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Conference Paper
Modeling Risk Reduction in Agriculture
Associated with Dangerous
Agrometeorological Phenomena
B A Ashabokov1,2, L M Fedchenko3, A A Tashilova1, A V Shapovalov1,
A Kh Khavtsukov1, and S B Balkarova4
Abstract
Keywords:
1. Introduction
How to cite this article
International scientific and practical conference
``AgroSMART - Smart solutions for agriculture''
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2. Main Approaches to Reduce the Risks Associated with
Hazardous Weather
3. Statement of the Objective of Reducing the Risks in
Agriculture Associated with Dangerous Agrometeoro-
logical Phenomena
1 2 3 𝑀
1 2 3 𝑁
𝑖 𝑗
𝑖𝑗
1 2 3 𝑀
𝑖𝑗 𝑖 𝑗
U1U2U3--- U𝑁
A111 12 13 1𝑁
A221 22 23 2𝑁
A331 32 33 3𝑁
---
A𝑀𝑀1 𝑁2 𝑀3 𝑀𝑁
1 2 3 𝑀
1 2 3 𝑀
1 2 3 𝑀
1 2 3 𝑁
𝑖𝑗
1 2 3 𝑀 1 2 3 𝑁
1 2 3 𝑁
𝑖
1 2 3 𝑁 1 2 3 4
1 2
3
2
𝑟𝑑
P0 PH
i
𝑃0𝑖=4
∑
𝑗=1 𝑥𝑖𝑗𝑌𝑖𝑗𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑗,
𝑃𝐻𝑖=4
∑
𝑗=1(1 − 𝑘𝑖𝑗)𝑥𝑖𝑗𝑌𝑖𝑗𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑗 ,(i= 1,2,3)
1 2 3
1 2 3
P01PH1P02PH2P03PH3V
P10 =0.59 P1ℎ=0.31 P20=0.92 P2ℎ=0.08 P30=0.98 P3ℎ=0.02
x𝑖1, x𝑖2, x𝑖3, x𝑖4 i Y𝑖1, Y𝑖2, Y𝑖3, Y𝑖4
Pr𝑖1, Pr𝑖2, Pr𝑖3𝑗 , Pr𝑖4 k𝑖1, k𝑖2, k𝑖3, k𝑖4
i =
p10p20p30
p1ℎ, p2ℎ, p3ℎ
𝑉 = 𝑝10𝑃01+ 𝑝20𝑃02+ 𝑝30𝑃03+ 𝑝1ℎ𝑃𝐻1+ 𝑝2ℎ𝑃𝐻2+ 𝑝3ℎ𝑃𝐻3
4. Conclusion
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