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Lessons from South Africa’s renewable energy regulatory and procurement experience

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  • Trade & Industrial Policy Strategies (TIPS)
  • Trade & Industrial Policy Strategies

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South Africa’s Renewable Energy Independent Power Producer (REIPP) procurement programme is hailed worldwide as a model for renewable energy procurement. Its success is far from experimental and haphazard and points directly to lessons acquired prior to, and during, the launch and running of the programme. This article explores the journey to the REIPP procurement programme and draws critical lessons from the process. It discusses the success of the REIPP procurement programme in developing the renewable energy sector in South Africa, drawing seven key lessons explain this success and exploring the remaining challenges. The article shows that, despite the need for further improvements and continual optimisation, the development of the REIPP procurement programme has been a positive illustration of successful policy and regulatory learning processes.
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Journal of Economic and Financial Sciences |
JEF
| September 2014 7(S), pp 507-526
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LESSONS FROM SOUTH AFRICAS RENEWABLE
ENERGY REGULATORY AND PROCUREMENT
EXPERIENCE
Gaylor Montmasson-Clair*
Trade and Industrial Policy Strategies
Gaylor@tips.org.za
Georgina Ryan+
Trade and Industrial Policy Strategies
Georgina@tips.org.za
Received: June 2014
Accepted: September 2014
Abstract
South Africa’s Renewable Energy Independent Power Producer (REIPP) procurement programme is
hailed worldwide as a model for renewable energy procurement. Its success is far from experimental
and haphazard and points directly to lessons acquired prior to, and during, the launch and running of
the programme. This article explores the journey to the REIPP procurement programme and draws
critical lessons from the process. It discusses the success of the REIPP procurement programme in
developing the renewable energy sector in South Africa, drawing seven key lessons explain this
success and exploring the remaining challenges. The article shows that, despite the need for further
improvements and continual optimisation, the development of the REIPP procurement programme
has been a positive illustration of successful policy and regulatory learning processes
Keywords
Electricity, renewable energy, Independent Power Producers, procurement, economic regulation
_______________________________
*Mr G M ontmasson-Clai r is an Assistant Programme Manager: Sustainable Growth at Trade and Industrial Policy Strategies
(TIPS); Research Fellow, Centre for Competition Regulation and Economic Devel opment, Universit y of Johannesburg, South
Africa.
#Ms G Ryan is a Junior Researcher: Sus tainable Growth at Sustainable Growth at Trade and Industrial Policy Strategies (TIPS);
Research Fellow, Centre for Co mpetition Regulation and Economic Development, Univ ersity of Johann esburg, South Africa.
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1. INTRODUCTION
As the world grapples with multiple crises on economic, social and environmental fronts,
sustainable development, notably through the transition to a green economy, has been
internationally acknowledged as the way forward. South Africa is in a unique position to benefit
from the shift to a greener development path, owing to its abundance in renewable resources.
Accordingly, the country has demonstrated an increasing commitment to sustainable
development, especially in renewable energy.
The development of renewable energy in South Africa, which is strongly intertwined with the
introduction of independent power producers (IPPs) onto the electricity market, results from
four grand dynamics. First, the South African government recognises that Eskom alone does not
have the financial and technical capacity to meet the country’s electricity demand and ensure
energy security. In 2003 government set the objective of deriving 30% of the new power
generation capacity from private developers from renewable energy, but also from coal and gas
(Steyn, 2013). Second, the development of renewable energy, along with the introduction of
IPPs, aims to reduce the cost of electricity in South Africa, in the short term, through generation
capacity built at the cost and financial risk of IPPs, and in the medium to long term, through the
development of increasingly competitive and cost-effective renewable energy-based
alternatives to traditional fuels and technologies (DoE, 2013a, 2011; IRENA, 2013a). The
proposed carbon tax should also strengthen the business case for shifting to greener generation
technologies. Third, renewable energy technologies, as clean, low-carbon options, form part of
government’s climate change mitigation and green economy strategies. Lastly, the creation of a
renewable energy industry in the country is meant to support local economic development
objectives, with the aim of contributing to the creation of 400 000 new direct jobs by 2030 in
green economy sectors, as targeted in the country’s New Growth Path (EDD, 2010).
Against this background, South Africa’s Renewable Energy Independent Power Producer (REIPP)
procurement programme was launched in August 2011. The programme has been hailed
worldwide as a model for renewable energy procurement (IRENA, 2013b; Eberhard, Kolker &
Leigland, 2014). Matching (if not setting) international guidelines, the current South African
procurement programme is structured around the following best practice criteria: effective and
efficient institutional coordination; coherence and certainty in the selected support scheme;
flexibility provisions in the event of significant market changes or unintended consequences;
centrality of the price mechanism; certainty on return on investment; coordination between all
interest groups; development goals for rural and vulnerable populations; and regulatory
principles of transparency, clarity and predictability (Bjork et al., 2014).
While the achievements of the programme have been extensively publicised, little research has
been conducted on the political, policy and technical underpinnings of the current scheme. This
success is indeed far from experimental and haphazard and points to a set of learnings and
lessons acquired prior to, and during, the launch and running of the programme.
Exploring the journey to the REIPP procurement programme and drawing a series of critical
learnings require a theoretical framing essentially oriented towards a delivery analysis
framework, as conceptualised by Parsons (1995). Although it does cover issues of agenda
definition and agenda setting (meso analysis) or questions around public choice (decision
analysis), the analysis concentrates on the entire chain of implementation, including the choice
of instruments and their application, evaluation, performance and revision (Lafferty, 2004). This
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approach provides the right focus to understand and analyse in detail the road to the current
procurement programme and shed light on its foundations.
The methodological approach to exploring the development and progress of the renewable
energy procurement programme draws on an analysis of South African government policy and its
implementation from the mid-1990s to 2014, complemented by a review of relevant literature,
as well as a series of more than 50 semi-structured interviews. Interviews were conducted with
relevant stakeholders, from government departments (including the Department of Energy
(DoE) and the National Treasury’s (NT) Public-Private Partnership Unit), the National Energy
Regulator of South Africa (NERSA), financiers, the national utility and IPPs, to academics and
consultants. Following these interviews, a workshop was hosted with these stakeholders to
discuss findings of the review of the regulation of renewable energy in South Africa. This
interactive and iterative research process has contributed to formulating the findings of the
paper.
The remainder of the paper proceeds as follows. Section 2 discusses the success of the
programme in developing the renewable energy sector and reflects on South Africa’s experience
in the introduction of renewable energy and IPPs. Sections 3 to 9 draw a series of seven key
lessons. Remaining challenges and areas of improvements are also investigated. Section 10
concludes with a discussion on the way forward.
