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If You Think 9-Ending Prices are Low, Think Again

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9-ending prices are a dominant feature of many retail settings, which according to the existing literature, is because consumers perceive them as being relatively low. Are 9-ending prices really lower than comparable non 9-ending prices? Surprisingly, the empirical evidence on this question is scarce. We use 8 years of weekly scanner price data with over 98 million price observations to document four findings. First, at the category level, 9-ending prices are usually higher, on average, than non 9-ending prices. Second, at the product level, in most cases, 9-ending prices are, on average, higher than prices with other endings. Third, sale prices are more likely to be non-9 ending than the corresponding regular prices. Fourth, among sale prices, 9-ending prices are often lower, on average, than comparable non 9-ending prices. The first three findings imply that although consumers may associate 9-ending prices with low prices, the data indicates otherwise. The fourth finding offers a possible explanation for this misperception. Retailers may be using 9-ending prices to draw consumers’ attention to particularly large price cuts during sales, which perhaps conditions the shoppers to associate 9-ending prices with low prices.
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If You Think 9-Ending Prices Are Low,
Think Again*
Avichai Snir
Department of Banking and Finance
Netanya Academic College
Netanya 42365, ISRAEL
Avichai.Snir@gmail.com
Daniel Levy**
Department of Economics
Bar-Ilan University
Ramat-Gan 52900, ISRAEL,
Department of Economics
Emory University
Atlanta, GA 30322, USA, and
Rimini Center for Economic Analysis, ITALY
Daniel.Levy@biu.ac.il
June 8, 2019
JEL Codes: M30, M31, L11, L16, L81, D12, D22, D40, D90, D91, E31
Key Words: Behavioral Pricing, Psychological Prices, Price Perception, Image Effect,
9-Ending Prices, Price Points, Regular Prices, Sale Prices
* We thank Haipeng Allan Chen for his encouragement and advice during the manuscript preparation process. Jens
Mehrhoff kindly answered our questions about the data. Tim Ginker was very helpful in answering our questions on data
processing and the econometric analyses. The usual disclaimer applies.
** Corresponding author: Daniel.Levy@biu.ac.il,Tel: +972-3-5318331, Fax: +972-3-7384034
If You Think 9-Ending Prices Are Low,
Think Again
Abstract
9-ending prices are a dominant feature of many retail settings, which according to the
existing literature, is because consumers perceive them as being relatively low. Are 9-
ending prices really lower than comparable non 9-ending prices? Surprisingly, the
empirical evidence on this question is scarce. We use 8 years of weekly scanner price data
with over 98 million price observations to document four findings. First, at the category
level, 9-ending prices are usually higher, on average, than non 9-ending prices. Second, at
the product level, in most cases, 9-ending prices are, on average, higher than prices with
other endings. Third, sale prices are more likely to be non-9 ending than the corresponding
regular prices. Fourth, among sale prices, 9-ending prices are often lower, on average, than
comparable non 9-ending prices. The first three findings imply that although consumers
may associate 9-ending prices with low prices, the data indicates otherwise. The fourth
finding offers a possible explanation for this misperception. Retailers may be using 9-
ending prices to draw consumers’ attention to particularly large price cuts during sales,
which perhaps conditions the shoppers to associate 9-ending prices with low prices.
JEL Codes: M30, M31, L11, L16, L81, D12, D22, D40, D90, D91, E31
Key Words: Behavioral Pricing, Psychological Prices, Price Perception, Image Effect,
9-Ending Prices, Price Points, Regular Prices, Sale Prices
1
1. Introduction
Dozens of studies demonstrate that 9-ending prices comprise as much as 60%–95% of
many retail prices, which is significantly greater than 10% that we would expect based on
purely random (uniform) distribution. The effect of 9-ending prices on consumer demand
and on sales volume in many retail settings, is also well-documented and widely
recognized. One of the key conclusions that these studies reach is that shoppers tend to
perceive 9-ending prices as lower than comparable non 9-ending prices.1
In this paper, we ask whether this perception is justified. That is, are 9-ending prices
really lower than non 9-ending prices? This is a fundamental question in the context of the
literature on behavioral pricing, in light of the overwhelming popularity of 9-ending
prices, and the widespread belief that 9-ending prices are lower than comparable non 9-
ending prices.
Surprisingly, however, the empirical studies that directly address this question are
scarce. Schindler (2001) is a rare exception. During a two-month period in 1997, he
collected at a major US metropolitan area, comparable retail price data for 120 brand-
name general merchandise goods. Each good he sampled was specified precisely in terms
of its attributes, such as the brand and the model number, the package size, etc. For each
good, Schindler collected 10 prices from 10 different retailers (forming comparison price
sets), yielding a total of 1,200 price observations. In total, his price sample covered 65
different retailers, including department stores, discount stores, specialty stores, drug
stores, supermarkets, automotive supply stores, etc.
Schindler (2001) found that counter to the common popular belief, 99-ending prices
were less likely to be the lowest in their comparison set. For example, he found that the
average 99-ending price was 24.1% higher than the lowest price for the item in the
comparison set.
In this paper, we revisit the question, but unlike Schindler (2001), who focuses his
analyses only on 99-ending prices, we focus on 9-ending prices (99-ending prices are a
1 See, for example, Anderson et al (2015), Anderson and Simester (2003a, 2003b, 2009), Ater and Gerlitz (2017), Bader
and Weinland (1932), Bhattacharya, et al (2012), Blinder et al (1998), Carver and Padgett (2012), Choi et al (2012),
Gedenk and Sattler (1999), Gendall, et al (1998), Ginzberg (1936), Hackl et al (2014), Jeong and Crompton (2018),
Kalyanam and Shively (1998), Kashyap (1995), Klenow and Malin (2011), Knotek (2019), Kreul (1982), Lee et al
(2009), Levy et al (2011, 2019), Macé (2012), Manning and Sprott (2009), Mathä (2009), Freling et al (2010), Ngobo et
al (2010), Quigley and Notarantonio (1992), Ruffle and Shtudiner (2006), Schindler (1984, 1991, 2001, 2006), Schindler
and Kibarian (1993, 1996), Schindler and Kirby (1997), Schindler and Warren (1988), Shlain (2018), Snir et al (2017),
Stiving and Winer (1997), Thomas and Morwitz (2005, 2009), and Twedt (1965).
2
subset of 9-ending prices). For our analyses, we use a retail scanner price dataset from a
major Midwestern US supermarket chain.
The data has numerous advantages. First, it is large, containing over 98 million weekly
price observations. Second, it includes the prices of over 18,000 different products. Third,
the prices are the actual transaction prices, as recorded by the scanners at the cash
registers. Fourth, the data set is weekly, which corresponds to the common retail practice
of weekly pricing and price adjustment cycle.
To assess whether or not 9-ending prices are indeed lower relative to comparable non
9-ending prices, we follow Schindler (2001) by running the same tests that he run. That
makes it possible to compare our findings for 9-ending prices to his findings for 99-ending
prices.
The sheer size of our dataset, however, enables us to go beyond Schindler’s tests as
follows. First, we are able to conduct the analysis at the category level, for each one of the
29 product categories in the data. Second, the panel structure of the dataset enables us to
compare prices across stores, within stores, and over time. We take advantage of these
possibilities by estimating regression equations with fixed effects that control for stores,
product sub-categories, weeks, and products.
This allows us to measure the differences between 9-ending and non 9-ending prices,
while we control for the variability across stores, for sub-category level inflation, and for
products within stores. The differences that we report, are therefore the residual price
differences that remain within stores between similar goods on the same week, and for
each product in each store over time.
Our findings are as follows. First, we find that at the category level, 9-ending prices
are on average higher than non 9-ending prices. Second, at the product level, we find that
in most cases, 9-ending prices are on average higher than prices with other endings. Third,
we find that sale prices are more likely to be non-9 ending than the corresponding regular
prices. Fourth, we find that among sale prices, 9-ending prices are often lower, on
average, than comparable non 9-ending prices.
We run several robustness tests, which include a comparison of 9-ending prices to 0-
ending prices, considering the effect of 9 as the highest possible right-most digit, using
price level (instead of log-transformed prices), excluding the outlier observations, and
using a sale filter to identify sale prices. The findings we report are robust to these tests.
Based on the first three findings, we conclude that although consumers may associate
3
9-ending prices with low prices, our data indicates otherwise. The fourth finding offers a
possible explanation for why 9-ending prices are perceived by consumers as low. The
retailers appear to use 9-ending prices to emphasize large price cuts during sales, which
may be guiding the shoppers towards associating 9-ending prices with low prices.
The paper is organized as follows. In section 2, we describe the data. In section 3, we
discuss some descriptive statistics, and offer evidence on the frequency distribution of the
last digit in our price data. In section 4, we present the results of several statistical and
econometric analyses to determine whether or not 9-ending prices are lower than
comparable non 9-ending prices. In section 5, we present the results of robustness tests.
We conclude in section 6 by summarizing the main findings, and discussing ethical
aspects of the implications.
2. Retail Scanner Price Data
We study price data from a large US Midwestern retail supermarket chain Dominick’s
Finer Food. We have price data from the chain’s 93 stores, containing 98,914,300 weekly
price observations for 18,036 different products in 29 product categories, during the 8-year
period from September 14, 1989 to May 14, 1997 (Mehrhoff, 2018).2 These are actual
transaction prices that consumers have paid each week, as recorded by the chain’s
scanners at the checkout cash registers.3 The products in our sample make up about 30%
of the chain’s revenue.4
3. Descriptive Statistics and the Distribution of the Last Digit
Table 1 offers descriptive statistics about the price data, by product categories. Among
the 29 product categories, the smallest category in terms of the total number of
observations we have, Bath Soaps, has 418,097 weekly price observations, and the largest,
Soft Drinks, has 10,741,742 weekly price observations. In terms of the number of
2 For statistical analyses, we identify the products by their SKU (Stock Keeping Unit) number.
3 For more details about Dominick's data, see for example, Barsky, et al. (2003), Chen, et al. (2008),
Chevalier, et al. (2003), and Levy et al. (2010). Dominick's data can be downloaded from the University of Chicago
Business School's web site: https://www.chicagobooth.edu/research/kilts/datasets/dominicks. For Dominick’s code
manual and user guide, see: https://www.chicagobooth.edu/-/media/enterprise/centers/kilts/
datasets/dominicks-dataset/dominicks-manual-and-codebook_kiltscenter.aspx, accessed May 6, 2019.
4 Dominick’s data have been used in dozens of studies. Recent examples include Tsiros and Hardesty
(2010), Meza and Sudhir (2010), Chahrour (2011), Midrigan (2011), Eichenbaum et al (2011), Macé (2012),
Guimaraes and Sheedy (2011), etc. See: https://www.chicagobooth.edu/research/kilts/datasets/dominicks#
for a complete list.
4
products, the Oatmeal category is the smallest, containing 96 different products, and
Shampoos category is the largest, containing 2,930 different products. The average price
in the data is $2.59.
The frequency distribution of the last digit in the entire dataset for all categories
combined is shown in Figure 1. According to the figure, 9 is the most frequent price
ending comprising 63.9% of the prices, followed by 5-endings, comprising 11.4% of the
prices, and 0-endings, comprising 4.7% of the prices. The remaining endings are less
common, each comprising between 1.9%–4.1% of the prices.
The frequency distribution of the last digit by product category is shown in Figure 2.
According to the plots in the figure, 9 is the most frequent price ending in 28 out of the 29
categories, with the exception of the category of Cigarettes, which according to Besley
and Rosen (1999) and Chen et al (2008), is subject to numerous regulatory restrictions. In
some product categories, 9-endingss are particularly dominant, comprising over 80% of
the prices. These include Analgesics (86.0%), Bath Soap (88.3%), Beer (95.7%),
Grooming Products (86.8%), Shampoos (91.5%) and Soft Drinks (82.7%).
4. Results of the Econometric Analyses
4.1. Average 9-Ending and Non 9-Ending Prices
As a first check of whether or not 9-ending prices are indeed lower than non 9-ending
prices, we compare the averages of 9-ending and non-9 ending prices in each category. If
consumers believe that 9-ending prices are lower than other prices because this is the
pattern that they observe in the marketplace, then we would expect that, on average, 9-
ending prices will be lower than prices that end with other digits.
We report the results of this analysis in Table 2. In column (1) of the table, we report
the average 9-ending prices, in column (2) we report the average non 9-ending prices, and
in column (3) we report the percentage difference between the average 9-ending and non
9-ending prices, computed as a log-difference.
We find that in 22 out of the 29 product categories, the average 9-ending prices exceed
the corresponding average non 9-ending prices. In some product categories, the size of this
difference is particularly large. In 10 product categories, the average 9-ending prices are
higher than the average non 9-ending prices by 20% or more. These categories are
Analgesics (21.24%), Cigarettes (55.48%), Front-End-Candies (33.38%), Grooming
Products (22.15%), Paper Towels (26.24%), Soft Drinks (56.36%), Shampoos (20.66%),
5
Soaps (25.65%), Tuna (19.96%), and Toilet Papers (42.56%). The average percentage
difference computed across the 22 product categories in which the average 9-ending prices
exceed the corresponding average non 9-ending prices is 18%.
Thus, overall, the differences we find between the average 9-ending and average non
9-ending prices are consistent with Schindler’s (2001) findings for 99-ending prices: 9-
ending prices are on average higher than non 9-ending prices, which is counter to the
popular belief.
