as president depends, at
least to some degree, on how well their decision-making, legislative agenda and/or general
habitus correspond with what they communicated in primaries, presidential debates, speeches
and tweets. If presidents do not accomplish what they set out to achieve, i.e. do not live up to
voter expectation, they should expect to be punished at the ballot box (Mesquita et al., 2004;
Waltz, 1967). From this perspective, elections function as an accountability mechanism that
constrains both candidate rhetoric (in anticipation of future office) and actual foreign policy.
Of course, the extent to which candidates and presidents are bound in such a way not least
depends on the level of information available to the public (Baum, 2004). Still, this mechanism
of incentivising candidates to openly lay out their foreign policy aspirations is principally
assumed to make democratic foreign policy open and predictable.
Yet, as Payne (2021) suggests in this special issue, the effect of electoral constraints on
presidential decision-making and US foreign policy may be belated, inconsistent, non-linear,
and not easily observed in only specific time-periods (e.g. immediately before or after
elections). Indeed, the Trump presidency brought to the surface not only a mismatch between
campaign promises and the Trump administration’s foreign position after electoral victory, but
also a continuation of the distance between public rhetoric and actualised foreign policy. This
contribution to the special issue broadens the scope of existing scholarship focused primarily
on the initial decision to use force by examining the influence of electoral considerations on
strategic decisions-making in-bello in the closing stages of the Vietnam and Iraq wars. If
decision-making processes are a balancing act between the president’s competing interests as
both elected head of state and Commander-in-Chief, the American electoral cycle plays an
important role in constraining military strategy in war. More specifically, presidents are often
trapped by rhetorical commitments made in an earlier campaign trail, which may subside in the
beginning of a term in office only to return with plans of re-election.
In the case of Trump, Hall argues, we find little direct linkage between foreign policy
rhetoric during electoral campaigns and policymaking once the winning candidate takes office.
Hall identifies a disconnect between Trump’s foreign policy rhetoric on the campaign trail and
his administration’s counterterrorism policies. Two examples illustrate the distance between
!
10!
!
rhetoric and reality – the cases of the May 2017 Arab Islamic American Summit in Saudi
Arabia, and the US role in the counter-ISIS campaign. They show that Trump’s foreign policy
rhetoric continued to deliver a crisis-focused message to the public rather than communicating
and justifying the actual policy positions the administration took. Hall concludes that the main
purpose of Trump’s foreign policy rhetoric is the advancement of populist ideas. This moves
his focus of interest away from terrorism as an area national security policy central to
government, and towards Muslim immigrants and Washington elites as the actors behind the
crisis of terrorism.
Elections may bring about discontinuity and disruption in the relationships the US has
with its long-standing allies. For example, eager to differentiate themselves from their
predecessor, new presidents press for quick policy changes and decisions, thereby overturning
previous policy (Fuchs, 2019; Mosher, 1985). Especially where electoral foreign policy rhetoric
suggests drastic change rather than continuity, it may induce considerable uncertainty among
international audiences (Wolford, 2007). Correspondingly, Blanc (2021) in this issue explores
how the US and the European Union have used institutionalised dialogues to help tame the
anxiety related to a change of leadership, and in so doing reinforce their respective relationship
identity. She finds that the potentially destabilising effects of elections are mitigated, in the case
of Trump, by precisely the types of cooperative efforts that Trump railed against as candidate.
Despite Trump’s disdainful electoral rhetoric about the European Union, institutionalised
transatlantic dialogue continues in the first months of the Trump’s administration. This
provided much-needed reassurance that the long-standing friendship was still relevant.
Nevertheless, the quality and quantity of dialogues change at this time of transition – Trump’s
reliance on improvised and explosive ways of communication leads to more time being
dedicated to clarifying presidential intentions. This allowed less focus on substantive issues of
cooperation and foreign policy. By extension, a sense of urgency prompted several different
state and non-state actors to further consolidate existing transatlantic ties and seek to forge new
ones. Like other contributors to this special issue, then, Blanc sheds light on the mechanisms
that govern the transmission belt between elections, foreign policy rhetoric, and actualised state
behaviour.
Conclusion
Collectively, the contributions included in this special issue offer an initial attempt to tackle the
conceptual and empirical intersection of elections, foreign policy rhetoric and US foreign policy
in times of Trump. By delving deeper into the causal and conceptual links between what is said
and what is done during and after elections, we no longer treat foreign policy rhetoric as
!
11!
!
epiphenomenal. Rather, we view it as crucial to understanding the past and future direction of
US foreign policy. Contributors to this special issue examine the significance of the 2016
election and of the first years of Trump’s presidency, considering how they have changed and
challenged the norms, style and content of American foreign policy discourse. Ultimately, the
shared goal is not only to unravel the conceptual and theoretical interplay of some of the core
facets of state behaviour, but also to decipher where and how these insights can be applied to
advance our understanding of current American politics. This special issue takes a pluralist
approach to methodology and analysis, encouraging the triangulation of different types of data
and of different methods. At the same time, contributions in this special issue are joined by
important conceptual and empirical similarities, motivated by their principal concern to
understand the key drivers of Trump’s ascendance, rhetoric, and impact on American politics
and foreign policy.