2. THE SUCCESS STORY OF THE RENEWABLE ENERGY INDEPENDENT POWER
PRODUCER PROCUREMENT PROGRAMME
The South African government has progressively developed a procurement framework to support
large-scale renewable energy-based power generation and introduce IPPs in the country’s
energy market. Several initial attempts failed to effectively procure power from IPPs. Initial
programmes, such as the Pilot National Cogeneration Programme, the Medium Term Power
Purchase Programme and the Multisite Base-load Independent Power Producer Programme, were
conceptualised by Eskom in 2007-2008 with the primary objective of expanding generation
capacity. These programmes were however all interrupted due to the lack of readiness from both
government and the private sector (DoE, 2009a; Yelland, 2009). Following these programmes,
government needed to create a credible procurement programme. NERSA accordingly developed
a Renewable Energy Feed-In Tariff (REFIT) mechanism to procure power output from qualifying
renewable energy generators at predetermined prices. Faced with political and legal challenges,
the REFIT policy was then abandoned in favour of an auction system (Baker, 2012; Creamer,
2011). A lengthy transition process resulted in the DoE, assisted by the NT’s Public-Private
Partnership Unit, launching the REIPP procurement programme in August 2011.
The first phase of the REIPP procurement programme has been designed with an initial allocation
of 3 625 megawatt (MW) to be procured from large-scale IPPs over a maximum of five bid
windows by 2016, as determined by the Minister of Energy under Section 34(1) of the Electricity
Regulation Act No. 4 of 2006. TABLE 1 illustrates the breakdown of energy sources to meet this
target and reveals the significant targets set for onshore wind and solar photovoltaic (PV)
technologies and the increasing interest in concentrated solar power (CSP), in line with the
country’s current electricity plan. While no capacity cap (other than the total allocation of the
programme) was set in the first round, the allocation for subsequent rounds has been
determined based on the initial market response to encourage competition in the renewable
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energy sector. The first three rounds have largely been oversubscribed, a testament of the
interest for the programme, and resulted in committed investment of ZAR 150 billion.
TABLE 1: Total megawatt awarded per technology, bid responses and preferred bidders in the
REIPP procurement programme
Awards (MW)
Initial
determination
(2012-2016)
Second
determination
(2017-2020)
Round 1
allocation
Round 2
allocation
Round 3
allocation
Total
allocation
Wind
1 850
1 470
634
563
787
1 984
Solar PV
1 450
1 075
632
417
450
1 499
CSP
200
400
150
50
200
400
Small hydro
75
60
0
14.3
0
14.3
Landfill gas
25
47.5
0
0
18
18
Biomass
12.5
47.5
0
0
16.5
16.5
Total
3 625
3 100
1 416
1 044.3
1 456
3 916
Bid responses
received
N/A
N/A
53
79
93
225
Preferred bidders
N/A
N/A
28
19
17
64
Success rate
N/A
N/A
53%
24%
18%
N/A
Source: TIPS, based on DoE, 2013a and DoE, 2012
In less than two and a half years, 64 projects have been approved, of which 47 have already
achieved financial close for a total of 3 916 MW, i.e. more than the original allocation of 3 625
MW. The allocations for onshore wind, solar PV and CSP have been already exceeded for the
2012-2016 period. In December 2012, the DoE published an additional determination of
3 100 MW for the 2017-2020 period, of which 307.5 MW were made available for the third bid
window, bringing the total determination for large-scale projects to 6 725 MW (DoE, 2013b). De
facto, a part of the third round as well as upcoming bidding windows for the 2014-2016 period
are already carving up the determination for the 2017-2020 period, essentially due to the
positive market response and the excellent quality of projects. Practically, all projects selected
as preferred bidders have so far reached financial close and the first project, Scatec Solar’s 75-
MW solar PV plant, was connected to the grid three months ahead of schedule in September 2013
(Clover, 2013). These positive achievements were no accident and have resulted from continual
policy and regulatory learnings from previous initiatives as well as the iterations of the current
programme.
3. POLICY SPACE AND POLITICAL SUPPO RT ARE A PREREQUISITE
From the publication of the 2003 White Paper on the Renewable Energy Policy of the Republic of
South Africa (DME, 2003), which set the objective of generating 10 000 gigawatt-hour of
renewable energy by 2013 (approximately 4% of the energy mix), to the procurement of the first
MW of generation capacity in 2011, a long and complex policy development process took place.
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Only when policy certainty on the role of renewable energy and the associated investment
strategy (i.e. the role of the private sector) was achieved could the procurement framework be
successfully implemented.
South Africa has been considering the introduction of IPPs, partially for the generation of
renewable energy-based electricity, since the 1998 White Paper on Energy Policy (DME, 1998). A
blueprint for a competitive electricity supply industry was accordingly produced for Cabinet in
May 2001, but was eventually discarded in May 2004. Only the gradual introduction of IPPs
resulted from the 2001 blueprint. In 2003 Cabinet approved the participation of the private
sector in the electricity industry and resolved that future power generation capacity would be
divided between Eskom (70%) and IPPs (30%) (Steyn, 2013). In a statement on 5 September
2007, Cabinet designated Eskom as the single buyer of power from public and private producers,
mandating the state-owned enterprise to ensure that “adequate generation capacity is made
available and that 30% of the new power generation capacity is derived from IPPs” (GCIS, 2007).
Cabinet further specified that over the 2007-2027 period, “Eskom will build all nuclear power
plants in South Africa and the IPPs will build more than 50% of all non-nuclear power plants”
(GCIS, 2007).
Large-scale commitment to renewable energy was achieved only in 2011 with the Integrated
Resource Plan for Electricity 2010-2030 (IRP 2010). Promulgated in May 2011, the IRP 2010 plans
for 17.8 GW of new build renewable energy over the 2010-2030 period, in addition to 1.1 GW of
already committed capacity. The plan intends for renewable energy technologies to supply 42%
of the new additional capacity over the 2010-2030 period or 9% of the total electrical energy in
2030 (DoE, 2011). These two concomitant policy trends on the role of renewable energy and IPPs
have shaped the development of procurement programmes in the country.
The IRP 2010 and the 2011 ministerial determination created a clear policy space for renewable
energy in South Africa. This clarity assured investors, through policy and planning, that
renewable energy would play a sizeable role in the country’s electricity mix. It also opened the
door for the design and implementation of an ambitious procurement mechanism, providing
further certainty on the demand and procurement of renewable energy.
Benefiting from these positive evolutions, the REFIT programme, in development since 2007, was
set to be the national procurement framework for renewable energy. The scheme had largely
resolved the flaws that characterised previous initiatives and developers had already prepared
to submit their projects to participate in the REFIT policy (Eberhard, 2013). As concerns arose in
2008/2009 around the REFIT policy, the rationale underpinning the shift from a feed-in tariff to
an auction programme took prominence, eventually leading to the introduction, with full
political support, of the existing competitive bidding process.
Going forward, long-term certainty on the future of the procurement scheme, in terms of
megawatt capacity and technology, must be maintained. The publication in November 2013 of
an update of the IRP, while advocating that the current renewable energy programme should be
continued with additional annual rounds (of 1 000 MW capacity for both solar PV and wind, 200
MW for CSP and potentially hydropower at competitive rates), has re-introduced a degree of
uncertainty. The update slightly reduces the allocation to renewable energy from 18.8 GW to 17.4
GW. It also suggests a shift from wind to solar energy in the coming years, by cutting the total
generation capacity allocated to wind energy in 2030 (from 9.2 GW in the current IRP to 4.4 GW in
the 2013 update) and increasing the share of solar PV (from 8.4 GW to 9.8 GW) and CSP (from 1.2
GW to 3.3 GW) (DoE, 2013c). While reviewing and updating the country’s electricity plan is a
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necessary ongoing exercise, further certainty on the allocations per technology must be ensured
in the process to provide clarity to the sector.