4.2. A Comparison of 9-Ending and Non 9-Ending Prices for Individual Products at the
Store Level
It could be that the stores that have higher than average prices also have higher than
average shares of 9-ending prices. In that case, even if 9-ending prices are the lowest
within each store, we might still find that across all stores 9-ending prices are higher than
the corresponding non-9 ending prices.
In addition, some of Dominick’s product categories include several sub-categories. If
9-ending prices are more prevalent in sub-categories with relatively high prices than in
sub-categories with lower prices, then even if 9-ending prices are the lowest within each
sub-category, we might still find the opposite at the category level.
To explore these possibilities, we calculate for each product at each store, the
percentage difference between the average 9-ending and non 9-ending prices. We use the
resulting figures to plot category-level histograms, which show the frequency distribution
of these percentage differences. Figure 3 depicts the resulting frequency distributions for
each of Dominick’s 29 product categories. In Table 3, we report the corresponding
descriptive statistics. These statistics include the median, the average, the standard
deviation, the skewness, and the kurtosis for each product category.
Inspecting the plots in Figure 3 and the corresponding descriptive statistics in Table 3,
we see that at the product-store level, in 25 of the 29 product categories, the average of the
percentage difference is positive. Thus, in vast majority of categories, the average 9-
ending prices are higher than the average non 9-ending prices even when we look at the
level of a specific product, at a specific store.
We can also see that in 26 of the 29 product categories, the median of the percentage
difference is positive, suggesting that the higher average 9-ending prices are not caused by
outliers. Rather 9-ending prices are higher on average because more product-stores have
6
higher average 9-ending than average non 9-ending prices.
According to Table 3, the skewness is positive in 18 of the 29 product categories,
which means that in these product categories, the distribution of the percentage difference
is skewed to the right. Therefore, in addition to the finding that in most categories there
are more product-stores with higher average 9-ending than average non 9-ending prices,
we also find a longer tail on the right-hand side of the distribution. In other words, in these
categories, we also find more extreme cases where the average 9-ending price is much
higher than the average non 9-ending price than cases where the average 9-ending price is
much lower than the average non 9-ending price.
According to Table 3, the values of the kurtosis statistic are all greater than 3, meaning
that the tails of the distributions of the percentage gap are thicker in comparison to the
Normal Distribution, in all 29 product categories. Importantly, the kurtosis attains
particularly high values in cases where the skewness is positive and large. Indeed, the
correlation between the measures of skewness and kurtosis in this data is 0.91,
exceptionally high.
We thus rule out the possibility that 9-ending prices are lower than non 9-ending prices
at the level of individual stores or within sub-categories.
4.3. The Role of the Upward Trend in the Prevalence of 9-Ending Prices
Because prices tend to increase over time, if 9-ending prices became more prevalent
over time, then that could lead to high average 9-ending prices overall even if 9-ending
prices are lower than non 9-ending prices in any given individual year.
To explore this possibility, we calculate the share of 9-ending prices for each year in
the data set from 1989 to 1997. In Table 4, we present the results. The figures in the table
suggest that the share of 9-ending prices had increased gradually over time from 51.9%
and 54.7% in 1989 and 1990, respectively, to 68.9% and 73.0% in 1996 and 1997,
respectively. Thus, given that US inflation during this period was positive, the increase in
the share of 9-ending prices over time can perhaps explain why we find for the entire data
series that 9-ending prices are higher, on average, than non 9-ending prices.
To formally test whether 9-ending prices are higher or lower on average than non 9-
ending prices, while controlling for the effect of the time trend, we estimate a series of
OLS regressions with fixed effects at the category level. The dependent variable in these
regressions is the log of the price. The main independent variable in all the regressions is a
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dummy for 9-ending prices, which equals 1 if the price is 9-ending, and 0 if the price ends
with any other digit. The coefficient of the 9-ending price dummy therefore gives the
expected percentage difference between 9-ending and non 9-ending prices. We report the
estimation results in Table 5.
In column (1) of Table 5, we report the estimation results of a regression, which
includes dummies for weeks and for subcategories-store. Thus, we control for the effects
of different subcategories at the store level, and for the overall price trend. The results are
not substantially different from the findings we reported in Table 2. In 22 out of the 29
product categories, the expected 9-ending prices are higher than the expected non 9-
ending prices. The differences are statistically significant in 21 of the cases. In 19 of the
21 product categories, the significance level is 1%.
In column (2), we use a stronger test. Here we add subcategories-store-week dummies.
Thus, we control for inflation at the subcategory-store level. The 9-ending price dummy
should therefore capture the differences between goods that belong to the same
subcategory at the same store and on the same week. In other words, the differences that
we find between the expected values of the 9-ending and non 9-ending prices, represent
the expected differences that exist within a store on a given week between the prices of
goods that belong to the same product subcategory.
Using this specification, we find that the expected 9-ending prices are higher than the
corresponding expected non 9-ending prices in 23 of the 29 product categories. The
differences are statistically significant in 22 of the cases, with 21 of them significant at 1%
level. In one product category, Frozen Dinners, where the expected 9-ending prices are
lower than the expected non 9-ending prices, the difference is not statistically significant.
In another product category, Oatmeal, where the expected 9-ending prices are lower than
the expected non 9-ending prices, the difference is only marginally significant statistically.
Thus, when we add controls for subcategories-store-weeks, we find that the expected
9-ending prices are lower than the expected non 9-ending prices with statistical
significance in only 5 of the 29 product categories. In other words, when we consider the
store-subcategory level, which is the level that consumers look at when comparing goods
within a store, we find that in 24 of the 29 categories, the expected 9-ending prices are
either higher, or not statistically different, than the expected non 9-ending prices.
As an additional test, we perform an even more restrictive analysis, by looking at the
prices of individual products within individual stores over time and compare the prices
8
when each good is sold at 9-ending and at non 9-ending prices. It might be that even if 9-
ending prices are not necessarily the lowest within each sub-category, they still represent a
good purchase opportunity because they are associated with times when individual goods
are offered at low prices.
In column (3), we report the estimation results of this test. The independent variables
are the dummy for 9-ending prices, fixed effects for products at the store-level, and for
weeks. Here we find that in 26 out of the 29 product categories, the expected 9-ending
prices are still higher than corresponding non 9-ending prices. Thus, even for individual
goods at individual stores, in almost all product categories, 9-ending prices are expected to
be higher than non 9-ending prices.
4.4. Regular Prices vs. Sale Prices
Existing studies suggest that consumers perceive 9-ending prices as low because they
tend to associate 9-endings with sale prices (see, for example, Schindler and Kibarian,
2001). However, Levy et al. (2019) report that in Dominick’s dataset, 9-ending prices are
more common among regular prices than among sale prices. In other words, Levy et al
(2019), analyzing the same dataset as we do here, find that regular prices are more likely
to be 9-ending than sale prices.
In Table 6, we show that this result holds true also when we consider the proportion of
9-ending prices in regular and sale prices, at the category level. To identify sale-prices, we
use a sale dummy (“sale flag”), which is included in the Dominick’s dataset. This sale
indicator variable, however, has a disadvantage, because according to Peltzman (2000)
and Dominick’s Data Manual, the sale dummy was not set by Dominick’s on a regular
basis, and consequently there are instances were a good was offered at a sale price, but the
Dominick’s sale dummy indicates no sale price. An alternative to the use of the sales
dummy would be to use a sale filter, a mechanical algorithm that identifies sale prices
(Dutta et al 2002, Levy et al 2002, Nakamura and Steinsson 2008). We employ this
alternative method below as a robustness test in section 5.5.
The figures reported in column (1) of Table 6 show the percentage of sale prices that
are 9-ending. Column (2) reports the percentage of regular prices (the prices that are not
flagged by the sale dummy) that are 9-ending. Column (3) reports the difference between
the shares of 9-ending prices among sale and regular prices.
We find that in 25 out of the 29 product categories (the categories of Cereals,
9
Cigarettes, Frozen Juices, and Toothpastes being the exception), the values in column (3)
are negative, with an average of −18.5%. In other words, in these categories, 9-ending
prices are more common among regular prices than among sale prices. Furthermore, in the
Cigarettes category, there are only 21 observations that Dominick’s sale dummy marks as
sale prices, and thus the results in that category are based on a very small sample of sale
prices. Therefore, consumers’ tendency to associate 9-endings with low prices cannot be
explained by 9-ending prices being sale prices. That is because the shoppers are more
likely to encounter 9-ending prices when they buy the goods at a regular price than at a
sale price.
There is another possibility, however. Even if 9-endings are not more common among
sale prices than among regular prices, the belief of the consumers that 9-ending prices are
low, could perhaps still be rationalized. If 9-ending prices are lower on average than non-9
ending prices among sale prices, then it is possible that consumers associate 9-endings
with price cuts. Indeed, Schindler (2001) offers this as a possible explanation for his
finding that 99-ending prices are not as low as is commonly believed.
To explore this possibility, we run the same OLS regressions with the same fixed
effects, as the ones we presented in Table 4. The only exception is that we now estimate
separate regressions for regular prices and for sale prices. We report the estimation results
in Table 7. The figures that we report in the table are the coefficient estimates of the 9-
ending price dummy, which equals 1 if the price ends with 9, and 0 if the price ends with
any other digit.
In columns (1)–(3) of the table, we report the estimation results for regular prices, and
in columns (4)–(6) for sale prices. In columns (1) and (4), we report the estimation results
of regressions where we include controls for weeks and for subcategories-store. In
columns (2) and (5), we report the estimation results of regressions that include controls
for subcategories- store-weeks. In columns (3) and (6), we report the estimation results of
the regressions that include controls for weeks and for products-store.
For regular prices, the estimation results in column (1) suggest that the expected 9-
ending prices are lower than the expected non 9-ending prices (that is, the estimated
coefficient is negative and statistically significant) in 10 product categories. In one
category (Toothpastes), however, the difference is only marginally significant. In column
(2), the coefficient of the 9-ending dummy in the regression for the Toothpastes’ category
is not significant and, consequently, the expected 9-ending prices are lower than the
10
expected non 9-ending prices in 9 product categories.
In column (3), where we use dummies for products-store, we find that the expected 9-
ending prices are lower than the expected non 9-ending prices in only four product
categories. Thus, when we focus on regular prices, and include dummies for products in
specific stores, we find that in 24 out of 29 product categories, the expected 9-ending
prices are higher than the expected non 9-ending prices, and in one category, there are no
statistically significant differences between 9-ending and non 9-ending prices.
For sale prices, we cannot estimate the regressions for the Cigarettescategory because
the Dominick’s sale dummy identifies only 21 prices as sale prices and all of them are 9-
ending. For the remaining 28 categories, we find in column (4) that the expected 9-ending
prices are lower than the expected non 9-ending prices in 13 product categories, higher in
14 product categories, and there is no statistically significant difference in one product
category. According to the figures in column (5), the expected 9-ending prices are lower
than the expected non 9-ending prices in 10 product categories, higher in 12 categories,
and there are no statistically significant differences in six product categories.
In column (6), where we use dummies for products-store, we find that the expected 9-
ending prices are lower than the expected non 9-ending prices in 17 categories, higher in 9
product categories, and there are no statistically significant differences in two categories.
Thus, to summarize the results on regular and sale prices, we find that for regular
prices, which in our data are the bulk of the prices (82.2%), 9-endings are not indicative of
a better deal than non 9-ending prices. For sale prices, the results are more mixed. At least
according to column (6), which focuses on the difference between 9- and non 9-ending
prices of products within stores, in 19 out of 28 product categories, the expected 9-ending
prices are either lower or not higher than the expected non 9-ending prices.
This suggests that although 9-ending prices are in general higher, not lower, than non
9-ending prices, it might be that Dominick’s helps to maintain the image of 9-ending
prices as low prices by setting sale prices at 9-endings in the case of price cuts. Such
behavior by the retailer can perhaps explain how consumers learn to associate 9-endings
with low prices.
5. Robustness Tests
To assess the robustness of our findings, we run several additional tests which we
present below as follows. In section 5.1, we compare 9-ending prices to 0-ending prices.
11
In section 5.2, we explore the effect of 9 as the highest possible right-most digit. In section
5.3, we assess the effect of the log-transformation of prices by redoing the analyses using
the level of prices. In section 5.4, we rerun the analyses by excluding outlier observations.
Finally, in section 5.5, we compare again regular and sale prices, but this time using a sale
filter.
5.1. A Comparison of 9-Ending and 0-Ending Prices
It is often argued that consumers interpret 9-ending prices as if they come with a small
gain relative to the nearby round price (Schindler and Kirby, 1997). In addition, it has
been suggested that 9-endings signal low prices, whereas 0-endings signal quality
(Schindler and Kirby 1997, Stiving and Winer 1997, Stiving 2000, Schindler and Kibarian
2001, Schindler 2006). It is therefore possible that the low-price image that 9-ending
prices have, stems from consumers’ practice of interpreting 9-ending prices relative to, or
in comparison to, the nearby 0-ending prices, and judging them accordingly. Schindler
(2001) examines this hypothesis by comparing 99-ending prices to 00-ending prices.
We explore this hypothesis with our data by repeating the analyses that we report in
Tables 2 and 5. This time, however, we compare 9-ending prices to 0-ending prices only,
excluding from our analyses all other non 9-ending prices. In Table 8, which is equivalent
to Table 2, we report for each product category, the average of 9-ending prices in column
(1), the average of 0-ending prices in column (2), and the percentage differences between
the two, computed as a log-difference, in column (3).
