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Copyright (2020) Elsevier (DOI: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2019.106143)
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An edited version of this paper was published by
Quaternary Science Reviews
A 45 kyr laminae record from the Dead Sea: implications for basin erosion
and floods recurrence
Yin Lu1*, Revital Bookman2, Nicolas Waldmann2, Shmuel Marco3
1Sedimentology and marine paleoenvironmental dynamics Group, Institute of Earth Sciences, Heidelberg University, Heidelberg 69120,
Germany
2Dr. Moses Strauss Department of Marine Geosciences, Leon H. Charney School of Marine Sciences, University of Haifa, Mount Carmel
3498838, Israel
3Department of Geophysics, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv 6997801, Israel
*Correspondence to: yinlusedimentology@yeah.net; yinlu@tongji.edu,cn (Y. Lu)
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Abstract
Recording and analyzing how climate change impacts flood recurrence, basin erosion, and sedimentation can improve our understanding of
these systems. The aragonite-detritus laminae couplets comprising the lacustrine formations that were deposited in the Dead Sea Basin are
considered as faithful monitors of the freshwater supply to the lakes. We count a total of ~5600 laminae couplets deposited in the last 45 kyr
(MIS3-MIS1) at the Dead Sea depocenter, which encompass the upper 141.6 m of the ICDP Core 5017-1. The present study shows that
aragonite and detritus laminae are thinner and occur at high frequency during MIS 3-2, while they are much thicker and less frequent during
MIS 1. By analyzing multiple climate-connected factors, we propose that significant lake-level drops, enhanced dust input, and low vegetative
cover in the drainage basin during the last deglaciation (22-11.6 ka) have considerably increased erodible materials in the Dead Sea watershed.
We find a decoupling existed between the significant lake-level drop/lake size reduction and lamina thickness change during the last
deglaciation. We argue that during the last glacial and the Holocene, the variation of lamina thickness at the multiple-millennium scale was not
controlled directly by the lake-level/size change. We interpret this decoupling implying the transport capacity of flash-floods is low and might
be saturated by the oversupply of erodible materials, and indicating a transport-limited regime during the time period. We suggest that the
observed thickness and frequency distribution of aragonite-detritus laminae points to the high frequency of small-magnitude floods during the
last glacial period, in contrast to low frequency, but large-magnitude floods during the Holocene.
Keywords:
Aragonite-detritus laminae; Flash-floods; Magnitude-frequency; Basin erosion; Transport-limited regime; Climate change; Paleolimnology;
Dead Sea.
Highlights
An aragonite-detritus laminae record spanning the last 45 kyr from the Dead Sea depocenter
A decoupling existed between significant lake level drop/size reduction and detritus lamina thickness
The laminae are thinner and occur at high frequency during the Last Glacial
The laminae are much thicker and less frequent during the Holocene
High frequency of small floods in the Last Glacial and low frequency but large floods in the Holocene
1. Introduction
Understanding how climate change impacts flood recurrence, basin erosion, and sedimentation is essential for future flood warning, mitigation,
and hazard assessment especially in semi- to hyper-arid environments (e.g., Montz and Gruntfest, 2002; Bubeck et al., 2012). Previous studies
carried out in the United States show that the relative portion of very large discharges is much higher in arid regions than in more humid regions
(as was measured in 440 stream gauges with a mean recording period of 53 years) (Molnar et al., 2006). Aridification of a previously semi-
humid environment may have increased the relative magnitudes of rare floods (or, conversely, increased the frequency of large floods) (Molnar,
2001). However, the scarcity of long and reliable terrestrial archives of floods, which encompass at least the latest Holocene/Pleistocene climate
transition at high-resolution, hinders our further understanding of this issue.
Previous studies have utilized fluvial sediments (Kochel and Baker, 1982; Knox, 1993), lacustrine sequences (Brown et al., 2000;
Swierczynski et al., 2012; Wirth et al., 2013; Ahlborn et al., 2018; Ben Dor et al., 2018) and marine archives (Mulder et al., 2001) to reconstruct
paleoflood records and understand how climate change might have affected flood recurrence, surface erosion, and sedimentation. However,
these records are too short of representing paleoflood sequences occurring through a glacial-interglacial transition. Extending the time series
of reliable paleoflood records to cover at least the last glacial-interglacial transition is a key for understanding the impact of long-term climate
change on flood recurrence and basin erosion in hyper-arid environments prone to flash-floods.
The deposition of aragonite-detritus laminae couplets in the lacustrine sequences deposited during the Quaternary in the Dead Sea Basin
has been considered as resulting from climate-controlled runoff processes (Begin et al., 1974; Katz et al., 1977; Heim et al., 1997; Stein et al.,
1997; Prasad et al., 2004; Haliva-Cohen et al., 2012; Neugebauer et al., 2015; López-Merino et al., 2016). Therefore, these laminae couplets
represent seasonal variations and thus can serve as hydrologic gauges. We aim to exploit this “gauge” by analyzing the aragonite-detritus
laminae couplets spanning the last 45 kyr (MIS3-MIS1) as identified in a deep drilling (Core 5017-1) that was retrieved by the International
Continental Scientific Drilling Program (ICDP) in the Dead Sea depocenter. We discuss (i) forcing factors for the change in basin erosion and
detritus lamina thickness, and (ii) implications of lamina thickness-frequency distribution for floods magnitude-frequency distribution during
the last glacial and Holocene periods.
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2. Geological setting and background
2.1. Physiography and hydrology of the Dead Sea drainage basin
The Dead Sea is an endorheic lake bordered by Jordanian plateau to the east and the Judean Mountains to the west. The lake stands as Earth's
exposed lowest elevation and the deepest hypersaline lake in the world. As of 2018, the Dead Sea has a surface area of ~600 km2 and a maximal
depth of ~295 m, with a surface level at ~432 m below mean sea level and a rate of retreat of ~1 m/y (Kottmeier et al., 2016). The Dead Sea
drainage basin occupies an area of ~42,200 km2 (Greenbaum et al., 2006), which encompasses several climate zones spanning from sub-humid
to the semi-arid Mediterranean climate in the north to Saharo-Arabian arid- hyper-arid conditions in the south (Langgut et al., 2014) (Fig. 1A).
The Jordan River, which originates in the north, is the main perennial river flowing into the Dead Sea. Furthermore, there are also some
perennial flows (>200 million m3) from the eastern part of the catchment, and some ephemeral streams flowing from the high Jordanian Plateau,
the Judean Mountains and Negev in the east, west and south, respectively (Fig. 1A).
Fig. 1. Geological setting of the
Dead Sea drainage basin and
location of the ICDP Core 5017-
1 (red star). A: Current
precipitation (gray isohyet lines,
in mm yr-1) (Enzel et al., 2003),
vegetation zones (shaded areas)
(Langgut et al., 2014), and Dead
Sea tributaries (yellow lines)
(Greenbaum et al., 2006) in the
drainage basin (enclosed by black
dashed line); the blue shaded area
within the drainage basin
represents maximum extent of
Lake Lisan (Bartov et al., 2002)
during the Last Glacial Maximum
(LGM); PZ, Perazim Valley; the
red points mark places referred to
this study. B: Dead Sea
bathymetric map (Sade et al.,
2014); the blue lines mark the
maximum extent of Lake Lisan;
the red points mark places
referred to this study.
2.2 Aragonite-detritus laminae couplet as reliable flood indicator in the Dead Sea depocenter
The Dead Sea Basin is located in the active Dead Sea Rift, a left-lateral ~1,000-km-long sinistral boundary between the African and Arabian
plates, characterized by a distinct topographic expression (Garfunkel, 2014) (Fig. 1A, B). The tectonic basin accommodated several water
bodies, from the Late Neogene Sedom Lagoon to the Quaternary lakes of Amora, Samra, Lisan and the Holocene Dead Sea (Bartov et al., 2002;
Bookman (Ken-Tor) et al., 2004; Waldmann et al., 2009). The lacustrine sequences comprise evaporates (e.g., aragonite, gypsum, salt) and
detritus sediments that record the climate and hydrological conditions in the Dead Sea watershed. In addition, the location of the Dead Sea
Basin within the transform fault zone makes seismic shaking another major transport agent for the generation of thick detritus layers (e.g.,
turbidites and homogenites) in the basin depocenter (Lu et al., 2017a; Kagan et al., 2018). For example, Fig. 2D and E are showing the seismic
trigger of turbidite and homogenite, respectively.