4. INSTITUTIONAL ARRANGEMENTS ARE AT THE CRUX
Over and above policy and political support, the design and implementation of successive IPP
programmes in South Africa has raised the importance of institutional arrangements.
Institutional leadership and political will (to take and implement decisions) are cornerstones of
a successful procurement programme; and the active participation of all relevant stakeholders
is essential to an effective and efficient design and implementation.
Early programmes driven by Eskom largely failed as a result of inadequate leadership, oversight
and political support. Project developers were reluctant to participate owing to Eskom’s role as
an industry player, i.e. as a generator, transmitter and distributor, as well as administrator and
referee, with little oversight to ensure that the utility would not leverage its monopoly in the
electricity supply industry. This demonstrated the need for an independent institution.
Independent price setting with clear cost-recovery rules not dependent on Eskom’s financial standing
was also required.
Likewise, NERSA’s REFIT programme increasingly faced political and legal challenges, which
ultimately resulted in its abandonment to the benefit of a DoE-led scheme. The REFIT policy was
conceptualised within NERSA’s Electricity Regulatory Division in 2006/2007, following study
tours to Germany and Denmark. Despite some opposition within NERSA itself as well as
reluctance from the then Department of Minerals and Energy (DME) and Eskom, the development
of a REFIT policy gained traction at NERSA’s board level in June 2007 (Baker, 2012). However, the
DoE, supported by the NT, later identified that by developing the REFIT, NERSA was acting beyond
its mandate stipulated in the Electricity Regulation Act No. 4 of 2006. According to the Act, the
function of developing energy policy belongs to the DoE, while NERSA acts as an implementer.
While NERSA understood at the time that such a programme was meant to be developed by the
DoE, the regulator explains that, owing to administrative issues that caused delays, NERSA
ended up initiating the process all within the legislative framework in place at the time.
In addition, the NT and the DoE were convinced that NERSA had neither the budget nor the
expertise to efficiently run a REFIT, and that the relatively high prices set by NERSA meant that
the programme was not financial feasible. The risk of a large oversubscription, notably in
relation to Eskom’s financial and grid connection capacity (Baker, 2012), was particularly
concerning (Yelland, 2009).
In January 2009, the then-DME put forward the proposal of a bidding system, also shifting the
strategic and planning responsibilities from NERSA to Eskom, and giving the Minister of Energy
wide discretion regarding NERSA’s REFIT process (IDASA, 2010). In August 2009, the DoE’s
Electricity Regulations on New Generation Capacity, which enacted this shift, were approved
(DoE, 2009b). This followed the DoE receiving legal advice that feed-in tariffs could be
challenged against South Africa’s public finance and procurement laws. Evidence suggests that
a REFIT would have been inconsistent with the Public Finance Management Act No. 1 of 1999 (as
amended) due to the absence of price competition. The ‘first come first serve’ basis upon which
bids would have essentially been chosen under the REFIT was considered not to be in line with the
procurement regulation that stresses competitive bidding (Creamer, 2011). An auction system
was considered as doing more to encourage price competitiveness among developers than the
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feed-in tariff. This analysis can however be challenged: although price would not have been a
differentiating factor, competition would have occurred based on other criteria, most likely
local economic development.
In November 2010, revised New Generation Regulations published by the DoE, supported by the
NT, effectively removed NERSA and Eskom’s functions to implement a REFIT, and replaced the
scheme with a competitive bidding process under the governance of the DoE and the NT (DoE,
2009b). The feed-in tariff was effectively never implemented and not a single MW of power was
signed under the REFIT programme. Ultimately, the political play between NERSA and the DoE
appeared to become a dispute over turf, and the change in regulation was more a political
matter than a technical problem. What is certain in the shift from the REFIT to the REIPP
procurement programme is that NERSA’s role has been significantly diminished. While
facilitating the entry of IPPs into the electricity generation market and, importantly, ushering in
renewable energy in the energy supply mix, the shift to a DoE-led bidding process served to
reinforce direct governmental control over the development of renewable energy in the country.
The political will and leadership emanating from the DoE and the NT that drove the
establishment of the programme have been instrumental to its success. The two institutions are
central in drafting the Request for Proposals and the methodology for project selection. The
DoE, as driver and coordinator of the programme, has provided policy clarity and direction for
renewable energy development. This is complemented by the financial and technical support of
the NT. In addition, all relevant stakeholders are actively involved in the design and
implementation of the scheme, as illustrated in FIGURE 1, in comparison to previous initiatives,
which relied heavily on one single institution. Other government departments provide advisory
inputs as per their areas of expertise. Whereas Eskom and NERSA were the architects of previous
independent power procurement programmes and remain instrumental to the success of the
programme, they both now have secondary decision-making functions in the process. The
regulator was largely responsible for designing and administering the REFIT. Under the REIPP
procurement programme, NERSA is tasked with awarding generation and distribution licences to
successful IPPs for the period and MW capacity in line with the power purchase agreement (PPA),
with less autonomous decision-making power about the role of renewable energy. This is indeed
more an instruction that the regulator carries out as stipulated by the Request for Proposals
than an independent decision. Eskom’s System Operator is responsible for designing and
ensuring that the grid infrastructure can equitably accommodate renewable energy projects to
feed into the national grid. The utility’s Grid Access Unit provides technical analysis on the
connection of projects to the grid and supplies IPPs with cost-estimate letters and budget
quotes on these options. Last but not least, project developers and the community of financiers,
in addition to developing and financing renewable energy projects, are dynamically considered
in the continual improvement of the scheme, through consultations with the NT and the DoE.
Owing to the complex and interconnected nature of institutional arrangements associated with
the REIPP procurement programme, areas of improvements still exist. Issues around the grid
connection and associated processes, which create uncertainty for IPPs, should be mitigated.
IPPs rely on Eskom to obtain a cost-estimate letter and budget quotes in a timely fashion for
their grid connection. Uncertainty around the timeline for grid connection and the lack of
accuracy of the cost-estimate letter and budget quotes provided by the utility, which are
accurate at +/-40% and +/-15% respectively, have raised some financial risk for IPPs.
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FIGURE 1: Institutional arrangements around the REIPP procurement programme
Source: TIPS, based on Pickering (2013); Haffejee (2013)
Ultimately, more certainty is required at the time of submission to enable efficient planning and
ensure the lowest possible prices and maximum economic development benefits. Another area of
amelioration is the misalignment of multiple authorisations required from national, provincial
and local levels and the associated application processes, which should be streamlined and
fast-tracked, particularly in the case of water licences, to facilitate project development. While
ameliorations could be achieved on the coordination of all involved institutions, the success of
the REIPP procurement programme lies in the inclusion of all stakeholders from government
departments, to the regulator and the state-owned utility, to the private sector. Had just one of
these vital players been missing from the programme design and consultation, the scheme would
undoubtedly have not been such an overwhelming success.