According to the figures in the table, the average 9-ending prices are higher than the
average 0-ending prices in 20 of the 29 product categories. The average percentage
difference computed across these 20 product categories is 10.84%. In some product
categories, the size of this difference is particularly large, including Cigarettes (32.54%),
Grooming Products (20.26%), Soft Drinks (21.84%), and Toilet Papers (30.63%).
Thus, even when we restrict the sample of non 9-ending prices to 0-ending prices only,
we find that although 0-endings might be perceived as a signal of quality, in most product
categories 0-ending prices are still lower than 9-ending prices, on average.
As a formal test, in Table 9, we report the estimation results of a series of regressions
of the differences between 9-ending and 0-ending prices by product categories. These
OLS regressions are similar to the ones that we report in Table 5. This time however, the
data include only 9-ending and 0-ending prices.
12
The estimation results of this regression further strengthen the results we reported in
Table 7. In the regression in column (1), which includes dummies for weeks and for
subcategories-store, we find that in only five product categories (Bath Soaps, Cookies,
Frozen Dinners, Frozen Entrees, and Frozen Juices), the coefficient of 9-ending price
dummy is negative and statistically significant. In 21 of the 29 product categories, the
coefficient is positive and statistically significant. Thus, the expected 9-ending prices are
significantly higher than the expected 0-ending prices in 21 product categories. In three
product categories (Crackers, Canned Soup, and Paper Towels), the differences are not
statistically significant.
In column (2), where we add fixed effects for subcategory-store-weeks, we find that
the coefficient estimate of the 9-ending price dummy is again negative and statistically
significant in only five product categories (Bath Soaps, Cookies, Frozen Dinners, Frozen
Entrees, and Frozen Juices). The coefficient estimate of the 9-ending price dummy is
positive and statistically significant in 20 product categories. Thus, in this specification,
we find that the expected 9-ending prices are higher than the expected 0-ending prices in
20 of the 29 product categories. In four product categories (Crackers, Canned Soup, Fabric
Softeners, and Paper Towels), the differences are not statistically significant.
In column (3), where we add fixed effects for weeks and for products within stores, we
find that the coefficient of the 9-ending price dummy is positive and statistically
significant in 21 of the 29 product categories. In other words, we find that even when we
restrict the sample to 9-ending and 0-ending prices, in 21 of the 29 product categories, a
consumer who buys the same good at the same store, is expected to get a better deal if the
price s/he pays ends with a 0 than with a 9. This finding is consistent with Schindler
(2001), who finds that in his data, 99-ending price were not, on average, lower than 00-
ending prices.
5.2. Could It Be the Rightmost Digit Effect?
A possible explanation for the finding that 9-ending prices are higher than the prices
that end with other digits, is that the difference might be due to 9 being the largest digit.
Thus, it is possible that 9-ending prices are higher, on average, than other prices for a
technical reason: A price that ends with 9 is greater than any price with the same left most
digits but that ends with any digit between 0 and 8. That is, 9.99 is higher than all the
prices in the range 9.90–9.98.
13
To test this possibility, we first truncate all price endings so that the right most digits
are now all set equal to 0. To keep track of the original prices, we use an indicator variable
which identifies the prices that were 9-ending prior to the truncation. In column (1) of
Table 10, we report the average 9-ending prices after-truncation, in column (2) we report
the average non 9-ending prices after-truncation, and in column (3) we report the
percentage difference between them, computed as a log-difference.
We find that the truncation decreases, as expected, the differences between the average
9-ending and non 9-ending prices. Yet in 21 product categories, the average 9-ending
prices are still higher than the average non 9-ending princes. Even after the truncation, the
average percentage difference computed across the 21 product categories in which the
average 9-ending prices exceed the corresponding average non 9-ending prices is 17.31%.
In Table 11, we report the estimation results of a series of regressions of the
differences between 9-ending and non 9-ending prices by product categories, when we use
the truncated data. These are OLS regressions with the same fixed effects as the ones we
report in Table 5.
In the regression in column (1), which includes dummies for weeks and for
subcategories-store, we find that the coefficient of the 9-ending price dummy is negative
and statistically significant in only 8 product categories (Cereal, Cookies, Frozen Dinners,
Frozen Juices, Fabric Softeners, Oatmeal, Toothbrushes and Toothpastes). In 16 of the 29
product categories, the coefficient of the 9-ending price dummy is positive and statistically
significant. In five categories, the differences are not statistically significant (Bath Soaps,
Beer, Bottled Juices, Dish Detergents, and Snack Crackers).
In the regression in column (2), which includes fixed effects for subcategory-store-
weeks, we find that the coefficient estimate of the 9-ending price dummy is again negative
and statistically significant in 8 product categories (Cereal, Cookies, Frozen Dinners,
Frozen Juices, Fabric Softeners, Oatmeal, Toothbrushes and Toothpastes). The coefficient
estimate of the 9-ending price dummy is positive and statistically significant in 17 product
categories. In four categories, the differences are not statistically significant (Bath Soaps,
Bottled Juices, cigarettes, Snack Crackers).
In the regression in column (3), which includes fixed effects for weeks and for
products within stores, we find that the coefficient of the 9-ending price dummy is positive
and statistically significant in 17 of the 29 product categories. In other words, we find that
even after we truncate all prices to have a 0-ending, we find that in 17 of the 29 product
14
categories, a consumer who buys the same good at the same store, is expected to get a
better deal if the price s/he pays does not end with a 9.
5.3. Average 9-Ending and Non 9-Ending Prices in Levels
In the regression analyses above, we use the log of the prices as the dependent
variable. To check that our results do not depend on this transformation, we rerun the
same OLS regressions with the same fixed effects that we reported in Table 5, but this
time we use the level of the prices rather than their logs. The coefficient estimates we
report here, should therefore be interpreted as the expected differences in dollars rather
than in percentages. The estimation results are reported in Table 12.
In the regression in column (1), which includes dummies for weeks and for
subcategories-store, we find that in 21 out of the 29 product categories, the expected 9-
ending prices are higher than the expected non 9-ending prices. The differences are
statistically significant (p < 0.01) in 20 of the cases.
In the regression in column (2), which includes subcategories-store-week dummies, we
find that the expected 9-ending prices are higher than the corresponding expected non 9-
ending prices in 19 of the 29 product categories. In four more product categories (Beer,
Cigarettes, Frozen Entrees, Toothbrushes), the differences are not statistically significant.
Thus, in 23 of 29 product categories, the expected 9-ending prices are either higher or no
different than the expected non 9-ending prices.
In the regression in column (3), which includes fixed effects for weeks and for
products at the store-level, we find that in 24 out of the 29 product categories, the expected
9-ending prices are higher than corresponding non 9-ending prices. In only 5 product
categories (Beer, Cookies, Frozen Entrees, Frozen Juices, Toothpastes), the expected 9-
ending prices are lower than the expected non 9-ending prices.
Thus, using the level of the prices instead of their logs, does not change the main
conclusion we reported above: in great majority of the product categories, the expected 9-
ending prices are higher than the expected non 9-ending prices, regardless of the
additional controls that we include in the regressions.
5.4. Analysis of the Data with Outliers Excluded
As another robustness test, we check whether our results are driven by outlier
observations. To explore this possibility, in each category we exclude from the sample the
15
observations that are more than 2-standard-deviations away from the category mean.
Using the restricted sample, we rerun the analyses we reported in Tables 2 and 5.
In columns (1) and (2) of Table 13, we report the average 9-ending and non 9-ending
prices in the restricted sample. In column (3), we report the percentage difference between
them, computed as a log-difference. Inspecting the figures in the table, we find that the
exclusion of the outlier observations does not change the main finding we reported for the
entire sample: in 22 product categories, 9-ending prices are on average higher than non 9-
ending princes. The average percentage difference computed across these 22 product
categories is 16%.
In Table 14, we report the estimation results of a series of regressions of the
differences between 9-ending and non 9-ending prices by product categories, when the
outlier observations are excluded. These are OLS regressions, similar to the regressions
we reported in Table 5.
In the regression in column (1), which includes dummies for weeks and for
subcategories-store, we find that the coefficient of the 9-ending dummy is negative and
statistically significant in 8 product categories (Cereal, Cookies, Frozen Juices, Fabric
Softeners, Oatmeal, Snack Crackers, Toothbrushes and Toothpastes). In 19 of the 29
product categories, the coefficient of the 9-ending price dummy is positive and statistically
significant. In two categories, the estimated coefficients are not statistically significant
(Dish Detergents and Frozen Dinners).
In the regression in column (2), which includes fixed effects for subcategory-store-
weeks, we find that the coefficient estimate of the 9-ending price dummy is negative and
statistically significant in five product categories (Cereal, Frozen Juices, Fabric Softeners,
Toothbrushes and Toothpastes). The coefficient estimate of the 9-ending price dummy is
positive and statistically significant in 20 product categories. In four product categories,
the estimated coefficients are not statistically significant (Cookies, Frozen Dinners,
Oatmeal and Snack Crackers).
In the regression in column (3), which includes fixed effects for weeks and for
products within stores, we find that the coefficient of the 9-ending price dummy is
negative and statistically significant in 6 product categories (Beer, Cheese, Frozen Juices,
Fabric Softeners, Paper Towels, Toothpastes). The coefficient is positive and statistically
significant in the remaining 23 of the 29 product categories.
Thus, in comparison to the results we reported for the full sample, when outliers are
16
excluded, we still find that the expected 9-ending prices are on average higher than non 9-
ending prices, in a large majority of the product categories.
5.5. Regular and Sale Prices Using a Sale Filter
As a final robustness test, we rerun the regular and sale price analyses as discussed and
presented in Tables 6 and 7 in section 4.4. The difference is that this time we identify sale
prices by using a sale filter instead of relying on the Dominick’s sale dummy, which as
noted, might be inaccurate because it may not have been recorded on a regular basis by
Dominick’s.
Sale filters are mechanical algorithms that identify prices as sale prices if the prices are
temporarily reduced. The disadvantage of the sale filters is that they can occasionally lead
to false positives, that is, they can wrongly identify a regular price as a sale price
(Nakamura and Steinsson 2008, Ray et al 2019). Sale filter also cannot identify sale prices
close to the end points. The filters are nevertheless used extensively, because in many
datasets, sales indicators are not available.
We use “Filter A” of Nakamura and Steinsson (2008, 2011), which defines a price as a
sale price if the price decreased, stayed low for no more than a given number of weeks,
and then increased to the pre-sale level or above it. Following Knotek (2019) and
Chahrour (2011), we identify a price as a sale price if the price remained low for no more
than four weeks.
The figures reported in column (1) of Table 15 show the percentage of sale prices that
are 9-ending, when we use a sale filter. Column (2) reports the percentage of 9-ending
prices among regular prices, that is, among the prices that are not identified by the sale
filter. Column (3) reports the difference between the share of 9-ending prices among sale
and regular prices.
In 28 out of the 29 product categories (the category of Frozen Juices being an
exception), the figures in column (3) are negative, with an average of −16.9%. I.e., 9-
ending prices are more common among regular prices than among sale prices. Therefore,
consumers’ tendency to associate 9-endings with low prices cannot be explained by 9-
ending prices being sale prices. That is because they are more likely to encounter 9-ending
prices when they buy the goods at a regular price than at a sale price.
As above, we explore the possibility that consumers may associate 9-endings with
promotional discounts, by running the same OLS regressions with the same fixed effects,
17
as the ones we reported in Table 7. We report the estimation results in Table 16.
For regular prices, the estimation results in columns (1) and (2) suggest that the
expected 9-ending prices are lower than the expected non 9-ending prices (that is, the
estimated coefficient is negative and statistically significant) in 7 product categories.
When we consider sale prices, we find in columns (4) and (5) that the expected 9-ending
prices are lower than the expected non 9-ending prices in 10 of the 29 product categories.
When we look at the level of individual goods at individual stores, in columns (3) and
(6), we find that for regular prices, column (3), the expected 9-ending prices are
significantly lower than the expected non 9-ending prices in 7 out of the 29 product
categories. Thus, for regular prices, it appears that even at the level of individual goods, in
22 of the 29 product categories, 9-ending prices are expected to be higher than non 9-
ending prices.
For sale prices, in column (6), however, the results are more mixed. In 15 out of the 29
product categories, we find that the expected 9-ending prices are significantly lower than
the expected non 9-ending prices. In two product categories (Fabric Softeners and
Toothbrushes), the differences are not statistically significant, and in one more product
category (Frozen Entrees), the expected 9-ending prices is higher than the expected non 9-
ending price, but the difference is only marginally significant.
Thus, the results we find using the sale filter corroborate the results we find using
Dominick’s sale dummy. For regular prices, the expected 9-ending prices are usually
higher than non 9-ending prices.
When we focus on sale prices only, however, it seems that in many product categories
the expected 9-ending prices are lower than the expected non 9-ending prices. Thus, it
appears that although overall the expected 9-ending prices are higher than non 9-ending
prices, it is possible that 9-ending prices are associated with larger than average price cuts
which the retailer is promoting during sales.
6. Conclusion
Existing empirical evidence suggests that 9-ending prices are overrepresented in many
retail settings, in comparison to the expected frequency based on random, uniform
distribution. Studies have also documented non-trivial effects of 9-ending prices on
consumer demand and on sales volume. Existing studies conclude that shoppers tend to
perceive 9-ending prices as lower than comparable non 9-ending prices.