A significant portion of the lacustrine deposits in the Dead Sea Basin consist of aragonite-detritus laminae couplets. The laminae couples were
interpreted to result from the interplay of runoff processes controlled by the local hydrology and regional climate (e.g., Stein et al., 1997). The
detritus laminae are composed of allogenic quartz, calcite and clay minerals that were mainly deposited by floods during the rainy season
(Begin et al., 1974; Katz et al., 1977; Stein et al., 1997; Prasad et al., 2004; Haliva-Cohen et al., 2012). The aragonite laminae are composed
of authigenic aragonite crystals (Heim et al., 1997; Stein et al., 1997). Mixing process in the water body between Ca-chloride Dead Sea brine
(with high Ca content) and runoff freshwater (with high-bicarbonate content) during winter flooding has been suggested as the mechanism
triggering massive aragonite deposition (Barkan et al., 2001; Belmaker et al., 2019). Therefore, the aragonite laminae reflect the input of runoff
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freshwater (Barkan et al., 2001), the aragonite-detritus laminae couplet thus can serve as a reliable indicator of floods, as has already been
shown (Ben Dor et al., 2018).
The typical Dead Sea aragonite-detritus laminae couplets were considered as varves since their counting is in agreement with radiocarbon
and U-Th dating for the time periods: 2.2-0.7 ka in the Ein Gedi core (Migowski et al., 2004), during 26.2-17.7 ka in the Massada outcrop
(Prasad et al., 2004) (Fig. 1B), and during two periods in the Lake Lisan level rise and drop (Ben Dor et al., 2018). While pollen analysis in
the Ze’elim outcrop (Fig. 1B) on separate aragonite and detritus laminae showed both could be deposited in the wet season, and that more than
one couplet could be deposited in one season (López-Merino et al., 2016). Thus, the pollen evidence doesn’t support the varve hypothesis of
the Holocene laminated sequences at the Ze’elim outcrop . In addition, aragonite laminae deposition, that was assumed to represent summer
evaporation (Heim et al., 1997; Stein et al., 1997; Prasad et al., 2004; Neugebauer et al., 2015), was shown to be affected by winter runoff
(Barkan et al., 2001) and flood water alkalinity (Belmaker et al., 2019). In this study, the aragonite-detritus laminae couplets were compared
between two time periods 45-11.6 ka and 11.6 ka to the present by assuming that in both time intervals the couplets have the same mechanism
of deposition and represent similar time-resolution that is controlled by the Dead Sea Basin flashflood regime.
3. Materials, chronology, and methods
3.1 Materials and chronology
A ~457 m ICDP composite Core 5017-1 was drilled at the Dead Sea depocenter under ~300 m of water (Stein et al., 2011). U-Th and 14C
dating constrain the age of the total penetrated depth at ~220 ka (Torfstein et al., 2015; Kitagawa et al., 2017). The drill core encompasses the
upper Amora Formation (Fm.) (~456.7-328.0 m; MIS 7c-6), Samra Fm. (~328.0-177.0 m; MIS 5), Lisan Fm. (~177.0-89.3 m; MIS 4-2), and
the Zeelim Fm. (~89.3-0 m; MIS 1) (Torfstein et al., 2015). In this paper, we focus on the uppermost 141.6 m, whose chronology is constrained
by thirty-one 14C ages with 1σ error (Kitagawa et al., 2017) and one U-Th age with 2σ error (Torfstein et al., 2015) (Fig. 2). The sedimentary
sequence spans the last ~45 kyr and is characterized by the alternating aragonite and detritus laminae (aad) facies interbedded with detritus
layers, e.g., turbidites and homogenites (Neugebauer et al., 2014; Lu et al., 2017a) (Fig. 2).
Fig. 2. Age-depth plot and basic facies of the studied interval in the ICDP Core 5017-1. A: Marine isotope stage (MIS) and formation (Fm.) of the studied core
section (Torfstein et al., 2015; Coianiz et al., 2019). B: Generalized lithology column of the core section. C: Age-depth, which was plotted with thirty-two 14C
ages with 1σ error (Kitagawa et al., 2017) and one U-Th age with 2σ error (Torfstein et al., 2015). D: A combination of alternating aragonite and detritus laminae
(aad) interval (bottom), seismic deformed aad (middle), and turbidite (top). E: A combination of aad interval, seismic deformed aad, and homogenite. F: A
combination of aad interval and homogenite. G: Seismic deformed aad interval. H: Halite layer.
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3.2 Methods
We measure thicknesses of aragonite and detritus laminae as couplets on high-resolution digital images using the Corelyzer software with an
accuracy of 0.1 mm (estimated to 0.05 mm) (Lu et al., 2017b). The high-resolution images and color contrast of the aragonite and detritus
make the laminae easy to recognize, and therefore the counting and measuring were relatively straightforward (e.g., Fig. 2D-F). We measure
the well-laminated aragonite and detritus laminae only and exclude any unclear lamination or severely deformed laminae (e.g., Fig. 2D and G)
or gypsum layers (or laminations). Moreover, we assume that basin depocenter erosion is negligible and the addition of deposits by sediment
failures (Lu et al., 2017a) are avoided; hence we argue for the validity of our statistical calculations.
4. Results and observations
4.1 Lithofacies of the studied core interval
The sedimentary sequence studied in this paper composes of three basic facies: aad, thick detritus layers (turbidites and homogenites), and
halite (Fig. 2D-H), yet occasionally some scattered gypsum may occur. The aad intervals are composed of mm-scale white aragonite and dark
detritus laminae (Fig. 2D-F). Some aad intervals appear severely deformed (Fig. 2G) as a result of seismic shaking (Lu et al., 2017a). The
thickness of the deformed aad intervals ranges from <1 cm to 3 m, and they were not included in the thickness calculations. The detritus layers
mainly consist of turbidites (graded layers, Fig. 2D) and homogenites (Fig. 2E, F). The thicknesses of turbidites range from ~1 cm to > 10 cm,
while homogenites reach up to a few meters thick. Some detritus layers were deposited directly on top of seismic deformed aragonite-detritus
laminae (Fig. 2D, E), while some on top of undeformed aragonite-detritus laminae (Fig. 2E, F). The total thickness of halite layers in the
studied intervals is 22.3 m. All the halite layers occur in the upper 89.25 m of the drilling core, during 11.5 ka-present (MIS 1, Fig. 2A, B)
when the Dead Sea level encountered low-stands (Kiro et al., 2017).
4.2 Lamina thickness and occurrence frequency during the past 45 kyr
We measure a total of 5598 aragonite-detritus couplets in the upper 141.6 m of Core 5017-1. The thicknesses of these laminae couplets show
two distinctive phases, with a sharp boundary at ~89.4 m (~11.6 ka). The lower part (Lisan Fm.) is characterized by a mean thickness of
~0.48±0.29 (standard deviation) mm and ~0.45±0.54 mm for the aragonite and detritus laminae, respectively. While, the uppermost part
(Ze’elim Fm.) is characterized by a mean thickness of ~1.18±0.88 mm and ~2.09±2.8 mm for the aragonite and detritus laminae, respectively
(Fig. 3). Among the measured 5598 couplets of well-laminated aragonite-detritus, 4946 occurred during MIS 3-2 (~45-11.6 ka) and 652
occurred during MIS 1 (~11.6 ka-Present). In addition, 60% of aragonite laminae and 68% of detritus laminae during the last glacial are 0.45
mm, the mean thickness of laminae in the last glacial. While 86.7% of aragonite laminae and 79.4% of detritus laminae during the Holocene
are > 0.45 mm (Table 1). The frequency distribution of aragonite and detritus laminae with different thickness ranges confirmed the contrast
lamina thickness distribution during the last glacial and the Holocene (Fig. 4). Hence, the aragonite-detritus couplets during MIS 1 are
significantly thicker than during MIS 3-2.
Table 1. Statistical analysis of aragonite and detritus laminae thickness in the ICDP Core 5017-1.