!
12!
!
Bibliography
Abrams E (2017) Trump the Traditionalist: A Surprisingly Standard Foreign Policy. Foreign Affairs
96: 10.
Aldrich JH, Sullivan JL and Borgida E (1989) Foreign Affairs and Issue Voting: Do Presidential
Candidates ‘Waltz Before A Blind Audience?’ The American Political Science Review 83(1):
123–141. DOI: 10.2307/1956437.
Aldrich JH, Gelpi C, Feaver P, et al. (2006) Foreign Policy and the Electoral Connection. Annual
Review of Political Science 9(1): 477–502. DOI: 10.1146/annurev.polisci.9.111605.105008.
Appel EC (2018) Burlesque, Tragedy, and a (Potentially) “Yuuuge” “Breaking of a Frame”: Donald
Trump’s Rhetoric as “Early Warning”? Communication Quarterly 66(2): 157–175. DOI:
10.1080/01463373.2018.1439515.
Aswad NG (2019) Exploring Charismatic Leadership: A Comparative Analysis of the Rhetoric of
Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump in the 2016 Presidential Election. Presidential Studies
Quarterly 49(1): 56–74. DOI: 10.1111/psq.12490.
Baum MA (2004) Going Private: Public Opinion, Presidential Rhetoric, and the Domestic Politics of
Audience Costs in U.S. Foreign Policy Crises. The Journal of Conflict Resolution 48(5): 603–
631.
Bernardi L (2020) Policy Responsiveness and Electoral Incentives: A (Re)assessment. Political
Behavior 42(1): 165–188. DOI: 10.1007/s11109-018-9490-4.
Blanc E (2021) "We need to talk": Trump's electoral rhetoric and the role of transatlantic dialogues.
Politics.
Bonikowski B and Gidron N (2016) The populist style in American politics: Presidential campaign
discourse, 1952–1996. Social Forces 94(4): 1593–621.
Bostdorff DM (2017) Obama, Trump, and Reflections on the Rhetoric of Political Change. Rhetoric
and Public Affairs 20(4): 695–706.
Boys J (2021) Grand Strategy, Grand Rhetoric: The Forgotten Covenant of Campaign ’92. Politics.
Browne J and Dickson ES (2010) ‘“We Don’t Talk to Terrorists”’: On the Rhetoric and Practice of
Secret Negotiations. Journal of Conflict Resolution 54(3): 379–407. DOI:
10.1177/0022002709358825.
Chernobrov D (2019) Who is the modern ‘traitor’? ‘Fifth column’ accusations in US and UK politics
and media. Politics 39(3): 347–362. DOI: 10.1177/0263395718776215.
Condor S, Tileagă C and Billig M (2013) Political Rhetoric. In: Huddy L, Sears DO, and Levy JS
(eds) The Oxford Handbook of Political Psychology. 2nd ed. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Available at:
https://www.oxfordhandbooks.com/view/10.1093/oxfordhb/9780199760107.001.0001/oxford
hb-9780199760107-e-009 (accessed 5 August 2019).
Dueck C (2004) Ideas and alternatives in American grand strategy, 2000-2004. Review of
International Studies 30(4): 511–535. DOI: 10.1017/S0260210504006205.
Dumbrell J (2010) American Power: Crisis or Renewal? Politics 30(1): 15–23. DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-
9256.2010.01387.x.
!
13!
!
Duval D (2019) Ringing the alarm: The media coverage of the fulfillment of electoral pledges.
Electoral Studies 60. DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2019.04.005.
Edwards JA (2018) Make America Great Again: Donald Trump and Redefining the U.S. Role in the
World. Communication Quarterly 66(2): 176–195. DOI: 10.1080/01463373.2018.1438485.
Ferrari F (2007) Metaphor at work in the analysis of political discourse: investigating a `preventive
war’ persuasion strategy. Discourse & Society 18(5): 603–625. DOI:
10.1177/0957926507079737.
Finlayson A (2007) From Beliefs to Arguments: Interpretive Methodology and Rhetorical Political
Analysis. The British Journal of Politics & International Relations 9(4): 545–563. DOI:
10.1111/j.1467-856X.2007.00269.x.
Fuchs MH (2019) America Doesn’t Need a Grand Strategy. In: Foreign Policy. Available at:
https://foreignpolicy.com/2019/07/28/america-doesnt-need-a-grand-strategy-big-think-trump/
(accessed 5 August 2019).
Gadarian SK (2010) Foreign Policy at the Ballot Box: How Citizens Use Foreign Policy to Judge and
Choose Candidates. The Journal of Politics 72(4): 1046–1062. DOI:
10.1017/s0022381610000526.
Garsten B (2011) The Rhetoric Revival in Political Theory. Annual Review of Political Science 14(1):
159–180. DOI: 10.1146/annurev.polisci.040108.104834.
Hall J (2021) In search of enemies: Donald Trump’s populist foreign policy rhetoric. Politics.
Hart RP, Jarvis SE, Jennings WP, et al. (2004) Political Keywords: Using Language That Uses Us.
New York: Oxford University Press.
Hawkins KA (2009) Is Chávez populist? Measuring populist discourse in comparative perspective.
