This article explores strategies to reduce CO2 emissions from municipal solid waste (MSW) incineration plants in order to achieve carbon neutrality in MSW incineration by 2050. Using 2013 as the baseline year, reduction targets were established for 2030, 2040, and 2050. Several reduction scenarios, including high-efficiency power generation, heat supply, and CO2 capture, were then evaluated in a
... [Show full abstract] comparative analysis. The findings indicate that improving power generation efficiency and reducing electricity consumption alone are insufficient to meet the targets of carbon neutrality, which emphasizes the need for large-scale heat supply and CO2 capture facilities. Furthermore, a sensitivity analysis of factors such as CO2 emission coefficients in the energy sector and the ratio of biomass plastics revealed the impact of these external factors on the effectiveness of CO2 reduction measures.