No Future: how to embrace complexity and win! (Out of the Ashes 1)

Abstract

A reflection on the 2008/2009 crash and the opportunity it presented. NOTE: an opportunity not taken.

Full text

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“It is increasingly clear that the current downturn is fundamentally
different from recessions of recent decades. We are experiencing not merely
another turn of the business cycle, but a restructuring of the economic order.
For some organizations, near-term survival is the only agenda item.
Others are peering through the fog of uncertainty, thinking about how to position
themselves once the crisis has passed and things return to normal. The question
is, “What will normal look like?” While no one can say how long the crisis will
last, what we find on the other side will not look like the normal of recent years.
The new normal will be shaped by a confluence of powerful forces—some arising
directly from the financial crisis and some that were at work long before it
began.”
Ian Davis, McKinsey, Worldwide Managing Director, March 2009
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)9(3%22"#:(1%"2:(S9;;GT:(“From Trends to Futures Literacy: Reclaiming the Future”, Centre for Strategic
Education, Seminar Series Papers, No. 160, Melbourne, Australia.(
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)+(3%22"#:(1%"2(S9;;jT:(“Futures Literacy: A Hybrid Strategic Scenario Method”, Futures: the journal of
policy, planning and future studies, 39, Elsevier, Pp. 341-362.(