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Multiple Streams and Power Sector Policy Change: Evidence from the Feed‐in Tariff Policy Process in Japan

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Abstract

Sustainability concerns have been placing public policy in the power sector under pressure to realize a radical change. However, energy policy is often subject to strong path dependency and inertia that make such change difficult. This study contributes to the theoretical understanding of the conditions under which radical policy changes happen in the power sector, based on the Multiple Streams Approach. Through a case study of the Feed‐in Tariff program for increasing renewable energy deployment in Japan, it is elucidated that the elevation of the generous program, which is fundamentally incompatible to previous policy processes, was a result of the intersection of problem, policy, and politics streams. The findings provide strong evidence to support our claim that political parties embrace a policy proposal that is not necessarily “softened” within the policy network when an existing policy community itself is perceived as a problem. Related Articles Brant, Hanna K., Nathan Myers, and Katherine L. Runge. 2017. “Promotion, Protection, and Entrepreneurship: Stakeholder Participation and Policy Change in the 21st Century Cures Initiative.” Politics & Policy 45 (3): 372‐404. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12201 Morris, Mary Hallock. 2007. “The Political Strategies of Winning and Losing Coalitions: Agricultural and Environmental Groups in the Debate over Hypoxia.” Politics & Policy 35 (4): 836‐871. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1747-1346.2007.00086.x Rawat, Pragati, and John Charles Morris. 2016. “Kingdon's ‘Streams’ Model at Thirty: Still Relevant in the 21st Century?” Politics & Policy 44 (4): 608‐638. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12168

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... As for energy transition, the application of one or more sources of renewable energy is directly influenced by local laws and public policies. In this sense, Tanaka et al. [46] showed that, in Japan, electric utilities significantly impact the decisions regarding energy policy, which results in significant difficulties when the government implements legislation regarding energy generation from renewable sources. Therefore, it is essential to consider all the possibilities and feasibility of implementing these energies [34]; this becomes critical when deciding whether to create or continue a sustainable power generation project within universities. ...
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... If so, why (Plutzer et al, 1998;Seabrooke, 2012)? Or, is reflexive learning possible in each stream of the framework and, if so, why and how might it occur (Tanaka et al, 2020)? As a result, a learning perspective on the MSF can shed further light on the mechanisms underpinning the dynamics of each stream. ...
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Policy innovation is considered important for addressing major challenges such as climate change and the sustainable energy transition. Although policy learning is likely to play a key role in enabling policy innovation, the link between them remains unclear despite much research on both topics. To address this gap, we move beyond a binary treatment of policy innovation and differentiate policy problem innovation from policy instrument innovation and policy process innovation. Subsequently, we synthesise the literature on policy learning with the research on the multiple streams framework (MSF), a well-known lens for explaining policy innovation. Like earlier policy learning studies, we distinguish several types of learning by posing the key questions of learning, but in the context of each stream of the MSF: who learns (actors), what (beliefs), how (modes), and to what effect (ripening). This new conceptualisation clarifies the relationship of each type of policy learning to the varieties of policy innovation. Further, it indicates that policy learning is likely to result in policy innovation if and only if it influences the coupling among the three streams during a window of opportunity – through policy entrepreneurship – and not otherwise. We conclude with the implications of this study for future research on policy innovation, policy learning, and the MSF.
... Kingdon's MSF and its elaborations have henceforth been employed as useful policy analytical tools. For example, it was used to explain the policymaking process in Madrid (Ruvalcaba-Gomez et al., 2020), the transportation policy in China (Ge, Shi, & Wang, 2020), the power sector policy change in Japan (Tanaka et. al., 2020), and Obama's No child left behind waiver policy in the USA (Angervil,202). ...
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The Philippine government enacted the Anti-terrorism Act of 2020 amidst the COVID-19 outbreak, raising the question of how a non-health and likewise controversial legislation was made possible during a pandemic. Using the Multiple Streams Framework analytical tools, this single-case qualitative study analyzed relevant speeches, press releases, and online interview transcripts to shed light on the question. The findings suggest two processes that are critical in understanding the passage of the new law. The first is the repositioning of terrorism within the immediate and pressing problem of COVID-19 pandemic, which brought urgency and legitimacy to the problem of terrorism despite it being a non-health issue. The second process is the securitizing of the pandemic and the government's response to this, which eventually provided the favorable political environment for the enactment of the new law. As these two critical processes were fostered by President Duterte himself, this study calls attention to how the state's most powerful political actor can usher in a shift in state policy by actively intervening to define the problem, reinforce a proposed policy option, and cultivate a favorable political landscape for the enactment of the desired policy option.
