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IPCC three pillars of man-made global warming: collapsed

Authors:
  • Geoclastica Ltd

Abstract

GEOCLASTICA LTD TECHNICAL NOTE 2020-7: ''MAN-MADE WARMING' DEMOLISHED IN 500 WORDS (2 pages, plus references), by a geologist, not a movie star, or Prince Charles, or Al Gore; or the agenda-driven BBC, Guardian, Greenpeace, Extinction Rebellion, etc.; nor a 'climate scientist', i.e. computer modeller untrained in geology who looks back a mere 150 years (start of global thermometer coverage) in a world 30 MILLION times older, and whose career DEPENDS on proving 'Anthropogenic Global Warming' (AGW). How DARE all these unqualified people speak publically on a subject (climate) of which they know little or nothing? The arrogance and hubris are breathtaking. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) says ongoing warming is due to man's CO2 emissions. The 3 pillars on which they base this claim are unscientific and quickly disproved here (10-minute read). WHO AM I? A 66-years-old published independent geologist (sedimentologist) with a doctorate in geology (University of Oxford 1982-86) and 35 years' worldwide geological consulting experience, I'm now in my 5th year of self-funded (hence unbiased) literature research, integrating ALL scientific aspects of climate change, including geology, archaeology, oceanography, meteorology, glaciology, astrophysics, palaeoclimatology, and 'climate science' (computer modelling, 'Garbage in, garbage out', like coronavirus models). I began this full-time unpaid quest for climate truth in 2015, fully expecting to verify what the IPCC and the media were saying (shouting) about CO2 being a supposed 'pollutant'. How wrong I was. As you will see here, the Emperor has no clothes. The Sun controls our climate. CO2, enabler of all life (photosynthesis), is irrelevant. It's time to stop the trillion-dollar AGW runaway gravy train. There is no 'climate crisis'. On the contrary, there has never been a better time to be alive. CELEBRATE the (slightly) warmer average temperatures while they last (Sun-driven cooling will begin about 2050). Sad controlled Greta needs to go back to school and learn to think for herself. QUESTION EVERYTHING. My fellow scientists (I mean REAL scientists, i.e. impartial seekers of truth, unlike opportunistic 'climate scientists' who will only retain their jobs as long as they can scare society into belief (sic) in AGW), I urge you to stand up and fight for CO2 truth. School teachers ignorant of science are indoctrinating YOUR children and grandchildren with a climate fairy story (instilling 'climate anxiety', now added to virus anxiety), because politicians with little or no science education set the national school curriculum, on the say-so of the IPCC (biased and under-qualified … https://www.researchgate.net/publication/331974185), an agency of the equally self-serving and shady United Nations, like the now infamous World Health Organisation. That same IPCC, on the say-so of 'climate scientists', has convinced clueless politicians to wreck landscapes and vital farmland by installing needless and chronically inefficient wind 'farms' and solar 'parks' (deliberately deceptive feel-good names), thereby increasing YOUR taxes and energy bills, based on the CO2 sky-dragon fallacy. Please consider pressing the 'Recommend' button (blue arrow, on the right). The more scientists denouncing the preposterous 'man-made warming' fallacy (a mere belief, like any other religion), the more 'civilians' will take notice and start thinking for themselves at last; maybe even politicians and opinion-moulding journalists.
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Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) three
pillars of man-made global warming: collapsed
Dr Roger Higgs (DPhil Oxford, geology, 1982-86)
Geoclastica Ltd Technical Note 2020-7
25th May 2020, amended 6th June 2020
The United Nations IPCC says ongoing warming is due to man's CO2 emissions,
hence 'Anthropogenic Global Warming' (AGW). The 3 pillars on which they base
this claim are unscientific and quickly disproved.
3 pages, 10-minute read. References (in brackets) on p. 3
IPCC's Three Pillars
I. Earth's average surface temperature and man's CO2 emissions have
both risen since 1850, so CO2 must have caused the warming
Four disproofs ...
(1) What else has risen? The Sun's magnetic output, affecting cloudiness (Svensmark), more
than doubled from 1901 to 1991 (Lockwood), to its highest peak in 10,000 years (Higgs 1).
In those last 10,000 years ...
(2) simple visual cross-correlation shows changes in temperature lagged 60-160 years behind
solar-output changes, due to the ocean's vast heat capacity and slow mixing (Higgs 1, 2) &
(3) ... temperature and CO2 were uncorrelated, until their joint rise from the late 1800s.
(4) Warming since 1910 paused twice (Met. Office), for 30 years (1945-75) and 14 years
(1998-2012), unlike CO2's rise (NOAA; SeaLevel.info).