Aragonite laminae Detritus laminae
Time period
Last glacial
(45-11.6 ka)
Holocene
(11.6 ka-present)
Last glacial
(45-11.6 ka)
Holocene
(11.6 ka-present)
Number of laminae 4,946 652 4,946 652
Mean thickness (mm) 0.48 1.18 0.45 2.09
Standard deviation 0.29 0.88 0.54 2.80
Percentage of thickness
0.45 mm
(Mean thickness of laminae in the last glacial)
60% -- 68% --
Percentage of thickness > 0.45 mm -- 86.7% -- 79.4%
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Fig. 3. The thickness of aragonite
and detritus laminae in the
studied section (~141.6-0 m,
~45.0 ka-Present) of the ICDP
Core 5017-1. A: High-resolution
digital images of the aad
packages showing the thickness
difference of aragonite and
detritus laminae between the two
different Fms. The white bars
represent aragonite laminae; the
black ones represent detritus
laminae. B: Depth in the core to
lamina thickness. Aragonite-
detritus couplets are closely-
spaced during the last glacial
period (~45.0-11.6 ka) and more
widely spaced during the
Holocene period (~11.6 ka-
Present). C: Running number of
laminae to thickness. Mean
thickness of aragonite and
detritus laminae during the
postglacial period are both
significantly thicker than during
the last glacial period: n: number
of measured laminae.
About 30% of total aragonite-detritus couplets were deformed during MIS 1, in contrast to ~60% during MIS 3-2 interval. The total number
of aragonite-detritus couplets (deformed and undeformed) thus were estimated to be 1,000 for MIS 1, and 12,500 for MIS 3-2. We consider
core recovery to be an important pitfall to consider in the calculations, as it equals ~70% and ~96% for the MIS1 and MIS 3-2 intervals,
respectively. We assume that within a core interval spanned by a time period, ∆t (the ratio of aad interval length to total interval length in the
missing segments) was the same as in the recovered core. Corrected for the missing sediments, the total number of the aragonite-detritus couplet
(both deformed and undeformed) are estimated to be ~1,400 for MIS 1, and ~13,000 for MIS 3-2. Thus, the average frequency of aragonite-
detritus couplet during MIS 3-2 is ~390 couplets/kyr, roughly three times the one characterizing the MIS 1 interval (~120 couplets/kyr). This
significantly high frequency of aragonite-detritus couplets during MIS 3-2 than during MIS 1, may have resulted from high precipitation rate
of aragonite during the last glacial Lake Lisan (~8 mol CaCO3• m-2• y-1) than during the present Dead Sea (~1.4 mol CaCO3• m-2• y-1) (Barkan
et al., 2001). Therefore, we conclude that the aragonite-detritus laminae couplets are thinner and occur at high frequency during MIS 3-2 (~45-
11.6 ka), while they are much thicker and less frequent during MIS 1 (~11.6 ka-present).
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Fig. 4. Frequency of aragonite and detritus laminae with different
thickness ranges in the ICDP Core 5017-1. A and B: Histograms for
the occurrence of aragonite and detritus laminae during the last
glacial. C and D: Histograms for the occurrence of aragonite and
detritus laminae during the Holocene.
5. Discussion
To get a full understanding of the relationship between the Dead Sea sediment accumulation and the significant lake-level drop/lake size
reduction, we compare our new lamina record with existing shorter, fragmentary aragonite and detritus laminae records from the Dead Sea
margin (Ein Gedi core and Massada outcrop; Fig. 1B) (Migowski, 2001; Prasad et al., 2004). At a century time scale, the thicknesses of laminae
from lake margins show more frequent and larger magnitude fluctuations than the depocenter record (Fig. 5F; green curves). These differences
may due to the lamina sequence in the lake depocenter is less continuous than in the lake margins since more frequent seismic-induced mass
transport deposits in the lake depocenter.
At a multiple-millennium time scale, contrast to the small changes in the lake depocenter record, the aragonite laminae from lake margins
show a long-term decrease trend during 26-18 ka. Besides, the detritus laminae in the lake margins are much thinner than in the lake depocenter
during 26-18 ka (Fig. 5F). The thickness of detritus laminae directly reflects the sedimentation of suspended load in the lake, since we assume
that aragonite-detritus laminae couplets represent a similar time-resolution during the studied time period. The clastic sedimentation rate in the
basin depocenter is higher than at its margins, as the deeper areas receive sediments arriving from different directions surrounding the basin.
Thus, the detritus laminae in the lake margins are much thinner than in the lake depocenter.
Moreover, both aragonite and detritus laminae from lake margins during the Holocene are significantly thicker than during the last glacial
(Fig. 5F; green curves). The mean thickness of aragonite and detritus laminae during the Holocene are 1.8 and 1.2 mm, respectively, in contrast
to the mean thickness of 0.7 and 0.2 mm for the aragonite and detritus laminae, respectively during the last glacial. Therefore, the aragonite-
detritus laminae from the lake margins show the same thickness distribution pattern as in the lake depocenter, which reflects a much higher
sedimentation rate in the Dead Sea during the Holocene than during the last glacial. The source-to-sink process-linked sedimentation in the
Dead Sea Basin depends mainly upon (1) availability of erodible materials and (2) capacity of fluvial transportation/rainfall intensity/discharge
(e.g., Zhang et al., 2019).
5.1 Increase of erodible materials in the watershed during the last deglaciation (~22-11.6 ka)
Tectonics and climate are the first-order factors that affect the availability of erodible materials in the Dead Sea Basin during the Quaternary
(Frostick and Reid, 1989). In the current study, we focus on aragonite-detritus laminae couplets and not on the thick detritus layers, which
might result from suspension and re-deposition following seismic shaking. Therefore, the tectonic factors are not considered as mechanisms
standing behind the laminae couplets formation. The climate-related factors, such as vegetative cover, dust, and lake-level oscillations, will
directly and significantly affect the availability of erodible materials in the Dead Sea watershed.
Vegetation is affected by climate through a combination of variables such as rainfall and temperature (Kutiel et al., 2000). The northern
part of the Dead Sea drainage basin is presently dominated by humid to semi-humid Mediterranean climate (Fig. 1A). During the last
deglaciation, the pollen of trees & shrubs was around 30% of the total and lower than during the Holocene (Schiebel, 2013; Miebach et al.,
2017, 2019) (Fig. 5C). In contrast, the southern part of the basin is presently dominated by desert to semi-desert climate (Fig. 1A). The
percentage of trees & shrubs pollen is much lower during both the last deglaciation and Holocene. Such a relatively low vegetative cover in
the Dead Sea drainage basin during the last deglaciation might stand in favor of an increase of erodible materials at a basin scale.
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Fig. 5. Comparison of laminae record from the Dead Sea depocenter with global (A) and regional climate proxies (B, C), Dead Sea lake-level (D), and laminae
record from the Dead Sea nearshore (E, F). A: Greenland (NGRIP) (Andersen et al., 2004) ice core δ18O. B: δ18Ospeleo record (Grant et al., 2012) from Soreq
Cave, Israel. C: Pollen data within and near to the Dead Sea watershed; the numbers of to represent locations from south to north along the Dead Sea
Rift: Ze’elim (Neumann et al., 2007), Ein Gedi (Litt et al., 2012), Sea of Galilee (Miebach et al., 2017; Schiebel and Litt, 2017), Lake Hula (van Zeist et al.,
2009), Lake Birkat Ram (Schiebel, 2013) and Yammouneh, Lebanon (Gasse et al., 2011); the total percentage of trees & shrubs and herbs are 100%. D: Dead
Sea lake-level (Torfstein et al., 2013). E: Comparison of lamina thickness from the Dead Sea depocenter sedimentary sequence (yellow and blue colors, Core
5017-1) with nearshore sections (green color); the late Holocene (2.2-0.7 ka) and last glacial (26.2-17.7 ka) nearshore laminae records were recovered from Dead
Sea Ein Gedi core (Migowski, 2001) and Massada outcrop (Prasad et al., 2004), respectively; the bold yellow, blue and green lines represent data of 21-points
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running average; the red stars mark the dated ages. F: Comparison of lamina thickness between the Dead Sea margins and center in both glacial (26.2-17.7 ka)
and interglacial (2.2-0.7 ka) time periods. See Fig. 1. for the referred locations.
