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TheroleofVitaminDinthepreventionofCoronavirus
Disease2019infectionandmortality
CURRENTSTATUS:POS TED
PetreCristianIlie
TheQueenElizabethHospitalFoundationTrust,King’sLynn
dr.cristianilie@gmail.comCorrespondingAuthor
SiminaStefanescu
UniversityofEastAnglia
LeeSmith
AngliaRuskinUniversity
DOI:
10.21203/rs.3.rs-21211/v1
SUBJECTAREAS
InfectiousDiseases
KEYWORDS
COVID-19,SARS-Cov2,Coronavirus,vitaminD,cholecalciferol,calcitriol
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Abstract
Background/Aims:WHOdeclaredSARS-Cov-2aglobalpandemic.Theaimsofthispaperaretoassess
ifthereisanyassociationbetweenmeanlevelsofvitaminDinvariouscountriesandcases
respectivelymortalitycausedbyCOVID-19.
Methods:WehaveidentifiedthemeanlevelsofvitaminDfor20EuropeansCountriesforwhichwe
havealsogotthedataregardingthemorbidityandmortalitycausedbyCOVID-19.
Results:ThemeanlevelofvitaminD(average56mmol/L,STDEV10.61)ineachcountrywasstrongly
associatedwiththenumberofcases/1M(mean295.95,STDEV298.73p=0.004,respectivelywiththe
mortality/1M(mean5.96,STDEV15.13,p<0.00001).
Discussion:VitaminDlevelsareseverelylowintheagingpopulationespeciallyinSpain,Italyand
Switzerland.ThisisalsothemostvulnerablegroupofpopulationforCOVID-19.
Conclusions:Webelieve,thatwecanadviseVitaminDsupplementationtoprotectagainstSARS-CoV2
infection.
Background/aims
WHOdeclaredSARS-Cov–2aglobalpandemic.Littleisknownaboutthepotentialprotectivefactors.
PreviousstudiesidentifiedassociationsbetweenhigherlevelsofACE2andbettercoronavirusdisease
healthoutcomes.Inthelung,ACE2protectsagainstacutelunginjury[1].Calcitriol(1,25-
dihydroxyvitaminD3)exertspronouncedlyimpactsonACE2/Ang(1–7)/MasRaxiswithenhanced
expressionofACE2[2].
WehypothesizethatvitaminDmayplayaprotectiveroleforSARS-Cov2infections.
Theprimaryaimsofthisstudyaretoassessifthereisanyassociationbetweenthemeanlevelsof
vitaminDinvariouscountriesandthemortalitycausedbyCOVID–19.Thesecondaryaimwasto
identifyifthereisanyassociationbetweenthemeanvitaminDlevelsinvariouscountriesandthe
numberofcasesofCOVID–19.
MaterialsAndMethods
Totestthishypothesisandtolimitconfoundingbias(latitude,etc),wefocusedonEuropeancountries
only.WesearchedtheliteratureforthemeanlevelsofvitaminDineachcountry[3].Wesearched
thenumberofcasesofCOVID–19/1Mpopulationineachofthecountriesandmortalitycausedbythis
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disease/1Mpopulation(20March,16.00GMT)(table1)[4].Statisticalanalyseswerecarriedout(t-test
calculator).
Results
WefoundverysignificantcorrelationbetweenthemeanvitaminDlevels(average56.79nmol/L,
STDEV10.61)andthenumberofcasesofCOVID–19/1Mpopulation(average259.95,STDEV298.732,
t-value=–3.03947;p-value=0.004274),andbetweenthemeanvitaminDlevelsandthenumberof
deathscausedbyCOVID–19/1M(Figure1)(average5.963936,STDEV15.13207,t-value=
12.29871;p-value<0.00001)(table1).
Discussion
Weacknowledgethatthiscross-sectionalanalysishaslimitations.Thenumberofcases/countryis
affectedbythenumberoftestsperformed.Webelievethatmortalityisabetteroutcometo
demonstratethepotentialprotectiveroleofvitaminD.
TheSenecastudyshowedameanserumvitaminDof26nmol/LinSpain,28 nmol/LinItalyand45
nmol/LintheNordiccountries,inolderpeople[3].Severedeficiencyisdefinedasaserum25(OH)D
lowerthan30nmol/L[3].InSwitzerland,meanvitaminDlevelsare23(nmol/L)innursinghomesand
inItaly76%ofwomenover70yearsofagehavebeenfoundtohavecirculatinglevelsbelow
30nmol/L[3].ThesearecountrieswithhighnumberofcasesofCOVID–19andtheagingpeopleisthe
groupwiththehighestriskformorbidityandmortalitywithSARS-Cov2.
MartineauARetalconcludedinameta-analysisthatvitaminDsupplementationwassafeand
protectiveagainstacuterespiratorytractinfections.Theydescribedthatpatientswhoweresevere
vitaminDdeficientexperiencedthemostbenefit[5].
Inconclusion,wefoundsignificantrelationshipsbetweenvitaminDlevelsandthenumberCOVID–19
casesandespeciallythemortalitycausedbythisinfection.Themostvulnerablegroupofpopulation
forCOVID–19isalsotheonethathasthemostdeficitinVitaminD.
VitaminDhasalreadybeenshowntoprotectagainstacuterespiratoryinfectionsanditwasshownto
besafe.Webelieve,thatwecanadviseVitaminDsupplementationtoprotectagainstCOVID–19
infection.
Declarations
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EthicalStatement
Thisstudyiscompliantwiththeethicalstandards.PetreCristianIlie,SiminaStefanescuandLee
Smithdonothaveanyconflictofinterests.Nosourceoffundingwasused.Consideringthedesignof
thestudynoinformedconsentwasnecessary.
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Table1
Notprovidedwiththisversionofthemanuscript.
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Figures
Figure1
MeanvitaminDlevels/countryversusthenumberofCOVID-19cases/1M
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Figure2
MeanlevelsofvitaminDpercountryandcasesofCOVID-19mortality/1M