5. MARKET READINESS UNDERLINES THE POSITIVE RESPONSE OF THE
PRIVATE SECTOR
The readiness of the domestic market, progressively built over a number of years, has played a
critical role in the positive response to the REIPP procurement programme. As such, the existing
programme has benefited from previous initiatives and schemes, which contributed to preparing
both domestic and international private developers for their entry into the electricity market in
South Africa.
Despite failing to take off, early programmes developed by Eskom prepared and tested the
market. They created expectations and constituted building blocks of the current achievements
(DoE, 2009a; Yelland, 2009). Similarly, the REFIT programme, which had largely resolved the
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flaws that characterised previous endeavours, was instrumental to the enthusiastic market
response experienced in the REIPP procurement programme. As such, preferred bidders from the
first round of the REIPP procurement programme were predominantly developers who prepared
to submit projects under the REFIT programme (Eberhard, 2013).
The unexpected change in the procurement framework nevertheless raised concerns over
whether there would be further changes, without notice or consultation going forward, i.e. would
this remain government’s modus operandi to deal with IPPs? This became an important
consideration in the design of REIPP procurement programme, which institutionalises continual
engagement with the private sector. In addition, the DoE provides valuable feedback on the
evaluation of unsuccessful bids, allowing project developers to improve the quality of their bids
and often resubmit unsuccessful projects in subsequent windows.
Furthermore, the design of the REIPP procurement programme was tailored by the DoE and the NT
to the South African context, against the initial prescriptions of international advisors. The
scheme was conceived as a rolling programme, and not a once-off exercise, which contributed
to creating market certainty, confirmed the readiness of the private sector and encouraged the
participation of developers. Adequate intervals between bidding rounds have allowed the DoE
the flexibility to respond to design challenges (in order to maximise benefits for the country) as
well as issues raised by the private sector. This resulted in growing interest from the private
sector, attested to by the increasing number of bids received, from 53 proposals in the first
round to 79 and 93 in the second and third rounds respectively (DoE, 2013a). The maximum size
for a single project was also adjusted (at 75 MW for solar PV and 100 MW for CSP for example) to
match local requirements and characteristics. Well-structured, timely and tailor-made
implementation, to match and further build market readiness, has been vital to establish
confidence and certainty in the market and prepare all players. Linking the programme design,
i.e. demand, with the market response, i.e. supply, has constituted a keystone of the significant
interest from the private sector and ultimately the success of the REIPP procurement
programme.
6. FAIR, TRANSPARENT, AND CONSISTENT EVALUATION CRITERIA PROVIDE
EFFECTIVE GUIDELINES FOR THE MARKET
With regards to the actual implementation of a procurement programme, the publication of
transparent, consistent and independently reviewed evaluation criteria has emerged as a
critical condition for the private sector. The current evaluation framework, building on the
experience of the REFIT policy, ensures a fair and level playing field for all participants. Overall,
financiers have commended the programme for the extensive due diligence required of
developers in their bids, as well as its clarity and reliability.
The evaluation process of the REIPP procurement programme is composed of two clear-cut
phases. In a first pre-qualification stage, bidders must meet a set of minimum criteria. Bidders
have to first satisfy certain minimum threshold requirements in six areas: financial; technical;
commercial and legal; land; economic development; and environment. They must inter alia
demonstrate the readiness of the project (land acquisition, funding, technologies, suppliers,
ability to meet deadlines, environmental consent, etc.), its financial viability and the
arrangements to meet minimum requirements in terms of economic development. As a rule, and
in order to secure local participation, the project company must also comprise 40% ownership
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participation by a South African entity. Bids meeting all these initial requirements are admitted
to the second stage of the auction, where they are assessed on a competitive basis.
TABLE 2: Local content requirements across the first three rounds of the REIPP procurement
programme
Bidding round 1
Bidding Round 2
Bidding Round 3
Threshold
Target
Threshold
Target
Threshold
Target
25%
45%
25%
60%
40%
65%
35%
50%
35%
60%
45%
65%
35%
50%
35%
60%
45%
65%
25%
45%
25%
60%
40%
65%
25%
45%
25%
60%
40%
65%
25%
45%
25%
60%
40%
65%
25%
45%
25%
60%
40%
65%
25%
45%
25%
60%
40%
65%
Source: TIPS, based on Campbell, 2012
In the second stage of the evaluation process, bids are reviewed based on weighted criteria,
namely 70% for their price offer and 30% for their additional contribution to economic
development (i.e. over and above minimum requirements). Within the 30 points (out of 100)
which are awarded for economic development, different components are weighted as follows:
job creation (25%), local content (25%), ownership (15%), management control (5%),
preferential procurement (10%), enterprise development (5%), and socio-economic
development (15%) (DoE, 2013b). For each category, points are allocated based on minimum
desired targets, over and above minimum thresholds. In a given category, only meeting the
minimum threshold translates into zero points, while reaching the target grants the maximum
number of points. From the threshold to target, a linear relationship determines the total of
points awarded to the bid. TABLE 2 illustrates these thresholds and targets for local content
across the first three bidding windows. This system is meant to ensure minimum economic
development contributions from project developers while encouraging them to aim for higher
targets.
The evaluation mechanism has contributed to creating certainty and ensuring the large
participation and the selection of the most competitive bids. The rigour required to meet
evaluation criteria and each step in the bidding process, while welcomed by the private sector,
has nevertheless proven to be extremely time-consuming and expensive. Key advisors, such as
legal experts, are particularly costly for project developers, and can represent up to 15% of
project development costs. The need to reduce the cost of meeting all requirements has arisen
for IPPs. As such, the design of evaluation criteria, particularly their stringency, is reviewed
between every bidding window, factoring market dynamics and local capabilities, notably in
terms of local content requirements.
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7. FINANCING HINGES ON A BANKABLE POWER PURCHASE AGREEMENT
Not only did the market require clear guidelines for IPPs, but banks needed the assurance that
deals could be structured around reasonable and sensible terms and aligned to their investment
mandates. The PPA, which is the only source of revenue for developers and for commercial banks
financing IPPs, is the cornerstone of the success of any IPP programme. Most notably, the PPA is
used to divide and allocate risk between all parties involved. A multitude of risks can be
associated with the construction and profitable operation of a renewable energy-based power
plant, from foreign exchange, environmental assessments and authorisations, the connection to
the transmission and distribution networks, revenue collection, to timely and on-budget plant
construction and plant operation. From the point of view of IPPs, and financial institutions
backing their projects, the only acceptable risks that project developers can shoulder are linked
to building and operating the power plant. All other risks must be mitigated by the state,
between the utility, the NT and the DoE.
Appropriate risk allocation was a problem in early procurement schemes as well as the REFIT
programme. NERSA’s (2009a) initial draft of a PPA in July 2009 was criticised by developers and
investors for allocating too much risk to IPPs (Baker, 2012). Developers identified that there was
no stabilisation clause for law changes, which posed a realistic risk, as demonstrated in previous
procurement programmes which were abandoned without compensation to IPPs (Brodsky, 2010).