In addition, previous studies reveal extensive dune incursion to the Negev Highland during the Late Pleistocene (Roskin et al., 2011;
Palchan et al., 2013; Faershtein et al., 2016; Torfstein et al., 2018; Palchan et al., 2019). The last deglaciation (18-11.6 ka) is the most extensive
phase for dune activity, promoting a maximum spatial extension of the erg (Roskin et al., 2011). During that time period, both hill slopes and
valleys in the southern part of the Dead Sea drainage basin were covered by large amounts of wind-blown dust (Faershtein et al., 2016; Palchan
et al., 2019). This aeolian process might have supplied a large amount of erodible materials in the Dead Sea drainage basin during the last
deglaciation (Haliva-Cohen et al., 2012; Palchan et al., 2019).
The Dead Sea has undergone significant lake-level drop (from ca. -200 m to ca. -420 m) (Torfstein et al., 2013), lake surface shrinkage
(from ~2900 km2 to 650 km2) and lake size reduction (from ~500 km3 to 130 km3) during the last deglaciation (Hall, 1996). The lake-level
drops have significantly shortened the distance between the Dead Sea lakeshore and wadis outlets and depocenter. Moreover, during the last
deglaciation lake-level drops, large expanses of previously submerged areas such as the Massada and Perazim Valley mud plains (Fig. 1) that
are covered with fine-grained and loose sediments were exposed for erosion (Filin et al., 2014). The significant last deglaciation lake-level
drops must have considerably increased erodible materials in the Dead Sea watershed.
5.2 Decoupling between significant lake-level drop/lake size reduction and detritus lamina thickness during the last deglaciation
Our observations show that detrital laminae are usually thinner during the last glacial high-stands and thicker during the typical Holocene low-
stands (Fig. 5D, E). It seems that this distribution pattern of lamina thickness and lake-level at glacial/interglacial timescale is in line with most
literature have claimed that lake-level/size changes controlling the thickness of detritus lamina (Schramm, 1997; Prasad et al., 2004;
Neugebauer et al., 2015; López-Merino et al., 2016). However, no apparent increase in lamina thickness is visible during the most significant
lake-level drop and lake size reduction between ~22-11.6 ka (Fig. 6). Moreover, at the same time period, the change in lamina thickness does
not follow the general trend of the lake-level/size changes. A gradual increase in lamina thickness from ~22 ka to 11.6 ka instead of only after
~11.6 ka should be noted if the lake-level/size changes controlling the thickness of detritus lamina (Fig. 6D, E).
One may argue that a lake-level threshold situated at ca. -400 m prevailed (Hall, 1996) since the basin slope angle is relatively moderate
around this elevation, and thus can accumulate much more lacustrine sediments during high-stands. However, no apparent increase in the
thickness of detritus laminae and the total clastic sediment accumulation rate (SAR) (Lu et al., 2017b) is noted during the time intervals in
which the lake-level fluctuated below -400 m (during ~14.0-11.6 ka; Fig. 6A-C). Moreover, large areas of loose Lisan outcrops (e.g., Massada
and Perazim Valley) on the western Dead Sea lake’s margins above -400 m have been exposed during the last deglaciation and may have also
supplied a large amount of erodible materials.
The significant lake-level drop, enhanced dust input in the southern part of the Dead Sea drainage system, and low vegetative cover in the
drainage basin during the last deglaciation have considerably increased erodible materials in the Dead Sea watershed. However, the total clastic
SAR remained low and no apparent increase in the thickness of detritus laminae during the time period. Therefore, we conclude that a
decoupling existed between significant lake-level drop/lake size reduction and detritus lamina thickness during the last deglaciation (22-11.6
ka), and the lamina thickness was not controlled by the factors such as vegetative cover, eolian process, and lake-level drop/lake size reduction,
which led to considerable increase in erodible materials.
We surmise that a response lag cannot account for the decoupling between significant lake-level drop/lake size reduction and detritus lamina
thickness during the last deglaciation, mainly because of the very short distance (a few hundred meters) from the source mud plains to the lake
shores. Moreover, the hydrological response in the Dead Sea catchment is relatively fast due to large exposures of bare rock (Ben Moshe et al.,
2008), shallow soils, and scarcity of vegetation (Greenbaum et al., 2006; Neumann et al., 2010). Besides, high-resolution radiocarbon dating
on the Ze’elim outcrop reveals that the lag period due to transport and deposition of vegetation debris is less than a few decades in such an arid
environment (Ken-Tor (Bookman) et al., 2001). Moreover, based on 7Be record, Belmaker et al. (2011) demonstrate that the residence time of
fine aeolian particles in the arid Dead Sea drainage basin is even less than one year, therefore indicating that rare floods in the drainage basin
wash very efficiently into the Dead Sea.
A rate-limiting process for erosion is the rate of load transport (Molnar, 2001). The amount of erodible materials in the Dead Sea watershed
couldn’t be equal to the amount of eroded materials and hence the amount of sedimentation at the deepest depositional sink in the Dead Sea.
This is because the transport and accumulation of materials at the sink largely depend on the discharge of rivers and the magnitude of floods.
Previous studies have revealed that more sediments are carried when rivers are in flooding stage than when discharges are low (Molnar, 2001;
Belmaker et al., 2008). Therefore, we interpret the last deglaciation decoupling between the significant increase in erodible materials and
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detritus lamina thickness change implies the (suspended load) transport capacity of flash-floods is low and might be saturated by the oversupply
of erodible materials during the time period. We therefore suggest that this decoupling indicates a transport-limited regime (Zhang et al., 2019).
Fig. 6. Comparison of Dead Sea depocenter and marginal laminae records (B-E) with Dead Sea lake-level and size changes (A) during 26-8 ka. A: The most
significant lake-level drop and lake size reduction in the Dead Sea drainage basin during the past 45 kyr (Torfstein et al., 2013; Hall, 1996). B: Clastic (detritus
laminae plus detritus layers) sediment accumulation rate (SAR) in the Dead Sea depocenter, based on Core 5017-1 (Lu et al., 2017b). C: Comparison of lamina
thickness (21-points running average) change with significant lake-level and size changes during 26-8 ka; yellow and blue curves represent aragonite and detritus
laminae from Core 5017-1, respectively; green curves represent aragonite and detritus laminae from the Dead Sea margin. D: Comparison of lamina thickness
change with lake surface area change. E: Normalize lamina thickness to lake surface area. The “?” in (D) and (E) indicates no significant increase in lamina
thickness during the two intervals of most significant lake-level drop/lake size reduction; the dashed magenta lines in (D) and (E) represent the expected change
trend of lamina thickness if the thickness controlled by lake-level/size changes.
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5.3 Implications to floods recurrence during the last glacial and the Holocene
Previous paleoclimatology studies point to relative humid conditions in the Dead Sea drainage basin during the last glacial, as was denoted by
high-stands of Lake Lisan (Stein et al., 1997; Bartov et al., 2002; Bookman et al., 2006; Rohling, 2013). Based on instrumental meteorological
data from the northernmost part of the Dead Sea drainage area, it is shown that years experiencing twice the mean annual rainfall yielded four
to six times the modern mean inflow to the Sea of Galilee (Enzel et al., 2003). Furthermore, Enzel et al. (2008) proposed that the three- to five-
fold increase in inflow during the last glacial could have resulted from doubling mean annual rainfall in the Lake Lisan drainage area.
However, the aragonite-detritus laminae during the last glacial (~45-11.6 ka) are much thinner than during the Holocene (~11.6 ka-Present).
Thereby, the annual rainfall is unlikely to be the controlling factor of detritus lamina thickness. Modeling response of soil erosion to changes
in precipitation reveals that changes in rainfall intensity will likely have a greater impact on land surface erosion than simply changes in rainfall
amount alone (Nearing et al., 2005). Field experiments in the Jordanian Plateau (Ziadat and Taimeh, 2013) and laboratory modeling (Defersha
and Melesse, 2012) confirmed that sediment yield increased with rainfall intensity augmentation. Late Pleistocene erosion and deposition
studies by Enzel et al. (2012) in Nahal Yael (southern Israel) also reveal that the intensity/frequency of extreme storms is a key factor for pulses
of sediment delivery at millennial time scale. Flooding will be generated after a threshold in rainfall intensity is reached, and then an increase
in sediment transportation and sedimentation at the sink are expected. Modern offshore sedimentation monitoring in the Dead Sea area by
satellite observations (Nehorai et al., 2013) and sediment traps (Stiller et al., 1997) reveals that flooding plays a key role in supplying offshore
suspended particles.