18
In this paper, we ask whether this perception is justified. That is, we ask whether or
not 9-ending prices are really lower than comparable non 9-ending prices, using a large
retail scanner price dataset, from a major Midwestern US supermarket chain.
We report four findings. First, we find that 9-ending prices are on average higher than
non 9-ending prices, at the category level. Second, we find that 9-ending prices are on
average higher than non-9-ending prices, at the product level. Third, we find that sale
prices are more likely to be non-9 ending than the corresponding regular prices. Fourth,
we find that among sale prices, 9-ending prices are often lower, on average, than
comparable non 9-ending prices. These findings are robust to variety of sensitivity tests.
First three findings lead us to conclude that the data is inconsistent with the
consumers’ belief that 9-ending prices are low. To the contrary, we find fairly strong
evidence that the average 9-ending price is greater than the average non 9-ending pries, by
as much as 18%.
This conclusion raises two related questions, one from the consumers’ perspective and
the other from the retailers’ perspective. From the point of view of the consumers, they
seem to believe, mistakenly, that 9-ending prices are low. How is it possible? Over time, it
could be argued, consumers would eventually discover that the image of 9-ending prices
as low prices is just that, an image, not reality.
We speculate that our fourth finding may offer a possible resolution to this puzzle. In
our data, the retailer appears to use 9-ending prices for larger than average price cuts, to
highlight, and to draw the shoppers’ attention, to price cuts that are particularly large. This
practice may be guiding the shoppers towards associating 9-ending prices with low prices.
The second question our findings raise has to do with our retailer’s questionable
ethical behavior, which emerges from its practice of using 9-ending prices during sales for
large price cuts, on the one hand, but simultaneously setting most 9-ending prices higher
than non 9-ending prices, on the other. We suspect that this pricing practice is not a
coincidence. Rather, it seems to us that the retailer is taking advantage of the 9-ending
prices’ image in consumers’ mind as low prices, by setting more 9-ending prices higher
than the non 9-ending prices. Clearly, the retailer is not very transparent here, and its
behavior seems ethically questionable.
Recent studies offer evidence that are consistent with this interpretation. Levy et al
(2019) report, based on lab experiments and field studies, that consumers use 9-endings as
a signal for low prices. Using the same Dominick’s data, along with Israeli retail price
19
data, they find that retailers take advantage of the consumers’ heuristic processing of 9-
ending price information, by strategically keeping prices at 9-endings more often after
price increases than after price decreases.
Chakraborty et al. (2015) use price data from British supermarkets and report that
during their sample period, many individual prices fell but basket prices rose. They
conclude, that the frequent small price cuts were used to disguise the basket price
increases.
Using data from a US retailer, Anderson, et al. (2017) report that in their data,
temporary price cuts and discounts are often offered alongside with regular price
increases. They conclude that the retailer they study is trying to mask the regular price
increases.
Thus, some retailers deliberately try to disguise their basket price increases by frequent
sales and/or small price cuts. Other retailers seem to follow a strategy of “hiding” price
increases using a different tactic: they use 9-endings to mask price increases by taking
advantage of shopperstendency to interpret 9-ending prices as low prices.
These findings are in line with an observation that Akerlof and Shiller (2015, pp. vii,
1) make in describing what they term a phishing equilibrium: “…our free-market system
tends to spawn manipulation and deception…if we have some weakness…in the phishing
equilibrium someone will take advantage of it.” Following this line of argument, 9-ending
pricing can be a fooling-equilibrium where consumers rely on 9-endings as a signal for
low prices, and retailers respond by setting 9-ending prices higher than non 9-ending
prices, as we document here.
Future studies should explore other and perhaps more recent datasets to see whether
the findings we document here for Dominick’s data, also hold for other retailers. Perhaps
more importantly, more work along these lines is needed to better understand the reasons
for what appears to be consumers’ inattentive and perhaps irrational behavior in the way
they interpret and understand the retail price data.
20
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24
Table 1. Descriptive Statistics of Dominick’s Retail Price Data,
September 14, 1989–May 8, 1997
Category Number of
Observations Proportion
of the Total
Number of
Products Mean
Price ($)
Std.
Dev. Min.
Price ($) Max.
Price ($)
Analgesics
3.07%
638
5.18
2.36
0.02
23.69
Bath Soaps
0.42%
579
3.16
1.60
0.01
28.00
Beer
1.99%
787
5.69
2.70
0.01
29.64
Bottled Juices
4.37%
506
2.24
0.97
0.19
9.41
Cereal
4.76%
489
3.12
0.76
0.05
26.02
Cheese
6.83%
657
2.42
1.12
0.05
84.72
Cigarettes
1.82%
793
7.69
7.90
0.01
25.65
Cookies
7.65%
1,124
2.10
0.63
0.02
10.99
Crackers
2.25%
330
2.01
0.57
0.01
7.29
Canned Soups
5.56%
445
1.13
0.49
0.19
8.00
Dish Detergents
2.19%
287
2.34
0.90
0.25
15.89
Front-End-Candies
4.49%
503
0.61
0.24
0.01
6.99
Frozen Dinners
1.67%
266
2.37
0.89
0.12
72.47
Frozen Entrees
7.25%
898
2.33
1.06
0.10
15.99
Frozen Juices
2.39%
175
1.39
0.45
0.10
6.57
Fabric Softeners
2.30%
318
2.82
1.45
0.01
9.99
Grooming products
4.11%
1,380
2.94
1.37
0.01
41.70
Laundry Detergents
3.31%
581
5.61
3.22
0.04
24.49
Oatmeal
0.99%
96
2.65
0.66
0.25
5.00
Paper Towels
0.95%
163
1.50
1.41
0.23
13.99
Refrigerated Juices
2.19%
225
2.24
0.91
0.10
7.05
Soft Drinks
10.86%
1,608
2.34
1.89
0.01
55.55
Shampoos
4.73%
2,930
2.95
1.86
0.02
54.99
Snack Crackers
3.53%
420
2.18
0.57
0.02
8.00
Soaps
1.86%
334
2.51
1.48
0.01
10.99
Toothbrushes
1.86%
491
2.18
0.85
0.20
27.52
Tuna
2.41%
278
1.80
1.07
0.11
12.89
Toothpastes
3.01%
608
2.43
0.89
0.10
19.95
Toilet papers
1.16%
127
2.10
1.68
0.19
11.99
Total
100.00%
18,036
2.59
Notes
1. The price data are weekly.
2. The figures in the table are based on all price data of Dominick’s, in all its 93 stores, for 400 weeks, from
September 14, 1989 to May 8, 1997. We exclude 40 observations with prices higher than $100.
25
Table 2. Average 9-Ending and Non 9-Ending Prices, and Percentage Difference
between Them, Dominick’s, September 14, 1989–May 8, 1997
Category (1)
9-Ending (2)
Non 9-Ending (3)
% Difference
Analgesics 5.33 4.31 21.24%
Bath Soaps 3.15 3.24
2.82%
Beer 5.68 5.83
2.61%
Bottled Juices 2.27 2.22 2.23%
Cereal 3.08 3.14
1.93%
Cheese 2.53 2.42 4.45%
Cigarettes 11.93 6.85 55.48%
Cookies 2.06 2.21
7.03%
Crackers 2.08 1.90 9.05%
Canned Soups 1.21 1.09 10.44%
Dish Detergents 2.36 2.30 2.58%
Front-End-Candies 0.74 0.53 33.38%
Frozen Dinners 2.33 2.42
3.79%
Frozen Entrees 2.34 2.32 0.86%
Frozen Juices 1.32 1.44
8.70%
Fabric Softeners 2.88 2.74 4.98%
Grooming products 3.02 2.42 22.15%
Laundry Detergents 5.76 5.11 11.97%
Oatmeal 2.65 2.66
0.38%
Paper Towels 1.69 1.30 26.24%
Refrigerated Juices 2.28 2.19 5.51%
Soft Drinks 2.53 1.44 56.36%
Shampoos 3.00 2.44 20.66%
Snack Crackers 2.20 2.12 3.25%
Soaps 2.74 2.12 25.65%
Toothbrushes 2.21 2.09 5.58%
Tuna 1.99 1.63 19.96%
Toothpastes 2.53 2.26 11.29%
Toilet papers 2.51 1.64 42.56%
Average of the Positive %
Differences
17.99%
Notes
In columns (1) and (2), we report the average 9-ending and non 9-ending prices, respectively, in
each one of Dominick’s 29 product categories, calculated over all stores and weeks. In column (3),
we report the percentage difference between the average 9-ending and non 9-ending prices
computed as a log-difference. The 22 categories with positive values in column (3) are indicated in
italic boldface. All the differences are statistically significant based on the Mann-Whitney test with
p < 0.01.
26
Table 3. Moments of the Distribution of the Percentage Differences between the Average 9-
Ending and the Average Non 9-Ending Prices, Dominick’s, September 14, 1989–May 8, 1997
Category Median Average Std. Dev. Skewness Kurtosis N
Analgesics 7.3% 8.8% 15.1% 5.85*** 175.71*** 21,360
Bath Soaps 17.9% 20.7% 20.5% 1.93*** 25.78*** 5,125
Beer 0.1% 1.8% 10.9% 13.87*** 671.37*** 12,224
Bottled Juices
0.0% 0.4% 13.5% 0.44*** 17.28*** 30,962
Cereal 0.5%
0.1% 115.5%
0.19*** 15.38*** 28,530
Cheese 3.6% 4.0% 12.2%
0.28*** 20.26*** 41,122
Cigarettes 3.8% 3.3% 8.2% 0.95*** 43.75*** 15,385
Cookies 4.9% 4.8% 14.5%
0.35*** 22.32*** 57,404
Crackers 6.7% 6.2% 12.5%
1.38*** 23.37*** 17,608
Canned Soups 1.3% 0.1% 12.4%
0.67*** 6.00*** 29,272
Dish Detergents 1.0%
0.5% 11.9%
0.06*** 6.89*** 16,191
Front-End-Candies 6.0% 10.2% 23.7% 0.86*** 6.89*** 20,819
Frozen Dinners 7.0% 5.0% 21.5%
1.03*** 7.95*** 17,534
Frozen Entrees 4.4% 0.3% 30.0%
1.03*** 5.47*** 55,140
Frozen Juices
5.4%
5.8% 12.4% 0.86*** 18.43*** 12,269
Fabric Softeners 2.0% 1.7% 12.6% 1.78*** 15.34*** 19,172
Grooming products 15.1% 15.7% 19.2%
0.01 9.78*** 54,048
Laundry Detergents 1.8% 3.0% 12.1% 1.30*** 10.81*** 33,057
Oatmeal 3.5% 3.0% 17.6%
0.33*** 7.39*** 5,844
Paper Towels
1.3%
2.1% 15.8%
1.48*** 21.17*** 7,245
Refrigerated Juices 0.5% 0.6% 11.8% 1.34*** 17.75*** 14,867
Soft Drinks 10.9% 12.2% 22.8% 1.86*** 45.34*** 74,387
Shampoos 17.1% 17.8% 18.0% 0.67*** 7.16*** 63,011
Snack Crackers 5.4% 5.5% 12.0% 2.02*** 250.37*** 25,042
Soaps 2.7% 4.1% 15.0% 2.20*** 18.98*** 17,442
Toothbrushes 5.3% 5.0% 17.6% 0.18*** 6.02*** 18,940
Tuna 1.3% 0.4% 11.0%
1.44*** 16.12*** 16,324
Toothpastes 2.2% 2.7% 15.8% 1.05*** 10.09*** 27,731
Toilet papers 0.7% 0.4% 10.5% 0.50*** 8.29*** 8,252
Notes
In the table, we report the descriptive statistics of the distribution of the percentage difference between the average
9-ending and the average non 9-ending prices, at the product-store level, by product category. Skewness statistic
is estimated using Fischer’s Skewness Measure. Its statistical significance is based on the test of D’Agostino, et al
(1990), which compares the skewness in a given sample to the skewness of the normal distribution, where the latter
equals 0. Kurtosis statistic is estimated using the Moment Coefficient of Kurtosis. Its statistical significance test
compares it, in a given sample, to the kurtosis of the normal distribution, which equals 3. *** indicates statistical
significance at the p < 0.01 level.
27
Table 4. The Share of 9-Ending Prices, Dominick’s, 1989–1997
Year Share
1989 51.9%
1990 54.7%
1991 55.8%
1992 63.9%
1993 63.8%
1994 67.2%
1995 66.7%
1996 68.9%
1997 73.0%
Notes
In the table, we present the share of 9-ending prices across all Dominick’s stores, for each year
from 1989 to 1997.