The PPA did not adequately delimit the buyer of renewable energy. Given government’s clear
intention to introduce an Independent Systems and Market Operator (ISMO), this did not guard
against the consequences of a restructuring of the electricity supply industry. Neither was the
Renewable Energy Purchasing Agency (REPA) clearly defined. Consequently, no PPA was signed
with Eskom at that stage, as developers and banks insisted on a PPA that would be underwritten
by government.
The inability of different stakeholders to agree on how to apportion risk was a key reason for the
halt in signing PPAs. The NT was sceptical about providing a PPA that would be underwritten by
government, as this would threaten the country’s balance sheet. At the same time, the NT
recognised that developers were unwilling to enter into a PPA underwritten by Eskom alone
(Baker, 2012; Eberhard, 2013).
Under the REIPP procurement programme, the PPA is held for a period of 20 years and in local
currency. It allocates risk between the parties based on investment-friendly terms. It
guarantees payment of an agreed tariff for power generated on a take-or-pay basis (Stemple,
2013). Essentially, this means that irrespective of power demand by the grid, if the power is
generated, the tariff will be paid by Eskom for each kilowatt of energy produced. The tariff is
agreed upon the award of the preferred bid status and is indexed to the rate of inflation over the
duration of the contract with Eskom.
On the one hand, answering the unwillingness from developers to enter into PPAs underwritten by
Eskom, the agreement underwritten by the NT should Eskom default on the terms of the
agreement. This includes if Eskom fails to connect renewable energy projects to the grid and if
the utility fails to pay for the generated electricity. Under this PPA, Eskom is accountable to the
NT and has a vested interest to ensure grid connection. The DoE has also separately contracted
with the project companies in order to offer recourse for project investors in the event that
Eskom fails to meet its obligations under the PPA. Under a Direct Agreement between the DoE
and the lenders of the project, the DoE, underwritten by the NT, commits to taking on payments
due to the project company should Eskom default on payments. This governmental backstop has
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earned the REIPP procurement programme significant credibility with international investors
(Stemple, 2013).
On the other hand, should the project company fail to generate the contracted energy, the
lenders are asked to step in and find a replacement project company, if feasible. If not, the
allocation for that project could be put up for bid in subsequent rounds. In the case of IPPs
defaulting on supplying the agreed amount of electricity due to weather instability or plant
degradation or destruction, the liability falls on the IPP and its financiers. In this case,
commercial lenders include comprehensive insurance to cover the loss and protect the
developer, as part of the project finance. Should there be an inability to generate electricity
caused by a fault in the construction of the plant, the liability falls on the contractor as agreed
in the Engineering, Procurement and Construction (EPC) contract, the predominant form of
construction contract used on large-scale infrastructure projects. Should there be a dispute
between IPPs and Eskom over terms not being met in the PPA, the responsibility of mediating the
conflict falls squarely on NERSA.
In relation to risk allocation and financing, some modifications are recommended to improve
the financial close phase. The financial close process should be revised to prevent delays by
matching the signing of the PPA and the Implementation Agreement (between the DoE and the
project company) with the date of financial close. While the South African government carries
the foreign exchange risk between the bid submission and the signature of the PPA and the
Implementation Agreement (allowing IPPs to adjust their price offering for any evolution of the
exchange rate in between the two dates), project developers are exposed from the signature to
the date of financial close (around one month). The financial close process should also better
integrate EPC contractors as initial contractual terms are substantially renegotiated after the
award of the preferred bidder status to ensure the best and most competitive offer.
The significance of the PPA is regarded as a crucial factor in the success of the REIPP
procurement programme by commercial banks and IPPs. Notably, the allocation of risk between
all stakeholders has contributed to a bankable PPA and the success of the programme in
attracting significant interest from developers in the sector.
8. GETTING THE PRICE RIGHT IS AS IMPORTANT AS LEARNING HOW TO GET
IT RIGHT
A critical factor in establishing a viable programme for renewable energy is the price of the
procured electricity. From a government perspective, getting the price right remains one of most
challenging tasks. While a feed-in tariff or auction system can be used, the mechanisms of the
two systems are inversed and will tend to bring different benefits, particularly in the short term.
They differ mostly in terms of pricing approach and procurement decision-making. Whereas a
feed-in tariff is based on setting a price per kilowatt-hour for a certain renewable energy
technology, competitive bidding relies on capacity allocation, price caps and procurement
criteria. In other words, a feed in tariff is based on a fixed price and a varying quantity, while a
bidding system is structured around a set quantity and a variable price. On the one hand, the
main advantage of an auction system is its ability to drive pricing down through competition. A
feed-in tariff, by predetermining prices, exposes government to the risk of getting prices wrong
(offering high returns to investors in the case where tariffs are set too high or preventing the
development of the sector if tariffs are set too low). On the other hand, with price being the
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largest determinant in the evaluation of bids in the auction system, bids are less competitive in
terms of economic development (even though minimum economic development criteria are set).
Developers tend to meet minimum requirements in terms of local content, favouring the price
component of their bid. In a system based on a feed-in tariff, the price is pre-determined and
fixed. Provided that the REFIT scheme is not run on a ‘first come first serve’ basis, developers will
tend to compete on other aspects of their projects, such as local content, industrial
development, job creation and social development outcomes, to increase their chance of
success, and potentially resulting in higher economic development benefits than in the auction
system. The logics underlying an auction system and a feed-in tariff are inversed and will tend
to bring different benefits, particularly in the short term.
In December 2008, NERSA proposed a set of tariffs regarded as close to international standards.
Stakeholders stressed that tariffs were too low to make any renewable energy project viable and
called for NERSA to review them in order to create a viable renewable energy market (Baker,
2012). These tariffs and their successive revisions in 2009 and 2011 are presented in TABLE 3. In
March 2009, NERSA released revised tariffs fully indexed on inflation designed to cover
generation costs plus a real return on equity of 17% (NERSA, 2009b). Unlike the original tariffs,
these were generally regarded as generous by developers (Eberhard, 2013). The private sector,
through an informal advisory committee notably composed of leading South African banks,
played an influential role in their calculation. The March 2009 tariffs were calculated on the
assumption of a high interest rate and a high dollar exchange rate, and input from developers
who were hoping for a higher return. NERSA stated that the 2009 tariffs were set at these higher
than international levels not only to ensure a return on investment for developers, but also to
incentivise a small renewable energy market and the long-term commercial viability of the
sector (NERSA, 2009c). Nevertheless, developers expressed apprehension around the financial
capacity of the South African government to sustain tariffs at these levels over the 20-year
lifetime of the PPA (Eberhard, 2013; NERSA, 2011). Such high tariffs would create excessive
profits for IPPs and make electricity less affordable for consumers. In turn, this could impede
innovation among developers for more cost-cutting, efficient and better quality technologies
and result in inefficient operations (Eberhard, 2013).