The Dead Sea drainage basin experiences relatively high year-to-year precipitation variations due to the influence of two nearby major
climatological provinces (Dayan and Morin, 2006; Morin et al., 2009). The peak discharges are inversely related to decreasing annual rainfall
totals (Ben-Zvi, 1988; Armon et al., 2019), and the relative portion of higher rainfall intensities increases with the reduction of annual rainfall
amounts southward (Greenbaum et al., 2006). Present-day meteorological data show that the frequency of rare floods in arid regions is much
higher than in humid regions in the Dead Sea watershed (Ben-Zvi, 1988; Greenbaum et al., 1998). On a century time scale, late Holocene
paleohydrological reconstructions for the western watershed of the Dead Sea reveals an increased frequency of large floods during eastern
Mediterranean droughts (~2.9-2.6 ka) (Ahlborn et al., 2018). Moreover, in the southern watershed of the Dead Sea, observations show that
higher intensity rainfall is associated with increased aridity during the late Holocene (Bull and Schick, 1979; Greenbaum et al., 2000). It is
concluded that the increased frequency of high intensity rainfall, which are associated with increased aridity, most probably result from
increased frequency of extreme localized Active Red Sea Trough associated rainstorms (Greenbaum et al., 2000; Ahlborn et al., 2018).
In the Dead Sea region, high rain intensities with long recurrence intervals are more frequent as the climate becomes drier (Morin et al.,
2009). Field observations in the Negev Highlands, southern Israel reveal that the significant climate shift during the Late Pleistocene/Holocene
transition led to higher rainfall intensity, and thus generating stronger floods and extensive soil erosion since ~12 ka (Avni et al., 2006;
Faershtein et al., 2016). The response of sedimentation to the late Pleistocene/Holocene climatic transition has also been recorded in the
southern Negev Desert (Bull et al., 1979) and other arid regions such as the Great Basin Desert, northwest Nevada (Harvey et al., 1999), and
Mojave Desert, eastern California (Antinao and McDonald, 2013).
The higher occurrence frequency of aragonite-detritus laminae couplets during MIS2-3 (~45-11.6 ka) compared to the MIS1 (~11.6 ka-
present) can be explained by the twofold mean annual rainfall and four to six times larger amount of annual runoff during the last glacial than
the Holocene (Enzel et al., 2008). Therefore, we propose the thickness-frequency distribution of aragonite-detritus laminae couplets may
indicate small-magnitude and high-frequency floods during a more humid last glacial period, and low frequency but large-magnitude floods
during the arid Holocene. This long-term paleoflood record may supply insight for future hazard assessment regarding the increased aridity in
the Southern Levant.
6. Conclusions
The following points highlight the main conclusions of the paper:
(1) In the Dead Sea depocenter, the aragonite and detritus laminae are thinner and occur at high frequency during MIS 3-2, while they are
much thicker and less frequent during MIS 1. Other shorter, fragmentary aragonite and detritus laminae records from the Dead Sea margin
show the same thickness distribution pattern.
(2) The significant lake-level drops, enhanced dust input in the Dead Sea drainage system, and low vegetative cover in the drainage basin
during the last deglaciation (22-11.6 ka) have considerably increased erodible materials in the Dead Sea watershed.
(3) A decoupling existed between the significant lake-level drop/lake size reduction and lamina thickness change during the last deglaciation,
Copyright (2020) Elsevier (DOI: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2019.106143)
© 2020. This manuscript version is made available under the CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 license
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and at the multiple-millennium scale, the lamina thickness is not controlled by the lake-level/size change during the last glacial and the
Holocene. We interpret this last deglaciation decoupling (lamina thickness doesn't follow the lake level/size change) implying the transport
capacity of flash-floods is low and might be saturated by the oversupply of erodible materials during the time period.
(4) We suggest that the observed thickness-frequency distribution of aragonite-detritus laminae reflects the small-magnitude and high-
frequency floods during the humid last glacial, and low frequency but large-magnitude floods during the arid Holocene.
Acknowledgments
We thank the funding agencies for this project: The International Continental Scientific Drilling Program (ICDP) and the Israel Science
Foundation (ISF; Grant #1093/10 to R. Bookman and Center of Excellence Grant #1436/14 to S. Marco). We thank Nimer Taha from the Basin
Analysis and Petrophysical Lab (PetroLab) at the Department of Marine Geosciences, the University of Haifa for laboratory assistance. We
thank the two anonymous reviewers for their constructive comments, which improved the quality of the manuscript substantially. We thank
Editor Neil Roberts for handling this manuscript. All analytical data presented here are available electronically in the Supplementary Table and
PANGAEA database at the PANGAEA: https://doi.pangaea.de/10.1594/PANGAEA.907643
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... The clayey sediments of the "Ze'elim Formation" are characterized by a fine-grained laminated texture, in which a dark lamina of detritus alternates with a light lamina of authigenic minerals (Bookman et al., 2004). The laminated texture reflects seasonal deposition (Lu, et al., 2020). The dark lamina consists of transported detritus material: clay minerals and fine-grained calcite and dolomite (Bookman et al., 2004;Garber et al., 1987). ...
... An imported source for the detrital clay in the Late Quaternary sediments of the Dead Sea periphery was the material of the seasonal floods (e.g. Haliva-Cohen et al., 2012;Lu, et al., 2020) that was transported to the Dead Sea periphery from the weathering and erosion of the rocks exposed at the margins of the Dead Sea Basin and adjacent regions (Fig. 2). The main units exposed at the Following these observations, a large part of the smectitic illitesmectite in the composition of the mudflat sediments (Table 3; Fig 8) was derived from the transport of detritus from weathering and erosion of the Upper Cretaceous rocks exposed at the margins of the Dead Sea Basin and adjacent regions (Fig. 2). ...
... The Malawi Rift provides exceptional constraints on paleoclimate and basin morphology over the past 140 kyr, and offers a unique insight into a juvenile terrestrial rift environment before the connection to the global ocean system (e.g., Gulf of Corinth, Gulf of California, passive rifted margins). Our new modeling results tied to observational data illustrate the significant impact of spatio-temporal variations in regional climate at orbital timescales (i.e., -Avraham et al., 2008;Lu et al., 2020) systems. Therefore, this work builds on the accepted tectonic model for facies development in lacustrine rift basins (e.g., Lambiase, 1990;Lambiase & Bosworth, 1995), adding the effects of high-frequency climate forcings to early syn-rift fills. ...
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The interplay of rapid climate change and tectonics drives landscape development, sediment routing, and deposition in early‐stage continental rift systems. The Lake Malawi Rift, in the Western Branch of the East African Rift, is an archetype of a juvenile rift and an ideal natural laboratory for evaluating lacustrine source‐to‐sink systems on orbital or shorter timescales. We examine the interplay of these processes over the past 140 kyr using observations from nested seismic reflection data sets tied to scientific drill cores, which calibrate numerical forward models of this closed sedimentary system. Fault slip rates measured from seismic data drive tectonic displacements in the model. Satellite‐derived precipitation maps constrain modern precipitation and are scaled to previous hydrologic balance studies to reconstruct past climates. Our model reproduces known sediment thicknesses across the rift and accounts for 96% of the estimated siliciclastic sediment deposited over the past 140 kyr. The results demonstrate that the onset of arid climate conditions (140–95 kyr BP) causes extreme drainage adjustments downstream and the formation of mega‐catchments that flow axially into a shallow restricted paleo‐lake. Sedimentation rates during this time are twice the present values due to increased sediment focusing via these axial systems into a much smaller, hydrologically closed lake. As the climate became wetter (95–50 kyr BP), the lake rapidly expanded, decreasing both erosion and sedimentation rates across the rift. This closed‐loop approach allows us to evaluate the role of high‐frequency climate change in modulating basin physiography as well as sediment fluxes in juvenile rift systems.
... The duration and intensity of rainfall influence the flashiness of river discharge. Short-duration torrential rainfall can create an exceptionally high peak of river discharge existing for a small timespan (Lu et al. 2020;Peptenatu et al. 2020). We have prepared a rainfall map using 30 years of daily average rainfall data measured at 12 stations located within the watershed. ...