... The MSF has undergone over three decades of theoretical refinement and empirical applications, moving from Kingdon's (Kingdon, 1984) one locational focus (United States), time (post-war period to the 1980s), and few policy domains (health and transport) to many places, periods, and policy areas (Herweg et al., 2017;Tanaka et al., 2020;etc.). Zohlnhöfer and others (2015) corroborate the above by also identifying three areas of the MSF extension, consisting of policy areas, policy stages, and units of analyses. ...
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The quest for answers to global policy changes has engaged many a policy researcher's agenda. This has led to the adoption and application of various theoretical perspectives in a bid to explain the complex policy change process for better understanding. However, the highly contested reasons for policy change underpinned by context‐specific variables in the extant literature demand more empirically supported studies. This article responds by adopting the multiple streams framework (MSF) to explain and deepen understanding of why policies change in a developing African country, specifically Ghana, with the forest and wildlife policy (FWP) as a case study. Adopting a qualitative case study design, the study empirically supports the MSF assumption that the effective coupling of the three streams of problem, policy, and politics through a window of opportunity was crucial in Ghana's FWP change in 2012. This study attempts to balance practice and theory. Brant, Hanna K., Nathan Myers, and Katherine L. Runge. 2017. “Promotion, Protection, and Entrepreneurship: Stakeholder Participation and Policy Change in the 21st Century Cures Initiative.” Politics & Policy 45(3): 372–404. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12201. Dunning, Kelly Heber. 2021. “Unlikely Conservation Policy Making in a Polarized Congress: A Multiple Streams Analysis of ‘America's Most Successful Conservation Program.’” Politics & Policy 50: 1–26. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12448. Tanaka, Yugo, Andrew Chapman, Tetsuo Tezuka, and Shigeki Sakurai. 2020. “Multiple Streams and Power Sector Policy Change: Evidence from the Feed‐in Tariff Policy Process in Japan.” Politics & Policy 48(3): 464–89. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12357. La búsqueda de respuestas a los cambios de políticas globales ha ocupado la agenda de muchos investigadores de políticas. Esto ha llevado a la adopción y aplicación de varias perspectivas teóricas en un intento por explicar el complejo proceso de cambio de políticas para una mejor comprensión. Sin embargo, las razones altamente controvertidas para el cambio de políticas sustentadas por variables específicas del contexto en la literatura existente exigen estudios más respaldados empíricamente. Este artículo responde adoptando el marco de corrientes múltiples (MSF) para explicar y profundizar la comprensión de por qué las políticas cambian en un país africano en desarrollo, específicamente Ghana, con la política forestal y de vida silvestre (FWP) como estudio de caso. Adoptando un diseño de estudio de caso cualitativo, el estudio respalda empíricamente la suposición de MSF de que el acoplamiento efectivo de las tres corrientes de problema, política y política a través de una ventana de oportunidad fue crucial en el cambio de FWP de Ghana en 2012. Este estudio intenta equilibrar la práctica y teoría. 为解释全球政策变革,许多人提出了政策研究人员的议程。这导致了不同理论观点的采纳和应用,以更好地解释复杂的政策变革过程。不过,现有文献中以特定情境变量为基础的政策变革的原因存在高度争议,需要更多的实证支持研究。为此,本文采用多源流框架(MSF),以森林和野生动植物政策(FWP)作为案例研究,解释和加深对“加纳政策出现变革”的理解。通过采用定性案例研究设计,本研究从实证上支持MSF的假设,即通过机会之窗对问题流、政策流和政治流进行有效耦合一事对2012年加纳森林与野生动植物政策变革而言至关重要。本研究试图平衡实践与理论。
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Kingdon's Multiple Streams Model is used in various political contexts, especially to understand agenda-setting processes in Europe and North America. Based on the elements that structure the Multiple Streams Model, this research analyzed the normative, contextual, and political factors that favored the insertion of the mining theme in the Brazilian government's agenda, contributing to the approval of changes in the legislation that regulates mineral policy. As for the problem stream, the results indicate that the discussion about changes in Brazil's mineral policy rekindled when the country was experiencing an economic crisis. The amendment found by the formulators was to update the legislation briefly (solutions stream). In the politics stream, the change in the presidency of the federal government is the factor that exerted the greatest influence for mining to return to the government agenda, finding fertile ground for the approval of changes in mineral policy.
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Kingdon's multiple streams approach is popular because its metaphor and flexible concepts can be applied empirically in most contexts. However, this feature is also its weakness. Most scholars apply MSA superficially, without describing its metaphor's meaning or connecting concepts to empirical results. This article solves this problem by producing one MSA narrative from a diverse collection of empirical studies. Our hero is the 'policy entrepreneur' who knows that the pursuit of ambitious aims such as 'evidence-based policymaking' requires framing a problem, having a solution ready, and exploiting the motive and opportunity of policymakers to select it.