In March 2011, NERSA unexpectedly released lower feed-in tariffs, arguing that a number of
parameters used in 2009, such as exchange rates and the cost of debt, had changed (NERSA,
2011). The new tariffs were in line with international trends in the cost of renewable energy
technologies, which had decreased since 2009. There was speculation that the cut may have also
been an attempt to trade lower prices for a larger allocation of renewable energy to be included
in the IRP 2010. The lower tariffs did not raise concerns among developers, who were reassured
by the larger allocation of independent generation capacity (Eberhard, 2013). The March 2011
tariff revisions also signalled a shift in the tariff structure. Notably, the capital component of
the tariffs would no longer be fully indexed on inflation. However, NERSA maintained the
required real return for equity investors of 17% in its final revision (NERSA, 2011). The successive
changes operated by NERSA and the mixed reactions that these triggered illustrate the difficulty
of the exercise. As the regulator and the private sector appeared to come to an agreement on
feed-in tariffs, the shift to an auction system and the involvement of the DoE and NT changed
the procurement design and implementation.
With the transition from a feed-in tariff to an auction system, a pricing mechanism was no
longer required. Tariff caps, determined by the DoE, were however used to limit the risk of high
prices linked to inter alia a lack of competitive behaviour, particularly for the first bidding
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window. While the 2009 REFIT tariffs were initially thought to constitute the upper limit, new
price ceilings were published, as summarised in TABLE 3.
TABLE 3: REFIT tariffs (2008-2011) and REIPP price caps (in ZAR/kWh)
Technology
December
2008
March
2009
March
2011
REIPP round 1
price cap
Round 1
Round 2
Round 3
Wind
0.66
1.25
0.94
1.15
1.14
0.89
0.66
CSP
0.61
2.10
1.84
2.85
2.68
2.51
1.46
Solar PV
--
3.94
2.31
2.85
2.75
1.65
0.88
Small hydro
0.74
0.94
0.67
1.03
--
1.03
--
Landfill gas
0.43
0.90
0.54
0.84
--
--
0.84
Biomass
--
--
--
1.07
--
--
1.24
Source: TIPS, based on DoE, 2013a; Greyling, 2012; NERSA, 2011
New developers were not yet ready to put forward competitive bids in the first window, which was
utilised in many ways as a round of observation. In addition, no capacity cap (other than the
total allocation of the programme) was set in the first round, resulting in a lack of competition
and failing to create pressure on the bidders to reduce their price offering. As a result, prices in
the first round were very close to the prescribed ceilings. In addition, price caps set too low
played a part in the absence of successful projects in the first two rounds for some technologies,
such as landfill gas and biomass.
In order to stimulate competition and drive prices down, the maximum generation capacity was
capped in the second and third bidding windows and the price ceilings per technology were
adjusted (downward in the case of solar PV, CSP and wind). Tariffs have dropped significantly
over the three rounds. For example, prices plummeted on average from ZAR 2.75/kWh to 88c/kWh
for solar PV, and from ZAR 1.14/kWh to 66c/kWh for wind. This trend essentially resulted from
project developers being more experienced and familiar with the programme, an increased
maturity of technologies, aggressive (price) competition, reduced price ceiling for some
technologies and the allocation of a capacity limit for each technology from the second round
onwards. As a result, prices received for the second and third auction rounds were very
competitive and even lower than expected (IRENA, 2013b). This success story, resulting from a
well-crafted combination of price caps, maximum project size and determined allocation, has
been one of the major achievements of the REIPP procurement programme. It might however
have occurred as the expense of other policy objectives associated with the government-run
scheme.
9. MAXIMISING LOCAL ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT CENTRES ON
UNDERSTANDING THE MULTIPLE OBJECTIVES OF RENEWABLE ENERGY
PROCUREMENT
Developing the renewable energy sector in South Africa has aimed to achieve several objectives,
from the procurement of additional generation capacity and affordable electricity, to
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introducing IPPs to the market, to contributing to green economy and broader economic
development goals. While some priorities of the current procurement programme fit perfectly
with the overall energy system and the country’s policy framework, such as commissioning new
generation capacity and contributing to climate change mitigation policies, others appear more
conflictual.
The REIPP procurement programme aims to procure affordable renewable energy-based
electricity from IPPs. As a nascent industry in South Africa, renewable energy has in the short
term required some governmental support, in the form of a price premium. The sustainability of
the programme also relies on Eskom’s ability to incorporate IPPs into the electricity grid and
procure the contracted power from preferred bidders. This has resulted in budgetary
implications for the national utility, which have been passed on to consumers through tariff
increases. In the medium to long term, the REIPP procurement programme will however
effectively contribute to generating affordable electricity, as the levelised cost of renewables
technologies decreases. Government also aims to stimulate employment generation and develop
an industrial base for the local manufacturing of the inputs required in renewable energy
projects. Social development outcomes, primarily through community ownership, have also been
included as part of the objectives of the programme. Economic development objectives have
focused on ensuring that South Africans participate, own and benefit from renewable energy
activities in the country. The structure of the programme has been explicit in facilitating this,
although economic development criteria remain secondary to price. In the current auction
scheme, the emphasis is put on the price offering (accounting for 70% of the selection process),
while developmental outcomes are a smaller part of the weighted criteria (30%). Traditionally,
government’s procurement has been based on 80-90% price consideration (and 10-20% for
developmental objectives such as black economic empowerment). While project developers have
committed to job creation, as illustrated in TABLE 4, employment opportunities in the
construction and operation of renewable energy-based power plants remain limited. Trade
unions have moreover raised concerns about the quality and precarious nature of the jobs
generated by the projects, most employment created in the communities surrounding projects
being low-skilled security guards.
TABLE 4: Committed job creation for selected technologies over the first three bidding rounds
of the REIPP procurement programme
Source:
TIPS, based on DoE, 2013a
In addition, local content requirements, which are leveraged to stimulate employment and
develop domestic capacity, involve short-term trade-offs. As the localisation of green
Technologies and jobs categories
Round 1
Round 2
Round 3
Solar PV jobs in 12 person-months
8 498
6 079
9 632
Solar PV jobs per MW capacity
13.4
14.6
21.4
Onshore Wind jobs in 12 person-months
4 271
4 025
11 118
Onshore Wind jobs per MW capacity
6.7
7.1
14.1
CSP jobs in 12 person-months
3 265
2 344
4 812
CSP PV jobs per MW capacity
21.8
46.9
24.1
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technologies raises the costs of goods, local content requirements can hinder the shift to
sustainable development if they are not in line with the country’s capacity and capability, and
impede the decrease in prices.
TABLE 5: Trend in local content for selected technologies over the first three rounds of the
REIPP procurement programme
Technology
Round 1
Round 2
Round 3
Solar PV
29%
48%
54%
Onshore wind
22%
37%
47%
CSP
21%
37%
44%
Source: TIPS, based on DoE, 2013a
Targets and accordingly the local content share of projects have increased over each bid window
to encourage further industrialisation and job creation, as illustrated in TABLE 5. However, the
industrialisation envisioned as part of the programme remains constrained owing to the limited
megawatt capacity allocated per technology (to create sufficient aggregate demand for
international companies to set up manufacturing sites in the country) and the small existing
manufacturing base.