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Escalation in flash floods and the enhanced devastations, especially in the arid and semiarid regions of the world has required precise mapping of the flash flood susceptible zones. In this study, we applied six novel credal decision tree (CDT)-based ensemble models—1. CDT, 2. CDT Alternative Decision Tree (ADTree), 3. CDT- Reduced Error Pruning Tree (REPT), 4. CDT- Rotational Forest (RF), 5. CDT-FT, 6. CDT- Naïve Bias Tree (NBTree). For preparing the flash flood susceptibility maps (FFSM), 206 flood locations were selected in the Neka-roud watershed of Iran with 70% as training data and 30% as testing data. Moreover, 18 flood conditing factors were considered for FFSM and a multi-colinearity test was performed for determining the role of the factors. Our results show that the distance from the stream plays a vital role in flash floods. The CDT-FT is the best-fit model out of the six novel algorithms employed in this study as demonstrated by the highest values of the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating curve (ROC) (AUROC 0.986 for training data and 0.981 for testing data). Our study provides a novel approach and useful tool for flood management.
... Quaternary climate change, especially in regions influenced by large-scale monsoon dynamics, can influence fluvial degradation and aggradation through changes in sediment supply, discharge and erosion, and flood recurrence. These linkages have been documented in the Ganga River system of the Indian subcontinent (Williams et al., 2006;Sinha and Sarkar, 2009), the eastern Mediterranean region (Faershtein et al., 2016;Lu et al., 2020), and the Nile basin (Revel et al., 2010;Blanchet et al., 2021). We show here that Late Pleistocene and Holocene cycles of fluvial incision and aggradation in the Awash River valley of eastern Africa coincide with orbitally-driven (i.e., precession) changes in hydroclimate. ...
Article
The Busidima Formation in the Afar region, Ethiopia, spans the Quaternary and records the cultural evolution of the genus Homo. Yet, the Middle Pleistocene to Holocene fluvial environments in which early humans lived are undersampled in eastern Africa. This paper examines the stratigraphy, geochronology and paleoenvironments of the newly designated Odele Member of the uppermost Busidima Formation (<152 thousand years ago (ka)), which has received little attention despite representing a critical period in the evolution of early Homo sapiens and its migration out of Africa. The Odele Member is 40e50 m thick and is dated using tephrochronology, radiometric, luminescence, and electron spin resonance techniques. The member spans 151 to 7 ka, defined at the base by the widespread Waidedo Vitric Tuff (WAVT, 151 ± 16 ka modeled age and 95.4% credible interval-C.I.). There are two prominent erosional unconformities in the Odele Member, a lower one after the WAVT deposition with a modeled 95.4% C.I. range of 124e97 ka; and an upper one involving widespread alluvial fan incision commencing between 21.7 and 12.9 ka. The uppermost Odele Member also contains black, organic-rich mats, redox features, reed casts, and freshwater gastropods marking wetter conditions during the terminal Pleistocene and Early Holocene. A black, fine-grained relict soil coeval with the Halalalee paleosol bounds the top of the Odele Member and has mollic and vertic properties, weathering since~12 ka. These incision events and prominent paleosol development near/at the top of the Busidima Formation document Middle to Late Pleistocene Awash River incision to its present-day course. Paleo-rainfall estimates suggest that the Early Holocene-age Halalalee paleosol weathered under a climate with mean annual rainfall 10e15% higher than today. A compilation of radiocarbon ages from aquatic gastropods, carbonized wood and charcoal from the upper Odele Member shows wetter and possibly more vegetated conditions during late marine isotope stage (MIS) 3 and the African Humid Period (AHP) that are tightly coupled with precession-driven summer insolation maxima. These key findings suggest that periods of incision, aggregation, and landscape stability in the Odele Member have an orbital precession pacing. The Odele Member revises upward the age of the Busidima Formation to 7 ka, showing that it spans into the Holocene and now includes Middle and Later Stone Age archaeological traditions.
... Quaternary climate change, especially in regions in uenced by large-scale monsoon dynamics, can in uence uvial degradation and aggradation through changes in sediment supply, discharge and erosion, and ood recurrence. These linkages have been documented in the Ganga River system of the Indian subcontinent (Sinha and Sarkar, 2009;Williams et al., 2006), the eastern Mediterranean region (Faershtein et al., 2016;Lu et al., 2020), and the Nile basin (Blanchet et al., 2021;Revel et al., 2010). We show here that Late Pleistocene and Holocene cycles of uvial incision and aggradation in the Awash River valley of eastern Africa coincide with changes in hydroclimate on a precessional pace. ...
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The Busidima Formation in the Afar region, Ethiopia, spans the Quaternary and records the cultural evolution of the genus Homo . Yet, the Middle Pleistocene to Holocene fluvial environments in which early humans lived are undersampled in eastern Africa. This paper examines the stratigraphy, geochronology and paleoenvironments of the newly designated Odele Member of the uppermost Busidima Formation (< 152 thousand years (ka)), which has received little attention despite being a critical period in the evolution of early Homo sapiens and its migration out of Africa. The Odele Member is 40–50 m thick and spans 151 to 7 ka, defined at the base by the widespread Waidedo Vitric Tuff (WAVT, 151 ± 16 ka modeled age and 95.4% C.I.). There are two prominent erosional unconformities in the Odele Member, a lower one after the WAVT deposition with a modeled 95.4% C.I. range of 124 − 97 ka; and an upper one involving widespread alluvial fan incision commencing between 13 and 10.6 ka. The uppermost Odele Member also contains black, organic-rich mats, redox features, reed casts, and semi-aquatic and aquatic gastropods marking wetter conditions during the terminal Pleistocene and Early Holocene. A black, fine-grained relict soil coeval with the Halalalee paleosol bounds the top of the Odele Member and has mollic and vertic properties, weathering since ~ 12 ka. These incision events and prominent paleosol development near/at the top of the Busidima Formation document Middle to Late Pleistocene Awash River incision to its present-day course. Paleo-rainfall estimates suggest that the Early Holocene-age Halalalee paleosol weathered under a climate with mean annual rainfall 10–15% higher than today. A compilation of radiocarbon ages from aquatic gastropods, carbonized wood and charcoal from the upper Odele Member shows wetter and possibly more vegetated conditions during late marine isotope stage (MIS) 3 and the African Humid Period (AHP) that are tightly coupled with precession-driven summer insolation maxima. The Odele Member revises upward the age of the Busidima Formation to 7 ka, showing that it spans into the Holocene and now includes Middle and Later Stone Age archaeological traditions.
... Few studies attempted to recover short-term, millennial to decadal, lake level variations in order to identify short-term changes in P/E ratios and flood events and to assess the changing moisture sources (e.g. Prasad et al., 2004;Ben Dor et al., 2018;Lu et al., 2020). ...