28
Table 5. Regression Analyses of the Percentage Difference between 9-Ending and Non 9-
Ending Prices, Dominick’s, September 14, 1989–May 8, 1997
(1)
(2)
(3)
N
Analgesics
0.13 (0.005)***
0.13 (0.005)***
0.15 (0.0007)***
3,040,172
Bath Soaps
0.02 (0.010)**
0.03 (0.010)***
0.12 (0.001)***
418,097
Beer
0.03 (0.009)***
0.03 (0.009)***
0.02 (0.001)***
1,966,148
Bottled Juices
0.03 (0.003)***
0.03 (0.003)***
0.02 (0.000)***
4,325,024
Cereal
0.02 (0.001)***
0.02 (0.001)***
0.01 (0.000)***
4,707,776
Cheese
0.11 (0.002)***
0.08 (0.001)***
0.15 (0.000)***
6,752,326
Cigarettes
0.59 (0.059)***
0.02 (0.005)***
0.27 (0.001)***
1,801,444
Cookies
0.09 (0.003)***
0.00 (0.002)
0.003 (0.000)***
7,568,352
Crackers
0.06 (0.001)***
0.07 (0.001)***
0.03 (0.000)***
2,228,268
Canned Soups
0.09 (0.005)***
0.09 (0.005)***
0.06 (0.000)***
5,504,492
Dish Detergents
0.03 (0.006)***
0.03 (0.004)***
0.02 (0.000)***
2,164,793
Front-End-Candies
0.39 (0.002)***
0.38 (0.002)***
0.24 (0.003)***
4,437,054
Frozen Dinners
0.01 (0.007)*
0.01 (0.007)
0.04 (0.000)***
1,654,053
Frozen Entrees
0.06 (0.005)***
0.05 (0.005)***
0.009 (0.000)***
7,172,075
Frozen Juices
0.07 (0.003)***
0.08 (0.003)***
0.06 (0.000)***
2,368,157
Fabric Softeners
0.03 (0.003)***
0.03 (0.003)***
0.02 (0.001)***
2,278,995
Grooming products
0.21 (0.002)***
0.16 (0.002)***
0.17 (0.000)***
4,065,689
Laundry Detergents
0.10 (0.003)***
0.13 (0.002)***
0.12 (0.001)***
3,277,444
Oatmeal
0.02 (0.006)***
0.01 (0.006)*
0.01 (0.004)***
981,037
Paper Towels
0.14 (0.010)***
0.14 (0.010)***
0.05 (0.001)***
940,757
Refrigerated Juices
0.06 (0.004)***
0.06 (0.004)***
0.06 (0.001)***
2,166,755
Soft Drinks
0.69 (0.010)***
0.30 (0.005)***
0.30 (0.000)***
10,741,742
Shampoos
0.16 (0.012)***
0.12 (0.009)***
0.12 (0.000)***
4,666,565
Snack Crackers
0.03 (0.004)***
0.03 (0.004)***
0.05 (0.000)***
3,487,564
Soaps
0.15 (0.003)***
0.15 (0.003)***
0.11 (0.006)***
1,835,196
Toothbrushes
0.03 (0.005)***
0.01 (0.005)***
0.02 (0.000)***
1,772,158
Tuna
0.19 (0.003)***
0.19 (0.003)***
0.10 (0.001)***
2,382,983
Toothpastes
0.01 (0.004)
0.01 (0.004)***
0.01 (0.003)***
2,981,532
Toilet papers
0.41 (0.007)***
0.41 (0.007)***
0.11 (0.001)***
1,149,972
Dummies for weeks
Dummies for product-
store
Dummies for sub-
categories-store
Dummies for sub-
categories-store-weeks
Notes
In the table, we report the coefficient estimates of a 9-ending dummy in OLS regressions with fixed effects, where
the dependent variable is the log of the prices. The 9-ending dummy equals 1 if the price ends with 9, and 0 if the
price ends with any other digit. In column (1), the regression includes controls for weeks and for subcategories-
store. In column (2), the regression includes controls for subcategories-stores-weeks. In column (3), the regression
includes dummies for weeks and for product-store. In parentheses, we report robust standard errors, clustered at
the store level. * p < 10%, ** p < 5%, *** p < 1%.
29
Table 6. The Share of 9-Ending Prices by Product Categories,
Using Dominick’s Sale Dummy, September 14, 1989–May 8, 1997
Category (1)
Sale Prices (2)
Regular Prices (3)
Difference
Analgesics 69.2% 87.6% 18.4%
Bath Soaps 61.8% 91.6% 29.8%
Beer 95.6% 95.8% -0.2%
Bottled Juices 42.3% 52.7% 10.4%
Cereal 41.1% 39.6% 1.6%
Cheese 46.5% 64.6% 18.1%
Cigarettes 100.0% 16.5% 83.6%
Cookies 45.2% 79.8% 34.6%
Crackers 35.5% 72.3% 36.8%
Canned Soups 26.3% 31.7% 5.4%
Dish Detergents 57.7% 68.8% 11.1%
Front-End-Candies 21.8% 40.7% 18.9%
Frozen Dinners 28.9% 65.7% 6.8%
Frozen Entrees 25.6% 67.8% 42.2%
Frozen Juices 48.8% 45.8% 3.0%
Fabric Softeners 54.4% 60.3% 5.9%
Grooming products 60.0% 92.2% 32.2%
Laundry Detergents 64.2% 78.6% 14.4%
Oatmeal 37.1% 53.9% 16.8%
Paper Towels 45.0% 51.4% 6.4%
Refrigerated Juices 55.9% 57.1% 1.2%
Soft Drinks 69.3% 88.6% 19.3%
Shampoos 79.3% 94.2% 14.9%
Snack Crackers 43.1% 81.3% 38.2%
Soaps 44.2% 66.2% 22.0%
Toothbrushes 70.0% 79.2% 9.2%
Tuna 33.7% 52.4% 18.7%
Toothpastes 65.4% 63.5% 1.9%
Toilet papers 52.0% 53.7% 1.7%
Average of the Negative
Differences
−18.5%
Notes
We use Dominick’s sale dummy indicator to identify sale prices. In column (1), we report the percentage
of 9-ending prices among sale prices. In column (2), we report the percentage of 9-ending prices among
regular prices. In column (3), we report the difference between the percentage of 9-ending prices among
sale prices and among regular prices. All differences are statistically significant with p < 0.01, based on
the z-scores proportions test.
30
Table 7. Regression Analysis of the Percentage Difference between 9-Ending and Non 9-Ending Prices,
Regular Prices vs Sale Prices, Using Dominick’s Sale Dummy, September 14, 1989–May 8, 1997
Regular Prices
Sale Prices
(1)
(2)
(3)
N
(4)
(5)
(6)
N
Analgesics
0.14***
(0.005)
0.14***
(0.006)
0.16***
(0.001)
2
,782,538
0.01***
(0.002)
0.00
(0.002)
0.00**
(0.002)
257,634
Bath Soaps
0.09***
(0.015)
0.09***
(0.014)
0.06***
(0.001)
372,448
0.07***
(0.009)
0.06***
(0.007)
0.00
(0.002)
45,649
Beer
0.13***
(0.006)
0.11***
(0.006)
0.008***
(0.001)
1
,421,725
0.36***
(0.017)
0.34***
(0.017)
0.13***
(0.002)
544,423
Bottled Juices
0.04***
(0.003)
0.03***
(0.003)
0.03***
(0.00)
3
,482,485
0.02***
(0.002)
0.03***
(0.003)
0.03***
(0.001)
842,539
Cereal
0.02***
(0.001)
0.02***
(0.001)
0.01***
(0.000)
4
,365,153
0.02***
(0.002)
0.00
(0.002)
0.02***
(0.001)
342,623
Cheese
0.12***
(0.003)
0.09***
(0.002)
0.18***
(0.000)
5
,559,438
0.02***
(0.002)
0.00
(0.002)
0.00***
(0.001)
1
,192,888
Cigarettes
0.59***
(0.058)
0.02***
(0.005)
0.27***
(0.01)
1
,801,423 NA NA NA 21
Cookies
0.14***
(0.003)
0.03***
(0.006)
0.04***
(0.000)
6
,289,751
0.09***
(0.003)
0.06***
(0.002)
0.07***
(0.000)
1
,278,677
Crackers
0.08***
(0.001)
0.09***
(0.001)
0.02***
(0.000)
1
,726,858
0.06***
(0.002)
0.07***
(0.001)
0.05***
(0.001)
501,410
Canned Soups
0.10***
(0.006)
0.09***
(0.006)
0.07***
(0.000)
4
,806,570
0.03***
(0.003)
0.05***
(0.003)
0.01***
(0.000)
697,922
Dish Detergents
0.04***
(0.008)
0.05***
(0.004)
0.03***
(0.000)
1
,871,492
0.07***
(0.002)
0.07***
(0.002)
0.06***
(0.001)
293,301
Front-End-
Candies
0.40***
(0.002)
0.39***
(0.003)
0.24***
(0.000)
4
,025,320
0.07***
(0.004)
0.04***
(0.004)
0.01
(0.002)
411,734
Frozen Dinners
0.07***
(0.007)
0.07***
(0.007)
0.01***
(0.003)
1
,254,403
0.01
(0.009)
0.03***
(0.009)
0.07***
(0.001)
399,650
Frozen Entrees
0.09***
(0.003)
0.08***
(0.002)
0.02***
(0.000)
5
,830,824
0.19***
(0.006)
0.23***
(0.007)
0.20***
(0.001)
1
,341,251
Frozen Juices
0.05***
(0.002)
0.06***
(0.003)
0.04***
(0.000)
1
,915,472
0.19***
(0.006)
0.19***
(0.007)
0.12***
(0.001)
452,685
Fabric Softeners
0.05***
(0.003)
0.06***
(0.003)
0.01***
(0.001)
1
,947,002
0.10***
(0.004)
0.13***
(0.002)
0.00**
(0.001)
331,993
Grooming
products
0.07***
(0.003)
0.04***
(0.004)
0.08***
(0.001)
3
,379,005
0.21***
(0.003)
0.12***
(0.002)
0.11***
(0.001)
686,684
Laundry
Detergents
0.07***
(0.003)
0.11***
(0.003)
0.12***
(0.001)
2
,783,222
0.20***
(0.003)
0.19***
(0.003)
0.07***
(0.001)
494,222
Oatmeal
0.03***
(0.005)
0.03***
(0.006)
0.00***
(0.000)
884,061
0.03***
(0.004)
0.01
(0.004)
0.03***
(0.001)
96,976
Paper Towels
0.15***
(0.011)
0.15***
(0.011)
0.06***
(0.001)
740,148
0.05***
(0.006)
0.04***
(0.006)
0.02***
(0.002)
200,609
Refrigerated
Juices
0.09***
(0.005)
0.09***
(0.005)
0.08***
(0.001)
1
,649,385
0.01***
(0.002)
0.02***
(0.002)
0.00**
(0.000)
517,370
Soft Drinks
0.84***
(0.011)
0.43***
(0.005)
0.42***
(0.001)
7
,458,955
0.60***
(0.009)
0.11***
(0.004)
0.13***
(0.001)
3
,282,787
Shampoos
0.13***
(0.017)
0.09***
(0.013)
0.05***
(0.000)
3
,817,736
0.03***
(0.004)
0.05***
(0.003)
0.02***
(0.001)
848,829
Snack Crackers
0.01
(0.007)
0.01
(0.006)
0.04***
(0.000)
2
,704,331
0.04***
(0.003)
0.04***
(0.003)
0.06***
(0.000)
783,233
Soaps
0.16***
(0.005)
0.15***
(0.004)
0.12***
(0.001)
1
,544,719
0.11***
(0.002)
0.12***
(0.002)
0.03***
(0.001)
290477
31
Toothbrushes
0.05***
(0.005)
0.03***
(0.005)
0.00
(0.001)
1
,472,393
0.03
(0.004)
0.02
(0.003)
0.04***
(0.001)
299765
Tuna
0.21***
(0.003)
0.22***
(0.003)
0.11***
(0.001)
1
,950,555
0.01***
(0.004)
0.01
(0.004)
0.01***
(0.002)
432,428
Toothpastes
0.01*
(0.005)
0.00
(0.004)
0.02***
(0.000)
2
,534,793
0.02***
(0.002)
0.04***
(0.002)
0.02***
(0.001)
446,739
Toilet papers
0.45***
(0.008)
0.45***
(0.009)
0.14***
(0.001)
920,896
0.20***
(0.007)
0.20***
(0.006)
0.01***
(0.002)
229,076
Dummies for
weeks
Dummies for
product-store
Dummies for sub-
categories-store
Dummies for sub-
categories-store-
weeks
Notes
In the table, we report the coefficient estimates of a 9-ending dummy in OLS regressions with fixed effects, where the
dependent variable is the log of the prices. In columns (1)–(3), we report the results when we estimate the regression using
data on regular prices only. In columns (4)–(6), we report the results when we estimate the regression using data on sale
prices only. We use Dominick’s sale dummy indicator to identify sale prices. In columns (1) and (4), the regression includes
controls for weeks and for subcategories-store. In columns (2) and (5), the regression includes controls for subcategories-
stores-weeks. In columns (3) and (6), the regression includes dummies for weeks and for product-store. We could not
estimate a regression for sale prices in the Cigarettescategory because there are only 21 observations on sale prices in
that category and all of them end with 9. In parentheses we report robust standard errors, clustered at the store level.
* p < 10%, ** p < 5%, *** p < 1%.