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Feed-in tariff (FiT) policy approaches for renewable energy (RE) deployment are employed in many nations around the world. Although FiTs are considered effective in boosting RE deployment, the issue of increasing energy bills and social burden is an often-reported negative impact of their use. The FiT has been employed in Japan since 2012, following after many developed countries, and, as was experienced in other nations, led to a social burden imparted on society significantly higher than initial government estimates. Although policy decision making does not necessarily reflect international policy experience, it is still prudent to ask how international policy experiences of social burden increase were considered within the Japanese approach. In this research, we analyzed the transfer process by adapting a conventional model to develop more objective observations than was previously possible, by setting a benchmark for evaluation based on prior international experiences. We identified two streams of policy transfer, each led by different actors; the government and representatives of the National Diet of Japan (Diet). Both actors were exposed to the same experiences, however the interpretation, application to policy development and priority settings employed were vastly different. Although the framework can only assess policy learning processes, we have found that the government undertook a reasonable and rational process toward learning, while, on the other hand, the modified bill developed by the Diet members did not thoroughly derive learnings in the same way, due to cognitive and political reasons, and specifically, the issue of limiting social burden was not addressed.
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While John Kingdon's Multiple Streams Approach (MSA) remains a key reference point in the public policy literature, few have attempted to assess MSA holistically. To assess its broader impact and trends in usage, we combine in-depth analysis of representative studies, with comprehensive coverage of MSA-inspired articles, to categorize its impact. We find that Kingdon's work makes two separate contributions. First, it has contributed to the development of “evolutionary” policy theories such as punctuated equilibrium. Second, it has prompted a large, dedicated, and often empirical, literature. However, most MSA empirical applications only engage with broader policy theory superficially. The two contributions are oddly independent of each other. We argue that these trends in application are due largely to its intuitive appeal and low “barrier to entry.” Drawing on other policy approaches, we offer suggestions to improve the MSA-inspired literature.
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This article argues that among all policy fields exhibiting externalities of a global scale, energy stands out on four dimensions: vertical complexity, horizontal complexity, higher entailed costs, and stronger path dependency. These structural attributes are at odds with contemporary key challenges of energy security, energy justice, and low carbon energy transition. With regard to the latter, energy governance challenges occur related to unclear levels of authority and weak resilience. This has implications for energy scholarship, specifically relating to the political economy of energy transitions, discussions about common pool resources, systems analysis, and other neighboring disciplines.
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This paper employs John Kingdon's [1984. Agendas, Alternatives and Public Policies. Little Brown, Boston] “multiple streams” framework to analyse the sudden move from overgenerous grandfathering to tight caps and auctioning within the German emissions trading regime in the first half of 2007. By bringing together empirical evidence from interviews and official documents the following question is addressed: how completely does Kingdon's framework explain this political turn? The opening of a “policy window” can be demonstrated and Kingdon's theory concisely captures important aspects of this process. At the same time, however, the findings imply that a number of relevant factors are not sufficiently considered by the theory, most notably the influence of multi-level governance structures, learning processes, and networks. This demonstrates that the multiple streams approach on its own is not sufficient to fully understand the case study example. Hence, for a better understanding of policy change it is suggested that scholars need to evaluate the potential for amending and combining Kingdon's model with other explanatory approaches.
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In this innovative account of the way policy issues rise and fall on the national agenda—the first detailed study of so many issues over an extended period—Frank R. Baumgartner and Bryan D. Jones show that rapid change not only can but does happen in the hidebound institutions of government. Short-term, single-issue analyses of public policy, the authors contend, give a narrow and distorted view of public policy as the result of a cozy arrangement between politicians, interest groups, and the media. Baumgartner and Jones upset these notions by focusing on several issues—including civilian nuclear power, urban affairs, smoking, and auto safety—over a much longer period of time to reveal patterns of stability alternating with bursts of rapid, unpredictable change. A welcome corrective to conventional political wisdom, Agendas and Instability revises our understanding of the dynamics of agenda-setting and clarifies a subject at the very center of the study of American politics.
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This article examines the development of policy to promote renewable electricity in the province of Ontario (Canada) between 1995 and 2006. Drawing upon both the role of ideas in policy development and a "multiple streams approach," it is argued that changes in the problem, policy, and politics streams-and their coupling by key political entrepreneurs-account for two significant shifts in Ontario's efforts to promote the increased use of renewable electricity. The first shift occurred on July 3, 2003 when the Ontario Commissioner of Alternative Energy, Steve Gilchrist, announced that sole dependence upon free markets to support renewable electricity was being displaced by a new commitment to a renewable portfolio standard. The second shift occurred on March 21, 2006 when the Ontario Premier, Dalton McGuinty, announced that dependence upon a bidding system to promote renewable electricity was being supplemented by a commitment to feed-in tariffs. A focus upon the evolution of ideas, combined with an appreciation for timing, continues to provide the explanation for the development of renewable electricity policy in Ontario. Copyright 2007 by The Policy Studies Organization.
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