Article
Past lacustrine and wetland sediments from arid regions, sensitive to changes in precipitation and evaporation, are important archives of past environmental variability. This thesis presents new data that contribute to the Quaternary records of Jordan through multi-proxy analyses of sediment archives from two study sites in southern Jordan; the Gharandal Valley and the Dead Sea Basin. Through detailed analyses of the sediments from the two study sites, the depositional environments, environmental conditions, and how these changed, and to some extent their timing were reconstructed. Sediments from the Gharandal Valley were investigated and collected from five different sedimentary sections (> 30 m sediments) and analyzed for particle size distribution, organic and carbonate content (through LOI), and elemental (through XRF) and minerogenic (through magnetic susceptibility) composition. The results indicated complex tectonic/climate-driven depositional environments prevailed in the valley, during Marine Isotope Stage (MIS) 6, alternating from fluvial in-wash to fluvio-aeolian and wetland deposition following the proposed valley outlet damming. The GH1 and GH2, the main sections in the valley, record the environmental aggradation from stream-fed wetland depositional conditions where thin wetland beds developed following in-wash events, in the lower parts, into more consistent wetland (wetter) conditions towards the top of the sections. These cycles were identified in 16 fining upward primary associations in the GH1 section and 8 fining upward primary associations in the GH2 section. The age estimate (MIS6) is consistent with wet phases recorded elsewhere in the Levant and increased monsoon precipitation recorded in southern Arabia suggesting that an influence of the two systems (the northeastern Mediterranean Cyclones and the southern tropical monsoon), which do not reach the valley site today, may have contributed to maintaining the wetland conditions in the valley during glacial stadials and interstadials. From the eastern side of the Dead Sea Basin (DSB), the lacustrine section DS1 was investigated. The section is primarily comprised of laminated pale and dark laminae and laminated detrital laminae with a thick gypsum-dominated bed. Considering the different nature of the sediments, the DS1 bulk sediments were first analysed using proxies mentioned earlier for the Gharandal Valley. In addition, the pale laminae were analysed for the carbonate isotope composition (δ13C and δ18O), mineralogy (through XRD) and carbonate crystal habit (through SEM EDS) analysis. Through preliminary U/Th dating of aragonite laminae, the DS1 section age was estimated at ca. 40 ka to 37 ka (MIS3). This places the section as part of the Lake Lisan Middle Member (ca. 58 ka to 31ka). Based on the sediment’s lithology and the multi-proxy records, the environmental history of the DS1 section, of enhanced/reduced freshwater input into the lake (P/E ratio) at millennial, centennial and close to annual scales, is recorded in four distinct lithostratigraphic units. The units record relatively high lake levels, then lake level lowering and the deposition of the gypsum bed, a lake re-filling stage and return to stable relatively high lake levels. The environmental proxies suggest that during Greenland Interstadials (GIs), the lake level was relatively higher than during Stadials (GSs). The gypsum bed, the lowest relative lake level in the record, probably coincides with Heinrich Event 4. At centennial scales, the environmental proxies apparently record lake level changes corresponding to the GIs indicating variable amounts of freshwater reaching the DSB. An initial assessment of the moisture source was done based on the aragonite initial 234U/238U ratios variability and indicated the dominance of the Eastern Mediterranean cyclones in driving the deposition of the DS1 section. The results of this thesis emphasize southern Jordan’s sedimentological and palaeoclimatic heterogeneity and the complexity of the past environmental records that can be recovered. This indicates the need for continued investigations and particularly more dating control, based on more comprehensive and detailed approaches in order to achieve a better assessment of the Quaternary sedimentological and environmental variability in the region.
... Halite and gypsum deposits in the core imply a negative water balance, increasing salinity, and thus indicating a relatively arid climate (Torfstein et al., 2015;Kiro et al., 2016). The aragonitedetritus laminae couplet reflects the input of runoff freshwater and a relatively humid climate (Lu et al., 2017a(Lu et al., , 2020aBen Dor et al., 2018). Furthermore, units of in situ deformed aragonite-detritus laminae indicate seismic activity along the central Dead Sea Fault (Lu et al., 2020b). ...
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In lakes and oceans, links between modern sediment density flow processes and deposits preserved in long-term geological records are poorly understood. Consequently, it is unclear whether, and if so how, long-term climate changes affect the magnitude/frequency of sediment density flows. One approach to answering this question is to analyze a comprehensive geological record that comprises deposits that can be reliably linked to modern sediment flow processes. To address this question, we investigated the unique ICDP Core 5017-1 from the Dead Sea (the largest and deepest hypersaline lake on the Earth) depocenter covering MIS 7-1. Based on an understanding of modern sediment density flow processes in the lake, we link homogeneous muds in the core to overflows (surface flood plumes, ρflow<ρwater), and link graded turbidites and debrites to underflows (ρflow>ρwater). Our dataset reveals (1) overflows are more prominent during interglacials, while underflows are more prominent during glacials; (2) orbital-scale climate changes affected the flow magnitude/frequency via changing salinity and density profile of lake brine, lake-level, and source materials.
... On both sides of the Dead Sea (Syrian African) Rift (Jordan and Dead Sea Valley)-in the Land of Israel (modern Israel/Cisjordan) and Transjordan (modern Kingdom of Jordan) (southern Levant) ( Fig. 1)-Neolithic society and the agricultural revolution impacted the rock surfaces, slopes, sediments, and soils of the landscape adjacent to settlements (Grosman and Goren-Inbar, 2007;Yaroshevich et al. 2018;Goren-Inbar et al. 2022). However, the environmental impact of the Neolithic era is still under debate and may have been over-emphasised in some cases (see Lu et al. 2017Lu et al. , 2020. As a rule, palaeoenvironmental studies of the Early Holocene rely on single archaeological sites, specific proxies, or a compilation of regional data (Palmisano et al. 2019). ...
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One of the largest prehistoric settlements in Israel and Jordan was uncovered by the Motza salvage excavation in the largest and deepest drainage basin of the Judean highlands in central Israel. On a fan-shaped piedmont-like slope probably developed from Neolithic waste and materials and covering more than 0.5 km, the Motza “megasite” comprises more than 1,200 excavation squares, each measuring 25 sq.m. Plastered structures, a rich artefactual assemblage and a distinct unit of angular clasts containing artefacts dating mainly to the final stage of the Pre-Pottery Neolithic B (PPNB) period suggest a significant engagement with surrounding resources. A geospatial analysis of the Motza region is presented with preliminary artefactual, geoarchaeological and analytical results from the excavation and a review of regional palaeoclimate, palaeoenvironment and geoscientific studies. The present and past geomorphic processes, and the hydrology of the site’s environs are assessed and their influence on-site selection and sustainability are discussed. The Early Holocene palaeoclimatic and palaeoenvironmental conditions during a geomorphic time-window help to explain the Neolithic climax that apparently generated a reasonable ecogeomorphic impact, probably for the first time in the region. However, this review cannot offer deterministic explanations, especially regarding the abandonment of the megasite. The limitations of palaeo-reconstruction and the impact of recycled landscapes and intensive early modern-to-modern land use are discussed, along with the contribution of the occupiers of the megasite to shaping the regional Mediterranean landscape to the present day.
... Paleo-climatic evidence suggests the existence of important links between mean climatic conditions and occurrence and intensity of the different synoptic systems inducing heavy precipitation in the region (Enzel et al., 2003;Benito et al., 2015;Ahlborn et al., 2018;Armon et al., 2018;Ben Dor et al., 2018;Armon et al., 2019;Morin et al., 2019;Lu et al., 2020;Ludwig and Hochman, 2022). Our understanding of ongoing and future changes in heavy precipitation events thus stems from our ability to detect and predict changes in the occurrence and intensity of all these systems Ziv et al., 2014;Merkenschlager et al., 2017;Marra et al., 2019b). ...
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Gaining a holistic understanding of extreme weather, from its physical drivers to its impacts on society and ecosystems, is key to supporting future risk reduction and preparedness measures. Here, we provide an overview of the state of the art, knowledge gaps and key open questions in the study of extreme weather events over the vulnerable eastern Mediterranean. This region is situated in a transition zone between subtropical and mid-latitude climates. The large-scale atmospheric circulation and its interaction with regional synoptic systems (i.e., Cyprus Lows, Red Sea Troughs, Persian Troughs, “Sharav” Lows) and high-pressure systems mainly govern extreme weather. Complex orographic features further play an important role in the generation of extreme weather. Most extreme weather events, including heavy precipitation, cold spells, floods and windstorms, are associated with Cyprus Lows or active Red Sea Troughs, whereas heat waves are related with either Persian Troughs and sub-tropical high-pressure systems in summer or the Sharav Low during springtime. In future decades, heat waves and droughts are projected to significantly increase in both frequency and intensity. Changes in heavy precipitation may vary in sign and magnitude depending on the scale, severity and region of interest. There are still relatively large uncertainties concerning the physical understanding and the projected changes of cold spells, windstorms and compound extremes, as these types of events received comparatively little attention in the literature. We further identify knowledge gaps that relate to the societal impacts of extreme weather. These gaps mainly relate to the effects extreme weather may have on mortality, morbidity and infrastructure in the eastern Mediterranean. Research is currently limited in this context, and we recommend strengthening the database of analyzed case studies. We trust that this can only be suitably accomplished by inter-disciplinary and international regional collaboration (in spite of political unrest).