Comparative Political Studies 42: 1040–1067.
Herbert J, McCrisken T and Wroe A (2019) The Ordinary Presidency of Donald J. Trump. London:
Palgrave Macmillan.
Hess S (1980) Politics: Does Foreign Policy Really Matter? The Wilson Quarterly (1976-) 4(1): 96–
112.
Hess S and Nelson M (1985) Foreign Policy: Dominance and decisiveness in presidential elections. In:
Nelson M (ed.) The Election of 1984. Washington, D.C.: Congressional Quarterly Press.
Holland J and Fermor B (2021) The discursive hegemony of Trump’s Jacksonian populism: Race,
class, and gender in constructions and contestations of US national identity, 2016-2018.
Politics.
Holland J and Fermor B (2017) Trump’s rhetoric at 100 days: contradictions within effective
emotional narratives. Critical Studies on Security 5(2): 182–186. DOI:
10.1080/21624887.2017.1355157.
Homolar A and Scholz R (2019) The power of Trump-speak: populist crisis narratives and ontological
security. Cambridge Review of International Affairs 32(3): 344–364. DOI:
10.1080/09557571.2019.1575796.
Ikenberry JG (2017) The plot against American foreign policy; can the liberal order survive? Foreign
Affairs 96(3), 2–9.
!
14!
!
Ili LGC, Gornick LJ, Burfeind C, et al. (2012) Does Complex or Simple Rhetoric Win Elections? An
Integrative Complexity Analysis of U.S. Presidential Campaigns. Political Psychology 33(5):
599–618. DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9221.2012.00910.x.
Iyengar S and Simon AF (2000) New Perspectives and Evidence on Political Communication and
Campaign Effects. Annual Review of Psychology 51(1): 149–169. DOI:
10.1146/annurev.psych.51.1.149.
Jacobson GC (2017) The Triumph of Polarized Partisanship in 2016: Donald Trump’s Improbable
Victory. Political Science Quarterly 132(1): 9–41. DOI: 10.1002/polq.12572.
Jagers J and Walgrave S (2007) Populism as political communication style: An empirical study of
political parties’ discourse in Belgium. European Journal of Political Research 46(3): 319–
45.
Jamieson KH and Taussig D (2017) Disruption, Demonization, Deliverance, and Norm Destruction:
The Rhetorical Signature of Donald J. Trump. Political Science Quarterly 132(4): 619–650.
DOI: 10.1002/polq.12699.
Jansen R (2011) Populist Mobilization: A New Theoretical Approach to Populism. Sociological
Theory 29: 75–96.
Jerit J (2008) Issue Framing and Engagement: Rhetorical Strategy in Public Policy Debates. Political
Behavior 30(1): 1–24. DOI: 10.1007/s11109-007-9041-x.
Johnstone A and Priest A (eds) (2017) US Presidential Elections and Foreign Policy: Candidates,
Campaigns, and Global Politics from FDR to Bill Clinton. Lexington: University Press of
Kentucky.
Kendall-Taylor A and Frantz E (2016) How Democracies Fall Apart. Foreign Affairs, 14 December.
Available at: https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/2016-12-05/how-democracies-fall-apart
(accessed 5 August 2019).
Kephart JM and Rafferty SF (2009) “Yes We Can”: Rhizomic Rhetorical Agency in Hyper-Modern
Campaign Ecologies. Argumentation and Advocacy 46(1): 6–20. DOI:
10.1080/00028533.2009.11821713.
Kohout JJ, Lambakis SJ, Payne KB, et al. (1995) Alternative grand strategy options for the United
States. Comparative Strategy 14(4): 361–420. DOI: 10.1080/01495939508403043.
Lacatus C (2021) Populism and President Trump’s approach to foreign policy: An analysis of tweets
and rally speeches. Politics.
Lacatus C (2019) Populism and the 2016 American Election: Evidence from Official Press Releases
and Twitter. PS: Political Science & Politics 52(2): 223–228. DOI:
10.1017/S104909651800183X.
Lesperance WF (2016) American Foreign Policy and the 2016 Presidential Election. Society 53(5):
498–502. DOI: 10.1007/s12115-016-0056-y.
Levitsky S and Roberts KM (eds) (2011) The Resurgence of the Latin American Left. Baltimore: Johns
Hopkins University Press.
Macdonald PK (2018) America First? Explaining Continuity and Change in Trump’s Foreign Policy.
Political Science Quarterly 133(3): 401–434. DOI: 10.1002/polq.12804.
!
15!
!
MacWilliams MC (2016) Who Decides When The Party Doesn’t? Authoritarian Voters and the Rise
of Donald Trump. PS: Political Science & Politics 49(4): 716–721. DOI:
10.1017/S1049096516001463.
Marcus GE (2010) Sentimental Citizen: Emotion in Democratic Politics. Philadelphia, PA: Penn State
Press.
McCrisken T (2011) Ten years on: Obama’s war on terrorism in rhetoric and practice. International
Affairs 87(4): 781–801. DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-2346.2011.01004.x.
McDonough ML (2018) The Evolution of Demagoguery: An Updated Understanding of Demagogic
Rhetoric as Interactive and Ongoing. Communication Quarterly 66(2): 138–156. DOI:
10.1080/01463373.2018.1438486.
