Reducing or Fueling: The Effect of EU International Aid Allocation on the Level of Corruption in Recipient Countries
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The existing literature on the effect of foreign aid on corruption in recipient countries has been controversial and contains methodological issues regarding the use of instrumental variables. In this thesis, based on the work of Carnegie and Marinov (2017), I utilize the EU Council presidency as the instrument to analyze the effects of EU aid on corruption in recipient former colonies until 2006. The results from the instrument variable approach show that while EU aid allocation reduced most types of corruption, the magnitudes of these effects were quite small. The different effects depending on the measurements of corruption were also revealed in the analysis. These results were confirmed by the following quantitative analyses of the contemporary history of EU sanctions against violations of human rights, democracy, the rule of law, and good governance, as well as the case of DRC in which the 2001 Belgian presidency had a concrete influence on aid allocation. The findings suggest EU aid conditionality does not have substantial effects to reduce corruption in recipient countries in comparison to the effects on other development issues such as democracy promotion and human rights improvement when donor countries have little interest to impose sanctions against corruption.
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Efforts to evaluate the impact of anti-corruption programmes face numerous difficulties related to the complexity and hidden nature of corruption, the political sensitivity of the topic, and the ability of corrupt networks to respond flexibly to interventions. This makes it difficult to measure changes in corruption levels and problematic to attribute them to interventions. This article shows how a theory-based evaluation that builds on academic research can elaborate a set of intermediate outcomes for the evaluation of anti-corruption programmes, and showcases several purpose-built tools for evaluating different aspects of capacity building. It also draws on learning from two evaluations of Anti-Corruption programmes in the Caribbean to demonstrate how anti-corruption theory is being translated into law enforcement practice in two ways: (i) through economic models of criminals as rational actors whose behaviour can be changed through incentives and disincentives; (ii) and through social norms models which argue that reducing corruption requires deeper social change that resonates with or adapts local norms.
Given the unprecedented scale of intergovernmental development funding and the importance of institutional quality for human wellbeing, it is imperative to precisely understand the impact of development funds on corruption. In Europe, EU Funds provide a boost to public spending in recipient member states while introducing additional corruption controls. We investigate whether EU Funds increase high-level corruption in the Czech Republic and Hungary in 2009-2012. We analyse newly collected data from over 100,000 public procurement contracts to develop objective corruption risk indicators and link them to agency-level data of the public sector. Propensity score matching estimations suggest that EU funds increase corruption risks by up to 34%. The negative effects are largely attributable to overly formalistic compliance and EU Funds overriding domestic accountability mechanisms in public organisations entirely dependent on external funds. The policy implications are profound: governments should reduce barriers to market entry by lowering red tape and they should prevent excessive concentration of funds.
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Purpose – This paper investigates the effect of foreign aid on governance in order to extend the debates on foreign aid and to verify common positions from Moyo’s ‘Dead Aid’, Collier’s ‘Bottom Billion’ and Eubank’s ‘Somaliland’. The empirical evidence is based on updated data from 52 African countries for the period 1996-2010.
Design/methodology/approach – An endogeneity robust instrumental variable Two-Stage-Least Squares empirical strategy is employed.
Findings – The findings reveal that development assistance deteriorates economic (regulation quality and government effectiveness) and institutional (corruption-control and rule of law) governance, but has an insignificant effect on political (political stability, voice and accountability) governance. While, these findings are broadly in accordance with Moyo (2009) and Collier (2007) on weak governance, they neither confirm the Eubank (2012) position on political governance nor the Asongu (2012) stance on the aid-corruption nexus in his debate with Okada & Samreth (2012).
Practical implications – The use of foreign aid as an instrument to influence the election and replacement of political leaders in Africa may have insignificant results. It is time to solve the second tragedy of foreign aid and that economists and policy makers start rethinking the models and theories on which foreign aid is used to influence economic, institutional and political governance in recipient countries.
Originality/value – The paper extends the debate on foreign aid and institutions in Africa in the light a plethora of recent studies in the aid literature.
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Cambridge Core - European Government, Politics and Policy - Europe's Burden - by Alina Mungiu-Pippidi
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