32
Table 8. Average 9-Ending and 0-Ending Prices, and Percentage Difference
between Them, Dominick’s, September 14, 1989–May 8, 1997
Category (1)
9-Ending (2)
0-Ending (3)
% Difference
Analgesics 5.33 4.21 10.24%
Bath Soaps 3.15 4.54
15.92%
Beer 5.68 4.67 8.52%
Bottled Juices 2.27 2.21 1.12%
Cereal 3.08 2.85 3.37%
Cheese 2.53 2.11 7.88%
Cigarettes 11.93 5.64 32.54%
Cookies 2.06 2.36
5.99%
Crackers 2.08 2.14
1.24%
Canned Soups 1.21 1.36
5.15%
Dish Detergents 2.36 2.30 1.14%
Front-End-Candies 0.74 0.55 13.00%
Frozen Dinners 2.33 3.07
11.98%
Frozen Entrees 2.34 3.47
17.10%
Frozen Juices 1.32 1.82
13.83%
Fabric Softeners 2.88 2.58 4.77%
Grooming products 3.02 1.89 20.26%
Laundry Detergents 5.76 5.33 3.39%
Oatmeal 2.65 2.36 5.00%
Paper Towels 1.69 1.71
0.40%
Refrigerated Juices 2.281 2.280 0.02%
Soft Drinks 2.53 1.53 21.84%
Shampoos 3.00 2.19 13.67%
Snack Crackers 2.20 2.20 0.00%
Soaps 2.74 2.18 9.97%
Toothbrushes 2.21 1.85 7.72%
Tuna 1.99 1.48 12.93%
Toothpastes 2.53 2.07 8.78%
Toilet papers 2.51 1.24 30.63%
Average of the Positive %
Differences 10.84%
Notes
In columns (1) and (2), we report the average 9-ending and 0-ending prices, respectively, in each
one of the 29 Dominick’s product categories, calculated over all stores and weeks. In column (3),
we report the percentage difference between the average 9-ending and the average 0-ending prices
computed as a log-difference. The 20 product categories with positive values in column (3) are
indicated in italic boldface. All the differences are statistically significant based on the Mann-
Whitney test with p < 0.01.
33
Table 9. Regression Analyses of the Percentage Difference between 9-Ending and 0-Ending Prices,
Dominick’s, September 14, 1989–May 8, 1997
(1)
(2)
(3)
N
Analgesics
0.18 (0.009)***
0.18 (0.009)***
0.15 (0.003)***
2,627,640
Bath Soaps
0.16 (0.035)***
0.14 (0.035)***
0.31 (0.002)***
382,106
Beer
0.33 (0.018)***
0.31 (0.018)***
0.22 (0.003)***
1,889,570
Bottled Juices
0.08 (0.011)***
0.08 (0.011)***
0.02 (0.001)***
2,400,064
Cereal
0.05 (0.002)***
0.05 (0.003)***
0.05 (0.001)***
2,061,159
Cheese
0.23 (0.003)***
0.18 (0.002)***
0.17 (0.001)***
4,426,654
Cigarettes
1.10 (0.080)***
0.03 (0.035)***
0.55 (0.003)***
452,873
Cookies
0.10 (0.013)***
0.05 (0.012)***
0.04 (0.001)***
5,758,138
Crackers
0.01 (0.005)
0.01 (0.006)
0.00 (0.001)**
1,491,464
Canned Soups
0.00 (0.015)
0.02 (0.015)
0.03 (0.001)***
1,858,854
Dish Detergents
0.07 (0.006)***
0.05 (0.006)***
0.09 (0.002)***
1,483,456
Front-End-Candies
0.35 (0.003)***
0.34 (0.003)***
0.22 (0.001)***
2,800,489
Frozen Dinners
0.25 (0.08)***
0.29 (0.09)***
0.06 (0.001)***
1,157,152
Frozen Entrees
0.27 (0.012)***
0.29 (0.012)***
0.28 (0.000)***
4,962,968
Frozen Juices
0.23 (0.010)***
0.24 (0.011)***
0.17 (0.001)***
1,253,120
Fabric Softeners
0.02 (0.006)***
0.01 (0.006)
0.02 (0.001)***
1,418,673
Grooming products
0.44 (0.002)***
0.34 (0.001)***
0.31 (0.001)***
3,665,407
Laundry Detergents
0.09 (0.012)***
0.09 (0.010)***
0.11 (0.000)***
2,545,027
Oatmeal
0.11 (0.007)***
0.10 (0.007)***
0.07 (0.001)***
534,846
Paper Towels
0.01 (0.015)
0.02 (0.016)
0.03 (0.003)***
496,075
Refrigerated Juices
0.02 (0.006)***
0.02 (0.006)***
0.06 (0.001)***
1,301,869
Soft Drinks
0.48 (0.013)***
0.11 (0.013)***
0.09 (0.001)***
9,342,891
Shampoos
0.26 (0.007)***
0.21 (0.005)***
0.28 (0.001)***
4,383,314
Snack Crackers
0.08 (0.010)***
0.09 (0.010)***
0.06 (0.001)***
2,635,531
Soaps
0.14 (0.007)***
0.14 (0.006)***
0.17 (0.002)***
1,188,833
Toothbrushes
0.15 (0.006)***
0.16 (0.006)***
0.18 (0.001)***
1,392,950
Tuna
0.27 (0.004)***
0.27 (0.005)***
0.01 (0.001)***
1,250,726
Toothpastes
0.19 (0.006)***
0.19 (0.006)***
0.15 (0.001)***
1,973,223
Toilet papers
0.66 (0.018)***
0.65 (0.019)***
0.14 (0.002)***
662,257
Dummies for weeks
Dummies for product-
store
Dummies for sub-
categories-store
Dummies for sub-
categories-store-weeks
Notes
In the table, we report the coefficient estimates of a 9-ending dummy in OLS regressions with fixed effects, where the
dependent variable is the log of the prices. The sample includes only 9-ending and 0-ending prices. The 9-ending dummy
equals 1 if the price ends with 9, and 0 if the price ends with 0. In column (1), the regression includes controls for weeks
and for subcategories-store. In column (2), the regression includes controls for subcategories-stores-weeks. In column
(3), the regression includes dummies for weeks and for product-store. In parentheses, we report robust standard errors,
clustered at the store level. * p < 10%, ** p < 5%, *** p < 1%.
34
Table 10. Average Truncated 9-Ending and non 9-Ending Prices, and the Percentage
Differences between Them, Dominick’s, September 14, 1989–May 8, 1997
Category (1)
9-Ending (2)
Non 9-Ending (3)
% Difference
Analgesics
5.24
4.26
20.71%
Bath Soaps
3.06
3.21
4.79%
Beer
5.59
5.79
3.52%
Bottled Juices
2.18
2.17
0.46%
Cereal
2.99
3.10
3.61%
Cheese
2.50
2.23
11.43%
Cigarettes
11.84
6.81
55.31%
Cookies
1.97
2.18
10.13%
Crackers
1.99
1.86
6.76%
Canned Soups
1.12
1.05
6.45%
Dish Detergents
2.27
2.26
0.44%
Front-End-Candies
0.65
0.50
26.24%
Frozen Dinners
2.24
2.38
6.06%
Frozen Entrees
2.25
2.28
1.32%
Frozen Juices
1.23
1.40
12.95%
Fabric Softeners
2.79
2.69
3.65%
Grooming products
2.93
2.38
20.79%
Laundry Detergents
5.67
5.06
11.38%
Oatmeal
2.56
2.61
1.93%
Paper Towels
1.60
1.26
23.89%
Refrigerated Juices
2.19
2.14
2.31%
Soft Drinks
2.44
1.40
55.55%
Shampoos
2.91
2.41
18.85%
Snack Crackers
2.11
2.09
0.95%
Soaps
2.65
2.07
24.70%
Toothbrushes
2.12
2.04
3.85%
Tuna
1.90
1.58
18.44%
Toothpastes
2.44
2.21
9.90%
Toilet papers
2.42
1.60
41.38%
Average of the Positive %
Differences
17.31
Notes
Columns (1) and (2) report the average truncated 9-ending and non 9-ending prices, respectively, in each
of the 29 Dominick’s product categories, calculated over all stores and weeks. Column (3) reports the
percentage difference between them computed as a log-difference. The 21 product categories with
positive values in column (3) are indicated in italic boldface. All the differences are statistically significant
based on the Mann-Whitney test, with p < 0.01.
35
Table 11. Regression Analyses of the Percentage Difference between Truncated 9-Ending and Non 9-
Ending Prices, Dominick’s, September 14, 1989–May 8, 1997
(1)
(2)
(3)
N
Analgesics
0.12 (0.005)***
0.12 (0.005)***
0.14 (0.001)***
3,040,159
Bath Soaps
0.00 (0.010)
0.00 (0.009)
0.09 (0.001)***
418,096
Beer
0.02 (0.010)
0.02 (0.009)**
0.03 (0.001)***
1,966,147
Bottled Juices
0.00 (0.003)
0.00 (0.003)
0.00 (0.000)***
4,325,024
Cereal
0.04 (0.001)***
0.04 (0.001)***
0.01 (0.000)***
4,707,772
Cheese
0.08 (0.002)***
0.06 (0.002)***
0.12 (0.003)***
6,752,325
Cigarettes
0.58 (0.059)***
0.00 (0.006)
0.26 (0.001)***
1,801,443
Cookies
0.12 (0.003)***
0.03 (0.002)***
0.03 (0.000)***
7,568,350
Crackers
0.04 (0.001)***
0.05 (0.001)***
0.01 (0.000)***
2,228,268
Canned Soups
0.05 (0.006)***
0.04 (0.006)***
0.01 (0.000)***
5,504,492
Dish Detergents
0.01 (0.007)
0.01 (0.004)**
0.01 (0.000)***
2,164,793
Front-End-Candies
0.33 (0.002)***
0.31 (0.003)***
0.16 (0.000)***
4,436,801
Frozen Dinners
0.04 (0.007)***
0.04 (0.007)***
0.02 (0.000)***
1,654,053
Frozen Entrees
0.03 (0.005)***
0.03 (0.005)***
0.02 (0.000)***
7,172,075
Frozen Juices
0.12 (0.003)***
0.12 (0.003)***
0.10 (0.000)***
351,519
Fabric Softeners
0.05 (0.003)***
0.06 (0.003)***
0.01 (0.000)***
2,278,536
Grooming products
0.19 (0.002)***
0.14 (0.002)***
0.15 (0.000)***
4,065,687
Laundry Detergents
0.08 (0.003)***
0.12 (0.002)***
0.11 (0.001)***
3,277,442
Oatmeal
0.04 (0.006)***
0.03 (0.006)***
0.01 (0.000)***
981,037
Paper Towels
0.10 (0.001)***
0.09 (0.001)***
0.00 (0.001)**
940,757
Refrigerated Juices
0.04 (0.004)***
0.04 (0.004)***
0.04 (0.001)***
2,166,755
Soft Drinks
0.69 (0.010)***
0.27 (0.005)***
0.27 (0.000)***
10,741,681
Shampoos
0.14 (0.012)***
0.09 (0.009)***
0.09 (0.000)***
4,666,564
Snack Crackers
0.00 (0.005)
0.01 (0.004)
0.02 (0.000)***
3,487,548
Soaps
0.13 (0.004)***
0.12 (0.004)***
0.09 (0.001)***
1,835,196
Toothbrushes
0.06 (0.005)***
0.04 (0.005)***
0.01 (0.000)***
1,772,158
Tuna
0.16 (0.003)***
0.16 (0.003)***
0.07 (0.001)***
2,382,983
Toothpastes
0.02 (0.004)***
0.01 (0.004)***
0.03 (0.000)***
2,981,532
Toilet papers
0.39 (0.008)***
0.39 (0.008)***
0.07 (0.001)***
1,149,972
Dummies for weeks
Dummies for product-
store
Dummies for sub-
categories-store
Dummies for sub-
categories-store-weeks
Notes
The table reports the coefficients of a 9-ending dummy in OLS regressions with fixed effects, where the dependent
variable is the log of the prices. The sample includes truncated 9-ending and non 9-ending prices. In column (1), the
regression includes controls for weeks and for subcategories-store. In column (2), the regression includes controls for
subcategories-stores-weeks. In column (3), the regression includes dummies for weeks and for product-store. Robust
standard errors, clustered at the store level are reported in parentheses. *** p < 1%. ** p <5%
36
Table 12. Regression Analyses of the Level Difference between 9-Ending and Non 9-Ending
Prices, Dominick’s, September 14, 1989–May 8, 1997
(1)
(2)
(3)
N
Analgesics
0.64 (0.025)***
0.65 (0.026)***
0.72 (0.004)***
3,040,172
Bath Soaps
0.19 (0.49)***
0.16 (0.47)***
0.33 (0.004)***
418,097
Beer
0.07 (0.040)*
0.00 (0.039)
0.22 (0.006)***
1,966,148
Bottled Juices
0.06 (0.007)***
0.06 (0.007)***
0.04 (0.001)***
4,325,024
Cereal
0.06 (0.003)***
0.06 (0.003)***
0.03 (0.001)***
4,707,776
Cheese
0.25 (0.004)***
0.21 (0.003)***
0.33 (0.001)***
6,752,326
Cigarettes
4.83 (0.472)***
0.02 (0.036)
2.16 (0.010)***
1,801,444
Cookies
0.20 (0.037)***
0.02 (0.005)***
0.00 (0.000)***
7,568,352
Crackers
0.13 (0.003)***
0.14 (0.002)***
0.04 (0.001)***
2,228,268
Canned Soups
0.10 (0.006)***
0.10 (0.006)***
0.06 (0.000)***
5,504,492
Dish Detergents
0.09 (0.014)***
0.10 (0.010)***
0.05 (0.001)***
2,164,793
Front-End-Candies
0.23 (0.002)***
0.22 (0.002)***
0.13 (0.000)***
4,437,054
Frozen Dinners
0.06 (0.017)***
0.06 (0.017)***
0.04 (0.001)***
1,654,053
Frozen Entrees
0.02 (0.015)
0.01 (0.016)
0.08 (0.001)***
7,172,075
Frozen Juices
0.12 (0.004)***
0.12 (0.004)***
0.10 (0.001)***
2,368,157
Fabric Softeners
0.07 (0.008)***
0.06 (0.007)***
0.16 (0.002)***
2,278,995
Grooming products
0.58 (0.008)***
0.38 (0.006)***
0.42 (0.001)***
4,065,689
Laundry Detergents
0.62 (0.015)***
0.86 (0.011)***
0.77 (0.004)***
3,277,444
Oatmeal
0.04 (0.014)***
0.03 (0.001)*
0.02 (0.001)***
981,037
Paper Towels
0.43 (0.021)***
0.42 (0.021)***
0.28 (0.003)***
940,757
Refrigerated Juices
0.11 (0.008)***
0.11 (0.008)***
0.12 (0.001)***
2,166,755
Soft Drinks
1.08 (0.13)***
0.35 (0.007)***
0.41 (0.001)***
10,741,742
Shampoos
0.52 (0.032)***
0.37 (0.024)***
0.30 (0.001)***
4,666,565
Snack Crackers
0.03 (0.008)***
0.04 (0.008)***
0.09 (0.001)***
3,487,564
Soaps
0.49 (0.012)***
0.49 (0.012)***
0.43 (0.002)***
1,835,196
Toothbrushes
0.03 (0.008)***
0.01 (0.008)
0.05 (0.001)***
1,772,158
Tuna
0.47 (0.005)***
0.37 (0.005)***
0.21 (0.001)***
2,382,983
Toothpastes
0.05 (0.009)***
0.06 (0.008)***
0.03 (0.001)***
2,981,532
Toilet papers
0.75 (0.004)***
0.75 (0.004)***
0.26 (0.002)***
1,149,972
Dummies for weeks
Dummies for product-
store
Dummies for sub-
categories-store
Dummies for sub-
categories-store-weeks
Notes
In the table, we report the coefficient estimates of a 9-ending dummy in OLS regressions with fixed effects, where
the dependent variables are the prices. The 9-ending dummy equals 1 if the price ends with 9, and 0 if the price
ends with any other digit. In column (1), the regression includes controls for weeks and for subcategories-store. In
column (2), the regression includes controls for subcategories-stores-weeks. In column (3), the regression includes
dummies for weeks and for product-store. In parentheses, we report robust standard errors, clustered at the store
level. * p < 10%, ** p < 5%, *** p < 1%.