Mead WR (2002) Special Providence: American Foreign Policy and How It Changed the World. New
York: Routledge Chapman Hall.
Medhurst MJ (2008) The Prospect of Presidential Rhetoric. College Station: Texas A&M University
Press.
Meibauer G (2021) Ambiguous Specificity: The Production of Foreign Policy Bullshit in Electoral
Contexts. Politics.
Mesquita BB de, Smith A, Siverson RM, et al. (2004) The Logic of Political Survival. Cambridge,
MA: MIT Press.
Milita K, Simas EN, Ryan JB, et al. (2017) The effects of ambiguous rhetoric in congressional
elections. Electoral Studies 46: 48–63. DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2017.01.004.
Miller WE and Shanks JM (1982) Policy directions and presidential leadership: Alternative
interpretations of the 1980 presidential election. British Journal of Political Science 12(3):
299–356.
Milner HV and Tingley D (2015) Sailing the Water’s Edge: The Domestic Politics of American
Foreign Policy. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
Moffitt B (2015) How to perform crisis: A model for understanding the key role of crisis in con-
temporary populism. Government and Opposition 50(2): 189–217.
Moon DS (2019) The role of cultural production in celebrity politics: Comparing the campaigns of
Jesse ‘The Body’ Ventura (1999) and Donald Trump (2016). Politics: 0263395719862446.
DOI: 10.1177/0263395719862446.
Mosher FC (1985) Presidential Transitions and Foreign Policy: The American Experience. Public
Administration Review 45(4): 468–474. DOI: 10.2307/3110030.
Mudde C (2007) Populist Radical Right Parties in Europe. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Nacht A (1995) U.S. Foreign policy strategies. The Washington Quarterly 18(3): 193–210. DOI:
10.1080/01636609509550166.
Nau HR (2002) At Home Abroad: Identity and Power in American Foreign Policy. Ithaca: Cornell
University Press.
Nau HR (2013) Conservative Internationalism: Armed Diplomacy under Jefferson, Polk, Truman, and
Reagan. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
!
16!
!
Nincic M and Hinckley B (1991) Foreign Policy and the Evaluation of Presidential Candidates.
Journal of Conflict Resolution 35(2): 333–355. DOI: 10.1177/0022002791035002009.
Oliver JE and Rahn WM (2016) Rise of the Trumpenvolk: Populism in the 2016 Election. The
ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science 667(1): 189–206. DOI:
10.1177/0002716216662639.
Pan C, Isakhan B and Nwokora Z (2019) Othering as soft-power discursive practice: China Daily’s
construction of Trump’s America in the 2016 presidential election. Politics:
0263395719843219. DOI: 10.1177/0263395719843219.
Payne A (2021) Bringing the Boys Back Home: Campaign Promises and U.S. Decision-Making in
Iraq and Vietnam. Politics.
Poblete ME (2015) How to assess populist discourse through three current approaches. Journal of
Political Ideologies 20(2): 201–218.
Posen BR and Ross AL (1996) Competing Visions of US Grand Strategy. International Security
21(3): 5–53. DOI: 10.2307/2539272.
Rooduijn M (2014) The nucleus of populism: In search of the lowest common denominator.
Government and Opposition 49(4): 573–99.
Rooduijn M and Pauwels T (2011) Measuring populism: comparing two methods of content analysis.
West European Politics 34(6): 1272–83.
Rose J (2017) Brexit, Trump, and Post-Truth Politics. Public Integrity 19(6): 555–558. DOI:
10.1080/10999922.2017.1285540.
Savoy J (2018) Trump’s and Clinton’s Style and Rhetoric during the 2016 Presidential Election.
Journal of Quantitative Linguistics 25(2): 168–189. DOI: 10.1080/09296174.2017.1349358.
Sperling J and Webber M (2019) Trump’s foreign policy and NATO: Exit and voice. Review of
International Studies 45(3): 511–526. DOI: 10.1017/S0260210519000123.
Stokes D (2018) Trump, American hegemony and the future of the liberal international order.
International Affairs 94(1): 133–150. DOI: 10.1093/ia/iix238.
Stuckey ME (2010) Rethinking the Rhetorical Presidency and Presidential Rhetoric. Review of
Communication 10(1): 38–52. DOI: 10.1080/15358590903248744.
Stuckey ME and Antczak FJ (1998) The Rhetorical Presidency: Deepening Vision, Widening
Exchange. Annals of the International Communication Association 21(1): 405–442. DOI:
10.1080/23808985.1998.11678956.
Timmerman DM, Gussman GF and King D (2012) Humor, Race, and Rhetoric: “A Liberating
Sabotage of the Past’s Hold on the Present”. Rhetoric Review 31(2): 169–187. DOI:
10.1080/07350198.2012.652041.
Trent JS, Friedenberg RV and Denton Jr RE (2011) Political Campaign Communication: Principles
and Practices. 7th ed. Lanham: Rowman & Littlefield Publishers.
Trubowitz P and Harris P (2019) The end of the American century? Slow erosion of the domestic
sources of usable power. International Affairs 95(3): 619–639. DOI: 10.1093/ia/iiz055.
