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PEMANFAATAN SATELIT ALTIMETRI UNTUK VERIFIKASI TINGGI GELOMBANG SIGNIFIKAN OCEAN FORECAST SYSTEM (OFS) – MODEL BMKG

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  • Universitas An Nuur
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... Nilai RMSE menunjukkan jauh atau dekatnya sebaran hasil model terhadap pengamatan lapangan. Semakin rendah nilainya semakin baik hasil model yang digunakan (Supriyadi, 2018 ...
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Perairan Pantai Alau-Alau merupakan daerah pesisir yang dimanfaatkan sebagai kegiatan pariwisata dan juga kegiatan perikanan seperti bagan perahu. Peramalan tinggi gelombang sangat berguna untuk menghindari kejadian kecelakaan kapal ataupun hantaman ombak besar di sekitar kawasan pantai. Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk menganalisis tinggi gelombang signifikan di wilayah Pantai Alau-Alau, Kalianda, Lampung Selatan dan menganalisis tingkat akurasi model Wavewatch-III BMKG (Badan Meteorologi Klimatologi dan Geofisika) dengan data lapangan. Data dari Model Wavewatch-III divisualisasi menggunakan software GrADS, lalu dibandingkan dengan data pengukuran lapangan yang dilaksanakan selama 7 hari (20-26 November 2019). RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) digunakan untuk melihat akurasi dari model tersebut. Hasil penelitian pengukuran lapangan menunjukkan tinggi gelombang signifikan di Pantai Alau-Alau berkisar 0,082-0,405 meter. Hasil tinggi gelombang signifikan hasil model Wavewatch-III berkisar 0,027–0,118 meter. Hasil nilai RMSE model Wavewatch-III terhadap data lapangan sebesar 0,28. Alau-Alau Beach is a coastal area that used for tourism and fishery such as boat lift net. The forecast of wave height is very useful to avoid hitting big waves around coastal areas. The aims of this study are to analyze the significant wave height in the Alau-Alau Beach area, Kalianda, South Lampung and to analyze the accuracy of the Wavewatch-III BMKG (Climatology and Geophysics Meteorological Agency) with field data. Data of Wavewatch-III Model was visualized by using GrADS software, then compared it with field measurement data that was carried out for 7 days (20-26 November 2019). RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) was used in seing the accuracy of the model. The results from the field measurement showed that significant wave heights at Alau-Alau Beach ranged from 0.082 to 0.405 meters. The significant wave height from the Wavewatch-III model ranged from 0.027 to 0.118 meters. The results from the RMSE Wavewatch-III model on field data was 0.28.
... was categorized as moderate until a strong positive relationship [28] explained the diversity of satellite data. In Indonesia, water shows similar results that during one month (January) also resulted in a correlation of 0.69 [29]. The verification recapitulation in July 2018 -June 2019 is presented in Fig. 3b. ...
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A limited number of marine meteorological instruments for making observations in Indonesian waters are problems in verifying the BMKG-OFS model. The satellite altimetry was selected as a verification tool due to its wide measurement range. The verification was carried out by adjusting the coordinates, time, and grid of SWH obtained and orbit of the satellite path from the satellite altimetry to the model and overlaying the models' results as a pattern analysis in July 2018 - June 2019. The next step was a statistical analysis to determine the performance of the model. The analysis obtained 43% maximum SWH formed due to the low-pressure centers in the Pacific Ocean. The remaining spreads across the South China Sea, Indian Ocean, Andaman Sea and the Gulf of Australia. This study revealed that the SWH values from satellites were higher than the model. On every three hourly and monthly bases, the SWH of the bias, RMSE, and correlation coefficient were equivalent. The lowest bias of 0.26 occurred at 9.00 UTC, the lowest RMSE of 0.48 occurred at 21:00 UTC, and the maximum correlation coefficient of 0.82 occurred at 18:00 UTC. Whereas on a monthly scale, the lowest bias and RMSE, and the maximum correlation coefficient occurred in November. Based on these results, the BMKG-OFS model can be used to predict SWH in Indonesian waters. Besides, this verification technique can be an alternative as a new tool to verify maritime weather in the operational of BMKG.
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Chapter
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