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II. Global warming's continuance despite the Sun's weakening after
1991 absolves the Sun and incriminates CO2
Disproof ...
This mismatch is simply due to the oceanic time-lag, currently about 60 years. Thus global
warming will continue (with ups and downs, mainly due to the Sun's 11-year cycles) until
around 2050, about 60 years after the Sun’s 1991 grand peak (Higgs 2).
Pillar II was asserted in IPCC's 2013 'Fifth Assessment Report', Chapter 10 (IPCC 1 p.887,
co-author Lockwood [see (1) above], citing 4 of his own papers). But IPPC already knew
about the lag, Chapter 3 having stated the "ocean’s huge heat capacity and slow circulation
lend it significant thermal inertia" (IPCC 2 p.266).
Pillar III. Sea level (SL) for the last few thousand years varied <25cm,
so the 30cm SL rise since 1850 proves abnormal warming by CO2
Disproof ...
The 25 cm claim (only “medium confidence”; IPCC 3 p.385) is based on selected evidence
(Higgs 3) and on dismissal of the famed 1961 SL curve (Fairbridge; Wiki) with SL
oscillations of 2 to 5 metres in the last 6,000 years, confirmed by dozens of later geologists
worldwide, and lately with very strong archaeological support (Higgs 4, 5, 6).
Conclusions
1. That's it. That's all they have. Be surprised.
2. The Sun was by far the main driver of global temperature for the last 10,000 years.
3. CO2 is innocent; it has no climate effect; the simultaneous rise in temperature and
CO2 is pure accident; CO2's residual 'greenhouse effect' is effectively nil (Higgs 7, 8).
4. The IPCC urgently needs to consult geologists (Higgs 9, 10).
5. Global warming, by the Sun, will continue until about 2050 (Higgs 2).
6. Another Sun-driven large (about 3 metres) sea-level rise is predictable (Higgs 11).
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References (all contributions by Higgs [me] are very brief)
Fairbridge 1961 classic sea-level curve, latest revision 1977, fig. 2c here ...
https://www.nature.com/articles/268413a0
Higgs 1 2020 ... https://www.researchgate.net/publication/340869622
Higgs 2 2020 ... https://www.researchgate.net/publication/341078096
Higgs 3 2019 ... https://www.researchgate.net/publication/336414520
Higgs 4 2020 ... https://www.researchgate.net/publication/339875642
Higgs 5 2020 ... https://www.researchgate.net/publication/338556345
Higgs 6 2017 ... https://www.researchgate.net/publication/316601390
Higgs 7 2019 ... https://www.researchgate.net/publication/332245803
Higgs 8 2020 ... https://www.researchgate.net/publication/340869622
Higgs 9 2018 ... https://www.researchgate.net/publication/331928229
Higgs 10 2019 ... https://www.researchgate.net/publication/331974185
Higgs 11 2020 ... https://www.researchgate.net/publication/341597747
IPCC 1 2013 ...
https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/02/WG1AR5_Chapter10_FINAL.pdf
IPCC 2 2013 ...
https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/02/WG1AR5_Chapter03_FINAL.pdf
IPCC 3 2013 ...
https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/02/WG1AR5_Chapter05_FINAL.pdf
Lockwood (Professor Michael Lockwood, Fellow of the Royal Society) 1999 ...
http://www.personal.reading.ac.uk/~ym901336/pdfs/170_Lockwoodetal_nature.pdf
Meteorological Office UK 2020 ...
https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/monitoring/index.html
NOAA 2020 ... https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/index.html
SeaLevel.info 2020 ... https://sealevel.info/co2.html
Svensmark 2007 (google & YouTube him; breathtakingly elegant cosmic-ray link) ...
https://academic.oup.com/astrogeo/article/48/1/1.18/220765 ...
Wiki 2020 ... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rhodes_Fairbridge
Email me for copies of any the above, rogerhiggs@hotmail.com
Please understand: we geologists are passionate environmentalists. Real pollution is
an entirely separate and deplorable issue, e.g. plastics, wood smoke, chemical spills
and especially vehicle emissions (diesel soot, nitrogen oxides, tire & brake dust).
CO2 is not a pollutant (far from it; Higgs 7).
QUESTION EVERYTHING
ResearchGate has not been able to resolve any citations for this publication.
Rhodes_Fairbridge Please email for copies of any the above, rogerhiggs@hotmail
  • Wiki
Wiki 2020... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rhodes_Fairbridge Please email for copies of any the above, rogerhiggs@hotmail.com Question everything
Email me for copies of any the above, rogerhiggs@hotmail.com Please understand: we geologists are passionate environmentalists. Real pollution is an entirely separate and deplorable issue, e.g. plastics, wood smoke, chemical spills and especially vehicle emissions (diesel soot
  • Wiki
Wiki 2020... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rhodes_Fairbridge Email me for copies of any the above, rogerhiggs@hotmail.com Please understand: we geologists are passionate environmentalists. Real pollution is an entirely separate and deplorable issue, e.g. plastics, wood smoke, chemical spills and especially vehicle emissions (diesel soot, nitrogen oxides, tire & brake dust).