Tulis JK (2017) The Rhetorical Presidency. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
!
17!
!
Waldman P and Jamieson KH (2003) Rhetorical Convergence and Issue Knowledge in the 2000
Presidential Election. Presidential Studies Quarterly 33(1): 145–163.
Waltz KN (1967) Electoral punishment and foreign policy crisis. In: Rosenau J (ed.) Domestic Sources
of Foreign Policy. New York: Free Press, pp. 263–294.
Wang Y and Liu H (2018) Is Trump always rambling like a fourth-grade student? An analysis of
stylistic features of Donald Trump’s political discourse during the 2016 election. Discourse &
Society 29(3): 299–323. DOI: 10.1177/0957926517734659.
Weyland K (2001) Clarifying a contested Concept: Populism in the Study of Latin American Politics.
Comparative Politics 34: 1–22.
Wolf R (2017) Donald Trump’s Status-Driven Foreign Policy. Survival 59(5): 99–116. DOI:
10.1080/00396338.2017.1375260.
Wolford S (2007) The Turnover Trap: New Leaders, Reputation, and International Conflict. American
Journal of Political Science 51(4): 772–788.
... Populist incumbents, however, face a different challenge when they run for re-election. Given their experience in office, they have a harder time portraying themselves as "outsiders" ( Lacatus andMeibauer 2021, 2022 ;Meibauer 2021 ) when compared to a firsttime presidential candidate or a candidate with much less experience in office. ...
... While the domestic determinants and implications of populism have been studied extensively, the scholarship on populism and foreign policy as well as on the intersection of populism and international relations is still in its infancy ( Destradi and Plagemann 2019 ). Populism and international relations are interconnected, and this relationship is visible in the ways populist leaders engage in foreign policy, in the electoral discourse of populist candidates about foreign policy, and in the impact that populist politics may have on existing institutions of global governance ( Verbeek and Zaslove 2017 ;Destradi and Plagemann 2019 ;Lacatus 2021 ;Lacatus and Meibauer 2021 ). Some studies focus on populist parties in coalition governments ( Verbeek and Zaslove 2017 ) and others address the relationship between populism and foreign policy with a clear preference for Western politics, a more narrow focus on populist radical right parties outside government in Europe ( Liang 2007 ), or an emphasis on the personalities of "angry" populist leaders ( Drezner 2017 ). ...
... While the domestic determinants and implications of populism have been studied extensively, the scholarship on populism and foreign policy as well as on the intersection of populism and international relations is still in its infancy ( Destradi and Plagemann 2019 ). Populism and international relations are interconnected, and this relationship is visible in the ways populist leaders engage in foreign policy, in the electoral discourse of populist candidates about foreign policy, and in the impact that populist politics may have on existing institutions of global governance ( Verbeek and Zaslove 2017 ;Destradi and Plagemann 2019 ;Lacatus 2021 ;Lacatus and Meibauer 2021 ). Some studies focus on populist parties in coalition governments ( Verbeek and Zaslove 2017 ) and others address the relationship between populism and foreign policy with a clear preference for Western politics, a more narrow focus on populist radical right parties outside government in Europe ( Liang 2007 ), or an emphasis on the personalities of "angry" populist leaders ( Drezner 2017 ). ...
Article
Full-text available
Despite populism being a fast-growing field of inquiry, populist discourse in an African setting is understudied. This paper expands our knowledge of populist communication and foreign policy in a competitive authoritarian context, proposing an analysis of two Ugandan politicians—Bobi Wine and Yoweri Museveni—and their communication on Twitter before the January 2021 election. Counter to expectations, I find that thick ideology has a limited effect on the electoral discourses of both candidates in a competitive autocracy such as Uganda, and this applies also to their communication about foreign policy. When it comes to their position on foreign policy, strategic electoral communication is focused on positioning themselves in relation to the West, signaling a commitment to a strong future linkage with the West and democratization in the event of electoral victory. The content analysis of Twitter-based communication finds that the long-standing incumbent, Museveni, uses tried-and-tested populist tropes to reinforce his regime, emphasizing his government's allegedly strong capacity to maintain a linkage to Western donors and to conduct a successful foreign policy focused on receiving foreign aid and advancing its investment in economic development. In his turn, counter-candidate Wine is a contemporary populist who contests the long-standing regime and promises a truthful commitment to democratization and an authentic and corruption-free linkage with the West if successfully elected. This paper aims to broaden our understanding of how political leaders in competitive autocratic countries of the Global South make strategic use of populist communication about foreign policy to advance their political agendas.
... However, it is these groups were not uniform, and individual motivations for supporting each candidate varied widely within their respective bases. The election's outcome was shaped by a complex interplay of factors, including policy positions, personal values and the broader political climate during that time (Lacatus and Meibauer, 2021). ...
... However, this finding confirms an overall implication that Clinton had a less provocative election strategy on social media. It is expected since the followers of both candidates differ (Lacatus and Meibauer, 2021). ...
