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The role of financial exclusion in weakening the performance of banks: dynamic panel data analysis in Algeria and Tunisia

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Abstract

Abstract: In the East and North Africa region, nearly 70% of adults (168 million) do not report any ownership of the account in the Arab world, which is lagging behind other regions. The importance of financial inclusion lies in its impact on the economy of countries, economic growth, financial sector development, and improving financial sector stability. This study aims to diagnose the relationship between financial inclusion and performance of banks in Algeria and Tunisia during 2004–2012 by using the panel data and the GMM method. Our results under static or dynamic panel data analysis show the negative impact of financial inclusion on profitability indicators (ROA, ROE and NIM). We conclude that financial inclusion decreases the profitability of banks. This result reinforces the role of lack of financial inclusion or financial exclusion in the non-development of the banking sector and the non-promotion of economic growth in Algeria and Tunisia. Keywords: financial inclusion; financial exclusion; performance of banks; CAMEL; Algeria; Tunisia; GMM; financial sector; panel data; regression analysis.

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Using a broad bank-level dataset and the GMM estimator technique described by Arellano and Bover (1995), this paper analyzes how bank-specific characteristics, macroeconomic variables, and industry-specific factors affect the profitability of 10,165 commercial banks across 118 countries over the period from 1998 to 2012. Grouping the countries according to three income levels, we show that the determinants of bank profitability included in our model can explain existing profitability differences among commercial banks in low-, middle-, and high-income countries. The profitability determinants vary quite widely across the different levels of income in terms of significance, sign and size of the effect. The level of income has thus an important impact on the determinants of bank profitability.
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The US Subprime crisis, now considered as the worst crisis since the Great Depression has underscored the fact that a sound and profitable banking sector is prerequisite for financial stability under a bank-based financial system. In that respect, this paper analyses determinants of profitability for the Taiwanese banking system using bank- specific, industry-specific and macroeconomic factors, under a quarterly dataset, for the period 2002 to 2007. Results show that while credit risk triggers a negative impact on profitability, capital tends to consolidate profits. In general, results suggest that Taiwanese banking system is well-diversified. The main implication of the findings is that it may be difficult to mitigate the procyclicality of banks' profitability in Taiwan subject to a non- concentrated banking system.
Article
This study aims to investigate the impact of bank-specific factors which include the liquidity, credit, capital, operating expenses and the size of commercial banks on their performance, which is measured by return on average assets (ROAA) and return on average equity (ROAE). The results imply that ratios employed in this study have different effects on the performance of banks in both countries, except credit and capital ratios. Operating ratios influence performance of banks in China, but this influence is not true for Malaysian banks regardless of the measure of performance.
Article
The profitability of European banks during the 1990s is investigated using cross-sectional, pooled cross-sectional time-series and dynamic panel models. Models for the determinants of profitability incorporate size, diversification, risk and ownership type, as well as dynamic effects. Despite intensifying competition there is significant persistence of abnormal profit from year to year. The evidence for any consistent or systematic size-profitability relationship is relatively weak. The relationship between the importance of off-balance-sheet business in a bank's portfolio and profitability is positive for the UK, but either neutral or negative elsewhere. The relationship between the capital-assets ratio and profitability is positive. Copyright Blackwell Publishing Ltd and The Victoria University of Manchester, 2004.
Article
The aim of this study is to examine the effect of bank-specific, industry-specific and macroeconomic determinants of bank profitability, using an empirical framework that incorporates the traditional structure-conduct-performance (SCP) hypothesis. To account for profit persistence, we apply a GMM technique to a panel of Greek banks that covers the period 1985-2001. The estimation results show that profitability persists to a moderate extent, indicating that departures from perfectly competitive market structures may not be that large. All bank-specific determinants, with the exception of size, affect bank profitability significantly in the anticipated way. However, no evidence is found in support of the SCP hypothesis. Finally, the business cycle has a positive, albeit asymmetric effect on bank profitability, being significant only in the upper phase of the cycle.
Determinants of banks' profitability in a developing economy: evidence from Nigerian banking industry
  • M A Aremu
  • I C Ekpo
  • M A Mudashiru
Aremu, M.A., Ekpo, I.C. and Mudashiru, M.A. (2013) 'Determinants of banks' profitability in a developing economy: evidence from Nigerian banking industry', Interdisciplinary Journal of Contemporary Research in Business, Vol. 4, No. 9, pp.155-181.
Thawing and its Role in Liquidity Management in Islamic Banks, Magister's degree
  • Badria
Badria (2011) Thawing and its Role in Liquidity Management in Islamic Banks, Magister's degree, pp.1-201, Huseiba Bin Buali University, Chlef, Algeria.
Risk management strategies in financial transactions
  • B Balazoz
Balazoz, B. (2010) 'Risk management strategies in financial transactions', Journal of the Researcher, No. 7, pp.15-27.
The social and financial performance of microfinance institutions in the MENA region: do Islamic institutions perform better?
  • I Berguiga
  • Y Said
  • P Adair
Berguiga, I., Said, Y. and Adair, P. (2017) 'The social and financial performance of microfinance institutions in the MENA region: do Islamic institutions perform better?', Paper presented at the 34th Spring International Conference, French Finance Association (AFFI), pp.1-17.