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Power laws fit to rockfall frequency-magnitude distributions are commonly used to summarize rockfall inventories, but uncertainty remains regarding which variables control the shape of the distribution, whether by exerting influence on rockfall activity itself or on our ability to measure rockfall activity. In addition, the current literature lacks concise summaries of background on the frequency-magnitude distribution for rockfalls and power law fitting. To help address these knowledge gaps, we present a new review of rockfall frequency literature designed to collect the basic concepts, methods, and applications of the rockfall frequency-magnitude curve in one place, followed by a meta-analysis of 46 rockfall inventories. We re-fit power laws to each inventory based on the maximum likelihood estimate of the scaling exponent and the cutoff volume and used Analysis of Variance and regression to test for relationships between 11 independent physical and systematic variables and the scaling exponent, applying both single-predictor and 2-predictor models. Notable relationships with the scaling exponent were observed for rockmass condition, geology, and maximum inventory volume. Higher scaling exponent values were associated with higher quality rockmasses, sedimentary rocks, and with smaller maximum rockfall volumes. Climate, data collection frequency, and data collection method also appear to have some influence on the scaling exponent, since higher scaling exponents were associated with temperate climates and inventories with shorter temporal extent and methods that involved few or no revisits to the slope. Relationships between the scaling exponent and slope angle, slope aspect, number of rockfalls in the inventory, record length, and minimum inventory volume are more ambiguous due to the noise inherent in comparing many studies together. In line with previous work, this study reinforces that sampling large volumes is important to obtaining an accurate distribution, and that the spatial scale of the inventory affects the likelihood of obtaining these measurements. We conclude with discussion of the results and recommendations for future work.
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Identifying climates favoring extreme weather phenomena is a primary aim of paleoclimate and paleohydrological research. Here, we present a well-dated, late Holocene Dead Sea sediment record of debris flows covering 3.3 to 1.9 cal ka BP. Twenty-three graded layers deposited in shallow waters near the western Dead Sea shore were identified by microfacies analysis. These layers represent distal subaquatic deposits of debris flows triggered by torrential rainstorms over the adjacent western Dead Sea escarpment. Modern debris flows on this escarpment are induced by rare rainstorms with intensities exceeding >30 mm h −1 for at least one hour and originate primarily from the Active Red Sea Trough synoptic pattern. The observed late Holocene clustering of such debris flows during a regional drought indicates an increased influence of Active Red Sea Troughs resulting from a shift in synoptic atmospheric circulation patterns. This shift likely decreased the passages of eastern Mediterranean cyclones, leading to drier conditions, but favored rainstorms triggered by the Active Red Sea Trough. This is in accord with present-day meteorological data showing an increased frequency of torrential rainstorms in regions of drier climate. Hence, this study provides conclusive evidence for a shift in synoptic atmospheric circulation patterns during a late Holocene drought.
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The vegetation response to variation in rainfall totals along a climatic transect extending from a Mediterranean region to an extreme arid region was studied. A curvilinear relationship was suggested between annual rainfall, species richness , species diversity and dominance. The maximum number of species was calculated to be in the range of 900}950 mm, the maximum diversity between 750 and 800 mm, and the minimum dominance in the range of 600-700 mm. Annual species decrease logarithmically from the extreme desert to the Medi-terranean region with a parallel increase of perennial herbaceous and woody plants. Wet and dry scenarios are considered as a framework to evaluate future vegetation responses to possible climate change. 2000 Academic Press
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Infrequent extreme events such as large earthquakes pose hazards and have lasting impacts on landscapes and biogeochemical cycles. Sediments provide valuable records of past events, but unambiguously identifying event deposits is challenging because of nonlinear sediment transport processes and poor age control. Here, we have been able to directly track the propagation of a tectonic signal into stratigraphy using reservoir sediments from before and after the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake. Cycles in magnetic susceptibility allow us to define a precise annual chronology and identify the timing and nature of the earthquake’s sedimentary record. The grain size and Rb/Sr ratio of the sediments responded immediately to the earthquake. However, the changes were muted until 2 years after the event, when intense monsoonal runoff drove accumulation of coarser grains and lower Rb/Sr sediments. The delayed response provides insight into how climatic and tectonic agents interact to control sediment transfer and depositional processes.
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The southern Levant is a key region for studying vegetation developments in relation to climate dynamics and hominin migration processes in the past due to the sensitivity of the vegetation to climate variations and the long history of different anthropogenic occupation phases. However, paleoenvironmental conditions in the southern Levant during the Late Pleistocene were still insufficiently understood. Therefore, we investigated the vegetation and fire history of the Dead Sea region during the last glacial period. We present a new palynological study conducted on sediments of Lake Lisan, the last glacial precursor of the Dead Sea. The sediments were recovered from the center of the modern Dead Sea within an ICDP campaign. The palynological results suggest that Irano-Turanian steppe and Saharo-Arabian desert vegetation prevailed in the Dead Sea region during the investigated period (ca. 88,000–14,000 years BP). Nevertheless, Mediterranean woodland elements significantly contributed to the vegetation composition, suggesting moderate amounts of available water for plants. The early last glacial was characterized by dynamic climate conditions with pronounced dry phases and high but unstable fire activity. Anatomically modern humans entered the southern Levant during a climatically stable phase (late MIS 4–MIS 3)with diverse habitats, constant moisture availability, and low fire activity. MIS 2 was the coldest phase of the investigated timeframe, causing changes in woodland composition and a widespread occurrence of steppe. We used a biome modeling approach to assess regional vegetation patterns under changing climate conditions and to evaluate different climate scenarios for the last glacial Levant. The study provides new insights into the environmental responses of the Dead Sea region to climate variations through time. It contributes towards our understanding of the paleoenvironmental conditions in the southern Levant, which functioned as an important corridor for human migration processes.
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In flood risk management, a shift can be observed toward more integrated approaches that increasingly address the role of private households in implementing flood damage mitigation measures. This has resulted in a growing number of studies into the supposed positive relationship between individual flood risk perceptions and mitigation behavior. Our literature review shows, however, that, actually, this relationship is hardly observed in empirical studies. Two arguments are provided as an explanation. First, on the basis of protection motivation theory, a theoretical framework is discussed suggesting that individuals' high-risk perceptions need to be accompanied by coping appraisal to result in a protective response. Second, it is pointed out that possible feedback from already-adopted mitigation measures on risk perceptions has hardly been considered by current studies. In addition, we also provide a review of factors that drive precautionary behavior other than risk perceptions. It is found that factors such as coping appraisal are consistently related to mitigation behavior. We conclude, therefore , that the current focus on risk perceptions as a means to explain and promote private flood mitigation behavior is not supported on either theoretical or empirical grounds.
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Floods comprise a dominant hydroclimatic phenomenon in aridlands with significant implications for humans, infrastructure, and landscape evolution worldwide. The study of short-term hydroclimatic variability, such as floods, and its forecasting for episodes of changing climate therefore poses a dominant challenge for the scientific community, and predominantly relies on modeling. Testing the capabilities of climate models to properly describe past and forecast future short-term hydroclimatic phenomena such as floods requires verification against suitable geological archives. However, determining flood frequency during changing climate is rarely achieved, because modern and paleoflood records, especially in arid regions, are often too short or discontinuous. Thus, coeval independent climate reconstructions and paleoflood records are required to further understand the impact of climate change on flood generation. Dead Sea lake levels reflect the mean centennial-millennial hydrological budget in the eastern Mediterranean. In contrast, floods in the large watersheds draining directly into the Dead Sea, are linked to short-term synoptic circulation patterns reflecting hydroclimatic variability. These two very different records are combined in this study to resolve flood frequency during opposing mean climates. Two 700-year-long, seasonally-resolved flood time series constructed from late Pleistocene Dead Sea varved sediments, coeval with significant Dead Sea lake level variations are reported. These series demonstrate that episodes of rising lake levels are characterized by higher frequency of floods, shorter intervals between years of multiple floods, and asignificantly larger number of years that experienced multiple floods. In addition, floods cluster into intervals of intense flooding, characterized by 75% and 20% increased frequency above their respective background frequencies during rising and falling lake-levels, respectively. Mean centennial precipitation in the eastern Mediterranean is therefore coupled with drastic changes in flood frequencies. These drastic changes in flood frequencies are linked to changes in the track, depth, and frequency of mid-latitude eastern Mediterranean cyclones, determining mean climatology resulting in wetter and drier regional climatic episodes.
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