Article
Full-text available
Purpose Social media platforms are highly visible platforms, so politicians try to maximize their benefits from their use, especially during election campaigns. On the other side, people express their views and sentiments toward politicians and political issues on social media, thus enabling them to observe their online political behavior. Therefore, this study aims to investigate user reactions on social media during the 2016 US presidential campaign to decide which candidate invoked stronger emotions on social media. Design/methodology/approach For testing the proposed hypotheses regarding emotional reactions to social media content during the 2016 presidential campaign, regression analysis was used to analyze a data set that consists of Trump’s 996 posts and Clinton’s 1,253 posts on Facebook. The proposed regression models are based on viral (likes, shares, comments) and emotional Facebook reactions (Angry, Haha, Sad, Surprise, Wow) as well as Russell’s valence, arousal, dominance (VAD) circumplex model for valence, arousal and dominance. Findings The results of regression analysis indicate how Facebook users felt about both presidential candidates. For Clinton’s page, both positive and negative content are equally liked, while Trump’s followers prefer funny and positive emotions. For both candidates, positive and negative content influences the number of comments. Trump’s followers mostly share positive content and the content that makes them angry, while Clinton’s followers share any content that does not make them angry. Based on VAD analysis, less dominant content, with high arousal and more positive emotions, is more liked on Trump’s page, where valence is a significant predictor for commenting and sharing. More positive content is more liked on Clinton’s page, where both positive and negative emotions with low arousal are correlated to commenting and sharing of posts. Originality/value Building on an empirical data set from Facebook, this study shows how differently the presidential candidates communicated on social media during the 2016 election campaign. According to the findings, Trump used a hard campaign strategy, while Clinton used a soft strategy.
... Most specifically, the increasing attention paid to populism in international relations (IR) has allowed the development of a rich theoretical understanding of the way populist governments tend to formulate, plan, and implement their foreign policies (see, e.g., Verbeek and Zaslove 2017 ;Chryssogelos 2018 ;Destradi and Plagemann 2019 ;Stengel, MacDonald, and Nabers 2019 ). The empirical evidence is also vast and diverse in terms of geographic diversity, including case studies from North America ( Boucher and Thies 2019 ;Löfflmann 2019 ;Skonieczny 2019 ;Drezner 2020 ;Lacatus and Meibauer 2021 ), Latin America ( Sagarzazu and Thies 2019 ;Wajner 2021 ;Lopes, Carvalho, and Santos 2022 ;Wehner 2022 ), Western Europe ( Chryssogelos 2020 ;Giurlando 2021 ;Homolar and Löfflmann 2021 ;Lequesne 2021 ), Eastern Europe ( Jenne 2021 ;Cadier and Szulecki 2022 ;Subotic 2022 ), Southeast Asia ( Plagemann and Destradi 2018 ;Wojczewski 2019 ), Africa ( Lacatus 2023 ), and the Middle East ( Ta ş 2022 ). ...
Article
Full-text available
Under what conditions do populists embrace or reject “the international”? Some scholars of populism argue that populist leaders tend to neglect political (inter-)action in the international arena due to their stated preference for isolationist, nationalistic, and protectionist stances. Meanwhile, others claim that through their promotion of performative encounters and transnational solidarities between “People(s),” populists are actually more likely to engage with actors, ideas, styles, and agendas coming from abroad. This article explores this apparent contradiction, hypothesizing that three main elements influence the “populist mindset” to narrate the external world and thus adopt or rather resist new contingencies originating internationally: legitimacy, support, and opportunity. To examine the combination of these behavioral patterns, we compare two populist presidents who are paradigmatic of a fourth wave of populism in Latin America: Brazil's Jair Messias Bolsonaro and Mexico's Andrés Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO). A comparative analysis of Bolsonaro's and AMLO's discursive responses to numerous foreign policy issues reveals how these three mechanisms condition their engagement or apathy toward external developments in bilateral frameworks of cooperation, regional integration schemes, multilateral organizations, and global governance institutions. The findings of this study can contribute to a greater understanding of populist foreign policies and their outcomes, with a special emphasis on Latin America and the Global South, and more generally to the emerging research on populism in international relations.
... (2) a lack of testing, for example, significant testing started only mid-March 2020; (3) epistemic hubris breeding false assumptions and incompetent actions, for example, Trump suggested that disinfectants or ultraviolet light could be used to kill the virus; and (4) a misinformed and mistaken herd immunity policy, for example, Trump's adviser Scott Atlas advocated a herd immunity strategy (Bell, 2020;De Swielande, 2020;Deegan Krause, 2019;Dixon, 2020;Gaouette et al., 2020;Krmack, 2020;Lacatus, 2020;Lacatus and Meibauer, 2020;Mayer, 2020;Renshon, 2020;Rhodes and Sutton, 2017;Schumaker, 2020;Shear et al., 2020;Stokols and Biermann, 2020;Waldman, 2020;Wehle, 2020;Wehner, 2020;Williams et al., 2018Williams et al., , 2020. On the other hand, New Zealand enacted Covid-19 prevention measures promptly 3 days after the WHO announcement on 30th January of Covid-19 as a public health emergency (e.g. it stopped entry to foreign travellers from China). ...