37
Table 13. Average 9-Ending and Non 9-Ending Prices, and Percentage Difference between
Them, Outliers Excluded, Dominick’s, September 14, 1989–May 8, 1997
Category (1)
9-Ending (2)
Non 9-Ending (3)
% Difference
Analgesics
4.95
4.16
7.55%
Bath Soaps 2.88 2.60 4.40%
Beer
1.58
1.54
1.14%
Bottled Juices
2.13
2.12
0.20%
Cereal 3.08 3.17 1.20%
Cheese 2.34 2.16 3.52%
Cigarettes
11.92
6.80
24.39%
Cookies
0.67
0.74
4.10%
Crackers
2.05
1.87
3.91%
Canned Soups 1.16 1.05 4.37%
Dish Detergents
0.74
0.75
0.58%
Front-End-Candies
0.74
0.51
16.18%
Frozen Dinners 2.29 2.31 0.46%
Frozen Entrees 2.25 2.03 4.56%
Frozen Juices
1.31
1.39
2.48%
Fabric Softeners
2.58
2.63
0.75%
Grooming products
2.78
2.31
8.07%
Laundry Detergents 4.72 5.14 3.70%
Oatmeal
2.68
2.69
0.09%
Paper Towels
1.28
1.22
1.93%
Refrigerated Juices
0.72
0.64
5.41%
Soft Drinks 2.16 1.30 22.13%
Shampoos
2.75
2.39
6.15%
Snack Crackers
2.20
2.14
1.15%
Soaps
2.33
2.07
5.05%
Toothbrushes 2.13 2.01 2.54%
Tuna
1.80
1.52
7.34%
Toothpastes
0.84
0.79
2.80%
Toilet papers
2.10
1.55
13.21%
Average of the Positive %
Differences
15.96%
Notes
In columns (1) and (2), we report the average 9-ending and non 9-ending prices, respectively, in each one of
Dominick’s 29 product categories, calculated over all stores and weeks. In column (3), we report the percentage
difference between them computed as a log-difference. For each product category, we exclude from the sample
the observations that are more than two standard deviations away from the category mean. The 22 product
categories with positive values in column (3) are indicated in italic boldface. All the differences are statistically
significant based on the Mann-Whitney test with p < 0.01.
38
Table 14. Regression Analysis of the Percentage Difference between the 9-Ending and Non 9-Ending
Prices, Outliers Excluded, Dominick’s, September 14, 1989–May 8, 1997
(1)
(2)
(3)
N
Analgesics
0.11 (0.004)***
0.11 (0.004)***
0.12 (0.001)***
2,893,605
Bath Soaps
0.10 (0.005)***
0.10 (0.004)***
0.11 (0.001)***
392,621
Beer
0.06 (0.001)***
0.06 (0.001)***
0.02 (0.001)***
1,858,635
Bottled Juices
0.02 (0.002)***
0.01 (0.002)***
0.01 (0.000)***
4,166,948
Cereal
0.03 (0.001)***
0.03 (0.001)***
0.01 (0.000)***
4,478,505
Cheese
0.08 (0.002)***
0.06 (0.001)***
0.03 (0.001)***
6,487,618
Cigarettes
0.60 (0.006)***
0.02 (0.005)***
0.28 (0.001)***
1,796,262
Cookies
0.10 (0.002)***
0.00 (0.001)
0.01 (0.000)***
7,308,003
Crackers
0.07 (0.001)***
0.07 (0.001)***
0.03 (0.000)***
2,151,818
Canned Soups
0.09 (0.005)***
0.09 (0.005)***
0.06 (0.000)***
5,345,950
Dish Detergents
0.00 (0.007)
0.01 (0.005)**
0.00 (0.000)***
2,087,095
Front-End-Candies
0.40 (0.002)***
0.39 (0.002)***
0.24 (0.000)***
4,397,689
Frozen Dinners
0.00 (0.007)
0.00 (0.006)
0.07 (0.000)***
1,617,178
Frozen Entrees
0.11 (0.003)***
0.12 (0.003)***
0.08 (0.000)***
6,832,117
Frozen Juices
0.06 (0.002)***
0.07 (0.002)***
0.05 (0.000)***
2,319,924
Fabric Softeners
0.07 (0.003)***
0.07 (0.004)***
0.01 (0.000)***
2,161,634
Grooming products
0.19 (0.003)***
0.15 (0.003)***
0.16 (0.000)***
3,872,011
Laundry Detergents
0.07 (0.003)***
0.09 (0.002)***
0.08 (0.001)***
3,087,133
Oatmeal
0.01 (0.006)*
0.01 (0.006)
0.01 (0.000)***
926,918
Paper Towels
0.04 (0.007)***
0.04 (0.008)***
0.06 (0.001)***
903,436
Refrigerated Juices
0.10 (0.003)***
0.10 (0.003)***
0.09 (0.001)***
2,064,972
Soft Drinks
0.63 (0.009)***
0.31 (0.005)***
0.28 (0.000)***
1,0091,205
Shampoos
0.12 (0.010)***
0.11 (0.008)***
0.11 (0.000)***
4,462,260
Snack Crackers
0.00 (0.002)**
0.00 (0.002)
0.05 (0.000)***
3,361,275
Soaps
0.08 (0.003)***
0.07 (0.002)***
0.04 (0.000)***
1,722,143
Toothbrushes
0.05 (0.005)***
0.04 (0.005)***
0.02 (0.000)***
1,713,069
Tuna
0.16 (0.002)***
0.16 (0.002)***
0.09 (0.000)***
2,285,445
Toothpastes
0.02 (0.002)***
0.02 (0.002)***
0.02 (0.000)***
2,878,058
Toilet papers
0.36 (0.007)***
0.35 (0.007)***
0.08 (0.001)***
1,091,805
Dummies for weeks
Dummies for product-
store
Dummies for sub-
categories-store
Dummies for sub-
categories-store-weeks
Notes
The table reports the coefficients of a 9-ending dummy in OLS regressions with fixed effects, where the dependent
variable is the log of the prices. For each product category, we exclude from the sample the observations that are more
than two standard deviations away from the category mean. In column (1), the regression includes controls for weeks
and for subcategories-store. In column (2), the regression includes controls for subcategories-stores-weeks. In column
(3), the regression includes dummies for weeks and for product-store. The estimated coefficients in the Oatmeal category
in columns (1) and (2) look equal because of the rounding. Without rounding, only one of them is statistically significant.
Robust standard errors, clustered at the store level are reported in parentheses. *** p < 1%. ** p < 5%
39
Table 15. The Share of 9-Ending Prices by Product Categories, Sale Prices and
Regular Prices, Using a Sale Filter, Dominick’s, September 14, 1989–May 8, 1997
Category (1)
Sale Prices (2)
Regular Prices (3)
Difference
Analgesics 67.3% 86.8%
19.5%
Bath Soaps 60.5% 89.2%
28.7%
Beer 90.8% 96.6%
5.8%
Bottled Juices 43.3% 51.8%
8.5%
Cereal 38.7% 39.7%
1.0%
Cheese 41.0% 65.2%
24.2%
Cigarettes 4.3% 16.5%
12.2%
Cookies 42.6% 77.8%
35.2%
Crackers 34.3% 68.3%
34.0%
Canned Soups
26.5%
31.4%
4.9%
Dish Detergents
59.0%
68.1%
9.1%
Front-End-Candies
20.5%
40.1%
19.6%
Frozen Dinners
27.2%
62.4%
35.2%
Frozen Entrees
29.3%
64.2%
34.9%
Frozen Juices
48.1%
46.1%
2.0%
Fabric Softeners
56.9%
59.6%
2.7%
Grooming products
56.5%
88.8%
32.3%
Laundry Detergents
64.8%
77.5%
12.7%
Oatmeal
36.8%
53.7%
16.9%
Paper Towels
48.3%
50.3%
2.0%
Refrigerated Juices
53.5%
57.7%
4.2%
Soft Drinks
64.8%
87.4%
22.6%
Shampoos
73.1%
92.6%
19.5%
Snack Crackers
41.1%
77.6%
36.5%
Soaps
43.7%
64.7%
21.0%
Toothbrushes
69.6%
78.1%
8.5%
Tuna
32.2%
50.6%
18.4%
Toothpastes
62.8%
63.9%
1.1%
Toilet papers
52.7%
53.5%
0.8%
Average of the Negative
Differences
−16.9%
Notes
Here we identify sale prices using “Filter A” of Nakamura and Steinsson (2008). In column (1), we
report the percentage of 9-ending prices among sale prices. In column (2), we report the percentage of
9-ending prices among regular prices. In column (3), we report the difference between the percentage of
9-ending prices in sale prices and in regular prices. All the differences are statistically significant based
on the z-scores proportions test, p < 0.01.