In the end, the programme could strengthen its impact on economic development, particularly in
terms of local manufacturing and community development, by establishing strong monitoring
and evaluation frameworks and further capacitating project developers in meeting economic
development requirements. Setting the appropriate instruments to create aggregate demand
(required for the development of local manufacturing) could further contribute to enabling the
type of economic development and skilled employment envisioned for this programme. In other
words, sufficient domestic demand per manufactured good must be ensured. This could take the
form of an embedded auction scheme, in which manufacturers would first bid for the provision
of certain parts and components (to a share or the entirety of the programme) and developers
would then be mandated to use successful manufacturers in the design of their projects in order
to be eligible to the programme. In the short term, however, this is likely to come at the expense
of other policy objectives attached to the programme, such as cost affordability and the
transition to a green economy, and trade-offs between various objectives must be carefully
considered in order to maximise benefits to the country.
10. CONCLUSION: TAKING THE LESSONS FORWARD
The development of the REIPP procurement programme has a positive illustration of successful
policy and regulatory learning processes. The design and implementation of the programme have
incorporated the accumulated experience and lessons from previous procurement initiatives as
well as the first phases of the existing scheme. The seven key lessons taken from the
development and implementation of successive procurement programmes highlight how
challenges have been overcome over time. This hinges on the political will and participation of
key players as well as the intentional modification of the programme. Moreover, the South
African government is continuously working to further improve the mechanism and remove the
remaining issues and bottlenecks. As the programme progresses and expands, continual
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improvements, to answer arising challenges, will be required to ensure the sustainability of the
programme and the sector as a whole.
The programme has constituted a very efficient springboard for the renewable energy industry in
the country by stimulating interest and investment, and laying the foundations for further
developments. In addition to procuring large-scale renewable energy-based electricity at
increasingly competitive prices, the programme has brought some added benefits to the country
in the form of job creation, industrial development, community development and local
ownership. Ultimately, the success of the REIPP procurement programme has enabled significant
changes in the electricity supply industry by facilitating the entry of IPPs into the generation
market and the development of renewable energy in the country. The programme represents a
cornerstone feature of the creation of a more competitive and efficient electricity supply
industry and the transition to a clean and low-carbon energy mix in South Africa.
Going forward, the development of the renewable energy industry outside government-led
programmes should also be considered. The current electricity industry in South Africa and the
REIPP procurement programme are structured around Eskom as the single buyer of electricity (as
per the single-buyer model prevailing in the country). The Independent Systems and Market
Operator Bill, which is meant to create a state entity independent of electricity generators and
distributors, and serve as a buyer of electricity from generators and seller of power to customers
at wholesale level, remained stalled in Parliament as of September 2014. While remaining fully
owned by government, an ISMO would contribute to levelling the playing field by eliminating the
potential bias created by the current structure in which the DoE procures energy and trading
occurs within Eskom (Unlimited Energy, 2013). It would also open the door for customers to
choose their suppliers, i.e. Eskom or an IPP, potentially contributing to sustainable development
by renewable energy producers being given preference (Abrahams et al., 2013).
The development and success of the REIPP procurement programme carries important findings
for other infrastructure programmes in the country. The private sector and government clusters
working in infrastructure development have expressed interest in using the model of the REIPP
procurement programme to procure other type of infrastructure projects beyond the energy
sector (Munshi, 2013). The NT’s task team responsible for the private sector financing of
infrastructure, which includes personnel from the Department of Public Enterprises, the
Presidential Infrastructure Co-ordinating Commission, business and labour unions, have
particularly investigated this possibility. This may trigger a significant shift in how the South
African government approaches public-private partnerships and open for the door for more
efficient, sustainable, job-creating infrastructure procurement in the country.
Acknowledgement
This article draws on research undertaken as part of the Regulatory Entities Capacity
Building Project, with funding from the South African government’s Economic
Development Department.
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... This auction bidding regulatory process has now been globally adopted and customised to different country contexts (Eberhard & Naude, 2017;Hansen et al. 2020). Much of the literature on South Africa's experience has been concerned with the broader programme dynamics, challenges in terms of programme design, technical features of procurement and economic development criteria (Moldvay et al., 2013;Rennkamp and Westin 2013;Montmasson-Clair & Ryan 2014;Baker & Wlokas, 2015;Morris & Martin, 2015;Baker, 2016). However, these did not explore the localisation dynamics in much detail. ...
Article
This article utilises a GVC analytic framework to analyse the wind energy value chain in South Africa and its impact on localisation of goods and services. Its theoretical contribution highlights governance as dependent on system integration dynamics, with lead firms operating as system integrators. The empirical analysis focuses on the interplay between energy and industrial policy showing how policy failure, driven by coal-based vested interests, disrupted system integration and undermined the renewable energy programme. The failure to ensure continuity and predictability of the auction bidding process within energy policy cascaded down the wind energy chain negatively impacting industrial policy attempts to localise domestic and foreign enterprises. This also derived from the South African government failing to prioritise, develop, and embed renewable energy as a green economy strategy within its industrial policy framework. We conclude with the following lessons: (a) GVC dynamics and lead firms cannot be ignored if localisation is to take root; (b) green strategies should be mainstreamed within industrial policy; (c) localisation starts with lead firms encouraging follower sourcing of first tier suppliers; (d) localising domestic value-added services is just as important as developing manufacturing enterprises.
... Even after commissioning in excess of 2900 MW of renewable energy through privately funded projects worth US$13.1 billion (exchange rate of 15.37 ZAR:1 USD as per South African Reserve Bank data for the 1st quarter of the 2020 fiscal year) of investment [11], Eskom remains the largest generator of electricity in the country at 95%, through an installed capacity of 47 GW, of which 39 GW is from coal-based sources [13]. The government has also been slow with passing new policy to supplement the REIPPPP success, such as the proposed Independent System and Market Operator (ISMO) bill, which is meant to establish a single buyer and wholesale distributor of electricity, separate from Eskom [14]. ...
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The lauded Renewable Energy Independent Power Producer Procurement Program (REIPPPP) has achieved much in stimulating private sector investment in the renewable energy market in South Africa. Yet, 95% of electricity generated is still from a single source, the state-owned utility Eskom. This paper set out to explore the policy sphere governing electricity generation and identifying possible avenues that can contribute to a more vibrant solar energy market in the most solar abundant province of South Africa, the Northern Cape Province. Licensed mines were identified as low hanging fruit due to a large policy overlap and leeway within existing mining policy. A solar audit of these areas was performed, based on accepted multi-criteria decision analysis techniques, and found that a potential 369 TWh to 679 TWh per annum can be generated, exceeding South Africa’s current electricity usage.
... South Africa recognises that green economy transition remains a key attribute in the attainment of sustainable development (Montassom-Clair & Ryan, 2014); hence, the country participates in numerous international conventions and has ratified a number of agreements that advocates for sustainable development and green economy transition. Furthermore, South Africa has partnered with several international green economy agencies and other stakeholders in a bid to understand the phenomenon (Nhamo, Pophiwa & Tshangela, 2014). ...