Article
Full-text available
This research asks: ‘were there any objectively identifiable signals in the words leaders used in the early stages of the Covid-19 pandemic that can be associated with ineffective management of the crisis?’ We chose to focus on the leaders of the two English-speaking nations that fared worst and best in the pandemic, the United States and New Zealand. By way of background and in order to contextualise the research, we compared and contrasted Trump’s and Ardern’s leaderships using the toxic triangle framework of destructive leadership. We then focused on the leader behaviour element of the triangle by using computerised text analysis (CTA) to analyse Trump’s and Ardern’s public pronouncements during the critical early stages of the pandemic. Based on a similarity index ( S), we identified linguistic markers associated with destructive leader behaviours and negative outcomes (Trump) and non-destructive leader behaviours and positive outcomes (Ardern). We discuss future applications of these linguistic markers for the diagnosis both of incumbent and potential leaders’ responses to crises management.
Article
Full-text available
Theorizing and manifesting peace through democracy has always been connected with Kantian propositions, making a country's attempt in realizing those two not to be separated with Kantian theories also. The United States of America has been self-proclaimed as a ‘role model and promoter of democracy and peace’. To some extent this might be true, as its foreign policy key objective includes ‘promoting democracy and advocating human rights. However, the ‘role model’ also translates as an entity that needs to be ‘the best’, yet the 2021 Capital Riot reflects otherwise. This paper proposes the Kantian Peace Triangle as the framework to do the work, by breaking-down US’s policy and activities particularly in the Post-Cold War period. The paper uses qualitative approach and literature review method in the research. This paper argues that the US has not been able to reach the ‘ideal’ essence as a ‘role model of democracy and peace’ in the global order, and that this role has become mostly irrelevant in the 21st century world
Chapter
The connection between populism and foreign policy has received a lot of scholarly attention in recent years. Nevertheless, the nature and impact of populist discourse in an African setting is understudied. This chapter aims to expand our knowledge of populist communication and foreign policy in a competitive authoritarian context, offering an analysis of two Ugandan politicians—Bobi Wine and Yoweri Museveni—and their communication on Twitter before the January 2021 election. The analysis finds that, when it comes to their position on foreign policy, the two candidates use strategic electoral communication to position themselves in relation to the West, signalling a commitment to a strong linkage with the West and democratisation in the event of electoral victory. Museveni, the long-standing incumbent, uses populist tropes that brought him past political success to reinforce his regime, highlighting his government’s well-established linkage to Western donors and experienced conduct of a successful foreign policy based on foreign aid and economic development. Counter-candidate Wine is a contemporary populist who strongly opposes the decades-long regime, critiquing the Western support for Museveni’s presidency. By the same token, Wine promises a corruption-free linkage with the West and a truthful commitment to democratisation, if successfully elected.
Chapter
Full-text available
Who speaks for ‘the people’? Populists across the globe have mobilised this question to attack liberal institutions, political opponents, and the democratic process itself, communicating a political reality in which globalist elites have allegedly betrayed the sovereign will of the popular community. The recent ‘surge’ (Mudde, 2016) or ‘wave’ (Aslanidis, 2016) of populism around the world has encompassed electorally successful right-wing populist leaders in the Northern Hemisphere such as Donald Trump, Boris Johnson, Marine Le Pen, Jaroslav Kaczynski, Recyp Erdogan, and Victor Orbán, who have advanced nationalist, exclusionary, protectionist and Eurosceptic political agendas. In parallel, left-wing populists in Greece, Spain and Bolivia have attracted voters disillusioned with neoliberal economic policies and existing representational mechanisms of liberal democracy with anti-elitist and anti-globalist platforms. In the Southern Hemisphere, Narendra Modi, Jair Bolsonaro and Yoweri Museveni are oft-cited examples of contemporary populist leaders who have enjoyed continued electoral success with agendas promoting ethnocultural and religious-Nationalist slogans in post-colonial contexts. Prior analyses of these populists’ electoral success and political leadership have usually focused on the ideas, ideologies and strategies populism encompasses, especially in the domestic political arena.
Article
In this article, we examine whether former President Trump utilized Twitter to craft a narrative regarding international trade via his use of Twitter. We examine Trump's language choices in a corpus of his tweets to compare his tone in trade‐related tweets against his more general tweets during his presidency. We find that Trump's trade tweets contain language that is more cognitively complex, masculine, and honest, compared to his non‐trade‐focused tweets. This study illustrates Trump's ability to craft and maintain a narrative about trade based on exaggeration and manipulations, in line with populist leadership theory.
Article
With the rise of populist leaders around the world, populism's impact on foreign policy and international affairs has come into focus. Adding to this literature, we propose the concept of ‘populist peacemaking’, in which key tenets of populism, in style and substance, are projected onto the sphere of international mediation. We offer an analytical framework for understanding populist peacemaking consisting of three features. Firstly, populist peacemaking is characterized by a rejection of the ‘peacemaking elites’ and their established rules and practices, including international norms, a refutation of context-specific knowledge, and a clean-slate approach that disregards past peacemaking attempts and alienates other international mediators. Secondly, populist peacemaking employs aggrandized rhetoric and symbolism that puts the mediator—rather than the conflict parties—in the spotlight, thus integrating domestic politics into peacemaking. Finally, populist peacemaking frames the process as representing the volonté générale, i.e. serving the interests of the ‘pure people’ in the conflict-affected context. We illustrate this phenomenon empirically with a case-study of United States' peacemaking efforts during the Trump era, tracing initiatives pursued by US envoys in the Israeli–Palestinian and Kosovo–Serbia conflicts. From this analysis, populist peacemaking emerges as a distinct phenomenon, not to be subsumed under the heading of ‘illiberal peacemaking’.