40
Table 16. Regression Analysis of the Percentage Difference between 9-Ending and Non 9-Ending
Prices, Regular and Sale Prices, Using a Sale Filter, Dominick’s, September 14, 1989–May 8, 1997
Regular Prices
Sale Prices
(1)
(2)
(3)
N
(4)
(5)
(6)
N
Analgesics
0.13***
(0.005)
0.13***
(0.005)
0.15***
(0.000)
2,924,303
0.00
(0.003)
0.01*
(0.003)
0.01***
(0.002)
115,869
Bath Soaps
0.01
(0.011)
0.01
(0.010)
0.11***
(0.001)
405,439
0.02***
(0.008)
0.03***
(0.007)
0.04***
(0.003)
12,658
Beer
0.02
(0.010)
0.02**
(0.010)
0.04***
(0.001)
1,660,236
0.11***
(0.010)
0.09***
(0.010)
0.03***
(0.002)
305,912
Bottled Juices
0.02***
(0.004)
0.02***
(0.003)
0.02***
(0.000)
3,753,608
0.06***
(0.003)
0.05***
(0.003)
0.00**
(0.001)
571,416
Cereal
0.02***
(0.001)
0.02***
(0.001)
0.01***
(0.000)
4,379,009
0.01***
(0.003)
0.02***
(0.003)
0.03***
(0.001)
328,767
Cheese
0.12***
(0.002)
0.08***
(0.002)
0.16***
(0.000)
5,684,114
0.01***
(0.001)
0.01***
(0.001)
0.03***
(0.001)
1,068,212
Cigarettes
0.59***
(0.058)
0.02***
(0.005)
0.27***
(0.001)
1,793,459
0.01
(0.201)
0.05***
(0.017)
0.22***
(0.019)
7,985
Cookies
0.13***
(0.003)
0.03***
(0.003)
0.04***
(0.000)
6,725,729
0.06***
(0.001)
0.03***
(0.001)
0.03***
(0.001)
842,623
Crackers
0.07***
(0.002)
0.07***
(0.001)
0.02***
(0.000)
1,943,794
0.08***
(0.002)
0.07***
(0.001)
0.06***
(0.001)
284,474
Canned Soups
0.07***
(0.005)
0.08***
(0.005)
0.06***
(0.000)
5,018,750
0.12***
(0.002)
0.11***
(0.002)
0.01***
(0.001)
485,742
Dish Detergents
0.03***
(0.007)
0.04***
(0.004)
0.02***
(0.000)
1,973,399
0.04***
(0.003)
0.05***
(0.002)
0.04***
(0.001)
191,394
Front-End-
Candies
0.39***
(0.002)
0.38***
(0.002)
0.24***
(0.000)
4,189,543
0.18***
(0.003)
0.20***
(0.004)
0.06***
(0.001)
247,511
Frozen Dinners
0.06***
(0.006)
0.07***
(0.007)
0.00
(0.000)
1,391,236
0.07***
(0.005)
0.04***
(0.006)
0.01***
(0.001)
262,817
Frozen Entrees
0.01***
(0.005)
0.005
(0.005)
0.05***
(0.000)
6,289,007
0.01**
(0.003)
0.01*
(0.004)
0.00*
(0.001)
883,068
Frozen Juices
0.07***
(0.003)
0.08***
(0.003)
0.06***
(0.000)
2,016,638
0.07***
(0.002)
0.09***
(0.002)
0.02***
(0.001)
351,519
Fabric
Softeners
0.04***
(0.003)
0.05***
(0.003)
0.02***
(0.001)
2,101,762
0.10***
(0.003)
0.15***
(0.003)
0.01
(0.002)
177,233
Grooming
products
0.19***
(0.003)
0.14***
(0.002)
0.16***
(0.000)
3,806,684
0.18***
(0.004)
0.08***
(0.002)
0.07***
(0.001)
259,005
Laundry
Detergents
0.08***
(0.003)
0.12***
(0.002)
0.12***
(0.001)
3,002,713
0.18***
(0.005)
0.17***
(0.005)
0.07***
(0.001)
274,731
Oatmeal
0.03***
(0.005)
0.03***
(0.005)
0.00***
(0.000)
898,099
0.05***
(0.004)
0.003
(0.004)
0.03***
(0.002)
82,938
Paper Towels
0.15***
(0.010)
0.15***
(0.010)
0.06***
(0.001)
807,388
0.03***
(0.005)
0.01**
(0.005)
0.01***
(0.002)
133,369
Refrigerated
Juices
0.07***
(0.005)
0.08***
(0.005)
0.07***
(0.001)
1,702,858
0.01***
(0.002)
0.01***
(0.002)
0.01***
(0.001)
463,897
Soft Drinks
0.76***
(0.011)
0.34***
(0.007)
0.30***
(0.001)
8,516,259
0.56***
(0.007)
0.14***
(0.003)
0.20***
(0.001)
2,225,483
Shampoos
0.15***
(0.013)
0.11***
(0.010)
0.10***
(0.000)
4,416,767
0.08***
(0.005)
0.05***
(0.003)
0.00
(0.001)
249,798
Snack Crackers
0.01**
(0.006)
0.02***
(0.006)
0.03***
(0.000)
3,019,467
0.03***
(0.001)
0.03***
(0.001)
0.04***
(0.001)
468,097
Soaps
0.16***
(0.004)
0.15***
(0.004)
0.12***
(0.001)
1,662,739
0.07***
(0.003)
0.07***
(0.003)
0.01***
(0.001)
172,457
Toothbrushes
0.04***
(0.004)
0.02***
(0.005)
0.02***
(0.000)
1,662,831
0.01**
(0.005)
0.00
(0.005)
0.07***
(0.001)
109,327
41
Tuna
0.20***
(0.003)
0.20***
(0.003)
0.10***
(0.001)
2,183,367
0.03
(0.003)
0.05
(0.003)
0.01***
(0.002)
199,616
Toothpastes
0.004
(0.004)
0.00
(0.004)
0.02***
(0.000)
2,709,365
0.01***
(0.002)
0.03***
(0.002)
0.03***
(0.001)
272,167
Toilet papers
0.43***
(0.008)
0.43***
(0.008)
0.13***
(0.001)
983,422
0.20***
(0.005)
0.23***
(0.005)
0.03***
(0.002)
166,550
Dummies for
weeks
Dummies for
product-store
Dummies for
sub-categories-
store
Dummies for
sub-categories-
store-weeks
Notes
In the table, we report the coefficient estimates of a 9-ending dummy in a number of OLS regressions with fixed effects,
where the dependent variable is the log of the prices. In columns (1)–(3), we report the results when we estimate the
regression using data on regular prices only. In columns (4)–(6), we report the results when we estimate the regression using
data on sale prices only. We identify sale prices using “Sale Filter A” of Nakamura and Steinsson (2008). In columns (1)
and (4), the regression includes controls for weeks and for subcategories-store. In columns (2) and (5), the regression
includes controls for subcategories-stores-weeks. In columns (3) and (6), the regression includes dummies for weeks and
for product-store. In parentheses we report robust standard errors, clustered at the store level. * p < 10%, ** p < 5%, *** p
< 1%.
42
Figure 1. Frequency Distribution of the Last Digit of the Retail Prices at Dominick’s,
September 14, 1989May 8, 1997
Notes
The figures in the table are based on all price data of Dominick’s, at 93 stores for 400 weeks,
from September 14, 1989 to May 8, 1997
010 20 30 40 50 60
Percentage of price endings
01 2 3 4 56789
Price ending
43
Figure 2. Frequency Distribution of the Last Digit of the Retail Prices at Dominick’s, by Product Category,
September 14, 1989–May 8, 1997
0.25 .5 .75 1
012345678 9
Analgesics
0.25 .5 .75 1
0123456789
Bath Soap
0.25 .5 .75 1
01234 5 6 789
Beer
0.25 .5 .75 1
0 1 2 3 4 56789
Bottled Juice
0.25 .5 .75 1
0123456789
Cereal
0.25 .5 .75 1
0123456789
Cheese
0.25 .5 .75 1
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Cigarettes
0.25 .5 .75 1
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Cookies
0.25 .5 .75 1
0123456 7 8 9
Crackers
0.25 .5 .75 1
012345 6 7 8 9
Canned Soup
0.25 .5 .75 1
0123456789
Dish Detergents
0.25 .5 .75 1
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 789
Front-End-Candies
0.25 .5 .75 1
01234567 8 9
Frozen Dinners
0.25 .5 .75 1
0123456 7 8 9
Frozen Entrees
0.25 .5 .75 1
012345678 9
Frozen Juices
0.25 .5 .75 1
0123456789
Fabric Softner
44
Figure 2. Frequency Distribution of the Last Digit of the Retail Prices at Dominick’s, by Product Categories,
September 14, 1989–May 8, 1997 (Cont.)
0.25 .5 .75 1
0123 4 56789
Grooming Products
0.25 .5 .75 1
0123456789
Laundry Detergents
0.25 .5 .75 1
0123456789
Oatmeal
0.25 .5 .75 1
01234 5 6789
Paper Towels
0.25 .5 .75 1
0123 4 56789
Refrigerated Juices
0.25 .5 .75 1
0123456789
Soft Drinks
0.25 .5 .75 1
0123456789
Shampoos
0.25 .5 .75 1
0123456789
Snack Crackers
0.25 .5 .75 1
0 1 2345678 9
Soap
0.25 .5 .75 1
0123456789
Toothbrushes
0.25 .5 .75 1
012345678 9
Tuna
0.25 .5 .75 1
01234 5 67 8 9
Toothpaste
0.25 .5 .75 1
01234 5 6789
Toilet Papers
45
Figure 3. Frequency Distribution of the Percentage Differences between the Average 9-Ending and Non 9-Ending Prices, by
Product Categories at the Product-Store Level, Dominick’s, September 14, 1989–May 8, 1997
0.1 .2 .3
Fraction
-1 0 1
average differenece
Analgesics
0.1 .2 .3
Fraction
-1 0 1
average differenece
Bath Soap
0.1 .2 .3
Fraction
-1 0 1
average differenece
Beer
0.1 .2 .3
Fraction
-1 0 1
average differenece
Bottled Juice
0.1 .2 .3
Fraction
-1 0 1
average differenece
Cereal
0.1 .2 .3
Fraction
-1 0 1
average differenece
Cheese
0.1 .2 .3
Fraction
-1 0 1
average differenece
Cigarettes
0.1 .2 .3
Fraction
-1 0 1
average differenece
Cookies
0.1 .2 .3
Fraction
-1 0 1
average differenece
Crackers
0.1 .2 .3
Fraction
-1 0 1
average differenece
Canned Soup
0.1 .2 .3
Fraction
-1 0 1
average differenece
Dish Detergents
0.1 .2 .3
Fraction
-1 0 1
average differenece
Front-End-Candies
0.1 .2 .3
Fraction
-1 0 1
average differenece
Frozen Dinners
0.1 .2 .3
Fraction
-1 0 1
average differenece
Frozen Entrees
0.1 .2 .3
Fraction
-1 0 1
average differenece
Frozen Juices
0.1 .2 .3
Fraction
-1 0 1
average differenece
Fabric Softner
46
Figure 3. Frequency Distribution of the Percentage Differences between the Average 9-Ending and Non 9-Ending Prices, by
Product Categories at the Product-Store Level, Dominick’s, September 14, 1989–May 8, 1997 (Cont.)
0.1 .2 .3
Fraction
-1 0 1
average differenece
Grooming Products
0.1 .2 .3
Fraction
-1 0 1
average differenece
Laundry Detergents
0.1 .2 .3
Fraction
-1 0 1
average differenece
Oatmeal
0.1 .2 .3
Fraction
-1 0 1
average differenece
Paper Towels
0.1 .2 .3
Fraction
-1 0 1
average differenece
Refrigerated Juices
0.1 .2 .3
Fraction
-1 0 1
average differenece
Soft Drinks
0.1 .2 .3
Fraction
-1 0 1
average differenece
Shampoos
0.1 .2 .3
Fraction
-1 0 1
average differenece
Snack Crackers
0.1 .2 .3
Fraction
-1 0 1
average differenece
Soap
0.1 .2 .3
Fraction
-1 0 1
average differenece
Toothbrushes
0.1 .2 .3
Fraction
-1 0 1
average differenece
Tuna
0.1 .2 .3
Fraction
-1 0 1
average differenece
Toothpaste
0.1 .2 .3
Fraction
-1 0 1
average differenece
Toilet Papers
ResearchGate has not been able to resolve any citations for this publication.
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Markets respond to prices in complex ways. Multiple factors such as price points, odd pricing, and just-noticeable differences often cause steps and spikes in response. The result is market response functions that are frequently nonmonotonic. However, existing regression-based approaches employ functions that are inherently monotonic, which thereby limits representation of important irregularities. In this article, the authors use a stochastic spline regression approach in the framework of a hierarchical Bayes model that permits the estimation of irregular pricing effects and apply the approach to data sets from several product categories. A simulation study indicates that the stochastic spline approach is flexible enough to accommodate irregular response functions. The empirical results show that there are irregularities in own-price response for most of the brands examined and that there are important profit implications of these irregular response functions in pricing decisions. The authors find that the irregularities in the response functions include sales increases associated with odd prices in the range of 12% to 76%, flatness at the extremes of the range of observed prices, and kinks in the response function that are consistent with segmentation effects.
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h i g h l i g h t s 4 symbolic meanings associated with 9-ending prices were identified. There were no differences in their relative influence on purchase decisions in high and low-context cultures. No evidence that 9-endings influenced purchase-decision in the forced-choice questions between two different price-levels. In all three cultures, a 9-ending discount disproportionately increased the perceived value of a hotel room. a b s t r a c t Four symbolic meanings have been associated with 9-ending prices: Discount price, enhanced value, low quality, and misleading action. Scales were developed to measure each meaning and the relative strength of these meanings in influencing tourists' purchases among samples from the U.S., Korea and China was investigated. The analyses found no differences in the likelihood of tourists selecting 9-ending rather than even-ending prices when purchasing a sandwich, a pizza or show tickets; in their relative importance across cultures; or in the influence on purchase decisions of different symbolic meanings associated with 9-endings. However, a 9-ending discount was perceived to be more effective when compared to even-ended price discounts in the context of a hotel room. Again, however, its effectiveness could not be explained by the different symbolic meanings associated with 9-ending prices.
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How do retailers react to cost changes? While temporary sales account for 95% of price change in our data, retail prices respond to a wholesale cost increase entirely through the regular price. Sales actually respond temporarily in the opposite direction from regular prices, as though to conceal the price hike. Additional evidence from responses to commodity cost and local unemployment shocks, as well as broader evidence from BLS data, reinforces these findings. Institutional evidence indicates that sales are complex contingent contracts, determined substantially in advance. In a standard price-discrimination model, these institutional practices leave little money “on the table”.
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A leading explanation in the economic literature is that monetary policy has real effects on the economy because firms incur a cost when changing prices. Using a unique database of cost and retail price changes, we find that variation in menu costs results in up to 13.3% fewer price increases. We confirm that these effects are allocative and have a persistent impact on both prices and unit sales. We provide evidence that the menu cost channel operates only when cost increases are small in magnitude, which is consistent with theory and provides the first empirical evidence of boundary conditions. © 2015 The President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology 2015.
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Two experiments were used to examine the impact of 99-ending pricing on memory-based comparisons with a multiple product set. Results indicate that when a target is priced above/below a stimulus set, use of 99-ending prices for the highest and lowest prices in the stimulus set lessens target price attractiveness compared to when the highest and lowest prices are 00-ending. Attractiveness of targets priced within the stimulus set was not impacted by the use of 99- versus 00-ending pricing. Overall, participants appear to use an assimilation/contrast approach based upon left-digit processing in determining target price attractiveness.