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South Africa's National Environmental Management Act (Act 107 of 1998) recognises the important role of women and youth in environmental management and development. To this end, significant strides have been made by the country in gender mainstreaming. The “Environment Sector Gender Framework” and the “Framework and Strategy Toward Gender Mainstreaming in the Environment Sector 2016–2021” are some of the policy frameworks that have been implemented. In addition, a number of initiatives and programmes such as the Green Fund, established in April 2012, the Groen Sebenza Learnership Programme, and environmental conservation through the Expanded Public Works Programme have been developed. Using a mixed method research design approach, the paper attempts to answer the following questions: Are the concerns and perspectives of women sufficiently integrated in the green economy and environmental sector policies and programmes? What green economy and environmental sector projects are women involved in and what is the proportion of women involved in such projects? Through simple random sampling, the study established that space has been created for women involvement in the green economy and environmental sectors. However, there still remains a need to raise awareness of the available opportunities and interventions to build capacity at project conceptualisation and management levels. The involvement of women further requires meaningful public participation, social inclusion, and the devolution and decentralisation of decision‐making processes.
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Namibia has quickly become a leading African destination for renewable energy investments due to the country's considerable renewable energy and land resources and competitive prices for utility-scale solar PV independent power projects (IPPs) procured through auction programs. These project prices are all the more remarkable considering that contracts are in local currency, provided without government support, a rarity in sub-Saharan Africa. Key to this outcome is NamPower, Namibia's state-owned power utility. NamPower is both procurer and off-taker for these projects and is one of only three utilities in sub-Saharan Africa that can charge cost-reflective tariffs. The utility is generally regarded as well run and is supported by a regulatory agency positioning the country to embrace the energy transition rapidly. This paper analyses the evolution of Namibia's renewable energy procurement programs, illustrating how a combination of factors at the country, program and project levels led to competitive prices and high project-realisation rates.
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Auctions have become the main instrument of choice to support renewable electricity around the world. This is probably due to their alleged virtues in terms of efficiency. However, whether auctions will meet their expectations and be successful will depend on the choice of design elements in particular settings. Although the analysis of the advantages and drawbacks of different design elements has received considerable attention in the literature, this is not the case with the real-world adoption of different design elements across different regions and renewable electricity technologies and overtime. The aim of this paper is to cover this gap in the literature. Using a database of 90 renewable electricity auctions from around the world, built by the authors, this article analyzes different patterns of adoption of design elements overtime, across continents and technologies. The results of the analysis show that, indeed, large differences across regions and overtime can be observed for some design elements. Regarding regional differences, this is the case for geographical diversity, local content requirements, remuneration form, auction form and disclosure of ceiling prices. Some design elements clearly show a distinct pattern over time: volume metric, size diversity, selection criteria, auction format, auction type, pricing rule and ceiling prices. In contrast, the differences across technologies are less marked and are circumscribed to geographical diversity, auction format and remuneration form. Several possible explanations for the patterns and trends in auction design are proposed.
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This paper utilises a combination of a political economy approach and a GVC framework to analyse the dynamics of the wind energy value chain in South Africa. The paper focuses on the complex intertwined interplay between energy and industrial policy and shows how they negatively impacted on efforts to increase localisation of domestic manufacturing and services industries. It discusses the opportunities and constraints, success and failures of a localisation process contained arising from the Renewable Energy Independent Power Producer Procurement Programme (REIPPPP). It finds that early modest industrialisation gains, linked to the local content requirements in the REIPPP auctions, notwithstanding the policy shortcomings, did have a notable localisation impact but fell short of the ambition in broader policy documents. Nonetheless, these signs of progress from foreign lead firms, large global 1st tier suppliers, and local firms, were substantially undermined, in some cases reversed, as a consequence of the political choices to suspend the renewable energy programme. It shows how political economy dynamics resulted in a failure to ensure continuity and predictability of the auction bidding process within REIPPPP, and how this cascaded down the wind energy value chain constraining the initial localisation processes. These dynamics also resulted in a failure of the South African government to prioritise, develop, and embed renewable energy within its industrial policy framework. As the economy emerges from the Covid-19 crisis this will pose political economy challenges as coalitions of South African stakeholders struggle over the task of breaking from a carbon intensive path dependency and inaugurating a new green industrialisation path.
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Several national and regional governments have implemented incentive programs to promote CSP deployment around the world. These public promotion schemes have been the main driver of CSP deployment. Although Spain and USA have been the main leaders, other countries have recently emerged and have a presence in the CSP market and still others can be expected to be so in the future. This section provides a discussion of the promotion policies which have been used to encourage the uptake of CSP from selected countries from around the world. These countries represent around 99% of total CSP capacity currently being deployed.
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A range of varying criteria with trade-offs need consideration when selecting a suitable renewable energy technology (RET) for a specific area or location. In this study RETs in South Africa, in accordance with the national renewable energy program, were assessed to compare and highlight feasible technology options. A key objective of the study was to develop a framework that could be used to assess the various RETs at utility scale. Important criteria contributing toward the assessment of RETs were identified from literature. The criteria were used within the framework for analysis which consisted of the following factors: technical, economic, environmental, social and political. The goal of assessing RETs in South Africa was located at the top of the framework hierarchy. A total of 15 criteria were identified to use as part of the assessment. A decision-making matrix based on both qualitative and quantitative data was used to score the criteria. The RETs (solar PV, wind, CSP, hydro, biogas and biomass) in South Africa were evaluated with respect to each criterion. The study aims to contribute towards - from a developing country perspective - highlighting key barriers to technology adoption, assist in investment decisions, and ultimately contribute toward a sustainable energy infrastructure. From the analysis performed, solar PV and wind were favoured due to technology maturity and financier perception while CSP also scored favourably due to the potential to meet the baseload energy requirements. The key policy barriers identified that require attention include improved knowledge transfer and better maintenance skills across all technologies while site suitability was identified as a major barrier for hydro and biomass RETs
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As a relatively high-cost gap technology, concentrating solar power (CSP) still needs to be supported if it is to contribute significantly to the energy transition. Within this context, auctions have emerged worldwide as a relevant instrument for the promotion of renewable energy in general, given their alleged advantages in terms of cost-effectiveness and lower support costs, and they could also be used to support CSP. In turn, it is well known that the success of any auction depends on the choice of its design elements. The aim of this paper is to identify the most appropriate design elements to promote CSP through auctions. An empirical analysis of CSP auctions in five countries is carried out in order to draw some lessons on the pros and cons of different design elements which should be considered specifically in auctions for CSP deployment. Our results show that, depending on the policy goals of the government, some design elements may make more sense than others. If effectiveness in deployment is the main goal, then valuation of dispatchability, strict prequalification requirements, site specific auctions, coordination between the auction and administrative procedures, long enough lead times and construction times are particularly recommendable. If minimization of support costs is the government's priority then price-only auctions, low prequalification requirements, absence of local content requirements, on-site auctions, long deadlines, long PPA duration, provision of resource measurements and multiple rounds would be preferable. Finally, if local economic development is a main goal, then local content rules may make sense, as long as there is a minimum manufacturing capacity in the country. Trade-offs between policy goals are unavoidable when choosing design elements in CSP auctions and should be taken into account and, if possible, mitigated.
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Obra que plantea por un lado, los fundamentos teóricos para la formulación, toma de decisiones, implementación y evaluación de las políticas públicas, y por otro, la aplicación de este instrumental teórico a algunos casos prácticos que se han implementado en México, Costa Rica, Argentina y Chile, donde el caso de México es abordado con mayor amplitud.
Power Shifts? The Political Economy of Socio-Technical Transitions in South Africa's Electricity Sector. School of International Development at the
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