Article
Full-text available
This article argues that electoral politics acts as an important constraint on presidential decision-making in war. Going beyond the existing literature’s focus on cases of conflict initiation, it outlines how electoral pressures push and pull presidents away from courses of action which may otherwise be deemed strategically optimal. Importantly, however, these electoral constraints will not just apply on the immediate eve of an election but will vary in strength across the electoral calendar. Together, this conceptual framework helps explain why presidential fulfilment of rhetorical pledges made on the previous campaign trail may be belated and often inconsistent. To probe the plausibility of these arguments, case studies of the closing stages of the wars in Vietnam and Iraq are outlined, drawing on archival and elite interview material. These episodes demonstrate that electoral accountability can be a powerful factor affecting wartime decision-making, but its effect is non-linear, and not easily observed through a narrow focus on particular timeframes.
Article
Full-text available
Trump’s stinging electoral rhetoric regarding Europe has profoundly challenged the foundations of the transatlantic relations. Exploring the link between electoral rhetoric and US foreign policy, this article focusses on a key feature of transatlantic policy-making, that is, the multi-levelled architecture of European Union (EU)–US dialogues, involving diplomats, legislators, and civil society. While research shows that dialogues help promote cooperation, their relevance and specific functions in times of elections have not been explored so far. To what extent do dialogical interactions change at the approach of elections and right afterwards? Why do dialogues keep going, in spite of fierce presidential rhetoric suggesting otherwise? To fill this gap, this article explores the EU–US dialogues following Trump’s election to determine the extent to which these dialogues endorse new functions that have so far been overlooked. Adopting a socio-psychological approach, it shows that one of the functions that dialogue fulfils in times of elections is the reassurance that the relationship identity of the actors will be respected to meet their ontological security needs. Drawing on interviews and official documents, this article sheds a new light on the importance of dialogical engagement at these critical points in the life of liberal democracies.
Article
Full-text available
Much like his candidacy, Donald Trump’s presidency has been described as populist par excellence and as fundamentally breaking with the liberal internationalist tradition of American foreign policy. Despite a growing interest in populism and the role it has played in shaping Donald Trump’s appeal to the public at election time in 2016, we lack an understanding of how populist rhetoric after his electoral victory shaped his approach to foreign policy. This article proposes a study of President Trump’s official campaign communication through rally speeches and Twitter during the 2 months prior to the mid-term election in November 2018 as well as tweets published in the official personal account @realDonaldTrump from September to November 2018. The analysis finds that resurgent Jacksonian populism promoted by the Tea Party shapes President Trump’s approach to foreign policy. Fundamentally anti-elitist, Trump’s populism opposes migration, multilateralism, and is deeply sceptical of the United States’ capacity to support a liberal global order that he perceives as detrimental to the economic interest of the American people. In addition, the analysis finds inconsistencies between his campaign discourse of non-intervention in military conflicts abroad and his foreign policy action.
Book
The eighth edition of Political Campaign Communication: Principles and Practices provides a clear understanding of the strategic decisions made and tactical communication practices used in contemporary political campaigns.
Article
This book explores the relationship between American presidential elections and US foreign policy. It argues that analysis of this relationship is currently underdeveloped (indeed, largely ignored) in the academic literature and among historians in particular and is part of a broader negligence of the influence of US politics and the public on foreign policy. It is usually taken as being axiomatic that domestic factors, especially the economy, are the most influential when people enter the voting booth. This may often be the case, but foreign policy undoubtedly also plays an important part for some people, and, crucially, it is seen to do so by presidential candidates and their advisers. Therefore, while foreign policy issues influence some voters in the way they choose to vote, the perception that voters care about certain foreign policy issues can also have a profound effect on the way in which presidents craft their foreign policies. Although we agree with those scholars who argue that it is difficult to discern the impact of domestic politics on foreign policy making, this complex relationship is one that, we feel, requires further exploration. This collection therefore seeks to understand the relative importance of US foreign policy on domestic elections and electoral positions and the impact of electoral issues on the formation of foreign policy.
Article
The presidential campaign of 1992 is remembered for its focus on the US economy, as George Bush, Ross Perot, and Bill Clinton proposed solutions for the state of the nation’s finances. A key challenge for the Clinton campaign was to present their candidate as a viable commander-in-chief, with a viable foreign policy, without betraying the campaign’s focus on the domestic economy. A consideration of key speeches reveals the evolution of the candidate and his foreign policy, as the campaign served as a training ground for power. What emerges is Clinton’s adoption of foreign policy as a positive force in American domestic political life, in contrast to his many predecessors and successors, who regularly utilised foreign policy to assail foreign nations and entities. In doing so, parallels and contrasts with the Trump’s 2016 message emerge, enabling a greater appreciation of the use of campaign rhetoric in the development of US grand strategy.